Category: Politics

  • MIL-OSI USA: Klobuchar Statement on Inspectors General

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn)
    WASHINGTON – Senator Amy Klobuchar issued the following statement on reports that inspectors general from multiple federal agencies have been dismissed: 
    “Independent inspectors general are critical to rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse throughout the federal government—as well as to preventing improper political influence or favoritism. It is alarming that President Trump is firing inspectors general from agencies across the federal government, including the Department of Agriculture, removing critical checks on his power. Now more than ever the responsibility will fall to Congress to conduct oversight and ensure these agencies are working for the American people, not special interests.”

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Allister congratulates farmers on protest turnout

    Source: Traditional Unionist Voice – Northern Ireland

    Statement by TUV Leader Jim Allister:-

    “It was marvellous to see the huge turnouts at today’s Farmers’ Protest over the Government’s punitive death tax on family farms.

    “I attended the Ballymena protest in which over 300 tractors took part. It was great to see the determination among farmers to keep the pressure on the government over this vital issue.

    “I will continue the fight on their behalf despite the size of the government’s majority, believing that in the end this ruinous policy is unsustainable.  With farmers united across the United Kingdom on the issue, the government must be made to continue to feel the pressure until they retreat from burying family farms under the weight of their greedy death taxes.”

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Africa: Secretary-General’s message to the International Holocaust Remembrance Service

    Source: United Nations – English

    ear Rabbi Schneier, Excellencies, Dear Friends,

    It is an honour to send you a message today.

    At this sombre occasion, I want to acknowledge that more than a year has passed since the appalling 7th October terror attacks by Hamas. We welcome, at long last, the ceasefire and hostage release deal. The deal offers hope, as well as much needed relief. The United Nations will do our utmost to ensure it leads to the release of all hostages and a permanent ceasefire in Gaza.

    Dear Friends,

    This year marks eighty years since the end of the Holocaust.

    The history of the Holocaust is one of total moral collapse, dehumanisation, complicity, and unimaginable atrocities. But amidst all the horror, there are also stories of humanity, and of courage.

    I think of those victims who resisted Nazi brutality and supported one another with kindness and solidarity. I think of those survivors who have told their stories to the world, including Rabbi Schneier and others present today.  We owe you — and the children of survivors who made sure those stories lived on – a profound debt of gratitude.  And I think of those noble people of conscience who may not have been targeted by the Nazis but were so horrified by what they saw that they felt compelled to act. 

    That includes a number of diplomats who used their power to save lives.  They were from a variety of countries, including many represented here today.  

    One important example from my own country, Portugal, is Aristides de Sousa Mendes. Stationed in Bordeaux, as the Nazis approached in 1940, Sr. Sousa Mendes faced crowds desperate for visas out of France.

    The orders of the Portuguese Government were clear. The infamous “Circular 14” had been issued, denying visas for refugees’ safe passage to Portugal – with Jews named specifically. Sr. Sousa Mendes decided to disobey, and worked quite literally day and night to issue thousands of visas, saving countless lives.

    The government punished Sr. Sousa Mendes for his defiance. He died in poverty, after being expelled from the diplomatic corps without pension. But his extraordinary efforts have not been forgotten. In 1966, he was recognised as one of the Righteous Among the Nations, and, last year, I was pleased to support the opening of a museum in his honour in Portugal.

    In these days of global turmoil, rising antisemitism, and growing hate towards many communities, it is vital that we remember the stories of people like Sr. Sousa Mendes, who used their power for good in the worst of times. They remind us that it is our duty – individually and collectively – to stand with humanity and against bigotry and discrimination.

    In that spirit, I am pleased to report that the United Nations has launched an Action Plan to Enhance Monitoring and Response to Antisemitism. We have long worked to combat this evil, through a wide range of activities, including our Holocaust Outreach program. This new Plan builds on that work, and the insights of people like Rabbi Schneier, to recommend ways the United Nations system will further enhance efforts to combat antisemitism.

    This goes to the heart of the mission of the United Nations, which was established in the aftermath of the Holocaust.  We will never waiver in the fight for a world that promotes and protects the human rights of all.
     

    MIL OSI Africa

  • MIL-OSI United Nations: Secretary-General’s message to the International Holocaust Remembrance Service

    Source: United Nations

    Dear Rabbi Schneier, Excellencies, Dear Friends,

    It is an honour to send you a message today.

    At this sombre occasion, I want to acknowledge that more than a year has passed since the appalling 7th October terror attacks by Hamas. We welcome, at long last, the ceasefire and hostage release deal. The deal offers hope, as well as much needed relief. The United Nations will do our utmost to ensure it leads to the release of all hostages and a permanent ceasefire in Gaza.

    Dear Friends,

    This year marks eighty years since the end of the Holocaust.

    The history of the Holocaust is one of total moral collapse, dehumanisation, complicity, and unimaginable atrocities. But amidst all the horror, there are also stories of humanity, and of courage.

    I think of those victims who resisted Nazi brutality and supported one another with kindness and solidarity. I think of those survivors who have told their stories to the world, including Rabbi Schneier and others present today.  We owe you — and the children of survivors who made sure those stories lived on – a profound debt of gratitude.  And I think of those noble people of conscience who may not have been targeted by the Nazis but were so horrified by what they saw that they felt compelled to act. 

    That includes a number of diplomats who used their power to save lives.  They were from a variety of countries, including many represented here today.  

    One important example from my own country, Portugal, is Aristides de Sousa Mendes. Stationed in Bordeaux, as the Nazis approached in 1940, Sr. Sousa Mendes faced crowds desperate for visas out of France.

    The orders of the Portuguese Government were clear. The infamous “Circular 14” had been issued, denying visas for refugees’ safe passage to Portugal – with Jews named specifically. Sr. Sousa Mendes decided to disobey, and worked quite literally day and night to issue thousands of visas, saving countless lives.

    The government punished Sr. Sousa Mendes for his defiance. He died in poverty, after being expelled from the diplomatic corps without pension. But his extraordinary efforts have not been forgotten. In 1966, he was recognised as one of the Righteous Among the Nations, and, last year, I was pleased to support the opening of a museum in his honour in Portugal.

    In these days of global turmoil, rising antisemitism, and growing hate towards many communities, it is vital that we remember the stories of people like Sr. Sousa Mendes, who used their power for good in the worst of times. They remind us that it is our duty – individually and collectively – to stand with humanity and against bigotry and discrimination.

    In that spirit, I am pleased to report that the United Nations has launched an Action Plan to Enhance Monitoring and Response to Antisemitism. We have long worked to combat this evil, through a wide range of activities, including our Holocaust Outreach program. This new Plan builds on that work, and the insights of people like Rabbi Schneier, to recommend ways the United Nations system will further enhance efforts to combat antisemitism.

    This goes to the heart of the mission of the United Nations, which was established in the aftermath of the Holocaust.  We will never waiver in the fight for a world that promotes and protects the human rights of all.
     

    MIL OSI United Nations News

  • MIL-Evening Report: NZ Palestinian network co-founder Janfrie Wakim praises ‘heroic Gaza’, calls for more action

    Asia Pacific Report

    A co-founder of a national Palestinian solidarity network in Aotearoa New Zealand today praised the “heroic” resilience and sacrifice of the people of Gaza in the face of Israel’s ruthless attempt to destroy the besieged enclave of more than 2 million people.

    Speaking at the first solidarity rally in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau since the fragile ceasefire came into force last Sunday, Janfrie Wakim of the Palestine Solidarity Network Aotearoa (PSNA) also paid tribute to New Zealand protesters who have supported the Palestine cause for the 68th week.

    “Thank you all for coming to this rally — the first since 7 October 2023 when no bombs are dropping on Gaza,” she declared.

    “The ceasefire in Gaza is fragile but let’s celebrate the success of the resistance, the resilience, and the fortitude — the sumud [steadfastness] — of the heroic Palestinian people.

    “Israel has failed. It has not achieved its aims — in the longest war [15 weeks] in its history — even with $40 billion in aid from the United States. It has failed to depopulate the north of Gaza, it has a crumbling economy, and 1 million Israelis [out if 9 million] have left already.”

    Wakim said that the resistance and success in defeating Israel’s “deadly objectives” had come at a “terrible cost”.

    “We mourn those with families here and in Gaza and now in the West Bank who made  the ultimate sacrifice with their lives — 47,000 people killed, 18,000 of them children, thousands unaccounted for in the rubble and over 100,000 injured.

    Grieving for journalists, humanitarian workers
    “We grieve for but salute the journalists and the humanitarian workers who have been murdered serving humanity.”


    Janfrie Wakim speaking at today’s Palestine rally in Tamaki Makaurau. Video: APR

    She said the genocide had been enabled by the wealthiest countries in the world and the Western media — “including our own with few exceptions”.

    “Without its lies, its deflections, its failure to report the agonising reality of Palestinians suffering, Israel would not have been able to commit its atrocities,” Wakim said.

    “And now while we celebrate the ceasefire there’s been an escalation on the West Bank — air strikes, drones, snipers, ethnic cleansing in Jenin with homes and infrastructure being demolished.

    “Checkpoints have doubled to over 900 — sealing off communities. And still the Palestinians resist.

    “And we must too. Solidarity. Unity of purpose is all important. Bury egos. Let humanity triumph.”

    Palestinian liberation advocate Janfrie Wakim . . . “Without its lies, its deflections, its failure to report the agonising reality of Palestinians suffering, Israel could not have been able to commit its atrocities.” Image: David Robie/APR

    90-year-old supporter
    During her short speech, Wakim introduced to the crowd the first Palestinian she had met in New Zealand, Ghazi Dassouki, who is now aged 90.

    She met him at a Continuing Education seminar at the University of Auckland in 1986 that addressed the topic of “The Palestine Question”. It shocked the establishment of the time with Zionist complaints and intimidation of staff which prevented any similar academic event until 2006.

    Wakim called for justice for the Palestinians.

    “Freedom from occupation. Liberation from apartheid. And peace at last after 76 years of subjugation and oppression by Israel and its allies,” she said

    She called on supporters to listen to what was being suggested for local action — “do what suits your situation and energy. Our task is to persist, as Howard Zinn put it”.

    “When we organise with one another, when we get involved, when we stand up and speak out together, we can create a power no government can suppress,” she said.

    “We don’t have to engage in grand, heroic actions to participate in the process of change. Small acts, when multiplied by millions of people, can transform the world.”

    Introduced to the Auckland protest crowd today . . . Ghazi Dassouki, who is now aged 90.

    As a symbol for peace and justice in Palestine, slices of water melon and dates were handed out to the crowd.

    Calls to block NZ visits by IDF soldiers
    Among many nationwide rallies across Aotearoa New Zealand this weekend, were many calls for the government to suspend entry to the country from soldiers in the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF).

    “New Zealand should not be providing rest and recreation for Israeli soldiers fresh from the genocide in Gaza,” said PSNA national chair John Minto.

    “We wouldn’t allow Russian soldiers to come here for rest and recreation from the invasion of Ukraine so why would we accept soldiers from the genocidal, apartheid state of Israel?”

    As well as the working holiday visa, since 2019 Israelis have been able to enter New Zealand for three months without needing a visa at all.

    This visa-waiver is used by Israeli soldiers for “rest and recreation” from the genocide in Gaza.

    Minto stressed that IDF soldiers had killed at least 47,000 Palestinians — 70 percent of them women and children.

    The International Court of Justice (ICJ) has declared Israeli actions a “plausible genocide”; Amnesty International, and Human Rights Watch have branded the continuous massacres as genocide and extermination; and the latest report from UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in the Occupied Palestine Territories Francesca Albanese has called it “genocide as colonial erasure”.

    Watermelon slices for all . . . a symbol of peace, the seed for justice. Image: David Robie/APR

    War crimes red flags
    Also, the International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant for war crimes and crimes against humanity.

    “All these red flags for genocide have been visible for months but the government is still giving the green light to those involved in war crimes to enter New Zealand,” Minto said.

    Last month, PSNA again wrote to the government asking for the suspension of travel to New Zealand for all Israeli soldiers and reservists.

    Meanwhile, 200 Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails have been set free under the terms of the Gaza ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas. Seventy of them will be deported to countries in the region, reports Al Jazeera.

    Masses of people have congregated in Ramallah, celebrating the return of the released Palestinian prisoners.

    A huge crowd waved Palestinian flags, shouted slogans and captured the joyful scene with their phones and live footage shows.

    The release came after Palestinian fighters earlier handed over four female Israeli soldiers who had been held in Gaza to the International Red Cross in Palestine Square.

    The smiling and waving soldiers appeared to be in good health and were in high spirits.

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz

  • MIL-OSI USA: Murphy Votes Against Confirming Pete Hegseth As Secretary Of Defense

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Connecticut – Chris Murphy

    January 24, 2025

    WASHINGTON–U.S. Senator Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) released the following statement after voting against the confirmation of Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense:
    “Pete Hegseth is woefully unqualified to serve as the Secretary of Defense. His history of misconduct is disqualifying on its own, and his personal beliefs on the role of women in combat and the laws of war are an insult to our men and women in uniform. Pete Hegseth’s main qualification for this job is his commitment to pursuing a brazenly political agenda at the behest of President Trump and his confirmation will come at a serious cost to U.S. national security.”

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: “Sudan must not be forgotten” David Lammy announces political and humanitarian action to address “catastrophe” in Sudan

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Foreign Secretary announces £20 million in additional funding while visiting the Adré on the Chad-Sudan border.

    • Foreign Secretary to drive new international commitment to a political process towards ending this conflict
    • On first UK Foreign Secretary visit ever, David Lammy sees impact of UK aid supporting nearly 800,000 on Chad-Sudan border town of Adré
    • UK addresses upstream drivers of migration as the FCDO continues its drive to secure borders

    Refugees fleeing war-torn Sudan will receive further UK support to increase food production and lifesaving sexual and reproductive health services, as Foreign Secretary announces £20 million in additional funding while visiting the Adré on the Chad-Sudan border.

    This builds on the doubling of UK aid in November to address the humanitarian emergency in Sudan to £226.5 million. These UK funds are providing emergency food assistance to nearly 800,000 displaced people, of whom over 88% are women and children, as well as improving access to shelter, drinking water, emergency health care and education.

    Not only is this aid vitally needed on humanitarian grounds, but it will also help people to stay within their immediate region meaning that they are better able to return when conditions allow. Since the conflict began, 3.6 million refugees have fled to neighbouring countries, with a significant number travelling on to Europe and the UK.

    Unscrupulous smuggling gangs are looking to profit from the misery in Sudan. And the longer this war lasts, the greater its ripple effect. We must give credit to countries like Egypt, Chad, and South Sudan for managing this crisis alongside others nearby.

    Nearly 2,000 Sudanese nationals arrived on small boats in the year ending September 2024. As part of the Plan for Change, the Government is determined to reduce the number of people making dangerous small boat crossings across the Channel and net migration.

    Foreign Secretary David Lammy said: 

    Sudanese people are facing violence on an unimaginable scale. This is the biggest humanitarian crisis in the world.

    Millions have already fled their homes – in the face of a struggle for power that has led to abhorrent atrocities against civilians and famine on an unconscionable scale. 

    The international community must wake up and act urgently to avoid this horrific death toll escalating further in the coming months, driving instability and irregular migration into Europe and the UK. Under this government’s Plan for Change, we are addressing upstream drivers of migration to secure UK borders.

    The UK will not let Sudan be forgotten. To do so would be unforgiveable.

    Working with partners, the Foreign Secretary is determined to re-energise a political process on this issue. He plans to convene a meeting of Foreign Ministers to galvanise international efforts to work towards an end to the conflict and get aid to where it is needed the most.

    This builds on the UK and Sierra Leone’s resolution at the UN in November, which gained the support of every UN Security Council member except Russia. He will build consensus on how the international community can support region-led mediation efforts that have Sudanese voices at the centre.   

    The UK is calling for greater access so aid can get to where it is needed most and will continue to push for every border crossing and route to be open, accessible, and safe.

    Media enquiries

    Email newsdesk@fcdo.gov.uk

    Telephone 020 7008 3100

    Contact the FCDO Communication Team via email (monitored 24 hours a day) in the first instance, and we will respond as soon as possible.

    Updates to this page

    Published 25 January 2025

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI China: China’s 2025 film market promising with strong start

    Source: China State Council Information Office 3

    China’s film market is off to a strong start in 2025, with box office pre-sales for the Spring Festival surpassing 525 million yuan (about 73.2 million U.S. dollars) as of Saturday, fueling optimism about the performance of the world’s second-largest film market this year.

    The Spring Festival, or the Chinese New Year, is the most important holiday on the Chinese calendar for family reunions and also one of the most lucrative movie-going seasons in China.

    “The Spring Festival often sees the release of quality films, and the box office performance during this period sets the tone for the development trends of the entire year,” stated China International Capital Corporation, an investment bank offering consultancy services.

    Figures from film data platform Beacon showed that advanced ticket bookings for movies set for release during the holiday exceeded 500 million yuan within just five days of pre-sales beginning on Jan. 19, signaling an upturn in China’s movie market.

    After facing downturns in recent years, China’s film market is set to rebound in 2025, with a strong start during the holiday season, according to observers.

    They predicted that the total box office revenue of the 2025 Spring Festival holiday season, running from Jan. 28 to Feb. 4, one day longer than before, has the potential to surpass the 2024 record of approximately 8 billion yuan and reach a new high.

    Zhang Yue, president of Ao Yo International, a culture and media corporation, told a news service under the Chongqing Daily that a diverse range of films from various genres and subjects will be screened during the holiday, offering audiences more options.

    “As living conditions improve, people’s demand for cultural and entertainment consumption has risen. The box office performance during the holiday is crucial for the market’s recovery this year,” Zhang was quoted as saying.

    Six domestic films are set to debut on Jan. 29, the first day of the 2025 Chinese New Year. Among them is the highly anticipated blockbuster “The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Hero,” an adaptation of a Chinese wuxia classic, which has generated 223 million yuan and become the biggest box office draw in the pre-sales chart.

    “Ne Zha 2,” the sequel to the 2019 animated blockbuster “Ne Zha,” claimed the second spot, with advanced bookings totaling 89 million yuan. It is closely followed by the latest installment of the “Detective Chinatown” franchise and “Creation of the Gods II: Demon Force,” the second film in a mythology trilogy.

    “My friend and I booked the tickets immediately upon hearing the news that ‘Creation of the Gods II: Demon Forces’ will be released,” said Song Jiaming, a film enthusiast from Beijing. “The first film in the series was a huge success in 2023, and we’re both excited for the upcoming release.”

    The strong holiday season has raised optimism for a record-breaking year at the box office. The box office revenue of 2025 has reached 2.2 billion yuan by Saturday, according to Beacon.

    Industry insiders believe that policy support and the recovery of market confidence will create new opportunities for growth in the film industry this year.

    Song told Xinhua that she used to be a fan of Western movie franchises like “Avatar” and “The Lord of the Rings.” However, her interest has gradually shifted as an increasing number of domestic films, with strong cultural resonance, have graced the silver screen.

    “Domestic films are playing an increasingly important role in the Chinese film market. They account for more than 80 percent of the box office with a trend of continuous growth,” according to Huang Wenyu, an industry analyst.

    As the quality of domestic films improves and their range of genres expands, they are expected to maintain their dominance in the Chinese film market, Huang added.

    To boost the film market, the China Film Administration has launched a consumption promotion campaign, offering subsidies totaling 600 million yuan to the public until the end of February.

    Besides, local governments in provincial-level regions including Guangdong, Hubei and Jiangsu will issue tens of millions of yuan in additional vouchers to encourage more people to go to the cinema.

    Analysts also noted that with the film market expected to show steady growth this year, competition will intensify. They have called for a focus on enhancing film production quality, improving overall film standards, optimizing the competitive landscape, and promoting digital transformation.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Why ancient Mesopotamians would have used a sheep’s liver to predict Donald Trump’s election odds

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Selena Wisnom, Lecturer in the Heritage of the Middle East, University of Leicester

    With one week to go, the US presidential election race is on a knife-edge. Jonah Elkowitz / Shutterstock

    I’m standing in a basement kitchen prodding at a sheep’s liver, looking for marks on its smooth surface. People crowd around to film the proceedings, since I’m here to ask a question that everyone wants to know the answer to: will Donald Trump win the US election?

    I’m following instructions that were first written down by the ancient Babylonians 4,000 years ago, and still survive today. Every crease on the liver has a meaning, and cuneiform tablets discovered in modern-day Iraq explain how to interpret them.

    Armed with this knowledge, it’s possible to calculate the answer to any question, so long as it is yes or no, by adding up the number of positive or negative signs and seeing which comes out on top.

    Since this liver had an overwhelming number of bad omens in it, I concluded that it declared no for Trump this time. Though in 2016 this method predicted a win well before he had won the Republican nomination, and in 2020 foretold that he would not be reelected that year.

    Will Trump win the US election?

    What started as an entertaining talk for a university open day has since become a serious part of my research – not because I sincerely believe in it, but because it gives us some of the earliest evidence in history for how human beings reason and think.

    Looking at livers also makes a serious underlying point about how humans have coped with uncertainty throughout history, and still struggle to today. People have developed techniques as varied as astrology, tarot cards and even peering into entrails in response to the agony of not knowing, or the strain of trying to make a difficult decision.

    Given the level of feeling invested in this election, it’s a unique moment where perhaps we can appreciate that, in this respect, we are not so different from those who lived thousands of years ago, even if our methods of looking into the future are different.

    Asking the entrails

    Developed in its classic form in Babylon, entrail divination was practised throughout ancient Mesopotamia, the written history of which spans from the 3rd millennium BC to the 1st century AD.

    It was enormously important in all sections of society – a standard part of political decision-making at the royal court, but accessible to all. Budget options were even available for those who could not afford a sheep.

    People addressed their questions directly to the gods and believed that at the moment of asking, the answer would be written on the entrails. This could then be “read” by a diviner trained in this esoteric language.

    A map of Mesopotamia, a historical region in modern-day Iraq.
    aipsidtr / Shutterstock

    Sitting in the British Museum is an archive of real questions that were asked by the king of Assyria (a kingdom in northern Mesopotamia) in the 7th century BC. All kinds of affairs of state were put before the gods. Are the Egyptians going to attack? Has the enemy taken the town under siege? And will the governors return home safely?

    Reading the archive, you get a real sense of nerves on a knife-edge as the king waited for news from far away, wanting to know what had happened to his troops and trying to decide what to do next.

    Not only did he ask them about what would happen in the future, but he also consulted them on possible courses of action. Should the Assyrian army go to war? Should the king send a messenger to make peace? Asking the opinion of the gods would have helped him feel more confident in his next steps.

    The Babylonians did not have elections. But that did not mean the king could do whatever he wanted. It was important for his public image to have the gods onside, as well as for his own reassurance.

    Whenever a powerful official was appointed, the entrails would be read to ensure the gods approved. The head of the army, high priests and other important positions were all subject to this requirement. On one occasion, even the choice of crown prince – and hence the future king of Assyria – was put to this test.

    Interpreting the entrails was held to almost scientific standards of exactitude. Diviners worked in pairs or groups of up to 11, checking each other’s work to make sure they got it right. This was not a vague or woolly process, but a real attempt to ensure “accuracy” that could not be manipulated to simply come up with the answer that the king wanted to hear.

    Modern forecasting

    We all want to know what the future has in store, and have come up with ingenious ways of trying to find out, from opinion polls and data modelling to Paul the octopus, who developed a reputation for picking the winners of football matches during the 2010 World Cup. But are our methods really any better than looking inside a sheep?

    As all investors are warned, past performance does not guarantee future results. Yet the only data we have to inform our predictions comes from the past, and most of our models can’t take into account “unknown unknowns”.

    As many experts have found, predicting the future is a difficult business: opinion polls can lie and people change their minds, while economists have often been blindsided by a sudden crash.




    Read more:
    Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?


    A Babylonian clay liver used for divination in Mesopotamia from 2050–1750 BC.
    Science Museum Group Collection, CC BY-NC-ND

    Since liver divination only answers “yes” or “no”, it is going to be right 50% of the time just through the law of averages. Despite its randomness, its success rate may well have seemed convincing at the time.

    And when we trust the authority of the source, it’s easy to find a way to explain away a wrong result – the prediction got halfway there, answered a different question, or would have been right if x hadn’t happened.

    We shouldn’t be blind to the weaknesses of our own methods. We are often wrong, and the Babylonians could sometimes be right.

    Selena Wisnom does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Why ancient Mesopotamians would have used a sheep’s liver to predict Donald Trump’s election odds – https://theconversation.com/why-ancient-mesopotamians-would-have-used-a-sheeps-liver-to-predict-donald-trumps-election-odds-242251

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Small Things Like These: Magdalene laundries drama is a powerful rumination on compassion – and its limits

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Ruth Barton, Professor in Film Studies, Trinity College Dublin

    In 2021, Ireland’s then Taoiseach (prime minister), Enda Kenny, delivered a formal apology to the survivors of the Magdalene laundries. The laundries were religious institutions where unmarried mothers and other “fallen” women were forced into slave labour.

    “It struck me,” he said, “that for generations Ireland had created a particular portrait of itself as a good living God-fearing nation. Through this and other reports we know this flattering self-portrait to be fictitious … by any standards it was a cruel, pitiless Ireland distinctly lacking in a quality of mercy.”

    His words might well serve as a prologue to the new film adaptation of Claire Keegan’s 2020 novella, Small Things Like These. So too might a brief moment in the equally excoriating, if less nuanced film, The Magdalene Sisters (2002). In it, one of the young women begs a local delivery boy to help her escape, but in the end he lets her down.

    History films work in various ways. One is to comfort the viewer that such a time is consigned to the past. Melodramas like The Magdalene Sisters and that other notable Magdalene story, Philomena (2013), find a form of closure when their victims confront their oppressors.

    Another is to refuse a neat ending, to force us to imagine what might happen in the lives of the protagonists after the final credits have rolled. In Small Things Like These, that protagonist is coal-man, Bill Furlong (Cillian Murphy), who finds himself inexplicably troubled as he is finishing off his delivery business in the days before Christmas 1985.

    All is well at home, where his five daughters quarrel amicably around the kitchen table as they do their homework under the eye of his wife, Eileen (Eileen Walsh). Money is tight but they’re getting by.

    Making a delivery to the local convent, he comes across a young woman, Sarah (Zara Devlin), locked in the coal shed. The discovery sets off his own memories of being brought up by a single mother, and, after her death, by a wealthy landowner, Mrs Wilson (Michelle Fairley). The film confronts kindly Bill with a dilemma: to shut his eyes, as do the other inhabitants of New Ross, to what is going on in the convent, or to aid the young woman.

    The mother superior, Sister Mary (Emily Watson), knows that the stooped coal-man standing uneasily in her office is no match for her. As she warns him, the future education of his younger daughters in the school adjacent to the convent is not guaranteed. Other of the villagers, who sense his confusion, tell him not to involve himself. His wife, even as she doesn’t fully understand what is going through his head, is horrified by the merest suggestion that he will disrupt the status quo.

    The price of compassion

    In a less nuanced film, this advice might prompt the viewer to further empathise with Bill, egging him on to action. But here, the suffocating moral blanket that lies over the city – visually rendered as a thick fog that merges into a drizzle and occasional snow, and the narrow, constricting streets through which he moves – remind us that nonconformity comes with a heavy price.

    The community may pile into the church for Christmas mass but, as Eileen admonishes Bill, there is no point in helping the starving child he meets on the road with the spare coins from his pocket – his father will only drink the money. What small closure comes at the film’s end is fragile and contingent.

    The trailer for Small Things Like These.

    Another risk of telling stories from history is to sacrifice the particular for the universal. Small Things Like These manages, through its visuals and its achingly believable performances (Murphy’s most of all) to be a film rooted in the Ireland that Kenny evoked in his speech. At the same time, it prompts us to question the limits of compassion – how much easier is it to conform to social norms than step outside them.

    The film ends fittingly with a tribute to the more than 56,000 young women who were sent to Magdalene institutions for “penance and rehabilitation” between the years 1922 and 1996. And the children who were taken from them.

    It is not history’s job to impose lessons on the present. But at the same time, it would be inadequate for viewers not to ask what we would have done in Bill’s place. And, more uncomfortably, what, faced with the knowledge of the multiple injustices of our own society, we ourselves are doing now.



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    Ruth Barton does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Small Things Like These: Magdalene laundries drama is a powerful rumination on compassion – and its limits – https://theconversation.com/small-things-like-these-magdalene-laundries-drama-is-a-powerful-rumination-on-compassion-and-its-limits-242057

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: The next president will play a key role in shaping US trade policy – here’s what voters need to know

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Bedassa Tadesse, Professor of Economics, University of Minnesota Duluth

    From the ports of Los Angeles to the cornfields of Iowa, the U.S.’s international trade policy is a force that shapes the lives of every American. With the presidential election looming in November 2024, discussing trade policy isn’t just an academic exercise – it’s a civic responsibility.

    As an economist, I have spent years studying this topic. Trade policy has profound effects on how industries operate, from production locations to competitive dynamics. These changes impact everyday life, from the cost of your morning coffee to the job security in your local community.

    And, because the president has extensive control over trade policy, every presidential election is a referendum on the issue.

    The two most recent administrations – President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence from 2017 to 2021 and President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris from 2021 to today – have had starkly different approaches to trade policy. The contrast shows how a president’s economic philosophy can reshape the nation’s global business strategy.

    Both Trump and Harris are on the ballot in November. Harris is expected to carry on Biden’s trade policies if she wins. This comparison offers insight into how the next U.S. president will govern on trade.

    2017-2021: Trump and Pence on trade

    Trump pursued a protectionist trade agenda during his time in office.

    Protectionism refers to government policies that limit international trade to benefit domestic industries. These measures include tariffs – taxes on imported goods – quotas and regulations that make imports more expensive.

    One of Trump’s first acts in office was withdrawing from the Trans-Pacific Partnership — a colossal 12-nation pact that would have covered 40% of global output. His decision cost America both access to lucrative Asian markets and a powerful counterweight to China’s economic influence.

    Closer to home, Trump renegotiated the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) into the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement,
    tightening rules for automakers. The effect? While wages for workers in the automotive industry and vehicle prices for American consumers increased, it barely spurred any additional domestic car production.

    Trump also launched a tariff-driven trade war with China and the European Union, asserting it would address unfair practices and reduce the U.S. trade deficit. The strategy, however, prompted retaliatory tariffs, resulting in higher consumer prices and job losses in U.S. industries dependent on imported components. While some sectors benefited from the approach, American farmers suffered due to export losses, necessitating government subsidies.

    Trump and his new running mate, JD Vance, have signaled their intent to revive the “America First” trade strategy. Their campaign platform calls for sweeping tariffs, including a blanket 10% tariff on all goods and a more aggressive 60% tariff specifically targeting Chinese products.

    2021-today: Biden and Harris on trade

    In contrast, the Biden-Harris administration adopted a multilateral approach emphasizing cooperation between countries.

    The administration maintained most of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods and some on steel and aluminum imports from other countries. However, they reframed the measures as part of a broader push to rein in climate change and protect workers’ rights.

    The administration also launched initiatives like the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity, or IPEF, signaling a return to Obama-era trade strategies prioritizing regional partnerships in the Pacific. The IPEF aims to strengthen economic ties with Asian countries by coordinating policies to enhance supply chain resilience and promote clean energy rather than focusing solely on tariff reductions.

    The Biden-Harris approach emphasizes international cooperation while valuing domestic job creation, particularly in clean energy and manufacturing. However, maintaining many of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods, steel and aluminum has kept costs high for some U.S. businesses and consumers.

    Building on the Biden administration’s policies, the Harris campaign has signaled its aim to shield lower- and middle-income households from new tariffs that could raise prices while maintaining a tough stance on China through existing tariffs and trade restrictions.

    Presidential powers and influence on trade

    The president plays a critical role in setting America’s trade policy.

    The president can negotiate international trade deals, although Congress must approve them to become law. The executive branch also controls tariffs; under statutes such as the Trade Act of 1974, the president can impose them without congressional approval.

    In addition, the president can declare national emergencies related to trade, appoint trade representatives, issue executive orders to manage federal trade policies, and impose sanctions that can influence global trade dynamics.

    Free trade agreements can boost exports and promote economic growth, but they may also displace certain workers. In contrast, tariffs on imports protect some domestic industries but raise prices for American consumers. Studies show that tariffs imposed under Trump, and continued by Biden, have led to higher prices, reduced output and lower employment, harming the U.S. economy.

    Trade policies also affect diplomatic relationships and global supply chains. So, as voters sift through the candidates’ trade policy positions, they must look beyond the soundbites. Understanding how each approach affects job markets, consumer prices and global competitiveness will help voters cast an informed ballot that aligns with their vision for the country’s future.

    In the world of trade, every vote counts.

    Bedassa Tadesse does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. The next president will play a key role in shaping US trade policy – here’s what voters need to know – https://theconversation.com/the-next-president-will-play-a-key-role-in-shaping-us-trade-policy-heres-what-voters-need-to-know-241301

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Tariffs are back in the spotlight, but skepticism of free trade has deep roots in American history

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Erik Guzik, Assistant Clinical Professor of Management, University of Montana

    Noted economic nationalist Alexander Hamilton. Douglas Sacha/Getty Images

    One of the more surprising developments in recent American politics has been the backlash against free trade.

    As recently as a decade ago, Democrats and Republicans alike generally favored free trade. But with the 2024 presidential election just days away, both Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris are leaning hard on protectionism. The Trump campaign in particular is promoting tariffs that would be difficult to imagine coming from a Republican presidential candidate just a decade ago.

    This new post-neoliberal moment might seem confounding. But it hearkens back to economic policies – and political parties – from around the time of the nation’s founding, and it offers clues to our divided present.

    Back in the late 18th century, the Founding Father Alexander Hamilton helped put in place a set of policies designed to encourage U.S. industry and to promote economic development and innovation.

    That arrangement, which laid the groundwork for what became known as the “American System,” emerged in part as a counterbalance to British conceptions of free trade. And the American System quickly grew as accepted economic policy as a young America developed its industrial strength.

    Hamilton’s economic nationalism

    In the early years of the republic, the U.S. didn’t have much of a trade policy at all.

    When the U.S. officially achieved independence in 1783 with the signing of the Treaty of Paris, the Articles of Confederation – the nation’s first constitution – greatly limited the federal government’s powers, including its ability to regulate foreign trade.

    These restrictions reflected the reality of 13 very different states that had been more united against the British – and their trade controls – than in support of a common vision of economic development.

    The economic conditions within this loosely connected nation quickly worsened. A deepening economic crisis, rising debt, inflation, cheap British manufactured goods and rising bankruptcy soon emerged. Such changing conditions gave rise to calls for a new national economic policy.

    This economic strain was an important factor leading to the drafting of the U.S. Constitution, ratified in 1789. The Constitution gave the federal government the capacity to regulate trade with foreign countries and, for the first time, to collect taxes. Both were privileges once held exclusively by sovereign American states.

    The ‘second American revolution’

    A strengthened American Congress made passing a national Tariff Act one of its first tasks. When it was ratified in 1789, a national import tax replaced customs previously enacted by the states. Perhaps indicating the magnitude of this change, supporters called it “the Second American Revolution,” passed as it was on July 4, 1789. In effect, it helped create a new conception of the American political and economic system, with a much stronger role for the state in economic matters.

    Duties were levied on 30 commodities, including hemp and textiles. Perhaps foreshadowing trade policy of a future era, the Tariff Act also placed duties of 12.5% on goods imported from China and India.

    The main architect of this new industrial policy was Hamilton, who released his seminal work on economic policy, Report on Manufactures, in 1791. Hamilton’s ideas were based on transforming a predominantly agricultural nation into one defined, at least in part, by growing and diversified industry.

    Though often overlooked, Hamilton’s Report on Manufactures also contained a grander vision – it sought to encourage the development of American invention and ingenuity as a form of economic policy and argued for unlocking “the genius of the people” so that “the wealth of a nation may be promoted.”

    To promote this spirit of national enterprise, Hamilton encouraged promoting technological progress, subsidizing research, attracting migrants, supporting a new financial system and implementing a patent system to promote invention. Such policies were in many ways an extension of previous policy enshrined in Section 8 of the Constitution.

    Tariffs and their discontents

    As the use of tariffs continued in the decades following Hamilton’s plan, policymakers turned increasingly protective in an attempt to more directly promote American industry. They enacted tariffs to insulate growing American industries from foreign competition, primarily from the U.K.

    By the early 19th century, this growing protectionist movement coalesced around the powerful Kentucky legislator Henry Clay and his Whig Party. Clay, who first referred to the American System by name, and his allies were instrumental in raising average national tariff rates to 20% in 1816.

    Those sweetmeats will cost you.
    Library of Congress

    When crisis appeared during the Panic of 1819, a collapse in cotton prices, a tightening of credit, widespread foreclosures and rising unemployment followed. In response, Clay and his allies raised tariff rates again, to 50% in 1828.

    The increasing use of tariffs provoked a fierce response from some in the nation’s agricultural and slave-owning class, who objected to perceived Northern dominance and a strong federal government. One prominent Southern critic at the time referred to the 1828 tariff as the “tariff of abominations.”

    Indeed, opposition to elements of the American System was one of the chief policy goals of early Democratic politicians such as Andrew Jackson, and fights over the system presaged later sectional fights leading up to the Civil War.

    As an industrial revolution took root in American society in the decades that followed, tariffs remained a cornerstone of U.S. economic policy. By the late 1850s, tariffs had become integrated into the policy of the newly formed Republican Party and an important plank of Abraham Lincoln’s economic platform.

    Toward the end of the 19th century, a changing Democratic Party, supported increasingly by a strong agricultural populist movement, continued to largely oppose the tariff system, arguing it benefited powerful industrialists at the expense of the working class while offering little to counter economic crisis.

    The breakup of the American System − and why it matters today

    Between 1861 and 1933, tariffs were a standard tool of U.S. economic policy. During this period, tariffs on dutiable goods often averaged 40% to 50%, especially in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. U.S. policymakers didn’t seriously question tariffs as a form of industrial policy until the deepening of the Great Depression in the 1930s.

    Following World War II, the U.S. decisively shifted away from tariffs. The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act was widely blamed for deepening the Great Depression and contributing to the international conflicts of the 1930s and 1940s, effectively ending the protectionist era of U.S. industrial history.

    The establishment of the Federal Reserve in 1913 provided policymakers with a novel tool – monetary policy – to deal with economic downturns. The Keynesian revolution provided still another policy response for governments to consider during periods of economic crisis: spending as fiscal stimulus to create jobs and income.

    Finally, as postwar American policy embraced open global trade, American economic policy pursued more direct mechanisms to foster national innovation and entrepreneurship – effectively breaking up policy once dependent on activist trade intervention. With the elimination of tariffs, one of the great periods of American economic growth and innovation followed.

    In 2024, the Republican platform has, in many ways, returned to its origins by offering tariffs as a key economic strategy. Likewise, the Democratic platform, with its skepticism of concentrated corporate power, coupled with a renewed focus on financial support for small businesses and entrepreneurship, echoes its own earlier generation.

    As Americans head to the polls, it’s worth asking how current economic proposals with deep roots in the American System of old might help shape economic policy in the future.

    Erik Guzik does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Tariffs are back in the spotlight, but skepticism of free trade has deep roots in American history – https://theconversation.com/tariffs-are-back-in-the-spotlight-but-skepticism-of-free-trade-has-deep-roots-in-american-history-241311

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: New Orleans schools still separate and unequal 70 years after Brown v. Board of Education

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Connie L. Schaffer, Professor of Teacher Education, University of Nebraska Omaha

    First graders led the desegregation of New Orleans’ public schools in November 1960. Bettmann via Getty

    Sixty-four years ago this November, public schools in New Orleans began to desegregate. School buildings once designated as “white” opened their doors to Black students. The integration process, which deeply divided the city, was led by four first-grade girls.

    Tessie Prevost, Leona Tate and Gail Etienne were the first Black students to attend the McDonogh 19 School. Ruby Bridges was assigned to the previously all-white William Frantz Public School. Newspapers worldwide ran photographs of the girls walking past protesters and entering the schools accompanied by federal marshals.

    When Prevost died in July 2024, she was lauded as a Civil Rights hero. Oprah Winfrey paid tribute to her at the Democratic National Convention.

    Prevost herself did not realize her role in history until high school, when a teacher assigned the class a project on Brown v. Board of Education, the 1954 U.S. Supreme Court ruling that desegregated American schools. As she researched, she discovered her own name and story. She took this discovery to her parents, and they gave her a box of photographs and letters about her place in history, including a note from Eleanor Roosevelt praising her courage.

    To some, Prevost represents the promises of the Civil Rights Movement: integration and equality. As our research on New Orleans Public Schools shows, however, neither of these promises has ever been fully realized.

    New Orleans’schools resegregated in the late 20th century, and the city’s predominantly Black schools still lag behind white schools in many ways.

    ‘All deliberate speed’

    In the landmark 1954 U.S. Supreme Court decision Brown v. Board of Education, the justices ordered U.S. public schools to desegregate “with all deliberate speed” – language that allowed Southern cities and states to drag their heels.

    New Orleans schools did not begin desegregating for six years. Even then, only four first-grade girls out of thousands of Black students were permitted to enroll in white schools.

    The New Orleans district would subsequently desegregate one additional grade per year. As a member of that first desegregated class, Prevost was always in the grade being integrated. As such, all the grades above her remained segregated.

    Indeed, McDonogh 19 remained segregated during the first year of integration because all its white students immediately stopped attending. By December 1960, the school’s only students were the three Black girls. Two white students briefly enrolled in January, but their family succumbed to the pressure of the boycott and soon withdrew their children.

    White New Orleans residents protesting school integration in 1960.
    Bettmann / Contributor via Getty

    When Prevost, Etienne and Tate entered second grade, McDonogh 19 still had very low enrollment. In third grade, in 1962, the girls transferred to T.J. Semmes Elementary School, where enrollment of white students was much higher.

    Within that white student majority, the girls encountered many cruel classmates. White students, encouraged by some teachers and parents, tormented their Black peers. Prevost recalled this as the worst time in her life.

    “The white teachers and students did not want us there,” she said. “Every day there were beatings and cursing. They spat on us and ripped off our clothes.”

    After several years, Prevost’s parents recognized the impact of this heinous racism on their daughter and transferred her into a predominantly Black junior high school. Prevost would again be separated from most of her white peers.

    Equality in name only

    The Brown ruling also promised an equal education regardless of race. In practice, that has yet to happen.

    Most white teachers in New Orleans opposed desegregation, and the district initially allowed teachers to choose where they would teach. In 1972, however, the district reassigned many teachers to work in desegregated schools, and many quit in protest. Other white teachers struggled to connect and engage with their Black students, leading to disaffection among Black students. Their academic achievement declined, and dropout rates began to rise.

    Simultaneously, white flight was working against integration. Between 1960 and 1980, the white population of New Orleans dropped 20%, resegregating many New Orleans schools. By 2004, 50 years after the Brown ruling, McDonogh 19 – which by then had been renamed Louis Armstrong Elementary – was again effectively segregated by race: Nearly 100% of its students were Black.

    Across the district, academic performance declined in predominantly Black schools. By the 1990s, student achievement became increasingly measured by standardized tests known to be biased against students of color and poor students. Black students were also more likely to be taught by teachers with fewer years of experience and less education.

    By 1998, test scores at Louis Armstrong Elementary had fallen well below national, state and district averages. The school was also in a state of deep disrepair. In the summer of 2005, the city closed the school, and a few months later, Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans.

    The abandoned school building sustained heavy wind damage and flooding. Water reached halfway up the walls of the first floor, leaving toxic mud, peeling chalkboards and mold-encrusted furniture.

    A legacy

    Following Katrina, the State Board of Education stripped New Orleans Public School District of its authority to manage public education.

    The state of Louisiana and charter organizations took over city schools, making New Orleans Public Schools the first all-charter school district in the U.S. Despite the change in governance, New Orleans schools remained segregated by race. Over a decade later, in 2017, roughly 75% of schools had populations of 95% students of color, and test scores showed only incremental improvement.

    Prevost, whose married name was Tessie Williams, lived in New Orleans her whole life, working at Louisiana State University for over two decades.

    She returned to McDonogh 19 in 2022, when the restored building opened as the Tate, Etienne and Prevost Center. The site, once a symbol of resistance to civil rights, is now a community center and museum committed to advancing the unfulfilled promises of the Brown ruling.

    As an adult, when Prevost spoke publicly about desegregation, she recalled the difficulty and disappointment she and others faced. But she tended to emphasize her hope for the future.

    “The ways that we are different are things that we should celebrate,” she said in a Black History Month interview with Louisiana State University. “There is so much power and freedom when we see differences in a positive light.”

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. New Orleans schools still separate and unequal 70 years after Brown v. Board of Education – https://theconversation.com/new-orleans-schools-still-separate-and-unequal-70-years-after-brown-v-board-of-education-235642

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Rust Belt voters aren’t all white, but election coverage of the region often ignores the concerns of people of color there

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Christabel Devadoss, Assistant Professor in Global Studies and Human Geography, Middle Tennessee State University

    Wisconsin voters lining up to cast their ballots in the 2022 midterm election, Oct. 25, 2022, in Milwaukee. Scott Olson/Getty Images

    Every four years, national media turn their attention to the Rust Belt, a term that describes Midwestern industrial and manufacturing states whose economies were decimated by the decline of those industries in the 1970s. This region contains the coveted states of Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

    Many rural parts of these states have a majority of white residents. The broader Rust Belt, however, also has long and important Black and Indigenous histories and contains some of the nation’s fastest-growing minority populations – in particular Latino, Arab and Asian communities.

    Yet when reporters descend on the rural Rust Belt to understand voters, the people they talk to are almost exclusively white.

    I am a geographer who studies the experiences of communities of color in the rural Rust Belt. Rural is a relative term, but when it comes to policy research, it usually refers to nonmetropolitan areas. From 2021 to 2023, I interviewed 35 people who live or lived in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Indiana and identified as Black, Indigenous or people of color.

    I found that these Rust Belt residents have pressing concerns of political importance. Some of these issues are shared by white residents – and, as such, are well documented. But Rust Belt residents of color have additional problems that politicians and the media have long overlooked.

    Local impacts

    My interviewees described typical rural Rust Belt struggles.

    They complained of limited internet access, few or no grocery stores, declining roads and other infrastructure-related challenges. Jobs and opportunities for career advancement were scarce in their communities, while death and suicide rates were high.

    These difficulties are faced by white Rust Belt residents as well. But other struggles they mentioned are less often considered part of the rural experience.

    They described feeling socially isolated and discriminated against at work and school. Many had experienced racial or ethnic profiling by potential employers and police and been verbally harassed.

    One man, Miguel, who worked in carpentry, said his colleagues openly used racial slurs against him.

    “I was putting away some boxes, and they said, ‘Oh that’s because you w–backs are good at packing things in trucks,’” he told me.

    All names used here are pseudonyms; research ethics require me to protect the identity of my subjects.

    “A lot gets brushed under the rug,” said Bao, a Vietnamese American woman whose father also works in a hostile environment. “All the management folks are white,” so “if you speak up, you lose your job or are ignored.”

    These comments conveyed an overall sense of not “belonging.”

    As one woman from rural Pennsylvania explained, people regularly ask her, “No, really, where you from?”

    “They want to hear ‘Asian’ or ‘Korean,’” she said. “It’s very uncomfortable for me.”

    These racial tensions worsen during election periods. Some people I interviewed reported having been turned away or threatened at voting stations – harassment they attributed to their religious, cultural and political backgrounds, or the way they looked.

    Many Rust Belt voters of color already lack political power because they live in racially gerrymandered districts. When news coverage of the region ignores their voices, too, it compounds that feeling of not belonging.

    In 2017, The Washington Post visited the small town of Jefferson, Ohio, in Ashtabula County, to interview voters described as “rural Americans who fear they’re being forgotten” after Donald Trump’s election. Their coverage focused almost exclusively on white residents.

    “How did you go to Ashtabula County and not see Black people?” asked Belle, a resident who identified as African American.

    Not always Republican

    In the past three presidential elections, Ashtabula County has followed state trends: It backed Obama in 2008 and 2012, then voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020.

    Trump won Ashtabula with 60% of the vote in 2020. That’s 26,890 votes, which means that 16,497 people still voted for Democrat Joe Biden. In the years since, Ashtabula County residents have also voted with the state in two Democratic-backed initiatives: to protect abortion rights and legalize marijuana.

    In other words, just because a state or district backs a Republican for president doesn’t mean everyone is Republican, or that Republican voters always vote the party line. They can split their votes, and have.

    Even Ohio’s largely Republican delegation in the House of Representatives is misleading about the state’s political makeup. Ohio is a heavily gerrymandered state where voting districts have been drawn to benefit Republican candidates.

    U.S. Senate elections show more diversity in Ohio’s voting base.

    In 2018, Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown won 53% of all votes in Ohio, including 51% of those cast in Ashtabula County. Four years later, both the state and Ashtabula County picked Republican JD Vance over Democrat Tim Ryan to replace the outgoing Republican Sen. Rob Portman.

    Why it matters

    In September 2024, Vance – now Trump’s vice presidential running mate – claimed that Haitian migrants in Springfield, Ohio, were kidnapping and eating cats and dogs. After Trump echoed that false claim on the debate stage, the city got 30-plus bomb threats and other threats of violence, and had to close multiple schools.

    During the pandemic, Trump’s derogatory branding of COVID-19 as the “Chinese virus” and “Kung Flu” led to increased hate crimes against immigrants and people of color.

    In my interviews, several participants mentioned how local restaurants and stores owned by Asian Americans had been vandalized. One woman, Lanh, who lived outside Springfield, said her favorite restaurant had to close.

    “They started vandalizing the restaurant, writing graffiti and set the restaurant on fire,” she said.

    The owners were from Thailand, but, Lanh said, the vandals “thought they were Chinese. Folks around the local community like my parents didn’t feel safe,” she added. “I didn’t feel safe.”

    Hateful political rhetoric is known to increase hate crimes against immigrants and people of color.

    When the Rust Belt is stereotyped as red and white, such experiences go unheard.

    So do some good news stories.

    The emergence of Black-owned bee farms in northeast Ohio, for instance, is one small example in a host of businesses started by people of color. Together, they are helping to boost the region’s beleaguered economy, much as Haitian immigrants have been fueling Springfield’s growth.

    Rural America is nuanced

    Nationwide, 24% of rural Americans identified as people of color in the 2020 census.

    That figure is probably low because the census tends to undercount nonwhite respondents – a problem that was particularly evident in 2020. Even so, that’s a quarter of rural residents who don’t fit the national stereotype of rural America.

    Rural America is white and Republican. It’s also trans, queer, Black, Hispanic, Indigenous, South Asian, Democratic and much more. Even if some are Republican, they still aren’t the rural Rust Belt Republicans portrayed in the national media.

    Ignoring these nuances reinforces stereotypes that the rural Rust Belt is the exclusive domain of white conservativism. But this region isn’t now, and never has been, simply red and white.

    Christabel Devadoss received funding from the American Council of Learned Societies (ACLS).

    ref. Rust Belt voters aren’t all white, but election coverage of the region often ignores the concerns of people of color there – https://theconversation.com/rust-belt-voters-arent-all-white-but-election-coverage-of-the-region-often-ignores-the-concerns-of-people-of-color-there-224466

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Independent voters think for themselves and stay out of politics – 3 essential reads

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Jeff Inglis, Politics + Society Editor, The Conversation US

    Jessie Harris, left, a registered independent voter in South Carolina, casts a ballot in February 2024. Joe Lamberti for The Washington Post via Getty Images

    In the 2024 election, the two major-party campaigns and many news reporters are spending a lot of time talking about independent voters – those who are neither aligned with the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party. Despite the power that political independents are anticipated to have over the election results, there’s a lot that remains unknown about this group.

    The Conversation U.S. has published several articles about what is known, and why it’s hard to know much more. Here are selections from some of those articles:

    1. How many independent voters are there?

    It’s very hard to answer that question, wrote Thom Reilly, a professor of public affairs at Arizona State University. Part of the problem is figuring out how to define who independent voters are. Surveys often ask people if they are Republicans, Democrats or independents, and if they answer that they are independents, the surveys ask how strongly they might lean toward one party or the other. But this muddies the waters of political identity, Reilly wrote:

    It’s possible that some voters identify as independent but really just have weaker political preferences than party die-hards, while still maintaining some loyalty to one party or the other. And some independent voters change their political identification from one cycle to another. That makes it hard to tell who an independent voter is and how many of them exist.”

    Those changing alignments, Reilly wrote, “may require scholars, media outlets and the public to shift their traditional two-party view of American politics.”




    Read more:
    Why is it so hard to know how many independent voters there are?


    2. Independent voters think for themselves

    Independent voters exhibit a key quality that most Americans expect of their fellow citizens: They base their views on their life experiences.

    Unfortunately, as politics scholars Shanna Pearson-Merkowitz at the University of Maryland and Joshua J. Dyck at UMass Lowell explained, this is an attribute almost unique to political independents:

    In contrast, Democrats’ and Republicans’ ideas of what problems deserve government attention and how to solve them are much less likely to be based on their own life experiences, and instead simply mirror the information they have gained from leading political figures on social media, on cable news networks or through other partisan information outlets.”

    For instance, independents living in neighborhoods with high levels of gun violence are far more likely to report being concerned about gun violence than independents who live in safer areas. But, Pearson-Merkowitz and Dyck wrote,

    “for Democrats and Republicans, there is no relationship between where they live and their level of concern about gun violence: Whether they live in a relatively dangerous community or a relatively safe one, their views on gun violence reflect their party’s messages on the issue.”




    Read more:
    Politics is still both local and personal – but only for independents, not for Democrats or Republicans


    3. Independents less likely to engage in any politics

    Research into independents’ political activity finds them tending to stay away from politics, wrote Julio Borquez, a political science scholar at the University of Michigan-Dearborn:

    “Perhaps most importantly, pure independent voters are simply less likely to vote than those who express any degree of partisan attachment. In the 2020 presidential election, reported turnout among pure independents was about 20 percentage points lower than turnout among other voters, including independents who lean toward a party.”

    Research has found members of this group “tend to be genuinely put off by partisan conflict and party labels,” Borquez wrote. Different studies have found, for instance, that they prefer photos of neighborhoods that did not show political yard signs over the same photos of the same neighborhoods with homes displaying political yard signs. And they pay less attention to campaigns and partisan social media than people with partisan affiliations.

    So they are indeed independent – but the question remains whether they will be uninvolved in 2024 or motivated to cast their ballots and make their views known.




    Read more:
    Independent voters are few in number, influential in close elections – and hard for campaigns to reach


    ref. Independent voters think for themselves and stay out of politics – 3 essential reads – https://theconversation.com/independent-voters-think-for-themselves-and-stay-out-of-politics-3-essential-reads-241193

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Americans own guns to protect themselves from psychological as well as physical threats

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Nick Buttrick, Assistant Professor of Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison

    Many gun owners cite protection as a reason to carry a firearm. RJ Sangosti/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images

    Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tim Walz and JD Vance all have something in common. All four of them, along with an estimated 42% of American adults, have lived in a home with at least one gun.

    Gun ownership in the United States is widespread and cuts across all sorts of cultural divides – including race, class and political ideology. Like all mass experiences in American life, owning a gun can mean very different things to different people.

    One thing that American gun owners tend to agree on, no matter their differences, is that guns are for personal protection. In a 2023 Pew survey, 72% of gun owners reported that they owned a firearm at least in part for protection, and 81% of gun owners reported that owning a gun helped them to feel safer. This perspective contrasts to that of gun owners in other developed economies, who generally report that guns are more dangerous than safe and that they own a gun for some other reason.

    I’m a psychologist who studies contemporary society. In the lab, my colleagues and I have been investigating this feeling of safety that American gun owners report. We’re trying to get a more complete sense of just what people are using their firearms to protect against. Our research suggests it goes much deeper than physical threats.

    Social scientists are exploring the motivations and effects of owning a gun.
    Cécile Clocheret/AFP via Getty Images

    Protection goes beyond the physical

    By combining social-scientific research on firearms ownership with a raft of interviews we’ve conducted, we’ve developed a theory that gun owners aren’t just protecting against the specific threat of physical violence. Owners are also using a gun to protect their psychological selves. Owning a gun helps them feel more in control of the world around them and more able to live meaningful, purposeful lives that connect to the people and communities they care for.

    This sort of protection may be especially appealing to those who think that the normal institutions of society – such as the police or the government – are either unable or unwilling to keep them safe. They feel they need to take protection into their own hands.

    This use of a deadly weapon to provide comfort and solace may come at a cost, however, as firearms often bring a heightened sense of vigilance with them. Firearm instructors frequently teach owners to be especially aware of their environment and all the potential dangers and threats within. When gun owners look for danger, they often are more likely to find it.

    Gun owners may end up perceiving the world as a more dangerous place, institutions as more uncaring or incompetent, and their own private actions as all the more important for securing their lives and their livelihoods.

    How gun owners feel during daily life

    What does this cycle of protection and threat look like in everyday life? My colleagues and I recently ran a study to investigate. We’re still undergoing peer review, so our work is not final yet.

    We recruited a group of over 150 firearms owners who told us that they regularly carry their guns, along with over 100 demographically matched Americans who have never owned a gun. Over two weeks, our research team texted the participants at two random times each day, asking them to fill out a survey telling us what they were doing and how they were feeling.

    To get a sense of how guns change the psychological landscape of their owners, we divided our gun-carrying group into two. When we texted one half of the group, before we asked any other questions, we simply asked whether they had their gun accessible and why they’d made that decision. For the other half of our gun-owning participants, and for our non-gun-owning control group, firearms and firearm carrying never came up.

    When subtly reminded of guns in general – regardless of whether their gun was accessible – our participants reported feeling more safe and in control and that their lives were more meaningful. Thanks to our random-assignment procedure, we can be pretty confident that it was thinking about guns, as opposed to any differences in the underlying groups themselves, that caused this particular increase in psychological well-being.

    About half of the times that we texted, the gun owners told us that they had a gun accessible at that moment. When a gun was handy, our participants told us that they were feeling more vigilant and anxious, and that their immediate situation was more chaotic. This result didn’t seem to be driven by owners choosing to have guns available when they were putting themselves into objectively more dangerous situations: We found the same pattern when we looked just at moments when our participants were sitting at home, watching television.

    Raising fear and promising rescue

    Contemporary American gun ownership may have conflicting messages embedded within it. First, a gun is a thing you can use to bolster your fundamental psychological needs to feel safe, to feel in control and to feel like you matter and belong. Second, having a gun focuses your attention on the dangers of the world.

    By both fueling a sense of danger and holding out the promise of rescuing you from the fear, messaging around guns may end up locking some owners into a sort of doom loop.

    A sense of responsibility goes along with gun ownership for the vast majority of Americans who own a firearm.
    Matt McClain/The Washington Post via Getty Images

    My collaborators and I are currently exploring whether stressing other parts of gun ownership may help owners to move beyond this negative spiral. For instance, while owners often talk about “danger,” they also talk frequently about “responsibility.”

    Being a responsible gun owner is central to many owners’ identities. In one study, 97% of owners reported that they were “more responsible than the average gun owner,” and 23% rated themselves as being in the top 1% of responsibility overall. This, of course, is statistically impossible.

    To more fully understand the many ways responsible firearm ownership can look, we are in the process of interviewing gun owners from all around the state of Wisconsin, a notably diverse state when it comes to gun ownership. We’re tapping into as many of the ways of owning a gun as we can, talking with protective owners, hunters, sport shooters, collectors, folks in urban areas, folks in rural areas, men, women, young people, old people, liberals, conservatives, and, of course, trying to capture the complex ways that race shapes ownership.

    Who do gun owners feel they are responsible for? What kinds of actions do they think responsible owners take?

    We hope to learn more about the many different ways that people conceptualize what a gun can do for them. American gun cultures are complex and distinct things. By exploring the worldviews that support firearm ownership, we can better understand what it means to live in the U.S. today.

    Nick Buttrick receives funding from the National Science Foundation and the Wisconsin Department of Justice.

    ref. Americans own guns to protect themselves from psychological as well as physical threats – https://theconversation.com/americans-own-guns-to-protect-themselves-from-psychological-as-well-as-physical-threats-239363

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Russia: IMF Staff Conclude Article IV Discussions and Reach Staff-Level Agreement on the Second Review under the Extended Credit Facility

    Source: IMF – News in Russian

    October 31, 2024

    End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF’s Executive Board for discussion and decision.

    • IMF staff and the Somali authorities have reached a staff level agreement on the second review under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF). Program performance has been strong, demonstrating the authorities’ steadfast commitment to macroeconomic stability and strengthening institutional capacity and frameworks.
    • Real GDP growth has been upgraded to 4 percent for 2024 and 2025 based on strong exports and remittances. However, risks remain elevated, including from regional and domestic security developments, commodity prices and climate shocks.
    • Sustained reform efforts are needed to set the conditions for greater resilience, poverty reduction, and inclusive growth. This includes strengthening tax capacity and public financial management, promoting financial deepening, and improving governance.

    Washington, DC: A staff team from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led by Ms. Laura Jaramillo, conducted discussions with the Somali authorities in Istanbul and in Washington DC on the 2024 Article IV consultation and reached a staff-level agreement on the second review of the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement that was approved by the IMF’s Executive Board in December 2023 (Press Release No. 23/463). This agreement is subject to approval of the IMF’s Executive Board.  

    At the conclusion of the discussions, Ms. Jaramillo issued the following statement:

    “Somalia’s real GDP growth outlook has improved, though challenges and risks remain significant. Positive trends in agriculture, exports, and remittances in 2024 are expected to continue in 2025. As a result, real GDP growth has been upgraded to 4 percent in 2024 and 2025, up by an average ¼ percentage point compared to previous forecasts. Inflation is expected to continue on a downward trend to 4.5 percent by end 2024, although the pace is slower than anticipated earlier. Despite security challenges, the Somali government remains steadfast in its fight against terrorism and continues to work with international partners to ensure a successful transition from the current African Union Transition Mission to a new force by January 2025. Near-term risks to the outlook include climate shocks, domestic and regional security developments, lower global growth, and higher commodity prices.

    “The authorities continue to focus on raising domestic revenue, aiming to fully cover operational expenditure with domestic revenues by 2027, while also accommodating higher education and health spending. Fiscal outturns in 2024 have been in line with expectations, and an overall deficit of 0.2 percent of GDP is expected for the year. The 2025 draft budget envisages domestic revenues of 3.3 percent of GDP and an overall fiscal deficit of 0.2 percent of GDP, assuming continued access to grant financing, which remains critical for Somalia.

    “The authorities recognize the importance of making steady progress on fiscal reforms. Key revenue measures—guided by the recently published Medium-term Revenue Roadmap—include the ongoing customs modernization, a new income tax law, and stronger enforcement of sales and income taxes. Public financial management continues to be strengthened, with important progress made on payroll integrity. Reforms to improve the debt management framework and capacity are also progressing well. Measures are also being taken to finalize the extractive industries legal framework, including to enhance transparency and accountability.

    “The Central Bank of Somalia (CBS) is advancing institutional governance and financial sector reforms. Focus is on promoting financial deepening, including by enhancing the legislative and oversight frameworks, improving the quality of regulatory data, and augmenting CBS technical capacity. Efforts continue to strengthen the framework for anti-money laundering and the combating the financing of terrorism to comply with international standards.

    “The authorities intend to reintroduce the Somalia Shilling (SOS) and adopt a currency board arrangement. The new SOS notes will provide an important liquidity function by facilitating payments for small value transactions and will promote financial inclusion for the most vulnerable. To provide a stable and predictable policy environment to ensure confidence in SOS across Somalia, the authorities are also starting preparations for introducing a currency board arrangement, with IMF capacity development support. Implementation of these reforms would take an estimated 18-24 months after prerequisites are in place, including necessary external financing.

    “The authorities are also committed to advancing steps to bolster inclusive growth and poverty reduction, improve resilience to climate shocks, and enhance trade integration. Raising human capital by increasing the educational attainment of Somali children and closing gender gaps in education can bring significant growth dividends. Building resilience against climate shocks and strengthening food security is also a priority. Given Somalia’s very limited resources, financing and technical assistance support from international partners remains crucial. The East African Community presents important opportunities, challenges, and risks for Somalia and the integration process needs to be managed carefully.  

    “The mission would like to express gratitude to Somali authorities for constructive and fruitful discussions. Meetings were held with the Minister of Finance, Minister of Petroleum, the CBS Governor, other government officials, development partners, and representatives from the private sector.”

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Mayada Ghazala

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    @IMFSpokesperson

    https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/10/31/pr-24401-somalia-imf-staff-conclude-aiv-discussions-and-reach-sla-on-the-2nd-rev-under-the-ecf

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Urgent action needed to safeguard integrity of COP as fossil fuel influence looms large in Baku, report warns

    Source: Transparency International

    ‘Unacceptable’ lack of guardrails leaves climate talks vulnerable to undue corporate influence and fossil fuel industry capture.

    The upcoming Conference of the Parties (COP) 29 climate summit in Baku, Azerbaijan, is at high risk of being co-opted to promote a pro-fossil fuel industry agenda, according to a new report by Transparency International (TI) and the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC).

    The report, published today, warns that a lack of robust integrity and anti-corruption measures in the UNFCCC arrangements for COP has opened the door for Azerbaijan’s government to use the summit as diplomatic cover to advance its domestic oil and gas interests and secure new fossil fuel deals. The report finds that not only is the COP 29 President a former executive of SOCAR, Azerbaijan’s state oil company, SOCAR appears to be closely involved in the COP, with its president and members of its supervisory board helping organise the conference. The head of SOCAR has already been seen mixing COP and company business while signing new cooperation agreements with international partners.

    The report also finds that the conference may provide potentially lucrative business opportunities to companies with links to the country’s first family. Ahead of the summit, evidence of potentially corrupt activity has continued to emerge, according to the report, including revelations by investigative journalists that a multi-million dollar no-bid contract for COP 29 guest accommodation was awarded to a business owned by the former son-in-law of Ilham Aliyev, the President of Azerbaijan. Several COP 29 corporate sponsors, or “Green Zone Partners,” also have clear or alleged links to the first family of Azerbaijan.

    The report also points to an almost US$5m public relations campaign for COP 29 – a fee that rivals the $5.8m Azerbaijan paid to UNFCCC to host the conference – that the COP President has praised for improving Azerbaijan’s image, while the Aliyev regime simultaneously heavily represses independent media and civil society. Azerbaijan’s COP 29 organisers have also established an “NGO Coalition,” which includes organisations that the report argues support the propaganda aims of the Aliyev regime. With Azerbaijan’s energy sector heavily dominated by fossil fuels, these tactics mean COP 29 could be abused as a tool for greenwashing, the report argues.

    Transparency International and the Anti-Corruption Data Collective are urging the UNFCCC to take action to safeguard the integrity of COP and prevent hosts of future summits from putting their own agenda before the common good. Recommendations include:

    • Strengthening the process for selecting host countries and corporate sponsors of COPs, ensuring future summits take place in environments where human rights, transparency, freedom of expression and commitment to the goals of the conference are guaranteed.
    • Robust measures to prevent conflicts of interest among hosts, organisers, sponsors and participants from derailing the critical climate deliberations and outcomes.
    • Unrestricted civil society participation and enhanced transparency and accountability rules relating to all COP participants.

    Brice Böhmer, Climate and Environment Lead at Transparency International, said:

    “It is painfully clear that you cannot make meaningful progress against the climate crisis without tackling climate corruption. From influential fossil fuel lobbyists diluting climate commitments to corrupt networks syphoning climate funds, the integrity of the entire global climate framework is at stake.

    “Despite COP now being in its 29th year, there is an unacceptable lack of robust integrity and anti-corruption measures. UNFCCC needs to urgently address the threat posed by corporate interests and fossil fuel industry capture. The integrity standards for COP Presidency need to be the highest possible quality to reestablish trust in the multilateral process.”

    “It is imperative that governments who are committed to keeping the 1.5 degrees Celsius target in sight work closely with the UNFCCC Secretariat to strengthen the guardrails around future COPs.”

    David Szakonyi, Director of the Anti-Corruption Data Collective, said:

    “It is essential that anyone attending this year’s COP, or observing from afar, are wise to the ways that the fossil fuel industry’s interests may be being served. Azerbaijan has been accused of corruption and illicit influence operations in many countries across the world. All too often authoritarian regimes exploit their host status at marquee international events to launder their own reputations, and there are real risks that the same will happen at COP 29 in Azerbaijan. Our report sets out clearly the steps that need to be taken to ensure that COP can be a forum for the ambitious climate action we desperately need.”

    Notes to Editors

    Read the full report: HERE

    Media contact
    Transparency International Secretariat, Berlin
    Telephone: +49 (0) 30 34 38 20 666
    Email: [email protected]


    Transparency International is a global movement with one vision: a world in which government, business, civil society and the daily lives of people are free of corruption. With more than 100 chapters worldwide and an international secretariat in Berlin, we are leading the fight against corruption to turn this vision into reality. www.transparency.org

    The Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) is a nonprofit group of investigative journalists, data scientists, academics and policy experts working together to expose and prevent the harms to people, planet and politics caused by corporate opacity. www.acdatacollective.org

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Banking: Urgent action needed to safeguard integrity of COP as fossil fuel influence looms large in Baku, report warns

    Source: Transparency International

    ‘Unacceptable’ lack of guardrails leaves climate talks vulnerable to undue corporate influence and fossil fuel industry capture.

    The upcoming Conference of the Parties (COP) 29 climate summit in Baku, Azerbaijan, is at high risk of being co-opted to promote a pro-fossil fuel industry agenda, according to a new report by Transparency International (TI) and the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC).

    The report, published today, warns that a lack of robust integrity and anti-corruption measures in the UNFCCC arrangements for COP has opened the door for Azerbaijan’s government to use the summit as diplomatic cover to advance its domestic oil and gas interests and secure new fossil fuel deals. The report finds that not only is the COP 29 President a former executive of SOCAR, Azerbaijan’s state oil company, SOCAR appears to be closely involved in the COP, with its president and members of its supervisory board helping organise the conference. The head of SOCAR has already been seen mixing COP and company business while signing new cooperation agreements with international partners.

    The report also finds that the conference may provide potentially lucrative business opportunities to companies with links to the country’s first family. Ahead of the summit, evidence of potentially corrupt activity has continued to emerge, according to the report, including revelations by investigative journalists that a multi-million dollar no-bid contract for COP 29 guest accommodation was awarded to a business owned by the former son-in-law of Ilham Aliyev, the President of Azerbaijan. Several COP 29 corporate sponsors, or “Green Zone Partners,” also have clear or alleged links to the first family of Azerbaijan.

    The report also points to an almost US$5m public relations campaign for COP 29 – a fee that rivals the $5.8m Azerbaijan paid to UNFCCC to host the conference – that the COP President has praised for improving Azerbaijan’s image, while the Aliyev regime simultaneously heavily represses independent media and civil society. Azerbaijan’s COP 29 organisers have also established an “NGO Coalition,” which includes organisations that the report argues support the propaganda aims of the Aliyev regime. With Azerbaijan’s energy sector heavily dominated by fossil fuels, these tactics mean COP 29 could be abused as a tool for greenwashing, the report argues.

    Transparency International and the Anti-Corruption Data Collective are urging the UNFCCC to take action to safeguard the integrity of COP and prevent hosts of future summits from putting their own agenda before the common good. Recommendations include:

    • Strengthening the process for selecting host countries and corporate sponsors of COPs, ensuring future summits take place in environments where human rights, transparency, freedom of expression and commitment to the goals of the conference are guaranteed.
    • Robust measures to prevent conflicts of interest among hosts, organisers, sponsors and participants from derailing the critical climate deliberations and outcomes.
    • Unrestricted civil society participation and enhanced transparency and accountability rules relating to all COP participants.

    Brice Böhmer, Climate and Environment Lead at Transparency International, said:

    “It is painfully clear that you cannot make meaningful progress against the climate crisis without tackling climate corruption. From influential fossil fuel lobbyists diluting climate commitments to corrupt networks syphoning climate funds, the integrity of the entire global climate framework is at stake.

    “Despite COP now being in its 29th year, there is an unacceptable lack of robust integrity and anti-corruption measures. UNFCCC needs to urgently address the threat posed by corporate interests and fossil fuel industry capture. The integrity standards for COP Presidency need to be the highest possible quality to reestablish trust in the multilateral process.”

    “It is imperative that governments who are committed to keeping the 1.5 degrees Celsius target in sight work closely with the UNFCCC Secretariat to strengthen the guardrails around future COPs.”

    David Szakonyi, Director of the Anti-Corruption Data Collective, said:

    “It is essential that anyone attending this year’s COP, or observing from afar, are wise to the ways that the fossil fuel industry’s interests may be being served. Azerbaijan has been accused of corruption and illicit influence operations in many countries across the world. All too often authoritarian regimes exploit their host status at marquee international events to launder their own reputations, and there are real risks that the same will happen at COP 29 in Azerbaijan. Our report sets out clearly the steps that need to be taken to ensure that COP can be a forum for the ambitious climate action we desperately need.”

    Notes to Editors

    Read the full report: HERE

    Media contact
    Transparency International Secretariat, Berlin
    Telephone: +49 (0) 30 34 38 20 666
    Email: [email protected]


    Transparency International is a global movement with one vision: a world in which government, business, civil society and the daily lives of people are free of corruption. With more than 100 chapters worldwide and an international secretariat in Berlin, we are leading the fight against corruption to turn this vision into reality. www.transparency.org

    The Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) is a nonprofit group of investigative journalists, data scientists, academics and policy experts working together to expose and prevent the harms to people, planet and politics caused by corporate opacity. www.acdatacollective.org

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI Economics: IMF Staff Conclude Article IV Discussions and Reach Staff-Level Agreement on the Second Review under the Extended Credit Facility

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    October 31, 2024

    End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF’s Executive Board for discussion and decision.

    • IMF staff and the Somali authorities have reached a staff level agreement on the second review under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF). Program performance has been strong, demonstrating the authorities’ steadfast commitment to macroeconomic stability and strengthening institutional capacity and frameworks.
    • Real GDP growth has been upgraded to 4 percent for 2024 and 2025 based on strong exports and remittances. However, risks remain elevated, including from regional and domestic security developments, commodity prices and climate shocks.
    • Sustained reform efforts are needed to set the conditions for greater resilience, poverty reduction, and inclusive growth. This includes strengthening tax capacity and public financial management, promoting financial deepening, and improving governance.

    Washington, DC: A staff team from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led by Ms. Laura Jaramillo, conducted discussions with the Somali authorities in Istanbul and in Washington DC on the 2024 Article IV consultation and reached a staff-level agreement on the second review of the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement that was approved by the IMF’s Executive Board in December 2023 (Press Release No. 23/463). This agreement is subject to approval of the IMF’s Executive Board.  

    At the conclusion of the discussions, Ms. Jaramillo issued the following statement:

    “Somalia’s real GDP growth outlook has improved, though challenges and risks remain significant. Positive trends in agriculture, exports, and remittances in 2024 are expected to continue in 2025. As a result, real GDP growth has been upgraded to 4 percent in 2024 and 2025, up by an average ¼ percentage point compared to previous forecasts. Inflation is expected to continue on a downward trend to 4.5 percent by end 2024, although the pace is slower than anticipated earlier. Despite security challenges, the Somali government remains steadfast in its fight against terrorism and continues to work with international partners to ensure a successful transition from the current African Union Transition Mission to a new force by January 2025. Near-term risks to the outlook include climate shocks, domestic and regional security developments, lower global growth, and higher commodity prices.

    “The authorities continue to focus on raising domestic revenue, aiming to fully cover operational expenditure with domestic revenues by 2027, while also accommodating higher education and health spending. Fiscal outturns in 2024 have been in line with expectations, and an overall deficit of 0.2 percent of GDP is expected for the year. The 2025 draft budget envisages domestic revenues of 3.3 percent of GDP and an overall fiscal deficit of 0.2 percent of GDP, assuming continued access to grant financing, which remains critical for Somalia.

    “The authorities recognize the importance of making steady progress on fiscal reforms. Key revenue measures—guided by the recently published Medium-term Revenue Roadmap—include the ongoing customs modernization, a new income tax law, and stronger enforcement of sales and income taxes. Public financial management continues to be strengthened, with important progress made on payroll integrity. Reforms to improve the debt management framework and capacity are also progressing well. Measures are also being taken to finalize the extractive industries legal framework, including to enhance transparency and accountability.

    “The Central Bank of Somalia (CBS) is advancing institutional governance and financial sector reforms. Focus is on promoting financial deepening, including by enhancing the legislative and oversight frameworks, improving the quality of regulatory data, and augmenting CBS technical capacity. Efforts continue to strengthen the framework for anti-money laundering and the combating the financing of terrorism to comply with international standards.

    “The authorities intend to reintroduce the Somalia Shilling (SOS) and adopt a currency board arrangement. The new SOS notes will provide an important liquidity function by facilitating payments for small value transactions and will promote financial inclusion for the most vulnerable. To provide a stable and predictable policy environment to ensure confidence in SOS across Somalia, the authorities are also starting preparations for introducing a currency board arrangement, with IMF capacity development support. Implementation of these reforms would take an estimated 18-24 months after prerequisites are in place, including necessary external financing.

    “The authorities are also committed to advancing steps to bolster inclusive growth and poverty reduction, improve resilience to climate shocks, and enhance trade integration. Raising human capital by increasing the educational attainment of Somali children and closing gender gaps in education can bring significant growth dividends. Building resilience against climate shocks and strengthening food security is also a priority. Given Somalia’s very limited resources, financing and technical assistance support from international partners remains crucial. The East African Community presents important opportunities, challenges, and risks for Somalia and the integration process needs to be managed carefully.  

    “The mission would like to express gratitude to Somali authorities for constructive and fruitful discussions. Meetings were held with the Minister of Finance, Minister of Petroleum, the CBS Governor, other government officials, development partners, and representatives from the private sector.”

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Mayada Ghazala

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    @IMFSpokesperson

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Victims, Witnesses, and Justice Reform Bill update

    Source: Scottish Government

    Amendments to landmark legislation.

    Justice Secretary Angela Constance has updated Parliament on proposed amendments to the Victims, Witnesses, and Justice Reform Bill.

    The Justice Secretary told MSPs that, having listened to the cross-party Criminal Justice Committee and a wide range of other views, a plan to enable a time-limited pilot of single-judge trials for rape and attempted rape cases will not be pursued.

    The Government also plans to amend the Bill, subject to MSPs’ approval, to enable more detailed research into jury deliberations, including how rape myths may affect verdicts.

    The Bill includes measures to remove Scotland’s ‘not proven’ verdict and to increase the current simple majority required for a criminal conviction to a two-thirds majority of jurors. However, in line with committee recommendations, proposals to cut the jury size from 15 to 12 will be dropped.

    Victims of crime are to receive improved support, advice and information as part of planned reforms to the Victim Notification Scheme – to be delivered through the Bill – as announced earlier this month.

    Ms Constance said:

    “This Bill proposes a significant package of reforms to ensure victims are placed at the heart of Scotland’s justice system, such as creating a specialist Sexual Offences Court, establishing a Victims & Witnesses Commissioner and abolishing the ‘not proven’ verdict.

    “I want to build as much consensus as possible for this important legislation. Clearly there is not enough parliamentary support at this time for the proposal to enable a time-limited pilot of single-judge trials for cases of rape and attempted rape, so we will no longer pursue this.

    “I remain concerned by the substantial evidence that juries may be influenced by rape myths and I will introduce amendments to the Bill to allow for more detailed research into jury deliberations. We will undertake further work with justice partners to agree how to challenge and reduce the impact of rape myths. This might include, for example, further interventions or educational resources for jurors and the wider public.

    “I believe that the most prudent approach to jury reform, including the abolition of the ‘not proven’ verdict, is to seek support for a model with two verdicts – ‘guilty’ and ‘not guilty’ – 15 jurors, and a two-thirds majority requirement for conviction.

    “I look forward to working with partners and colleagues across Parliament to deliver what I believe is a shared ambition to ensure victims and witnesses are placed at the heart of the justice system and treated with compassion.”

    Background

    Justice Secretary’s letter to the Criminal Justice Committee

    Improved support for crime victims

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Canada: Keynote – 2024 Nuclear Law School

    Source: Government of Canada News

    On October 25, 2024, Pierre Tremblay, CNSC President and CEO, delivered the keynote address at the Canadian Nuclear Law Organization’s Nuclear Law School 2024, held in Toronto, Ontario. In his remarks, he spoke about areas of focus for the CNSC and the important function the CNSC’s Legal Services team plays in supporting Canada’s nuclear regulator.  

    – Check against delivery – 

    Introduction

    Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for that kind introduction.  

    Bonjour. Merci pour cette aimable présentation. 

    I would like to acknowledge that we are gathered here today on the traditional territory of many nations, including the Mississaugas of the Credit, the Anishnabeg, the Chippewa, the Haudenosaunee and the Wendat peoples, and on what is now home to many diverse First Nations, Inuit, and Métis peoples. 

    I am honoured to work with and learn from communities across unceded lands throughout Canada, and want to acknowledge all First Nations, Inuit, and Métis peoples who’s original and treaty territories we stand upon across Turtle Island.

    As mentioned, I am Pierre Tremblay, President of the 

    Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission, or CNSC. I have now had the privilege of leading the CNSC for almost 3 months, and I could not be happier to be speaking to you all today on behalf of the regulator. 

    I’m so pleased you have also had the opportunity to hear from some of the CNSC’s many experts, with Pascale Bourassa speaking about the practical considerations around compliance with and enforcement of the nuclear regulatory requirements for Canadian export controls. 

    And from Catherine Howlett on the role of the regulator and how we intend to manage licensing decisions in the context of the Impact Assessment Act. 

    I myself have 40 years in Canada’s nuclear sector, all of which have been very rewarding. My career has given me a deep appreciation and respect for the people who work in the sector and their shared focus on safety and the culture that supports it. 

    My new position with the CNSC is affording me the opportunity to play an essential role in the nuclear sector by serving the public in protecting Canada’s environment and its people. 

    The CNSC is a world class nuclear regulator and I’m honoured to be leading this organization through such an exciting period for the nuclear sector. 

    For my remarks this afternoon, I’d like to speak about the work the CNSC is doing to fulfil our important mandate, while ensuring our readiness for the future.

    Important Work of the Regulator

    As Canada’s nuclear regulator, the CNSC oversees the full lifecycle of nuclear facilities and activities, regulating the use of nuclear energy and materials to protect the health, safety, and security of people and the environment while ensuring Canada’s respect for its international obligations, including non-proliferation. 

    All licensing decisions are made by the Commission, a quasi-judicial, independent tribunal set up at arm’s length from government, and with no ties to the nuclear industry. 

    This is an interesting and crucial time for Canada’s nuclear sector. With a growing global energy demand, driven by electrification and our collective response to climate change, the potential for nuclear as a reliable baseload energy source is significant.

    Given Canada’s long history and expertise in the nuclear field, there is of course a strong interest in maintaining its competitive advantage, and to keep pace with countries that are heavily investing in nuclear.

    While the CNSC is independent and impartial, we are aware of and engaged with the external environment in which nuclear operates. 

    The increased attention on and priority of nuclear are important factors motivating the CNSC to ensure regulatory readiness and efficiency. 

    This is particularly true as we prepare for the eventual deployment of advanced and small modular reactor technologies.

    In regulating to ensure safety, readiness and efficiency is achievable with no corners being cut. Our expectations for industry are the same. Together, we can all ensure the safe deployment of nuclear projects.

    The possibility of the broad deployment of small modular reactors – or SMRs – requires us to be ready in new and different ways.

    This is just one driver to modernize our regulatory framework and practices. 

    As a part of our modernization efforts, we undertook a full strategic review of the CNSC’s regulatory framework to identify gaps and opportunities for improvement to ensure clarity of requirements for SMRs, such as shifting from a prescriptive approach to a technology-neutral performance-based approach.

    This includes proposed Nuclear Security Regulations that respond to changes in security threats and adapt to technological advancements. 

    The current regulations do not in our view adequately consider a risk-informed approach – nor do they consider different technologies, sizes, locations, and alternative approaches to address potential security threats and risks. 

    This could prevent licensees and proponents from using new security technologies or innovative practices that meet – or exceed – the regulatory objective to delay potential adversaries. 

    Mind you, modernizing our regulations isn’t new. It is a continuation of years of work and something the CNSC is always in the process of doing.

    For example, in 2020, following extensive consultation, the Radiation Protection Regulations were updated to enhance protections for nuclear sector works, including accommodations for workers who are breastfeeding, and a lower annual limit for radiation doses to the lens of the eye.

    This is just one example where we have leveraged over 20 years of experience with the Nuclear Safety and Control Act and advances in science to ensure our regulatory framework reflects our current and modern reality.

    By necessity, this work is ongoing. As the sector evolves, so does the regulatory landscape.

    We are also ensuring we do not work in isolation. As we modernize and ready ourselves for new technologies, we continue to look for ways to collaborate and coordinate with other government agencies here at home, as well as our regulatory counterparts around the world. 

    For example, the CNSC is working closely with the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada to ensure processes are well aligned to reduce duplication of work. 

    The CNSC recognizes the vital role of the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada. The renewed emphasis on nuclear in the pursuit of clean growth requires many agencies to play equally important roles.

    We remain committed to supporting the work of our partners and the Government’s action plan – Building Canada’s Clean Future – while continuing to honour our own commitment of being efficient as the nuclear safety regulator.

    It’s not just coordination at home. International cooperation has far-reaching benefits for world-wide nuclear safety and helps to ensure a streamlined and safe approach to deployment for these projects. 

    CNSC along with our colleagues in the US and UK have taken essential steps to enable the sharing of knowledge and best practices to foster the safe deployment of nuclear technologies worldwide. 

    Agreements such as the trilateral Memorandum of Cooperation between the CNSC, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the UK’s Office for Nuclear Regulation support collaboration on the technical reviews of advanced reactor and SMR technologies.

    Under this agreement we work together to develop shared technical assessment approaches, collaborate on pre-application activities to ensure mutual preparedness, and collaborate on research, training, and in the development of regulatory approaches. 

    Preparing for the future is a global effort. When we join forces with international organizations, our collective expertise can grow considerably and accelerate our progress, while also enhancing our primary focus on safety. 

    Together, we will be well-equipped to manage any challenges that we may face. 

    The CNSC’s mandate also includes communicating objective scientific, technical, and regulatory information to the public. 

    As the regulator, we must instill confidence in Canadians that decisions are risk-informed, evidence- and science-based. And that the safety of Canadians and the environment are at the forefront of all that we do. 

    We do this by communicating and engaging with the public we serve – and by disseminating objective information to the public. 

    Nuclear technologies and activities are not limited by Canada’s provincial and territorial borders. 

    And so, we share information with and provide opportunities for engagement to all Canadians, not just those in the traditional nuclear-host communities. 

    The CNSC also encourages open dialogue through consultation and engagement, with staff from across our organization engaging with communities and stakeholders nationwide.

    In practice, this includes participating in community events, engaging with the public and intervenors during Commission proceedings, delivering educational presentations, and continuing to prioritize relationship-building with Indigenous Nations and communities through continued and meaningful engagement, consultation and mutual learning.

    Effective communication and engagement build trust through openness, transparency and listening – and public trust is critical. 

    We are doing our part and expect industry to do the same. 

    The CNSC has outlined such expectations clearly in our regulatory documents for Indigenous engagement and public information and disclosure. 

    Proponents and industry have the responsibility to develop meaningful, long-term relationships with Indigenous Nations and communities whose treaty lands, territories, and potential and established rights could be impacted by nuclear activities. 

    They must also develop and maintain programs that ensure effective communication with the public as a licensing condition. 

    Only through such efforts will they earn trust and support for their projects. 

    We as the regulator will be watching and expect performance to be maintained as new technologies are sought after. 

    Internal efforts

    I have mentioned a few times today, that safety is our top priority. A strong safety culture is an essential component, helping to build trust within the organization, as well as with the public we serve.

    That is why the CNSC continues to prioritize understanding and strengthening our regulatory safety culture through various mechanisms, most recently through the Independent Safety Culture Assessment led by the International Atomic Energy Agency, or IAEA. 

    With almost 80 years of nuclear safety and security in Canada, our long history has taught us the importance of self-reflection and the need for continuous improvement, and that complacency is the enemy of excellence.

    We know that a culture for safety is an ongoing journey, which is why we continue to look for opportunities such as this mission to support our reflection and self-improvement. The IAEA recognized this in their preliminary findings, noting that we demonstrate a continued commitment for external review to help continuously improve. They recognized the strong personal commitment of staff to the CNSC safety mission, and our recognition that we face a significant amount of change in the coming years which we will need to continue to prepare for.

    The CNSC has also worked to better understand the important role diversity and inclusion play in safety culture. We know that diverse voices lead to better decision-making and better safety outcomes. 

    While I may not have faced the challenges in my career that some have, I am very aware of the need to direct our energies and efforts to ensure diversity in the talent pipeline. 

    Efforts such as this will let us engage the best and the brightest. It will foster innovation and improve our regulatory decisions. Complex challenges like those we face in the nuclear sector require varied perspectives. 

    Conclusion

    Many of you may be wondering, where do I fit? What role do I have to play? 

    There is value in gaining operational experience, which can be obtained in many ways. We live in a dynamic world, and our legislative framework is ever evolving. Embrace that uncertainty and the change that comes with it and challenge yourselves to continuously grow and learn. 

    The CNSC’s Legal Services team is a great example of this. They are an integral part of our organization, both in day-to-day operations as well as part of our management team. They act as counsel at Commission hearings and represent the CNSC in litigation. 

    Our Legal Services team directly supports the business of the CNSC as the regulator and, as such, contributes to the broader nuclear sector. 

    They do this by providing in-house legal advice to the CNSC, including advice on the interpretation of the Nuclear Safety and Control Act and its related regulations and other legislation that may affect CNSC operations. With their experience and knowledge, they assist the Commission in its modernization efforts to find ever more effective means of delivering on its mandate.

    As lawyers, you know that you do not make policy. You interpret the law and give advice. You are not in a position to dictate outcomes; rather you provide strategic legal perspectives that bring valuable insight and contributions through your work.

    There is a necessary balance here. Courageous decision-making is needed at this time, and your legal advice to your clients can help them advance their important priorities. 

    We are at a critical point in history. And we have lots to do. 

    I can reassure you that the CNSC will be here making sure that safety remains top of mind for everyone. 

    There is a strong foundation in place and a great deal of work already underway to ensure we are ready. I am eager to guide the CNSC as an organization as we continue this journey.

    This is a very exciting time for the nuclear sector, and I look forward to what the future holds.

    Thank you again for inviting me to speak at your 2024 Nuclear Law School, I look forward to answering any questions you may have. 

    MIL OSI Canada News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Exceptional Teachers Chosen for Master Teacher Program

    Source: US State of New York

    Governor Kathy Hochul today announced the selection of 144 STEM teachers for the New York State Master Teacher Program, a professional network of more than 1,700 public-school teachers with a passion for inspiring the next generation of educational leaders. Twenty-six counselors were also selected as part of the inaugural Master Counselor Program.

    “Here in New York, we are incredibly grateful for our teachers’ and counselors’ dedication to inspiring and shaping the minds of our students – the next generation of leaders in our state,” Governor Hochul said. “Through the New York State Master Teacher Program, we’re recognizing the hardworking educational leaders who are helping us build a world-class education system here in New York for generations to come.”

    In addition, the application process for the next round is open now through January 26, 2025. Interested applicants can review the eligibility requirements and attend an information session with program staff.

    The new members represent 83 school districts with a Master Teacher or Master Counselor among their faculty, with 40 program members from high-needs districts including Albany, Buffalo, Binghamton, Plattsburgh City, Rochester, Schenectady, Syracuse, Utica, and, for counselors, New York City School Districts.

    Master Teachers support students in grades K-12 in the areas of science, technology, computer science, robotics, coding, engineering, math, and integrated STEM.

    More than half of the new members have been in the classroom for more than ten years, and more than 45 percent have been teaching for 15 or more years. The incoming group of Master Teachers is comprised of 25 percent elementary level teachers, 48 teachers with multiple teaching certifications, 15 teachers certified in Special Education and two teachers who hold a Bilingual Education Extension.

    The Master Counselors are active members of their professional associations serving in leadership roles, and regularly engage with local industries to help students and their families chart a path to student success. More than half of the 2024 Master Counselors have been in a counseling role for longer than ten years. The counselors serve in various district-level and state-level roles, joining the program as experienced leaders dedicated to developing and sharing best practices. One-third of the Master Counselors hold additional certificates or NYS trainings including Occupational Therapy, Disability Services, National Board, and Mental Health Counseling.

    SUNY Chancellor John B. King Jr. said, “As the state’s largest educator preparation provider, SUNY is proud of the success of all teachers and school counselors throughout their careers. We applaud Governor Hochul for recognizing excellence in teaching as well as the importance of school counselors in helping New York State students achieve their aspirations for college and careers.”

    Master Teachers and Master Counselors are leaders in their professions, serving as mentors for students and early-career teachers and counselors. Many new members have been awarded grants for STEM or counseling program resources. The Master Teacher Program is hosted at nine SUNY campuses to leverage the expertise of the University’s faculty and existing educator preparation programs, and SUNY counterparts collaborate regularly with local STEM career and industry experts.

    The total number of teachers and counselors selected from each region, and the respective partner SUNY campus, are:

    • Capital Region: 219 Master Teachers and 4 Master Counselors (University at Albany)
    • Central New York: 213 Master Teachers and 3 Master Counselors (SUNY Cortland)
    • Finger Lakes: 223 Master Teachers and 3 Master Counselors (SUNY Geneseo)
    • Long Island: 206 Master Teachers and 5 Master Counselor (Stony Brook University)
    • Mid-Hudson: 200 Master Teachers and 7 Master Counselors (SUNY New Paltz)
    • Mohawk Valley: 140 Master Teachers and 4 Master Counselors (SUNY Oneonta)
    • North Country: 130 Master Teachers and 6 Master Counselor (SUNY Plattsburgh)
    • Southern Tier: 252 Master Teachers and 7 Master Counselors (Binghamton University)
    • Western New York: 244 Master Teachers and 7Master Counselors (SUNY Buffalo State)
    • New York City: 160 Master Teachers (in partnership with Math for America) and 5 Master Counselors

    Throughout their four-year participation in the Program, Master Teachers, and Master Counselors will receive a $15,000 stipend annually; engage in peer mentoring and intensive content-oriented professional development opportunities throughout the academic year; work closely with pre-service and early career teachers and counselors to foster a supportive environment for the next generation of STEM teachers and counselors; and attend required regional meetings to participate in and lead professional development sessions each year.

    A full list of Master Teachers and Counselors and their school districts is available.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: San Antonio Couple Sentenced to Federal Prison for Tax Evasion

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    SAN ANTONIO – A San Antonio woman was sentenced to 15 months in federal prison for tax evasion and aiding and abetting.

    According to court documents, Rachel Olivia Markum, 41, and her husband, Robert Franklin Markum Jr., 47, prepared and signed a false and fraudulent form 1040 joint tax return for calendar year 2016, which was then submitted to the Internal Revenue Service. The fraudulent tax return reported the couple’s sole income as gross receipts or sales from the business Camping and Fishing Outlet as $3,530,473, while she was aware that the true amount of gross receipts exceeded $4 million.

    Rachel pleaded guilty May 28, 2024, to one count of tax evasion and aiding and abetting. Robert pleaded guilty on April 1, to one count of tax evasion, and was sentenced to 27 months in federal prison on Aug. 28. The husband and wife were also ordered to pay $359,108 in restitution.

    “This sentencing underscores the serious consequences of defrauding the federal government through false tax returns,” said U.S. Attorney Jaime Esparza for the Western District of Texas. “By concealing hundreds of thousands of dollars from the IRS, this married couple betrayed the integrity of our tax system. We will continue to protect the financial interests of the United States with our IRS Criminal Investigation partners and hold accountable those who seek personal gain through deceptive, illegal means.”

    “Robert and Rachel Markum created false identities and businesses to hide their income from the IRS, but they failed to realize that money always leaves a trail. Their years in prison will give them an opportunity to reflect on their actions,” said Acting Special Agent in Charge Lucy Tan for IRS Criminal Investigation’s Houston Field Office. “Prosecuting federal tax crimes remains a priority in Texas, and our strong partnership with the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Western District of Texas underscores our commitment to holding tax criminals accountable.”

    IRS-CI investigated the case. Assistant U.S. Attorney Justin Chung prosecuted the case.

    ###

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Security: United States Files Suit for Unpaid Duties and Penalties for Alleged Failure to Pay Duties on Imported Chinese Bedroom Furniture

    Source: United States Attorneys General 12

    The United States has filed a civil lawsuit against Lawrence Bivona, who was the President of LaJobi Inc., a Delaware corporation that imported Chinese-manufactured children’s bedroom furniture into the United States. The lawsuit alleges that Bivona made false statements to customs officials and, as a result, avoided paying antidumping duties owed on the imported furniture.

    At the time merchandise is entered into the United States, the importer is responsible for providing all information necessary to enable Customs and Border Protection (CBP) to assess the applicable duties owed on the goods, including any antidumping duties applicable to the merchandise. Antidumping duties are trade remedies that help protect domestic industries from unfair trade practices by foreign businesses and countries, such as government subsidies or below market sales.

    The United States’ complaint contends that Bivona caused LaJobi to misrepresent the identity of the manufacturers of the children’s furniture imported from China. In particular, the United States alleges that Bivona falsely represented that the furniture was manufactured by Chinese entities subject to duty rates of approximately 7% or less, and failed to disclose that the furniture was actually manufactured by entities subject to duty rates of 216%.

    “Anti-dumping duties play an important role in countering illegal foreign trade practices and protecting U.S. manufacturers,” said Principal Deputy Assistant Attorney General Brian M. Boynton, head of the Justice Department’s Civil Division. “We will continue to pursue those who seek to gain an unfair advantage by violating our trade laws.”

    “These civil penalties support the seriousness of CBP’s trade mission and protect the U.S. economy, while maintaining fair trade and preserving American jobs from predatory practices,” said Executive Director Susan Thomas of CBP’s Cargo and Conveyance Security, Office of Field Operations. “CBP’s antidumping and countervailing duties enforcement aims to mitigate harm by anti-competitive behavior and supports a level playing field for U.S. companies injured by unfair trade practices.”

    “We take very seriously our role in protecting the U.S. economy from illegal and predatory trade practices,” said Assistant Director Ivan J. Arvelo of Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) Global Trade Investigations. “HSI is committed to working alongside CBP and partners to stop those who engage in fraud to circumvent U.S. trade laws.”

    The complaint seeks the recovery of over $7 million in import duties and over $15 million in civil penalties.

    HSI Newark led the investigation with CBP Trade Regulatory Audit Newark, CBP Associate Chief Counsel New York, CBP Consumer Products and Mass Merchandising (CPMM) Center of Excellence and Expertise. CBP and HSI are the agencies responsible for enforcing U.S. laws related to the importation of merchandise into the United States, including the collection of duties and assessment of penalties.

    Trial Counsel Daniel Hoffman of the Civil Division’s Commercial Litigation Branch, National Courts Section, is handling the case.

    The case is filed in the Court of International Trade and captioned United States v. Lawrence Bivona No. 24-00196.

    To combat trade fraud, including avoidance of import duties, the Justice Department created a Trade Fraud Task Force. The Task Force partners with CBP and other law enforcement agencies to ensure compliance with U.S. trade laws.

    The claims in the complaint are allegations only. There has been no determination of liability. 

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Africa: Presidents, Energy Ministers, Investors and Independent Power Producers (IPP) to Meet in Togo for West Africa Energy Cooperation Summit

    Source: Africa Press Organisation – English (2) – Report:

    LOMÉ, Togo, October 31, 2024/APO Group/ —

    The West Africa Energy Cooperation Summit (WA-ECS) is set to tackle project development bottlenecks across the ECOWAS region and drive sustainable energy development across West Africa from 3-5 December 2024, in Lomé, Togo. The response from the private sector, who are actively looking for energy projects, but often frustrated by the pace of development, tells us this meeting is long overdue.

    Under the distinguished patronage of the President of the Togolese Republic, H.E. Honourable Faure Essozimna Gnassingbé, WA-ECS will address regional infrastructure and the energy projects critical to economic growth, driving forward West Africa’s critical mineral resource expansion programme in cooperation with power generation, and encouraging cross-border cooperation that will bolster regional energy development.

    With success stories and blueprints from Senegal, Nigeria, Benin, Cote d’Ivoire and Togo itself, WA-ECS is urging greater collaboration between countries, sectors, private and public, to create new pathways and to reduce risk.  

    The theme for the summit is ‘Empowering West Africa’s Growth Through Strategic Energy Partnership’. In recent years, the pace of large-scale projects has stalled due to the disruptive pace of getting projects green-lit. It is, therefore, vital for all stakeholders to be more direct in their dialogue to reverse this tide and restart the region’s mineral-centric economies, and solar, wind, hydro, and gas IPPs sit firmly at the centre of this initiative.

    “As the developers behind Togo’s first utility-scale renewable energy project, AMEA Power is excited to be part of this pivotal summit, and we anticipate fruitful discussions and solutions that will advance renewable energy in West Africa,” said Hussein Matar, Senior Director, AMEA Power, the lead sponsor of WA-ECS. 

    Positive signs are already visible with the ongoing development of the Lobito Corridor, the Nigeria-Morocco gas pipeline, solar projects in Mauritania, Togo, and Mali, and the regional Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) programme, which is set to become operational in 2025.

    However, the 2030 renewable energy goals to enhance trade through the West African Power Pool (WAPP) are still a long way from being on track, underscoring the need for private sector involvement and deeper collaboration with governments and the mining sector. A series of multilateral and independent investor, utility, and ministerial boardroom discussions will follow the Presidential Day of the summit, pushing energy access up the political agenda at the highest levels.

    Ministers from The Gambia and Benin will be attending and speaking, alongside a strong contingent from the private and financial sectors. Kekeli Efficient Power, Genesis Energy, World Bank, BII, Shell Energy, Proparco, and Masdar are just some of the many who will contribute their unique perspective.

    H.E. Honourable Robert Koffi Messan Eklo, Togo’s Minister of Mines and Energy Resources, says, “As a pivotal energy hub in West Africa, our country is uniquely positioned to lead in advancing regional energy cooperation. The West Africa Energy Cooperation Summit will be a cornerstone event where we can collectively shape the future of energy infrastructure, fostering growth that transcends borders and benefits all.”

    MIL OSI Africa

  • MIL-OSI Video: CEO Climate Alliance | Gim Huay Neo

    Source: World Economic Forum (video statements)

    With climate and biodiversity on the global agenda, the business benefits of net zero are clear, says Gim Huay Neo, co-chair of a Global Alliance of CEO Climate LeadersIn an open letter ahead of #COP29, the Alliance of CEO Climate Leaders calls for urgent action to combat climate change.

    Highlighting the critical role of collaborative leadership from business and government, the world’s largest CEO-led climate community is advocating for ambitious, science-based targets to support climate action and spur investment.

    Read the full letter: wef.ch/COP29OpenLetter24

    The World Economic Forum is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation. The Forum engages the foremost political, business, cultural and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. We believe that progress happens by bringing together people from all walks of life who have the drive and the influence to make positive change.

    World Economic Forum Website ► http://www.weforum.org/
    Facebook ► https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/
    YouTube ► https://www.youtube.com/wef
    Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/worldeconomicforum/ 
    Twitter ► https://twitter.com/wef
    LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/company/world-economic-forum
    TikTok ► https://www.tiktok.com/@worldeconomicforum
    Flipboard ► https://flipboard.com/@WEF

    #WorldEconomicForum

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L39TNIlTajc

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Report by the Co-ordinator of OSCE Economic and Environmental Activities: UK response, October 2024

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Ambassador Holland says the OSCE is uniquely placed to view the climate crisis though a security lens.

    It has been more than six months since your inaugural address in your new role, and we continue to remain dismayed by the devastating economic and environmental effects Russia’s war of choice against Ukraine are having on our region.  

    We are pleased that your office continues to work on assessing the environmental impact of Russia’s war. The careful documentation of environmental damage provided by this project and its recommendations will be invaluable in holding Russia to account and supporting Ukraine’s recovery efforts after the war. 

    Water management was the theme of EEDIM earlier this week. As I said there, we must recognise that rivers, lakes, aquifers and glaciers often straddle borders, so regional cooperation and cross-border solutions are crucial to prevent conflicts over control of water resources.   

    At the same time, the scarcity of this natural resource is tied up with the threats posed by climate change. The OSCE is uniquely placed to view the climate crisis though a security lens, and we welcome the work your office has done via your climate security project to identify where these risks are most acute.   

    Alongside conflict and economic opportunity, climate change is one of many drivers of migration. If migration is not safe, orderly and regular it can make those on the move vulnerable to risks, put a strain on communities, and undermine public confidence in states’ and the international community’s ability to manage migration effectively.  

    In this vein, the UK is pleased to be able to contribute to the project “Strengthening the evidence-based understanding of the climate change, migration and security nexus in South-Eastern Europe”, which, as you highlight in your report, should improve our understanding of the interlinkages between climate change and human mobility, as well as of the impacts of emigration and depopulation on the environment. 

    Our work to combat money laundering and illicit finance is made more challenging by innovations in digital finance and the increasing use of virtual assets, including by serious organised crime. The UK co-funds the ExB project “Innovative Policy Solutions to Mitigate Money Laundering Risks of Virtual Assets” to build capacity in Central Asia, Eastern Europe and the South Caucasus, to deal with this fast-evolving area. 

    Finally, I would like to take this opportunity to pay tribute to the outgoing chair of the second dimension committee and thank Ambassador Raunig for chairing this committee so ably, including by keeping the war against Ukraine a focus of the committee’s work. We look forward to working with the new chair of the second dimension committee in addressing the most pressing economic and environmental issues facing our region. 

    Ambassador, thank you again for your report, and we look forward to supporting you and your able team in the months ahead.

    Updates to this page

    Published 31 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Charity Commission Annual Public Meeting 2024

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Charity Commission Chair, Orlando Fraser KC, and Chief Executive, David Holdsworth, invite you to our Annual Public Meeting on Tuesday 26 November at 11:00am.

    You are invited to join our Annual Public Meeting on Tuesday 26 November 2024 at 11:00am. Attend in-person in London or join online via our livestream.

    About the event

    Our Chair Orlando Fraser KC, Chief Executive David Holdsworth and colleagues will provide updates and insight into the Commission’s activities and answer questions about our work.

    This is a hybrid event open to all members of the public and charity representatives who wish to attend in-person or join online.

    In-person attendees will have the opportunity to visit our exhibition stands and speak to members of our staff both before and after the main meeting. In addition, a light lunch will be available at the conclusion of the main meeting, with an opportunity to network.

    This event is free of charge but registration is required. Please book online to join this event in-person or online.

    Date & Time

    Tuesday 26 November 2024

    11:00am to 12:30pm

    In-person attendees should please arrive from 10:00am for registration.

    Venue

    Kings Place (Hall 2)
    90 York Way
    London
    N1 9AG

    Our privacy notice for the live broadcast of our Annual Public Meeting can be found on GOV.UK.

    Updates to this page

    Published 31 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI USA: Golden, colleagues urge the release of untapped LIHEAP funding

    Source: United States House of Representatives – Congressman Jared Golden (ME-02)

    WASHINGTON — Congressman Jared Golden (ME-02) yesterday joined a bipartisan group of House members requesting that U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra release the maximum dispersal of Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) funding made available from the recent government funding package.

    Golden joined 15 House colleagues in sending a letter to the secretary today, as agencies in Maine are ringing alarm bells about a lack of adequate LIHEAP funds

    “To prevent a lapse in eligible families’ ability to afford their home energy bills this fall, we urge you to immediately release the highest possible amount of LIHEAP funding made available by the Continuing Resolution,” the lawmakers wrote. “It is vital to ensure our seniors and low-income families are provided sufficient resources as temperatures cool in the months ahead.”

    Congress passed a temporary spending deal in September to delay a possible government shutdown through December 20. While this agreement included LIHEAP funding at the annualized rate of over $4 billion, none of that money has been dispersed for LIHEAP recipients to date.

    “As temperatures dip below freezing at night, our agency is inundated with calls from area residents in fuel emergencies. In Aroostook County alone, the number of households qualifying for the Federal Home Energy Assistance Program has increased by 60 percent in five years,”Jason Parent, executive director and CEO of the Aroostook County Action Program said.“At the same time the average household benefit has decreased by nearly $200.  This program is a critical lifeline for so many of our vulnerable seniors and families with children in Maine.”

    “Unfortunately, the demand for this program is more than we can fund. That means more people will have a benefit, but it is going to be a smaller benefit. With higher heating costs, higher grocery and gas costs, that means real people have less money to live,” Megan Hannan, executive director of the Maine Community Action Partnership said. “Our goal is to serve as many households as possible, and to make the benefits worth the work to receive it. We hope Congress understands that people are at risk without enough money to keep their homes warm.”

    Nationwide, an estimated 5 million households receive assistance with heating and cooling costs through LIHEAP, including over 45,000 Maine households. LIHEAP is administered by states and accessed through local Community Action Agencies. Eligibility for LIHEAP is based on income, family size, and the availability of resources. More information on the LIHEAP application process can be found here.   

    Golden has successfully led several efforts to increase Mainers’ access to LIHEAP, including last Congress when he and Senator Collins secured a total of $6.1 billion for the program in FY 2023. Last September, he and the rest of Maine’s Congressional Delegation secured an additional $38 million for Mainers in FY 2024, including $1.4 million for Maine’s tribes.

    Full text of Golden’s letter can be found here, and is included below in full:

     

    +++

     

    October 30, 2024

    The Honorable Xavier Becerra
    Secretary
    U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 
    330 C Street, SW
    Washington, D.C. 20416

    Dear Secretary Becerra:

    We write to urge the immediate release of the highest possible amount of Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) funding available under the September 2024 Continuing Resolution (PL 118-83).

    As you well know, LIHEAP helps households unable to afford to heat their homes in the winter and cool their homes in the summer, providing assistance to at-risk seniors and families. In Fiscal Year 2023 (FY23), more than five million households across the country relied on critical heating assistance from the LIHEAP program. For LIHEAP recipients, this funding is a lifeline, helping prevent them from having to make an impossible choice between staying warm and putting food on the table or affording their medications.

    With the winter months rapidly approaching, releasing the highest amount of funding from the recent government funding package is critically needed to address the growing number of households unable to pay their energy bills. Continued escalation in the Middle East and Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine have increased uncertainty in the energy market and raised concerns about potential spikes in energy prices. These shifts disproportionately harm those who already struggle to heat their homes and underscore the need for robust funding for LIHEAP. Historically, LIHEAP has been an underfunded and oversubscribed program. This remained true in FY23, with only around 15 percent of qualifying households nationwide receiving heating assistance through the program.

    To prevent a lapse in eligible families’ ability to afford their home energy bills this fall, we urge you to immediately release the highest possible amount of LIHEAP funding made available by the Continuing Resolution. It is vital to ensure our seniors and low-income families are provided sufficient resources as temperatures cool in the months ahead.

    Thank you for your attention to this matter, and we look forward to working with you further on this crucial program.

    Sincerely,

     

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    MIL OSI USA News