MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 265

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Central and Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Far Southeast Missouri

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely

SUMMARY…Supercells ongoing across eastern MO and western IL are
expected to continue eastward into the destabilizing airmass
downstream across the region. All severe hazards, including very
large hail up to 2.5″ to 3″ in diameter and strong to intense
tornadoes, are possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of
Indianapolis IN to 40 miles south of Paducah KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 261…WW 262…WW
263…WW 264…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

…Mosier

SEL5

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Central and Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Far Southeast Missouri

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely

SUMMARY…Supercells ongoing across eastern MO and western IL are
expected to continue eastward into the destabilizing airmass
downstream across the region. All severe hazards, including very
large hail up to 2.5″ to 3″ in diameter and strong to intense
tornadoes, are possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of
Indianapolis IN to 40 miles south of Paducah KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 261…WW 262…WW
263…WW 264…

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

…Mosier

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 265 TORNADO IL IN KY MO 162000Z – 170300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNW IND/INDIANAPOLIS IN/ – 40S PAH/PADUCAH KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /24NNW IND – 39NE DYR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.

LAT…LON 40168473 36488706 36489048 40168833

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.

Watch 265 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Mod (60%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

High (70%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

High (80%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

High (80%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (>95%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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