Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Feb 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Feb 7 00:48:25 UTC 2025 (Print Version | | )
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Forecast Discussion
SPC AC 070048
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0648 PM CST Thu Feb 06 2025
Valid 070100Z – 071200Z
…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF
EASTERN TN AND FAR SOUTHEAST KY/SOUTHWEST VA…
…SUMMARY…
Isolated severe thunderstorms may persist through about Midnight EST
in vicinity of eastern Tennessee and far southeast
Kentucky/southwest Virginia.
…Eastern TN and far southeast KY/southwest VA…
Messy and occasionally transient supercell structures are ongoing
across parts of far southeast KY into eastern TN, amid a favorable
deep-layer wind profile and moderate 0-1 km shear. Some increase in
low-level wind speeds during the next couple hours should compensate
for the rather veered flow and surface temperatures falling through
the low to mid 60s. This could support a corridor of strong gusts
and marginally severe hail, along with a brief tornado into late
evening. See MCD 72 for further short-term information. Additional
development farther to the southwest in Middle TN has thus far
struggled to be maintained, but may yet form through about 03Z as
the surface cold front moves east towards the southern Appalachians.
..Grams.. 02/07/2025
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