Category: Banking

  • MIL-OSI: Hallador Energy Company Appoints Todd Telesz as Chief Financial Officer

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    TERRE HAUTE, Ind., June 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Hallador Energy Company (Nasdaq: HNRG) (“Hallador” or the “Company”) today announced the appointment of Todd Telesz as Chief Financial Officer, effective June 23, 2025. Mr. Telesz will succeed Marjorie Hargrave, who has been with Hallador since April 2024 and is leaving the Company to pursue other opportunities. Ms. Hargrave was instrumental in reducing operating and overhead expenses, improving turn-around times for internal and external financial reporting and driving other efficiencies within the Company and will remain with the Company for a short period to ensure a seamless transition.

    Mr. Telesz is an accomplished financial executive with extensive experience in the power sector. Since 2024, Mr. Telesz has served as Chief Financial Officer of Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association, Inc., a non-profit generation and transmission cooperative owned by 40 cooperative systems across four states. Between 2021 and 2023, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Basin Electric, one of the nation’s largest cooperative associations, owned by 141 cooperative systems across nine states. Prior to Mr. Telesz’s role at Basin Electric, he served as Senior Vice President at CoBank, ACB, a provider of loans and financial services to cooperatives, agribusinesses, rural utilities and farm credit associations in its Power, Energy and Utilities division between 2007 and 2021.

    “I would like to thank Marjie for her time with Hallador and for the meaningful contributions she made to the Company during the initial phases of our transition from a coal producer to an independent power producer (“IPP”),” said Brent Bilsland, President and Chief Executive Officer of Hallador. “I’m pleased to welcome Todd to the team and believe his experience in high-profile leadership roles as well as his extensive relationships within the power sector will help advance our efforts to acquire additional generation, specifically as energy cooperatives continue to retire or exit portfolios of fossil-based generation. We are excited for the expertise that Todd will bring to Hallador as we further penetrate the power market and seek to advance our acquisition strategy.”

    Forward-Looking Statements

    This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act). Statements that are not strictly historical statements constitute forward-looking statements and may often, but not always, be identified by the use of such words such as “expects,” “believes,” “intends,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “estimates,” “guidance,” “target,” “potential,” “possible,” or “probable” or statements that certain actions, events or results “may,” “will,” “should,” or “could” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, those relating to our ability to execute definitive agreements with respect to the non-binding term sheet with a leading global data center developer, to execute a strategic transaction that delivers long-term value for our shareholders or to strengthen opportunities for growth and cash flow generation. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and assumptions and analyses made by Hallador and its management in light of experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors appropriate under the circumstances that involve various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the statements. These risks include, but are not limited to, those set forth in Hallador’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, and other Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Hallador undertakes no obligation to revise or update publicly any forward-looking statements except as required by law.

    About Hallador Energy Company

    Hallador Energy Company (Nasdaq: HNRG) is a vertically-integrated Independent Power Producer (IPP) based in Terre Haute, Indiana. The Company has two core businesses: Hallador Power Company, LLC, which produces electricity and capacity at its one-Gigawatt (GW) Merom Generating Station, and Sunrise Coal, LLC, which produces and supplies fuel to the Merom Generating Station and other companies. To learn more about Hallador, visit the Company’s website at http://www.halladorenergy.com/.

    Company Contact

    Ryan McManis
    Chief Legal Officer
    RMcManis@halladorenergy.com

    Investor Relations Contact

    Sean Mansouri, CFA
    Elevate IR
    (720) 330-2829
    HNRG@elevate-ir.com

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI: MoneyHero and RCBC Forge Strategic Partnership to Tap into the Philippines’ Expanding Card Market

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    SINGAPORE, June 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — MoneyHero Limited (NASDAQ: MNY) (MoneyHero” or the “Company”), a leading personal finance aggregation and comparison platform, as well as a digital insurance brokerage provider in Greater Southeast Asia, today announced a strategic partnership with Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (“RCBC”), a trusted leader in Philippine banking known for its customer-focused innovation and inclusive financial services, through its card servicing entity, RCBC Bankard Services Corporation (“RCBC Credit Cards”). Through this collaboration, MoneyHero will integrate RCBC’s full suite of rewards, lifestyle, travel, and premium credit card products into its digital platform, enabling Filipinos to seamlessly discover, compare, and apply for cards that suit their personal financial needs.

    This partnership significantly expands MoneyHero’s credit card offerings in the Philippines and reinforces its position as the leading digital acquisition partner for banks and personal finance aggregation and comparison platforms in the region. By combining MoneyHero’s digital conversion expertise with RCBC’s strong growth momentum in consumer finance and strategic focus on data-driven innovation, the strategic partnership will improve customer experience and expand access to personal financial solutions. Together, they will advance a more inclusive and digitally empowered financial ecosystem for Filipinos.

    Rohith Murthy, CEO of MoneyHero, said: “We are excited to welcome RCBC as a partner on our platform. By combining MoneyHero’s aggregation technology with RCBC’s rich credit card portfolio, we are empowering Filipino consumers to make smarter financial decisions. This partnership continues our mission to simplify financial choices for consumers while supporting our bank partners in driving digital acquisition at scale. This partnership accelerates our penetration into regional markets, deepens user engagement, and highlights our asset-light, mutually-beneficially partnership-led growth model.”

    Arniel Vincent B. Ong, RCBC Credit Cards President & CEO, said: “We’re excited to partner with MoneyHero to offer our full suite of credit cards directly to consumers through a seamless digital experience. Our credit card business has shown exceptional momentum, with credit card receivables growing 48% and cards in force increasing 21% in 2024 alone, underscoring strong consumer engagement. This rapid growth in credit cards will make us a powerful partner for MoneyHero’s expanding presence in the country. By integrating with MoneyHero’s platform, we’re making it easier for Filipinos to compare and apply for the card that best fits their needs, strengthening our commitment to innovation and financial inclusion.”​​​​​

    About MoneyHero Group

    MoneyHero Limited (NASDAQ: MNY) is a leading personal finance aggregation and comparison platform, as well as a digital insurance brokerage provider in Greater Southeast Asia. The Company operates in Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan and the Philippines. Its brand portfolio includes B2C platforms MoneyHero, SingSaver, Money101, Moneymax and Seedly, as well as the B2B platform Creatory. The Company also retains an equity stake in Malaysian fintech company, Jirnexu Pte. Ltd., parent company of Jirnexu Sdn. Bhd., the operator of RinggitPlus, Malaysia’s largest operating B2C platform. MoneyHero had over 290 commercial partner relationships as at 31 December 2024, and had approximately 6.2 million Monthly Unique Users across its platform for the three months ended 31 December 2024. The Company’s backers include Peter Thiel—co-founder of PayPal, Palantir Technologies, and the Founders Fund—and Hong Kong businessman, Richard Li, the founder and chairman of Pacific Century Group. To learn more about MoneyHero and how the innovative fintech company is driving APAC’s digital economy, please visit www.MoneyHeroGroup.com.

    About Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation

    RCBC is a leading financial services provider in the Philippines offering a wide range of banking and financial products and services. RCBC is engaged in all aspects of traditional banking, investment banking, microfinance, retail financing (auto, mortgage and housing loans, and credit cards), remittance, leasing, foreign exchange, and stock brokering. RCBC is a member of the Yuchengco Group of Companies (YGC), one of the oldest and largest conglomerates in South East Asia. For more information, please visit https://www.rcbc.com.

    About RCBC Bankard Services Corporation

    RCBC Bankard Services Corporation (“RBSC”) manages credit cards, personal loans, and merchant payment solutions for Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (“RCBC”). RCBC and RBSC are part of the Yuchengco Group of Companies, one of Southeast Asia’s oldest and largest conglomerates. RBSC provides innovative cashless payments and versatile add-on services. For more information about RBSC, please visit www.rcbccredit.com.

    For MoneyHero inquiries, please contact:

    Investor Relations:
    MoneyHero IR Team
    IR@MoneyHeroGroup.com

    Media Relations:
    MoneyHero PR Team
    Press@MoneyHeroGroup.com

    For Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation inquiries, please contact:

    RCBC Credit Cards:
    email@service.rcbcbankard.com

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI: Mizuho Americas Hires Nick Setyan as Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst Covering the Restaurant Sector

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    NEW YORK, June 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Mizuho Americas today announced the hiring of Nick Setyan as Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst covering the Restaurant sector. Based in Los Angeles, Setyan reports to the Head of Americas Equity Research, Bill Featherston.

    Setyan has 15 years of experience in the restaurant sector. He most recently served as Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst covering the Restaurant sector at Wedbush Securities where he spent his entire career holding various positions with increasing responsibility.

    “Nick is one of the top analysts in a dynamic sector drawing increasing interest from investors and issuers,” said Featherston. “His deep industry knowledge and relationships across executive management, franchisees, and owners will be a great asset to Mizuho’s growing research department.”

    Setyan holds a Bachelor of Arts in economics and government from Cornell University and was a Bretschneider Fellow at Pembroke College, University of Oxford.

    About Mizuho Americas
    Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. is one of the largest financial institutions in the world as measured by total assets of ~$2 trillion, according to S&P Global 2024. Mizuho’s 65,000 employees worldwide offer comprehensive financial services to clients in 36 countries and 850 offices throughout the Americas, EMEA, and Asia.

    Mizuho Americas is a leading Corporate and Investment Bank (CIB) that provides a full spectrum of client-driven solutions across strategic advisory, capital markets, corporate banking, and fixed income and equities sales & trading to corporate, government, and institutional clients in the US, Canada, and Latin America. Through its acquisition of Greenhill, Mizuho enhanced its M&A, restructuring, and private capital advisory capabilities across the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Mizuho Americas employs approximately 4,000 professionals. For more information visit www.mizuhoamericas.com.

    For inquiries, please contact:
    Jim Gorman
    Executive Director, Media Relations, Mizuho Americas
    +1-212-282-3867
    jim.gorman@mizuhogroup.com

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI: Amalgamated Bank Joins Nearly $1 Billion Aggregate Financing with Greenbacker’s 674 MW Cider Solar Farm, Powering New York’s Largest Solar Project to Date

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    NEW YORK, June 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Amalgamated Bank, a subsidiary of Amalgamated Financial Corp. (Nasdaq: AMAL), today announced the successful closing of a $15 million commitment as part of a nearly $1 billion aggregate financing to support the construction and operation of Greenbacker Renewable Energy Company LLC’s (“Greenbacker”) utility-scale 674 MWdc (megawatts of direct current) “Cider” solar farm, the largest solar project in New York State.

    Cider is located on approximately 2,500 acres in Genesee County, New York, the state where both Greenbacker and Amalgamated Bank are headquartered. Greenbacker broke ground on the solar project—its largest to date—in late 2024, and commenced major construction activities at the site in spring 2025.

    “The Cider project and associated financing, including the new partnership with Amalgamated Bank, underscores Greenbacker’s commitment to building a more resilient energy system in New York,” said Carl Weatherley-White, Greenbacker’s interim Chief Financial Officer. “Together we are driving forward a sustainable future that delivers affordable, homegrown, clean power and meaningful economic benefits to local communities.”

    Cider’s construction is expected to support hundreds of clean energy jobs. The project is slated to enter commercial operation by the end of 2026, when it is projected to generate enough clean electricity to power over 120,000 New York homes annually.

    “We are proud to partner with Greenbacker on the Cider project, a landmark achievement for renewable energy in New York,” said Sam Brown, Chief Banking Officer at Amalgamated Bank. “This project stands as a testament to our collective mission to deliver impactful, scalable clean energy solutions. Additionally, Greenbacker’s dedication to partnering with local organized labor further underscores our unwavering support for unions and our commitment to fostering strong, sustainable communities.”

    Greenbacker’s portfolio has produced over 12 million megawatt – hours of clean energy and abated more than 8 million metric tons of carbon since 2016, reinforcing its commitment to energy transition investments across the country.

    About Greenbacker Renewable Energy Company
    Greenbacker Renewable Energy Company LLC is a publicly reporting, non-traded limited liability sustainable infrastructure company that both acquires and manages income-producing renewable energy and other energy-related businesses, including solar and wind farms, and provides asset management services to other renewable energy investment vehicles. We seek to acquire and operate high-quality projects that sell clean power under long-term contracts to high-creditworthy counterparties such as utilities, municipalities, and corporations. We are long-term owner-operators, who strive to be good stewards of the land and responsible members of the communities in which we operate. Greenbacker conducts its asset management business through its wholly owned subsidiary, Greenbacker Capital Management, LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. We believe our focus on power production and asset management creates value that we can then pass on to our shareholders—while facilitating the transition toward a clean energy future. For more information, please visit www.greenbackercapital.com.

    About Amalgamated Bank:
    Amalgamated Bank, the wholly owned banking subsidiary of Amalgamated Financial Corp. (Nasdaq: AMAL), is a mission-driven New York-based full-service commercial bank and a chartered trust company with a combined network branches in New York City, Washington D.C., San Francisco, and Boston. Amalgamated Bank provides commercial and retail banking products, investment management and trust and custody services, and lending services. Since their founding in 1923, Amalgamated Bank is diligent in fulfilling their mission to be America’s socially responsible bank, empowering organizations and individuals to advance positive change. The businesses that Amalgamated Bank focus’ on are generally mission aligned with our core values, including sustainable companies, clean energy, nonprofits, and B Corporations. www.amalgamatedbank.com.

    Media Contacts:  
    Chris Larson
    Media Communications
    Greenbacker
    646.569.9532
    c.larson@greenbackercapital.com

    Ayele Ajavon
    Head of Communication
    Amalgamated Bank
    929.979.5811
    Media@amalgamatedbank.com

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Economics: ECB reports on Bulgaria’s progress towards euro adoption

    Source: European Central Bank

    4 June 2025

    • ECB report assesses Bulgaria’s progress towards Economic and Monetary Union
    • Positive assessment with respect to possible euro adoption on 1 January 2026

    Bulgaria has made good progress towards economic convergence with the euro area since 2024, according to the Convergence Report of the European Central Bank (ECB) published today.

    “This positive assessment of convergence paves the way for Bulgaria to introduce the euro as of 1 January 2026 and become the 21st EU Member State to join the euro area,” said Philip R. Lane, Member of the ECB Executive Board. “I wish to congratulate Bulgaria on its tremendous dedication to making the adjustments needed.”

    According to the ECB’s assessment, Bulgaria is within the reference values of the convergence criteria and complies with the legal requirements. Having participated in the exchange rate mechanism (ERM II) and the banking union since 10 July 2020, Bulgaria has made another step towards European integration under challenging economic conditions. Achieving an environment that is conducive to sustainable convergence in Bulgaria requires stability-oriented economic policies and wide-ranging structural reforms. These policies are discussed in more detail in the report.

    As regards the price stability criterion, in April 2025, the 12-month average rate of HICP inflation in Bulgaria stood at 2.7%, i.e. just below the reference value of 2.8% (Chart 1). The reference value is based on the three best performing Member States in terms of price stability, i.e. Ireland (1.2%), Finland (1.3%) and Italy (1.4%), taking their average inflation over the past 12 months and adding 1.5 percentage points.

    Chart 1

    HICP inflation and reference value

    (annual percentage changes)

    Sources: European Commission (Eurostat) and ECB calculations.
    Notes: 12-month moving average rounded to one decimal.

    Regarding the fiscal criterion, Bulgaria has not been subject to an excessive deficit procedure since 2012. The country’s general government budget deficit stood at 3.0% of GDP in 2024, i.e. at the level of the 3% reference value (Chart 2). Its general government gross debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 24.1%, i.e. well below the 60% reference value, and it has been well below 60% of GDP for the past 20 years.

    Chart 2

    General government balance and debt

    (as a percentage of GDP)

    Sources: European System of Central Banks and European Commission (Eurostat).

    As regards the exchange rate criterion, the Bulgarian lev participated in ERM II in the two-year reference period from 20 May 2023 to 19 May 2025. Over the reference period, the lev did not exhibit any deviation from the central rate of 1.95583 levs per euro. Bulgaria has completed almost all of its ERM II post-entry commitments, but further progress is needed to address the outstanding shortcomings in the area of anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism.

    Long-term interest rates in Bulgaria stood at 3.9%, on average, over the reference period from May 2024 to April 2025 and were therefore below the 5.1% reference value for the interest rate convergence criterion.

    As for the compatibility of national legislation, Bulgarian law is compatible with the Treaties and the Statute of the ESCB, as required under Article 131 of the Treaty.

    Today’s report was published following Bulgaria’s request, the next regular Convergence Report of the ECB will be published in 2026.

    For media queries, please contact Benoit Deeg, tel.: +49 172 1683704.

    Notes

    • European Commission Convergence Report 2025
    • Close cooperation established between ECB and Bulgaria
    • The Convergence Report of the ECB reviews the economic and legal convergence of non-euro area EU Member States with a derogation every second year or at the request of a specific country. It assesses the degree of sustainable economic convergence with the euro area, whether the national legislation is compatible with the EU legal framework, and whether the statutory requirements are fulfilled for the respective national central banks. Given its “opt-out” clause, Denmark is not covered by this assessment unless this is specifically requested by the country.
    • The cut-off date for the statistics included in this Convergence Report was 19 May 2025. The reference period for the price stability criterion and the long-term interest rate criterion is from May 2024 to April 2025. Forecasts are based on the European Commission’s Spring 2025 Economic Forecast and other information relevant to a forward-looking assessment of the sustainability of convergence.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Euro area bank interest rate statistics: April 2025

    Source: European Central Bank

    4 June 2025

    Bank interest rates for corporations

    Chart 1

    Bank interest rates on new loans to, and deposits from, euro area corporations

    (percentages per annum)

    Data for cost of borrowing and deposit interest rates for corporations (Chart 1)

    The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator, which combines interest rates on all loans to corporations, decreased in April 2025. The interest rate on new loans of over €1 million with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to three months decreased by 13 basis points to 3.54%. The rate on new loans of the same size with an initial rate fixation period of over three months and up to one year fell by 27 basis points to 3.51%. The interest rate on new loans of over €1 million with an initial rate fixation period of over ten years remained broadly unchanged at 3.54%. In the case of new loans of up to €250,000 with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to three months, the average rate charged fell by 12 basis points to 3.90%.
    As regards new deposit agreements, the interest rate on deposits from corporations with an agreed maturity of up to one year fell by 17 basis points to 2.15% in April 2025. The interest rate on overnight deposits from corporations fell by 7 basis points to 0.60%.
    The interest rate on new loans to sole proprietors and unincorporated partnerships with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to one year decreased by 5 basis points to 4.31%, driven by both the interest rate and the weight effects.

    Table 1

    Bank interest rates for corporations

    i.r.f. = initial rate fixation
    * For this instrument category, the concept of new business is extended to the whole outstanding amounts and therefore the business volumes are not comparable with those of the other categories. Outstanding amounts data are derived from the ECB’s monetary financial institutions balance sheet statistics.

    Data for bank interest rates for corporations (Table 1)

    Bank interest rates for households

    Chart 2

    Bank interest rates on new loans to, and deposits from, euro area households

    Data for cost of borrowing and deposit interest rate for households (Chart 2)

    The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator, which combines interest rates on all loans to households for house purchase, decreased in April 2025. The interest rate on loans for house purchase with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to one year decreased by 8 basis points to 3.84%. The rate on housing loans with an initial rate fixation period of over one and up to five years stayed almost constant at 3.48%. The interest rate on loans for house purchase with an initial rate fixation period of over five and up to ten years decreased by 4 basis points to 3.32%, driven by both the interest rate and the weight effects. The rate on housing loans with an initial rate fixation period of over ten years fell by 7 basis points to 3.03%, mainly driven by the weight effect. In the same period the interest rate on new loans to households for consumption showed no change at 7.52%.
    As regards new deposits from households, the interest rate on deposits with an agreed maturity of up to one year decreased by 13 basis points to 1.96%. The rate on deposits redeemable at three months’ notice stayed almost constant at 1.50%. The interest rate on overnight deposits from households remained broadly unchanged at 0.29%.

    Table 2

    Bank interest rates for households

    i.r.f. = initial rate fixation
    * For this instrument category, the concept of new business is extended to the whole outstanding amounts and therefore the business volumes are not comparable with those of the other categories; deposits placed by households and corporations are allocated to the household sector. Outstanding amounts data are derived from the ECB’s monetary financial institutions balance sheet statistics.
    ** For this instrument category, the concept of new business is extended to the whole outstanding amounts and therefore the business volumes are not comparable with those of the other categories. Outstanding amounts data are derived from the ECB’s monetary financial institutions balance sheet statistics.

    Data for bank interest rates for households (Table 2)

    Further information

    The data in Tables 1 and 2 can be visualised for individual euro area countries on the bank interest rate statistics dashboard. Additionally, tables containing further breakdowns of bank interest rate statistics, including the composite cost-of-borrowing indicators for all euro area countries, are available from the ECB Data Portal. The full set of bank interest rate statistics for both the euro area and individual countries can be downloaded from ECB Data Portal. More information, including the release calendar, is available under “Bank interest rates” in the statistics section of the ECB’s website.

    For media queries, please contact Nicos Keranis, tel.: +49 69 1344 7806

    Notes:

    • In this press release “corporations” refers to non-financial corporations (sector S.11 in the European System of Accounts 2010, or ESA 2010), “households” refers to households and non-profit institutions serving households (ESA 2010 sectors S.14 and S.15) and “banks” refers to monetary financial institutions except central banks and money market funds (ESA 2010 sector S.122).
    • The composite cost-of-borrowing indicators are described in the article entitled “Assessing the retail bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area at times of financial fragmentation” in the August 2013 issue of the ECB’s Monthly Bulletin (see Box 1). For these indicators, a weighting scheme based on the 24-month moving averages of new business volumes has been applied, in order to filter out excessive monthly volatility. For this reason the developments in the composite cost of borrowing indicators in both tables cannot be explained by the month-on-month changes in the displayed subcomponents. Furthermore, the table on bank interest rates for corporations presents a subset of the series used in the calculation of the cost of borrowing indicator.
    • Interest rates on new business are weighted by the size of the individual agreements. This is done both by the reporting agents and when the national and euro area averages are computed. Thus changes in average euro area interest rates for new business reflect, in addition to changes in interest rates, changes in the weights of individual countries’ new business for the instrument categories concerned. The “interest rate effect” and the “weight effect” presented in this press release are derived from the Bennet index, which allows month-on-month developments in euro area aggregate rates resulting from changes in individual country rates (the “interest rate effect”) to be disentangled from those caused by changes in the weights of individual countries’ contributions (the “weight effect”). Owing to rounding, the combined “interest rate effect” and the “weight effect” may not add up to the month-on-month developments in euro area aggregate rates.
    • In addition to monthly euro area bank interest rate statistics for April 2025, this press release incorporates revisions to data for previous periods. Hyperlinks in the main body of the press release lead to data that may change with subsequent releases as a result of revisions. Unless otherwise indicated, these euro area statistics cover the EU Member States that had adopted the euro at the time to which the data relate.
    • As of reference period December 2014, the sector classification applied to bank interest rates statistics is based on the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA 2010). In accordance with the ESA 2010 classification and as opposed to ESA 95, the non-financial corporations sector (S.11) now excludes holding companies not engaged in management and similar captive financial institutions.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI United Nations: GPDRR 2025 highlights: Tuesday 3 June 2025

    Source: UNISDR Disaster Risk Reduction

    The human cost of disasters includes lost livelihoods, homes, and cultural ties to landscapes. Where livelihoods are already fragile and being eroded, a disaster-induced displacement of even a few days can damage economic opportunities for years to come. So, the human dimension of recovery remains central to discussions as delegates convened for a second day in several preparatory events for the 8th Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction (GPDRR), namely: the World Resilient Recovery Conference, the Third Stakeholder Forum on DRR, and the Global Early Warning for All Multistakeholder Forum (EW4All).

    The GPDRR official programme was launched with a high-level roundtable event at lunchtime and a formal opening ceremony in the afternoon, followed by an official reception.

    Official programme

    Opening

    Kamal Kishore, Special Representative of the UN Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction, and head of UNDRR, opened the event highlighting the exceptional urgency and importance of delivering on the Sendai Framework. He underscored how communities were coming together and the need to learn from their initiatives, imagination, and resourcefulness, and called for commitment from all actors.

    Recalling the recent loss of a Swiss village to a glacier landslide, Amina J. Mohammed, United Nations Deputy Secretary-General, commented that “early warning saves lives but cannot save glaciers from disappearing.” She stressed that disasters and their cascading effects annually cost up to USD 3.2 trillion and noted that record-breaking disasters make entire regions uninsurable. She called for risk-informed development across all sectors; scaled-up public and private investments in resilience; and national financial frameworks that align with adaptation needs.

    Ignazio Cassis, Minister, Federal Department of Foreign Affairs, Switzerland, observed that, “Risk today is everywhere. Fires are where wetlands were centuries ago.” Noting that the GPDRR2025 is the last Global Platform before the 2030 deadline, he urged that countries deliver on the Sendai Framework, apply science and artificial intelligence, and adopt risk mitigation metrics to mobilize and foster resources.

    Amina J. Mohammed, UN Deputy Secretary-General.

    After a musical performance on the Hang Drum and a choreographed presentation by Sendai4Youth, Patricia Danzi, Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation, opened the Eighth Session of the GPDRR.

    Enhancing national DRR governance by 2030—A dialogue among national platforms for DRR

    In opening remarks to this high-level event, Kishore observed that the risk landscape platform is becoming increasingly complex. He recommended strengthening national DRR platforms and embedding risk reduction into national policies and frameworks; ensuring sustainable and predictable finance with policies matching sustainable long-term plans; and having a common risk assessment framework to support national entities with proper data and analytics.

    Speaking on behalf of the host country, Franziska Schmid, Swiss National Platform for Natural Hazards (PLANAT), described the work of PLANAT and highlighted challenges, including overlapping reporting mechanisms and strategies among national government entities focused on resilience. She stressed the importance of addressing duplication, developing appropriate tools, such as hazard maps and building permits, and ensuring crisis management provisions are actually functional.

    Discussions then followed in a roundtable format, moderated by Paola Albrito, UNDRR. Albrito invited delegates to: describe the demonstrated impact of their National Platforms for DRR, share lessons learned, identify remaining gaps in DRR governance, and highlight ways and opportunities to boost Sendai Framework implementation by 2030.

    View of the room during the Dialogue Among National Platforms for DRR.

    In their interventions, many called for collaboration among regional and country partners. Speakers included the Deputy Prime Minister of the Democratic Republic of Congo and Tajikistan, as well as many ministers and high-level government representatives. They highlighted lessons and challenges, including: enhancing preparedness through strengthening and modernizing approaches; improving planning and promoting concrete analyses from real-life situations at the grassroots; and mobilizing adequate financing and developing technical expertise to adequately prepare communities.

    All interventions are recorded here.

    Third Stakeholder Forum on DRR

    The Stakeholder Forum continued its deliberations throughout the day, concluding in the afternoon with reflections by supporters and participants of the Stakeholder Engagement Mechanism.

    Spotlight session—Early warning for all

    Moderator Rebecca Murphy, Global Network of Civil Society Organisations for Disaster Reduction (GNDR), invited the UNDRR Stakeholder Forum and the Multi-Stakeholder EW4All communities to combine efforts in crafting action points for the 2025 Global Platform on DRR.

    In the keynote, Gavin White, Risk-informed Early Action Partnership (REAP), summarized common themes in Early Warning, noting that: preparing for disasters is about inclusiveness, honest communication and trusting the person who is providing the guidance; and early warning systems (EWS) can act as a bridge overcoming the silo approaches among different DRR stakeholders. Panelists suggested that: while no system can predict with 100% certainty what shape hazards will take, it is crucial to build trust and understand local contexts; response planners should establish appropriate actions to follow early warnings; emergency systems must be tailored to communities’ experiences so that people can distinguish between different disasters and respond uniquely to each threat; both elderly and youth can inform EWS and response planning; and conflict zones require unique solutions that consider the fragility and power dynamics within communities.

    Bridging the gap: Critical media’s role in strengthening alerts and enhancing disaster preparedness

    Giacomo Mazzone, Media Saving Lives, moderated the session. Matthieu Rawolle, EBU Media Intelligence Service, shared examples of how terrestrial radio networks remained uninterrupted and accessible during disasters, and are used to inform the public and facilitate emergency response, especially when mobile phone and internet services are interrupted. He concluded that radio is an essential communication medium in times of crisis and requires investment.

    Raditya Jati, Deputy Minister of System and Strategy, National Disaster Management Authority, Indonesia, emphasized the need for media to go beyond reporting on casualties and housing collapse, and to incorporate education for people to prepare for disasters.

    Event rooms remained full throughout the day.

    Noting that UNDRR is the first UN agency that recognized media’s role in crises, Natalia Ilieva, Asia-Pacific Broadcasting Union, described the Media Saving Lives collaboration between the World Broadcasting Unions and UNDRR that focuses on shifting media perspectives from reactive to proactive reporting, showing the real causes for disasters and instructing people on how to avoid harm. Grégoire Ndjaka, African Broadcasting Union, highlighted the reach of radio in Africa extending to places without electricity supply. Orengiye Fyneface, African Broadcasting Union, discussed trust challenges with journalism as a disaster information source in Africa, pointing to bureaucratic hurdles that prevent journalists from reaching scientists.

    Shaping a sustainable tomorrow: Aligning the Sendai Midterm Review with the Pact for the Future

    Abraham Bugre, University of Regina, moderated this session. In her opening remarks, Toni-Shae Freckleton, UNDRR, called for transitioning from short-term responses to long-term prevention. She stated that the Pact for the Future embeds DRR and resilience building.

    Juan Carlos Uribe Vega, United Cities and Local Governments (UCLG) highlighted gaps in understanding localization and the importance of local-level governance. Jekulin Lipi Saikia, GNDR, called for a focus on listening to and working with communities, improving financial access, and increasing citizen science. Amber Fletcher, University of Regina, emphasized the role of community-driven actions, citizen science, and community engagement in reaching the diverse range of local voices. In the ensuing discussion, attendees identified communication disconnection, lack of funding, and localization among the persistent gaps between global networks and local realities.

    Closing session

    Tanjir Hossain, UNDRR Stakeholder Engagement Mechanism (SEM), moderated the closing session. Jamie Cummings, SEM, recalled her own experience of disaster when Hurricane Helene struck her hometown of Asheville, North Carolina. Describing how volunteers had operated a traditional Appalachian mule brigade to transport life-saving medications to mountain communities after roads were destroyed, she reflected that, “communities who know the land most, hold the solutions.” Martin Schuldes, German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ), stressed that “the substance and spirit” of the conference must translate into concrete action.

    Jilhane El Gaouzi, African Union Commission, urged all concerned to “be realistic and speed up implementation,” given that only five years remain until the Sendai Framework deadline.

    View of the panel during the Closing Session of the Stakeholder Forum.

    World Resilient Recovery Conference

    At the opening of this one-day event, Mutale Nalumongo, Vice-President, Zambia, highlighted Zambia’s promotion of climate-resilient agriculture through promotion of drought-tolerant crop varieties, access to weather-based insurance and investment in EWS, including advisories to farmers. Following further opening remarks by speakers, two plenaries and several thematic sessions took place during the day.

    Plenary 1—Taking stock of current recovery practices

    Carolina Fuentes Castellanos, Director, Santiago Network Secretariat, moderated the session.

    Sujit Mohanty, UNDRR, noted the high costs of reconstruction and the difficulties of countries that are perpetually in a state of recovery from one disaster after another, pointing to the need to address institutional fragmentation.

    Renato Umali Solidum, Jr., Department of Science and Technology, Philippines, advocated for greater cohesion between DRR and climate action as being “two sides of the same coin.” He called for transparent grant-based governance to reach at-risk commuities and address both slow-onset and sudden disasters.

    Leon Lundy, Minister of State Office, The Bahamas, highlighted the launch of The Bahamas’ National Disaster Risk Management Authority. He drew attention to the 2022 Act mandating public body disaster plans, including continuity plans, restoration timelines, and staff redeployment protocols to ensure essential services can be maintained or rapidly restored after a disaster.

    Krishna Swaroop Vatsa, National Disaster Management Authority, India, highlighted allocation of 30% of the Authority’s funds for recovery and reconstruction, which are released through an assessment-based process.

    Fuentes Castellanos offered countries the Secretariat’s support for structuring technical assistance requests.

    Plenary 2—From commitment to action: Leadership for resilient recovery

    Shivangi Chavda, GNDR, moderated the session.

    Guangzhe Chen, World Bank, described the World Bank’s recent transition to supporting infrastructure resilience efforts. He invited countries to access the Bank’s preparedness and response toolkit to strengthen their disaster reduction policies, citing recent examples from Malawi, Albania, and Madagascar.

    On financial instruments, panelists explored ways to distribute more rapid financial support, including through multi-dimensional approaches.

    On displacement following disasters, Rania Sharshr, International Organization for Migration (IOM), emphasized that one of the greatest needs of governments is access to reliable and accurate data on how displaced people have been impacted, and guidance on how to integrate these people into existing communities.

    The session concluded with the presentation of the Resilient Recovery Framework by Abhilash Panda, UNDRR.

    Thematic sessions

    Further sessions took place through the day. Besides the three sessions reported here, delegates took part in other Stakeholder Forum sessions on governance mechanisms, unlocking financial potential, housing reconstruction, and multi-hazard EWS.

    Restoring livelihood: Solutions for disaster-induced displacement and resilient recovery

    Mona Folkesson, UN Development Coordination Office (DCO), moderated the session.

    Emad Adly, Arab Network for Environment and Development, highlighted water scarcity as a key issue for the region and local-level coordination as a key challenge. Alexandra Bilak, Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), cited experience from the 2015 Gorkha Earthquake in Nepal to show how livelihood erosion influences the severity of displacement.

    Ibrahim Osman Farah, Vice President, Somali Regional State, Ethiopia, described livelihood restoration during return and resettlement of internally displaced persons, through ensuring cultural access to land, water, schools, and income-generating opportunities as long-term resilience-based approaches.

    Tasneem Siddiqui, University of Dhaka, recounted how students were a driving force for the university’s Refugee and Migration Research Unit, which now has formed Adaptation Committees in many local areas and supports implementation of national policies on livelihood diversification and skills training. She urged treating displacement not as a humanitarian issue, but as a human rights one.

    Aslam Perwaiz, Executive Director, Asian Disaster Preparedness Center, emphasized skill development with local communities and SMEs to create livelihood options for displaced communities.

    Driving resilience: The critical role of private sector’s operational readiness for resilient recovery

    Moderator, Cedrick Moriggi, Corporate Chief Resilience Officer Network, emphasized connecting the corporate world with the UNDRR world. Ommid Saberi, International Finance Corporation, recommended investing in the “economics of families,” or small businesses, saying even small government incentives can mobilize large funds from the private sector. Dorothee Baumann-Pauly, University of Geneva, said human rights are the enablers for resilience. Jonathan Rake, Swiss Re Solutions, highlighted the need for the private sector to engage locally and to develop and combine social programmes with parametric solutions. Chris Ulatt, Octopus, said upfront investment to boost resilience is the right move, but observed that few investors will remain for the duration of an investment. Kerry Hinds, Department of Emergency Management, Barbados, described an audit tool to ascertain risks and priorities for public-private partnerships, noting the tool helps standardize and trigger business continuity protocols for disaster risk management.

    Turning experience into action: learning from large-scale disasters

    Dilanthi Amaratunga, Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System, moderated the session.

    Banak Joshua Dei Wal, South Sudan’s DRR Focal Point, highlighted the need to work together and identify risks for Sendai Framework implementation to be effective.

    Saini Yang, Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR), emphasized that China’s National Flood Prevention System has proven effective, with more than an 80% decrease in flood mortality rates over the last 20 years.

    Trevor Bhupsingh, Public Safety Canada, highlighted Canada’s Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements.

    Guy Gryspeert, Honeywell, defined resilience as the capability of preventing a crisis by having awareness and planning in place.

    Ali Hamza Pehlivan, Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD), Türkiye, highlighted the usefulness of their National Disaster Response Plan during the 2023 earthquake. Makiko Ohashi, Cabinet Office of Japan, noted the utility of planning on the assumption that a mega-disaster may occur at any time and of reviewing DDR plans in the aftermath of disasters.

    Participants engage in discussions between sessions throughout the day.

    Global Early Warning for All (EW4All) Multistakeholder Forum

    After thematic sessions during the day, EW4All concluded its discussions. Gavin White, Risk-Informed Early Action Partnership, moderated the closing session. Panelists highlighted the importance of focusing on preparedness and developing trust, the need to shift perspectives toward a systemic approach to EWS, and the need to increase private funding.

    In closing remarks, Andrea Hermenejildo, Deputy Secretary General for Risk Management, Ecuador, stressed EWS is not only a technical issue, but also involves social justice. Paola Albrito, Director, UNDRR, emphasized that EW4All is both needed and achievable. Noting the central role of local communities, she underlined that resilience is built with communities.

    Doreen Bogdan-Martin, Secretary-General, International Telecommunication Union, underlined that scaling-up EWS requires partnerships and breaking silos across economic sectors, UN agencies and industries.

    Jagan Chapagain, Secretary-General, International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), stressed that inclusive action and investment in EW4All is essential.

    Celeste Saulo, Secretary-General, World Meteorological Organization (WMO), stated that having EWS in just 108 countries is neither sufficient nor acceptable, and called for closing this “justice gap” by providing EWS worldwide and accelerating the transformation needed to protect every person on Earth.

    MIL OSI United Nations News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: ECB reports on Bulgaria’s progress towards euro adoption

    Source: European Central Bank

    4 June 2025

    • ECB report assesses Bulgaria’s progress towards Economic and Monetary Union
    • Positive assessment with respect to possible euro adoption on 1 January 2026

    Bulgaria has made good progress towards economic convergence with the euro area since 2024, according to the Convergence Report of the European Central Bank (ECB) published today.

    “This positive assessment of convergence paves the way for Bulgaria to introduce the euro as of 1 January 2026 and become the 21st EU Member State to join the euro area,” said Philip R. Lane, Member of the ECB Executive Board. “I wish to congratulate Bulgaria on its tremendous dedication to making the adjustments needed.”

    According to the ECB’s assessment, Bulgaria is within the reference values of the convergence criteria and complies with the legal requirements. Having participated in the exchange rate mechanism (ERM II) and the banking union since 10 July 2020, Bulgaria has made another step towards European integration under challenging economic conditions. Achieving an environment that is conducive to sustainable convergence in Bulgaria requires stability-oriented economic policies and wide-ranging structural reforms. These policies are discussed in more detail in the report.

    As regards the price stability criterion, in April 2025, the 12-month average rate of HICP inflation in Bulgaria stood at 2.7%, i.e. just below the reference value of 2.8% (Chart 1). The reference value is based on the three best performing Member States in terms of price stability, i.e. Ireland (1.2%), Finland (1.3%) and Italy (1.4%), taking their average inflation over the past 12 months and adding 1.5 percentage points.

    Chart 1

    HICP inflation and reference value

    (annual percentage changes)

    Sources: European Commission (Eurostat) and ECB calculations.
    Notes: 12-month moving average rounded to one decimal.

    Regarding the fiscal criterion, Bulgaria has not been subject to an excessive deficit procedure since 2012. The country’s general government budget deficit stood at 3.0% of GDP in 2024, i.e. at the level of the 3% reference value (Chart 2). Its general government gross debt-to-GDP ratio stood at 24.1%, i.e. well below the 60% reference value, and it has been well below 60% of GDP for the past 20 years.

    Chart 2

    General government balance and debt

    (as a percentage of GDP)

    Sources: European System of Central Banks and European Commission (Eurostat).

    As regards the exchange rate criterion, the Bulgarian lev participated in ERM II in the two-year reference period from 20 May 2023 to 19 May 2025. Over the reference period, the lev did not exhibit any deviation from the central rate of 1.95583 levs per euro. Bulgaria has completed almost all of its ERM II post-entry commitments, but further progress is needed to address the outstanding shortcomings in the area of anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism.

    Long-term interest rates in Bulgaria stood at 3.9%, on average, over the reference period from May 2024 to April 2025 and were therefore below the 5.1% reference value for the interest rate convergence criterion.

    As for the compatibility of national legislation, Bulgarian law is compatible with the Treaties and the Statute of the ESCB, as required under Article 131 of the Treaty.

    Today’s report was published following Bulgaria’s request, the next regular Convergence Report of the ECB will be published in 2026.

    For media queries, please contact Benoit Deeg, tel.: +49 172 1683704.

    Notes

    • European Commission Convergence Report 2025
    • Close cooperation established between ECB and Bulgaria
    • The Convergence Report of the ECB reviews the economic and legal convergence of non-euro area EU Member States with a derogation every second year or at the request of a specific country. It assesses the degree of sustainable economic convergence with the euro area, whether the national legislation is compatible with the EU legal framework, and whether the statutory requirements are fulfilled for the respective national central banks. Given its “opt-out” clause, Denmark is not covered by this assessment unless this is specifically requested by the country.
    • The cut-off date for the statistics included in this Convergence Report was 19 May 2025. The reference period for the price stability criterion and the long-term interest rate criterion is from May 2024 to April 2025. Forecasts are based on the European Commission’s Spring 2025 Economic Forecast and other information relevant to a forward-looking assessment of the sustainability of convergence.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: REPORT on electricity grids: the backbone of the EU energy system – A10-0091/2025

    Source: European Parliament

    MOTION FOR A EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT RESOLUTION

    on electricity grids: the backbone of the EU energy system

    (2025/2006(INI))

    The European Parliament,

     having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union, and in particular Article 194 thereof,

     having regard to the Commission communication of 8 July 2020 entitled ‘Powering a climate-neutral economy: An EU Strategy for Energy System Integration’ (COM(2020)0299),

     having regard to the Commission communication of 28 November 2023 entitled ‘Grids, the missing link – An EU Action Plan for Grids’ (COM(2023)0757),

     having regard to the Commission report of January 2025 entitled ‘Investment needs of European energy infrastructure to enable a decarbonised economy’[1],

     having regard to the Commission communication of 26 February 2025 entitled ‘Action Plan for Affordable Energy – Unlocking the true value of our Energy Union to secure affordable, efficient and clean energy for all Europeans’ (COM(2025)0079),

     having regard to the Commission communication of 26 February 2025 entitled ‘The Clean Industrial Deal: A joint roadmap for competitiveness and decarbonisation’ (COM(2025)0085),

     having regard to the Commission communication of 5 March 2025 entitled ‘Industrial Action Plan for the European automotive sector’ (COM(2025)0095),

     having regard to Regulation (EU) 2021/1153 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 7 July 2021 establishing the Connecting Europe Facility and repealing Regulations (EU) No 1316/2013 and (EU) No 283/2014[2] (the CEF Regulation),

     having regard to Regulation (EU) 2022/869 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 30 May 2022 on guidelines for trans-European energy infrastructure, amending Regulations (EC) No 715/2009, (EU) 2019/942 and (EU) 2019/943 and Directives 2009/73/EC and (EU) 2019/944, and repealing Regulation (EU) No 347/2013[3] (the TEN-E Regulation),

     having regard to Directive (EU) 2019/944 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 5 June 2019 on common rules for the internal market for electricity and amending Directive 2012/27/EU[4],

     having regard to Regulation (EU) 2019/943 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 5 June 2019 on the internal market for electricity[5],

     having regard to Directive (EU) 2023/2413 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 18 October 2023 amending Directive (EU) 2018/2001, Regulation (EU) 2018/1999 and Directive 98/70/EC as regards the promotion of energy from renewable sources, and repealing Council Directive (EU) 2015/652[6] (the Renewable Energy Directive),

     having regard to Directive (EU) 2024/1275 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 24 April 2024 on the energy performance of buildings[7],

     having regard to Directive (EU) 2024/1711 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 June 2024 amending Directives (EU) 2018/2001 and (EU) 2019/944 as regards improving the Union’s electricity market design[8],

     having regard to Regulation (EU) 2024/1747 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 June 2024 amending Regulations (EU) 2019/942 and (EU) 2019/943 as regards improving the Union’s electricity market design[9] (Electricity Market Design (EMD) Regulation),

     having regard to Regulation (EU) 2018/1999 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 December 2018 on the Governance of the Energy Union and Climate Action, amending Regulations (EC) No 663/2009 and (EC) No 715/2009 of the European Parliament and of the Council, Directives 94/22/EC, 98/70/EC, 2009/31/EC, 2009/73/EC, 2010/31/EU, 2012/27/EU and 2013/30/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council, Council Directives 2009/119/EC and (EU) 2015/652 and repealing Regulation (EU) No 525/2013 of the European Parliament and of the Council[10], which reflects the EU’s electricity interconnection targets,

     having regard to the Council conclusions on ‘Advancing Sustainable Electricity Grid Infrastructure’, as approved by the Transport, Telecommunications and Energy Council at its meeting on 30 May 2024,

     having regard to its resolution of 10 July 2020 on a comprehensive European approach to energy storage[11],

     having regard to its resolution of 19 May 2021 on a European strategy for energy system integration[12],

     having regard to the report of January 2023 by the EU Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators (ACER) on electricity transmission and distribution tariff methodologies in Europe,

     having regard to the report of 19 December 2023 by ACER entitled ‘Demand response and other distributed energy resources: what barriers are holding them back?’,

     having regard to the report of April 2025 by the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) entitled ‘Bidding Zone Review of the 2025 Target Year’[13],

     having regard to Rule 55 of its Rules of Procedure,

     having regard to the report of the Committee on Industry, Research and Energy (A10-0091/2025),

    A. whereas electricity grids are essential for the Union to achieve its clean energy transition and to deliver renewable energy while supporting economic growth and prosperity; whereas inefficiencies and lack of full integration negatively impact energy prices for consumers and companies;

    B. whereas in light of the growing demand for electricity, significant investments and upgrades are required, along with regulatory oversight, to increase cross-border and national-level transmission capacity and modernise infrastructure, ensuring a decarbonised, flexible, more decentralised, digitalised and resilient electricity system;

    C. whereas poor connectivity and grid bottlenecks are among the main reasons the EU cannot fully benefit from the significant installed capacities of wind and solar energy, thereby ensuring affordable prices for households and industry; whereas the lack of strong interconnection between regions with different natural and climatic characteristics leads to the overproduction of energy and administrative limitation on renewable production in some regions, while other regions are struggling with insufficient supply and high prices;

    D. whereas transmission system operators (TSOs) are essential for integrating offshore renewable energy into the EU grid, in particular for those connected to more than one market; whereas, if TSOs fail to provide the agreed grid capacity, compensation should be paid to developers for lost export capacity, funded by congestion income; whereas such compensation should be shared fairly among TSOs and align with principles of non-discrimination and maximising cross-border trade; whereas this highlights the importance of maintaining a functioning interconnector backbone, as failures in interconnector capacity may result in costs for both producers and TSOs;

    E. whereas Europe will only reach its decarbonisation objectives if there is a coordinated, pan-European approach to electricity system planning, connecting borders, sectors and regions;

    F. whereas the planning of electricity transmission and distribution networks must be coordinated to ensure the effective development of the EU electricity system;

    G. whereas the EU electricity grid was built for a 20th century economy based on centralised, fossil fuel-fired electricity generation, and must be modernised to meet the demands of a digitalised economy with increased levels of electrification and a higher share of decentralised and variable renewable energy sources;

    H. whereas cross-border interconnectors, transmission and distribution grid infrastructure are critical for integrating renewables, reducing costs for European consumers and increasing the security of energy supply;

    I. whereas distribution level grid projects are already eligible for funds under the Connecting Europe Facility – Energy (CEF-E); whereas, however, only a small share has been allocated to distribution grids under the most recent Projects of Common Interest (PCI) list; whereas CEF-E should better reflect the role of distribution grids for the achievement of EU energy and climate targets;

    J. whereas ENTSO-E has calculated that cross-border electricity investment of EUR 13 billion per year until 2050 would reduce system costs by EUR 23 billion per year;

    K. whereas the ‘energy efficiency first’ principle is a fundamental principle of EU energy policy and is legally binding; notes that the correct implementation of this principle will significantly reduce energy consumption, thereby lowering the need for investment in electricity grids and interconnectors;

    L. whereas keeping the EU energy policy triangle of sustainability, security of supply and affordability in balance is key to a successful energy transition and to a reliable European energy system;

    M. whereas energy network planning is a long-term process closely linked to investment stability;

    N. whereas energy system flexibility needs are expected to double by 2030, in light of an increased share of renewables; whereas demand-side flexibility is therefore crucial for grid stability; whereas individual citizens, businesses and communities participating in the electricity market may bring manifold benefits to the grids, such as enhanced system efficiency, resilience, investment optimisation, improved social acceptance and lower energy costs; whereas serious delays and inconsistencies in implementing existing EU provisions on citizens’ energy, demand flexibility and smart network operations remain a concern;

    O. whereas although recycling meets between 40 % and 55 % of Europe’s aluminium and copper needs, further measures to extend recycling capacity, waste collection and supply chain efficiency must be considered;

    P. whereas the Commission and High Representative’s joint communication entitled ‘EU Action Plan on Cable Security’ highlights the importance of ensuring the secure supply of spare cable parts and the stockpiling of essential material and equipment;

    Q. whereas the electricity system blackout experienced in the Iberian Peninsula and parts of France on 28 April 2025 illustrated how important it is to increase the energy grid’s resilience by ensuring that it is well maintained, protected and balanced at all times, including through flexible system services and enhanced cross-border interconnections, to allow for an agile recovery in the event of system failure;

    R. whereas national and regional level system operators hold important responsibilities, particularly in the area of energy supply security; whereas all tasks of a regulatory nature should be performed by regulatory agencies acting in the public interest; whereas, however, alongside these responsibilities, a strengthened role for regulators and ACER in the planning processes can contribute to addressing shortcomings, such as ENTSO-E’s current 10-year network development plan (TYNDP) grid planning, as identified in the grid monitoring report; whereas, while acknowledging the TSOs’ responsibilities in drawing up these scenarios, ACER’s early involvement in the drawing-up process could help to ensure that the guidelines for the drawing-up of the scenarios are followed in accordance with the TEN-E Regulation;

    S. whereas interconnection development will contribute to further integrating the EU electricity market, which not only increases system flexibility and resilience, but also unlocks economies of scale in renewable electricity production;

    T. whereas the energy workforce will need to increase by 50 % to deploy the requisite renewable energy, grid and energy efficiency technologies[14];

    U. whereas small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of the EU’s economy, entrepreneurship and innovation, comprising 99 % of businesses, providing jobs to more than 85 million EU citizens and generating more than 58 % of the EU’s GDP;

    V. whereas increasing decentralised electricity generation and demand response are important to reduce reliance on centralised production, which may be easily targeted by physical threats or cyberthreats, or compromised by climate-related events;

    1. Calls on the Member States to fully explore, optimise, modernise and expand their electricity grid capacity, including transmission and distribution; considers electricity grids to be the central element in the EU’s transition to a competitive, net zero economy by 2050, one that is capable of accommodating high volumes of variable renewable energy technologies and/or evolving demand sources driven by increased levels of electrification and the advancement of digital technologies; notes the Member States’ prerogative to determine their own energy mix;

    2. Calls on the Commission, the Member States, ACER, EU DSO Entity[15] and ENTSO-E[16] to implement the actions of the EU grid action plan, the action plan for affordable energy, the reform of the EU’s electricity market design and the Renewable Energy Directive without delay;

    3. Points out that the completion of the EU’s energy market integration will save up to EUR 40 billion annually, and that a 50 % increase in cross-border electricity trade could increase the EU’s annual GDP by 0.1 %[17];

    Relevance of electricity grids for the European energy transition

    4. Welcomes the Commission’s communication on grids[18]; underlines the expected increase in electricity consumption of 60 % by 2030, the rising need to integrate a large share of variable renewable power into the grid, and the need for grids to adapt to a more decentralised, digitalised and flexible electricity system, including the optimisation of system operations and the full utilisation of local flexibility resources, demand response and energy storage solutions to complement wholesale markets and enhance grid resilience, resulting in an additional 23 GW of cross-border capacity by 2025 and a further 64 GW of capacity by 2030; notes that over 40 % of the Union’s distribution grids are over 40 years old and need to be updated[19];

    5. Reiterates that, by 2030, the Union needs to invest around EUR375 to 425billion in distribution grids, and, overall, EUR 584 billion, in transmission and distribution electricity grids[20], including cross-border interconnectors and the adaptation of distribution grids to the energy transition;

    6. Notes with concern that in 2023 the costs of managing transmission electricity grid congestion in the EU were EUR 4.2 billion[21] and continue to rise, and that curtailment is an obstacle to increasing the share of renewable energy sources; notes that this figure does not include the distribution electricity grid; stresses that in 2023 nearly 30 TWh of renewable electricity were curtailed across several Member States due to insufficient grid capacity; further notes the sharp increase in annual hours of negative electricity prices, rising from 154 in 2018 to 1 031 as of September 2024[22], largely driven by grid congestion at borders, and the lack of sufficient storage, flexibility and demand response in the electricity market to temporally match variable renewable electricity supply with electricity demand; stresses that addressing these issues could help to absorb surplus supply, thereby maximising the use of existing grid infrastructure, but that existing market and regulatory frameworks often fail to provide adequate incentives for achieving this;

    7. Highlights that a failure to modernise and expand the EU’s electricity grid, alongside the rapid deployment of the high volumes of variable renewable energy required to deliver on its targets, has and will continue to result in high levels of dispatch-down (instructions to reduce output); believes that the dispatch-down of renewables, caused by grid congestion and curtailment, represents an unacceptable waste of high-value renewable electricity and money; calls on the Commission, as part of its forthcoming European Grids Package, to set out an EU strategy to vastly reduce the dispatch-down of renewable electricity;

    8. Highlights the role of smart grids in improving congestion management and optimising the electricity distribution of renewables; stresses their contribution to network flexibility by integrating digital tools that facilitate demand-side response and collective self-consumption; underlines that better grid management enhances energy resilience, reduces curtailments and secures supply during peak demand periods;

    9. Highlights that the electricity grid infrastructure is a priority for achieving the EU’s strategic autonomy and its climate and energy targets; notes the Clean Industrial Deal’s commitment to electrification with a key performance indicator of a 32 % economy-wide electrification rate by 2030, which would necessitate a significant and continuous update and deployment of grids; regrets that delays in responding to requests for connection to grids result in a slower pace of electrification, even in Member States where generation from renewables is rapidly increasing;

    10. Highlights, in particular, the crucial role that energy communities can play in supporting local economies; regrets that energy communities and smaller operators face disproportionate barriers to grid access and grid funding access due to regulatory hurdles and resource constraints; calls, therefore, on the Member States that are lagging behind in this regard to fully implement the Clean Energy Package, Fit for 55 and Renewable Energy Directive provisions, empowering citizens, municipalities, SMEs and companies to actively participate in the electricity market, in particular by developing enabling frameworks for renewable energy communities and the promotion of energy-sharing schemes; calls for grid-related EU and national level funding to take into account the specific needs of projects promoted by energy communities;

    Regulatory situation and challenges

    11. Is convinced that regulatory stability is a key condition for unlocking private investments in the electricity grid and, where feasible, enabling the affordable electrification of the EU’s economy, and reiterates the need to implement already adopted legislation before assessing potential new reviews;

    12. Underlines that integrated grid planning across sectors at local, regional, national and EU levels will lead to increased system efficiency and reduced costs; calls, therefore, on the Commission and on the Member States to work towards integrated planning and to ensure that electricity network development plans are aligned with the 2021-2030 national energy and climate plans (NECPs) for all voltage levels; notes that a strengthened governance framework would help to ensure alignment between grid development plans and national and EU level policy objectives; recognises that, while the Member States are required to report on their contributions to EU targets through the NECPs, there is currently no equivalent obligation on TSOs to systematically report at EU level;

    13. Underlines that the TEN-E Regulation and the Projects of Common Interest (PCI) and Projects of Mutual Interest (PMI) are powerful tools in the development of the Union’s cross-border energy infrastructure; regrets the shortcomings in the current TYNDP for European electricity infrastructure, which results in investment interests falling short of cross-border needs[23], and that grid planning does not fully leverage cross-border and cross-sectoral savings[24]; further regrets delays regarding to the completion of PCIs; urges the Commission to introduce more coordinated, long-term cross-sectoral planning to deliver the related savings and benefits across the EU; highlights that such coordinated planning could better inform cost sharing of infrastructure across the Member States; notes that, although the TEN-E Regulation enables smart electricity grid projects with a cross-border impact to obtain PCI status, even if such projects do not cross a physical border, the PCI list in 2023 included only five such projects; strongly believes, therefore, that the PCI process needs to be strengthened, simplified and streamlined for more clarity and transparency; calls on the Member States to fully complete the PCIs; calls on the Commission to urgently propose a targeted revision of the TEN-E Regulation in order to (1) introduce a robust planning process that combines system operators’ responsibilities with a strengthened role for ACER by mandating ACER to request amendments to the scenarios and the TYNDP, (2) ensure scenarios are drawn up in line with the decarbonisation agenda and enable easier access for smart electricity grid projects, and (3) introduce a simplified application process for small and medium-sized distribution system operators (DSOs);

    14. Emphasises that network planning is a long-term process closely linked to investment stability; proposes, therefore, extending the time frame for network development plans to 20 years; highlights that grid investment is urgently required by the EU’s competitive agenda and should not be delayed;

    15. Additionally notes that the EU will continue to have strong electricity links with its neighbouring countries and therefore believes the Commission should enhance such cooperation with neighbouring countries through PMIs with non-EU countries, as provided for in the TEN-E Regulation;

    16. Strongly emphasises that CEF-E has proven to be the crucial instrument for co-financing cross-border energy infrastructure and insists on its continuation; welcomes the inclusion of offshore electricity grid projects in the Commission’s most recent allocation of grants under CEF-E;

    17. Considers the lack of detailed, reliable and comparable data on national and EU grid planning an obstacle to more efficient grids; calls therefore on the Member States to thoroughly implement the relevant provision in the Electricity Directive[25], in particular Article 32, and to encourage smaller DSOs to apply this Article’s provision;

    18. Welcomes the EU DSO Entity’s report on good practices on Distribution Network Development Plans[26] (DNDPs), which calls on the Member States to include cost-benefit analyses in their DNDPs, in order to evaluate investment opportunities; urges the Commission to develop guidelines based on this report, in cooperation with the EU DSO Entity, to harmonise and increase transparency of national development planning for distribution grids, to publish a European overview of the DNDPs and to require all transmission and distribution operators to provide energy regulators with the necessary data about their current and future grid hosting capacity information and grid planning, to enable energy regulators to properly scrutinise grid planning; calls on the Member States to implement Article 31(3) of Directive 2024/1711, which requests grid operators to publish information on the capacity available in their area of operation, in order to ensure transparency and enable stakeholders to make informed investment decisions; calls on the Commission to develop a centralised online repository for all transmission plans and DNDPs;

    19. Highlights the significant risk posed by curtailment to the viability of renewable energy investment, especially considering that many Member States fail to compensate market participants for curtailed electricity volumes, despite the requirements set out in Articles 12 and 13 of Regulation (EU) 2019/943; regrets the lack of transparency, availability and data granularity regarding curtailed renewable energy volumes and congestion management costs;

    20. Highlights the value of putting clear metrics in place to measure whether the EU is on track to deliver the grid expansion and reinforcements needed to meet its 2050 objectives; notes that such metrics could include reductions in renewable energy curtailment, lower grid development costs relative to the amount of capacity delivered, increases in the efficient use of existing infrastructure, a reduction in losses and lower raw material intensity;

    21. Notes the work done by ENTSO-E and the EU DSO Entity on harmonised definitions of available grid hosting capacity for system operators and to establish an Union-wide overview thereof; believes that national regulatory authorities (NRAs) could benefit from clear legislative provisions as to how Member States can prioritise grid connections, so as to abandon the ‘first-come, first-served’ principle; therefore asks the Commission to amend Article 6 of Directive (EU) 2019/944 on the internal market for electricity, as part of the implementation review that the Commission must complete by 31 December 2025, and to consequently introduce transparent priority connection criteria to be chosen and further defined by the Member States for (1) generation connection, such as quality and maturity of the project, level of commitment, contribution to decarbonisation, social value, and for (2) consumer connection, such as quality and maturity of the project, level of commitment, contribution to decarbonisation, public interest or its strategic and/or social value, and grid optimisation; calls on the NRAs and the Member States to provide clear prioritisation rules according to their local and national specificities to allow the ‘first-come, first-served’ approach to be abandoned by disincentivising applications for connection that are not substantiated by a solid project, that are speculative or where the developer cannot show sufficient commitment to the realisation of a project;

    22. Underlines that improved cross-border interconnections offer substantial cost-saving potential at the system level, with annual reductions in generation costs estimated at EUR 9 billion up to 2040, while requiring annual investments of EUR 6 billion in cross-border infrastructure and storage capacity;

    23. Regrets that some Member States did not achieve the 10% interconnection target by 2020 and urges them to strive to achieve the current  15% interconnection target for 2030, as set out in Regulation (EU) 2018/1999, since interconnection capacity is crucial for the functioning of the EU’s internal electricity market, leading to significant cost savings at system level and decreasing generation costs by EUR 9 billion annually to 2040[27]; regrets that the 32 GW of cross-border capacity needed by 2030 remains unaddressed[28]; deplores the delays and uncertainties regarding several interconnection projects; calls, therefore, on the Commission to propose, by June 2026 at the latest, a binding interconnection target for 2036 based on a needs assessment; stresses the need for cooperation with non-hosting Member States and for the EU and its neighbouring countries to be involved in negotiations, in order to ensure the projects’ finalisation;

    24. Highlights the need to accelerate permitting procedures for electricity infrastructure; stresses that grid expansion should not be delayed by lengthy permitting procedures or excessive reporting requirements; therefore welcomes the positive progress made regarding provisions adopted in the latest revision of the Renewable Energy Directive, specifically Article 16f thereof, and the Emergency Regulation on Permitting[29] to accelerate, streamline and simplify permit-granting procedures for grid and renewable energy projects, especially the principle of public overriding interest for grid projects; notes, however, that some of the Member States have not seen a material improvement in project permitting timelines, despite the ambitious frameworks set out at EU level; therefore urges the Member States to implement these measures without delay and calls on the Commission to closely monitor the implementation of the Renewable Energy Directive, and regularly assess if revised permitting provisions are sufficient to deliver on the EU’s objectives; additionally calls on the Commission to set out guidelines for the Member States to include a principle of tacit approval in their national planning systems, as described in Article 16a of the Renewable Energy Directive; stresses that reinforcing administrative capacity, including through adequate staffing of planning and permitting authorities, will accelerate permitting procedures;

    25. Encourages the Member States to draw up plans to designate dedicated infrastructure areas for grid projects, as outlined in Article 15e of the Renewable Energy Directive; stresses that such plans are essential to account for local specificities and ensure respect for protected areas; emphasises that these plans should be closely coordinated with the designation of acceleration areas for renewables, to ensure a streamlined, efficient and integrated approach to energy infrastructure development;

    26. Notes that often documents need to be submitted in paper form; calls on the Member States to increase the digitalisation of these processes in order to accelerate permitting procedures; calls on the Commission and the Member States to revise all EU legislation relevant to permitting, such as the Environmental Impact Assessment Directive[30], with a view to introducing mandatory digital application, submission and processing requirements;

    27. Highlights the importance of public acceptance and public engagement when developing new grid projects and calls on the Commission to develop a set of best practices to be shared among the Member States in this regard; highlights the critical importance of effective communication with citizens and communities regarding grid projects and reinforcement; notes that local-level support can help to accelerate the delivery of critical infrastructure and thus meet national and EU level objectives; urges the swift implementation of the EU’s pact for engagement with the electricity sector and coordination with national signatories (TSOs, DSOs, NRAs) to guarantee early, meaningful and regular public participation in grid projects;

    28. Calls for the convening of a TAIEX[31] Group on Permitting within the forthcoming European Grids Package to support the Member States in addressing administrative bottlenecks, enhancing regulatory capacity and accelerating project approvals through the sharing of best practices and cross-border coordination;

    29. Welcomes the initiatives announced under the Action Plan for Affordable Energy; recommends that the Commission extend the ‘tripartite contract for affordable energy for Europe’s industry’ to smaller energy producers, including energy communities, SMEs and businesses, leveraging flexibility and demand response, and link the outcome of these cooperation structures with grid planning processes at national and EU level, in order to optimise planning, investment and grid utilisation from the outset;

    30. Highlights the need for improvements to be made to the public procurement framework, in order to tackle the challenges to grid operators regarding supply chains; therefore welcomes the Commission communication on the Clean Industrial Deal and the announcement by the Commission of a forthcoming review of the Public Procurement Directives[32]; stresses public procurement’s potential for the continued development of a strong EU manufacturing supply chain for electricity grid equipment, software and services; encourages the Commission to promote resilience, sustainability and security in public procurement procedures for grid operators; advocates for greater consistency between EU regulations on public procurement; calls on the Commission to adapt EU rules on public procurement with a view to harmonising and simplifying functional tendering specifications, in order to ramp up the production capacities of grid components;

    31. Believes that adequate standardisation and common technical specifications are necessary for achieving economies of scale, and to speed up technological development; considers, additionally, that it is essential to ensure the right level of standardisation so that manufacturers’ capacity to innovate is not reduced;

    32. Reiterates the need to consider new business models between equipment manufacturers and operators, such as long-term framework agreements that encourage the shift from one-off ‘grid projects’ to sustained and structured ‘grid programmes’, which result in more predictable planning for grid technology manufacturers; calls for the streamlining of tendering processes for the provision of grid equipment and services;

    33. Stresses that this forthcoming revision of the Public Procurement Directives will allow the inclusion of sustainability, resilience and European preference criteria in EU public procurement processes for strategic sectors, in line with the provisions set out in Article 25 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1735[33]; calls for grids and related technologies to be explicitly recognised as strategic sectors, to ensure their eligibility under the revised framework; underlines that strengthening European preference in public procurement processes is essential for reducing the EU’s dependence on non-EU suppliers, enhancing supply chain security, and fostering a resilient EU industrial base capable of supporting the energy transition; welcomes the introduction by the European Investment Bank (EIB) of a ‘Grids Manufacturing Package’ to support the European supply chain with at least EUR 1.5 billion in counter-guarantees for grid component manufacturers; calls for further similar financial instruments to be developed to provide long-term investment certainty and to accelerate the scaling-up of European production capacity;

    Financing

    34. Notes that over the past five years, global investment in power capacity has increased by nearly 40 %, while investment in grid infrastructure has lagged behind; notes that estimates of investment that the EU will need to make in its grid over the 2025-2050 period range from EUR 1 950 billion to EUR 2 600 billion[34];

    35. Observes with concern that the budget allocated under CEF-E has been insufficient to expedite all PCI and PMI categories; notes that with a EUR 5.84 billion budget for 2021-2027, the programme has restricted capacity and may struggle to keep pace with investment needs; calls on the Commission and the Member States to significantly increase the CEF-E envelope and the percentage of CEF-E funds dedicated to electricity infrastructure as a separate adequate resource, when proposing the next multiannual financial framework (MFF), and to ensure that projects both at the distribution and at the transmission levels with an EU added value are eligible for budget allocated under CEF-E; encourages the Commission to further explore co-financing possibilities between CEF-E and the Renewable Energy Financing Mechanism;

    36. States that EU funding is predominantly allocated to transmission grids with relatively insignificant allocations to distribution grids, despite their significant role in the EU energy transition, demonstrated by the fact that, between 2014 and 2020, CEF-E funded around EUR 5.3 billion worth of projects, of which around EUR 1.7 billion went to transmission grids and EUR 237 million to smart distribution grids; notes that the last PCI list only contained five smart electricity projects;

    37. Deeply regrets that, whereas regional funds such as the Cohesion Fund, the European Regional Development Fund or the Recovery and Resilience Facility provide for grid investments in principle, in practice they are underutilised for grid projects; regrets also that the evaluation criteria applied to the assessment of projects submitted in response to the EU Innovation Fund’s calls for proposals prevent funding for the demonstration and manufacturing of grid technologies; calls on the Commission and the Member States to ensure that a proportionate amount of such funding is also spent on grid investment;

    38. Calls on the Member States to simplify access to the EU funds managed by the Member States for grid operators, for instance through the establishment of a one-stop-shop in those Member States in which a large share of DSOs are of a small or medium size;

    39. Calls on the Commission to propose a dedicated funding instrument, such as one based on revenues from the market-based emission reduction scheme, to allow the Member States to support decentralised and innovative grid projects with a clear EU added value, including smaller projects, ensuring its effective use by the Member States for these purposes;

    40. Emphasises the need for regulatory frameworks to attract private investment and ensure cost-reflective tariffs, in addition to public funding mechanisms;

    41. Is convinced that anticipatory investments and forward-looking investments will help to address grid bottlenecks and prevent curtailment; points out that the EMD Regulation sets out regulatory elements for anticipatory investments but lacks a harmonised definition and implementation across the Union; calls on the Member States to swiftly implement the aforementioned provisions of the EMD Regulation and remove national legal barriers, on NRAs to remove barriers as regards regulatory incentives and disincentives, and on the Commission to urgently provide guidance regarding the approval of anticipatory investments, as announced in its Action Plan for Grids[35]; believes that further harmonisation in this respect might be beneficial; calls for detailed cost-benefit analyses and scenario-based planning to assess the likelihood of future utilisation, and recommends a two-step approval process for projects with a higher risk level by first approving smaller budgets for studies or planning, followed by a second approval for the more costly steps, in order to reduce the risk of stranded assets;

    42. Acknowledges that grid investments from capital markets can be incentivised by providing market-oriented conditions, such as suitable rates of return and a robust regulatory framework; emphasises that the EU and the Member States should encourage private investments by providing risk mitigation tools or Member State guarantees; calls on the Commission and the EIB to further strengthen financing and de-risking initiatives and tools, such as counter-guarantees, to support additional electricity grid expansion and modernisation at affordable rates for system operators; emphasises the relevance of ensuring that the EU’s electricity grid is financed and therefore owned by public and private capital only from EU actors, or previously screened non-EU investors, in view of the criticality of the infrastructure;

    43. Underlines that, while investment decisions should be guided by efficiencies, including energy and cost efficiency, investments should not only be focused on capital expenditure, and that investments optimising, renewing and modernising the existing infrastructure should be equally considered; therefore welcomes Article 18 of the EMD Regulation, which calls for tariff methodologies to give equal consideration to capital and operational expenditure, and remunerate operators to increase efficiencies in the operation and development of their networks, including through energy efficiency, flexibility and digitalisation; calls on the Commission and the Member States to thoroughly implement its provisions and to focus on ensuring fair and timely compensation to system operators for the costs borne by them;

    44. Notes that the electrification of the EU economy, where technically and economically feasible, would help to drive down network tariffs by spreading the costs across a wider range of users; highlights, therefore, the importance of ensuring that the development of the future network is fully aligned with demand projections driven by increases in the level of electrification; is concerned by experts’ forecasts of network tariff increases of around  50% to 100% by 2050[36]; stresses, therefore, the need for instruments and incentives that support grid operators in efficiently managing available grid capacity, including through procuring flexibility services, with a view to reducing imminent grid investment needs; highlights that flexible connection agreements, flexible network tariffs and local flexibility markets contribute to grid efficiency; invites NRAs to promote these flexible tariffs that allow consumers to easily react to price signals while shielding vulnerable households and businesses from price peaks; calls on the Commission and the Member States to actively address bottlenecks in tariffs, connection fees and regulations to facilitate cross-border and offshore hybrid grid investment;

    45. Calls on the Member States to implement the relevant EU legal framework to unlock demand-side flexibility by accelerating the deployment of smart meters, enabling access to data from all metering devices and ensuring efficient price signals, to allow industries and households to optimise their consumption and reduce their electricity bills, and at the same time help reduce operational costs and the need for additional grid investment;

    46. Stresses that the relaxation of network tariffs and certain charges, which could have the effect of lowering electricity prices, as proposed in the Affordable Energy Action Plan, has to be accompanied by a plan to replace the sources of the funds needed for grid investment with alternatives, in order to avoid facing underinvestment of the grids in the future;

    47. Highlights the importance of minimising the additional costs on consumers’ bills resulting from the investments required to deliver the grid modernisation and expansion needed to meet the EU’s climate and competitiveness goals; asks the Commission to work with the Member States to develop a coordinated set of best practices for investments and equitable network tariff composition, with a strong emphasis on increasing transparency and removing non-energy related charges from the tariffs;

    48. Points out that transmission infrastructure and availability of cross-zonal capacities are vital for an integrated market and for the exchange of low-marginal cost renewable energies, while respecting system security; notes that the EMD Regulation sets a minimum 70 % target of capacities available for cross-zonal trade by 2025 but Member States are far from reaching it; therefore urges the Member States and their TSOs to speed up their efforts to maximise cross-zonal trading opportunities, to ensure an efficient internal electricity market, appropriate investment decisions and renewable energy integration; regrets that achieving this target has often resulted in re-dispatch costs; notes that existing cost sharing mechanisms, such as cross-border cost allocation (CBCA), inter-transmission system operator (TSO) compensation and re-dispatching cost sharing, are limited and difficult to implement, which does not encourage cross-border investments, such as in offshore grids; calls on the Commission to holistically review and improve these mechanisms to ensure that they reflect the shared benefits of infrastructure and address the diversity of electricity flows, whether internal or cross-border, including a fair and balanced cost-benefit sharing mechanism for cross-border infrastructure projects that is based on objective criteria;

    49. Takes note of the report of April 2025 by ENTSO-E on potential alternative bidding zone configurations based on location marginal pricing simulations provided by TSOs;

    Grid-enhancing technologies, digitalisation, innovative solutions and resilience

    50. Underlines that grid-enhancing technologies, digital solutions, ancillary services and data management technologies, as well as smart energy appliances, often leveraging artificial intelligence, can significantly increase the efficiency of existing grid capacities and maximise the use of existing assets, reducing the requirement for new infrastructure, for instance by providing real-time information on energy flows; therefore insists that these technologies and innovative solutions must be explored; urges NRAs to incentivise TSOs and DSOs to rely more on such technologies, weighing up the costs and benefits of their use versus grid expansion and by using remuneration schemes based on benefits rather than costs, and to benchmark the TSOs and DSOs on their uptake of such technologies; invites the Commission to further promote such innovative technologies when assessing projects that apply for EU funding;

    51. Welcomes the work accomplished by ENTSO-E and the EU DSO Entity in developing the TSO/DSO Technopedia[37] so far, and calls on the Commission to mandate the biannual updating of the Technopedia to accurately reflect the technology readiness levels (TRLs) of technologies included;

    52. Urges the Commission and the Member States to further enable and increase the digitalisation of the European electricity system, enabling the optimisation of the operation of its power system and reducing pressure on the supply chain; underlines that data sharing and data interoperability are essential for grid planning and optimisation; encourages the Member States, the NRAs, the EU DSO Entity and ACER to continue to accelerate their work on the monitoring system based on indicators measuring the performance of smart grids (‘smart grid indicators’), as set out in the Electricity Directive;

    53. Stresses the urgent need to enhance the security of critical electricity infrastructure, including interconnectors and subsea cables at risk of sabotage, and increase its resilience to extreme weather events, climate change and physical and digital attacks; highlights the need to strengthen cooperation at national, regional and EU levels;

    54. Stresses the growing risk of coordinated cyberattacks targeting the EU’s entire electricity network; recalls the importance of the rapid implementation of cybersecurity and other related network codes and the related legislation, such as the NIS 2 Directive[38] and the Cybersecurity Act[39], and encourages the Commission to correct, in upcoming legislative reviews, the status of physical grid equipment, including remotely controllable grid equipment, such as inverters, which is currently not held to a high enough cybersecurity standard, especially in cases where the manufacturer is required, under the jurisdiction of a non-EU country, to report information on software or hardware vulnerabilities to the authorities of that non-EU country; calls for enhanced EU level cooperation between all parties to strengthen preparedness and resilience; considers that NRAs should acknowledge the costs incurred by operators in adopting cybersecurity and resilience measures, and provide incentives for investments pertaining to increasing the resilience of the energy infrastructure to cyberthreats, and physical and hybrid threats, including climate adaptation measures;

    55. Underlines the need to step up efforts to protect existing and future critical undersea and onshore energy infrastructure; considers that the EU should play a broader role in preventing incidents that threaten this infrastructure, in promoting surveillance and in restoring any damaged infrastructure using state of the art technologies; calls on the Commission and the Member States to find solutions to increase the protection and resilience of critical infrastructure, including solutions to financing such measures and technologies;

    56. Recognises that new high-voltage electricity grid projects provide a multifunctional and cost-efficient opportunity to integrate additional security measures (i.e. sensors, sonar, etc.) and environmental solutions (i.e. bird deflectors, fire detectors, nature corridors, etc.) if planned in a holistic manner; asks the Commission to develop guidelines for NRAs to ensure that initial grid project planning is carried out and financed with these elements in mind;

    57. Urges the Commission, DSOs and TSOs to develop an EU-owned Common European Energy Data Space, based on technical expertise and practice utilising the available data[40] and based on a common set of rules ensuring the secure, transparent portability and interoperability of energy data, where harmonised data is safely managed, exchanged and stored in the EU; stresses that this Common European Energy Data Space should facilitate data pooling and sharing through appropriate governance structures and data sharing services, supporting critical energy operations including transmission and distribution; underlines that European TSOs, DSOs and other previously screened electricity grid actors must be able to securely and smartly operate the grid, optimising its use by integrating flexibility and innovative technologies, in line with key principles of interoperability, trust, data value and governance; notes that data exchange arrangements must also take into account interactions with non-EU parties;

    58. Recognises the potential of flexibility as a necessary tool for optimising system operations, maintaining the stability of the system and empowering consumers by incentivising them to shift their consumption patterns; stresses the importance of implementing appropriate measures to guarantee efficient price signals that incentivise flexibility, including from all end-consumers, and ensuring that all resources contribute to system security, including by accelerating the deployment of smart meters, smart energy-efficient buildings, and enabling access to data from all metering devices; asks NRAs to recognise flexibility innovations and pilot projects in the system, insofar as these do not negatively impact the grid’s overall balance and stability, in order to continue incentivising innovation;

    59. Calls on NRAs to work closely with TSOs and DSOs to assess the flexibility potential, and needs of the national systems in current and future planning, taking into consideration the presence of industry, large consumers, large generators and storage; highlights in particular the critical role that storage assets, including long-duration electricity storage, capable of providing up to 100 hours of electricity, can play in providing congestion management services to the grid; notes that in order to provide these essential system services, investors in storage assets require stable, long-term revenue models, similar to the way in which support schemes have successfully provided revenue certainty for renewable generation assets;

    Supply chain, raw materials and the need for skills

    60. Notes with concern that global growth in the demand for grid technologies has put pressure on supply chains and the availability of cables, transformers, components and critical technologies; highlights the findings in the February 2025 International Energy Agency report, ‘Building the Future Transmission Grid’[41], that it now takes two to three years to procure cables and up to four years to secure large power transformers, and that average lead times for cables and large power transformers have almost doubled since 2021;

    61. Is concerned about the long lead times for many grid technology components and remains determined to maintain European technology leadership in grid technology, emphasising the need for innovation to develop, demonstrate and scale European high-capacity grid technologies and innovative grid-enhancing technologies;

    62. Stresses that critical and strategic raw materials are essential for grid infrastructure, with aluminium and copper demand set to rise by 33 % and 35 % respectively by 2050[42]; takes note of the Commission decision recognising certain critical raw materials projects as strategic projects under the Critical Raw Materials Act[43], in order to secure access to these key materials and diversify sources of supply; calls on the Commission and the Member States to enhance recycling, and support strategic partnerships and trade agreements to this end;

    63. Highlights the need to strengthen grid supply chains to increase the supply of grid technologies at affordable costs, and thereby limit the costs borne by consumers via network charges; calls for a strategic approach to acquiring energy technologies, components or critical materials related to grids, in order to avoid developing dependencies on single suppliers outside of the EU;

    64. Believes that holistic, coordinated, long-term grid planning across the entire European energy system is needed to solve the supply chain capacity bottleneck, and that such planning provides manufacturers with essential transparency and predictability for adequately planning manufacturing capacity increases; considers that such planning must be reliable and enable new business models, such as long-term framework agreements and capacity reservation contracts;

    65. Urges the maximum standardisation of key electricity grid equipment, insofar as is technically possible, via a joint technical assessment by the Commission, DSOs, TSOs and industry, covering all voltage levels in order to scale up production, lower prices and delivery times, and promote the interoperability of systems;

    66. Stresses the urgent need to address labour shortages in the energy sector; notes that the Commission has projected that the energy workforce needs to significantly increase in order to deploy renewable energies, upgrade and expand grids, and manufacture energy efficiency, grid and other relevant technologies; regrets the shortages of electrical mechanics and fitters reported in 15 of the Member States, increasing the staffing needs of DSOs and TSOs; highlights that the energy workforce must grow by 50 % by 2030 to support the deployment of renewables[44], grid expansion and energy efficiency, with an estimated 2 million additional jobs required in electricity distribution by 2050; calls for training, upskilling and reskilling initiatives, prioritising grid-related skills to close skills gaps; welcomes university-business partnerships and targeted EU skills academies for strategic sectors, including grids; encourages DSOs and TSOs to diversify their workforce, including by increasing women’s participation;

    67. Reiterates that the Member States and the EU should cooperate to adapt the relevant skills programmes and develop best practices to fulfil the growing skills demand across all educational levels, with a strong emphasis on encouraging gender balance in the sector;

    68. Highlights the crucial role of SMEs and EU businesses in supplying the technology sector for the electricity grid; points out the need to access affordable electrification, limiting the costs related to the supply chain and ensuring a skilled workforce;

    Offshore

    69. Acknowledges the strategic relevance of offshore development in delivering the EU’s objectives of energy autonomy, increased use of renewable energy, a resilient and cost-effective electricity system and climate neutrality by 2050; stresses the importance of fully utilising the potential of Europe’s five sea basins for offshore energy generation; highlights the particular significance of the North Seas (covering the geographical area of the North Seas, including the Irish and Celtic Seas), which offer favourable conditions and the highest potential, with an agreed target of 300 GW of installed offshore generation capacity by 2050 within the framework of the North Seas Energy Cooperation; welcomes the progress made in this regard; emphasises the need to develop a meshed offshore grid, including hybrid interconnectors, particularly in the North Seas, to fully harness offshore potential and improve electricity market integration; calls on the Commission and the Member States to strengthen regional cooperation on grid planning and energy cooperation across all sea basins with the EU’s neighbouring countries, in particular the UK and Norway, specifically in offshore wind energy development and the planning and manufacturing of electricity grids;

    70. Highlights the need for a stable and predictable regulatory framework that ensures the most optimal trading arrangements to provide the required investor confidence to support the development and interconnection of offshore grid and offshore wind projects, ensuring market efficiency and efficient cross-border flows, including with non-EU countries; underlines the necessity of strengthening national grids where required to maximise the benefits of offshore energy; acknowledges that combining offshore transmission with generation assets (offshore hybrids) will be an integral part of an efficient network system, as this comes with several advantages for the European energy system but still lacks the right regulatory framework to incentivise necessary investment;

    Cooperation with non-EU countries

    71. Calls on the Member States to increase cooperation and coordination with like-minded non-EU countries such as Norway and the UK; recalls that the development of electricity infrastructure to harness the offshore wind potential of the North Seas is a shared priority for both the EU and the UK;

    72. Highlights the need for a pragmatic and cooperative approach to EU-UK electricity trading; calls on the Commission to work closely with the UK administration to agree on a mutually beneficial trading arrangement that strengthens security of supply and the pathway to net zero for both jurisdictions; additionally, believes that efficiencies of trading arrangements can be improved further; calls on the Commission to engage with its UK counterparts constructively on this matter;

    Outermost regions

    73. Stresses the unique challenges faced by the EU’s outermost regions and other areas not connected to the European electricity grid; highlights their reliance on imports and high vulnerability to electricity blackouts and extreme climate hazards; notes the importance of developing resilient and autonomous energy systems through local grid development and cleaner energy production; calls on the Commission to address these regions’ specific needs in the European Grids Package and to propose additional financial support to improve the autonomy of their energy systems, and address their lack of interconnection and absence of broader grid connection benefits;

    °

    ° °

    74. Instructs its President to forward this resolution to the Council and the Commission.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Government welcomes passage of Banking (Amendment) Bill 2025

    Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region

         The Government welcomed the passage of the Banking (Amendment) Bill 2025 by the Legislative Council today (June 4) to facilitate the sharing of account information among banks under specified conditions to enhance the efficiency in detecting and preventing crime in Hong Kong.
     
         The Amendment Ordinance introduces a voluntary mechanism for banks and relevant law enforcement agencies to share with each other, swiftly and safely via electronic means, information of corporate and individual accounts through secure platforms designated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), when banks become aware of suspected prohibited conduct (i.e. money laundering, terrorist financing or financing of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction). The Amendment Ordinance also provides legal protection for banks that disclose relevant information. The mechanism will enable banks and relevant law enforcement agencies to act swiftly to intercept illicit funds and expedite intelligence gathering so that the public will be better protected from fraud and associated money laundering activities.

         The Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury, Mr Christopher Hui, said, “The new mechanism not only enhances Hong Kong’s ability to combat fraud and associated money laundering activities, providing better protection for citizens, but also helps maintain the stability of Hong Kong’s banking system and showcases the efforts made by Hong Kong, as an international financial centre, in international collaborations to combat relevant illegal activities.”
     
         The Chief Executive of the HKMA, Mr Eddie Yue, said, “The new information sharing mechanism will further enhance the ability of the banks to detect and prevent fraud and other financial crime. The HKMA will continue to work closely with the Hong Kong Police Force and the banking sector to take forward the preparation work, including the upgrade of systems and formulation of practical guidelines, with a view to implementing the new mechanism as soon as practicable.”

         The Amendment Ordinance will come into effect this year. The commencement date will be announced separately.
     

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Italy : EIB, with SACE and InvestEU guarantees, provides €150 million for Piedmont water services

    Source: European Investment Bank

    The European Investment Bank (EIB) has granted a €150 million loan to Acqua Novara.VCO to improve the efficiency and resilience of water infrastructure in the Italian provinces of Novara and Verbano-Cusio-Ossola. The EIB financed is backed by SACE’s Archimede guarantee – which covers two-thirds of the funding – and the European Union’s InvestEU programme – which covers the remaining €50 million.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: EU Fact Sheets – Banking Union – 03-06-2025

    Source: European Parliament

    The Banking Union is based on a proposal that the European Commission presented in 2012, a few years after the severe financial crisis had started to unfold in the EU. The key innovation was to transfer responsibility for the day-to-day supervision of the largest banks in the euro area from national to European level. From then on, the European Central Bank (ECB) was put in charge of supervisory tasks, which it needed to keep strictly separate from its activities on monetary policy. Another institution – the Single Resolution Board (SRB) – was set up at European level to deal with the failure of large banks. The Commission had proposed a third element – a European deposit insurance scheme – but so far this has not found the necessary political support.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: CMA letter to NatWest about breaching Parts 7, 8 and 9 of the Retail Banking Order

    Source: United Kingdom – Government Statements

    Correspondence

    CMA letter to NatWest about breaching Parts 7, 8 and 9 of the Retail Banking Order

    Letter to NatWest Group plc, after the Competition and Markets Authority found it breached Parts 7, 8 and 9 of the Retail Banking Market Investigation Order 2017.

    Documents

    Details

    Part 7 of the Retail Banking Market Investigation Order 2017 (the Order) requires banks to set a Monthly Maximum Charge (MMC) in relation to unarranged overdraft charges. Providers cannot charge customers more than the MMC in any given month. Providers must say what their MMC is each time they mention unarranged overdraft charges in product literature.

    Part 8 of the Order requires banks to disclose the representative cost in Equivalent Annual Rate (EAR) terms of their overdrafts and in Annual Percentage Rate (APR) terms for their loans in the way set out in the Order.

    Part 9 of the Order requires that banks offer a price and eligibility tool which will enable SMEs to obtain an indicative price quote and indication of their eligibility for unsecured loans and standard tariff unsecured business overdrafts.

    NatWest breached the Order by failing to:

    • either provide the MMC, or to provide the correct MMC to around 104,800 customers in three separate breaches (Part 7). The longest breach lasted from 16 June 2023 to 2 April 2024.

    • include the Representative EAR in letters to 66,765 SME customers which included an offer to renew an overdraft between May 2021 and February 2024 (Part 8)

    • continuously offer the price and eligibility tool defined in the Order on four occasions (Part 9). The longest breach was between at least 1 May 2023 until 5 July 2024 and affected around 200 SMEs per month

    This letter sets out our concerns and what NatWest did to put things right.

    Updates to this page

    Published 4 June 2025

    Sign up for emails or print this page

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Georgia: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2025 Article IV Mission

    Source: IMF – News in Russian

    June 4, 2025

    A Concluding Statement describes the preliminary findings of IMF staff at the end of an official staff visit (or ‘mission’), in most cases to a member country. Missions are undertaken as part of regular (usually annual) consultations under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, in the context of a request to use IMF resources (borrow from the IMF), as part of discussions of staff monitored programs, or as part of other staff monitoring of economic developments.

    The authorities have consented to the publication of this statement. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF Executive Board for discussion and decision.

    Tbilisi: An International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission led by Mr. Alejandro Hajdenberg conducted discussions for the 2025 Article IV consultation with Georgia from May 21 to June 4, 2025, in Tbilisi. At the end of the visit, Mr. Hajdenberg issued the following statement:

    Georgia’s economy has been remarkably resilient despite heightened domestic and geopolitical uncertainty. Growth approached double digits in 2024, is projected at 7.2 percent this year, and is expected to converge to its long-term trend of 5 percent. Inflation has ticked up but remains close to its 3 percent target. Meanwhile, foreign exchange reserves have recovered from last year’s lows and continued fiscal discipline has contributed to a further decline in public debt. However, risks to the outlook are elevated and challenges persist due to still high structural unemployment and income inequality. In this context, the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) should prioritize building additional reserve buffers while monitoring potential financial sector risks. Strengthening NBG’s governance and independence remains central to macroeconomic stability. Fiscal reforms should aim to raise additional revenues to finance development priorities, improve spending efficiency, and contain fiscal risks. Structural reforms should focus on sustaining strong growth and making it more inclusive, including by enhancing labor market opportunities and outcomes.

    Recent economic developments, outlook, and risks

    Economic activity has remained robust. Real GDP grew by 9.4 percent in 2024 despite domestic political tensions. Growth was driven by consumption, marking a shift from previous years when investment and net exports were the main contributors. Tourism rebounded to pre-Covid levels, while the information and communications technology (ICT) and transport sectors remained key drivers of growth, continuing to benefit from high skilled migrants and transit trade. The unemployment rate continued to decline, albeit remaining structurally high. With strong momentum continuing in the first four months of 2025, growth is projected to moderate slightly to 7.2 percent for this year before converging to its medium-term potential rate of 5 percent.

    Inflation has returned to target after undershooting for two years. Headline inflation averaged 1.8 percent over 2023 and 2024 but rose to 3.5 percent year-on-year in May 2025, mainly due to increasing food prices. Core inflation, however, remains subdued, with the NBG keeping the policy rate unchanged at 8 percent since May 2024. Inflation is projected to average 3.4 percent in 2025 and to converge to the NBG’s 3 percent target in 2026 along with easing domestic demand.

    The current account deficit narrowed in 2024 to 4.4 percent of GDP, with a similar projection for 2025, but reserve coverage remains below adequate levels. The improvement in 2024 was driven by lower imports, partly reflecting lower oil prices. Foreign direct investment (FDI) declined for the second straight year, in part reflecting the absence of new large greenfield projects. Gross international reserves have fallen from a peak of $5.4 billion in August 2023 to $4.5 billion as of April 2025––equal to 80 percent of the Fund’s Assessment of Reserve Adequacy (ARA) metric. Recent favorable inflows have allowed the NBG to offset the sizeable foreign exchange sales made before the October parliamentary elections.

    The fiscal deficit held steady at 2.4 percent of GDP in 2024, despite it being an election year, and is expected to remain unchanged in 2025. Robust tax revenues––supported by strong growth, tax policy measures in the financial and gambling sectors, and improved revenue administration––have helped finance social and capital spending. Amid stronger-than-expected economic activity, the 2025 budget target of 2.5 percent of GDP deficit is well within reach. Public debt, at 36 percent of GDP, has returned to pre-pandemic levels, with an increasing share denominated in local currency. The USD 500 million Eurobond maturing in April 2026 is expected to be rolled over smoothly.

    While uncertainty remains exceptionally high, risks to the outlook appear broadly balanced. The direct impact from tariffs imposed by the U.S. is limited as the U.S. accounts for only 2 percent of total exports—mainly ferroalloys, which are exempt. However, the indirect effects of heightened global trade tensions could be more significant. Weaker investor confidence and slower trading partner growth pose negative risks, but Georgia could benefit from lower oil prices and sustained trade diversion through its territory. A resolution of the war in Ukraine could unwind some gains linked to migration and transit trade but increased regional stability and reconstruction in Ukraine could be offsetting positive factors. Persistent domestic political uncertainty and sanctions affecting Georgia could dampen FDI, discourage tourism, and further pressure the lari. Healthy fiscal and financial sector buffers mitigate these risks.

    Monetary and exchange policies

    The NBG should maintain a broadly neutral policy stance while remaining flexible and data driven to ensure inflation expectations remain anchored. Although wage and employment growth have moderated and business confidence has weakened, heightened global uncertainty warrants caution in considering further policy rate cuts, particularly as the recent increase in domestic food prices may not prove transitory. Should inflationary pressures persist, a tightening of the policy stance may be warranted.

    Exchange rate flexibility, opportunistic reserve accumulation, and monetary policy communication should be enhanced. Efforts to rebuild reserve buffers should be sustained while allowing the exchange rate to act as a shock absorber. The NBG should continue to strengthen monetary policy transmission, effectiveness, transparency, and credibility. Communication of monetary policy should be strengthened by clarifying the NBG’s assessment of the balance of risks and how this informs policy decisions.

    Strengthening NBG governance and independence remains central to macroeconomic stability. The filling of the board vacancies and the governor position is a welcome first step. Efforts should now focus on amending the NBG law to: (i) ensure a non-executive majority on the NBG’s oversight board, (ii) limit the possibility of discretionary financial transfers to the government, and (iii) clarify and further strengthen [the NBG succession framework and] board member qualification criteria. Moving from a presidential to a collegial decision-making model is also advisable.

    Fiscal policy

    With public debt at sound levels, maintaining a broadly neutral policy stance over the medium term is appropriate. A fiscal deficit of 2.3–2.5 percent of GDP would help stabilize the debt-to-GDP ratio near its current level. The shift toward domestic debt should proceed carefully, avoiding crowding out the private sector and monitoring borrowing costs and risks linked to a stronger sovereign-bank nexus. While good progress has been made, further tax policy and administration reforms that broaden the tax base and streamline tax expenditures—supported by a stronger medium-term revenue strategy—are needed to secure revenue for spending priorities.  

    There is considerable scope to enhance spending efficiency and further strengthen public investment management (PIM). Despite elevated levels of public investment, infrastructure quality remains below that of many emerging market peers, highlighting the need for more effective implementation of PIM processes, building on recent years’ improvements. Spending on education and health could be more efficient, to achieve better outcomes at similar expenditure levels. Spending reviews could help in this regard. Social assistance is relatively generous but targeting could be improved to prioritize the most vulnerable households.

    Sustained efforts are needed to manage fiscal risks and increase fiscal transparency. The authorities have taken significant steps in enhancing the Ministry of Finance’s financial oversight of state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and maintaining this momentum will be important. Efforts should focus on legislation that would separate the state’s shareholder, regulatory, and policy functions beyond the energy sector, where implementation has recently taken place, and strengthen the corporate governance of SOEs. The authorities should address gaps in the coverage of fiscal reporting, particularly from non-market SOEs with significant fiscal risks.

    Financial sector

    Continued vigilance and reforms will help address long-standing and emerging financial sector risks. The banking system remains well capitalized and profitable, and the implementation of the IMF’s 2021 Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) recommendations is nearly complete. Key priorities going forward include enhancing the consolidated supervision of financial groups—particularly non-bank subsidiaries and cross-border activities, operationalizing a fully-fledged bank resolution framework, and improving competition in financial services. The NBG continues to implement its long-term dedollarization policy to support financial stability, and recently raised the FX loan threshold for unhedged borrowers further to GEL 750,000. Nevertheless, the share of unhedged foreign currency bank loans is still high, and the deposit dedollarization trend was interrupted amid heightened political uncertainty. Banks—especially smaller ones—have faced lari funding pressures, and the cost of funding has risen, potentially weighing on profitability. Consumer loans have grown rapidly, while riskier nonbank financing—including foreign currency bond issuances by real estate developers—has increased considerably. Neither risk is assessed to be systemic at this stage, but continued close monitoring is warranted.

    Structural reforms

    Structural reforms are needed to sustain high growth and make it more inclusive and job rich. Potential growth remains constrained by structurally high long-term and youth unemployment, low educational attainment, infrastructure bottlenecks in the transport and logistics sectors, and low sectoral productivity, especially in agriculture. An aging population, outward migration, and informality pose challenges for the labor market, along with persistent income inequality. Better targeting of agricultural support, improving teacher quality, and expanding vocational training would help raise rural labor force participation and facilitate the integration of workers into the formal economy. Remittances and return migration could be better leveraged to boost productive investments and knowledge transfers from returning migrants. Continued investment in transport and logistics infrastructure, as well as coordination with regional partners to harmonize fees and procedures, are important to support long-term competitiveness. Finally, the authorities should enhance judicial independence and strengthen the autonomy of the Anti-Corruption Bureau to improve the business environment.

    The mission team would like to thank the Georgian authorities and other counterparts for their close collaboration, candid and informative discussions, and warm hospitality.

    Table 1. Georgia: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators, 2024–28

     

     

    2024

    2025

    2026

    2027

    2028

     

    Actual Projections

    National accounts and prices

    (annual percentage change; unless otherwise indicated)

    Real GDP

    9.4

    7.2

    5.3

    5.0

    5.0

    Nominal GDP (in billions of laris)

    91.9

    102.5

    111.7

    121.5

    131.9

    Nominal GDP (in billions of U.S. dollars)

    33.8

    36.7

    39.2

    41.4

    43.6

    GDP per capita (in thousands of U.S. dollars)

    9.1

    9.9

    10.6

    11.2

    11.8

    GDP deflator, period average

    3.8

    4.1

    3.5

    3.5

    3.5

    CPI, period average

    1.1

    3.4

    3.1

    3.0

    3.0

    CPI, end-of-period

    1.9

    3.6

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    Consolidated government operations

    (in percent of GDP)

    Revenue and grants

    28.0

    27.7

    27.8

    27.7

    27.6

    o.w. Tax revenue

    25.3

    25.0

    25.6

    25.6

    25.6

    Total Expenditure

    30.3

    30.0

    30.1

    29.9

    29.8

    Current expenditures

    22.5

    22.6

    22.5

    22.5

    22.5

    Net acquisition of nonfinancial assets

    7.7

    7.4

    7.5

    7.5

    7.3

    Net lending/borrowing (GFSM 2001)

    -2.3

    -2.3

    -2.3

    -2.3

    -2.2

    Augmented net lending/borrowing 1/

    -2.4

    -2.4

    -2.4

    -2.4

    -2.3

    Public debt

    36.1

    34.7

    34.1

    34.3

    34.5

      o.w. Foreign-currency denominated

    25.2

    23.1

    22.0

    21.7

    20.9

    Money and credit

    (annual percentage change; unless otherwise indicated)

    Credit to the private sector

    18.5

    13.7

    9.0

    8.7

    8.6

    In constant exchange rate

    17.0

    15.5

    8.5

    7.4

    7.3

    Broad money

    14.5

    13.3

    11.5

    11.3

    11.2

    Excluding FX deposits

    10.4

    13.7

    11.9

    11.7

    11.6

    Deposit dollarization (in percent of total)

    52.7

    52.1

    51.9

    51.7

    51.4

    Credit dollarization (in percent of total)

    42.9

    42.5

    42.1

    41.7

    41.3

    Credit to GDP (in percent) 2/

    66.0

    67.4

    67.4

    67.4

    67.4

    External sector

    (in percent of GDP; unless otherwise indicated)

    Current account balance (in billions of US$)

    -1.5

    -1.6

    -1.8

    -2.0

    -2.1

    Current account balance

    -4.4

    -4.4

    -4.6

    -4.8

    -4.8

    Trade balance

    -19.2

    -18.9

    -19.1

    -19.2

    -19.3

    Terms of trade (percent change)

    -2.8

    -0.2

    0.1

    -0.3

    0.5

    Gross international reserves (in billions of US$)

    4.4

    4.7

    4.9

    5.5

    6.2

    In percent of IMF ARA metric 3/

    79.6

    81.1

    82.4

    88.0

    95.5

    In months of next year’s imports

    2.7

    2.6

    2.6

    2.7

    2.9

    Gross external debt

    66.8

    62.4

    58.5

    55.9

    53.0

     Sources: Georgian authorities; and Fund staff estimates.

    1/ Augmented Net lending / borrowing = Net lending / borrowing – Budget lending.

    2/ Banking sector credit to the private sector.

    3/ IMF’s adequacy metric for assessing reserves in emerging markets.

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Mayada Ghazala

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/06/04/06042025-mcs-georgia-staff-concluding-statement-of-the-2025-article-iv-mission

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Supporting small food and drink businesses

    Source: Scottish Government

    Funding to promote local and regional products.

    Food and drink festivals, farmers markets and culinary masterclasses are just some of the projects from across Scotland set to benefit from grants of up to £5,000.

    The latest round of the Regional Food Fund will support 15 local and collaborative projects helping small food businesses to thrive while promoting local produce. 

    Scotland Food & Drink manages the fund aimed at elevating the food and drink industry, enhancing food tourism and showcasing the best the country has to offer. 

    Rural Affairs Secretary Mairi Gougeon said:  

    “Scotland’s food and drink industry is worth £15 billion to the economy; it is one of the country’s largest employers and is already well-recognised and established across the world.   

    “Engaging with regional markets is vital in achieving our industry strategy and growth ambitions for the next ten years. That’s why, through initiatives like the Regional Food Fund, we are providing much-needed support to small projects to showcase the best products that their regions have to offer.  

    “A wonderful range of projects will be supported through this round, including foraging experiences and masterclasses at Isle of Bute food and drink festival, learning about the turnip being a climate-friendly crop in Fife, or improving their culinary skills at Huntly Hairst’s celebration of local food and drink. I look forward to hearing how each of these exciting projects develops.” 

    Scotland Food & Drink Head of Regional Food Fiona Richmond said: 

    “We are pleased to be able to support 15 more collaborative food and drink projects around the country with the latest round of the Regional Food Fund.

    “Our judging panel were impressed with the level of commitment and creativity shown by the successful applicants, who represent the true passion that makes our vibrant food and drink industry so special.

    “We know that local food and drink initiatives play a vital role in the continued growth of Scotland’s food, drink, and tourism sectors. Congratulations to this year’s recipients – we can’t wait to see the projects we have supported come to life.”

    Background 

    Regional Food Fund | Scotland Food & Drink (foodanddrink.scot) 

    Since 2021, the Scottish Government has provided over £500,000 to the Fund, which has supported 104 collaborative projects, varying from creative artwork to increase customer numbers, new equipment and regional marketing campaigns. 

    The successful applicants in this round are: 

    Huntly Hairst, Aberdeenshire. Celebration of local food and drink  £2,975   

    Established 2012, this year will be a collaboration’ theme, producers will prepare meal plans and menus to guide visitors around the stalls, gathering fresh ingredients, listening to masterclasses and demonstrations. Funding will support production of campaign materials and promotion.  

    Angus Farmers Market, Angus. Appetite for Angus                                £3,000  

    The project aims to rescue and revitalise the farmers’ markets in Forfar, Carnoustie and Montrose which are due to close in their current form. Markets provide a vital source of income in the area. Funds will contribute to market rebrand. 

    Argyll and the Isles. Virtual Farmers’ Market                                           £5,000  

    Creation of innovative digital farmers’ market to help local producers increase their sales and show their contribution to the local economy, both to visitors and locals. This project will off support to rural businesses struggling with rising costs with funds going towards the creation of assets and campaign delivery. 

    Alloa, Clackmannanshire. First Sound Bites Festival 2026                     £5,000  

    Collaborative, community festival to promote sales of local produce. Funding will help expand food and drink offer following successful trial last year and will contribute to marketing material and stall hire. 

    Dumfries and Galloway. Nurture from Nature – Local Food Outlet £5,000  

    Project aims to create a permanent retail outlet for local producers on this working farm. Funding will contribute to development of marketing and promotional costs. 

    Fife. Food from Fife – Retail Display Project                                            £5,000 

    Following the successful trial in November 2024 by regional food group, Food From Fife, roll out of more branded units and point of sale material to a wider range of Fife food and drink businesses, providing dedicated in-store marketing and sales space. 

    North Fife and Tayside. From Tree to Glass                                             £4,500 

    Delivered by Bioregioning Tayside, creation of producer group to promote and grow the area’s craft cider and perry production, preserving its apple, pear and plum heritage.  Funds will support delivery of business to business, consumer and education events and materials. 

    Fife. Turning the Tide for Turnip Revolution                                           £5,000 

    led by East of Scotland Growers will deliver a series of partnerships with chefs, retailers and communities to raise awareness and sales of turnip as a modern, delicious, climate-friendly crop. Funding will contribute to branding, marketing and chef costs. 

    Forth Valley. Forth Valley Five                                                                  £4,993  

    Led by regional food group, Forth Valley Food & Drink, this collaborative project will encourage restaurants, cafes, retailers and locals to add feature five local products on menus; stock five new local products on shelves and add five local products to shopping baskets. Funds will support creation of marketing materials and delivery. 

    Isle of Bute. Isle of Bute Food & Drink Festival                                       £3,240 

    Three-day celebration of the island’s food and drink via producer stalls; masterclasses; foraging and other experiences, delivered by regional food group, Bute Kitchen, in collaboration with other organisations and businesses.  

    Love Loch Lomond – A Taste of Loch Lomond Marketing Campaign    £4,500  

    Marketing campaign to promote a new publication, ‘A Taste of Loch Lomond: Stories & Flavours from the Bonnie Banks’, that showcases stories, products and recipes from the area’s local producers and hospitality businesses. Funding will support campaign material production and promotion. 

    Orkney. Orkney Food and Drink Festival                                                 £5,000  

    Delivered by regional food group, Orkney Food and Drink, this two-day festival will bring together the island’s businesses to sell their products to visitors and locals. Funding will support venue and promotional costs. 

    Outer Hebrides. Hebridean Fine Food & Drink Festival                          £3,000 

    Regional food group, Eat Drink Hebrides, will deliver branding and marketing assets for two food fairs and two networking events including a Food and Drink Awards, increasing sales, promoting local businesses and supporting local supply chains. 

    Fine Cheesemakers of Scotland – Promoting Scottish Artisanal Cheese £5,000  

    Project from this collaborative artisan cheese network to improve digital presence and tell a more compelling and cohesive story to increase sales and promotion. Funding will support professional content rebrand including video/photos/Instagram and website. 

    The Scottish Cider Festival                                                                      £5,000  

    New annual event to promote Scotland’s emerging cider industry, delivered by Fife-based cider pioneers, Aeble. Hosted in Edinburgh, it will provide a platform for the country’s producers to sell their craft products, partnering with other local food and drink producers. Funding will support venue, branding and marketing costs. 

    TOTAL          15 Applicants         TOTAL GRANT CLAIM FUNDING     £66,208   

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Banking bill passed

    Source: Hong Kong Information Services

    The Government today welcomed the Legislative Council’s passage of the Banking (Amendment) Bill 2025, which enables sharing of account information among banks under specified conditions in order to facilitate the detection and prevention of crime in Hong Kong.

    The amendment ordinance introduces a voluntary mechanism allowing banks and law enforcement agencies to share information with each other – swiftly and safely, via secure platforms designated by the Monetary Authority – relating to corporate and individual accounts, when banks become aware of suspected activities such as money laundering, or the financing of terrorist activities or of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

    The bill also provides legal protection for banks that disclose relevant information.

    The mechanism will enable banks and law enforcement agencies to act swiftly to intercept illicit funds and expedite intelligence gathering with a view to protecting the public from fraud and associated money laundering activities.

    Secretary for Financial Services & the Treasury Christopher Hui said the new mechanism not only enhances Hong Kong’s ability to combat fraud and associated money laundering activities, thereby providing better protection for citizens, but also helps maintain the stability of Hong Kong’s banking system and underscores the city’s efforts, as an international financial centre, to combat illegal activities.

    The amendment ordinance will come into effect this year. The commencement date will be announced separately.

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News

  • MIL-OSI Banking: [Toyota Times] Chairman Toyoda Set to Be Appointed to the Top Position: The History of the Automobile Business Association of Japan and Its Enduring Vision

    Source: Toyota

    Headline: [Toyota Times] Chairman Toyoda Set to Be Appointed to the Top Position: The History of the Automobile Business Association of Japan and Its Enduring Vision

    Chairman Akio Toyoda is slated to be the next chairman of the Automobile Business Association of Japan (ABAJ). For this special program, we welcomed the executive director of ABAJ to the studio to discuss the association’s purpose and history.

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Safety works completed at public park in Wrexham

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    News story

    Safety works completed at public park in Wrexham

    A skate park in Wrexham is safe to be reopened after the completion of works to stabilise the ground around an old mine shaft.

    Investigating the existing mine shaft cap.

    In April 2023, the Mining Remediation Authority was notified of a ground collapse at the Solvay Banks public park and play area in Southsea, Wrexham, at the location of an old mine shaft.

    The area was immediately secured with fencing while we investigated the situation. In May we filled the shaft, measured to be more than 110 metres deep, with around 650 tonnes of material to stabilise the area and prevent further ground collapse. 

    James Walker, project manager for our public safety and subsidence team, said:

    The safety of the public is our paramount concern, and we acted swiftly to secure the collapsed shaft at Solvay Banks Park.

    Our initial investigations identified the presence of a further 2 mine shafts in the vicinity, and historical records indicated that all 3 shafts had previously undergone treatment by the local authority in the 1970s. 

    The locations of the other 2 mine shafts in the area were checked as a precautionary measure and no issues were found.

    Ground investigation and surveying works identified that the existing mine shaft cap was in better condition than initially anticipated but the ground around it had collapsed. Our treatment plan was designed to leave the existing cap in place but we strengthened the cap and the ground around it by drilling and grouting the area. Mining Remediation Authority contractors successfully completed these works in August 2024.

    With the mine shaft secured and stabilised, the area has been restored to its original condition and the play park is now safe to be reopened and enjoyed by the local community.

    The site following completion of the works.

    As part of our work to keep people safe and provide peace of mind we investigated and assessed 949 mining hazards and subsidence claims last year.

    You can report a coal mining hazard to us, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, by calling 0800 288 4242.

    For media enquiries contact the community response team

    Email communityresponse@miningremediation.gov.uk

    Telephone 0800 288 4211

    For emergency media enquiries (out of hours) call: 0800 288 4242.
    Only urgent media calls will be attended to.

    Updates to this page

    Published 4 June 2025

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Residential buildings for the implementation of the renovation program will be built in Kapotnya according to the KRT project

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: Moscow Government – Government of Moscow –

    In the south-east of the capital, three areas will be reorganized within the framework of the integrated development of territories (IDT) program. The corresponding draft decision has been posted on the websiteMoscow Government. This was reported by the Deputy Mayor of Moscow for Urban Development Policy and Construction Vladimir Efimov.

    “The three sites subject to reorganization are located in Kapotnya and are part of one integrated territorial development project. The total area of the sites located near the Moscow Ring Road in an area with well-developed social and related infrastructure is 2.89 hectares. On each territory allocated for redevelopment, residential buildings will be built to implement the renovation program with an area of about 100 thousand square meters. Shops, pharmacies, cafes, and consumer services will be able to open on the first non-residential floors of the new buildings. Thus, the implementation of the project will create about 200 more jobs,” said Vladimir Efimov.

    The KRT project is being implemented on sites located near the banks of the Moskva River. Not far from the future new buildings is the nature reserve “Bank of the Moskva River in Kapotnya”, where recreation areas and places for walking are arranged.

    “In new buildings for the implementation of the renovation program, the total area of apartments will be approximately 61 thousand square meters. About 2.2 thousand Muscovites will move to the new housing. Children’s and sports playgrounds with safe surfaces will be arranged in the courtyards. The area near the houses will be improved: landscaping will be carried out, modern outdoor street lighting systems will be installed, convenient access roads to the houses will be organized, intra-block roads and sidewalks will be built. Thus, Muscovites will not only improve their living conditions, but will also receive a comfortable urban environment,” noted the Minister of the Moscow Government, head of the capital’s Department of Urban Development Policy

    Vladislav Ovchinsky.

    According to the KRT program, multifunctional city blocks are being created, where roads, comfortable housing and all the necessary infrastructure are being designed on the site of former industrial zones and inefficiently used areas. Currently, 302 integrated development projects with a total area of about 4.2 thousand hectares are at various stages of development and implementation in the capital. This work is being carried out on behalf of Sergei Sobyanin.

    The renovation program was approved in August 2017. It concerns about a million Muscovites and provides for the resettlement of 5,176 houses. Sergei Sobyanin ordered to increase the pace of implementation of the program in twice.

    Moscow is one of the leaders among regions in terms of construction volumes. High rates of housing construction correspond to the goals and initiatives of the national project “Infrastructure for life”.

    Get the latest news quickly official telegram channel the city of Moscow.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    Please Note; This Information is Raw Content Directly from the Information Source. It is access to What the Source Is Stating and Does Not Reflect

    https: //vv.mos.ru/nevs/ite/154784073/

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI China: Announcement on Open Market Operations No.104 [2025]

    Source: Peoples Bank of China

    Announcement on Open Market Operations No.104 [2025]

    (Open Market Operations Office, June 4, 2025)

    The People’s Bank of China conducted reverse repo operations in the amount of RMB214.9 billion through quantity bidding at a fixed interest rate on June 4, 2025.

    Details of the Reverse Repo Operations

    Maturity

    Rate

    Bidding Volume

    Winning Bid Volume

    7 days

    1.40%

    RMB214.9 billion

    RMB214.9 billion

    Date of last update Nov. 29 2018

    2025年06月04日

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Euro area bank interest rate statistics: April 2025

    Source: European Central Bank

    4 June 2025

    Bank interest rates for corporations

    Chart 1

    Bank interest rates on new loans to, and deposits from, euro area corporations

    (percentages per annum)

    Data for cost of borrowing and deposit interest rates for corporations (Chart 1)

    The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator, which combines interest rates on all loans to corporations, decreased in April 2025. The interest rate on new loans of over €1 million with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to three months decreased by 13 basis points to 3.54%. The rate on new loans of the same size with an initial rate fixation period of over three months and up to one year fell by 27 basis points to 3.51%. The interest rate on new loans of over €1 million with an initial rate fixation period of over ten years remained broadly unchanged at 3.54%. In the case of new loans of up to €250,000 with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to three months, the average rate charged fell by 12 basis points to 3.90%.
    As regards new deposit agreements, the interest rate on deposits from corporations with an agreed maturity of up to one year fell by 17 basis points to 2.15% in April 2025. The interest rate on overnight deposits from corporations fell by 7 basis points to 0.60%.
    The interest rate on new loans to sole proprietors and unincorporated partnerships with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to one year decreased by 5 basis points to 4.31%, driven by both the interest rate and the weight effects.

    Table 1

    Bank interest rates for corporations

    i.r.f. = initial rate fixation
    * For this instrument category, the concept of new business is extended to the whole outstanding amounts and therefore the business volumes are not comparable with those of the other categories. Outstanding amounts data are derived from the ECB’s monetary financial institutions balance sheet statistics.

    Data for bank interest rates for corporations (Table 1)

    Bank interest rates for households

    Chart 2

    Bank interest rates on new loans to, and deposits from, euro area households

    Data for cost of borrowing and deposit interest rate for households (Chart 2)

    The composite cost-of-borrowing indicator, which combines interest rates on all loans to households for house purchase, decreased in April 2025. The interest rate on loans for house purchase with a floating rate and an initial rate fixation period of up to one year decreased by 8 basis points to 3.84%. The rate on housing loans with an initial rate fixation period of over one and up to five years stayed almost constant at 3.48%. The interest rate on loans for house purchase with an initial rate fixation period of over five and up to ten years decreased by 4 basis points to 3.32%, driven by both the interest rate and the weight effects. The rate on housing loans with an initial rate fixation period of over ten years fell by 7 basis points to 3.03%, mainly driven by the weight effect. In the same period the interest rate on new loans to households for consumption showed no change at 7.52%.
    As regards new deposits from households, the interest rate on deposits with an agreed maturity of up to one year decreased by 13 basis points to 1.96%. The rate on deposits redeemable at three months’ notice stayed almost constant at 1.50%. The interest rate on overnight deposits from households remained broadly unchanged at 0.29%.

    Table 2

    Bank interest rates for households

    i.r.f. = initial rate fixation
    * For this instrument category, the concept of new business is extended to the whole outstanding amounts and therefore the business volumes are not comparable with those of the other categories; deposits placed by households and corporations are allocated to the household sector. Outstanding amounts data are derived from the ECB’s monetary financial institutions balance sheet statistics.
    ** For this instrument category, the concept of new business is extended to the whole outstanding amounts and therefore the business volumes are not comparable with those of the other categories. Outstanding amounts data are derived from the ECB’s monetary financial institutions balance sheet statistics.

    Data for bank interest rates for households (Table 2)

    Further information

    The data in Tables 1 and 2 can be visualised for individual euro area countries on the bank interest rate statistics dashboard. Additionally, tables containing further breakdowns of bank interest rate statistics, including the composite cost-of-borrowing indicators for all euro area countries, are available from the ECB Data Portal. The full set of bank interest rate statistics for both the euro area and individual countries can be downloaded from ECB Data Portal. More information, including the release calendar, is available under “Bank interest rates” in the statistics section of the ECB’s website.

    For media queries, please contact Nicos Keranis, tel.: +49 69 1344 7806

    Notes:

    • In this press release “corporations” refers to non-financial corporations (sector S.11 in the European System of Accounts 2010, or ESA 2010), “households” refers to households and non-profit institutions serving households (ESA 2010 sectors S.14 and S.15) and “banks” refers to monetary financial institutions except central banks and money market funds (ESA 2010 sector S.122).
    • The composite cost-of-borrowing indicators are described in the article entitled “Assessing the retail bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area at times of financial fragmentation” in the August 2013 issue of the ECB’s Monthly Bulletin (see Box 1). For these indicators, a weighting scheme based on the 24-month moving averages of new business volumes has been applied, in order to filter out excessive monthly volatility. For this reason the developments in the composite cost of borrowing indicators in both tables cannot be explained by the month-on-month changes in the displayed subcomponents. Furthermore, the table on bank interest rates for corporations presents a subset of the series used in the calculation of the cost of borrowing indicator.
    • Interest rates on new business are weighted by the size of the individual agreements. This is done both by the reporting agents and when the national and euro area averages are computed. Thus changes in average euro area interest rates for new business reflect, in addition to changes in interest rates, changes in the weights of individual countries’ new business for the instrument categories concerned. The “interest rate effect” and the “weight effect” presented in this press release are derived from the Bennet index, which allows month-on-month developments in euro area aggregate rates resulting from changes in individual country rates (the “interest rate effect”) to be disentangled from those caused by changes in the weights of individual countries’ contributions (the “weight effect”). Owing to rounding, the combined “interest rate effect” and the “weight effect” may not add up to the month-on-month developments in euro area aggregate rates.
    • In addition to monthly euro area bank interest rate statistics for April 2025, this press release incorporates revisions to data for previous periods. Hyperlinks in the main body of the press release lead to data that may change with subsequent releases as a result of revisions. Unless otherwise indicated, these euro area statistics cover the EU Member States that had adopted the euro at the time to which the data relate.
    • As of reference period December 2014, the sector classification applied to bank interest rates statistics is based on the European System of Accounts 2010 (ESA 2010). In accordance with the ESA 2010 classification and as opposed to ESA 95, the non-financial corporations sector (S.11) now excludes holding companies not engaged in management and similar captive financial institutions.

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Capybara and first place in Russia: NSU graduates became the best in the All-Russian Cybersecurity Championship

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: Novosibirsk State University – Novosibirsk State University –

    T-Bank held the annual computer security competition T-Bank Capture the Flag* (T-CTF). Information security specialists, developers, SRE and QA engineers, analysts and other IT specialists could participate. The event was held online and offline in six Russian cities where T-Bank IT hubs are located.

    Three teams from NSU were in the top 20 of the competition. The team “Big Hamster Weekend Point PAS” took 1st place, the team “tralalero tralala” took 3rd place, and the team “CYBERSQD” entered the top twenty.

    The T-CTF competition has been running since 2023 and is based on web security, application and infrastructure security, cryptography, and general intelligence challenges.

    — These are classic “task” (i.e., with tasks, not attack-defense) CTF competitions. Within the framework of such competitions, participants solve various tasks from the world of information security and receive points for them. In particular, they hack programs, websites, codes, do computer forensics and much more, — said Roman Lebedev, a graduate Faculty of Information Technology (FIT) NSU and senior lecturer of the Department of Computer Systems (KafKS) FIT NSU, member of the winning team.

    The Big Hamster Weekend Dot PAS team also included Vladimir Sitnov, a graduate of the NSU FIT and assistant of the KAFKS FIT NSU, Roman Fedoseyev, a graduate Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics of NSUThe team has participated in these offline competitions every year, and this year was no exception.

    — The impressions are excellent, these competitions delight us with the quality and spirit of the tasks year after year. Their authors are the SPbCTF community, which manages to offer tasks that usually have a simple and elegant solution, but at the same time it is difficult to find. In most other competitions there are fewer original ideas, and more monotonous work.

    There was a strict limit on the number of participants for each team – 3 people, the competition was quite serious, nevertheless, the NSU representatives managed to show excellent results.

    “We come to these competitions to spend time, like in the old days, and solve interesting problems. There was no goal to take prize places, it just happens,” Roman Lebedev shared his impressions.

    The team “tralalero tralala”, which took 3rd place, included Ivan Baksheev and Dmitry Makogon, both second-year master’s students at the NSU Institute of Information Technologies, and Dmitry Baryshev, a second-year master’s student at ITMO, St. Petersburg. The team “CYBERSQD”, which entered the top 20, included Alexey Vishnevsky, a first-year student at the NSU Institute of Information Technologies, Danis Ivanchenko and Ivan Dudnik, first-year students at PSUTI and SSAU.

    — We connected online from home, although it was possible to participate offline at the sites provided by the organizer. CTF is traditionally well organized thanks to the SpbCTF team. The tasks were quite complex, but interesting, ideological, and did not require monotonous work.

    In T-CTF, the traditional mascot is a capybara. This year, the capybara theme was presented to the maximum: a separate city of Kapibarovsk was created, and the scenarios of all tasks were dedicated to capybaras. All teams that entered the top 20 were presented with a toy capybara. And cash prizes were provided for 1, 2, 3 places.

    — I would like to note how well Novosibirsk has shown itself this year — the Siberians took 1st and 3rd place in the security league and 3rd place in the development league. Thus, the prize places were shared with Moscow 50 to 50, — Ivan Baksheev shared.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Australia: Press conference, Canberra

    Source: Australian Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Industry

    Jim Chalmers:

    Our economy grew in the March quarter, but slowly. Just 0.2 per cent in the March quarter, and 1.3 per cent through the year. Our economy continues to grow despite very substantial global headwinds. We saw those set out by the OECD overnight and also in the commentary in the Reserve Bank minutes that were released yesterday. There wasn’t a lot of growth in March, but what growth there was was private sector led, and that’s an encouraging sign.

    With all of the uncertainty in the world, any growth is a decent outcome. Even modest growth is welcome in these global economic circumstances. Growth was weaker than expected because public spending came off in the quarter, and we also saw the impact of natural disasters and global volatility on exports, but also on the economy more broadly. Productivity was flat again, and I’ll come back to that towards the end.

    But even in this environment, even in this difficult global context, there were a couple of very positive developments that I wanted to talk about today with you before I take your questions. And those 2 positive developments are around private demand and also the continuing recovery in real disposable incomes.

    On the first one, the private sector is stepping up now, as the public sector takes a step back. All of the growth in the March quarter was from the private sector, and that’s a good thing. That private growth was broad. Consumption grew a bit more weakly than we were anticipating, but it grew. Business investment made a contribution, or it was flat, and dwellings grew as well. I think when it comes to new dwellings investment, I think we’re seeing the strongest growth from memory in about 4 years. And so the private economy did all of the heavy lifting in this March quarter.

    The second thing which was pleasing in this data is that there was quite solid growth in real incomes per capita. And you’d know that this is the chosen measure of living standards adopted by really all the participants in this national economic conversation. Real incomes per capita and living standards, we saw solid growth once again. The measure of real incomes per capita was up 1.1 per cent in the quarter. That was the third consecutive quarter of growth. Now remember, real incomes were falling 1.7 per cent when we came to office, and they’re now up 1.7 per cent through the year. And this comes from the combination of moderating inflation, solid wages growth and the tax cuts, which are all central features of our economic plan, combined with lower interest rates as well.

    If you think about it this way, in the second half of last year, real incomes in Australia grew faster than the OECD average and almost twice the G7 average and that is a welcome development. When we came to office, real incomes per person were falling sharply, and we’ve been able to get them growing again and we saw that again in this data. We also saw that the prices measure fell again in these numbers, it’s the lowest in 3 years now, which more or less mirrors the moderation we’ve seen in the CPI. The wages share rose again, it means wages share of income is almost 54 per cent which is up from less than 50 per cent when we came to office. And it’s also worth remembering that only a tiny bit of the interest rate cuts which began in February are captured in this data.

    So if you think about the full effect of the now 2 interest rate cuts that we’ve got flowing in our economy, we expect that to add about $10 billion to household balance sheets over a year and about $6 billion to business balance sheets over a year as well. And so there’s a little bit of that captured in these March National Accounts, but overwhelmingly the benefit of those 2 interest rate cuts will be captured in subsequent quarters, remembering that this is the March quarter, and so a very backward looking measure. And so it’s clear from this data, that in the March quarter growth was subdued in our economy, also clear that our economy is not productive enough.

    But I also wanted to offer this perspective when you look at these numbers today. No major advanced economy has our combination of unemployment in the low fours, inflation below 2.5 per cent, and 3 years of continuous growth. That 0.2 per cent in the quarter, the 1.3 per cent through the year should be seen in the context of most of our peers in the OECD have had negative quarters, a number of them have had multiple negative quarters and recessions. What we’ve been able to do collectively as Australians, is to get inflation down without paying for that with negative quarters of growth or substantially higher unemployment and because of that progress the Reserve Bank has had the confidence to cut interest rates twice in the course of 3 months this year.

    So we are well placed and we are well prepared to deal with what is coming at us from around the world at the same time as we do what we can to make our economy more productive and our Budget more sustainable over time. And with that, I’m happy to take some questions. We’ll start up the back and then come down to Greg, and then Tom and then Ben.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, the UK has had an exemption from some of Donald Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs. They’re now only going to have a 25 per cent one instead of the doubled 50 per cent levy. What do you make of that? Does that give Australia more hope of securing its own carve out from those levies?

    Chalmers:

    I don’t take any outcomes for granted when it comes to that engagement we’ve got with the Americans. We’ve made it very clear what we think about those tariffs, and so we will continue to engage, as the friends in the UK have, and most countries have, trying to get the best deal that we can for our people and for our industries. That’s the approach we’ve adopted to here, and it’ll be the approach we will take from here as well. Greg then Tom then Ben.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, are you willing to drop the unrealised capital gains component of your proposed superannuation tax reforms and negotiate a new model with the Coalition?

    Chalmers:

    First of all, I’m not convinced that the Coalition wants to have a conversation about these changes. I think we all saw what Matt Canavan, for example, said today about these changes. I think even on the same day that Ted O’Brien was occupying real estate in your paper, the Finance Spokesman was saying something completely different. So first of all –

    Journalist:

    – the finance –

    Chalmers:

    Well, can I just finish my answer, Greg? So first of all, I’m not convinced that they are fair dinkum when it comes to bipartisanship. I don’t think they’re being real about that.

    When it comes to the comments that the Prime Minister made yesterday and reported in your paper today. I think they’re important points, obvious points, self‑evident points. First of all, that we don’t have the numbers on our own in the Senate to pass any of our legislation, including this legislation, and so there’s always an element of engagement. Second point that the Prime Minister made, again, reported accurately in your piece today, is that there are a number of opportunities for the Coalition to behave in a bipartisan way, including our efforts to cut student debt and some of the other things that they’ve opposed. And so let’s see that bipartisanship beyond an interview in a newspaper which contradicts the comments made by other senior colleagues in his Coalition parties.

    Now on the point more broadly about unrealised gains. It is important to remember that these changes were announced almost 2 and a half years ago now. We did multiple rounds of consultation, and we said to people, if there is a better, fairer way of making this calculation, tell us about it. The unrealised gains calculation was recommended to us by Treasury. We provided years of opportunities for people to suggest different ways to calculate that liability, and nobody has been able to come up with one. And so that’s an important bit of perspective as well.

    When it comes to the issue more broadly, this is a change which is modest, it is methodical – as I said it has been on the books for years now – and it makes a meaningful difference to the Budget, and it helps us fund some of our other priorities. It’s all about making sure that the superannuation system is fairer, that it’s more sustainable. It only impacts about half a per cent of people with superannuation accounts. And so we put this proposal out there some years ago. There have been multiple occasions for people to propose alternative ways of calculating the liability. This is the way recommended by Treasury, and it’s the way that we intend to proceed.

    Tom then Ben.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, a question on 2 different budget headaches. Chris Minns has had some comments in recent days about tobacco excise, obviously, that revenue is falling away. What’s your view on whether a change is needed?

    And secondly, on defense spending, the US suggestion of 3.5 per cent of GDP, that’s quite a lot of course, for you to fit in the Budget. From a budget perspective, what’s your view on that?

    Chalmers:

    Two important questions. First of all, I’m not proposing to cut taxes on cigarettes to make them cheaper for people. We’ve seen tax revenue for cigarettes come down for 2 reasons. One of them is a good reason. One of them is a bad reason. The good reason is fewer people smoking. The bad reason is we know that we’ve got a challenge when it comes to illegal tobacco, that’s why we’ve provided 2 substantial amounts of money in 2 consecutive budget updates to work with the states on compliance. And so I respectfully disagree with Chris, he’s a friend of mine, I work closely with Premier Minns. I don’t think the answer here is to make cigarettes cheaper for people. I think the answer here is to get better at compliance. And the feds have come to the table I have, and Mark Butler has, and the relevant ministers like Tony Burke and others have come to the table with hundreds of millions of dollars in new funding to try and combat the scourge of illegal tobacco.

    On defense spending, we’re already making a very substantial increase in investment in our Budgets, and we’re proud to be doing that. We’ll see defense spending as a share of GDP rise substantially. I think about $10 or $11 billion in extra spending in tight budgets over the course of the forward estimates, I think $50 billion plus from memory over the course of the next 10 years. And so we’ve made room for substantial new and increased investment in defense spending. There will always be calls to do more. There will always be people who say we should spend more on defense. There’ll be a lot of people who say we should spend less on defense. We’re doing what we can to responsibly and substantially increase defense spending in our Budgets.

    Journalist:

    Almost since the day you came to office, you have been asked about major tax reform, about making big tax reform. When will big tax reform come? Where’s the big tax reform? At the same time, we’re entering almost the second year of a big campaign against your superannuation changes, which, as you’ve said, affect not every Australian household. Given the reaction to these superannuation changes that has been the community, do you think that makes the challenge of even larger tax reform that may even affect every Australian even more difficult and potentially impossible?

    Chalmers:

    That remains to be seen. It doesn’t augur well for bigger, broader tax reform, when such a modest and methodical change is being resisted in some quarters. We should resist the temptation to think that because overwhelmingly 2 media outlets don’t like this change, to assume that that concern is broadly and deeply felt in the Australian community, we’re talking about half a per cent of people with superannuation being impacted, people with more than $3 million balances.

    What it means, and what I could have said if in the answer to Greg’s question as well, don’t forget, the concessions here are still very generous. We’re not eliminating tax concessions for people with big balances. We’re still providing very substantial tax breaks, just slightly less substantial.

    If someone’s got $3 million in super by one set of assumptions, their superannuation tax concession before this change is a bit over $14,000, after this change a bit over $13,000, so still very generous tax concessions for people with big balances in super.

    I think that there’s an issue here when it comes to tax reform. A lot of people say they’re in favor of tax reform in the abstract, but they very rarely, if ever, support it in the specific and I think there’s an element of that playing out here as well.

    I also think and this coheres your question with Tom’s a moment ago as well, a lot of the same people say we need to dramatically increase defence spending, we need to dramatically cut the company rate, we need to abandon the changes to make superannuation tax concessions fairer, and we need to deliver bigger surpluses. Often it’s the same people saying that, if you can believe it. And so my job, and Katy’s job and the Cabinet, the government’s job, is to make it all add up. Sometimes that involves decisions which not everybody likes. Obviously I understand that not everybody likes this change, but we have to do what’s right and responsible, and I’m confident that this.

    Journalist:

    People are opposing not so much the getting more revenue through superannuation, but the actual model of unrealised capital gains.

    Chalmers:

    First of all, I’m not convinced that’s right, Greg. Respectfully, I’m not convinced that’s right. I think some of this opposition comes from people who would like the extremely generous tax concessions, not the slightly less extremely generous tax concessions, to be fair, and we’ve given people multiple opportunities to propose alternatives to this calculation.

    It’s also important to remember that this calculation of unrealised gains exists elsewhere in the tax system, multiple places in the tax system. It’s not new that this is the way that we are proposing to calculate it. Treasury proposed it to us. We did multiple rounds of consultation.

    People will say it’s about the calculation. Some people will say it’s about the indexation. But I think in a lot of instances, again, respectfully to you and to people making these comments, and I welcome people making a contribution to the national economic debate, but I think a lot of it is not really about the method of calculation.

    Journalist:

    Can you confirm that the tax on $3 million superannuation funds will only apply to the Prime Minister once he leaves office, that he won’t pay any extra tax on his superannuation until he leaves office under your legislative proposal.

    Chalmers:

    I’m so pleased you asked me this question, because people have been lying about this. We’ve had people, I think shamefully, say that the Prime Minister or other senior politicians at the federal level, on defined benefits, are somehow exempt from this change. They are not. We made that clear that they are included in the legislation we released in November 2023 and in the regulations we released, I think, in March of 2024 more than a year ago. It’s been abundantly clear in black and white that the Prime Minister is included here, and people should stop lying about it.

    Now to the substance of your question, which I do understand, you’re making a more specific point about the calculation. We’ve been clear about how defined benefits would be treated since we announced the policy, just as the previous government did with their changes to super we apply commensurate treatment to defined benefit interests to ensure that there are equivalent tax outcomes and the same rules apply to everyone on defined benefit schemes without the constitutional exemption, including federal politicians.

    Now when it comes to the deferred liability, which is the very specific kernel of your question, these deferred liabilities on defined benefits are consistent with the long standing approach taken in other areas of super, like the extra contributions tax for high income earners. Tax liabilities are deferred until the pension phase because members in those schemes can’t access their super to pay tax debts until that point. It’s a function of necessity that that’s how that calculation is made. But we charge an interest rate on those liabilities to make sure that people don’t receive an inappropriate advantage from the necessity of calculating and paying those liabilities on retirement.

    So you have to be very careful with what some people, including, I think some of the lower echelons of our political opponents, some of the things that they’ve said, and unfortunately, some of those things which have been reported as fact, have to be very careful here. Defined benefits schemes like the Prime Minister’s are in. They’ve been in all along. The calculation reflects the same sorts of ways it’s been calculated in the past. And because the liability is paid on retirement, there’s an interest rate applied to it to make sure that there’s no inappropriate benefit.

    I genuinely really appreciate the opportunity to clear all of that up, because too much has been written about that which has been wrong.

    Journalist:

    Just on the Australia‑US relationship. We spent the last 6 months talking about how tariffs, whether they’re on or off, causing havoc across all of the world’s economies, really, can we afford to keep kind of trying to meet the demands of the US now they’re calling for defence spending increases? Should Australia be looking elsewhere?

    Chalmers:

    The Prime Minister did a terrific job of explaining our approach to this. I think it was yesterday, or might have been the day before, in Perth, when he said that we’ll determine our defence priorities and we’ll fund the capability that we need in a world that is becoming more dangerous, and our funding for defence is determined by our government. We obviously take into consideration what’s happening in the world and the views of our allies and partners, but our decisions about defence funding are made in this cabinet room, and in the national security room next to it as well.

    The world is a dangerous place. It’s dangerous in security terms. It’s dangerous in economic terms as well. One of the defining influences on this second term of this Albanese government will be what is shaped by global circumstances, certainly in the defence sphere, but in the economic sphere as well.

    I was speaking to a very large American investor this morning about trying to attract more capital here, whose decisions may be influenced by the unpredictability and the volatility in the US. And so all of this churn and change in the global economy is obviously very concerning for us, but also an opportunity for us. We intend, as we have been doing throughout, we intend to try and be beneficiaries of all that change, rather than victims of it.

    Journalist:

    As you’ve acknowledged, the Trump effect is subduing growth. But what are the opportunities for Australia amongst Trump’s tariff war?

    Chalmers:

    A lot of global investors are rethinking their investment strategies, and without going into the details of private or commercial in confidence conversations, including a great conversation I had this morning, that I referenced before, there is a global scramble for capital because people are rethinking their investment strategies. You can see in the American bond prices, for example, that people are rethinking their approach to the American economy.

    I think primarily for me, my focus, including today, is, how do we get that capital deepening that we want to see to make our economy more productive. Foreign investment from trusted sources has a really important role to play there. And the opportunity for Australia as a country with wonderful human capital, stable government, big opportunities in the energy transformation, big opportunities in technology and data, an economy that’s grown despite all the challenges thrown at it, we’ve got a very compelling story to tell the world, and there is a big global scramble for capital, and we will be a very competitive part of that.

    Journalist:

    Just on the National Accounts, investment in machinery and equipment has fallen 3.7 per cent over the last year, and you rightly point out that productivity remains flat. Most people agree that business investment is the thing that’s needed to be required to lift productivity. What is the government’s plan to lift business investment to get productivity growing?

    Chalmers:

    We’ve got quite a substantial reform agenda already underway, but we are prepared to contemplate next additional steps when it comes to attracting investment. I strengthened and streamlined the foreign investment review process. The feedback I got today and the discussion I had earlier is that that is working to speed up, strengthen, but also streamline and speed up the FIRB process. That’s part of it. Also the work that we’re doing on the Single Front Door to try to concierge investment in major economy changing projects in our country, recognising that the time it takes for approvals can be too long.

    I think Andy Leigh gave a great contribution on this front, I think it was earlier this week, when he was talking about the abundance agenda, that thinking has been very influential in our circles. This idea that if we want good things to happen in our economy, we need to make it easier for those good things to happen, faster, more efficiently. So the Single Front Door is part of that effort as well. All the work I’m doing on competition policy, unilaterally and with the states, the Productivity Fund, all of this is about making Australia a more attractive destination for investment.

    If you think about the major challenges we have in productivity, even though the level of business investment is the highest it’s been in 12 years. Growth rates, including today in the National Accounts, were not especially strong, and we’re not making the most of these deep available pools of domestic and national capital. And if we do a better job of making the most of that, we will make our economy more productive over time, not overnight, but over time. That is a huge, huge part of the work that I’ve been doing in the month or so since we’ve been re‑elected, but before that as well.

    If people come to us with great ideas, whether it’s about attracting investment, capital deepening, making our economy more productive, then we’ve got a very open door and open mind to those suggestions.

    Journalist:

    Just running through the good things in the economy. Unemployment is down. Inflation is back in target. Interest rates coming down, GDP still positive. Things are actually pretty good on a fair analysis of what is going on. But usually when things, the only thing that’s out of kilter is that usually governments run surpluses when things are good, like this, you’ll probably be one of Labor’s longest serving Treasurer, do you think you’ll ever see a surplus again in your time? And is this as good as it gets for the Australian economy? Does it only sort of soften and get worse from here? Or what are you trying to sort of soften the ground for?

    Chalmers:

    First of all, while you’re away, Matthew, I knocked out a couple of surpluses, and that’s the first time that’s happened for almost 2 decades. So I like to see that acknowledged sometimes. That was a combination of savings and banking most of the upward revision to revenue. Those are choices that governments make, and if we’d adopted the approach of our predecessors, those surpluses wouldn’t have happened. So let’s not dismiss those 2 surpluses that Katy and the Cabinet and I worked very hard to deliver.

    It’s self‑evident that the pressures on our Budget are intensifying rather than easing. I do acknowledge that, I think one of the things, partly as an aside, which you may have noticed, or you will notice in the course of the afternoon, poring through the National Accounts data, we’re actually making really good progress in areas like the NDIS. One of the reasons why public demand fell in the quarter is because of the progress we’re making on the NDIS, aged care as well, even with the developments that Mark and Sam announced this morning, we’re making progress there. We’re making progress on interest costs, but overall, the pressures on the Budget are intensifying rather than easing. Of course, we don’t ignore that.

    Your question about is this as good as it gets? I am quite optimistic about the future of our economy. There are some temporary factors in this quarterly outcome. There are natural disasters in here, not just Alfred, but the flooding in Townsville and Cairns and the surrounding communities earlier in the year, the fall in public demand because some of the big state projects came off, there are some temporary factors in here as well. We shouldn’t overinterpret that March data.

    But growth is softer than we would like it to be, and I’m confident that growth will accelerate in our economy. Even if you look at that OECD report, you would have pored over it, Matthew, what it said was there was a little downgrade for growth this year for Australia, but actually an upgrade in growth for 2026.

    And so the rest of the world looks at Australia, it’s an experience familiar to me from the GFC, most of the rest of the world looks at Australia, and they see low unemployment, lower inflation, interest rates coming down, real wages and incomes growing, debt‑to‑GDP is much smaller here than in most other countries. We’ve knocked out those 2 surpluses. Most of the rest of the world sees what’s happening in Australia, and they think that there are some very good things happening in Australia. This is part of the story to link your question with John’s, that we tell the world. It’s a compelling story.

    But I firmly believe that there are good reasons to be optimistic about our economy. If I believed that Australia had peaked, or this was the best that we could hope for, I wouldn’t be here.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, just to follow up from Tom’s question – tobacco consumption fell 6.4 per cent for the quarter, almost 16 per cent over the year for households. Do you actually believe that? Because that’s not being reflected in what’s going on in what’s going on in the streets of Sydney and Melbourne and Queensland.

    Do you think that there is a causation effect between the increases in tobacco excise and what’s going on? Are you going to end up like Eliot Ness – ‘oh, look, we can’t control it. We can police it and police it, but you can’t control it.’

    Chalmers:

    First of all, I did notice that obviously there’s substantial decline in tobacco in the national accounts. We have to resist the temptation to think it’s either 100 per cent people giving away the darts, or 100 per cent illegal activity.

    I think, as I acknowledged in my response to Tom’s good question, it’s both of those things. One of those developments is very good. One of those developments is very challenging. We’re not ignoring it. We’re not dismissing it in the way that the end of your question implied.

    We’ve invested hundreds of millions of dollars in compliance. Because we do acknowledge that this is a real challenge. More people are giving up the darts, but more people are also doing the wrong thing. I’m not convinced that cutting the excise on cigarettes would mean that that would be the end of illegal activity.

    Journalist:

    Would continually increasing excise just add to the financial incentive for people to go buy illegal ciggies?

    Chalmers:

    I know that that’s a view put forward, but I don’t share that view. I don’t propose to be cutting taxes on cigarettes. I don’t propose to be making cigarettes cheaper. It is a substantial public health challenge still in our economy. It’s also a law and order challenge, and we’re addressing both of those things simultaneously.

    Journalist:

    But freeze, Treasurer – might you freeze rather than cutting it? Freezing it because this, the 2 are related to legal activity and –

    Chalmers:

    It’s not something we’ve been considering.

    Journalist:

    Earlier you said the Coalition haven’t offered any alternative proposal to the super tax changes, but the Greens have proposed an alternative around indexing the threshold. Are you open to good faith negotiation with the Greens to change the model, to say they’ve achieved the same outcome, but addresses one of those concerns that’s been put forward? Or are you determined to push it through without any change?

    Chalmers:

    Our preference is to push it through without any changes. The timing of that is to be determined, and unless I missed an announcement, I’m not sure that there’s a shadow Treasury spokesperson yet in the Greens team. If there is, at some point between now and the parliament going back, obviously, we engage with the parliament in an effort to pass our legislation, but my preference, my intention, is to pass the changes that we have proposed.

    I will obviously engage in a respectful way with the crossbench in the Senate, because, as the pm said yesterday or the day before, and as I repeated today, we don’t have the numbers on our own in the Senate, so there’s always an element of discussion to try and get our legislation passed.

    Journalist:

    You briefly mentioned the changes to aged care being delayed. A couple of questions on this issue. Presumably it means that Australians will not start paying more for their aged care for another 4 months than you were originally planning. So what impact does that have on revenue?

    Also, the government voted multiple times against amendments put forward by the Coalition to have a 12‑month transition period for this legislation. There’s been warnings for months that this was not ready to go. There’s been complaints the whole way through. Is this not a failure on the government’s part to actually have communicated effectively the information that the sector needed to be able to implement the changes on July 1?

    Chalmers:

    I think Mark and Sam have been through most of the answers to your question earlier today in terms of the fiscal impact. We’ll update that in the usual way in the mid‑year budget update, but a delay like this is likely to cost in the order of $900 million over the forward estimates. I think we’ve done this in good faith, out of necessity, it wasn’t ready to go, and so we’ve got a responsible delay here.

    We shouldn’t forget that, even with this modest delay, the changes that were worked up by Anika and Mark and are being implemented by Sam and Mark are really important changes to make our budget more sustainable. You think about those areas where there is substantial pressure on the Budget, areas like aged care, like the NDIS, like interest costs, we have made good progress. And so even with this delay that mark and Sam have announced today, these are really important reforms. They’re really important for the Budget. Most importantly of all, they will help ensure that we deliver the standard of care that older Australians need and deserve.

    Journalist:

    Very briefly, you acknowledge that you can’t pass legislation by yourself.

    Chalmers:

    I don’t think that’s new news, Tom.

    Journalist.

    No, no, of course. But in the context of $3 million super the Greens have said indexation, or a $2 million threshold – any interest on the threshold, you’ll probably have to compromise somewhere?

    Chalmers:

    Really the same answer as I gave before. My preference and my intention is to legislate the package that we proposed more than 2 years ago, the legislation and regulations we made available 18 months and a year ago. That’s my preference, that’s my intention.

    I think pointing out that we don’t have the numbers on our own in the Senate is just a reflection of the reality. I’ll have a discussion with the crossbench, with the Greens at some point between now and when the parliament returns.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, in the months before the election, Australians heard you say that the economy had turned a corner and better days were ahead. Just wondering if your comments just then that the pressures are increasing and not easing on the Budget. Are better days still ahead, but just a bit further off?

    Chalmers:

    It remains the case that the Australian economy is turning a corner as the global economy has taken a turn for the worse. It’s still the case. There are some temporary factors playing out in this March quarter – as I said, natural disasters, state public demand, the conclusion of big projects in some state budgets, for example. But overwhelmingly, our economic story in Australia is a story of relative economic strength. I’ve had the opportunity to speak with a number of my colleagues over the course of – international colleagues and counterparts over the course of the last 2 months or so, and they all look at the kind of data that we’re getting as a good thing.

    I think I’m having a discussion with my new Canadian counterpart tomorrow morning at 7am – so the Australian story is a compelling one. The economic story is a story of economic strength, as I said before, that combination of lower inflation, very low unemployment, higher wages and incomes, interest rates coming down, debts come down. We haven’t had a negative quarter of growth.

    In the context of what we’re seeing around the world, those are very decent outcomes – better than that, and I still am very firmly optimistic about the future of our economy. Despite all of these very substantial global economic headwinds, we have a lot of advantages that a lot of other countries don’t have.

    Journalist:

    It seems Australia [inaudible] the letter to US and other countries asking for their best offer on a trade deal. Just quickly, what would your elevator pitch be to the US president about why we need a better deal?

    Chalmers:

    I’m unlikely to see him in an elevator. But the point that we have made repeatedly is that ours is a relationship of mutual economic benefit. We are different to a lot of these other countries that the Americans are negotiating with in that, apart from some unusual quarterly outcomes, overwhelmingly they’ve run a big trade surplus with us, and so we’re different. It’s a relationship of mutual economic benefit, and we see these tariffs and trade tensions as self‑defeating.

    I really encourage you to read that OECD piece of work that came out yesterday afternoon – it really lays out, I think, in quite confronting ways, the costs and consequences of these escalating trade tensions, and even in a world where some of these tariffs get unwound, when you speak to global investors like I do as part of my job, it’s the unpredictability as well that is buffeting people’s investment intentions and the global economy more broadly, and so I would say to the Americans publicly what we say to them privately: it’s a relationship of mutual economic benefit. We are different to a lot of the other countries that they are negotiating with, and we overwhelmingly, to be blunt about it, see these tariffs as a very bad development for the American economy, for the global economy, for the regional economy, and we won’t be immune from that.

    Journalist:

    Just following on from both of those 2 last questions, amid all this global uncertainty, you say that Australia has still turned the corner, and you’re optimistic about things ahead, but if you could put that into context for the everyday Australian, are living standards going to get better, worse or the status quo for the rest of this year?

    Chalmers:

    Living standards are getting better. One of the stunning, positive components of these national accounts is that we’ve got the most appropriate measure of living standards growing at 1.7 per cent – they were falling 1.7 per cent when we came to office. We finished last year, the second half of last year, where living standards in Australia were growing faster than the OECD average, growing I think around twice the G7 average the measure of living standards. And if you look at the Treasury forecasts in the Budget, they expect growth in living standards to accelerate. That’s because of the progress that we’ve made as Australians together.

    The measure of living standards reflects inflation coming down very substantially. It reflects interest rates coming down. It reflects the tax cuts. It reflects the progress we’ve made on wages, and what a sensational outcome yesterday was for a fifth of the workforce relying on awards in our economy.

    This is not accidental. This is deliberate. This is our economic plan, lifting living standards in our economy, and we expect that to continue. We acknowledge that people are doing it tough still; that they’re still under pressure. We acknowledge the big hole that people were in when we came to office, and we’ve worked our tails off to try and turn that around and we’re seeing in these national accounts data that that is being turned around. Now we acknowledge, as I have probably 30 or 40 or 50 times in your presence, that sometimes or often, how people feel and fare in the economy doesn’t match the aggregate national numbers that we see in the national accounts, but you’d rather them heading up than heading down? They’re heading up now under us. They were heading down under our predecessors, and the fact that they’re heading up now is deliberate, not accidental. It’s gradual, but it’s important.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, are you concerned that the Prime Minister might be about to poach Steven Kennedy to lead Prime Minister and Cabinet?

    Chalmers:

    A little! But I don’t know.

    I pay tribute to Glyn Davis in the first instance. Glyn Davis and I go way, way back. I was a researcher for Glyn in the Premier’s department in the late 1990s and I’ve just got a mountain of respect for Glyn Davis. I’m personally sorry to see him go. He is a person of towering intellect. He is a massive brain who made a huge contribution in this gig that he’s leaving shortly, but also over a lifetime of service, and so I pay tribute to Glyn in the first instance.

    I see the speculation about candidates for that role that Glyn is vacating. No doubt the Prime Minister is considering a handful of wonderful people. I’m very fortunate that I get to work with Steven Kennedy, and the decisions about the secretaries are decisions for the prime minister in consultation with us, and no doubt, before long, he’ll make his views clear.

    Journalist:

    Treasurer, just back on back on defence spending, the sorts of increases that our comparable countries are looking at would be for us in the order of $40 billion a year. Joel Fitzgibbon was out publicly a month ago saying he worried that there wasn’t an appetite in Australia to do what needs to be done on defence to get ready for what’s coming in the not too far future.

    Do you think – is that sort of money, $40 billion a year, like is that even feasible in the economic environment that we have at the moment?

    Chalmers:

    Well, it’s a substantial amount of investment. I think one of the unfortunate things about this – I respect Joel’s view, obviously, and Kim Beazley and others – I know that there will be a constituency always for more defence spending. There will also be a substantial constituency for less defense spending. We get pressure. We get pushed and pulled in both directions when it comes to defense spending and our job, our responsibility, which we embrace, is to try and make the right decisions for the right reasons, and recognising the global environment is tricky.

    The global environment in security terms and economic terms is dangerous, and that’s why we are substantially increasing investment in our defence capability. We’ve sat in here for hours and hours and hours on end, finding room in budgets to make very substantial increases to defence spending, and that’s because we share the view overall that defence spending needs to rise, and that’s why it’s rising in the 4 Budgets that we’ve handed down.

    Is that everyone? Thanks very much, guys, thank you.

    MIL OSI News

  • MIL-OSI Economics: BOBC Auctions- 3 June 2025

    Source: Bank of Botswana

    The Monetary Policy Rate (MoPR) was unchanged at 1.9 percent of the previous week, for a paper maturing on 11 June 2025.  The summarised results of the auction held on 3 June 2025, are attached below:

    BOBC Results 3 June 2025.pdf

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Denis Beau: How to make European financial integration a strategic strength in which European citizens play a key role

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Ladies and gentlemen,

    It is a pleasure to welcome you to the Banque de France for this award ceremony for the 36th international economics and finance dissertation competition. Before going on to highlight the best dissertations and the most original work selected by the jury this year, I would like to specifically address all the students.

    As you start or prepare to start your professional life, I want to share with you a perspective and two certainties, which I hope could help you in the early years of your career and, maybe, beyond. (I) The perspective is that of a threshold between two eras. This eventually represents an opportunity and a responsibility. To make the most of the situation, I am convinced we need to change our mindset (II), first, to finally make financial integration a strategic strength for Europe, and second (III), to make Europeans masters of their own destiny rather than passive bystanders to a technocratic project.

    I. Standing at the threshold of a new era: taking the challenges seriously and seizing the opportunities

    I shall start with the analysis. It has become something of a cliché – but that does not make it any less true: we are on the verge of a new era. 

    Over the past 15 years, since the outbreak of the Great Financial Crisis, we have rediscovered the vital importance – as well as the fragility – of our financial systems, our economies, our democracies, of peace in Europe, of the climate and our ecosystems- the list goes on. 

    In a world that is changing before our very eyes, one thing is clear: Europe risks being left behind. Our economy is lagging in terms of growth, productivity and innovation. Between 1999 and 2024, GDP per capita grew by a cumulative 46% in the United States, compared with 30% in the euro area. As a share of GDP, European firms invest half as much in research and development (R&D) as their US counterparts.

    Reversing this loss of speed and returning to growth, innovation and productivity is the first of three interdependent challenges we need to meet in the very near term. We also finally need to build our European sovereignty and strategic autonomy, and move forward on the climate, environmental, digital and demographic transitions – which we must anticipate and support if we are to avoid merely suffering the consequences.

    The amount of investment needed to face up to the challenges is massive: if we add “ReArm Europe” to Draghi’s famous figures, the EU will have to invest an additional EUR 900 billion per year up to 2030. That’s over 5% of our GDP.

    II. Changing our European mindset: placing the ends rather than the means at the heart of the European financial integration agenda

    Meeting these challenges calls for huge efforts from each of us. From my perspective as a central banker, let me focus on the special role finance has to play in Europe’s response: for the past 50 years, we have worked steadily to build a European single market, notably for financial services, helped by powerful catalysts such as the creation of the single currency and ESAs, the establishment of the Banking Union and the SSM, and the current Capital Markets Union project.

    Each of these initiatives represents real progress. However, throughout these years, our mindset has remained primarily institutional, and basically bureaucratic. 

    For Europe to achieve full financial integration and reap all of its rewards – especially at a time the risk of a profound fracturing of the financial landscape has never been greater with the potential reconfiguration unleashed by the new US administration’s policy change – it seems appropriate to adopt a more “substantial” approach, to make the European financial system not just something that needs to be regulated, but rather an asset for the European economy. 

    To achieve this, in his recent Letter to the President of the French Republic, the Governor of the Banque de France firmly underlined the need to take concrete steps, backed by sufficient EU consensus, in three main areas: reducing market fragmentation, investing better and innovating faster. 

    At the heart of these three priorities is the Savings and Investments Union: its aim is to create a single market for financing that will improve the allocation of savings by exploiting the complementarity between the Banking Union and Capital Markets Union – because it’s clear that bank and market financing remain overly fragmented by national borders.

    We also, I think, need to shift from an obligation of means to an obligation of results. The projects we need to carry out are nothing new, but the approach is very different. Up to now, the European agenda has primarily been conceived as a regulatory one, on the basis that this is sufficient to achieve a final result for which we are not accountable. But public action is more than simply drafting legislation. It must be based on a clearly stated intent, have an explicit ambition, and achieve concrete results for which it remains fully accountable.

    Let me illustrate this with three examples:

    The first concerns the regulatory framework for the financial system. It is vital that it be simplified. Over time, our institutional approach and the primacy given to regulation have led to an excess of red tape and inconsistencies. It is possible to revisit this regulatory framework to make it more efficient and agile, without undermining the objectives pursued, which, on the whole, have been met – and so without being dragged into a regulatory race to the bottom by the new US administration.

    A prime example of this is the proposed ESG regulations recently submitted by the Commission with the Omnibus Directive project, and which the Banque de France largely supports. 

    Another obvious candidate for simplification is the entire bank prudential framework – its microprudential, macroprudential and resolution rules – where examples of overcomplexity, redundancy and overlapping international standards abound. The framework has become labyrinthine, and even the specialists get lost – to say nothing of the institutional challenges that make it impossible to take a holistic view of bank capital requirements and their appropriate level.

    A second example is the equity financing of the European economy. We have all the instruments we need – from venture capital to equity markets – but none of them are on a sufficient scale. We particularly need to make better use of European long-term investors, who together are regarded as leading players in global financial markets, but struggle to make up sufficient mass. This can be achieved through the revision of the Solvency II Directive, and by using national and European public financial institutions more effectively to develop public-private partnerships. 

    My last example relates to market infrastructures. We need to adapt our European infrastructures to the wave of technological innovations currently being deployed, based on distributed ledger technology and asset tokenisation. Our first objective is to develop a wholesale central bank digital currency (wCBDC) for use by market participants, followed by a CBDC for everyday retail payments (digital euro). Then, in the medium term, we need to develop a European unified ledger to modernise securities transactions. The US authorities’ recent announcements in support of crypto-assets and stablecoins make it even more vital we complete this project, to maintain our monetary and financial sovereignty in the new world we are entering. The goal now is to move as quickly as possible from experimentation to operationalisation. Rest assured that the Banque de France and other Eurosystem central banks are working very actively and resolutely to complete this project.

    III. We should not neglect the human side: savers and financiers as stakeholders

    One of the keys to deepening our European financial integration is to make things simpler and more strategic – scaling down to half a dozen objectives with clear purposes and impacts rather than having an action plan with 36 highly technocratic projects.

    But there is another challenge that is often overlooked: the human aspect of the project, since nothing can be achieved without mobilising our fellow citizens. In this case, it means mobilising savers and financial professionals.

    In France, and probably other European jurisdictions, things in this area are far from optimal. The regulations are well-meaning, but at the very least overly complex, and in some respects treat savers like children, while also encouraging intermediaries to take a by-the-book approach to customer interests rather than genuinely seeking to do what’s best for them. More generally, they tend to treat the symptoms rather than looking for actual causes – one of the main ones being financial illiteracy, a phenomenon that has been well-documented and leads to sub-optimal outcomes in terms of household wealth management (reduced returns) and for the financing of the economy (a relatively risk-averse supply of financing).

    To help resolve this situation, the Banque de France intends to fully play its role as the national steering body for financial education – a task entrusted to it by public authorities – and provide explanations, training and guidance. I would like to commend EDUCFI for its work providing accessible educational content for all audiences, to help them better understand money, savings, loans and the risk of scams. I encourage you to tell people about these resources and to use them as much as possible: they are an important lever for spreading economic knowledge.

    But we must go further. Improving financial education means giving everyone the means to understand their choices, protect their savings and make a bigger contribution – indirectly but effectively – to the financing of the economy. This is a prerequisite for social justice, economic efficiency and citizenship.

    To conclude, I would like to make a wish for you, as students about to embark on your careers. You will be the ones making tomorrow’s European financial sector a vibrant and effective financial system. May you always remain committed to the interests of your clients and have a broad understanding of the challenges we collectively face. Behind your profession lies a mission that is essential to our society. The quality of your work will also make a difference to the future of Europe and Europeans.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Adriana D Kugler: Opening remarks

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Thank you, Olesya, and thank you for the invitation to speak to you today. It is such a pleasure to contribute to this conference.

    Our profession has increasingly recognized, especially after the Global Financial Crisis, that research in the interdisciplinary topics between macroeconomics and finance is indispensable both for monetary policy and for promoting financial stability. As a researcher myself, and having spent many years in academia, I place great value on the social contribution of research and its potential to improve policymaking.

    I want to express my appreciation for your efforts in using macro-financial data and theoretical models to enlighten us on several critical issues. For instance, let me cite a few topics of the conference that shed light on important issues:

    • The work on the transmission of monetary policy to both households and firms provides insights into how policy decisions ripple through the economy, a topic I recently addressed in a speech at the University of Minnesota. In this speech, I discussed my approach to monitoring monetary policy transmission and highlighted some of its key elements, such as the long and variable lags associated with policy effects.
    • The exploration of the neutral rate of interest-that which neither slows nor stimulates economic activity-provides another angle to this important concept. This is a topic I have addressed in previous remarks, and I am especially interested in the potential factors that can affect the neutral rate.
    • The work on how and why financial conditions faced by firms and households change with data releases and underlying macroeconomic conditions also enhances our grasp of the complex interplay between economic indicators and real-world financial experiences.
    • The research on the functioning of the Treasury securities market and how it is affected by regulatory constraints sheds light on a crucial aspect of our financial system.

    I commend you for pushing ahead with a research agenda that furthers our understanding of topics so relevant to our monetary policymaking.

    In the spirit of stimulating your research appetite, I’d like to mention some topics that have captured my attention recently. These represent emerging challenges and opportunities in the field, and I believe they warrant further investigation.

    First, recently, I have been paying attention to the possible interaction between the financial vulnerabilities of firms and their exposure to trade. As global economic tensions rise and supply chains evolve, understanding how a company’s financial health intersects with its international trade exposure becomes increasingly crucial. This research could provide valuable insights for both policymakers and business leaders navigating an uncertain global economic landscape.

    Second, lately, I have been monitoring the financial stability implications of the potential lower desirability of U.S. financial assets in flight-to-safety events. Traditionally, U.S. assets have been seen as a safe haven during times of global economic uncertainty. One notable example of this was during the Global Financial Crisis. However, we recently saw instances in which the VIX went up, stock prices went down, long-term yields from U.S. Treasury securities went up, and the U.S. dollar depreciated against the currencies of advanced foreign economies (AFEs), with a notable role for the euro. Importantly, the historical relationships and the observed moves in the VIX and interest rates of AFEs would have been associated with a decrease in long-term yields from U.S. Treasury securities and an appreciation of the dollar. As the global economic landscape shifts, it is crucial to examine how possible changes in the role of U.S. financial assets as a safe haven might affect financial stability both domestically and internationally.

    Lastly, I have been keenly interested, for some time now, in how stresses in the commercial real estate (CRE) sector could potentially spill over to the rest of the U.S. economy. The CRE sector continues to face challenges from low vacancy rates and valuation losses, especially in urban centers for the office sector. Another challenge is that some banks, insurers, and securitization vehicles continued to have concentrated exposures to CRE. As we have seen in past crises, such as the Global Financial Crisis, vulnerabilities in specific sectors can have far-reaching consequences for the financial system. Understanding potential vulnerabilities and potential domino effects are vital for maintaining overall economic stability and crafting preemptive policies.

    These, I believe, represent some of the most pressing questions facing our field today. They offer rich opportunities for groundbreaking research that could significantly influence future policy decisions.

    In conclusion, I want to reiterate my gratitude for the vital work you are all doing. Your research not only advances our understanding, but it also provides a solid foundation for informed policymaking. As we navigate the complex interplay of macroeconomics and finance in an ever-changing global landscape, the importance of your work cannot be overstated.

    I encourage you to continue pushing the boundaries of our knowledge, to ask the difficult questions, and to pursue the answers with rigor and dedication. Your efforts today will shape the policies of tomorrow, influencing the economic well-being of millions.

    Thank you for your attention, and I look forward to the insightful discussions and presentations that will unfold during this conference.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Sarah Hunter: Joining the dots – exploring Australia’s economic links with the world economy

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Introduction

    I’d like to begin by acknowledging the Traditional Owners of the land on which we meet today, the Yuggera and Turrbal people of Meanjin and pay my respects to Elders past and present.

    And thank you to the Economic Society of Australia [Queensland Branch] for giving me this opportunity to talk to all of you.

    I’m sure many are familiar with the Lenin quote ‘There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen’. It certainly feels like the last few months fit into the latter category. The broad-based nature of the proposed US tariffs, retaliation from major partners and other policy shifts all have the potential to structurally alter the world economy. As recently discussed by our Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, what happens overseas matters for the Australian economy and is therefore a key factor in monetary policy settings.

    In the recently released Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP) we outlined our thinking on how recent developments will influence the Australian economy. To help us understand the implications for Australia, we have developed a framework that captures the key transmission channels and combined this with a set of alternative scenarios that flex key assumptions and judgements. Together they underpin our thinking about how this environment will flow through the global economy and how Australia is exposed.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Kazuo Ueda: Economic activity and prices, and monetary policy in Japan

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Introduction

    Thank you for the opportunity to speak today at the Naigai Josei Chosa Kai. It was two years ago at this event that I gave my first speech after becoming Governor of the Bank of Japan. In that speech, I stated that I would endeavor to make logical decisions and provide explanations as clearly as possible in fulfilling my duties as Governor. Moreover, with a view to carrying out the Bank’s mandate of achieving price stability, I highlighted the importance of carefully supporting “nascent developments,” which were finally in sight at that time, in maturing toward achieving the price stability target of 2 percent.

    Fortunately, Japan’s economic activity and prices have continued to improve since then, and the “nascent developments” toward achieving the 2 percent target have steadily gained momentum, accompanied by wage increases. In March 2024, the Bank judged it was within sight that the price stability target of 2 percent would be achieved in a sustainable and stable manner, and changed its large-scale monetary easing framework, which had lasted for over a decade. Thereafter, it adjusted the degree of monetary accommodation by raising the policy interest rate in July 2024 and again in January 2025.

    However, the scale of the tariffs announced by the U.S. administration since early spring of this year was considerably larger than what many people had expected, and the environment surrounding economic activity and prices at home and abroad is changing significantly. While the environment surrounding Japan’s economic activity and prices also has become increasingly complex, today I would like to return to what I stated as my intention when I spoke here two years ago and explain, as clearly as possible, the Bank’s view on Japan’s economic activity and prices and its thinking on the conduct of monetary policy.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Jerome H Powell: Opening remarks

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Thank you, Beth Anne.

    I want to start by offering my condolences to the family and friends of former Vice Chair Stanley Fischer. Stan was a colleague of ours at the Fed, and a giant in the field of international economics. In addition to reaching the highest levels of the field in his own right, he was a trusted and generous mentor and teacher to a generation of the most important economic thinkers, including many heads of global central banks, advisers to presidents, and countless economists. We will miss him.

    Congratulations to Division of International Finance (IF) on 75 years of outstanding work in service to the Federal Reserve Board and, by extension, to all Americans. Many current staff members are here to celebrate today, as well as a number of IF alumni, including past division directors Ted Truman, Karen Johnson, Nathan Sheets, and Steve Kamin. The division has produced many other notable alums, including Chair and Secretary Janet Yellen; professor, author, chess grandmaster, and our keynote speaker, Ken Rogoff; and humanitarian and economist Albert Hirschman, famous for the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index and more recently as a character in Netflix’s Transatlantic, to name just a few.

    In my time at the Fed, the IF division has provided invaluable insight into global economic activity, international trade and capital flows, and developments in foreign financial markets. Division staff have also played a key role during episodes of global financial stress. And your research and analysis are critical inputs into our monetary policy decisions. Thank you to all that have served in this division over the past 75 years. Today I will kick off this conference by briefly reviewing why the division was created and highlighting a few of its many accomplishments over the years, before turning you over to a robust set of presentations and panels.

    New Era for Global Economy

    The IF division was created on July 1, 1950, but the idea began to germinate a few years earlier. The U.S. emerged from World War II as a global economic superpower. The Bretton Woods Agreement placed the U.S., and the Fed, in a central position in the global economy. Our mission then, as it is now, was to serve the American people. But it was clear at that moment that the Fed needed to have better knowledge of global developments to achieve our dual-mandate goals.

    A 1948 memo proposing to create this division stated, “Problems of international economics and finance have become increasingly large, complex, and significant in recent years, and our foreign economic relations will undoubtedly continue to give rise to issues of the first magnitude.” That is the rare economic forecast that turned out to be spot on!

    Seventy-five years later, it remains critical that the Fed understand the policies and practices of other governments and central banks, and their implications for the U.S. economy and financial markets. Exchange rate policy, of course, is now firmly in the hands of the U.S. Treasury. However, the end of the Bretton Woods era in the 1970s fundamentally changed the conduct of monetary policy, as policymakers had to understand the effects of potentially more volatile movements of the U.S. dollar on American families and businesses.

    Understanding global trade and capital movements has only grown in importance since 1950, as we saw during the pandemic. The IF division helps produce the data on international capital flows, and has spent decades researching the effects of these flows and international trade on U.S. and foreign economies. Understanding this complex and interconnected web is essential for us to anticipate the path of employment and inflation.

    Another important development in the 1970s was the increasing use of macroeconomic modeling, which greatly influenced the division’s work. Under the direction of former Division Director Ralph Bryant, IF developed its first multicountry model. Always on the forefront, over the years, economists in the division-many of whom are in this room today-developed increasingly sophisticated models, with each new generation expanding the capability to tackle the international risks and issues of the day. These models have proven useful for understanding how international shocks transmit through the economy and financial markets, for assessing risks and uncertainties through alternative scenarios, and for better comprehending the implications of various shocks for the U.S. and global economy. The results have informed research papers, Board memos and briefings, as well as the risks and uncertainty assessment that Federal Open Market Committee members receive in advance of every meeting.

    Prepared for Crisis

    The IF division has also played an important role in responding to global economic turbulence. A prime example is the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s. That episode required analytical thinking about the macroeconomic repercussions of the crisis as it played out around the world. Work by division, and by the International Monetary Fund and other institutions, led to the establishment of emergency facilities to prevent more dire financial outcomes. As global capital flows increased, other episodes of financial distress surfaced across the world, including in Mexico, Asia, and Russia. International capital flows and spillovers became, and remain, a recurrent feature in the division’s analytical and monitoring work.

    The expertise generated through study and response to those global challenges proved invaluable when stress hit closer to home during the Global Financial Crisis and the pandemic. Both of those events required immediate, broad, and, in many cases, unprecedented responses to avoid disrupting the availability of credit to American households and businesses. The nation, and the world, looked to the Federal Reserve to lead in these moments. During the Global Financial Crisis, when global funding markets came under stress, the IF division worked to establish swap line arrangements with several major central banks that helped restore stability in U.S. dollar funding markets. And during the pandemic, the IF division helped lead efforts to expand the provision of dollar liquidity by setting up the FIMA Repo Facility.1

    These periods of acute financial stress and uncertainty prompted the division to develop new tools and analytical products that could be used to understand and respond to the events unfolding on the ground. For instance, the division has devised new methods to measure and assess the effect of various types of uncertainty on economic activity, including new indexes that were built to track geopolitical risk, inflation, trade policy, and economic uncertainty. As we continue to navigate the current period of heightened uncertainty, this work is critical to understanding the quantitative implications of uncertainty shocks.

    Conclusion

    I will conclude by saying that, for 75 years, nine Fed chairs and countless Board members have greatly benefited from the guidance and counsel of IF staff-and not just when responding to crisis. This team helps assure we are well prepared for our international engagements, by providing detailed materials ahead of time and often by traveling with us. IF staff are always welcome and productive companions. In these and other endeavors, we benefit from the robust relationships you establish and maintain with our global counterparts.

    Thank you to Beth Anne and all the staff here that organized this wonderful event. And, finally, thank you again to all the current and former IF staff for what you have done and continue to do to help us be a globally knowledgeable and responsive central bank, so that we can deliver on our dual mandate for all Americans.


    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-Evening Report: Extreme weather events have slowed economic growth, adding to the case for another rate cut

    Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Stella Huangfu, Associate Professor, School of Economics, University of Sydney

    Australia’s economy slowed sharply in the March quarter, growing by just 0.2% as government spending slowed and extreme weather events dampened demand. That followed an increase of 0.6% in the previous quarter.

    The national accounts report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed annual growth steady at 1.3%, below market forecasts for an improvement to 1.5%.

    The result is also weaker than the Reserve Bank of Australia’s forecasts.

    The ABS said: “Extreme weather events further dampened domestic demand and reduced exports”, with the impact particularly evident in mining, tourism and shipping.

    This report on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be a key consideration for the Reserve Bank’s next meeting on July 7–8, helping shape its decision on whether to cut rates again. In May, the central bank cut the cash rate by 0.25% to 3.85%.

    On balance, the softer than expected pace of growth makes another rate cut in July a bit more likely.

    Private demand drives growth as public spending slumps

    Household spending slowed to 0.4% in the quarter from 0.7%. Essential spending led the way, with a sharp 10.2% rise in electricity costs due to a warmer-than-usual summer and reduced electricity bill rebates. Food spending also increased as Queenslanders stocked up ahead of Tropical Cyclone Alfred.

    Investment also contributed to growth, though its composition shifted. Private investment rose 0.7%, driven by a rebound in house building and strong non-dwelling construction, particularly in mining and electricity projects. But business investment in equipment and machinery slumped.

    Public investment fell 2.0%, ending a run of positive growth since September 2024. This decline, which detracted 0.1 percentage points from GDP, reflected the completion or delay of energy, rail and road projects.

    “Public spending recorded the largest detraction from growth since the September quarter 2017”, the ABS said.

    Disappointing trade performance

    Exports unexpectedly became the main drag on growth in the March quarter, marking a sharp turnaround from December 2024.

    Total exports fell 0.8%, led by a drop in services – particularly travel – due to weaker foreign student arrivals and lower spending. Goods exports also declined as bad weather disrupted coal and natural gas shipments, and demand from key markets like China and Japan softened.

    The growth outlook is soft

    Given the weaker-than-expected growth in the March quarter, Australia’s economic outlook remains soft.

    A disappointing sign in the report was another fall in GDP per head of population, known as GDP per capita. This measure declined by 0.2%, after just one quarterly rise and seven previous quarters of a “per capita recession”, when population growth outpaces economic growth.

    The household saving rate continue to rise in the March quarter, back to pre-COVID levels at 5.2%. This is because income grew faster than spending, and households remain cautious amid economic uncertainty. Additional government support also boosted savings.

    The economic slowdown reflects weak household spending and a notable pullback in public sector investment. With domestic demand under strain, short-term growth prospects appear limited as the economy continues to adjust to past interest rate hikes and the early effects of the recent cuts.

    The Reserve Bank began cutting official rates in February – its first move after 13 consecutive hikes between May 2022 and November 2023 – but the impact has yet to flow through. The next GDP figures, due on September 3, will offer a clearer picture of how the February and May rate cuts are shaping the recovery.

    Trade tensions add uncertainty

    Global conditions have become more unsettled, with rising trade tensions and shifting geopolitical alliances putting pressure on international trade. Renewed tariff threats – particularly from the US – are disrupting global supply chains. For export-reliant Australia, this increases the risk of weaker trade volumes and greater exposure to external shocks.

    At the same time, China’s post-pandemic recovery is losing momentum, dragged down by weak consumer demand and a struggling property sector.

    Given Australia’s close trade ties with China, any sustained slowdown there poses a clear threat to export earnings and broader economic growth. Together, these global headwinds are adding to the uncertainty surrounding Australia’s economic outlook.

    A balancing act on rates

    With demand soft and the economy losing momentum, the Reserve Bank may cut interest rates again at its July meeting to help boost growth. Key sectors like household spending, public services and mining have been under pressure. A further rate cut could support confidence and encourage more spending.

    However, the monthly inflation report for April adds uncertainty. While headline inflation held steady at 2.4% over the year to April, underlying measures ticked higher.
    The monthly rate excluding volatile items such as fuel and fresh food rose to 2.8%, up from 2.6%. That suggests price pressures are becoming more widespread.

    These mixed signals leave the RBA facing a delicate balancing act. Upcoming data, particularly the employment report on June 19 and the May monthly inflation indicator on June 25, will be critical in determining whether inflation is easing enough to justify another cut or showing signs of persistence that call for caution.

    The Conversation

    Stella Huangfu does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Extreme weather events have slowed economic growth, adding to the case for another rate cut – https://theconversation.com/extreme-weather-events-have-slowed-economic-growth-adding-to-the-case-for-another-rate-cut-257962

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz