Category: China

  • MIL-OSI USA: Ernst, Blunt Rochester Secure Supply Chains to Bolster Domestic Manufacturing

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA)
    Published: May 27, 2025
    WASHINGTON – U.S. Senators Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) and Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-Del.) are introducing new legislation to decrease our reliance on foreign adversaries for key materials and boost manufacturing in rural America.
    The Critical Infrastructure Manufacturing Feasibility Act will drive investment and job creation here at home by instructing the Secretary of Commerce to conduct a study identifying critical goods that are currently being imported and find ways to help domestic producers manufacture them in rural areas and industrial parks.
    “I am working to make ‘Made in America’ the norm instead of the exception,” said Ernst. “That starts with ensuring that our manufacturers are able to get the materials they need right here instead of having to import supplies from halfway around the world. Beyond boosting domestic industry, this bill is also about safeguarding our national security by ensuring that we are not dependent on any foreign adversary for critical goods that we need.”
    “Supply chains are key to global competitiveness and our national security,” said Blunt Rochester. “This bipartisan legislation will help us identify where we rely too heavily on foreign imports for critical infrastructure and explore how we can bring that manufacturing home. Strengthening domestic production not only protects our supply chains, it supports American jobs, revitalizes local economies, and reinforces our nation’s resilience if global manufacturing disruptions occur.”
    Click here to view the bill.
    Background:
    Ernst has led the fight to supercharge domestic manufacturing through her bipartisan Made in America Manufacturing Finance Act that doubles the loan limit for Small Business Administration (SBA) 7(a) loans to ensure that government does not stand in the way of the manufacturing explosion happening under the Trump administration.
    She has also worked to secure our medical supply chain from China, so that the health of our citizens is not dependent on the whims of Beijing.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Cantwell Joins Entire WA Delegation in Letter Urging President Trump to Reconsider Denial of WA State’s Request for a Disaster Declaration for November “Bomb Cyclone”

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Washington Maria Cantwell
    05.27.25
    WSU Prof Joins Cantwell & Leading Scientists to Highlight Devastating Impacts of Slashing Funding for Science Research
    Trump Administration wants to gut National Science Foundation funding by 55%, would be the most severe reductions in agency’s history, overturn bipartisan consensus reached in CHIPS & Science Act; WSU Professor Kalyanaraman: Cuts will “directly undercut” AI precision agriculture and agriculture cybersecurity research
    WASHINGTON, D.C. – Last Tuesday, U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell (D-WA), ranking member of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation and senior member of the Senate Finance Committee, was joined by Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) and a panel of prestigious scientists to decry the devastating impacts of the Trump Administration’s proposed 55% cut to the FY 2026 budget of the National Science Foundation (NSF).
    The panel included Dr. Ananth Kalyanaraman, Professor at Washington State University, and Director of the USDA NIFA-funded AI Institute on Agricultural AI for Decision Support and Workforce Development.
    “We are in an Information Age. We are in an age where there are several areas of U.S. competitiveness that depend on continued science innovation, aerospace being one of those, certainly AI being another, quantum being a third,” Sen. Cantwell said. “And all of this is being put into jeopardy by this cut.”
    Looking at the damage to our future if these cuts are implemented, the Senator continued: “In an Information Age economy, when so much innovation is available, the last thing you should be doing is having a 55 percent cut to one of your key science R&D institutions. You should be making increases, allowing a thousand flowers to bloom across these institutions, across the United States, because you never know where the next Bill Gates or the next Bill Boeing is going to be, and the innovation they’re going to drive.”
    “WSU researchers are working on cutting edge security research across the entire computing stack, spanning hardware, software systems, and the web, and applications to precision agriculture,” said Dr. Kalyanaraman. “This research integrates AI to enhance the resilience of agricultural systems against cyber threats. We are deeply concerned about the nearly $5 billion in cuts to NSF, which will directly undercut this vital work and also our nation’s ability to remain globally competitive.”
    President Trump’s FY 2026 skinny budget proposes to cut NSF’s funding by 55.8% from $8.8 billion to $3.9 billion. This is on top of $234 million in FY 2025 funding for construction projects that the Administration has frozen. The CHIPS and Science Act, which Sen. Cantwell championed through to passage, authorized dramatically increasing NSF funding to $17.8 billion in FY2026.
    Besides recklessly proposing to slash future funding, the Trump Administration has already terminated 1,752 existing NSF grants totaling more than 1.3 billion dollars according to a list of terminated grants the Foundation released today. A large percentage of these grants are for projects and programs related to STEM education and expanding access and participation in STEM fields. Earlier this month, NSF announced it would cap indirect cost reimbursements at 15 percent for all new awards to universities and nonprofit institutions, down from negotiated rates that typically range from 30 to 60 percent. That action is on pause pending a lawsuit brought in the U.S. District Court for the District of Massachusetts.
    Other participants included: Dr. Arati Prabhakar, former Director of OSTP, DARPA, and NIST and venture capitalist; Dr. France Córdova, 14th Director of the National Science Foundation, and now President of the Science Philanthropy Alliance; Dr. Dean Chang, Chief Innovation Officer and Associate Vice President for Innovation & Entrepreneurship & Economic Development at the University of Maryland; and Dr. Marvi Matos Rodriguez, Engineering Director working in the Aerospace Industry.
    Dr. Prabhakar took the lead in debunking the idea that corporate funding could in any way replace federal investment in science, stating: “It’s been a bedrock economic understanding that corporations invest in the R&D that they can see leading to products and profits, but not in the kind that evolves across many labs over many years and forms a shared foundation for whole industries and for public missions like defense.”
    “These devastating cuts to public R&D are an embarrassing retreat from American leadership that hands the reins to the People’s Republic of China,” Dr. Prabhakar added. “And I would so much rather be here today talking about achieving our great aspirations for longer and healthier lives and for AI that extends our own human talents, for lowering our cost of living with clean energy and for restoring nature, because that is the future that America is capable of creating.”
    Dr. Córdova, who strongly agreed that private funding is no substitute for the NSF, said: “I have a good handle on what industry and philanthropy can contribute, and I can tell you, as important as their contributions are to bolstering our economy, they cannot replace government funding.”
    And Dr. Córdova decried the impacts of the cuts to STEM education that the Trump funding levels would force.
    “Especially important to universities is the funding to train our STEM workforce pipeline, without which we would have no industries of the future. Industry representatives often tell me that arguably the most important investment NSF makes is in the workforce training of STEM talent,” she said.
    In April, NSF revealed that Graduate Research Fellowships awarded in 2025 would be cut in half, from 2,000 to 1,000, the smallest cohort since 2010. NSF will also significantly reduce (from 368 to 70) the number of scientists it employs through a program that enables scientists on leave from their academic positions to work with the NSF to help choose the best research to fund.
    Dr. Chang offered an eye-opening look at where our nation would be without the National Science Foundation.
    ”It’s hard to imagine a world without NSF, but this alternate world without NSF would have none of the following: No Medtronic pacemakers or insulin pumps; no ChatGPT; no Nvidia GPU chips that power ChatGPT; no Apple; no Siri; no Amazon, Alexa; no GE MRIs for medical imaging; no Teslas and actually, no smart cruise control in any car of any kind; no Da Vinci robotic surgical systems; no early quantum computers from IBM and IonQ; and no Fortnite — the video game that swept the nation a few years ago,” Dr. Chang explained.
    “NSF celebrated its 75th anniversary this month,” Dr. Chang added. “But are we willing to relinquish our nation’s 75-year head start to other countries so they become the birthplace of the next generation of Teslas and ChatGPTs, the next generation of robotic surgeons and life saving devices? Not only must NSF continue to invest in high risk, high reward research, but NSF also must continue to invest in proven ways to shorten the decades long gestation periods.”
    Dr. Matos Rodriguez talked about her personal educational and professional story of turning her love for math and science at the University of Puerto Rico into a passion for research and STEM career engineering and the role NSF played along the way.
    “My passion for research blossomed when peers introduced me to the summer programs specifically designed to develop and enhance research skills,” Dr. Matos Rodriguez said, referring to research opportunities for undergraduates funded by the NSF that took her to California to conduct research at UC Davis and IBM.  
    “The impacts of the NSF REU program were far reaching. My journey continued at Carnegie Mellon, where I did my PhD… supported by a NASA grant. After graduate school, I worked as a postdoctoral fellow at the National Institute of Standards and Technology, funded by a grant from the National Research Council,” Dr. Matos Rodriguez continued.  “Little did I know that the product of all that research was not just the science, the discoveries or the papers, the product was me. The REU program, more than 25 years ago, was the seed for the STEM professional I am today, at a time when global competitiveness is vital, it is crucial to commit to cultivating generations of STEM professionals.”
    In the National Science Foundation for the Future Title in CHIPS and Science Act, Congress specifically called for broader participation of populations underrepresented in STEM and authorized $13 billion over five years for the NSF to allocate to STEM education. The United States can’t compete with China and others in science and innovation if we cannot close a gap in the STEM workforce that could be as large as 3 million people nationwide by 2030.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: China’s Premier Calls for Setting Model of Openness, Development Cooperation with ASEAN, GCC

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    KUALA LUMPUR, May 27 (Xinhua) — Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Tuesday called on China, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to strive to set a model for global cooperation and development featuring regional openness, cooperation among countries at different stages of development and integration of different civilizations.

    Li Qiang made the announcement at the first ASEAN-China-GCC summit in the Malaysian capital Kuala Lumpur.

    The premier called on the three parties to create a model of inter-regional openness, noting that the combined population and economic strength of China, ASEAN and GCC countries account for about a quarter of the world’s total.

    According to him, the full connection of the three markets will undoubtedly provide much greater space for development and a more significant effect of scale.

    China and ASEAN have fully completed negotiations on upgrading the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (FTA) to version 3.0, Li Qiang recalled, adding that the FTA negotiations between various parties and the GCC are expected to be completed soon, thereby raising the level of trilateral trade.

    He called on the three parties to steadily expand regional opening-up and unite adjacent regions into a large common market where resources, technology and talent circulate more efficiently and trade and investment enjoy greater freedom and convenience, so as to give full play to the powerful effect of open development.

    The Chinese leader also called on the three sides to develop a model of cooperation at different stages of development, saying that although the three sides are at different stages of development, their differences do not hinder cooperation, but rather complement each other through their strengths.

    China, he said, is willing to deepen the alignment of development strategies with ASEAN and the GCC on the basis of mutual respect and equal treatment, strengthen coordination of macroeconomic policies and strengthen cooperation in industrial specialization.

    “We should strive to turn our own strengths into each other’s advantages, while helping each other overcome new challenges arising in the development process, create new paths for international industrial and economic cooperation, and promote coordinated development in which everyone’s capabilities can be fully unleashed and the benefits doubled and shared,” Li Qiang stressed.

    The Premier called on the three sides to create a model of inter-civilizational integration, noting that they are the cradles of vibrant civilizations and share the Asian values of peace, cooperation, openness and inclusiveness.

    Li Qiang said it is important to deepen cultural and people-to-people exchanges and strengthen the foundation of mutual trust, and called on the three sides to effectively overcome differences through mutual understanding, develop mutually beneficial cooperation through the exchange of ideas, and seek a new path for the inclusive development of various civilizations.

    The Chinese side, he pointed out, actively supports the initiative of Confucian-Islamic inter-civilizational dialogue put forward by Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim.

    China is willing to work with ASEAN and the GCC to implement the Global Civilization Initiative, promote mutual learning among civilizations, build greater consensus, and inject impetus into peace and development, Li added. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Essay: The world’s highest-grossing animated film “Nezha 2” came to Russia and touched Russian viewers to the depths of their souls

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    Moscow, May 27 /Xinhua/ – The Russian premiere of the Chinese animated film “Nezha Conquers the Dragon King” /”Nezha 2” dubbed into Russian was recently held at the Cinema Park Mosfilm movie theater. It became the highest-grossing animated film in the history of world cinema.

    An hour before the show began, the lobby on the first floor was packed with spectators, who came in groups and with their families to watch the trailers on the screen and take photos before the show began.

    During the two-and-a-half-hour screening in the IMAX theater, which seats more than 500 people, the audience laughed, cheered and applauded the characters.

    THE HIGHEST-GROSSING CARTOON HAS BECOME A CULTURAL MASTERPIECE

    “This film is a dark horse for us,” Vera Fetishcheva, deputy general director of the Russian film company Arna Media, told Xinhua, adding that the cartoon will hit the country’s big screens on May 29. “We will have more than 1,600 screens all over Russia,” V. Fetishcheva said.

    “This Chinese cartoon is a phenomenon; it is currently the highest-grossing animated project in the history of world cinema and is among the top five highest-grossing films,” V. Fetishcheva emphasized.

    According to official figures, Ne Zha 2 has already grossed over US$2 billion worldwide.

    “We are very proud and really wanted to make sure that Russian viewers also see this project on the big screen,” said V. Fetishcheva. “We hope that it will also make a good profit in Russia.”

    “Nezha 2” focuses on Chinese mythology and traditional values, combining this with high-quality entertainment. According to V. Fetischeva, this film will help Russian viewers better understand China and its culture.

    DUBBING: “PAIN AND JOY AT THE SAME TIME”

    In order for Russian viewers to better understand “Nezha 2,” high-quality dubbing was necessary.

    “There were a lot of difficulties in translation, the translation was very complicated, but very pleasant, because solving these issues brought real pleasure,” Maxim Kofov, the author of the adapted translation and the dubbing director for “Nezha 2,” shared with a Xinhua correspondent.

    According to him, the film is based on Chinese mythology, and many things implied in the film are quite understandable to the Chinese.

    “And in Russia there is a different culture, and we may not understand this. And accordingly, the question immediately arises: how to adapt this?” said M. Kofov, adding that in some moments a certain equivalent from Russian culture was required.

    “Appearances can be deceiving. I feel like Nezha is like a grown man in a little kid’s body,” said voice actress Eva Finkelstein, who voiced Nezha.

    In her opinion, Nezha’s kind and bright heart is hidden beneath his appearance, and this contrast makes the hero extremely charming.

    “For example, the poems that Nezha recites throughout the film. If you translate them literally, they simply won’t work. But if you translate them into something similar in our culture, then it begins to merge with the audience’s interest,” explained M. Kofov. According to him, it was important not just to translate literally, but to convey emotions. This was possible thanks to the excellent work of the dubbing actors and the support of their Chinese colleagues.

    “NEZHA 2” IS A GIFT FOR ALL PARENTS AND CHILDREN

    “The animation is very good… All the characters are shown well… The dubbing is very clear… The story is about family and love, very beautiful…” Russian viewers shared their feelings with a Xinhua correspondent after watching it.

    “I really liked the film, and to be honest, I am very delighted,” said Nikita Stepanov, a member of the central board of the Russian-Chinese Friendship Society.

    N. Stepanov knows quite a lot about China and Chinese culture, since he was born in China and graduated from school there. “In general, everything is very clear, all these moments that were reflected in the film,” N. Stepanov noted, expressing confidence that “Nezha 2” will help Russian viewers better understand Chinese culture.

    For many Russian viewers, Nezha 2 became not only an example of technological progress in Chinese animation, but also a point of contact between the cultures of Russia and China.

    “I really liked the film, it’s a family film, really. I saw the first part /”Nezh 1″/ when I was 13, so as soon as I found out that the second part of “Nezh” would be released, I immediately got ready and ran to see it at the first screening,” student Lera told Xinhua.

    “I had a lot of emotions. I laughed, I was happy, I cried a lot at many moments. The film is very good, moral,” shared Ksenia, Lera’s younger sister.

    According to Lera, the character of “Nezha 2” Shen Gongbao touched her “to the depths of her soul”. “Shen Gongbao’s relationship with his younger brother and his development evoke special emotions in me,” said Lera, looking at Ksenia and adding, “This is /my/ little sister, I am ready to do a lot for her, so this topic touched me very much.”

    “This film is a gift to all parents and children and a wish to find understanding between generations,” M. Kofov noted. He reported that as a father of two children aged 10 to 20, he found very interesting and relevant moments in this cartoon for himself.

    “You need to be able to let go, you need to be able to understand, you need to be able to find a common language with different generations,” said M. Kofov.

    According to him, the transformation of positive and negative characters is one of the most striking moments in “Nezha 2”. “That is, it is a life situation in which there is no clear division into black and white. This prepares the younger generation for a critical view of life,” the Russian director emphasized.

    “As in the case of Nezha, and in the case of Ao Bing in the film, it is not who you are by origin that matters, but who you are by your actions,” Lera noted. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Regulating AI seems like an impossible task, but ethically and economically, it’s a vital one

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jun Du, Professor of Economics, Centre Director of Centre for Business Prosperity (CBP), Aston University

    AlinStock/Shutterstock

    AI has already transformed industries and the way the world works. And its development has been so rapid that it can be hard to keep up. This means that those responsible for dealing with AI’s impact on issues such as safety, privacy and ethics must be equally speedy.

    But regulating such a fast-moving and complex sector is extremely difficult.

    At a summit in France in February 2025, world leaders struggled to agree on how to govern AI in a way that would be “safe, secure and trustworthy”. But regulation is something that directly affects everyday lives – from the confidentiality of medical records to the security of financial transactions.

    One recent example which highlights the tension between technological advancement and individual privacy is the ongoing dispute between the UK government and Apple. (The government wants the tech giant to provide access to encrypted user data stored in its cloud service, but Apple says this would be a breach of customers’ privacy.)

    It’s a delicate balance for all concerned. For businesses, particularly global ones, the challenge is about navigating a fragmented regulatory landscape while staying competitive. Governments need to ensure public safety while encouraging innovation and technological progress.

    That progress could be a key part of economic growth. Research suggests that AI is igniting an economic revolution – improving the performance of entire sectors.

    In healthcare for example, AI diagnostics have drastically reduced costs and saved lives. In finance, razor-sharp algorithms cut risks and help businesses to rake in profits.

    Logistics firms have benefited from streamlined supply chains, with delivery times and expenses slashed. In manufacturing, AI-driven automation has cranked up efficiency and cut wasteful errors.

    But as AI systems become ever more deeply embedded, the risks associated with their unchecked development increase.

    Data used in recruitment algorithms for instance, can unintentionally discriminate against certain groups, perpetuating social inequality. Automated credit-scoring systems can exclude people unfairly (and remove accountability).

    Issues like these can erode trust and bring ethical risks.

    A well-designed regulatory framework must mitigate these risks while ensuring that AI remains a tool for economic growth. Over-regulation could slow development and discourage investment, but inadequate oversight may lead to misuse or exploitation.

    International intelligence

    This dilemma is being treated differently across the world. The EU for example, has introduced one of the most comprehensive regulatory frameworks, prioritising transparency and accountability, especially in areas such as healthcare and employment.

    While robust, this approach risks slowing innovation and increasing compliance costs for businesses.

    In contrast, the US has avoided sweeping federal rules, opting instead for self-regulation in specific industries. This has led to rapid AI development, particularly in areas such as autonomous vehicles and financial technology. But it also leaves regulatory gaps and inconsistent oversight.

    AI has huge potential for healthcare.
    frank60/Shutterstock

    China meanwhile uses government-led regulation, prioritising national security and economic growth. This brings major state investment, driving advances in things such as facial recognition and surveillance systems, which are used extensively in train stations, airports and public buildings.

    These varying approaches demonstrate a lack of international agreement about AI. And they also pose significant challenges for businesses operating globally.

    Companies must now comply with multiple, sometimes conflicting AI regulations, leading to increased compliance costs and uncertainty.

    This fragmentation could slow down AI adoption as firms hesitate to invest in applications that could become non-compliant in some countries. A globally coordinated regulatory framework seems increasingly necessary to ensure fairness and promote responsible innovation without excessive constraints.

    Innovation vs regulation

    But again, achieving this kind of framework would not be easy. The impact of regulation on innovation is complex and involves careful trade-offs.

    Transparency, while essential for accountability, could mean sharing new technology, potentially eroding competitive advantages. Strict compliance requirements, crucial in industries such as healthcare and finance, can be counterproductive where rapid development is vital.

    Effective AI regulation should be dynamic, adaptive and globally harmonised, balancing ethical responsibilities with economic ambition. Companies that actively align with ethical AI standards are likely to benefit from improved consumer trust.

    For now, in the absence of global agreement, the UK has chosen a flexible approach, with guidelines set by independent bodies such as the Responsible Technology Adoption Unit. This model aims to attract investment and encourage innovation by offering clarity without overly rigid constraints.

    With a robust research ecosystem, world-class universities and a skilled workforce, the UK has a solid foundation for AI-driven economic growth. Continued investment in research, infrastructure and talent are essential.

    The UK must also stay proactive in shaping international AI standards. For achieving effective AI governance that is safe and trustworthy, will be key to securing its future as an engine of economic and social transformation.

    Jun Du is a member of the British Chamber of Commerce (BCC) Economic Advisory Council, and part of BCC Global Britain Challenge Group; the Vice Chair of the Trade and Investment Panel for the International Chambers of Commerce, and advisor to the Midlands Engine Observatory Program Board and the Business Commission West Midlands Advisory Panel. Jun is a member of the Council of Experts of the UKRI-funded Innovation & Research Caucus, and part of the OECD Innovation Review Advisory Group.

    Cher Li is a member of the Council of Experts of the UKRI-funded Innovation & Research Caucus, and government Expert Peer Review Group (PRG). Her recent research projects have been funded by the ESRC and United Kingdom Accreditation Service (UKAS).

    Xingyi Liu has received funding from the Innovation & Research Caucus for his recent research.

    ref. Regulating AI seems like an impossible task, but ethically and economically, it’s a vital one – https://theconversation.com/regulating-ai-seems-like-an-impossible-task-but-ethically-and-economically-its-a-vital-one-250816

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Borders and orders: How settler-government occupations violate Kashmiri sovereignty

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Binish Ahmed, PhD Candidate, Policy Studies, Toronto Metropolitan University

    The recent attack in Pahalgam and military exchanges between India and Pakistan have renewed international focus on a nearly 80-years-long conflict over Kashmir.

    But a preliminary review of both North American and Indian media reveals only surface-level analyses.

    North American news outlets primarily framed this as a territorial dispute between two nuclear-armed nations. Indian media presented it as a “war on terror.”

    Missing from the coverage — and much academic analysis — is the story of Kashmiris as Indigenous Peoples. Their divided territory has been under multiple occupations since 1947, with other colonial rulers prior to that. International human rights groups have raised alarms about Kashmiris facing intensive repression by the Indian and Pakistani governments.

    As a policy PhD scholar of Indigenous studies and governance, I can help fill in the gaps. I have developed an Indigenous policy research framework for how to more fully study situations around the world, particularly in Kashmir. This includes identifying familiar settler-colonial patterns: legalized land control, resource extraction and criminalization of the native population and resistance.

    Patterns of colonial nation-building and settlement have produced orders and borders that have been controlling Kashmir since the 1947 British partition of India and Pakistan. The repressive Indian and Pakistani settler-colonial laws operate through interconnected legal, cultural and military mechanisms.

    These methods eliminate Kashmiri self-determination, land rights and self-government.

    Applying an Indigenous rights framework to Kashmir

    Kashmir is among the world’s most militarized regions, home to vital but depleting water resources. Kashmiri territories are divided and controlled by India, Pakistan and China.

    Its diverse, multi-faith communities include a Muslim majority and Hindu, Sikh, Buddhist and Christian minorities. An Indigenous rights framework recognizes Kashmiris as the first peoples of the land with cultural rights, inherent sovereignty, economic rights and collective rights to ancestral lands.

    I have observed Indians and Pakistanis claiming Kashmiri identity through religious affiliation. This self-indigenizing erases actual Kashmiris by conflating religious and Indigenous identities.

    According to the United Nations: “Indigenous refers to peoples of long settlement and connection to specific lands who have been adversely affected by incursions by industrial economies, displacement and settlement of their traditional territories by others.” In my peer-reviewed work, I have argued this definition applies to Kashmiri people.

    Cultural criminalization of Kashmiri population

    In popular and political ongoing anti-Kashmiri racist narratives, Kashmiris are cast as perpetual “security threats” and “terrorists.”

    Post-Sept. 11 false “war on terror” narratives by media and academics has been deliberately manipulated against the Muslim-majority Kashmiris. For example, mainstream Indian media and popular Bollywood films have demonized Kashmiri-Muslims and delegitimized Indigenous resistance. This framing has especially been advanced by the Hindu-nationalist BJP and RSS under Indian leader Narendra Modi.

    This framing allows for cultural dispossession through restricting religious practices by India, and extends to the marginalization of Kashmiri language and histories by India and Pakistan. Media restrictions are standard and limit self-representation.

    Anti-Muslim profiling, surveillance, communication blockades and the criminalizing of dissent are regular occurrences in Kashmir.




    Read more:
    In India, film and social media play recurring roles in politics


    Repressive control and rights violations in India

    Suppression of dissent and restrictions on freedom of information and expression prevent Kashmiris from voicing grievances to advance collective rights.

    Since 2019, the human rights group Genocide Watch has issued multiple “genocide alerts” for Kashmir. Al Jazeera has recently reported patterns of enforced disappearances of dissenters. In 2012, The Guardian reported on “mass graves in Kashmir.”

    Journalists face attacks and exile. Fahad Shah, editor of the Kashmir Walla, was imprisoned for 600 days.




    Read more:
    Call the crime in Kashmir by its name: Ongoing genocide


    Internet shutdowns and media censorship function as what one human rights group has called “digital apartheid.”

    Indian government administrators conduct physical and digital surveillance in Kashmir, collecting personal data and monitoring connections.

    Kashmiri rights defenders like Khurram Parvez and Irfan Mehraj face arbitrary imprisonment.

    Sexual violence has been documented as a weapon of control.

    Military forces have destroyed infrastructure, including homes, businesses, schools and orchards. Rights defenders face imprisonment.

    These human rights violations continue on both sides of the border — by both India and Pakistan — with minimal scrutiny or accountability.

    Indian legal and military control in Kashmir

    Article 370 functioned as an interim treaty between India and Kashmir since 1949 until its 2019 revocation. It granted Kashmir a constitution and some legal autonomy.

    Its removal eliminated remaining Indigenous Kashmiri rights protections, enabled new colonial laws on Kashmir and allowed non-Kashmiris to own land and hold public office.

    The Indian Domicile Act has allowed demographic engineering whereby more than 80,000 non-Kashmiris were given Kashmiri membership rights between 2022-2024.

    The Domicile Act is a typical colonial strategy and works to undermine Indigenous presence and resistance capacity.

    Pakistan side of the border

    On the Pakistani side, the Interim Constitution for Kashmir forbids political expression that challengs Pakistan’s control of and claim to Kashmir.

    This constitution also established a governance system that initially included the Kashmir Council, with Pakistani officials holding significant power over legislation and appointments.

    Following the 2018 13th amendment, many legislative powers transferred from the Kashmir Council to the Pakistani government rather than to the Azad Jammu Kashmir (AJK) Assembly. This means Pakistan retains exclusive control over many areas.

    The elected AJK government remains structurally subordinate to Pakistan’s Ministry of Kashmir Affairs. Non-Kashmiri officials hold key executive powers in Islamabad. This gives Pakistan administrative oversight over Kashmir.

    The United Nations has documented rights violations in Pakistan-controlled Kashmir, including restricted expression and anti-terrorism law abuse to suppress dissent. Enforced disappearances have also been reported as journalists face threats.

    Mining and resource extraction

    Extractive settler-colonial government economies dispossess Kashmiris from their land through control of water, energy projects, lithium mining and deforestation.

    India expedites mining operations that exploit Kashmir’s significant lithium deposits. They sideline environmental and community displacement concerns.

    Extensive deforestation transforms Kashmir’s landscapes, displacing wildlife, destroying habitats and threatening traditional Kashmiri ways of life.

    Indian and Pakistani control of Kashmir’s vital waterways has led to the creation of hydroelectric power projects on rivers like Chenab, Neelum and Jhelum, generating substantial energy through dams (Kishanganga, Baglihar dam, Mangla dam and the Azad Pattan Hydropower project).

    Hydroelectric power generated from Kashmir is predominantly exported to outsiders. Cities in India and Pakistan benefit, while Kashmiris face high energy bills and electricity shortages.

    Justice for peace

    A sustainable peace requires undoing settler-colonial borders and orders across Kashmir. It requires reuniting Kashmiris across the colonial divide. Colonizers need to surrender governance power back to Indigenous Kashmiris.

    Kashmiri self-government — without colonial oversight — would respect Kashmiri freedoms, sovereignty and self-determination over ancestral lands, waterways and resources. This would bring peace to the region.

    Binish Ahmed is affiliated with Kashmir Gulposh, a Kashmiri rights education collective.

    ref. Borders and orders: How settler-government occupations violate Kashmiri sovereignty – https://theconversation.com/borders-and-orders-how-settler-government-occupations-violate-kashmiri-sovereignty-256411

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Crop diversification is crucial to Canadian resilience in a changing world

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Karen K. Christensen-Dalsgaard, Assistant Professor, Department of Biological Sciences, MacEwan University

    The recent threats of tariffs and deteriorating relations with the United States have led to increasing interest from Canadian governments and the public in boosting the country’s self-reliance.

    Politicians have called on the public to “buy Canadian,” provinces have ordered American products removed from shelves and Canadian retailers have seen a surge in domestic sales. Yet the importance of agricultural adaptations for achieving greater Canadian self-reliance has largely been overlooked.

    The federal government’s plan for building a stronger agrifood sector is mainly based on financial safeguards and loan options for impacted farmers and supply-chain management of existing products. The broad topic of agricultural innovation is barely mentioned at all.

    At a time of changing geopolitical and physical environments, we must ensure the long-term resilience of Canada’s farms. An important step towards achieving this complex and multifaceted goal would be to diversify the country’s crop production.

    Low Canadian crop diversity

    Anyone browsing their supermarket’s produce section will quickly discover just how few of the products are grown in Canada. This is ironic; as most gardeners know, many imported fruits and vegetables can grow extremely well in Canada.

    Canada imports around 50 per cent of vegetables and 75 per cent of fruits from abroad, much of it from the United States.

    This has not traditionally caused concern since the agri-food sector has a net trade surplus. But among Canadian crops, just two — canola and wheat — dominate total earnings.

    Canada’s need for imports leaves it vulnerable, but so does its need for exports.

    In 2019, for instance, after the arrest of Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou, China imposed harsh trade restrictions on Canadian canola. That year, canola exports to China fell by 70 per cent.

    Today, Canada faces similar issues with 100 per cent tariffs imposed by China on canola products.

    Instead of just bailing out farmers impacted by current events, governments should help those who are interested to diversify and grow crops that can be sold domestically.

    Benefits of diversifying our agriculture

    Even before the current tariffs, there were good reasons for diversifying Canadian agriculture and growing food locally.

    The nutritional value of vegetables decreases during storage and transport, suggesting that local produce may be healthier. Similarly, crop diversity can be an important tool for improving plant and soil health and so increasing yields while ensuring environmental sustainability.

    In a meta-analysis of 5,156 experiments from across the globe, researchers in France and the Netherlands showed that crop diversification typically enhanced net productivity, soil function and ecosystem services. It had the greatest effect on water quality and organism-induced damage; weed reduction, pest reduction, disease control and associated crop damages showed 33-60 per cent average improvements.

    The benefits in terms of soil health and productivity may be compounded by intercropping plant species with fungi. Preliminary results from my current research project suggest that edible saprotrophic fungi could be used as a tool for maintaining soil health while minimizing the use of environmentally problematic soil amendments.

    Diversification studies include a range of different land management techniques, some of which involve elaborate intercropping approaches that might be difficult to implement on an industrial scale. However, even relatively simple crop rotation approaches have a positive impact on soil carbon, nutrient levels, microbial activity, biodiversity and net productivity, potentially leading to increased profitability.

    The impacts of climate change

    Longstanding arguments for crop diversification have been compounded by climate-change-induced food insecurity. Increases in the frequency and severity of wildfires and droughts suggest that rely on regions like California for food imports might be poor long-term planning.

    Similarly, parts of Canada face an increased risk of weather-induced crop failure. Crop species may no longer be a good match for the current climatic conditions where they’re grown. Canola and wheat, for instance, are vulnerable to drought and heat stress during the flowering period.

    Crop diversification has long been used to minimize the impacts of climate insecurities in developing countries with less access to artificial irrigation and soil amendments. Switching to crops that can handle extreme weather events, like some beans, legumes and grains, could similarly increase Canada’s climate resilience. Additionally, using crop rotation strategies based on a greater diversity of crops grown may help maintain higher yields during adverse weather.

    How the government can help farmers

    Canada is a world leader in agricultural research. Globally, the country ranks fifth with respect to articles published, but is further behind when it comes to implementation on farms.

    Despite the high benefit-to-cost ratios of applications of agricultural research, only six per cent of Canadian farmers are willing to adopt new approaches before they have been tested at scale. Meanwhile, almost 30 per cent are reluctant to change approaches at all.

    This is hardly surprising. Change is always associated with risks. For instance, while the majority of studies show a net benefit of diversification strategies, there are huge, context-dependent variations in the outcomes. Climate, soil, crop species and microbial communities all matter in ways that can be difficult to predict.

    Most farmers do not have the resources to retool their farms for new crops and assume the risks. Many face financial struggles and rising debt. This is due in part to higher production costs and lower commodity prices caused by large corporations controlling both the sales of farm supplies and the purchase of agricultural products.

    Skilled labour shortages and issues retaining younger workers may also undermine the willingness and ability to diversify with new crops. Qualified migrant workers with agricultural backgrounds could help, but restrictive immigration policies make finding workers challenging.

    Reactive government assistance that just keeps farmers above water will not address the challenges of a changing global trade environment and climate. To sustain momentum, the government needs to proactively fund targeted, large-scale feasibility studies and provide training, recruitment and transition funding for those interested in novel crop systems.

    Agriculture is part of the foundation for our society. We have become accustomed to having access to plenty of fresh food, but this is not the global or historical norm.

    Canada’s food supply is maintained by farmers both at home and abroad who, for generations, have worked long days at low wages to feed us. If they do not receive the support required to adapt to our changing world, we might all discover how valuable food really is.

    Karen K. Christensen-Dalsgaard does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Crop diversification is crucial to Canadian resilience in a changing world – https://theconversation.com/crop-diversification-is-crucial-to-canadian-resilience-in-a-changing-world-256763

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Two agreements with representatives of the Science and Technology Administration of the High-Tech and Industrial Region of Harbin were signed at the State University of Management

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: State University of Management – Official website of the State –

    On May 27, 2025, a delegation from the Science and Technology Administration of the Harbin High-tech and Industrial Zone and the PUE Shanghai Business Incubator Administration visited the National University of Management.

    At the meeting with the management of the State University of Management, two cooperation agreements were signed and vectors for its further development were outlined.

    Rector of the State University of Management Vladimir Stroyev: “Dear colleagues, friends, comrades, I am glad to welcome such a representative and serious delegation within the walls of the State University of Management. Our meeting is aimed at strengthening the strategic partnership with the industrial region of Harbin. In the new era, relations between the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China are rapidly developing, which was confirmed during the visit to Russia of the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping. We are especially pleased that this visit was timed to coincide with the celebration of the Victory in the Great Patriotic War, as well as the end of World War II and the victory over militarist Japan. There are many tasks and issues on the agenda. I hope that even if we do not solve them all today, we will outline the directions for these decisions. I am confident that the visit will serve the further development of relations between our countries.”

    Deputy Head of the Harbin High-Tech and Industrial District Committee Wang Hong: “Dear Rector and the SUM team, good morning! It is an honor for us to visit a prestigious university with a long history. Before the visit, we studied your university in terms of experience in training personnel for your country and in cooperation with China. Our countries are close not only geographically, economically, but also culturally. The recent visit of the PRC leaders to Russia was intended to continue the development of these ties. Our visit today has the same goal. Harbin is the largest historical base for training personnel for cooperation with Russia; today, it is home to 23 universities.”

    Next, Comrade Wang Hong outlined the priority areas of cooperation with the National University of Management: 1. Establishing strong ties and organizing regular mutual visits between the parties, as well as integrating educational programs; 2. Scientific cooperation in the field of developing artificial intelligence, unmanned aerial vehicles, biomedicine, new materials and food production; 3. Organizing a student exchange program in the form of courses or summer schools to train competitive personnel.

    At the end of her welcoming speech, Wang Hong invited Vladimir Stroyev and other representatives of the State University of Management to come to Harbin on a return visit.

    Vladimir Vitalyevich accepted the invitation with gratitude, noting that he, as a native of Vladivostok, always dreamed of visiting Harbin and now this dream can come true, since good partners have appeared in the city.

    In a ceremonial atmosphere, the rector signed two cooperation agreements: with the Science and Technology Administration of the High-Tech and Industrial District of Harbin, represented by the Head of the Administration, Wang Di, and with the Administration of the Business Incubator “PuE-Shanghai”, represented by the General Director, Su Jing.

    Director of the Center for Management Development of the Higher School of Business and Technology of the State University of Management, Alexander Narezhnev, spoke about the goals and objectives of the department, educational programs and internships in China. The director proposed developing similar programs and starting cooperation in areas of science that are of interest to partners. In addition, Alexander Narezhnev proposed developing programs to support startups and providing partners with a platform to open their representative office on the territory of the State University of Management.

    Vladimir Filatov, Director of the Center for Management of Engineering Projects at GUU, reported that the Center, under his leadership, is conducting developments in the field of artificial intelligence, drones, computer vision, and the agricultural industry, and also shared his experience of cooperation with the Chinese side – GUU and one of the Shanxi universities submitted a joint application for research with funding from national funds.

    Deputy Head of the Harbin High-Tech and Industrial District Committee Wang Hong said that the district is an economic zone responsible for developing relations with Russia, so there is a special competence center and a bank to ensure financial transfers. To simplify the start of work, partners are offered turnkey services. In this regard, Wang Hong proposed considering the possibility of opening a representative office of the State University of Management in Harbin.

    During the subsequent meeting, the partners discussed the possibilities of cooperation in the areas of MBA and internships, agreed to hold a joint round table and exchanged contact information.

    Vice-Rector of the State University of Management Dmitry Bryukhanov noted that the discussion arouses a keen interest in joint activities, and suggested developing and exchanging specific proposals for work in the field of science and education, and later signing further agreements at the 9th Russian-Chinese EXPO, which will take place on July 7–10 in Yekaterinburg. The distinguished guests agreed with this proposal.

    At the end of the visit to SUM, the delegation from Harbin was given a tour of the university campus.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Philip R. Lane: Interview with Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung

    Source: European Central Bank

    Interview with Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, conducted by Christian Siedenbiedel on 20 May 2025

    27 May 2025

    Mr Lane, inflation rates in the euro area have fallen sharply since autumn 2022. Has inflation been beaten?

    As you say, inflation rates were temporarily above 10 per cent in 2022. Over the past two years, we have focused on bringing inflation back down to 2 per cent. This task has now mostly been completed. I am saying “mostly” because some final steps still need to be taken. For example, services inflation is still too high. But we expect it to decline in the coming months, as we think wage inflation is coming down. So the disinflation from the high inflation of 2022 is on track – but unfortunately new challenges are emerging.

    Over what time frame are you expecting the inflation rate to sustainably meet the ECB’s 2 per cent target?

    Recently, the inflation rate in the euro area stood at 2.2 per cent, which isn’t so far from our 2 per cent target. I believe that the inflation rate will remain in a zone close to 2 per cent in the coming months. But part of your question is about whether this will be on a sustained basis. And this is where we have to work out whether new challenges, in particular those to do with trade policy, could cause an inflation issue in either direction.

    Many people have the feeling that they are noticing inflation much more in the supermarket. What do you say to them?

    It is not unfounded. Food inflation remains well above 2 per cent – currently around 3 per cent. For unprocessed food, for example fruit and vegetables, it is even close to 5 per cent. So this perception is correct: “supermarket inflation” is higher than the general inflation rate. But this is offset by other developments, such as energy prices. Goods price inflation is also below the current headline inflation rate.

    How much is the reduction in inflation really down to the ECB – and to what extent is it simply a consequence of the sharp rise and subsequent fall in energy prices?

    This time is different from the 1970s. At that time, many central banks didn’t manage to convince people that inflation would fall again – although the Bundesbank did better than others. People expected inflation to remain high. This time around we made it clear that the ECB would deliver on price stability. Through our monetary policy, we have prevented double-digit inflation from getting entrenched. So we played our part and ensured that this period of high inflation remained temporary. Due to our intervention, fluctuations in energy prices have not led to a permanent surge in inflation.

    What impact do you expect Donald Trump’s tariffs to have on inflation in the euro area?

    This has been the subject of intense debate since the election in November. Several factors play a role: first, the exchange rate between the US dollar and the euro. Many expected that tariffs would weaken the euro. So far, however, the opposite has occurred. Second, the tariffs have an impact on global economic growth; the slowdown has pushed down oil and gas prices, and this was not in the initial discussion but is proving important. And third, with respect to trade between the United States and China, China is likely to export less to the United States and more to Europe. So there are a number of factors that could lead to lower inflation in the euro area. But we also have to keep in mind that we don’t know the outcome of the negotiations between the EU and the United States.

    At this point, is it possible to predict what’s ultimately going to happen?

    The outcome is still quite open at the moment. For the time being, there are some factors that tend to support a drop in euro area inflation. However, the picture could shift if, for example, the negotiations between the EU and the United States fail, with the United States imposing higher tariffs and the EU implementing counter tariffs. Supply chains could also be disrupted – this could drive up inflation.

    Are there differences between short-term and long-term effects?

    I would actually distinguish between three time horizons: short term, medium term and long term. In the coming months, in other words for the remainder of 2025, the inflation rate is expected to be close to target. Over the medium term, the impact of US tariffs on inflation could materialise, including through the exchange rate and energy prices. Looking further ahead to the long term, analysts and financial markets are reasonably confident that inflation will return to the ECB’s target. The main focus of the ECB’s monetary policy is on the medium-term horizon: that is to say, one or two years ahead.

    Is there any reason to be concerned that people’s inflation expectations could rise more quickly again because the experience of very high inflation is still so recent?

    As a directional statement, I agree. Before the pandemic, many were convinced inflation would stay very low. The high inflation episode was a painful reminder that inflation can arise. But such a combination of extraordinary events – the pandemic, Russia’s war in Ukraine – is very rare. The more concrete question for us is: could a world of shocks relating to structural changes – arising from challenges to globalisation, increased automation, changing demography – push inflation noticeably below or above 2 per cent, and how responsive will inflation expectations be? Part of our job will be to make sure expectations remain anchored, that people have the reassurance that if inflation moves away from 2 per cent we will bring it back.

    What impact do the current labour shortages and low unemployment have on inflation?

    There is certainly a difference compared with the pre-pandemic period. That’s why I don’t think we will return to inflation rates that are as low as they were back then. When unemployment is low, firms and employees are more likely to settle on wage increases – perhaps around 3 per cent on average in the euro area. This is a normalisation and, allowing for rising labour productivity, makes our 2 per cent target more credible. But I do not see any signs of a wage-price spiral at present, and this also applies to Germany.

    In Belgium, wages are, in part, directly bound to inflation. Has that added to inflation there?

    During the period of high inflation, wages rose rapidly in Belgium but, as inflation fell, wage growth slowed down quickly again. In Germany, there was a different pattern: it took longer for wages to go up. But there is no major difference when looking at the average over three to five years.

    Do you think it is possible that the new protectionism will lead to deglobalisation in the longer term, resulting in structurally higher inflation rates?

    It is important to differentiate between temporary and permanent effects. For many firms the business model is connected to globalisation. A phase of deglobalisation could initially dampen economic growth, which would make it more likely that inflation rates would fall. Following that transition, inflation and its volatility could increase as the offsetting effect of favourable imports fades. It could mean that, as a central bank, we have to be more active in our policy responses to return inflation to 2 per cent over the medium term.

    The Federal Reserve fears that US tariffs could lead to transitory, i.e. temporary, inflation. Would it leave inflation in the euro area unaffected if US rates rise?

    The world needs the Federal Reserve to maintain price stability for the United States. If this means high US interest rates, it can lead to a stronger dollar and thereby somewhat higher inflation for Europe in the short term. In the medium term, however, high US interest rates mostly hold back the global economy – which tends to lead to lower inflation in the euro area. There are always some spillover effects.

    What does all this mean for the ECB’s interest rate policy?

    We need to find a middle path. If we keep interest rates too high for too long, the disinflation pressure of US tariffs could cause inflation rates to fall below our target. If we cut too much and too quickly, a strengthening economy and other factors could drive inflation back up. This is why we will pay close attention to the data in our next meetings. If we see signs of further falling inflation, we will respond with further interest rate cuts – but the range of discussion is not that wide: no one is talking about dramatic rate cuts. We are in a zone of normal central banking.

    Are the key ECB interest rates now in the neutral range?

    The neutral interest rate can only be estimated and it is a long-term concept. In the long term, the neutral interest rate could be around where we are now. But the world is not in equilibrium and the appropriate interest rate may be different in the short term. I would differentiate between the three policy rate zones: a clearly restrictive one with rates say in the high twos or above; and a clearly accommodative one – for the sake of discussion, say rates below 1.5 per cent are clearly accommodative. Going there would only be appropriate in the event of more substantial downside risks to inflation, or a more significant slowdown in the economy. I do not see that at the moment. And there is a zone in between, where it is more of a question of cyclical management. We are navigating in that zone at the moment. This is the focus of the discussions at the ECB.

    Can the ECB be indifferent to exchange rate developments when there is a sharp depreciation of the dollar, like at the moment? Unlike the Bundesbank in the past, you aren’t pursuing an official exchange rate policy…

    The exchange rate is of course an important factor in the development of inflation, even if we do not pursue an explicit exchange rate policy. However, most trade in the euro area takes place between countries sharing the euro as a common currency and, therefore, the exchange rate does not play a role. Trade with the United States and other regions of the world is important but it’s not the dominant factor. At the same time, we need to look at the impact of exchange rate shifts in a situation like we have now.

    Do you think that the euro could replace the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency as a consequence of the unreliable economic policies of the United States?

    I think the question whether the euro should overtake the US dollar is not so important. I can imagine that the euro will become more important as a reserve currency in the current situation. In the first decade of the euro, there was an optimism that we would no longer live in a world with a single world currency, the dollar. Now, the United States is facing all kinds of questions about its role in the world economy. The natural second currency is the euro. It is well placed to gain a bigger share of the market. This could be supported by further European integration – to put the euro on a firmer foundation.

    In your estimation, how great is the risk that we will now see more frequent waves of inflation, like those seen recently?

    The specific circumstances of the last wave of inflation will probably not be repeated quickly. Something like that occurs at most every few decades. Nevertheless, I also consider very low inflation rates, like those before the pandemic, to be unlikely in the current circumstances where there are so many upheavals and changes. There could be more external shocks and fluctuations in inflation rates than in the past. That means that we have an important job to do at the ECB. We may need to become even more active than before in adjusting our policy to the incoming shocks.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: European monetary policy in times of high uncertainty | Lecture at ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

    Source: Deutsche Bundesbank in English

    Check against delivery.

    1 Certain uncertainty
    Ladies and gentlemen, 
    Thank you very much for your invitation and kind welcome. I am delighted to be with you here in Mannheim today.
    With this series of events, the ZEW has been providing a forum for political, economic and academic exchange for more than three decades now. You have set out your expectations very clearly: Pressing economic policy issues and recent developments are the focus. 
    At present, pressing issues and developments are indeed coming thick and fast. Take, for example, the numerous pivots in trade policy by the US Administration. Sometimes the issues are already outdated before you have even had a chance to address them. In any case, one thing is clear: we have a lot to discuss today. 
    Ladies and gentlemen,
    When the ZEW proposed a topic to me just over two months ago, I had no doubt in my mind: there was no chance that the chosen topic would already be outdated. And why not? As Alan Greenspan, former Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, once said: “Uncertainty is not just an important feature of the monetary policy landscape; it is the defining characteristic of that landscape.”[1]
    Greenspan said this in 2003. The term “the Great Moderation” had just been coined to describe a period of exceptional macroeconomic stability.[2] Uncertainty seemed to be relatively low at that time. Nevertheless, Greenspan stressed the factor of uncertainty. And he is not alone in this. I would imagine that none of you have ever heard a central banker say that uncertainty is currently negligible. 
    From my own experience, I can confirm that, when making monetary policy decisions, we are always faced with uncertainty. It is, after all, in the nature of the matter: the decisions impact a future that cannot be precisely predicted. Dealing with uncertainty is therefore part of the job description of monetary policymakers. What is constantly changing are the causes and degree of uncertainty. And that brings us to the heart of today’s topic: European monetary policy in times of high uncertainty. 
    In my lecture today, I will address three key questions: How should monetary policy deal with uncertainty in general? What are the main causes of uncertainty at present and in the future? How is monetary policy in the euro area navigating the current period of high uncertainty?
    2 Monetary policy under uncertainty
    Let us start with the subject that we have just touched upon: the impact of monetary policy unfolds only gradually. The decisions of today affect the inflation of tomorrow. The gap between decisions and their impact necessitates a forward-looking approach. Or, to put it another way: when we are out in the monetary policy landscape, we are also looking to our more distant surroundings. 
    This means that a core part of preparing for monetary policy meetings is to assess future developments. And, unlike with the weather, for example, the current situation is not entirely clear, either. A broad set of data and diverse economic models are therefore helpful for us. Like a magnifying glass and a pair of binoculars, they make it easier for us to examine our environment as closely as possible. Following on from this, we can differentiate between two types of uncertainty: data uncertainty and model uncertainty.
    Data uncertainty arises because not all of the information is available to obtain a picture of the “true” state of the economy. There are a number of reasons for this: not all of the data that would be of interest are recorded statistically or can be recorded in their entirety. Some data are only available with a considerable time delay. Some are subject to measurement issues, so the data need to be revised later. 
    To give one example: for economic activity in the euro area, Eurostat provides a preliminary flash estimate around four weeks after the end of a quarter. This is based on a very limited dataset, and especially the figures for the third month of the quarter need to be estimated. The actual flash estimate is released two weeks later. But even this does not yet include any details or nominal data. Another two to three weeks later, it is followed by an initial estimate with a more detailed breakdown by components. However, even then, changes should still be expected, and these can sometimes be considerable. 
    This demonstrates how we have only incomplete knowledge of the present in real time. The description and assessment of the current situation are therefore already subject to uncertainty. 
    In addition to this, there is model uncertainty. In order to be able to examine macroeconomic processes, complex realities must be simplified. This simplification is achieved through models. They are confined to a small number of interrelationships that are as relevant as possible. All others are disregarded. In monetary policy, we use models, for example, to predict the development of inflation or to estimate the effects of our monetary policy measures. However, there is plenty of room for discussion on whether the simplifications in each model are always adequate. 
    But even if we were all in agreement on the model framework, other sources of uncertainty still remain. This concerns, for one thing, the parameters. These reflect the assumed strength and dynamics of the relationships within a given model. The parameters are usually estimated on the basis of past observations. The estimation results therefore also depend on the selected investigation period. Furthermore, parameters can evolve over time, for example as a result of structural change. Particularly if this happens abruptly and the structural breaks are not detected immediately, the model results can then be misleading. 
    For another thing, models often make use of variables that cannot be observed directly, such as potential output or natural interest rates. These must themselves be estimated, which entails considerable uncertainty.[3] This also shows how closely data uncertainty and model uncertainty are intertwined.
    To summarise: models arrive at different results due to uncertainties in their structure, parameters and estimation variables, which may lead us to different conclusions. Assessment by experts then often determines the final forecast picture. 
    In practice, data uncertainty and model uncertainty are especially relevant when unexpected events occur. At these times, monetary policymakers’ need for comprehensive information is, of course, particularly great. This is because the appropriate monetary policy response depends on the nature of the unexpected events in question. However, data uncertainty and model uncertainty make it difficult to definitively ascertain the exact nature and magnitude of a shock that is currently taking place. There is a relatively high risk of being wrong. What can monetary policymakers do against this?
    First of all, we draw on many different sources of information to obtain as complete a picture of the current situation as possible. For example, in 2019 and 2020, we at the Bundesbank began to regularly survey households and firms about their assessments and expectations. Since 2020, we have been measuring the activity of the German economy using a weekly index. Since the start of the war in Ukraine, models have been developed that explicitly take gas price shocks into account. 
    In addition, we are continually working on improving our forecast models even further. Artificial intelligence now offers new possibilities, such as capturing non-linear relationships, analysing large sets of data, and automating and accelerating analytical processes. We are intensively examining all of these possibilities at the Bundesbank. And we have already achieved some promising successes in this regard. I will come back to touch upon one specific prototype later on.
    Given the data uncertainty and model uncertainty, we in monetary policy are well advised to pursue a strategy that is as robust as possible. To stick with the image of Alan Greenspan: in the monetary policy landscape, you should best avoid flip-flops. Sturdy footwear is needed here. A robust strategy produces good results under various assumptions and prevents particularly costly mistakes.
    The more uncertain the setting, the greater the risk of policy errors. That is why, when uncertainty is high, monetary policymakers are also in demand as risk managers. We have to consider various scenarios, assess the likelihood that they will materialise as well as their implications, and also weigh up the costs and benefits of different monetary policy paths that lead to the inflation destination. How do these considerations affect our decisions? The short answer is: it depends.
    A gradual approach might make sense when uncertainty is high.[4] It is human nature: when the room you are entering is dark, you do not simply rush in. You proceed slowly, taking small steps. Applying this analogy to monetary policy, the costs of reversing policy following an error could outweigh the costs of acting too late. “Flip-flopping” could itself add to the uncertainty and destabilise expectations. Moreover, abruptly changing direction can precipitate greater volatility in financial markets and pose risks to financial stability. 
    That said, it will not always be the case that cautious monetary policymaking is a good response to high uncertainty. I am talking about situations in which a “wait-and-see” attitude increases the risk that the outcome will be particularly unfavourable. Going back to the dark room I mentioned just now: if the flames are right behind you, you should not edge your way forwards in small steps. A scenario where inflation expectations risk drifting off might be just such a case. Then, a vigorous response would be appropriate to protect yourself from this worst-case scenario. As you can see, it may be necessary to respond swiftly and comprehensively, precisely because uncertainty is high. 
    Clearly, monetary policymakers acting as risk managers would be well advised to take robust control approaches into account when making decisions in particularly uncertain times.[5]
    3 Drivers of uncertainty
    3.1 Trade policy flip-flopping
    Ladies and gentlemen,
    Right now, these considerations are anything but mere theory. And that is due, not least, to the White House. Since the change of administration in the United States, no little uncertainty has been rippling across the Atlantic. The waves caused by US trade policy have been particularly huge. 
    Since April, the United States has been imposing additional tariffs of at least 10 % on all its trading partners. Tariffs that are higher still apply to imports of steel and aluminium as well as to cars and automotive parts. Tit-for-tat tariff hikes by the United States and China drove tariff rates to more than 100 % at times. In mid-May, the two countries agreed to lower them significantly for a time.[6] Even so, the average effective US tariff rate has climbed by more than 13 percentage points in the year to date, reaching its highest level since the 1930s.[7] In addition, there is a risk of tariffs going higher still as of July if bilateral negotiations fail. 
    The shock waves unleashed by US trade policy are not only having an impact via the actual tariff burden. Their unpredictability and the doubts they have raised about US economic and fiscal policy are also leaving a mark, as reflected by the sometimes severe fluctuations in financial markets. The tariff hikes announced on 2 April, for example, caused implied stock market volatility to spike significantly higher. This points to a high degree of uncertainty among market participants – in the United States especially, but also in the euro area.
    Measured in terms of the number of mentions in newspaper articles, trade policy uncertainty peaked this spring.[8] And that is hardly surprising given how many questions this topic is raising: which tariffs will be put into effect, temporarily suspended or withdrawn – and when? What retaliatory measures will follow in each case? To what degree will goods flows in global trade be diverted? What will be the fallout from this? Will action be taken to curb these diversions? And, if so, by whom? You could keep going like this ad infinitum. 
    Even in times when trade policy moves in straight lines, forecasts of the economic impact of upheavals in the tariff regime would be no more than rough approximations. But we are dealing with an almost unpredictable cycle of events: tariffs are threatened, put into force, partially withdrawn, and then threatened again. 
    One example of this is the US tariff policy imposed on the EU. First, on 12 March, the United States imposed general tariffs of 25 % on steel and aluminium. A little time later, additional blanket tariffs of 25 % were imposed on cars and automotive parts as well. On 2 April 2025, President Trump also announced what he called “reciprocal” tariffs for a host of trading partners depending on the bilateral trade deficit and amounting to at least 10 %, and, in the case of the EU, 20 %. But then, with turmoil raging in financial markets, President Trump, on 9 April, suspended the tariffs for 90 days, initially in order to reach “deals”. The minimum 10 % tariff and the additional 25 % tariff on cars, steel and aluminium were left in place, though. On 23 May, President Trump threatened the EU with 50 % tariffs, starting on 1 June – a threat he withdrew two days later. This means that forecasts are based on a footing that is less stable than usual.
    As far as economic growth is concerned, at least the direction of travel seems to be clear: Germany, like the euro area as a whole, is likely to suffer marked losses as a result of US tariff policy. First, the higher tariffs will make European goods less competitive in the US market. This will probably shrink exports to the United States. Second, sluggish economic activity in the United States and other trading-partner countries will dampen demand for products from Europe. Third, the high degree of uncertainty makes longer-term planning more difficult. Enterprises could therefore postpone investment decisions in the hope of quieter times.[9] 
    The Bundesbank has simulated the impact of US tariff policy effective in mid-April, China’s retaliatory measures, and the immediate exchange rate response. The results suggest that economic output in the euro area could be just under half a percentage point lower over the medium term. 
    The direction in which the trade dispute will move inflation in the euro area, however, remains unclear. On the one hand, weaker growth tends to dampen prices. Potential diversion effects resulting from more goods from China in the European market might also leave inflation somewhat lower. On the other hand, any retaliatory tariffs imposed by the EU would fuel inflation. 
    How the exchange rate will evolve going forward remains to be seen. In theory, the expected response to the US tariffs would be a stronger dollar. If anything, this would tend to drive prices higher in the euro area. But things have played out differently so far. In the wake of the tariff discussions, trust in the US dollar has declined, at least temporarily, causing the currency to depreciate markedly since 2 April. In the euro area, this has dampened inflation.
    Thinking beyond day-to-day terms, it is conceivable that longer-term effects will materialise as well. For example, tariffs can have a particularly negative impact on trade in intermediate goods.[10] This is because they shake the calculations upon which global production networks are based. 
    Enterprises have fine-tuned their supply chains to forge highly cost-efficient production structures. However, the trade barriers are putting a spanner in the works of global value chains. Enterprises will have no option but to recalculate their supply chains and tweak some of their relationships with suppliers. They will build up new partnerships and no doubt pay particular attention to strengthening their resilience. This will not happen overnight, especially with political conditions as unsettled as they are right now.[11] In the process, they may well relinquish some of the efficiency gains they have reaped. Over the medium term, this could generally drive up their costs and, as a result, their prices as well.
    3.2 Structural change is progressing
    The reconfiguration of global value chains is working in tandem with other structural changes: among them, first and foremost, climate change and the transition to a climate-neutral economy. The ageing of society is also playing a role, with more people entering retirement and fewer people still in the workforce. And let us not forget digitalisation, which brings with it great opportunities for increased productivity but also considerable change in many professional fields, as well as the risk of giving individual big players more market power.
    All of these factors could influence the inflation environment. It is often unclear in which direction inflation is heading, and it may change over time. Overall, these structural drivers make it difficult to assess medium-term inflation developments.
    3.3 New geopolitical realities
    Alongside structural change and the almost fully unpredictable developments in the tariff dispute, there is a third factor of uncertainty. Old security policy certainties have given way to new geopolitical realities. This is creating new challenges for Europe: we will thus need to invest significantly more in our own security.
    In order to sufficiently bolster our defence capabilities, considerably greater funds are required. There is a strong case against financing such ad hoc needs in the short term solely by rebalancing budgets. The European Commission, for instance, proposes activating the national escape clause in the EU fiscal rules in order to temporarily allow countries greater scope for borrowing.[12] 
    I think this is a justifiable approach. It would allow countries to gradually adjust to higher defence spending. However, it must be clear that this would only be a transitional period. Increased deficits cannot become a permanent state of affairs. A resilient Europe that is capable of action rests on a stable foundation. This includes sound public finances whereby key items are funded in the core budget and through current revenue.
    Overall, there are signs of a more expansionary fiscal policy stance for the euro area. Whether or not greater debt also leads to greater price pressures in the euro area depends on many factors, such as what the additional money is spent on, how quickly it flows out, and how much money flows in from abroad. These uncertainties make it more difficult to forecast developments. In any case, the ECB Governing Council is keeping a close eye on risk. As stated in the account of our April meeting: A boost in defence and infrastructure spending could also lift inflation over the medium term.
    4 Monetary policy stance in the euro area
    The current high level of uncertainty is a slight dampener on the gratification brought about by positive developments: since the beginning of the year, the euro area inflation rate has fallen from 2.5 % to 2.2 % in April. This has finally brought the target within reach. We are on the right path, even if it remains rocky. The core rate has recently risen again. At 4 %, prices for services, in particular, have seen surprisingly steep growth. 
    The ECB Governing Council will continue to steer the monetary policy stance in such a way that the inflation rate stabilises at 2 % over the medium-term. You may now be asking yourselves: What exactly does that mean for the next meeting in June? Will there be another interest rate cut? Pressing as these questions are, I unfortunately cannot answer them today.
    Since July 2022, we on the ECB Governing Council have been following a data-dependent approach, making decisions on a meeting-by-meeting basis. This approach has proved successful when dealing with the heightened uncertainty of recent years, such as during the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic and in the wake of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. We have stayed flexible and have continuously assessed how the incoming data change the medium-term inflation outlook. Here, we supplemented our baseline – which is the most likely outcome – with scenario analyses. This also allowed us to assess the probability of less likely but still conceivable outcomes. 
    Using this approach, I believe that we are well equipped to deal with the current high level of uncertainty, too. As I explained earlier, inflation could be higher or lower than the latest expectations, depending on how the tariff dispute develops as well as other influencing factors like the exchange rate, services prices and fiscal packages. In light of this, it seems to me more advisable than ever to make decisions meeting by meeting on the basis of the latest data. If we had not already been operating so flexibly, we would have had to start doing so now, at the latest. It would be impossible to reliably commit to a specific interest rate path at the current juncture.
    In June, the ECB Governing Council will have a fresh set of data and an up-to-date forecast. These will help us to align the monetary policy stance in a way that will bring us another step closer to our goal. Our destination is clear: we want the inflation rate to reach the target of 2 % soon and to stabilise there on a sustainable basis. Of that, there is no doubt. In doing so, we are thus providing a stable anchor for inflation expectations. 
    Anchored inflation expectations make it easier for monetary policymakers to bring inflation back to target after unexpected events. The successes in the fight against the far too high inflation rates of the past few years were achieved at relatively low economic cost.[13] This was partly attributable to the fact that inflation expectations were better anchored than before. But we cannot rest on our laurels with regard to the future, because the starting position has changed. We no longer have decades of moderate inflation rates behind us. For many people, the experience of such strong price surges was new and dramatic. The memory of this is unlikely to fade quickly.[14]
    Inflation expectations, as well the associated price and wage setting, may now respond more quickly or more strongly to future inflation shocks. We therefore need to be particularly vigilant when it comes to the evolution of inflation expectations. For instance, medium-term inflation expectations amongst euro area households and firms were recently on the rise again. Concerns about rising prices caused by tariff policy are not only on American minds, then. We will keep a close eye on this development.
    Ensuring that inflation expectations are firmly anchored is a permanent task for monetary policymakers. This can be achieved by ensuring that our commitment to stability is highly credible and that our communication is clear.
    To further improve clarity, we have since implemented AI-assisted text analysis methods, too. In this vein, the Bundesbank has developed a novel AI model that can produce detailed and transparent evaluations of monetary policy texts.[15] This allows us to assess, for example, whether certain statements are likely to send the desired signals. After all, we do not want our communication to trigger undesirable market reactions or create additional uncertainty. AI analysis does not replace human expertise. But it can help us to further improve our understanding of monetary policy communication and its impact.
    5 Conclusion
    Ladies and gentlemen, 
    If you are currently wondering whether this speech was generated by AI, or, indeed, if it will ever end, I can assure you that real people were involved in the speech-writing process, and I have now come to my closing remarks. Our AI model is currently used to evaluate texts. Incidentally, this speech was classified as “neutral” in monetary policy terms.
    Alan Greenspan would probably have pushed the model to its limits. His statements were often so cryptic that the media and financial markets took to seeking out other clues: for example, when it came to monetary policy decisions, they looked at the thickness of his briefcase. A slim briefcase was thought to indicate an uneventful meeting without interest rate changes, whilst a bulging briefcase signalled a need for discussion and an adjustment to the policy rate.[16] During his term in office, Mr Greenspan was once asked whether there was any truth to this theory. His answer: “The thickness of my briefcase depended on whether or not I had packed a sandwich.”[17] 
    Unfortunately, not all uncertainties can be so easily erased from the monetary policy landscape. But, as we can see, asking direct questions and talking to each other often contributes to greater clarity. Which makes me all the more excited for our discussion!
    Thank you very much. 
    Footnotes:

    Greenspan, A. (2003), Monetary Policy under Uncertainty, Remarks at a symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, Wyoming, 29 August 2003.
    Stock, J. H. and M. W. Watson (2002), Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why?, NBER Working Paper No 9127.
    Nagel, J. (2025), r* in the monetary policy universe: Navigational star or dark matter?, Lecture at the London School of Economics and Political Science, London, 12 February 2025.
    Brainard, W. (1967), Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Policy, American Economic Review, Vol. 57, No 2, pp. 411‑425.
    Hansen, L. P. and T. J. Sargent (2001), Robust Control and Model Uncertainty, American Economic Review, Vol. 91, No 2.
    See Deutsche Bundesbank (2025), The potential impact of the current trade dispute between the United States and China, Monthly Report, May 2025.
    The Budget Lab at Yale (2025), State of U.S. tariffs: May 12, 2025, Yale University.
    A description of the trade policy uncertainty index can be found in Caldara, D., M. Iacoviello, P. Molligo, A. Prestipino and A. Raffo (2020), The economic effects of trade policy uncertainty, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 109. See also Deutsche Bundesbank (2025), The macroeconomic effects of heightened uncertainty, Monthly Report, May 2025.
    Deutsche Bundesbank (2018), The macroeconomic impact of uncertainty, Monthly Report, October 2018, pp. 49‑64.
    Deutsche Bundesbank (2020), Domestic economic effects of import tariffs with regard to global value chains, Monthly Report, January 2020.
    Bayoumi, T., J. Barkema and D. A. Cerdeiro (2019), The Inflexible Structure of Global Supply Chains, IMF Working Paper, No 19/193.
    See Deutsche Bundesbank (2025), EU fiscal rules: proposed activation of national escape clauses, Monthly Report, May 2025.
    Deutsche Bundesbank (2024), The global disinflation process and its costs, Monthly Report, July 2024.
    D’Acunto, F., U. Malmendier and M. Weber (2022), What Do the Data Tell Us About Inflation Expectations? NBER Working Papers, No 29825, March 2022.
    Deutsche Bundesbank (2025), Monetary policy communication according to artificial intelligence, Monthly Report, March 2025.
    Gavin, W. T. and R. J. Mandal (2000), Inside the briefcase: The art of predicting the Federal Reserve, The Regional Economist, July 2000.
    Alan Greenspan in an interview with “Stern”: “In der Badewanne hatte ich viele gute Ideen”, 30 September 2007. 

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI China: Chinese premier calls for advancing China-Vietnam comprehensive strategic cooperation

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    Chinese premier calls for advancing China-Vietnam comprehensive strategic cooperation

    KUALA LUMPUR, May 27 — Chinese Premier Li Qiang said here Tuesday that China will work with Vietnam to advance their comprehensive strategic cooperation toward higher quality and deeper levels.

    Li made the remarks during a meeting with Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh on the sidelines of the ASEAN (the Association of Southeast Asian Nations)-China-GCC (the Gulf Cooperation Council) Summit.

    Li said that not long ago, General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and Chinese President Xi Jinping paid a successful state visit to Vietnam, where the two sides agreed to accelerate the building of a China-Vietnam community with a shared future that carries strategic significance in line with the overarching goals characterized by “six mores.”

    China stands ready to work with Vietnam to implement the outcomes of the visit, maintain high-level exchanges, deepen mutual political trust and enhance mutually beneficial cooperation in various fields, said Li.

    Noting that the current international situation sees an increasing number of destabilizing and uncertain factors, Li said that China will remain committed to opening-up and development, and looks to strengthen communication and cooperation with Vietnam, jointly uphold international fairness and justice, safeguard the global economic and trade order, and protect the common interests of the Global South countries.

    For his part, Pham Minh Chinh noted that Xi paid a successful state visit to Vietnam last month. He said Vietnam will join hands with China to actively implement the important consensus reached by the top leaders of the two parties and the two countries, intensify high-level exchanges and deepen mutually beneficial cooperation in various fields.

    The Vietnamese side congratulates on the success of the first ASEAN-China-GCC Summit, he said, voicing his country’s willingness to work with China to pursue more practical achievements in tripartite cooperation.

    The current international situation is fraught with challenges, he said, adding that Vietnam stands ready to strengthen communication and coordination with China and firmly safeguard legitimate rights and interests.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Senators Coons, McCormick introduce bill to address threats associated with increased cooperation between US adversaries

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Delaware Christopher Coons

    WASHINGTON – U.S. Senators Chris Coons (D-Del.) and David McCormick (R-Pa.) last week introduced the Defending International Security by Restricting Unlawful Partnerships and Tactics (DISRUPT) Act of 2025, a bipartisan bill to address the increased cooperation between U.S. adversaries that threatens our nation’s interests. 

    Authoritarian regimes in China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea have deepened their cooperation in recent years, including an increased transfer of weapons and munitions, sharing military technologies, launching disinformation campaigns, and coordinating joint operations that threaten the stability of the international order. Despite this looming threat, the U.S. lacks a strategic response to our adversaries increasing alignment.

    “Our adversaries are becoming friends,” said Senator Coons. “We cannot continue to sit back and watch as they gain strength before our eyes – in weapons, in their armies, in their economic power. They want to make our country less secure and our economy less prosperous. The DISRUPT Act is the first step to stopping their progress and keeping Americans safe.”

    “China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea are rapidly strengthening their ties, solidifying an axis of destruction and chaos bent on undermining the United States and our allies and partners around the world,” said Senator McCormick. “Senator Coons and I are introducing this legislation to help focus the interagency’s diplomatic, economic, defense, and intelligence priorities to define and combat this emerging adversarial alliance.”

    Specifically, the DISRUPT Act of 2025 will:

    • Direct the intelligence community to report on the trajectory of adversary collaboration across diplomatic, informational, military, and economic domains and its impact on U.S. interests
    • Require the development of a whole-of-government strategy to approach this phenomenon
    • Create interagency task forces within key departments such as State, Defense, Commerce, Treasury, and the Directors of National Intelligence and of the Central Intelligence Agency to ensure a coordinated, long-term response

    The DISRUPT Act highlights the need for the U.S. to disrupt the most dangerous aspects of this adversarial cooperation, reduce its expanding footprint, and prepare for the growing likelihood of simultaneous challenges across multiple regions. The bill also reinforces America’s commitment to strategic leadership, strengthening alliances, and creating a long-term strategy to preserve our national interests. 

    Senator Coons is the Ranking Member on the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense and a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

    A one-pager on the bill is available here. 

    The text of the bill is available here.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Since the beginning of 2025, over 3 thousand freight trains have passed through the Alashankou border crossing

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    URUMQI, May 27 (Xinhua) — More than 3,000 crossings of China-Europe/Central Asia freight trains have been recorded at the Alashankou railway checkpoint on the China-Kazakhstan border since the beginning of 2025 as of May 26, according to the railway department of northwest China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region.

    According to the checkpoint data, during the current year, the average daily volume of freight train crossings through Alashankou was maintained at over 21, with the maximum value being 30.

    Currently, 123 freight routes between China and Europe/Central Asia pass through Alashankou, reaching Germany, Poland and 19 other countries. They carry more than 200 types of goods, including new energy vehicles, mechanical components, electronic products and daily necessities.

    There are two railway checkpoints in Xinjiang, Alashankou and Khorgos. As the Belt and Road Initiative is being implemented in depth, Xinjiang has been steadily increasing the capacity of goods to pass through the checkpoints, with the aim of turning the autonomous region into a “golden transport corridor” in Eurasia and a springboard for China’s westward-oriented opening-up. Currently, Xinjiang’s railway checkpoints account for more than half of the train entries and exits recorded nationwide in China-Europe/Central Asia cross-border railway freight traffic. -0-

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: CPPCC National Committee Chairman Calls for Joint Efforts to Promote Chinese Culture on Both Sides of Taiwan Strait

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    BEIJING, May 27 (Xinhua) — Wang Huning, chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), on Tuesday called for joint efforts to promote Chinese culture on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.

    Wang Huning, also a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, made the remarks during a meeting with Taiwanese guests who arrived in Beijing to attend the 2nd Cross-Strait Chinese Culture Summit.

    Pointing out that Chinese culture is the root and soul of the Chinese people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, Wang Huning called for maintaining confidence in their own culture, jointly developing the spirit of Chinese culture, jointly shouldering historical responsibilities, and jointly striving for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

    The CPPCC National Committee chairman noted that it is necessary to jointly promote exchanges in Chinese culture, promote cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation in various sectors, and deepen the spiritual closeness between compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.

    He called for the promotion of a great national spirit based on patriotism.

    Recalling that this year marks the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War, as well as the 80th anniversary of Taiwan’s liberation from Japanese occupation, Wang Huning stressed the need to jointly uphold the one-China principle and the 1992 consensus, and resolutely oppose separatist attempts to gain “Taiwan independence.”

    He also called for jointly upholding the position of Chinese culture and jointly countering external challenges.

    Taiwanese guests, including former Kuomintang Party Chairman Hong Xiuzhu, said that as Chinese, they are full of confidence and pride in Chinese culture.

    They expressed the hope that compatriots on both sides of the strait would adhere to the one-China principle, oppose “Taiwan independence,” strengthen cross-strait cultural exchanges, and jointly promote national reunification and the revival of the Chinese nation. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Breaking News: The “Big Ship” of China’s Economy Will Continue to Sail Confidently Despite Difficulties – Premier of the State Council of China

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    KUALA LUMPUR, May 27 (Xinhua) — The Chinese government and people have the ability and confidence to keep the “big ship” of the Chinese economy on a steady and long-term course despite all possible challenges in the future, Chinese Premier Li Qiang said on Tuesday.

    Li Qiang made the announcement while speaking at the 2025 ASEAN-China-GCC Economic Forum. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Russia’s Baltic Fleet Conducts Military Exercises

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    St. Petersburg, May 27 (Xinhua) — Russia’s Baltic Fleet on Tuesday began scheduled exercises to maintain combat readiness and practice defensive actions of the navy in the Baltic Sea, the press service of the Russian Defense Ministry reported.

    The exercise involves about 3,000 servicemen, more than 20 warships, boats and support vessels, including a frigate, corvettes, small missile ships and boats, small anti-submarine ships, minesweepers and support vessels. Also involved are about 25 aircraft and helicopters, up to 70 units of military and special equipment.

    The exercises include anti-submarine missions and protection against unmanned boats, as well as practical artillery fire at sea and air targets. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: China to continue strengthening role of economic and technological development zones in attracting foreign investment

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    BEIJING, May 27 (Xinhua) — China will continue to strengthen the role of national-level economic and technological development zones in attracting foreign investment amid its ongoing efforts to expand opening up to the outside world, the Ministry of Commerce said Tuesday.

    The international economic and trade order is currently facing serious upheavals, China’s Vice Minister of Commerce Lin Ji said at a press conference, noting that the role of national-level economic and technological development zones as a basis for stabilizing foreign trade and investment is becoming increasingly prominent.

    By the end of 2024, the number of such zones across the country reached 232, with their combined gross regional product (GRP) amounting to 16.9 trillion yuan (about $2.35 trillion), according to the ministry.

    During the same period, the foreign trade volume in these zones reached 10.7 trillion yuan, accounting for 24.5 percent of the country’s total import and export volume. The actual foreign investment used in these zones reached 27.2 billion US dollars, accounting for 23.4 percent of the country’s total.

    According to Lin Ji, the country’s economic and technological development zones have made significant contributions to promoting the construction of a new open economic system, coordinated regional development and high-quality industrial development.

    Last week, China’s Ministry of Commerce released a work plan to deepen reform and innovation in economic and technological development zones at the national level, with a focus on achieving high-quality development through high-level opening-up.

    In order to improve the quality of the use of foreign investment, this document provides for the priority inclusion of projects financed from abroad in national-level technical and economic development zones in sectors such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and the production of modern equipment in the list of large and key projects with foreign investment.

    The document called for such zones to deepen their engagement with leading global investors and financial institutions through trade promotion platforms, while also promising support for sending delegations abroad to attract foreign capital.

    The ministry said it would focus on promoting the implementation of the work plan in the next stage by supporting national-level economic and technological development zones to expand sources of foreign investment and facilitating reinvestment by China-based foreign-invested enterprises. -0-

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI China: Top political advisor urges joint efforts across Taiwan Strait to promote Chinese culture

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    China’s top political advisor Wang Huning on Tuesday called for joint efforts across the Taiwan Strait to promote Chinese culture.

    Wang, a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee and chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, made the remarks when he met with Taiwan guests who were in Beijing to attend the second Cross-Strait Chinese Culture Summit.

    Noting that Chinese culture is the root and soul of the Chinese people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, Wang called for efforts to uphold cultural confidence, jointly carry forward the spirit of Chinese culture, shoulder the historic responsibility together, and unite and strive for the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

    Wang said efforts should be made to promote Chinese cultural exchanges, enhance cross-Strait exchanges and cooperation across all sectors, and foster deeper spiritual alignment between compatriots on both sides.

    He also called for promoting the national spirit with patriotism at its core.

    Noting that this year marks the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War, as well as the 80th anniversary of Taiwan’s recovery, Wang said joint efforts must be made to adhere to the one-China principle and the 1992 Consensus, and to resolutely oppose “Taiwan independence.”

    He also called for jointly standing firm on the position of Chinese culture and working together to meet external challenges.

    The Taiwan guests, including Hung Hsiu-chu, former chairperson of the Chinese Kuomintang party, said that as Chinese, they take great pride in and have unwavering confidence in Chinese culture.

    They expressed the expectation to see compatriots across the Strait uphold the one-China principle, oppose “Taiwan independence,” strengthen cultural exchanges, and jointly promote national reunification and the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. 

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: Former senior provincial legislator handed death sentence with reprieve for bribery

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    Peng Guofu, a former senior legislator in central China’s Hunan Province, was sentenced to death with a two-year reprieve for bribery on Tuesday, according to a court in Haikou of south China’s Hainan Province.

    Peng, former vice chairman of the Standing Committee of the Hunan Provincial People’s Congress, was found to have accepted bribes exceeding 134 million yuan (about 18.6 million U.S. dollars) from 2004 to 2023.

    Peng was deprived of political rights for life. All of his personal property was confiscated, and all his illegal gains must be recovered and turned over to the state treasury, the court sentence read.

    The court ruling stated that Peng abused his former positions in Hunan to assist others in matters, including project contracting, business operations, and the promotion of officials, in exchange for illegal gains.

    The amount of bribes involved in Peng’s case was particularly huge, the circumstances were especially serious, and the social impact was extremely bad, causing significant losses to the interests of the country and the people, according to the court.

    However, a lenient sentence was granted because part of the bribes had not been actually obtained by Peng, and he had been cooperative in the investigation and in returning the illegal gains. 

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: “It’s a great joy to be able to discuss your scientific ideas with interested people.”

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: State University Higher School of Economics – State University Higher School of Economics –

    Created in Nizhny Novgorod campus of HSE International Laboratory of Dynamic Systems and Applications conducts deep theoretical research and applied studies, including the study of ocean waves, solar corona reconnections, volcanic phenomena and ship stability. Its scientists, who have won more than 20 significant scientific grants over the past 5 years, actively collaborate with Russian and foreign colleagues from China, Spain, the USA, Great Britain, Brazil and other countries. The Vyshka.Glavnoe news service spoke with its head, Professor Olga Pochinka, about the work of the laboratory.

    — When was the laboratory created?

    — Let’s start with 2014, when colleagues from the Mathematics Department of the Moscow HSE suggested creating a department on the Nizhny Novgorod campus, and we were fired up by the idea. Together with five colleagues, we moved from the Nizhny Novgorod State University to the HSE in Nizhny Novgorod, and in 2015 we opened the first intake of undergraduate students for the Mathematics educational program, a total of eight people.

    Then the recruitment began to expand, and I began inviting people from UNN. We worked as research fellows at the Laboratory of Theory and Practice of Decision Support and simultaneously taught students.

    In 2017, we separated into the Laboratory of Topological Methods of Dynamics, and in 2019, we won a mega-grant from the Government, and this was the only mega-grant in fundamental mathematics won in the Nizhny Novgorod region in the entire history of projects. Our leading scientist Dmitry Turaev is also a former Nizhny Novgorod resident, now a professor at the British Imperial College, a renowned specialist in the field of dynamic systems.

    The laboratory began to grow rapidly, and in parallel with the increase in scientific work, we also expanded our educational areas: we created a postgraduate program, a master’s program, and this year we are opening a new bachelor’s program in applied mathematics.

    — Tell us about the priority areas of the laboratory’s work.

    — Initially, our laboratory was created primarily as a center for fundamental scientific research. Mathematics is a self-sufficient science, and there are always people who are interested in learning its own laws. An equally important activity is to explain how these laws work in practice. Recently, the laboratory team has noticeably expanded with researchers actively engaged in applied developments.

    — What applied areas would you highlight?

    — We have problems that come from physics. For example, we studied the effects of reconnection in the solar corona. From the point of view of deep mathematical theory, we explained the mechanism of solar flares. If we imagine the surface of the Sun as a two-dimensional sphere, then the magnetic charges on the surface create domes that change their location depending on the configuration of the charges. When the domes collide, so-called separators appear, visually manifesting themselves in the occurrence of a solar flare. The mechanisms of dome reconnection were explained using the bifurcation of the birth of a heteroclinic curve, widely known in the theory of dynamic systems.

    We also managed to explain the pattern recognition algorithm by the existence of an energy function in a dynamic system. In general, tasks related to the construction of such functions are very important. All dynamic systems are largely dissipative, that is, they lose energy over time. We managed to establish the relationship between the energy function and the dynamics of the system. That is, a scientist, even without knowing the system, can measure the indicators of its energy function and say a lot about the dynamics of the system.

    These are just the applications I have worked with personally. But there are many employees in the lab developing other applied areas.

    Efim Pelinovsky and his student Ekaterina Didenkulova conducted a theoretical analysis of internal waves that arise in the ocean during an explosive eruption of an underwater volcano. They calculated the characteristics of the wave field for different ratios between the radius of the explosion source and the depth of the basin. And they showed that the field of internal waves has the form of frequency-modulated groups, of which the head group has the maximum amplitude. The wave of maximum height in this train arrives significantly later than the weak head wave, which makes it possible to prepare for the approach of dangerous waves.

    Ioann Melnikov studies the dynamics of waves in both linear and nonlinear weakly dispersive models. In his work with shallow water equations, there is an interesting question about finding non-reflective bottom profiles, due to which a wave can propagate freely over large distances (with conservation of energy), which is important for applications. Together with Efim Pelinovsky, he obtained a countable family of limited bottom profiles and a continuous family in the form of underwater slides. Research into weakly nonlinear and weakly dispersive models (described by Korteweg-de Vries type equations) is also aimed at finding and studying waves that propagate with a constant speed and unchanged shape (in particular, soliton solutions). In this way, a classification of soliton solution shapes was obtained in the generalized Korteweg-de Vries equation, and now the question arises of how this classification can change with a different account of nonlinearity and dispersion.

    Fedor Peplin studies computational fluid dynamics, motion dynamics and stability of high-speed vessels. New criteria for the stability of hovercraft have been obtained. A model of the dynamics of an hovercraft with flexible skegs has been constructed, allowing for the design of amphibious vehicles for use in hard-to-reach regions. Issues related to the damping of various types of high-speed vessels have been studied. Work is currently underway to obtain new, more precise criteria for the stability of promising amphibious vehicles, taking into account the design features and operating conditions of the vehicles. Methods for modeling the dynamics of flexible pneumatic structures in a fluid flow are also being developed.

    — There are several scientific groups within the laboratory, conducting research in different directions. How did you manage to unite them?

    — The forming direction is dynamic systems, but almost all phenomena in the world fall under the definition of “dynamic systems”. Thus, Natalia Stankevich uses them for research in biology and medicine, and Alexey Kazakov is engaged in numerical calculation for specific systems of differential equations describing such phenomena as turbulence, Celtic stone, Chaplygin’s top, etc.

    Under the umbrella of dynamic systems in the laboratory, specialists in such fundamental mathematical areas as algebra, geometry, topology, function theory, etc., which are not directly related to dynamic systems, also feel great. There is a very strong group of physicists involved in fluid mechanics. Often, such scientific symbiosis brings unexpected results at the junction of research areas.

    — How do you attract such diverse specialists?

    — As a rule, a young or established scientist appears in the laboratory as a participant in some won grant or project. The laboratory management does everything possible to create comfortable conditions for the employees, welcoming any creative initiative. People appreciate this and in most cases remain in the team after the end of the project, some even move to Nizhny Novgorod for permanent residence.

    Another source of promising researchers is educational activity. Since the laboratory serves several educational programs, the range of which is expanding every year, the number of professors and teachers naturally increases. Due to the presence of a scientific department, teachers have a smaller workload than in their previous places of work. The newly arrived employees are happy to devote their free time to scientific research.

    The main source of influx of personnel, of course, are students of our program “Fundamental and Applied Mathematics”.

    We try not only to attract students to scientific research, but also to track their emerging interest in a timely manner. We offer to work as an intern, some come in the first year of the bachelor’s degree. We involve them in active scientific life, grants, schools, conferences. The overwhelming majority stay in the laboratory, and this is a huge driving force

    We have now reached a staff of 60 employees, almost like a small research institute.

    — How important do you consider mentoring and personal example to be in science?

    — Extremely important. Specifically for our team, we managed to ensure the continuity of generations. In our laboratory, we have employees who are over 75–80 years old, very experienced scientists, some of whom studied with Academician Alexander Andronov, his closest associates and students. There are not so many middle-aged scientists (like me), but we managed to show young people scientists with a high academic culture, such as my scientific supervisor Vyacheslav Grines and his colleagues from the school of nonlinear oscillations.

    Let me remind you that the scientific school of nonlinear oscillations was created in Gorky (now Nizhny Novgorod) by young scientists who moved to the then closed city, headed by the future academician Alexander Andronov. A physicist by profession, he sought to describe mathematical models of physical processes and phenomena, to translate them into mathematical language. He created the radiophysics department at Gorky University, then the Institute of Applied Mathematics and Cybernetics was organized, and a scientific school was formed, known in the world as the school of dynamic systems.

    — How do you manage to find resources for research?

    — We constantly apply for grants and development programs — for established researchers, young people, external and internal to HSE. Over the past 5 years, we have won 21 grants — that’s a lot for a relatively small team. Thanks to young and experienced colleagues who go through the very labor-intensive application process. In general, the main rule of an ambitious team is to never stop at what has been achieved. Even if it seems that today you already have everything you wanted, you must constantly set new goals for yourself.

    — How was the international academic cooperation project formed and how does it work?

    — The project with Shanghai Tongji University is a joint Russian-Chinese grant, it began in 2024 and is designed for three years. The project mainly involves fundamental research in the qualitative theory of dynamic systems. We met the Chinese co-director of the project, Bin Yu, back in 2010 in France, where we worked together with world-class dynamist Christian Bonatti. To date, we have already written several joint articles.

    International scientific cooperation, exchange of ideas is always great. Our young employees went to China, and everyone really liked the atmosphere at the partner university. It is a great joy to have the opportunity to discuss your scientific ideas with interested people.

    — Do the laboratory and its staff work outside the university, implementing the educational function of HSE?

    — The annual international conference “Topological Methods in Dynamics” has been gathering like-minded scientists from all over the world within the walls of the Nizhny Novgorod HSE for 9 years now.

    This year we are holding another scientific conference dedicated to the 30th anniversary of the Nizhny Novgorod Mathematical Society, of which I am currently the president.

    For 6 years now, every March we have been holding a school for students called “Mathematical Spring”, inviting different lecturers and speakers, and judging by the students’ feedback, this is a very interesting format for them.

    For the second year in a row, we are organizing a student school at the Sirius Mathematical Center together with colleagues from Moscow State University and Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology.

    A good initiative was the holding of the All-Russian review of students’ diploma works, which will be held for the fifth time this year.

    In June-July we hold a thematic shift for schoolchildren called “Intellectual”. The children are immersed in mathematics, including applied mathematics, computer science, and artificial intelligence. It has been held for the tenth time, in recent years – in the “Salut” camp in the Nizhny Novgorod region.

    Throughout the school year, we have a “Mathematical Academy”, where schoolchildren gain their first experience working with scientific research. Our scientists generously share interesting tasks with young talents, and under their guidance, students annually become winners of the “Scientific Society of Students” research paper competition.

    I would like to emphasize once again that all this would be impossible without our youth with their energy and enthusiasm. It is great that we have them and that there are more and more of them.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Senate Passes Peters, Blackburn, Scott Bipartisan Bill to Strengthen Domestic Semiconductor Manufacturing

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Michigan Gary Peters
    Published: 05.27.2025
    Legislation Aims to Bolster Domestic Semiconductor Manufacturing, Create Good-Paying American Jobs

    WASHINGTON, DC – The U.S. Senate passed bipartisan legislation authored by U.S. Senators Gary Peters (D-MI), Rick Scott (R-FL), and Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) aimed at bolstering domestic semiconductor manufacturing. The Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains Act would strengthen federal efforts to attract investment in U.S. semiconductor manufacturers and supply chains.
    “In order to remain a global economic powerhouse, we need to build on the investments we made in the CHIPS and Science Act to continue expanding our vital semiconductor industry,” said Senator Peters, a member of the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee. “This bipartisan bill would help drive further investment in American manufacturers and supply chains to reduce our dependence on foreign competitors for these critical technologies and create more good-paying jobs in Michigan. I’m pleased the bill passed the Senate and I’ll continue working to see it enacted into law.”
    “The United States must end its dependence on Communist China for semiconductor production,” said Senator Blackburn. “The Senate’s passage of our bipartisan Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains Act is a win for Tennessee manufacturers who rely on semiconductors to support local and global supply chains. We need to work with local leaders to encourage domestic semiconductor production to protect our supply chain, economy, and national security. This legislation does exactly that.”
    The Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains Act would direct the U.S. Department of Commerce’s SelectUSA program to collaborate with federal agencies and state economic development organizations to attract investment in U.S. semiconductor manufacturers and supply chains. The bill – which previously passed in the Senate – would help to address the ongoing global shortage of semiconductor technologies that has disrupted a range of industries in recent years.
    The SelectUSA program, established in 2011, focuses on attracting job-creating business investments to the United States. This legislation would enhance SelectUSA’s role in strengthening private sector investments across the semiconductor manufacturing supply chain.
    The Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains Act would also require SelectUSA to engage with state-level economic development organizations to identify strategies and address challenges in attracting foreign direct investment for semiconductor manufacturing. The goal is to develop comprehensive strategies to increase investments in this critical sector.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Golden Dome: An aerospace engineer explains the proposed US-wide missile defense system

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Iain Boyd, Director of the Center for National Security Initiatives and Professor of Aerospace Engineering Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder

    Posters that President Donald Trump used to announce Golden Dome depict missile defense as a shield. AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein

    President Donald Trump announced a plan to build a missile defense system, called the Golden Dome, on May 20, 2025. The system is intended to protect the United States from ballistic, cruise and hypersonic missiles, and missiles launched from space.

    Trump is calling for the current budget to allocate US$25 billion to launch the initiative, which the government projected will cost $175 billion. He said Golden Dome will be fully operational before the end of his term in three years and will provide close to 100% protection.

    The Conversation U.S. asked Iain Boyd, an aerospace engineer and director of the Center for National Security Initiatives at the University of Colorado Boulder, about the Golden Dome plan and the feasibility of Trump’s claims. Boyd receives funding for research unrelated to Golden Dome from defense contractor Lockheed Martin.

    Why does the United States need a missile shield?

    Several countries, including China, Russia, North Korea and Iran, have been developing missiles over the past few years that challenge the United States’ current missile defense systems.

    These weapons include updated ballistic missiles and cruise missiles, and new hypersonic missiles. They have been specifically developed to counter America’s highly advanced missile defense systems such as the Patriot and the National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System.

    For example, the new hypersonic missiles are very high speed, operate in a region of the atmosphere where nothing else flies and are maneuverable. All of these aspects combined create a new challenge that requires a new, updated defensive approach.

    Russia has fired hypersonic missiles against Ukraine in the ongoing conflict. China parades its new hypersonic missiles in Tiananmen Square.

    So it’s reasonable to think that, to ensure the protection of its homeland and to aid its allies, the U.S. may need a new missile defense capability.

    Ukrainian forces are using the U.S.-made Patriot missile defense system against Russian ballistic missiles.

    What are the components of a national missile defense system?

    Such a defense system requires a global array of geographically distributed sensors that cover all phases of all missile trajectories.

    First, it is essential for the system to detect the missile threats as early as possible after launch, so some of the sensors must be located close to regions where adversaries may fire them, such as by China, Russia, North Korea and Iran. Then, it has to track the missiles along their trajectories as they travel hundreds or thousands of miles.

    These requirements are met by deploying a variety of sensors on a number of different platforms on the ground, at sea, in the air and in space. Interceptors are placed in locations that protect vital U.S. assets and usually aim to engage threats during the middle portion of the trajectory between launch and the terminal dive.

    The U.S. already has a broad array of sensors and interceptors in place around the world and in space primarily to protect the U.S. and its allies from ballistic missiles. The sensors would need to be expanded, including with more space-based sensors, to detect new missiles such as hypersonic missiles. The interceptors would need to be enhanced to enable them to address hypersonic weapons and other missiles and warheads that can maneuver.

    Does this technology exist?

    Intercepting hypersonic missiles specifically involves several steps.

    First, as explained above, a hostile missile must be detected and identified as a threat. Second, the threat must be tracked along all of its trajectory due to the ability of hypersonic missiles to maneuver. Third, an interceptor missile must be able to follow the threat and get close enough to it to disable or destroy it.

    The main new challenge here is the ability to track the hypersonic missile continuously. This requires new types of sensors to detect hypersonic vehicles and new sensor platforms that are able to provide a complete picture of the hypersonic trajectory. As described, Golden Dome would use the sensors in a layered approach in which they are installed on a variety of platforms in multiple domains, including ground, sea, air and space.

    These various platforms would need to have different types of sensors that are specifically designed to track hypersonic threats in different phases of their flight paths. These defensive systems will also be designed to address weapons fired from space. Much of the infrastructure will be multipurpose and able to defend against a variety of missile types.

    In terms of time frame for deployment, it is important to note that Golden Dome will build from the long legacy of existing U.S. missile defense systems. Another important aspect of Golden Dome is that some of the new capabilities have been under active development for years. In some ways, Golden Dome represents the commitment to actually deploy systems for which considerable progress has already been made.

    Is near 100% protection a realistic claim?

    Israel’s Iron Dome air defense system has been described as the most effective system of its kind anywhere in the world.

    But even Iron Dome is not 100% effective, and it has also been overwhelmed on occasion by Hamas and others who fire very large numbers of inexpensive missiles and rockets at it. So it is unlikely that any missile defense system will ever provide 100% protection.

    The more important goal here is to achieve deterrence, similar to the stalemate in the Cold War with the Soviet Union that was based on nuclear weapons. All of the new weapons that Golden Dome will defend against are very expensive. The U.S. is trying to change the calculus in an opponent’s thinking to the point where they will consider it not worth shooting their precious high-value missiles at the U.S. when they know there is a high probability of them not reaching their targets.

    CBS News covered President Donald Trump’s announcement.

    Is three years a feasible time frame?

    That seems to me like a very aggressive timeline, but with multiple countries now operating hypersonic missiles, there is a real sense of urgency.

    Existing missile defense systems on the ground, at sea and in the air can be expanded to include new, more capable sensors. Satellite systems are beginning to be put in place for the space layer. Sensors have been developed to track the new missile threats.

    Putting all of this highly complex system together, however, is likely to take more than three years. At the same time, if the U.S. fully commits to Golden Dome, a significant amount of progress can be made in this time.

    What does the president’s funding request tell you?

    President Trump is requesting a total budget for all defense spending of about $1 trillion in 2026. So, $25 billion to launch Golden Dome would represent only 2.5% of the total requested defense budget.

    Of course, that is still a lot of money, and a lot of other programs will need to be terminated to make it possible. But it is certainly financially achievable.

    How will Golden Dome differ from Iron Dome?

    Similar to Iron Dome, Golden Dome will consist of sensors and interceptor missiles but will be deployed over a much wider geographical region and for defense against a broader variety of threats in comparison with Iron Dome.

    A second-generation Golden Dome system in the future would likely use directed energy weapons such as high-energy lasers and high-power microwaves to destroy missiles. This approach would significantly increase the number of shots that defenders can take against ballistic, cruise and hypersonic missiles.

    Iain Boyd receives funding from the U.S. Department of Defense and Lockheed-Martin Corporation, a defense contractor that sells missile defense systems and could potentially benefit from the implementation of Golden Dome.

    ref. Golden Dome: An aerospace engineer explains the proposed US-wide missile defense system – https://theconversation.com/golden-dome-an-aerospace-engineer-explains-the-proposed-us-wide-missile-defense-system-257408

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Banking: China’s biopharma commands $30 billion in oncology licensing deals, triples US output in 2024, reveals GlobalData

    Source: GlobalData

    China’s biopharma commands $30 billion in oncology licensing deals, triples US output in 2024, reveals GlobalData

    Posted in Business Fundamentals

    China’s biopharmaceutical sector experienced a notable increase in oncology drug licensing deals in 2024, particularly for monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), with a combined deal value of $30 billion. The mAbs and ADCs licensed from Chinese biopharma accounted for 89% of all molecule types, with the total deal value being three times that of similar deals licensed out from the US, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

    This underscores the growing innovative capabilities of Chinese drugmakers, spurred by government policies that prioritize innovation. Significant reforms in clinical development processes and regulatory reviews in China have led to faster drug approvals, positioning the country as a vital source of novel therapies and a partner in innovative drug development.

    The ongoing US-China trade developments pose significant implications for the global economy. An agreement announced on 12 May 2025, which reduced US President Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% and China’s retaliatory tariffs on US imports from 125% to 10% for an initial 90-day period, has alleviated immediate tensions. However, persistent uncertainties and high tariffs may hinder economic growth and cross-border licensing, prompting Chinese companies to explore more stable opportunities outside the US.

    In 2024, ADCs dominated oncology licensing activity in China, constituting 56% of the total deal value at $19 billion, followed by mAbs at 33% ($11 billion) and small molecules at 9% ($4 billion), according to GlobalData’s Pharmaceutical Intelligence Center Deals Database.

    Ophelia Chan, Senior Business Fundamentals Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “Notably, over half (52%) of these ADC deals involved bispecific ADCs, indicating a shift towards more complex biologics and a growing interest in China’s next-generation innovative assets.”

    From 2023 to 2024, the licensing value of oncology drugs from Chinese biopharma increased 24% to $33 billion, while the value from US biopharma fell 24% to $35 billion, signaling China’s emphasis on innovation and global confidence in its biopharmaceutical assets. In 2024, 27 deals worth $28 billion were made with non-Chinese companies, 68% ($18.7 billion) of which were licensed to US companies, marking a 269% increase in deal value from 2023, reflecting growing US interest in Chinese oncology innovations.

    Chan concludes: “Despite the growing appeal of Chinese innovation, US-China trade tensions create uncertainty in the licensing landscape. Temporary tariff reductions provide short-term relief, however shifting policies and potential new restrictions may disrupt the existing agreements and deter future partnerships.”

    For further insights into the latest Deal Trends in the Pharma Sector, please see GlobalData’s Venture Capital Investment Trends In Pharma – Q1 2025 and M&A Trends in Pharma – Q1 2025 reports.

    Note: A single deal may include multiple drugs across various indications and modalities. This figure includes all announced and completed oncology licensing agreements across all active development stages (marketed, pre-registration, Phase III, Phase II, Phase I, pre-clinical, and discovery) for target companies headquartered in China and the US from 2020 to 2025 YTD with lead drug in the deal. The analysis includes the highest deal stage, which is the highest development stage of the most advanced drug in the deal at the time of the deal. “Other” includes all remaining modalities encompassed within the deals.

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI Banking: 2025 World Snooker Championship sees $1.71 million sponsorship amid digital surge and commercial shift, reveals GlobalData

    Source: GlobalData

    2025 World Snooker Championship sees $1.71 million sponsorship amid digital surge and commercial shift, reveals GlobalData

    Posted in Sport

    The 2025 World Snooker Championship highlighted the evolving commercial landscape of the sport, generating an estimated $1.71 million in sponsorship revenue despite a 20% drop in naming rights value. A last-minute title deal with British workflow automation software brand Halo and record-breaking digital viewership reflect strong audience demand, while growing interest from China and Saudi Arabia points to a potentially global shift in the tournament’s future, reveals GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

    GlobalData’s report, “Post Event Analysis – World Snooker Championship 2025,” revealed that the tournament saw a total prize money of £2.395 million ($3.196 million). The World Snooker Championship boasts the highest prize money of any professional snooker tournament worldwide

    Olivia Snooks, Sport Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “This decrease in naming rights revenue compared to 2024 is partly down to the fact that the deal was signed on the eve of the tournament, reducing the scope exposure and activation, as well as part of a continuing pattern across a sport that is steadily moving away from vice title sponsorship.”

    The 2025 World Snooker Championship set a record with 29 million streams on the BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport Website, and BBC Sport app, reflecting a 25% increase from the previous year. The event’s cumulative television audience across BBC One, BBC Two, and BBC Four reached 12.6 million viewers. The final, broadcast on BBC Two, attracted a peak audience of 3 million viewers.

    Snooks continues: “At the beginning of 2025, the World Snooker Tour renewed its long-running rights deal with the UK public-service broadcaster BBC until 2032. The five-year deal extension ensures that the World Snooker Tour’s flagship ‘Triple Crown’ events remain free-to-air across the UK.”

    Ticket prices for the 2025 World Snooker Championship depended on the day and the session. The face value of tickets for Round 1, played between April 19 and April 24, 2025, started as low as £45 ($60). The most expensive tickets which were able to be purchased for face value were the final session of the 5 May, which saw tickets for the Century Club priced at £170 ($947). The Crucible Theatre has a seating capacity of 980, which limits ticket sales and revenue. The tournament schedule included three sessions daily and the Crucible achieved full attendance for every session of the tournament.

    The future of the Crucible Theatre as the venue for the World Snooker Championship remains in doubt. The agreement to host the tournament at the Sheffield theater is set to expire in 2027. The competitions longstanding association with Sheffield may be subject to change as China has engaged in repeated discussions to become a potential host, reflecting the rise in Chinese participants on the tour. Furthermore, Saudi Arabia is expanding its involvement in snooker and is poised to host its inaugural ranking event, the Saudi Arabia Snooker Masters, in August.

    Snooks concludes: “The 2025 World Snooker Championship reaffirmed the sport’s enduring appeal while signaling a shift in its commercial dynamics. As digital viewership breaks records and non-traditional markets like China and Saudi Arabia express growing interest, the tournament faces a pivotal juncture, balancing its heritage with global expansion to sustain long-term commercial growth and fan engagement.”

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI Banking: GenAI VC funding in early 2025 highlights widening gap between US and China, finds GlobalData

    Source: GlobalData

    GenAI VC funding in early 2025 highlights widening gap between US and China, finds GlobalData

    Posted in Business Fundamentals

    Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) continues to capture the venture capital (VC) investors’ attention, with funding in the US soaring past $50 billion in the first five months of 2025 alone. Despite a rebound in early 2025, China still trails significantly due to regulatory headwinds, highlighting a widening gap between the two markets in their pursuit of dominance in GenAI innovation, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

    An analysis of GlobalData’s Deals Database reveals that the US has emerged as a clear leader. Although China has also garnered investors’ attention but lagged significantly compared to the US.

    In the US, the number of VC deals announced in the GenAI space has surged from around 50 deals in 2020 to more than 600 deals in 2024 while 2025 (January to 26 May) so far has already seen the announcement of more than 200 deals. Similarly, the total VC deal value in the US skyrocketed from around $800 million in 2020 to a staggering $39 billion in 2024. Notably, it has already surpassed $50 billion in just the first five months of 2025. This explosive growth underscores the robust appetite for innovation and investment in the GenAI space.

    Aurojyoti Bose, Lead Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “This growth trajectory positions the US as a powerhouse in GenAI investment, showcasing a strong commitment to fostering technological advancement. The underlying factors contributing to the US’ dominance in the GenAI space include a well-established venture capital ecosystem, a culture of innovation, and a regulatory environment that encourages investment in emerging technologies.”

    Meanwhile, China’s VC funding activity in the GenAI space has also shown growth but lags far behind the US. Starting with just one deal in 2020 and peaking at 39 deals in 2024, the country has seen the announcement of 14 deals in 2025 so far.

    China’s VC deal value has also remained relatively lower, from around $40 million in 2020 to peaking at around $400 million in 2023 followed by a decline to around $140 million in 2024. However, VC funding value rebounded strongly in early 2025 with the first five months of the year itself seeing around $250 million worth of deals announcement.

    Bose concludes: “The US has positioned itself as a global leader in the GenAI space driven by substantial investments from venture capitalists eager to capitalize on the transformative potential of this technology. In contrast, China’s challenges in attracting similar levels of investment reflect broader issues within its tech ecosystem, including regulatory constraints. Nevertheless, China’s ability to adapt and create a more favorable environment for GenAI development will be crucial for its long-term competitiveness in the global tech landscape.”

    Note: Historic data may change in case some deals get added to previous months because of a delay in disclosure of information in the public domain.

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI China: Aerial and maritime live-force drill of China-Cambodia “Golden Dragon 2025” joint exercise conducted 2025-05-27 19:35:29

    Source: People’s Republic of China – Ministry of National Defense

      SIHANOUKVILLE, Cambodia, May 27 — On May 26, the aerial and maritime live-force drill of the China-Cambodia “Golden Dragon 2025” joint exercise kicked off in the sea area and airspace near the port of Sihanoukville in Cambodia. A joint taskforce comprising 11 naval vessels and 3 air force helicopters from the two countries participated in the drill.

      In the scenario of a cargo ship hijacked by “terrorists” riding armed speedboats, and focusing on the joint maritime counter-terrorism and anti-hijacking operations, the drill mainly included the joint response, accompanying escort, counter-terrorism and anti-piracy, joint aerial and maritime search and rescue, and other training subjects.

      After receiving the situation briefing, the joint taskforce rushed to the “incident sea area”. Following target identification through the search at sea, the navy and air force participating troops applied various methods to deter and stop the “terrorists”, implemented rapid blocking and guard, and carried out visit, board, search, and seizure (VBSS). They also jointly searched and rescued the “terrorists” falling overboard and provided medical aid to them on humanitarian grounds.

      Subsequently, the two sides jointly held a conclusion ceremony for the aerial and maritime live-force drill. The drill achieved the purpose of mutual learning and advancement, and demonstrated the firm will and competence of both sides in jointly safeguarding maritime security.

      (Video Editor: Huang Panyue)

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    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: Chinese premier calls for forging example of openness, development cooperation with ASEAN, GCC

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Tuesday called on China, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries to jointly forge an example in openness, development cooperation and cross-civilization integration.

    He made the remarks when addressing the inaugural ASEAN-China-GCC Summit held in Kuala Lumpur, the capital of Malaysia.

    Li called on the three sides to create a model of cross-region openness, noting that the population and economic aggregate of China as well as countries of the ASEAN and the GCC account for approximately one quarter of the world’s total.

    A full connection of the three markets will surely give rise to a much larger space for development and a more significant scale effect, he said.

    China and the ASEAN have fully completed the negotiations on the upgrade of the Version 3.0 China-ASEAN Free Trade Area, Li noted, adding that it is expected that an early completion of talks on the free trade area agreement between the GCC and various parties can be done so as to elevate trilateral trade levels.

    He urged the three sides to unswervingly expand regional opening-up, and build the related regions into a large shared market where resources, technologies and talents flow more efficiently, and trade and investment enjoy greater freedom and convenience, so as to fully unleash the powerful effect of open development.

    Li also called on the three sides to forge a model of cooperation across different development stages, saying that although the three sides are at different stages of development, their differences are not obstacles to cooperation but complements to each other’s strengths.

    China, he said, is ready to deepen strategic alignment with the ASEAN and the GCC on the basis of mutual respect and equal treatment, enhance coordination of macroeconomic policies and strengthen collaboration in industrial specialization.

    “We should strive to turn our own strengths into those of everyone, and at the same time help each other tackle new challenges emerging in development, create new ways of international industrial economic cooperation, and promote a coordinated development in which their abilities can be fully explored, and benefits can be doubled and shared,” he said.

    The Chinese premier urged the three sides to create a model of cross-civilization integration, noting that the three sides are home to vibrant civilizations and share Asian values of peace, cooperation, openness and inclusiveness.

    He called for deeper cultural and people-to-people exchanges and a stronger foundation of mutual trust, and called on the three sides to effectively manage differences through mutual understanding, foster mutually beneficial cooperation through the exchange of ideas and explore a new path for the inclusive advancement of diverse civilizations.

    The Chinese side, he said, actively supports the initiative of Confucian-Islamic civilizational dialogue proposed by Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim.

    China is ready to work with the ASEAN and the GCC to implement the Global Civilization Initiative, promote mutual learning among civilizations and build greater consensus and momentum for peace and development, he added. 

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Lo Chung-mau meets WHO official

    Source: Hong Kong Information Services

    Secretary for Health Prof Lo Chung-mau today met World Health Organization Representative to China Martin Taylor to exchange views on various healthcare issues and explore the strengthening of related healthcare co-operation.

    During the meeting, Prof Lo introduced Mr Taylor to the comprehensive tobacco control strategies in Hong Kong, and the new-phase measures formulated around the four directions of regulating supply, banning promotion, expanding no smoking areas, and enhancing education.

    Both parties agreed that sustained international co-operation is particularly important to further strengthening global tobacco control efforts and safeguarding public health.

    Meanwhile, Prof Lo continued to meet the visiting Mainland delegations attending the Hospital Authority Convention 2025.

    In the morning, he met the delegation led by Shanghai Municipal Health Commission Deputy Director General Prof Hu Hongyi, to discuss healthcare talent exchanges between Hong Kong and Shanghai, and the internationalisation of Chinese medicine standards.

    At the afternoon meeting with the delegation led by Vice Chairman of the People’s Government of the Xizang Autonomous Region Luo Mei, Prof Lo introduced the structure of the healthcare system in Hong Kong and shared relevant management experience. Both sides also discussed the development of traditional medicine.

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Xinjiang-Central Asia Agricultural Machinery and Inputs Expo to be held in Kashgar, Xinjiang

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    URUMQI, May 27 (Xinhua) — The Xinjiang Central Asia Agricultural Machinery and Production Equipment Expo will be held in Kashgar Prefecture of northwest China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region from Sept. 26 to 28.

    This year, the total area of exhibition pavilions within the event will exceed 50 thousand square meters. At the moment, more than 600 enterprises have applied to participate in the event. Buyers from Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan have been invited to it.

    In addition, leading enterprises in the fields of seeds, fertilizers, agricultural and veterinary drugs, agricultural machinery, etc. will participate in the expo, and agricultural production technologies and equipment will be fully demonstrated. The event aims to promote agricultural development and increase farmers’ incomes in southern Xinjiang, and help producers develop markets in southern Xinjiang and Central Asia.

    The exhibition will also feature a China-Central Asia Business Fair and a Central Asia Logistics Business Fair, which will aim to promote exchanges in agricultural science and technology and match supply and demand.

    It is worth recalling that in 2024, more than 100 enterprises participated in the Xinjiang-Central Asia Agricultural Machinery and Capital Goods Expo, where more than 1,000 pieces of mechanical equipment were exhibited, and transactions worth nearly 300 million yuan were concluded. -0-

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: China has launched an emergency response to possible flooding in several regions of the country.

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    BEIJING, May 27 (Xinhua) — China’s National Flood and Drought Control Headquarters on Tuesday announced an emergency response mechanism for possible level IV floods in several regions including Jiangxi, Guizhou and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in response to heavy rains that hit southern regions.

    China’s Ministry of Emergency Management said in a statement that forecasters were expecting heavy rain and thunderstorms in Guizhou Province, areas south of the Yangtze River and much of southern China over the next three days.

    The current round of precipitation promises to be the heaviest since the start of the year, leaving a number of regions facing a high risk of natural disasters due to heavy rainfall, the statement said.

    The statement said China’s National Flood and Drought Control Headquarters has sent two working teams to regions to lead flood control and disaster relief efforts.

    Flood and emergency management authorities are instructed to step up efforts to monitor rainfall and flooding, provide timely information, check for risks and potential safety hazards, and stock up on necessary materials in key locations in advance.

    Let us recall that China has a four-tier flood emergency response system, with the first tier being the most serious. -0-

    MIL OSI Russia News