MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 146

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL6

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 146
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-Central Texas

* Effective this Saturday morning from Midnight until 700 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY…Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to increase
overnight across the Edwards Plateau and vicinity, with large hail
and damaging winds as the primary severe risks.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast
of Abilene TX to 50 miles west southwest of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 143…WW 144…WW 145…

AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.

…Guyer

SEL6

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 146
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-Central Texas

* Effective this Saturday morning from Midnight until 700 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY…Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to increase
overnight across the Edwards Plateau and vicinity, with large hail
and damaging winds as the primary severe risks.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast
of Abilene TX to 50 miles west southwest of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 143…WW 144…WW 145…

AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.

…Guyer

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 146 SEVERE TSTM TX 190500Z – 191200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35ENE ABI/ABILENE TX/ – 50WSW JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /38ENE ABI – 43WSW JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.

LAT…LON 32619809 30249954 30240155 32610016

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.

Watch 146 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Low (5%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (30%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (10%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (50%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (40%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (80%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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