MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 139

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL9

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 139
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Virginia
Eastern West Virginia

* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 650 PM
until 100 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Supercells will continue to move eastward this evening
while posing a threat for large to very large hail up to 1-2 inches
in diameter. Scattered damaging winds with peak gusts of 60-70 mph
will also be likely with any clusters that can form while also
spreading quickly eastward.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Staunton VA to 35 miles north of Richmond VA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 138…

AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28045.

…Gleason

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 139 SEVERE TSTM VA WV 142250Z – 150500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NW SHD/STAUNTON VA/ – 35N RIC/RICHMOND VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /39ESE EKN – 30N RIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28045.

LAT…LON 39417936 38807731 37217731 37837936

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.

Watch 139 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (10%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Low ( 65 knots

Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (50%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (30%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (90%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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