Category: coronavirus

  • MIL-OSI USA: Issues Revisited: Titles, Amendments to Rule 15c2-12 Undertakings and Voluntary Disclosure

    Source: Securities and Exchange Commission

    Good afternoon. Thank you to the Government Finance Officers Association (“GFOA”) for inviting me to speak with you today. In my role as the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (“Commission” or “SEC”) Director of the Office of Municipal Securities (“Office of Municipal Securities” or “OMS”), I get a front row seat to see how government finance professionals strive to advance the continued integrity of the municipal securities market. However, I also get a front row seat to some concerning behaviors that may impact the investor confidence and transparency of the municipal securities market. 

    As is customary, I must remind you that this speech is provided in my official capacity as the Commission’s Director of the Office of Municipal Securities but does not necessarily reflect the views of the Commission, the Commissioners, or other members of the staff.

    I. What’s in a Title?

    Before I delve into disclosure practices, I would like to start by offering my views on another area of concern to which OMS is paying careful attention. It’s been fifteen years since Congress created a new class of regulated person required to register with the Commission: municipal advisors.[1] But when I speak with market participants or pick up an official statement or visit an issuer’s website, I am regularly confronted with a title that imprecisely[2] reflects the nature of the relationship between municipal entities and/or obligated persons and their advisors: financial advisor.[3]

    While some of you may view using the terms “financial advisor” and “municipal advisor” to be interchangeable when discussing hiring a professional to negotiate terms of a transaction or verify pricing as just a matter of a title, Congress expressly defined those persons who engage in municipal advisory activities[4] as “municipal advisors”.[5]

    I’m going to start with why I think it’s helpful to use regulatory terms. Although not required, using regulatory terms such as “municipal advisor” in solicitations and offering documents is helpful because it clearly indicates to investors that those professionals are subject to the rules and regulations designed to protect investors and municipal entities[6] and obligated persons.[7] Additionally, using defined regulatory terms in these documents may be helpful to municipal entities and obligated persons in avoiding including confusing or ambiguous statements in disclosures to investors.

    Now, for the what. Let’s start with hiring professionals. Municipal entities and obligated persons often retain various professionals through a competitive request for proposal/qualification (“RFP/Q”) process. Before anyone objects, you’re correct: responses to RFP/Qs do not on their own constitute municipal advisory activity.[8] I have, however, observed instances (most notably in public-private partnerships[9] and charter schools[10]) where the work or services requested in the RFP/Qs would require the selected professional to be registered as a municipal advisor because they would be providing advice with respect to the issuance of municipal securities or the use of municipal financial products. In our review of these RFP/Qs, we have either seen municipal entities be silent on requiring that respondents to an RFP/Q be registered as a municipal advisor with the Commission and Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (“MSRB”) or, worse, affirmatively say that registration as a municipal advisor is not a requirement.[11]

    Given that unregistered entities may be engaging in what appears to be municipal advisory activity, you may want to confirm not only that any professional providing municipal advisory services to you is properly registered[12] but also that you have in your RFP/Qs for services or work constituting municipal advisory activity a requirement that respondents be registered with the Commission and the MSRB as municipal advisors in order to submit a response. At a minimum, I do not believe these RFP/Qs should be soliciting the services of a “financial advisor” or “consultant” which may create the impression that they do not need to be registered with the Commission or the MSRB. If you are seeking the services of a municipal advisor, it would be helpful to use the term municipal advisor in your RFP/Qs.

    Another area where I see a concerning use of “financial advisor,” where “municipal advisor” should be used, is in your offering documents. As previously mentioned, municipal advisor is more than just a title: it is a regulatory term. Using “municipal advisor” tells investors that the firm, its associated persons, and its activities are subject to rules and regulations; that the Commission monitors municipal advisors for compliance; and takes necessary action to enforce Congress’s mandate. If you use municipal advisors in your transactions, I think it would be beneficial to use the defined term “municipal advisor” in your offering documents to accurately describe the professionals fulfilling that role. Using a term that is explicitly defined by law may also help avoid including confusing or ambiguous statements in disclosures to investors.

    There are also strong benefits to being involved with or retaining persons or firms registered and regulated as municipal advisers, as it demonstrates that these persons or firms recognize that they are engaging in municipal advisory activity. Registering as a municipal advisor may also demonstrate that the advisor understands that it has certain legal obligations, including a requirement to register unless an exclusion or exemption applies. These obligations include, among other things, a requirement to disclose to clients any material conflicts of interest. If you remember nothing else from today, remember this: your municipal advisor is required to always act in your best interest.

    II. Observations on Amendments to Continuing Disclosure Undertakings

    Now turning to disclosure practices. When the Commission proposed amendments[13] to Rule 15c2-12 (“Rule 15c2-12” or “Rule”)[14] of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”) in 1994[15] prohibiting underwriters, subject to certain exemptions, from purchasing or selling municipal securities covered by the Rule in a primary offering, unless the underwriter had reasonably determined that the issuer (or obligated person) had undertaken in a written agreement or contract[16] (“continuing disclosure undertaking”) to provide specified annual information and event notices,[17] practitioners expressed concern[18] that the amendments were not sufficiently flexible to address changing conditions to financial and pertinent operating information. The Commission addressed practitioners’ concerns when it adopted the amendments.[19]

    a. NABL 1 Letter

    The Commission explained in the 1994 Amendments Adopting Release that Rule 15c2-12, as amended, requires that continuing disclosure undertakings specify only the general type of information to be provided[20] and that undertakings should be drafted with sufficient flexibility to accommodate for subsequent developments that may require adjustments in the financial information and operating data contractually agreed upon in the undertaking.[21] Shortly after adoption of the amendments, the National Association of Bond Lawyers (“NABL”) requested[22] staff guidance interpreting an issue that I see continues to be debated thirty-one years later: amending continuing disclosure undertakings.

    Let’s take a moment and revisit the statements made by staff on amending continuing disclosure undertakings in response to the NABL 1 Letter.[23] Staff first noted that in meeting the requirement that annual financial information be specified in reasonable detail, staff anticipated that continuing disclosure undertakings would set forth a general description of the type of financial information and operating data that would be provided. Staff further observed that these descriptions would not need to state more than a general category of financial information and operating data. Moreover, staff noted that where a continuing disclosure undertaking calls for information that no longer can be generated because the operations to which it related had been materially changed or discontinued, a statement to that effect would satisfy the continuing disclosure undertaking. In such instances, staff explained that it may be good practice to provide similar operating data with respect to any substitute or replacement operation. Further, staff noted that issuers and obligated persons may provide additional information that is not required by the terms of the undertaking. Accordingly, the staff did not anticipate that it often would be necessary to amend informational undertakings.

    In addition to providing guidance on the circumstances under which an undertaking could be amended, the staff also provided several examples[24] of annual financial information descriptions. For example, categories of operating data provided for a college or university facility bond offering might include, among others, information regarding attendance, applications, and tuition and room and board rates charged to students. In a water or sewer financing, categories of information provided might include, among others, customers, rates, use, capacity, and demand.

    b. Current State of Continuing Disclosure Undertakings

    Now I would like to take the opportunity to reflect on the current state of continuing disclosure undertakings. Since the 1994 amendments promoted flexibility in drafting continuing disclosure undertakings, staff has heard that practitioners have discovered ambiguities and inconsistencies in their continuing disclosure undertakings that have resulted in overlapping, inconsistent, and outdated information in required disclosures. Consequently, practitioners continue to struggle with questions about amending continuing disclosure undertakings and have asked the staff for guidance on this issue.

    To start, I want to remind practitioners that Rule 15c2-12, as amended, offers flexibility in the content and scope of disclosed financial information.[25] The Rule specifies only general types of information relating to the financial information and operating data to accommodate for any subsequent developments that would require adjustments to the data.[26] Further, adhering to your continuing disclosure undertakings does not preclude you from providing additional information, particularly where disclosure may be necessary to avoid liability under the antifraud provisions.[27]

    The staff recognizes that, despite the staff interpretive guidance in the NABL 1 Letter, which elaborated on statements in the 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, some obligated persons have continued to provide specific and relatively unflexible descriptions of annual financial information or operating data in the continuing disclosure undertakings by, for instance, pointing to specific tables of information in an official statement because they believe it makes it easier for issuers and dissemination agents to comply with the undertaking. Although Rule 15c2-12 does not prohibit such specificity or incorporation by reference,[28] I believe that where obligated persons choose to include references to specific tables or similar specificity, they might consider including language allowing for flexibility, such as describing tables “of the type” or tables “of the kind” provided in the official statement.

    The inclusion in continuing disclosure undertakings of clear descriptions of the disclosures to be made by municipal issuers and obligated persons promotes a more transparent and efficient market. However, drafters of continuing disclosure undertakings may want to be mindful when specifying the particular types of information that will be provided for many years into the future, as continuing disclosure undertakings are contractual obligations that cannot be amended based on a unilateral decision by an issuer or any other party. With very limited exceptions, issuers and obligated persons may not later decide unilaterally what types of information an investor would consider necessary or meaningful, especially where such information has previously been agreed upon.[29]

    Continuing disclosure undertakings would be meaningless if issuers and obligated persons could unilaterally determine that certain types of information were no longer necessary or meaningful to investors.[30] Despite previous requests from the market for guidance on amending continuing disclosure agreements, I remind you that those agreements are contracts governed by state law[31] from which the Commission does not have the authority to provide exemptions. Failure to comply with continuing disclosure undertakings would be breaches of contract enforceable by private parties.[32] This is why staff statements have focused on using language in continuing disclosure agreements that allow for changing conditions.

    III. The Importance of Voluntary Disclosure in the Municipal Securities Market

    Sound, timely, and accurate disclosures of the financial condition and operating status of issuers and obligated persons promotes the continued integrity of the municipal securities market.[33] As we all know, Rule 15c2-12 requires that continuing disclosure undertakings set forth certain enumerated requirements. Rule 15c2-12 does not generally impose an obligation to provide ongoing information beyond the contractual continuing disclosure obligations. I am of the view, however, that voluntary disclosures[34] — providing information beyond contractual continuing disclosure obligations — by issuers and obligated persons can provide market participants with updated financial and other disclosures regarding the effects of evolving economic conditions.[35]

    a. Improving Transparency and Market Efficiencies

    Issuer organizations and other market participants have noted that providing voluntary interim disclosure can serve the interests of municipal issuers and have developed voluntary disclosure best practices designed to improve the quality and quantity of voluntary disclosure in the secondary market.[36] GFOA issued a Best Practices on Voluntary Disclosure in 2021.[37]

    I am of the view that if issuers and obligated persons provide voluntary disclosures of their financial condition and operating status on a more frequent basis, the additional information could potentially reduce information asymmetries and help investors and other market participants identify early warning signs of an issuer’s or obligated person’s deteriorating financial condition sooner (such as budget deficits and imbalances, high unfunded pensions liability, and decreases in property value), which could lead to increased market efficiencies.

    Some examples of helpful voluntary disclosures that municipal issuers and obligated persons could consider disseminating are[38]

    • More Timely Financial Information. Municipal issuers routinely prepare periodic reports containing financial information and/or operating data, such as investment positions, interim financial information, or capital improvement plans, for various non-disclosure purposes,[39] which are generally produced in accordance with governance documents, best practices, and generally accepted guidelines. Municipal issuers could consider submitting such reports via the repository designated by the Commission (currently the MSRB’s Electronic Municipal Market Access (“EMMA”) system) and/or through their own designated website.
    • Reports Prepared for Other Governmental Purposes. Municipal issuers and obligated persons may have prepared reports addressing relevant climate, cybersecurity, litigation, or other risks for other purposes.
    • Reports and Information Shared with Third Parties. Reports prepared to be shared with rating agencies, bank loan providers or other market participants may also include information material to investors.[40]
    • Information Regarding Availability of Federal, State and Local Aid. If it materially affects, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, your ability to repay debt service, you could make available a description of available aid that you have sought or are planning on seeking and any other material terms of the aid to investors.
    • Information Regarding Non-Routine Events that May Impact an Issuer’s Ability to Repay Securities. For instance, a large business relocating to your jurisdiction may have a positive impact, while a natural disaster may have a negative impact. Sharing information with the market on any non-routine events that may impact your ability to repay debt service could be helpful.

    In my view, making any voluntary disclosures available in the place or places where they regularly make information available to investors, such as on the EMMA system and/or on their own websites, would be helpful to both issuers and investors.

    b. Observations on Liability

    I sometimes hear from issuers that they would disclose more information to the market, but that their counsel advises them, as a matter of course, not to provide any information that is not required. I recognize that the issue of liability is often raised in connection with voluntary disclosures.

    I believe that accompanying voluntary disclosures that contain projections or forward-looking statements with meaningful cautionary language — including, for example, (1) a description of relevant facts or assumptions affecting the reasonableness of reliance on and the materiality of the information provided, (2) a description of how certain important information may be incomplete or unknown, and (3) the process or methodology (audited versus unaudited) used by the municipal issuer or obligated person to produce the information — could not only improve the quality of the disclosure but also help mitigate associated legal risks.

    As I observe the municipal securities market and consider appropriate paths to address behaviors that impact investor confidence and transparency, I believe that it would be beneficial for municipal issuers to disclose, to exercise reasonable care, and to follow best practices in the creation and release of any voluntary disclosure.

    It’s always a pleasure to speak with members of the GFOA. Thank you again for the invitation to discuss these important issues with you today.


    [1]           See Section 975(a)(1)(B) (15 U.S.C. 78o-4(a)(1)(B)) of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 (“Dodd-Frank Act” or “Dodd-Frank”).

    [3]           While state statutes or other governing documents may reference the selection or designation of a “financial advisor” in connection with the issuance of bonds, I am of the view that the term “municipal advisor” should also be used in any RFP/Qs and offering documents issued in these jurisdictions when the requested service may include municipal advisory activity. In the event a state statute or other governing document references “financial advisor” or other term, it may be appropriate to use both terms with appropriate definitions and cross-references.  

    [4]           Pursuant to Exchange Act Rule 15Ba1-1(e) (15 CFR 240.15Ba1-1(e)), “municipal advisory activities” includes, but is not limited to, “[p]roviding advice to or on behalf of a municipal entity or obligated person with respect to municipal financial products or the issuance of municipal securities, including advice with respect to the structure, timing, terms, and other similar matters concerning such financial products or issue.”

    [5]           See Exchange Act Section 15B(e)(4)(A) (15 U.S.C. 78o-4(e)(4)(A)). The definition of municipal advisor includes financial advisors, guaranteed investment contract brokers, third-party marketers, placement agents, solicitors, finders, and swap advisors that provide municipal advisory services, unless they are statutorily excluded. See 15 U.S.C. 78o-4(e)(4)(B). The statutory definition of municipal advisor excludes a broker, dealer, or municipal securities dealer serving as an underwriter (as defined in section 77b(a)(11) of this title), any investment adviser registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (15 U.S.C. 80b-1 et seq.), or persons associated with such investment advisers who are providing investment advice, any commodity trading advisor registered under the Commodity Exchange Act or persons associated with a commodity trading advisor who are providing advice related to swaps, attorneys offering legal advice or providing services that are of a traditional legal nature, or engineers providing engineering advice. See 15 U.S.C. 78o-4(e)(4)(C). The Commission exempts the following persons from the definition of municipal advisor to the extent they are engaging in the specified activities: accountants; public officials and employees; banks; responses to requests for proposals or qualifications; swap dealers; participation by an independent registered municipal advisor; persons that provide advice on certain investment strategies; certain solicitations. See Exchange Act Rule 15Ba1-1(d)(3)(i) through (viii) (17 CFR 240.15Ba1-1(d)(3)(i) through (viii)).

    [6]           See Registration of Municipal Advisors, Exchange Act Release No. 70462 (Sept. 20, 2013), 78 FR 67468, 67509 (Nov. 12, 2013) (“Municipal Advisor Adopting Release”).

    [7]           The timeline for being required to register as a municipal advisor when advising clients about conduit financing or other financing options is dependent on certain facts and circumstances. See id. at 67485.

    [8]           Id. at 67475.

    [11]         While the Dodd-Frank Act is a federal law, the municipal advisor registration requirements apply to advice with respect to the issuance of municipal securities regardless of the proposed source of funds used to repay those securities, which may include local tax revenue, state or federal revenue or grants or funds paid by a private lessee or purchaser. The staff is aware of publicly available documents where a state or local government has stated that municipal advisor registration is only required for municipal securities being repaid with federal funds.

    [12]         See Speech, Responsibilities of Regulated Entities to Municipal Issuers, supra note 2.

    [13]         See Exchange Act Release No. 33742 (Mar. 9, 1994), 59 FR 12759 (Mar. 17, 1994) (“1994 Amendments Proposing Release”).

    [14]         See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12. The Commission adopted Rule 15c2-12 in 1989 to enhance disclosure in the   municipal securities market by codifying standards for underwriters to obtain, review, and disseminate disclosure documents. See Exchange Act Release No. 26100 (Sept. 22, 1988), 53 FR 37778 (“1988 Proposing Release”); Exchange Act Release No. 26985 (June 28, 1989), 54 FR 28799 (July 10, 1989) (“1989 Adopting Release”). Rule 15c2-12 requires an underwriter acting in primary offerings of municipal securities with an aggregate principal amount of $1,000,000 or more to obtain and review an official statement “deemed final” by an issuer of the municipal securities, except for the omission of specified information, prior to making a bid, purchase, offer, or sale of municipal securities. See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12(a) and (b)(1).

    [15]         The Commission has amended Rule 15c2-12 over the years to respond to evolving market practices. See Exchange Act Release No. 34961 (Nov. 10, 1994), 59 FR 59590 (Nov. 17, 1994) (“1994 Amendments Adopting Release”); Exchange Act Release No. 59062 (Dec. 5, 2008), 73 FR 76104 (Dec. 15, 2008) (“2008 Amendments Adopting Release”); Exchange Act Release No. 62184A (May 27, 2010), 75 FR 33100 (June 10, 2010) (“2010 Amendments Adopting Release”); and Exchange Act Release No. 83885 (Aug. 20, 2018), 83 FR 44700 (Aug. 31, 2018) (“2018 Amendments Adopting Release”).

    [16]         See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12(b)(5).

    [17]         See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12(b)(5)(C).

    [18]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599.

    [19]         Id.

    [20]         Id.

    [21]         Id.

    [22]         NABL raised several questions in its letters. See Letter from Robert L.D. Colby, Deputy Director, Division of Market Regulation, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, to John S. Overdorff, Chair, and Gerald J. Laporte, Vice-Chair, Securities Law and Disclosure Committee, National Association of Bond Lawyers, dated June 23, 1995 (‘‘NABL 1 Letter”), available at https://www.sec.gov/info/municipal/nabl-1-interpretive-letter-1995-06-23.pdf; and Letter from Catherine McGuire, Chief Counsel, Division of Market Regulation, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, to John S. Overdorff, Chair, Securities Law and Disclosure Committee, National Association of Bond Lawyers, dated Sept. 19, 1995 (“NABL 2 Letter”), available at https://www.sec.gov/info/municipal/nabl-2-interpretive-letter-1995-09-19.pdf. See also Letter from Michael Nicholas, Chief Executive Officer, Bond Dealers of America, Emily Swenson Brock, Director, Federal Liaison Center, Government Finance Officers Association, Kenneth R. Artin, President, National Association of Bond Lawyers, Cornelia Chebinou, Washington Director, National Association of State Auditors, Comptrollers and Treasures, Michael Decker, Managing Director, Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, to Jessica Kane, Director, Office of Municipal Securities, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, dated Aug. 9, 2016 available at https://www.nabl.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/20160809-Joint-Letter-on-Amending-CDAs.pdf.

    [23]         See NABL 1 Letter, Question 2, supra note 22.  

    [24]         Id.

    [25]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599; Securities and Exchange Commission, Report on the Municipal Securities Market (July 31, 2012) (“Report on the Municipal Securities Market”), at 70, available at https://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2012/munireport073112.pdf.

    [26]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599 (Commission noting that “the amendments require that the undertaking specify only the general type of information to be supplied . . .”).

    [27]         Id.

    [28]         Id.

    [29]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599. But see NABL 1 Letter, Question 2, supra note 22, outlining scenarios where an undertaking that includes an amendment provisions nevertheless may satisfy the requirements of Rule 15c2-12.

    [30]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599.

    [31]         Id. at 59601.

    [32]         Id. (“remedies for breach of any undertaking under applicable state law are a subject for negotiation between the parties to the Offering.”).

    [33]         See Exchange Act Release No. 33741 (Mar. 9, 1994), 59 FR 12748, 12752-754 (Mar. 17, 1994) (“1994 Interpretive Release”).

    [34]         As seen during the Covid-19 Pandemic, variations in voluntary disclosures persisted and the differing approaches to disclosure served as a reminder that required disclosures are not confined to enumerated events. For instance, some issuers included tailored, stand-alone COVID-19-risk sections in their disclosures or uploaded financial informational statements to EMMA identifying impacts on economies and revenues, and expectations regarding associated risk mitigation. See, e.g., MSRB, Municipal Securities Market COVID-19-Related Disclosure Summary (updated Mar. 28, 2021), available at https://www.msrb.org/sites/default/files/2022-09/Municipal-Securities-Market-COVID-19-Related-Disclosure-Summary.pdf; DPC Data COVID Disclosure Trends Charted in New Infographic, A Year of COVID-Tagged Disclosures, Mar. 2020 to Mar. 2021, available at https://www.dpcdata.com/resources/year-covid-tagged-disclosures/. 

    [35]         See, e.g., Report on the Municipal Securities Market, supra note 25, at III.A.1 and III.B (summarizing market participant and investor interest in voluntary disclosure guidelines and best practices to improve the level and quality of disclosure in the primary and secondary markets); Chairman Jay Clayton and Rebecca Olsen, Director, Office of Municipal Securities, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, The Importance of Disclosure for our Municipal Markets (May 4, 2020) (the “Municipal Market COVID-19 Statement”), available at https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/statement-clayton-olsen-2020-05-04.

    [36]         See, e.g., Government Finance Officers Association (“GFOA”) Best Practices Voluntary Disclosure (Oct. 1, 2021) (“Best Practices on Voluntary Disclosure”), available at https://www.gfoa.org/materials/voluntary-disclosure (“Enhanced market communication achieved through voluntary disclosure the issuer to improve its investor relations. This enhanced communication and improved relations with investors can become an important factor for access to the capital for markets….”); National Federation of Municipal Analysts (“NFMA”) Position Paper on Voluntary Interim Disclosures by State and Local Governments (Oct. 26, 2004) (“NFMA Voluntary Interim Disclosures Paper”), at 2-4, available at https://www.nfma.org/assets/documents/nfma_position_interim_disclosure.pdf (NFMA “strongly believe(s) that it is in the best interest of state and local government units and political instrumentalities thereof to provide investors on a voluntary basis with timely disclosure reports derived from information maintained in the normal course of operations” and that “[t]o the extent that governmental issuers have relevant financial information on hand, the benefits of providing voluntary interim disclosure vastly outweigh any administrative burden entailed in disseminating this information to the market.”)

    [37]         See Best Practices on Voluntary Disclosure, supra note 36.

    [38]         See, e.g., id.; Report on the Municipal Securities Market, supra note 25, at 58 (noting that the “practices of market participants in voluntarily providing [large amounts of information about issuers of municipal securities] to investors are not, however, consistent,” further explaining that “[l]arge repeat issuers generally have more comprehensive disclosure than small, infrequent or conduit issuers, who may voluntarily provide little ongoing information to investors.”).

    [39]         In many cases, municipal issuers already prepare and disseminate reports or other documents containing financial information and/or operating data to various governmental or institutional bodies, or to the public. See, e.g., Application of Antifraud Provisions to Public Statements of Issuers and Obligated Persons of Municipal Securities in the Secondary Market: Staff Legal Bulletin No. 21 (OMS) (Feb. 7, 2020) (“Staff Legal Bulletin No. 21”), available at https://www.sec.gov/municipal/application-antifraud-provisions-staff-legal-bulletin-21; Report of Investigation in the Matter of the City of Harrisburg, Pa. Concerning the Potential Liability of Public Officials with Regard to Disclosure Obligations in the Secondary Market, Exchange Act Release No. 69516 (May 6, 2013), (“Harrisburg Report”), available at https://www.sec.gov/litigation/investreport/34-69516.htm.

    [40]         See Report on the Municipal Securities Market, supra note 25, at 106 n.640.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: Marrero Woman Guilty of Cares Act Fraud

    Source: US FBI

    NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – Acting U.S. Attorney Michael M. Simpson announced that on Tuesday, June 24, 2025, LINDA TRIGGS (“TRIGGS”), age 73, a resident of Marrero, pleaded guilty to making a false statement related to the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 1001(a)(2).

    On March 27, 2020, the President of the United States signed into law the CARES Act, which provided emergency assistance, administered by the United States Small Business Administration (SBA), to small business owners affected by the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.  One of the  primary sources of funding for small businesses was the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP).

    According to the charging documents, on or about April 18, 2021, TRIGGS, on behalf of a non-profit corporation that she owned, made false statements to an approved lender to obtain approximately $59,065 for PPP loans.

    TRIGGS faces a maximum term of imprisonment of five (5) years, a fine of up to $250,000, a period of supervised release of up to three years, and a mandatory special assessment fee of $100.00.  United States District Judge Brandon S. Long will sentence TRIGGS on September 30, 2025.

    For more information on the Department of Justice’s response to the pandemic, please visit https://www.justice.gov/coronavirus.  Anyone with information about allegations of attempted fraud involving COVID-19 can report it by calling the Department of Justice’s National Center for Disaster Fraud (NCDF) Hotline at 866-720-5721 or via the NCDF Web Complaint Form at https://www.justice.gov/disaster-fraud/ncdf-disaster-complaint-form.

    Acting U.S. Attorney Simpson praised the work of the Federal Bureau of Investigation in investigating this matter.  Assistant U.S. Attorney Brittany Reed of the Violent Crimes Unit is in charge of the prosecution.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI USA: Issues Revisited: Titles, Amendments to Rule 15c2-12 Undertakings and Voluntary

    Source: Securities and Exchange Commission

    Good afternoon. Thank you to the Government Finance Officers Association (“GFOA”) for inviting me to speak with you today. In my role as the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (“Commission” or “SEC”) Director of the Office of Municipal Securities (“Office of Municipal Securities” or “OMS”), I get a front row seat to see how government finance professionals strive to advance the continued integrity of the municipal securities market. However, I also get a front row seat to some concerning behaviors that may impact the investor confidence and transparency of the municipal securities market. 

    As is customary, I must remind you that this speech is provided in my official capacity as the Commission’s Director of the Office of Municipal Securities but does not necessarily reflect the views of the Commission, the Commissioners, or other members of the staff.

    I. What’s in a Title?

    Before I delve into disclosure practices, I would like to start by offering my views on another area of concern to which OMS is paying careful attention. It’s been fifteen years since Congress created a new class of regulated person required to register with the Commission: municipal advisors.[1] But when I speak with market participants or pick up an official statement or visit an issuer’s website, I am regularly confronted with a title that imprecisely[2] reflects the nature of the relationship between municipal entities and/or obligated persons and their advisors: financial advisor.[3]

    While some of you may view using the terms “financial advisor” and “municipal advisor” to be interchangeable when discussing hiring a professional to negotiate terms of a transaction or verify pricing as just a matter of a title, Congress expressly defined those persons who engage in municipal advisory activities[4] as “municipal advisors”.[5]

    I’m going to start with why I think it’s helpful to use regulatory terms. Although not required, using regulatory terms such as “municipal advisor” in solicitations and offering documents is helpful because it clearly indicates to investors that those professionals are subject to the rules and regulations designed to protect investors and municipal entities[6] and obligated persons.[7] Additionally, using defined regulatory terms in these documents may be helpful to municipal entities and obligated persons in avoiding including confusing or ambiguous statements in disclosures to investors.

    Now, for the what. Let’s start with hiring professionals. Municipal entities and obligated persons often retain various professionals through a competitive request for proposal/qualification (“RFP/Q”) process. Before anyone objects, you’re correct: responses to RFP/Qs do not on their own constitute municipal advisory activity.[8] I have, however, observed instances (most notably in public-private partnerships[9] and charter schools[10]) where the work or services requested in the RFP/Qs would require the selected professional to be registered as a municipal advisor because they would be providing advice with respect to the issuance of municipal securities or the use of municipal financial products. In our review of these RFP/Qs, we have either seen municipal entities be silent on requiring that respondents to an RFP/Q be registered as a municipal advisor with the Commission and Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (“MSRB”) or, worse, affirmatively say that registration as a municipal advisor is not a requirement.[11]

    Given that unregistered entities may be engaging in what appears to be municipal advisory activity, you may want to confirm not only that any professional providing municipal advisory services to you is properly registered[12] but also that you have in your RFP/Qs for services or work constituting municipal advisory activity a requirement that respondents be registered with the Commission and the MSRB as municipal advisors in order to submit a response. At a minimum, I do not believe these RFP/Qs should be soliciting the services of a “financial advisor” or “consultant” which may create the impression that they do not need to be registered with the Commission or the MSRB. If you are seeking the services of a municipal advisor, it would be helpful to use the term municipal advisor in your RFP/Qs.

    Another area where I see a concerning use of “financial advisor,” where “municipal advisor” should be used, is in your offering documents. As previously mentioned, municipal advisor is more than just a title: it is a regulatory term. Using “municipal advisor” tells investors that the firm, its associated persons, and its activities are subject to rules and regulations; that the Commission monitors municipal advisors for compliance; and takes necessary action to enforce Congress’s mandate. If you use municipal advisors in your transactions, I think it would be beneficial to use the defined term “municipal advisor” in your offering documents to accurately describe the professionals fulfilling that role. Using a term that is explicitly defined by law may also help avoid including confusing or ambiguous statements in disclosures to investors.

    There are also strong benefits to being involved with or retaining persons or firms registered and regulated as municipal advisers, as it demonstrates that these persons or firms recognize that they are engaging in municipal advisory activity. Registering as a municipal advisor may also demonstrate that the advisor understands that it has certain legal obligations, including a requirement to register unless an exclusion or exemption applies. These obligations include, among other things, a requirement to disclose to clients any material conflicts of interest. If you remember nothing else from today, remember this: your municipal advisor is required to always act in your best interest.

    II. Observations on Amendments to Continuing Disclosure Undertakings

    Now turning to disclosure practices. When the Commission proposed amendments[13] to Rule 15c2-12 (“Rule 15c2-12” or “Rule”)[14] of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”) in 1994[15] prohibiting underwriters, subject to certain exemptions, from purchasing or selling municipal securities covered by the Rule in a primary offering, unless the underwriter had reasonably determined that the issuer (or obligated person) had undertaken in a written agreement or contract[16] (“continuing disclosure undertaking”) to provide specified annual information and event notices,[17] practitioners expressed concern[18] that the amendments were not sufficiently flexible to address changing conditions to financial and pertinent operating information. The Commission addressed practitioners’ concerns when it adopted the amendments.[19]

    a. NABL 1 Letter

    The Commission explained in the 1994 Amendments Adopting Release that Rule 15c2-12, as amended, requires that continuing disclosure undertakings specify only the general type of information to be provided[20] and that undertakings should be drafted with sufficient flexibility to accommodate for subsequent developments that may require adjustments in the financial information and operating data contractually agreed upon in the undertaking.[21] Shortly after adoption of the amendments, the National Association of Bond Lawyers (“NABL”) requested[22] staff guidance interpreting an issue that I see continues to be debated thirty-one years later: amending continuing disclosure undertakings.

    Let’s take a moment and revisit the statements made by staff on amending continuing disclosure undertakings in response to the NABL 1 Letter.[23] Staff first noted that in meeting the requirement that annual financial information be specified in reasonable detail, staff anticipated that continuing disclosure undertakings would set forth a general description of the type of financial information and operating data that would be provided. Staff further observed that these descriptions would not need to state more than a general category of financial information and operating data. Moreover, staff noted that where a continuing disclosure undertaking calls for information that no longer can be generated because the operations to which it related had been materially changed or discontinued, a statement to that effect would satisfy the continuing disclosure undertaking. In such instances, staff explained that it may be good practice to provide similar operating data with respect to any substitute or replacement operation. Further, staff noted that issuers and obligated persons may provide additional information that is not required by the terms of the undertaking. Accordingly, the staff did not anticipate that it often would be necessary to amend informational undertakings.

    In addition to providing guidance on the circumstances under which an undertaking could be amended, the staff also provided several examples[24] of annual financial information descriptions. For example, categories of operating data provided for a college or university facility bond offering might include, among others, information regarding attendance, applications, and tuition and room and board rates charged to students. In a water or sewer financing, categories of information provided might include, among others, customers, rates, use, capacity, and demand.

    b. Current State of Continuing Disclosure Undertakings

    Now I would like to take the opportunity to reflect on the current state of continuing disclosure undertakings. Since the 1994 amendments promoted flexibility in drafting continuing disclosure undertakings, staff has heard that practitioners have discovered ambiguities and inconsistencies in their continuing disclosure undertakings that have resulted in overlapping, inconsistent, and outdated information in required disclosures. Consequently, practitioners continue to struggle with questions about amending continuing disclosure undertakings and have asked the staff for guidance on this issue.

    To start, I want to remind practitioners that Rule 15c2-12, as amended, offers flexibility in the content and scope of disclosed financial information.[25] The Rule specifies only general types of information relating to the financial information and operating data to accommodate for any subsequent developments that would require adjustments to the data.[26] Further, adhering to your continuing disclosure undertakings does not preclude you from providing additional information, particularly where disclosure may be necessary to avoid liability under the antifraud provisions.[27]

    The staff recognizes that, despite the staff interpretive guidance in the NABL 1 Letter, which elaborated on statements in the 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, some obligated persons have continued to provide specific and relatively unflexible descriptions of annual financial information or operating data in the continuing disclosure undertakings by, for instance, pointing to specific tables of information in an official statement because they believe it makes it easier for issuers and dissemination agents to comply with the undertaking. Although Rule 15c2-12 does not prohibit such specificity or incorporation by reference,[28] I believe that where obligated persons choose to include references to specific tables or similar specificity, they might consider including language allowing for flexibility, such as describing tables “of the type” or tables “of the kind” provided in the official statement.

    The inclusion in continuing disclosure undertakings of clear descriptions of the disclosures to be made by municipal issuers and obligated persons promotes a more transparent and efficient market. However, drafters of continuing disclosure undertakings may want to be mindful when specifying the particular types of information that will be provided for many years into the future, as continuing disclosure undertakings are contractual obligations that cannot be amended based on a unilateral decision by an issuer or any other party. With very limited exceptions, issuers and obligated persons may not later decide unilaterally what types of information an investor would consider necessary or meaningful, especially where such information has previously been agreed upon.[29]

    Continuing disclosure undertakings would be meaningless if issuers and obligated persons could unilaterally determine that certain types of information were no longer necessary or meaningful to investors.[30] Despite previous requests from the market for guidance on amending continuing disclosure agreements, I remind you that those agreements are contracts governed by state law[31] from which the Commission does not have the authority to provide exemptions. Failure to comply with continuing disclosure undertakings would be breaches of contract enforceable by private parties.[32] This is why staff statements have focused on using language in continuing disclosure agreements that allow for changing conditions.

    III. The Importance of Voluntary Disclosure in the Municipal Securities Market

    Sound, timely, and accurate disclosures of the financial condition and operating status of issuers and obligated persons promotes the continued integrity of the municipal securities market.[33] As we all know, Rule 15c2-12 requires that continuing disclosure undertakings set forth certain enumerated requirements. Rule 15c2-12 does not generally impose an obligation to provide ongoing information beyond the contractual continuing disclosure obligations. I am of the view, however, that voluntary disclosures[34] — providing information beyond contractual continuing disclosure obligations — by issuers and obligated persons can provide market participants with updated financial and other disclosures regarding the effects of evolving economic conditions.[35]

    a. Improving Transparency and Market Efficiencies

    Issuer organizations and other market participants have noted that providing voluntary interim disclosure can serve the interests of municipal issuers and have developed voluntary disclosure best practices designed to improve the quality and quantity of voluntary disclosure in the secondary market.[36] GFOA issued a Best Practices on Voluntary Disclosure in 2021.[37]

    I am of the view that if issuers and obligated persons provide voluntary disclosures of their financial condition and operating status on a more frequent basis, the additional information could potentially reduce information asymmetries and help investors and other market participants identify early warning signs of an issuer’s or obligated person’s deteriorating financial condition sooner (such as budget deficits and imbalances, high unfunded pensions liability, and decreases in property value), which could lead to increased market efficiencies.

    Some examples of helpful voluntary disclosures that municipal issuers and obligated persons could consider disseminating are[38]

    • More Timely Financial Information. Municipal issuers routinely prepare periodic reports containing financial information and/or operating data, such as investment positions, interim financial information, or capital improvement plans, for various non-disclosure purposes,[39] which are generally produced in accordance with governance documents, best practices, and generally accepted guidelines. Municipal issuers could consider submitting such reports via the repository designated by the Commission (currently the MSRB’s Electronic Municipal Market Access (“EMMA”) system) and/or through their own designated website.
    • Reports Prepared for Other Governmental Purposes. Municipal issuers and obligated persons may have prepared reports addressing relevant climate, cybersecurity, litigation, or other risks for other purposes.
    • Reports and Information Shared with Third Parties. Reports prepared to be shared with rating agencies, bank loan providers or other market participants may also include information material to investors.[40]
    • Information Regarding Availability of Federal, State and Local Aid. If it materially affects, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, your ability to repay debt service, you could make available a description of available aid that you have sought or are planning on seeking and any other material terms of the aid to investors.
    • Information Regarding Non-Routine Events that May Impact an Issuer’s Ability to Repay Securities. For instance, a large business relocating to your jurisdiction may have a positive impact, while a natural disaster may have a negative impact. Sharing information with the market on any non-routine events that may impact your ability to repay debt service could be helpful.

    In my view, making any voluntary disclosures available in the place or places where they regularly make information available to investors, such as on the EMMA system and/or on their own websites, would be helpful to both issuers and investors.

    b. Observations on Liability

    I sometimes hear from issuers that they would disclose more information to the market, but that their counsel advises them, as a matter of course, not to provide any information that is not required. I recognize that the issue of liability is often raised in connection with voluntary disclosures.

    I believe that accompanying voluntary disclosures that contain projections or forward-looking statements with meaningful cautionary language — including, for example, (1) a description of relevant facts or assumptions affecting the reasonableness of reliance on and the materiality of the information provided, (2) a description of how certain important information may be incomplete or unknown, and (3) the process or methodology (audited versus unaudited) used by the municipal issuer or obligated person to produce the information — could not only improve the quality of the disclosure but also help mitigate associated legal risks.

    As I observe the municipal securities market and consider appropriate paths to address behaviors that impact investor confidence and transparency, I believe that it would be beneficial for municipal issuers to disclose, to exercise reasonable care, and to follow best practices in the creation and release of any voluntary disclosure.

    It’s always a pleasure to speak with members of the GFOA. Thank you again for the invitation to discuss these important issues with you today.


    [1]           See Section 975(a)(1)(B) (15 U.S.C. 78o-4(a)(1)(B)) of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010 (“Dodd-Frank Act” or “Dodd-Frank”).

    [3]           While state statutes or other governing documents may reference the selection or designation of a “financial advisor” in connection with the issuance of bonds, I am of the view that the term “municipal advisor” should also be used in any RFP/Qs and offering documents issued in these jurisdictions when the requested service may include municipal advisory activity. In the event a state statute or other governing document references “financial advisor” or other term, it may be appropriate to use both terms with appropriate definitions and cross-references.  

    [4]           Pursuant to Exchange Act Rule 15Ba1-1(e) (15 CFR 240.15Ba1-1(e)), “municipal advisory activities” includes, but is not limited to, “[p]roviding advice to or on behalf of a municipal entity or obligated person with respect to municipal financial products or the issuance of municipal securities, including advice with respect to the structure, timing, terms, and other similar matters concerning such financial products or issue.”

    [5]           See Exchange Act Section 15B(e)(4)(A) (15 U.S.C. 78o-4(e)(4)(A)). The definition of municipal advisor includes financial advisors, guaranteed investment contract brokers, third-party marketers, placement agents, solicitors, finders, and swap advisors that provide municipal advisory services, unless they are statutorily excluded. See 15 U.S.C. 78o-4(e)(4)(B). The statutory definition of municipal advisor excludes a broker, dealer, or municipal securities dealer serving as an underwriter (as defined in section 77b(a)(11) of this title), any investment adviser registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (15 U.S.C. 80b-1 et seq.), or persons associated with such investment advisers who are providing investment advice, any commodity trading advisor registered under the Commodity Exchange Act or persons associated with a commodity trading advisor who are providing advice related to swaps, attorneys offering legal advice or providing services that are of a traditional legal nature, or engineers providing engineering advice. See 15 U.S.C. 78o-4(e)(4)(C). The Commission exempts the following persons from the definition of municipal advisor to the extent they are engaging in the specified activities: accountants; public officials and employees; banks; responses to requests for proposals or qualifications; swap dealers; participation by an independent registered municipal advisor; persons that provide advice on certain investment strategies; certain solicitations. See Exchange Act Rule 15Ba1-1(d)(3)(i) through (viii) (17 CFR 240.15Ba1-1(d)(3)(i) through (viii)).

    [6]           See Registration of Municipal Advisors, Exchange Act Release No. 70462 (Sept. 20, 2013), 78 FR 67468, 67509 (Nov. 12, 2013) (“Municipal Advisor Adopting Release”).

    [7]           The timeline for being required to register as a municipal advisor when advising clients about conduit financing or other financing options is dependent on certain facts and circumstances. See id. at 67485.

    [8]           Id. at 67475.

    [11]         While the Dodd-Frank Act is a federal law, the municipal advisor registration requirements apply to advice with respect to the issuance of municipal securities regardless of the proposed source of funds used to repay those securities, which may include local tax revenue, state or federal revenue or grants or funds paid by a private lessee or purchaser. The staff is aware of publicly available documents where a state or local government has stated that municipal advisor registration is only required for municipal securities being repaid with federal funds.

    [12]         See Speech, Responsibilities of Regulated Entities to Municipal Issuers, supra note 2.

    [13]         See Exchange Act Release No. 33742 (Mar. 9, 1994), 59 FR 12759 (Mar. 17, 1994) (“1994 Amendments Proposing Release”).

    [14]         See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12. The Commission adopted Rule 15c2-12 in 1989 to enhance disclosure in the   municipal securities market by codifying standards for underwriters to obtain, review, and disseminate disclosure documents. See Exchange Act Release No. 26100 (Sept. 22, 1988), 53 FR 37778 (“1988 Proposing Release”); Exchange Act Release No. 26985 (June 28, 1989), 54 FR 28799 (July 10, 1989) (“1989 Adopting Release”). Rule 15c2-12 requires an underwriter acting in primary offerings of municipal securities with an aggregate principal amount of $1,000,000 or more to obtain and review an official statement “deemed final” by an issuer of the municipal securities, except for the omission of specified information, prior to making a bid, purchase, offer, or sale of municipal securities. See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12(a) and (b)(1).

    [15]         The Commission has amended Rule 15c2-12 over the years to respond to evolving market practices. See Exchange Act Release No. 34961 (Nov. 10, 1994), 59 FR 59590 (Nov. 17, 1994) (“1994 Amendments Adopting Release”); Exchange Act Release No. 59062 (Dec. 5, 2008), 73 FR 76104 (Dec. 15, 2008) (“2008 Amendments Adopting Release”); Exchange Act Release No. 62184A (May 27, 2010), 75 FR 33100 (June 10, 2010) (“2010 Amendments Adopting Release”); and Exchange Act Release No. 83885 (Aug. 20, 2018), 83 FR 44700 (Aug. 31, 2018) (“2018 Amendments Adopting Release”).

    [16]         See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12(b)(5).

    [17]         See 17 CFR 240.15c2-12(b)(5)(C).

    [18]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599.

    [19]         Id.

    [20]         Id.

    [21]         Id.

    [22]         NABL raised several questions in its letters. See Letter from Robert L.D. Colby, Deputy Director, Division of Market Regulation, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, to John S. Overdorff, Chair, and Gerald J. Laporte, Vice-Chair, Securities Law and Disclosure Committee, National Association of Bond Lawyers, dated June 23, 1995 (‘‘NABL 1 Letter”), available at https://www.sec.gov/info/municipal/nabl-1-interpretive-letter-1995-06-23.pdf; and Letter from Catherine McGuire, Chief Counsel, Division of Market Regulation, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, to John S. Overdorff, Chair, Securities Law and Disclosure Committee, National Association of Bond Lawyers, dated Sept. 19, 1995 (“NABL 2 Letter”), available at https://www.sec.gov/info/municipal/nabl-2-interpretive-letter-1995-09-19.pdf. See also Letter from Michael Nicholas, Chief Executive Officer, Bond Dealers of America, Emily Swenson Brock, Director, Federal Liaison Center, Government Finance Officers Association, Kenneth R. Artin, President, National Association of Bond Lawyers, Cornelia Chebinou, Washington Director, National Association of State Auditors, Comptrollers and Treasures, Michael Decker, Managing Director, Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, to Jessica Kane, Director, Office of Municipal Securities, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, dated Aug. 9, 2016 available at https://www.nabl.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/20160809-Joint-Letter-on-Amending-CDAs.pdf.

    [23]         See NABL 1 Letter, Question 2, supra note 22.  

    [24]         Id.

    [25]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599; Securities and Exchange Commission, Report on the Municipal Securities Market (July 31, 2012) (“Report on the Municipal Securities Market”), at 70, available at https://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2012/munireport073112.pdf.

    [26]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599 (Commission noting that “the amendments require that the undertaking specify only the general type of information to be supplied . . .”).

    [27]         Id.

    [28]         Id.

    [29]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599. But see NABL 1 Letter, Question 2, supra note 22, outlining scenarios where an undertaking that includes an amendment provisions nevertheless may satisfy the requirements of Rule 15c2-12.

    [30]         See 1994 Amendments Adopting Release, supra note 15, 59 FR at 59599.

    [31]         Id. at 59601.

    [32]         Id. (“remedies for breach of any undertaking under applicable state law are a subject for negotiation between the parties to the Offering.”).

    [33]         See Exchange Act Release No. 33741 (Mar. 9, 1994), 59 FR 12748, 12752-754 (Mar. 17, 1994) (“1994 Interpretive Release”).

    [34]         As seen during the Covid-19 Pandemic, variations in voluntary disclosures persisted and the differing approaches to disclosure served as a reminder that required disclosures are not confined to enumerated events. For instance, some issuers included tailored, stand-alone COVID-19-risk sections in their disclosures or uploaded financial informational statements to EMMA identifying impacts on economies and revenues, and expectations regarding associated risk mitigation. See, e.g., MSRB, Municipal Securities Market COVID-19-Related Disclosure Summary (updated Mar. 28, 2021), available at https://www.msrb.org/sites/default/files/2022-09/Municipal-Securities-Market-COVID-19-Related-Disclosure-Summary.pdf; DPC Data COVID Disclosure Trends Charted in New Infographic, A Year of COVID-Tagged Disclosures, Mar. 2020 to Mar. 2021, available at https://www.dpcdata.com/resources/year-covid-tagged-disclosures/. 

    [35]         See, e.g., Report on the Municipal Securities Market, supra note 25, at III.A.1 and III.B (summarizing market participant and investor interest in voluntary disclosure guidelines and best practices to improve the level and quality of disclosure in the primary and secondary markets); Chairman Jay Clayton and Rebecca Olsen, Director, Office of Municipal Securities, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, The Importance of Disclosure for our Municipal Markets (May 4, 2020) (the “Municipal Market COVID-19 Statement”), available at https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/statement-clayton-olsen-2020-05-04.

    [36]         See, e.g., Government Finance Officers Association (“GFOA”) Best Practices Voluntary Disclosure (Oct. 1, 2021) (“Best Practices on Voluntary Disclosure”), available at https://www.gfoa.org/materials/voluntary-disclosure (“Enhanced market communication achieved through voluntary disclosure the issuer to improve its investor relations. This enhanced communication and improved relations with investors can become an important factor for access to the capital for markets….”); National Federation of Municipal Analysts (“NFMA”) Position Paper on Voluntary Interim Disclosures by State and Local Governments (Oct. 26, 2004) (“NFMA Voluntary Interim Disclosures Paper”), at 2-4, available at https://www.nfma.org/assets/documents/nfma_position_interim_disclosure.pdf (NFMA “strongly believe(s) that it is in the best interest of state and local government units and political instrumentalities thereof to provide investors on a voluntary basis with timely disclosure reports derived from information maintained in the normal course of operations” and that “[t]o the extent that governmental issuers have relevant financial information on hand, the benefits of providing voluntary interim disclosure vastly outweigh any administrative burden entailed in disseminating this information to the market.”)

    [37]         See Best Practices on Voluntary Disclosure, supra note 36.

    [38]         See, e.g., id.; Report on the Municipal Securities Market, supra note 25, at 58 (noting that the “practices of market participants in voluntarily providing [large amounts of information about issuers of municipal securities] to investors are not, however, consistent,” further explaining that “[l]arge repeat issuers generally have more comprehensive disclosure than small, infrequent or conduit issuers, who may voluntarily provide little ongoing information to investors.”).

    [39]         In many cases, municipal issuers already prepare and disseminate reports or other documents containing financial information and/or operating data to various governmental or institutional bodies, or to the public. See, e.g., Application of Antifraud Provisions to Public Statements of Issuers and Obligated Persons of Municipal Securities in the Secondary Market: Staff Legal Bulletin No. 21 (OMS) (Feb. 7, 2020) (“Staff Legal Bulletin No. 21”), available at https://www.sec.gov/municipal/application-antifraud-provisions-staff-legal-bulletin-21; Report of Investigation in the Matter of the City of Harrisburg, Pa. Concerning the Potential Liability of Public Officials with Regard to Disclosure Obligations in the Secondary Market, Exchange Act Release No. 69516 (May 6, 2013), (“Harrisburg Report”), available at https://www.sec.gov/litigation/investreport/34-69516.htm.

    [40]         See Report on the Municipal Securities Market, supra note 25, at 106 n.640.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Analysis: The NHS plan to genetically test all newborns sounds smart – until it creates patients who aren’t sick

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Luca Stroppa, Postdoctoral fellow (“borsista di ricerca) at the University of Turin, former Postdoctoral Fellow on the project “Early Diagnosis – Handling Knowing”, University of St Andrews

    The current heel-prick test checks for nine rare genetic conditions, antibydni/Shutterstock

    By 2030, every baby born in England could have their entire genome sequenced under a new NHS initiative to “predict and prevent illness”. This would dramatically expand the current heel-prick test, which checks for nine rare genetic conditions, into a far more extensive screen of hundreds of potential risks.

    On the surface, the idea sounds like an obvious win for public health: spot problems early, intervene sooner and save lives. But genetic testing on this scale carries real risks, especially if the results are misunderstood or poorly communicated.

    The new plan builds on a recent NHS pilot study that sequenced the genomes of 100,000 newborns in England to identify more than 200 genetic conditions. However, these tests don’t provide clear cut answers. They don’t offer a diagnosis or certainty, just an estimate of risk.

    A genetic result might suggest a child has a higher (or lower) probability of developing a certain disease later in life. But risk is not prediction. If parents, or even clinicians, misinterpret that nuance, the consequences could be serious.

    Some families may come to see a child flagged as “at risk” as a patient-in-waiting. In extreme cases, they may treat a probability as a certainty; assuming, for instance, that a child “has the gene” and will inevitably become ill. That assumption could reshape how children are raised, how they’re treated and how they could see themselves.

    Alarming language

    This isn’t speculation. Research shows that while some people understand risk scores accurately, many struggle with statistical information. Words like “high risk” or “likely” are interpreted differently by different people and often more seriously than intended. Even trained doctors can overestimate what a positive test result means. When it comes to genomics, the line between “you might get sick” and “you will get sick” can blur quickly.

    Policymakers haven’t helped this confusion. Government messaging refers to “diagnosis before symptoms even occur” and “leapfrogging disease.” But this language overpromises what genomic data can do and downplays its uncertainty.

    When testing is indiscriminate and communication unclear, the fallout can be wide ranging. Children identified as “high risk” may undergo years of monitoring, unnecessary medical appointments, or even treatment for diseases they never develop. In some cases, this leads to physical harms, from unnecessary medications to procedures with side effects. In others, the damage is psychological: shaping a child’s identity around an anticipated future of illness. These psychological effects can be lasting. Being told you’re likely to develop a condition like dementia may influence how a person plans their life, even if that illness never materialises.

    False positives

    There are also broader issues with applying this kind of screening to everyone. Risk based testing works best when it’s targeted; for example, among those with symptoms or a strong family history. But in the general population, where most people are healthy, false positives can far outnumber accurate results. Even well designed tests can produce misleading outcomes when applied at scale.

    This is a well-known statistical effect, discussed during the COVID pandemic. In populations where a disease is rare, even highly accurate tests produce more false positives than true ones. If DNA screening is rolled out universally, many families will be told their child is at risk when they are not. These false positives can lead to a cascade of further tests, stress and unnecessary clinical interventions; all of which consume time and resources and may cause real harm.

    This issue already affects adult testing. For example, Alzheimer’s tests that measure early changes in the brain work well in memory clinics, where patients already show symptoms. But when these same tests are used on the general population, where most people are healthy, they produce false positives in up to two-thirds of cases. If genetic screening in newborns is rolled out in the same way, it could lead to similar problems: mislabelling healthy children as sick, and causing unnecessary worry and follow-up tests.

    So what’s the solution? It’s not to abandon genetic testing altogether – far from it. When used carefully, genomic data can offer real benefits, particularly for patients with symptoms or in research settings. But if we’re going to roll this out to every newborn, the surrounding infrastructure needs to be robust.

    That includes:

    • Clear, consistent communication: Risk scores must be explained in ways that emphasise uncertainty, not oversold as definitive predictions.

    • Support for parents: For consent to be truly informed, parents need help understanding that a genetic flag is not a diagnosis – and that many people with elevated risk never go on to develop the condition.

    • Training for clinicians: Many doctors still lack the tools to interpret and explain genetic information accurately and responsibly.

    • A national network of genetic counsellors Genetic counsellors are essential for supporting families through testing and interpretation. But current numbers in the England fall far short of what universal newborn screening would require.

    Genomic data holds great promise. But using it as a blanket tool for all newborns demands caution, clarity, and investment in communication and care. Without these safeguards, we risk turning healthy babies into patients-in-waiting.

    Correction: An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated that every baby born in the UK could have their genome sequenced under a new NHS initiative. In fact, the initiative applies to England only.

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. The NHS plan to genetically test all newborns sounds smart – until it creates patients who aren’t sick – https://theconversation.com/the-nhs-plan-to-genetically-test-all-newborns-sounds-smart-until-it-creates-patients-who-arent-sick-259816

    MIL OSI Analysis

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: London building contractor banned as company director and ordered to repay Covid loan funds with interest

    Source: United Kingdom – Government Statements

    Press release

    London building contractor banned as company director and ordered to repay Covid loan funds with interest

    Director disqualification and compensation order for Bounce Back loan abuse

    • Building contractor Tahir Haq overstated his company Integral Maintenance Team Ltd’s turnover by almost £200,000 to obtain a £50,000 Bounce Back loan when it was only entitled to just over £3,000
    • He then failed to provide evidence that all of the funds were used for the economic benefit of his business
    • The High Court banned Haq as a company director for 11 years and ordered him to repay all the money he was not entitled to, plus interest and costs

    A West London building contractor who overstated his company’s turnover by almost £200,000 to secure a maximum-value Covid Bounce Back loan has been banned as a director and ordered to repay the money he was not entitled to.

    Tahir Haq obtained a £50,000 Bounce Back loan for building completion and freight transport company Integral Maintenance Team Ltd, in late 2020.

    However, his company was only entitled to little more than £3,000 under the scheme.

    The 46-year-old, of Norman Avenue, Southall, provided no evidence that some of the funds he received were used for the economic benefit of his business, including cash withdrawals and money which was paid to a housing scheme in Pakistan. Haq supplied no documents which demonstrated that the housing scheme was connected to his company.

    Haq was disqualified as a company director for 11 years at a hearing of the High Court in London on Tuesday 10 June.

    He was also ordered to pay compensation of £46,778, as well as interest on the loan totalling £4,078, and additional costs of £8,107.

    His ban started on Tuesday 1 July.

    Kevin Read, Chief Investigator at the Insolvency Service, said:

    Tahir Haq overstated his company’s turnover by almost £200,000 to secure the maximum Bounce Back loan available.

    Our investigation revealed he used some of this money for personal purposes, including payments to a housing scheme in Pakistan.

    The 11-year disqualification and requirement to repay all the money he was never entitled to demonstrates our commitment to holding directors financially accountable when they misuse Covid support schemes.

    Haq was the sole director of Integral Maintenance Team Ltd, which was set up in July 2018.

    The company’s trading was described on Companies House as ‘other building completion and finishing’ and ‘freight transport by road’.

    Haq secured the £50,000 Bounce Back loan for Integral Maintenance Team Ltd in December 2020, claiming the company’s turnover was £212,800.

    However, receipts into the company bank account for 2019 were only £12,888, meaning he obtained £46,778 more than he should have.

    Haq also failed to explain how at least £34,777 of the Bounce Back loan funds were used to benefit his company. The remaining funds were found to have been used for his business.

    Liquidators were appointed for Integral Maintenance Team Ltd in November 2021.

    The disqualification order prevents Haq from being involved in the promotion, formation or management of a company, without the permission of the court.

    Further information

    Updates to this page

    Published 1 July 2025

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Europe: AFRICA/GUINEA BISSAU – New Bishop of Bafatà: Listening, dialogue, and walking with the people are among his priorities

    Source: Agenzia Fides – MIL OSI

    Pontifícias Obras Missionárias Guiné Bissau

    Bafatà (Agenzia Fides) – “I want to be a pastor present in the villages, in our most remote communities, in our wounded hearts,” said Victor Luís Quematcha (OFM) in his homily at the first Holy Mass he celebrated as the new Bishop of Bafatà in the Cathedral on Sunday, June 29. The day before, a ceremony for the taking possession of the diocese took place, attended by bishops from Guinea-Bissau, Senegal, and Cape Verde, as well as ecclesiastics from Portugal and Brazil and a large number of local faithful, including a representative of the Pontifical Mission Societies.In his homily at his first Mass as Bishop, Luis Quematcha emphasized the coincidence with the Solemnity of the Holy Apostles Peter and Paul. He emphasized that he brings no fixed plans, ideas, or solutions, but that, above all, he wants to listen, engage in dialogue, and walk together with the people. “I come with an open heart to the Holy Spirit and the cries of the people,” declared the new Bishop of Bafatá, whose diocese covers an area of more than 24,600 square kilometers and has played a fundamental role in the evangelization and social development of the eastern and southern regions of the country. Víctor Luís Quematcha (OFM), was born in Cúmura (Bissau), Guinea Bissau (see Fides, 8/03/2025), and succeeds Bishop Pedro Zilli (PIME), the first bishop of the diocese established in 2001, who died in 2021 due to Covid. The choice of the episcopal motto “You are all brothers” (Mt 23:8) is intended as an invitation to fraternity and unity among the faithful and underlines the values of communion and solidarity in keeping with the Church’s mission to promote peace and harmony, as the new bishop explained in an interview with Rádio Sol Mansi. (EG) (Agenzia Fides, 30/6/2025)
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    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: AFRICA/GUINEA BISSAU – New Bishop of Bafatà: Listening, dialogue, and walking with the people are among his priorities

    Source: Agenzia Fides – MIL OSI

    Pontifícias Obras Missionárias Guiné Bissau

    Bafatà (Agenzia Fides) – “I want to be a pastor present in the villages, in our most remote communities, in our wounded hearts,” said Victor Luís Quematcha (OFM) in his homily at the first Holy Mass he celebrated as the new Bishop of Bafatà in the Cathedral on Sunday, June 29. The day before, a ceremony for the taking possession of the diocese took place, attended by bishops from Guinea-Bissau, Senegal, and Cape Verde, as well as ecclesiastics from Portugal and Brazil and a large number of local faithful, including a representative of the Pontifical Mission Societies.In his homily at his first Mass as Bishop, Luis Quematcha emphasized the coincidence with the Solemnity of the Holy Apostles Peter and Paul. He emphasized that he brings no fixed plans, ideas, or solutions, but that, above all, he wants to listen, engage in dialogue, and walk together with the people. “I come with an open heart to the Holy Spirit and the cries of the people,” declared the new Bishop of Bafatá, whose diocese covers an area of more than 24,600 square kilometers and has played a fundamental role in the evangelization and social development of the eastern and southern regions of the country. Víctor Luís Quematcha (OFM), was born in Cúmura (Bissau), Guinea Bissau (see Fides, 8/03/2025), and succeeds Bishop Pedro Zilli (PIME), the first bishop of the diocese established in 2001, who died in 2021 due to Covid. The choice of the episcopal motto “You are all brothers” (Mt 23:8) is intended as an invitation to fraternity and unity among the faithful and underlines the values of communion and solidarity in keeping with the Church’s mission to promote peace and harmony, as the new bishop explained in an interview with Rádio Sol Mansi. (EG) (Agenzia Fides, 30/6/2025)
    Share:

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI: YURU COIN Officially Launches, Bringing Japan’s National Mascot Phenomenon into Web3

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    TOKYO, June 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — YURU COIN, the official token of Japan’s beloved Yuru-Chara Grand Prix, has officially launched, marking the first time the country’s largest regional mascot competition enters the blockchain era. With over 738 million page views and 170 million cumulative votes since 2011, the Grand Prix has become a cornerstone of Japanese pop culture — and now, YURU COIN is set to transform this legacy into a decentralized digital economy.

    A Token Built on Scarcity: The Deflationary Model

    YURU COIN operates on a fully deflationary tokenomics model. All tokens were minted at launch — with no additional issuance ever planned. Every time fans vote, participate in official campaigns, or interact with mascot NFTs, YURU COIN is burned or consumed, reducing the available supply. This unique economic structure ensures increasing scarcity and potential value growth as user engagement grows. Unlike speculative tokens that inflate markets with excess supply, YURU COIN’s value is driven by cultural participation and real-world utility.

    Real Cultural Utility: From Votes to Economic Power
    YURU COIN is not just a cryptocurrency—it is a token of participation in one of Japan’s most widely recognized and cherished cultural events. The Yuru-Chara Grand Prix has become a national tradition, allowing hundreds of regional mascots to gain popularity and recognition through fan voting and local promotions. And the results have been more than symbolic—they’ve been economic.

    Consider Kumamon, the bear mascot from Kumamoto Prefecture and the Grand Prix’s first-ever champion. As of 2024, Kumamon’s merchandise sales reached ¥162.6 billion, with a record high of ¥166.4 billion in 2023, and a cumulative economic impact exceeding ¥1.45 trillion ($10 billion USD). This demonstrates the real-world power of character branding—not just for public relations, but for regional economies.

    Winning the Yuru-Chara Grand Prix can literally be worth hundreds of millions of dollars in economic value — and now, YURU COIN gives fans a tokenized way to help make that happen.

    A Decentralized Bridge Between Culture and Crypto

    With the introduction of YURU COIN, voting for your favorite character is no longer just symbolic — it becomes an act of economic support.

    Every vote powered by YURU COIN reinforces scarcity, creates digital demand, and fuels a new layer of community engagement. Fans, municipalities, and businesses alike can align around a decentralized, transparent voting and reward system that reflects real value.

    This marks a major shift: from character branding as passive entertainment to token-driven, participatory economics.

    Cross-Border Potential: Proven in China
    Before the pandemic, the Yuru-Chara Grand Prix had already begun cultural collaboration initiatives in China, including public exhibitions and mascot exchanges.

    Although temporarily paused by COVID-19, these efforts are now set to resume — with YURU COIN acting as the digital infrastructure to support global voting, character campaigns, and NFT-based engagement across borders.

    By combining local culture with decentralized technology, YURU COIN is positioned to expand this unique Japanese character tradition to international audiences, starting with China and the broader Asian market.

    The Future of Mascots is On-Chain

    Mascots like Kumamon have proven that cute characters can generate trillion-yen-level economic value through emotional resonance, strong storytelling, and regional identity.

    With YURU COIN, the next generation of mascot champions will rise not only through votes but through on-chain validation, powered by community support, blockchain transparency, and deflationary mechanics.

    This is more than a token. It’s a cultural infrastructure. It’s a gateway to a new kind of participation economy — where the people decide, and the blockchain records.

    Join the movement. Vote with value. Power the future of character culture.

    Website: https://en.coin.yurugp.jp
    X (Twitter): @yuru_coin
    Telegram: t.me/yurucoin
    Discord: discord.gg/WyBWstXVdV

    Media Contact:
    Taisei Yamaguchi
    Director / Project Lead
    Email: yuru_info@yuruchara.com

    Disclaimer: This content is provided by YURU COIN. The statements, views, and opinions expressed in this content are solely those of the content provider and do not necessarily reflect the views of this media platform or its publisher. We do not endorse, verify, or guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information presented. We do not guarantee any claims, statements, or promises made in this article. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice.Investing in crypto and mining-related opportunities involves significant risks, including the potential loss of capital. It is possible to lose all your capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you understand the risks involved. Seek independent advice if necessary. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. However, due to the inherently speculative nature of the blockchain sector—including cryptocurrency, NFTs, and mining—complete accuracy cannot always be guaranteed.Neither the media platform nor the publisher shall be held responsible for any fraudulent activities, misrepresentations, or financial losses arising from the content of this press release. In the event of any legal claims or charges against this article, we accept no liability or responsibility. Globenewswire does not endorse any content on this page.

    Legal Disclaimer: This media platform provides the content of this article on an “as-is” basis, without any warranties or representations of any kind, express or implied. We assume no responsibility for any inaccuracies, errors, or omissions. We do not assume any responsibility or liability for the accuracy, content, images, videos, licenses, completeness, legality, or reliability of the information presented herein. Any concerns, complaints, or copyright issues related to this article should be directed to the content provider mentioned above.

    A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/8204c84c-ef90-47be-8e20-e91a7fda8cb8

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Submissions: New survey explores what people in South Africa expect of publicly visible scientists – why it matters

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Marina Joubert, Science Communication Researcher, Stellenbosch University

    Professor Salim Abdool Karim became one of the most visible scientists in South Africa during the COVID pandemic. Photo by Phill Magakoe/AFP via Getty Images

    Whether it’s an astronomical discovery, news of a previously undiscovered disease or a major report about climate change, science is often making headlines.

    This means that it’s perhaps more important than ever for scientists to visibly engage with society. By becoming recognisable figures in the media, scientists can share new ideas and influence science policy. They can also shape public opinion, and build public trust in science, offering hope in times of crisis. They’re important players in the fight against misinformation, pseudoscience and anti-science sentiments.

    Some scientists have become publicly visible, regularly appearing in the media. Some have become media stars. There are even a few scientific celebrities.

    But, as our recently published paper reveals, even these supposedly visible scientists aren’t that recognisable to many. We surveyed 1,000 respondents in South Africa and another 1,000 in Germany, asking people to name up to three living scientists in their own country. More than half in both countries didn’t reply, said they didn’t know or couldn’t remember.

    We also asked people to explain what they thought of as a “visible” scientist and what they expected of those scientists.

    This kind of research helps to explain the relationship between science and society. It also helps policymakers, science communicators and institutions understand how best to support scientists to play a more prominent role in the public interest.

    Not all that visible

    When asked to name a living scientist from their own country, more than half of the respondents in both countries did not reply. Or they wrote something like “I don’t know” or “I can’t remember”. Many who did answer listed the names of deceased scientists such as German-born theoretical physicist Albert Einstein, US astronomer Carl Sagan, and South African heart surgeon Christiaan Barnard.

    Several South Africans thought of politicians such as former president Jacob Zuma or former health minister Zweli Mkhize as visible scientists. Others named tech entrepreneurs who no longer live in South Africa, like Mark Shuttleworth and Elon Musk. This indicates that whoever publicly talks about science can easily be perceived as a scientist.

    Controversial doctor Wouter Basson was mentioned several times. Basson, a cardiologist, headed the apartheid government’s secret chemical and biological warfare project, Project Coast, and was nicknamed “Dr Death” in the media because of his alleged role in the deaths of anti-apartheid activists. (In 2002 he was acquitted of 67 charges related to his involvement in apartheid-era crimes.) A public outcry erupted when it emerged, in 2021, that he had been practising as a cardiologist at a local private hospital since 2005. The fact that he was mentioned by respondents confirms that there’s a link between controversy and perceived public visibility.

    Most living scientists mentioned were health researchers who achieved a high media profile during COVID-19, such as the German virologist Christian Drosten and South African HIV/Aids experts Linda-Gail Bekker, Salim Abdool Karim and Glenda Gray.

    This demonstrates that, overall, scientists are invisible rather than visible in public. The visible scientist is – and remains – a rare phenomenon despite changing media environments and a recent global pandemic.

    Expectations

    Echoing other researchers’ earlier findings, the study shows that people expect a visible scientist to have a solid professional reputation. They should also be charismatic leaders who are highly articulate, media-savvy, hard-working and dedicated. Some South Africans emphasised that visible scientists should put the needs of others before their own and that science should serve all citizens equally.

    Respondents from Germany and South Africa generally agreed that visible scientists should always base their comments on robust evidence and always tell the truth, even if it was difficult. They should not operate too closely to politics and should serve the public without hidden agendas and vested interests.

    Earlier studies have shown that the most visible scientists are usually men in leadership positions. Our survey found that people didn’t mind what a visible scientist looked like, and did not prefer a specific gender or seniority. This suggests that there is scope for younger and female scientists to become more visible in the public sphere.




    Read more:
    Male voices dominated South African COVID reporting: that has to change


    We found only minor differences between South Africa and Germany. Public expectations of scientists are remarkably similar across these two countries from the global north and the global south. The overall similar attitudes towards visible scientists may be explained by a universal public image of science around the world.

    Increasing visibility

    The study was part of the crowd-sourced Many Labs project “Trust in Science and Science-Related Populism”. The project’s findings on public trust in scientists across 68 countries show that, overall, public trust in science remains high. It also highlighted that people worldwide want scientists to engage more proactively with society and play a more prominent role in evidence-based policymaking.




    Read more:
    Five golden rules for effective science communication – perspectives from a documentary maker


    Scientists who are interested in increasing their media visibility and public profile could start by working with professional communicators in the media or research offices of their universities or similar research organisations. There are also existing resources, like peer-reviewed science communication tips, and even free online courses.

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. New survey explores what people in South Africa expect of publicly visible scientists – why it matters – https://theconversation.com/new-survey-explores-what-people-in-south-africa-expect-of-publicly-visible-scientists-why-it-matters-249866

    MIL OSI

  • MIL-OSI Submissions: Global crises have hit education hard: 24 years of research offers a way forward for southern Africa

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Emmanuel Ojo, Associate Professor, University of the Witwatersrand

    Global crises have shaped our world over the past two decades, affecting education systems everywhere. Higher education researcher Emmanuel Ojo has studied the impact of these disruptions on educational opportunities, particularly in southern Africa.

    He looked at 5,511 peer-reviewed articles published between 2000 and 2024 to explore what the research suggests about making education systems more resilient. Here, he answers some questions about his review.


    What are the global crises that have undermined education?

    In my review I drew up a table documenting how multiple crises have disrupted education systems worldwide.

    The cycle began with the 2000-2002 dot-com bubble collapse, which reduced education funding and slowed technological integration. This was followed by the 2001 terrorist attacks, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak (2002-2004), Iraq War (2003-2011), Indian Ocean tsunami (2004), and Hurricane Katrina (2005). The Israeli-Palestinian conflict since 2000, global food crisis (2007-2008), financial crisis (2007-2008), and European debt crisis (2010-2012) continued this pattern of disruption.

    More recently, the Ebola epidemic, COVID-19 pandemic, and Russia-Ukraine war have destabilised education systems. Meanwhile, the ongoing climate crisis creates challenges, particularly in southern Africa where environmental vulnerability is high.

    Who suffers most, and in what ways?

    Education has consistently been among the hardest-hit sectors globally. According to Unesco, the COVID pandemic alone affected more than 1.6 billion students worldwide.

    But the impact is not distributed equally.

    My research shows crises have put vulnerable populations at a further disadvantage through school closures, funding diversions, infrastructure destruction and student displacement. Quality and access decline most sharply for marginalised communities. Costs rise and mobility is restricted. Food insecurity during crises reduces attendance among the poorest students.

    In southern Africa, the Covid-19 disruption highlighted existing divides. Privileged students continued learning online. Those in rural and informal settlements were completely cut off from education.

    Climate change compounds these inequalities. Unicef highlights that climate disasters have a disproportionate impact on schooling for millions in low-income countries, where adaptive infrastructure is limited.

    What’s at stake for southern Africa is the region’s development potential and social cohesion. The widening of educational divides threatens to create a generation with unequal opportunities and capabilities.

    What makes southern African education systems fragile?

    My review focused on the 16 countries of the Southern African Development Community, revealing what makes them vulnerable to crisis impacts.

    Southern Africa’s geographic exposure to climate disasters combines with pre-existing economic inequalities. The region’s digital divide became starkly visible during the Covid-19 pandemic. Some students were excluded from learning by limited connectivity and unreliable electricity.

    The region’s systems also rely on external funding. The Trump administration’s sudden foreign aid freeze was a shock to South Africa’s higher education sector. It has affected public health initiatives and university research programmes.

    Research representation itself is unequal. Within the region, South African researchers dominate and other nations make only limited contributions. This creates blind spots in understanding context-specific challenges and solutions.

    Each successive crisis deepens educational divides, making recovery increasingly difficult and costly. Weaker education systems make the region less able to respond to other development challenges, too.

    How can southern Africa build education systems to withstand crises?

    One striking finding from my review was the surge in educational research after the Covid-19 pandemic began – from 229 studies in 2019 to nearly double that in 2020, with continued rapid growth thereafter. This indicates growing recognition that education systems must be redesigned to withstand future disruptions, not merely recover from current ones.

    Research points to a number of ways to do this:

    • Strategic investment in educational infrastructure, particularly digital technologies, to ensure learning continuity.

    • Equipping educators with skills to adapt teaching methods during emergencies.

    • Innovative, context-appropriate teaching approaches that empower communities.

    • Integration of indigenous knowledge systems into curricula, enhancing relevance, adaptability and community ownership.

    • Interdisciplinary and cross-national research collaborations.

    • Protection of education budgets, recognising education’s role in crisis recovery and long-term stability.

    • Community engagement in education, ensuring interventions are culturally appropriate and widely accepted.

    In my view, African philanthropists have a duty to provide the independent financial base that education systems need to withstand external funding fluctuations.

    What’s the cost of doing nothing?

    The economic and social costs of failing to build resilient education systems are profound and long-lasting. Each educational disruption creates negative effects that extend far beyond the crisis period.

    When students miss critical learning periods, it reduces their chances in life. The World Bank estimates that learning losses from the Covid-19 pandemic alone could result in up to US$17 trillion in lost lifetime earnings for affected students globally.

    Social costs are equally severe. Educational disruptions increase dropout rates, child marriage, early pregnancy, and youth unemployment. These outcomes create broader societal challenges that require costly interventions across multiple sectors.

    Spending on educational resilience avoids those costs.

    The question isn’t whether southern African nations can afford to invest in educational resilience, but whether they can afford not to.

    The choices made today will determine whether education systems merely survive crises or make society better. Evidence-based policies and regional cooperation are essential for building education systems that can fulfil Southern Africa’s human potential.

    Emmanuel Ojo receives funding from National Research Foundation (NRF).

    ref. Global crises have hit education hard: 24 years of research offers a way forward for southern Africa – https://theconversation.com/global-crises-have-hit-education-hard-24-years-of-research-offers-a-way-forward-for-southern-africa-251833

    MIL OSI

  • MIL-OSI Submissions: RFK Jr’s shakeup of vaccine advisory committee raises worries about scientific integrity of health recommendations

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Santosh Kumar Gautam, Associate Professor of Development and Global Health Economics, University of Notre Dame

    The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices played a key role in the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. Frederic J. Brown / AFP via Getty Images

    On June 11, 2025, Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced a slate of eight new members to serve on the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, which advises the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on national vaccine policy.

    The announcement, made on the social media platform X, comes two days after Kennedy removed all 17 of the serving committee members. Kennedy called their replacements “a bold step in restoring public trust” rooted in “radical transparency and gold standard science.”

    However, public health experts decried the removals, pointing to Kennedy’s promise not to change the committee and warning that the move politicizes its work and undermines its scientific integrity. Health experts have also noted that multiple new committee members appointed on June 11 have voiced anti-vaccine views that are not evidence-based.

    The Conversation U.S. asked Santosh Kumar Gautam, an expert in global health policy at the University of Notre Dame, to explain how the vaccine committee’s guidance has shaped vaccine recommendations for the public, and what the changes might mean for peoples’ ability to access vaccines in the future.

    What is the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices?

    The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, or ACIP, is a panel of experts appointed to advise the CDC on how to use vaccines to protect the health of people in the U.S. The committee’s job is to review multiple strands of scientific evidence to recommend which vaccines should be used, who should get them and when they should be given. Its guidance affects vaccine schedules for both children and adults, insurance coverage and public health policy across the country.

    The committee was formed in 1964 to establish national vaccine policy as federal immunization programs began to expand. It can have up to 19 voting members, who are appointed by the secretary of Health and Human Services. Members are experts in areas such as medicine, public health and immunology. Member usually serve overlapping four-year terms to ensure continuity. All 17 previous members were appointed at different times during the Biden administration. Removing all members of the committee at once is unprecedented.

    The group also includes nonvoting members from government health agencies, including the Food and Drug Administration and the National Institutes of Health. There are also representatives from more than 30 medical and public health organizations, such as the American Academy of Pediatrics and the American College of Physicians.

    These nonvoting members share useful information and real-world experience such as practical issues in administering vaccines in hospitals, management of vaccine side effects and insights into adverse events. Their input helps the committee make recommendations that reflect both science and practical needs.

    The committee meets three times a year to review new data on vaccine safety and effectiveness. Its next meeting is scheduled for June 25-27 and is expected to include discussions on COVID-19 and HPV vaccines, with recommendation votes planned for COVID-19 boosters, human papilloma virus and influenza vaccines. The meeting is open to the public and will be telecast live online.

    What is the committee’s role in vaccine policy?

    The committee makes its recommendations to the CDC by reviewing scientific evidence about a vaccine’s safety and efficacy, as well as practical issues, such as how easy a vaccine is to use, how it affects different groups, its side-effects and how it fits into the health system. The recommendations don’t just consider whether a vaccine works, but how it can be most effectively deployed to protect the American public from disease outbreaks.

    The new lineup of the vaccine advisory committee may lead to changes in children’s vaccine schedules.
    SementsovaLesia/iStock via Getty Images Plus

    The committee looks at data from clinical trials and other research to examine the most recent data on a vaccine’s safety, efficacy and use in everyday settings. When new vaccines come out or a change occurs in the way a disease spreads or behaves, the committee often revises its advice. It also responds to public health emergencies such as recent measles outbreaks in the U.S.

    The committee has made many updates over time. It changed flu shot guidance when new strains appeared. It lowered the recommended age for the HPV vaccine based on new research. And it adjusted vaccine plans for meningitis to better protect people at higher risk.

    What was the committee’s role during the COVID-19 pandemic?

    The committee played a vital role in evaluating vaccine safety and effectiveness and authorizing the use of vaccines for different age groups by reviewing clinical trial data, from Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna, Johnson & Johnson and other vaccine manufacturers.

    The committee also developed step-by-step guidelines for who should get vaccinated first, based on how likely people were to catch the virus, their risk of serious disease, the type of work they did and whether they came from a population that was historically underserved or at higher risk. It also issued tailored guidance for pregnant and breastfeeding women, immunocompromised people and children and adolescents as more trial data became available.

    These recommendations shaped vaccine rollout strategies at both national and state levels, guided insurance coverage and influenced COVID-19 vaccination policies in other countries around the world.

    Public health experts have expressed concern that Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s decision to replace all 17 members of the vaccine advisory committee will erode its ability to provide evidence-based guidance.

    Who are the new members that Kennedy appointed?

    Although Kennedy promised more transparency, he handpicked the advisory committee’s new members without revealing how they were selected. Historically, the body’s members are selected after an extensive vetting process that can take two years.

    The newly appointed members have expertise in psychiatry, neuroscience, epidemiology, biostatistics and operations management. However, several have been linked to vaccine-related misinformation, particularly relating to COVID-19 vaccines, raising concerns about the scientific neutrality of the committee moving forward.

    For example, Retsef Levi, a professor of operations management at MIT Sloan School of Management, has publicly called for suspension of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines, claiming they cause serious harm and death in young people – a statement not supported by evidence.

    Another member, physician and biochemist Robert Malone, made scientifically inaccurate statements about the dangers of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines during the pandemic.

    A third member, epidemiologist and biostatistician Martin Kulldorff helped write the Great Barrington Declaration, which opposed lockdowns and argued that people at low risk of severe illness or death should be allowed to contract COVID-19 to build natural immunity – a stance that was heavily debated among health experts.

    What happens now?

    The committee’s new makeup and Kennedy’s decades-long anti-vaccine stance threaten to erode the integrity of scientific decision-making and commitment to ethical standards in vaccine recommendations.

    Kennedy’s overhaul of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices will likely affect how insurers, doctors and the public make decisions about vaccines – and vaccine policy generally. For example, the advisory committee’s decisions directly affect which vaccines are covered by health insurance. If a vaccine is not recommended by the committee, many insurance plans, including those under the Affordable Care Act, are not required to cover it. This means families could face out-of-pocket costs, making it harder for children to access routine immunizations.

    The advisory committee also plays a key role in shaping the U.S. childhood vaccine schedule. Given Kennedy’s long-held skepticism about childhood vaccines — including those for measles and polio — some public health experts worry that the newly appointed members could push to revisit or revise vaccine recommendations, especially for newer and more debated vaccines like those for COVID-19 or HPV.

    States usually base their school entry vaccine requirements on the committee’s guidelines, and insurers often use them to determine which vaccines are covered. As a result, shifts in policy to childhood vaccinations could influence both school vaccination mandates and access to vaccines for millions of children.

    Santosh Kumar Gautam does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. RFK Jr’s shakeup of vaccine advisory committee raises worries about scientific integrity of health recommendations – https://theconversation.com/rfk-jrs-shakeup-of-vaccine-advisory-committee-raises-worries-about-scientific-integrity-of-health-recommendations-258674

    MIL OSI

  • MIL-OSI China: China National Health Commission does not Approve Part of the SAGO’s “Independent Assessment”

    Source: People’s Republic of China Ministry of Health

    he independent assessment of Scientific Advisory Group for the Origins of Novel Pathogens (SAGO) published recently does not find any new evidence related to the origins of SARS-CoV-2, nor does it draw any conclusion contrary to the Joint WHO-China Study released by the WHO in March 2021. Unfortunately, with manipulation and influence from certain countries and individuals, the report has included false information based on subjective speculation, seriously undermining the scientific soundness and credibility of the report, part of which raised groundless requirements for China. China does not approve, and they are not acceptable to the global scientific community either. China has shared data and information related to SARS-CoV-2 origins tracing study without reservation, which has been presented in the Covid-19 Prevention, Control and Origins Tracing: China’s Actions and Stance published on 30 April.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: China National Health Commission does not Approve Part of the SAGO’s “Independent Assessment”

    Source: People’s Republic of China Ministry of Health

    he independent assessment of Scientific Advisory Group for the Origins of Novel Pathogens (SAGO) published recently does not find any new evidence related to the origins of SARS-CoV-2, nor does it draw any conclusion contrary to the Joint WHO-China Study released by the WHO in March 2021. Unfortunately, with manipulation and influence from certain countries and individuals, the report has included false information based on subjective speculation, seriously undermining the scientific soundness and credibility of the report, part of which raised groundless requirements for China. China does not approve, and they are not acceptable to the global scientific community either. China has shared data and information related to SARS-CoV-2 origins tracing study without reservation, which has been presented in the Covid-19 Prevention, Control and Origins Tracing: China’s Actions and Stance published on 30 April.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI New Zealand: DOC’s Jobs for Nature legacy

    Source: NZ Department of Conservation

    Date:  30 June 2025

    Sia says, “Jobs for Nature projects have had a positive impact on the environment, restoring over 6000 ha of wetland, which has improved wildlife habitat, water quality and flood control capability, and have worked toward restoring six priority waterways, such as the Rangitata and Whanganui Rivers, among many other amazing results for our land, water, and species.”

    “As the Department’s work with Jobs for Nature comes to an end this month, the programme has been successful for the thousands who’ve gained valuable experience and achieved great things for nature.”

    Launched to turbo-boost nature-based employment through COVID-19, the $1.2 billion multi-agency programme employed people whose livelihoods were impacted through the pandemic, enabling them to stay local and support their families and communities.

    This support also benefitted regional economies reliant on tourism. In South Westland for example, the Jobs for Nature programme redeployed tourism workers from 40 businesses, keeping essential skills vital for economic recovery in the community.

    Sia says, “We estimate Jobs for Nature projects will return more than $1.97 billion in environmental, social and economic benefits over 30 years.

    “Jobs for Nature has stood up a new generation of conservationists who have upskilled and trained in critical ranger skills including pest control, planting, and landscape restoration.”

    When surveyed, 91 project partners identified as being whānau, hapū or iwi, and a further 63 said they have strong engagement with whānau, hapū or iwi.

    “Jobs for Nature supported Māori to work in their communities, contribute directly to improving the health of the whenua.”

    While government funding ends on 30 June 2025, there is an ongoing legacy, with just over 20 percent of projects (46) intending to develop businesses and continue their mahi.

    “We’ve seen tangible benefits for iwi, communities and nature. It’s demonstrated that when we take action for nature, it can bounce back,” Sia says.

    Background information

    Jobs for Nature (JFN) was a $1.2 billion programme set up in response to COVID-19 to create both nature-based employment opportunities and enduring environmental benefits.

    It ran from July 2020 to June 2025 and was administered by five government agencies. The Department of Conservation Te Papa Atawhai (DOC) allocated $485.3 million over 225 projects across Aotearoa New Zealand.

    Over five years, since 2020, the programme has improved biodiversity, increased environmental protection and supported better access to nature for future generations:

    • 8.4 million hours of conservation work was enabled, including more than 2.3 million hectares of pest control (animal and plant) and 5 million plantings.
    • Targeted support was provided for threatened species and ecosystems, including the Threatened – Nationally Critical kākāriki karaka/orange-fronted parakeet.
    • Restoration of six priority freshwater waterways was accelerated to protect and improve their biodiversity.
    • Over 6,000 hectares of wetland was restored, improving wildlife habitat, water quality, flood control and more.
    • Over 1,000 cultural heritage and recreational sites were maintained and improved, retaining our connection to nature and identity.
    • Local resilience to climate change impacts was increased.

    The programme also enabled iwi, hapū and whānau to realise their aspirations for the environment:

    • 90 Māori collective entities received funding totalling nearly $135 million, allowing them to have a greater influence in local decision making and delivery.
    • When surveyed, 91 project partners identified as being whānau, hapū or iwi, and a further 63 said they have strong engagement with whānau, hapū or iwi.
    • 93 projects included work on Māori land, improving the whenua for the future.

    *Data as at March, 2025.

    Contact

    For media enquiries contact:

    Email: media@doc.govt.nz

    MIL OSI New Zealand News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Why centuries-old astrology and tarot cards still appeal to us

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Hanna Tervanotko, Associate professor, Religious Studies, McMaster University

    The Sola Busca tarot deck from Italy, circa 15th century. (Artist unknown), CC BY

    More than 30 per cent of Americans believe in some sort of esoteric knowledge and regularly consult astrology, tarot readers or fortune tellers, according to a recent report by the Pew Research Centre.

    Even though the survey says these Americans are doing so “just for fun” and claim they rely on the information gained by divination “only a little,” the persistence — and apparent rise — of these practices suggests something deeper is at play.

    Tarot card: The High Priestess (Waite–Smith deck), c. 1909.
    (Pamela Colman Smith), CC BY

    People have always turned to divinatory methods to search for unanswered questions and to gain additional knowledge that could help them to prepare for the future, especially in times of uncertainty. For example, searches for “tarot cards” increased by more than 30 per cent during the pandemic.

    I study ancient divination, but to better understand how diviners work, I have observed contemporary diviners at work and talked with them about their practices. They say their clients request tarot consultations more frequently than they did in the past.

    What is divination?

    Anthropologists define “divination” methods as “practice(s) that seeks to foresee or foretell future events or discover hidden knowledge usually by the interpretation of omen or by the aid of supernatural powers.”

    Divination methods, including tarot and astrology, offer a way to ask questions when other systems fail to provide answers. These questions can be highly personal and difficult to address in a formal religious setting. The divinatory answers allow people to feel they’ve gained insight, which in turn gives a perception of control over an uncertain future.

    Apart from astrology and tarot, some of the best known divination methods include: the interpreting of dreams, reading coffee cups or tea leaves, observing animals and nature, reading palms and other body features such as nose shape and eye placement.

    When a diviner uses things, such as cards, tea leaves, dice or shells, the connecting thread to many of these methods is that people cannot control the signs they produce. For example, divination consultants typically mix the tarot card deck to make sure the result are randomized. People should not manipulate the results.

    Divination as alternative ways of knowing

    Pew Centre data reveals that young people, women and LGBTQ Americans are among the most likely to consult divinatory methods. Religious studies professor Marcelitte Failla has also written about contemporary Black women who have reclaimed the tarot deck to creatively address their spiritual needs.

    Many people turn to religion when they face the unknown in their lives. They address their insecurities in worship, asking for divine help.

    But there have always been people who did not have access to organized religion. Divinatory practices can be especially appealing to those who have been excluded from traditional religion and had to come up with alternative ways to address uncertainties.

    They perhaps lived in remote areas and could not attend worship sites such as temples. Or possibly, they were excluded from organized religion for identity reasons. For example, women regularly stayed home to care for children and sick. Sometimes, they were denied access because of their bodily “impurities,” menstruation or recent childbirth.

    LGBTQ+ individuals were also denied access. In the U.S., discrimination against LGBTQ+ individuals remains one of the leading reasons for leaving traditional religious institutions. In Canada, the churches’ discriminatory treatment of different sexual minorities has been one of the top reasons people dissolve membership.

    Divination in times of uncertainty

    In an age marked by ongoing anxiety, political instability and waning trust in institutions, centuries-old divination rituals offer alternative ways for folks to seek entertainment but also to gain a sense of insight, agency and connection. What may seem like harmless fun can also serve as a serious response to a chaotic world. Divinatory practices can provide both spiritual exploration and emotional validation.

    It’s understandable that a new situation, like the COVID-19 pandemic, triggered anxiety and uncertainty for people.

    People continue to experience more anxiety than they did before the pandemic. Some of the main concerns include world politics, job security and personal finances.

    As we try to make sense of the new, confusing and constantly changing situations, many create different theories, some questionable. Some people turn to alternative approaches like divination to make sense of the world.

    Tarot: Thinking through emotions

    People are checking out tarot readings on online platforms. And many social media accounts feature tarot.

    Besides increasing political insecurity, another reason for the increased interest in tarot may be the visual aspect. Increased interest in the decorated cards may be a reflection of our highly visual culture. Interest in the cards with images may reflect interest in other images we watch. They are like photos with messages.

    The fascination with tarot may also speak about a need to control the consultation as a diviner and their client see exactly the same thing. The images in the cards are also symbolic, and they can be interpreted in different ways.

    That means rather than providing a straightforward answer to a question, the cards are tools that can help think through one’s emotions and feelings.

    Tarot is not a religion. The object that is consulted is paper is not an image of the divine or a symbol of transcendence. This lack of alignment with any particular religion allows different people to consult tarot as a spiritual practice.

    In principle, the cards can be consulted anywhere without particular preparations. The only material one needs is a deck of cards. The accessible materiality may be adding to their popularity.

    Playful aspects of divination

    Many divinatory methods include a playful aspect. For instance, the objects used for the lot oracle — pebbles, stones, four-sided knucklebones or dice — are the same ones people used for playing board games.

    Ancient images show people consulting the objects or playing, suggesting the boundaries of some of the divinatory methods were always fluid.

    As randomizing is an important element of divinatory consultation, the new insights various methods produce can be both surprising and entertaining.

    Hanna Tervanotko receives funding from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada.

    ref. Why centuries-old astrology and tarot cards still appeal to us – https://theconversation.com/why-centuries-old-astrology-and-tarot-cards-still-appeal-to-us-258993

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Why centuries-old astrology and tarot cards still appeal to us

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Hanna Tervanotko, Associate professor, Religious Studies, McMaster University

    The Sola Busca tarot deck from Italy, circa 15th century. (Artist unknown), CC BY

    More than 30 per cent of Americans believe in some sort of esoteric knowledge and regularly consult astrology, tarot readers or fortune tellers, according to a recent report by the Pew Research Centre.

    Even though the survey says these Americans are doing so “just for fun” and claim they rely on the information gained by divination “only a little,” the persistence — and apparent rise — of these practices suggests something deeper is at play.

    Tarot card: The High Priestess (Waite–Smith deck), c. 1909.
    (Pamela Colman Smith), CC BY

    People have always turned to divinatory methods to search for unanswered questions and to gain additional knowledge that could help them to prepare for the future, especially in times of uncertainty. For example, searches for “tarot cards” increased by more than 30 per cent during the pandemic.

    I study ancient divination, but to better understand how diviners work, I have observed contemporary diviners at work and talked with them about their practices. They say their clients request tarot consultations more frequently than they did in the past.

    What is divination?

    Anthropologists define “divination” methods as “practice(s) that seeks to foresee or foretell future events or discover hidden knowledge usually by the interpretation of omen or by the aid of supernatural powers.”

    Divination methods, including tarot and astrology, offer a way to ask questions when other systems fail to provide answers. These questions can be highly personal and difficult to address in a formal religious setting. The divinatory answers allow people to feel they’ve gained insight, which in turn gives a perception of control over an uncertain future.

    Apart from astrology and tarot, some of the best known divination methods include: the interpreting of dreams, reading coffee cups or tea leaves, observing animals and nature, reading palms and other body features such as nose shape and eye placement.

    When a diviner uses things, such as cards, tea leaves, dice or shells, the connecting thread to many of these methods is that people cannot control the signs they produce. For example, divination consultants typically mix the tarot card deck to make sure the result are randomized. People should not manipulate the results.

    Divination as alternative ways of knowing

    Pew Centre data reveals that young people, women and LGBTQ Americans are among the most likely to consult divinatory methods. Religious studies professor Marcelitte Failla has also written about contemporary Black women who have reclaimed the tarot deck to creatively address their spiritual needs.

    Many people turn to religion when they face the unknown in their lives. They address their insecurities in worship, asking for divine help.

    But there have always been people who did not have access to organized religion. Divinatory practices can be especially appealing to those who have been excluded from traditional religion and had to come up with alternative ways to address uncertainties.

    They perhaps lived in remote areas and could not attend worship sites such as temples. Or possibly, they were excluded from organized religion for identity reasons. For example, women regularly stayed home to care for children and sick. Sometimes, they were denied access because of their bodily “impurities,” menstruation or recent childbirth.

    LGBTQ+ individuals were also denied access. In the U.S., discrimination against LGBTQ+ individuals remains one of the leading reasons for leaving traditional religious institutions. In Canada, the churches’ discriminatory treatment of different sexual minorities has been one of the top reasons people dissolve membership.

    Divination in times of uncertainty

    In an age marked by ongoing anxiety, political instability and waning trust in institutions, centuries-old divination rituals offer alternative ways for folks to seek entertainment but also to gain a sense of insight, agency and connection. What may seem like harmless fun can also serve as a serious response to a chaotic world. Divinatory practices can provide both spiritual exploration and emotional validation.

    It’s understandable that a new situation, like the COVID-19 pandemic, triggered anxiety and uncertainty for people.

    People continue to experience more anxiety than they did before the pandemic. Some of the main concerns include world politics, job security and personal finances.

    As we try to make sense of the new, confusing and constantly changing situations, many create different theories, some questionable. Some people turn to alternative approaches like divination to make sense of the world.

    Tarot: Thinking through emotions

    People are checking out tarot readings on online platforms. And many social media accounts feature tarot.

    Besides increasing political insecurity, another reason for the increased interest in tarot may be the visual aspect. Increased interest in the decorated cards may be a reflection of our highly visual culture. Interest in the cards with images may reflect interest in other images we watch. They are like photos with messages.

    The fascination with tarot may also speak about a need to control the consultation as a diviner and their client see exactly the same thing. The images in the cards are also symbolic, and they can be interpreted in different ways.

    That means rather than providing a straightforward answer to a question, the cards are tools that can help think through one’s emotions and feelings.

    Tarot is not a religion. The object that is consulted is paper is not an image of the divine or a symbol of transcendence. This lack of alignment with any particular religion allows different people to consult tarot as a spiritual practice.

    In principle, the cards can be consulted anywhere without particular preparations. The only material one needs is a deck of cards. The accessible materiality may be adding to their popularity.

    Playful aspects of divination

    Many divinatory methods include a playful aspect. For instance, the objects used for the lot oracle — pebbles, stones, four-sided knucklebones or dice — are the same ones people used for playing board games.

    Ancient images show people consulting the objects or playing, suggesting the boundaries of some of the divinatory methods were always fluid.

    As randomizing is an important element of divinatory consultation, the new insights various methods produce can be both surprising and entertaining.

    Hanna Tervanotko receives funding from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada.

    ref. Why centuries-old astrology and tarot cards still appeal to us – https://theconversation.com/why-centuries-old-astrology-and-tarot-cards-still-appeal-to-us-258993

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Sustaining trust and stability

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Good morning, ladies and gentlemen.

    Thank you for joining us at this pivotal moment for the global economy. As we gather here today, we find ourselves at a crossroads – one shaped by challenges that are both immediate and structural. At the same time, we also have opportunities to reshape and improve our monetary and financial systems.

    Just a few months ago, the near-term outlook for the global economy was favourable. After the Covid-19 pandemic and a struggle to restore price stability, a soft landing was finally in sight.

    But, as history has shown us time and again, stability can be elusive. In early April, larger-than-expected tariffs were announced by the US administration. This fraying of long-established economic ties came on top of other policy ruminations in the United States that stoked concerns about policy direction and stability.

    These events jolted the global economy. Asset prices swung wildly. Growth forecasts were cut.

    The global economy entered a new era of heightened uncertainty and unpredictability.

    Yet, with the benefit of hindsight, it is clear that the global economy faced serious challenges even before these tumultuous events. Productivity growth has been persistently weak in many economies. Fiscal positions are fragile. Financial vulnerabilities have built up, often in opaque ways. These challenges are compounded by the threat to prosperity from active conflicts on multiple continents.

    So, where do we go from here? How do we navigate these turbulent waters?

    Trust and policy

    Let me begin by emphasising a principle that lies at the heart of successful public policy: trust.

    Trust in public institutions, in central banks and in the very foundation of our economic systems – money itself. Today, as we face new uncertainties, this trust remains essential. It is the bedrock upon which economic stability is built.

    Trust cannot stop at monetary policy and the door of the central bank. It must extend to every aspect of public policy. People must trust that policymakers and elected officials will act to advance legitimate objectives and will do so effectively. They must trust that the foundations of our economic systems are sound. And they must trust that innovation will be used to benefit society, not merely disrupt it.

    This year’s Annual Economic Report reflects on these important themes. It reviews the state of the global economy, examines the key policy challenges and takes a closer look at two critical issues: how financial conditions are determined in today’s evolving global financial system and how the future monetary and financial system will be designed.

    From soft landing to turbulence and uncertainty

    In early 2025, the global economy appeared to be on track for a soft landing. Inflation was either on target or converging to central bank targets. Labour markets had largely normalised. The global economy was expanding at a respectable pace. And the mood in financial markets was growing more upbeat. To be sure, challenges were on the horizon for policymakers. But it seemed, for a moment, that the worst was behind us.

    The outlook has since darkened. The announcement of broad-based US tariffs sent shockwaves through markets. Trade policy changes have been accompanied by the prospect of an ambitious fiscal expansion, questioning of central bank independence, discussions about penalising foreign holders of US securities and challenges to the legal system, among others. The repeated cycle of announcements, adjustments and reversals has fostered an atmosphere of uncertainty and unpredictability.

    The market reaction was telling. Volatility soared. The US dollar depreciated even as government bond yields rose – an extraordinary, troubling combination. These unusual dynamics led to speculation in some quarters about the US dollar’s long-standing safe haven status.

    Some of the more extreme policy changes that triggered market reaction seem to have been walked back. This has prompted a recovery in markets. But there is still very little clarity about the eventual scope of trade and other key policies amid the daily flow of ruminations.

    Reverberations will make their way through the global economy, amplifying existing vulnerabilities. The full impact will take time to show.

    Tariffs remain at levels not seen in decades and will exert pressure on both output and inflation.

    In the meantime, elevated uncertainty may already be taking a toll. Firms are reporting delays in their hiring and investment decisions.

    Past bouts of uncertainty have typically been followed by weaker economic activity and, in particular, business investment. Consistent with this, growth forecasts have been revised downward. Confidence indicators point to deteriorating economic activity.

    Structural vulnerabilities in a shifting world

    The recent turbulence has exposed and amplified long-standing vulnerabilities in the global economy. These include structurally low economic growth, unsustainable fiscal positions amid historically high public debt and the growing footprint of less regulated non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs). In combination, these developments make economies less flexible and less resilient. Policy is less able to respond when needed. And markets are more fragile and more likely to propagate risk.

    Rising trade fragmentation is particularly concerning. Globalisation has been a vital force in sustaining income growth. It has also facilitated technological diffusion through foreign direct investment, especially among emerging market economies. But growth in global trade slowed considerably after the Great Financial Crisis. The recent imposition of tariffs could intensify this trend.

    Tariffs are often justified as tools to address trade imbalances or protect domestic industries. Past experience tells us that they will not achieve these goals. Instead, they risk reducing economic growth further and exacerbating inflationary pressures. They will also make aggregate supply less flexible and economies more inflation-prone.

    The global economy is becoming less resilient to shocks. Population ageing, climate change, geopolitical tensions and a less elastic supply side all contribute to a more volatile environment. Inflation expectations, already scarred by the pandemic, might be less firmly anchored. Households and firms, having been surprised by the persistence of inflation in recent years, might now be more sensitive to price changes.

    To address these challenges, structural reforms are essential to make aggregate supply more nimble. Policymakers must focus on three key areas: bolstering labour and product market flexibility, reducing barriers to trade and enhancing public investment. These reforms will not only strengthen economic resilience but also lay the groundwork for sustainable, long-term growth.

    The burden of debt

    High levels of public debt are a significant vulnerability that governments can no longer ignore. Since the Great Financial Crisis, public debt has reached levels near or exceeding peacetime highs in many countries. While high debt can be sustainable when growth is robust and interest rates low, today’s conditions are far less supportive.

    Rising interest payments, driven by higher rates and refinancing needs, are putting pressure on fiscal accounts and increasing fiscal sustainability risks. Already, there are signs of weakening investor appetite for government bonds and rising intermediation challenges. The absorption of debt issuance, particularly at longer tenors, has proved difficult on occasion. High debt may increase political pressures on central banks to keep interest rates lower than warranted by developments in inflation and output.

    High debt makes the financial system more vulnerable. Repricing of government debt can lead to losses for banks and NFBIs, tightening financial conditions and dampening economic activity.

    To minimise these risks, maintaining a credible and sustainable fiscal policy framework is critical. For some countries, this will require fiscal consolidation. For all, it will mean improving the “quality” of fiscal policy to make it growth-friendly.

    Fiscal authorities need to build capacity to confront future shocks. This will allow them to support the economy when required, and it will ease the pressure on monetary policy to be a source of sustained growth.

    The evolving financial landscape

    The global financial system has undergone profound changes in recent years.

    Two structural changes, in particular, stand out. The first is the shift in underlying claims from those on private sector borrowers to claims on the government. The second structural change is the shift in the source of funding from banks to NBFIs.

    The increasingly central role of NBFIs introduces new risks and challenges, including for banks. While NBFIs have brought innovation and diversity to financial markets, they are also more opaque and less regulated than traditional banks.

    The growth of private credit markets, for example, raises questions about credit quality and resilience in the face of economic downturns. A growing share of the long-term credit to small or medium-sized and highly indebted companies is now provided by private credit funds. While this has brought a range of benefits, we need to recognise the risks. The resilience of this young sector to a sizeable downturn in the credit cycle remains largely untested.

    Similarly, the greater role of alternative asset managers and hedge funds in key financial markets has raised the likelihood that financial instability could be amplified by liquidity stresses. NBFIs have facilitated the funding of governments, but often with financial engineering that can be fragile. Their complex leveraged positions are vulnerable to adverse shocks, as we have seen in recent years and will likely see again. This deterioration in market function has increased the likelihood of financial stress episodes triggering central bank intervention. Stablecoins, while still small, are also gradually emerging as another potential source of liquidity risk.

    Banks interact with the NBFI ecosystem through several channels. For example, banks provide liquidity to private credit funds through subscription lines, offer credit lines to hedge funds and collaborate in the securitisation of leveraged loans. Meanwhile, banks’ intermediation in repo and foreign exchange swap markets facilitates the growing footprint of internationally active NBFIs.

    We know that even safe, liquid claims can be at the centre of a stress event, with potential spillovers that tighten financial conditions for the real economy. These risks to the safety and soundness of the banking system need to be carefully monitored.

    Together, these developments have heightened the sensitivity of financial conditions to global risk factors. Emerging market economies have long experienced the spillovers of financial conditions from advanced economies. As Hyun will discuss shortly, major advanced economies increasingly figure in the transmission of financial conditions, both as the originators and as the recipients.

    To address the risks presented by a larger NBFI sector, regulators must adopt a holistic approach. Banking and non-banking activities that pose similar risks should be subject to similarly stringent regulatory standards. Regulatory measures could entail a mix of activity-based and entity-based regulatory controls. This will help prevent the build-up of systemic risks and minimise competitive distortions among different providers of financial services.

    Central bank priorities

    Let me now turn to central bank priorities.

    As they face these new challenges, central banks can draw on the valuable lessons learned in recent years. The pandemic era has reminded us that inflationary pressures can arise from multiple sources, not just strong demand. Structural shifts and supply side rigidities mean that economic shocks may now have a larger and more lasting impact on inflation. The recent inflation surge has left scars on inflation expectations, making the role of independent central banks as trusted anchors of price stability more important than ever.

    Trade tensions exemplify the challenges central banks face. For some economies, recent developments will resemble a stagflationary shock. As such, they present a difficult trade-off for monetary policy. Central banks must carefully balance supporting growth and employment with preventing temporary price increases from turning into persistent inflation. Households, in particular, may show less tolerance for price increases and real wage declines following the sharp rise in living costs after the pandemic. If evidence of de-anchoring emerges, central banks must respond quickly and forcefully to inflationary shocks. The uncertainty surrounding the timing, magnitude and future trajectory of tariffs further complicates this task.

    Countries that have not imposed tariffs or retaliatory measures are likely to face something more akin to an adverse demand shock. As a result, the disinflationary effects in these economies, including from lower prices for goods, are likely to dominate. Economies in this group, particularly those where inflation is low, may therefore have greater room to continue supporting growth with monetary easing.

    For all central banks, three key lessons from the experience of recent years stand out. First, while inflation targeting should be symmetric, central banks should pay particular attention to preventing large inflation surges. Second, agility is key. Central banks must prioritise flexible tools, use balance sheets cautiously and rely on macroprudential measures to bolster financial system resilience. Third, humility is vital. Unexpected developments will happen. The use of alternative scenarios could help communicate the extent of uncertainty economies face. Scenarios do add complexity, but they can help clarify the central bank’s reaction function, thus helping households and businesses to navigate uncertainty and aligning their expectations.

    By staying true to their mandates and adapting to evolving circumstances, central banks can continue to anchor expectations and foster stability in an unpredictable world. This is the path to maintaining trust and contributing to sustainable economic growth.

    Building a monetary and financial system for the future

    Finally, let me turn to the future of the financial system. Digital innovation offers many promises. For one, technologies such as artificial intelligence should be part of the solution for monitoring financial market risks such as those arising from the growing heft of NBFIs. More importantly, digital innovation offers immense potential to transform the monetary and financial system. Technologies like tokenisation and programmable payments hold the promise of faster, more secure and more efficient transactions.

    Innovation must be guided by trust. Central banks have a critical role to play in ensuring that the foundations of the monetary system remain sound. This includes building on top of the two-tier system with central bank and commercial bank money at its core, providing regulatory frameworks, fostering public-private partnerships and articulating a clear vision for the future.

    By contrast, alternatives built on privately issued currencies, including stablecoins, fall short when set against the three key tests that money must fulfil to serve society. The first is the singleness of money, which is the acceptance of money at par with no questions asked. The second is elasticity, the ability to flexibly meet the demand for money. The third is the integrity of the monetary system against illicit activity.

    At the BIS, we have been working to shine light on developments in technology that may be harnessed by central banks. Major innovations like the entry of big tech into finance, central bank digital currencies and artificial intelligence are challenging and reshaping the financial system. Through the Annual Economic Report, we have worked – for each of the past eight years – to support the central banking community in understanding how to harness these innovations while preserving trust in money. This year’s chapter is in line with these efforts. We envision a next-generation monetary and financial system centred around a trilogy of tokenised central bank reserves, commercial bank money and government bonds. This system can set the stage for further innovation. It could enable seamless, automated transactions, reducing frictions and unlocking new possibilities for commerce and finance globally.

    Conclusion

    The challenges we face are formidable, but they are not insurmountable. By addressing structural vulnerabilities, maintaining trust in our institutions and embracing innovation, policymakers can help build a more resilient and inclusive global economy.

    Let us grasp this moment to lay the foundations for a better future – one that is defined not by uncertainty and fragmentation, but by stability, cooperation and shared prosperity. In times of great uncertainty, central banks can play a vital role as a stabilising force delivering on their mandates with the public interest and stability at the heart of policy decisions. This will foster trust and ensure the success of the policy response, for the benefit of all.

    Thank you.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI United Nations: 27 June 2025 News release WHO Scientific advisory group issues report on origins of COVID-19

    Source: World Health Organisation

    The WHO Scientific Advisory Group for the Origins of Novel Pathogens (SAGO), a panel of 27 independent, international, multidisciplinary experts, today published its report on the origins of SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic.

    SAGO has advanced the understanding of the origins of COVID-19, but as they say in their report, much of the information needed to evaluate fully all hypotheses has not been provided.

    “I thank each of the 27 members of SAGO for dedicating their time and expertise to this very important scientific undertaking over more than three years,” said Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director-General. “As things stand, all hypotheses must remain on the table, including zoonotic spillover and lab leak. We continue to appeal to China and any other country that has information about the origins of COVID-19 to share that information openly, in the interests of protecting the world from future pandemics.”

    In its report, SAGO considered available evidence for the main hypotheses for the origins of COVID-19 and concluded that “the weight of available evidence…suggests zoonotic spillover…either directly from bats or through an intermediate host.”

    WHO requested that China share hundreds of genetic sequences from individuals with COVID-19 early in the pandemic, more detailed information about the animals sold at markets in Wuhan, and information on work done and biosafety conditions at laboratories in Wuhan. To date, China has not shared this information either with SAGO or WHO.

    SAGO published its initial findings and recommendations in a report on 9 June 2022. Today’s report updates that evaluation based on peer-reviewed papers and reviews, as well as available unpublished information and field studies, interviews, and other reports including audit findings, government reports and intelligence reports. SAGO convened in various formats 52 times, conducted briefings with researchers, academics, journalists, and others.

    “As the report says, this is not solely a scientific endeavour, it is a moral and ethical imperative,” said Dr Marietjie Venter, Chair of the group and Distinguished Professor and One Health Research Chair in Vaccines and Surveillance for Emerging viral threats at the University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa. “Understanding the origins of SARS-CoV-2 and how it sparked a pandemic is needed to help prevent future pandemics, save lives and livelihoods, and reduce global suffering.”

    At a Special Session of the World Health Assembly in late 2020, WHO Member States adopted a resolution asking WHO to study the origins of SARS-CoV-2. Accordingly, a joint mission between international and Chinese experts travelled to China in January and February 2021, and published their report in March of that year.

    In July 2021, Dr Tedros launched SAGO with two mandates: first, to design a global framework to investigate the origins of emerging and re-emerging pathogens, which it published last year, and second, to apply that framework to evaluate scientific evidence to determine the origins of COVID-19.

    The work to understand the origins of SARS-CoV-2 remains unfinished. WHO welcomes any further evidence on the origins of COVID-19, and SAGO remains committed to reviewing any new information should it become available.

    MIL OSI United Nations News

  • MIL-OSI Security: Four Charged in the Nation’s Largest Known COVID Tax Credit Fraud Scheme

    Source: US FBI

    Two Defendants Charged with Attempting to Murder Ringleader of the Fraud

    FBI and IRS-CI agents arrested multiple people today for their roles in a $93 million COVID-19 tax credit fraud scheme—considered to be the largest ever identified. Two of the defendants are also charged for attempting to murder the ringleader of the scheme.

    On June 11, 2025, a federal grand jury returned an indictment in Los Angeles that was unsealed today charging four defendants with conspiracy to commit mail fraud; mail fraud; and conspiracy to submit false claims. Two of the defendants are also charged with attempting to kill a witness and using a firearm in furtherance of that crime.

    Those charged in the indictment are:

    • Kristerpher Turner, aka “Kris Turner,” “Red,” “Red Boy,” and “Bullet,” 52, of Harbor City, California.
    • Toriano Knox, aka “Scooby,” and “Dwight,” 55, of Los Angeles, California.
    • Kenya Jones, aka “Kenya Emua Jones,” and “Kenya Hunt,” 46, of Compton, California.
    • Joyce Johnson, a.k.a. “Ms. Jay,” 55, of Victorville, California.

    During the COVID-19 pandemic, Congress authorized tax credits, including “sick and family wage credits,” otherwise known as Coronavirus Response Credits, to help alleviate the impact of COVID-19, via the Family First Coronavirus Response Act. Small businesses could seek refunds on business tax returns claiming the credit. Authorized tax credits would reimburse businesses for the wages paid to employees who could not work because of the pandemic.

    According to the indictment, defendant Turner operated a tax fraud scheme whereby he and his co-conspirators would submit fraudulent forms to Coronavirus Response Credits for businesses, including bogus companies, that did not pay any sick and family wage credits to any employees at any time. Defendant Turner and his co-conspirators would submit these fraudulent filings on behalf of their own purported businesses, but also on behalf of others recruited to the scheme.

    Defendant Turner would direct and manage recruiters, including defendant Knox and Jones, to recruit fraud clients, including romantic partners. According to the indictment, Jones recruited her family and friends to the fraud, resulting in false forms being submitted in the names of multiple businesses. Fraud clients would provide their personal identifying information to be used to establish fake businesses and prepare fraudulent tax filings. Others would provide information about preexisting businesses that were ineligible to receive Coronavirus Response Credits so that the co-conspirators could use that information to file fraudulent tax filings on behalf of those businesses.

    Fraud participants would receive U.S. Treasury checks in the mail as a result of the conspiracy’s fraudulent tax filings and would attempt to deposit those Treasury Checks in business accounts opened in the name of the fake businesses at various banks.

    For each fraud client that obtained Treasury checks through this conspiracy, defendant Turner would charge a percentage of the fraud proceeds that amounted to somewhere between 20 to 40 percent of funds received. Defendant Turner would direct fraud clients and his recruiters to pay a portion of the fraud proceeds to him personally or to entities controlled by him, or his co-conspirators, as kickbacks, including through cashiers’ checks, money transfer services, or cash.

    In total, from approximately June 2020 and December 2024, the defendants and their co-conspirators submitted and caused the submission of fraudulent forms for at least 148 companies, seeking a total of approximately $247,956,938 in tax refunds to which they were not entitled. In reliance on the fraudulent forms and the false statements, the IRS issued Treasury checks in the total amount of at least approximately $93 million.

    At some point during the scheme, the now-defendants learned that the IRS and others were making inquiries about their fraudulent activity. According to the indictment, on or about August 29, 2023, defendants Knox, Jones, and others known and unknown to the grand jury, attempted to kill defendant Kristerpher Turner in order to prevent him from speaking to law enforcement about the fraud. Turner was shot multiple times in broad daylight at an office park in Gardena. He survived and is paralyzed. Knox and Jones are also charged with using a firearm in the furtherance of a crime of violence.

    An indictment contains allegations that a defendant has committed a crime. Every defendant is presumed to be innocent until and unless proven guilty in court.

    If convicted of the charges, the defendants would face a statutory maximum sentence of 20 years in federal prison on each mail fraud charge. Knox and Jones would face life imprisonment on the firearm charge and 30 years on the attempted murder charge.

    This case is being investigated by the FBI, TIGTA, and the IRS—Criminal Investigation.

    Assistant U.S. Attorneys Kevin Reidy and Haoxiaohan Cai of the Major Frauds Section, and Kevin J. Butler of the Violent and Organized Crime Section are prosecuting this case.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Analysis: The UK’s plan to genetically test all newborns sounds smart — until it creates patients who aren’t sick

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Luca Stroppa, Postdoctoral Fellow on the project “Early Diagnosis – Handling Knowing”, University of St Andrews

    The current heel-prick test checks for nine rare genetic conditions, antibydni/Shutterstock

    By 2030, every baby born in the UK could have their entire genome sequenced under a new NHS initiative to “predict and prevent illness”. This would dramatically expand the current heel-prick test, which checks for nine rare genetic conditions, into a far more extensive screen of hundreds of potential risks.

    On the surface, the idea sounds like an obvious win for public health: spot problems early, intervene sooner and save lives. But genetic testing on this scale carries real risks, especially if the results are misunderstood or poorly communicated.

    The new plan builds on a recent NHS pilot study that sequenced the genomes of 100,000 newborns in England to identify more than 200 genetic conditions. However, these tests don’t provide clear cut answers. They don’t offer a diagnosis or certainty, just an estimate of risk.

    A genetic result might suggest a child has a higher (or lower) probability of developing a certain disease later in life. But risk is not prediction. If parents, or even clinicians, misinterpret that nuance, the consequences could be serious.

    Some families may come to see a child flagged as “at risk” as a patient-in-waiting. In extreme cases, they may treat a probability as a certainty; assuming, for instance, that a child “has the gene” and will inevitably become ill. That assumption could reshape how children are raised, how they’re treated and how they could see themselves.

    Alarming language

    This isn’t speculation. Research shows that while some people understand risk scores accurately, many struggle with statistical information. Words like “high risk” or “likely” are interpreted differently by different people and often more seriously than intended. Even trained doctors can overestimate what a positive test result means. When it comes to genomics, the line between “you might get sick” and “you will get sick” can blur quickly.

    UK policymakers haven’t helped this confusion. Government messaging refers to “diagnosis before symptoms even occur” and “leapfrogging disease.” But this language overpromises what genomic data can do and downplays its uncertainty.

    When testing is indiscriminate and communication unclear, the fallout can be wide ranging. Children identified as “high risk” may undergo years of monitoring, unnecessary medical appointments, or even treatment for diseases they never develop. In some cases, this leads to physical harms, from unnecessary medications to procedures with side effects. In others, the damage is psychological: shaping a child’s identity around an anticipated future of illness. These psychological effects can be lasting. Being told you’re likely to develop a condition like dementia may influence how a person plans their life, even if that illness never materialises.

    False positives

    There are also broader issues with applying this kind of screening to everyone. Risk based testing works best when it’s targeted; for example, among those with symptoms or a strong family history. But in the general population, where most people are healthy, false positives can far outnumber accurate results. Even well designed tests can produce misleading outcomes when applied at scale.

    This is a well-known statistical effect, discussed during the COVID pandemic. In populations where a disease is rare, even highly accurate tests produce more false positives than true ones. If DNA screening is rolled out universally, many families will be told their child is at risk when they are not. These false positives can lead to a cascade of further tests, stress and unnecessary clinical interventions; all of which consume time and resources and may cause real harm.

    This issue already affects adult testing. For example, Alzheimer’s tests that measure early changes in the brain work well in memory clinics, where patients already show symptoms. But when these same tests are used on the general population, where most people are healthy, they produce false positives in up to two-thirds of cases. If genetic screening in newborns is rolled out in the same way, it could lead to similar problems: mislabelling healthy children as sick, and causing unnecessary worry and follow-up tests.

    So what’s the solution? It’s not to abandon genetic testing altogether – far from it. When used carefully, genomic data can offer real benefits, particularly for patients with symptoms or in research settings. But if we’re going to roll this out to every newborn, the surrounding infrastructure needs to be robust.

    That includes:

    • Clear, consistent communication: Risk scores must be explained in ways that emphasise uncertainty, not oversold as definitive predictions.

    • Support for parents: For consent to be truly informed, parents need help understanding that a genetic flag is not a diagnosis – and that many people with elevated risk never go on to develop the condition.

    • Training for clinicians: Many doctors still lack the tools to interpret and explain genetic information accurately and responsibly.

    • A national network of genetic counsellors Genetic counsellors are essential for supporting families through testing and interpretation. But current numbers in the UK fall far short of what universal newborn screening would require.

    Genomic data holds great promise. But using it as a blanket tool for all newborns demands caution, clarity, and investment in communication and care. Without these safeguards, we risk turning healthy babies into patients-in-waiting.

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. The UK’s plan to genetically test all newborns sounds smart — until it creates patients who aren’t sick – https://theconversation.com/the-uks-plan-to-genetically-test-all-newborns-sounds-smart-until-it-creates-patients-who-arent-sick-259816

    MIL OSI Analysis

  • MIL-OSI Europe: 2024-03-27 at 16h49 The four crises and seven structural shifts of the last eight years Prime Minister António Costa took stock of the last years in government

    Source: Government of Portugal (PM)

    António Costa took stock of the government’s action in the last eight years, where he was Prime Minister, during a press conference held in the official residence.<.>

    António Costa also referred to the financial system’s greater stability. “The state-owned bank, which many felt should be privatised and that it would be impossible to capitalise, is today not only solvent, but also generated due revenue for the Portuguese economy and citizens”, the Prime Minister claimed. 

    The wildland fires crisis 

    The second crisis noted by the Prime Minister was that of wildland fires, the answer to which included restructuring the civil protection system and a budget reform, which offered prevention a clear priority over fighting. As a result, “if we were to add up the entire area burnt down in the six years between 2018 and 2023 [the result] is 60.7% of the area burnt down in 2017 alone”, he stressed.

    The Covid-19 pandemic 

    The country’s response to this third crisis was “worthy of note”, claimed the Prime Minister. “We were the first country in the world to reach a vaccination coverage of 85%. And the efforts to support the economy and households allowed us to be one of the countries that best came out of the pandemic”, he added. 

    The inflationist crisis

    The fourth crisis arose from the effects of the pandemic, which was still felt, and the war between Russia and Ukraine. This conflict “worsened a situation that came from the pandemic, with the breakdown in supply chains, which led us to the greatest inflationist crisis of the last 30 years”. 

    The rises in interest rates by the European Central Bank to respond to rising inflation “in a society such as hours where mortgages have a high significance and the variable rates are clearly dominant”, together with rising food costs, shot up household costs. 

    “From the start of 2022 to October 2022, inflation soared. We hit 10.1% inflation in October 2022 and since then we have been on a slow, yet sure, trajectory to lower inflation, until we hit 2.1% last February and the forecast is we will remain on that lowering trajectory”, said the Prime Minister.

    SEVEN STRUCTURAL SHITS

    Higher growth

    The Prime Minister stated that between 2000 and 2015 the country alternated between recession and stagnation. “Only in one year of these 15 did we grow above the European average: in 2009. From 2016 onwards, the reality has been quite different “, he said. “In these eight years, the country grew ten times more than what it had grown in the previous 15”, he signalled, noting the 2.1% growth, including in the two pandemic years, “where product naturally fell drastically”. 

    More jobs and more income

    The creation of jobs and improvement in employment conditions contributed to this economic growth. “Today, we have a record number of people working in Portugal: 5 million people. That is an additional 629 thousand jobs than in 2015. And in a context where it was possible to not just to have minimum wages grow 62%, but also average wages having grown 27.7%”, the Prime Minister indicated.

    In addition to the rise in the minimum wage, the Prime Minister also noted rising pensions and improvement in net income. 

    Always in line with the Social Security Basis Law, in these eight years, average pensions rose 23.3%, “with all the rises set down in the law, as well as extraordinary rises to counter inflation”. 

    The improvement in net income came from the “successive drops in income tax IRS” and the “successive measures of non-monetary transfers that cut household expenses”, such as making school books free, reforming the costs of public transports, increasing the number of households that benefit from energy social rates and the “significant” cut in pubic university fees, that went from more than one thousand euros to 697 euros per annum.

    A more qualified country

    This was the shift the Prime Minister considered “perhaps brings the greatest consequences for the future”. António Costa mentioned the “highly significant” drop in early dropouts, where this year we are below the EU average for 2030, and the rise in the number of youths aged 30 to 34 years who completed higher educaiton in 2015, which can only rise, since “if we look at the youths who are 20 years old, 39% attended university in 2015, and today it’s 54%”. 

    A more competitive economy

    “Every year, we beat records in attracting foreign direct investment. Every year, we beat corporate investment records and corporate investment went up 85% between 2015 and 2023”, the Prime Minister stated, advocating that “what offers a modern economy competitiveness is its capacity to have qualified jobs, being more innovative, and this is what enables that innovation”. 

    António Costa also added that the rise in exports, which in 2022 accounted for more than 50% of GDP, and the change in the nature of exports. “Exports of high and medium tech goods increased 71% over these last eight years, which means that complexifying, qualifying, and the added value of our economy have been clearly on the rise”.

    Less inequality

    “Today we have 600 thousand people less in poverty or social exclusion, and especially 226 thousand children less living in poverty or social exclusion”, said the Prime Minister.

    Taking the lead in fighting climate change

    The sixth shift had to do with the country’s position in taking the lead in fighting climate change. “We were the first country in the world, at the2016 Marrakesh COP to undertake the goal of being carbon neutral by 2050. Our Climate Law imposed on us a greater ambition of hitting that target in 2045 rather than 2050”. 

    Since 2017, Portugal has cut back its GHG emissions by 17% “due to the public transport policy and bringing targets such as closing down coal-fuelled power stations forward and increasing the capacity to generate energy using renewables”, the Prime Minister signalled.

    Advances in the State reform 

    The last structural shift mentioned by the Prime Minister had to do with the advances in the State reform, namely concerning the decentralisation of powers, such as transferring the PSP’s traffic tasks to the Lisbon and Porto municipal police, making Carri or STCP (public transport) municipal, or the agreement with the National Portuguese Municipalities Association (ANMP) to transfer powers. Lastly, António Costa referred to the reform of the Regional Development Coordination Committees (CCDR), that are now more democratised and with greater autonomy. 

    View the Prime Minister’s presentation here 

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: 2024-03-27 at 16h49 The four crises and seven structural shifts of the last eight years Prime Minister António Costa took stock of the last years in government

    Source: Government of Portugal (PM)

    António Costa took stock of the government’s action in the last eight years, where he was Prime Minister, during a press conference held in the official residence.<.>

    António Costa also referred to the financial system’s greater stability. “The state-owned bank, which many felt should be privatised and that it would be impossible to capitalise, is today not only solvent, but also generated due revenue for the Portuguese economy and citizens”, the Prime Minister claimed. 

    The wildland fires crisis 

    The second crisis noted by the Prime Minister was that of wildland fires, the answer to which included restructuring the civil protection system and a budget reform, which offered prevention a clear priority over fighting. As a result, “if we were to add up the entire area burnt down in the six years between 2018 and 2023 [the result] is 60.7% of the area burnt down in 2017 alone”, he stressed.

    The Covid-19 pandemic 

    The country’s response to this third crisis was “worthy of note”, claimed the Prime Minister. “We were the first country in the world to reach a vaccination coverage of 85%. And the efforts to support the economy and households allowed us to be one of the countries that best came out of the pandemic”, he added. 

    The inflationist crisis

    The fourth crisis arose from the effects of the pandemic, which was still felt, and the war between Russia and Ukraine. This conflict “worsened a situation that came from the pandemic, with the breakdown in supply chains, which led us to the greatest inflationist crisis of the last 30 years”. 

    The rises in interest rates by the European Central Bank to respond to rising inflation “in a society such as hours where mortgages have a high significance and the variable rates are clearly dominant”, together with rising food costs, shot up household costs. 

    “From the start of 2022 to October 2022, inflation soared. We hit 10.1% inflation in October 2022 and since then we have been on a slow, yet sure, trajectory to lower inflation, until we hit 2.1% last February and the forecast is we will remain on that lowering trajectory”, said the Prime Minister.

    SEVEN STRUCTURAL SHITS

    Higher growth

    The Prime Minister stated that between 2000 and 2015 the country alternated between recession and stagnation. “Only in one year of these 15 did we grow above the European average: in 2009. From 2016 onwards, the reality has been quite different “, he said. “In these eight years, the country grew ten times more than what it had grown in the previous 15”, he signalled, noting the 2.1% growth, including in the two pandemic years, “where product naturally fell drastically”. 

    More jobs and more income

    The creation of jobs and improvement in employment conditions contributed to this economic growth. “Today, we have a record number of people working in Portugal: 5 million people. That is an additional 629 thousand jobs than in 2015. And in a context where it was possible to not just to have minimum wages grow 62%, but also average wages having grown 27.7%”, the Prime Minister indicated.

    In addition to the rise in the minimum wage, the Prime Minister also noted rising pensions and improvement in net income. 

    Always in line with the Social Security Basis Law, in these eight years, average pensions rose 23.3%, “with all the rises set down in the law, as well as extraordinary rises to counter inflation”. 

    The improvement in net income came from the “successive drops in income tax IRS” and the “successive measures of non-monetary transfers that cut household expenses”, such as making school books free, reforming the costs of public transports, increasing the number of households that benefit from energy social rates and the “significant” cut in pubic university fees, that went from more than one thousand euros to 697 euros per annum.

    A more qualified country

    This was the shift the Prime Minister considered “perhaps brings the greatest consequences for the future”. António Costa mentioned the “highly significant” drop in early dropouts, where this year we are below the EU average for 2030, and the rise in the number of youths aged 30 to 34 years who completed higher educaiton in 2015, which can only rise, since “if we look at the youths who are 20 years old, 39% attended university in 2015, and today it’s 54%”. 

    A more competitive economy

    “Every year, we beat records in attracting foreign direct investment. Every year, we beat corporate investment records and corporate investment went up 85% between 2015 and 2023”, the Prime Minister stated, advocating that “what offers a modern economy competitiveness is its capacity to have qualified jobs, being more innovative, and this is what enables that innovation”. 

    António Costa also added that the rise in exports, which in 2022 accounted for more than 50% of GDP, and the change in the nature of exports. “Exports of high and medium tech goods increased 71% over these last eight years, which means that complexifying, qualifying, and the added value of our economy have been clearly on the rise”.

    Less inequality

    “Today we have 600 thousand people less in poverty or social exclusion, and especially 226 thousand children less living in poverty or social exclusion”, said the Prime Minister.

    Taking the lead in fighting climate change

    The sixth shift had to do with the country’s position in taking the lead in fighting climate change. “We were the first country in the world, at the2016 Marrakesh COP to undertake the goal of being carbon neutral by 2050. Our Climate Law imposed on us a greater ambition of hitting that target in 2045 rather than 2050”. 

    Since 2017, Portugal has cut back its GHG emissions by 17% “due to the public transport policy and bringing targets such as closing down coal-fuelled power stations forward and increasing the capacity to generate energy using renewables”, the Prime Minister signalled.

    Advances in the State reform 

    The last structural shift mentioned by the Prime Minister had to do with the advances in the State reform, namely concerning the decentralisation of powers, such as transferring the PSP’s traffic tasks to the Lisbon and Porto municipal police, making Carri or STCP (public transport) municipal, or the agreement with the National Portuguese Municipalities Association (ANMP) to transfer powers. Lastly, António Costa referred to the reform of the Regional Development Coordination Committees (CCDR), that are now more democratised and with greater autonomy. 

    View the Prime Minister’s presentation here 

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Africa: President Ramkalawan Attends the Official Opening of State-of-the-Art Praslin Vehicle Testing Station


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    President Wavel Ramkalawan presided over the official opening ceremony of the new Praslin Vehicle Testing Station at Île Eve, Baie Ste Anne, Praslin, marking a significant milestone in the decentralization of transport services and the enhancement of road safety standards across Seychelles. 

    The modern facility, construction of which commenced in 2023, was built at a cost of SCR 15.5 million and represents a major advancement from the previous manual testing system conducted at the SPTC depot in Amitié. The new station introduces cutting-edge automated testing technology, with 90% of vehicle inspections now conducted using state-of-the-art equipment, ensuring greater accuracy, fairness, and transparency in the testing process. The comprehensive facility also houses amenities for novice drivers to undertake theory driving tests and provides accommodation for visiting staff. 

    Speaking at the inauguration ceremony, the Minister for Transport Antony Derjacques emphasized the facility’s broader significance: “Today, we open more than just a building – we open a new chapter in public service delivery, one that brings precision, professionalism, and parity in transport services to Praslin.”

    The facility will serve Praslin’s approximately 1,200 vehicles, which form part of the national fleet of 28,000. Beyond vehicle testing, the station will provide comprehensive services including spare parts importation assessments, vehicle condition evaluations for maintenance purposes, and technical assistance to police for accident investigations and spot checks. 

    The Principal Secretary for Aviation, Ports and Marine, Mr. David Bianchi, highlighted the journey to completion, stating: “Despite challenges including COVID-19, material shortages, adverse weather conditions, and logistical issues, we have successfully delivered this world-class facility after 18 months of dedicated work.” He expressed his gratitude to all stakeholders for their unwavering commitment and valuable contributions in realizing the project. 

    In his keynote address, President Ramkalawan expressed pride and commitment of Government in advancing critical infrastructure at the disposal on the community. 

    “It is an honour for me to officially inaugurate the new Praslin Vehicle Testing Station—an essential step forward in modernising the services we offer to our people. This facility is a symbol of progress and a reflection of our continued commitment to improving infrastructure that directly benefits our communities. Together, we continue to move Praslin and our country forward.” 

    The new Praslin Vehicle Testing Station exemplifies the government’s steadfast commitment to building a smarter, safer, and more inclusive transport network that serves the needs of every Seychellois across all islands.

    Distributed by APO Group on behalf of State House Seychelles.

    MIL OSI Africa

  • MIL-OSI Australia: HANK and the Transmission of Shocks to Demand and Supply

    Source: Airservices Australia

    Tags

    asset quality, balance sheet, banking, banknotes, bonds, business, business cycle, capital, cash rate, central clearing, China, climate change, commercial property, commodities, consumption, COVID-19, credit, cryptocurrency, currency, digital currency, debt, education, emerging markets, exchange rate, export, fees, finance, financial markets, financial stability, First Nations, fiscal policy, forecasting, funding, global economy, global financial crisis, history, households, housing, income and wealth, inflation, insolvency, insurance, interest rates, international, investment, labour market, lending standards, liquidity, machine learning, macroprudential policy, mining, modelling, monetary policy, money, open economy, payments, productivity, rba survey, regulation, resources sector, retail, risk and uncertainty, saving, securities, services sector, technology, terms of trade, trade, wages

    MIL OSI News

  • MIL-OSI USA: mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines: FDA Safety Communication – FDA Approves Required Updated Warning in Labeling Regarding Myocarditis and Pericarditis Following Vaccination

    Source: US Department of Health and Human Services – 3

    AUDIENCE: Pediatrics, Pharmacy, Family Practice, Internal Medicine, Cardiology
    ISSUE: FDA has required and approved updates to the Prescribing Information for Comirnaty (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) manufactured by Pfizer Inc. and Spikevax (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) manufactured ModernaTX, Inc. to include new safety information about the risks of myocarditis and pericarditis following administration of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines.
    Specifically, FDA has required each manufacturer to update the warning about the risks of myocarditis and pericarditis to include information about

    the estimated unadjusted incidence of myocarditis and/or pericarditis following administration of the 2023-2024 Formula of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines and
    the results of a study that collected information on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cardiac MRI) in people who developed myocarditis after receiving an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.

    FDA also required each manufacturer to describe the new safety information in the Adverse Reactions section of the Prescribing Information and in the Information for Recipients and Caregivers.   
    The Fact Sheets for Healthcare Providers and for Recipients and Caregivers for Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine and Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19, which are authorized for emergency use in individuals 6 months through 11 years of age, have also been updated to include the new safety information in alignment with the Comirnaty and Spikevax Prescribing Information and Information for Recipients and Caregivers.
    BACKGROUND: Information about myocarditis (inflammation of the heart muscle) and pericarditis (inflammation of the lining outside the heart) following vaccination with these mRNA COVID-19 vaccines has been included in the labeling since 2021. FDA closely monitors the safety of all vaccines, including the COVID-19 vaccines, during postmarket use.
    RECOMMENDATION: 

    Suspected adverse events may be reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), which is co-managed by the FDA and the CDC.

      [6/25/2025 – FDA Safety Communication – FDA]

    Content current as of:
    06/25/2025

    Regulated Product(s)

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines: FDA Safety Communication – FDA Approves Required Updated Warning in Labeling Regarding Myocarditis and Pericarditis Following Vaccination

    Source: US Department of Health and Human Services – 3

    AUDIENCE: Pediatrics, Pharmacy, Family Practice, Internal Medicine, Cardiology
    ISSUE: FDA has required and approved updates to the Prescribing Information for Comirnaty (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) manufactured by Pfizer Inc. and Spikevax (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) manufactured ModernaTX, Inc. to include new safety information about the risks of myocarditis and pericarditis following administration of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines.
    Specifically, FDA has required each manufacturer to update the warning about the risks of myocarditis and pericarditis to include information about

    the estimated unadjusted incidence of myocarditis and/or pericarditis following administration of the 2023-2024 Formula of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines and
    the results of a study that collected information on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cardiac MRI) in people who developed myocarditis after receiving an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.

    FDA also required each manufacturer to describe the new safety information in the Adverse Reactions section of the Prescribing Information and in the Information for Recipients and Caregivers.   
    The Fact Sheets for Healthcare Providers and for Recipients and Caregivers for Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine and Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19, which are authorized for emergency use in individuals 6 months through 11 years of age, have also been updated to include the new safety information in alignment with the Comirnaty and Spikevax Prescribing Information and Information for Recipients and Caregivers.
    BACKGROUND: Information about myocarditis (inflammation of the heart muscle) and pericarditis (inflammation of the lining outside the heart) following vaccination with these mRNA COVID-19 vaccines has been included in the labeling since 2021. FDA closely monitors the safety of all vaccines, including the COVID-19 vaccines, during postmarket use.
    RECOMMENDATION: 

    Suspected adverse events may be reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), which is co-managed by the FDA and the CDC.

      [6/25/2025 – FDA Safety Communication – FDA]

    Content current as of:
    06/25/2025

    Regulated Product(s)

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Saudi Arabia: Concluding Statement of the 2025 Article IV Mission

    Source: IMF – News in Russian

    June 26, 2025

    A Concluding Statement describes the preliminary findings of IMF staff at the end of an official staff visit (or ‘mission’), in most cases to a member country. Missions are undertaken as part of regular (usually annual) consultations under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, in the context of a request to use IMF resources (borrow from the IMF), as part of discussions of staff monitored programs, or as part of other staff monitoring of economic developments.

    The authorities have consented to the publication of this statement. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF Executive Board for discussion and decision.

    Washington, DC: Saudi Arabia’s economy has demonstrated strong resilience to shocks, with non-oil economic activities expanding, inflation contained, and unemployment reaching record-low levels. While lower oil proceeds and investment-linked imports led to the emergence of twin deficits, external and fiscal buffers remain ample. A higher-than-budgeted fiscal stance in 2025 remains appropriate to prevent procyclicality that could exacerbate the growth impact of lower oil prices. Addressing strong credit growth and associated funding pressures will be crucial in mitigating risks to systemic financial stability. Given the current heightened global uncertainty, continued efforts on structural reform are essential to sustain non-oil growth and drive economic diversification.

    RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS[1]

    Saudi Arabia’s economy has been resilient to shocks. In 2024, non-oil real GDP grew by 4.2 percent, primarily driven by private consumption and non-oil private investment, with retail, hospitality, and construction leading growth. Repeated extensions of the OPEC+ production cuts have kept oil output at 9 million barrels per day (mb/d)—the lowest level since 2011— resulting in a 4.4 percent decline in oil GDP and an overall real growth rate of 1.8 percent. The composite PMI indicates sustained activity in Q1 2025, with the latest Q1 GDP estimate showing non-oil activities expanding by 4.9 percent year-on-year.

    The labor market’s strong momentum continues. The unemployment rate for Saudi nationals has declined to a record low of 7 percent in 2024, surpassing the original Vision 2030 target, which has now been revised down to 5 percent. The improvement is broad-based, with both youth and female unemployment halved over a four-year period. Private sector employment surged by 12 percent on average in 2024, while public sector hiring continued to slow, reflecting a redeployment to non-government entities.

    Inflation is contained as rent inflation decelerates. Despite a small pick-up to 2.3 percent in April 2025, headline inflation remains low, helped by high real interest rates. Declining prices for transport and communication helped offset housing rent inflation, which has decelerated for the 6th consecutive month to 8.1 percent y-o-y (the lowest annual rise since February 2023). Real wages have remained stable, albeit with some pickup for highly skilled workers.   

    The current account shifted to a narrow deficit, transitioning from a surplus of 2.9 percent of GDP in 2023 to a deficit of 0.5 percent of GDP in 2024. This shift mainly reflects a decline in oil export proceeds, higher imports of machinery and equipment, and stronger remittance outflows—factors that more than offset a surge in tourism inflows. The current account deficit has been financed through external borrowing and reduced FX asset accumulation. As a result, the Saudi Central Bank’s (SAMA) net foreign assets (NFA) holdings stabilized at $415 billion by end-2024—equivalent to 15 months of imports and 187 percent of the IMF’s reserve adequacy metric. 

    While spending overruns increased the overall fiscal deficit, the fiscal stance—as measured by the non-oil primary balance—showed a slight improvement in 2024. Additional expenditures related to project financing—partly linked to an accelerated implementation of Vision 2030—and flat oil revenue widened the overall fiscal deficit to 2.5 percent of GDP, approximately 0.8 percentage points above the budgeted target. However, driven by stronger non-oil revenue, the non-oil primary deficit improved, decreasing by 0.6 percentage points of GDP in 2024 compared to 2023. Central government debt rose to 26.2 percent of GDP as Saudi Arabia became the largest emerging market dollar debt issuer in 2024. However, Saudi Arabia remains amongst the lowest indebted nation globally and net debt is relatively low at approximately 17 percent of GDP.

    ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND RISKS

    Robust domestic demand—including from government-led projects—will continue to drive growth despite heightened global uncertainty and a weakened commodity price outlook. Non-oil real GDP growth is projected at 3.4 percent in 2025, about 0.8 percentage points lower than in 2024. This reflects the continued implementation of Vision 2030 projects through public and private investment, as well as strong credit growth, which would help sustain domestic demand and mitigate the impact of lower oil prices. The direct impact of rising global trade tensions is limited, as oil products—comprising 78 percent of Saudi Arabia’s goods exports to the U.S. in 2024—are exempt from U.S. tariffs, while non-oil exports to the U.S. only account for 3.4 percent of Saudi Arabia’s total non-oil exports. Over the medium term, domestic demand—including momentum ahead of Saudi Arabia’s hosting of large-scale international events—is expected to push non-oil growth closer to 4 percent in 2027 before stabilizing at 3.5 percent by 2030. Supported by the OPEC+ production cut phase-out schedule, overall GDP growth will accelerate to 3.5 percent in 2025 and 3.9 percent in 2026 before stabilizing at approximately 3.3 percent over the medium term.

    Inflation would remain anchored around 2 percent, supported by a credible peg to the U.S. dollar, domestic subsidies, and an elastic supply of expatriate labor, notwithstanding a projected moderate positive output gap over the medium term. Imported inflation from increased tariffs worldwide is expected to remain contained.

    The external position will weaken. Investment-linked imports and remittance outflows from an expanding expatriate labor force are expected to widen the current account deficit, which is projected to peak at about 3.9 percent of GDP by 2027 before converging to about 3.4 percent of GDP in 2030. Rising non-oil exports and robust inbound tourism will have a partial offsetting effect. The deficit will be increasingly financed through deposit drawdowns, less FX asset accumulation abroad, and external borrowing. International reserve coverage would remain adequate at about 11-12 month import coverage over the medium term, with foreign assets held by the Public Investment Fund (PIF) and other government-related entities offering strong additional buffers.

    Risks to the outlook are mainly to the downside. Weaker oil demand, driven by heightened uncertainty, an escalation of global trade tensions, and deepening geoeconomic fragmentation could dampen oil proceeds. This, in turn, would lead to higher fiscal deficits and debt and costlier financing. An abrupt decrease in spending by the government (including projects recalibration below its baseline) or a slowdown in reform implementation in response to lower oil prices could further hinder private investment growth. Conversely, higher-than-expected oil production/prices and accelerated implementation of reforms could yield stronger or earlier-than-expected growth dividends.

    POLICIES

    Fiscal Policy

    The 2025 fiscal stance—resulting in a deficit twice the budget target—remains appropriate. Given past overruns and the ongoing transformational projects tied to Vision 2030, staff anticipates higher current expenditures than budgeted. Combined with lower oil prices and minimal performance-linked dividends from Aramco, this will bring the overall fiscal deficit to 4.3 percent of GDP. However, this outcome still represents a 3.6 percentage points of non-oil GDP improvement in the non-oil primary balance, effectively frontloading part of the adjustment required by 2030 to uphold intergenerational equity. Given the upfront adjustment and ample fiscal buffers available, staff believes that additional spending restraint in 2025—triggered by lower-than-budgeted oil prices—is not necessary as it would make fiscal policy procyclical and exacerbate the impact on growth.

    Over the medium term, the overall fiscal deficit is expected to narrow. After peaking at 4.3 percent of GDP in 2025, it will decline to approximately 3.3 percent of GDP by 2030, driven by ongoing wage bill containment and spending efficiency measures. Under this baseline scenario, the non-oil primary deficit would shrink by about 4.2 percent of non-oil GDP from 2025 to 2030. The fiscal deficit would primarily be financed by borrowing, including through debt issuances, syndicated loans or facilities from export credit agencies, leading to an increase in the public debt-to-GDP ratio to about 42 percent by 2030.

    A gradual fiscal consolidation will remain necessary over the medium term to achieve intergenerational equity. To avoid disruptive adjustments and build buffers, an additional 3.3 percent of non-oil GDP must be generated over the 2026-30 period, mainly through:

    • Non-oil revenue mobilization. Plans to increase the tax rate on underdeveloped land, introduce a tax on vacant land, and broadening the VAT base (e.g., for e-commerce transactions) are welcome. Additional efforts—including through new tax policy measures and continued efforts to strengthen revenue administration—would be needed. The temporary tax penalty waiver introduced repeatedly since Covid, should not be renewed when it expires in June as it fuels moral hazard and could undermine compliance.
    • Removing energy subsidies. Staff welcomes the ongoing energy price adjustments—including a doubling of diesel prices since January 2024—which combined with lower international oil prices have reduced fuel subsidies to 3½ percent of GDP (down from 5½ percent in 2022). With retail fuel prices closer to international oil prices and the envisaged scaling up of the well-targeted Damaan social support program, efforts should be accelerated to reduce energy subsidies, including by removing the cap on gasoline prices.
    • Rationalizing other spending. The mission welcomes ongoing spending reviews—including recent assessments on project execution by various government entities—to identify areas for potential savings and efficiency gains. Further rationalization should prioritize reducing current expenditures with a low fiscal multiplier, while preserving medium-term, growth-enhancing infrastructure plans. Greater transparency on how spending prioritization and recalibration aligns with the authorities’ announced investment plans will support investor confidence.

    Given the high global uncertainty, staff welcomes the authorities’ contingency planning to safeguard fiscal sustainability in the event of a severe shock. In a scenario where oil prices decline significantly, a more aggressive fiscal consolidation strategy would be necessary. Identifying and prioritizing projects that can be extended or cut, if further adjustments are required, represents a prudent approach to maintaining fiscal sustainability. Staff recommends a partial drawdown of fiscal buffers in the event of a temporary oil price shock, which would help smooth the transition to a steady state and mitigate the impact of short-term oil price fluctuations.

    Sustaining the authorities’ ongoing efforts to strengthen fiscal institutions will be crucial in supporting the fiscal adjustment and Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives. Enhancing the Medium-Term Fiscal Framework remains a priority, particularly through better integration of its multiyear projections into annual budget preparations to align spending ceilings with fiscal forecasts, including commitments from multi-year contracts. Operationalizing and ensuring compliance with an expenditure-based fiscal rule would help anchor the fiscal stance over the medium term.

    Prudent debt management and a proper sovereign asset liability management (SALM) framework becomes increasingly important in a lower oil price environment. The mission encourages the authorities to assess the complex trade-offs between making greater use of central government deposits (currently at around 9¼ percent of GDP) and new bond issuances. The mission also supports the ongoing efforts toward operationalizing a comprehensive SALM framework to enhance the oversight of sovereign balance sheet exposures, which publication alongside the budget statement would support the drive for greater transparency and provide additional tools for fiscal policy analysis and formulation. Additionally, contingent liabilities—such as financing obligations for giga projects, debt guarantees, and Public-Private Partnerships—should be closely monitored.

    Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy

    SAMA has continued to refine its liquidity management framework to help reduce  overall liquidity volatility. Bank funding conditions in Saudi Arabia are influenced by persistently strong double-digit credit growth, with periodic spikes in the SAIBOR-SOFR spread reflecting episodes of liquidity pressures. SAMA’s standard market-based monetary operations should continue to remain focused on smoothing short-term liquidity imbalances without fueling asset/credit growth. The recent data-sharing arrangement between SAMA and the Ministry of Finance regarding expected government transactions is anticipated to improve the accuracy of liquidity forecasting and should be effectively implemented. Additionally, further enhancements to the reserve requirement framework would strengthen effective liquidity management and monetary policy transmission.

    The currency peg to the U.S. dollar remains appropriate. It has provided a credible anchor for monetary policy and is backed by ample external buffers. With an open capital account, it is essential that SAMA’s policy rate continues to align with the Fed’s policy rate.

    Financial Sector Policies

    The banking sector remains resilient, demonstrating strong capitalization and profitability despite rising funding costs. As of end-2024, the sector’s solvency ratio stood at 19.6 percent. Despite higher funding costs—driven by the increasing share of time and saving deposits—bank profitability is high, with an average return on assets of 2.2 percent in 2024. Non-performing loans have reached their lowest levels since 2016, reinforcing overall financial stability. Liquidity indicators are adequate and within regulatory thresholds, although the ratio of liquid assets to short-term liabilities has been declining, and the regulatory loan-to-deposit ratio has been on an upward trend.

    Strong credit growth is leading to funding pressures and a change in the funding mix of Saudi banks. As credit growth—mostly to corporates and for mortgages—outpaces deposit growth, banks diversify their liabilities by increasing reliance on other forms of financing, especially external borrowings in the form of bonds, bilateral or syndicated loans, and certificates of deposit. High external borrowing turned banks’ Net Foreign Assets (NFA) negative in 2024 for the first time since 1993. This trend is expected to continue in the near term as several banks are in the process of securing additional external funding. However, banks’ exposure to foreign exchange risk remains low.

    Addressing strong credit growth and associated funding pressures would help mitigate risks to systemic financial stability. The mission welcomes SAMA’s ongoing efforts to review its existing prudential toolkits to counter risks stemming from persistent double-digit credit growth amid a credit-to-deposit growth gap and the increased resort to short-term external wholesale funding. As loan demand is expected to remain high relative to deposit-based funding, setting prudential requirements commensurate with the evolving risks is essential. In that regard, the mission welcomes the introduction in May 2025 of a 100 basis points countercyclical capital buffer, which will be effective within a year. Vulnerabilities would be further mitigated by: (i) narrowing loan-to-value and debt burden ratios, which remain elevated relative to international standards; and (ii) tightening loan-to-deposit ratio to discourage excessive short-term foreign exchange funding. The mission welcomes SAMA’s proactive approach to monitoring the Liquidity Coverage Ratio and Net Stable Funding Ratio in foreign currency and encourages consideration of setting these ratios as regulatory requirements, should circumstances warrant.

    SAMA’s continued efforts to enhance regulatory and supervisory frameworks are commendable. The new Banking Law has been submitted for legislative approval, a risk-based supervisory framework is being refined, and a monitoring system has been introduced for large construction and infrastructure projects. Additionally, SAMA’s bank resolution function is being operationalized. The authorities have also made good progress in establishing a crisis management framework that includes an emergency liquidity assistance framework, which should be completed without undue delay. Furthermore, improvements in enhancing the effectiveness of AML/CFT supervision—including through thematic inspections—are welcome.

    Deepening the capital market is essential to help diversify funding and reduce reliance on bank financing. Although the capital market remains dominated by the large government-related issuers and the trading volumes are low, the recent and ongoing initiatives, such as the Investment Law that came into effect in February 2025 and the ongoing pension and savings reforms, should improve market liquidity and increase foreign participation in the Saudi capital markets. Greater use of asset-backed securities will create a new asset class and contribute to expanding funding in the banking system. The deepening of the domestic capital markets would also help improve the monetary policy transmission mechanism.

    Structural Policies

    The current environment of heightened uncertainty underscores the importance of continued structural reform efforts to sustain non-oil growth and economic diversification. Since 2016, Saudi Arabia has implemented significant and wide-ranging reforms, particularly in business regulations, governance, labor and capital markets. Several new laws that took effect in 2025—including the updated Investment Law, Labor Law amendments, and the new Commercial Registration Law—will enhance contractual certainty for investors and businesses, while also supporting productivity gains.

    The reform momentum should continue irrespective of oil price developments. Ongoing work to strengthen the anti-corruption framework—including by building on the recent Ultimate Beneficial Ownership Rules and By Laws of Nazaha—remains crucial. Equally important is enhancing human capital by aligning the skills of Saudi nationals with evolving labor market needs, improving access to finance and fostering digitalization, all of which are key to advancing the Kingdom’s economic diversification goals that are further enhanced with the integration of AI in government services. In addition to stronger fiscal institutions, pursuing these reforms will help Saudi Arabia build further resilience to oil price volatility.

    Targeted interventions through industrial policies should complement—not replace— structural reforms and must avoid crowding out private sector investment. Interventions by the PIF and public entities should continue to focus on areas where private investment is limited, market failures exist, or where they can play a catalytic role in attracting private capital, rather than potentially displacing domestic and foreign investors.  Industrial Policies should have clear exit criteria, claw-back mechanisms, and sunset clauses, to ensure they do not remain in place beyond their intended objective.

    **************************

    The mission team would like to thank the Saudi Arabian authorities and the people they met outside the government sector for their close collaboration, candid and informative discussions, and warm hospitality.

    [1] Numbers referred in percent of GDP are based on the authorities’ new rebasing GDP published in May 2025. The new methodological update is generally consistent with international best practices and the UN’s system of national accounts,

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Wafa Amr

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/06/25/saudi-arabia-concluding-statement-of-the-2025-article-iv-mission

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Advice accepted on autumn 2025 COVID-19 vaccination programme

    Source: United Kingdom – Government Statements

    Government response

    Advice accepted on autumn 2025 COVID-19 vaccination programme

    The government has accepted advice from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) for the autumn 2025 COVID-19 vaccination programme

    A Department of Health and Social Care spokesperson said:

    This decision is based on expert advice from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI), which continuously monitor and evaluate emerging scientific evidence on COVID-19 vaccines.  

    The autumn 2025 vaccination programme will target people who are at the highest risk of serious illness to protect the most vulnerable.

    We encourage anyone who is eligible for COVID-19 vaccination to come forward for vaccination this autumn.”   

    Background information

    On the 13th November 2024, the JCVI published advice on the COVID-19 vaccination programme for spring 2025, autumn 2025 and spring 2026. On 26th June 2025, the Government decided, in line with JCVI advice, that a COVID-19 vaccine should be offered to those in the population most vulnerable to serious outcomes from COVID-19 and who are therefore most likely to benefit from vaccination.

    Vaccination will be offered in England in autumn 2025 to:

    • Adults aged 75 years and over
    • Residents in a care home for older adults
    • Individuals aged 6 months and over who are immunosuppressed, as defined in tables 3 and 4 of the COVID-19 chapter of the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) Green Book on immunisation against infectious disease.

    In line with JCVI advice, frontline health and social care workers (HSCWs) and staff working in care homes for older adults will not be eligible for COVID-19 vaccination under the national programme for autumn 2025.

    This is following an extensive review by JCVI of the scientific evidence surrounding the impact of vaccination on transmission of the virus from HSCWs to patients, protection of HSCWs against symptoms of the disease, and staff sickness absences.

    In the current era of high population immunity to COVID-19, additional COVID-19 doses provide very limited, if any, protection against infection and any subsequent onward transmission of infection.

    For HSCWs, this means that COVID-19 vaccination likely now has only a very limited impact on reducing staff sickness absence. Therefore, the focus of the programme is now on those at greatest risk of serious disease and who are therefore most likely to benefit from vaccination.

    Updates to this page

    Published 26 June 2025

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI USA: ODHS distribuye kits de emergencia y baterías portátiles a adultos mayores y personas con discapacidades elegibles

    Source: US State of Oregon

    os adultos mayores y las personas con discapacidades que califiquen pueden solicitar kits de emergencia y baterías gratuitas para mantenerse seguros durante desastres.

    Emergencias como incendios forestales, olas de calor e inundaciones pueden ocurrir en cualquier momento. Es importante estar preparado. Pero muchas personas no saben por dónde empezar, o no tienen el dinero para comprar suministros.
    Durante la pandemia del COVID-19, el Departamento de Servicios Humanos de Oregon (ODHS por sus siglas en inglés) vio que muchas personas necesitaban ayuda para prepararse. Esto fue especialmente cierto para adultos mayores, personas con discapacidades físicas, y personas con discapacidades intelectuales o del desarrollo (I/DD). Muchas de ellas dependen de electricidad para usar equipo médico o de seguridad esencial.

    Para ayudar, ODHS recibió apoyo de la Ley del Plan de Rescate Estadounidense (ARPA, por sus siglas en inglés). Dos programas de ODHS — la Oficina de Servicios para Adultos Mayores y Personas con Discapacidades (APD) y la Oficina de Servicios para Discapacidades del Desarrollo (ODDS) — usaron estos fondos para dar suministros de emergencia a las personas que más los necesitan.

    ¿Qué artículos están disponibles ahora?

    APD tiene disponibles aproximadamente 18,000 kits de emergencia y 1,200 estaciones de energía portátiles para adultos mayores y personas con discapacidades físicas que reciben servicios de cuidado en el hogar a través de Medicaid. Estos servicios los proporciona APD y algunos gobiernos del condado.

    Los artículos disponibles incluyen:

    • Kits de emergencia: Contienen linternas, cobijas, artículos de primeros auxilios, comida y otros suministros útiles.
    • Estaciones de energía: Son baterías portátiles recargables que pueden usarse cuando no hay electricidad.

    Si usted cree que califica y quiere recibir estos artículos, comuníquese con su administrador(a) de casos. Si no sabe quién es, llame o visite la oficina local donde recibe servicios de APD.
    Puede encontrar la información de contacto de todas las oficinas estatales y del condado en el sitio web de ODHS visitando servicioshumanos.oregon.gov.

    ¿Qué se ha hecho hasta ahora?

    APD ya ha distribuido aproximadamente:

    • 2,000 kits de emergencia
    • 500 estaciones de energía

    ODDS, en colaboración con sus socios, ha entregado:

    • 20,137 kits de emergencia
    • 7,047 estaciones de energía
    • 1,276 generadores

    Algunos socios de ODDS organizaron eventos para distribuir estos artículos, además de ferias y entrenamientos sobre preparación para emergencias. También ayudaron a conectar a proveedores de servicios con equipos locales de respuesta ante emergencias.
    Estas acciones llegaron a 22,780 personas, 478 centros de servicios y 41 puntos de apoyo comunitario en todo Oregon.

    Estar preparado puede hacer una gran diferencia.

    En ODHS estamos orgullosos de apoyar la seguridad y el bienestar de las personas en Oregon.

    Sobre la foto

    El personal del Departamento de Servicios Humanos del Condado de Multnomah entregó suministros de emergencia durante eventos semanales en otoño e invierno. Puede ver un video corto sobre estos eventos.

    Foto cortesía del programa de Discapacidades Intelectuales y del Desarrollo del Condado de Multnomah.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI New Zealand: NZ SUPER FUND STAKEHOLDER UPDATE

    Source: New Zealand Super Fund

    Portfolio Update – The value of the NZ Super Fund has mirrored the performance of global risk assets over the past couple of months, dropping to $74 billion following US President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcements on 2 April and subsequently recovering to pass $83 billion.

    Periods of volatility are part and parcel of running a growth-focused portfolio, which we continue to believe is the investment strategy best suited to our mandate and to our purpose, Sustainable Investment Delivering Strong Returns to All New Zealanders.

    As a long-term investor, we are able to ride out, and even take advantage of, short-term market volatility. For example, one of our most successful active strategies over the past few years is Strategic Tilting. This strategy is based on our belief that investments tend to return to fair value over time and that, given our long-term investment horizon, we can improve our risk-adjusted returns by reducing our exposure to assets we believe are over-priced assets in favour of holding assets we believe offer value.

    As we have seen during the GFC and at the outset of the Covid pandemic, this strategy can generate losses over the short to medium term: our operational independence and our clearly defined governance model are essential to the success of this strategy.

    Market Conditions

    Financial markets remain closely attuned to developments in U.S. trade policy and ongoing tariff negotiations under the Trump Administration. These policy uncertainties, combined with concerns over the recently released federal budget – which is projected to significantly widen the U.S. fiscal deficit – have heightened investor caution.

    As a result, long-term U.S. Treasury yields have risen, driven in part by increased investor demand for alternative sovereign debt instruments. Notably, Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) have seen a pickup in yields, offering a relatively attractive option for investors seeking safety and yield diversification. This shift in sentiment has also contributed to a modest depreciation of the U.S. dollar against major currencies.

    Global economic activity expanded at a moderate pace in Q1, but recent indicators suggest a softening in momentum across several economies. Inflation remains broadly in line with central bank targets, helped by subdued energy prices. In response to the cooling outlook, central banks in New Zealand, Australia, and the Eurozone have eased monetary policy, while the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates steady.

    Adding to global uncertainty, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven a sharp increase in commodity prices, particularly in oil markets. These developments are likely to be a key source of market volatility in the near term.

    The NZ Super Fund in the Budget

    The amount of money the government is required to contribute to the Super Fund is determined by a formula set out in Section 43 of our Act (the New Zealand Superannuation and Retirement Income Act 2001).

    It is a complicated-looking calculation, but the most important inputs are the expected nominal GDP and net cost of superannuation over the following 40 years and the size of the Super Fund.

    If nominal GDP or the size of the Super Fund is higher than expected (or if the net cost of superannuation is lower), the Government is required to contribute a lower amount.

    These forecasts are updated by Treasury every six months at the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (BEFU) and the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU).

    At the last HYEFU, Treasury forecast that the government would be able to make its first withdrawal from the Super Fund in 2031 ($96 million).

    Last month’s updated numbers, published alongside Finance Minister Nicola Willis’s 2025 Budget, forecast that the first withdrawal would come in 2028 ($32 million). 2036 remains the year where withdrawals are forecast to pass $1 billion for the first time.

    Reductions in forecast government contribution have been a trend for the past few years, driven by higher-than-expected returns from the Super Fund and lower-than-previously-expected future net superannuation costs.    

    The Elevate Fund

    The Budget also contained the news that the Government would divert this year’s capital contribution of $61 million to the Elevate Fund, along with a further $39 million from the government’s capital allowance.

    This $100 million commitment provides some welcome certainty for NZGCP, whom the Guardians appointed to manage Elevate in line with the legislation that established the fund in 2019 (the Venture Capital Fund Act), and matches the approach taken by the previous government when it first set up Elevate.

    We look forward to continuing to work with NZGCP to maintain Elevate’s contribution to increasing the venture capital available to New Zealand entities and developing New Zealand’s venture capital markets to function more effectively. 

    Minister of Finance’s Letter of Expectations

    We have now published our response to the Letter of Expectations 2025/26 that we received earlier this year from Finance Minister Nicola Willis.

    Click here to read the Minister’s letter, and here to read our response. 

    Guardians staffer elected to ILPA board

    Del Hart, our Head of External Investments and Partnerships, was recently elected to the Board of the Institutional Limited Partners Association. With 618 institutional members drawn from 50 countries, the ILPA is an important industry advocate and thought leader.

    Private markets are growing and changing rapidly. Del’s perspective will be of great value as we continue to refine our thinking about investing in this asset class.

    Industry recognises Leadership Team member’s career and contribution

    Paula Steed, recently appointed as Guardians GM Technology (and previously GM Strategy and Shared Services), has been inducted as a Fellow of the Chartered Accountants Association of Australia and New Zealand (CAANZ). Fellowships are given for outstanding career achievements or contributions to the profession, as decided by CAANZ members.  

    NZ Super Fund Scholarship winner

    Avondale College alumna Chana Malungahu is the latest recipient of the NZ Super Fund AUT Business Scholarship – Pacific. Chana, who enrolled at AUT in the second semester last year, is currently studying business strategy, international business management, and entrepreneurship and innovation, and working towards a Bachelor of Business degree. 

    AUT Business School announced the award of this scholarship via their LinkedIn page.

    Annual Report voted best in Australasia

    For the fourth time in five years the Guardians’ annual report has been named Report of the Year at this year’s ARA awards. Judges described the report as “designed to engage readers and effectively communicate the organisation’s messages … customer centric and easy to understand.”

    Read our Annual Report for FY24 here.

    The Judges’ comments and a full list of award winners can be found on the ARA website.

    In the news

    Guardians Board member (and former Senior Investment Strategist at the NZ Super Fund) Sue Brake and CalPERS Chief Investment Officer (and former Chief Investment Officer at the NZ Super Fund) Stephen Gilmore talk about the Total Portfolio Approach to investing with Thinking Ahead Institute Associate Director Isabella Martin – the latest in Isabella’s Investing for the Future series of podcasts.

    The Guardians is gearing up to combine a multitude of investment data models across the organisation into a central model-of-models, which should lead to better investment decisions and cost savings. Maaike van Tol, our Director of Portfolio Design, recently sat down with the Investment Innovation Institute’s Director of Content, Wouter Klijn, to talk about how a comprehensive data analytics function can lead to more meaningful conversations, better investment decisions, and lower costs. Read Wouter’s report here.   

    Sustainable Investment Analyst Laumanu Mafi recently featured on RadioNZ’s Pacific Waves programme, where she and host Susana Suisuiki discussed some of the difficulties Pacific women face in accessing the retirement benefits they need. An economist by training, Laumanu spent three years on the investment team at Tonga’s Retirement Fund Board before joining the Guardians two years ago. Go to RNZ Pacific to listen to their conversation.

    Congratulations to former Guardians Board member Mark Tume, winner of the Invest New Zealand – Te Tohu Kahukura Māori Leadership in Finance Award at the recent INFINZ awards. A full list of award winners can be found here.

    MIL OSI New Zealand News