MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 517

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL7

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 517
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
until 600 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY…An intensifying band of thunderstorms will continue to
shift eastward across the Watch area this afternoon. Embedded
within the band of storms will likely include several supercells
with an attendant risk for a couple of tornadoes, large hail, and
severe gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles west northwest of Green Bay WI
to 10 miles south southwest of Janesville WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21025.

…Smith

SEL7

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 517
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
until 600 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY…An intensifying band of thunderstorms will continue to
shift eastward across the Watch area this afternoon. Embedded
within the band of storms will likely include several supercells
with an attendant risk for a couple of tornadoes, large hail, and
severe gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles west northwest of Green Bay WI
to 10 miles south southwest of Janesville WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21025.

…Smith

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 517 TORNADO WI LM 161715Z – 162300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55WNW GRB/GREEN BAY WI/ – 10SSW JVL/JANESVILLE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /44WNW GRB – 53SW BAE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21025.

LAT…LON 44778764 42488763 42489058 44779070

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.

Watch 517 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Low (20%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Low (20%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Low (10%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

Mod (60%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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