Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 705
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM CST Mon Nov 4 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western Arkansas
Extreme southeast Kansas
Southwest Missouri
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include…
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY…Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will affect the watch
area this afternoon and evening. Strong winds aloft and a
warm/moist environment will pose a risk of severe storms capable of
damaging winds and a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast of Joplin MO
to 40 miles west southwest of Hot Springs AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 704…
AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
…Hart
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 705 TORNADO AR KS MO 041930Z – 050300Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNE JLN/JOPLIN MO/ – 40WSW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /27SE BUM – 47NNE TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT…LON 37959334 34249305 34249445 37959481
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 705 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.