MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 694

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL4

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 694
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
South-Central Kansas
Western into Central/North-Central Oklahoma

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
until 900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Developing supercells will pose a threat for large to very
large hail initially (up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter). Later this
afternoon into the evening, the threat for a few tornadoes will
increase. A strong tornado or two appears possible, especially early
this evening. Scattered severe/damaging winds will also become a
concern later this evening as thunderstorms eventually form into a
line.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Hutchinson KS to
35 miles east of Clinton OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 693…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

…Gleason

SEL4

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 694
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
South-Central Kansas
Western into Central/North-Central Oklahoma

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
until 900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Developing supercells will pose a threat for large to very
large hail initially (up to 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter). Later this
afternoon into the evening, the threat for a few tornadoes will
increase. A strong tornado or two appears possible, especially early
this evening. Scattered severe/damaging winds will also become a
concern later this evening as thunderstorms eventually form into a
line.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Hutchinson KS to
35 miles east of Clinton OK. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 693…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

…Gleason

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 694 TORNADO KS OK 301905Z – 310200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE HUT/HUTCHINSON KS/ – 35E CSM/CLINTON OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /32SSE SLN – 48W OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

LAT…LON 38419640 35329760 35329955 38419843

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.

Watch 694 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Mod (40%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Mod (30%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (50%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (40%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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