MIL-OSI USA: SPC PDS Tornado Watch 98

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL8

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 98
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern and South-Central Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 250 PM until Midnight
CDT.

…THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION…

* Primary threats include…
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Storms are expected to develop this afternoon initially
across the ArkLaMiss and Mid-South, with the overall environment
becoming increasingly favorable for tornadoes through late afternoon
into early/mid-evening. Some of these tornadoes may be strong or
intense (EF3+), with widespread damaging winds also likely across
the region by evening. This is a Particularly Dangerous Situation
with intense storms expected over a relatively broad regional area,
with multiple rounds of severe storms possible in some areas.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles southeast of Pine Bluff AR to
30 miles northwest of Evansville IN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 97…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

…Guyer

SEL8

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 98
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern and South-Central Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 250 PM until Midnight
CDT.

…THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION…

* Primary threats include…
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Storms are expected to develop this afternoon initially
across the ArkLaMiss and Mid-South, with the overall environment
becoming increasingly favorable for tornadoes through late afternoon
into early/mid-evening. Some of these tornadoes may be strong or
intense (EF3+), with widespread damaging winds also likely across
the region by evening. This is a Particularly Dangerous Situation
with intense storms expected over a relatively broad regional area,
with multiple rounds of severe storms possible in some areas.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles southeast of Pine Bluff AR to
30 miles northwest of Evansville IN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 97…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

…Guyer

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 98 TORNADO AR IL IN KY MO MS TN 021950Z – 030500Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SE PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/ – 30NW EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /50W SQS – 26NNW PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

LAT…LON 33599282 38328958 38328626 33598969

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.

Watch 98 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

High (90%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

High (90%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

High (70%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (50%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (50%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (>95%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

MIL OSI USA News