MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 97

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL7

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 97
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southern and Eastern Missouri

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 845 AM
until 400 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Broken clusters of storms and some embedded/semi-discrete
supercells will spread east-northeastward across the region through
early/mid-afternoon, with an increasing tornado risk aside from
widespread damaging winds and hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Alton IL to
30 miles west southwest of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 94…WW 95…WW 96…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.

…Guyer

SEL7

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 97
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southern and Eastern Missouri

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 845 AM
until 400 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Broken clusters of storms and some embedded/semi-discrete
supercells will spread east-northeastward across the region through
early/mid-afternoon, with an increasing tornado risk aside from
widespread damaging winds and hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Alton IL to
30 miles west southwest of Hot Springs AR. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 94…WW 95…WW 96…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.

…Guyer

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 97 TORNADO AR IL MO 021345Z – 022100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNW ALN/ALTON IL/ – 30WSW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /43N STL – 53NNE TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.

LAT…LON 39568928 34309253 34309464 39569154

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.

Watch 97 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Mod (50%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

High (70%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Low (10%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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