Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 262
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southwestern Illinois
Central and Eastern Missouri
Far Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday morning and evening from 1155 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY…The airmass across the region continues to destabilize
amid strong low-level moisture advection and daytime heating. Robust
thunderstorm development is anticipated over the next few hours as
an approaching cold front interacts with this strong buoyant
airmass. Strong vertical shear is also in place, supporting
supercells as the primary storm mode. All severe hazards are
possible with these supercells, including very large hail up to 4″
in diameter and strong tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles south of Harrison AR to 35
miles north northwest of Saint Louis MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 260…WW 261…
AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
…Mosier
SEL2
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 262
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1155 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southwestern Illinois
Central and Eastern Missouri
Far Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday morning and evening from 1155 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY…The airmass across the region continues to destabilize
amid strong low-level moisture advection and daytime heating. Robust
thunderstorm development is anticipated over the next few hours as
an approaching cold front interacts with this strong buoyant
airmass. Strong vertical shear is also in place, supporting
supercells as the primary storm mode. All severe hazards are
possible with these supercells, including very large hail up to 4″
in diameter and strong tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles south of Harrison AR to 35
miles north northwest of Saint Louis MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 260…WW 261…
AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
…Mosier
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 262 TORNADO AR IL MO OK 161655Z – 170000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70S HRO/HARRISON AR/ – 35NNW STL/SAINT LOUIS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /55E FSM – 22NNW STL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT…LON 35259457 39219211 39218913 35259173
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 262 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (80%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
High (80%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.