Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-Central into Northeast Arkansas
Far Western Kentucky
Far Southeast Missouri
Far Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY…Line of storms moving through north-central Arkansas
continues to organize as it moves quickly eastward. The downstream
airmass is warm and buoyant, suggesting the potential for this
cluster to continue over the next few hours. Strong gusts and large
to very large hail are possible with this cluster, as well any other
storms that develop across the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast
of Poplar Bluff MO to 55 miles east southeast of Russellville AR.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 251…
AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
…Mosier
SEL2
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-Central into Northeast Arkansas
Far Western Kentucky
Far Southeast Missouri
Far Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY…Line of storms moving through north-central Arkansas
continues to organize as it moves quickly eastward. The downstream
airmass is warm and buoyant, suggesting the potential for this
cluster to continue over the next few hours. Strong gusts and large
to very large hail are possible with this cluster, as well any other
storms that develop across the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast
of Poplar Bluff MO to 55 miles east southeast of Russellville AR.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 251…
AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
…Mosier
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 252 SEVERE TSTM AR KY MO TN 151855Z – 160000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15ENE POF/POPLAR BLUFF MO/ – 55ESE RUE/RUSSELLVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /49S FAM – 16N LIT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT…LON 36848886 34939087 34939352 36849158
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 252 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (10%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.