Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 516
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
840 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Iowa
Extreme north central Kansas
Extreme southwest Minnesota
Eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 840 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include…
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY…A line of storms will continue spread east-southeastward
through the overnight hours with the potential to produce occasional
severe outflow gusts of 60-70 mph and isolated large hail near 1
inch diameter.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of Worthington MN to 40 miles west southwest of Beatrice NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 513…WW 514…WW 515…
AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
…Thompson
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 516 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MN NE 160140Z – 160800Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15WNW OTG/WORTHINGTON MN/ – 40WSW BIE/BEATRICE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /40E FSD – 57W PWE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT…LON 43739486 40069650 40069839 43739686
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 516 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (10%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low ( 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (10%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
Mod (60%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.