Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 83
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Southern Arkansas
Louisiana
Central Mississippi
Far East Texas
* Effective this Monday morning from 135 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY…Thunderstorms will continue to move east-northeastward
over the next several hours early this morning, while posing a
threat for scattered damaging winds up to 60-70 mph and large hail
around 1-2 inches in diameter. A tornado or two may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south of
Columbus MS to 75 miles west of Fort Polk LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 77…WW 78…WW 79…WW
80…WW 81…WW 82…
AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
…Gleason
SEL3
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 83
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Southern Arkansas
Louisiana
Central Mississippi
Far East Texas
* Effective this Monday morning from 135 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY…Thunderstorms will continue to move east-northeastward
over the next several hours early this morning, while posing a
threat for scattered damaging winds up to 60-70 mph and large hail
around 1-2 inches in diameter. A tornado or two may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south of
Columbus MS to 75 miles west of Fort Polk LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 77…WW 78…WW 79…WW
80…WW 81…WW 82…
AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
…Gleason
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 83 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS TX 310635Z – 311300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45S CBM/COLUMBUS MS/ – 75W POE/FORT POLK LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /30S IGB – 16ESE LFK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT…LON 32118845 30189445 31919445 33848845
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 83 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (10%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.