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Category: Banking

  • MIL-OSI Banking: ADB Invests $12.5 Million in Khan Bank’s Milestone Green Bonds, a First in Mongolia

    Source: Asia Development Bank

    ULAANBAATAR, MONGOLIA (15 October 2024) — The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has invested $12.5 million in a green bond issued by Khan Bank JSC under the first green thematic bond program on the Mongolian Stock Exchange. The proceeds from the three-year bonds will be used to provide green sub-loans, with a strong focus on supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and microenterprises, particularly those owned or managed by women.

    The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has invested an equal amount in the Khan Bank bond, together ADB and the EBRD as strategic investors, fully subscribed to the entire United States dollar tranche. An additional $5 million tranche denominated in togrog was offered to local retail investors.

    “This landmark green bond offering deepens Mongolia’s green finance market while enabling inclusive investments to support small businesses, including those run by women, and improve the livelihoods of smallholder farmers,” said ADB’s Director General for the Private Sector Operations Department Suzanne Gaboury. “ADB is pleased to support Khan Bank in this milestone green bond issuance, which sets a precedent for future inclusive green financing in Mongolia.”

    In 2019, the Financial Stability Council of Mongolia approved a green taxonomy to help identify and classify investments based on their environmental sustainability. The banking sector has committed to achieving a green loan target of 10% by 2030. So far only a few banks are funding green investments, and their green loan book is nascent at only 3.2% of loans outstanding as of June 2024.

    “This placement of a United States dollar-denominated green bond in Mongolia highlights Khan Bank’s ability to attract new international funds in its capital market. This is through an innovative asset class while demonstrating the confidence that international investors have in Khan Bank,” said Khan Bank Chief Executive Officer Munkhtuya Rentsenbat. “This issuance aligns with our strategy to become the leading provider of green finance in the country while supporting our clients on their journey towards transition and adopting green and sustainable practices while contributing to the country’s climate goals.” 

    Khan Bank is Mongolia’s largest bank, serving over half a million borrowers, including low-income small and microenterprise, and self-employed farmholders and livestock herders. More than half of Khan Bank’s customers come from rural regions, and over half of SME borrowers are women

    ADB is committed to achieving a prosperous, inclusive, resilient, and sustainable Asia and the Pacific, while sustaining its efforts to eradicate extreme poverty. Established in 1966, it is owned by 69 members—49 from the region.

    MIL OSI Global Banks –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: ING completes share buyback programme

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    ING completes share buyback programme

    ING announced today that it has completed the share buyback programme which was announced on 2 May 2024. The total number of ordinary shares repurchased under the programme is 155,990,753 at an average price of €15.94 for a total consideration of €2,486,329,696.95.

    During the last week of the programme, from 7 October 2024 up to and including 11 October 2024, 11,348,429 shares were purchased. These shares were repurchased at an average price of €15.78 for a total amount of €179,022,796.36.

    As previously announced, we will give an update on our capital planning with the presentation of our third quarter 2024 results, which is scheduled for 31 October 2024.

    For detailed information on the daily repurchased shares, individual share purchase transactions and weekly reports, see the ING website at https://www.ing.com/Investor-relations/Share-information/Share-buyback-programme.htm .

    Note for editors

    For more on ING, please visit http://www.ing.com. Frequent news updates can be found in the Newsroom or via X @ING_news feed. Photos of ING operations, buildings and its executives are available for download at Flickr.

    ING PROFILE
    ING is a global financial institution with a strong European base, offering banking services through its operating company ING Bank. The purpose of ING Bank is: empowering people to stay a step ahead in life and in business. ING Bank’s more than 60,000 employees offer retail and wholesale banking services to customers in over 40 countries.

    ING Group shares are listed on the exchanges of Amsterdam (INGA NA, INGA.AS), Brussels and on the New York Stock Exchange (ADRs: ING US, ING.N).

    ING aims to put sustainability at the heart of what we do. ING’s sustainability efforts have been recognised externally by environmental, social and governance (ESG) rating agencies and other benchmarks. In 2023, Sustainalytics assessed our management of ESG material risk as ‘strong’. In August 2024, ING’s ESG rating by MSCI was reconfirmed as ‘AA’. ING’s shares are included in the sustainability indices of Euronext, STOXX, FTSE Russell and Morningstar. Society is transitioning to a low-carbon economy. So are our clients, and so is ING. We finance a lot of sustainable activities, but we still finance more that’s not. Follow our progress on ing.com/climate.

    Important legal information

    Elements of this press release contain or may contain information about ING Groep N.V. and/ or ING Bank N.V. within the meaning of Article 7(1) to (4) of EU Regulation No 596/2014 (‘Market Abuse Regulation’).

    ING Group’s annual accounts are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards as adopted by the European Union (‘IFRS- EU’). In preparing the financial information in this document, except as described otherwise, the same accounting principles are applied as in the 2023 ING Group consolidated annual accounts. All figures in this document are unaudited. Small differences are possible in the tables due to rounding.

    Certain of the statements contained herein are not historical facts, including, without limitation, certain statements made of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to a number of factors, including, without limitation: (1) changes in general economic conditions and customer behaviour, in particular economic conditions in ING’s core markets, including changes affecting currency exchange rates and the regional and global economic impact of the invasion of Russia into Ukraine and related international response measures (2) changes affecting interest rate levels (3) any default of a major market participant and related market disruption (4) changes in performance of financial markets, including in Europe and developing markets (5) fiscal uncertainty in Europe and the United States (6) discontinuation of or changes in ‘benchmark’ indices (7) inflation and deflation in our principal markets (8) changes in conditions in the credit and capital markets generally, including changes in borrower and counterparty creditworthiness (9) failures of banks falling under the scope of state compensation schemes (10) non-compliance with or changes in laws and regulations, including those concerning financial services, financial economic crimes and tax laws, and the interpretation and application thereof (11) geopolitical risks, political instabilities and policies and actions of governmental and regulatory authorities, including in connection with the invasion of Russia into Ukraine and the related international response measures (12) legal and regulatory risks in certain countries with less developed legal and regulatory frameworks (13) prudential supervision and regulations, including in relation to stress tests and regulatory restrictions on dividends and distributions (also among members of the group) (14) ING’s ability to meet minimum capital and other prudential regulatory requirements (15) changes in regulation of US commodities and derivatives businesses of ING and its customers (16) application of bank recovery and resolution regimes, including write down and conversion powers in relation to our securities (17) outcome of current and future litigation, enforcement proceedings, investigations or other regulatory actions, including claims by customers or stakeholders who feel misled or treated unfairly, and other conduct issues (18) changes in tax laws and regulations and risks of non-compliance or investigation in connection with tax laws, including FATCA (19) operational and IT risks, such as system disruptions or failures, breaches of security, cyber-attacks, human error, changes in operational practices or inadequate controls including in respect of third parties with which we do business and including any risks as a result of incomplete, inaccurate, or otherwise flawed outputs from the algorithms and data sets utilized in artificial intelligence (20) risks and challenges related to cybercrime including the effects of cyberattacks and changes in legislation and regulation related to cybersecurity and data privacy, including such risks and challenges as a consequence of the use of emerging technologies, such as advanced forms of artificial intelligence and quantum computing (21) changes in general competitive factors, including ability to increase or maintain market share (22) inability to protect our intellectual property and infringement claims by third parties (23) inability of counterparties to meet financial obligations or ability to enforce rights against such counterparties (24) changes in credit ratings (25) business, operational, regulatory, reputation, transition and other risks and challenges in connection with climate change and ESG-related matters, including data gathering and reporting (26) inability to attract and retain key personnel (27) future liabilities under defined benefit retirement plans (28) failure to manage business risks, including in connection with use of models, use of derivatives, or maintaining appropriate policies and guidelines (29) changes in capital and credit markets, including interbank funding, as well as customer deposits, which provide the liquidity and capital required to fund our operations, and (30) the other risks and uncertainties detailed in the most recent annual report of ING Groep N.V. (including the Risk Factors contained therein) and ING’s more recent disclosures, including press releases, which are available on http://www.ING.com.

    This document may contain ESG-related material that has been prepared by ING on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other third-party sources believed to be reliable. ING has not sought to independently verify information obtained from public and third-party sources and makes no representations or warranties as to accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or reliability of such information.

    Materiality, as used in the context of ESG, is distinct from, and should not be confused with, such term as defined in the Market Abuse Regulation or as defined for Securities and Exchange Commission (‘SEC’) reporting purposes. Any issues identified as material for purposes of ESG in this document are therefore not necessarily material as defined in the Market Abuse Regulation or for SEC reporting purposes. In addition, there is currently no single, globally recognized set of accepted definitions in assessing whether activities are “green” or “sustainable.” Without limiting any of the statements contained herein, we make no representation or warranty as to whether any of our securities constitutes a green or sustainable security or conforms to present or future investor expectations or objectives for green or sustainable investing. For information on characteristics of a security, use of proceeds, a description of applicable project(s) and/or any other relevant information, please reference the offering documents for such security.

    This document may contain inactive textual addresses to internet websites operated by us and third parties. Reference to such websites is made for information purposes only, and information found at such websites is not incorporated by reference into this document. ING does not make any representation or warranty with respect to the accuracy or completeness of, or take any responsibility for, any information found at any websites operated by third parties. ING specifically disclaims any liability with respect to any information found at websites operated by third parties. ING cannot guarantee that websites operated by third parties remain available following the publication of this document, or that any information found at such websites will not change following the filing of this document. Many of those factors are beyond ING’s control.

    Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of ING speak only as of the date they are made, and ING assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or for any other reason.

    This document does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, any securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction.

    Attachment

    • ING completes share buyback programme

    The MIL Network –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-Evening Report: Banning debit card surcharges could save $500 million a year – if traders don’t claw back the money in other ways

    Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Angel Zhong, Associate Professor of Finance, RMIT University

    Galdric PS/Shutterstock

    In a move that could reshape how Australians pay for everyday purchases, the federal government is preparing to ban businesses from slapping surcharges on debit card transactions.

    This plan, pending a review by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), promises to put money back into consumers’ pockets.

    The RBA, which is accepting submissions until December, released its first consultation paper on Tuesday to coincide with Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ joint announcement.

    But as with any significant policy shift, it’s worth taking a closer look to see what it really means for all of us.

    How much are we really saving?

    Based on RBA data, the potential savings are huge – up to $500 million a year if surcharges on debit cards are banned.

    And if the government goes one step further and includes credit card transaction fees in the ban, those savings could hit a massive $1 billion annually.

    While these figures sound impressive, when you break it down, the savings per cardholder would amount to around $140 annually.

    It’s not a life-changing amount, but for frequent shoppers or anyone making larger purchases, it could add up.

    Of course, not everyone will benefit equally. Those who shop less might not notice the difference.

    How does Australia stack up globally?

    RBA data shows Australians are paying more in merchant service fees than people in Europe, but less than consumers in the United States.

    These fees are what businesses pay to accept card payments, and they get passed on to us in the form of surcharges.



    The proposed ban on debit card surcharges occupies a middle ground in the global regulatory landscape. The European Union, United Kingdom and Malaysia have implemented comprehensive bans on surcharges for most debit and credit card transactions.

    But in the US and Canada, businesses can still charge you for using a credit card, though debit card surcharges aren’t allowed.

    The merchant’s perspective

    While the surcharge ban seems like a clear win for consumers, it’s essential to consider the impact on merchants, especially small businesses. The reality is not all merchants are created equal when it comes to card payment fees.

    In Australia, there’s a significant disparity between the fees paid by large and small merchants. In fact, RBA data shows small businesses pay fees about three times higher than what larger businesses pay.

    It all comes down to bargaining power. Bigger businesses can negotiate better deals on fees. This difference is primarily driven by the ability of larger merchants to thrash out favourable wholesale fees for processing card transactions.

    For small businesses, the cost of accepting cards can range from under 1% to more than 2% of the transaction value, which can eat into profits, especially for those working with tight margins.

    While the ban may sound like good news for consumers, there’s still a need to fix the bigger issues in the payment system. Innovations like “least-cost routing”, which allows businesses to process transactions at the lowest possible cost, could potentially help level the playing field.

    How businesses might exploit the loopholes?

    If payment costs are entirely passed on to merchants, they might find ways to recover those expenses through other means. We’ve seen this happen in other countries that abolished surcharges. Some potential strategies include

    • slightly raising overall prices to cover lost surcharge revenue
    • implementing or increasing minimum purchase requirements for card payments
    • introducing new “service” or “convenience” fees for all transactions, or increasing weekend and holiday surcharges.

    Most of these tactics have been around for a while. The challenge for regulators will be to monitor and address any new practices that emerge in response to the new rules.

    Credit cards: the elephant in the room

    While the ban on debit card surcharges is a step in the right direction, it raises an obvious question: why not extend it to credit cards?

    The option to ban credit card surcharges along with debit cards is proposed in the RBA’s review consultation paper. The answer lies in the complex web of interchange fees and merchant costs associated with credit card transactions.

    Credit card transactions cost merchants more to process because of additional services and rewards programs offered by credit card issuers.

    Banning surcharges on these could potentially lead to merchants increasing their base prices to cover these costs. This could effectively result in users of lower-cost payment methods subsidising those opting for premium cards.

    The absence of surcharges could also reduce the competitive pressure on card networks to keep their fees in check, potentially leading to higher costs in the long run.

    Some countries have managed to ban surcharges on credit cards, but they usually have stricter regulations around interchange fees than we do in Australia.

    As policymakers grapple with this complex issue, they must weigh the benefits of consumer simplicity against the risk of distorting market signals and potentially increasing costs for both merchants and consumers alike.

    Angel Zhong does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. Banning debit card surcharges could save $500 million a year – if traders don’t claw back the money in other ways – https://theconversation.com/banning-debit-card-surcharges-could-save-500-million-a-year-if-traders-dont-claw-back-the-money-in-other-ways-241354

    MIL OSI Analysis – EveningReport.nz –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: Šiaulių Bankas has successfully placed EUR 50 million note issue on the international market

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    THIS ANNOUNCEMENT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF ANY OFFER, INVITATION TO SELL OR ISSUE, OR ANY SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE FOR, ANY SECURITIES OF AKCINĖ BENDROVĖ ŠIAULIŲ BANKAS.

    Šiaulių Bankas has successfully placed EUR 50 million issue of Fixed Rate Reset Perpetual Additional Tier 1 Temporary Write Down Notes.

    The annual fixed rate coupon on the notes up to the reset date will be 8.75 %. The nearest reset date is set after 5 years. Settlement will take place on 17 October 2024. It is intended to list the notes on the Global Exchange Market multilateral trading facility operated by Euronext Dublin.

    The notes have been allocated to almost 20 institutional and professional investors, mostly from UK.

    “We have made another significant step for both the bank and the Lithuanian capital market being the first issuer in the country to issue AT1 notes. We are grateful to our international investors, who consistently show confidence in the bank’s prospects.

    This issue strengthens and optimises capital structure of the bank, allowing us to continue to grow rapidly and sustainably and to implement our new dividend policy. We strive to ensure high returns for shareholders and to increase the bank’s attractiveness to investors,” says Tomas Varenbergas, Board Member, Head of Investment Management Division of Šiaulių Bankas.

    The proceeds of the notes will be used for general corporate purposes, including to strengthen funding structure of Šiaulių Bankas, meet existing and future minimum own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL) targets, and improve its capital position.

    The notes are rated Ba3 by the international rating agency Moody’s.

    Relevant stabilisation regulations including FCA/ICMA will apply.

    Šiaulių Bankas mandated Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE as Lead Manager.

    Šiaulių Bankas as the issuer was advised on legal matters by Dentons UK and Middle East LLP and TGS Baltic as lead issuer’s legal counsel. The Lead Manager was advised by Linklaters LLP and Sorainen on legal issues.

    This communication is not an offer of securities or investments for sale nor a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or investments in any jurisdiction where such offer or solicitation would be unlawful. No action has been taken that would permit an offering of securities or possession or distribution of this announcement in any jurisdiction where action for that purpose is required. Persons into whose possession this announcement comes are required to inform themselves about and to observe any such restrictions.

    Additional information:

    Tomas Varenbergas
    Head of Investment Management Division
    tomas.varenbergas@sb.lt

    The MIL Network –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: Share buybacks in Spar Nord Bank – transactions in week 41

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    Company announcement no. 62
     

    In company announcement no. 10 2024, Spar Nord announced a share buyback programme of up to DKK 500 million. The share buyback was initiated on 12 February 2024.

    The purpose of the share buyback is to reduce the bank’s share capital by the shares acquired under the programme, and the programme is executed pursuant to Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of 16 April 2014 (“Market Abuse Regulation”).

    In last week the following transactions were made under the share buyback programme.

      Number of shares Average purchase price (DKK) Transaction value (DKK)
    Accumulated from last announcement 2,560,397   321,242,073
    7 October 2024  17,800  128.02  2,278,756
    8 October 2024  18,000  129.24  2,326,320
    9 October 2024  18,000  129.14  2,324,520
    10 October 2024  18,000  130.00  2,340,000
    11 October 2024  18,000  132.54  2,385,720
    Total week 41  89,800    11,655,316
    Total accumulated 2,650,197   332,897,389

    Following the above transactions. Spar Nord holds a total of 2,760,197  treasury shares equal to 2.35 % of the Bank’s share capital.

    Please direct any questions regarding this release to Rune Brandt
    Børglum, Head of Investor Relations on tel. + 45 96 34 42 36.

    Rune Brandt Børglum

    Head of Investor Relation

    Attachment

    • No. 62 – Share buybacks – transactions in week 41 – UK

    The MIL Network –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Banking: AIIB, Alliance to End Plastic Waste to Invest in Solid Waste Management Solutions Across Indonesia

    Source: Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank

    The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and the Alliance to End Plastic Waste (AEPW) have launched a cofinancing initiative focused on integrated solid waste management services and solutions in more than 10 cities and districts in Indonesia.

    Held earlier in Uzbekistan alongside the 2024 AIIB Annual Meeting, the event was attended by Dian Lestari, Director of Grants and Loans, Ministry of Finance, and Ariadi Kurniawan, Senior Representative of Indonesia’s Ministry for National Development Planning. Jacob Duer, President and CEO of AEPW, and Rajat Misra, AIIB Acting Vice President for Investment Clients Region 1 and Financial Institutions and Funds, Global, signed the Letter of Intent.

    The collaboration will enable AEPW to contribute concessional resources into the Solid Waste Management for Sustainable Urban Development Project in Indonesia via AIIB’s Project-Specific Window. AEPW is AIIB’s inaugural private partner through this specific window.

    “This is a vital step in our shared ambition to forge an impactful partnership during a critical juncture for sustainable development,” Misra said. “This partnership will strengthen institutional capacity for solid waste management at both the national and subnational levels.”

    In this project, AIIB aims to provide solid waste management services that are climate-aligned and circular economy principles, benefitting over 9 million people in major cities and provinces. In a circular economy, products and materials are kept in use for as long as possible through “reuse, reduce and recycle” strategies. This project will focus on waste management infrastructure, building the capacity of sub-sovereign entities and catalyzing community change behavior while addressing livelihood concerns faced by informal-sector workers.

    AEPW’s investment of USD21.5 million complements the blended finance project financing package in Indonesia, accelerating the shift toward a circular economy that tackles the challenges of mismanaged waste, particularly plastic waste. The funding package includes AIIB’s planned financing of USD150 million over the next five years.

    This cofinancing, which may be complemented with further concessional resources, is in addition to the USD2 million project-preparation grant from AEPW, and facilitated by AIIB, for best practices on climate, environmental and social standards for developing circular and end-to-end waste management solutions.

    About AIIB

    The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a multilateral development bank whose mission is Financing Infrastructure for Tomorrow in Asia and beyond—infrastructure with sustainability at its core. We began operations in Beijing in 2016 and have since grown to 110 approved members worldwide. We are capitalized at USD100 billion and AAA-rated by the major international credit rating agencies. Collaborating with partners, AIIB meets clients’ needs by unlocking new capital and investing in infrastructure that is green, technology-enabled and promotes regional connectivity.

    About AEPW

    The Alliance to End Plastic Waste is a global non-profit organisation with the mission to end plastic waste in the environment and to advance a circular economy for plastics. The Alliance convenes more than 70 companies across the plastic value chain with local communities, civil society groups, intergovernmental organizations, and governments. The collective know-how, experience and resources of this global network enables the current portfolio of more than 50 projects. For more information, visit: www.endplasticwaste.org.

    MIL OSI Global Banks –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: François Villeroy de Galhau: Fintechs – at the forefront of “new frontiers”

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Ladies and Gentlemen,

    I am delighted to welcome you to the Banque de France for this fifth annual Fintech Forum, organised jointly by the ACPR and AMF. I would like to extend a warm welcome to Marie-Anne Barbat-Layani, Chair of the AMF, and to thank Clara Chappaz, Secretary of State for Artificial Intelligence and Digital Technologies, for her presence at the close of this morning’s proceedings. We created this Forum with a simple aim: to show that the Banque de France, and our Authorities, are as much those of the fintechs as they are of the incumbent players, and that innovation and regulation do not necessarily constitute an odd couple.

    Today I would like to illustrate this with a continuity, a break with the past, and a challenge. First, the continuity: while the first few months of 2024 have witnessed a stabilisation of the amount of funds raised, the ACPR and the Banque de France remain resolutely committed to fintechs (I). The break with the past concerns the surge in artificial intelligence: the ACPR stands ready to assume the role of “market supervisor” for the French financial sector (II). Lastly, the challenge is one of balancing openness and trust: as from next January, DORA legislation will provide more trust – as well as more requirements (III).

    I. Continuity: the commitment of the Banque de France and the ACPR to the innovative ecosystem

    1. A stabilising financial environment

    After the heady years of 2021 and 2022, followed by a sharp downturn in 2023,i funds raised by French fintechs stabilised in the first half of 2024 at EUR 560 million, compared with EUR 568 million in the first half of 2023.ii Therefore France is still the EU’s biggest market, ahead of Germany (nearly EUR 500 million), but continues to lag well behind the United Kingdom (EUR 1.3 billion). This stabilisation is due in particular to the shift in monetary policy: the last increase in key rates was in September 2023, and since then we have cut rates twice by 25 basis points, in June and September, as a result of the sharp fall in inflation. I will refrain from saying any more as we are in a “silent period”.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Asahi Noguchi: Economic activity, prices, and monetary policy in Japan

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    I. Economic Activity and Prices

    A. Economic Developments at Home and Abroad

    I will begin my speech by talking about recent economic developments at home and abroad.

    In the wake of global inflation following the COVID-19 pandemic, Japan’s economy has been steadily shifting away from the deflation, or low inflation, that had continued from the late 1990s. It is approaching an extremely crucial turning point, in terms of whether the Bank of Japan’s price stability target of 2 percent will be achieved in a sustainable and stable manner. This depends on future economic developments at home and abroad and the underlying developments in policy conduct among the various authorities.

    Turning to overseas economies, many countries and regions have been increasingly shifting the focus of their policy conduct to maintaining economic growth, as the high inflation caused by the post-pandemic reopening of the economies has begun to subside. Major central banks in the United States and Europe maintained high policy interest rates until recently in order to contain inflation. Meanwhile, as their economies have started out on a slowing trend because of this sustained monetary tightening, some of the central banks have gradually begun to reduce their policy interest rates. That said, the degree of economic slowdown in many countries and regions is quite mild, excluding China, which is undergoing real estate adjustments, and high inflation has started to be subdued without an accompanying significant rise in the unemployment rate (Chart 1). In that sense, these countries and regions have come close to containing inflation with a very soft landing.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Denis Beau: What will tomorrow’s post-trading industry look like and what forms of cooperation will it deploy?

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Ladies and gentlemen,

    In a tougher and more fragmented world, an increasing body of analyses and reports are identifying Europe’s vulnerabilities – especially in the economic and financial sphere – and proposing ways of remedying these by leveraging and consolidating our key competitive advantages.

    These levers include Europe’s financial firepower, which is not currently commensurate with its economic heft, even though it has to contend with major investment requirements for two necessary transformations in the digital and climate spheres that hold immense promise for the future.

    From this perspective, the post-trading industry has a key role to play in harnessing these new digital technologies and processes which are developing before our eyes and transforming our financial system.

    From my perspective as a central banker, tasked with overseeing the efficiency and security of the post-trading infrastructures that are so crucial to the stability of our financial system, these innovations constitute both opportunities and risks. Their deployment therefore raises strategic and operational questions that we need to answer collectively if we are to ensure that tomorrow’s post-trading infrastructures safeguard the competitiveness and sovereignty of our financial system, while maintaining the stability that the legislator has tasked us with preserving. This raises the following two questions in particular:

    What will the post-trading services industry look like in the wake of these transformations?
     

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Philip N Jefferson: The Fed’s discount window – 1990 to the present

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Thank you, Steve, for that kind introduction and for the opportunity to talk to this group today. 

    Let me start by saying that I am saddened by the tragic loss of life, destruction, and damage resulting from Hurricane Helene in North Carolina, and throughout this region. My thoughts are with the people and communities affected. For our part, the Federal Reserve and other federal and state financial regulatory agencies are working with banks and credit unions in the affected area to help make sure they can continue to meet the financial services needs of their communities.

    Yesterday I shared my historical perspective on the discount window at Davidson College. In 1913, when the Federal Reserve was established, the discount window was the main tool it used to provide the nation with a safer, more flexible, and more stable monetary and financial system. More than 110 years later, the discount window continues to play an important role in supporting the liquidity and stability of the banking system, and the effective implementation of monetary policy.

    Today I would like to discuss with you how the discount window has evolved in the 21st century, including recent steps the Federal Reserve Board has taken to solicit feedback from the public on discount window operations. Before I address our most recent efforts, however, I will review some important episodes in discount window history that brought us to where we are today.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Gabriel Makhlouf: Opening statement – joint Oireachtas Committee on Finance, Public Expenditure and Reform, and Taoiseach

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Good afternoon Chair, Committee members.

    Thank you for the invitation to appear before you today. I am joined by Deputy Governors Vasileios Madouros and Derville Rowland.

    I will begin by giving a brief overview of the economic outlook in the EU and in Ireland, before I touch on some consumer protection issues.

    The economic outlook in the EU

    Turning to the outlook, growth in the euro area as a whole slowed in the second quarter of 2024, driven by weaker investment and consumption. Having said this, the latest projections are for a consumption-led growth recovery, albeit marginally weaker than what was previously expected. Employment growth is projected to be somewhat weaker than its pre-pandemic average.  

    We remain on track to reach our 2 per cent inflation target in the fourth quarter of 2025, although some uncertainty remains around this baseline forecast. In particular more persistent services inflation and stronger than expected wage growth could impact the forecast.

    At the most recent ECB Governing Council meeting, my colleagues and I decided to lower the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points, to 3.5 per cent. This was informed by the euro area inflation outlook, the dynamics of underlying inflation and the strength of monetary policy transmission.

    Last month we also implemented changes we had announced in March to the operational framework for implementing monetary policy, which sees the spread between the main refinancing operations rate (MRO) and our main policy rate – the deposit facility rate – set at 15 basis points.

    The economic outlook in Ireland

    Turning to the Irish economy, it continues to grow at a strong pace supported by the buoyancy of domestic economic activity.  Our latest Quarterly Bulletin – published last month – paints a picture of a resilient domestic economy poised to grow in the region of 2.5 per cent annually through to 2026.  Headline inflation has eased considerably to below 2 per cent, and is expected to remain between 1.5 and 2 per cent out to 2026.

    However, challenges to maintaining such performance are becoming more evident. Stronger than expected growth, over and above the economy’s potential rate, has brought into sharp focus domestic supply and infrastructure constraints. These, in turn, present a situation where globally-determined inflation in Ireland is declining substantially, while more domestically-driven inflation, as reflected in services price inflation, remains significant at around 4 per cent.

    Given current conditions, the continued expansionary fiscal stance adds unnecessary stimulus to an economy at full employment. Against the current macroeconomic backdrop, increasing net spending in excess of 5 per cent over an extended period implies that the fiscal stance will aggravate price inflation and wage pressures, undermining competitiveness and creating risks that could damage sustainable economic growth.

    As my pre-Budget letter of 4 July to the Minister for Finance – and the paper on the housing market we published last month – observed, higher levels of public investment are likely to be required over the coming years given known deficits in housing and to meet longer term structural challenges linked to the climate transition.

    So while the projected increases in public investment are necessary, careful management of the overall fiscal stance is needed to avoid overheating. With the economy already at full employment, there is a risk that increasing public investment on the scale envisaged fuels overheating pressures and results in poor value for money. To avoid this outcome, it would have been preferable if the upward revisions to public investment had been accommodated while keeping overall net spending below 5 per cent. Undoubtedly, this would have presented difficult choices and trade-offs to be made in other areas of expenditure and on taxation.

    Furthermore, to ensure additional government expenditure yields real improvements in services and that infrastructure investment is delivered efficiently, essential change outside of fiscal measures is needed in broader public policy areas. This includes in particular addressing delays and bottlenecks in the planning system, in the building regulation process and in construction. Progress in these areas would also help to further incentivise and crowd-in private investment.

    Consumer protection

    Let me turn to consumer protection.  The Central Bank’s mission is to serve the public interest by maintaining monetary and financial stability while ensuring that the financial system operates in the best interests of consumers and the wider economy. All of our work is aimed at serving the public interest and protecting consumers of financial services, whether it is through the Consumer Protection Code, the mortgage measures, monetary policy, our oversight of payments systems, or supervising to ensure firms are resilient and are acting in the best interests of their consumers.

    The environment in which we operate is changing rapidly, driven by technological change and by consumer preferences. The ways in which we as consumers buy, use and engage with financial services has changed hugely, leading to new risks in the financial sector we supervise and for the consumers we protect.

    As outlined in my two recent letters to yourselves, the Central Bank is making changes to the way we are organised to deliver our financial regulation responsibilities. Consumer protection remains a core part of those responsibilities. But in order to continue to deliver on our mandate both today and into the future, we are changing our approach to ensure that consumers of financial services are protected in an increasingly complex environment. This enhanced approach is based on accumulated experience, on insight, on best practice and is built for a faster moving and more complex financial services sector. We are making the most fundamental strengthening of our consumer protection approach for more than a decade.

    In terms of frameworks, as you know, we will shortly be introducing an updated Consumer Protection Code. This follows the largest, most in-depth review of the Code since it was introduced to ensure that it is fit for purpose into the future, is reflective of the changed nature of financial services and strengthens protections for consumers. This is a tangible demonstration of our ongoing commitment to the protection of consumers of financial services right across the country, and we have consulted widely on it to ensure we hear consumers’ and other stakeholders’ views directly.

    To implement the rules we need the right operational approach internally. This includes moving to an integrated framework where, at an operational level, directorates with oversight of banks, insurance companies and capital markets will be responsible for the supervision of all the functions of their respective sectors (as opposed to separate directorates undertaking supervisory activities for consumer protection, prudential regulation and market supervision).  

    The new approach will make it easier to direct our supervisory resources to the areas of most risk to consumers or the system more widely. Importantly, we are taking the existing team that stood in a single consumer protection directorate and placing them where their expertise is most required, directly in supervisory directorates across banks, insurance and funds. ‘Mainstreaming’ consumer protection activity in this way will enable us to dedicate greater attention and resources to where the particular risk is at a point in time. The new approach will allow us to do more, not less, to protect consumers.

    Let me give an example of how we see the interconnections in our work in relation to consumer protection. Next week we will publish our analysis of the shortfall between the cost of flooding in Ireland and that portion of the cost which is not insured. We know that Ireland will face more frequent and severe floods as the effects of climate change continue to crystallise and as we approach critical tipping points in a range of significant areas that increasingly require urgent action. Climate change has implications for the economy and for the financial system and floods in particular will impact directly on communities and consumers as well as the balance sheets of insurance companies. We cannot require insurance companies to provide flood insurance cover but our analysis can help everyone to understand the risks and support the cooperation and coordination required from the many stakeholders involved in building flood resilience in Ireland.

    Finally, and as set out in my letter, the internal operational changes that we are making will not change the focus on consumer protection at the most senior levels of the Central Bank. Derville Rowland, as Deputy Governor (Consumer and Investor Protection), will continue to have consumer protection at the core of her responsibilities. The Central Bank Commission’s Consumer Advisory Group will also continue to operate as it does now. And the entire senior leadership team led by me will continue to have a focus on consumer protection.

    These changes will come into effect in January and we are convinced that they are the best way for the Central Bank to continue to deliver on its mission, ensuring the financial system continues to operate in the best interests of consumers and the wider economy.

    Conclusion

    We are happy to take your questions.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: October 2024 euro area bank lending survey

    Source: European Central Bank

    15 October 2024

    • Credit standards remained unchanged for firms in the third quarter of 2024, after more than two years of consecutive tightening
    • Credit standards eased for loans to households for house purchases but tightened for consumer credit
    • Housing loan demand rebounded strongly on the back of expected interest rate cuts and improving housing market prospects
    • Impact of policy rate decisions on bank net interest income turned negative for the first time since the end of 2022

    According to the October 2024 bank lending survey (BLS), euro area banks reported unchanged credit standards – banks’ internal guidelines or loan approval criteria – for loans or credit lines to enterprises in the third quarter of 2024 (net percentage of banks of 0%; Chart 1). Banks also reported a further net easing of their credit standards for loans to households for house purchase (net percentage of -3%), whereas credit standards for consumer credit and other lending to households tightened further (net percentage of 6%). For firms, the net percentage was lower than expected by banks in the previous survey round, although risk perceptions continued to have a small tightening effect. For households, credit standards eased somewhat more than expected for housing loans, primarily because of competition from other banks, and tightened more than expected for consumer credit, mainly owing to additional perceived risks. For the fourth quarter of 2024, banks expect a net tightening of credit standards for loans to firms and consumer credit and a net easing for housing loans.

    Banks’ overall terms and conditions – the actual terms and conditions agreed in loan contracts – eased strongly for housing loans and slightly for loans to firms, while moderately tightening for consumer credit. Lending rates and margins on average loans were the main drivers of the net easing for loans to firms and housing loans, whereas tighter consumer credit terms and conditions were mainly attributable to margins on both riskier and average loans.

    For the first time since the third quarter of 2022, banks reported a moderate net increase in demand from firms for loans or drawing of credit lines (Chart 2), while remaining weak overall. Net demand for housing loans rebounded strongly, while demand for consumer credit and other lending to households increased more moderately. Lower interest rates drove firms’ loan demand, while fixed investment had a muted effect. For housing loans, the net increase in housing loan demand was mainly driven by declining interest rates and improving housing market prospects, whereas consumer confidence and spending on durables supported demand for consumer credit. In the fourth quarter of 2024 banks expect net demand to increase across all loan segments, especially for housing loans.

    Euro area banks reported a moderate improvement in access to funding for retail funding, money markets and debt securities in the third quarter of 2024. Access to short-term retail funding improved, whereas access to long-term retail funding remained broadly unchanged. For the fourth quarter of 2024, banks expect access to funding to remain broadly unchanged across market segments.

    The reduction in the ECB’s monetary policy asset portfolio had a slightly negative impact on euro area banks’ market financing conditions over the last six months, which banks expect to continue over the next six months. In addition, banks reported that the ECB’s reduction of its monetary policy asset portfolio had an overall contained effect on their lending conditions, which they expect to continue in the coming six months, reflecting the gradual and predictable nature of the adjustment to the ECB’s portfolio.

    The phasing-out of TLTRO III continued to negatively affect bank liquidity positions. However, in light of the small remaining outstanding amounts of TLTRO III, banks reported a broadly neutral impact on their overall funding conditions and neutral effects on lending conditions and loan volumes.

    Euro area banks reported the first negative impact of the ECB interest rate decisions on their net interest margins since the end of 2022, while the impact via volumes of interest-bearing assets and liabilities remained negative. Banks expect the negative net impact on margins associated with ECB rate policy to deepen and to result in a decline in overall profitability from the high levels reached during the 2022-2023 tightening cycle. Banks expect the impact of provisions and impairments on profitability to remain slightly negative.

    The quarterly BLS was developed by the Eurosystem to improve its understanding of bank lending behaviour in the euro area. The results reported in the October 2024 survey relate to changes observed in the third quarter of 2024 and changes expected in the fourth quarter of 2024, unless otherwise indicated. The October 2024 survey round was conducted between 6 and 23 September 2024. A total of 156 banks were surveyed in this round, with a response rate of 99%.

    Chart 1

    Changes in credit standards for loans or credit lines to enterprises, and contributing factors

    (net percentages of banks reporting a tightening of credit standards, and contributing factors)

    Source: ECB (BLS).

    Notes: Net percentages are defined as the difference between the sum of the percentages of banks responding “tightened considerably” and “tightened somewhat” and the sum of the percentages of banks responding “eased somewhat” and “eased considerably”. The net percentages for “Other factors” refer to an average of the further factors which were mentioned by banks as having contributed to changes in credit standards.

    Chart 2

    Changes in demand for loans or credit lines to enterprises, and contributing factors

    (net percentages of banks reporting an increase in demand, and contributing factors)

    Source: ECB (BLS).

    Notes: Net percentages for the questions on demand for loans are defined as the difference between the sum of the percentages of banks responding “increased considerably” and “increased somewhat” and the sum of the percentages of banks responding “decreased somewhat” and “decreased considerably”. The net percentages for “Other factors” refer to an average of the further factors which were mentioned by banks as having contributed to changes in loan demand.

    For media queries, please contact William Lelieveldt, tel.: +49 69 1344 7316.

    Notes

    • A report on this survey round is available on the ECB’s website, along with a copy of the questionnaire, a glossary of BLS terms and a BLS user guide with information on the BLS series keys.
    • The euro area and national data series are available on the ECB’s website via the ECB Data Portal. National results, as published by the respective national central banks, can be obtained via the ECB’s website.
    • For more detailed information on the BLS, see Köhler-Ulbrich, P., Dimou, M., Ferrante, L. and Parle, C., “Happy anniversary, BLS – 20 years of the euro area bank lending survey”, Economic Bulletin, Issue 7, ECB, 2023; and Huennekes, F. and Köhler-Ulbrich, P., “What information does the euro area bank lending survey provide on future loan developments?”, Economic Bulletin, Issue 8, ECB, 2022.

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Fraudulent website related to DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited

    Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region

    Fraudulent website related to DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited
    Fraudulent website related to DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited
    **********************************************************

    The following is issued on behalf of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority:      The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) wishes to alert members of the public to a press release issued by DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited relating to a fraudulent website, which has been reported to the HKMA. A hyperlink to the press release is available on the HKMA website.           The HKMA wishes to remind the public that banks will not send SMS or emails with embedded hyperlinks which direct them to the banks’ websites to carry out transactions. They will not ask customers for sensitive personal information, such as login passwords or one-time password, by phone, email or SMS (including via embedded hyperlinks).           Anyone who has provided his or her personal information, or who has conducted any financial transactions, through or in response to the website concerned, should contact the bank using the contact information provided in the press release, and report the matter to the Police by contacting the Crime Wing Information Centre of the Hong Kong Police Force at 2860 5012.

     
    Ends/Tuesday, October 15, 2024Issued at HKT 16:13

    NNNN

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Germany: October results of the Bank Lending Survey (BLS) in Germany | Credit standards for firms not tightened further

    Source: Deutsche Bundesbank in English

    For the first time in nearly three years, the German banks responding to the Bank Lending Survey (BLS) did not tighten their credit standards for loans to enterprises further in the third quarter of 2024, but eased them marginally instead. On the other hand, they once again tightened their credit standards for loans to households for house purchase and for consumer credit and other lending to households For the fourth quarter, banks are planning to tighten their credit standards for loans to enterprises again, partly owing to pessimistic market and economic expectations.
    The surveyed banks, did not, on balance, change credit terms and conditions for loans to enterprises. Terms and conditions were eased for loans to households for house purchase and tightened for consumer credit and other lending to households.
    Demand for loans increased in all three loan categories. As expected by banks, the resurgence of demand for loans to enterprises that started in the previous quarter continued. The increase in demand for loans to households exceeded the previous quarter’s expectations.
    The ECB Governing Council’s past and expected key interest rate decisions had a positive impact on net interest income, thereby contributing to an improvement in banks’ profitability in the 2024 summer half-year. For the winter half-year 2024-25, banks are expecting the key interest rate decisions to have a negative impact on their net interest income as well as on their profitability.
    The BLS covers three loan categories: loans to enterprises, loans to households for house purchase, and consumer credit and other lending to households. For the first time in nearly three years, the surveyed banks did not tighten their credit standards (i.e. their internal guidelines or loan approval criteria) for loans to enterprises further, but eased them marginally. By contrast, they tightened their standards for loans to households again. The net percentage of banks that adjusted their requirements was −3% for loans to enterprises (compared with +3% in the previous quarter), +7% for loans for house purchase (compared with +7% in the previous quarter), and +15% for consumer credit and other lending to households (compared with +7% in the previous quarter). In the previous quarter, banks had planned to tighten their standards marginally for loans to enterprises. By contrast, the adjustments in loans to households for house purchase were broadly consistent with what had been planned in the previous quarter; standards for consumer credit and other lending to households were tightened more strongly than planned.
    The recent marginal easing of credit standards for loans to enterprises took place against the backdrop of many and varied low-impact factors – an indication of banks’ uncertain assessments of the general situation. While banks indicated that the general economic situation and the economic outlook were having a restrictive impact on all loan categories, only loans to households have been subject to a tightening of credit standards thus far.

    The banks cited their perception of increased credit risk as the key factor behind the tightening of credit standards for loans to households, attributing this to households’ lower creditworthiness. For the fourth quarter of 2024, banks are planning to tighten credit standards for loans to enterprises and consumer credit and other lending to households, but are not planning to adjust the standards for loans to households for house purchase.
    Although, on aggregate, banks made hardly any changes in the third quarter to their credit terms and conditions (i.e. the terms and conditions actually approved as laid down in the loan contract) for loans to enterprises, this conceals lower lending rates on the one hand and an increase in margins on riskier loans on the other. Terms and conditions for loans to households for house purchase were eased, on the whole. The expansionary adjustments are the outcome of reduced lending rates and lower margins irrespective of credit ratings. As regards consumer credit and other lending to households, meanwhile, limits on loan amounts and increased margins irrespective of credit ratings were the main reasons for the tightened credit terms and conditions overall.
    Demand for bank loans in Germany rose on balance in all loan categories in the third quarter of 2024. The pick-up in demand for loans to enterprises that had begun in the previous quarter continued. This was consistent with banks’ expectations in the previous quarter. Banks saw the decline in the general level of interest rates as the main reason for the increase in demand. For the first time in around two years, this factor no longer dampened, but rather supported, firms’ demand for loans. In addition, funding needs for debt refinancing, restructuring and renegotiation increased. After a second quarter in which fixed investment had been the main driver of overall demand growth, only small and medium-sized enterprises demanded marginally more lending for this purpose in the third quarter. The “inventories and working capital” factor, which had also contributed significantly to the increase in demand in the previous quarter, had an overall slightly dampening effect on demand in the third quarter, as large firms had less need for loans for this purpose. A reduction in internal financing options pushed demand slightly upwards.

    According to banks, households increased their demand for loans for house purchase mainly because they took a more positive view of the housing market outlook. In addition, the general interest rate level once again pushed up demand. Banks believe that demand for consumer credit and other loans to households increased since more durable consumer goods were being purchased and consumer confidence was on the rise. The rejection rate rose for loans to enterprises and consumer credit and other lending to households, whereas it fell for the second time in a row for loans to households for house purchase. For the next three months, the surveyed banks are expecting to see demand increase further across all three loan categories.
    The October survey round contained ad hoc questions on participating banks’ financing conditions and the impact of the ECB Governing Council’s past and expected key interest rate decisions. It also included questions on the impact of the Eurosystem’s monetary policy asset portfolios and on the third series of targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO III).
    Against the backdrop of conditions in financial markets, German banks reported that their funding situation had improved somewhat compared with the previous quarter. The ECB Governing Council’s past and expected future key interest rate decisions have had, overall, a positive impact on banks’ profitability over the past six months. However, following the two interest rate cuts in June and September of this year, fewer banks reported a positive impact than in previous surveys. Banks continued to attribute the positive impact to an increase in net interest income. For the 2024-25 winter half-year, banks are expecting the key interest rate decisions to have a negative impact on their net interest income as well as on their profitability. The reduction in the Eurosystem’s monetary policy securities holdings, taken in isolation, had a positive impact on profitability, as it contributed to an increase in net interest income. German banks assessed the impact on their capital ratios, too, as positive.
    Over the past six months, TLTRO III has had hardly any impact on the financial situation of banks in Germany. Only in terms of profitability did banks continue to report a positive impact. For the first time, TLTRO III no longer had any impact on the liquidity position of banks in Germany. As the deadline for repaying borrowed funds in full is December 2024, banks are not expecting TLTRO III to have any further impact on their financial situation over the next six months.
    The Bank Lending Survey, which is conducted four times a year, took place between 6 September and 23 September 2024. In Germany, 33 banks took part in the survey. The response rate was 97%.

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI German News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: October results of the Bank Lending Survey (BLS) in Germany | Credit standards for firms not tightened further

    Source: Deutsche Bundesbank in English

    For the first time in nearly three years, the German banks responding to the Bank Lending Survey (BLS) did not tighten their credit standards for loans to enterprises further in the third quarter of 2024, but eased them marginally instead. On the other hand, they once again tightened their credit standards for loans to households for house purchase and for consumer credit and other lending to households For the fourth quarter, banks are planning to tighten their credit standards for loans to enterprises again, partly owing to pessimistic market and economic expectations.
    The surveyed banks, did not, on balance, change credit terms and conditions for loans to enterprises. Terms and conditions were eased for loans to households for house purchase and tightened for consumer credit and other lending to households.
    Demand for loans increased in all three loan categories. As expected by banks, the resurgence of demand for loans to enterprises that started in the previous quarter continued. The increase in demand for loans to households exceeded the previous quarter’s expectations.
    The ECB Governing Council’s past and expected key interest rate decisions had a positive impact on net interest income, thereby contributing to an improvement in banks’ profitability in the 2024 summer half-year. For the winter half-year 2024-25, banks are expecting the key interest rate decisions to have a negative impact on their net interest income as well as on their profitability.
    The BLS covers three loan categories: loans to enterprises, loans to households for house purchase, and consumer credit and other lending to households. For the first time in nearly three years, the surveyed banks did not tighten their credit standards (i.e. their internal guidelines or loan approval criteria) for loans to enterprises further, but eased them marginally. By contrast, they tightened their standards for loans to households again. The net percentage of banks that adjusted their requirements was −3% for loans to enterprises (compared with +3% in the previous quarter), +7% for loans for house purchase (compared with +7% in the previous quarter), and +15% for consumer credit and other lending to households (compared with +7% in the previous quarter). In the previous quarter, banks had planned to tighten their standards marginally for loans to enterprises. By contrast, the adjustments in loans to households for house purchase were broadly consistent with what had been planned in the previous quarter; standards for consumer credit and other lending to households were tightened more strongly than planned.
    The recent marginal easing of credit standards for loans to enterprises took place against the backdrop of many and varied low-impact factors – an indication of banks’ uncertain assessments of the general situation. While banks indicated that the general economic situation and the economic outlook were having a restrictive impact on all loan categories, only loans to households have been subject to a tightening of credit standards thus far.

    The banks cited their perception of increased credit risk as the key factor behind the tightening of credit standards for loans to households, attributing this to households’ lower creditworthiness. For the fourth quarter of 2024, banks are planning to tighten credit standards for loans to enterprises and consumer credit and other lending to households, but are not planning to adjust the standards for loans to households for house purchase.
    Although, on aggregate, banks made hardly any changes in the third quarter to their credit terms and conditions (i.e. the terms and conditions actually approved as laid down in the loan contract) for loans to enterprises, this conceals lower lending rates on the one hand and an increase in margins on riskier loans on the other. Terms and conditions for loans to households for house purchase were eased, on the whole. The expansionary adjustments are the outcome of reduced lending rates and lower margins irrespective of credit ratings. As regards consumer credit and other lending to households, meanwhile, limits on loan amounts and increased margins irrespective of credit ratings were the main reasons for the tightened credit terms and conditions overall.
    Demand for bank loans in Germany rose on balance in all loan categories in the third quarter of 2024. The pick-up in demand for loans to enterprises that had begun in the previous quarter continued. This was consistent with banks’ expectations in the previous quarter. Banks saw the decline in the general level of interest rates as the main reason for the increase in demand. For the first time in around two years, this factor no longer dampened, but rather supported, firms’ demand for loans. In addition, funding needs for debt refinancing, restructuring and renegotiation increased. After a second quarter in which fixed investment had been the main driver of overall demand growth, only small and medium-sized enterprises demanded marginally more lending for this purpose in the third quarter. The “inventories and working capital” factor, which had also contributed significantly to the increase in demand in the previous quarter, had an overall slightly dampening effect on demand in the third quarter, as large firms had less need for loans for this purpose. A reduction in internal financing options pushed demand slightly upwards.

    According to banks, households increased their demand for loans for house purchase mainly because they took a more positive view of the housing market outlook. In addition, the general interest rate level once again pushed up demand. Banks believe that demand for consumer credit and other loans to households increased since more durable consumer goods were being purchased and consumer confidence was on the rise. The rejection rate rose for loans to enterprises and consumer credit and other lending to households, whereas it fell for the second time in a row for loans to households for house purchase. For the next three months, the surveyed banks are expecting to see demand increase further across all three loan categories.
    The October survey round contained ad hoc questions on participating banks’ financing conditions and the impact of the ECB Governing Council’s past and expected key interest rate decisions. It also included questions on the impact of the Eurosystem’s monetary policy asset portfolios and on the third series of targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO III).
    Against the backdrop of conditions in financial markets, German banks reported that their funding situation had improved somewhat compared with the previous quarter. The ECB Governing Council’s past and expected future key interest rate decisions have had, overall, a positive impact on banks’ profitability over the past six months. However, following the two interest rate cuts in June and September of this year, fewer banks reported a positive impact than in previous surveys. Banks continued to attribute the positive impact to an increase in net interest income. For the 2024-25 winter half-year, banks are expecting the key interest rate decisions to have a negative impact on their net interest income as well as on their profitability. The reduction in the Eurosystem’s monetary policy securities holdings, taken in isolation, had a positive impact on profitability, as it contributed to an increase in net interest income. German banks assessed the impact on their capital ratios, too, as positive.
    Over the past six months, TLTRO III has had hardly any impact on the financial situation of banks in Germany. Only in terms of profitability did banks continue to report a positive impact. For the first time, TLTRO III no longer had any impact on the liquidity position of banks in Germany. As the deadline for repaying borrowed funds in full is December 2024, banks are not expecting TLTRO III to have any further impact on their financial situation over the next six months.
    The Bank Lending Survey, which is conducted four times a year, took place between 6 September and 23 September 2024. In Germany, 33 banks took part in the survey. The response rate was 97%.

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Global: South Africa’s unity government won’t dent poverty and inequality if it follows the same old policies – sociologist

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Roger Southall, Professor of Sociology, University of the Witwatersrand

    A recent poll by the Social Research Foundation, a think thank, found that 60% of South Africans thought the government of national unity was working well. It also reported that support for the unity government’s anchor political parties, the African National Congress (ANC) and the Democratic Alliance (DA), had risen since 29 May 2024 when elections were held.

    The poll results came out at the same time as the business press was reporting increased collaboration between business and government, fostered by the unity government. Corporations have reportedly pledged up to R250 million (about US$14.3 million to assist the state to address various logistics crises and help the National Prosecuting Authority prosecute corruption.

    Although we should be cautious about taking such news at face value, it is worth noting that the arrival of the unity government has been accompanied by other good news. For example:

    • take-home pay for those in employment has begun to rise

    • retail sales and household assets have begun to increase

    • inflation has fallen, allowing the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates

    • the Johannesburg Stock Exchange is trading at record highs.

    This adds up to new shoots which suggest a better harvest to come.




    Read more:
    South Africa has a huge gap between the rich and poor – 4 urgent reasons to tackle inequality


    Still, it is wise not to get too excited unless any upturn in the economy benefits the majority of South Africans. As Frans Cronje, director of the Social Research Foundation, has observed, while the unity government may be good for the middle class, there is no sign yet that it is addressing the needs of the poor and the people on the periphery of the economy.

    Unless its benefits become socially inclusive, it might well collapse. We need to take Cronje’s reservations seriously. Note, however, that although the unity government is a coalition, it is led by the African National Congress. And, while all parties agree that they need to put the economy back on track and promote growth, there is little evidence yet that the government is pursuing distinctively new policies.

    Beware complacency

    We are often told that “a rising tide lifts all boats”.

    But this claim owes more to ideology than careful analysis of economic data. In any case, it is a catchphrase which condones inequality. It suggests that as long as living standards increase for the poor, it does not matter if the wealthy gain even more. Indeed, one version is that the more the well-off benefit, the more likely they are to spend and invest their money – that is, to create wealth for others.

    Such complacency is dangerous. Apart from being contentious economically, it poses risks to both democracy and political stability. This is particularly the case in South Africa, which is widely recognised as the most unequal country in the world.

    • High rates of inequality erode social cohesion and trust in democracy. In the May general election, the lowest level of voter turnout since 1994 reflected a worrying decline in support for democracy: from 72% in 2011 to just 43% by 2023.

    • Extremes of inequality are unlikely to lead to the formation of governing coalitions committed to pursuing developmental strategies of benefit to all. As a result, populist parties that tout simplistic solutions may find it easier to win support. As suggested by the unheralded performance of Jacob Zuma’s umKhonto we Sizwe Party in the 2024 election, this is a particular danger in South Africa. Here, the poorer black majority possess potential political power in an economy which remains largely controlled and owned by a richer, white minority. The French economist Thomas Piketty in his latest blockbuster, Capital and Ideology, warns that in such situations, the dangers of a lurch towards authoritarianism are much increased.




    Read more:
    South Africa’s unity government could see a continuation of the ANC’s political dominance – and hurt the DA


    • As shown by calls by Julius Malema’s Economic Freedom Fighters for nationalisation of the South African Reserve Bank and for the constitution to allow expropriation of land without compensation, extremes of inequality encourage challenges to property rights. These are likely to discourage investment. Highly unequal economies typically display lower rates of growth than those that are less unequal.

    • Highly unequal countries typically suffer higher levels of stress, crime and violence, often resulting in violent responses by the state against marginalised communities to quell protests.

    Little prospect of reduction of inequality

    The issue is not whether the unity government is blind to these dangers, but whether the policies it is pursuing are likely to make a dent in the staggering level of inequality.

    If investment and growth do occur, there will be good news down the line – possibly the creation of some 2 million jobs and more financial room for the government to fund social benefits for the poor. But it’s unlikely to have a marked effect on the level of inequality.

    First, the unity government is not promising any great change from policies that have been pursued since 1994, only more efficient implementation. Those policies have somewhat decreased racial disparities, notably by promoting a black middle class, but they have not reduced the overall level of inequality. Indeed, as Piketty shows, this has increased, not decreased, since 1994.

    Second, the unity government’s policies may continue to focus on the reduction of poverty. But this is unlikely to shift the proportions of income between the different classes. As Cronje has hinted, the new government is underpinned by a middle-class coalition, and for this to hang together, the middle class will want to reap its reward.




    Read more:
    South Africa’s new unity government must draw on the country’s greatest asset: its constitution


    Third, history doesn’t offer much hope. Former settler colonies stand out for their exceptionally high levels of inequality. In South Africa, white people always dominated the top earners before 1994. Now they have been joined by high-earning black people, many of them public officials. The top decile’s share of total earning has increased since the end of apartheid. Today it is close to 70%, compared with around 35% in Europe.

    Fourth, we live in an age which Piketty describes as “hyper-capitalism”, in which money and ultra-rich elites are highly mobile. This makes it hard for national governments to tax the rich more. They can leave, or threaten to withdraw their investments to earn higher returns elsewhere. South Africa has already been leaking its millionaires. The unity government will not want to scare any more of them away. So, it’s unlikely to adopt aggressive tax policies in the cause of narrowing inequality.

    The unity government may well promote high growth and if successful, may ameliorate poverty, but it seems unlikely that it will either attempt or succeed in reducing inequality. It may be good for the elite and middle class, but not necessarily for the health of democracy.

    Roger Southall does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. South Africa’s unity government won’t dent poverty and inequality if it follows the same old policies – sociologist – https://theconversation.com/south-africas-unity-government-wont-dent-poverty-and-inequality-if-it-follows-the-same-old-policies-sociologist-240697

    MIL OSI – Global Reports –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: Financial news: The deposit auction of the Moscow Small Business Lending Assistance Fund will take place on 15.10.2024

    MILES AXLE Translation. Region: Russian Federation –

    Source: Moscow Exchange – Moscow Exchange –

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    Please note; This information is raw content directly from the information source. It is accurate to what the source is stating and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    https://www.moex.com/n73981

    Category24-7, MIL-AXIS, Moscow, Moskov Stotsk Exchange, Russians Savings, Russian Federation, Russians Language, Russian economy

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    Date of the deposit auction 10/15/2024
    Placement currency RUB
    Maximum amount of funds placed (in placement currency) 200,000,000.00
    Placement period, days 97
    Date of deposit 10/15/2024
    Refund date 01/20/2025
    Minimum placement interest rate, % per annum 21.00
    Conditions of imprisonment, urgent or special Urgent
    Minimum amount of funds placed for one application (in placement currency) 200,000,000.00
    Maximum number of applications from one Participant, pcs. 1
    Auction form, open or closed Open
    Basis of the Treaty General Agreement
     
    Schedule (Moscow time)
    Preliminary applications from 11:00 to 11:10
    Applications in competition mode from 11:10 to 11:15
    Setting a cut-off percentage or declaring the auction invalid until 11:25
       
    Additional terms Placement of funds with the possibility of early withdrawal of the entire deposit amount and payment of interest accrued on the deposit amount at the rate established by the deposit transaction, in the event of non-compliance of the Bank with the requirements established by clause 2.1. of the Regulation “On the procedure for selecting banks for placing funds of the Moscow Small Business Lending Assistance Fund in deposits (deposits) under the GDS” (as amended on the date of the deposit transaction), early withdrawal at the “on demand” rate, interest payment monthly, on the last business day of the month, without replenishment

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: Financial news: On 15.10.2024, the deposit auction of the Moscow Small Business Lending Assistance Fund will take place(2)

    MILES AXLE Translation. Region: Russian Federation –

    Source: Moscow Exchange – Moscow Exchange –

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    Please note; This information is raw content directly from the information source. It is accurate to what the source is stating and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    https://www.moex.com/n73983

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    Parameters
    Date of the deposit auction 10/15/2024
    Placement currency RUB
    Maximum amount of funds placed (in placement currency) 45,000,000.00
    Placement period, days 10
    Date of deposit 10/15/2024
    Refund date 10/25/2024
    Minimum placement interest rate, % per annum 19.60
    Conditions of imprisonment, urgent or special Urgent
    Minimum amount of funds placed for one application (in placement currency) 45,000,000.00
    Maximum number of applications from one Participant, pcs. 1
    Auction form, open or closed Open
    Basis of the Treaty General Agreement
     
    Schedule (Moscow time)
    Preliminary applications from 12:30 to 12:40
    Applications in competition mode from 12:40 to 12:45
    Setting a cut-off percentage or declaring the auction invalid until 12:55
       
    Additional terms Placement of funds with the possibility of early withdrawal of the entire deposit amount and payment of interest accrued on the deposit amount at the rate established by the deposit transaction, in the event of non-compliance of the Bank with the requirements established by clause 2.1. of the Regulation “On the procedure for selecting banks for placing funds of the Moscow Small Business Lending Assistance Fund in deposits (deposits) under the GDS” (as amended on the date of the deposit transaction), early withdrawal at the “on demand” rate, payment of interest at the end of the term, without replenishment

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Asian Development Blog: Five Sustainable Solutions to Drive Armenia’s Crossroads of Peace Initiative

    Source: Asia Development Bank

    Armenia’s Crossroads of Peace initiative offers a vision of peace and stability through improved infrastructure and trade. It is also a great opportunity to build sustainable infrastructure, improve customs clearance, and promote green trade. Key reforms in road safety and foreign direct investment are essential for long-term success, positioning Armenia as a strategic hub for regional trade.

    Armenia, located in the South Caucasus between Europe and Asia, holds a strategic geographic position as a natural crossroads for east-west and north-south trade routes. 

    Despite closed borders with neighbors to the east and west, Armenia has outlined a vision of open borders through its “Crossroads of Peace” initiative. 

    Supported by investments in road, rail, and border checkpoints, the initiative envisions economic ties and peaceful relations with all neighbors. While improved rail networks and modern roads are a key focus, the initiative must address several factors to ensure long-term success: 

    Make the infrastructure sustainable. The infrastructure investments under the initiative represent a remarkable opportunity to incorporate sustainable infrastructure. Doing so would set a standard for future developments in Armenia and position the country as an early adopter of sustainable infrastructure in the region.

    This can be done through implementing green building standards in the roads, bridges, and related infrastructure, through the use of sustainable, recycled, or low-carbon materials along with enforcing emissions standards for equipment used in construction and maintenance.  

    LED streetlights, which last longer and reduce energy consumption, could be used. Border points can be built or refurbished to meet energy efficient standards and equipped with power supplied from renewable sources.  

    These interventions would limit the carbon footprint of the Crossroads initiative while, in the long run, reducing the overall costs for its implementation.   

    Streamline customs clearance processes. Freight typically follows the least time-consuming and cost-efficient way.  While better roads and rail networks are attractive for transit trade, customs processes need to be streamlined to truly deliver on the desired objective.

    Digitization is the backbone of modern logistics.  For customs processes, it reduces paperwork, corruption, and can drastically cut border wait times. Armenia’s adoption of the Electronic International Road Transport system is a needed advancement that would immediately improve customs clearance efficiency.  

    As Armenia’s neighbors have adopted the system as well, its geographic position along with digitally integrated customs procedures would make it the natural choice for freight movement. And with much of the legal framework agreed and a gap analysis already prepared by the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, this would seem to be low-hanging fruit on the list to improve logistics and promote regional trade. 

    Armenia is at a critical point in its development trajectory and the Crossroads initiative could be the mechanism to propel it into a regional hub for trade and logistics.

    Promote Green Trade. The Crossroads initiative could be an enabler for Armenia to become an advocate for green trade to yield benefits to future generations. 

    This could be achieved through developing green logistics frameworks that incentivize low-emission transportation assets and eco-friendly packaging for goods. 

    Local campaigns to raise awareness of the benefits of green products and sustainable consumption can help instill these practices in Armenia, while eco-friendly labels on products can help consumers make smart choices when purchasing goods and services.

    Armenia has already renewed its commitment to the Paris Agreement and the government has demonstrated it takes the climate agenda seriously.  Promoting green trade will be another mark on the road to greater sustainability, competitiveness, export diversification, and generally improved value addition.   

    Become an enabling environment for foreign direct investment.  With open borders the Crossroads initiative can attract greater foreign direct investment, which would have sweeping benefits including job creation, greater productivity, increased government revenue, human capital development, and general technological advancements. 

    The regional stability offered by the initiative could be the trigger that entices foreign investors to consider Armenia as a new frontier for opportunity.

    Armenia has shown steady improvements in attracting new businesses, suggesting its legal and regulatory frameworks have become more attractive to foreign investors.  However, Armenia faces stiff regional competition in the South Caucasus from Georgia and will need to accelerate these reforms to redirect investment in the region. 

    The creation of more special economic zones is an important lever for the government to attract investment. Given the integral nature of transport and logistics to the initiative, more zones designed to support better logistics and simplified trade would be a meaningful step to attract the right firms and needed capacity to execute on the increased demand the Crossroads will bring to the region. 

    Create a culture of road safety. With significant investments in road infrastructure, the Crossroads initiative will offer drivers smoother and faster road surfaces. However, without stronger measures to promote a culture of road safety and enforced safety laws, improved conditions could lead to an increase in accidents. 

    Armenia has taken positive steps enacting legislation that requires seat belts and motorcycle helmets, yet on the road it is common to see drivers without either.  The legislation also does not specify restraints for child safety and children are allowed to be seated in the front, both drastically increasing the chances of injury or death in case of accident. 

    A coordinated countrywide awareness-raising campaign on the benefits of seat belts, helmets, and child restraints is necessary, along with legislative actions to identify standards and improve enforcement. 

    Armenia is at a critical point in its development trajectory and the Crossroads initiative could be the mechanism to propel it into a regional hub for trade and logistics.  However, it should not only be framed around building roads, rail, and bridges. It should also deliver on its broader ambitions and create lasting benefits for society.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: South Africa: African Development Bank and Absa unveil multi-billion rand financial package to expand sustainable capital markets, boost economic growth for women and youth

    Source: Africa Press Organisation – English (2) – Report:

    JOHANNESBURG, South Africa, October 15, 2024/APO Group/ —

    The African Development Bank (www.AfDB.org) and Absa Group, one of Africa’s leading financial services providers, today celebrated a landmark agreement to mark the execution of a transformative financial package aimed at increasing funding for underserved segments, across South Africa and the continent. The target audience includes women-owned businesses, youth entrepreneurs, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

    In addition to enhancing Absa’s regulatory capital, the facility will promote access to finance, deepen domestic capital markets, and ensure continued access to global supply chains for issuing banks in regional member countries, including low-income and fragile states.

    The financial package includes:

    • A subordinated sustainability-linked (Tier 2) loan amounting to R1.7 billion, complemented by a non-financial support package of R18 million for capacity building and technical assistance targeted at SMEs, youth, and women-owned enterprises.
    • Subscription of R1 billion into Absa’s inaugural social (Tier 2) bond issuance, with proceeds earmarked for providing affordable housing loans to female homeowners.
    • A trade finance Risk Participation Agreement (RPA) facility valued at $150 million, designed to underwrite the risks of trade transactions originated by African issuing banks, reinforcing Absa’s role as a regional bank.

    Several components of the package have already been executed, including the successful issuance of Absa’s first Tier 2 social bond on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange in July 2024. The R1 billion proceeds from this bond will be allocated towards affordable housing loans specifically targeting women, empowering them as first-time homeowners in low-income segments.

    Leila Mokaddem, Director General of the African Development Bank’s Southern Africa Region, stated: “This partnership with Absa Group underscores our commitment to driving sustainable and inclusive economic growth across Africa. Through this financial package, we are not only fortifying Absa’s capital base but also ensuring that essential funding reaches women, youth, and entrepreneurs, fostering a more equitable and prosperous continent. This collaboration aligns seamlessly with our strategic priorities of supporting Africa’s industrialization and enhancing the quality of life for its people. “

    Absa has secured a R1.7 billion sustainability-linked Tier 2 loan aimed at general corporate business purposes while incentivizing the extension of finance products to women-owned SMEs as a key performance indicator. As part of this agreement, Absa is collaborating with the African Development Bank to enhance skills among both Absa staff and women business owners. A capacity-building training program has been launched to address the unique challenges faced by female and youth entrepreneurs, by providing mentorship and financial solutions.

    Charles Russon, Absa Group interim CEO designate remarked: “The finalisation of this package concludes a three-year process that significantly enhances our capacity to fund social initiatives aligned with our commitment to being a force for good. This partnership enables us to increase funding for women and youth in South Africa while facilitating greater trade opportunities across the continent. “

    “This partnership aligns with the African Development Bank’s strategic objectives of advancing green, social, and sustainability instruments in the domestic capital markets, supporting African capital market development and regional financial integration,” said Ahmed Attout, Director of the Financial Sector Development Department at the African Development Bank. He emphasised that it is designed to empower Absa to effectively disburse funds for highly impactful social and sustainable economic development initiatives.

    The $150 million trade finance facility will drive trade support across Africa, addressing the continent’s annual trade finance gap of over $100 billion. This initiative will enhance access to financing for key sectors such as agriculture, transport, and manufacturing, while fostering financial sector development and regional integration.

    MIL OSI Africa –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Banking: CBB 12 Month Treasury Bills Issue No. 121 Oversubscribed

    Source: Central Bank of Bahrain

    CBB 12 Month Treasury Bills Issue No. 121 Oversubscribed

    Published on 15 October 2024

    Manama, Bahrain –15th October 2024 – This week’s BD 100 million issue of Government Treasury Bills has been oversubscribed by 137%.

    The bills, carrying a maturity of 12 months, are issued by the CBB, on behalf of the Kingdom of Bahrain.

    The issue date of the bills is 17th October 2024, and the maturity date is 16th October 2025.

    The weighted average rate of interest is 5.42% compared to 5.37% of the previous issue on 19th September 2024

    The approximate average price for the issue was 94.808% with the lowest accepted price being 94.687%.

    This is issue No. 121 (ISIN BH00019OE454) of Government Treasury Bills. With this, the total outstanding value of Government Treasury Bills is BD 2.110 billion.

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    MIL OSI Global Banks –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: New publications by GEMs Consortium offer further insights into emerging market credit risk

    Source: European Investment Bank

    Two new publications by Global Emerging Markets Risk Database (GEMs) Consortium provide granular default and recovery patterns for over three decades of development finance, and highlight the key drivers of investment risk in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs).

    Luxembourg, October 15, 2024 — Two new publications released today by the GEMs Consortium  – a group of 26 multilateral development banks (MDBs) and development finance institutions (DFIs) – provide further insights on the level of credit risk in EMDEs according to the investment experience of Consortium members.

    The first publication covers the credit performance of lending to private and public counterparts. The average annual default rate of lending to private entities at 3.56% is broadly aligned with many non-investment grade firms in advanced economies, and the average recovery rate of 72.2% is higher than many global benchmarks. Although the GEMs statistics reflect the unique experience of MDBs and DFIs, these results provide valuable information on the investment risk in EMDEs, an area characterized by a lack of available credit risk data.

    The second publication provides default rates and – for the first time – recovery rates for sovereign and sovereign-guaranteed lending based on an expanded range of 40 years of data. Results shows an average annual default rate of 1.06% and an average recovery rate of 94.9% and complement the GEMs statistics on private and public counterparts to provide a comprehensive view on EMDEs credit risks.

    These increasingly granular statistical publications by the GEMs Consortium address the call by the G20 and other stakeholders to provide investors greater insights into credit risks in emerging markets, thereby allowing them to better guide their asset allocations. The new publications provide statistics at the country and sector level, as well as a range of newly introduced metrics.

    “The availability of credit statistics is critical to mobilizing more private investment into emerging markets and developing economies by helping investors better understand the risk profile of such investments,” said Román Escolano, Group Chief Risk Officer, European Investment Bank. “The updated publications, with greater disaggregation and analysis, address feedback from our key stakeholders, and GEMs plans to continue publishing such statistics in a timely manner.”

    EMDEs generally receive less investment than advanced economies. At the same time, developing countries need $4 trillion of annual investment to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030, and $2.8 trillion of annual clean energy investment by next decade to meet both rising energy demands and climate targets.

    “The GEMs statistics challenge the conventional view that emerging markets are high-risk destinations for investment,” said Federico Galizia, Vice President, Risk and Finance, International Finance Corporation. “With 30 years of default frequencies and recovery rates, and now even further levels of disaggregation, GEMs shows that emerging market investments should be within the risk appetite of a broad range of investors.”

    The GEMs publications include default and recovery rates for over three decades of lending by Consortium members to private, public, and sovereign borrowers. The disclosed historic default and recovery rates can be used by investors and credit rating agencies to refine their risk assessment and asset allocation, and provide a useful benchmark for risk and pricing models. Both new publications are available on the GEMs website (http://www.gemsriskdatabase.org).

    About GEMs

     Global Emerging Markets Risk Database (GEMs) Consortium is one of the largest credit risk databases for the emerging markets operations of its member institutions – multilateral development banks and development finance institutions. It pools anonymized data on credit defaults on the loans extended by Consortium members the migrations of their clients’ credit rating and the recoveries on defaulted projects in emerging markets and developing economies, thus providing an insight into geographies that are otherwise relatively poorly served in terms of empirical credit information.

    GEMs was established in 2009 as a bilateral initiative between the European Investment Bank and the International Finance Corporation (World Bank Group). Since then, the GEMs Consortium has grown to include 26 members: African Development Bank (AfDB), Agence Française de Développement (AFD), Asian Development Bank (ADB), Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Black Sea Trade and Development Bank (BSTDB), Banque Ouest Africaine de Développement (BOAD), British International Investment (BII), Council of Europe Development Bank (CEB), Central American Bank for Economic Integration (CABEI), European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), European Investment Bank Group (EIB), GuarantCo, Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), Inter-American Investment Corporation (IDB Invest), International Finance Corporation (IFC), International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), Islamic Development Bank (IsDB), Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KfW), Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), Netherlands Development Finance Company (FMO), U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), New Development Bank (NDB), Proparco, Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (CDP), and Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA).

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Banking: Christopher J Waller: Thoughts on the economy and policy rules at the Federal Open Market Committee

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Thank you, Athanasios, and thank you for the opportunity to be part of this very worthy celebration.1 In support of the theme of this conference, I do have some thoughts on the Shadow Open Market Committee’s contributions to the policy debate, in particular its advocacy for policy rules. But before I get to that, I am going to exercise the keynote speaker’s freedom to talk about whatever I want. To that end, I want to take a few minutes to offer my views on the economic outlook and its implications for monetary policy. So let me start there, and afterward I will discuss the role that policy rules play in my decision making and in the deliberations of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

    In the three weeks or so since the most recent FOMC meeting, data we have received has been uneven, as it sometimes has been over the past year. I continue to judge that the U.S. economy is on a solid footing, with employment near the FOMC’s maximum employment objective and inflation in the vicinity of our target, even though the latest inflation data was disappointing.

    Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 2.2 percent annual rate in the first half of 2024, and I expect it to grow a bit faster in the third quarter. The Blue Chip consensus of private sector forecasters predicts 2.3 percent, while the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model, based on up-to-the moment data, is predicting real growth of 3.2 percent.

    Earlier, there were concerns that GDP in the first half of this year was overstating the strength of the economy, since gross domestic income (GDI) was estimated to have grown a mere 1.3 percent in the first half of this year, suggesting a big downward revision to GDP was coming. But revisions received after our most recent FOMC meeting showed the opposite-GDI growth was revised up substantially to 3.2 percent. This change in turn led to an upward revision in the personal saving rate of about 2 percentage points in the second quarter, leaving it at 5.2 percent in June. This revision suggests that household resources for future consumption are actually in good shape, although data and anecdotal evidence suggests lower-income groups are struggling. These revisions suggest that the economy is much stronger than previously thought, with little indication of a major slowdown in economic activity.

    That outlook is supported by consumer spending that has been and continues to be strong. Though the growth in personal consumption expenditures (PCE) has moderated since the second half of 2023, it has continued at an average pace of close to 2.5 percent so far this year. Also, my business contacts believe that there is considerable pent-up demand for durable goods, home improvements, and other big-ticket items, demand that built up due to high interest rates for credit cards and home equity loans. Now that rates have started to come down and are expected to come down more, consumers will be eager to make those purchases. For business spending, purchasing managers for manufacturers describe ongoing weakness in that sector, but those for the large majority of businesses outside of manufacturing continue to report a solid expansion of activity.

    Now let’s talk about the labor market. Only a couple months ago, it appeared that the labor market was cooling too quickly. Low numbers for job creation and a jump in the unemployment rate from 4.1 percent in June to 4.3 percent in July raised risks that the labor market was deteriorating. To remind you of how bad the markets viewed the July data, some Fed watchers were calling for an emergency FOMC meeting to discuss a rate cut. While the unemployment rate ticked down in August, job growth was once again well below expectations. Many were arguing that the labor market was on the verge of a serious deterioration and that the Fed was behind the curve even after a 50 basis point cut in the policy rate at the September FOMC meeting.

    Then we got the September employment report. Job creation in September was unexpectedly strong at 254,000 and the unemployment rate fell back down to 4.1 percent, which is where it was in June. The report also showed big upward revisions to payroll gains for the previous two months. Together, the message was loud and clear: While job creation has moderated and the unemployment rate has risen over the past year, the labor market remains quite healthy.

    Along with other new data on the labor market, the evidence is that labor supply and demand have come into balance. The number of job vacancies, a sign of strength in the labor market, has fallen gradually since the beginning of the year. The ratio of vacancies to unemployed is at 1.2, about the level in 2019, which was a pretty strong labor market. To put this number into perspective, recent research has shown that this ratio has been above 1 only three times since 1960.2 The quits rate, another sign of labor market strength, has fallen lower than it was in 2019, a decrease which partly reflects that the hiring rate has fallen as labor supply and demand have come into better balance.

    In sum, based on payrolls, the unemployment rate and job revisions, there has been a very gradual moderation in labor demand relative to supply, but not a deterioration. The stability of the labor market, as reflected in these two measures as well as the other metrics I mentioned, bolsters my confidence that we can achieve further progress toward the FOMC’s inflation goal while supporting a healthy labor market that adds jobs and boosts wages and living standards for workers.

    I will be looking for more evidence to support this outlook in the weeks and months to come. But, unfortunately, it won’t be easy to interpret the October jobs report to be released just before the next FOMC meeting. This report will most likely show a significant but temporary loss of jobs from the two recent hurricanes and the strike at Boeing. I expect these factors may reduce employment growth by more than 100,000 this month, and there may be a small effect on the unemployment rate, but I’m not sure it will be that visible. Since the jobs report will come during the usual blackout period for policymakers commenting on the economy, you won’t have any of us trying to put this low reading into perspective, though I hope others will.

    Looking ahead, I expect payroll gains to moderate from their current pace but continue at a solid rate. The unemployment rate may drift a bit higher but is likely to remain quite low in historical terms. While I believe the labor market is on a solid footing, I will continue to watch the full range of data for signs of weakness.

    Meanwhile, inflation, after showing considerable progress for several months toward the FOMC’s 2 percent target, likely moved up in September. The consumer price index grew 0.2 percent over the past month, 2.1 percent over the past three months, 1.6 percent over six months and 2.4 percent in the past year. Oil prices fell over most of the summer but then more recently have surged. Excluding energy and also food prices that likewise tend to be volatile, and just as it did in August, core CPI inflation printed at 0.3 percent in September and 3.3 percent over the past year.

    Private-sector forecasts are predicting that PCE inflation, the FOMC’s preferred measure, will also move up in September. Core PCE prices are expected to have risen around 0.25 percent last month. While not a welcome development, if the monthly core PCE inflation number comes in around this level, over the last 5 months it is still running very close to 2 percent on an annualized basis. We have made a lot of progress on inflation over the course of the last year and half, but that progress has clearly been uneven-at times it feels like being on a rollercoaster. Whether or not this month’s inflation reading is just noise or if it signals ongoing increases, is yet to be seen. I will be watching the data carefully to see how persistent this recent uptick is.

    The FOMC’s inflation goal is an average of 2 percent over the longer run and there are some good reasons to think that price increases will be modest going forward. I am hearing reports from firms that their pricing power seems to have waned as consumers have become more sensitive to price changes. There has also been a steady slowing in the growth of labor compensation. It is true that average hourly earnings growth in September ticked up to 4 percent over the past year. And though it might seem like wage increases of 4 percent a year would put upward pressure on inflation that is near 2 percent, that might not be true if one considers productivity, which has grown at an average annual rate of 2.9 percent for the past five quarters. Some of this strength was making up for productivity that shrank due to the pandemic, but the longer it continues-up 2.5 percent for the second quarter-the better productivity supports wage growth of 4 percent, or even higher, without driving up inflation. All that said, I will be watching all the data related to inflation closely.

    With the labor market in rough balance, employment near its maximum level, and inflation generally running close to our target over the past several months, I want to do what I can as a policymaker to keep the economy on this path. For me, the central question is how much and how fast to reduce the target for the federal funds rate, which I believe is currently set at a restrictive level. To help answer questions like this, I often look at various monetary policy rules to assess the appropriate setting of policy. Policy rules have long been of serious interest to the Shadow Open Market Committee. So before I turn to my views on the future path of policy, I thought I would talk about monetary policy rules versus discretion and begin with some background about the use of rules at the FOMC.

    For a brief overview of the history of the advent of rules at the Board, I have been directed to the second chapter of The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy written by George Kahn, and I have also consulted the memories of longtime members of the Board staff.3 Rules came along in the 1990s as the Fed was moving away from monetary targeting, focusing more on interest-rate policy, and taking its first major steps toward increased transparency. There was immediate interest in Taylor-type rules among Fed staff, and even some contributions of research.4 There was a presentation to the FOMC on rules in 1995, and that was the same year that John Taylor’s Bay Area colleague, Janet Yellen, was apparently the first policymaker to mention the Taylor rule at an FOMC meeting. While FOMC decisions mimicked a Taylor rule much of the time under Chairman Alan Greenspan, he was famously an advocate of “constructive ambiguity” in communication, and he and other central bankers since have resisted the suggestion that decisions could be handed over to strict rules. Today, of course, a number of rules-based analyses are included in the material submitted to policymakers ahead of every FOMC meeting, and we publish the policy prescriptions of different rules as part of the Board’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report. Rules have become part of the furniture in modern policymaking.

    As everyone here knows, but for the benefit of other listeners, Taylor rules relate the level of the policy interest rate to a limited number of other economic variables, most often including the deviation of inflation from a target value and a measure of resource use in the economy relative to some long-run trend.5 There are numerous forms of the Taylor rule, but they generally fall into two categories.

    The first of these, an inertial rule, has the property that the policy rate changes only slowly over time. I tend to think of it as an approach that captures the reaction function of a policymaker in a stable economy where the forces that would tend to change the economy and policy build over time. When change does occur, a gradual response may give policymakers time to assess the true state of the economy and the possible effects of their decision. One example I can use is the steadfastness of policymakers in the latter part of 2023, when inflation fell more rapidly than was widely expected, and again in early 2024, when it briefly escalated. The FOMC did not change course either time, an approach validated by inertial rules.

    A non-inertial rule, on the other hand, allows and in fact calls for relatively quick adjustments to policy. The guidance from these rules is more useful when there is a turning point in the economy, and policymakers need to stay ahead of events. One saw these non-inertial rules prescribe a sharper rise in the policy rate above the effective lower bound starting in 2021 as inflation began climbing above the FOMC’s 2 percent target. Non-inertial rules are also more useful in the face of major shocks to the economy such as the 2008 financial crisis and the start of the pandemic.

    The great promise of rules is that they provide a simple and reliable guide to policy, but what should one do when different rules recommend different policy actions given the same economic conditions? Right now, inertial rules tell us to move slowly in reducing policy rates toward a neutral stance that neither restricts nor stimulates the economy. On the other hand, non-inertial rules tell us to cut the policy rate more aggressively, subject to the caveat that one is certain of the values of all the ‘star’ variables: U*, Y* and r*. I think the answer is that while rules are valuable in helping analyze policy options, they have limitations. Among these are the limits of the data considered, which is typically narrower than the range of data that policymakers use to make decisions, and also the fact that simple policy rules do not take into account risk management, which is often a critical consideration in policy decisions. So, while policy rules serve as a good check on discretionary policy, there are times when discretion is needed. As a result, I prefer to think of them as “policy rules of thumb”.

    Turning to my view for the path for policy, let me discuss three scenarios that I have had in mind to manage the risks of upcoming decisions in the medium term.

    The first scenario is one where the overall strong economic developments that I have described today continue, with inflation nearing the FOMC’s target and the unemployment rate moving up only slightly. This scenario implies to me that we can proceed with moving policy toward a neutral stance at a deliberate pace. This path would be based on the judgment that the risks to both sides of our dual mandate are balanced. In this circumstance, our job is to keep inflation near 2 percent and not slow the economy unnecessarily.

    Another scenario, less likely in light of recent data, is that inflation falls materially below 2 percent for some time, and/or the labor market significantly deteriorates. The message here is that demand is falling, the FOMC may suddenly be behind the curve, and that message would argue for moving to neutral more quickly by front-loading cuts to the policy rate.

    The third scenario applies if inflation unexpectedly escalates either because of stronger-than-expected consumer demand or wage pressure, or because of some shock to supply that pushes up inflation. As we learned in the recovery from the pandemic recession, when demand was stronger and supply weaker than initially expected, such surprises do occur. In this circumstance, as long as the labor market isn’t deteriorating, we can pause rate cuts until progress resumes and uncertainty diminishes.

    Most recently, we have seen upward revisions to GDI, an increase in job vacancies, high GDP growth forecasts, a strong jobs report and a hotter than expected CPI report. This data is signaling that the economy may not be slowing as much as desired. While we do not want to overreact to this data or look through it, I view the totality of the data as saying monetary policy should proceed with more caution on the pace of rate cuts than was needed at the September meeting. I will be watching to see whether data, due out before our next meeting, on inflation, the labor market and economic activity confirms or undercuts my inclination to be more cautious about loosening monetary policy.

    Whatever happens in the near term, my baseline still calls for reducing the policy rate gradually over the next year. The median rate for FOMC participants at the end of 2025 is 3.4 percent, so most of my colleagues likewise expect to reduce policy over the next year. There is less certainty about the final destination. The median estimated longer-run level of the federal funds rate in the Committee’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) is 2.9 percent, but with quite a wide dispersion, ranging from 2.4 percent to 3.8 percent. While much attention is given to the size of cuts over the next meeting or two, I think the larger message of the SEP is that there is a considerable extent of policy restrictiveness to remove, and if the economy continues in its current sweet spot, this will happen gradually.

    Thank you again, for the opportunity to be part of today’s conference, and for allowing me to share some thoughts, relevant to monetary policy rules and my day job back in Washington. The Shadow Committee has elevated the public debate about monetary policy. May you continue to play that role for many years to come.


    i. Note: On October 14, 2024, a sentence on page 10 was corrected to say “restrictiveness”: “I think the larger message of the SEP is that there is a considerable extent of policy restrictiveness to remove, and if the economy continues in its current sweet spot, this will happen gradually.”

    MIL OSI Global Banks –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: October 2024 euro area bank lending survey

    Source: European Central Bank

    15 October 2024

    • Credit standards remained unchanged for firms in the third quarter of 2024, after more than two years of consecutive tightening
    • Credit standards eased for loans to households for house purchases but tightened for consumer credit
    • Housing loan demand rebounded strongly on the back of expected interest rate cuts and improving housing market prospects
    • Impact of policy rate decisions on bank net interest income turned negative for the first time since the end of 2022

    According to the October 2024 bank lending survey (BLS), euro area banks reported unchanged credit standards – banks’ internal guidelines or loan approval criteria – for loans or credit lines to enterprises in the third quarter of 2024 (net percentage of banks of 0%; Chart 1). Banks also reported a further net easing of their credit standards for loans to households for house purchase (net percentage of -3%), whereas credit standards for consumer credit and other lending to households tightened further (net percentage of 6%). For firms, the net percentage was lower than expected by banks in the previous survey round, although risk perceptions continued to have a small tightening effect. For households, credit standards eased somewhat more than expected for housing loans, primarily because of competition from other banks, and tightened more than expected for consumer credit, mainly owing to additional perceived risks. For the fourth quarter of 2024, banks expect a net tightening of credit standards for loans to firms and consumer credit and a net easing for housing loans.

    Banks’ overall terms and conditions – the actual terms and conditions agreed in loan contracts – eased strongly for housing loans and slightly for loans to firms, while moderately tightening for consumer credit. Lending rates and margins on average loans were the main drivers of the net easing for loans to firms and housing loans, whereas tighter consumer credit terms and conditions were mainly attributable to margins on both riskier and average loans.

    For the first time since the third quarter of 2022, banks reported a moderate net increase in demand from firms for loans or drawing of credit lines (Chart 2), while remaining weak overall. Net demand for housing loans rebounded strongly, while demand for consumer credit and other lending to households increased more moderately. Lower interest rates drove firms’ loan demand, while fixed investment had a muted effect. For housing loans, the net increase in housing loan demand was mainly driven by declining interest rates and improving housing market prospects, whereas consumer confidence and spending on durables supported demand for consumer credit. In the fourth quarter of 2024 banks expect net demand to increase across all loan segments, especially for housing loans.

    Euro area banks reported a moderate improvement in access to funding for retail funding, money markets and debt securities in the third quarter of 2024. Access to short-term retail funding improved, whereas access to long-term retail funding remained broadly unchanged. For the fourth quarter of 2024, banks expect access to funding to remain broadly unchanged across market segments.

    The reduction in the ECB’s monetary policy asset portfolio had a slightly negative impact on euro area banks’ market financing conditions over the last six months, which banks expect to continue over the next six months. In addition, banks reported that the ECB’s reduction of its monetary policy asset portfolio had an overall contained effect on their lending conditions, which they expect to continue in the coming six months, reflecting the gradual and predictable nature of the adjustment to the ECB’s portfolio.

    The phasing-out of TLTRO III continued to negatively affect bank liquidity positions. However, in light of the small remaining outstanding amounts of TLTRO III, banks reported a broadly neutral impact on their overall funding conditions and neutral effects on lending conditions and loan volumes.

    Euro area banks reported the first negative impact of the ECB interest rate decisions on their net interest margins since the end of 2022, while the impact via volumes of interest-bearing assets and liabilities remained negative. Banks expect the negative net impact on margins associated with ECB rate policy to deepen and to result in a decline in overall profitability from the high levels reached during the 2022-2023 tightening cycle. Banks expect the impact of provisions and impairments on profitability to remain slightly negative.

    The quarterly BLS was developed by the Eurosystem to improve its understanding of bank lending behaviour in the euro area. The results reported in the October 2024 survey relate to changes observed in the third quarter of 2024 and changes expected in the fourth quarter of 2024, unless otherwise indicated. The October 2024 survey round was conducted between 6 and 23 September 2024. A total of 156 banks were surveyed in this round, with a response rate of 99%.

    Chart 1

    Changes in credit standards for loans or credit lines to enterprises, and contributing factors

    (net percentages of banks reporting a tightening of credit standards, and contributing factors)

    Source: ECB (BLS).

    Notes: Net percentages are defined as the difference between the sum of the percentages of banks responding “tightened considerably” and “tightened somewhat” and the sum of the percentages of banks responding “eased somewhat” and “eased considerably”. The net percentages for “Other factors” refer to an average of the further factors which were mentioned by banks as having contributed to changes in credit standards.

    Chart 2

    Changes in demand for loans or credit lines to enterprises, and contributing factors

    (net percentages of banks reporting an increase in demand, and contributing factors)

    Source: ECB (BLS).

    Notes: Net percentages for the questions on demand for loans are defined as the difference between the sum of the percentages of banks responding “increased considerably” and “increased somewhat” and the sum of the percentages of banks responding “decreased somewhat” and “decreased considerably”. The net percentages for “Other factors” refer to an average of the further factors which were mentioned by banks as having contributed to changes in loan demand.

    For media queries, please contact William Lelieveldt, tel.: +49 69 1344 7316.

    Notes

    • A report on this survey round is available on the ECB’s website, along with a copy of the questionnaire, a glossary of BLS terms and a BLS user guide with information on the BLS series keys.
    • The euro area and national data series are available on the ECB’s website via the ECB Data Portal. National results, as published by the respective national central banks, can be obtained via the ECB’s website.
    • For more detailed information on the BLS, see Köhler-Ulbrich, P., Dimou, M., Ferrante, L. and Parle, C., “Happy anniversary, BLS – 20 years of the euro area bank lending survey”, Economic Bulletin, Issue 7, ECB, 2023; and Huennekes, F. and Köhler-Ulbrich, P., “What information does the euro area bank lending survey provide on future loan developments?”, Economic Bulletin, Issue 8, ECB, 2022.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Hundreds of millions of new investment secured to get Britain building again

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments 3

    Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones hosts roundtable with some of the biggest impact investors in the world.

    • £550m of investment secured to tackle housing crisis and get Britain building again, with new impact investment funds announced today by Schroders, Man Group and Resonance, also looking to raise over £1.2bn in coming years.
    • Chief Secretary hosts roundtable with major impact investors to instigate a new partnership to address social and environmental challenges, including affordable housing.
    • Announcement comes after £63bn of investment into Britain confirmed at International Investment Summit.

    Impact investment, whereby a fund creates beneficial social or environmental impact, has now grown to £76.8 billion in the UK in assets under management. This will result in tens of thousands of new homes are set to be built across Britain funded by over half a billion pounds worth of impact investments announced today (Tuesday 15 October).

    Coming the day after the Prime Minister announced £63bn of investment into Britain at the International Investment Summit, the commitment from three major financial institutions to invest for impact will directly tackle the most acute housing crisis in living memory, which includes at least 5,000 new homes to address social inequality. This supports the Government’s priority to get the country building again, creating more jobs and boosting the economy.  

    The announcement comes as the Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones this morning hosts a roundtable with some of the biggest impact investors in the world, including Schroders, M&G, International Bank of America, Blackrock and Barclays, as the Government looks to create the right environment for impact investment across the country.

    Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones said:

    Investors tell us they want to help in delivering a better Britain. Working in partnership with government, social impact investing can change people’s lives and improve communities across the country.

    We are dedicated to creating the right environment for impact investment across the country, and the announcement of over half a billion pounds worth of impact investment building tens of thousands of new homes is a great example of the change that we are delivering on.

    These three investments funds by Schroders, Man Group and Resonance are exemplars of private capital responding to major social and environmental challenges, delivering returns while also helping to grow the economy, the government’s central mission. Today’s £550 million impact investment underpins the government’s drive to foster public-private partnerships to drive meaningful impact across the country.

    Schroders, one of the UK’s largest investment managers, has today confirmed a new £50 million allocation from Homes England, into its recently launched real estate impact fund. The fund, which has an initial target of raising £200m with the aim of ultimately delivering 5,000 homes to address social inequality and deliver an appropriate financial return to investors, expects to make its first investments before the end of 2024. It is focused on helping to deliver more social and affordable housing, regenerate town centres and invest in social infrastructure, in places where housing benefits from public transport, green spaces, schools and GP surgeries.

    Man Group, a London-headquartered global alternative investment management firm managing $178.2 billion, has also announced a further £100mn investment to deliver affordable and environmentally sustainable housing for communities across England, with 90% of homes to be designated as affordable housing. The investment will have a particular focus on delivering homes with a low carbon footprint and addressing the housing needs of key and essential workers.  This investment programme builds on the £385mn that has already been committed to affordable housing since 2021.

    Leading social impact property fund manager Resonance have today announced an expected 300% increase in investment – from £79m to £250m – into its initiative to tackle homelessness. This directly channels investment into residential property to help create pathways out of Temporary Accommodation for individuals and families. Resonance has set a target of reaching £1bn investment in this area in the next five years, so it can work directly with local authorities and housing partners across the country to help provide people at risk of homelessness with a stable home.

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    Published 15 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Leader of the council welcomes announcement on National Wealth Fund

    Source: City of Leeds

    Councillor James Lewis, leader of Leeds City Council, said:  

    “We’re pleased to hear the announcement by Chancellor Rt Hon Rachel Reeves MP of the new steps for the National Wealth Fund and its headquarters in Leeds. Leeds is the UK’s second largest city for financial services, and a major hub for related professional services, and this latest announcement further reinforces the city’s progress and influence as we continue to attract major players such as the UK Infrastructure Bank, Bank of England and the Financial Conduct Authority who have all chosen to locate their major UK hubs in our city.  

    “These developments create exciting opportunities for local people, offering a wealth of new jobs and career paths. We have huge strengths in this area and offer a wealth of expertise underpinned by strong regional, national and international partnerships and a diverse range of businesses which puts us in a great position to support this initiative.”  

    MIL OSI United Kingdom –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi inaugurates ITU World Telecommunication Standardization Assembly 2024 in New Delhi

    Source: Government of India (2)

    Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi inaugurates ITU World Telecommunication Standardization Assembly 2024 in New Delhi

    PM inaugurates 8th edition of India Mobile Congress

    In India, we have made telecom not just a medium of connectivity, but also a medium of equity and opportunity: PM

    We identified four pillars of Digital India and started working on all four pillars simultaneously and we got results: PM

    We are working towards giving the world a complete Made in India phone, from chip to finished product: PM

    The length of optical fiber that India has laid in just 10 years is eight times the distance between the Earth and the Moon: PM

    India democratized digital technology: PM

    Today India has such a digital bouquet which can take welfare schemes to new heights in the world: PM

    India is working towards the goal of making technology sector inclusive, empowering women through technology platforms: PM

    The time has come for global institutions to accept importance of Global framework for digital technology, global guidelines for global governance: PM

    We have to ensure that our future is both technically strong and ethically sound, Our future should have innovation as well as inclusion: PM

    Posted On: 15 OCT 2024 1:07PM by PIB Delhi

    The Prime Minister, Shri Narendra Modi inaugurated the International Telecommunication Union – World Telecommunication Standardization Assembly (WTSA) 2024 at Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi today. Shri Modi also inaugurated the 8th edition of India Mobile Congress during the programme. He took a walkthrough of the exhibition showcased on the occasion.

    Addressing the gathering, the Prime Minister welcomed the Union Minister for Communication Shri Jyotiradiya Scindia, Minister of State for Communication Shri Chandrasekhar  Pemmasani, Secretary General of  ITU Ms. Doreen Bogdan-Martin, Ministers & dignitaries of various foreign countries, industry leaders, telecom experts, youths from the Startup world and ladies and gentlemen to the WTSA and India Mobile Congress (IMC). Welcoming the dignitaries of ITU, Shri Modi thanked and appreciated them for choosing India as the destination for the first WTSA meeting. “India is one among the most happening countries when it comes to telecom and its related technologies”, exclaimed Shri Modi. Listing the achievements of India, Shri Modi said that India had a mobile phone user base of 120 crores or 1200 million, 95 crore or 950 million internet users and digital transactions of more than 40% of the entire world in real-time. He further added that India had showcased how digital connectivity had become an effective tool for the last mile delivery. He congratulated everyone for choosing India as the destination for discussing the global telecommunication standard and discussion on the future for telecom as a global good. 

    Highlighting the significance of the combined organization of WTSA and India Mobile Congress, the Prime Minister said that WTSA’s objective is to work on global standards while the role of India Mobile Congress is associated with services. He said that today’s event brings global standards and services on a single platform. Emphasizing India’s focus on quality service and standards, the Prime Minister said that WTSA’s experience would provide new energy to India. 

    The Prime Minister underlined that WTSA empowers the world via consensus and while India Mobile Congress strengthens the world through connectivity. Therefore, Shri Modi said, consensus and connectivity are conjoined in this event. He stressed the need for the combination in today’s world which is marred by conflict and said that India has been living through the immortal message of Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam. He mentioned the G20 Summit presided by India and spoke about relaying the message of ‘One Earth One Family One Future’. The Prime Minister emphasized that India is engaged in bringing the world out of conflict and connecting it. “Be it the ancient silk route or today’s technology route, India’s only mission is to connect the world and open new doors of progress”, the Prime Minister remarked. In such a situation, said the Prime Minister, this partnership of WTSA and IMC is a great message where local and global combine to bring the benefits not to just one country but the entire world.

    “India’s mobile and telecom journey in the 21st century is a subject of study for the whole world”, exclaimed Shri Modi. He added that while mobile and telecom were seen as a facility across the world, however, telecom was not just a medium of connectivity, but a medium of equity and opportunity in India. The Prime Minister remarked that telecom as a medium was helping in bridging the gap between villages and cities, rich and poor today. Reminiscing his presentation, a decade ago, on vision of Digital India, Shri Modi remarked that he had stated that India had to move forward with a holistic approach as against a piece-meal approach. Shri Modi listed out the four pillars of Digital India – Low-priced devices, extensive reach of digital connectivity to every nook and corner of the country, easily accessible data and goal of ‘Digital First’, which were identified and worked upon simultaneously, leading to good results.

    The Prime Minister highlighted India’s transformative achievements in connectivity and telecom reforms and emphasized how the country has built a robust network of thousands of mobile towers across remote tribal, hilly, and border areas, ensuring connectivity for every household. He said that the government has created a strong network of mobile towers across the country. The Prime Minister underscored the remarkable advancements in infrastructure, including the rapid installation of Wi-Fi facilities at public places like railway stations and the connection of islands like Andaman-Nicobar and Lakshadweep through undersea cables. “In just 10 years, India has laid optical fiber which is eight times the distance between Earth and the Moon”, he added. Shri Modi also pointed out India’s rapid adoption of 5G technology and said that 5G technology was launched two years ago and today nearly every district is connected, making India the world’s second-largest 5G market. He further mentioned that India is already progressing towards 6G technology, ensuring a future-ready infrastructure.

    Discussing telecom sector reforms, the Prime Minister noted India’s efforts in lowering data costs. He said that the cost of internet data in India is now as low as 12 cents per GB compared to many countries in the world where one GB of data is 10 to 20 times more expensive. “Today, every Indian consumes about 30 GB of data on an average every month”, he said.

    Shri Modi noted that all such efforts have been taken to a new scale by the fourth pillar i.e. the spirit of digital first. He underlined that India democratized digital technology and created digital platforms  where innovations on these platforms created millions of new opportunities. Shri Modi highlighted the transformative power of the JAM Trinity—Jan Dhan, Aadhaar, and Mobile—saying it has laid the foundation for countless innovations. He mentioned Unified Payments Interface (UPI) which has provided new opportunities for many companies and also spoke about ONDC which will revolutionize digital commerce. The Prime Minister pointed out the role of digital platforms during the COVID-19 pandemic ensuring seamless processes such as financial transfers to those in need, real-time communication of guidelines, vaccination drive  and handing out digital vaccine certificates. Reflecting on India’s success, the Prime Minister expressed the nation’s willingness to share its digital public infrastructure experience globally. The Prime Minister said India’s digital bouquet can elevate welfare schemes worldwide highlighting India’s emphasis on  Digital Public Infrastructure during G20 Presidency. He underlined that the nation is happy to share its DPI knowledge with all countries.

    Emphasizing the importance of Network of women initiative during the WTSA, Shri Modi highlighted that India was working very seriously on women led development. He added that the commitment was taken forward during India’s presidency of G-20. The Prime Minister underlined that India was working towards the goal of making the technology sector inclusive by empowering the women through technology platforms. He highlighted the crucial role of women scientists in India’s Space missions, rising number of women co-founders in India’s start-ups. The Prime minister also noted that there was a 40 percent share of women students in India’s STEM education and India was creating umpteen opportunities for women in technology leadership. Shri Modi also highlighted the Namo Drone Didi program of the Government, to promote drone revolution in agriculture, was being led by women from villages in India. He added that India also started the Bank Sakhi program to take digital banking and digital payments to every home which had led to digital awareness. Highlighting the critical role of Asha and Anganwadi workers in India’s primary healthcare, maternity and child care, Shri Modi remarked that today these workers were tracking all the work through tabs and apps. He added that India was also running the Mahila E-Haat program, an online marketing platform for women entrepreneurs. He further added that it was unimaginable that today women of India in every village were working on such technology. Shri Modi expressed hope that in the times to come, India will expand its scope further where every daughter of India would be a tech leader.

    The Prime Minister reiterated the importance of establishing a global framework for digital technology. He emphasized that this topic was raised by India during its G-20 Presidency and urged global institutions to recognize its significance for global governance. “The time has come for global institutions to accept the importance of global governance”, PM Modi stated. Stressing the need to create a ‘Do’s and Don’ts’ for technology on the global level, the Prime Minister highlighted the borderless nature of digital tools and applications and urged for international collaboration in combating cyber threats and collective action by global institutions. He drew parallels with the aviation sector which already has well-established frameworks. PM Modi called upon the WTSA to take a proactive role in creating a secure digital ecosystem and safe channel for telecommunication. “In an interconnected world, security cannot be an afterthought. India’s Data Protection Act and National Cyber Security Strategy reflect our commitment to building a safe digital environment”, he noted. The Prime Minister urged the members of the assembly to create standards that are inclusive, secure, and adaptable to future challenges, including ethical AI and data privacy standards that respect the diversity of nations.

    The Prime Minister emphasized the need for a human-centric dimension to the ongoing technological revolution, calling for responsible and sustainable innovation. He said that the standards set today will determine the direction of the future, stressing that principles of security, dignity and equity should be at the center of our discussions. He said our goal should be that no country, no region and no community is left behind in this digital transformation and underscored the need for innovation balanced with inclusion. He urged to ensure that the future is technically strong as well as ethically sound with innovation as well as inclusion. Concluding the address, the Prime Minister conveyed his best wishes for the success of WTSA and also extended his support.

    Union Minister for Communication, Shri Jyotiraditya Scindia and Union Minister of State for Communication, Shri Chandrasekhar  Pemmasani were present on the occasion along with various industry leaders.

    Background

    World Telecommunication Standardization Assembly or WTSA is the governing conference for the standardization work of International Telecommunication Union, the United Nations Agency for Digital Technologies, organized every four years. It is for the first time that the ITU-WTSA will be hosted in India and the Asia-Pacific. It is a pivotal global event that will bring together more than 3,000 industry leaders, policy-makers and tech experts from over 190 countries, representing telecom, digital and ICT sectors.

    WTSA 2024 will provide a platform for countries to discuss and decide the future of standards of next-generation critical technologies like 6G, AI, IoT, Big Data, cybersecurity, etc. Hosting this event in India will provide the country an opportunity to play a key role in shaping the global telecom agenda and to set the course for future technologies. Indian startups and research institutions are set to gain critical insights into developing Intellectual Property Rights and Standard Essential Patents.

    India Mobile Congress will showcase India’s innovation ecosystem, where leading telecom companies and innovators will highlight advancements in  Quantum technology and Circular Economy along with spotlight on 6G, 5G use-case showcase, cloud & edge computing, IoT, semiconductors, cybersecurity, green tech, satcom and electronics manufacturing.

    India Mobile Congress, Asia’s largest digital technology forum, has become a well-known platform across the globe for showcasing innovative solutions, services and state-of-the-art use cases for industry, government, academics, startups and other key stakeholders in the technology and telecom ecosystem. The India Mobile Congress will showcase over 400 exhibitors, about 900 startups, and participation from over 120 countries. The event also aims to showcase more than 900 technology use case scenarios, host more than 100 sessions and discussion with over 600 global and Indian speakers.

     

     

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    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Text of Vice-President’s address at Inaugural Session of the International Conference for CA Members at Birla Auditorium, Jaipur

    Source: Government of India (2)

    Very good morning to all of you,

    I have a long association with your fraternity, I am one of you.

    I am absolutely delighted to be amongst you all. I take it as a great privilege and honour to address such a powerful group that is destined to shape the destiny of this nation. 

    Respected dignitaries, esteemed members, and everyone present here. 

    To be at the inaugural session and to connect with you is like generating a connect with the economy of the nation, with the industry of the nation, with trade of the nation, with commerce of the nation, with professionals of the nation, and anyone and everyone who matters. Thank you for this rare opportunity. 

    Chartered accountants are unsung heroes but now their presence is being felt. The past unsung stories are getting louder and louder in high decibels, resonating in our ears for the larger good of the nation. You make stakeholders in our growth trajectory more relevant and accountable. In an era of rapid globalisation, economic interconnectedness is imperative. By virtue of your training, your intellect, and experience, you are a real bridge, you are watchdogs and guardians of financial integrity. 

    When that book was given to me, what I wrote?, I will reveal. Be a beacon of transparency and accountability, and you are one. This transparency is not just a statutory requirement, a ritualistic formality. It is the very foundation of trust in our financial systems by providing sound financial advice and strategic insights, and I am aware, you alone are capable of do it by hand-holding young entrepreneurs. You enable businesses to make informed decisions, sometimes innovative decisions. You generate in them a futuristic outlook, and thus you act as catalysts for growth and innovation, both of which are good pillars of governance. 

    India’s remarkable economic journey has made impact globally. We have exponential economic upsurge, taking the nation to be the fifth-largest global economy, on the way to becoming the third one ahead of Germany and Japan but our target is very different, and the Prime Minister has unfolded his vision. The vision is, we have to be a developed nation, no one knows better than this category of people here what is meant by a developed nation.

    The challenge is daunting but achievable, given our expertise in human resources and we will have to undertake a journey by making our per capita income eight-fold. A challenge we will surely meet.

    क्योंकि पूरे देश में एक बहुत बड़ा हवन हो रहा है। वह हवन है विकसित भारत के लिए। उसका लक्ष्य है 2047 में भारत का विकसित होना। उस हवन में हर किसी की आहुति की आवश्यकता है, मेरे मन में कोई शंका नहीं है यदि पूर्ण आहुति कोई देगा, तो वह आपकी fraternity देगी।

    We have made remarkable progress in the World Bank’s ease of doing business rankings and this is a testament to the collective efforts of various stakeholders, important among them being chartered accountants fraternity. 

    Dear friends, we are the only country in the world that has a civilisational ethos of 5,000 years. Ethics is in our blood, ethics is our DNA and you know it more than I do that ethics in accounting and auditing are the cornerstone of trust and demand unwavering commitment to ethical practices. There can be no calibration of it, it has to be 100%. It is not optional, it is the only way. 

    In this digital age, the landscape of accounting and auditing is evolving rapidly as was indicated, artificial intelligence, blockchain, machine learning, data analytics, and the other technologies which we club as disruptive technologies. You will be happy to note that India is amongst the countries in single digits who are bestowing attention on this critical aspect. 

    Only yesterday, the governor of the Reserve Bank of India cautioned what has been indicated here also. We have to keep artificial intelligence in captivity rather than being its captive. Artificial intelligence and the kind are challenges and opportunities, we have to convert these challenges into opportunities. I have no doubt that the organisation will take all steps in this direction.

    The harmonisation of Indian accounting standards with international financial reporting standards is a significant step, for which I congratulate you. Chartered accountants are just not numbers. I remember a situation when I was a lawyer, they used to say, anecdotally, chartered accountancy मे पास होना मुश्किल है और वकालत में फेल होना मुश्किल है, आजकल हालत बहुत बदल गए हैं और लीगल एजुकेशन भी आपकी तरह बहुत प्रोफेशनल हो गया है मैं मेरे जमाने की बात कर रहा हूं।  Chartered accountants are not just number crunchers or compliance officers. Your job is not mechanical, I would go to the extent of saying that your job is emotive also because we know sometimes industrial houses, and in our country they are normally partnership-driven or family-driven. Someone labelled to me, when I was a member of the International Court of Arbitration at Paris,  It was indicated to me India has unique concept of corporates, and that is family corporates. You have a challenge to keep it in harmony, to see it doesn’t become dysfunctional, it doesn’t get into disruption groove and I am sure you know it more than I do. 

    More often than not it is behind the scenes. It is crucial in building a strong, transparent, and vibrant economy. Now, for us, challenge is very different because we are on the rise as never before, and our rise is unstoppable. Our rise is on an incremental trajectory and when you are in such a flight for the economy, you have to be extra careful that can be done only by your organisation. 

    First, and I would urge, a collective, nationalistic outlook is the very basis of economic prosperity. Which I assume all of you are primarily interested in because it doesn’t require much explanation. We cannot be pyramidical, we have to be plateau, that’s our culture. We take everyone along with us. That is why in G20 we gave the word of motto: One world, one family, one future ‘Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam’.

    Our national discourse needs more conversation about this nationalistic outlook because today, more than ever, we need our citizens to be nationalistic. How can we, in this country, ever imagine that we will have partisan interest, personal interest, fiduciary interest, self-interest, ahead of national interest? That we see quite often. You can take a great lead very successfully in this direction. After braving many challenges, we have come a long way, from a ship-to-mouth country to the world’s fastest-growing large economy in a few generations’ time. With this rise, internal and external challenges grow. 

    I was elected to parliament in 1989, and I know the situation then. Our foreign exchange reserve, with which you all are concerned, was around 1 billion US dollars. सोने की चिड़िया कहलाने वाले देश का सोना स्विट्जरलैंड के दो बैंकों में गिरवी रखना पड़ा। It was shipped by air to sustain our credibility and what a proud moment at the moment! Our foreign exchange reserves are more than 700 billion. That’s a great accomplishment. 

    Therefore, the greatest challenge I must advert to is a challenge that is growing day by day. The challenge has taken menacing proportions, it is alarmingly worrisome, and that is narratives and efforts are afoot to upset our social cohesion. We, therefore, all have to work with passion and in missionary mode to build a cohesive society that thinks in nationalistic terms and is not ridden by factions of caste, creed, colour, culture, conviction, and cuisines.

    We are all absorbing, let me describe the scene. We as a majority are all-embracing, we as a majority are tolerant, we as a majority generate a soothing ecosystem and we have a counterpoint writing on the wall the other kind of majority that is brute, ruthless, reckless in its functioning, believes in trampling all values of the other side. The difference has to be noticed.

    Friends, when you think as a citizen of this great civilisational state Bharat, home to one-sixth of humanity and a place known in the world for incredible human genius, we will have to leave behind the narrow parochial divisions. A citizen with a nationalistic outlook will have no difficulty in embracing diversity, he or she celebrates this country’s glorious past regardless of his or her faith, because that is our shared cultural heritage. हमारे shared cultural heritage पर कुठाराघात हो रहा है, उसको हमारी कमजोरी बताने का प्रयास हो रहा है उसके तहत देश को ध्वस्त करने की योजना बनी हुई है ऐसी ताकतों पर वैचारिक और मानसिक प्रतिघात होना चाहिए।

    The people before me are nerve centres and epicentres of this wholesome narrative. Such unity and cohesion is the very basis of economic prosperity. We are having exponential growth, our developmental journey in infrastructure has the world stunned. Global institutions, the IMF, the World Bank, are accolading India for a variety of reasons, digitisation in particular but this economic rise becomes fragile when social unity is disturbed when the fervour of nationalism dies when anti-national forces within and without generate in this country divisiveness. We have to be mindful of that. 

    Our society is known through centuries to hand-hold the challenged, the marginalised, the vulnerable, the weaker. It is soothing to note that a number of government schemes have generated an ecosystem where everyone now can exploit his or her potential, realise dreams, and fructify aspirations but your role is also enormous in that, and I am sure, like all you have done so far, this too will be addressed. 

    No one has the right to take the law into one’s hands. That is universal, there was a time when some people thought they were above the law, they were privileged. कानून उनका कुछ नहीं बिगाड़ सकता, कानून के हाथ उन तक नहीं पहुंच सकते उन हालात में बड़ा बदलाव आ गया है। जब बदलाव आ गया है तो भी आज के दिन हम देख रहे हैं जिम्मेदार लोग संवैधानिक पदों पर बैठे लोग कानून की परवाह नहीं करते, देश की परवाह नहीं करते कुछ भी बोल देते हैं और वह ऐसे ही नहीं बोलते This is emerging as a sinister design, well-structured by forces that are inimical to India. 

    तो आप जो इतना कर रहे हो और जिसके नतीजे आज के दिन हर भारतीय सुखद तरीके से महसूस कर रहा है उसको चकनाचूर करने की जो योजना कुछ लोग बना रहे हैं हमारी प्रगति उनको पच नहीं रही है। We can’t be crazy for political power, political power has to emanate from the people. It has to emanate from the people through a democratic process that is sanctified. 

    I will make an appeal to you in particular because that is the brief you alone can handle and that is economic nationalism. Imagine the fate of this country, billions of foreign exchange is being drained out every year by engaging in avoidable imports – shirts, trousers, shoes, carpets, furniture, kites, diya, toys, and what not. We are inflicting three things.

    We are depriving our people of work, we are draining our foreign exchange, we are blunting entrepreneurship. Now imports of avoidable items are being done by whom? Those who place their fiscal gain ahead of national interest. 

    I appeal to you, no fiscal gain, irrespective of quantum, can be justification for avoidable imports. Your fraternity can play a big role, it will be a great service to the nation. 

    Second, no one knows better than you do when raw material is exported outside the country. Iron ore, for instance, go to Paradip Port. We declare to the world we are not capable of adding value to it. Why should our raw material go beyond the shores of this country without value addition? If we add value, we will certainly be generating employment, entrepreneurship will blossom.  You have a great role to play, no one can play that role more than you can because you to hand-hold the entrepreneur that what you are making in your cosy rooms, you will make much more. Get sublime satisfaction, and you will be contributing to national welfare. I am sure this must be handled by you by brainstorming. 

    Friends, optimum utilisation of natural resources, you know it, you have to curb it. Our economic prowess, our financial strength cannot be a determining factor as to how he or she will utilise natural resources. They are trustees. Let us focus on that. 

    Friends, I am happy that this outfit is at par with global standards and in some areas, in the lead, speaking of change, we must embrace the growing demand for ESG audits as a significant opportunity for our profession with stakeholders increasingly prioritising environmental sustainability, auditors could access a company’s ESG performance and ensure compliance with regulations. 

    I have no doubt, and everyone will agree and young girls, short-sighted accountants will agree immediately.अपने पास रहने के लिए धरती के अलावा और कोई प्लेनेट नहीं है। We have to pass it on to future generations, at least in some repairing mode, we have done enough damage to it.

    I am before audience that has a huge potential to generate a sustain economy, give it cutting edge through innovation and research. Global economies have prospered because they are engaged in research and development. 

    CSR has to be in a motivational groove. You have to nurture research that will give the entire nation a greater respect in the world. When in research and innovation we are ahead of others, that gives cutting edge to our soft diplomacy also. I have said all this because the organisers have very wisely, thoughtfully, given a theme for this conference.

    ‘Synthesizing The Profession’ that is need. We have to be in sync, we have to be in synergy, we have to be in synthesis. We have to work in tandem and togetherness. We all are stakeholders because we swim or sink together that feeling has to come. 

    Chartered accountants, I have no doubt, are the nerve centre and epicentre of big change. You can bring the change which you believe. I have no doubt, no legal transgressions can take place. There can be no dilution of transparency and accountability unless the chartered accountant looks the other way. You have seen global giants in chartered accountancy collapsing for ingratiating with the client management. Management and stakeholders, shareholders, the difference has to be understood. The trust of the stakeholders, the shareholders, is in your hands. It is your mandate, your ordainment, your obligation to see that the management is kept close to ethics, optimal utilisation, and giving the best to the shareholders. 

    Your role in combating corruption, uncovering malfunctions, and detecting corporate frauds is much beyond any investigating agency. They have to learn it, you know it so seamlessly that you are like a duck taking to water.  Investigating agencies have to learn, they learn through you that is an area we must focus on. 

    Tax evasion and financial frauds, they may help some, these days they don’t help anyone. The long arm of the law is working in an overzealous manner to serve the country, to see that such kinds of people who seek to monetise fraud, corruption, scams for fiscal gain, are learning their lesson the hard way. You are custodians and watchdogs, and therefore you cannot even for a moment take reprieve from this duty. This is not a duty emanating from your statute, its duty emanating from you being the citizen of this country, and therefore, please engage in this area. 

    In a country like ours, ethics is non-negotiable. घर के अंदर भी देखिए, बड़े बुजुर्ग पहले कोई गलत काम नहीं होने देते थे, अचानक घर के अंदर ज्यादा संपन्नता आ गई। पूछते थे कैसे आ गई? अब उन बड़े बुजुर्गों का काम तो आप लोग करते हैं I am sure you will do it. 

    Friends, I will be availing myself of this opportunity because I take you to be beyond chartered accountants. I take you as very responsible citizens of this great nation. India, Bharat, is a stabilising global force. This force has to emerge, this century has to belong to Bharat, and that will be good for humanity, that will contribute to peace and harmony on the planet. Therefore, it will be a national disservice of extremity if we turn Nielsen’s eye to the dangers of demographic upheavals that are taking place in this country. Organic, natural demographic change is never upsetting but a demographic change brought about in a strategic manner to achieve an object offers a scene that is frightening. 

    Analysing this menacing development over the last few decades will turn out to be an eye-opener. Take any state and you will find demographic change has a pattern. That pattern offers a challenge to our values, to our civilisational ethos, to our democracy. If this challenge, which is alarmingly worrisome, is not addressed in a systemic manner, it will graduate to an existential challenge. It has happened in the world. I need not name countries that have lost their identity 100% because of this demographic disorder, demographic earthquake. Demographic disorder is no less severe in consequences than a nuclear bomb. Mind you, young boys and girls in particular who are chartered accountants, mine is a moderate statement. You look at the global landscape and you will find the devastating consequences in the shape of loss of human rights, human values, democracy being the last option. 

    In some countries, even the developed world is feeling its heat but in our country, when we seek to address this draconian problem, there are voices that talk on a different level. Every one of us and each one of us has to be alive 24×7 to ensure this does not happen anymore. There is a proverb that says, if you are going in the wrong lane, you are not on the right path. The first thing is you must immediately stop and then contemplate taking a U-turn. The more you delay in taking a U-turn, you are creating your problems, not arithmetically but geometrically. 

    Look at our culture, our inclusivity and unity in diversity are facets of affirmative, positive social order, very soothing. We are for all with open arms and what is happening? This is being shaken and severely compromised by these demographic dislocations, evil design divisiveness on the plank of caste and the like also. 

    Let me slightly elaborate, demographic dislocation is turning out to be a fortress of political impregnability in democracy when it comes to elections in some areas. We have seen this change in the country so much is the demographic change that the area becomes a political fortress. Democracy has no meaning, elections have no meaning at all. Who will be elected turns out to be a foregone conclusion and this area in our country, unfortunately friends, is increasing. We must be alive to this danger. We owe it to our future generations that this civilisation that has ethos of 5000 years, its essence, its sublimity, its spirituality, its religiosity cannot be allowed to be destroyed before our eyes. Therefore, please think about it.

    I would say this is a monster, this monster is unregulated, this monster is being propagated by people who we take as wise people. Some in politics have no difficulty in sacrificing national interest for next day’s newspaper headline or getting some minor petty partisan interest served. 

    Friends, I have no doubt that you all will share my sentiment that all these misadventures to change the landscape of this land have to be neutralised by exemplification to preserve our roots and basics. We see all around there are some champions only of grammar of anarchy. They do it as a design, as a strategy. They orchestrate a narrative. Wings are given to the narrative. It is unregulated. 

    I will appeal to you, time for all of us to be aware of it. India’s 5 trillion economy, we are close to it. There will be more in the line that’s what we are going to do.

    I thought, If I don’t share my mind with people who have the capacity to change and the only constant in life is change, we must not be allowed by involuntary change, we must be the architect of change, we must script the change. 

    Let us have the change which we believe. Let us aspire for a change that fits in our civilisational ethos. I am grateful for your time. 

    Thank you so much. 

    ****

    JK/RC/SM

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Banking: African Development Bank Civil Society Engagement Action Plan 2024-2028

    Source: African Development Bank Group

    What:       African Development Bank Civil Society Engagement Action Plan 2024-2028

    Who:        African Development Bank Group

    When:      Tuesday, 15 October 2024, 10:00 am – 12:00 pm (GMT)

    Where:     African Development Bank Headquarters, Abidjan, and Online

    Agenda

    The African Development Bank invites you to join a webinar to unveil its new Civil Society Engagement Action Plan 2024-2028. The event will take place both in person at the Bank’s headquarters in Abidjan and online on October 15 and October 17 at 10 am GMT each day.

    The Civil Society Engagement (CSE) Action Plan reaffirms the Bank’s commitment to fostering an inclusive Africa through active collaboration with civil society organizations (CSOs).

    Developed through a participatory and multi-stakeholder process, the Action Plan aims to:

    • Create an enabling environment for CSOs: Promote the growth and development of CSOs across Africa.
    • Mainstream CSO engagement: Integrate CSO perspectives into the Bank’s policies and operations.
    • Generate knowledge and enhance policy dialogue: Foster evidence-based policymaking and advocacy.

    Through close collaboration with civil society organizations, the Bank seeks to address the needs of vulnerable communities, promote social justice, and contribute to sustainable development across the continent.

    Session details:

    Click here for more information

    MIL OSI Global Banks –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Global: Alex Salmond: Scotland’s first nationalist leader and a tireless campaigner for independence

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Murray Leith, Professor of Political Science and Director of the Centre for Migration, Diaspora, Citizenship and Identity, University of the West of Scotland

    Alex Salmond, possibly one of the most famous Scottish politicians of recent decades, and certainly the best-known face of the Scottish National Party (SNP), has died at the age of 69.

    The former first minister of Scotland, a long-standing member of the Westminster parliament and a member of the Scottish parliament, he led the SNP from a small, fringe party within Westminster to become the ruling party of the Scottish government. He was the first Scottish nationalist first minister of Scotland, a post he would hold from 2007 to 2014.

    Salmond was born, raised and educated in Scotland. It was while he was a student at St Andrews University that he joined the university branch of the Federation of Student Nationalists in December 1973. As one of only two fully paid-up members of the SNP at the university, he became the branch president.

    After graduation, and a couple of years as a civil servant, Salmond moved to the Royal Bank of Scotland and became an economics expert, with a focus on oil. Yet, throughout this career he remained an active and committed member of the SNP.

    Leftwing in his views, he was part of the 79 Group, a small faction of the SNP that was very critical of the then leadership, and which advocated a more leftwing stance for the party as a whole. He, along with others, was briefly expelled from the SNP in 1982, but was allowed back in a month later.

    By 1985, Salmon was a senior figure in the SNP. His political career truly began in 1987, when he defeated the incumbent Conservative in Banff and Buchan in 1987 to become the consituency’s Westminster MP. He would win re-election four times, and then be elected to Holyrood, all from the north-east of Scotland, for the next three decades.

    SNP leadership and independence referendum

    Salmond first became leader of the SNP in 1990, and he showed his significant skills as a political strategist on the UK-wide stage. From here, he would become a very visible and recognisable face for the SNP, and for Scotland.

    It would be the advent of devolution in 1997, and the creation of the Scottish parliament in 1999 that would change the face of Scottish politics and allow Salmond to reach new heights. But there were many bumps along the way. Just a year into the life of the brand new parliament, Salmond suddenly stood down as SNP leader. There were rumours of fallouts with other leading figures.

    Salmond would, however, return as leader in 2004, replacing John Swinney (currently the first minister) after a poor showing for the SNP in Scottish parliament elections. As he was an MP and not an MSP at the time, the party at Holyrood was led by Nicola Sturgeon, at the time a longtime ally.

    Not only did he return as an MSP, but the SNP became the largest party in the Scottish parliament by one seat in 2007. It formed a minority government with Salmond as first minister and Sturgeon as his deputy.

    Another milestone was reached in 2011, when Salmond would lead the SNP in winning a majority within the Scottish parliament, a task everyone thought impossible given the voting system was, arguably, specifically designed to avoid such outcomes. This win led Salmond to begin negotiations with the UK government of David Cameron to hold a referendum on Scottish independence.

    In perhaps one of Salmond’s most effective moments, he came away with an agreement that allowed him many of his specific objectives – a single question on the ballot and a long lead in, of two years, before the referendum itself. Only ten years after he had returned as leader, he led the SNP to a referendum outcome where 45% of voters said yes to independence, a much larger figure than many thought possible.

    However, this was still a loss, and Salmond resigned as party leader the next day. He then returned to Westminster in 2015 but lost his seat in 2017.

    Further problems arose for Salmond in 2018, when allegations of sexual assault were made, and he resigned from the SNP after being a member for 45 years. Despite being cleared at a trial in 2020 of 14 charges, his relationship with the SNP, and his personal relationships with Sturgeon and other leading SNP figures, were badly damaged.

    He directly blamed Sturgeon and her husband, SNP chief executive Peter Murrell, for the way in which he was treated. He took the Scottish government to court over the handling of the accusations and won a substantial payout of half a million pounds.

    Establishing a new party

    Whether it was because of his treatment by the SNP, his disquiet at what he saw as the wrong priorities, or the inability for him to find a role after leaving as first minister, Salmond decided to establish a new political party, Alba, in 2021, only three years after leaving the SNP.

    After being on the national, and international, stage for several decades, Salmond remained committed to the political fight for Scottish independence. There were several defections from the SNP – two MPs, one MSP, and a few local councillors – but the party has never won an elected seat at any level.

    Salmond also presented a television show on Russian state broadcaster RT, a decision unpopular with many in the SNP. He also wrote as a tipster on horse racing for newspapers for many years.

    There can be little doubt that Salmond’s professional and personal lives were characterised by ups and downs. Yet the fact remains that he led the SNP to many victories, and saw them challenge the status quo and the British state in a manner unthinkable when he first became an SNP MP.

    Those present during the last few days of the 2014 referendum will remember the distinct feeling that maybe, just maybe, the SNP could pull off a win, and an independent Scotland – a dream he shared with millions of others – could be a possibility.

    Salmond reshaped the SNP, he reshaped the political landscape of Scotland, and his legacy cannot be overstated.

    Murray Leith has previously received funding from the European Union, the Scottish Government, and the UK Government. He is a member of the Electoral Reform Society.

    – ref. Alex Salmond: Scotland’s first nationalist leader and a tireless campaigner for independence – https://theconversation.com/alex-salmond-scotlands-first-nationalist-leader-and-a-tireless-campaigner-for-independence-241222

    MIL OSI – Global Reports –

    January 23, 2025
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