Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 227
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY…Supercell thunderstorms will pose a threat for a few
tornadoes and large to very large hail (potentially up to baseball
size/2.75 inches in diameter) as they move slowly east-northeastward
through the afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts up to 65-75 mph
may also occur on a more isolated basis.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of Roswell NM to
20 miles east southeast of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 223…WW 224…WW
225…WW 226…
AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
…Gleason
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 227 TORNADO NM TX 052025Z – 060200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW ROW/ROSWELL NM/ – 20ESE MAF/MIDLAND TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /21NW CME – 19SE MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT…LON 34460490 32710189 30970189 32730490
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 227 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (20%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (30%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (50%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.