Category: Ukraine

  • MIL-OSI Video: UNRWA, Ukraine, Biodiversity & other topics – Daily Press Briefing (29 Oct 2024) | United Nations

    Source: United Nations (Video News)

    Noon Briefing by Stéphane Dujarric, Spokesperson for the Secretary-General.

    Highlights:
    -Briefings
    -Biodiversity
    -UNRWA
    -Occupied Palestinian territory
    -Security Council
    -Lebanon/Israel
    -Lebanon
    -Financial contribution
    -Ukraine
    -Democratic Republic of the Congo
    -Sudan
    -International Day of Care and Support

    BRIEFINGS
    Tomorrow, you will have a heavy day. We’ve asked Amy Pope, the head of the International Organization for Migration who is currently in Sudan to brief you. She will be here at 11 a.m. vie videoconference from Port Sudan to brief you on her ongoing trip. At noon you will have to deal with me. Then at 1 p.m., there will be a briefing here by the Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and Israel and that Commission includes Navid Pillay, Miloon Kothari and Chris Sidoti. Then at 2:00 p.m., Francesca Albanese, the UN Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Palestinian Territory occupied since 1967 will be here live in person in this very room.

    BIODIVERISTY
    This morning, the Secretary-General is in Cali, in Colombia, where he is attending the high-level segment of the 16th meeting of the Conference of Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (COP16). In his remarks, he highlighted that nature is life, and yet we are waging a war against it, a war where there can be no winner. He is in fact about to deliver those remarks and he is expected to warn that no country, rich or poor, is immune to the devastation inflicted by climate change, biodiversity loss, land degradation and pollution, adding that these environmental crises are intertwined, they know no borders.
    The Secretary-General noted that when the Framework was adopted two years ago in Montreal, the world made bold commitments to living in harmony with nature by mid-century. He said that we must now turn these promises into acts.
    This morning, he had a series of bilaterals. He met with Leslie Voltaire, the President of the Transitional Presidential Council of Haiti. They agreed on the need to expedite the political transition towards holding elections. In the meeting, the Secretary-General appealed to Haitian stakeholders to set aside their differences and work together for Haiti’s peace and security.
    This afternoon, the Secretary-General will engage in discussions with indigenous people and local communities, as well as representatives of civil society, including youth and women.
    And I think he just met with Gustavo Petro, the President of Colombia.  Tomorrow, on the sidelines he will speak at an event on plastic pollution organized by the UN Environment Programme. He will also speak to journalists at a press conference before heading out of Cali and coming back to New York.

    UNRWA
    You saw that last night we issued a statement in the Secretary-General’s name in which he expressed his deep concern at the adoption yesterday by the Israeli Knesset of two laws concerning the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East, better known to all of us as UNRWA, and the laws which, if implemented, would likely prevent UNRWA from continuing its essential work in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, as mandated by the General Assembly of these United Nations.
    The Secretary-General emphasized that UNRWA is the principal means by which essential assistance is supplied to Palestine refugees in the Occupied Palestinian Territory. There is no alternative to UNRWA.
    He calls on Israel to act consistently with its obligations under the Charter of the UN and its other obligations under international law, including international humanitarian law and those concerning the privileges and immunities of the United Nations. National legislation cannot alter those obligations. He is bringing this matter to the attention of the General Assembly and will keep the Assembly closely informed on the situation as it develops. 
    Philippe Lazzarini, the Commissioner General of UNRWA, added that these bills will only deepen the suffering of Palestinians, especially in Gaza, where people have been going through more than a year of sheer hell. He said that these bills increase the suffering of the Palestinians and are nothing less than collective punishment. Mr. Lazzarini also sent a letter to the President of the General Assembly to express those concerns in detail.

    Full Highlights: https://www.un.org/sg/en/content/noon-briefing-highlight?date%5Bvalue%5D%5Bdate%5D=29%20October%202024

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GvOsMwPEo38

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Reporters Without Borders The Ukrainian journalist who wants to track down and counter Russian disinformation

    Source: Reporters Without Borders (RSF) (Video Release)

    #UKRAINE: “We can counter Russian propaganda and make it less effective.”

    Ruslan Deynychenko, co-founder of StopFake, talks about his website (available in 14 languages) where journalists publish daily fact-checking investigations that disprove the false information targeting Ukraine and inform people about the dangers of this propaganda.

    Since 2014, the founders of the website, journalists trained at the Mohyla school of journalism in Kyiv, have been tracking down and identifying the Russian disinformation spread by Russian and pro-Russian propaganda media. The organization has become a benchmark in the country, racking up more than three million visits a year to its website.

    Discover his testimony on #RSFTALKS

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQD2y-vlL6U

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI USA: Remarks by President  Biden in Press Gaggle | Baltimore,  MD

    US Senate News:

    Source: The White House
    BMORE LICKSBaltimore, Maryland
    3:02 P.M. EDT
    Q    Mr. President, will you be watching the vice president’s speech tonight?
    THE PRESIDENT:  I will.
    Q    Why are you not attending?  It’s right there on the Ellipse?
    THE PRESIDENT:  Because it’s for her.  This is her night.
    Q    What do you expect to hear out of her tonight?  What’s the closing message from the vice president?
    THE PRESIDENT:  I’ll let you hear it first.
    Q    Mr. President, are you worried about the North Korean troops in Kursk, in Russia?
    THE PRESIDENT:  I am concerned about it, yes.
    Q    Should the Ukrainians strike — strike back?
    THE PRESIDENT:  If they cross into Ukraine, yes.
    3:03 P.M. EDT

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Readout of U.S.-Croatia Bilateral Defense Consultations

    Source: United States Department of Defense

    Department of Defense Spokesman Cmdr. Javan Rasnake provided the following readout:

    On October 29, 2024, Ms. Lisa Sawyer, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (DASD) for European and NATO Policy in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, co-chaired the U.S.-Croatia Bilateral Defense Consultations (BDC) with Ms. Nikolina Volf, Deputy Director of Policy, Croatian Ministry of Defense. The meeting took place in the Pentagon in Washington, DC, and included participation from the Ministry of Defense and General Staff of Croatia, the U.S. Joint Staff, U.S. European Command, the Minnesota National Guard, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, and the Department of State.

    Participants discussed global security, support to Ukraine, and bilateral security cooperation priorities, including exercises, training, military-to-military engagements, defense modernization initiatives, and Croatia’s longstanding State Partnership Program with the Minnesota National Guard.  Croatian defense officials provided their perspective on the security situation in the Western Balkans, their role within the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Alliance including the fielding of a Heavy Brigade to meet a NATO capability, infrastructure development at its training ranges and ports, logistics cooperation, and combating malign influence in the Western Balkans. The United States thanked Croatia for a productive BDC and reaffirmed the importance of the EU-facilitated Dialogue as the best way to achieve a stable and secure Western Balkans.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI China: Xi encourages more China-Finland cooperation in emerging industries

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    Chinese President Xi Jinping holds a welcoming ceremony for Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, in the Northern Hall of the Great Hall of the People prior to their talks in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb in Beijing on Tuesday. [Photo/Xinhua]

    BEIJING, Oct. 29 — China welcomes Finland to actively participate in the Chinese modernization process and expand cooperation in emerging industries, Chinese President Xi Jinping said on Tuesday.

    Xi made the remarks as he held talks with visiting Finnish President Alexander Stubb in Beijing.

    He called on both sides to expand cooperation in green transformation, information technology, digital economy, artificial intelligence and new energy, and build a new pattern of mutually beneficial cooperation in the new era.

    Xi noted that Finland was one of the first Western countries to establish diplomatic ties with the People’s Republic of China and the first Western country to sign an intergovernmental trade agreement with China.

    “As the world is undergoing accelerated changes unseen in a century and the risks and challenges facing humanity are increasing, the future-oriented new-type cooperative partnership between China and Finland holds exceptional value and should be cherished and advanced,” Xi said.

    China-Finland practical cooperation got off to an early start, has yielded fruitful results and demonstrated great potential, he said.

    China is willing to further expand people-to-people exchanges with Finland, and has decided to apply the unilateral visa-free policy to Finland, he added, noting that China welcomes more Finnish friends to visit for business, tourism and study.

    Xi said both China and Finland love peace and advocate multilateralism and free trade, adding that China is willing to strengthen communication and cooperation with Finland on climate change, biodiversity conservation, global sustainable development, artificial intelligence governance and other issues.

    Noting that next year marks the 50th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties between China and the European Union (EU), Xi called on Finland to continue to play an active role in promoting the sound and stable development of China-EU ties.

    Stubb said he is very pleased to visit China shortly after taking office and meet with Xi again after 14 years.

    He noted that the global landscape has changed profoundly since their last meeting and China has made remarkable accomplishments.

    Finland abides by the one-China policy and is willing to have a good celebration with China of their 75th anniversary of diplomatic relations next year, Stubb said.

    He added that Finland will work with China to deepen practical cooperation in areas like economy and trade, green energy, and sustainable development.

    Finland appreciates the major initiatives and concepts proposed by China to address global challenges, and will advance multilateral exchanges and coordination with China, Stubb said.

    The economies of the EU and China are closely interconnected, and “decoupling” or a “new Cold War” is not in the interest of any party, Stubb said, noting that Finland is willing to play an active role in promoting the sound development of EU-China relations.

    The two leaders had an in-depth exchange of views on the Ukraine crisis and the conflict between Palestine and Israel. Xi expressed China’s readiness to work with all concerned parties, including Finland, to continue playing a positive role in promoting a peaceful settlement of the crises.

    After the talks, the two heads of state witnessed the signing of multiple documents on bilateral cooperation in such areas as education, water resources, environmental protection, circular economy and agricultural and food products.

    The two sides issued the Joint Action Plan between China and Finland on Promoting the Future-oriented New-type Cooperative Partnership 2025-2029.

    Chinese President Xi Jinping holds a welcoming ceremony for Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, in the Northern Hall of the Great Hall of the People prior to their talks in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb in Beijing on Tuesday. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Chinese President Xi Jinping holds a welcoming ceremony for Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, in the Northern Hall of the Great Hall of the People prior to their talks in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb in Beijing on Tuesday. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Chinese President Xi Jinping holds a welcoming ceremony for Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, in the Northern Hall of the Great Hall of the People prior to their talks in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb in Beijing on Tuesday. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Chinese President Xi Jinping holds a welcoming ceremony for Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, in the Northern Hall of the Great Hall of the People prior to their talks in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb in Beijing on Tuesday. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Chinese President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan pose for a group photo with Finnish President Alexander Stubb and his wife Suzanne Innes-Stubb prior to the talks between Xi and Stubb at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, in Beijing on Tuesday. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Chinese President Xi Jinping shakes hands with Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. Xi held talks with Stubb in Beijing on Tuesday. After the talks, the two heads of state witnessed the signing of multiple documents on bilateral cooperation. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Chinese President Xi Jinping holds talks with Finnish President Alexander Stubb, who is on a state visit to China, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, capital of China, Oct. 29, 2024. [Photo/Xinhua]

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Strong Portfolio and Strategic Priorities Support Phillips 66 Third-Quarter Results

    Source: Phillips

    Reported third-quarter earnings of $346 million or $0.82 per share; adjusted earnings of $859 million or $2.04 per share
    Returned $1.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases
    Achieved business transformation $1.4 billion run-rate savings target, including $1 per barrel Refining cost reduction
    Progressed asset dispositions totaling $2.7 billion toward $3 billion target, including recently executed agreements

    HOUSTON–(BUSINESS WIRE)– Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX), a leading integrated downstream energy provider, announced third-quarter earnings.
    “Our employees continue to execute our strategic priorities, deliver strong operating performance and leverage the benefits of our differentiated downstream portfolio,” said Mark Lashier, chairman and CEO of Phillips 66.
    “We have achieved our cost reduction and Midstream synergy targets,” said Lashier. “In addition, we have significantly advanced our asset disposition program with recently announced transactions. Our commitment to operational excellence and disciplined capital allocation continues to create long-term shareholder value.” 
    Financial Results Summary ( in millions of dollars, except as indicated)

     

     

     

    3Q 2024

    2Q 2024

    Earnings

    $

    346

     

    1,015

     

    Adjusted Earnings 1

     

    859

     

    984

     

    Adjusted EBITDA 1

     

    1,998

     

    2,183

     

    Earnings Per Share

     

     

    Earnings Per Share – Diluted

     

    0.82

     

    2.38

     

    Adjusted Earnings Per Share – Diluted 1

     

    2.04

     

    2.31

     

    Cash Flow From Operations

     

    1,132

     

    2,097

     

    Cash Flow From Operations, Excluding Working Capital 1

     

    1,513

     

    1,181

     

    Capital Expenditures & Investments 2

     

    358

     

    367

     

    Return of Capital to Shareholders

     

    1,277

     

    1,325

     

    Share repurchases

     

    800

     

    840

     

    Dividends paid

     

    477

     

    485

     

    Cash

     

    1,637

     

    2,444

     

    Debt

     

    19,998

     

    19,960

     

    Debt-to-capital ratio

     

    40

    %

    40

    %

    Net debt-to-capital ratio 1

     

    38

    %

    36

    %

    1Represents a non-GAAP financial measure. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measure are included within this release.

    2Excludes acquisitions of $567 million in the third quarter of 2024, and purchases of government obligations of $1.1 billion in third-quarter of 2024.

    Segment Financial and Operating Highlights (in millions of dollars, except as indicated)

     

     

     

    3Q 2024

    2Q 2024

    Change

    Earnings 1

    $

    346

     

    1,015

     

    (669

    )

    Midstream

     

    644

     

    767

     

    (123

    )

    Chemicals

     

    342

     

    222

     

    120

     

    Refining

     

    (108

    )

    302

     

    (410

    )

    Marketing and Specialties

     

    (22

    )

    415

     

    (437

    )

    Renewable Fuels

     

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    (61

    )

    Corporate and Other

     

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    13

     

    Income tax expense

     

    (44

    )

    (291

    )

    247

     

    Noncontrolling interests

     

    (23

    )

    (5

    )

    (18

    )

     

     

     

     

    Adjusted Earnings 1,2

    $

    859

     

    984

     

    (125

    )

    Midstream

     

    672

     

    753

     

    (81

    )

    Chemicals

     

    342

     

    222

     

    120

     

    Refining

     

    (67

    )

    302

     

    (369

    )

    Marketing and Specialties

     

    583

     

    415

     

    168

     

    Renewable Fuels

     

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    (61

    )

    Corporate and Other

     

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    13

     

    Income tax expense

     

    (205

    )

    (278

    )

    73

     

    Noncontrolling interests

     

    (23

    )

    (35

    )

    12

     

     

     

     

     

    Adjusted EBITDA 2

    $

    1,998

     

    2,183

     

    (185

    )

    Midstream

     

    892

     

    971

     

    (79

    )

    Chemicals

     

    466

     

    348

     

    118

     

    Refining

     

    188

     

    531

     

    (343

    )

    Marketing and Specialties

     

    656

     

    484

     

    172

     

    Renewable Fuels

     

    (92

    )

    (43

    )

    (49

    )

    Corporate and Other

     

    (112

    )

    (108

    )

    (4

    )

     

     

     

     

    Operating Highlights

     

     

     

    Midstream NGL Fractionated Volumes (MBD)

     

    728

     

    744

     

    (16

    )

    Chemicals Global O&P Utilization

     

    98

    %

    98

    %

    %

    Refining

     

     

     

    Turnaround Expense ($)

     

    137

     

    100

     

    37

     

    Realized Margin ($/BBL) 2

     

    8.31

     

    10.01

     

    (1.70

    )

    Crude Capacity Utilization

     

    94

    %

    98

    %

    (4

    %)

    Clean Product Yield

     

    87

    %

    86

    %

    1

    %

    Renewable Fuels Produced (MBD)

     

    44

     

    31

     

    13

     

    1Segment reporting is pre-tax.

     

     

     

    2Represents a non-GAAP financial measure. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measure are included within this release.

    Third-Quarter 2024 Financial Results
    Reported earnings were $346 million for the third quarter of 2024 versus $1.0 billion in the second quarter. Third-quarter earnings included a legal accrual of $605 million in the Marketing and Specialties segment, costs related to the planned shutdown of the Los Angeles Refinery of $41 million in the Refining segment, and an impairment of $28 million in the Midstream segment. Second-quarter earnings included a gain on sale of investment of $238 million and an impairment of $224 million, both impacting the Midstream segment. Adjusted earnings for the third quarter were $859 million versus $984 million in the second quarter.
    Midstream third-quarter 2024 adjusted pre-tax income decreased compared with the second quarter mainly due to seasonal maintenance costs and lower equity earnings, partially offset by higher export margins.
    Chemicals reported pre-tax income increased mainly due to higher margins and lower costs.
    Refining adjusted pre-tax loss was a decrease compared to the second quarter, primarily due to a decline in realized margins largely driven by lower market crack spreads.
    Marketing and Specialties adjusted pre-tax income increased primarily due to higher margins.
    Renewable Fuels reported pre-tax loss increased primarily due to lower realized margins, partially offset by higher volumes.
    As of September 30, 2024, the company had $1.6 billion of cash and cash equivalents and $5.3 billion of committed capacity available under credit facilities.
    Business Highlights and Strategic Priorities Progress
    Distributed $12.5 billion through share repurchases and dividends since July 2022 and on pace to achieve the company’s $13 billion to $15 billion target by year-end.
    Achieved $1.4 billion in run-rate business transformation savings, delivering on the company’s target ahead of schedule.
    Expanded its Midstream NGL wellhead-to-market business with the acquisition of Pinnacle Midstream and approved a follow-on processing plant expansion in the Midland Basin expected to be completed in mid-year 2025.
    Achieved target of over $400 million of run-rate synergies from the successful integration of DCP Midstream.
    Received proceeds of $1.3 billion since 2022 toward the company’s $3 billion asset disposition target. In addition, the company recently agreed to sell its 49% interest in a Switzerland-based retail joint venture for $1.24 billion, and its interests in non-core Midstream assets in North Dakota.
    Investor Webcast
    Members of Phillips 66 executive management will host a webcast at noon ET to provide an update on the company’s strategic initiatives and discuss the company’s third-quarter performance. To access the webcast and view related presentation materials, go to phillips66.com/investors and click on “Events & Presentations.” For detailed supplemental information, go to phillips66.com/supplemental.
    About Phillips 66
    Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) is a leading integrated downstream energy provider that manufactures, transports and markets products that drive the global economy. The company’s portfolio includes Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties, and Renewable Fuels businesses. Headquartered in Houston, Phillips 66 has employees around the globe who are committed to safely and reliably providing energy and improving lives while pursuing a lower-carbon future. For more information, visit phillips66.com or follow @Phillips66Co on LinkedIn.Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information —This news release includes the terms “adjusted earnings,” “adjusted pre-tax income (loss),” “adjusted EBITDA,” “adjusted earnings per share,” “refining realized margin per barrel,” “cash from operations, excluding working capital,” and “net debt-to-capital ratio.” These are non-GAAP financial measures that are included to help facilitate comparisons of operating performance across periods and to help facilitate comparisons with other companies in our industry. Where applicable, these measures exclude items that do not reflect the core operating results of our businesses in the current period or other adjustments to reflect how management analyzes results. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measure are included within this release.
    References in the release to earnings refer to net income attributable to Phillips 66. References to run-rate business transformation savings include cost savings and other benefits that will be captured in the sales and other operating revenues impacting gross margin; purchased crude oil and products costs impacting gross margin; operating expenses; selling, general and administrative expenses; and equity in earnings of affiliates lines on our consolidated statement of income when realized. Run-rate savings include run-rate sustaining capital savings. Run-rate sustaining capital savings include savings that will be captured in the capital expenditures and investments on our consolidated statement of cash flows when realized.
    Basis of Presentation — Effective April 1, 2024, we changed the internal financial information reviewed by our chief executive officer to evaluate performance and allocate resources to our operating segments. This included changes in the composition of our operating segments, as well as measurement changes for certain activities between our operating segments. The primary effects of this realignment included establishment of a Renewable Fuels operating segment, which includes renewable fuels activities and assets historically reported in our Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Midstream segments; change in method of allocating results for certain Gulf Coast distillate export activities from our M&S segment to our Refining segment; reclassification of certain crude oil and international clean products trading activities between our M&S segment and our Refining segment; and change in reporting of our 16% investment in NOVONIX from our Midstream segment to Corporate and Other. Accordingly, prior period results have been recast for comparability.
    In the third quarter of 2024, we began presenting the line item “Capital expenditures and investments” on our consolidated statement of cash flows exclusive of acquisitions, net of cash acquired. Accordingly, prior period information has been reclassified for comparability.
    Cautionary Statement for the Purposes of the “Safe Harbor” Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 —This news release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws relating to Phillips 66’s operations, strategy and performance. Words such as “anticipated,” “estimated,” “expected,” “planned,” “scheduled,” “targeted,” “believe,” “continue,” “intend,” “will,” “would,” “objective,” “goal,” “project,” “efforts,” “strategies” and similar expressions that convey the prospective nature of events or outcomes generally indicate forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that a statement is not forward-looking. Forward-looking statements included in this news release are based on management’s expectations, estimates and projections as of the date they are made. These statements are not guarantees of future events or performance, and you should not unduly rely on them as they involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements include: changes in governmental policies or laws that relate to our operations, including regulations that seek to limit or restrict refining, marketing and midstream operations or regulate profits, pricing, or taxation of our products or feedstocks, or other regulations that restrict feedstock imports or product exports; our ability to timely obtain or maintain permits necessary for projects; fluctuations in NGL, crude oil, refined petroleum, renewable fuels and natural gas prices, and refining, marketing and petrochemical margins; the effects of any widespread public health crisis and its negative impact on commercial activity and demand for refined petroleum or renewable fuels products; changes to worldwide government policies relating to renewable fuels and greenhouse gas emissions that adversely affect programs including the renewable fuel standards program, low carbon fuel standards and tax credits for renewable fuels; potential liability from pending or future litigation; liability for remedial actions, including removal and reclamation obligations under existing or future environmental regulations; unexpected changes in costs for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities; our ability to successfully complete, or any material delay in the completion of, any asset disposition, acquisition, shutdown or conversion that we have announced or may pursue, including receipt of any necessary regulatory approvals or permits related thereto; unexpected difficulties in manufacturing, refining or transporting our products; the level and success of drilling and production volumes around our midstream assets; risks and uncertainties with respect to the actions of actual or potential competitive suppliers and transporters of refined petroleum products, renewable fuels or specialty products; lack of, or disruptions in, adequate and reliable transportation for our products; failure to complete construction of capital projects on time or within budget; our ability to comply with governmental regulations or make capital expenditures to maintain compliance with laws; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets, which may also impact our ability to repurchase shares and declare and pay dividends; potential disruption of our operations due to accidents, weather events, including as a result of climate change, acts of terrorism or cyberattacks; general domestic and international economic and political developments, including armed hostilities (such as the Russia-Ukraine war), expropriation of assets, and other diplomatic developments; international monetary conditions and exchange controls; changes in estimates or projections used to assess fair value of intangible assets, goodwill and property and equipment and/or strategic decisions with respect to our asset portfolio that cause impairment charges; investments required, or reduced demand for products, as a result of environmental rules and regulations; changes in tax, environmental and other laws and regulations (including alternative energy mandates); political and societal concerns about climate change that could result in changes to our business or increase expenditures, including litigation-related expenses; the operation, financing and distribution decisions of equity affiliates we do not control; and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting Phillips 66’s businesses generally as set forth in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Phillips 66 is under no obligation (and expressly disclaims any such obligation) to update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

     

     

     

     
     
     

    Earnings

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

     

    2024

     

     

    2023

     

    3Q  

     

    2Q  

     

    Sep YTD

     

    3Q  

     

    Sep YTD

    Midstream

    $

    644

     

    767

     

    1,965

     

     

    724

     

    2,060

     

    Chemicals

     

    342

     

    222

     

    769

     

     

    104

     

    494

     

    Refining

     

    (108

    )

    302

     

    410

     

     

    1,712

     

    4,481

     

    Marketing and Specialties

     

    (22

    )

    415

     

    759

     

     

    605

     

    1,501

     

    Renewable Fuels

     

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    (226

    )

     

    22

     

    164

     

    Corporate and Other

     

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    (989

    )

     

    (354

    )

    (992

    )

    Pre-Tax Income

     

    413

     

    1,311

     

    2,688

     

     

    2,813

     

    7,708

     

    Less: Income tax expense

     

    44

     

    291

     

    538

     

     

    670

     

    1,754

     

    Less: Noncontrolling interests

     

    23

     

    5

     

    41

     

     

    46

     

    199

     

    Phillips 66

    $

    346

     

    1,015

     

    2,109

     

     

    2,097

     

    5,755

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Adjusted Earnings

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

    2024

     

     

    2023

     

    3Q

     

    2Q

     

    Sep YTD

     

    3Q

     

    Sep YTD

    Midstream

    $

    672

     

    753

     

    2,038

     

     

    581

     

    1,915

     

    Chemicals

     

    342

     

    222

     

    769

     

     

    104

     

    494

     

    Refining

     

    (67

    )

    302

     

    548

     

     

    1,742

     

    4,525

     

    Marketing and Specialties

     

    583

     

    415

     

    1,305

     

     

    605

     

    1,501

     

    Renewable Fuels

     

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    (226

    )

     

    22

     

    164

     

    Corporate and Other

     

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    (989

    )

     

    (303

    )

    (812

    )

    Pre-Tax Income

     

    1,087

     

    1,297

     

    3,445

     

     

    2,751

     

    7,787

     

    Less: Income tax expense

     

    205

     

    278

     

    709

     

     

    660

     

    1,768

     

    Less: Noncontrolling interests

     

    23

     

    35

     

    71

     

     

    21

     

    218

     

    Phillips 66

    $

    859

     

    984

     

    2,665

     

     

    2,070

     

    5,801

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

    Except as Indicated

     

    2024

     

     

    2023

     

    3Q

     

    2Q

     

    Sep YTD

     

    3Q

     

    Sep YTD

    Reconciliation of Consolidated Earnings to Adjusted Earnings

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Consolidated Earnings

    $

    346

     

    1,015

     

    2,109

     

     

    2,097

     

    5,755

     

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Impairments 1

     

    28

     

    224

     

    415

     

     

     

     

    Net gain on asset dispositions

     

     

    (238

    )

    (238

    )

     

    (101

    )

    (123

    )

    Change in inventory method for acquired business

     

     

     

     

     

    (46

    )

    (46

    )

    Los Angeles Refinery shutdown-related costs 2

     

    41

     

     

    41

     

     

     

     

    Legal accrual 3

     

    605

     

     

    605

     

     

    30

     

    30

     

    Legal settlement

     

     

     

    (66

    )

     

     

     

    Business transformation restructuring costs

     

     

     

     

     

    51

     

    127

     

    Loss on early redemption of DCP debt

     

     

     

     

     

     

    53

     

    DCP integration restructuring costs

     

     

     

     

     

    4

     

    38

     

    Tax impact of adjustments 4

     

    (161

    )

    13

     

    (171

    )

     

    10

     

    (14

    )

    Noncontrolling interests

     

     

    (30

    )

    (30

    )

     

    25

     

    (19

    )

    Adjusted earnings

    $

    859

     

    984

     

    2,665

     

     

    2,070

     

    5,801

     

    Earnings per share of common stock ( dollars )

    $

    0.82

     

    2.38

     

    4.94

     

     

    4.69

     

    12.61

     

    Adjusted earnings per share of common stock ( dollars ) 5

    $

    2.04

     

    2.31

     

    6.25

     

     

    4.63

     

    12.71

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Reconciliation of Segment Pre-Tax Income (Loss) to Adjusted Pre-Tax Income (Loss)

    Midstream Pre-Tax Income

    $

    644

     

    767

     

    1,965

     

     

    724

     

    2,060

     

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Impairments 1

     

    28

     

    224

     

    311

     

     

     

     

    Net gain on asset disposition

     

     

    (238

    )

    (238

    )

     

    (101

    )

    (137

    )

    Change in inventory method for acquired business

     

     

     

     

     

    (46

    )

    (46

    )

    DCP integration restructuring costs

     

     

     

     

     

    4

     

    38

     

    Adjusted pre-tax income

    $

    672

     

    753

     

    2,038

     

     

    581

     

    1,915

     

    Chemicals Pre-Tax Income

    $

    342

     

    222

     

    769

     

     

    104

     

    494

     

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Adjusted pre-tax income

    $

    342

     

    222

     

    769

     

     

    104

     

    494

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Refining Pre-Tax Income (Loss)

    $

    (108

    )

    302

     

    410

     

     

    1,712

     

    4,481

     

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Impairments 1

     

     

     

    104

     

     

     

     

    Los Angeles Refinery shutdown-related costs 2

     

    41

     

     

    41

     

     

     

     

    Net loss on asset disposition

     

     

     

     

     

     

    14

     

    Legal accrual 3

     

     

     

     

     

    30

     

    30

     

    Legal settlement

     

     

     

    (7

    )

     

     

     

    Adjusted pre-tax income (loss)

    $

    (67

    )

    302

     

    548

     

     

    1,742

     

    4,525

     

    Marketing and Specialties Pre-Tax Income (Loss)

    $

    (22

    )

    415

     

    759

     

     

    605

     

    1,501

     

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Legal accrual 3

     

    605

     

     

    605

     

     

     

     

    Legal settlement

     

     

     

    (59

    )

     

     

     

    Adjusted pre-tax income

    $

    583

     

    415

     

    1,305

     

     

    605

     

    1,501

     

    Renewable Fuels Pre-Tax Income (Loss)

    $

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    (226

    )

     

    22

     

    164

     

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Adjusted pre-tax income (loss)

    $

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    (226

    )

     

    22

     

    164

     

    Corporate and Other Pre-Tax Loss

    $

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    (989

    )

     

    (354

    )

    (992

    )

    Pre-tax adjustments:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Business transformation restructuring costs

     

     

     

     

     

    51

     

    127

     

    Loss on early redemption of DCP debt

     

     

     

     

     

     

    53

     

    Adjusted pre-tax loss

    $

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    (989

    )

     

    (303

    )

    (812

    )

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    1Impairments primarily related to certain gathering and processing assets in the Midstream segment, as well as certain crude oil processing and logistics assets in California, reported in the Refining segment.

    2Shutdown-related costs recorded in the Refining segment include pre-tax charges for severance costs.

    3Legal accrual primarily related to ongoing litigation.

    4We generally tax effect taxable U.S.-based special items using a combined federal and state statutory income tax rate of approximately 24%. Taxable special items attributable to foreign locations likewise use a local statutory income tax rate. Nontaxable events reflect zero income tax. These events include, but are not limited to, most goodwill impairments, transactions legislatively exempt from income tax, transactions related to entities for which we have made an assertion that the undistributed earnings are permanently reinvested, or transactions occurring in jurisdictions with a valuation allowance.

    5YTD 2024, Q3 2024, Q3 2023 are based on adjusted weighted-average diluted shares of 426,301 thousand, 419,827 thousand, and 447,255 thousand, respectively. Other periods are based on the same weighted-average diluted shares outstanding as that used in the GAAP diluted earnings per share calculation. Income allocated to participating securities, if applicable, in the adjusted earnings per share calculation is the same as that used in the GAAP diluted earnings per share calculation.

     
     
     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

    Except as Indicated

     

    2024

     

    3Q

     

    2Q

     

    Reconciliation of Consolidated Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA

     

     

     

     

    Net Income

    $

    369

     

    1,020

     

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Income tax expense

     

    44

     

    291

     

    Net interest expense

     

    191

     

    200

     

    Depreciation and amortization

     

    543

     

    497

     

    Phillips 66 EBITDA

    $

    1,147

     

    2,008

     

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Impairments

     

    28

     

    224

     

    Net gain on asset disposition

     

     

    (238

    )

    Los Angeles Refinery shutdown-related costs

     

    41

     

     

    Legal accrual

     

    605

     

     

    Legal settlement

     

     

     

    Total Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax)

     

    674

     

    (14

    )

    Change in Fair Value of NOVONIX Investment

     

     

    7

     

    Phillips 66 EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items and Change in Fair Value of NOVONIX Investment

    $

    1,821

     

    2,001

     

    Other Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates income taxes

     

    24

     

    26

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates net interest

     

    12

     

    19

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates depreciation and amortization

     

    188

     

    195

     

    Adjusted EBITDA attributable to noncontrolling interests

     

    (47

    )

    (58

    )

    Phillips 66 Adjusted EBITDA

    $

    1,998

     

    2,183

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Reconciliation of Segment Income before Income Taxes to Adjusted EBITDA

     

     

     

     

    Midstream Income before income taxes

    $

    644

     

    767

     

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Depreciation and amortization

     

    233

     

    224

     

    Midstream EBITDA

    $

    877

     

    991

     

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Net gain on asset disposition

     

     

    (238

    )

    Impairments

     

    28

     

    224

     

    Midstream EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items

    $

    905

     

    977

     

    Other Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates income taxes

     

    5

     

    5

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates net interest

     

    3

     

    10

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates depreciation and amortization

     

    26

     

    37

     

    Adjusted EBITDA attributable to noncontrolling interests

     

    (47

    )

    (58

    )

    Midstream Adjusted EBITDA

    $

    892

     

    971

     

    Chemicals Income before income taxes

    $

    342

     

    222

     

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

    Chemicals EBITDA

    $

    342

     

    222

     

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

    Chemicals EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items

    $

    342

     

    222

     

    Other Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates income taxes

     

    13

     

    15

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates net interest

     

    (2

    )

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates depreciation and amortization

     

    113

     

    111

     

    Chemicals Adjusted EBITDA

    $

    466

     

    348

     

    Refining Income (loss) before income taxes

    $

    (108

    )

    302

     

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Depreciation and amortization

     

    230

     

    204

     

    Refining EBITDA

    $

    122

     

    506

     

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Los Angeles Refinery shutdown-related costs

     

    41

     

     

    Refining EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items

    $

    163

     

    506

     

    Other Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates income taxes

     

    (1

    )

    1

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates net interest

     

    (1

    )

    (2

    )

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates depreciation and amortization

     

    27

     

    26

     

    Refining Adjusted EBITDA

    $

    188

     

    531

     

    Marketing and Specialties Income (loss) before income taxes

    $

    (22

    )

    415

     

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Depreciation and amortization

     

    32

     

    32

     

    Marketing and Specialties EBITDA

    $

    10

     

    447

     

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Legal accrual

     

    605

     

     

    Marketing and Specialties EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items

    $

    615

     

    447

     

    Other Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates income taxes

     

    7

     

    5

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates net interest

     

    12

     

    11

     

    Proportional share of selected equity affiliates depreciation and amortization

     

    22

     

    21

     

    Marketing and Specialties Adjusted EBITDA

    $

    656

     

    484

     

    Renewable Fuels Loss before income taxes

    $

    (116

    )

    (55

    )

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Depreciation and amortization

     

    24

     

    12

     

    Renewable Fuels EBITDA

    $

    (92

    )

    (43

    )

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

    Renewable Fuels EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items

    $

    (92

    )

    (43

    )

    Corporate and Other Loss before income taxes

    $

    (327

    )

    (340

    )

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Net interest expense

     

    191

     

    200

     

    Depreciation and amortization

     

    24

     

    25

     

    Corporate and Other EBITDA

    $

    (112

    )

    (115

    )

    Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax):

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

    Total Special Item Adjustments (pre-tax)

     

     

     

    Change in Fair Value of NOVONIX Investment

     

     

    7

     

    Corporate EBITDA, Adjusted for Special Items and Change in Fair Value of NOVONIX Investment

    $

    (112

    )

    (108

    )

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

    Except as Indicated

     

    September 30, 2024

    Debt-to-Capital Ratio

     

    Total Debt

    $

    19,998

     

    Total Equity

     

    29,784

     

    Debt-to-Capital Ratio

     

    40

    %

    Total Cash

     

    1,637

     

    Net Debt-to-Capital Ratio

     

    38

    %

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

    September 30, 2024

    Reconciliation of Net Cash Used in Operating Activities to Operating Cash Flow, Excluding Working Capital

     

    Net Cash Used in Operating Activities

    $

    1,132

     

    Less: Net Working Capital Changes

     

    (381

    )

    Operating Cash Flow, Excluding Working Capital

    $

    1,513

     

     

     

     

    Millions of Dollars

     

    Except as Indicated

     

    2024

     

    3Q

     

    2Q

     

    Reconciliation of Refining Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes to Realized Refining Margins

     

     

     

     

    Income (loss) before income taxes

    $

    (108

    )

    302

     

    Plus:

     

     

     

     

    Taxes other than income taxes

     

    100

     

    74

     

    Depreciation, amortization and impairments

     

    230

     

    203

     

    Selling, general and administrative expenses

     

    60

     

    51

     

    Operating expenses

     

    922

     

    884

     

    Equity in earnings of affiliates

     

    12

     

    (33

    )

    Other segment expense, net

     

    (4

    )

    (1

    )

    Proportional share of refining gross margins contributed by equity affiliates

     

    193

     

    260

     

    Special items:

     

     

     

     

    None

     

     

     

    Realized refining margins

    $

    1,405

     

    1,740

     

    Total processed inputs ( thousands of barrels )

     

    145,440

     

    151,296

     

    Adjusted total processed inputs ( thousands of barrels )*

     

    168,951

     

    174,107

     

    Income (loss) before income taxes ( dollars per barrel )**

    $

    (0.74

    )

    2.00

     

    Realized refining margins ( dollars per barrel )***

    $

    8.31

     

    10.01

     

    *Adjusted total processed inputs include our proportional share of processed inputs of an equity affiliate.

     
     

    **Income before income taxes divided by total processed inputs.

    ***Realized refining margins per barrel, as presented, are calculated using the underlying realized refining margin amounts, in dollars, divided by adjusted total processed inputs, in barrels. As such, recalculated per barrel amounts using the rounded margins and barrels presented may differ from the presented per barrel amounts.

    Source: Phillips 66

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI: DT Midstream Reports Strong Third Quarter 2024 Results; Raises Adjusted EBITDA Guidance

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    DETROIT, Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — DT Midstream, Inc. (NYSE: DTM) today announced third quarter 2024 reported net income of $88 million, or $0.90 per diluted share. For the third quarter of 2024, Operating Earnings were also $88 million, or $0.90 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $241 million.

    Reconciliations of Operating Earnings and Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP measures) to reported net income are included at the end of this news release.

    The company also announced that the DT Midstream Board of Directors declared a $0.735 per share dividend on its common stock payable January 15, 2025 to stockholders of record at the close of business December 16, 2024.

    “We continue our strong performance in 2024,” said David Slater, President and CEO. “And we have made great progress advancing new opportunities which will support our future growth.”

    Slater noted the following significant business updates:

    • Reached final investment decision on the Phase 4 expansion of the LEAP system, which will expand the system to 2.1 Bcf/d by the first half of 2026
    • Upsized the future interconnect between our Stonewall System and Mountain Valley Pipeline
    • Upgraded to investment-grade by Fitch Ratings

    “Our year-to-date results are ahead of plan,” said Jeff Jewell, Executive Vice President and CFO. “Our strong performance is leading us to increase our Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2024 to $950 – $980 million.”

    The company has scheduled a conference call to discuss results for 9:00 a.m. ET (8:00 a.m. CT) today. Investors, the news media and the public may listen to a live internet broadcast of the call at this link. The participant toll-free telephone dial-in number in the U.S. and Canada is 888.596.4144, and the toll number is 646.968.2525; the passcode is 4749988. International access numbers are available here. The webcast will be archived on the DT Midstream website at investor.dtmidstream.com.

    About DT Midstream

    DT Midstream (NYSE: DTM) is an owner, operator and developer of natural gas interstate and intrastate pipelines, storage and gathering systems, compression, treatment and surface facilities. The company transports clean natural gas for utilities, power plants, marketers, large industrial customers and energy producers across the Southern, Northeastern and Midwestern United States and Canada. The Detroit-based company offers a comprehensive, wellhead-to-market array of services, including natural gas transportation, storage and gathering. DT Midstream is transitioning towards net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, including a goal of achieving 30% of its carbon emissions reduction by 2030. For more information, please visit the DT Midstream website at www.dtmidstream.com.

    Why DT Midstream Uses Operating Earnings, Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow

    Use of Operating Earnings Information – Operating Earnings exclude non-recurring items, certain mark-to-market adjustments and discontinued operations. DT Midstream management believes that Operating Earnings provide a more meaningful representation of the company’s earnings from ongoing operations and uses Operating Earnings as the primary performance measurement for external communications with analysts and investors. Internally, DT Midstream uses Operating Earnings to measure performance against budget and to report to the Board of Directors.

    Adjusted EBITDA is defined as GAAP net income attributable to DT Midstream before expenses for interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, and loss from financing activities, further adjusted to include the proportional share of net income from equity method investees (excluding interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization), and to exclude certain items the company considers non-routine. DT Midstream believes Adjusted EBITDA is useful to the company and external users of DT Midstream’s financial statements in understanding operating results and the ongoing performance of the underlying business because it allows management and investors to have a better understanding of actual operating performance unaffected by the impact of interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and non-routine charges noted in the table below. We believe the presentation of Adjusted EBITDA is meaningful to investors because it is frequently used by analysts, investors and other interested parties in the midstream industry to evaluate a company’s operating performance without regard to items excluded from the calculation of such measure, which can vary substantially from company to company depending on accounting methods, book value of assets, capital structure and the method by which assets were acquired, among other factors. DT Midstream uses Adjusted EBITDA to assess the company’s performance by reportable segment and as a basis for strategic planning and forecasting.

    Distributable Cash Flow (DCF) is calculated by deducting earnings from equity method investees, depreciation and amortization attributable to noncontrolling interests, cash interest expense, maintenance capital investment (as defined below), and cash taxes from, and adding interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, certain items we consider non-routine and dividends and distributions from equity method investees to, Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream. Maintenance capital investment is defined as the total capital expenditures used to maintain or preserve assets or fulfill contractual obligations that do not generate incremental earnings. We believe DCF is a meaningful performance measurement because it is useful to us and external users of our financial statements in estimating the ability of our assets to generate cash earnings after servicing our debt, paying cash taxes and making maintenance capital investments, which could be used for discretionary purposes such as common stock dividends, retirement of debt or expansion capital expenditures.

    DT Midstream does not forecast net income as it cannot, without unreasonable efforts, estimate or predict with certainty the components of net income. These components, net of tax, may include, but are not limited to, impairments of assets and other charges, divestiture costs, acquisition costs, or changes in accounting principles. All of these components could significantly impact such financial measures. At this time, DT Midstream is not able to estimate the aggregate impact, if any, of these items on future period reported earnings. Accordingly, DT Midstream is not able to provide a corresponding GAAP equivalent for Adjusted EBITDA.

    Forward-looking Statements

    This release contains statements which, to the extent they are not statements of historical or present fact, constitute “forward-looking statements” under the securities laws. These forward-looking statements are intended to provide management’s current expectations or plans for our future operating and financial performance, business prospects, outcomes of regulatory proceedings, market conditions, and other matters, based on what we believe to be reasonable assumptions and on information currently available to us.

    Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “believe,” “expect,” “expectations,” “plans,” “strategy,” “prospects,” “estimate,” “project,” “target,” “anticipate,” “will,” “should,” “see,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “confident” and other words of similar meaning. The absence of such words, expressions or statements, however, does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. In particular, express or implied statements relating to future earnings, cash flow, results of operations, uses of cash, tax rates and other measures of financial performance, future actions, conditions or events, potential future plans, strategies or transactions of DT Midstream, and other statements that are not historical facts, are forward-looking statements.

    Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results and conditions, but rather are subject to numerous assumptions, risks, and uncertainties that may cause actual future results to be materially different from those contemplated, projected, estimated, or budgeted. Many factors may impact forward-looking statements of DT Midstream including, but not limited to, the following: changes in general economic conditions, including increases in interest rates and associated Federal Reserve policies, a potential economic recession, and the impact of inflation on our business; industry changes, including the impact of consolidations, alternative energy sources, technological advances, infrastructure constraints and changes in competition; global supply chain disruptions; actions taken by third-party operators, processors, transporters and gatherers; changes in expected production from Expand Energy and other third parties in our areas of operation; demand for natural gas gathering, transmission, storage, transportation and water services; the availability and price of natural gas to the consumer compared to the price of alternative and competing fuels; our ability to successfully and timely implement our business plan; our ability to complete organic growth projects on time and on budget; our ability to finance, complete, or successfully integrate acquisitions; the price and availability of debt and equity financing; restrictions in our existing and any future credit facilities and indentures; the effectiveness of our information technology and operational technology systems and practices to detect and defend against evolving cyber attacks on United States critical infrastructure; changing laws regarding cybersecurity and data privacy, and any cybersecurity threat or event; operating hazards, environmental risks, and other risks incidental to gathering, storing and transporting natural gas; geologic and reservoir risks and considerations; natural disasters, adverse weather conditions, casualty losses and other matters beyond our control; the impact of outbreaks of illnesses, epidemics and pandemics, and any related economic effects; the impacts of geopolitical events, including the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East; labor relations and markets, including the ability to attract, hire and retain key employee and contract personnel; large customer defaults; changes in tax status, as well as changes in tax rates and regulations; the effects and associated cost of compliance with existing and future laws and governmental regulations, such as the Inflation Reduction Act; changes in environmental laws, regulations or enforcement policies, including laws and regulations relating to climate change and greenhouse gas emissions; ability to develop low carbon business opportunities and deploy greenhouse gas reducing technologies; changes in insurance markets impacting costs and the level and types of coverage available; the timing and extent of changes in commodity prices; the success of our risk management strategies; the suspension, reduction or termination of our customers’ obligations under our commercial agreements; disruptions due to equipment interruption or failure at our facilities, or third-party facilities on which our business is dependent; the effects of future litigation; and the risks described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023 and our reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the SEC.

    The above list of factors is not exhaustive. New factors emerge from time to time. We cannot predict what factors may arise or how such factors may cause actual results to vary materially from those stated in forward-looking statements, see the discussion under the section entitled “Risk Factors” in our Annual Report for the year ended December 31, 2023, filed with the SEC on Form 10-K and any other reports filed with the SEC. Given the uncertainties and risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, you should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.

    Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made. We are under no obligation to, and expressly disclaim any obligation to, update or alter our forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, subsequent events or otherwise.

                                         
    DT Midstream, Inc.
    Reconciliation of Reported to Operating Earnings (non-GAAP, unaudited)
              Three Months Ended
              September 30,   June 30,
              2024   2024
              Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings   Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings
              (millions)
      Adjustments
        $   $           $   $    
      Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream
    $ 88   $   $   $ 88   $ 96   $   $   $ 96
                                           
              Nine Months Ended
              September 30,   September 30,
               2024    2023
              Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings   Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings
              (millions)
      Adjustments
        $   $           $   $    
      Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream
    $ 281   $   $   $ 281   $ 263   $   $   $ 263
                                           
      (1) Excluding tax related adjustments, the amount of income taxes was calculated based on a combined federal and state income tax rate, considering the applicable jurisdictions of the respective segments and deductibility of specific operating adjustments
                                           
                                                           
    DT Midstream, Inc.
    Reconciliation of Reported to Operating Earnings per diluted share(2) (non-GAAP, unaudited)
                                         
            Three Months Ended
            September 30,   June 30,
            2024   2024
            Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings   Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings
            (per share)
      Adjustments
        $   $           $   $    
      Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream
    $ 0.90   $   $   $ 0.90   $ 0.98   $   $   $ 0.98
                                         
            Nine Months Ended
            September 30,   September 30,
            2024   2023
            Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings   Reported Earnings   Pre-tax Adjustments   Income Taxes(1)   Operating Earnings
            (per share)
      Adjustments
        $   $           $   $    
      Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream
    $ 2.87   $   $   $ 2.87   $ 2.70   $   $   $ 2.70
                                         
      (1) Excluding tax related adjustments, the amount of income taxes was calculated based on a combined federal and state income tax rate, considering the applicable jurisdictions of the respective segments and deductibility of specific operating adjustments  
      (2) Per share amounts are divided by Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding — Diluted, as noted on the Consolidated Statements of Operations  
                                         
     
    DT Midstream, Inc.
    Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream to Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP, unaudited)
                     
        Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
        September 30,   June 30,   September 30,   September 30,
          2024       2024       2024       2023  
    Consolidated (millions)
    Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream $ 88     $ 96     $ 281     $ 263  
    Plus: Interest expense   38       39       117       111  
    Plus: Income tax expense   30       33       94       102  
    Plus: Depreciation and amortization   53       53       156       133  
    Plus: Loss from financing activities   4             4        
    Plus: EBITDA from equity method investees(1)   70       67       212       212  
    Less: Interest income   (1 )           (2 )     (1 )
    Less: Earnings from equity method investees   (40 )     (39 )     (125 )     (132 )
    Less: Depreciation and amortization attributable to noncontrolling interests   (1 )     (1 )     (3 )     (3 )
    Adjusted EBITDA $ 241     $ 248     $ 734     $ 685  
                     
    (1) Includes share of our equity method investees’ earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, which we refer to as “EBITDA.” A reconciliation of earnings from equity method investees to EBITDA from equity method investees follows:  
        
        Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
        September 30,   June 30,   September 30,   September 30,
          2024       2024       2024       2023  
        (millions)
      Earnings from equity methods investees $ 40     $ 39     $ 125     $ 132  
      Plus: Depreciation and amortization attributable to equity method investees   20       21       61       61  
      Plus: Interest expense attributable to equity method investees   10       7       26       19  
      EBITDA from equity method investees $ 70     $ 67     $ 212     $ 212  
                     
                     
     
    DT Midstream, Inc.
    Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream to Adjusted EBITDA
    Pipeline Segment (non-GAAP, unaudited)
                     
        Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
        September 30,   June 30,   September 30,   September 30,
          2024       2024       2024       2023  
    Pipeline (millions)
    Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream $ 71     $ 71     $ 216     $ 185  
    Plus: Interest expense   12       12       37       42  
    Plus: Income tax expense   24       24       72       72  
    Plus: Depreciation and amortization   18       19       55       50  
    Plus: Loss from financing activities   2             2        
    Plus: EBITDA from equity method investees(1)   70       67       212       212  
    Less: Interest income               (1 )     (1 )
    Less: Earnings from equity method investees   (40 )     (39 )     (125 )     (132 )
    Less: Depreciation and amortization attributable to noncontrolling interests   (1 )     (1 )     (3 )     (3 )
    Adjusted EBITDA $ 156     $ 153     $ 465     $ 425  
                     
    (1) Includes share of our equity method investees’ earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, which we refer to as “EBITDA.” A reconciliation of earnings from equity method investees to EBITDA from equity method investees follows:  
             
        Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
        September 30,   June 30,   September 30,   September 30,
          2024       2024       2024       2023  
        (millions)
      Earnings from equity methods investees $ 40     $ 39     $ 125     $ 132  
      Plus: Depreciation and amortization attributable to equity method investees   20       21       61       61  
      Plus: Interest expense attributable to equity method investees   10     $ 7       26       19  
      EBITDA from equity method investees $ 70     $ 67     $ 212     $ 212  
                     
     
    DT Midstream, Inc.
    Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream to Adjusted EBITDA
    Gathering Segment (non-GAAP, unaudited)
                     
        Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
        September 30,   June 30,   September 30,   September 30,
          2024       2024     2024       2023
      Gathering (millions)
      Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream $ 17     $ 25   $ 65     $ 78
      Plus: Interest expense   26       27     80       69
      Plus: Income tax expense   6       9     22       30
      Plus: Depreciation and amortization   35       34     101       83
      Plus: Loss from financing activities   2           2      
      Less: Interest income   (1 )         (1 )    
      Adjusted EBITDA $ 85     $ 95   $ 269     $ 260
                     
     
    DT Midstream, Inc.
    Reconciliation of Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream to Distributable Cash Flow (non-GAAP, unaudited)
                         
            Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
            September 30,   June 30,   September 30,   September 30,
              2024       2024       2024       2023  
       Consolidated
    (millions)
       Net Income Attributable to DT Midstream $ 88     $ 96     $ 281     $ 263  
       Plus: Interest expense   38       39       117       111  
       Plus: Income tax expense   30       33       94       102  
       Plus: Depreciation and amortization   53       53       156       133  
       Plus: Loss from financing activities   4             4        
       Plus: Adjustments for non-routine items(1)   (416 )           (416 )     (371 )
       Less: Earnings from equity method investees   (40 )     (39 )     (125 )     (132 )
       Less: Depreciation and amortization attributable to noncontrolling interests   (1 )     (1 )     (3 )     (3 )
       Plus: Dividends and distributions from equity method investees   465       50       590       557  
       Less: Cash interest expense   (6 )     (64 )     (80 )     (76 )
       Less: Cash taxes   (4 )     (1 )     (7 )     (21 )
       Less: Maintenance capital investment(2)   (4 )     (6 )     (17 )     (22 )
       Distributable Cash Flow $ 207     $ 160     $ 594     $ 541  
                         
      (1) Distributable Cash Flow calculation excludes certain items we consider non-routine. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024, adjustments for non-routine items included the $416 million Millennium financing distribution. For the nine months ended September 30, 2023, adjustments for non-routine items included the $371 million NEXUS financing distribution.
      (2) Maintenance capital investment is defined as the total capital expenditures used to maintain or preserve assets or fulfill contractual obligations that do not generate incremental earnings.
                         

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Banking: Elizabeth McCaul: Fading crises, shifting priorities – a supervisory perspective on the regulatory cycle

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Thank you very much for inviting me to today’s conference.

    I regret that I am not able to join you in person but I am sure that you are having very productive and insightful discussions.

    The title of the conference, “EU banking regulation at a turning point”, indicates that the regulatory environment seems to be undergoing a fundamental shift. While the years following the global financial crisis have been devoted to reinforcing the regulatory framework to prevent a recurrence of similar failures, the public debate seems to have shifted away from focusing on safety and stability towards placing greater emphasis on competitiveness.

    Shifts in public opinion on regulation are nothing new. There is a natural ebb and flow of regulatory intensity driven by crises, economic conditions and political priorities. After a crisis, there is often strong public support for stricter regulation, which tends to weaken over time as the crisis recedes.

    In today’s remarks, I want to give you a supervisory perspective on the regulatory cycle and its shifting priorities.

    I would like to make three main points.

    First, it is a fundamental misconception to frame safety and competitiveness as opposing forces. A stable and secure financial system forms the bedrock of long-term competitiveness.

    Second, the post-crisis reform agenda in Europe is not yet complete. Notably, the banking union is still unfinished and the capital markets union requires more ambition. For me, there is a clear link here between these important policy objectives and buttressing the competitiveness of the sector.

    Third, we need to tackle emerging risks, such as the growth of the non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI) sector, and the rising geopolitical risk, which manifests itself in a number of ways, including in concerns about cyberattacks. Tackling these risks will contribute towards ensuring the continued resilience of the financial system.

    Heeding the lessons from the past

    As the great financial crisis fades into the rearview mirror, it seems that competitiveness considerations have taken the wheel. However, just as guardrails on a motorway do not impede drivers but ensure they stay on the road, a robust regulatory framework sets safe boundaries for banks, enabling them to fulfil their role of lending to the real economy.

    Let me take this traffic metaphor even further. There are countless studies showing that speed limits not only reduce danger but also minimise congestion, thereby reducing the overall travel time. It’s a fallacy to think that higher speed limits mean faster travel, just as laxer regulation does not lead to more sustainable growth. Similarly, regulatory competition between jurisdictions is more likely to lead to a race to the bottom than to a robust regulatory framework.

    Research consistently shows that well-capitalised banks are better positioned to support the real economy thanks to their enhanced capacity to absorb losses and maintain stability, even under financial stress. Specifically, impact assessments for the Basel reforms have demonstrated that while there may be short-term economic costs, these are far outweighed by the long-term benefits, most notably increased economic resilience.

    As for concerns over competitive advantages or disadvantages, I am not convinced that EU banks are at a disadvantage. In fact, the notion that regulatory requirements are more stringent in the EU than in the United States does not hold up to scrutiny. Evidence shows that global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) in the United States face slightly higher capital requirements than their EU counterparts.

    Furthermore, when we account for differences in how banks calculate risk-weighted assets, it becomes clear that average capital requirements for significant institutions in the banking union would be somewhat higher under US rules. This directly challenges some of the industry reports that suggest otherwise.1

    Completing the banking union and the capital markets union

    Let me now move to my second point: the need to complete the banking union and the capital markets union.

    In recent years, Europe’s banking sector has demonstrated resilience amid unforeseen challenges, including the coronavirus pandemic, the energy supply shock following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and high inflation.

    This resilience is reflected in the numbers: in 2015 the average ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) for significant banks in the banking union was 7.5%, at a time when some banking systems had ratios close to 50%. At the end of the second quarter of this year, this ratio had decreased to 2.3%, driven mainly by the reduction of NPLs in high-NPL banks.

    Similarly, the Common Equity Tier 1 ratio for significant banks has risen from 12.7% in 2015 to 15.8% today. Bank profitability has increased considerably in recent quarters, benefiting from higher interest rates, and return on equity now stands at 10.1%.

    This resilience is also a result of the strengthened supervisory and regulatory framework after the global financial crisis, including the creation of European banking supervision. The limited repercussions from the March 2023 banking sector turmoil stand as a testament to the robustness of our banking union.

    However, while we have made significant strides to build a more resilient banking union, the journey is far from complete. Without a European deposit insurance scheme, there cannot be a truly single banking system. Depositors across the banking union should have a uniform level of confidence that their deposits are safeguarded during crises, irrespective of their Member State or the location of their bank.

    We must also enhance the crisis management and deposit insurance (CMDI) framework to effectively manage the failures of small and medium-sized banks. It is crucial that authorities have the flexibility to act and that adequate funding is available for a diverse range of scenarios.

    Losses from bank failures should primarily be borne by the bank’s shareholders and creditors. Nonetheless, the framework should also allow for the use of industry-funded safety nets when necessary to protect financial stability.

    In particular, deposit guarantee schemes should be equipped to support the use of crisis management tools, for example by contributing to meeting the bail-in conditions for gaining access to the Single Resolution Fund. Smaller banks, which often rely heavily on deposits as a funding source, may face challenges in issuing financial instruments that could be bailed in if the bank fails.

    This issue can be mitigated by clarifying and broadening the least cost test and introducing a general depositor preference based on an equal ranking of all deposits.

    The current review of the CMDI framework is an opportunity to bring durable fixes to the flaws I have just described. We hope the co-legislators will reach an ambitious agreement and not settle for small-scale tweaks that would largely preserve the current – and less than satisfactory – status quo.

    Liquidity in resolution is another important aspect of crisis management where progress is needed. A resolved bank should primarily rely on market funding for liquidity, but a public liquidity backstop can be critical to maintain confidence in the resolution process, as demonstrated by recent crises in other jurisdictions.

    Unlike other jurisdictions, however, the banking union lacks an effective public sector backstop mechanism to provide this temporary liquidity funding. We therefore encourage all EU stakeholders to resume discussions on setting up a European-level public backstop to ensure liquidity is provided to banks facing resolution in a timely and effective manner.

    The incompleteness of the banking union is a significant impediment to creating a truly integrated banking sector in Europe and optimising its competitiveness. Achieving this goal means removing unnecessary barriers to cross-border banking and enabling cross-border groups to manage liquidity and capital at the group level. A fully integrated, cross-border European banking landscape would not only make banks more efficient but also more resilient to domestic shocks, by enabling them to diversify their risks and revenue streams. This would contribute to private risk sharing and enhance the overall economy’s robustness and efficiency, benefiting European citizens.

    Let me now turn to the second element of what is missing in Europe’s financial architecture: the capital markets union.

    The capital markets union and the banking union are complementary projects. Progress on the capital markets union provides opportunities for banks and vice versa. And deepening the capital markets union is vital for the European economy to attract the necessary private investments to support innovation and the digital and green transitions, thus bolstering EU competitiveness.

    For banks, this means more cross-border activities, which would make them more competitive compared with their international counterparts. In a more integrated pan-European capital market, banks could fully exploit economies of scale by offering similar products and services across multiple countries.

    Targeted harmonisations across Member States could facilitate such cross-border lending, enabling banks to better assess risks and opportunities from borrowers in other Member States. Completing the banking union would significantly accelerate the push towards a truly integrated European banking landscape.

    Securitisation is another measure to advance the capital markets union where banks play a key role. Given the constraints on banks’ balance sheets, capital markets can complement bank lending and increase the financing available to the private sector while transferring risks to other intermediaries. Securitisation is crucial as it provides a diversified funding base for banks, a tool to transfer credit risks and new assets for investors. This can also create space for additional lending to the economy.

    Tackling emerging risks – non-bank financial institutions and rising geopolitical risks

    While non-banks may help in financing the significant needs of the twin green and digital transition, they also necessitate adequate regulation and close monitoring.

    The growth in the NBFI sector is staggering. In the euro area the sector has more than doubled in size, from €15 trillion in 2008 to €32 trillion in 2024. Globally, the numbers are even more worrying, with the sector growing from €87 trillion in 2008 to €200 trillion in 2022.

    The private credit market is a particular concern. It accounts for €1.6 trillion of the global market and has also seen significant growth recently. The European private credit market growth is accelerating by 29% in the last three years, but the market is still much smaller than the market in the United States, which is where investors and asset managers are often based. The end investors are pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and insurance firms, but banks play a significant role in leveraging and providing bridge loans at various levels to credit funds. We recently completed a deep dive on the topic and found that banks are not able to fully identify the myriad ways they have exposure to private credit funds. Therefore, concentration risk could be significant.

    We know that risk from the NBFI sector can materialise through various channels. One such channel is the correlation of exposures, especially given the growth in private credit and equity markets. We supervisors do not have a full picture of the level of exposure and correlations between NBFI balance sheets and bank lending arrangements, lines of credit or derivatives to and from NBFIs.

    To make the market less opaque, we should further harmonise, enhance and expand reporting requirements and make information-sharing between authorities easier at the global level.

    The growth in the NBFI market is not the only concern we have about the current risk environment. There is ample evidence in our constant media feeds of rising risks. We need only switch on our news channels to see frightening images of human tragedy, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the widening conflagration in the Middle East, and even what may be the most significant military exercise yet conducted by Chinese armed forces encircling Taiwan. There are many reasons to be concerned about rising geopolitical risk, such as supply chain disruptions, energy disruptions and inflationary pressures. They all pose threats to resilience. I’d like to highlight one resulting risk – the increased risk of cyberattacks, in particular the increased threat from nation state actors. Our IT risk questionnaire shows a significant uptick year after year. In 2022, 50% of our supervised entities were subject to at least one successful cyber attack, rising to 68% percent in 2023 as the upcoming publication of our annual horizontal analysis will show. On an absolute basis the number of reports has also risen significantly. The number of cyber incident reports that we have received in 2023 was 77% higher than in 2022, and we expect the total number of incident reports in 2024 to be similar to 2023. The IMF also reports that the number of attacks has doubled since the pandemic.

    Conclusion

    Let me conclude.

    While the public debate on banking regulation may have shifted, we need to continue to uphold robust regulatory frameworks that balance safety with competitiveness. Completing the banking union and the capital markets union remains a critical priority and one that can enhance the overall competitiveness of the sector. In addition, we must remain vigilant in addressing the emerging risks posed by the growing NBFI sector and rising geopolitical risks that threaten resilience.

    By staying committed to these priorities, we can build a stronger, more integrated European financial system that supports innovation, protects consumers and enhances the overall resilience of our economy for all Europe’s citizens. Crises fading in the rearview mirror should not be a harbinger of shifting supervisory and regulatory priorities such that a weaker, less competitive and less resilient sector is the result. 

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI Banking: Ida Wolden Bache: Monetary policy trade-offs in a small open economy – the case of Norway

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Presentation accompanying the speech

    Introduction

    Good afternoon. Let me start by thanking the Peterson Institute for the invitation and for giving me the opportunity to address this distinguished audience. It’s a pleasure to be here.

    [Chart: The tightening was synchronised across countries]

    The tightening of monetary policy by central banks over the past few years has been unprecedented in several respects. By some measures, this has been the most globally synchronised of all tightening episodes in the past half century.

    In Norway, as in many other countries, global supply chain disruptions contributed to a rise in prices for a broad range of goods during the pandemic. When pandemic restrictions were lifted, economic activity quickly rebounded. The high level of household saving gave an additional impetus to demand. When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, energy and commodity prices soared. Since Norway is a major exporter of oil and gas, those price increases constituted a positive terms-of-trade shock, and they generated large inflows into the Norwegian government’s sovereign wealth fund, the Government Pension Fund Global. But at the same time, the increases in energy prices contributed to pushing up domestic business costs and spilled over into consumer prices.

    [Chart: Policy rate at 4.5% to end of year, according to forecast]

    Norges Bank started a gradual normalisation of interest rates in September 2021, and our key policy rate now stands at 4.5 percent. The policy rate forecast in our latest Monetary Policy Report in September implies that the policy rate will remain at 4.5 percent to the end of this year, before being gradually reduced from first quarter 2025.

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI Global: RFK Jr.’s pivot to Trump is a journey taken by many populists swept along the left-to-right alternative media pipeline

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Rachel Meade, Lecturer of Political Science, Boston University

    When Robert F. Kennedy Jr. ended his independent presidential run in August 2024 and endorsed Republican Donald Trump, it might have seemed a surprising turn of events.

    Kennedy began his presidential run as a Democrat and is the scion of a Democratic dynasty. Nephew to former President John F. Kennedy and the son of former Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy, Kennedy spent most of his career as a lawyer representing environmental groups that sued polluting corporations and municipalities.

    Yet Kennedy, 70, has long held positions that put him at odds with the Democratic mainstream. He pushes public health misinformation around vaccines and HIV/AIDS, opposes U.S. military involvement in foreign wars, including in Ukraine, and claims that the CIA assassinated his uncle.

    Kennedy’s ideologically mixed politics are hard to categorize in traditional left-right terms.

    My political science research finds that Kennedy’s journey from left-aligned skepticism into Trumpism is part of a broader trend of contemporary left-to-right populist transformations happening across the United States.

    Rise of the populist alternative media

    Populism is a political story that presents the good “people” of a nation as in a struggle against its “elites,” who have corrupted democratic institutions to further their own selfish interests. It cuts across the ideological spectrum, often combining left-wing economic critiques with right-wing cultural ones.

    Based on my research, I find that Kennedy uses a populist style of speech that matches the rhetoric of today’s online alternative media, also known as the “alternative influence network.”

    If populism cuts across the ideological spectrum, so does the alternative media.

    This network of politically diverse independent podcasters, YouTube hosts and other creators connects with young, politically disaffected audiences by mixing politics with comedy and pop culture, and presenting themselves as embattled defenders of free thinking – in opposition to mainstream media and mainstream parties.

    Top-rated shows include “Breaking Points,” “Stay Free with Russell Brand,” “The Joe Rogan Experience,” The Culture War with Tim Pool and “This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von.”

    While many of these shows have been around since the 2010s, the network expanded throughout the Trump era. Their popularity skyrocketed during the COVID-19 pandemic, when public distrust in government, anger over pandemic restrictions and vaccine skepticism surged.

    These shows hosted Kennedy frequently throughout his presidential run in 2023 and 2024.

    Kennedy finds his audience

    I analyzed a set of Kennedy’s appearances for this story. Both Kennedy and alternative media hosts claim to care about “the real issues” facing Americans such as war, corporate and political malfeasance and economic troubles. They condemn the “mainstream” for promoting frivolous “culture war” topics related to race and identity politics.

    Kennedy and the alternative media hosts also combine left and right arguments in a typically populist way. They claim that corporations control the government and that liberals and corporations censor free speech.

    For example, on a May 2024, episode of “Stay Free with Russell Brand,” Brand asserted that corrupt institutions are backed by the “deep state.” He asked Kennedy how he would fight these powerful interests.

    “The major agencies of government have all been captured by the industries they’re supposed to regulate and act as sock puppets serving the mercantile interests of these big corporations,” responded Kennedy. “I have a particular ability to unravel that because I’ve litigated against so many of these agencies.”

    My research found that Kennedy often bonded with his alternative media hosts over his perception that liberal media sources – allegedly controlled by the Democratic National Committee or the CIA – were censoring his campaign.

    Like Kennedy, alternative media hosts often identify as former or disaffected Democrats. Many used to work at mainstream left news sites, where they say they experienced censorship.

    ‘This little island of free speech’

    In a June 2023 episode of “The Joe Rogan Experience,” Rogan explained that he no longer identifies as a liberal because of the “orthodoxy it preaches” around issues like vaccines. He then cited YouTube’s removal of some of Kennedy’s vaccine-related videos for violating its COVID-19 misinformation policy.

    Kennedy had just spent 90 minutes outlining his journey toward vaccine skepticism, which started with meeting a mother who believed vaccines caused her son’s autism.

    “If a woman tells you something about her child, you should listen,” he said.

    Kennedy also described being convinced by a set of studies that public health officials had ignored.

    “Trust the experts is not a function of science, it’s a function of religion,” he said. “I’ve been litigating 40 years; there’s experts on both sides.”

    Afterward, he thanked Rogan for maintaining “this little island of free speech in a desert of suppression and of critical thinking.”

    Kennedy reiterated this point in the Aug. 23, 2024, speech that ended his campaign, saying the “alternative media” had kept his ideas alive, while the mainstream networks had shut him out despite his historically high third-party poll numbers of 15% to 20%.

    “The DNC-allied mainstream media networks maintained a near-perfect embargo on interviews with me,” Kennedy said.

    Speaking directly to the reporters in the room, he added, “Your institutions and media made themselves government mouthpieces and stenographers for the organs of power.”

    Left-to-right pipeline

    Trust in a range of U.S. institutions is at historical lows. Americans on both the right and the left are skeptical of power and crave radical change.

    Alternative media hosts tap into this desire, helping to push some disaffected listeners down the same left-to-right pipeline that landed Kennedy in Trump’s orbit.

    Trump and his allies are adept at harnessing the power of the alternative media ecosystem. Trump has appeared on male-centric shows like “This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von and ”The Joe Rogan Experience,“ and he founded the alternative social media platform Truth Social.

    Trump’s former adviser Steve Bannon hosts an influential podcast called the “War Room” on another MAGA alternative media platform, Rumble. Known for its fiery populist rhetoric, the “War Room” broadcasts live for an astonishing 22 hours a week.

    Until recently, Democrats have largely embraced traditional media. During the first months of her 2024 presidential campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris appeared on CBS’ “60 Minutes,” ABC’s “The View” and MSNBC’s “Stephanie Ruhle.”

    Then, on Oct. 12, Harris appeared on “Call her Daddy.” Spotify’s second-most popular podcast, it has a young, female audience. Days later, she sat down for an interview with Fox News and is reportedly in talks to appear on Joe Rogan’s show.

    Kennedy might approve of all this aisle-crossing.

    “Step outside the culture war!” he tweeted in July 2024. “Step outside the politics of hating the other side!”

    Rachel Meade does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. RFK Jr.’s pivot to Trump is a journey taken by many populists swept along the left-to-right alternative media pipeline – https://theconversation.com/rfk-jr-s-pivot-to-trump-is-a-journey-taken-by-many-populists-swept-along-the-left-to-right-alternative-media-pipeline-236828

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: On foreign policy, Trump opts for disruption and Harris for engagement − but they share some of the same concerns

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Garret Martin, Senior Professorial Lecturer, Co-Director Transatlantic Policy Center, American University School of International Service

    Who will represent the U.S. better on the global stage? Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

    According to conventional wisdom, U.S. voters are largely motivated by domestic concerns and especially the economy.

    But the upcoming presidential election may be somewhat of an outlier. In a September 2024 poll, foreign policy actually ranks quite high in voters’ concerns – with more Democrats and Republicans combined saying it was “very important” to their vote than, say, immigration and abortion.

    As such, understanding where Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic rival Kamala Harris stand on the significant international issues of the day is important. And we can do so by looking at the records of their respective administrations in the three regions they prioritized: the Indo-Pacific, Europe and the Middle East.

    Donald Trump: Disrupter-in-chief

    In his 2017 inaugural address, Trump painted a dark picture of the U.S. In his telling, his country was being taken advantage of by other nations, especially in trade and security, while neglecting domestic challenges.

    To disrupt this, Trump promised an “America First” approach to guide his administration.

    And in practice, his foreign policy certainly proved disruptive. He showed a clear willingness to buck traditions and undid some of former President Barack Obama’s signature policies, such as the Iran nuclear deal, which exchanged sanctions relief for restrictions on Tehran’s domestic nuclear program, and the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement.

    In so doing, he ruffled the feathers of allies and foes alike.

    Trans-Atlantic relations were tense under Trump, especially because of his hostility toward NATO. After deriding the Atlantic alliance on the campaign trail, Trump stuck to the same tune while in office. He routinely insulted allies at high-level summits and allegedly came close to withdrawing from the alliance altogether in 2018.

    While NATO did make inroads in bolstering its Eastern flank in that period, the alliance was primarily defined by internal turmoil and limited cohesion during Trump’s time in office. U.S. relations with the European Union hardly fared better. In 2018, the U.S. imposed steel and aluminum tariffs on the European Union, citing national security concerns.

    Trump also broke with previous U.S. presidents in his administration’s Asia policy. One of his first moves in 2017 was to abandon the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a trade deal negotiated by Obama. Trump’s late 2017 national security strategy also announced a major shift toward China, labeling it as a “strategic competitor” – implying a greater emphasis on containing China as opposed to cooperating with it.

    This hawkish turn played out especially in the field of trade. Trump’s administration imposed four rounds of tariffs in 2018-19, affecting US$360 billion of Chinese goods. Beijing, of course, responded with tariffs of its own. The two countries did sign a so-called phase-one deal in January 2020 that sought to lower the stakes of this trade war. But the COVID-19 pandemic nullified any chance of success, and relations soured further with each Trump utterance of the pandemic being a “Chinese virus.”

    Trump showcased somewhat contradictory impulses toward the Middle East and other issues. He pushed for disengagement and to undo Obama’s major policies. Besides withdrawing from the Paris climate accords in 2017, Trump abandoned the Iran nuclear deal in 2018. His administration also signed a deal to end the U.S. presence in Afghanistan, and it withdrew forces from northern Syria.

    But at the same time, Trump continued the bombing campaign against the Islamic State group in Syria and Iraq and authorized the killing of Iranian Gen. Qasem Soleimani in 2020. The latter was consistent with a policy that aimed to pressure and isolate Iran economically and diplomatically. The key example of the diplomatic pressure came through especially via the Abraham Accords through which Trump helped facilitate the establishment of normal diplomatic ties between Israel and the UAE, Bahrain and Morocco.

    Kamala Harris: Alliance and engagement

    Although not taking a driving role in foreign policy, Harris has been part of an administration that has committed the U.S. to repairing alliances and engaging with the world.

    This came across by undoing some major actions from the Trump administration. For example, the U.S. quickly rejoined the Paris climate accords and overturned a decision to leave the World Health Organization.

    But in other areas, the Biden administration has shown more continuity with Trump than many expected.

    For instance, the U.S. under Biden has not fundamentally deviated from strategic competition with China, even though the tactics have differed a little. The administration maintained Trump’s tariff approach, even adding its own targeted rounds against Beijing on electric vehicles.

    Moreover, it cultivated different diplomatic platforms in the Indo-Pacific to act as a counterweight to China. This included the cultivation of the Quad dialogue with Australia, India and Japan, and the AUKUS deal with Australia and the U.K., both of which attempted to further the Biden administration’s strategy of containing China’s influence by enlisting regional allies. Finally, the Biden administration did maintain some channels of communication with China at the highest level as well, with Biden meeting Xi Jinping twice during his presidency.

    Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy walks alongside Vice President Kamala Harris at the White House compound on Sept. 26, 2024.
    Tom Brenner/Getty Images

    The Biden administration’s Middle Eastern policy displayed significant continuity with Trump’s approach – at first. While it turned out to be chaotic, the U.S. completed the withdrawal of its troops from Afghanistan in summer 2021, as had been agreed under Trump. The Biden administration also embraced the format and goals of the Abraham Accords. It even tried to build on them, with the goal of fostering Israeli-Saudi diplomatic ties.

    Of course, the attacks of Oct. 7, 2023, in Israel completely changed the equation in the Middle East. Preventing the spiral of violence in the region has become an all-consuming task. Since then, Biden and Harris have tried, largely unsuccessfully, to balance support for Israel with mediation efforts to liberate the hostages and to ensure a cease-fire.

    Trans-Atlantic relations, however, are an area where there were marked differences in the past four years. The tone of the Biden-Harris administration has been in sharp contrast with that of Trump, reaffirming frequently its clear commitment to NATO. And once Russia launched its illegal invasion in February 2022, the U.S. placed itself at the forefront of supporting Ukraine.

    Harris has suggested that she would continue Biden’s policy of providing Kyiv with extensive and continuous military support. In conjunction with allies, the White House of Biden and Harris also implemented a broad range of sanctions against Russia. But the U.S. under Biden has not yet been willing to support Ukraine’s immediate entry into NATO.

    What next?

    Based on their records, what could we expect of a Trump or Harris presidency?

    It’s unlikely either candidate will abandon strategic competition with China. But Trump is more likely to seriously escalate the trade war, promising extensive tariffs against Beijing. Trump’s commitment to defending Taiwan is also more ambiguous in comparison with Harris’ pledges.

    U.S. policy toward Europe will largely depend on the results of the election. Harris has frequently underlined her steadfast support for NATO, as well as for Ukraine. Trump, on the other hand, is showing signs that he is unwilling to further aid the regime in Kyiv.

    And for the Middle East, it remains to be seen whether either Trump or Harris would be able to better shape events in the region.

    Garret Martin receives funding from the European Union for the research institute he co-directs, the Transatlantic Policy Center.

    ref. On foreign policy, Trump opts for disruption and Harris for engagement − but they share some of the same concerns – https://theconversation.com/on-foreign-policy-trump-opts-for-disruption-and-harris-for-engagement-but-they-share-some-of-the-same-concerns-238847

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Security: Meeting between NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen

    Source: NATO

    Today Secretary General Rutte met with President von der Leyen for the first time since Mr Rutte took office at the helm of NATO.

    Their discussion focused on the importance of a close and strategic partnership between NATO and the European Union. 

    Both agreed that in an increasingly dangerous world, this partnership is vital in order to champion and safeguard peace, freedom and prosperity. 

    Russia’s war of aggression on European soil is the single biggest threat to peace and security on the European continent. 

    Secretary General Rutte and President von der Leyen both emphasised that the deployment of North Korean soldiers in support of Russia’s war of aggression represented a significant escalation of the war against Ukraine as well as a serious threat to European security and global peace.

    They also discussed the growing assertiveness of authoritarian states on the world’s stage. These states challenge our common interests, values and democratic principles, using multiple means – political, economic, technological and military.

    To address these evolving threats and challenges, Secretary General Rutte and President von der Leyen have agreed today to set up a new high-level task force to strengthen the existing NATO-EU cooperation.  Planning for the first meeting of the task force is expected to move forward in the coming weeks.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Africa: Brics+ could shape a new world order, but it lacks shared values and a unified identity

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Anthoni van Nieuwkerk, Professor of International and Diplomacy Studies, Thabo Mbeki African School of Public and International Affairs, University of South Africa

    The last two summits of Brics countries have raised questions about the coalition’s identity and purpose. This began to come into focus at the summit hosted by South Africa in 2023, and more acutely at the recent 2024 summit in Kazan, Russia.

    At both events the alliance undertook to expand its membership. In 2023, the first five Brics members – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – invited Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to join. All bar Saudi Arabia have now done so. The 2024 summit pledged to admit 13 more, perhaps as associates or “partner countries”.

    On paper, the nine-member Brics+ strikes a powerful pose. It has a combined population of about 3.5 billion, or 45% of the world’s people. Combined, its economies are worth more than US$28.5 trillion – about 28% of the global economy. With Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE as members, Brics+ produces about 44% of the world’s crude oil.

    Based on my research and policy advice to African foreign policy decision-makers, I would argue that there are three possible interpretations of the purpose of Brics+.

    • A club of self-interested members – a kind of global south cooperative. What I’d label as a self-help organisation.

    • A reforming bloc with a more ambitious goal of improving the workings of the current global order.

    • A disrupter, preparing to replace the western-dominated liberal world order.

    Analysing the commitments that were made at the meeting in Russia, I would argue that Brics+ sees itself more as a self-interested reformer. It represents the thinking among global south leaders about the nature of global order, and the possibilities of shaping a new order. This, as the world moves away from the financially dominant, yet declining western order (in terms of moral influence) led by the US. The move is to a multipolar order in which the east plays a leading role.


    Read more: Russia’s Brics summit shows determination for a new world order – but internal rifts will buy the west some time


    However, the ability of Brics+ to exploit such possibilities is constrained by its make-up and internal inconsistencies. These include a contested identity, incongruous values and lack of resources to convert political commitments into actionable plans.

    Summit outcomes

    The trend towards closer trade and financial cooperation and coordination stands out as a major achievement of the Kazan summit. Other achievements pertain to global governance and counter-terrorism.

    When it comes to trade and finance, the final communiqué said the following had been agreed:

    • adoption of local currencies in trade and financial transactions. The Kazan Declaration notes the benefits of faster, low cost, more efficient, transparent, safe and inclusive cross-border payment instruments. The guiding principle would be minimal trade barriers and non-discriminatory access.

    • establishment of a cross-border payment system. The declaration encourages correspondent banking networks within Brics, and enabling settlements in local currencies in line with the Brics Cross-Border Payments Initiative. This is voluntary and nonbinding and is to be discussed further.

    • creation of an enhanced roles for the New Development Bank, such as promoting infrastructure and sustainable development.

    • a proposed Brics Grain Exchange, to improve food security through enhanced trade in agricultural commodities.

    All nine Brics+ countries committed themselves to the principles of the UN Charter – peace and security, human rights, the rule of law, and development – primarily as a response to the western unilateral sanctions.


    Read more: South Africa walks a tightrope of international alliances – it needs Russia, China and the west


    The summit emphasised that dialogue and diplomacy should prevail over conflict in, among other places, the Middle East, Sudan, Haiti and Afghanistan.

    Faultlines and tensions

    Despite the positive tone of the Kazan declaration, there are serious structural fault lines and tensions inherent in the architecture and behaviour of Brics+. These might limit its ambitions to be a meaningful change agent.

    The members don’t even agree on the definition of Brics+. President Cyril Ramaphosa of South Africa calls it a platform. Others talk of a group (Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi) or a family (Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jianan).

    So what could it be?

    Brics+ is state-driven – with civil society on the margins. It reminds one of the African Union, which pays lip service to citizens’ engagement in decision-making.

    One possibility is that it will evolve into an intergovernmental organisation with a constitution that sets up its agencies, functions and purposes. Examples include the World Health Organization, the African Development Bank and the UN general assembly.

    But it would need to cohere around shared values. What would they be?

    Critics point out that Brics+ consists of democracies (South Africa, Brazil, India), a theocracy (Iran), monarchies (UAE, Saudi Arabia) and authoritarian dictatorships (China, Russia). For South Africa this creates a domestic headache. At the Kazan summit, its president declared Russia a friend and ally. At home, its coalition partner in the government of national unity, the Democratic Alliance, declared Ukraine as a friend and ally.


    Read more: When two elephants fight: how the global south uses non-alignment to avoid great power rivalries


    There are also marked differences over issues such as the reform of the United Nations. For example, at the recent UN Summit of the Future the consensus was for reform of the UN security council. But will China and Russia, as permanent security council members, agree to more seats, with veto rights, on the council?

    As for violent conflict, humanitarian crises, corruption and crime, there is little from the Kazan summit that suggests agreement around action.

    Unity of purpose

    What about shared interests? A number of Brics+ members and the partner countries maintain close trade ties with the west, which regards Russia and Iran as enemies and China as a global threat.

    Some, such as India and South Africa, use the foreign policy notions of strategic ambiguity or active non-alignment to mask the reality of trading with east, west, north and south.

    The harsh truth of international relations is there are no permanent friends or enemies, only permanent interests. The Brics+ alliance will most likely cohere as a global south co-operative, with an innovative self-help agenda, but be reluctant to overturn the current global order from which it desires to benefit more equitably.

    Trade-offs and compromises might be necessary to ensure “unity of purpose”. It’s not clear that this loose alliance is close to being able to achieve that.

    – Brics+ could shape a new world order, but it lacks shared values and a unified identity
    – https://theconversation.com/brics-could-shape-a-new-world-order-but-it-lacks-shared-values-and-a-unified-identity-242308

    MIL OSI Africa

  • MIL-OSI USA: National Press Club

    Source: US Department of Veterans Affairs

    Good morning. Emily Wilkins, thanks for that kind introduction, and for leading this important organization. Let me recognize the Press Club’s American Legion Post and its commander, Tom Young, and all the Veterans Service Organizations represented here. Veterans Service Organizations are critical to helping us serve Vets, their family members, caregivers, and survivors.

    I want to thank all the journalists who served our country in uniform. Journalists like Thomas Gibbons-Neff, a Marine combat Vet and the son of a combat Vet, who writes powerfully now about the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. I’ve been particularly struck by his writing on the end of America’s deployments to and withdrawal from Afghanistan.

    While I want to be careful here as a non-Veteran myself, it struck me that his writing brought to life the painful experiences that thousands of his fellow Afghanistan Vets wrestle with to this day. Navy Veteran Zack Baddorf, founder of the group Military Veterans in Journalism, is helping ensure more Vets go into journalism, a vocation that is so important to our democracy that Vets have sacrificed everything to protect it.

    Zach’s getting more Vets into newsrooms around the country—improving coverage of Veterans issues and increasing trust in the media. To Thomas and Zack, to all Veteran journalists, and to all journalists—thank you.

    Veterans Day is around the corner, so now’s a good time to begin preparing our hearts and minds for that celebration—remembering, recognizing, and thanking all those men and women who have fought our nation’s wars and defended us during periods of restless peace. But our profound gratitude to Veterans goes beyond Veterans Day, because Vets continue serving this country long after they take off their uniforms.

    They’ve dedicated themselves to building an America that is stronger, freer, fairer for each new generation, that more perfect Union we all seek. Anchored by their commitment to service over self, they continue serving this country, always looking out for one another, with their enduring sense of duty, valor, and love of country. Veterans set the highest example of what it means to be an American citizen. So, at VA, we strive to serve Vets every bit as well as they served—and continue to serve—all of us. Veterans Day is a time to renew that commitment, renew what President Biden calls our country’s one truly sacred obligation—to prepare those we send into harm’s way, and to care for them and their families when they come home.

    Now, when I first spoke to the Press Club four years ago, the country was in a historic public health emergency, and VA’s employees were risking their lives to save the lives of Veterans. Despite those challenges, I told you that VA public servants were breaking all-time records, providing more care and more benefits to more Vets than ever before. And each year, I’ve come back here with a similar report. This year is no different. By nearly every metric, VA’s smashing records we set last year. That’s even more care, more benefits, to more Vets. And it’s not just more care. It’s better, world-class care, and it’s better health outcomes for Veterans than in the private sector. It’s not just more benefits, it’s faster, more accessible benefits we’re delivering by meeting Vets where they are rather than expecting them to come to us. And it’s not just more Vets, its more Vets trusting VA at rates higher than ever before. President Biden, a military family member and the surviving father of combat Veteran Major Beau Biden, has been unrelenting—and forcefully demanding—in his advocacy for Veterans and their families. He has spent his entire career fighting like hell for Vets, just as he charged me and my VA teammates to do four years ago. Under President Biden’s leadership, VA has been made into something different—something new.

    Nowhere has that been more evident than with President Biden’s toxic exposure law—the PACT Act. Because of that law, more than 5.8 million Vets have been screened for toxic exposures. More than 740,000 have enrolled in VA care. And more than 1.1 million Veterans and 11,000 survivors are receiving benefits. The toxic exposure legislation called for a phased-in approach, getting Vets access to care and benefits as late, in some cases, as 2032. But President Biden made it clear that timeline wasn’t fast enough for one simple reason—for too long, too many Vets were exposed to harmful substances and waited decades for help. So, he directed us to accelerate implementation so all eligible Vets and their survivors got the care and benefits they deserve—as quickly as possible.  

    And that has been life-changing for so many families.

    We can measure President Biden’s record-breaking work on behalf of Veterans—on ending Veteran homelessness, on removing barriers to mental health care, on getting Vets in crisis the support they need when they need it, and more. In fact, you probably saw the press release we put out this morning detailing all of VA’s record-breaking accomplishments over the course of the past year. But we can never put a value on the countless miracles that have improved and made Veterans lives better. Numbers and statistics can’t adequately describe the impact. Dollars and data can’t ever really begin to capture and communicate the values, the personalities, the humanity of the Veterans we have the honor of serving. So, as I prepared for today’s speech, I thought, maybe those are the very things we need to talk about. Let me tell you three stories that demonstrate the impact and importance of the work we do, together.

    I’ll start with Angela Bell. I met Angela in Hampton, Virginia last month. Angela is one of the most generous and courageous people I’ve ever met. She lost her son, Sean, and has turned her grief into action. Let me tell you a little bit about Sean. Sean knew he wanted to join the military since he was a kid. He was so determined to enlist after graduating high school that at 17 years old he got his dad to sign the parental consent paperwork. And Sean served all over America—Georgia, North Carolina, California—served all over the world, Korea, Afghanistan, Iraq. He married and had a son, Giovanni.

    He earned his Bachelor’s degree. He earned a Master’s. He earned a second Master’s and was working on his Ph.D.—he liked to tease his mom, telling her she’d have to start calling him Dr. Bell. Sean was the kind of guy who’d invite other Soldiers over to Angela’s house for Thanksgiving because they had nowhere else to go. He’d ask his mom to send him extra care packages while he was on deployment, not for himself, but to share with his brothers- and sisters-in-arms who didn’t get anything from back home. He’s an example of the selfless Vet I was talking about a few minutes ago.

    Well, after Sean came back from his second deployment to Central Command, Angela started noticing some changes. Every time firecrackers went off, he’d jump. Being in traffic was overwhelming, anxious about other vehicles around him. He was enduring some personal problems, family health issues and more. When Angela tried to get Sean help, he refused, worried about losing his clearance. Sean had served in the Army for 20 years. And just a few weeks before his retirement in 2021, he died by suicide.

    Now, I’ve spoken at many events focused on VA’s and our partners’ work to end Veteran suicide. I’ve explained that ending Veteran suicide is our number one clinical priority at VA. I’ve talked about resourcing and about people and organizations singularly devoted to end Veteran suicide. I’ve talked about data and processes and what we’re doing to try to make a real, substantial difference—promising initiatives. And I’ve shared story after story about Veterans not just surviving, but getting the mental health care they need and thriving. Yet, none of that will bring Sean back or heal his family’s heartbreak. None of that gets to the enormous tragedy of Veteran suicide or gets to the powerful, painful emotions.

    So, here’s why I’m telling Sean’s story, Angela’s story. Angela’s doing everything she can do so other families don’t suffer the same devastation when she lost Sean, when this country lost Sean. “I try to be the face of [those] who [were] left behind,” Angela says. “I’m so passionate about telling his story because if it helps one person, whether I know it or not, then I’m doing what I’m supposed to do.” She said, “People tell me I’m so strong. I’m not. I’m a mom, advocating and fighting for my kid.” Angela’s the President of the Hampton Roads Chapter of American Gold Star Mothers, and she often speaks on our work to end Veteran suicide. Thanksgiving was Sean and Angela’s favorite holiday.  And in his memory, Angela hosts an annual Thanksgiving meal and invites servicemembers, Veterans, and their families to join her. The gathering quickly outgrew her dinner table, and then got too big for her home. This year, Angela’s renting a dining hall to host dozens of families from the military community to share a warm Thanksgiving meal together. The community she’s built has helped Angela heal. And she heals by helping others, so they’re not alone, and so they know there is always, always hope. Those are the kind of people we have the incredible privilege and honor to serve at VA.

    But we have so much work to do to keep our promise to Vets. That leads me to my next story. It was almost exactly 23 years ago—October 5th, 2001—when the first US forces arrived at the Karshi-Khanabad air base in Uzbekistan, a former Soviet base known as “K2.” K2 Veterans were among the first to deploy after the September 11th terrorist attacks, bravely conducting and supporting combat missions against al-Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan. They went to a place at K2 that Veterans often describe as a “toxic soup” of exposures, a place unlike other operating bases occupied by American forces. A place that jeopardized their immediate and long-term health. Colonel Gordon Peters vividly describes what he says was a “chemical odor so intense that it seemed as if someone could light a match and the entire area would ignite.” Some K2 Vets returned home and developed disabling illnesses and conditions. Their service is heroic.

    Mindful of the passage of time since their heroic service, we’ve moved aggressively to care for K2 Vets since the PACT Act was passed in 2022.

    • First, we eliminated the PACT Act phase-in period for presumptive benefits—making all K2 Vets immediately eligible for more than 300 presumptive conditions.
    • Second, earlier this year, we made all K2 Veterans eligible for VA health care, whether or not they’ve filed a benefits claim with VA.
    • Third, after consulting with K2 Vets this summer, we’ve begun rulemaking to make chronic multi-symptom illness—also known as Gulf War Illness—a presumptive condition for K2 Veterans, fixing a gap in the PACT Act.
    • Fourth, for every K2 claim, we’ve made sure the unique toxic exposures at K2—that toxic soup—is taken into account, and each new K2 claim gets reviewed a second time before VA reaches a final decision.
    • And fifth, we’ve reached out to every known living K2 Veteran to encourage them to come to us for the care and benefits they deserve.

    All of that work has been driven by Veteran and survivor advocates, reporters like you, and a tireless VA team working on toxic exposures, some of the best toxic exposure researchers, scientists, and epidemiologists in the world. Because of that hard work,

    13,000 of the 16,000 K2 Vets are enrolled in VA healthcare, nearly 12,000 are service-connected for at least one condition, receiving an average of $30,000 a year in earned benefits. All told, K2 Vets now have higher claim and approval rates than any other cohort of Veterans.

    But we have more work to do to get this right. Some K2 Vets still understandably feel overlooked, because they’ve waited for 23 long years to see their uniquely dangerous service recognized. We still have to do better and be better, for those K2 Vets. That’s why, today, I’m proud to announce that VA will begin rulemaking to add bladder, ureter, and other genitourinary—or GU cancers—as new presumptive conditions for K2 Vets and all eligible toxic-exposed Vets. And we aren’t stopping there.

    Next week, we will complete the scientific review of multiple myeloma and leukemias. The preliminary findings are promising and suggest that VA will be able to make those conditions presumptive for K2 Veterans and all eligible Veterans. And once the final results are in, VA will look to extend that presumption to all biologically linked blood cancers. This may include polycethemia vera—or P. Vera—a condition identified by K2 Vets. We will do so based on biological science and on the results of a PACT Act presumptive process, without requiring Vets to wait for VA to complete additional studies. And moving forward, I am committed to establishing service connection for any rare condition found in K2 Vets which has a plausible biological link to the toxic soup we know and acknowledge was present at K2.

    Because we are a new VA. One that works with Veterans for Veterans. And one that delivers outcomes for Veterans. We will no longer take decades to consider new presumptive conditions, but will instead use the tools provided by the PACT Act as quickly as possible to proactively establish service connections whenever the evidence supports it. We put that promise into action in 2021 when the President directed us to work on a Central Command burn pit presumption, nearly two years before passage of the PACT Act. We put it into action in 2022 when we established service connection for asthma, sinusitis, rhinitis, and rare respiratory cancers—again today with GU cancers and soon for multiple myeloma and blood cancers. We’ll continue proving that we’re a new VA by using the expedited PACT Act process to look further into that toxic soup at K2. The President considers this unfinished business—and expects VA to establish a presumption of service connection for every condition associated with deployment to K2 – and we’re committed to doing so.

    We have to keep listening to K2 Vets and all Vets. We have to keep fighting like hell for them. So, thank you to the Vets, advocates, and journalists who have been instrumental in highlighting the heroes who served at K2. You make us better by holding us accountable. We are proud of our accomplishments, these outcomes for Veterans. But we are candid when we come up short—candid with ourselves, with you, with Vets, with Congress, and with the American people. America’s Vets deserve our very best, and we’ll never settle for anything less. Hold us to it.

    Third and finally—let me talk about VA’s people—your public servants—who are keeping our country’s sacred obligation to Vets. They are the best, most compassionate, highest-performing, and most dedicated workforce in the federal government—in the entire country—folks who want to make real differences in the lives of Veterans. I’m proud and I’m privileged to be on their team.

    I’m reminded of that every single day, but it was driven home most profoundly when I was surveying Hurricane Helene’s destruction in Asheville, North Carolina. For over a month now, the Asheville VA, the VISN 6 leadership team, and their incident command team have been working around the clock, tirelessly, to support Vets and staff impacted by the storm. Asheville VA’s food service employees and the Veterans Canteen Service disaster response team loaded up two tons of food and served 17,000 meals in the first week of recovery efforts, a source of great comfort in the aftermath of the crisis.

    Their Volunteer Services have collected thousands of donations from fellow VA employees. And our chaplains have been holding candlelight vigils, a space for Veterans and VA staff to be together … supporting and comforting one another during this tragedy.

    In the hardest hit areas across Western North Carolina, we identified over 2,600 at-risk Vets, Vets undergoing chemotherapy, with spinal cord injuries, requiring oxygen, and other support. We couldn’t call many of them because phones were out—cell phones and landlines—so right after the hurricane, VA teams went out to check on unaccounted Vets in-person. They achieved 100% accountability for all at-risk Vets in their care. Given the devastation in those communities, that is an amazing accomplishment. And they continue reaching out to Veterans in the area to make sure they have everything they need.

    For VA nurses Melissa Mehaffey and Lisa Sellers, taking care of Vets in this crisis is their duty and it’s also about holding tight to hope. Lisa and Melissa have been a pair since starting at VA on the same day ten years ago. They’re Haywood County natives and came to work at VA because they have family members who are Vets. “Here,” Melissa says, “it’s all about the Veteran. The heart of our system is with our patients.”

    “When we got a name, we knew—those are our people,” Melissa said. “We’re going to find them, figure out what they need, and help them. We’re going to make sure they are ok.” She says, “Going out there and taking care of our people … this was our tiny piece of hope.” One of the Vets they checked on had been without power, and no one could reach him by phone. He wrote us a letter. “No one but VA,” he said, “No one but VA would do something like that … in that moment there was a human connection that no other healthcare system would have even thought of.”

    Army Veteran and VA employee Corey Anderson feels the same way. Corey was deployed to Kuwait and Iraq from 2005 to 2007, and the devastation he saw in Asheville reminded him of war zones. Corey went to check on one rural Veteran, drove until the road was gone, washed away. So what did Corey do? He parked his car in the middle of the road and hiked the rest of the way. He climbed up the mountainside with a pack full of supplies for the Veterans’ upcoming medical procedure. Corey says, “Doing this work means the world to me. I’m a Veteran. My dad, mom, sister, and so much of my family is made up of Veterans. It just means the world to me to do my part.” Veterans helping Veterans, there is nothing better. VA’s employees across the Southeast and Appalachia—people like Melissa, like Lisa and Corey—worked long hours through two devastating hurricanes, some working multiple shifts or staying overnight at the hospital. They risked their own lives to serve Veterans. Because whether we’re in times of calm or chaos, VA’s public servants always mobilize around one core mission—saving and improving Veterans’ lives. And right now there are Veterans at home, with their families—happy, safe, and healthy—because of them. I am incredibly grateful to each and every one of them.

    Now, our mission at VA is far from over. There are huge challenges ahead. And as we look to the future, we’re going to continue to do better for Vets. We’re going to continue to be better for Vets. This future at VA isn’t because of me. In fact, I had asked that this new VA be represented here today at the Press Club by the best face of this new VA: our Deputy Secretary, a combat Veteran, the daughter and granddaughter of combat Veterans, someone who gets her care at VA, and someone who is part of the fastest growing cadre of Veterans at VA: women. The VA is new and more effective because of the Veterans, their families, caregivers, and survivors we are so blessed to serve—and because of Veterans like Tanya Bradsher who serve their fellow Veterans.

    This future is because of the 450,000 VA employees in your communities and neighborhoods across the country who keep Vets at the heart of their care. And it’s because of partners like you, too.

    I’ll close with a final word to the Vets watching today. Your honorable service in uniform sets the example for the rest of the country. You’re the keepers of our national ethos—that deep and abiding sense of purpose you learned in serving, your camaraderie and your care for each other, your sense of teamwork that made you stronger, together—in combat and, now, in your communities. That’s exactly what we need, what this country needs. Your examples are something that all of us can learn from. So, again, to all Veterans—those of you here today and those watching, thank you for everything. And to the Press Club, my thanks for all that you do holding us accountable to Vets, and telling their stories in the powerful ways that you do. God bless you all. And God bless our nation’s servicemembers, our Veterans, their families, caregivers, and survivors. With that, Emily, let’s go to questions.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Brics+ could shape a new world order, but it lacks shared values and a unified identity

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Anthoni van Nieuwkerk, Professor of International and Diplomacy Studies, Thabo Mbeki African School of Public and International Affairs, University of South Africa

    The last two summits of Brics countries have raised questions about the coalition’s identity and purpose. This began to come into focus at the summit hosted by South Africa in 2023, and more acutely at the recent 2024 summit in Kazan, Russia.

    At both events the alliance undertook to expand its membership. In 2023, the first five Brics members – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – invited Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to join. All bar Saudi Arabia have now done so. The 2024 summit pledged to admit 13 more, perhaps as associates or “partner countries”.

    On paper, the nine-member Brics+ strikes a powerful pose. It has a combined population of about 3.5 billion, or 45% of the world’s people. Combined, its economies are worth more than US$28.5 trillion – about 28% of the global economy. With Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE as members, Brics+ produces about 44% of the world’s crude oil.

    Based on my research and policy advice to African foreign policy decision-makers, I would argue that there are three possible interpretations of the purpose of Brics+.

    • A club of self-interested members – a kind of global south cooperative. What I’d label as a self-help organisation.

    • A reforming bloc with a more ambitious goal of improving the workings of the current global order.

    • A disrupter, preparing to replace the western-dominated liberal world order.

    Analysing the commitments that were made at the meeting in Russia, I would argue that Brics+ sees itself more as a self-interested reformer. It represents the thinking among global south leaders about the nature of global order, and the possibilities of shaping a new order. This, as the world moves away from the financially dominant, yet declining western order (in terms of moral influence) led by the US. The move is to a multipolar order in which the east plays a leading role.




    Read more:
    Russia’s Brics summit shows determination for a new world order – but internal rifts will buy the west some time


    However, the ability of Brics+ to exploit such possibilities is constrained by its make-up and internal inconsistencies. These include a contested identity, incongruous values and lack of resources to convert political commitments into actionable plans.

    Summit outcomes

    The trend towards closer trade and financial cooperation and coordination stands out as a major achievement of the Kazan summit. Other achievements pertain to global governance and counter-terrorism.

    When it comes to trade and finance, the final communiqué said the following had been agreed:

    • adoption of local currencies in trade and financial transactions. The Kazan Declaration notes the benefits of faster, low cost, more efficient, transparent, safe and inclusive cross-border payment instruments. The guiding principle would be minimal trade barriers and non-discriminatory access.

    • establishment of a cross-border payment system. The declaration encourages correspondent banking networks within Brics, and enabling settlements in local currencies in line with the Brics Cross-Border Payments Initiative. This is voluntary and nonbinding and is to be discussed further.

    • creation of an enhanced roles for the New Development Bank, such as promoting infrastructure and sustainable development.

    • a proposed Brics Grain Exchange, to improve food security through enhanced trade in agricultural commodities.

    All nine Brics+ countries committed themselves to the principles of the UN Charter – peace and security, human rights, the rule of law, and development – primarily as a response to the western unilateral sanctions.




    Read more:
    South Africa walks a tightrope of international alliances – it needs Russia, China and the west


    The summit emphasised that dialogue and diplomacy should prevail over conflict in, among other places, the Middle East, Sudan, Haiti and Afghanistan.

    Faultlines and tensions

    Despite the positive tone of the Kazan declaration, there are serious structural fault lines and tensions inherent in the architecture and behaviour of Brics+. These might limit its ambitions to be a meaningful change agent.

    The members don’t even agree on the definition of Brics+. President Cyril Ramaphosa of South Africa calls it a platform. Others talk of a group (Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi) or a family (Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jianan).

    So what could it be?

    Brics+ is state-driven – with civil society on the margins. It reminds one of the African Union, which pays lip service to citizens’ engagement in decision-making.

    One possibility is that it will evolve into an intergovernmental organisation with a constitution that sets up its agencies, functions and purposes. Examples include the World Health Organization, the African Development Bank and the UN general assembly.

    But it would need to cohere around shared values. What would they be?

    Critics point out that Brics+ consists of democracies (South Africa, Brazil, India), a theocracy (Iran), monarchies (UAE, Saudi Arabia) and authoritarian dictatorships (China, Russia). For South Africa this creates a domestic headache. At the Kazan summit, its president declared Russia a friend and ally. At home, its coalition partner in the government of national unity, the Democratic Alliance, declared Ukraine as a friend and ally.




    Read more:
    When two elephants fight: how the global south uses non-alignment to avoid great power rivalries


    There are also marked differences over issues such as the reform of the United Nations. For example, at the recent UN Summit of the Future the consensus was for reform of the UN security council. But will China and Russia, as permanent security council members, agree to more seats, with veto rights, on the council?

    As for violent conflict, humanitarian crises, corruption and crime, there is little from the Kazan summit that suggests agreement around action.

    Unity of purpose

    What about shared interests? A number of Brics+ members and the partner countries maintain close trade ties with the west, which regards Russia and Iran as enemies and China as a global threat.

    Some, such as India and South Africa, use the foreign policy notions of strategic ambiguity or active non-alignment to mask the reality of trading with east, west, north and south.

    The harsh truth of international relations is there are no permanent friends or enemies, only permanent interests. The Brics+ alliance will most likely cohere as a global south co-operative, with an innovative self-help agenda, but be reluctant to overturn the current global order from which it desires to benefit more equitably.

    Trade-offs and compromises might be necessary to ensure “unity of purpose”. It’s not clear that this loose alliance is close to being able to achieve that.

    Anthoni van Nieuwkerk does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Brics+ could shape a new world order, but it lacks shared values and a unified identity – https://theconversation.com/brics-could-shape-a-new-world-order-but-it-lacks-shared-values-and-a-unified-identity-242308

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Amid the West’s wavering aid to Ukraine, North Korea backs Russia in a mutually beneficial move

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By James Horncastle, Assistant Professor and Edward and Emily McWhinney Professor in International Relations, Simon Fraser University

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently accused North Korea of plans to send 10,000 soldiers to fight for Russia in Ukraine. South Korean intelligence later gave credence to Zelenskyy’s assertion, as the country’s legislators noted that North Korea has already dispatched 3,000 soldiers to Russia.

    North Korea lending a helping hand to Russia is nothing new. The country has already provided Russia with significant munitions to supplement its depleted reserves. North Korean soldiers, in fact, are likely already fighting in the conflict.

    North Korea’s alleged decision to send additional soldiers to fight demonstrates the inadequacy of the West’s actions. Wavering western commitment to Ukraine has not only made the situation in Ukraine worse, it’s compromised global security too.




    Read more:
    Kim Jong-un sends North Korean troops to fight in Ukraine – here’s what this means for the war


    Immediate benefits for Russia

    Each side in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is seeking any and all assistance from its allies. In Russia’s case, western efforts to make Russian President Vladimir Putin a pariah caused him to turn to another pariah in the international order: North Korea.

    Russian-North Korean diplomatic relations are longstanding. With the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Boris Yeltsin initially favoured relations with South Korea over its northern counterpart. But since Putin assumed power in 2000, Russia has strengthened its ties with North Korea, albeit with a few notable exceptions.

    Russia has always been the dominant partner in the relationship. North Korea, however, has leveraged Russia’s diplomatic isolation for its own benefit. This explains why it’s providing soldiers to Russia on a scale that helps address the most immediate Russian concern: lessening the burden on its population.

    Russia has employed mass mobilization in the conflict, but it has sought to push this burden onto the ethnic minorities and rural population of the country.

    The protracted nature of the conflict, however, means that it’s increasingly difficult for Russia to disproportionately mobilize these elements. The more Putin’s government relies on ethnic Russians from the larger cities of the country, the more it puts his position under strain. Ten thousand North Korean soldiers will help alleviate this issue in the short term.




    Read more:
    Russians flee the draft as the reality of the war in Ukraine hits home


    Benefits for North Korea

    Despite North Korea’s diplomatic connections with Russia, it remains one of the world’s most isolated countries.

    North Korea’s closest relationship is with China, which is both a blessing and a curse — a blessing because China, for its own reasons, frequently provides diplomatic cover for North Korean actions; a curse because it puts North Korea at risk of becoming dependent on China, even though their objectives do not often align.

    North Korea’s deepening alliance with Russia is reminiscent of its strategy during the Cold War, when it maintained strong relations with both the Soviet Union and China to prevent itself from being subsumed by either.

    North Korea will also receive substantive benefits from its alliance with Russia. An endemic problem for North Korea is food shortages. During the 1990s, as many as three million people died from starvation.

    There is evidence North Korea faced famine conditions as recently as 2023. Russia’s delivery of almost 500 goats to North Korea in what’s been dubbed a “goats for guns” exchange addresses a pressing need for North Koreans.

    North Korean participation in the Russia-Ukraine war also gives the country opportunities to access Russian military training. While western analysts have criticized Russia’s military performance in terms of training and doctrine, it still represents a substantial upgrade for North Korea. Furthermore, there is no substitute for the live experience North Korean soldiers will amass on the battlefield.




    Read more:
    3 ways Russia has shown military ‘incompetence’ during its invasion of Ukraine


    Perhaps more worrisome is potential Russian aid for North Korea’s missile program. As one of the world’s nuclear powers, North Korea has lagged in its ability to deploy nuclear weapons, with its ballistic missile tests frequently ending in malfunctions, disasters or both.

    While Russian missile technology has its own limitations, it is still significantly beyond North Korea’s current capabilities.

    Given the pressure that North Korea has been able to exert with its missile tests alone in recent years, any improvement in its capabilities has the potential to destabilize the Asia-Pacific region.

    Global consequences for western inaction

    Russia’s need for North Korean support will undoubtedly improve North Korea’s military technology, as well as provide its army with valuable military experience.

    North Korea has in the past — and will likely in the future — stoke instability in the Asia-Pacific region. The gains North Korea has made from its partnership with Russia will only increase its ability to pose a threat in the region.

    It should not be a shocking development that North Korea provided Russia with soldiers. Instead, what should be controversial is how the West’s wavering support of Ukraine and delays in providing meaningful aid have resulted in a protracted conflict that gave Russia the time to muster resources, like North Korean soldiers, for the conflict.

    Western states, in so doing, not only put Ukraine in a disadvantageous position, but weakened their own security as well.

    James Horncastle does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Amid the West’s wavering aid to Ukraine, North Korea backs Russia in a mutually beneficial move – https://theconversation.com/amid-the-wests-wavering-aid-to-ukraine-north-korea-backs-russia-in-a-mutually-beneficial-move-241970

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Statement from Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre on the Visit of President Nikos Christodoulides of the Republic of  Cyprus

    US Senate News:

    Source: The White House
    On October 30, President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. will host President Nikos Christodoulides of the Republic of Cyprus for a bilateral meeting at the White House. Building on the successful inaugural U.S.-Republic of Cyprus Strategic Dialogue, launched on October 23, the leaders will discuss a range of global issues, including energy security and cooperation, events in the Middle East, and continued robust support to Ukraine in its defense against Russian aggression. Acknowledging the 50th anniversary of the island’s division, President Biden will reiterate U.S. support for a bizonal, bicommunal federation with political equality for all Cypriots.  

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI: C&F Financial Corporation Announces Net Income for Third Quarter and First Nine Months

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    TOANO, Va., Oct. 29, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — C&F Financial Corporation (the Corporation) (NASDAQ: CFFI), the holding company for C&F Bank, today reported consolidated net income of $5.4 million for the third quarter of 2024, compared to $5.8 million for the third quarter of 2023. The Corporation reported consolidated net income of $13.9 million for the first nine months of 2024, compared to $18.7 million for the first nine months of 2023. The following table presents selected financial performance highlights for the periods indicated:

                                     
        For The Quarter Ended     For the Nine Months Ended  
    Consolidated Financial Highlights (unaudited)   9/30/2024     9/30/2023     9/30/2024     9/30/2023  
    Consolidated net income (000’s)   $ 5,420     $ 5,777     $ 13,889     $ 18,658  
                                     
    Earnings per share – basic and diluted   $ 1.65     $ 1.71     $ 4.15     $ 5.41  
                                     
    Annualized return on average equity     9.74 %     11.28 %     8.47 %     12.22 %
    Annualized return on average tangible common equity1     11.16 %     13.19 %     9.74 %     14.18 %
    Annualized return on average assets     0.86 %     0.96 %     0.75 %     1.04 %

    ________________________
    1 For more information about these non-GAAP financial measures, which are not calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), please see “Use of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and “Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures,” below.

    “We are pleased with our results from the third quarter,” commented Tom Cherry, President and Chief Executive Officer of C&F Financial Corporation. “Both loans and deposits demonstrated solid growth, and the community banking segment showed increased earnings when compared to the previous quarter. Despite market and industry challenges, the consumer finance and mortgage banking segments remained profitable. Our net interest margin was relatively flat when compared to the second quarter, which was expected, and asset quality, liquidity and capital all remain strong.”

    Key highlights for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024 are as follows.

    • Community banking segment loans grew $158.5 million, or 16.6 percent annualized, and $185.6 million, or 14.9 percent, compared to December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023, respectively;
    • Consumer finance segment loans grew $8.8 million, or 2.5 percent annualized, and $6.1 million, or 1.3 percent, compared to December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023, respectively;
    • Deposits increased $69.8 million, or 4.5 percent annualized, and $107.5 million, or 5.3 percent, compared to December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023, respectively;
    • Consolidated annualized net interest margin was 4.13 percent for the third quarter of 2024 compared to 4.29 percent for the third quarter of 2023 and 4.12 percent in the second quarter of 2024;
    • The community banking segment recorded provision for credit losses of $700,000 and $1.7 million for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, respectively, compared to $500,000 and $1.6 million for the same periods in 2023;
    • The consumer finance segment recorded provision for credit losses of $3.0 million and $8.1 million for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, respectively, compared to $1.6 million and $4.3 million for the same periods in 2023;
    • The consumer finance segment experienced net charge-offs at an annualized rate of 2.36 percent of average total loans for the first nine months of 2024, compared to 1.75 percent for the first nine months of 2023;
    • Mortgage banking segment loan originations were $157.0 million for the third quarter of 2024, an increase of $27.3 million, or 21.1 percent, and an increase of $11.0 million, or 7.5 percent, compared to the third quarter of 2023 and the second quarter of 2024, respectively;
    • During the third quarter of 2024, the community banking segment opened a new retail banking branch in Colonial Heights, Virginia and announced the closure of its Hampton, Virginia branch in the fourth quarter of 2024.

    Community Banking Segment. The community banking segment reported net income of $5.3 million and $13.9 million for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, respectively, compared to $5.7 million and $17.7 million for the same periods in 2023. The decreases in community banking segment net income were due primarily to:

    • higher interest expense due primarily to higher rates on deposits and higher balances of interest-bearing deposits, partially offset by lower balances of borrowings;
    • higher salaries and employee benefits expense for the first nine months of 2024, as compared to the same period in 2023, which have generally increased in line with market conditions. Salaries and employee benefits expense decreased to $8.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $9.1 million and $9.4 million for the three months ended June 30, 2024 and March 31, 2024, respectively, due primarily to a reduction in headcount through attrition;
    • higher occupancy expense related to branch network improvements, including the relocation of a branch and the opening of a new branch; and
    • higher data processing and consulting costs related to investments in operational technology to improve resilience, efficiency and customer experience;

    partially offset by:

    • higher interest income resulting from the effects of higher interest rates on asset yields and higher average balances of loans, offset in part by lower average balances of securities; and
    • higher wealth management services income as assets under management increased 19.0 percent for the first nine months of 2024, as compared to the same period in 2023.

    Average loans increased $186.5 million, or 15.2 percent, for the third quarter of 2024 and increased $158.4 million, or 13.2 percent, for the first nine months of 2024, compared to the same periods in 2023, due primarily to growth in the construction, commercial real estate, and residential mortgage segments of the loan portfolio. Average deposits increased $135.8 million, or 6.8 percent, for the third quarter of 2024 and increased $101.2 million, or 5.1 percent, for the first nine months of 2024, compared to the same periods in 2023, due primarily to higher balance of time deposits, partially offset by decreases in savings and interest-bearing demand deposits and noninterest-bearing demand deposits.

    Average loan yields and average costs of interest-bearing deposits were higher for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, compared to the same periods of 2023, due primarily to the effects of the higher interest rate environment.

    The community banking segment’s nonaccrual loans were $628,000 at September 30, 2024 compared to $406,000 at December 31, 2023. The community banking segment recorded provision for credit losses of $700,000 and $1.7 million for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, respectively, compared to $500,000 and $1.6 million for the same periods of 2023. At September 30, 2024, the allowance for credit losses increased to $17.5 million, compared to $16.1 million at December 31, 2023. The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans decreased to 1.22 percent at September 30, 2024 from 1.26 percent at December 31, 2023. The increases in provision and allowance for credit losses are due primarily to growth in the loan portfolio. Management believes that the level of the allowance for credit losses is adequate to reflect the net amount expected to be collected.

    Mortgage Banking Segment. The mortgage banking segment reported net income of $351,000 for the third quarter of 2024, compared to a net loss of $5,000 for the same period of 2023, due primarily to:

    • higher gains on sales of loans due to higher volume of mortgage loan originations; and
    • higher mortgage banking fee income;

    partially offset by:

    • higher variable expenses tied to mortgage loan origination volume such as commissions and bonuses, reported in salaries and employee benefits, and data processing expenses.

    The mortgage banking segment reported net income of $1.0 million for the first nine months of 2024, compared to $568,000 for the same period of 2023, due primarily to:

    • lower variable expenses tied to mortgage loan origination volume such as commissions and bonuses, reported in salaries and employee benefits, as well as mortgage banking loan processing expenses and data processing expenses;
    • lower occupancy expense due to an effort to reduce overhead costs;
    • higher mortgage banking fee income; and
    • relatively unchanged gains on sales of loans and mortgage loan production volume;

    partially offset by:

    • lower mortgage lender services income due lower mortgage loan production volume across the industry.

    The sustained elevated level of mortgage interest rates, combined with higher home prices and lower levels of inventory, has led to a level of mortgage loan originations in 2024 and 2023 for the industry that is lower than recent historical averages. Mortgage loan originations for the mortgage banking segment were $157.0 million for the third quarter of 2024, comprised of $15.0 million refinancings and $142.0 million home purchases, compared to $129.7 million, comprised of $11.9 million refinancings and $117.8 million home purchases, for the same period in 2023. Mortgage loan originations for the mortgage banking segment were $397.3 million for the first nine months of 2024, comprised of $34.3 million refinancings and $363.0 million home purchases, compared to $400.6 million, comprised of $40.2 million refinancings and $360.4 million home purchases, for the same period in 2023. Mortgage loan originations in the third quarter of 2024 increased $11.0 million compared to the second quarter of 2024 due in part to normal industry seasonal fluctuations. Mortgage loan segment originations include originations of loans sold to the community banking segment, at prices similar to those paid by third-party investors. These transactions are eliminated to reach consolidated totals.

    During the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, the mortgage banking segment recorded a reversal of provision for indemnification losses of $100,000 and $375,000, respectively, compared to a reversal of provision for indemnification losses of $200,000 and $435,000 in the same periods of 2023. The mortgage banking segment increased reserves for indemnification losses during 2020 based on widespread forbearance on mortgage loans and economic uncertainty related to the COVID-19 pandemic. The release of indemnification reserves in 2024 and 2023 was due primarily to improvement in the mortgage banking segment’s assessment of borrower payment performance, lower volume of mortgage loan originations in recent years and other factors affecting expected losses on mortgage loans sold in the secondary market, such as time since origination. Management believes that the indemnification reserve is sufficient to absorb losses related to loans that have been sold in the secondary market.

    Consumer Finance Segment.   The consumer finance segment reported net income of $311,000 and $1.1 million for the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, respectively, compared to net income of $682,000 and $2.3 million for the same periods in 2023. The decreases in consumer finance segment net income were due primarily to:

    • higher provision for credit losses due primarily to increased net charge-offs and loan growth; and
    • higher interest expense on variable rate borrowings from the community banking segment as a result of higher interest rates and higher balances of borrowings;

    partially offset by:

    • higher interest income resulting from the effects of higher interest rates on loan yields and higher average balances of loans;
    • lower salaries and employee benefits expense due to an effort to reduce overhead costs; and
    • lower loan recovery expense related to growth in loans with stronger credit quality and efficiency initiatives within the collections department.

    Average loans increased $8.3 million, or 1.8 percent, for the third quarter of 2024 and increased $3.0 million, or less than one percent, for the first nine months of 2024, compared to the same periods in 2023. The consumer finance segment experienced net charge-offs at an annualized rate of 2.36 percent of average total loans for the first nine months of 2024, compared to 1.75 percent for the first nine months of 2023, due primarily to an increase in the number of delinquent loans and repossessions and a higher average charge-off per unit as a result of larger loan amounts due to higher automobile values during 2020 and 2021 and a decline in wholesale values of used automobiles since then. At September 30, 2024, total delinquent loans as a percentage of total loans was 3.49 percent, compared to 4.09 percent at December 31, 2023, 3.30 percent at September 30, 2023, and 3.51 percent at June 30, 2024. Delinquency and loss rates have generally returned to pre-pandemic levels due to the passage of time since the expiration of stimulus and enhanced unemployment benefits that benefitted borrowers.

    The consumer finance segment, at times, offers payment deferrals as a portfolio management technique to achieve higher ultimate cash collections on select loan accounts. A significant reliance on deferrals as a means of managing collections may result in a lengthening of the loss confirmation period, which would increase expectations of credit losses inherent in the portfolio. The average amounts deferred on a monthly basis during the third quarter and first nine months of 2024 were 1.91 percent and 1.70 percent of average automobile loans outstanding compared to 2.20 percent and 1.83 percent during the same periods during 2023. The allowance for credit losses was $23.2 million at September 30, 2024 and $23.6 million at December 31, 2023. The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans decreased to 4.87 percent at September 30, 2024 from 5.03 percent at December 31, 2023, primarily as a result of growth in loans with stronger credit quality while balances of loans with lower credit quality declined. Management believes that the level of the allowance for credit losses is adequate to reflect the net amount expected to be collected. If loan performance deteriorates resulting in further elevated delinquencies or net charge-offs, the provision for credit losses may increase in future periods.

    Liquidity. The objective of the Corporation’s liquidity management is to ensure the continuous availability of funds to satisfy the credit needs of our customers and the demands of our depositors, creditors and investors. Uninsured deposits represent an estimate of amounts above the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) insurance coverage limit of $250,000. As of September 30, 2024, the Corporation’s uninsured deposits were approximately $607.6 million, or 28.5 percent of total deposits. Excluding intercompany cash holdings and municipal deposits, which are secured with pledged securities, amounts uninsured were approximately $455.6 million, or 21.3 percent of total deposits as of September 30, 2024. The Corporation’s liquid assets, which include cash and due from banks, interest-bearing deposits at other banks and nonpledged securities available for sale, were $287.4 million and borrowing availability was $583.8 million as of September 30, 2024, which in total exceed uninsured deposits, excluding intercompany cash holdings and secured municipal deposits, by $415.6 million as of September 30, 2024.

    In addition to deposits, the Corporation utilizes short-term and long-term borrowings as sources of funds. Short-term borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank and the Federal Home loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLB) may be used to fund the Corporation’s day-to-day operations. Short-term borrowings also include securities sold under agreements to repurchase. Total borrowings increased to $142.3 million at September 30, 2024 from $109.5 million at December 31, 2023 due primarily to higher borrowings from the FHLB. Borrowings decreased $4.7 million from $147.0 million at September 30, 2023.

    Additional sources of liquidity available to the Corporation include cash flows from operations, loan payments and payoffs, deposit growth, maturities, calls and sales of securities and the issuance of brokered certificates of deposit.

    Capital and Dividends.   The Corporation declared a quarterly cash dividend for the third quarter of 2024 of $0.44 per share, which was paid on October 1, 2024. This dividend represents a payout ratio of 26.7 percent of earnings per share for the third quarter of 2024. The Board of Directors of the Corporation continually reviews the amount of cash dividends per share and the resulting dividend payout ratio in light of changes in economic conditions, current and future capital requirements, and expected future earnings.

    Total consolidated equity increased $10.4 million at September 30, 2024, compared to December 31, 2023, due primarily to net income and lower unrealized losses in the market value of securities available for sale, which are recognized as a component of other comprehensive income, partially offset by share repurchases and dividends paid on the Corporation’s common stock. The Corporation’s securities available for sale are fixed income debt securities and their unrealized loss position is a result of rising market interest rates since they were purchased. The Corporation expects to recover its investments in debt securities through scheduled payments of principal and interest and unrealized losses are not expected to affect the earnings or regulatory capital of the Corporation or C&F Bank. The accumulated other comprehensive loss related to the Corporation’s securities available for sale decreased to $17.2 million at September 30, 2024 compared to $25.0 million at December 31, 2023 due primarily to fluctuations in market interest rates of debt securities.

    As of September 30, 2024, the most recent notification from the FDIC categorized the C&F Bank as well capitalized under the regulatory framework for prompt corrective action. To be categorized as well capitalized under regulations applicable at September 30, 2024, C&F Bank was required to maintain minimum total risk-based, Tier 1 risk-based, CET1 risk-based and Tier 1 leverage ratios. In addition to the regulatory risk-based capital requirements, C&F Bank must maintain a capital conservation buffer of additional capital of 2.5 percent of risk-weighted assets as required by the Basel III capital rules. The Corporation and C&F Bank exceeded these ratios at September 30, 2024. For additional information, see “Capital Ratios” below. The above mentioned ratios are not impacted by unrealized losses on securities available for sale. In the event that all of these unrealized losses became realized into earnings, the Corporation and C&F Bank would both continue to exceed minimum capital requirements, including the capital conservation buffer, and be considered well capitalized.

    In December 2023, the Board of Directors authorized a program, effective January 1, 2024, to repurchase up to $10.0 million of the Corporation’s common stock through December 31, 2024. During the third quarter and first nine months of 2024, the Corporation repurchased 60,520 shares, or $3.2 million, and 149,594 shares, or $7.3 million, of its common stock under this share repurchase program, respectively.

    About C&F Financial Corporation.  The Corporation’s common stock is listed for trading on The Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol CFFI. The common stock closed at a price of $61.78 per share on October 28, 2024. At September 30, 2024, the book value per share of the Corporation was $70.29 and the tangible book value per share was $62.13. For more information about the Corporation’s tangible book value per share, which is not calculated in accordance with GAAP, please see “Use of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and “Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures,” below.

    C&F Bank operates 32 banking offices and four commercial loan offices located throughout eastern and central Virginia and offers full wealth management services through its subsidiary C&F Wealth Management, Inc. C&F Mortgage Corporation and its subsidiary C&F Select LLC provide mortgage loan origination services through offices located in Virginia, North Carolina, and West Virginia. C&F Finance Company provides automobile, marine and recreational vehicle loans through indirect lending programs offered in Alabama, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia from its headquarters in Henrico, Virginia.

    Additional information regarding the Corporation’s products and services, as well as access to its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), are available on the Corporation’s website at http://www.cffc.com.

    Use of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures. The accounting and reporting policies of the Corporation conform to GAAP in the United States and prevailing practices in the banking industry. However, certain non-GAAP measures are used by management to supplement the evaluation of the Corporation’s performance. These include adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share, adjusted return on average equity, adjusted return on average assets, return on average tangible common equity (ROTCE), adjusted ROTCE, tangible book value per share, price to tangible book value ratio, and the following fully-taxable equivalent (FTE) measures: interest income on loans-FTE, interest income on securities-FTE, total interest income-FTE and net interest income-FTE.

    Management believes that the use of these non-GAAP measures provides meaningful information about operating performance by enhancing comparability with other financial periods, other financial institutions, and between different sources of interest income. The non-GAAP measures used by management enhance comparability by excluding the effects of balances of intangible assets, including goodwill, that vary significantly between institutions, and tax benefits that are not consistent across different opportunities for investment. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered an alternative to GAAP-basis financial statements, and other bank holding companies may define or calculate these or similar measures differently. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures used by the Corporation to evaluate and measure the Corporation’s performance to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is presented below.

    Forward-Looking Statements.   This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs of the Corporation’s management, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, the Corporation’s management, and reflect management’s current views with respect to certain events that could have an impact on the Corporation’s future financial performance. These statements, including without limitation statements made in Mr. Cherry’s quote and statements regarding future interest rates and conditions in the Corporation’s industries and markets, relate to expectations concerning matters that are not historical fact, may express “belief,” “intention,” “expectation,” “potential” and similar expressions, and may use the words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “plan,” “may,” “might,” “will,” “intend,” “target,” “should,” “could,” or similar expressions. These statements are inherently uncertain, and there can be no assurance that the underlying assumptions will prove to be accurate. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated or implied by such statements. Forward-looking statements in this release may include, without limitation, statements regarding expected future operations and financial performance, expected trends in yields on loans, expected future recovery of investments in debt securities, future dividend payments, deposit trends, charge-offs and delinquencies, changes in cost of funds and net interest margin and items affecting net interest margin, strategic business initiatives and the anticipated effects thereof, changes in interest rates and the effects thereof on net interest income, mortgage loan originations, expectations regarding C&F Bank’s regulatory risk-based capital requirement levels, technology initiatives, our diversified business strategy, asset quality, credit quality, adequacy of allowances for credit losses and the level of future charge-offs, market interest rates and housing inventory and resulting effects in mortgage loan origination volume, sources of liquidity, adequacy of the reserve for indemnification losses related to loans sold in the secondary market, the effect of future market and industry trends, the effects of future interest rate fluctuations, cybersecurity risks, and inflation. Factors that could have a material adverse effect on the operations and future prospects of the Corporation include, but are not limited to, changes in:

    • interest rates, such as volatility in short-term interest rates or yields on U.S. Treasury bonds, increases in interest rates following actions by the Federal Reserve and increases or volatility in mortgage interest rates
    • general business conditions, as well as conditions within the financial markets
    • general economic conditions, including unemployment levels, inflation rates, supply chain disruptions and slowdowns in economic growth
    • general market conditions, including disruptions due to pandemics or significant health hazards, severe weather conditions, natural disasters, terrorist activities, financial crises, political crises, war and other military conflicts (including the ongoing military conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East) or other major events, or the prospect of these events
    • average loan yields and average costs of interest-bearing deposits
    • financial services industry conditions, including bank failures or concerns involving liquidity
    • labor market conditions, including attracting, hiring, training, motivating and retaining qualified employees
    • the legislative/regulatory climate, regulatory initiatives with respect to financial institutions, products and services, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (the CFPB) and the regulatory and enforcement activities of the CFPB
    • monetary and fiscal policies of the U.S. Government, including policies of the FDIC, U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and the effect of these policies on interest rates and business in our markets
    • demand for financial services in the Corporation’s market area
    • the value of securities held in the Corporation’s investment portfolios
    • the quality or composition of the loan portfolios and the value of the collateral securing those loans
    • the inventory level, demand and fluctuations in the pricing of used automobiles, including sales prices of repossessed vehicles
    • the level of automobile loan delinquencies or defaults and our ability to repossess automobiles securing delinquent automobile finance installment contracts
    • the level of net charge-offs on loans and the adequacy of our allowance for credit losses
    • the level of indemnification losses related to mortgage loans sold
    • demand for loan products
    • deposit flows
    • the strength of the Corporation’s counterparties
    • the availability of lines of credit from the FHLB and other counterparties
    • the soundness of other financial institutions and any indirect exposure related to the closing of other financial institutions and their impact on the broader market through other customers, suppliers and partners, or that the conditions which resulted in the liquidity concerns experienced by closed financial institutions may also adversely impact, directly or indirectly, other financial institutions and market participants with which the Corporation has commercial or deposit relationships
    • competition from both banks and non-banks, including competition in the non-prime automobile finance markets and marine and recreational vehicle finance markets
    • services provided by, or the level of the Corporation’s reliance upon third parties for key services
    • the commercial and residential real estate markets, including changes in property values
    • the demand for residential mortgages and conditions in the secondary residential mortgage loan markets
    • the Corporation’s technology initiatives and other strategic initiatives
    • the Corporation’s branch expansions and consolidations plans
    • cyber threats, attacks or events
    • C&F Bank’s product offerings
    • accounting principles, policies and guidelines, and elections by the Corporation thereunder

    These risks and uncertainties should be considered in evaluating the forward-looking statements contained herein, and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this release. For additional information on risk factors that could affect the forward-looking statements contained herein, see the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023 and other reports filed with the SEC. The Corporation undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

       
    C&F Financial CorporationSelected Financial Information
    (dollars in thousands, except for per share data)
    (unaudited)
     
       
    Financial Condition   9/30/2024    12/31/2023    9/30/2023  
    Interest-bearing deposits in other banks   $ 32,507   $ 58,777   $ 53,407  
    Investment securities – available for sale, at fair value     409,045     462,444     460,653  
    Loans held for sale, at fair value     44,677     14,176     25,469  
    Loans, net:                    
    Community Banking segment     1,414,576     1,257,557     1,230,694  
    Consumer Finance segment     454,062     444,931     446,787  
    Total assets     2,550,904     2,438,498     2,421,705  
    Deposits     2,135,891     2,066,130     2,028,429  
    Repurchase agreements     28,643     30,705     28,660  
    Other borrowings     113,683     78,834     118,388  
    Total equity     227,958     217,516     200,380  
                                     
        For The     For The  
        Quarter Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    Results of Operations   9/30/2024     9/30/2023     9/30/2024     9/30/2023  
    Interest income   $ 36,131     $ 31,686     $ 103,151     $ 91,729  
    Interest expense     11,442       7,224       31,476       17,964  
    Provision for credit losses:                                
    Community Banking segment     700       500       1,650       1,550  
    Consumer Finance segment     3,000       1,550       8,100       4,250  
    Noninterest income:                                
    Gains on sales of loans     1,825       1,220       4,814       4,930  
    Other     6,947       4,994       18,774       16,882  
    Noninterest expenses:                                
    Salaries and employee benefits     13,921       12,921       41,625       40,841  
    Other     9,170       8,605       26,989       25,969  
    Income tax expense     1,250       1,323       3,010       4,309  
    Net income     5,420       5,777       13,889       18,658  
                                     
    Fully-taxable equivalent (FTE) amounts1                                
    Interest income on loans-FTE     33,070       28,423       94,166       81,999  
    Interest income on securities-FTE     2,958       3,134       9,033       9,589  
    Total interest income-FTE     36,417       31,936       104,010       92,424  
    Net interest income-FTE     24,975       24,712       72,534       74,460  

    ________________________
    1For more information about these non-GAAP financial measures, please see “Use of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and “Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

                                       
        For the Quarter Ended  
          9/30/2024      9/30/2023     
        Average      Income/      Yield/   Average      Income/      Yield/  
    Yield Analysis   Balance     Expense     Rate   Balance     Expense     Rate  
    Assets                                  
    Securities:                                  
    Taxable   $ 318,834     $ 1,828   2.29 % $ 414,036     $ 2,207   2.13 %
    Tax-exempt     119,253       1,130   3.79     110,182       927   3.37  
    Total securities     438,087       2,958   2.70     524,218       3,134   2.39  
    Loans:                                  
    Community banking segment     1,411,337       19,797   5.58     1,224,791       15,887   5.15  
    Mortgage banking segment     40,232       597   5.90     30,210       517   6.79  
    Consumer finance segment     481,124       12,676   10.48     472,811       12,019   10.09  
    Total loans     1,932,693       33,070   6.81     1,727,812       28,423   6.53  
    Interest-bearing deposits in other banks     38,756       389   3.99     38,507       379   3.90  
    Total earning assets     2,409,536       36,417   6.02     2,290,537       31,936   5.54  
    Allowance for credit losses     (40,879 )               (41,014 )            
    Total non-earning assets     158,063                 151,070              
    Total assets   $ 2,526,720               $ 2,400,593              
                                       
    Liabilities and Equity                                  
    Interest-bearing deposits:                                  
    Interest-bearing demand deposits   $ 323,019       540   0.67   $ 341,707       505   0.59  
    Money market deposit accounts     293,789       1,104   1.49     304,309       782   1.02  
    Savings accounts     178,417       23   0.05     204,042       29   0.06  
    Certificates of deposit     801,669       8,524   4.23     571,499       4,316   3.00  
    Total interest-bearing deposits     1,596,894       10,191   2.54     1,421,557       5,632   1.57  
    Borrowings:                                  
    Repurchase agreements     27,207       117   1.72     29,440       95   1.29  
    Other borrowings     93,961       1,134   4.83     122,250       1,497   4.90  
    Total borrowings     121,168       1,251   4.13     151,690       1,592   4.20  
    Total interest-bearing liabilities     1,718,062       11,442   2.65     1,573,247       7,224   1.83  
    Noninterest-bearing demand deposits     537,796                 577,382              
    Other liabilities     48,330                 45,124              
    Total liabilities     2,304,188                 2,195,753              
    Equity     222,532                 204,840              
    Total liabilities and equity   $ 2,526,720               $ 2,400,593              
    Net interest income         $ 24,975             $ 24,712      
    Interest rate spread               3.37 %             3.71 %
    Interest expense to average earning assets               1.89 %             1.25 %
    Net interest margin               4.13 %             4.29 %
                                       
        For the Nine Months Ended  
          9/30/2024      9/30/2023     
        Average      Income/      Yield/   Average      Income/      Yield/  
    Yield Analysis   Balance     Expense     Rate   Balance     Expense     Rate  
    Assets                                  
    Securities:                                  
    Taxable   $ 340,297     $ 5,665   2.22 % $ 441,204     $ 7,017   2.12 %
    Tax-exempt     119,931       3,368   3.74     104,549       2,572   3.28  
    Total securities     460,228       9,033   2.62     545,753       9,589   2.34  
    Loans:                                  
    Community banking segment     1,357,962       55,671   5.48     1,199,560       45,375   5.06  
    Mortgage banking segment     30,759       1,411   6.13     26,713       1,312   6.57  
    Consumer finance segment     477,768       37,084   10.37     474,738       35,312   9.94  
    Total loans     1,866,489       94,166   6.74     1,701,011       81,999   6.45  
    Interest-bearing deposits in other banks     30,197       811   3.59     33,072       836   3.38  
    Total earning assets     2,356,914       104,010   5.89     2,279,836       92,424   5.42  
    Allowance for loan losses     (40,670 )               (41,192 )            
    Total non-earning assets     155,935                 150,826              
    Total assets   $ 2,472,179               $ 2,389,470              
                                       
    Liabilities and Equity                                  
    Interest-bearing deposits:                                  
    Interest-bearing demand deposits   $ 326,540       1,569   0.64   $ 359,157       1,578   0.59  
    Money market deposit accounts     295,257       3,177   1.44     323,630       2,121   0.88  
    Savings accounts     181,880       85   0.06     213,940       91   0.06  
    Certificates of deposit     753,114       23,140   4.10     509,424       9,447   2.48  
    Total interest-bearing deposits     1,556,791       27,971   2.40     1,406,151       13,237   1.26  
    Borrowings:                                  
    Repurchase agreements     26,774       325   1.62     32,048       273   1.14  
    Other borrowings     91,024       3,180   4.66     122,984       4,454   4.83  
    Total borrowings     117,798       3,505   3.97     155,032       4,727   4.07  
    Total interest-bearing liabilities     1,674,589       31,476   2.51     1,561,183       17,964   1.54  
    Noninterest-bearing demand deposits     533,113                 582,573              
    Other liabilities     45,835                 42,108              
    Total liabilities     2,253,537                 2,185,864              
    Equity     218,642                 203,606              
    Total liabilities and equity   $ 2,472,179               $ 2,389,470              
    Net interest income         $ 72,534             $ 74,460      
    Interest rate spread               3.38 %             3.88 %
    Interest expense to average earning assets               1.78 %             1.05 %
    Net interest margin               4.11 %             4.37 %
                       
        9/30/2024
    Funding Sources    Capacity      Outstanding      Available
    Unsecured federal funds agreements   $ 75,000   $   $ 75,000
    Borrowings from FHLB     254,445     60,000     194,445
    Borrowings from Federal Reserve Bank     314,385         314,385
    Total   $ 643,830   $ 60,000   $ 583,830
                   
    Asset Quality   9/30/2024   12/31/2023  
    Community Banking              
    Total loans   $ 1,432,109   $ 1,273,629  
    Nonaccrual loans   $ 628   $ 406  
                   
    Allowance for credit losses (ACL)   $ 17,533   $ 16,072  
    Nonaccrual loans to total loans     0.04 %   0.03 %
    ACL to total loans     1.22 %   1.26 %
    ACL to nonaccrual loans     2,791.88 %   3,958.62 %
    Annualized year-to-date net charge-offs to average loans     0.01 %   0.01 %
                   
    Consumer Finance              
    Total loans   $ 477,300   $ 468,510  
    Nonaccrual loans   $ 1,101   $ 892  
    Repossessed assets   $ 522   $ 646  
    ACL   $ 23,238   $ 23,579  
    Nonaccrual loans to total loans     0.23 %   0.19 %
    ACL to total loans     4.87 %   5.03 %
    ACL to nonaccrual loans     2,110.63 %   2,643.39 %
    Annualized year-to-date net charge-offs to average loans     2.36 %   1.99 %
                                     
        For The     For The  
        Quarter Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    Other Performance Data   9/30/2024     9/30/2023     9/30/2024     9/30/2023  
    Net Income (Loss):                                
    Community Banking   $ 5,337       $ 5,685       $ 13,920       $ 17,742    
    Mortgage Banking     351         (5 )       1,021         568    
    Consumer Finance     311         682         1,142         2,261    
    Other1     (579 )       (585 )       (2,194 )       (1,913 )  
    Total   $ 5,420       $ 5,777       $ 13,889       $ 18,658    
                                     
    Net income attributable to C&F Financial Corporation   $ 5,389       $ 5,789       $ 13,797       $ 18,536    
                                     
    Earnings per share – basic and diluted   $ 1.65       $ 1.71       $ 4.15       $ 5.41    
    Weighted average shares outstanding – basic and diluted     3,258,420         3,391,624         3,323,942         3,426,845    
                                     
    Annualized return on average assets     0.86   %     0.96   %     0.75   %     1.04   %
    Annualized return on average equity     9.74   %     11.28   %     8.47   %     12.22   %
    Annualized return on average tangible common equity2     11.16   %     13.19   %     9.74   %     14.18   %
    Dividends declared per share   $ 0.44       $ 0.44       $ 1.32       $ 1.32    
                                     
    Mortgage loan originations – Mortgage Banking   $ 156,968       $ 129,658       $ 397,324       $ 400,559    
    Mortgage loans sold – Mortgage Banking     146,143         140,214         367,449         389,465    

    ________________________
    1 Includes results of the holding company that are not allocated to the business segments and elimination of inter-segment activity.
    2 For more information about these non-GAAP financial measures, please see “Use of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and “Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

                   
    Market Ratios   9/30/2024     12/31/2023
    Market value per share   $ 58.35     $ 68.19
    Book value per share   $ 70.29     $ 64.28
    Price to book value ratio     0.83       1.06
    Tangible book value per share1   $ 62.13     $ 56.40
    Price to tangible book value ratio1     0.94       1.21
    Price to earnings ratio (ttm)     10.30       9.87

    ________________________
    1 For more information about these non-GAAP financial measures, please see “Use of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and “Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

                         
                         
                    Minimum Capital
    Capital Ratios   9/30/2024   12/31/2023   Requirements3
    C&F Financial Corporation1                    
    Total risk-based capital ratio     13.8 %   14.8 %   8.0 %
    Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio     11.6 %   12.6 %   6.0 %
    Common equity tier 1 capital ratio     10.5 %   11.3 %   4.5 %
    Tier 1 leverage ratio     9.8 %   10.1 %   4.0 %
                         
    C&F Bank2                    
    Total risk-based capital ratio     13.4 %   14.1 %   8.0 %
    Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio     12.1 %   12.9 %   6.0 %
    Common equity tier 1 capital ratio     12.1 %   12.9 %   4.5 %
    Tier 1 leverage ratio     10.1 %   10.3 %   4.0 %

    ________________________
    1 The Corporation, a small bank holding company under applicable regulations and guidance, is not subject to the minimum regulatory capital regulations for bank holding companies. The regulatory requirements that apply to bank holding companies that are subject to regulatory capital requirements are presented above, along with the Corporation’s capital ratios as determined under those regulations.
    2 All ratios at September 30, 2024 are estimates and subject to change pending regulatory filings. All ratios at December 31, 2023 are presented as filed.
    3 The ratios presented for minimum capital requirements are those to be considered adequately capitalized.

                                     
        For The Quarter Ended     For The Nine Months Ended  
        9/30/2024     9/30/2023     9/30/2024     9/30/2023  
    Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures                        
    Return on Average Tangible Common Equity                                
    Average total equity, as reported   $ 222,532       $ 204,840       $ 218,642       $ 203,606    
    Average goodwill     (25,191 )       (25,191 )       (25,191 )       (25,191 )  
    Average other intangible assets     (1,242 )       (1,507 )       (1,303 )       (1,572 )  
    Average noncontrolling interest     (573 )       (484 )       (670 )       (668 )  
    Average tangible common equity   $ 195,526       $ 177,658       $ 191,478       $ 176,175    
                                     
    Net income   $ 5,420       $ 5,777       $ 13,889       $ 18,658    
    Amortization of intangibles     65         69         195         205    
    Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interest     (31 )       12         (92 )       (122 )  
    Net tangible income attributable to C&F Financial Corporation   $ 5,454       $ 5,858       $ 13,992       $ 18,741    
                                     
    Annualized return on average equity, as reported     9.74   %     11.28   %     8.47   %     12.22   %
    Annualized return on average tangible common equity     11.16   %     13.19   %     9.74   %     14.18   %
                                 
        For The Quarter Ended     For The Nine Months Ended
        9/30/2024     9/30/2023     9/30/2024   9/30/2023
    Fully Taxable Equivalent Net Interest Income1                            
    Interest income on loans   $ 33,021     $ 28,369     $ 94,014   $ 81,845
    FTE adjustment     49       54       152     154
    FTE interest income on loans   $ 33,070     $ 28,423     $ 94,166   $ 81,999
                                 
    Interest income on securities   $ 2,721     $ 2,938     $ 8,326   $ 9,048
    FTE adjustment     237       196       707     541
    FTE interest income on securities   $ 2,958     $ 3,134     $ 9,033   $ 9,589
                                 
    Total interest income   $ 36,131     $ 31,686     $ 103,151   $ 91,729
    FTE adjustment     286       250       859     695
    FTE interest income   $ 36,417     $ 31,936     $ 104,010   $ 92,424
                                 
    Net interest income   $ 24,689     $ 24,462     $ 71,675   $ 73,765
    FTE adjustment     286       250       859     695
    FTE net interest income   $ 24,975     $ 24,712     $ 72,534   $ 74,460

    ____________________
    1 Assuming a tax rate of 21%.

                   
        9/30/2024     12/31/2023
    Tangible Book Value Per Share          
    Equity attributable to C&F Financial Corporation   $ 227,340       $ 216,878  
    Goodwill     (25,191 )       (25,191 )
    Other intangible assets     (1,211 )       (1,407 )
    Tangible equity attributable to C&F Financial Corporation   $ 200,938       $ 190,280  
                   
    Shares outstanding     3,234,363         3,374,098  
                   
    Book value per share   $ 70.29       $ 64.28  
    Tangible book value per share   $ 62.13       $ 56.40  
       
    Contact: Jason Long, CFO and Secretary
      (804) 843-2360

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Tenth Annual Richard Goode Lecture: International Lending in War and Peace

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    The International Monetary Fund will hold its tenth annual Richard Goode Lecture on November 5, 2024. The Richard Goode Lecture is an annual event hosted by the Fiscal Affairs Department for top academics to present their cutting-edge research on topical policy issues before a broad audience of policymakers, thinktanks, and staff of international organizations.

    The theme of this year’s seminar is “International Lending in War and Peace” presented by Professor Christoph Trebesch. The lecture will present some key trends in international capital flows across 200 years, focusing on turbulent episodes during war and peace. It will illustrate the crucial role of official finance in helping avert military defeat or financial collapse.

    Professor Trebesch is a professor at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy and the University of Kiel. His research focuses on international finance and macroeconomics as well as political economy and geopolitics. His research has been published in leading economic journals such as the American Economic Review, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, and the Journal of Political Economy and is regularly cited in international media, including The New York Times, the Financial Times, and the Wall Street Journal. He directs the CEPR Policy Network on “International Lending and Sovereign Debt” and co-directs the CEPR Network on “Geoeconomics,” for which he organizes an annual high-level conference on geopolitics and economics. He is also the creator of the widely referenced “Ukraine Support Tracker” on military and financial aid flows to Ukraine. In 2023, he was awarded an ERC Consolidator Grant, one of the most prestigious research recognitions in Europe.

    *Light refreshments will be served.

    Questions for the speaker can be sent before the event to FADRG@imf.org

    Agenda

    10:02 AM – 10:05 AM Welcoming remarks by Vitor Gaspar, Director, Fiscal Affairs Department
    10:05 AM – 10:50 AM Presentation by Professor Christoph Trebesch
    10:50 AM – 11:05 AM Conversation between Vitor Gaspar and Christoph Trebesch
    11:05 AM – 11:25 AM Audience Q&A

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI USA: Higgins Calls for Redirecting Ukraine War Funding to Disaster Relief for Americans

    Source: United States House of Representatives – Congressman Clay Higgins (R-LA)

    WASHINGTON, D.C. – Congressman Clay Higgins (R-LA) introduced legislation that would redirect unobligated dollars from the Economic Support Fund, a part of the April 2024 Ukraine supplemental funding package, to FEMA’s Disaster Relief Fund and offer critical recovery help for Americans impacted by natural disasters.

    In April 2024, the Economic Support Fund was appropriated for an additional $8 billion for budget support. According to the Government Accountability Office (GAO), most of this funding was used to reimburse the Government of Ukraine for expenses such as salaries for teachers, civil servants, and health care workers.”

    “I work for the American citizenry, not Ukraine,” said Congressman Higgins. “The federal government has appropriated more than $174 billion to Ukraine while American citizens are struggling. Our nation is crippled with debt, and yet the Biden-Harris administration continues to prioritize spending for foreign interests. My legislation ensures that we are meeting disaster recovery needs and putting America and American citizens first.”

    Read the full legislation here.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Foreign digital interference – Adoption by the United Kingdom of sanctions against three Russian companies (28 Oct. 2024)

    Source: Republic of France in English
    The Republic of France has issued the following statement:

    France welcomes today’s adoption by the United Kingdom of a series of sanctions against three Russian companies and their leaders, implicated in Russian digital interference in Europe.

    France had reported these actors in June 2023 via the publication of the VIGINUM report on the RRN/Doppelgänger network, and in July 2023 it ensured European sanctions were imposed on these entities.

    France welcomes the excellent coordination between the EU and NATO Member States to broaden collective efforts to combat Russian interference in Europe and around the world. France condemns this interference and emphasizes, as did the British Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs, that these campaigns have so far failed to significantly disrupt the European public debate or European public support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

    France pays tribute to the tireless work of the fact-checkers and journalists working on a daily basis to put out reliable, high-quality information and combat the manipulation of information.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Video: Sudan, Middle East, Lebanon/Israel & other topics – Daily Press Briefing (28 Oct) | United Nations

    Source: United Nations (Video News)

    Noon Briefing by Stéphane Dujarric, Spokesperson for the Secretary-General.

    Highlights:
    -Secretary-General travel /Colombia
    -Sudan
    -Sudan/humanitarian
    -Middle East
    -Deputy Secretary-General
    -Lebanon/Israel
    -Lebanon/humanitarian
    -Occupied Palestinian territory
    -Gaza
    -Ukraine
    -Philippines
    -Abyei
    -Sahel and Lake Chad region
    -Briefings today and tomorrow

    Secretary-General travel /Colombia
    The Secretary-General will travel to Cali, in Colombia, to attend the high-level segment of the16th meeting of the Conference of Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (COP16). And he is heading out this afternoon.
    On Tuesday, in Cali, he will deliver remarks at the opening of the plenary session of the COP. In his remarks, he is expected to highlight that nature is life, and yet we are waging a war against it – a war where there can be no winner. He is expected to stress that biodiversity is humanity’s ally, and that we must move from plundering to preserving. He will also call for the promises made at the Framework adopted two years ago in Montreal to be turned into actions.
    While attending COP16, the Secretary-General will also meet and engage in discussions with Indigenous people and local communities, as well as other representatives of society, including youth groups and women’s groups. He will also meet with President Gustavo Petro of Colombia.
    On the sidelines of the COP, the Secretary-General will speak at an event on plastic pollution organized by the UN Environment Programme.
    And we expect the Secretary-General back in New York on Wednesday evening.

    Sudan
    In an open session this morning, the Secretary-General briefed the Security Council on the situation in Sudan. As you know, Security Council resolution 2736 that was adopted in June requested that the Secretary-General make recommendations to protect civilians in Sudan. He submitted that to the Security Council last week.
    In his remarks, Mr. Guterres outlined three key priorities from his recommendations: First, both sides must immediately agree to a cessation of hostilities; secondly, that civilians must be protected, and his third priority is related to the flow of humanitarian aid.
    Mr. Guterres added that at present, the conditions do not exist for the successful deployment of a UN force to protect civilians in Sudan.
    However, he said, he stands ready to engage with the Council and others on the range of operational modalities that can meaningfully contribute to the reduction in violence and the protection of civilians.
    Moreover, he urged the Council to continue supporting his Special Envoy, Ramtane Lamamra in his diplomatic efforts.
    Mr. Guterres spoke at length about the humanitarian situation and the suffering in Sudan, which is growing by the day. He also spoke of the shocking reports of mass killings and sexual violence in villages in Aj Jazirah State in the eastern part of the country.

    Sudan/Humanitarian
    The Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Assistance is expressing concerns at escalating armed violence in Aj Jazirah State.
    Joyce Msuya, our Acting Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs says that we received horrific reports of entire villages being attacked, with civilians killed, detained and displaced in huge numbers, and those reports talk about actions between October 20th and 25th. During that time, the Rapid Support Forces reportedly launched a major assault across 30 towns and villages and towns in Aj Jazirah State.
    An estimated 47,000 people have fled the fighting, including to other parts of Aj Jazirah State. We and our partners are continuing to provide assistance to nearly 40,000 people who have sought shelter in Gedaref and Kassala states.
    Those displaced by the violence urgently need food, shelter, health care and protection support. Many of the wounded also need medical attention.
    We and our partners are concerned about civilians who remain trapped in those areas and are unable to escape due to insecurity and fear of abduction, as well as those on the move in search of safety, protection and urgent assistance.
    Also, to flag that the Director General of the International Migration agency, Amy Pope, began today a three-day visit to assess the rapidly deteriorating humanitarian situation and the increasing displacement crisis. The visit in Sudan will focus on rallying international support for the humanitarian response, ensuring that the ongoing crisis in Sudan remains at the forefront of global attention. The Director General will visit various displacement sites to engage directly with impacted communities.

    Full Highlights: https://www.un.org/sg/en/content/noon-briefing-highlight?date%5Bvalue%5D%5Bdate%5D=28%20October%202024

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gLkC0_Y0uHE

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI USA: Administrator Samantha Power at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Emily Coffman-Krunic as Mission Director for Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Source: USAID

    ADMINISTRATOR SAMANTHA POWER: Dobro jutro [good morning], here. Dobar dan [good evening], there. 

    It’s really great to be part of this event. Jim [Hope], really lovely to hear from your perspective. Jim has most recently been our Mission Director in Ukraine, and this is the first ceremony that I’ve had the chance to hear him emcee. But, it’s great to hear from a fellow Mission Director what these ceremonies mean. Certainly, they mean the world to us. 

    Ambassador [Michael] Murphy, as much as you think you know about Emily, you are about to learn much more. You will have a lot more ammo to use in various interagency deliberations. But, I want to thank you for joining and doing so in the spirit you did, I’ve actually – we haven’t had the chance to meet in person – but I devour your cables and your tweets. But above all, I have the greatest respect for just how you have not taken the easy path there and really stood. I think, very strongly in the face of an awful lot of resistance and many many headwinds – for not only American values but ultimately for the dignity of the people of the country and of the region. Really, really grateful to you for that. I’ve admired you from afar for a long time. 

    I do want to recognize – and Emily and I just talked about the tragedy of the historic floods that have really besieged really small communities in Bosnia and Herzegovina, very specifically Jablanica and Konjic. I know that Ambassador Murphy and Emily are already working with affected communities to support recovery efforts and even visited and met with the affected people. That means the world, I’m sure, to them, that someone has their back. But, our thoughts, of course, go out to those communities. There’s a lot coming at the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and when the floods pile on, it must be very overwhelming. So again, just a reflection of how much the American people care about the people of the country, and you all are incredible ambassadors for that. 

    Emily has a full house here today, in person and online, and maybe breaking some records if we add up all the miles traveled for each of the family members. But, we have her father Daniel and her mother Blanche, beaming in on the screen. And, here in the audience, we have her sisters Elizabeth, Ginny, and Julie. Ginny flew in all the way from England, and, incredibly, Julie has made the time to be here today after spending the past few weeks helping hurricane recovery efforts in western North Carolina. 

    And again, the parallel between what happens in Bosnia and the extremity of that and what happens here is just a reminder of the universality, sadly, of these challenges these days. 

    Thank you to the sisters, you seem like an incredibly close-knit group. I was like, “Are you thinking of visiting?” And they were like, “Ah, we’ve been there many times, you know!” So, I know Emily is incredibly lucky to have you in her corner. 

    We’re also joined by Emily’s children, of course – by Adrian, who studies engineering at the University of North Florida, and Emily’s daughter Stella, who began her own studies recently in anthropology in Amsterdam. I know that through your lives you’ve had to make big changes often to accommodate mom’s spirit of public service – leaving schools, and friends, and communities. So, thank you for your own sacrifices. You are the reason your mom does everything she does. So, thank you. 

    Alright, this is your life portion. 

    Emily was born in Jacksonville, Florida, to two parents we just got to see, who instilled in her the value of helping others. Her mom was a nurse before becoming a great caretaker for her four daughters, and then her mom worked at a local school. Emily’s dad was a pilot in the Navy and then a lawyer. 

    As a child, Emily was a go-getter who loved adventure, apparently. Although she was not the oldest, I’m told that she was the one who always directed the games among the girls. Emily went on to earn her degree in philosophy from Texas Christian University, before working at Merrill Lynch, where she saved up enough money to keep fueling her adventures. 

    She went to Guatemala for three months to learn Spanish and to Chile for six months to teach English to children of the indigenous Mapuche people, where she caught the spark, I guess, for international development work. Emily went on to earn her master’s in international peace and conflict resolution at American University, while also volunteering at the International Rescue Committee. 

    One day, Emily heard that the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, OSCE, was looking for people to support Bosnia and Herzegovina’s very first municipal elections since the war. The country, as all of you know, had emerged from a horrific conflict with the signing of the U.S.-brokered Dayton Accords just the year before, and tensions were high as elections neared – with the question of whether the Dayton agreement could result in lasting peace and whether democracy really could be meaningfully ushered in. 

    Emily still had two months left in her degree program, but everyone she talked to, including the professors whose classes she would be skipping out on, said, “You have to do this. This is too important not to do.” 

    But, she was conflicted, because she was clearly a better student than I was. And so, she called her dad, and he was the last person she just had to make sure that she wasn’t doing something crazy. Her dad, Dan, of course, was worried about her going to war-torn Bosnia – again, the bullets had barely ceased firing, and this election was really soon after the war had ended.

    But, Emily asked him, and he expressed some reluctance, you know, given that the headlines had recently been very grim. But, Emily asked him, “Dad, what exactly were you doing when you were 27?”

    And his answer was, “I guess I was flying jets off aircraft carriers in the ocean…”

    So, Emily went on, booked her ticket with everybody’s full support. As you heard, she went on to work in Bosnia and Herzegovina for eight years, eventually joining the World Conference of Religions for Peace, one of USAID’s partners in Bosnia and Herzegovina as the Chief of Party.

    Emily knew that for development efforts to be effective there, after such vicious inter-ethnic conflict, there needed to be enhanced communication and cooperation. The demonization across lines had been very, very intense.

    Muslims, Croats, Bosnian Serbs, Orthodox Christians, Catholics, Jews – everyone kind of had to come together in dialogue. So, as you heard again from Ambassador Murphy, she and her team founded this inter-religious council of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and it really has, over the years, worked to mobilize faith leaders, faith communities, in service of reconciliation and rebuilding. 

    The work has never been easy. The demons, not only from the wars of the 1990s, but dating even further back, loom large. The misinformation which really impedes, you know, the ability to sustain, sometimes, that trust that those encounters can breed – all of that makes it immensely challenging.

    But, Emily continued to help the council members establish common ground and find productive ways to work together. Over these last decades, this Council has played an important role on everything from organizing youth reconciliation, to addressing gender-based violence, to facilitating the protection of holy sites for all groups.

    I think this shows a characteristic that has defined Emily’s work over the years. Even in incredibly difficult environments where the odds seem low of succeeding, she has managed to help people see that there is a path forward, if they can come together.

    In Rwanda, Emily arrived at a time when the democracy team’s funding had been nearly zeroed out for two years in a row. The Mission was actually considering stopping all democracy and governance programming. But, Emily understood that supporting democracy, again as Ambassador Murphy reinforced, was, in fact, fundamental to advancing development. 

    To make enduring progress on any front, developmentally, citizens have to be empowered to demand and work toward the change that they want in their own communities. They also have to be able to, through raising their voice at the ballot, be able to get rid of leaders who are corrupt or governing poorly and in a way that isn’t bettering the lives of citizens. 

    In the words of Joseph Rurangwa, an FSN in Rwanda, Emily “fought for DG’s identity” – fought for democracy and governance’s identity. Apparently, she worked day and night to convince partners, donors, and colleagues that democracy and governance was worth the investment. 

    Emily went to battle, and Emily won. The Mission in Rwanda didn’t just revitalize the small democracy team that Emily had come to lead. It created an entirely new standalone democracy and governance office. The office went from having two activities in other portfolios to an entire portfolio of 13 democracy and governance activities: from training journalists, to hosting election roundtables for citizens and human rights training for Rwandan youth, to even creating the Mission’s first-ever activity supporting the LGBTQI+ community in Rwanda. Joseph says, “Emily steered the boat in troubled waters, and with her at the helm, 800,000 flowers bloomed all at once.” 

    In Jordan, where Emily started as the Democracy, Rights, and Governance Office Director and ultimately became the Deputy Mission Director, she helped manage a portfolio completely unknown to her: water. Water is a huge, huge issue, as everyone knows. For Jordan, specifically, the country is the third most water scarce country in the entire world. And, while a country is considered to face water scarcity when it has less than 500 cubic meters of water per person per year, Jordan has just one-fifth of that. Just to give you a sense of the magnitude of this challenge. And water, as we know, again, all of us, from our own lives, is necessary for just about everything. 

    Jordan’s water portfolio is the largest budget for any single portfolio for USAID, and it is also a country – one of the few countries in the world – where USAID finances large infrastructure projects. So, it was a huge task, and though Emily had no formal background in water, she quickly became fluent in everything from project finance to major infrastructure construction. One colleague at the time says, “Emily came to the job with so much humility and curiosity. It really inspired all of us to feel like we were all in this together.”

    Emily led the team as they took on two tasks. First, while Jordan had an existing water sharing agreement with its neighbor Israel, Emily knew that in spite of the complex relationship between the countries, they could and should share more water. 

    So, she and the team helped negotiate an agreement in which the two countries agreed to double the volume of water that they shared. This was a historic agreement that spared further water rationing in Jordan. But, Emily also knew that to meet the scale of need, Jordan needed to develop its own desalination ability, turning saltwater into drinkable water. So, she oversaw the design and procurement of the third-largest desalination project in the world, leading it through political negotiations, financial hurdles, and technical discussions, as donors, partners, diplomats, and elected officials came together to achieve a workable plan. Emily’s efforts paid off. 

    USAID was able to catalyze nearly $3 billion against our $300 million pledge from donors like the Development Finance Corporation, the European Union, and the Islamic Development Bank. When construction is complete, slated to be in about five years, the project will pump newly desalinated water from the south of Jordan, 280 miles uphill, to the population centers of Jordan, who need the water for daily life – through pipes that are so big that you can actually drive a car through them. This single desalination project will meet a full 40 percent of Jordan’s water needs, transforming its water security.

    Emily has spent the past year, of course, applying the skills that she honed leading these kinds of ambitious projects in difficult environments in the Mission in Bosnia and Herzegovina, where she returned to serve as Deputy Mission Director. We are told that the first two weeks that Emily was back on the ground in Bosnia and Herzegovina, she met every single person at the Mission, from the Ambassador to the Foreign Service Officers to the Foreign Service Nationals to the cleaning staff, to get to know all of those who are part of her new team.

    When it was announced that she was going to be the new Mission Director, her predecessor, Courtney Chubb – an extraordinary Mission Director in her own right – but as Courtney described it, when word went out that she was going to be promoted, the Ambassador was completely overjoyed. And, as Courtney put it, “I’ve never seen so many smiles on the faces of our Mission staff.”

    And just to say a word about that Mission staff and having a chance to engage you all directly, you’re extraordinary. Our Foreign Service Nationals – as Courtney and I discussed when I was on the ground there on a visit, and Emily and I just discussed – you all are really some of the leading lights in the world. The amount you know, the amount you have achieved, the amount you have circumnavigated, all that stands in your way to make the peace enduring and to try to strengthen checks and balances and institutions. Many of our FSNs in Bosnia and Herzegovina have been there more than 20 years, some more than 30 years. It’s just an incredible team. And to have as a Mission Director, as you do, someone who so values you and recognizes how much she has to learn from you every day, that’s the best kind of teamwork that can be expected.

    So, there is no better person, I think, in something of a returning home, second home really, to Emily but for Emily Coffman-Krunic to be taking the helm as the Mission Director in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

    Bosnia and Herzegovina is a special place. It is a country whose people continue to experience incredible hardship. I talked earlier about the flooding, but there’s a lot of man-made disasters happening in Bosnia and Herzegovina, because so many elected leaders do not put their people first. Some do, and they are extraordinary, what they put up with as well.

    But, when institutions don’t work always on behalf of the people, it makes what the people do to make development happen even more impressive. And, the efforts that the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina have made, initially, to rebuild, to revitalize, to grow, really speak just to the resilience of all communities, and it’s an inspiration for those of us who only get to visit every now and then. 

    Since 1996, the U.S. government has provided more than $2 billion, including $1.5 billion from USAID alone, in assistance in efforts to support, again, those on the ground who are building a democratic and inclusive European country. One of the most complicated government structures in the world, makes things very, very challenging. It is hard, often, for leaders to agree on the kinds of basic policies or basic initiatives that the people really expect from them. When they agree, it can be very challenging to operationalize those efforts. But nonetheless, again, there is so much good that is happening on the ground. 

    The virulent nationalism that lives on, usually most vocally in those who don’t know how to or don’t care to deliver basic services for the citizens of the country, continues to threaten the progress that has been made. We see the direct targeting of NGOs and development partners. We see attacks on independent media. We see, basically, threats to this effort to build a strong, independent, and vibrant European country, which is so clearly what young people in the country want. 

    USAID has an incredibly important role to play in support of the whole country team’s effort to push back against these challenges. We are working to counter harmful nationalistic rhetoric and narrative, with the goal of strengthening the security and the dignity for individuals and for communities within the country. We are expanding our work with independent media, with civil society, with investigative journalists. We are working to contribute to economic development, to help the private sector drive growth, and to include all groups like LGBTQI+ communities, women and Roma populations, in the progress that the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina are trying to drive. 

    Now, Emily, I want to end these remarks on something your son Adrian told us. We asked Adrian what it was like to grow up and to travel the world with you. And Adrian said, “I always knew that what my mom did was helping people. It made me want to be a better person.” 

    So, Emily, I think it’s safe to say you’ve made so many of us here want to be better people, even I, just listening to your journey, but also seeing what you’ve been doing on the grounds in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and in Jordan, just during my time here. And, what I love about your spirit is you never give up. You don’t care about the odds. You just invest body and soul, bring questions and not answers in the first instance, empower your teams, and you have one of the best teams in the world there, as you well know, and you do it all with an eye to future generations and what would mean the most. 

    So, we are thrilled that you’re our Mission Director in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and I look forward to making it official and swearing you in. Congratulations.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: SEK 110 million in humanitarian assistance to Ukraine

    Source: Government of Sweden

    SEK 110 million in humanitarian assistance to Ukraine – Government.se

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    Press release from Ministry for Foreign Affairs

    Published

    Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine continues to have devastating consequences – both military and humanitarian. The Swedish Government is therefore supporting Ukraine in a number of ways and has now decided on a new humanitarian support package of SEK 110 million. This support will primarily be used to meet the increased needs ahead of the winter.

    “Russia is targeting civilian infrastructure and has disrupted major parts of the heating and electricity supply in Ukraine. Naturally, the consequences of this are more serious the colder the weather gets. For this reason, a large part of the population are struggling to heat their homes and prepare food. The Swedish Government has therefore decided to provide SEK 110 million to a number of humanitarian actors in Ukraine,” says Minister for International Development Cooperation and Foreign Trade Benjamin Dousa.

    The fact that Russia has mined large areas of Ukraine is a major problem and threat to people’s safety and lives. Russia’s full-scale invasion has forced millions of people to flee their homes and live as internally displaced people. Sexual violence against women has increased in these already vulnerable groups.

    “Sweden’s assistance will also go to mine clearance, which unfortunately will be an impending problem for a long time to come. The assistance will also go to addressing sexual and reproductive health needs and efforts to combat gender-based violence,” says Mr Dousa.

    “Sweden’s assistance to Ukraine is making a difference. We’re now helping to heat homes and clear the black soil from mines so that it can be used, feed people who are hungry and secure access to food,” says Aron Emilsson, foreign policy spokesperson for the Sweden Democrats.

    “A harsh winter is around the corner, in a situation in which Russia’s bombings have destroyed a large portion of critical infrastructure. We’re now assisting the Ukrainian civilian population with things that we take for granted here in Sweden – heating, water, sanitation and medicines – so that they can survive the winter,” says Gudrun Brunegård, development assistance policy spokesperson for the Christian Democrats. 

    “In order for Russia to lose the war and Ukraine to win, increased assistance is needed both for Ukraine’s infrastructure and to support the Ukrainian people. I’m proud that we’re now doing even more to help women in particular, as they have been especially severely affected by the war,” says Joar Forssell, foreign policy spokesperson for the Liberal Party. 

    Press contact

    About the humanitarian support package

    The humanitarian support package is divided between four organisations:

    • SEK 50 million is being allocated to the Ukrainian Red Cross Society (URCS). The Swedish Government will support URCS’s initiatives to meet humanitarian needs ahead of the winter, focusing on secure access to heating and electricity, and distribution of food, hygiene products, medicines and water.

    • SEK 20 million is being allocated to the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR). Sweden is supporting Ukrainian refugees in a number of ways and will now also contribute to UNHCR’s efforts to assist internally displaced persons with preparedness and protection initiatives before and during the coming winter.

    • SEK 30 million is being allocated to the UN Development Programme (UNDP). The situation regarding landmines and unexploded ammunition remains difficult in major areas of Ukraine. UNDP is leading UN support to mine clearance in Ukraine. The organisation’s work, which focuses on surveying, prioritising and securing agricultural land, will need to be carried out for many years to come.

    • SEK 10 million is being allocated to the UN Population Fund (UNFPA). UNFPA’s humanitarian activities in Ukraine are helping address women’s sexual and reproductive health needs, prevent sexual and gender-based violence and provide support to people who have been subjected to violence. UNFPA is also helping rebuild and strengthen the health care system.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Integration of biometrics in travel documents, countering illegal migration in Ukraine key focus of OSCE-led study visit to London

    Source: Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe – OSCE

    Headline: Integration of biometrics in travel documents, countering illegal migration in Ukraine key focus of OSCE-led study visit to London

    Integration of biometrics in travel documents, countering illegal migration in Ukraine key focus of OSCE-led study visit to London | OSCE
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    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Acting Deputy Administrator Michele Sumilas During the World Bank Annual Meetings

    Source: USAID

    The below is attributable to Deputy Spokesperson Shejal Pulivarti:‎

    From October 23 through 25, Acting Deputy Administrator Michele Sumilas participated in various engagements during the World Bank Annual Meetings. Throughout the week, she engaged USAID’s partners on shared priorities, including boosting food security and climate action, as well as collaborating on humanitarian assistance.

    On Wednesday, Acting Deputy Administrator Sumilas represented USAID at a signing ceremony, where Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen and Ukrainian Minister of Finance Sergii Marchenko marked the intention of the United States to join G7 efforts to make lending available to Ukraine, and provide a $20 billion U.S. loan to Ukraine that will be repaid by proceeds derived from Russia’s frozen assets. 

    Acting Deputy Administrator Sumilas then participated in a roundtable hosted by the Coalition on Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI), which featured Ministers from Angola, Bhutan, Chad, Comoros, India, Nigeria, and Madagascar. The roundtable provided an opportunity for participants to discuss how the Coalition can be responsive to infrastructure needs in Africa. 

    On Thursday, Acting Deputy Administrator Sumilas met with Denmark’s State Secretary for Development Policy Lotte Machon to discuss cooperation on food security, climate action, advancing democracy, and joint efforts on humanitarian assistance in Gaza and Ukraine. 

    The Acting Deputy Administrator also participated in a fireside chat, along with Norway’s Minister of International Development Anne Beathe Tvinnereim and Investisseurs & Partenaires (I&P’s) Jean-Michel Severino, Chair of the Supervisory Board, at the Financing for Agricultural Small-and-Medium Enterprises in Africa (FASA) Fund Launch, hosted by the Embassy of Norway. USAID and Norway announced that the United Kingdom and Republic of Korea have joined USAID as partners in the FASA Fund, which will help unlock additional commercial capital. In addition, Norway and USAID announced that Investisseurs and Partenaires (I&P) – a pioneering impact investment group dedicated to financing and supporting African entrepreneurs while strengthening entrepreneurial ecosystems across the African continent – was competitively selected as the FASA fund manager. 

    On Friday, Acting Deputy Administrator Sumilas met with the United Kingdom’s Second Permanent Under-Secretary Nick Dyer to discuss U.S.-UK shared priorities. She also met Brazil’s Ambassador to the United States Maria Luiza Viotti to discuss key development priorities of Brazil’s G20 presidency, including the Global Alliance Against Hunger and Poverty to include recognition of Brazil’s support for their role in Multi-National Security Support Missions in Haiti, and continued efforts to aid Venezuelan migrants and refugees in Brazil. 

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI: International Petroleum Corporation Announces Results of Normal Course Issuer Bid

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) is pleased to announce that IPC repurchased a total of 111,400 IPC common shares (ISIN: CA46016U1084) during the period of October 21 to 25, 2024 under IPC’s normal course issuer bid / share repurchase program (NCIB).

    IPC’s NCIB, announced on December 1, 2023, is being implemented in accordance with the Market Abuse Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (MAR) and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 2016/1052 (Safe Harbour Regulation) and the applicable rules and policies of the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and Nasdaq Stockholm and applicable Canadian and Swedish securities laws.

    During the period of October 21 to 25, 2024, IPC repurchased a total of 87,500 IPC common shares on Nasdaq Stockholm. All of these share repurchases were carried out by Pareto Securities AB on behalf of IPC.

    For more information regarding transactions under the NCIB in Sweden, including aggregated volume, weighted average price per share and total transaction value for each trading day during the period of October 21 to 25, 2024, see the following link to Nasdaq Stockholm’s website:

    www.nasdaqomx.com/transactions/markets/nordic/corporate-actions/stockholm/repurchases-of-own-shares

    A detailed breakdown of the transactions conducted on Nasdaq Stockholm during the period of October 21 to 25, 2024 according to article 5.3 of MAR and article 2.3 of the Safe Harbour Regulation is available with this press release on IPC’s website: www.international-petroleum.com/news-and-media/press-releases.

    During the same period, IPC purchased a total of 23,900 IPC common shares on the TSX. All of these share repurchases were carried out by ATB Capital Markets Inc. on behalf of IPC.

    All common shares repurchased by IPC under the NCIB will be cancelled. As at October 25, 2024, the total number of issued and outstanding IPC common shares is 120,751,038 with voting rights and IPC holds 484,000 common shares in treasury.

    Since December 5, 2023 up to and including October 25, 2024, a total of 7,957,782 IPC common shares have been repurchased under the NCIB through the facilities of the TSX and Nasdaq Stockholm. A maximum of 8,342,119 IPC common shares may be repurchased over the period of twelve months commencing December 5, 2023 and ending December 4, 2024, or until such earlier date as the NCIB is completed or terminated by IPC.

    International Petroleum Corp. (IPC) is an international oil and gas exploration and production company with a high quality portfolio of assets located in Canada, Malaysia and France, providing a solid foundation for organic and inorganic growth. IPC is a member of the Lundin Group of Companies. IPC is incorporated in Canada and IPC’s shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the Nasdaq Stockholm exchange under the symbol “IPCO”.

    For further information, please contact:

    Rebecca Gordon
    SVP Corporate Planning and Investor Relations
    rebecca.gordon@international-petroleum.com
    Tel: +41 22 595 10 50
     

    Or

    Robert Eriksson
    Media Manager
    reriksson@rive6.ch
    Tel: +46 701 11 26 15

    This information is information that International Petroleum Corporation is required to make public pursuant to the Swedish Financial Instruments Trading Act. The information was submitted for publication, through the contact persons set out above, at 12:15 CET on October 28, 2024.

    Forward-Looking Statements
    This press release contains statements and information which constitute “forward-looking statements” or “forward-looking information” (within the meaning of applicable securities legislation). Such statements and information (together, “forward-looking statements”) relate to future events, including the Corporation’s future performance, business prospects or opportunities. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release, unless otherwise indicated. IPC does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable laws.

    All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, forecasts, guidance, budgets, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “seek”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “forecast”, “predict”, “potential”, “targeting”, “intend”, “could”, “might”, “should”, “believe”, “budget” and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be “forward-looking statements”. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: the ability and willingness of IPC to continue the NCIB, including the number of common shares to be acquired and cancelled and the timing of such purchases and cancellations; and the return of value to IPC’s shareholders as a result of any common share repurchases.

    The forward-looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by IPC, including expectations and assumptions concerning: prevailing commodity prices and currency exchange rates; applicable royalty rates and tax laws; interest rates; future well production rates and reserve and contingent resource volumes; operating costs; our ability to maintain our existing credit ratings; our ability to achieve our performance targets; the timing of receipt of regulatory approvals; the performance of existing wells; the success obtained in drilling new wells; anticipated timing and results of capital expenditures; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned activities; the timing, location and extent of future drilling operations; the successful completion of acquisitions and dispositions and that we will be able to implement our standards, controls, procedures and policies in respect of any acquisitions and realize the expected synergies on the anticipated timeline or at all; the benefits of acquisitions; the state of the economy and the exploration and production business in the jurisdictions in which IPC operates and globally; the availability and cost of financing, labour and services; our intention to complete share repurchases under our normal course issuer bid program, including the funding of such share repurchases, existing and future market conditions, including with respect to the price of our common shares, and compliance with respect to applicable limitations under securities laws and regulations and stock exchange policies; and the ability to market crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids successfully.

    Although IPC believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements because IPC can give no assurances that they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to: general global economic, market and business conditions; the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to reserves, resources, production, revenues, costs and expenses; health, safety and environmental risks; commodity price fluctuations; interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations; marketing and transportation; loss of markets; environmental and climate-related risks; competition; innovation and cybersecurity risks related to our systems, including our costs of addressing or mitigating such risks; the ability to attract, engage and retain skilled employees; incorrect assessment of the value of acquisitions; failure to complete or realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions or dispositions; the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; failure to obtain required regulatory and other approvals; geopolitical conflicts, including the war between Ukraine and Russia and the conflict in the Middle East, and their potential impact on, among other things, global market conditions; and changes in legislation, including but not limited to tax laws, royalties and environmental regulations. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive.

    Additional information on these and other factors that could affect IPC, or its operations or financial results, are included in IPC’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2023 (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information”, “Risks Factors” and “Reserves and Resources Advisory” therein), in the management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) for the three and six months ended June 30, 2024 (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information”, “Risks Factors” and “Reserves and Resources Advisory” therein) and other reports on file with applicable securities regulatory authorities, including previous financial reports, management’s discussion and analysis and material change reports, which may be accessed through the SEDAR+ website (www.sedarplus.ca) or IPC’s website (www.international-petroleum.com).

    Attachment

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: UK statement for 75th session of the UNHCR Executive Committee

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    UK general statement delivered by the UK’s Permanent Representative to the WTO and UN, Simon Manley, at the 75th session of the UNHCR Executive Committee, October 2024.

    Thank you, Chair, High Commissioner,

    Let me start by paying tribute to those humanitarians who have so tragically lost their lives in the past year – not least among them the UNHCR colleagues whom we have lost in the course of their duties in Lebanon. They have paid the ultimate price in their labour for peace and humanitarianism.

    We are deeply concerned about the escalating humanitarian situation in the Middle East and in Lebanon. The UK emphasises all parties’ obligation to comply with international humanitarian law and to ensure protection for civilians and civilian infrastructure. My government has been clear: the fighting must stop, the hostages must be freed, and there must be safe and free humanitarian access to those in need.

    Turning to the themes of the Executive Committee, as we face future uncertainties and ever-increasing global displacement, we need to continue to work in solidarity and in unity to find solutions. Forcibly displaced persons demand and expect that the international community takes responsibility.

    My government’s commitment to multilateralism and multilateral solutions is clear and deep-rooted. The UK will work hand-in-hand with UNHCR to respond to the growing list of protracted and emerging crises. We will tackle climate and nature emergencies and global development challenges together, by working for peace and promoting global economic development and growth to develop sustainable solutions. And we welcome the High Commissioner’s recent visit to London and the contact he has had with UK Ministers.

    But clearly, the situation in countries of origin needs international attention too. We need to address root causes and invest in early anticipatory action that builds resilience and independence. We need partnerships that promote local leadership. And we need to empower women and girls.

    Where needs arise, UNHCR must continue to provide protection for the most vulnerable. But clearly, more predictable and more sustainable support is needed so that increasingly stretched resources can be used more efficiently to keep pace with rising needs. UNHCR’s ongoing commitment to reform, efficiencies and effectiveness is an important part of this.

    The UK is committed to seeking sustainable solutions together. Not just because inclusion in national systems is the right thing to do, but also because it is the smart thing to do. And we support national ownership and the leadership of hosting countries, who I want to recognize here for their generosity, where this is in refugees’ best interests.

    This is why, at last year’s Global Refugee Forum, the UK highlighted the need to look beyond traditional humanitarian partnerships to galvanize joint sustainable action. And we have been working hard with our partners over the last ten months to put those commitments into action.

    We must be led by the needs of displaced people wherever and whenever we find them. But I want to point to two specific crises which demand our attention. Firstly, Russia’s brutal invasion of Ukraine in flagrant breach of the UN Charter. This year, the UK provided £100 million in humanitarian assistance and like my Czech colleague I want to pay tribute to the British people who have extended sanctuary to almost 300,000 Ukrainians since the start of the invasion.

    And Sudan which is perhaps the world’s most severe humanitarian crisis with almost 25 million people in need of assistance. Thank you, High Commissioner, for speaking out so clearly about the scale and horror of the conflict. We have provided almost £100m in assistance for Sudan this year.

    And finally, on statelessness, we are grateful to UNHCR for its leadership of the I Belong campaign. The achievements are a strong foundation on which to launch the Global Alliance, which the UK is honoured to join. We know statelessness can be ended, and we look forward to working with others on this shared mission.

    I’ll end by reiterate the UK’s gratitude to all UNHCR staff who tirelessly provide assistance to those who need it, so often in such difficult and dangerous circumstances. Let us, through the Executive Committee, show them our sustained support.

    Thank you.

    Updates to this page

    Published 28 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Exploring the Future of Cash in Germany — A Foresight Study | Guest contribution in Central Bank Payments News

    Source: Deutsche Bundesbank in English

    Safeguarding the role of cash …
    Many continue to experience the payment landscape in Germany as being shaped by cash. But in Germany, too, the use of cash has been declining for some years now. The coronavirus pandemic has significantly accelerated change processes in payment behaviour. While cash payments accounted for 82.5% of total transactions in 2008, their share fell to 51% in 2023. At the same time, we see an increase in the use of debit cards (27% in 2023) and mobile payments (6% in 2023).
    Nevertheless, cash remains an important part of economic life in Germany. Consumers expect to be able to pay with cash and want to maintain the freedom of choice between cash and cashless means of payment. On top of consumers’ preferences in favour of cash, the Bundesbank considers resilience, crisis preparedness, and inclusivity for all groups in society as further reasons why cash should be firmly anchored in the payment landscape. A functioning cash infrastructure with good access to cash and high acceptance rates of cash is crucial for this.
    The Bundesbank has a statutory mandate to facilitate the smooth functioning of cash and cashless payments. Together with the other Eurosystem central banks, the Bundesbank works to ensure that euro cash remains generally available and accepted as a means of payment and store of value. That said, some developments such as the declining use of cash for payments and the thinning out of ATM networks suggest that a future with cash cannot be taken for granted.
    … calls for future-oriented research
    With this in mind, the Bundesbank has turned its attention to exploring what sort of long-term future cash might have in Germany. In order to be able to proactively shape the evolution of cash in light of the trends we are currently seeing, we need an idea of the environment in which cash will be embedded in future. What developments and trends will influence the payment landscape and the cash cycle over the next 15 to 20 years?
    To take due account of the intricacies of the way in which cash is embedded in social and economic structures, a future-oriented study design is called for. One option is to take the strategic foresight route. The Bundesbank has therefore commissioned a study looking at the cash of the future, which uses this kind of method.
    Future scenarios for Germany’s payment landscape
    A commonly used approach in strategic foresight involves the development of future scenarios. These scenarios are hypothetical visions of the future on a set topic. The scenarios presented in the study describe potential futures for cash and the cash cycle in Germany from the perspective of the year 2037. They show alternative development paths and the influencing factors behind them.
    The scenarios are based on empirical evidence and were developed by strategic foresight experts working with established academic methods. It is important to appreciate that scenarios are not forecasts and, as such, do not represent precise predictions of a future that will definitely come to pass. What scenarios actually provide us with is a way to orient ourselves. What developments are possible, what are the dependencies between different developments and what are the consequences? The scenarios can thus play a role in decision-making and strategy-building and aid communication with stakeholders and the general public.
    A total of three scenarios were developed. In all three scenarios, cash use continues, albeit to different degrees. In all scenarios, cash is the only means of payment available as a fallback option in the event of technical outages.
    The hyperdigital payment world — artificially intelligent, convenient, and vulnerable
    This scenario is characterised by economic and social transformation aimed at safeguarding peace and prosperity. Geopolitical shifts and far-reaching digitalisation are the driving forces of this transformation. All areas of life are highly digitalised, and that includes making payments. The digital euro has already been introduced as legal tender. The majority of the public has a high degree of confidence in digital solutions, in the government, and in the providers of cashless means of payment. In this scenario, cash serves, at most, as a store of value.
    Cash has all but disappeared from everyday payment situations. Only 15% of all transactions are settled using cash in 2037. Payments between individuals are almost exclusively made via payment apps.
    Conventional online commerce, in which cash plays virtually no role, continues to grow strongly. When it comes to bricks-and mortar retail, hardly any checkouts are staffed anymore. Only a scarce few self-checkouts still accept cash payments. With a small number of exceptions, local governments, authorities, and public enterprises do not provide facilities for paying in cash either.
    Banks have massively thinned out their ATM network. With the disappearance of staffed checkouts in the retail sector and the cutback in cash payment options for customers, in-store cash withdrawal services — which are currently still commonplace — vanish as well. Cost pressures on the cash cycle increase considerably up to the end of the decade. Only a small number of effective measures to cut costs in the cash cycle are implemented.
    In accordance with an EU regulation, the Federal Government responds to the massive decline in the use of cash, adopting statutory standards to secure a basic level of cash provision for retailers and the general public. The aim of this move is to maintain the cash infrastructure in case there is a crisis.
    In summary, this scenario shows us a highly digitalised world in which cash plays only a minor role. It is barely able to perform its function as a crisis preparedness measure.
    The cash renaissance payment world — smart, self-determined, and resilient
    The world of this scenario has been shaped by the coronavirus pandemic, climate change, advances in general-purpose artificial intelligence (AI) and the war in Ukraine. On the back of recent experiences, the public has become more aware of the need to prepare for disasters and crises.
    Moreover, many people fear heteronomy and the notion of being controlled by self-learning AI systems trained on mass data. Ambitious individuals tending towards alternative lifestyles are advocating for the right to an analogue life, drawing attention to the dangers of AI and calling for data minimisation and digital sovereignty.
    The benefits of cash are being rediscovered. Cash is associated with values such as sovereignty, independence, and constructive rebellion. This heightened awareness of the benefits of cash gradually spreads into society’s centre ground. Despite the stabilising effects on cash use, cash made up less than 50% of transactions at the end of the 2020s.
    Policymakers were aware of the public’s desire for freedom of choice, as well as of the significance of cash for certain groups in society. Considerations around resilience and autonomy in payments prompted the Federal Government to take regulatory steps to strengthen cash as a means of payment. At the beginning of the 2030s, the Federal Government recommended that retailers should, as a basic principle, accept cash. All of the major supermarket chains offer both staffed checkouts and self-checkouts with cash payment modules.
    Due to an EU regulation on access to cash, the trend towards branch closures and the thinning out of the ATM network started to slow again from the mid-2020s. Clear regulation for maintaining cash infrastructures gives cash cycle stakeholders greater certainty for investing in innovation and cost-saving measures.
    All in all, in this scenario, we see parts of society circling back to cash and its benefits, meaning that cash use is declining only slowly and stabilises in the 2030s.
    The vanishing hybrid payment world — pluralistic, segregated, and indifferent
    In the 2020s, there was significantly greater individualisation and pluralisation in people’s living standards, lifestyles, and personal environments compared with the 2010s. Members of more progressive milieus, in particular, are regarded as early adopters when it comes to innovations in cashless payment instruments. But still, even those who mainly opt for cashless payments often carry an “emergency stash” of a few notes in their smartphone case or in their bag or pocket.
    At the end of the 2030s, cash is still being used by a large part of the population to pay street vendors, when tipping, as a gift to friends or family and when paying smaller amounts. The decline in cash use is gradual (31% of all transactions in 2037).
    The remaining bricks-and-mortar retailers are aware of the diverse preferences of their customer base. This means there is huge variation in terms of cashier system facilities and cash acceptance. However, bricks-and-mortar retailers encourage customers to use cashless payment methods. Public authorities are also coming to favour cashless means of payment.
    Banks continued to significantly reduce the number of their branches and ATMs throughout the country up to the end of the 2020s. As the share of cash is shrinking, less and less cash is coming into shop tills, meaning that in-store cash withdrawal services
    deteriorate. Overall, it becomes harder to access cash.
    A major crisis or disaster that could draw society’s attention to cash as a resilient means of payment fails to materialise. A pro-cash movement among the general public cannot be orchestrated in an increasingly segregated society. This means there is no political pressure to act and no resistance against the gradual decline of cash.
    A downward spiral is created: the use of cash continues to decline as access to and acceptance of cash become restricted. The fixed costs for the supply and removal of cash appear disproportionately high as cash volumes fall. Options for accessing cash and situations where it is accepted are therefore limited further. A hybrid payment landscape — something desired by large parts of society — slowly but surely disappears as it becomes more and more difficult to actually use cash.
    Current developments
    Once scenarios have been developed, they should be checked against current developments from time to time. It is important to bear in mind that certain trends already visible today might appear in one scenario or another but this does not necessarily mean that a particular scenario will occur. Nor do these trends make it more likely that one of the scenarios will prevail. This is because the developments described in the scenarios should not be looked at in isolation; it is only through their interplay that they mesh to form a holistic projection of the payment landscape in 2037.
    Cashless payments more convenient
    Recently published research by the Bundesbank shows that cash currently accounts for 51% of all transactions in Germany. Contactless cards and mobile payment methods are being used more and more frequently. Cashless means of payment are increasingly perceived as more convenient, faster, and easier than cash. These are characteristics regarded as key reasons in deciding for or against a means of payment in the “hyperdigital payment world” and “hybrid payment world” scenarios. On top of this, acceptance of cashless means of payment has risen sharply, including in former cash strongholds such as restaurants and cafés and the services industry. Against this background, the general trend of declining cash usage in the scenarios appears highly plausible.
    Cash availability and acceptance declining
    Acceptance of cash in Germany remains high, although it is slightly declining. Cash payments are almost universally accepted at retail outlets for day-to-day purchases. At retail outlets for durable goods and in the food services sector, acceptance has somewhat deteriorated. In public administration, meanwhile, cash acceptance is low and falling.
    As anticipated in all three scenarios, the number of ATMs and bank offices is declining sharply. The number of ATMs fell by 12% between 2019 and 2023. A weakening of this decline in the mid-2020s does not seem to be on the cards so far. As things currently stand, legal framework conditions creating guaranteed access to cash are lacking. Although more and more people are making use of the option to withdraw cash in shops, Germany’s Retail Federation (Handelsverband) is warning of service constraints if the declining propensity to pay in cash results in there not being enough cash in registers. These developments make a downward spiral of declining cash usage, acceptance of cash, and cash availability highly likely.
    Cash should not be taken for granted
    Cash use does not increase again in any of the scenarios. While the share of cash payments does slowly stabilise in the “cash renaissance” scenario, it steadily contracts in the other two. That said, neither of those two scenarios anticipate a complete disappearance of cash. But two of three scenarios — as well as the developments that we are currently seeing — suggest that its stabilising function and freedom of choice between cash and digital payments are not fully given anymore.
    The Bundesbank considers cash to be its core physical product and takes active measures to safeguard its continued existence and future use alongside its complement, the digital euro. However, the Bundesbank, too, has to adapt to the changing payment landscape. Under its new branch strategy the Bundesbank is aiming to create a more efficient branch network. Branch closures will go hand in hand with extensive investment into new and modern branches. Increased automation and simpler access routes for CIT companies will ensure a secure and efficient supply of cash in the long term.
    Society and policymakers called to action
    The scenarios also show that the responsibility does not lie solely with the Bundesbank. The Bundesbank’s measures will not be adequate unless they are accompanied by action from policymakers and society. That is why it is initiating further collaborative activities. The National Cash Forum brings the relevant stakeholders to the table to lay the groundwork for enhancing and stabilising the cash cycle. A joint dialogue with various interest groups from society culminated in position papers expressing a clear commitment to cash. We at the Bundesbank are committed to contributing to a future with cash.

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: UK sanctions Putin’s interference actors

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    The UK has sanctioned three Russian agencies and three senior figures who are attempting to undermine and destabilise Ukraine and its democracy.

    • UK sanctions Russian disinformation agencies seeking to undermine Ukraine.   

    • Kremlin tasked Social Design Agency (SDA) is exposed for trying to incite anti-Ukraine protests across Europe.    

    • New sanctions also hit three leaders directing the firm’s operations.

    Three Russian agencies and three senior figures who are attempting to undermine and destabilise Ukraine and its democracy have been sanctioned today by the UK.  

    The Social Design Agency (SDA) is tasked and funded directly by the Russian State, and along with its partner company Structura, has attempted to deliver a series of interference operations designed to undermine democracy and weaken international support for Ukraine.    

    This year, the SDA also attempted to incite protests in half a dozen European countries. However, despite Russian pouring money into these malign organisations’ interference activities, their lies have consistently struggled online, with bots and fake sites getting limited interaction. This has forced the SDA to consider buying social media views.  

    The Foreign Secretary, David Lammy, said:   

    Putin is so desperate to undermine European support for Ukraine he is now resorting to clumsy, ineffective efforts to try and stoke unrest.   

    Today’s sanctions send a clear message; we will not tolerate your lies and interference, and we are coming after you.  

    Putin’s desperate attempts to divide us will fail. We will constrain the Kremlin, and stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes. 

    These firms and their leadership are responsible for a vast malign online network, also commonly known as Doppelganger, which plagues social media with fake posts, counterfeit documents and deepfake material. These deceitful tactics are designed to mask the truth around Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine and distract from the true nature of the war. Their murky actions are part of a co-ordinated attempt to use deceptive information operations to undermine democracy in pursuit of their aims.    

    These new sanctions demonstrate that no matter how desperate the Russian interference activity has become, the UK is committed to taking action against Russian information manipulation. We will continue to bear down on anyone conducting such activities on behalf of SDA.    

    The US, Canada, France, European External Action Service (EEAS), Germany and Australia join us in calling out the SDA’s underhand activity globally. 

    Background:    

    The full list of those sanctioned today is:   

    • PR agency Social Design Agency (SDA).   

    • PR agency Structura National Technologies.    

    • PR agency ANO DIALOG.    

    • Ilya Andreevich GAMBASHIDZE, the founder of SDA.    

    • Nikolay Aleksandrovich TUPIKIN, the CEO of SDA and owner of Structura.    

    • Andrey Naumovich PERLA, SDA Project Director.    

    These firms are responsible for a vast malign online network, commonly known as Doppelganger. Content including fake posts, counterfeit documents and deepfake material has been pushed out to audiences in English, German and French through a complex online network. The SDA has crafted a web of at least 120 sites spoofing existing news and government websites, towards which it deceptively redirects unsuspecting social media users. Tactics included avoiding common trigger words to circumvent content moderation tools and evade account takedowns. We are working with social media platforms to ensure they are aware of this activity.    

    Our international partners have also previously exposed Doppelganger’s malign interference networks, including France and the EEAS. As part of the monitoring and analysis for the 2024 European Parliament Elections. The European External Action Service has detected that an Doppelganger / RRN Media operation actively promoted Russian narratives to disrupt and interfere with the electoral process. This network was previously attributed by META to the SDA and revealed to be running global information operations aimed at weakening support for Ukraine. France has exposed these Russian actors in June 2023 through the publication of a report by its agency, Viginum.

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    Contact the FCDO Communication Team via email (monitored 24 hours a day) in the first instance, and we will respond as soon as possible.

    Updates to this page

    Published 28 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom