Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Apr 8, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Apr 8 00:53:26 UTC 2025 (Print Version | | )
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Forecast Discussion
SPC AC 080053
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0753 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025
Valid 080100Z – 081200Z
…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA…
…SUMMARY…
A couple of strong to severe storms capable of wind damage and
perhaps a brief tornado are possible in parts of eastern North
Carolina into mid-evening before activity moves offshore.
…Synopsis…
A large upper-level trough continues eastward this evening and is
supporting convection along a cold front near the southeastern
Atlantic coastline. This front is nearly offshore in southeastern
Georgia and much of coastal South Carolina. In eastern North
Carolina, the front will reach the coast sometime in the 10 PM – 12
AM EDT.
…Eastern North Carolina…
One more prominent linear segment is moving northeastward south of a
warm front just south of the Virginia border. The observed 00Z
sounding from Morehead showed poor mid-level lapse rates. Objective
mesoanalysis suggests MLCAPE may be around 250-500 J/kg. Continued
forcing from the approaching trough and strong effective shear
(45-55 kts) will support a few more hours of wind damage and brief
tornado potential this evening.
..Wendt.. 04/08/2025
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