Category: Pandemic

  • MIL-OSI New Zealand: Online portal for COVID-19 Inquiry opens

    Source: New Zealand Government

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden is welcoming the opening of an online portal for the public to submit to the Royal Commission of Inquiry into COVID-19 Lessons Learned.

    “The portal is an easy way for members of the public to have their say to the Inquiry about how the response to the COVID-19 pandemic affected them, their families, and their businesses. The terms or reference covered by Phase 2 of the Inquiry includes the use of vaccines, lockdowns, testing, and public health materials,” says Ms van Velden.

    Last year the Government announced that there would be a second phase of the Inquiry into COVID-19 covering outstanding matters of public concern. Both the ACT-National and New Zealand First-National coalition agreements include commitments to expand the Inquiry into COVID-19. Phase 2 of the Inquiry began on 29 November and will deliver the final report in February 2026. 

    Any member of the public can submit to the Inquiry using the portal at www.covid19inquiry.nz. Submissions close at midnight on 27 April 2025.

    “I would strongly encourage New Zealanders to have their say by making a submission to the Inquiry. I look forward to seeing the final report delivered to me in February 2026.”

    The full terms of reference for Phase 2 of the Inquiry is available here: https://www.legislation.govt.nz/regulation/public/2022/0323/latest/LMS792965.html

    Note to Editors:

    The Phase 1 report is publicly available at the Royal Commission’s website. [https://www.covid19lessons.royalcommission.nz/]

    Bios for the Commissioners:

    Grant Illingworth KC (Chair)

    Mr Illingworth is a litigation specialist, and he has conducted his own practice since 1975. During this time, he has conducted a wide range of civil, criminal, and immigration cases, and tribunal proceedings. Mr Illingworth has appeared as counsel at every level of the New Zealand legal system, including in the Court of Appeal, Privy Council, and the Supreme Court.

    His area of expertise is in public law, including constitutional law, administrative law, and judicial review. He has experience in tribunal proceedings, particularly disciplinary proceedings for medical, legal, and accountancy professions. Mr Illingworth has acted as counsel in proceedings involving two constitutional crises in Fiji.

    Judy Kavanagh (Commissioner)

    Ms Kavanagh is a public policy professional with experience and expertise in evaluating evidence and in making evidence-based policy recommendations to Government. She has held Director of Inquiries roles including at the Infrastructure Commission and ten years at the Productivity Commission. She has a background in economics with a particular interest in urban economics, infrastructure pricing and policy. Ms Kavanagh worked as a lecturer in Economics for fifteen years and produced research on regulatory systems.

    Anthony Hill (Commissioner)

    Mr Hill is a practicing barrister, and has a background in health and disability sectors, having held senior positions at the Ministry of Health for 15 years. Mr Hill served as the Health and Disability Commissioner for 10 years, after six years as a Deputy Director-General of Health. This involved oversight of the funding and performance of the District Health Boards, and a range of health crown entities. He also served as the Ministry of Health’s chief legal counsel and was a solicitor with the Ministry of Commerce.

    MIL OSI New Zealand News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Donald Trump’s tariff wallop demonstrates the brute power of an imperial presidency

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Daniel Drache, Professor Emeritus, Department of Politics, York University, Canada

    As promised, United States President Donald Trump has imposed punishing tariffs on all exports from Canada and Mexico, leading to retaliatory tariffs from Canada.

    Canada’s closest ally has torn up the Canada-U.S.-Mexico trade deal negotiated only seven years ago. The rationale behind what the Wall Street Journal editorial board has called “the dumbest trade war in history” isn’t even clear.

    The pessimistic view is that if Canada doesn’t give Trump everything he wants, he will bulldoze the country with more tariffs, sanctions on banks, enhanced border inspections and even a travel ban — everything he recently threatened to do to Colombia.

    Canada’s political class is scrambling because the U.S. has long been a cultural sibling and an economic partner. But now it is toxic, threatening and untrustworthy. Will Canada sign another trade deal with Trump in office? The chances recede the longer the tariffs remain in place.

    Iron-fisted

    It’s never been more clear that Trump is obsessive, seldom a bluffer and always iron-fisted. He seems to have planned and executed this tariff bomb to cause maximum pain and chaos. Now he says the European Union is next on his list.

    Trump is counting on his new majorities in U.S. Congress to ram through his radical right populist agenda, forcing other countries to play a role in his melodrama.

    In response to Trump’s charge that the U.S. subsidizes Canadian trade, former Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper pointed out that half of America’s imported oil comes from Canada, and its price is significantly discounted due to a lack of pipeline capacity. “It’s actually Canada that subsidizes the United States in this regard,” Harper said.

    Nevertheless, Trump’s preferred foreign policy tactic is to hit first with economic sanctions and negotiate later. With his near total grip on U.S. government, he can now achieve all his aims through tariffs.




    Read more:
    Canada-U.S. tariff war: How it will impact different products and industries


    The imperial presidency

    Trump’s vision for his imperial presidency is organized around an old idea: the revenue tariff. Before income taxes, border tariffs were the primary source of income for government. But back then, government did a lot less.

    For example, America’s 19th-century navy of wooden sailing ships was purchased with tariffs. But it would be impossible to fund modern-day health care, student loans and $13 billion aircraft carriers with tariff revenues.

    A recent study by the Peterson Institute for International Economics shows the math doesn’t add up. Tariffs are levied on imported goods and are worth about US$3 trillion. American income tax is levied on incomes and are worth more than US$20 trillion. Government would have to be much smaller, and tariffs would have to be so high they would choke American trade, for tariffs to make economic sense.

    And yet Trump has a broad mandate. In the summer of 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in Trump v. United States that presidents require a broadly defined “presumptive immunity from prosecution for … official acts.”

    This decision has given Trump the legal clout to force the entire federal government to answer to the president himself.




    Read more:
    US Supreme Court immunity ruling ideal for a president who doesn’t care about democracy


    War against democracy

    Trump is using his vast new mandate to wage multiple wars simultaneously. These wars against the guardrails of liberal democracy require the punishment of his enemies inside his own party.




    Read more:
    Canada should be preparing for the end of American democracy


    Republicans who have voted against Trump legislation during his first term faced high-profile challenges in the primaries as he funded their opponents. Today, the war is waged against those who are insufficiently loyal, including the highest ranks of the Coast Guard and the FBI.

    The war against the administrative state involves the mass firing of independent inspectors, federal lawyers and thousands of civil servants to be replaced by foot soldiers personally loyal to the leader.

    The Trump administration has sent out “deferred resignation” notices that invite the entire civil service to resign. This is the tactic Trump’s key adviser, Elon Musk, implemented at X, and it suggests a wave of firings will soon begin.

    Nonsensical trade war

    The trade war against Canada and Mexico is peculiar because neither country has expressed any willingness to abolish the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which is among the achievements of Trump’s first administration.

    Nevertheless, the paranoid Trump seems to be convinced that he got a raw deal in 2018, and so he wants to scrap the whole treaty and negotiate something tougher that brings more jobs home.

    In 2024, the cars that were ranked most “American” in terms of their content and final assembly were made by Tesla, Honda and Volkswagen. By comparison, the best-selling the Dodge Ram 1500 pickup truck ranked No. 43 on the list. What Trump considers American and non-American isn’t clear, even to voters.

    A new Bank of Canada forecast predicts that American tariffs may reduce Canadian GDP by six per cent. The federal government is planning an enormous bailout package to compensate for widespread job losses like the one offered to businesses and individuals during the pandemic.

    Unsurprisingly, Trump divides Canada’s leadership. Alberta and Saskatchewan have publicly criticized the Team Canada approach. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith refused to sign the joint federal/provincial statement and played to her secessionist base.




    Read more:
    Why Alberta’s Danielle Smith is rejecting the Team Canada approach to Trump’s tariff threats


    Even so, former Alberta premier Jason Kenney recognizes the peril, arguing that Alberta needs to “be prepared to retaliate … we can’t be wusses about this; we have to have a spine.”

    What’s next?

    Canada is an export-led economy based on natural resources. Its strength lies not in refusing to buy California wine or Florida orange juice. Its main sources of leverage are oil and gas, potash and uranium, rare earth minerals, timber products and hydroelectric power. But of all these, oil, uranium, and hydro-electric power are Canada’s biggest guns.

    It’s not yet clear how effective the Canadian government’s strategy will be. Previous rounds of retaliation after the steel and aluminum tariffs in Trump’s first term did not drive him to the negotiating table. It’s also unclear what the CEOs of Canada’s branch-plant multinational corporations will do when their loyalties are divided between Trump and Canada.

    Furthermore, it’s anyone’s guess how much the dissent of western Canadian premiers has hurt Canada’s case with Trump. Certainly, his preferred tactic is to divide and conquer.

    Finally, it’s unclear if Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s “Captain Canada” approach will earn the respect or disdain of Republicans — although, ultimately, it doesn’t matter what the rest of the American political class thinks because Trump and his inner circle are calling all the shots.

    In practical terms, there is little Canada can do to address the false accusations that it’s complicit in the illicit drug trade and in migrants crossing the border into the U.S. Facts don’t matter to Trump. He will eventually come up with a demand, and if Canada doesn’t give in, he will ramp up the economic pain.

    Welcome to the post-liberal world order.

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Donald Trump’s tariff wallop demonstrates the brute power of an imperial presidency – https://theconversation.com/donald-trumps-tariff-wallop-demonstrates-the-brute-power-of-an-imperial-presidency-247524

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-Evening Report: Pregnant women can now get a free RSV shot. What other vaccines do you need when you’re expecting?

    Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Archana Koirala, Paediatrician and Infectious Diseases Specialist, University of Sydney

    voronaman/Shutterstock

    From today, February 3, pregnant women in Australia will be eligible for a free RSV vaccine under the National Immunisation Program.

    This vaccine is designed to protect young infants from severe RSV (respiratory syncytial virus). It does so by generating the production of antibodies against RSV in the mother, which then travel across the placenta to the baby.

    While the RSV vaccine is a new addition to the National Immunisation Program, it’s one of three vaccines provided free for pregnant women under the program, alongside ones for influenza and whooping cough. Each offers important protection for newborn babies.

    The RSV vaccine

    RSV is the most common cause of lower respiratory infections (bronchiolitis and pneumonia) in infants. It’s estimated that of every 100 infants born in Australia each year, at least two will be hospitalised with RSV by six months of age.

    RSV infection is most common roughly between March and August in the southern hemisphere, but infection can occur year-round, especially in tropical areas.

    The vaccine works by conferring passive immunity (from the mother) as opposed to active immunity (the baby’s own immune response). By the time the baby is born, their antibodies are sufficient to protect them during the first months of life when they are most vulnerable to severe RSV disease.

    The RSV vaccine registered for use in pregnant women in Australia, Abrysvo, has been used since 2023 in the Americas and Europe. Real-world experience there shows it’s working well.

    For example, over the 2024 RSV season in Argentina, it was found to prevent 72.7% of lower respiratory tract infections caused by RSV and requiring hospitalisation in infants aged 0–3 months, and 68% among those aged 0–6 months. This research noted three deaths from RSV, all in infants whose mothers did not receive the RSV vaccine during pregnancy.

    This was similar to protection seen in a large multinational clinical trial that compared babies born to mothers who received this RSV vaccine with babies born to mothers who received a placebo. This study found the vaccine prevented 82.4% of severe cases of RSV in infants aged under three months, and 70% under six months, and that the vaccine was safe.

    Vaccinating mothers during pregnancy protects the newborn baby.
    StoryTime Studio/Shutterstock

    In addition to the maternal vaccine, nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody, provides effective protection against severe RSV disease. It’s delivered to the baby by an intramuscular injection, usually in the thigh.

    Nirsevimab is recommended for babies born to women who did not receive an RSV vaccine during pregnancy, or who are born within two weeks of their mother having received the shot (most likely if they’re born prematurely). It may also be recommended for babies who are at higher risk of RSV due to a medical condition, even if their mother was vaccinated.

    Nirsevimab is not funded under the National Immunisation Program, but is covered under various state and territory-based programs for infants of mothers who fall into the above categories.

    But now we have a safe and effective RSV vaccine for pregnancy, all pregnant women should be encouraged to receive it as the first line of prevention. This will maximise the number of babies protected during their first months of life.

    Flu and whooping cough

    It’s also important pregnant women continue to receive flu and whooping cough vaccines in 2025. Like the RSV vaccine, these protect infants by passing antibodies from mother to baby.

    There has been a large whooping cough outbreak in Australia in recent months, including a death of a two-month-old infant in Queensland in November 2024.

    The whooping cough vaccine, given in combination with diphtheria and tetanus, prevents more than 90% of whooping cough cases in babies too young to receive their first whooping cough vaccine dose.

    Similarly, influenza can be deadly in young babies, and maternal flu vaccination substantially reduces hospital visits associated with influenza for babies under six months. Flu can also be serious for pregnant women, so the vaccine offers important protection for the mother as well.

    COVID vaccines are safe in pregnancy, but unless a woman is otherwise eligible, they’re not routinely recommended. You can discuss this with your health-care provider.

    When and where can you get vaccinated?

    Pregnant women can receive these vaccines during antenatal visits through their GP or in a specialised antenatal clinic.

    The flu vaccine is recommended at any time during pregnancy, the whooping cough vaccine from 20 weeks (ideally before 32 weeks), and the RSV vaccine from 28 weeks (before 36 weeks).

    It’s safe to receive multiple vaccinations at the same clinic visit.

    The RSV vaccine is now available for pregnant women under the National Immunisation Program.
    Olga Rolenko/Shutterstock

    We know vaccination rates have declined in a variety of groups since the pandemic, and there’s evidence emerging that suggests this trend has occurred in pregnant women too.

    A recent preprint (a study yet to be peer-reviewed) found a decrease of nearly ten percentage points in flu vaccine coverage among pregnant women in New South Wales, from 58.8% in 2020 to 49.1% in 2022. The research showed a smaller drop of 1.4 percentage points for whooping cough, from 79% in 2020 to 77.6% in 2022.

    It’s important to work to improve vaccination rates during pregnancy to give babies the best protection in their first months of life.

    We know pregnant women would like to receive information about new and routine maternal vaccines early in pregnancy. In particular, many pregnant women want to understand how vaccines are tested for safety, and their effectiveness, which was evident during COVID.

    GPs and midwives are trusted sources of information on vaccines in pregnancy. There’s also information available online on Sharing Knowledge About Immunisation, a collaboration led by the National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance.

    Archana Koirala is the chair of the Vaccination Special Interest Group and an executive member of the Australia and New Zealand Paediatric Infectious Diseases group of the Australasian Society of Infectious Diseases. She has received funding to her institution from the Australian government Department of Health and Aged Care and NSW government for her research activities.

    Bianca Middleton is a member of Vaccination Special Interest Group of the Australasian Society of Infectious Diseases. She is an investigator on several research studies funded by NHMRC/ MRFF, and also an investigator on an industry-sponsored clinical vaccine trial. She does not receive any direct funding from industry.

    Prof Margie Danchin receives funding from NHMRC, MRFF, Victorian and Commonwealth government and DFAT and WHO. She is a member of Vaccination Special Interest Group of the Australasian Society of Infectious Diseases (ASID), Australian Technical Advisory Group on Immunisation (ATAGI).

    Peter McIntyre receives funding from the Health Research Council (New Zealand) and the Otago Medical Research Foundation and until the end of 2024 was a member of the WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts for immunisation

    Rebecca Doyle does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Pregnant women can now get a free RSV shot. What other vaccines do you need when you’re expecting? – https://theconversation.com/pregnant-women-can-now-get-a-free-rsv-shot-what-other-vaccines-do-you-need-when-youre-expecting-246413

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz

  • MIL-OSI Global: Online performance reviews: How technology has changed manners and etiquette

    Source: The Conversation – France – By George Kassar, Full-time Faculty, Research Associate, Performance Analyst, Ascencia Business School

    Thoughtful netiquette can help create a respectful, clear and productive virtual appraisal experience. Gerd Altmann/Pixabay

    As we settle into the new year, one meeting often weighs heavily on the minds of employees: the performance appraisal review. For some, it’s a time of validation and recognition, while for others, it brings a mix of anticipation and uncertainty.

    These meetings are a common practice in human resource management and are an important part of the performance management process. Despite some debates on the effectiveness of these systematic assessments, they are still frequently used to help organizations evaluate employee output, provide feedback and set future goals and rewards.

    With the rise of modern technologies, the dynamics of these appraisals have changed dramatically, especially in terms of manners and etiquette.

    What are performance appraisal reviews?

    Performance appraisals are a set of structured evaluations of employees’ job performance against set criteria and organizational goals. These evaluations are essential for managing human resources effectively. They provide insights into employee productivity, help identify training needs and align individual goals with the broader organizational mission. They also play a critical role in career development by offering feedback that helps employees understand their strengths and areas for improvement. And they are a key factor in management decisions about promotions, compensation, and sometimes, terminations.

    Employee reactions to performance appraisals can vary greatly depending on multiple factors. Active participation in the appraisal process can lead to more positive perceptions of its fairness and effectiveness. Further, fair and constructive appraisals can boost employee satisfaction and commitment, whereas poorly conducted ones can lead to dissatisfaction and disengagement.

    On the other hand, performance appraisals can also be a significant source of stress for employees. The anticipation of critical feedback and the high stakes associated with these evaluations can induce anxiety and tension. In fact, some studies suggests that performance appraisals contribute to employee burn-out.

    This stress-inducing aspect of appraisals can greatly influence the manners, attitudes and behaviors of employees during these meetings.

    The influence of modern technologies on manners and etiquette

    In the last few years, especially during the Covid pandemic, modern technologies have transformed performance appraisal reviews. Video conferencing and communication tools integrated into performance management software have made remote and flexible appraisals possible. These tools have significantly altered communication styles, shifting the focus to digital interactions that often lack non-verbal cues. Some behavioral scientists even noted that while online communication was essential during the pandemic, it lacks the richness of face-to-face interaction, which can affect the clarity and warmth of communication.

    Netiquette, or Internet etiquette, consists of the polite behaviors expected in online communications. The importance of netiquette in performance appraisals is basically to ensure clear and respectful communication. Adhering to netiquette helps maintain a professional tone and reduces the risk of misunderstandings in virtual settings.

    So while digital communication has led to new norms and expectations for politeness, clarity and respect remain crucial factors. Without physical presence, explicit expressions of politeness and consideration are more important than ever, helping to replicate the nuances of face-to-face communication in a virtual environment.

    Theoretical perspectives on manners and etiquette

    The late sociologist Norbert Elias’s theories offer a historical perspective on how manners and societal norms evolve. In his book, The Civilizing Process, Elias traces the development of manners from medieval times to the modern era, arguing that societal norms become more regulated and refined over time. This process involves both sociogenetic aspects, which concern social changes over long periods, and psychogenetic ones, which concern the internalization of social norms.

    Elias’s theories can also help us understand how manners and etiquette in modern organizations are evolving. His ideas have been shown to apply to organizational behavior, highlighting the importance of self-regulation and refinement in professional settings. As performance appraisals become more formalized, they reflect broader societal trends in these directions.

    Further applying Elias’s civilizing process to the digital age involves understanding how manners and etiquette adapt to technological advancements. Developing new norms for digital behavior helps maintain respectful and effective communication; netiquette is a contemporary extension of the civilizing process. As performance appraisals increasingly move online, adhering to netiquette helps ensure positive and constructive experiences.

    Implications for performance appraisals

    Modern technologies have blurred the traditional boundaries of place, time and organization, affecting employee behavior and manners. These changes challenge traditional notions of hierarchy and authority, encouraging more egalitarian and flexible interactions. This shift requires employees to adapt to the new culture of organizations. Observing the netiquette guidelines that follow can significantly enhance the online appraisal experience for both employees and managers.

    Preparation as self-regulation: Testing the Internet connection, camera and microphone reflects Elias’s concept of internalized norms as self-regulatory practices that enhance interactions. Creating a quiet, well-lit space shows respect for the meeting and fosters a focused environment.

    Professional presentation: Dressing appropriately and using a distraction-free background reflect Elias’s view of manners as societal refinement markers. A clean, professional setup conveys respect for the occasion and the participants.

    Simulated social cues: Making eye contact by looking at the camera, maintaining good posture, and using natural gestures to recreate in-person cues help make for effective communication.

    Clarity of speech: Speaking clearly and avoiding vague terminology aligns with Elias’s view that refined language is essential for civilized interactions. Clarity helps overcome the comparative lack of non-verbal cues in virtual settings.

    Time management: Joining the meeting a few minutes early and silencing notifications reflect Elias’s ideals of punctuality and order, showing respect for everyone’s time.

    Follow-up: A thank-you message after the appraisal supports Elias’s civilizing process by reinforcing professional gratitude and respect.


    If your next performance appraisal review is scheduled online, consider these straightforward yet impactful practices. Thoughtful netiquette – when adopted by both managers and employees – can create a respectful, clear and productive virtual appraisal experience, making a real difference on how feedback is communicated and received.

    George Kassar ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

    ref. Online performance reviews: How technology has changed manners and etiquette – https://theconversation.com/online-performance-reviews-how-technology-has-changed-manners-and-etiquette-244056

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: How political polarization informed Mexico’s protests against femicide

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Arturo Tejeda Torres, Sessional instructor, Department of Social Sciences, University of Alberta

    Between 2015 and 2024, more than 8,000 women were killed in Mexico because of their gender.

    These crimes are referred to as femicides and, unlike homicides, are not the consequence of private or personal disputes. Instead, they are the result of a culture of oppression and domination that historically has targeted women and perpetuated a patriarchal society.

    While the number of femicides has decreased in recent years, there has not been any significant decline, and it remains a serious crisis. According to government data, around 10 women and girls across Mexico are killed every day by intimate partners or other family members. Worsening the crisis is Mexico’s systemic impunity, with many crimes going unreported or uninvestigated, and unreliable data masking the true scale of this problem.

    As a result, femicides in Mexico have been described as “another pandemic” — one driven by a deeply embedded machismo culture of violence against women, combined with a lack of transparency and justice from the state.

    In response to this crisis, protests led by feminist groups have gained increasing attention in recent years. They have urged Mexican society to recognize the severity of this problem and called on authorities to act. However, the polarized political climate in Mexico has undermined the demands of these demonstrations.

    Polarization shaped public conversation

    My doctoral research focused on examining the political and public discourse surrounding protests against gender-based violence in Mexico. More specifically, my work analysed how polarizing narratives, especially on social media platforms, affected these demonstrations.

    In 2020, feminist collectives organized the annual International Women’s Day march alongside a silent strike called #UnDiaSinNosotras (#ADayWithoutUs) in which women abstained from all public activities for an entire day.

    While the support for these protests grew, even from conservative groups traditionally opposed to feminist ideals, speculations emerged about the movement being used opportunistically to undermine the left-wing federal government.

    Initially, then-president Andrés Manuel López Obrador expressed solidarity with feminist groups. However, after refusing to revise his strategy on femicide, he warned that conservative elements could be infiltrating the protests. This created an unusual scenario where conservative groups backed feminist demands while the left-wing federal government dismissed them.

    Such a turbulent political climate raises several questions: Did conservative groups suddenly embrace progressive feminist ideals? Did feminist groups align with conservatives despite historically opposing their ideas? Did the left-wing government adopt conservative positions to counter feminist movements? More importantly, how did this scenario impact the calls of the protests against femicide?

    A fluid polarization

    Polarization is typically framed as a stark and often stagnant political divisions between two dominant and opposing narratives. However, the interactions produced in scenarios like Mexico’s feminist protests suggest more fluid dynamics.

    Rather than a rigid conflict between two opposing sets of ideals, polarization here should been seen as a relationship between narratives that are constantly reshaped and defined by each other.

    This can be observed in how the narratives aligned with the federal government and those opposing it demonstrated apparent contradictions based on the other’s positioning regarding the protests.

    Following this, it can be interpreted that conservative groups backed the protests as a way of reinforcing their opposition to the government. Similarly, the left-wing governing party, typically associated with more progressive ideals, appeared as dismissive of the protests and their demands to distance itself from perceived conservative influences.

    Viewing polarization this way helps explain how unlikely allies find themselves on the same side of particular issues. In this context, polarization is less about fixed beliefs and values and more about maintaining a distinct identity relative to the opposing side. In essence, polarization becomes an exercises in being as opposed as possible to the other side.

    Obscuring social issues

    My analysis of social media comments about the protests revealed they centred on two themes: debates on whether the feminist movement was being co-opted by conservative forces and criticism of López Obrador and his administration.

    In both cases, the discussions shifted away from the urgent issue of femicides, ignoring the protests’ central calls. Moreover, these conversations reinforced existing political divisions rather than addressing the root problem. This way, the interplay between the narratives involved created a polarized environment in which political rivalries overshadowed meaningful discussion of the structural violence against women.

    In other words, polarized dynamics can obscure urgent and immediate social issues, contributing to impunity and a lack of action.

    The Mexican political landscape reveals how forms of violence and oppression can be reproduced and reinforced through the interactions happening around them. In this sense, addressing femicides requires not only structural modifications to current strategies but also changing how this issue is discussed.

    It’s also essential to recognize how polarization, as a fluid dynamic, shapes the public space. Doing this can provide insights into how meaningful action can happen in the context of today’s social and political debates framed by stark perceived divisions.

    Arturo Tejeda Torres does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. How political polarization informed Mexico’s protests against femicide – https://theconversation.com/how-political-polarization-informed-mexicos-protests-against-femicide-246974

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Governor Hochul Marches in Lunar New Year Parade

    Source: US State of New York

    Earlier today, Governor Kathy Hochul marched in the Flushing Chinese Business Association’s Lunar New Year parade.

    B-ROLL of the Governor during the parade can be found on YouTube here and in TV quality (h.264, mp4) format here.

    VIDEO: The event is available to stream on YouTube here and TV quality video is available here (h.264, mp4).

    AUDIO: The Governor’s remarks are available in audio form here.

    PHOTOS: The Governor’s Flickr page will post photos of the event here.

    A rush transcript of the Governor’s remarks is available below:

    Xin nian kuai le! I want to wish everyone a happy Lunar New Year. I just had a wonderful celebration meeting members of the community. We had some dance and celebration of culture, and I’m so proud to be Governor of a state where one out of 10 New Yorkers can claim Asian or AAPI descendance. It’s part of our vibrancy.

    Also, this past week was the first time ever in the history of our state that children could get a day off school to celebrate the Lunar New Year holiday with their families and to continue on embracing these great traditions.

    I also want to convey that we’re continuing our efforts to fight hate crimes against all peoples, but as we saw during the pandemic, there was a spike in Asian hate crimes. We want to make sure people know that we’ll do whatever we can to protect them. We’ve added more money to our Budget to give them the security they need to feel safe in their homes, but also on our streets and in our subways.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Video: 5 Global Risks & Women’s Health Gap | WEF | Top Stories of the Week

    Source: World Economic Forum (video statements)

    This week’s top stories of the week include:

    0:15 5 global risks facing the world – The Global Risks Report 2025, produced by the World Economic Forum in collaboration with Marsh McLennan and Zurich Insurance Group, offers a sobering outlook for the future. Nearly two-thirds of surveyed experts anticipate a turbulent decade ahead, with no expectation of calmer times.

    2:58 Why women’s health is often ignored – Women spend 25% more of their lives in poor health than men, despite having a longer life expectancy. Nine key conditions account for one-third of this women’s health gap. Seven are conditions that affect women only. They include breast cancer, endometriosis and menopause.

    5:40 Protectionism harms global trade – Protectionism involves restricting imports, often by putting tariffs on them to defend industries from foreign competition. In the short term, protectionism can boost domestic economies, creating jobs and swelling government revenues. But it can also reduce consumer choice and lead to trade retaliation from other nations along with a more uncertain global economic environment.

    9:27 Most in-demand health career – With nearly 29 million nurses worldwide, nursing is the largest healthcare profession. However, a global shortage persists, with 6 million unfilled positions before the pandemic—89% in low and lower-middle-income countries. This gap impacts both healthcare outcomes and economic growth.
    _____________________________________________

    The World Economic Forum is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation. The Forum engages the foremost political, business, cultural and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. We believe that progress happens by bringing together people from all walks of life who have the drive and the influence to make positive change.

    World Economic Forum Website ► http://www.weforum.org/
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    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXm8dNzC-JE

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Personalized health & wellness for women, expanding flavor choice, and health longevity offer food and beverages brands growth opportunities in 2025, says GlobalData

    Source: GlobalData

    The interconnectivity of all health concerns could offer food and beverages brands innovation opportunities in 2025 by addressing multiple wellness concerns at once.

    Several key trends are set to influence consumer purchasing behavior in 2025, including personalized health and wellness with a focus on women, health longevity, personalized products and experiences, and sustainability solutions aided by new technologies. GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, highlights four food and beverages trends that are set to offer consumer packaged goods brands innovation opportunities in 2025:

    Personalized Health and Wellness: Women’s Health

    Women’s health has long been under-researched, presenting an opportunity for brands to create new products and new marketing initiatives to meet women’s unique health needs.

    In the supplements market, product ranges catering to reproductive and hormonal health concerns are now expanding into women’s fitness, digestion, and sleep – all of which require different supplements to men. Brands like Women Best recognize this and solely target women, providing them with supplements to support their dietary needs with functional benefits such as energy, focus, and stress relief. Unilever’s SmartyPants Vitamins range also offers multivitamins and pre and probiotic supplements that cater specifically to women’s health needs. In line with this, the women’s supplement market has seen double-digit value growth over the last two years, according to GlobalData Market Analyzers.

    Fahima Omer, Food Consultant and analyst at GlobalData, comments: “Whilst the health benefits of supplements are harnessed in products such as vitamins and protein bars, consumer packaged goods manufacturers could explore opportunities to develop new food and beverages products using supplement ingredients. One such opportunity is to recognize the interconnectivity of all health concerns and release more products aimed at addressing multiple wellness concerns at once.”

    Sustainability solutions based on new technologies

    Cell-based foods first emerged in 2013 when a scientist in the Netherlands managed to cultivate a burger patty. With new technological advancements and the use of molecular biology, brands such as GoodMeat create meat simply by feeding cells in a sterile environment. Widespread adoption of cell-based meat products has been slow thus far, but this developing technology offers the potential to produce meat products at scale in a more sustainable way. This is becoming increasingly important as The Food and Agricultural Organization at the United Nations* revealed in its 2017 report, “Tackling Climate Change Through Livestock”, that livestock is a significant contributor to climate change with emissions estimated at 7.1 gigatonnes CO2, representing 14.5% of human-induced GHG emissions.

    According to GlobalData’s consumer survey (Q3 2024), this kind of sustainability initiative resonates with 74% of global consumers who say that ‘sustainable/environmentally friendly’ is an ‘essential’ or ‘nice to have’ feature when deciding to make a product purchase.

    Cell-based foods could also address food insecurity. In a UN/WHO** joint report from 2022, the organization estimated that 11% of people globally suffer from undernourishment despite the planet being able to produce enough food.

    Health Longevity: An aging population and the rise of personalization

    With 22% of the world’s population expected to be over 60 years old by 2050, according to WHO***, there will be growing demand for food and beverage products that support this cohort’s desire for a long, healthy, and active life. Meal kits with claims around health management have grown in value by 67% during 2016-23, according to GlobalData Market Analysers’ health and wellness data on prepared meals.

    As older adults become more proactive about their health, they are choosing products that align with their wellness goals, including dietary supplements and foods rich in vitamins and nutrients that support longevity. Food manufacturer Chin Huay has responded to this demand with a selection of snacks formulated with probiotics, which support senior consumers’ dietary needs, and coffee brand UDA infuses several longevity-centric supplements to help fight aging. These include NMN, which increases metabolism and aids DNA repair; cognitive enhancer L-Theanine; quercetin, an anti-senescence and anti-inflammatory; and ashwagandha, to reduce fatigue and stress.

    This trend reflects a broader societal shift towards preventative health measures and lifestyle improvements, which have gained traction following the pandemic. Personalized health and wellness solutions from companies that provide health advice from the analysis of personal health data are growing in popularity. Everlywell provide at-home test kits that check age and gender-related conditions with the aim of providing consumers with specific lifestyle recommendations.

    Flavor expansion in Foods and Foodservice

    The ubiquity of foreign travel and the rise in social media usage have exposed consumers to global cuisines and flavors, which they have embraced, providing companies with the opportunity to expand their product and flavor choices beyond core brands and gain awareness for them through social media.

    According to GlobalData’s Consumer Survey (Q1 2024), 56% of 25-34-year-olds, globally, use social media to discover products and new flavors. A further 51% of the same age group agree with the statement ‘when I find a product in a new flavor I like, I enjoy sharing this knowledge on social media’.

    Foodservice operators such as UK-based Los Mochis have been successful in merging Japanese and Mexican cuisines using ingredients such as chipotle and kombu broth to create a chipotle miso soup, exposing their customers to bold new flavor choices.

    Omer adds: “Food and beverages trends in 2025 will reflect a complex interplay of functional health & wellness, sustainability, digitalization, and flavor choice. Innovation will not only cater to consumers’ immediate health needs but also prioritize health longevity. There could be a renewed focus on lab-grown meat which has the potential to address food insecurity whilst also combatting climate change. These trends will also present opportunities for brands to sell more value-added and premium products to meet the evolving expectations of consumers in a rapidly changing marketplace.”

    * Source: The Food and Agricultural Organization at the United Nations 2017 Report: Tackling Climate Change through Livestock
    ** Source: UN/WHO joint report: State of Food Security and Nutrition, 2022
    *** Source: WHO website ‘Ageing statistics’

    GlobalData Consumer Custom Solutions offers sector-level expertise in the Consumer Packaged GoodsFood, Beverages, Foodservice, Retail, Apparel, Packaging, Agribusiness, and Automotive industries. We use our unique data, insights and analytics to answer your bespoke questions with a tailored approach and deliverables.​ To learn more about this press release or have a chat, please drop us an email consulting@globaldata.com or contact us here and we’ll get in touch!

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Global: Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico amp up the risk of a broader trade war

    Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Markus Wagner, Professor of Law and Director of the UOW Transnational Law and Policy Centre, University of Wollongong

    It’s official. On February 1, US President Donald Trump will introduce a sweeping set of new 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico. China will also face new tariffs of 10%.

    During the presidential campaign, Trump threatened tariffs against all three countries, claiming they weren’t doing enough to prevent an influx of “drugs, in particular fentanyl” into the US, while also accusing Canada and Mexico of not doing enough to stop “illegal aliens”.

    There will be some nuance. On Friday, Trump said tariffs on oil and gas would come into effect later, on February 18, and that Canadian oil would likely face a lower tariff of 10%.

    This may only be the first move against China. Trump has previously threatened the country with 60% tariffs, asserting this will bring jobs back to America.

    But the US’ move against its neighbours will have an almost immediate impact on the three countries involved and the landscape of North American trade. It marks the beginning of what could be a radical reshaping of international trade and political governance around the world.

    What Trump wants from Canada and Mexico

    While border security and drug trade concerns are the official rationale for this move, Trump’s tariffs have broader motivations.

    The first one is protectionist. In all his presidential campaigning, Trump portrayed himself as a champion of US workers. Back in October, he said tariff was “the most beautiful word in the dictionary”.

    Trump hasn’t hidden his fondness for protectionist trade measures.

    This reflects the ongoing scepticism toward international trade that Trump – and politicians more generally on both ends of the political spectrum in the US – have held for some time.

    It’s a significant shift in the close trade links between these neighbours. The US, Mexico and Canada are parties to the successor of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA): the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

    Trump has not hidden his willingness to use tariffs as a weapon to pressure other countries to achieve unrelated geopolitical goals. This is the epitome of what a research project team I co-lead calls “Weaponised Trade”.

    This was on full display in late January. When the president of Colombia prohibited US military airplanes carrying Colombian nationals deported from the US to land, Trump successfully used the threat of tariffs to force Colombia to reverse course.




    Read more:
    What are tariffs?


    The economic stakes

    The volume of trade between the US, Canada, and Mexico is enormous, encompassing a wide range of goods and services. Some of the biggest sectors are automotive manufacturing, energy, agriculture, and consumer goods.

    In 2022, the value of all goods and services traded between the US and Canada came to about US$909 billion (A$1.46 trillion). Between the US and Mexico that same year, it came to more than US$855 billion (A$1.37 trillion).

    One of the hardest hit industries will be the automotive industry, which depends on cross-border trade. A car assembled in Canada, Mexico or the US relies heavily on a supply of parts from throughout North America.

    Tariffs will raise costs throughout this supply chain, which could lead to higher prices for consumers and make US-based manufacturers less competitive.

    Auto manufacturing stands to be hit hard by Trump’s tariffs.
    Around the World Photos/Shutterstock

    There could also be ripple effects for agriculture. The US exports billions of dollars in corn, soybeans, and meat to Canada and Mexico, while importing fresh produce such as avocados and tomatoes from Mexico.

    Tariffs may provoke retaliatory measures, putting farmers and food suppliers in all three countries at risk.

    Trump’s decision to delay and reduce tariffs on oil was somewhat predictable. US imports of Canadian oil have increased steadily over recent decades, meaning tariffs would immediately bite US consumers at the fuel pump.

    We’ve been here before

    This isn’t the first time the world has dealt with Trump’s tariff-heavy approach to trade policy. Looking back to his first term may provide some clues about what we might expect.

    In 2018, the US levied duties on steel and aluminium. Both Canada and Mexico are both major exporters of steel to the US.

    In his first term, Trump imposed major tariffs on US steel imports.
    ABCDstock/Shutterstock

    Canada and Mexico imposed retaliatory tariffs. Ultimately, all countries removed tariffs on steel and aluminium in the process of finalising the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.

    Notably, though, many of Trump’s trade policies remained in place even after President Joe Biden took office.

    This signalled a bipartisan scepticism of unfettered trade and a shift toward on-shoring or re-shoring in US policy circles.

    The options for Canada and Mexico

    This time, Canada and Mexico’s have again responded with threats of retaliatory tariffs.

    But they’ve also made attempts to mollify Trump – such as Canada launching a “crackdown” on fentanyl trade.

    Generally speaking, responses to these tariffs could range from measured diplomacy to aggressive retaliation. Canada and Mexico may target politically sensitive industries such as agriculture or gasoline, where Trump’s base could feel the pinch.

    There are legal options, too. Canada and Mexico could pursue legal action through the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement’s dispute resolution mechanisms or the World Trade Organization (WTO).

    Both venues provide pathways for challenging unfair trade practices. But these practices can be slow-moving, uncertain in their outcomes and are susceptible to being ignored.

    A more long-term option for businesses in Canada and Mexico is to diversify their trade relationships to reduce reliance on the US market. However, the facts of geography, and the large base of consumers in the US mean that’s easier said than done.

    The looming threat of a global trade war

    Trump’s latest tariffs underscore a broader trend: the widening of the so-called “Overton window” to achieve unrelated geopolitical goals.

    The Overton Window refers to the range of policy options politicians have because they are accepted among the general public.

    Arguments for bringing critical industries back to the US, protecting domestic jobs, and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains gained traction after the ascent of China as a geopolitical and geoeconomic rival.

    These arguments picked up steam during the COVID-19 pandemic and have increasingly been turned into actual policy.

    The potential for a broader trade war looms large. Trump’s short-term goal may be to leverage tariffs as a tool to secure concessions from other jurisdictions.

    Trump’s threats against Denmark – in his quest to obtain control over Greenland – are a prime example. The European Union (EU), a far more potent economic player, has pledged its support for Denmark.

    A North American trade war – foreshadowed by the Canadian and Mexican governments – might then only be harbinger of things to come: significant economic harm, the erosion of trust among trading partners, and increased volatility in global markets.

    Markus Wagner receives funding from the Department of Defence, Australia as a Chief Investigator on a project titled Weaponised Trade.

    ref. Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico amp up the risk of a broader trade war – https://theconversation.com/trumps-25-tariffs-on-canada-and-mexico-amp-up-the-risk-of-a-broader-trade-war-248667

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Cantwell: Trump’s New Tariffs Will Drive Up Grocery & Gas Prices, Costs for American Manufacturers

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Washington Maria Cantwell

    01.31.25

    Cantwell: Trump’s New Tariffs Will Drive Up Grocery & Gas Prices, Costs for American Manufacturers

    WA consumers will pay the price as Trump chooses to tax goods from Canada and Mexico up to 25%, plus a 10% tax on goods from China

    WASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, the Trump administration announced plans to impose a 25% tax on many goods imported into the U.S. from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tax on goods imported from China, a move that will likely increase prices for consumers across the country, particularly in Washington state.

    U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell (D-WA) – who serves as ranking member of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, as well as senior member of the Finance and Energy and Natural Resources Committees– issued the following statement:

    “President Trump should not start trade wars that hurt American manufacturers, consumers, and farmers, especially when food prices and interest rates are so high. After two weeks in office and lots of executive orders, where are the administration’s ideas to lower costs for American families?  Let’s not put 25% tariffs that will increase consumer costs,” Sen. Cantwell said. “Canada and Mexico are already willing to partner with us to fight fentanyl and strengthen border security.  I hope the President will work with Congress on opening new markets, growing U.S. exports, and using the EXIM Bank to compete with China, instead of driving up prices at the grocery store and gas pump. I want an export strategy — one that maximizes opportunities to sell American products overseas.

    Two out of every five jobs in the State of Washington are tied to trade and related industries. In 2023, Washington state imported $19.9 billion of goods from Canada – primarily oil, gas, lumber, and electrical power — making our northern neighbors Washington state’s largest trade partner.

    Also in 2023, Washington state imported $1.7 billion in goods from Mexico, including motor vehicles, vehicle parts, and household appliances. All of these raw materials and goods will now be subject to a 25% tariff.

    A 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico would add an estimated $144 billion a year to the cost of manufacturing in the United States.

    Sen. Cantwell has been a champion for Washington state growers and exports. Agriculture and food manufacturing generate more than $21 billion per year and employ more than 171,000 people in the State of Washington. Small and family farms are key contributors, making up 89% and 94%, respectively, of Washington’s farms. 

    Sen. Cantwell was the leading voice in negotiations to end India’s 20% retaliatory tariff on American apples, which devastated Washington state’s apple exports. In September 2023, India ended its retaliatory tariffs on apples and pulse crops following several years of Sen. Cantwell’s advocacy.

    In May 2023, Sen. Cantwell sent a letter urging the Biden Administration to help U.S. potato growers finally get approval to sell fresh potatoes in Japan. In June 2023, Sen. Cantwell hosted U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), then-chair of the Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry, in Washington state for a forum with 30 local agricultural leaders in Wenatchee to discuss the Farm Bill.

    In 2022, Sen. Cantwell spearheaded passage of the Ocean Shipping Reform Act, a law to crack down on skyrocketing international ocean shipping costs and ease supply chain backlogs that raise prices for consumers and make it harder for U.S. farmers and exporters to get their goods to the global market.

    In August 2020, during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, Sen. Cantwell sent a letter to then-Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue requesting aid funds be distributed to wheat growers. In December 2018, Sen. Cantwell celebrated the passage of the Farm Bill, which included $500 million of assistance for farmers, including those who grow wheat.

    In 2019, Sen. Cantwell helped secure a provision in the $16 billion USDA relief package, ensuring sweet cherry growers could access emergency funding to offset the impacts of tariffs and other market disruptions.



    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-Evening Report: Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico amp up the risk of a broader trade war

    Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Markus Wagner, Professor of Law and Director of the UOW Transnational Law and Policy Centre, University of Wollongong

    It’s official. On February 1, US President Donald Trump will introduce a sweeping set of new 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico. China will also face new tariffs of 10%.

    During the presidential campaign, Trump threatened tariffs against all three countries, claiming they weren’t doing enough to prevent an influx of “drugs, in particular fentanyl” into the US, while also accusing Canada and Mexico of not doing enough to stop “illegal aliens”.

    There will be some nuance. On Friday, Trump said tariffs on oil and gas would come into effect later, on February 18, and that Canadian oil would likely face a lower tariff of 10%.

    This may only be the first move against China. Trump has previously threatened the country with 60% tariffs, asserting this will bring jobs back to America.

    But the US’ move against its neighbours will have an almost immediate impact on the three countries involved and the landscape of North American trade. It marks the beginning of what could be a radical reshaping of international trade and political governance around the world.

    What Trump wants from Canada and Mexico

    While border security and drug trade concerns are the official rationale for this move, Trump’s tariffs have broader motivations.

    The first one is protectionist. In all his presidential campaigning, Trump portrayed himself as a champion of US workers. Back in October, he said tariff was “the most beautiful word in the dictionary”.

    Trump hasn’t hidden his fondness for protectionist trade measures.

    This reflects the ongoing scepticism toward international trade that Trump – and politicians more generally on both ends of the political spectrum in the US – have held for some time.

    It’s a significant shift in the close trade links between these neighbours. The US, Mexico and Canada are parties to the successor of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA): the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

    Trump has not hidden his willingness to use tariffs as a weapon to pressure other countries to achieve unrelated geopolitical goals. This is the epitome of what a research project team I co-lead calls “Weaponised Trade”.

    This was on full display in late January. When the president of Colombia prohibited US military airplanes carrying Colombian nationals deported from the US to land, Trump successfully used the threat of tariffs to force Colombia to reverse course.




    Read more:
    What are tariffs?


    The economic stakes

    The volume of trade between the US, Canada, and Mexico is enormous, encompassing a wide range of goods and services. Some of the biggest sectors are automotive manufacturing, energy, agriculture, and consumer goods.

    In 2022, the value of all goods and services traded between the US and Canada came to about US$909 billion (A$1.46 trillion). Between the US and Mexico that same year, it came to more than US$855 billion (A$1.37 trillion).

    One of the hardest hit industries will be the automotive industry, which depends on cross-border trade. A car assembled in Canada, Mexico or the US relies heavily on a supply of parts from throughout North America.

    Tariffs will raise costs throughout this supply chain, which could lead to higher prices for consumers and make US-based manufacturers less competitive.

    Auto manufacturing stands to be hit hard by Trump’s tariffs.
    Around the World Photos/Shutterstock

    There could also be ripple effects for agriculture. The US exports billions of dollars in corn, soybeans, and meat to Canada and Mexico, while importing fresh produce such as avocados and tomatoes from Mexico.

    Tariffs may provoke retaliatory measures, putting farmers and food suppliers in all three countries at risk.

    Trump’s decision to delay and reduce tariffs on oil was somewhat predictable. US imports of Canadian oil have increased steadily over recent decades, meaning tariffs would immediately bite US consumers at the fuel pump.

    We’ve been here before

    This isn’t the first time the world has dealt with Trump’s tariff-heavy approach to trade policy. Looking back to his first term may provide some clues about what we might expect.

    In 2018, the US levied duties on steel and aluminium. Both Canada and Mexico are both major exporters of steel to the US.

    In his first term, Trump imposed major tariffs on US steel imports.
    ABCDstock/Shutterstock

    Canada and Mexico imposed retaliatory tariffs. Ultimately, all countries removed tariffs on steel and aluminium in the process of finalising the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.

    Notably, though, many of Trump’s trade policies remained in place even after President Joe Biden took office.

    This signalled a bipartisan scepticism of unfettered trade and a shift toward on-shoring or re-shoring in US policy circles.

    The options for Canada and Mexico

    This time, Canada and Mexico’s have again responded with threats of retaliatory tariffs.

    But they’ve also made attempts to mollify Trump – such as Canada launching a “crackdown” on fentanyl trade.

    Generally speaking, responses to these tariffs could range from measured diplomacy to aggressive retaliation. Canada and Mexico may target politically sensitive industries such as agriculture or gasoline, where Trump’s base could feel the pinch.

    There are legal options, too. Canada and Mexico could pursue legal action through the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement’s dispute resolution mechanisms or the World Trade Organization (WTO).

    Both venues provide pathways for challenging unfair trade practices. But these practices can be slow-moving, uncertain in their outcomes and are susceptible to being ignored.

    A more long-term option for businesses in Canada and Mexico is to diversify their trade relationships to reduce reliance on the US market. However, the facts of geography, and the large base of consumers in the US mean that’s easier said than done.

    The looming threat of a global trade war

    Trump’s latest tariffs underscore a broader trend: the widening of the so-called “Overton window” to achieve unrelated geopolitical goals.

    The Overton Window refers to the range of policy options politicians have because they are accepted among the general public.

    Arguments for bringing critical industries back to the US, protecting domestic jobs, and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains gained traction after the ascent of China as a geopolitical and geoeconomic rival.

    These arguments picked up steam during the COVID-19 pandemic and have increasingly been turned into actual policy.

    The potential for a broader trade war looms large. Trump’s short-term goal may be to leverage tariffs as a tool to secure concessions from other jurisdictions.

    Trump’s threats against Denmark – in his quest to obtain control over Greenland – are a prime example. The European Union (EU), a far more potent economic player, has pledged its support for Denmark.

    A North American trade war – foreshadowed by the Canadian and Mexican governments – might then only be harbinger of things to come: significant economic harm, the erosion of trust among trading partners, and increased volatility in global markets.

    Markus Wagner receives funding from the Department of Defence, Australia as a Chief Investigator on a project titled Weaponised Trade.

    ref. Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico amp up the risk of a broader trade war – https://theconversation.com/trumps-25-tariffs-on-canada-and-mexico-amp-up-the-risk-of-a-broader-trade-war-248667

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz

  • MIL-OSI USA: Investing in Developmental Disability Service Providers

    Source: US State of New York

    Governor Kathy Hochul today announced nearly $850 million dollars in updated reimbursement rates for non-profit residential and day service providers licensed by the New York State Office for People With Developmental Disabilities. The FY 2025 Enacted Budget, combined with additional federal funding, provided for more than $400 million in new resources to be allocated each year for OPWDD’s service providers. Governor Hochul’s FY 2026 Executive Budget continues this investment and will help to fill critical gaps in this workforce while creating new job opportunities. This investment will enable providers to raise wages for their dedicated staff, ultimately making New York a more affordable place to live and work. Our provider industry has faced challenges, and this bold initiative by Governor Hochul demonstrates a commitment to supporting this sector, its hardworking people and the communities they serve.

    “New York’s service providers are providing a critical service to people with developmental disabilities and their families, and they deserve to be paid a fair rate for the services they deliver,” Governor Hochul said. “This rate adjustment is expected to enable a majority of service providers to increase pay to their frontline staff, which would make living in New York more affordable for one of our hardest working, most dedicated and compassionate workforces.”

    Rate rebasing is a federally required process where provider reimbursement rates are updated to reflect changes in the actual cost of delivering services. These resources will enable provider agencies to offer higher wages for direct care staff, helping to address staffing vacancies and reduce turnover, which are critical to improving the quality of care for people with disabilities. Additionally, the funding will support other essential costs associated with delivering these vital services.

    Since 2022, the State has made more than $2.8 billion available to OPWDD providers to support investments in the workforce – about $1.4 billion in one-time federally-approved bonuses, nearly $1.1 billion through three consecutive Cost of Living Adjustments (COLAs), including the 2.84 percent COLA included in last year’s budget, and over $340 million through various State-funded bonus initiatives. Cumulatively, more than $3.7 billion will have been made available to OPWDD’s network of non-profit providers, when including the new resources from this unprecedented investment in rates.

    Office of the Chief Disability Officer Kim Hill Ridley said, “This investment is a key part of strengthening the disabilities service system and prioritizing wage increases for our direct support workforce who assist New Yorkers with disabilities in their daily lives. Thank you to Governor Hochul for this resource that helps providers to remain competitive while providing the very best support and services.”

    Office for People With Developmental Disabilities (OPWDD) Acting Commissioner Willow Baer said, “OPWDD is pleased to be able to release these significant rate adjustments that will help our service providers continue to maintain critical support and recruit and retain talented and qualified frontline staff. I am proud of this important investment and am excited to see this funding passed along to address long-standing concerns and strengthen this vital workforce.”

    State Senator Patricia Fahy said, “Investing in our caregivers and direct support workforce that provide critical services and care for New Yorkers living with disabilities is how we address vacancies, retention, and ensure continuation of that care. This funding will allow providers to offer more competitive wages and address staffing challenges, ultimately leading to improved care for New Yorkers living with disabilities and their families. I thank Governor Hochul and Commissioner Baer for recognizing the importance of investing in our frontline workforce, and I look forward to working with my colleagues to further invest in our direct support professional workforce.”

    Assemblymember Angelo Santabarbara said, “Direct Support Professionals are the backbone of our care system, providing critical support that allows individuals with developmental disabilities to live with dignity and independence. This investment is a significant step in strengthening disability services, ensuring providers can offer more competitive wages to recruit and retain the dedicated professionals who make a real difference in people’s lives. It helps address workforce shortages and reinforces our commitment to a strong and sustainable care system. I appreciate Governor Hochul’s recognition of this need and commitment to supporting New York’s disability service providers. As the father of a son with a disability, this is an issue I am deeply passionate about, and I remain focused on advancing policies that strengthen these services, ensuring individuals with disabilities and their families have access to the care and support they deserve.”

    NY Alliance for Inclusion and Innovation President and CEO Michael Seereiter said, “The NY Alliance and its 135 not-for-profit provider members are extremely grateful to Governor Kathy Hochul and OPWDD Acting Commissioner Willow Baer for this unprecedented investment that will significantly enhance our ability to support the 130,000+ New Yorkers living with intellectual and developmental disabilities (I/DD) and their families who are supported by OPWDD. These resources will give our residential and day services providers the ability to attract and engage direct support, frontline supervisor, and other critical staff positions necessary for providing high quality supports, and address other essential costs associated with these services.”

    ARC NY CEO Erik Geizer said, “New York state has made a meaningful and much-needed investment in people with intellectual and developmental disabilities. Years of insufficient investment has driven a crisis in our system that has diminished the quality and availability of essential supports and services. We applaud Governor Hochul and OPWDD for collaborating with providers to better align investment with the current cost of delivering services. These additional resources will help providers better meet the needs of the people we support. We look forward to continuing to work with the state to ensure we honor our commitment to provide high quality, compassionate care for our citizens with special needs.”

    CP State CEO and President Mike Alvaro said, “We applaud New York State and the Office for People With Developmental Disabilities (OPWDD) for updating provider rates, marking an important investment in services for people with disabilities. We also appreciate Governor Kathy Hochul and Acting Commissioner Willow Baer for their commitment and efforts to bolster the developmental disability system. This support helps providers strengthen their workforce, meet rising costs, and—most importantly—ensure a high-quality network of care is available statewide for individuals with intellectual and developmental disabilities.”

    Winifred Schiff Inter Agency Council CEO said, “We applaud Governor Hochul and Acting Commissioner Willow Baer for their support of the developmental disabilities service sector, their recognition that the cost of providing services has steadily grown while rates lagged far behind, and their appreciation that our front-line staff provide essential, life supporting and affirming services that make life possible for so many New Yorkers. While our work is not done, the recent rate adjustment will go a long way towards compensating for years of stagnant rates and some of the losses experienced by providers during the COVID pandemic, and we trust that Governor Hochul will continue to stand with us so that together, we can achieve adequate wages for our front line work force, and our sector will continue to support New Yorkers with developmental disabilities and their families, far into the future.”

    DDAWNY President Mindy Cervoni said, “The Developmental Disabilities Alliance of Western New York (DDAWNY) is deeply grateful to Governor Hochul for her unwavering commitment to New York’s non-profit service providers supporting individuals with developmental disabilities. This transformative funding empowers providers to continue to deliver high-quality services while offering more competitive wages to direct support professionals – the compassionate and skilled individuals who deliver hands-on care and vital support to people with developmental disabilities. By recognizing the invaluable work of these professionals and ensuring they are compensated fairly, this investment strengthens workforce stability and significantly enhances the quality of life for the individuals and families who depend on their care.”

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI: Territorial Bancorp Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Results

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    • The Company’s tier one leverage and risk-based capital ratios were 11.68% and 28.96%, respectively, and the Company is considered to be “well-capitalized” at December 31, 2024.
    • Ratio of non-performing assets to total assets of 0.09% at December 31, 2024.

    HONOLULU, Jan. 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Territorial Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: TBNK) (the Company), headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii, the holding company parent of Territorial Savings Bank, reported a net loss of $1.72 million, or $0.20 per diluted share, for the three months ended December 31, 2024. Results reflect $1.53 million of pre-tax merger-related expenses.

    The Board of Directors approved a dividend of $0.01 per share. The dividend is expected to be paid on February 28, 2025, to stockholders of record as of February 14, 2025.

    Hope Bancorp, Inc. Merger Agreement

    As previously announced in a joint news release issued April 29, 2024, Hope Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOPE) (Hope Bancorp) and the Company signed a definitive merger agreement. Under the terms of the merger agreement, Company stockholders will receive a fixed exchange ratio of 0.8048 share of Hope Bancorp common stock in exchange for each share of Company common stock they own, in a 100% stock-for-stock transaction valued at approximately $78.60 million, based on the closing price of Hope Bancorp’s common stock on April 26, 2024. The transaction is intended to qualify as a tax-free reorganization for Territorial stockholders.

    Upon completion of the transaction, Hope Bancorp intends to maintain the Territorial franchise in Hawaii and preserve the 100-plus year legacy of the Territorial Savings Bank brand name, culture and commitment to the local communities. The branches will continue to do business under the Territorial Savings Bank brand, as a trade name of Bank of Hope.

    The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals and the satisfaction of other customary closing conditions.

    Interest Income

    Net interest income decreased by $2.21 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to the three months ended December 31, 2023. Total interest income was $17.91 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to $17.69 million for the three months ended December 31, 2023. The $217,000 increase in total interest income was primarily due to a $274,000 increase in interest earned on loans and a $245,000 increase in interest earned on other investments. The $274,000 increase in interest income on loans resulted from a 14 basis point increase in the average loan yield, partially offset by a $20.63 million decrease in the average loan balance. The increase in interest income on other investments is primarily due to a $28.86 million increase in the average cash balance with the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRB), offset by a 45 basis point decrease in the average interest rate paid on cash balances. The increases in interest income on loans and other investments during the quarter were partially offset by a $302,000 decrease in interest on investment securities, which occurred because of a $40.21 million decrease in the average securities balances.

    Interest Expense and Provision for Credit Losses

    As a result of prolonged increases in short-term interest rates, total interest expense increased by $2.42 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to the three months ended December 31, 2023. Interest expense on deposits increased by $2.51 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, primarily due to an increase in interest expense on certificates of deposit (CD) and savings accounts. Interest expense on CDs rose by $1.61 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, due to a 17 basis point increase in the average cost of CDs and a $132.90 million increase in the average CD balance. Interest expense on savings accounts rose by $892,000 for the three months ended December 31, 2024, due to a 58 basis point increase in the average cost of savings accounts which was partially offset by a $72.23 million decrease in the average balance. The increase in the average cost of CDs and savings accounts occurred as interest rates were raised in response to the increases in market interest rates over that period. The increase in the average balance of CDs and the decrease in the average balance of savings accounts occurred as customers transferred balances from lower rate savings accounts to higher rate CDs. Interest expense on Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) borrowings declined by $285,000 for the three months ended December 31, 2024, as the Company paid off $82.00 million in advances from the FHLB during 2024. Interest expense on Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) borrowings rose by $230,000 for the three months ended December 31, 2024, as the Company obtained a $50.00 million advance from the FRB in the fourth quarter of 2023 to enhance the Company’s liquidity and to fund deposit withdrawals. The FRB advances were paid off during the three months ended December 31, 2024.

    The Company had a $51,000 provision for credit losses for the three months ending December 31, 2024, compared to a $144,000 provision for the three months ending December 31, 2023. The decrease in the provision for credit losses was due to a decrease in the mortgage loan portfolio, which was partially offset by an increase in provision related to growth in the consumer loan portfolio.

    Noninterest Income

    Noninterest income increased by $139,000 for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to the three months ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to a $129,000 decrease in pension expenses related to an increase in the return on the pension plan’s assets.

    Noninterest Expense

    Noninterest expense increased by $1.42 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to the three months ended December 31, 2023, primarily due to a $1.34 million increase in general and administrative expenses. General and administrative expenses included $1.53 million of merger-related legal and consulting expenses. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) premium expense rose by $141,000 for the quarter because of an increase in the FDIC insurance premium rates. The increase in other general and administrative expenses and FDIC premiums was offset by a $170,000 decrease in occupancy expense during the quarter. The decrease was due to a one-time reversal of a previously accrued charge.

    Income Taxes

    Income tax benefit for the three months ended December 31, 2024 was $1.28 million with an effective tax rate of (42.53)% compared to income tax expense of $61,000 with an effective tax rate of 15.44% for the three months ended December 31, 2023. The change from income tax expense to income tax benefit was primarily due to a $3.40 million change in net operating income during the quarter.

    Balance Sheet

    Total assets were $2.17 billion at December 31, 2024 and $2.24 billion at December 31, 2023. Investment securities, including available for sale securities, decreased by $41.74 million to $664.16 million at December 31, 2024 from $705.90 million at December 31, 2023. The decrease in investment securities occurred because of principal repayments on mortgage-backed securities. Loans receivable decreased by $21.89 million to $1.29 billion at December 31, 2024 from $1.31 billion at December 31, 2023. The decrease in loans receivable occurred as loan repayments and sales exceeded new loan originations. Cash and cash equivalents decreased by $3.14 million to $123.52 million at December 31, 2024 from $126.66 million at December 31, 2023 due to repayments of advances from the FHLB, FRB and repurchase agreements, which were offset by increases in deposits and principal repayments on mortgage-backed securities and on loans receivable.

    Deposits increased by $81.06 million from $1.64 billion at December 31, 2023 to $1.72 billion at December 31, 2024. The increase in deposits is primarily due to deposits from state and local governments. The increase in deposits was used with principal repayments on mortgage-backed securities and loans receivable to pay off $82.00 million of maturing FHLB advances, $50.00 million of FRB advances and $10.00 million of repurchase agreements.

    Asset Quality

    Credit quality continues to be extremely important as the Company adheres to its strict underwriting standards. The Company had $1.22 million in delinquent mortgage loans 90 days or more past due at December 31, 2024, compared to $227,000 at December 31, 2023. Non-performing assets totaled $1.93 million at December 31, 2024, compared to $2.26 million at December 31, 2023. The ratio of non-performing assets to total assets was 0.09% at December 31, 2024, compared to 0.10% at December 31, 2023. The allowance for credit losses was $5.11 million at December 31, 2024, compared to $5.12 million at December 31, 2023, representing 0.40% of total loans at December 31, 2024, compared to 0.39% of total loans at December 31, 2023. The ratio of the allowance for credit losses to non-performing loans was 264.56% at December 31, 2024, compared to 226.59% at December 31, 2023.

    About Us

    Territorial Bancorp Inc., headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii, is the stock holding company for Territorial Savings Bank. Territorial Savings Bank is a state-chartered savings bank which was originally chartered in 1921 by the Territory of Hawaii. Territorial Savings Bank conducts business from its headquarters in Honolulu, Hawaii and has 28 branch offices in the state of Hawaii. For additional information, please visit the Company’s website at: https://www.tsbhawaii.bank.

    Forward-looking statements

    This earnings release contains forward-looking statements, which can be identified by the use of words such as “estimate,” “project,” “believe,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “seek,” “expect,” “will,” “may” and words of similar meaning. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to:

    • statements of our goals, intentions and expectations;
    • statements regarding our business plans, prospects, growth and operating strategies;
    • statements regarding the asset quality of our loan and investment portfolios; and
    • estimates of our risks and future costs and benefits.

    These forward-looking statements are based on our current beliefs and expectations and are inherently subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond our control. In addition, these forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions with respect to future business strategies and decisions that are subject to change. We are under no duty to and do not take any obligation to update any forward-looking statements after the date of this earnings release.

    The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results or other expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements:

    • factors related to the proposed transaction with Hope Bancorp, including the receipt of regulatory approvals, and other customary closing conditions;
    • general economic conditions, either internationally, nationally or in our market areas, that are worse than expected;
    • competition among depository and other financial institutions;
    • inflation and changes in the interest rate environment that reduce our margins or reduce the fair value of financial instruments;
    • adverse changes in the securities markets;
    • changes in laws or government regulations or policies affecting financial institutions, including changes in regulatory fees and capital requirements;
    • changes in monetary or fiscal policies of the U.S. Government, including policies of the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve Board;
    • our ability to enter new markets successfully and capitalize on growth opportunities;
    • our ability to successfully integrate acquired entities, if any;
    • changes in consumer demand, spending, borrowing and savings habits;
    • changes in accounting policies and practices, as may be adopted by the bank regulatory agencies, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board;
    • changes in our organization, compensation and benefit plans;
    • the timing and amount of revenues that we may recognize;
    • the value and marketability of collateral underlying our loan portfolios;
    • our ability to retain key employees;
    • cyberattacks, computer viruses and other technological risks that may breach the security of our websites or other systems to obtain unauthorized access to confidential information, destroy data or disable our systems;
    • technological change that may be more difficult or expensive than expected;
    • the ability of third-party providers to perform their obligations to us;
    • the ability of the U.S. Government to manage federal debt limits;
    • the quality and composition of our investment portfolio;
    • the effect of any pandemic disease, natural disaster, war, act of terrorism, accident or similar action or event;
    • changes in market and other conditions that would affect our ability to repurchase our common stock; and
    • changes in our financial condition or results of operations that reduce capital available to pay dividends.

    Because of these and a wide variety of other uncertainties, our actual future results may be materially different from the results indicated by these forward-looking statements.

    Contact: Walter Ida
    (808) 946-1400

    Territorial Bancorp Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Consolidated Statements of Operations (Unaudited)
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share data)
               
        Three Months Ended   Year Ended
        December 31,   December 31,
        2024
      2023   2024   2023
    Interest income:                    
    Loans   $ 12,280     $ 12,006   $ 48,820     $ 47,043  
    Investment securities     4,104       4,406   16,857     17,918  
    Other investments     1,524       1,279   6,628     4,127  
    Total interest income     17,908       17,691   72,305     69,088  
                         
    Interest expense:                    
    Deposits     8,731       6,223   31,389     19,484  
    Advances from the Federal Home Loan Bank     1,569       1,854   6,899     6,636  
    Advances from the Federal Reserve Bank     384       154   2,173     183  
    Securities sold under agreements to repurchase     15       46   152     154  
    Total interest expense     10,699       8,277   40,613     26,457  
                         
    Net interest income     7,209       9,414   31,692     42,631  
    Provision (reversal of provision) for credit losses     51       144   73     (3 )
                         
    Net interest income after provision (reversal of provision) for credit losses     7,158       9,270   31,619     42,634  
                         
    Noninterest income:                    
    Service and other fees     285       305   1,170     1,327  
    Income on bank-owned life insurance     257       227   1,007     855  
    Net gain on sale of loans             19     10  
    Other     200       71   415     279  
    Total noninterest income     742       603   2,611     2,471  
                         
    Noninterest expense:                    
    Salaries and employee benefits     5,181       5,109   19,787     20,832  
    Occupancy     1,539       1,709   6,858     6,910  
    Equipment     1,320       1,278   5,307     5,156  
    Federal deposit insurance premiums     386       245   1,667     982  
    Other general and administrative expenses     2,474       1,137   7,325     4,388  
    Total noninterest expense     10,900       9,478   40,944     38,268  
                         
    (Loss) Income before income taxes     (3,000 )     395   (6,714 )   6,837  
    Income tax (benefit) expense     (1,276 )     61   (2,415 )   1,810  
    Net (loss) income   $ (1,724 )   $ 334   $ (4,299 )   $ 5,027  
                         
    Basic (loss) earnings per share   $ (0.20 )   $ 0.04   $ (0.50 )   $ 0.58  
    Diluted (loss) earnings per share   $ (0.20 )   $ 0.04   $ (0.50 )   $ 0.57  
    Cash dividends declared per common share   $ 0.01     $ 0.05   $ 0.08     $ 0.74  
    Basic weighted-average shares outstanding     8,630,432       8,575,902   8,610,706     8,636,495  
    Diluted weighted-average shares outstanding     8,630,432       8,603,843   8,610,706     8,684,092  
                         
    Territorial Bancorp Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share data)
                 
        December 31,   December 31,
        2024    2023 
    ASSETS            
    Cash and cash equivalents   $ 123,523     $ 126,659  
    Investment securities available for sale, at fair value     18,492       20,171  
    Investment securities held to maturity, at amortized cost (fair value of $513,499 and $568,128 at December 31,2024 and 2023, respectively)     645,669       685,728  
    Loans receivable     1,286,662       1,308,552  
    Allowance for credit losses     (5,114 )     (5,121 )
    Loans receivable, net of allowance for credit losses     1,281,548       1,303,431  
    Federal Home Loan Bank stock, at cost     8,542       12,192  
    Federal Reserve Bank stock, at cost     3,189       3,180  
    Accrued interest receivable     5,800       6,105  
    Premises and equipment, net     7,278       7,185  
    Right-of-use asset, net     12,523       12,371  
    Bank-owned life insurance     49,645       48,638  
    Income taxes receivable     2,082       344  
    Deferred income tax assets, net     1,877       2,457  
    Prepaid expenses and other assets     9,547       8,211  
    Total assets   $ 2,169,715     $ 2,236,672  
                 
    LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY            
    Liabilities:            
    Deposits   $ 1,717,663     $ 1,636,604  
    Advances from the Federal Home Loan Bank     160,000       242,000  
    Advances from the Federal Reserve Bank           50,000  
    Securities sold under agreements to repurchase           10,000  
    Accounts payable and accrued expenses     19,403       23,334  
    Lease liability     17,967       17,297  
    Advance payments by borrowers for taxes and insurance     6,331       6,351  
    Total liabilities     1,921,364       1,985,586  
                 
    Stockholders’ Equity:            
    Preferred stock, $0.01 par value; authorized 50,000,000 shares, no shares issued or outstanding            
    Common stock, $0.01 par value; authorized 100,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding            
    8,832,210 and 8,826,613 shares at December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively     88       88  
    Additional paid-in capital     48,367       48,022  
    Unearned ESOP shares     (1,957 )     (2,447 )
    Retained earnings     206,693       211,644  
    Accumulated other comprehensive loss     (4,840 )     (6,221 )
    Total stockholders’ equity     248,351       251,086  
    Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity   $ 2,169,715     $ 2,236,672  
                 
    Territorial Bancorp Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Selected Financial Data (Unaudited)
                       
                  Three Months Ended
                  December 31,
                    2024       2023  
                       
    Performance Ratios (annualized):            
      Return on average assets         -0.32 %     0.06 %
      Return on average equity         -2.75 %     0.53 %
      Net interest margin on average interest earning assets   1.39 %     1.78 %
      Efficiency ratio (1)           137.09 %     94.62 %
                       
                  At   At
                  December   December
                    31, 2024       31, 2023  
                       
    Selected Balance Sheet Data:            
      Book value per share (2)       $ 28.12     $ 28.45  
      Stockholders’ equity to total assets       11.45 %     11.23 %
                       
                       
    Asset Quality                
    (Dollars in thousands):              
      Delinquent loans 90 days past due and not accruing $ 1,219     $ 227  
      Non-performing assets (3)       $ 1,933     $ 2,260  
      Allowance for credit losses       $ 5,114     $ 5,121  
      Non-performing assets to total assets       0.09 %     0.10 %
      Allowance for credit losses to total loans       0.40 %     0.39 %
      Allowance for credit losses to non-performing assets   264.56 %     226.59 %
                       
                       
    Note:                
                       
    (1) Efficiency ratio is equal to noninterest expense divided by the sum of net interest income and noninterest income
    (2) Book value per share is equal to stockholders’ equity divided by number of shares issued and outstanding
    (3) Non-performing assets consist of non-accrual loans and real estate owned. Amounts are net of charge-offs

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI: Security Federal Corporation Announces Fourth Quarter and Annual Earnings and Financial Results for 2024

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    AIKEN, S.C., Jan. 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Security Federal Corporation (the “Company”) (OTCBB: SFDL), the holding company for Security Federal Bank (the “Bank”), today announced earnings and financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2024.

    The Company reported net income available to common shareholders of $3.0 million, or $0.94 per common share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, compared to $3.6 million, or $1.12 per common share, for the fourth quarter of 2023. Year-to-date net income available to common shareholders was $8.9 million, or $2.77 per common share, for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $10.2 million, or $3.14 per common share, for the year ended December 31, 2023. Both the quarterly and year-to-date decreases in net income available to common shareholders were primarily due to increases in the provision for credit losses and non-interest expense, as well as the payment of preferred stock dividends during 2024, which were partially offset by increases in net interest income and non-interest income.

    Fourth Quarter Financial Highlights

    • Net interest income increased $818,000, or 7.8%, to $11.3 million as the increase in interest income exceeded the increase in interest expense.
    • Total interest income increased $1.9 million, or 10.1%, to $20.2 million while total interest expense increased $1.0 million, or 13.0%, to $9.0 million during the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to the same quarter in 2023. The increase in interest income and interest expense was the result of higher market interest rates and increased average interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities.
    • Non-interest income increased $77,000, or 2.8%, to $2.8 million during the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to the same quarter in the prior year primarily due to an increase in gain on sale of loans.
    • Non-interest expense increased $472,000, or 5.2%, to $9.5 million during the quarter ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same quarter in the prior year primarily due to increases in salaries and expenses for employee benefits and cloud services.
      Quarter Ended
    (Dollars in Thousands, except for Earnings per Share) 12/31/2024   12/31/2023
    Total interest income $ 20,235   $ 18,384
    Total interest expense   8,982     7,949
    Net interest income   11,253     10,435
    Provision for credit losses   280     25
    Net interest income after provision for credit losses   10,973     10,410
    Non-interest income   2,847     2,770
    Non-interest expense   9,523     9,051
    Income before income taxes   4,297     4,129
    Provision for income taxes   879     513
    Net income   3,418     3,616
    Preferred stock dividends   414    
    Net income available to common shareholders $ 3,004   $ 3,616
    Earnings per common share (basic) $ 0.94   $ 1.12
           

    Full Year Comparative Financial Highlights

    • Net interest income increased $2.6 million, or 6.6%, to $41.8 million when compared to the prior year primarily due to increases in interest income on loans and interest income from our overnight time deposit account with the Federal Reserve Bank, which were partially offset by an increase in interest expense on deposits.
    • Total interest income increased $12.3 million, or 19.0%, to $77.3 million while total interest expense increased $9.8 million, or 37.9%, to $35.5 million.
    • Non-interest income increased $857,000, or 9.1%, to $10.2 million primarily due to increases in gain on sale of loans, trust income and ATM and check card fee income.
    • Non-interest expense increased $2.2 million, or 6.2%, to $38.1 million primarily due to increases in salaries and employee benefits expense and cloud services.
      Year Ended
    (Dollars in Thousands, except for Earnings per Share) 12/31/2024   12/31/2023
    Total interest income $ 77,306   $ 64,977
    Total interest expense   35,479     25,729
    Net interest income   41,827     39,248
    Provision for credit losses   1,370     246
    Net interest income after provision for credit losses   40,457     39,002
    Non-interest income   10,247     9,390
    Non-interest expense   38,140     35,914
    Income before income taxes   12,564     12,478
    Provision for income taxes   2,757     2,288
    Net income   9,807     10,190
    Preferred stock dividends   926    
    Net income available to common shareholders $ 8,881   $ 10,190
    Earnings per common share (basic) $ 2.77   $ 3.14
               

    Credit Quality

    • The Bank recorded a $1.5 million provision for credit losses on loans and a $110,000 reversal of provision for credit losses on unfunded commitments, resulting in a total provision for credit losses of $1.4 million during 2024 compared to a $601,000 provision for credit losses on loans and a $355,000 reversal of provision for credit losses on unfunded commitments, resulting in a total provision for credit losses of $246,000 during 2023.
    • Non-performing assets were $7.6 million, or 0.47% of total assets, at December 31, 2024, compared to $6.8 million, or 0.44% of total assets, at December 31, 2023.
    • The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of gross loans was 1.98% at both December 31, 2024, and 2023.
    At Period End (dollars in thousands): 12/31/2024 9/30/2024 12/31/2023
    Non-performing assets $ 7,636     $ 6,770     $ 6,825  
    Non-performing assets to total assets   0.47 %     0.43 %     0.44 %
    Allowance for credit losses $ 13,894     $ 13,604     $ 12,569  
    Allowance for credit losses to gross loans   1.98 %     1.95 %     1.98 %
                           

    Balance Sheet Highlights and Capital Management

    • Total assets were $1.6 billion at December 31, 2024, an increase of $62.1 million, or 4.0%, during 2024.
    • Total loans receivable, net was $687.1 million at December 31, 2024, an increase of $64.6 million, or 10.4%, during 2024.
    • Investment securities decreased $39.9 million, or 5.7%, to $660.8 million at December 31, 2024, as maturities and principal paydowns of investments exceeded purchases during 2024.
    • Deposits increased $129.0 million, or 10.8%, during the year to $1.3 billion at December 31, 2024.
    • Borrowings decreased $77.1 million, or 45.3%, during the year to $93.0 million at December 31, 2024, primarily due to the repayment of borrowings with the Federal Reserve Bank Term Funding Program and the redemption of our 10-year subordinated debentures in the amount of $16.5 million on their call date.
    • Common equity book value per share increased to $31.21 at December 31, 2024, from $27.69 at December 31, 2023.
    Dollars in thousands (except per share amounts) 12/31/2024 9/30/2024 12/31/2023
    Total assets $ 1,611,773     $ 1,576,326     $ 1,549,671  
    Cash and cash equivalents   178,277       132,376       128,284  
    Total loans receivable, net   687,149       686,708       622,529  
    Investment securities   660,823       672,054       700,712  
    Deposits   1,324,033       1,257,314       1,194,997  
    Borrowings   92,964       120,978       170,035  
    Total shareholders’ equity   182,389       185,082       172,362  
    Common shareholders’ equity   99,440       102,133       89,413  
    Common equity book value per share $ 31.21     $ 31.97     $ 27.69  
    Total risk-based capital to risk weighted assets (1)   19.96 %     19.21 %     19.49 %
    CET1 capital to risk weighted assets (1)   18.71 %     17.96 %     18.24 %
    Tier 1 leverage capital ratio (1)   9.88 %     10.27 %     9.83 %
    (1) – Ratio is calculated using Bank only information and not consolidated information
     

    Security Federal has 19 full-service branches located in Aiken, Ballentine, Clearwater, Columbia, Graniteville, Langley, Lexington, North Augusta, Ridge Spring, Wagener and West Columbia, South Carolina and Augusta and Evans, Georgia. A full range of financial services, including trust and investments, are provided by the Bank and insurance services are provided by the Bank’s wholly owned subsidiary, Security Federal Insurance, Inc.

    Forward-looking statements:

    Certain matters discussed in this press release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, expectations of the business environment in which the Company operates, projections of future performance, perceived opportunities in the market, potential future credit experience, and statements regarding the Company’s mission and vision. These forward-looking statements are based upon current management expectations and may, therefore, involve risks and uncertainties. The Company’s actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those suggested, expressed, or implied by forward-looking statements as a result of a wide variety or range of factors including, but not limited to: potential adverse impacts to economic conditions in our local market area or other aspects of the Company’s business, operations or financial markets, including, without limitation, as a result of employment levels, labor shortages and the effects of inflation, a potential recession or slowed economic growth; economic conditions in the Company’s primary market area; demand for residential, commercial business and commercial real estate, consumer, and other types of loans; success of new products; competitive conditions between banks and non-bank financial service providers; changes in management’s business strategies, including expectations regarding key growth initiatives and strategic priorities; legislative or regulatory changes that adversely affect the Company’s business, including the interpretation of regulatory capital or other rules; the ability to attract and retain deposits; the availability of resources to address changes in laws, rules, or regulations or to respond to regulatory actions; adverse changes in the securities markets; changes in accounting policies and practices, as may be adopted by the financial institution regulatory agencies or the Financial Accounting Standards Board, including additional guidance and interpretation on accounting issues and details of the implementation of new accounting methods; technology factors affecting operations, including disruptions, security breaches, or other adverse events, failures or interruptions in, or attacks on, our information technology systems or on the third-party vendors who perform critical processing functions for us; pricing of products and services; environmental, social and governance goals and targets; the effects of climate change, severe weather events, natural disasters, pandemics, epidemics and other public health crises, acts of war or terrorism, and other external events on our business; and other risks detailed in the Company’s reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. These factors should be considered in evaluating forward-looking statements, and undue reliance should not be placed on such statements. The Company does not undertake any responsibility to update or revise any forward-looking statement.

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Economics: IMF Executive Board Concludes 2024 Article IV Consultation with Samoa

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    January 31, 2025

    Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultation[1] with Samoa on January 16, 2025 and endorsed the staff appraisal without a meeting on a lapse-of-time basis.[2]

    Samoa’s economic recovery has been remarkable. Following a 15 percent contraction over 3 years during the pandemic, GDP growth rebounded to 9.2 percent in FY2023 and accelerated further to 9.4 percent in FY2024, driven by a quick recovery in the tourism sector. Inflation has declined from double digit levels in FY2023 to 2.9 percent year-on-year in October 2024. The fiscal surplus increased further to 10.1 percent of GDP in FY2024, supported by robust grant flows, buoyant tax revenues, and restrained expenditures, including low capital spending amid capacity constraints. The current account moved to a surplus in FY2024 which, combined with continued strong grant inflows, supported a significant increase in foreign reserves.

    GDP growth is projected to remain robust at 5.5 percent in FY2025, driven by an anticipated pickup in public investment and the preparations and hosting of the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM). Inflation is expected to rise moderately amid the ongoing economic recovery. While the near-term outlook remains favorable, growth is expected to slow to the historical average of around 2 percent in the medium term. Furthermore, risks to the outlook are skewed to the downside amid heightened global uncertainties and potential pressures on inflation, including from significant excess liquidity in the banking system.

    Executive Board Assessment

    In concluding the 2024 Article IV consultation with Samoa, Executive Directors endorsed the staff’s appraisal, as follows:

    Samoa’s near-term economic outlook remains favorable. GDP growth in FY2025 is projected to remain well above pre-pandemic levels, supported by the preparations and hosting of CHOGM and the envisaged expansionary fiscal stance. Inflation is expected to rise moderately as the economic recovery continues. GDP growth is expected to converge towards the historical average of about 2 percent over the medium-term. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, including from a slowdown in key trading partners amid heightened global uncertainty, as well as upside risks to inflation from external and domestic sources.

    Samoa’s recent policy mix has helped build significant economic buffers but has also presented challenges. Large fiscal surpluses have improved debt dynamics, resulting in an upgrade to Samoa’s debt distress rating from high to moderate in the IMF-WB DSA, but low capital spending is undermining the economy’s productive capacity. The tight fiscal stance, coupled with high grants and remittance inflows and the exchange rate peg, has resulted in the emergence of a large current account surplus with the external sector assessed to be substantially stronger than the level implied by fundamentals and desired policy settings. The resulting large build up in foreign reserves has also created excess liquidity in the banking system.

    An expansionary fiscal stance will support the economy, while fiscal reforms can improve the effectiveness of policy and mitigate risks. The focus in the near term should be overcoming capacity constraints to execute much needed public investment, including climate-related projects.

    Maintaining PFM controls over the DDP, including through the election cycle, remains a priority. Improving fiscal data and implementing further PFM reforms can also help improve policy formulation, implementation, and credibility. Fully reversing the pandemic-era utility tariff cuts, while implementing any support for low-income households transparently through the budget, can help address lingering weakness in some SOEs while protecting the vulnerable.

    Monetary policy normalization should continue, with an aim to guide interest rates higher. The exchange rate peg remains the appropriate nominal anchor. However, to guard against domestic inflation risks, monetary policy should aim to reduce excess liquidity to reasonable levels and push real short-term rates to positive territory.

    Further strengthening financial supervision and regulation, including for PFIs, should be a priority. Financial sector risks have declined relative to the pandemic but require continued monitoring. Priorities for the banking system include operationalizing the emergency liquidity assistance framework and enhancing prudential standards. Upgrading governance and prudential regulations for PFIs is also needed to contain potential risks. Establishing an online credit registry will help advance financial inclusion.

    A multi-pronged approach can help mitigate CBR pressures. Strengthening the AML/CFT legal framework and implementing effective risk-based supervision will help prepare Samoa for its APG mutual evaluation in 2027. Ensuring the timely rollout of the e-KYC facility and the National Digital ID will help improve customer due diligence. Given low ML/TF risks from remittance payments, effort should be made to streamline regulatory and supervisory requirements on both sides of main remittance corridors.

    Overcoming significant structural challenges which impede the medium-term growth potential will require concerted reform efforts. Key priorities include attracting foreign investment, reducing trade facilitation costs, and mitigating the impact of the pickup in the seasonal workers program, including by enhancing human capital and raising labor force participation rates.

    Table 1. Samoa: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators 1/

    Proj.

    2020/21

    2021/22

    2022/23

    2023/24

    2024/25

    2025/26

    2026/27

    2027/28

    2028/29

    Output
    and
    Inflation

    (12-month percent change)

    Real GDP

    -7.0

    -5.4

    9.2

    9.4

    5.5

    2.8

    2.1

    2.0

    2.0

    Nominal GDP

    -7.5

    0.0

    18.0

    14.9

    8.7

    6.0

    5.2

    5.0

    5.1

    Consumer price
    index
    (end of period)

    4.1

    10.8

    10.7

    0.8

    3.5

    2.6

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    Consumer price
    index
    (period average)

    -3.0

    8.7

    12.0

    3.6

    3.1

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    Central Government Finances

    (In percent of GDP)

    Revenue
    and grants

    36.5

    38.5

    34.1

    36.0

    33.0

    32.0

    31.5

    31.5

    31.4

    Of which: Grants

    6.8

    9.4

    4.5

    6.2

    4.2

    4.0

    4.0

    4.0

    4.0

    Expenditure

    34.7

    33.1

    31.0

    25.9

    33.1

    33.5

    33.4

    33.5

    33.6

    Of which: Expense

    31.3

    32.2

    27.5

    25.7

    27.9

    28.3

    28.2

    28.3

    28.2

    Of which: Net acquisition
    of non-financial assets

    3.4

    0.9

    3.5

    0.3

    5.2

    5.2

    5.2

    5.2

    5.4

    Overall balance

    1.7

    5.4

    3.0

    10.1

    -0.1

    -1.5

    -1.9

    -2.0

    -2.2

    Gross debt outstanding

    46.3

    43.7

    33.3

    27.7

    22.5

    19.3

    20.4

    21.5

    22.6

    Money
    and
    Credit Aggregates

    (12-month percent change)

    Broad
    money (M2)

    8.1

    2.2

    16.3

    7.7

    7.5

    6.0

    6.0

    6.0

    6.0

    Private
    sector
    credit, commercial banks

    1.5

    0.2

    -2.6

    3.5

    4.0

    5.0

    5.0

    5.0

    5.0

    Private
    sector
    credit,
    other financial corporations

    -0.9

    4.9

    2.9

    8.2

    Private
    sector
    credit,
    total
    financial system

    2.0

    0.6

    -0.1

    3.7

    Private Sector Credit

    (In percent of GDP)

    Commercial banks

    53.1

    53.2

    43.9

    39.5

    Total financial system

    94.0

    94.6

    80.1

    72.3

    Bank Financial Soundness

    Regulatory capital to risk-
    weighted assets, ratio

    28.1

    28.8

    33.2

    29.0

    Non-performing loans to
    total gross loans, ratio

    3.7

    4.6

    4.7

    4.6

    Balance of Payments

    (In percent of GDP)

    Current account balance

    -14.5

    -11.3

    -3.3

    4.0

    -0.5

    -1.2

    -1.3

    -1.6

    -2.0

    Merchandise exports,
    f.o.b.

    4.1

    3.8

    4.6

    3.5

    3.4

    3.5

    3.5

    3.5

    3.7

    Merchandise imports, f.o.b.

    37.8

    41.4

    47.1

    41.3

    43.0

    42.9

    42.7

    42.5

    42.5

    Services
    (net)

    -3.9

    -2.9

    10.8

    17.6

    16.4

    16.0

    16.0

    16.0

    16.0

    Of which: Tourism receipts

    0.0

    0.0

    16.4

    21.0

    21.9

    21.5

    21.5

    21.5

    21.5

    Income
    (net)

    -1.7

    -2.6

    -1.3

    -2.3

    -2.7

    -2.8

    -2.8

    -2.8

    -2.8

    Current transfers
    (net)

    24.8

    31.7

    29.6

    26.4

    25.4

    25.1

    24.6

    24.1

    23.7

    External Reserves and Debt

    Gross
    official reserves (million
    U.S.
    dollars) 2/

    288.5

    303.2

    401.7

    494.3

    503.8

    506.2

    523.9

    542.9

    557.5

    (in months
    of next
    year’s imports)

    7.9

    6.4

    8.3

    9.0

    8.8

    8.5

    8.5

    8.3

    8.2

    External
    debt (in percent of GDP)

    46.1

    43.6

    33.3

    25.9

    20.9

    17.8

    19.0

    20.3

    21.5

    Exchange Rates

    Market rate (tala/U.S. dollar,
    period average)

    2.57

    2.61

    2.73

    2.76

    Real
    effective exchange
    rate

    -0.5

    6.4

    9.2

    -0.6

    (12-month percent change) 3/

    Memorandum items:

    Nominal GDP
    (million 
    tala)

    2,169

    2,170

    2,562

    2,943

    3,200

    3,391

    3,568

    3,748

    3,938

    GDP per capita (U.S. dollars)

    4,136

    4,032

    4,498

    5,070

    5,474

    5,728

    5,945

    6,160

    6,440

    Sources: Data provided by the Samoan authorities; and IMF staff estimates and projections.

    1/ Fiscal years July-June.

    2/ Incorporates August 2021 SDR allocation.

    3/ Increase signifies appreciation.

    [1] Under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. A staff team visits the country, collects economic and financial information, and discusses with officials the country’s economic developments and policies. On return to headquarters, the staff prepares a report, which forms the basis for discussion by the Executive Board.

    [2] The Executive Board takes decisions under its lapse-of-time procedure when the Board agrees that a proposal can be considered without convening formal discussions.

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Pemba Sherpa

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Russia: IMF Executive Board Concludes 2024 Article IV Consultation with Samoa

    Source: IMF – News in Russian

    January 31, 2025

    Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the Article IV consultation[1] with Samoa on January 16, 2025 and endorsed the staff appraisal without a meeting on a lapse-of-time basis.[2]

    Samoa’s economic recovery has been remarkable. Following a 15 percent contraction over 3 years during the pandemic, GDP growth rebounded to 9.2 percent in FY2023 and accelerated further to 9.4 percent in FY2024, driven by a quick recovery in the tourism sector. Inflation has declined from double digit levels in FY2023 to 2.9 percent year-on-year in October 2024. The fiscal surplus increased further to 10.1 percent of GDP in FY2024, supported by robust grant flows, buoyant tax revenues, and restrained expenditures, including low capital spending amid capacity constraints. The current account moved to a surplus in FY2024 which, combined with continued strong grant inflows, supported a significant increase in foreign reserves.

    GDP growth is projected to remain robust at 5.5 percent in FY2025, driven by an anticipated pickup in public investment and the preparations and hosting of the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM). Inflation is expected to rise moderately amid the ongoing economic recovery. While the near-term outlook remains favorable, growth is expected to slow to the historical average of around 2 percent in the medium term. Furthermore, risks to the outlook are skewed to the downside amid heightened global uncertainties and potential pressures on inflation, including from significant excess liquidity in the banking system.

    Executive Board Assessment

    In concluding the 2024 Article IV consultation with Samoa, Executive Directors endorsed the staff’s appraisal, as follows:

    Samoa’s near-term economic outlook remains favorable. GDP growth in FY2025 is projected to remain well above pre-pandemic levels, supported by the preparations and hosting of CHOGM and the envisaged expansionary fiscal stance. Inflation is expected to rise moderately as the economic recovery continues. GDP growth is expected to converge towards the historical average of about 2 percent over the medium-term. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, including from a slowdown in key trading partners amid heightened global uncertainty, as well as upside risks to inflation from external and domestic sources.

    Samoa’s recent policy mix has helped build significant economic buffers but has also presented challenges. Large fiscal surpluses have improved debt dynamics, resulting in an upgrade to Samoa’s debt distress rating from high to moderate in the IMF-WB DSA, but low capital spending is undermining the economy’s productive capacity. The tight fiscal stance, coupled with high grants and remittance inflows and the exchange rate peg, has resulted in the emergence of a large current account surplus with the external sector assessed to be substantially stronger than the level implied by fundamentals and desired policy settings. The resulting large build up in foreign reserves has also created excess liquidity in the banking system.

    An expansionary fiscal stance will support the economy, while fiscal reforms can improve the effectiveness of policy and mitigate risks. The focus in the near term should be overcoming capacity constraints to execute much needed public investment, including climate-related projects.

    Maintaining PFM controls over the DDP, including through the election cycle, remains a priority. Improving fiscal data and implementing further PFM reforms can also help improve policy formulation, implementation, and credibility. Fully reversing the pandemic-era utility tariff cuts, while implementing any support for low-income households transparently through the budget, can help address lingering weakness in some SOEs while protecting the vulnerable.

    Monetary policy normalization should continue, with an aim to guide interest rates higher. The exchange rate peg remains the appropriate nominal anchor. However, to guard against domestic inflation risks, monetary policy should aim to reduce excess liquidity to reasonable levels and push real short-term rates to positive territory.

    Further strengthening financial supervision and regulation, including for PFIs, should be a priority. Financial sector risks have declined relative to the pandemic but require continued monitoring. Priorities for the banking system include operationalizing the emergency liquidity assistance framework and enhancing prudential standards. Upgrading governance and prudential regulations for PFIs is also needed to contain potential risks. Establishing an online credit registry will help advance financial inclusion.

    A multi-pronged approach can help mitigate CBR pressures. Strengthening the AML/CFT legal framework and implementing effective risk-based supervision will help prepare Samoa for its APG mutual evaluation in 2027. Ensuring the timely rollout of the e-KYC facility and the National Digital ID will help improve customer due diligence. Given low ML/TF risks from remittance payments, effort should be made to streamline regulatory and supervisory requirements on both sides of main remittance corridors.

    Overcoming significant structural challenges which impede the medium-term growth potential will require concerted reform efforts. Key priorities include attracting foreign investment, reducing trade facilitation costs, and mitigating the impact of the pickup in the seasonal workers program, including by enhancing human capital and raising labor force participation rates.

    Table 1. Samoa: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators 1/

    Proj.

    2020/21

    2021/22

    2022/23

    2023/24

    2024/25

    2025/26

    2026/27

    2027/28

    2028/29

    Output
    and
    Inflation

    (12-month percent change)

    Real GDP

    -7.0

    -5.4

    9.2

    9.4

    5.5

    2.8

    2.1

    2.0

    2.0

    Nominal GDP

    -7.5

    0.0

    18.0

    14.9

    8.7

    6.0

    5.2

    5.0

    5.1

    Consumer price
    index
    (end of period)

    4.1

    10.8

    10.7

    0.8

    3.5

    2.6

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    Consumer price
    index
    (period average)

    -3.0

    8.7

    12.0

    3.6

    3.1

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    3.0

    Central Government Finances

    (In percent of GDP)

    Revenue
    and grants

    36.5

    38.5

    34.1

    36.0

    33.0

    32.0

    31.5

    31.5

    31.4

    Of which: Grants

    6.8

    9.4

    4.5

    6.2

    4.2

    4.0

    4.0

    4.0

    4.0

    Expenditure

    34.7

    33.1

    31.0

    25.9

    33.1

    33.5

    33.4

    33.5

    33.6

    Of which: Expense

    31.3

    32.2

    27.5

    25.7

    27.9

    28.3

    28.2

    28.3

    28.2

    Of which: Net acquisition
    of non-financial assets

    3.4

    0.9

    3.5

    0.3

    5.2

    5.2

    5.2

    5.2

    5.4

    Overall balance

    1.7

    5.4

    3.0

    10.1

    -0.1

    -1.5

    -1.9

    -2.0

    -2.2

    Gross debt outstanding

    46.3

    43.7

    33.3

    27.7

    22.5

    19.3

    20.4

    21.5

    22.6

    Money
    and
    Credit Aggregates

    (12-month percent change)

    Broad
    money (M2)

    8.1

    2.2

    16.3

    7.7

    7.5

    6.0

    6.0

    6.0

    6.0

    Private
    sector
    credit, commercial banks

    1.5

    0.2

    -2.6

    3.5

    4.0

    5.0

    5.0

    5.0

    5.0

    Private
    sector
    credit,
    other financial corporations

    -0.9

    4.9

    2.9

    8.2

    Private
    sector
    credit,
    total
    financial system

    2.0

    0.6

    -0.1

    3.7

    Private Sector Credit

    (In percent of GDP)

    Commercial banks

    53.1

    53.2

    43.9

    39.5

    Total financial system

    94.0

    94.6

    80.1

    72.3

    Bank Financial Soundness

    Regulatory capital to risk-
    weighted assets, ratio

    28.1

    28.8

    33.2

    29.0

    Non-performing loans to
    total gross loans, ratio

    3.7

    4.6

    4.7

    4.6

    Balance of Payments

    (In percent of GDP)

    Current account balance

    -14.5

    -11.3

    -3.3

    4.0

    -0.5

    -1.2

    -1.3

    -1.6

    -2.0

    Merchandise exports,
    f.o.b.

    4.1

    3.8

    4.6

    3.5

    3.4

    3.5

    3.5

    3.5

    3.7

    Merchandise imports, f.o.b.

    37.8

    41.4

    47.1

    41.3

    43.0

    42.9

    42.7

    42.5

    42.5

    Services
    (net)

    -3.9

    -2.9

    10.8

    17.6

    16.4

    16.0

    16.0

    16.0

    16.0

    Of which: Tourism receipts

    0.0

    0.0

    16.4

    21.0

    21.9

    21.5

    21.5

    21.5

    21.5

    Income
    (net)

    -1.7

    -2.6

    -1.3

    -2.3

    -2.7

    -2.8

    -2.8

    -2.8

    -2.8

    Current transfers
    (net)

    24.8

    31.7

    29.6

    26.4

    25.4

    25.1

    24.6

    24.1

    23.7

    External Reserves and Debt

    Gross
    official reserves (million
    U.S.
    dollars) 2/

    288.5

    303.2

    401.7

    494.3

    503.8

    506.2

    523.9

    542.9

    557.5

    (in months
    of next
    year’s imports)

    7.9

    6.4

    8.3

    9.0

    8.8

    8.5

    8.5

    8.3

    8.2

    External
    debt (in percent of GDP)

    46.1

    43.6

    33.3

    25.9

    20.9

    17.8

    19.0

    20.3

    21.5

    Exchange Rates

    Market rate (tala/U.S. dollar,
    period average)

    2.57

    2.61

    2.73

    2.76

    Real
    effective exchange
    rate

    -0.5

    6.4

    9.2

    -0.6

    (12-month percent change) 3/

    Memorandum items:

    Nominal GDP
    (million 
    tala)

    2,169

    2,170

    2,562

    2,943

    3,200

    3,391

    3,568

    3,748

    3,938

    GDP per capita (U.S. dollars)

    4,136

    4,032

    4,498

    5,070

    5,474

    5,728

    5,945

    6,160

    6,440

    Sources: Data provided by the Samoan authorities; and IMF staff estimates and projections.

    1/ Fiscal years July-June.

    2/ Incorporates August 2021 SDR allocation.

    3/ Increase signifies appreciation.

    [1] Under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. A staff team visits the country, collects economic and financial information, and discusses with officials the country’s economic developments and policies. On return to headquarters, the staff prepares a report, which forms the basis for discussion by the Executive Board.

    [2] The Executive Board takes decisions under its lapse-of-time procedure when the Board agrees that a proposal can be considered without convening formal discussions.

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Pemba Sherpa

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/01/31/pr25023-samoa-imf-executive-board-concludes-2024-article-iv-consult

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Senator Coons decries President Trump’s freeze on almost all foreign assistance in speech on Senate floor

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Delaware Christopher Coons

    WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Chris Coons (D-Del.), a member of the Senate Appropriations and Foreign Relations Committees, condemned President Donald Trump’s executive order (EO) to pause almost all U.S. foreign assistance in a speech on the Senate floor yesterday, calling it unconstitutional and harmful to U.S. security and values.

    Last week, following the Trump EO, the State Department issued a “stop-work” order that halted all current foreign assistance and paused new projects, with narrow exceptions. This abrupt action created widespread confusion, further complicated by the White House budget office’s decision to send and then rescind a separate memo that had ordered a freeze on all federal grant spending. The actions have left essential aid programs and global partnerships in a state of uncertainty, weakening the United States’ standing around the world.

    In his remarks, Senator Coons emphasized that foreign assistance is not charity, but an investment that strengthens our security and economy. The Trump EO by contrast, harms our allies and friends, and benefits adversaries like China. It has halted payments to contractors rebuilding Ukraine’s electrical infrastructure in the wake of Russian attacks and frozen support that is critical to ensuring Taiwan’s defense. This pause has halted vital pandemic surveillance work that keeps us safe from lethal diseases and rapidly emerging pandemics, at a time when we are seeing new outbreaks of highly transmissible diseases like Ebola in Uganda and Marburg in Tanzania. The pause has impacted critical global health funding, including PEPFAR, which provides HIV treatment for more than 20 million people living with HIV globally. U.S. institutions that monitor global elections like the National Democratic Institute and International Republic Institute are also frozen in the run-up to elections in nations like Moldova and Romania that are expected to be targets of Russian interference. This reckless step harms U.S. credibility and economic stability and creates long-term consequences that weaken our allies and empower our adversaries.

    Senator Coons also underscored that while foreign assistance accounts for less than 1 percent of the federal budget, its strategic significance is crucial.

    A video and partial transcript of Senator Coons’ comments are available below.

    WATCH HERE.

    Senator Coons: Mr. President, I’m speaking today in strong opposition to President Trump’s illegal executive order of last Friday night that pauses all of our foreign assistance and development assistance. Let’s be clear: our development assistance, our foreign aid, isn’t about charity. It’s about security, and it’s about values. We have alliances and partnerships around the world that are undergirded by our soft power – by our partnerships and investment in helping make our world safer, more stable, and more secure. What happened last Friday night, at the end of the workday and there was no one there to answer urgent questions – was a freeze on all foreign assistance, with a very narrow exception for food aid, and it has caused chaos in the global community that delivers aid and assistance around the world. 

    For days, there were questions unanswered. What did this mean in Ukraine, in Lebanon, where there are wars and ceasefires, where critical grant funding and work by contractors helps put the lights back on after Russian attacks on the electrical infrastructure in Ukraine, where ceasefire implementation in Lebanon was ongoing. In parts of the world where we were continuing to bring home to the United States those who served alongside us in Afghanistan, Afghan SIVs waiting for processing, abandoned in Qatar and here in the United States. 

    A halt on drug supplies that helped keep 20 million people living with HIV through the program PEPFAR, long supported by presidents and Congresses of both parties. A freeze on activity to counter fentanyl and narcotics trafficking, to push back on Chinese and Russian disinformation, and to promote democracy. With urgent upcoming elections, the International Republican Institute and the National Democratic Institute are frozen in their activities and forced to lay off or furlough their workforce. Let me thank Secretary Rubio for responding to urgent calls to broaden the aperture for humanitarian waivers for this freeze, but let me also say that with dozens and dozens of the most senior people at USAID put on furlough, implementing this got harder, and with thousands of contractors who work for USAID in countries around the world dismissed or laid off, the consequences will be severe. 

    I’ll just give you one example. I suspect everyone listening has heard of the disease Ebola. I suspect not everyone has heard of the disease Marburg. They are related. They’re highly transmissive and deadly viruses. There is a new outbreak of Ebola in the capital of Uganda. There’s an ongoing outbreak of Marburg in the neighboring country of Tanzania. This freeze pauses the pandemic surveillance work, the urgent public health work, the assistance we provide that makes sure that we are safe from a rapidly emerging and lethal global pandemic that we put in place after the last pandemic. 

    When we halt foreign assistance, it has consequences. It’s just one percent of our total budget. Most Americans think it’s a big percent of our spending, but it’s one percent, actually, less than one percent of the total federal budget. And there’s a winner here, and it’s not the American taxpayer. Freezing programs like this causes chaos and often costs more to restart them after a review. The winner is China. Our biggest global competitor and adversary is delighted that we’ve handed them an opportunity to say to communities and countries around the world that we are not a reliable partner – that despite contracts and promises, commitments, and programs, they now have months to crow about how we have abandoned our partnerships with county after country around the world. China is delighted when we layoff, or furlough, or cut the resources that help fuel the work of our diplomats and our development professionals. And China has seen its opportunity to expand its influence through programs like the Belt and Road Initiative. They’ve spent a trillion dollars on projects across the Global South in the last decade, and our ability to counter Chinese influence, to make strategic investments, has been put gravely at risk by putting on hold the workforce and the contracts that help deliver them. 

    The administration may be claiming that this pause is temporary, but its effects will not be. The lasting impacts on small businesses, on contractors, on NGOs and loss of expertise, loss of their workforce, loss of their credibility I think will be lasting, dangerous, and harmful.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: U.S. Attorney’s Office Collects Over $39 Million in Civil and Criminal Actions in Fiscal Year 2024

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    SYRACUSE, NEW YORK – United States Attorney Carla B. Freedman announced today that the Northern District of New York’s Asset Recovery Unit collected $39,262,324 in civil, criminal and forfeiture actions in Fiscal Year 2024. Of this amount, $14,085,025 was collected in criminal actions, $15,874,944 was collected in civil actions, and $9,302,354 was collected in asset forfeiture actions

    The Northern District of New York also worked with other U.S. Attorney’s Offices and components of the Department of Justice to collect an additional $18,995,733 in cases pursued jointly by these offices. Of this amount, $39,092 was collected in criminal actions and $18,956,641 was collected in civil actions.    

    The U.S. Attorneys’ Offices, along with the Department’s litigating divisions, are responsible for enforcing and collecting civil and criminal debts owed to the United States and criminal debts owed to federal crime victims. The law requires defendants to pay restitution to victims of certain federal crimes who have suffered a physical injury or financial loss. While restitution is paid to the victim, criminal fines and felony assessments are paid to the Department’s Crime Victims Fund, which distributes the funds collected to federal and state victim compensation and victim assistance programs.

    Additionally, forfeited assets deposited into the Department of Justice Assets Forfeiture Fund can be used to restore funds to crime victims and for a variety of law enforcement purposes.  In Fiscal Year 2024, $8,330,553 of the funds forfeited in prior years through criminal and civil judicial forfeiture actions in the Northern District of New York were applied to victim compensation. 

    United States Attorney Carla Freedman stated: “These are great results – every recovery of funds strikes a blow for justice. I created the Asset Recovery Unit shortly after I took office in 2021, and I am incredibly proud of its efforts to make sure that crime does not pay, that crime victims are compensated as much as possible, and that companies pay appropriately steep penalties when they defraud the government.”

    In May, $11.3 million was recovered as part of a civil settlement in United States ex rel. Elevation 33, LLC v. Guidehouse, Inc. and Nan McKay and Associates, for violations of the False Claims Act, for failing to meet cybersecurity requirements in a federally funded contract intended to ensure a secure online environment for low-income New Yorkers to apply for federal rental assistance during the COVID-19 pandemic.  Guidehouse and its subcontractor, Nan McKay and Associates, admitted as part of a settlement agreement that neither satisfied their obligation to complete the required testing of the web site used to house applicants’ information, and the site was shut down within 12 hours after certain applicants’ personally identifiable information had been compromised.

    In February, the Northern District of New York restored $4,950,440 in funds forfeited from Richard J. Sherwood and Thomas K. Lagan, who were sentenced to both federal and state prison for stealing approximately $11.8 million from the estates of three sisters who died.  These funds were initially forfeited by the government through its criminal prosecutions of Sherwood and Lagan, and were restored in 2024 to the victims of the fraud by the Attorney General and the Money Laundering and Asset Recovery Section of the United States Department of Justice.  The victims include churches, Ukrainian-American civic organizations, a local hospital and a local university scholarship fund. 

    In September, the U.S. Attorney’s Office recovered $1 million from Derek R. Schwartz, who was sentenced this summer to 72 months in prison for conspiring with former ValueWise CEO Michael T. Mann to defraud companies that loaned millions of dollars to ValueWise subsidiaries.  These funds will be distributed to two financing companies that were victims of a sophisticated, years-long scheme.

    The Asset Recovery Unit is an initiative that works to deprive criminals of the proceeds of crimes, recovers property that may be used toward restitution, and enforces collection of criminal and civil debts owed to the United States or to victims of federal crimes.  The Asset Recovery Unit is comprised of Assistant United States Attorneys Lisa Fletcher, Elizabeth Conger and Melissa Rothbart, Paralegals Joshua Goodfriend, Marianne Meigs, Carly Clay, Erin Hyatt, Jiselle Cabezas, and Teilor Kaiser Clarey, and Investigative Analyst Jason Babiarz.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Global: Nonprofits that provide shelter for homeless people, disaster recovery help, and food for low-income Americans rely heavily on federal funding – they would be reeling if Trump froze that money

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Dyana Mason, Associate Professor of Planning, Public Policy and Management, University of Oregon

    Food pantry staff members and volunteers hand out food in Chelsea, Mass., in November 2024. Joseph Prezioso/AFP via Getty Images

    On Jan. 27, 2025, the Trump administration ordered a freeze on federal grants and contracts covering a wide array of aid programs to take effect at 5 p.m. the following day. This freeze was partially prevented when a judge responded to a lawsuit filed by the National Council of Nonprofits and other organizations. The flow of funds on grants that had already been awarded was at least temporarily protected by the judge’s action. The attorneys general of 22 states and the District of Columbia have also sued to block this funding freeze.

    The Trump administration, which on Jan. 29 rescinded the memo ordering the funding suspension, has made clear that it may again seek to reduce or eliminate much of the money, totaling several hundred billion dollars, that funds many services that nonprofits provide, such as support for foster parents, after-school care and distributing food for free.

    Dyana Mason and Mirae Kim, two scholars of nonprofits, explain the role that federal funding plays in the nonprofit sector.

    How much do nonprofits rely on federal funding?

    Nonprofits partner with the government to deliver social services, such as child care for low-income families, housing for people experiencing homelessness, and job training and placement. These partnerships can form with local or state governments, as well as with the federal government, with this collaboration mostly taking place through grants and contracts.

    Government funding makes up about 33% of the revenue flowing into the nonprofit sector annually, according to the Urban Institute. The institute, a think tank, also found that nearly 40% of all nonprofits in the United States applied for federal grants in 2021, 2022 and 2023, and that about 10% applied for federal contracts. The share of government funding can be far larger for some kinds of social service nonprofits.

    Many other nonprofits applied for local and state grants during that three-year period. Those grants, however, are often themselves funded by the federal government indirectly through grants it makes to state and local government agencies. Those agencies, in turn, then provide grants or maintain contracts with local nonprofits to provide services.

    Although it’s hard to track with absolute precision due to those complex arrangements, government revenue is the second-largest source of income for nonprofits after the money these organizations and institutions earn through commercial activities.

    Also called “fee-for-service,” this revenue includes the money nonprofit hospitals get when patients and insurers pay medical bills, nonprofit theaters receive when they sell tickets to performances, and nonprofit private schools obtain when parents pay tuition.

    Some social service nonprofits charge fees too, typically on a sliding scale. That is, their clients with relatively higher incomes pay more, and those with extremely low incomes pay very little or nothing at all.

    How could freezing federal funding affect nonprofits?

    We have no doubt that a long freeze on federal grants and contracts would be devastating for nonprofits and the communities they serve.

    For example, Meals on Wheels, a program that delivers hot meals to more than 2 million homebound people over 65 and helps them maintain social connections, gets 37% of its funding from the federal government.

    Clackamas Women’s Services, a domestic and sexual violence organization based near Portland, Oregon, is one of the many local organizations that have expressed concern about what to expect. The group says it could lose half of its annual budget if federal funding were to be eliminated.

    Without federal funding, organizations like these – many of which already have waitlists – would have to cut back on the services they provide.

    Nonprofits are confused and concerned about the stability of federal funding, Scripps News reports.

    What’s the role of nonprofits in the US safety net?

    It’s very significant.

    For the past several decades, attempts to scale back the size of the government have led to government agencies essentially hiring nonprofits to do much of their work.

    Through contracts and grants, nonprofits then do such things as assist people who are recovering from fires, hurricanes and other disasters; provide services for veterans and active-duty members of the military; and help people with mental health conditions, including substance use problems, just to name a few.

    This arrangement typically provides nonprofits with a reliable and predictable source of funds that they can use to serve their communities. But it can also leave them vulnerable to policy changes – especially when new administrations take over, as the second Trump administration’s actions illustrate.

    Research we conducted about what happened to nonprofits during the COVID-19 pandemic showed that volatility in the economy has serious effects on the ability of nonprofits to do their work.

    For example, social service nonprofits struggled in March and April 2020 due to falling revenue at a time of increasing demand. Many of these organizations had to scale back their services. In some cases, they canceled them.

    We followed up with another survey in November and December 2020. By then, we found, 61% of the groups had received forgivable federal loans through the government’s Paycheck Protection Program.

    Nearly half of the nonprofits told us that they had, in addition, received other forms of emergency funding from the federal government, including Economic Injury Disaster Loans and emergency food distributions.

    This federal assistance made it possible for thousands of nonprofits to keep their staff employed and continue to provide important services as the economy recovered.

    What happens when nonprofits lose federal funds?

    It’s hard for social service organizations to replace federal funding.

    Nonprofits can, of course, appeal to their donors to help bridge the gap. But donations from individuals, foundations, corporations and bequests only amount to no more than 15% of the funds flowing into the nonprofit sector.

    The outcome of freezing, eliminating or scaling back federal funding for nonprofits would mean that those in need would get fewer services. We would also expect mass layoffs, which could harm the U.S. economy.

    Nonprofits employ more than 12 million people in the United States. That’s more workers than big industries such as construction, transportation and finance employ. Should millions of them suddenly become unemployed, demand would grow further for social services from providers already unable to meet lower levels of demand due to funding cuts.

    Has there ever been upheaval like this before?

    Congress appropriates money to provide for the services that the public needs and demands. These moves have led to great fear and uncertainty among organizations that serve people in need in the United States and abroad.

    Although it’s not unusual for funding priorities to change from one administration to the next, Donald Trump’s executive orders on international aid and nonprofit grants and contracts that underpin the U.S. safety net are unprecedented.

    Dyana Mason has received research funding from the National Institute for Transportation and Communities and the Joint Fire Science Program with the Bureau of Land Management (BLM). She is also a volunteer board member of the Southwest Oregon chapter of the American Red Cross.

    Mirae Kim is affiliated with the Association for Research on Nonprofit Organizations and Voluntary Action (ARNOVA) as a non-paid, at-large board member.

    ref. Nonprofits that provide shelter for homeless people, disaster recovery help, and food for low-income Americans rely heavily on federal funding – they would be reeling if Trump froze that money – https://theconversation.com/nonprofits-that-provide-shelter-for-homeless-people-disaster-recovery-help-and-food-for-low-income-americans-rely-heavily-on-federal-funding-they-would-be-reeling-if-trump-froze-that-money-248543

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Bowman, Brief Remarks on the Economy, and Perspective on Mutual and Community Banks

    Source: US State of New York Federal Reserve

    Let me begin by saying my thoughts and prayers are with the families of the passengers and crew who perished in the tragic flight accident in Washington, D.C. Wednesday evening.
    Thank you for the invitation to speak to you today.1 It is a pleasure to be with you virtually for your CEO Summit. I always enjoy the opportunity to meet bankers from across the country, especially New England, to learn about the issues that are important to you. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded its January meeting earlier this week, so I will begin by offering some brief remarks on the economy, and then share my views on a number of mutual and community bank issues, before addressing some questions that were submitted by your members in advance of today’s meeting.
    Update on the Most Recent FOMC MeetingAt our FOMC meeting this week, my colleagues and I voted to hold the federal funds rate target range at 4-1/4 to 4‑1/2 percent and to continue to reduce the Federal Reserve’s securities holdings. I supported this action because, after recalibrating the level of the policy rate towards the end of last year to reflect the progress made since 2023 on lowering inflation and cooling the labor market, I think that policy is now in a good place to position the Committee to pay closer attention to the inflation data as it evolves.
    Looking ahead to 2025, in my view, the current policy stance also provides the opportunity to review further indicators of economic activity and get clarity on the administration’s policies and their effects on the economy. It will be very important to have a better sense of the actual policies and how they will be implemented, in addition to greater confidence about how the economy will respond.
    Brief Remarks on the EconomyThe U.S. economy remained strong through the end of last year, with solid growth in economic activity and a labor market near full employment. Core inflation remains elevated, but my expectation is that it will moderate further this year. Even with this outlook, I continue to see upside risks to inflation.
    The rate of inflation declined significantly in 2023, but it slowed by noticeably less last year. Without having seen the December data released this morning, I estimate that the 12-month measure of core personal consumption expenditures inflation—which excludes food and energy prices—likely remained unchanged at 2.8 percent in December, only slightly below its 3.0 percent reading at the end of 2023. Progress has been slow and uneven since the spring of last year mostly due to a slowing in core goods price declines.
    After increasing at a solid pace, on average, over the initial three quarters of last year, gross domestic product appears to have risen a bit more slowly in the fourth quarter, reflecting a large drop in inventory investment, which is a volatile category. In contrast, private domestic final purchases, which provide a better signal about underlying growth in economic activity, maintained its strong momentum from earlier in the year, as personal consumption rose robustly again in the fourth quarter.
    Some measures of consumer sentiment appear to have improved recently but are still well below pre-pandemic levels, likely because of higher prices. And since housing, food, and energy price increases have far outpaced overall inflation since the pandemic, lower-income households have experienced the negative impacts of inflation hardest, especially as these households have limited options to trade down for lower-cost goods and services.
    Payroll employment gains rebounded strongly in December and averaged about 170,000 per month in the fourth quarter, a pace that is somewhat above average gains in the prior two quarters. The unemployment rate edged back down to 4.1 percent in December and has moved sideways since last June, remaining slightly below my estimate of full employment.
    The labor market appears to have stabilized in the second half of last year, after having loosened from extremely tight conditions. The rise in the unemployment rate since mid-2023 largely reflected weaker hiring, as job seekers entering or re-entering the labor force are taking longer to find work, while layoffs have remained low. The ratio of job vacancies to unemployed workers has remained close to the pre-pandemic level in recent months, and there are still more available jobs than available workers. The labor market no longer appears to be especially tight, but wage growth remains somewhat above the pace consistent with our inflation goal.
    I hope the revision of the Bureau of Labor Statistics labor data, which will be released next week, will more accurately capture the changing dynamics of immigration and net business creation and bring more clarity on the underlying pace of job growth. It is crucial that U.S. official data accurately capture structural changes in labor markets in real time, such as those in recent years, so we can more confidently rely on these data for monetary and economic policymaking. In the meantime, given conflicting economic signals, measurement challenges, and significant data revisions, I remain cautious about taking signal from only a limited set of real-time data releases.
    Assuming the economy evolves as I expect, I think that inflation will slow further this year. Its progress may be bumpy and uneven, and the upcoming inflation data for the first quarter will be an important indication of how quickly this will happen. That said, I continue to see greater risks to price stability, especially while the labor market remains near full employment.
    Despite the prospect for some reduction in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Asia, global supply chains continue to be susceptible to disruptions, which could result in inflationary effects on food, energy, and other commodity markets. In addition, the release of pent-up demand following the election, especially with improving consumer and business sentiment, could lead to stronger economic activity, which could increase inflationary pressures.
    The Path ForwardAs we enter a new phase in the process of moving the federal funds rate toward a more neutral policy stance, I would prefer that future adjustments to the policy rate be gradual. We should take time to carefully assess the progress in achieving our inflation and employment goals and consider changes to the policy rate based on how the data evolves.
    Given the current stance of policy, I continue to be concerned that easier financial conditions over the past year may have contributed to the lack of further progress on slowing inflation. In light of the ongoing strength in the economy and with equity prices substantially higher than a year ago, it seems unlikely that the overall level of interest rates and borrowing costs are exerting meaningful restraint.
    I am also closely watching the increase in longer-term Treasury yields since we started the recalibration of our policy stance at the September meeting. Some have interpreted it as a reflection of investors’ concerns about the possibility of tighter-than-expected policy that may be required to address inflationary pressures. In light of these considerations, I continue to prefer a cautious and gradual approach to adjusting policy.
    There is still more work to be done to bring inflation closer to our 2 percent goal. I would like to see progress in lowering inflation resume before we make further adjustments to the target range. We need to keep inflation in focus while the labor market appears to be in balance and the unemployment rate continues to be at historically low levels. By the time of our March meeting, we will have received two inflation and two employment reports. I look forward to reviewing the first quarter inflation data, which, as I noted earlier, will be key to understanding the path of inflation going forward. I do expect that inflation will begin to decline again and that by year-end it will be lower than where it now stands.
    Looking forward, it is important to note that monetary policy is not on a preset course. At each FOMC meeting, my colleagues and I will make our decisions based on the incoming data and the implications for and risks to the outlook and guided by the Fed’s dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices. I will also continue to meet with a broad range of contacts as I assess the appropriateness of our monetary policy stance.
    Bringing inflation in line with our price stability goal is essential for sustaining a healthy labor market and fostering an economy that works for everyone in the longer run.
    Perspective on Mutual and Community BanksTurning to banking, I will start with a brief discussion of the important role of mutual banks in the banking system before addressing other bank regulatory issues. One of the unique characteristics of the U.S. banking system is the broad scope of institutions it includes and the wide range of customers and communities it serves. Given this institutional diversity, regulators must strive to foster a financial system that enables each and every bank, no matter its size, to thrive, supporting a vibrant economy and financial system.
    Mutual Bank IssuesIn the Northeast, everyone is familiar with mutual banks given their significant presence in this region. Since the early 1800s, these banks have been dedicated to serving their local communities.2 Their ownership structure differs from traditional banks in that mutuals are owned by their depositors, rather than by shareholders. Like other community banks, they focus on local issues that are important to their communities and to their depositors.
    Many of the challenges mutual banks face are similar to those faced by other financial institutions, including competition from other banks, credit unions, and non-banks. But mutual banks also face unique issues that can add cost and expense to their operations. Two issues I would like to discuss are the challenges mutual institutions face raising capital, and unique procedural hurdles mutuals face in managing the dividend process. While these issues are unique to mutuals, both highlight the challenges of a lack of transparency, and insufficient focus on efficiency.3
    Just as with other community banks, a challenge for many mutuals is the difficulty of raising additional capital. This difficulty is exacerbated by their ownership structure, which typically requires mutuals to rely heavily on retained earnings. Although mutual institutions have historically been more highly capitalized relative to their stock-owned peers, if a mutual capital raise is needed, it would be helpful to provide some regulatory flexibility in the process. Recently, some mutuals have issued subordinated debt as a form of capital, but another form of regulatory capital may be preferable: mutual capital certificates.
    To date, it has been unclear whether mutual capital certificates qualify as regulatory capital. These instruments could provide mutual banks an additional way to raise capital without disrupting their mutual structure. In my view, the banking agencies should be receptive to these kinds of instruments to ensure that mutual banks can both raise capital and maintain their depositor-owned structure. Mutuals need clarity and transparency about the regulatory treatment of these instruments and whether they qualify as regulatory capital.
    Another concern for mutuals is the annual requirement to receive regulatory approval for a mutual holding company’s waiver of a dividend issued by its subsidiary bank.4 The Board practice is to require a mutual holding company to submit an application each year to implement a waiver. This prior approval requirement is complex and imposes significant costs on these small institutions, reducing the investment they can make in their communities. Because of the time and expense of these waiver requirements, it is possible that the inefficiencies of the required application process erode the value of a mutual holding company structure, which would further constrain a mutual bank’s ability to raise capital.
    Since the Board has nearly 20 years of experience considering these waiver requests, it seems appropriate to consider whether the applications process for these waivers is efficient. What lessons have we learned? Is the prior approval requirement effective in its review of holding companies waiving receipt of their dividends, or can this be resolved in a more efficient and cost effective manner? In my view, the Board should consider whether this process is effective and efficient in addressing concerns related to dividend waivers.
    Mutual banks, like all community banks, are vital to the economic success of their communities. It is critical that our applications process not act as a limit on a particular type of institution simply due to regulatory inaction or lack of clarity and transparency. Regulators must find efficient and effective ways to support a vibrant and diverse banking system that enables these and other small institutions to thrive while supporting and investing in their local economy.
    TailoringTransparency and efficiency are just two of the necessary components of a regulatory approach that promotes a healthy and vibrant banking system. Another component that I speak about frequently is the use of “tailoring” in the regulatory framework. For those familiar with my philosophy on bank regulation and supervision, my interest and focus on tailoring will come as no surprise.5 In its most basic form, it is difficult to disagree with the virtue of regulatory and supervisory tailoring—calibrating the requirements and expectations imposed on a firm based on its size, business model, risk profile, and complexity—as a reasonable, appropriate and responsible approach for bank regulation and supervision. In fact, tailoring is embedded in the statutory fabric of the Federal Reserve’s bank regulatory responsibilities.6
    The bank regulatory framework inherently includes significant costs—both the cost of operating the banking agencies, and the cost to the banking industry of complying with regulations, the examination process, and supplying information to regulators both through formal information collections and through one-off requests. In the aggregate, these costs can ultimately affect the price and availability of credit, geographic access to banking services, and the broader economy. The cost of this framework—both to regulators and to the industry—reflects layers of policy decisions over many years. But this framework could be more effective in balancing the mandate to promote safety and soundness with the need to have a banking system that promotes economic growth.
    For example, let’s consider costs. As regulatory and supervisory demands grow, there is often parallel growth in the staff and budgets of the banking agencies. We should not only be cognizant of these costs, but we should act in a way that requires efficiency while ensuring safety and soundness. Some degree of elasticity in regulator capacity is necessary to respond to evolving economic and banking conditions, as well as emerging risks, but there must be reasonable constraints on growth. Expansion of the regulatory framework is not a cost-free endeavor, and the costs are shouldered by taxpayers, banks, and, ultimately, bank customers.
    The bank regulatory framework has great potential to provide significant benefits, including supporting an innovative banking system that enhances trust and confidence in our institutions, and promotes safety and soundness. When we consider the benefits and the costs, we can institute greater efficiencies in both banking regulation and in the banking industry itself. The bank regulatory framework is complex, and the various elements of this framework are intended to work in a complementary way. As banks evolve—by growing larger, or by engaging in new activities—tailoring can help us to quickly recalibrate requirements in light of the new risks posed by the firm.
    But the regulatory framework, especially how supervisors prioritize its application to the banking industry, can pose a serious threat to a bank’s viability. For example, imposing the same regulatory requirements on banks with assets of $2 billion to $2 trillion under the new rules implementing the Community Reinvestment Act demonstrated a missed opportunity to promote greater effectiveness and efficiency.7 I question the wisdom of applying the same evaluation standards to banks within such a broad range.
    Likewise, supervisory guidance can provide fertile ground to differentiate supervisory expectations under a more tailored approach. While supervisory guidance is not binding on banks as a legal matter, it can signal how regulators think about particular risks and activities, and often drives community banks to reallocate resources in a way that may not be necessary or appropriate. The Fed’s guidance on third-party risk management is an example of this. Originally, this guidance was published in a way that applied to all banks, including community banks. Yet, it was acknowledged even at the time of publication that it had known shortcomings, particularly in terms of its administration and lack of clarity for community banks.8
    Tailoring is important for all banks, but it is particularly important for community banks. There are real costs not only to banks, but to communities, when the framework is insufficiently tailored, as community banks faced with excessive regulatory burdens may be forced to raise prices or shut their doors completely. These banks often reach unbanked or underbanked corners of the U.S. economy, not only in terms of the customers they serve but also in terms of their geographic footprint. We are all familiar with banking deserts and the challenges many legitimate and law-abiding businesses and consumers have in accessing basic banking services and credit. It is difficult to imagine that a system with far fewer banks would as effectively serve U.S. banking and credit needs and sufficiently to support economic growth.
    It is imperative that we keep the benefits of tailoring in focus as the bank regulatory framework evolves. A tailored regulatory and supervisory approach can help inform our policies on a wide range of industry issues that are likely to emerge in the coming years.
    Problem-Based SolutionsOne of the most difficult challenges on the regulatory front is prioritization, both for banks managing their businesses and for regulators deciding how to fulfill their responsibilities. At a basic level, the role of regulators is dictated by statute. Congress granted the Federal Reserve and other banking agencies broad statutory powers but has constrained how those powers may be directed through the use of statutory mandates, including to promote a safe and sound banking system, and broader U.S. financial stability. In the execution of these responsibilities, the Federal Reserve must also balance the need to act in a way that enables the banking system to serve the U.S. economy and promote economic growth. While these objectives are not incompatible, they do require us to consider tradeoffs when establishing policy.
    How can regulators best meet these responsibilities? As many of you may already know, I strongly believe in a pragmatic approach to policymaking.9 This requires us to identify the problem we are trying to solve, determine whether we are the appropriate regulator to address the problem based on our statutory mandates and authorities, and explore options for addressing the identified issue.
    As a first step, we must be attuned to the banking system and how regulatory actions affect that system. We oversee a wide range of banks of varying sizes, activities, affiliates, and complexity. These banks interact with a range of service providers, financial market utilities, payments providers, and non-bank partners, regularly competing with non-bank financial intermediaries. The banking system can be a key driver of business formation, economic expansion, and opportunity.
    As we look at the banking system, including the regulatory framework, we must focus on those issues that are most important to advancing statutory priorities. There is always the risk of misidentification and mis-prioritization, and that we fail to take appropriately robust action on key issues or focus on issues that are less material to a bank’s safety and soundness. Our goal should be to develop a better filter to promote appropriate and effective prioritization.
    FraudWe have seen several instances where this filter did not produce appropriate results, as we have recently seen with fraud. The incidence of fraud, particularly check fraud, has been rising substantially over the past few years, causing harm to banks, damaging the perceived safety of the banking system, and importantly hurting consumers who are the victims of fraudulent activity. Sometimes these efforts target vulnerable populations, like the elderly, who are particularly susceptible to certain forms of fraud.
    Despite this known problem, efforts by regulators have been frustratingly slow to advance, and seem to have done little to address the underlying root causes of this increase in fraud. Why has this important issue failed to garner greater attention from all of the appropriate regulatory and law enforcement bodies? Different governmental agencies may share an important role in addressing this problem, but the need for a joint and coordinated solution does not excuse collective inaction.
    Climate-Related Financial RiskOf course, not every issue falls within the scope of the Federal Reserve’s responsibilities. Even when policymakers identify an issue or priority that they would like to pursue, it is imperative to ask whether that priority falls within the scope of our mandate and authorities. Statutes and regulations, paired with the “soft” power of examination, can be deployed in ways that may not be primarily directed towards the priorities mandated for banking regulators. I’ve noted previously that the banking agencies’ climate-related financial risk guidance arguably pushes the boundaries of appropriate regulatory responsibilities. Banks have long been required to manage all material risks, including weather- and climate-related risks. And while this additional guidance seemed to do little to advance the goals of promoting the safe and sound operation of banks it, in effect, posed significant risks of influencing credit allocation decisions. Ultimately, banking regulators should not dictate credit allocation decisions, either by rule or through supervision. Bank regulatory policy should be used to address the needs of the unbanked and expand the availability of banking services. It should not be used to limit or exclude access to banking services for legitimate customers and businesses in a way that is meant to further unrelated policy goals, sometimes referred to as “de-banking.”
    Once we have identified problems and determined that they are within the Fed’s responsibility, we must consider alternative approaches to address them, focusing on identifying efficient solutions. New technologies and services often require novel regulatory and supervisory approaches, and we recognize that past approaches may not be effective. Often regulators take a “more is better” approach to regulation and guidance. Over the past several years, the banking industry has faced an onslaught of proposed and final regulations and guidance, materials that require a significant time commitment to review, to comment on, and to implement. Many times, these require changes to policies and procedures or risk management practices.
    It is critical that in our urgency to address issues in the banking system—particularly for community banks—that we consider not just the direct and indirect effects of regulatory action but also this cumulative burden. Community banks are resilient and dedicated to serving their communities, but at some point, the cumulative burden of the bank regulatory framework can adversely affect the availability and pricing of banking services and threaten the ongoing viability of the community bank model. The community banks in this country are important economically and to their communities, and we should strive to support these institutions and their ongoing viability.
    Other Notable Issues and ConcernsIn preparation for today’s event, conference attendees were asked to submit questions in advance. So before concluding my remarks I’d like to address a few of these, since we won’t be able to do a live Q&A session in this virtual format. Thank you for submitting your questions in advance.
    As community bankers, we are deeply invested in supporting the growth and resilience of our local economies. With ongoing regulatory pressures, what specific actions can the Federal Reserve take to ensure smaller institutions like ours remain competitive and capable of delivering the personalized service that our communities depend on?One of the things I think is critical in identifying how to support community banks is listening to the industry—which issues are top-of-mind for you? Being an effective regulator requires a degree of humility, and receptiveness to hearing about issues that affect the business of banking, particularly when there are alternative ways that regulators can better promote safety and soundness, or where regulatory actions have resulted in unintended consequences. At the same time, during my conversations with banks, a few themes have emerged that deserve attention. This will be a non-exclusive list, but hopefully will give you a sense of the types of issues and concerns that I hear about most frequently when talking to community banks.
    First, I think there is room to improve the transparency of regulatory communication. Banks should not be left to guess what regulators think about the permissibility of particular activities, or what parameters and rules should apply to those activities. Uncertainty discourages investments in innovation and the expansion of banking activities, products, and services, and can call into question whether internal processes and procedures are consistent with supervisory expectations. Banks already must confront the challenges of dealing with evolving economic and credit conditions, regulators should not compound these challenges through opaque expectations and standards.
    Second, I think we need to address shortcomings in the processing of banking applications, employing a more nimble and predictable approach specifically in the de novo formation and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) contexts. Today, the process to obtain regulatory approval can be influenced by many factors under a bank’s control—for example, the completeness of the application filed and responsiveness to addressing questions and providing necessary additional information. However, the timeline for application decisions is often uncertain and beyond the bank’s control. This can be due to questions about the minimum amount of capital needed and early-stage supervisory expectations (for a de novo bank), or uncertainty about the competitive effects of a transaction, or the filing of a public comment raising concerns about an application in the M&A context.
    Finally, I think regulatory and supervisory “trickle-down” is real and it has significantly harmed community banks. I am referring to regulators conveying expectations to community banks (for example, during the examination process) that lack a foundation in applicable rules or guidance, or that were designed for larger institutions, or based on a horizontal review of unique banks.
    It is very difficult to insulate community banks from the harmful consequences of “trickle-down,” and broader structural changes may be needed to shield them from inapplicable and unreasonable expectations. At the same time, we must preserve strong supervisory standards as banks cross asset thresholds, so banks that grow larger and riskier are subject to appropriately tailored and calibrated requirements and expectations. I would also note that some degree of “trickle down” has occurred over time because the regulatory asset “line” defining community banks has remained constant at $10 billion in assets for over a decade. During that time, the economy has grown significantly, and inflation has rendered this asset definition obsolete. Many “community banks”—as defined by business model and activities rather than asset size—now exceed the threshold and must comply with broader regulatory requirements that may be excessive.
    What support or guidance can community banks expect from the Federal Reserve as we navigate technological innovation and increased cybersecurity threats?Both innovation and cybersecurity are issues that are top of mind for me. Innovation has always been a priority for banks of all sizes and business models. Banks in the U.S. have a long history of developing and implementing new technologies, and innovation has the potential to make the banking and payments systems faster and more efficient, to bring new products and services to customers, and even to enhance safety and soundness.
    Regulators must be open to innovation in the banking system. Our goal should be to build and support a clear and sensible regulatory framework that anticipates ongoing and evolving innovation—one that allows the private sector to innovate while also maintaining appropriate safeguards. We must promote innovation through transparency and open communication, including demonstrating a willingness to engage during the development process. By providing clarity and consistency, we can encourage long-term business investment, while also continuing to support today’s products and services. A clear regulatory framework would also empower supervisors to focus on safety and soundness, while ensuring a safe and efficient banking and payment system.
    On cybersecurity, banks often note cybersecurity and third-party risk management as areas that raise significant concerns. Cyber-related events, including ransomware attacks and business email compromises, are costly in terms of expense and reputation, and are time-consuming events that pose unique challenges for community banks.
    The maintenance of cyber assets and technology resources required to support a successful cybersecurity program are often difficult for smaller banks. Regulators can promote cybersecurity, and stronger cyber-incident “resilience” and response capabilities by identifying resources and opportunities, such as exercises, for banks to develop “muscle memory” in cyber incident response.
    The Federal Reserve plays an important role in supervising banks and supporting risk management practices. For example, the Federal Reserve hosts the Midwest Cyber Workshop, with the Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago, Kansas City, and St. Louis.10 Over the past couple of years, this workshop has provided a forum to discuss cyber risk among community bankers, regulators, law enforcement, and other industry stakeholders. Community banks can also turn to the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) website, which includes the FFIEC Cybersecurity Resource Guide and links to other external cybersecurity resources.
    We know well that cyber threats pose real risks to the banking system, and we recognize that community banks may have unique needs in preventing, remediating, and responding to cyber threats. Regulators should, therefore, ensure that a range of resources are available to support banks and seek further opportunities to help build bank resilience against these threats.
    Community banks are integral to rural and underserved communities. How can the Federal Reserve support us in maintaining our presence in these areas, particularly amid ongoing consolidation trends?As I noted earlier, it is essential that the U.S. banking system is broad and diverse, including institutions of all sizes serving all the different markets across the country. Community banks play a particularly valuable role in rural and underserved communities, and we need to ensure that the community banking model remains viable into the future.
    To do that, we need to have a regulatory system in which both de novo bank formations and M&A transactions are possible. Viable formation and merger options for banks of all sizes are necessary to avoid creating a “barbell” of the very largest and very smallest banks in the banking system, with the number of community banks continuing to erode over time.
    M&A ensures that banks have a meaningful path to transitioning bank ownership. In the absence of a viable M&A framework, there is potential for additional risks, including limited opportunities for succession planning, especially in smaller or rural communities. Uncertainty related to the M&A process also may act as a deterrent to de novo bank formation, as potential bank founders may stay on the sidelines knowing that future exit strategies—like the strategic acquisition of a de novo bank by a larger peer—may face long odds of success.
    Another challenge particularly in rural markets are the competitive “screens” that are used to evaluate the competitive effects of a proposed merger. Using these screens often results in a finding that M&A transactions in rural markets can have an adverse effect on competition and should therefore be disallowed.11 Even when these transactions are eventually approved, the mechanical approach to analyzing competitive effects often requires additional review or analysis and can lead to extensive delays in the regulatory approval process. Reducing the efficiency of the bank M&A process can be a deterrent to healthy bank transactions—it can reduce the effectiveness of M&A and de novo activity that preserves the presence of community banks in underserved areas, prevent institutions from pursuing prudent growth strategies, and actually undermine competition by preventing firms from growing to a larger scale.

    1. The views expressed here are my own and are not necessarily those of my colleagues on the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee. Return to text
    2. The first mutual banks in the United States were chartered in 1816. The Provident Institution for Savings and the Philadelphia Savings Fund Society were both chartered that year. See https://www.jstor.org/stable/2123609; https://www.mass.gov/info-details/history-of-the-division-of-banks. Return to text
    3. Michelle W. Bowman, “Reflections on 2024: Monetary Policy, Economic Performance, and Lessons for Banking Regulation” (speech at the California Bankers Association 2025 Bank Presidents Seminar, Laguna Beach, California, January 9, 2025). Return to text
    4. 12 CFR § 239.8(d). Return to text
    5. See, e.g., Michelle W. Bowman, “Tailoring, Fidelity to the Rule of Law, and Unintended Consequences (PDF)” (speech at the Harvard Law School Faculty Club, Cambridge, Massachusetts, March 5, 2024). Return to text
    6. See, Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 115-174, § 401(a)(1) (amending 12 U.S.C. § 5365), 132 Stat. 1296 (2018). Return to text
    7. See dissenting statement, “Statement on the Community Reinvestment Act Final Rule by Governor Michelle W. Bowman,” news release, October 24, 2023. Return to text
    8. See “Statement on Third Party Risk Management Guidance by Governor Michelle W. Bowman,” news release, June 6, 2023. Return to text
    9. Michelle W. Bowman, “Approaching Policymaking Pragmatically (PDF)” (remarks to the Forum Club of the Palm Beaches, West Palm Beach, Florida, November 20, 2024). Return to text
    10. See Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, “Midwest Cyber Workshop 2024,” June 25‑26, 2024. Return to text
    11. Michelle W. Bowman, “The Role of Research, Data, and Analysis in Banking Reforms (PDF)” (speech at the 2023 Community Banking Research Conference, St. Louis, MO, October 4, 2023); Michelle W. Bowman, “The New Landscape for Banking Competition (PDF),” (speech at the 2022 Community Banking Research Conference, St. Louis, MO, September 28, 2022). Return to text

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI: Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter 2024 Results

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    • Net income of $13.7 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to net loss of $7.9 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, for the three months ended September 30, 2024; the fourth quarter of 2024 included $3.9 million in expenses related to the merger and $0.5 million for a legal settlement compared to $17.0 million in expenses related to the merger, $15.5 million of provision for credit losses on non-purchase credit deteriorated loans and $4.8 million for an executive retirement, net of taxes, for the third quarter of 2024;
    • Excluding the impact of the non-recurring charges referenced above, net income and diluted earnings per share, respectively, were $16.7 million(1) and $0.87(1) for the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to adjusted net income and diluted earnings per share of $21.4 million(1) and $1.11(1), respectively;
    • The Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.26 per common share, payable February 21, 2025, to shareholders of record as of February 14, 2025; this represents an increase in the Company’s quarterly cash dividend of $0.03 per share, or 13%;
    • The previously announced cost save target of 18% has been achieved for the go-forward operating run rate as of December 31, 2024;
    • With the core conversion being completed in November 2024, the fourth quarter results reflected several ongoing activities associated with the conversion and the transitional period; the fourth quarter also included elevated salaries and employee benefit expenses due to year end performance-based incentive accruals;
    • Net interest margin, on a tax equivalent basis, was 4.05% in the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to 4.14% in the third quarter of 2024; the net accretion impact of purchase accounting marks was $7.2 million of net interest income, which represents 52 basis points of net interest margin for the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to $5.8 million of net interest income, which represents 42 basis points of net interest margin, for the third quarter of 2024;
    • Commercial loans declined by $59.5 million, or 2%, from September 30, 2024 to December 31, 2024 due primarily to strategic actions to reduce risk in the portfolio, including reducing commercial real estate (“CRE”) loan concentrations; a pool of mostly commercial and industrial loans totaling $6.0 million was sold, including $2.6 million of nonaccrual loans; total classified loans declined by $16.9 million during the fourth quarter of 2024;
    • Noninterest income decreased by $1.2 million to $11.2 million in the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $12.4 million in the three months ended September 30, 2024; this reduction was driven by certain courtesy fee waivers provided to clients as well as tax credits recognized in the third quarter of 2024 that did not recur in the fourth quarter;
    • The provision for credit losses was $1.8 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, inclusive of a charge-off of $2.4 million for one commercial and industrial (C&I) relationship and charge-offs associated with the loan sale of $0.6 million, which was offset by the acceleration of a purchase mark for the same amount;
    • Tangible book value per common share(1) increased to $21.19 per share at December 31, 2024 compared to $21.12 per share at September 30, 2024.

    (1) Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix A for additional information.

    HARRISBURG, Pa., Jan. 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORRF), the parent company of Orrstown Bank (the “Bank”), announced earnings for the three months ended December 31, 2024. Net income totaled $13.7 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to net loss of $7.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and net income of $7.6 million for the three months ended December 31, 2023. Diluted earnings per share was $0.71 for the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to diluted loss per share of $0.41 for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and diluted earnings per share of $0.73 for the three months ended December 31, 2023. For the fourth quarter of 2024, excluding the impact of merger-related expenses and other non-recurring charges, net of taxes, net income and diluted earnings per share were $16.7 million(1) and $0.87(1), respectively. For the third quarter of 2024, excluding the impact of the merger-related expenses, net of taxes, net income and diluted earnings per share were $21.4 million(1) and $1.11(1), respectively. For the fourth quarter of 2023, excluding the impact from the merger-related expenses, net income and diluted earnings per share were $8.6 million(1) and $0.83(1), respectively.

    “While we are pleased with another year of strong core earnings, we are even more excited about what lies ahead,” said Thomas R. Quinn, Jr., President and Chief Executive Officer. “We successfully completed our core conversion in November and have achieved the targeted 18% cost savings in our future operating run rate of the two banks’ combined noninterest expense base. With the integration behind us, we look forward to returning our focus to growing the company, enhancing shareholder value and building the premier community banking franchise in our Pennsylvania and Maryland markets.”

    (1) Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix A for additional information.

    DISCUSSION OF RESULTS

    Balance Sheet

    Loans

    Loans held for investment was $3.9 billion at December 31, 2024, a decrease of $50.2 million, compared to $4.0 billion at September 30, 2024. The decrease from the third quarter of 2024 was primarily due to strategic actions to reduce risk in the portfolio, including reducing CRE loan concentrations.

    Investment Securities

    Investment securities, all of which are classified as available-for-sale, increased by $2.9 million to $829.7 million at December 31, 2024 from $826.8 million at September 30, 2024. During the fourth quarter of 2024, investment securities totaling $37.7 million were purchased, partially offset by paydowns of $18.1 million and net unrealized losses of $16.2 million. The overall duration of the Company’s investment securities portfolio was 4.1 years at December 31, 2024 compared to 4.6 years at September 30, 2024. See Appendix B for a summary of the Bank’s investment securities at December 31, 2024, highlighting their concentrations, credit ratings and credit enhancement levels.

    Deposits

    During the fourth quarter of 2024, deposits decreased by $35.1 million to $4.6 billion at December 31, 2024 compared to $4.7 billion at September 30, 2024 due to normal seasonal activity. The Bank’s loan-to-deposit ratio decreased slightly to 85% at December 31, 2024 from 86% at September 30, 2024.

    Borrowings

    The Bank actively manages its liquidity position through its various sources of funding to meet the needs of its clients. FHLB advances and other borrowings remained at $115.4 million at December 31, 2024 and September 30, 2024. The Bank seeks to maintain sufficient liquidity to ensure client needs can be addressed in a timely basis. The Bank had available alternative funding sources, such as FHLB advances and other wholesale options, of approximately $1.7 billion at December 31, 2024.

    Goodwill and Intangible Assets

    Goodwill decreased by $2.5 million from September 30, 2024 to December 31, 2024 due to certain purchase accounting adjustments, primarily an increase in the core deposit intangible of $4.1 million.

    Income Statement

    Net Interest Income and Margin

    Net interest income was $50.6 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $51.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. The net interest margin, on a tax equivalent basis, decreased to 4.05% in the fourth quarter of 2024 from 4.14% in the third quarter of 2024. The net interest margin was positively impacted by the net accretion impact of purchase accounting marks on loans, securities, deposits and borrowings of $7.2 million, which represents 52 basis points of net interest margin during the fourth quarter of 2024. During the third quarter of 2024, the net accretion impact of purchase accounting marks was $5.8 million, which represented 42 basis points of net interest margin. Funding costs show signs of stabilizing.

    Interest income on loans, on a tax equivalent basis, decreased by $2.7 million to $68.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $70.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. Average loans decreased by $28.0 million during the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2024.

    Interest income on investment securities, on a tax equivalent basis, was $9.9 million for the fourth quarter of 2024 compared to $10.1 million in the third quarter of 2024.

    Interest expense, on a tax equivalent basis, decreased by $1.9 million to $29.4 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $31.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. Average interest-bearing deposits decreased by $58.1 million during the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2024. Average borrowings decreased by $1.3 million during the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2024. Interest expense includes $0.9 million and $1.5 million of amortization of purchase accounting marks for the three months ended December 31, 2024 and September 30, 2024, respectively.

    Provision for Credit Losses

    The allowance for credit losses (“ACL”) on loans decreased to $48.7 million at December 31, 2024 from $49.6 million at September 30, 2024. The ACL to total loans was 1.24% at December 31, 2024 compared to 1.25% at September 30, 2024. The Company recorded a provision for credit losses on loans of $2.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $14.1 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. Net charge-offs were $3.0 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to net charge-offs of $0.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. During the fourth quarter of 2024, the Bank sold $6.0 million of mostly C&I loans, which resulted in a charge-off totaling $0.6 million. There was also a corresponding $0.6 million of purchase accounting accretion associated with these loans.

    Classified loans decreased by $16.9 million to $88.6 million at December 31, 2024 from $105.5 million at September 30, 2024 primarily due to a combination of repayments and net rating upgrades, in addition to the loan sale. Non-accrual loans decreased by $2.8 million to $24.1 million at December 31, 2024 from $26.9 million at September 30, 2024 partially due to a sale of mostly C&I loans on nonaccrual status totaling $2.6 million during the fourth quarter of 2024. Nonaccrual loans to total loans decreased to 0.61% at December 31, 2024 compared to 0.68% at September 30, 2024 and decreased from 1.11% at December 31, 2023. Management believes the ACL to be adequate based on current asset quality metrics and economic conditions.

    Noninterest Income

    Noninterest income decreased by $1.2 million to $11.2 million in the three months ended December 31, 2024 from $12.4 million in the three months ended September 30, 2024. There were reduced service charges in the fourth quarter due to fee waivers provided to clients in the post-conversion period from November through the end of the year.

    Wealth management income decreased to $4.9 million in the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $5.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. The team continues to provide value added services to clients and deliver strong results.

    Other income decreased by $0.3 million to $1.6 million in the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $1.9 million in the three months ended September 30, 2024 due to income from solar tax credits totaling $0.3 million recorded during the third quarter of 2024.

    Noninterest Expenses

    Noninterest expenses decreased by $17.4 million to $42.9 million in the three months ended December 31, 2024 from $60.3 million in the three months ended September 30, 2024.

    The Company’s financial results for any periods ended prior to July 1, 2024 reflect Orrstown’s results only on a standalone basis. As a result of this factor and the merger-related items below, the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024 may not be directly comparable to prior reported periods.

    For the three months ended December 31, 2024, merger-related expenses totaled $3.9 million, a decrease of $13.1 million, compared to $17.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. The merger costs incurred during the fourth quarter of 2024 include employee separation costs, software conversion costs and professional fees. The Company expect to incur some additional merger-related expenses in the first quarter of 2025.

    Salaries and benefits expense decreased by $4.8 million to $22.4 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $27.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. The three months ended September 30, 2024 included $4.8 million of expenses associated with the retirement of an executive.

    Intangible asset amortization increased to $2.8 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to $2.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024. This increase is due to the amortization expense recognized on the core deposit intangible of $40.1 million and wealth customer relationship intangible of $10.4 million established on July 1, 2024 from the merger. Due to the aforementioned purchase accounting adjustment, the three months ended December 31, 2024 included $0.4 million of additional amortization expense associated with this adjustment.

    Taxes other than income decreased by $0.8 million in the three months ended December 31, 2024 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2024. This decrease reflects tax credits recognized during the fourth quarter of 2024.

    Income Taxes

    The Company’s effective tax rate was 20.1% for both the fourth and third quarters of 2024. The Company’s effective tax rate for the three months ended December 31, 2024 is less than the 21% federal statutory rate primarily due to tax-exempt income, including interest earned on tax-exempt loans and securities and income from life insurance policies and tax credits partially offset by the disallowed portion of interest expense against earnings in association with the Bank’s tax-exempt investments under the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 (“TEFRA”) and the impact of nondeductible merger-related costs. The Company regularly analyzes its projected taxable income and makes adjustments to the provision for income taxes accordingly.

    Capital

    Shareholders’ equity totaled $516.7 million at December 31, 2024 compared to $516.2 million at September 30, 2024. The impact of net income of $13.7 million was offset by a reduction of $10.4 million in accumulated other comprehensive loss from an increase in unrealized losses in the investment portfolio and dividend payments of $4.4 million.

    Tangible book value per share(1) increased to $21.19 per share at December 31, 2024 from $21.12 per share at September 30, 2024.

    The Company’s tangible common equity ratio was 7.5% at both December 31, 2024 and September 30, 2024. The Company’s total risk-based capital ratio was 12.4% at both December 31, 2024 and September 30, 2024. The Company’s Tier 1 leverage ratio increased to 8.3% at December 31, 2024 compared to 8.0% at September 30, 2024 driven by earnings and a decrease in average assets during the fourth quarter of 2024.

    At December 31, 2024, all four capital ratios applicable to the Company were above regulatory minimum levels to be deemed “well capitalized” under current bank regulatory guidelines. The Company continues to believe that capital is adequate to support the risks inherent in the balance sheet, as well as growth requirements.

    (1) Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix A for additional information.

    Investor Relations Contact:
    Neelesh Kalani
    Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
    Phone (717) 510-7097
    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (Unaudited)              
                   
      Three Months Ended   Twelve Months Ended
      December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    (In thousands)   2024       2023       2024       2023  
                   
    Profitability for the period:              
    Net interest income $ 50,573     $ 26,018     $ 155,254     $ 104,906  
    Provision for credit losses   1,755       418       16,546       1,682  
    Noninterest income   11,247       6,491       37,435       25,652  
    Noninterest expenses   42,930       22,392       148,337       83,843  
    Income before income tax expense   17,135       9,699       27,806       45,033  
    Income tax expense   3,451       2,056       5,756       9,370  
    Net income available to common shareholders $ 13,684     $ 7,643     $ 22,050     $ 35,663  
                   
    Financial ratios:              
    Return on average assets (1)   1.00 %     1.00 %     0.51 %     1.19 %
    Return on average assets, adjusted (1) (2) (3)   1.22 %     1.13 %     1.30 %     1.22 %
    Return on average equity (1)   10.54 %     12.21 %     5.62 %     14.66 %
    Return on average equity, adjusted (1) (2) (3)   12.86 %     13.77 %     14.29 %     15.06 %
    Net interest margin (1)   4.05 %     3.71 %     3.92 %     3.80 %
    Efficiency ratio   69.4 %     68.9 %     77.0 %     64.2 %
    Efficiency ratio, adjusted (2) (3)   62.3 %     65.6 %     62.5 %     63.4 %
    Income per common share:              
    Basic $ 0.72     $ 0.74     $ 1.49     $ 3.45  
    Basic, adjusted (2) (3) $ 0.87     $ 0.84     $ 3.80     $ 3.54  
    Diluted $ 0.71     $ 0.73     $ 1.48     $ 3.42  
    Diluted, adjusted (2) (3) $ 0.87     $ 0.83     $ 3.76     $ 3.51  
                   
    Average equity to average assets   9.45 %     8.18 %     9.08 %     8.11 %
                   
    (1) Annualized for the three months ended December 31, 2024 and 2023.
    (2) Ratio has been adjusted for the non-recurring charges for all periods presented.
    (3) Non-GAAP based financial measure. Please refer to Appendix A – Supplemental Reporting of Non-GAAP Measures and GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations for a discussion of our use of non-GAAP based financial measures, including tables reconciling GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures appearing herein.
    FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (Unaudited)      
    (continued)      
      December 31,   December 31,
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)   2024       2023  
    At period-end:      
    Total assets $ 5,431,023     $ 3,064,240  
    Loans, net of allowance for credit losses   3,882,525       2,269,611  
    Loans held-for-sale, at fair value   6,614       5,816  
    Securities available for sale, at fair value   829,711       513,519  
    Total deposits   4,615,706       2,558,814  
    FHLB advances and other borrowings and Securities sold under agreements to repurchase   141,227       147,285  
    Subordinated notes and trust preferred debt   68,680       32,093  
    Shareholders’ equity   516,682       265,056  
           
    Credit quality and capital ratios (1):      
    Allowance for credit losses to total loans   1.24 %     1.25 %
    Total nonaccrual loans to total loans   0.61 %     1.11 %
    Nonperforming assets to total assets   0.45 %     0.83 %
    Allowance for credit losses to nonaccrual loans   202 %     112 %
    Total risk-based capital:      
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   12.4 %     13.0 %
    Orrstown Bank   12.4 %     12.8 %
    Tier 1 risk-based capital:      
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   10.2 %     10.8 %
    Orrstown Bank   11.2 %     11.6 %
    Tier 1 common equity risk-based capital:      
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   10.0 %     10.8 %
    Orrstown Bank   11.2 %     11.6 %
    Tier 1 leverage capital:      
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   8.3 %     8.9 %
    Orrstown Bank   9.1 %     9.5 %
           
    Book value per common share $ 26.65     $ 24.98  
           
    (1) Capital ratios are estimated for the current period, subject to regulatory filings. The Company elected the three-year phase in option for the day-one impact of ASU 2016-13 for current expected credit losses (“CECL”) to regulatory capital. Beginning in 2023, the Company adjusted retained earnings, allowance for credit losses includable in tier 2 capital and the deferred tax assets from temporary differences in risk weighted assets by the permitted percentage of the day-one impact from adopting the CECL standard.
    CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (Unaudited)      
           
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts) December 31, 2024   December 31, 2023
    Assets      
    Cash and due from banks $ 51,026     $ 32,586  
    Interest-bearing deposits with banks   187,282       32,575  
    Cash and cash equivalents   238,308       65,161  
    Restricted investments in bank stocks   20,232       11,992  
    Securities available for sale (amortized cost of $864,920 and $549,089 at December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively)   829,711       513,519  
    Loans held for sale, at fair value   6,614       5,816  
    Loans   3,931,214       2,298,313  
    Less: Allowance for credit losses   (48,689 )     (28,702 )
    Net loans   3,882,525       2,269,611  
    Premises and equipment, net   50,217       29,393  
    Cash surrender value of life insurance   143,854       73,204  
    Goodwill   68,106       18,724  
    Other intangible assets, net   47,765       2,414  
    Accrued interest receivable   21,058       13,630  
    Deferred tax assets, net   42,647       22,017  
    Other assets   79,986       38,759  
    Total assets $ 5,431,023     $ 3,064,240  
           
    Liabilities      
    Deposits:      
    Noninterest-bearing $ 886,786     $ 430,959  
    Interest-bearing   3,728,920       2,127,855  
    Total deposits   4,615,706       2,558,814  
    Securities sold under agreements to repurchase and federal funds purchased   25,863       9,785  
    FHLB advances and other borrowings   115,364       137,500  
    Subordinated notes and trust preferred debt   68,680       32,093  
    Other liabilities   88,728       60,992  
    Total liabilities   4,914,341       2,799,184  
           
    Shareholders’ Equity      
    Preferred stock, $1.25 par value per share; 500,000 shares authorized; no shares issued or outstanding          
    Common stock, no par value—$0.05205 stated value per share; 50,000,000 shares authorized; 19,722,640 shares issued and 19,389,967 outstanding at December 31, 2024; 11,204,599 shares issued and 10,612,390 outstanding at December 31, 2023   1,027       583  
    Additional paid—in capital   423,274       189,027  
    Retained earnings   126,540       117,667  
    Accumulated other comprehensive loss   (26,316 )     (28,476 )
    Treasury stock— 332,673 and 592,209 shares, at cost at December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively   (7,843 )     (13,745 )
    Total shareholders’ equity   516,682       265,056  
    Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 5,431,023     $ 3,064,240  
    ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC.
    CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (Unaudited)
                     
        Three Months Ended   Twelve Months Ended
        December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    (Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)     2024       2023       2024       2023  
    Interest income                
    Loans   $ 67,870     $ 33,910     $ 210,287     $ 126,595  
    Investment securities – taxable     8,773       4,787       27,361       18,031  
    Investment securities – tax-exempt     880       871       3,521       3,462  
    Short-term investments     2,492       460       7,764       1,809  
    Total interest income     80,015       40,028       248,933       149,897  
    Interest expense                
    Deposits     26,850       12,118       84,234       37,510  
    Securities sold under agreements to repurchase and federal funds purchased     67       30       215       114  
    FHLB advances and other borrowings     1,165       1,358       4,945       5,350  
    Subordinated notes and trust preferred debt     1,360       504       4,285       2,017  
    Total interest expense     29,442       14,010       93,679       44,991  
    Net interest income     50,573       26,018       155,254       104,906  
    Provision for credit losses     1,755       418       16,546       1,682  
    Net interest income after provision for credit losses     48,818       25,600       138,708       103,224  
    Noninterest income                
    Service charges     2,050       1,198       6,893       4,866  
    Interchange income     1,608       952       5,259       3,873  
    Swap fee income     597       588       1,676       1,039  
    Wealth management income     4,902       2,945       16,353       11,340  
    Mortgage banking activities     517       143       1,835       591  
    Investment securities (losses) gains     (5 )     (39 )     249       (47 )
    Other income     1,578       704       5,170       3,990  
    Total noninterest income     11,247       6,491       37,435       25,652  
    Noninterest expenses                
    Salaries and employee benefits     22,444       12,848       76,581       50,983  
    Occupancy, furniture and equipment     4,893       2,534       14,570       9,593  
    Data processing     1,540       1,247       6,088       4,913  
    Advertising and bank promotions     878       501       2,587       2,157  
    FDIC insurance     955       460       2,677       1,960  
    Professional services     1,591       702       4,142       2,905  
    Taxes other than income     (312 )     203       734       1,050  
    Intangible asset amortization     2,838       236       5,742       953  
    Merger-related expenses     3,887       1,059       22,671       1,059  
    Restructuring expenses     39             296        
    Other operating expenses     4,177       2,602       12,249       8,270  
    Total noninterest expenses     42,930       22,392       148,337       83,843  
    Income before income tax expense     17,135       9,699       27,806       45,033  
    Income tax expense     3,451       2,056       5,756       9,370  
    Net income   $ 13,684     $ 7,643     $ 22,050     $ 35,663  
    continued
                     
        Three Months Ended   Twelve Months Ended
        December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
          2024       2023       2024       2023  
    Share information:                
    Basic earnings per share   $ 0.72     $ 0.74     $ 1.49     $ 3.45  
    Diluted earnings per share   $ 0.71     $ 0.73     $ 1.48     $ 3.42  
    Dividends paid per share   $ 0.23     $ 0.20     $ 0.86     $ 0.80  
    Weighted average shares – basic     19,118       10,321       14,761       10,340  
    Weighted average shares – diluted     19,300       10,419       14,914       10,435  
    ANALYSIS OF NET INTEREST INCOME        
    Average Balances and Interest Rates, Taxable-Equivalent Basis (Unaudited)    
         
      Three Months Ended
      12/31/2024   9/30/2024   6/30/2024   3/31/2024   12/31/2023
          Taxable-   Taxable-       Taxable-   Taxable-       Taxable-   Taxable-       Taxable-   Taxable-       Taxable-   Taxable-
      Average   Equivalent   Equivalent   Average   Equivalent   Equivalent   Average   Equivalent   Equivalent   Average   Equivalent   Equivalent   Average   Equivalent   Equivalent
    (In thousands) Balance   Interest   Rate   Balance   Interest   Rate   Balance   Interest   Rate   Balance   Interest   Rate   Balance   Interest   Rate
    Assets                                                          
    Federal funds sold & interest-bearing bank balances $ 199,236   $ 2,492     4.96 %   $ 184,465   $ 2,452     5.29 %   $ 142,868   $ 1,864     5.25 %   $ 74,523   $ 956     5.16 %   $ 37,873   $ 460     4.82 %
    Investment securities (1)(2)   849,389     9,887     4.66       849,700     10,123     4.77       538,451     6,114     4.54       519,851     5,694     4.39       508,891     5,890     4.63  
    Loans (1)(3)(4)(5)(6)   3,961,269     68,073     6.82       3,989,259     70,849     7.07       2,324,942     35,690     6.17       2,308,103     36,382     6.34       2,286,678     34,055     5.91  
    Total interest-earning assets   5,009,894     80,452     6.38       5,023,424     83,424     6.61       3,006,261     43,668     5.84       2,902,477     43,032     5.96       2,833,442     40,405     5.67  
    Other assets   454,271             491,719             204,863             196,295             204,382        
    Total assets $ 5,464,165           $ 5,515,143           $ 3,211,124           $ 3,098,772           $ 3,037,824        
    Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity                                                
    Interest-bearing demand deposits(7) $ 1,257,316     5,360     1.69     $ 2,554,743     16,165     2.52     $ 1,649,753     10,118     2.47     $ 1,570,622     9,192     2.35     $ 1,543,575     8,333     2.14  
    Savings deposits(7)   1,538,287     10,381     2.68       283,337     148     0.21       165,467     140     0.34       170,005     144     0.34       178,351     153     0.34  
    Time deposits   998,963     11,109     4.41       1,014,628     12,290     4.82       481,721     5,007     4.18       428,443     4,180     3.92       392,085     3,632     3.67  
    Total interest-bearing deposits   3,794,566     26,850     2.81       3,852,708     28,603     2.95       2,296,941     15,265     2.67       2,169,070     13,516     2.51       2,114,011     12,118     2.27  
    Securities sold under agreements to repurchase and federal funds purchased   21,572     67     1.23       23,075     96     1.66       13,412     27     0.81       12,010     25     0.85       13,874     30     0.85  
    FHLB advances and other borrowings   115,373     1,165     4.01       115,388     1,154     3.98       115,000     1,152     4.03       137,505     1,474     4.31       127,843     1,358     4.21  
    Subordinated notes and trust preferred debt   68,571     1,360     7.88       68,399     1,437     8.36       32,118     734     9.19       32,100     754     9.45       32,083     504     6.29  
    Total interest-bearing liabilities   4,000,082     29,442     2.92       4,059,570     31,290     3.07       2,457,471     17,178     2.81       2,350,685     15,769     2.70       2,287,811     14,010     2.43  
    Noninterest-bearing demand deposits   849,999             807,886             423,037             417,469             441,695        
    Other liabilities   97,685             110,017             57,828             62,329             59,876        
    Total liabilities   4,947,766             4,977,473             2,938,336             2,830,483             2,789,382        
    Shareholders’ equity   516,399             537,670             272,788             268,289             248,442        
    Total $ 5,464,165           $ 5,515,143           $ 3,211,124           $ 3,098,772           $ 3,037,824        
    Taxable-equivalent net interest income / net interest spread       51,010     3.46 %         52,134     3.55 %         26,490     3.02 %         27,263     3.26 %         26,395     3.24 %
    Taxable-equivalent net interest margin         4.05 %           4.14 %           3.54 %           3.77 %           3.71 %
    Taxable-equivalent adjustment       (437 )             (437 )             (387 )             (382 )             (377 )    
    Net interest income     $ 50,573             $ 51,697             $ 26,103             $ 26,881             $ 26,018      
    Ratio of average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities         125 %           124 %           122 %           123 %           124 %
                                                               
    NOTES:                                                          
    (1) Yields and interest income on tax-exempt assets have been computed on a taxable-equivalent basis assuming a 21% tax rate.
    (2) Average balance of investment securities is computed at fair value.
    (3) Average balances include nonaccrual loans.
    (4) Interest income on loans includes prepayment and late fees, where applicable.
    (5) Interest income on loans includes interest recovered of $1.6 million from the payoff of a commercial real estate loan on nonaccrual status in the three months ended March 31, 2024.
    (6) Interest income on loans includes accretion on purchase accounting marks of $7.6 million, $7.3 million, $0.2 million, $0.1 million and $0.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2024, September 30, 2024, June 30, 2024, March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.
    (7) Changes between average deposit type balances are due to operational updates for deposit sweeps during the three months ended December 31, 2024.
    ANALYSIS OF NET INTEREST INCOME        
    Average Balances and Interest Rates, Taxable-Equivalent Basis (Unaudited)    
    (continued)                      
      Twelve Months Ended
      December 31, 2024   December 31, 2023
          Taxable-   Taxable-       Taxable-   Taxable-
      Average   Equivalent   Equivalent   Average   Equivalent   Equivalent
    (In thousands) Balance   Interest   Rate   Balance   Interest   Rate
    Assets                      
    Federal funds sold & interest-bearing bank balances $ 150,500     $ 7,764       5.14 %   $ 40,856     $ 1,809       4.43 %
    Investment securities (1)(2)   690,223       31,817       4.60       520,465       22,414       4.31  
    Loans (1)(3)(4)(5)(6)   3,150,425       210,994       6.68       2,239,574       127,107       5.68  
    Total interest-earning assets   3,991,148       250,575       6.26       2,800,895       151,330       5.40  
    Other assets   330,324               198,632          
    Total assets $ 4,321,472             $ 2,999,527          
    Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity                      
    Interest-bearing demand deposits(7) $ 1,147,124       21,455       1.87     $ 1,525,204       26,944       1.77  
    Savings deposits(7)   1,153,097       30,193       2.61       198,157       585       0.30  
    Time deposits   732,446       32,586       4.44       338,170       9,981       2.95  
    Total interest-bearing deposits   3,032,667       84,234       2.77       2,061,531       37,510       1.82  
    Securities sold under agreements to repurchase and federal funds purchased   17,543       215       1.22       14,111       114       0.80  
    FHLB advances and other borrowings   120,787       4,945       4.08       123,697       5,350       4.32  
    Subordinated notes and trust preferred debt   50,397       4,285       8.48       32,058       2,017       6.29  
    Total interest-bearing liabilities   3,221,394       93,679       2.91       2,231,397       44,991       2.02  
    Noninterest-bearing demand deposits   625,714               470,349          
    Other liabilities   82,084               54,447          
    Total liabilities   3,929,192               2,756,193          
    Shareholders’ equity   392,280               243,334          
    Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 4,321,472             $ 2,999,527          
    Taxable-equivalent net interest income / net interest spread       156,896       3.36 %         106,339       3.39 %
    Taxable-equivalent net interest margin           3.92 %             3.80 %
    Taxable-equivalent adjustment       (1,642 )             (1,433 )    
    Net interest income     $ 155,254             $ 104,906      
    Ratio of average interest-earning assets to average interest-bearing liabilities           124 %             126 %
                           
    NOTES TO ANALYSIS OF NET INTEREST INCOME:
    (1) Yields and interest income on tax-exempt assets have been computed on a taxable-equivalent basis assuming a 21% tax rate.
    (2) Average balance of investment securities is computed at fair value.
    (3) Average balances include nonaccrual loans.
    (4) Interest income on loans includes prepayment and late fees, where applicable.
    (5) Interest income on loans includes interest recovered of $1.6 million from the payoff of a commercial real estate loan on nonaccrual status for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024.
    (6) Interest income on loans includes accretion on purchase accounting marks of $15.2 million and $0.7 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
    (7) Changes between average deposit type balances are due to operational updates for deposit sweeps during the three months ended December 31, 2024.
    ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC.        
    HISTORICAL TRENDS IN QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (Unaudited)        
                       
    (In thousands) December 31,
    2024
      September 30,
    2024
      June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Profitability for the quarter:                  
    Net interest income $ 50,573     $ 51,697     $ 26,103     $ 26,881     $ 26,018  
    Provision for credit losses   1,755       13,681       812       298       418  
    Noninterest income   11,247       12,386       7,172       6,630       6,491  
    Noninterest expenses   42,930       60,299       22,639       22,469       22,392  
    Income (loss) before income taxes   17,135       (9,897 )     9,824       10,744       9,699  
    Income tax expense (benefit)   3,451       (1,994 )     2,086       2,213       2,056  
    Net income (loss) $ 13,684     $ (7,903 )   $ 7,738     $ 8,531     $ 7,643  
                       
    Financial ratios:                  
    Return on average assets (1)   1.00 %     (0.57) %     0.97 %     1.11 %     1.00 %
    Return on average assets, adjusted (1)(2)(3)   1.22 %     1.55 %     1.09 %     1.19 %     1.13 %
    Return on average equity (1)   10.54 %     (5.85) %     11.41 %     12.79 %     12.21 %
    Return on average equity, adjusted (1)(2)(3)   12.86 %     15.85 %     12.88 %     13.79 %     13.77 %
    Net interest margin (1)   4.05 %     4.14 %     3.54 %     3.77 %     3.71 %
    Efficiency ratio   69.4 %     94.1 %     68.0 %     67.0 %     68.9 %
    Efficiency ratio, adjusted (2)(3)   62.3 %     67.2 %     64.6 %     65.0 %     65.6 %
                       
    Per share information:                  
    Income (loss) per common share:                  
    Basic $ 0.72     $ (0.41 )   $ 0.74     $ 0.82     $ 0.74  
    Basic, adjusted (2)(3)   0.87       1.12       0.84       0.89       0.84  
    Diluted   0.71       (0.41 )     0.73       0.81       0.73  
    Diluted, adjusted (2)(3)   0.87       1.11       0.83       0.88       0.83  
    Book value   26.65       26.65       25.97       25.38       24.98  
    Book value, adjusted (2) (3)   28.40       28.24       26.12       25.44       25.07  
    Tangible book value (3)   21.19       21.12       24.08       23.47       23.03  
    Tangible book value, adjusted (2) (3)   22.94       22.72       24.23       23.53       23.12  
    Cash dividends paid   0.23       0.23       0.20       0.20       0.20  
                       
    Average basic shares   19,118       19,088       10,393       10,349       10,321  
    Average diluted shares   19,300       19,226       10,553       10,482       10,419  
                                           
    (1) Annualized.
    (2) Ratio has been adjusted for non-recurring expenses for all periods presented.
    (3) Non-GAAP based financial measure. Please refer to Appendix A – Supplemental Reporting of Non-GAAP Measures and GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations for a discussion of our use of non-GAAP based financial measures, including tables reconciling GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures appearing herein.
    ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC.                
    HISTORICAL TRENDS IN QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (Unaudited)        
    (continued)                  
    (In thousands) December 31,
    2024
      September 30,
    2024
      June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Noninterest income:                  
    Service charges $ 2,050     $ 2,360     $ 1,283     $ 1,200     $ 1,198  
    Interchange income   1,608       1,779       961       911       952  
    Swap fee income   597       505       375       199       588  
    Wealth management income   4,902       5,037       3,312       3,102       2,945  
    Mortgage banking activities   517       491       369       458       143  
    Other income   1,578       1,943       884       765       704  
    Investment securities (losses) gains   (5 )     271       (12 )     (5 )     (39 )
    Total noninterest income $ 11,247     $ 12,386     $ 7,172     $ 6,630     $ 6,491  
                       
    Noninterest expenses:                  
    Salaries and employee benefits $ 22,444     $ 27,190     $ 13,195     $ 13,752     $ 12,848  
    Occupancy, furniture and equipment   4,893       4,333       2,705       2,639       2,534  
    Data processing   1,540       2,046       1,237       1,265       1,247  
    Advertising and bank promotions   878       537       774       398       501  
    FDIC insurance   955       862       419       441       460  
    Professional services   1,591       1,119       801       631       702  
    Taxes other than income   (312 )     503       49       494       203  
    Intangible asset amortization   2,838       2,464       215       225       236  
    Merger-related expenses   3,887       16,977       1,135       672       1,059  
    Restructuring expenses   39       257                    
    Other operating expenses   4,177       4,011       2,109       1,952       2,602  
    Total noninterest expenses $ 42,930     $ 60,299     $ 22,639     $ 22,469     $ 22,392  
    HISTORICAL TRENDS IN QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (Unaudited)            
    (continued)                  
    (In thousands) December 31,
    2024
      September 30,
    2024
      June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Balance Sheet at quarter end:                  
    Cash and cash equivalents $ 238,308     $ 236,780     $ 132,509     $ 182,722     $ 65,161  
    Restricted investments in bank stocks   20,232       20,247       11,147       11,453       11,992  
    Securities available for sale   829,711       826,828       529,082       514,909       513,519  
    Loans held for sale, at fair value   6,614       3,561       1,562       535       5,816  
    Loans:                  
    Commercial real estate:                  
    Owner occupied   633,567       622,726       371,301       364,280       373,757  
    Non-owner occupied   1,160,238       1,164,501       710,477       707,871       694,638  
    Multi-family   274,135       276,296       151,542       147,773       150,675  
    Non-owner occupied residential   179,512       190,786       89,156       91,858       95,040  
    Agricultural   125,156       129,486       25,551       25,909       26,847  
    Commercial and industrial   451,384       471,983       349,425       339,615       340,238  
    Acquisition and development:                  
    1-4 family residential construction   47,432       56,383       32,439       22,277       24,516  
    Commercial and land development   241,424       262,317       129,883       118,010       115,249  
    Municipal   30,044       27,960       10,594       10,925       9,812  
    Total commercial loans   3,142,892       3,202,438       1,870,368       1,828,518       1,830,772  
    Residential mortgage:                  
    First lien   460,297       451,195       271,153       270,748       266,239  
    Home equity – term   5,988       6,508       4,633       4,966       5,078  
    Home equity – lines of credit   303,561       303,165       192,736       189,966       186,450  
    Installment and other loans   18,476       18,131       8,713       8,875       9,774  
    Total loans   3,931,214       3,981,437       2,347,603       2,303,073       2,298,313  
    Allowance for credit losses   (48,689 )     (49,630 )     (29,864 )     (29,165 )     (28,702 )
    Net loans held for investment   3,882,525       3,931,807       2,317,739       2,273,908       2,269,611  
    Goodwill   68,106       70,655       18,724       18,724       18,724  
    Other intangible assets, net   47,765       46,144       1,974       2,189       2,414  
    Total assets   5,431,023       5,470,589       3,198,782       3,183,331       3,064,240  
    Total deposits   4,615,706       4,650,853       2,702,884       2,695,951       2,558,814  
    FHLB advances and other borrowings and Securities sold under agreements to repurchase   141,227       137,310       129,625       127,099       147,285  
    Subordinated notes and trust preferred debt   68,680       68,510       32,128       32,111       32,093  
    Total shareholders’ equity   516,682       516,206       278,376       271,682       265,056  
    HISTORICAL TRENDS IN QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (Unaudited)            
    (continued)                  
      December 31,
    2024
      September 30,
    2024
      June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Capital and credit quality measures (1):                  
    Total risk-based capital:                  
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   12.4 %     12.4 %     13.3 %     13.4 %     13.0 %
    Orrstown Bank   12.4 %     12.2 %     13.1 %     13.1 %     12.8 %
    Tier 1 risk-based capital:                  
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   10.2 %     10.0 %     11.1 %     11.2 %     10.8 %
    Orrstown Bank   11.2 %     11.0 %     12.0 %     11.9 %     11.6 %
    Tier 1 common equity risk-based capital:                  
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   10.0 %     9.8 %     11.1 %     11.2 %     10.8 %
    Orrstown Bank   11.2 %     11.0 %     12.0 %     11.9 %     11.6 %
    Tier 1 leverage capital:                  
    Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.   8.3 %     8.0 %     8.9 %     9.0 %     8.9 %
    Orrstown Bank   9.1 %     8.8 %     9.5 %     9.6 %     9.5 %
                       
    Average equity to average assets   9.45 %     9.75 %     8.50 %     8.66 %     8.18 %
    Allowance for credit losses to total loans   1.24 %     1.25 %     1.27 %     1.27 %     1.25 %
    Total nonaccrual loans to total loans   0.61 %     0.68 %     0.36 %     0.56 %     1.11 %
    Nonperforming assets to total assets   0.45 %     0.49 %     0.26 %     0.40 %     0.83 %
    Allowance for credit losses to nonaccrual loans   202 %     184 %     357 %     226 %     112 %
                       
    Other information:                  
    Net charge-offs (recoveries) $ 3,002     $ 269     $ 113     $ (42 )   $ (6 )
    Classified loans   88,628       105,465       48,722       48,997       55,030  
    Nonperforming and other risk assets:                  
    Nonaccrual loans   24,111       26,927       8,363       12,886       25,527  
    Other real estate owned   138       138                    
    Total nonperforming assets   24,249       27,065       8,363       12,886       25,527  
    Financial difficulty modifications still accruing   4,897       9,497                   9  
    Loans past due 90 days or more and still accruing   641       337       187       99       66  
    Total nonperforming and other risk assets $ 29,787     $ 36,899     $ 8,550     $ 12,985     $ 25,602  
     
    (1) Capital ratios are estimated for the current period, subject to regulatory filings. The Company elected the three-year phase in option for the day-one impact of ASU 2016-13 for current expected credit losses (“CECL”) to regulatory capital. Beginning in 2023, the Company adjusted retained earnings, allowance for credit losses includable in tier 2 capital and the deferred tax assets from temporary differences in risk weighted assets by the permitted percentage of the day-one impact from adopting the new CECL standard.


    Appendix A – Supplemental Reporting of Non-GAAP Measures and GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations

    Management believes providing certain other “non-GAAP” financial information will assist investors in their understanding of the effect on recent financial results from non-recurring charges.

    As a result of acquisitions, the Company has intangible assets consisting of goodwill, core deposit and other intangible assets, which totaled $115.9 million and $21.1 million at December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively. In addition, during the three months ended December 31, 2024, September 30, 2024, June 30, 2024, March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, the Company incurred $3.9 million, $17.0 million, $1.1 million, $0.7 million and $1.1 million in merger-related expenses, respectively. During the three months ended December 31, 2024 and September 30, 2024, the Company incurred other non-recurring charges totaling $0.5 million and $20.2 million, respectively.

    Tangible book value per common share and the impact of the non-recurring expenses on net income and associated ratios, as used by the Company in this earnings release, are determined by methods other than in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”). While we believe this information is a useful supplement to GAAP based measures presented in this earnings release, readers are cautioned that this non-GAAP disclosure has limitations as an analytical tool, should not be viewed as a substitute for financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP, and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results and financial condition as reported under GAAP, nor are such measures necessarily comparable to non-GAAP performance measures that may be presented by other companies. This supplemental presentation should not be construed as an inference that our future results will be unaffected by similar adjustments to be determined in accordance with GAAP.

    The following tables present the computation of each non-GAAP based measure:

    (In thousands)

    Tangible Book Value per Common Share   December 31,
    2024
      September 30,
    2024
      June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Shareholders’ equity (most directly comparable GAAP-based measure)   $ 516,682     $ 516,206     $ 278,376     $ 271,682     $ 265,056  
    Less: Goodwill     68,106       70,655       18,724       18,724       18,724  
    Other intangible assets     47,765       46,144       1,974       2,189       2,414  
    Related tax effect     (10,031 )     (9,690 )     (415 )     (460 )     (507 )
    Tangible common equity (non-GAAP)   $ 410,842     $ 409,097     $ 258,093     $ 251,229     $ 244,425  
                         
    Common shares outstanding     19,390       19,373       10,720       10,705       10,612  
                         
    Book value per share (most directly comparable GAAP-based measure)   $ 26.65     $ 26.65     $ 25.97     $ 25.38     $ 24.98  
    Intangible assets per share     5.46       5.53       1.89       1.91       1.95  
    Tangible book value per share (non-GAAP)   $ 21.19     $ 21.12     $ 24.08     $ 23.47     $ 23.03  
    (In thousands) Three Months Ended   Twelve Months Ended
    Adjusted Ratios for Non-recurring Charges December 31,
    2024
      September 30, 2024   June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
      December 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Net income (loss) (A) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure $ 13,684     $ (7,903 )   $ 7,738     $ 8,531     $ 7,643     $ 22,050     $ 35,663  
    Plus: Merger-related expenses (B)   3,887       16,977       1,135       672       1,059       22,671       1,059  
    Plus: Executive retirement expenses (B)   35       4,758                         4,793        
    Plus: Provision for credit losses on non-PCD loans (B)         15,504                         15,504        
    Plus: Provision for legal settlement (B)   478                               478        
    Less: Related tax effect (C)   (1,386 )     (7,915 )     (139 )     (1 )     (79 )     (9,442 )     (79 )
    Adjusted net income (D=A+B-C) – Non-GAAP $ 16,698     $ 21,421     $ 8,734     $ 9,202     $ 8,623     $ 56,054     $ 36,643  
                               
    Average assets (E) $ 5,464,165     $ 5,515,143     $ 3,211,124     $ 3,098,772     $ 3,037,824     $ 4,321,472     $ 2,999,527  
    Return on average assets (= A / E) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure (1)   1.00 %      (0.57) %     0.97 %     1.11 %     1.00 %     0.51 %     1.19 %
    Return on average assets, adjusted (= D / E) – Non-GAAP (1)   1.22 %     1.55 %     1.09 %     1.19 %     1.13 %     1.30 %     1.22 %
                               
    Average equity (F) $ 516,399     $ 537,670     $ 272,788     $ 268,289     $ 248,442     $ 392,280     $ 243,334  
    Return on average equity (= A / F) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure (1)   10.54 %     (5.85) %     11.41 %     12.79 %     12.21 %     5.62 %     14.66 %
    Return on average equity, adjusted (= D / F) – Non-GAAP (1)   12.86 %     15.85 %     12.88 %     13.79 %     13.77 %     14.29 %     15.06 %
                               
    Weighted average shares – basic (G) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure   19,118       19,088       10,393       10,349       10,321       14,761       10,340  
    Basic earnings (loss) per share (= A / G) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure $ 0.72     $ (0.41 )   $ 0.74     $ 0.82     $ 0.74     $ 1.49     $ 3.45  
    Basic earnings per share, adjusted (= D / G) – Non-GAAP $ 0.87     $ 1.12     $ 0.84     $ 0.89     $ 0.84     $ 3.80     $ 3.54  
                               
    Weighted average shares – diluted (H) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure   19,300       19,226       10,553       10,482       10,419       14,914       10,435  
    Diluted earnings (loss) per share (= A / H) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure $ 0.71     $ (0.41 )   $ 0.73     $ 0.81     $ 0.73     $ 1.48     $ 3.42  
    Diluted earnings per share, adjusted (= D / H) – Non-GAAP $ 0.87     $ 1.11     $ 0.83     $ 0.88     $ 0.83     $ 3.76     $ 3.51  
                               
    continued
    (1) Annualized                          
      Three Months Ended   Twelve Months Ended
      December 31,
    2024
      September 30, 2024   June 30,
    2024
      March 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
      December 31,
    2024
      December 31,
    2023
    Noninterest expense (I) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure $ 42,930     $ 60,299     $ 22,639     $ 22,469     $ 22,392     $ 148,337     $ 83,843  
    Less: Merger-related expenses (B)   (3,887 )     (16,977 )     (1,135 )     (672 )     (1,059 )     (22,671 )     (1,059 )
    Less: Executive retirement expenses (B)   (35 )     (4,758 )                       (4,793 )      
    Less: Provision for legal settlement (B)   (478 )                             (478 )      
    Adjusted noninterest expense (J = I – B) – Non-GAAP $ 38,531     $ 38,564     $ 21,504     $ 21,797     $ 21,333     $ 120,396     $ 82,784  
                               
    Net interest income (K) $ 50,573     $ 51,697     $ 26,103     $ 26,881     $ 26,018     $ 155,254     $ 104,906  
    Noninterest income (L)   11,247       12,386       7,172       6,630       6,491       37,435       25,652  
    Total operating income (M = K + L) $ 61,820     $ 64,083     $ 33,275     $ 33,511     $ 32,509     $ 192,689     $ 130,558  
                               
    Efficiency ratio (= I / M) – most directly comparable GAAP-based measure   69.4 %     94.1 %     68.0 %     67.0 %     68.9 %     77.0 %     64.2 %
    Efficiency ratio, adjusted (= J / M) – Non-GAAP   62.3 %     60.2 %     64.6 %     65.0 %     65.6 %     62.5 %     63.4 %
                               
    (1) Annualized                          


    Appendix B – Investment Portfolio Concentrations

    The following table summarizes the credit ratings and collateral associated with the Company’s investment security portfolio, excluding equity securities, at December 31, 2024:

    (In thousands)

    Sector Portfolio
    Mix
      Amortized
    Book
      Fair Value   Credit Enhancement   AAA   AA   A   BBB   NR   Collateral / Guarantee Type
    Unsecured ABS %   $ 3,073   $ 2,854   27 %   %   %   %   %   100 %   Unsecured Consumer Debt
    Student Loan ABS 1       4,060     4,035   27                     100     Seasoned Student Loans
    Federal Family Education Loan ABS 9       80,121     80,063   11     7     81         12         Federal Family Education Loan (1)
    PACE Loan ABS       1,985     1,727   7     100                     PACE Loans (2)
    Non-Agency CMBS 2       15,920     15,901   27                     100      
    Non-Agency RMBS 2       16,555     14,528   16     100                     Reverse Mortgages (3)
    Municipal – General Obligation 12       99,515     90,767       11     82     7              
    Municipal – Revenue 14       120,903     109,261           82     12         6      
    SBA ReRemic (5)       2,283     2,278           100                 SBA Guarantee (4)
    Small Business Administration 1       5,926     6,263           100                 SBA Guarantee (4)
    Agency MBS 19       160,027     155,778           100                 Residential Mortgages (4)
    Agency CMO 38       332,380     326,045           100                  
    U.S. Treasury securities 2       20,043     18,063           100                 U.S. Government Guarantee (4)
    Corporate bonds       1,935     1,954               52     48          
      100 %   $ 864,726   $ 829,517       4 %   89 %   3 %   1 %   3 %    
                                           
    (1) 97% guaranteed by U.S. government
    (2) PACE acronym represents Property Assessed Clean Energy loans
    (3) Non-agency reverse mortgages with current structural credit enhancements
    (4) Guaranteed by U.S. government or U.S. government agencies
    (5) SBA ReRemic acronym represents Re-Securitization of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits
                                           
    Note: Ratings in table are the lowest of the six rating agencies (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch, Morningstar, DBRS and Kroll Bond Rating Agency). Standard & Poor’s rates U.S. government obligations at AA+.


    About the Company

    With $5.4 billion in assets, Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Orrstown Bank, provide a wide range of consumer and business financial services in Berks, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Perry, and York Counties, Pennsylvania and Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, Howard, and Washington Counties, Maryland, as well as Baltimore City, Maryland. The Company’s lending area also includes adjacent counties in Pennsylvania and Maryland, as well as Loudon County, Virginia and Berkeley, Jefferson and Morgan Counties, West Virginia. Orrstown Bank is an Equal Housing Lender and its deposits are insured up to the legal maximum by the FDIC. Orrstown Financial Services, Inc.’s common stock is traded on Nasdaq (ORRF). For more information about Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. and Orrstown Bank, visit www.orrstown.com.

    Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

    This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act. Forward-looking statements reflect the current views of the Company’s management with respect to, among other things, future events and the Company’s financial performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as “may,” “should,” “could,” “predict,” “potential,” “believe,” “will likely result,” “expect,” “continue,” “will,” “anticipate,” “seek,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “project,” “forecast,” “goal,” “target,” “would” and “outlook,” or the negative variations of those words or other comparable words of a future or forward-looking nature. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts, and are based on current expectations, estimates, predictions or projections about events or the Company’s industry, management’s beliefs and certain assumptions made by management, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and beyond the Company’s control. Accordingly, the Company cautions you that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, assumptions and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date made, actual results may prove to be materially different from the results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and there can be no assurances that the Company will achieve the desired level of new business development and new loans, growth in the balance sheet and fee-based revenue lines of business, cost savings initiatives and continued reductions in risk assets or mitigation of losses in the future. Factors which could cause the actual results of the Company’s operations to differ materially from expectations include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions (including inflation and concerns about liquidity) on a national basis or in the local markets in which the Company operates; ineffectiveness of the Company’s strategic growth plan due to changes in current or future market conditions; changes in interest rates; the diversion of management’s attention from ongoing business operations and opportunities; the effects of competition and how it may impact our community banking model, including industry consolidation and development of competing financial products and services; changes in consumer behavior due to changing political, business and economic conditions, or legislative or regulatory initiatives; changes in laws and regulations; changes in credit quality; inability to raise capital, if necessary, under favorable conditions; volatility in the securities markets; the demand for our products and services; deteriorating economic conditions; geopolitical tensions; operational risks including, but not limited to, cybersecurity incidents, fraud, natural disasters and future pandemics; expenses associated with litigation and legal proceedings; the possibility that the anticipated benefits of the merger with Codorus (the “Merger”) are not realized when expected or at all; the possibility that the Merger may be more expensive to complete than anticipated; the possibility that revenues following the Merger may be lower than expected; potential adverse reactions or changes to business or employee relationships, including those resulting from the completion of the Merger; the ability to complete the integration of the two companies successfully; the dilution caused by the Company’s issuance of additional shares of its capital stock in connection with the Merger; and other risks and uncertainties, including those detailed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023 under the sections titled “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and in subsequent filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    The foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. If one or more events related to these or other risks or uncertainties materializes, or if the Company’s underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect, actual results may differ materially from what the Company anticipates. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made, and the Company disclaims any obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. New risks and uncertainties arise from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict those events or how they may affect it. In addition, the Company cannot assess the impact of each factor on its business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements, expressed or implied, included in this press release are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. This cautionary statement should also be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that the Company or persons acting on the Company’s behalf may issue.

    The review period for subsequent events extends up to and includes the filing date of a public company’s financial statements, when filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Accordingly, the consolidated financial information presented in this announcement is subject to change. Annualized, pro forma, projected and estimated numbers in this document are used for illustrative purposes only and are not forecasts and may not reflect actual results.

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI: Brookfield Business Partners Reports 2024 Year End Results

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    BROOKFIELD, News, Jan. 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Brookfield Business Partners (NYSE: BBU, BBUC; TSX: BBU.UN, BBUC) announced today financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024.

    “Our business had another successful year in 2024. We generated over $2 billion from our capital recycling initiatives, acquired two market-leading operations and achieved solid financial results,” said Anuj Ranjan, CEO of Brookfield Business Partners. “The enhanced strength of our balance sheet and substantial liquidity provides us optionality to meaningfully advance our capital allocation priorities with a focus on increasing the intrinsic value of our business for our unitholders.”

           
      Three Months Ended
    December 31,
      Year Ended
    December 31,
    US$ millions (except per unit amounts), unaudited   2024       2023       2024       2023  
    Net income (loss) attributable to Unitholders1 $ (438 )   $ 1,423     $ (109 )   $ 1,405  
    Net income (loss) per limited partnership unit2 $ (2.02 )   $ 6.57     $ (0.50 )   $ 6.49  
               
    Adjusted EBITDA3 $ 653     $ 608     $ 2,565     $ 2,491  
                                   

    Net loss attributable to Unitholders for the year ended December 31, 2024 was $109 million (loss of $0.50 per limited partnership unit) compared to net income of $1,405 million ($6.49 per limited partnership unit) in the prior year. Net loss attributable to Unitholders includes a one-time non-cash expense at our healthcare services operation, combined with provisions at our construction operation. Prior year included net gains primarily related to the sale of our nuclear technology services operation.

    Adjusted EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2024 was $2,565 million compared to $2,491 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, reflecting improved performance of operations and tax benefits recorded at our advanced energy storage operation. Prior year results included $308 million of contribution from operations which have been sold.

    Operational Update

    The following table presents Adjusted EBITDA by segment:

      Three Months Ended
    December 31,
      Year Ended
    December 31,
    US$ millions, unaudited   2024       2023       2024       2023  
    Industrials $ 306     $ 222     $ 1,247     $ 855  
    Business Services   217       227       832       900  
    Infrastructure Services   160       184       606       853  
    Corporate and Other   (30 )     (25 )     (120 )     (117 )
    Adjusted EBITDA $ 653     $ 608     $ 2,565     $ 2,491  

    Our Industrials segment generated Adjusted EBITDA of $1,247 million in 2024, compared to $855 million in 2023. Current year results included $371 million of tax benefits at our advanced energy storage operation. Strong underlying performance at our advanced energy storage operation and growing contribution from water and wastewater services offset reduced performance at our engineered components manufacturing operation due to weak market conditions. Prior year results included contribution from disposed operations including our Canadian aggregates production operation which was sold in June 2024.

    Our Business Services segment generated Adjusted EBITDA of $832 million in 2024, compared to $900 million in 2023. Strong performance at our residential mortgage insurer was primarily offset by the impact of a cyber incident at our dealer software and technology services operation and reduced performance at our construction and healthcare services operations during the year. Prior year results included contribution from our road fuels operation which was sold in July 2024.

    Our Infrastructure Services segment generated Adjusted EBITDA of $606 million in 2024, compared to $853 million in 2023. Prior year results included $236 million of contribution from our nuclear technology services operation which was sold in November 2023. Current year results benefited from improved performance of offshore oil services, offset by reduced contribution at work access services.

    The following table presents Adjusted EFO4 by segment:

      Three Months Ended
    December 31,
      Year Ended
    December 31,
    US$ millions, unaudited   2024       2023       2024       2023  
    Adjusted EFO          
    Industrials $ 193     $ 115     $ 935     $ 492  
    Business Services   142       181       641       636  
    Infrastructure Services   78       1,790       287       2,070  
    Corporate and Other   (83 )     (77 )     (331 )     (335 )

    Adjusted EFO for the year ended December 31, 2024 included $306 million in net gains primarily related to the dispositions of our road fuels operation and Canadian aggregates production operation, the sale of public securities and the deconsolidation of our payment processing services operation. Infrastructure Services Adjusted EFO reflected the impact of the prior year disposition of our nuclear technology services operation. Prior year results included $2,006 million in after-tax net gains primarily related to the sale of our nuclear technology services operation.

    Strategic Initiatives

    • Advanced Energy Storage Operation
      In January, our advanced energy storage operation raised $5 billion of new first lien debt – $4.5 billion of the proceeds are not required in the business and therefore were used to fund a special distribution to owners, of which Brookfield Business Partners’ share was approximately $1.2 billion. This represented a multiple of 1.5x of our initial equity investment and we still own our entire share of the business.
    • Offshore Oil Services
      In January, we completed the previously announced sale of our offshore oil services’ shuttle tanker operation. Cash proceeds to Brookfield Business Partners for the sale of its interest after the repayment of debt are expected to be approximately $250 million.
    • Unit Repurchase Program and Capital Deployment
      We are allocating up to $250 million of capital to accelerate the repurchase of Brookfield Business Partners’ securities under our existing and future normal course issuer bids (NCIB).

      In January, we completed the acquisition of Chemelex, a leading manufacturer of electric heat tracing systems, through a carve-out from a larger industrial company for total enterprise value of $1.7 billion. Brookfield Business Partners invested $212 million for an approximate 25% economic interest in the business, with the balance funded by institutional partners.

    Liquidity

    We ended the year with approximately $1.3 billion of liquidity at the corporate level including $91 million of cash and liquid securities, $25 million of remaining preferred equity commitment from Brookfield Corporation and $1.2 billion of availability on our corporate credit facilities. Pro forma for announced and recently closed transactions, corporate liquidity is $2.7 billion.

    Distribution

    The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly distribution in the amount of $0.0625 per unit, payable on March 31, 2025 to unitholders of record as at the close of business on February 28, 2025.

    Additional Information

    The Board has reviewed and approved this news release, including the summarized unaudited consolidated financial statements contained herein.

    Brookfield Business Partners’ Letter to Unitholders and the Supplemental Information are available on our website https://bbu.brookfield.com under Reports & Filings.

       
    Notes:  
    1 Attributable to limited partnership unitholders, general partnership unitholders, redemption-exchange unitholders, special limited partnership unitholders and BBUC exchangeable shareholders.
    2 Net income (loss) per limited partnership unit calculated as net income (loss) attributable to limited partners divided by the average number of limited partnership units outstanding for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2024 which were 74.3 million and 74.3 million, respectively (December 31, 2023: 74.3 million and 74.5 million, respectively).
    3 Adjusted EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure of operating performance presented as net income and equity accounted income at the partnership’s economic ownership interest in consolidated subsidiaries and equity accounted investments, respectively, excluding the impact of interest income (expense), net, income taxes, depreciation and amortization expense, gains (losses) on acquisitions/dispositions, net, transaction costs, restructuring charges, revaluation gains or losses, impairment expenses or reversals, other income or expenses, and preferred equity distributions. The partnership’s economic ownership interest in consolidated subsidiaries and equity accounted investments excludes amounts attributable to non-controlling interests consistent with how the partnership determines net income attributable to non-controlling interests in its IFRS consolidated statements of operating results. The partnership believes that Adjusted EBITDA provides a comprehensive understanding of the ability of its businesses to generate recurring earnings which allows users to better understand and evaluate the underlying financial performance of the partnership’s operations and excludes items that the partnership believes do not directly relate to revenue earning activities and are not normal, recurring items necessary for business operations. Please refer to the reconciliation of net income (loss) to Adjusted EBITDA included elsewhere in this news release.
    4 Adjusted EFO is the partnership’s segment measure of profit or loss and is presented as net income and equity accounted income at the partnership’s economic ownership interest in consolidated subsidiaries and equity accounted investments, respectively, excluding the impact of depreciation and amortization expense, deferred income taxes, transaction costs, restructuring charges, unrealized revaluation gains or losses, impairment expenses or reversals and other income or expense items that are not directly related to revenue generating activities. The partnership’s economic ownership interest in consolidated subsidiaries excludes amounts attributable to non-controlling interests consistent with how the partnership determines net income attributable to non-controlling interests in its IFRS consolidated statements of operating results. In order to provide additional insight regarding the partnership’s operating performance over the lifecycle of an investment, Adjusted EFO includes the impact of preferred equity distributions and realized disposition gains or losses recorded in net income, other comprehensive income, or directly in equity, such as ownership changes. Adjusted EFO does not include legal and other provisions that may occur from time to time in the partnership’s operations and that are one-time or non-recurring and not directly tied to the partnership’s operations, such as those for litigation or contingencies. Adjusted EFO includes expected credit losses and bad debt allowances recorded in the normal course of the partnership’s operations. Adjusted EFO allows the partnership to evaluate its segments on the basis of return on invested capital generated by its operations and allows the partnership to evaluate the performance of its segments on a levered basis.
       

    Brookfield Business Partners is a global business services and industrials company focused on owning and operating high-quality businesses that provide essential products and services and benefit from a strong competitive position. Investors have flexibility to invest in our company either through Brookfield Business Partners L.P. (NYSE: BBU; TSX: BBU.UN), a limited partnership or Brookfield Business Corporation (NYSE, TSX: BBUC), a corporation. For more information, please visit https://bbu.brookfield.com.

    Brookfield Business Partners is the flagship listed vehicle of Brookfield Asset Management’s Private Equity Group. Brookfield Asset Management is a leading global alternative asset manager with over $1 trillion of assets under management.

    Please note that Brookfield Business Partners’ previous audited annual and unaudited quarterly reports have been filed on SEDAR+ and EDGAR and are available at https://bbu.brookfield.com under Reports & Filings. Hard copies of the annual and quarterly reports can be obtained free of charge upon request.

    For more information, please contact:

    Conference Call and 2024 Earnings Webcast Details

    Investors, analysts and other interested parties can access Brookfield Business Partners’ 2024 results as well as the Letter to Unitholders and Supplemental Information on our website https://bbu.brookfield.com under Reports & Filings.

    The results call can be accessed via webcast on January 31, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time at BBU2024Q4Webcast or participants can pre-register at BBU2024Q4ConferenceCall. Upon registering, participants will be emailed a dial-in number and unique PIN. A replay of the webcast will be available at https://bbu.brookfield.com.

     
    Brookfield Business Partners L.P.
    Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
     
      As at
    US$ millions, unaudited December 31, 2024   December 31, 2023
                         
    Assets                    
    Cash and cash equivalents         $ 3,239             $ 3,252  
    Financial assets           12,371               13,176  
    Accounts and other receivable, net           6,279               6,563  
    Inventory and other assets           5,728               5,321  
    Property, plant and equipment           13,232               15,724  
    Deferred income tax assets           1,744               1,220  
    Intangible assets           18,317               20,846  
    Equity accounted investments           2,325               2,154  
    Goodwill           12,239               14,129  
    Total Assets         $ 75,474             $ 82,385  
                         
    Liabilities and Equity                    
    Liabilities                    
    Corporate borrowings         $ 2,142             $ 1,440  
    Accounts payable and other           16,691               18,378  
    Non-recourse borrowings in subsidiaries of Brookfield Business Partners           36,720               40,809  
    Deferred income tax liabilities           2,613               3,226  
                         
    Equity                    
    Limited partners $ 1,752         $ 1,909    
    Non-controlling interests attributable to:          
    Redemption-exchange units   1,644           1,792    
    Special limited partner                
    BBUC exchangeable shares   1,721           1,875    
    Preferred securities   740           740    
    Interest of others in operating subsidiaries   11,451           12,216    
          17,308           18,532  
    Total Liabilities and Equity   $ 75,474         $ 82,385  
     
    Brookfield Business Partners L.P.
    Consolidated Statements of Operating Results
     
    US$ millions, unaudited Three Months Ended
    December 31,
      Year Ended
    December 31,
      2024       2023       2024       2023  
               
    Revenues $ 7,427     $ 13,405     $ 40,620     $ 55,068  
    Direct operating costs   (6,008 )     (12,209 )     (34,883 )     (50,021 )
    General and administrative expenses   (324 )     (336 )     (1,267 )     (1,538 )
    Interest income (expense), net   (752 )     (858 )     (3,104 )     (3,596 )
    Equity accounted income (loss), net   35       48       90       132  
    Impairment reversal (expense), net   (991 )     (780 )     (981 )     (831 )
    Gain (loss) on acquisitions/dispositions, net         4,477       692       4,686  
    Other income (expense), net   (360 )     (344 )     (573 )     (178 )
    Income (loss) before income tax   (973 )     3,403       594       3,722  
    Income tax (expense) recovery          
    Current   (158 )     (171 )     (646 )     (775 )
    Deferred   23       252       947       830  
    Net income (loss) $ (1,108 )   $ 3,484     $ 895     $ 3,777  
    Attributable to:          
    Limited partners $ (150 )   $ 488     $ (37 )   $ 482  
    Non-controlling interests attributable to:          
    Redemption-exchange units   (141 )     457       (35 )     451  
    Special limited partner                      
    BBUC exchangeable shares   (147 )     478       (37 )     472  
    Preferred securities   13       17       52       83  
    Interest of others in operating subsidiaries   (683 )     2,044       952       2,289  
     
    Brookfield Business Partners L.P.
    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures
     
    US$ millions, unaudited  Three Months Ended December 31, 2024
        Business Services       Infrastructure Services       Industrials       Corporate and Other       Total  
                         
    Net income (loss)   $ (955 )   $ (72 )   $ (31 )   $ (50 )   $ (1,108 )
                         
    Add or subtract the following:                    
    Depreciation and amortization expense     223       228       328             779  
    Impairment reversal (expense), net     690       1       300             991  
    Gain (loss) on acquisitions/dispositions, net                              
    Other income (expense), net1     312       4       47       (3 )     360  
    Income tax (expense) recovery     28       9       115       (17 )     135  
    Equity accounted income (loss), net     (4 )     (12 )     (19 )           (35 )
    Interest income (expense), net     233       166       313       40       752  
    Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA2     25       47       17             89  
    Amounts attributable to non-controlling interests3     (335 )     (211 )     (764 )           (1,310 )
    Adjusted EBITDA   $ 217     $ 160     $ 306     $ (30 )   $ 653  
     Notes:  
     1 Other income (expense), net corresponds to amounts that are not directly related to revenue earning activities and are not normal, recurring income or expenses necessary for business operations. The components of other income (expense), net include $407 million related to a provision for payment of a litigation settlement at our dealer software and technology services operation, $116 million of net gains on the sale of property, plant and equipment and other assets, $57 million related to provisions recorded at our construction operation, $52 million of business separation expenses, stand-up costs and restructuring charges, $27 million of net gains on debt modification and extinguishment, $16 million of net revaluation gains and $3 million in transaction costs.
     2 Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA corresponds to the Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the partnership that is generated by its investments in associates and joint ventures accounted for using the equity method.
     3 Amounts attributable to non-controlling interests are calculated based on the economic ownership interests held by the non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries.
     
    Brookfield Business Partners L.P.
    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures
         
    US$ millions, unaudited Year Ended December 31, 2024
        Business Services       Infrastructure Services       Industrials       Corporate and Other       Total  
                         
    Net income (loss)   $ (169 )   $ (347 )   $ 1,654     $ (243 )   $ 895  
                         
    Add or subtract the following:                    
    Depreciation and amortization expense     961       888       1,355             3,204  
    Impairment reversal (expense), net     686       (11 )     306             981  
    Gain (loss) on acquisitions/dispositions, net     (608 )           (84 )           (692 )
    Other income (expense), net1     365       32       164       12       573  
    Income tax (expense) recovery     75       6       (341 )     (41 )     (301 )
    Equity accounted income (loss), net     (4 )     (23 )     (63 )           (90 )
    Interest income (expense), net     972       701       1,279       152       3,104  
    Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA2     79       168       61             308  
    Amounts attributable to non-controlling interests3     (1,525 )     (808 )     (3,084 )           (5,417 )
    Adjusted EBITDA   $ 832     $ 606     $ 1,247     $ (120 )   $ 2,565  
    Notes:  
    1 Other income (expense), net corresponds to amounts that are not directly related to revenue earning activities and are not normal, recurring income or expenses necessary for business operations. The components of other income (expense), net include $407 million related to a provision for payment of a litigation settlement at our dealer software and technology services operation, $251 million related to provisions recorded at our construction operation, $168 million of net revaluation gains, $158 million of business separation expenses, stand-up costs and restructuring charges, $108 million of net gains on the sale of property, plant and equipment and other assets, $52 million of net gains on debt modification and extinguishment, $50 million of other income related to a distribution at our entertainment operation, $35 million in transaction costs and $100 million of other expenses.
    2 Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA corresponds to the Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the partnership that is generated by its investments in associates and joint ventures accounted for using the equity method.
    3 Adjusted EBITDA that is attributable to non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries.
     
    Brookfield Business Partners L.P.
    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures
     
    US$ millions, unaudited Three Months Ended December 31, 2023
        Business Services       Infrastructure Services       Industrials       Corporate and Other       Total  
                         
    Net income (loss)   $ 51     $ 3,744     $ (264 )   $ (47 )   $ 3,484  
                         
    Add or subtract the following:                    
    Depreciation and amortization expense     287       257       347             891  
    Impairment reversal (expense), net     650       33       97             780  
    Gain (loss) on acquisitions/dispositions, net     (566 )     (3,902 )     (9 )           (4,477 )
    Other income (expense), net1     (24 )     46       317       5       344  
    Income tax (expense) recovery     18       (10 )     (68 )     (21 )     (81 )
    Equity accounted income (loss), net     (6 )     (22 )     (20 )           (48 )
    Interest income (expense), net     259       225       336       38       858  
    Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA2     17       51       17             85  
    Amounts attributable to non-controlling interests3     (459 )     (238 )     (531 )           (1,228 )
    Adjusted EBITDA   $ 227     $ 184     $ 222     $ (25 )   $ 608  
    Notes:  
    1 Other income (expense), net corresponds to amounts that are not directly related to revenue earning activities and are not normal, recurring income or expenses necessary for business operations. The components of other income (expense), net include $247 million loss related to the reclassification of our graphite electrode operations as a financial asset, $96 million of net gains on debt extinguishment/modifications, $80 million of business separation expenses, stand-up costs and restructuring charges, $37 million in transaction costs and $76 million of other expenses.
    2 Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA corresponds to the Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the partnership that is generated by its investments in associates and joint ventures accounted for using the equity method.
    3 Adjusted EBITDA that is attributable to non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries.
     
    Brookfield Business Partners L.P.
    Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures
     
    US$ millions, unaudited Year Ended December 31, 2023
        Business Services       Infrastructure Services       Industrials       Corporate and Other       Total  
                         
    Net income (loss)   $ 602     $ 3,616     $ (245 )   $ (196 )   $ 3,777  
                         
    Add or subtract the following:                    
    Depreciation and amortization expense     1,045       1,174       1,373             3,592  
    Impairment reversal (expense), net     656       (13 )     188             831  
    Gain (loss) on acquisitions/dispositions, net     (720 )     (3,916 )     (50 )           (4,686 )
    Other income (expense), net1     (138 )     (90 )     396       10       178  
    Income tax (expense) recovery     245       (6 )     (218 )     (76 )     (55 )
    Equity accounted income (loss), net     (25 )     (51 )     (56 )           (132 )
    Interest income (expense), net     1,031       1,051       1,369       145       3,596  
    Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA2     61       183       63             307  
    Amounts attributable to non-controlling interests3     (1,857 )     (1,095 )     (1,965 )           (4,917 )
    Adjusted EBITDA   $ 900     $ 853     $ 855     $ (117 )   $ 2,491  
    Notes:  
    1 Other income (expense), net corresponds to amounts that are not directly related to revenue earning activities and are not normal, recurring income or expenses necessary for business operations. The components of other income (expense), net include $446 million of net gains on debt modification and extinguishment, $247 million loss related to the reclassification of our graphite electrode operations as a financial asset, $246 million of business separation expenses, stand-up costs and restructuring charges, $116 million in transaction costs, $93 million of net revaluation gains and $108 million of other expenses.
    2 Equity accounted Adjusted EBITDA corresponds to the Adjusted EBITDA attributable to the partnership that is generated by its investments in associates and joint ventures accounted for using the equity method.
    3 Adjusted EBITDA that is attributable to non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries.
       

    Brookfield Business Corporation Reports 2024 Year End Results

    Brookfield, News, January 31, 2025 – Brookfield Business Corporation (NYSE, TSX: BBUC) announced today its net income (loss) for the year ended December 31, 2024.

      Three Months Ended
    December 31,
      Year Ended
    December 31,
    US$ millions, unaudited   2024       2023       2024       2023  
               
    Net income (loss) attributable to Brookfield Business Partners $ (396 )   $ 454     $ (888 )   $ 519  

    Net loss attributable to Brookfield Business Partners for the year ended December 31, 2024 was $888 million compared to net income of $519 million in 2023 which included net gains primarily related to the sale of our nuclear technology services operation. Current year results included $208 million of remeasurement loss on our exchangeable and class B shares that are classified as liabilities under IFRS. As at December 31, 2024, the exchangeable and class B shares were remeasured to reflect the closing price of $23.42 per unit.

    Dividend

    The Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.0625 per share, payable on March 31, 2025 to shareholders of record as at the close of business on February 28, 2025.

    Additional Information

    Each exchangeable share of Brookfield Business Corporation has been structured with the intention of providing an economic return equivalent to one unit of Brookfield Business Partners L.P. Each exchangeable share will be exchangeable at the option of the holder for one unit. Brookfield Business Corporation will target that dividends on its exchangeable shares will be declared and paid at the same time as distributions are declared and paid on the Brookfield Business Partners’ units and that dividends on each exchangeable share will be declared and paid in the same amount as distributions are declared and paid on each unit to provide holders of exchangeable shares with an economic return equivalent to holders of units.

    In addition to carefully considering the disclosures made in this news release in its entirety, shareholders are strongly encouraged to carefully review the Letter to Unitholders, Supplemental Information and other continuous disclosure filings which are available at https://bbu.brookfield.com.

    Please note that Brookfield Business Corporation’s previous audited annual and unaudited quarterly reports have been filed on SEDAR+ and EDGAR and are available at https://bbu.brookfield.com/bbuc under Reports & Filings. Hard copies of the annual and quarterly reports can be obtained free of charge upon request.

     
    Brookfield Business Corporation
    Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
     
      As at
    US$ millions, unaudited December 31, 2024   December 31, 2023
                           
    Assets                      
    Cash and cash equivalents         $ 1,008             $ 772  
    Financial assets           353               224  
    Accounts and other receivable, net           3,229               3,569  
    Inventory, net           52               61  
    Other assets           627               737  
    Property, plant and equipment           2,480               2,743  
    Deferred income tax assets           197               221  
    Intangible assets           5,966               6,931  
    Equity accounted investments           198               222  
    Goodwill           4,988               5,702  
    Total Assets         $ 19,098             $ 21,182  
                           
    Liabilities and Equity                      
    Liabilities                      
    Accounts payable and other         $ 5,276             $ 4,818  
    Non-recourse borrowings in subsidiaries of Brookfield Business Corporation           8,490               8,823  
    Exchangeable and class B shares           1,709               1,501  
    Deferred income tax liabilities           988               1,280  
                           
    Equity                      
    Brookfield Business Partners $ (59 )       $ 880      
    Non-controlling interests   2,694           3,880      
          2,635         4,760  
    Total Liabilities and Equity   $ 19,098       $ 21,182  
     
    Brookfield Business Corporation
    Consolidated Statements of Operating Results
     
    US$ millions, unaudited Three Months Ended
    December 31,
      Year Ended
    December 31,
      2024       2023       2024       2023  
    Continuing operations          
    Revenues $ 2,209     $ 1,946     $ 8,208     $ 7,683  
    Direct operating costs   (2,041 )     (1,749 )     (7,568 )     (6,794 )
    General and administrative expenses   (107 )     (78 )     (326 )     (268 )
    Interest income (expense), net   (212 )     (206 )     (832 )     (878 )
    Equity accounted income (loss), net   2       2       8       3  
    Impairment reversal (expense), net   (689 )     (599 )     (691 )     (606 )
    Gain (loss) on acquisitions/dispositions, net                     87  
    Remeasurement of exchangeable and class B shares   (9 )     (392 )     (208 )     (264 )
    Other income (expense), net   (469 )     44       (666 )     126  
    Income (loss) before income tax from continuing operations   (1,316 )     (1,032 )     (2,075 )     (911 )
    Income tax (expense) recovery          
    Current   (8 )     (5 )     (50 )     (167 )
    Deferred   42       1       198       95  
    Net income (loss) from continuing operations $ (1,282 )   $ (1,036 )   $ (1,927 )   $ (983 )
    Discontinued operations          
    Net income (loss) from discontinued operations         3,885             3,812  
    Net income (loss) $ (1,282 )   $ 2,849     $ (1,927 )   $ 2,829  
    Attributable to:          
    Brookfield Business Partners $ (396 )   $ 454     $ (888 )   $ 519  
    Non-controlling interests   (886 )     2,395       (1,039 )     2,310  


    Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-looking Statements and Information

    Note: This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of Canadian provincial securities laws and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian and U.S. securities laws. Forward-looking statements include statements that are predictive in nature, depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, include statements regarding the operations, business, financial condition, expected financial results, performance, prospects, opportunities, priorities, targets, goals, ongoing objectives, strategies and outlook of Brookfield Business Partners, as well as regarding recently completed and proposed acquisitions, dispositions, and other transactions, and the outlook for North American and international economies for the current fiscal year and subsequent periods, and include words such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “plans”, “believes”, “estimates”, “seeks”, “intends”, “targets”, “projects”, “forecasts”, “views”, “potential”, “likely” or negative versions thereof and other similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “would” and “could”.

    Although we believe that our anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and information are based upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, investors and other readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and information because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Brookfield Business Partners to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and information. These beliefs, assumptions and expectations can change as a result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to us or are within our control. If a change occurs, our business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations and our plans and strategies may vary materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements and forward-looking information herein.

    Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated or implied by forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: the cyclical nature of our operating businesses and general economic conditions and risks relating to the economy, including unfavorable changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, inflation and volatility in the financial markets; global equity and capital markets and the availability of equity and debt financing and refinancing within these markets; strategic actions including our ability to complete dispositions and achieve the anticipated benefits therefrom; the ability to complete and effectively integrate acquisitions into existing operations and the ability to attain expected benefits; changes in accounting policies and methods used to report financial condition (including uncertainties associated with critical accounting assumptions and estimates); the ability to appropriately manage human capital; the effect of applying future accounting changes; business competition; operational and reputational risks; technological change; changes in government regulation and legislation within the countries in which we operate; changes to U.S. laws or policies, including changes in U.S. domestic economic policies and foreign trade policies and tariffs; governmental investigations; litigation; changes in tax laws; ability to collect amounts owed; catastrophic events, such as earthquakes, hurricanes and pandemics/epidemics; cybersecurity incidents; the possible impact of international conflicts, wars and related developments including terrorist acts and cyber terrorism; and other risks and factors detailed from time to time in our documents filed with the securities regulators in Canada and the United States including those set forth in the “Risk Factors” section in our annual report for the year ended December 31, 2024 to be filed on Form 20-F.

    Statements relating to “reserves” are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described herein can be profitably produced in the future. We qualify any and all of our forward-looking statements by these cautionary factors.

    We caution that the foregoing list of important factors that may affect future results is not exhaustive. When relying on our forward-looking statements and information, investors and others should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and potential events. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether written or oral, that may be as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

    Cautionary Statement Regarding the Use of a Non-IFRS Measure

    This news release contains references to a Non-IFRS measure. Adjusted EBITDA is not a generally accepted accounting measure under IFRS and therefore may differ from definitions used by other entities. We believe this is a useful supplemental measure that may assist investors in assessing the financial performance of Brookfield Business Partners and its subsidiaries. However, Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, analysis of our financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS.

    References to Brookfield Business Partners are to Brookfield Business Partners L.P. together with its subsidiaries, controlled affiliates and operating entities. Unitholders’ results include limited partnership units, redemption-exchange units, general partnership units, BBUC exchangeable shares and special limited partnership units. More detailed information on certain references made in this news release will be available in our Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our annual report for the year ended December 31, 2024 to be filed on Form 20-F.

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Aberdeen in 2025 Britain in Bloom finals!

    Source: Scotland – City of Aberdeen

    Aberdeen is in the 2025 finals of the prestigious Britain in Bloom competition hoping to add yet another flower crown to the city’s successes over the decades.

    Last year, Aberdeen won the overall best in Scotland award – the Rosebowl – along with the City Trophy, the Royal Caledonian Horticultural Society Award, the VisitScotland Award for Tourism and a Gold Medal Certificate, at the Beautiful Scotland Awards. In 2023, the city won gold in Britain in Bloom. In 2022, and 2021, Aberdeen won gold in the ‘City’ category in Beautiful Scotland and was also crowned Overall Joint overall winner in 2022. In 2020, Aberdeen was a finalist for Champion of Champions award in Britain in Bloom but the competition was cancelled due to the pandemic.

    Aberdeen has won a medal in either Britain in Bloom or Beautiful Scotland every year since 2008 and has been award-winning in the competitions since 1964. Aberdeen City Council this year is also celebrating 61 years competing in Britain in Bloom and Beautiful Scotland.

    Aberdeen City Council In Bloom Champion Councillor Neil MacGregor said: “It truly is an accolade for the city to be in the finals of Britain in Bloom.

    “This is thanks to the great work carried out by our enthusiastic gardeners and greenkeepers as well as all the amazing community organisations, groups and individuals who help to continue make Aberdeen’s green spaces beautiful along with support from Keep Scotland Beautiful.

    “It is fantastic that we will be welcoming Britain in Bloom judges back into the city in the summer and we look forward to showing them around including meeting many of the people involved in ensuring our green areas look great.”

    Britain in Bloom is organised by the Royal Horticultural Society (RHS) and is the top gardening competition for councils and other community organisations across the UK. Major winners from regional competitions including Beautiful Scotland are put forward for the UK-wide finals.

    The city will be judged on its horticulture which is amazing parks and green spaces, community involvement which is all the fantastic green partners and volunteers including Friends groups, schools, businesses, community groups and the thousands of volunteers who help out, and environmental responsibility which is the work carried out for the Council’s climate plan, carbon reduction, and other similar projects.

    The winners for the various categories will be announced at an awards event in the autumn.

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI: Banco Santander-Chile Announces Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    SANTIAGO, Chile, Jan. 31, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Banco Santander Chile (NYSE: BSAC; SSE: Bsantander) announced today its results1 for the twelve-month period ended December 31, 2024, and fourth quarter 2024 (4Q24).

    Strong Financial Performance with ROAE2of 26.0% in 4Q243and 20.2% in 12M244.

    As of December 31, 2024, the Bank’s net income attributable to shareholders totaled $858 billion ($4.55 per share and US$1.83 per ADR), marking a 72.8% increase compared to the same period of the previous year and with an ROAE of 20.2%.

    In 4Q24, net income attributable to shareholders of the Bank totaled $277 billion, increasing 13.7% in the quarter with a quarterly ROAE of 26.0%. This marks the third consecutive quarter with an ROAE above 20%.

    The improvement in results is explained by an increase in the Bank’s main revenue lines. Operating income increased by 34.5% YoY, supported by a stronger interest margin and readjustments.

    Robust NIM5recovery, reaching 3.6% in 2024 and 4.2% in 4Q24.

    Net interest and readjustment income (NII) for the year ended December 31, 2024 increased by 62.1% compared to the same period in 2023. This growth was primarily due to higher net interest income, resulting from a lower monetary policy rate that reduced our funding costs from 6.8% to 4.7% in 12M24. This was partially offset by lower readjustment income due to a smaller variation in the UF compared to the previous year. Consequently, the NIM improved from 2.2% in 2023 to 3.6% in 2024, and further to 4.2% in 4Q24.

    Continued Expansion of Customer Base with a 6.4% YoY Increase in Total Customers and a 5.9% YoY Increase in Digital Customers

    Our strategy to enhance digital products has led to a continued growth in our customer base reaching approximately 4.3 million customers, with over 2.2 million digital customers (88% of our active customers).

    The Bank’s market share in current accounts remains robust at 23.2% as of October 2024, driven by increased customer demand for US dollar current accounts which can be easily opened digitally by our customers. It also demonstrates the success of Getnet’s strategy in encouraging cross-selling of other products such as the Cuenta Pyme Life.

    Customer funds increased 4.7% QoQ and 12.6% since December 2023.

    Customer funds (demand deposits, time deposits and mutual funds) increased by 4.7% QoQ and 12.6% from December 2023, reflecting client growth and fund accumulation. The Bank’s total deposits increased by 5.7% from December 31, 2023, explained by the 5.3% increase in demand deposits and the 6.0% increase in time deposits. In the quarter, total deposits grew by 5.9%, with demand deposits up by 8.7% and time deposits by 3.7%. The strong growth in the quarter is explained by the seasonality of deposits at the end of the year, especially among corporate clients.

    Our customer’s investments through mutual funds intermediated by the Bank also grew in the quarter, reaching an increase of 2.2% QoQ and 32.6% since December 31, 2023, given the clients’ preference for mutual funds in this scenario of falling rates.

    Net fees and commissions increase 8.8% in 12M24, achieving a recurrence6level of 60.3%.

    Net fees increased 8.8% in the twelve months ended December 31, 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 due to increased client numbers and higher product usage. As a result, the recurrence ratio (total net fees divided by structural support expenses) increased from 57.4% YTD as of December 2023 to 60.3% YTD as of December 2024, demonstrating that more than half of the Bank’s expenses are financed by fees generated by our clients.

    Efficiency ratio of 36.5% in 4Q24 and 39.0% in 4Q24

    The Bank’s efficiency ratio reached 39.0% as of December 31, 2024, compared to the 46.6% of the same period last year, with a quarterly efficiency ratio of 36.5%. On the other hand, the cost to assets ratio increased to 1.5% in 12M24 vs. 1.3% in the same period of the previous year.

    Structural support expenses (salaries, administration and amortization) grew 3.5% in 12M24 compared to 12M23, below inflation, and in line with the guidance provided previously and a slight decrease of 1.8% compared to 3Q24 mainly due to lower salary expenses.

    Total operating expenses (which includes other expenses) increased 12.4% in 12M24 compared to 12M23 driven by higher other operating expenses, related to a provision for the restructuring of our branch network and the transformation to Work/Café and also advances in digital banking.

    Cost of credit of 1.29% in 12M24, and NPL coverage at 115.4%

    During the Covid-19 pandemic, asset quality benefited from state aid and pension fund withdrawals, which led to a positive performance in assets during that period, before normalizing in line with the performance of the economy and the drainage of excess liquidity from households. Currently, our clients’ performance is reflecting the state of the economy and the labor market, where delinquency is higher than the levels we saw before the pandemic with the non-performing loans (NPL) ratio increasing to 3.2% and the impaired portfolio to 6.7% at December 2024. Overall the cost of credit remained stable at 1.29% in the quarter.

    Solid capital levels with a BIS7ratio of 17.1% and a CET18of 10.5%.

    Our CET1 (Common Equity Tier 1) ratio remains at solid levels of 10.5% and the total Basel III ratio reaches 17.1% at the end of December 2024, which includes a provision of dividend payment of 70% of 2024 earnings.

    We made significant progress in our Chile First strategy in 2024

    • Largest bank in terms of loans and deposits (16.9% market share according to latest information from the CMF).
    • More than US$ 450 million committed to invest in infrastructure and technology between 2023 and 2026.
    • A total of 99 Workcafés in Chile, serving our clients and the community in their different formats.
    • Recognized by Euromoney as the Best Bank in the Country in the SME and ESG Categories.
    • The only Chilean bank included in the DJSI emerging markets and within the top 3% of the most sustainable banks in the world.
    • Top Employer Certification January 2025 (seventh consecutive year).
    • Recognized as the Best Bank in Chile for SMEs by Global Finance.
    • ALAS20: First place in the category of leading company in sustainability.
    • Institutional Investor: “Most Honored Company.”

    Banco Santander Chile is one of the companies with the highest risk ratings in Latin America, with an A2 rating from Moody’s, A- from Standard and Poor’s, A+ from Japan Credit Rating Agency, AA- from HR Ratings and A from KBRA. All our ratings as of the date of this report have a stable outlook.

    As of December 31, 2024, the Bank has total assets of $68,458,933 million (US$68,865 million), total gross loans (including loans to banks) at amortized cost of $41,323,844 million (US$41,569 million), total deposits of $31,359,234 million (US$31,545 million) and shareholders’ equity of $4,292,440 million (US$4,318 million). The BIS capital ratio was 17.1%, with a core capital ratio of 10.5%. As of December 31, 2024, Santander Chile employs 8,757 people and has 236 branches throughout Chile.

    CONTACT INFORMATION
    Cristian Vicuña
    Chief Strategy Officer and Head of Investor Relations
    Banco Santander Chile
    Bandera 140, Floor 20
    Santiago, Chile
    Email: irelations@santander.cl Website: www.santander.cl


    1 The information contained in this report is presented in accordance with Chilean Bank GAAP as defined by the Financial Markets Commission (FMC).
    2 Annualized net income attributable to shareholders of the Bank divided by the average equity attributable to equity holders
    3 The fourth quarter of 2024
    4 The twelve months accumulated as of December31, 2024
    5 NIM: Net interest margin. Annualized net interest income and annualized readjustments divided by interest-earning assets
    6Recurrence: Net commissions divided by structural operating expenses (excludes other operating expenses).
    7 Regulatory capital divided by risk-weighted assets, according to CMF BIS III definitions
    8 Core capital divided by risk-weighted assets, according to CMF BIS III definitions.

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: President Lai’s response to Pope Francis’s 2025 World Day of Peace message  

    Source: Republic of China Taiwan

    Details
    2025-01-17
    President Lai meets former US Vice President Mike Pence
    On the afternoon of January 17, President Lai Ching-te met with former Vice President of the United States Mike Pence. In remarks, President Lai thanked former Vice President Pence for his contributions to the deepening of Taiwan-US relations, noting that he actively helped to strengthen Taiwan-US cooperation and facilitate the normalization of military sales to Taiwan, and did his utmost to deepen the Taiwan-US economic partnership. The president indicated that former Vice President Pence also spoke up for Taiwan on numerous occasions at international venues, backing Taiwan’s international participation. President Lai expressed hope for a stronger Taiwan-US partnership to maintain peace and stability throughout the world, and that the two sides can advance bilateral exchanges in such areas as the economy, trade, and industry. A translation of President Lai’s remarks follows: I am delighted to welcome former Vice President Pence and Mrs. Karen Pence to the Presidential Office. Former Vice President Pence is not only an outstanding political leader in the US, but also a staunch supporter of Taiwan on the international stage. On behalf of the people of Taiwan, I would like to take this opportunity to extend our deepest gratitude to former Vice President Pence for his contributions to the deepening of Taiwan-US relations. Thanks to former Vice President Pence’s strong backing, ties between Taiwan and the US rose to unprecedented heights during President Donald Trump’s first administration. Former Vice President Pence actively helped to strengthen Taiwan-US security cooperation and facilitate the normalization of military sales to Taiwan, helping Taiwan reinforce its self-defense capabilities. He also did his utmost to deepen the Taiwan-US economic partnership. Former Vice President Pence also paid close attention to the military threats and diplomatic isolation faced by Taiwan. He spoke up for Taiwan on numerous occasions at international venues, taking concrete action to back Taiwan’s international participation. We were truly grateful for this. As we speak, China’s political and military intimidation against Taiwan persist. China and other authoritarian regimes, such as Russia, North Korea, and Iran, are continuing to converge and present serious challenges to democracies around the globe. At this moment, free and democratic nations must come together to bolster cooperation. I believe that a stronger Taiwan-US partnership can be an even more powerful force in maintaining peace and stability throughout the world. Former Vice President Pence has previously supported the signing of a trade agreement between Taiwan and the US. Taiwan looks forward to continuing to work with the new US administration and Congress to advance bilateral exchanges in such areas as the economy, trade, and industry. This is the first time that former Vice President Pence and Mrs. Pence are visiting Taiwan, and their visit is significantly meaningful for Taiwan-US exchanges. On behalf of the people of Taiwan, I want to extend a warm welcome. Moving forward, I hope we will jointly realize even more fruitful achievements through Taiwan-US cooperation. Former Vice President Pence then delivered remarks, thanking President Lai for his hospitality on his and his wife’s first visit to Taiwan, saying that it is an honor to be here to reaffirm the bonds of friendship between the people of America and the people of Taiwan, which are strong and longstanding. The former vice president indicated that the American people admire the people of Taiwan and all that has been accomplished in a few short decades for Taiwan to rise to one of the world’s preeminent economic powers and free societies. He said that he is grateful for President Lai’s courageous and bold leadership of Taiwan, and grateful to be able to express the support of the overwhelming majority of the American people for this alliance. Former Vice President Pence indicated that the values shared by Taiwan and the US, including freedom, the rule of law, and respect for human rights, bind us together in a partnership that transcends geographic boundaries and cultures. He then assured President Lai that China’s increasingly aggressive posture in the Taiwan Strait and across the Indo-Pacific, for the values and interests that both sides share, is deeply concerning to the American people. Former Vice President Pence stated that America is a Pacific nation, and is committed to the status quo, adding that they recognize it is China that wants to change the status quo that America, Taiwan, and other allies in the region want to preserve, which has created an environment of extraordinary growth and prosperity. The former vice president concluded by once again thanking President Lai and his team for their gracious hospitality and conveying best wishes to him and the people of Taiwan. Former Vice President Pence then assured President Lai that just as Taiwan will never surrender its freedom, he will continue to be a voice for a strong US-Taiwan relationship in the defense and the benefit of Taiwan, the US, and the free world. Later that day, Vice President Bi-khim Hsiao hosted a banquet for former Vice President Pence and his delegation at Taipei Guest House to thank him for his longstanding friendship and staunch support for Taiwan-US ties.  

    Details
    2025-01-17
    President Lai meets delegation to 60th Inaugural Ceremonies of US president and vice president
    On the morning of January 16, President Lai Ching-te met with Taiwan’s delegation to the 60th Inaugural Ceremonies of the President and Vice President of the United States. In remarks, President Lai stated that democratic Taiwan stands united, working hard to deepen Taiwan-US ties together. He then entrusted the delegation with three missions: to convey best wishes from the people of Taiwan, convey our firm commitment to democracy, and help Taiwan-US relations reach a new milestone. A translation of President Lai’s remarks follows: The 60th Inaugural Ceremonies of the President and Vice President of the US will be held on January 20. I want to thank Speaker Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜), president of the Legislative Yuan, for accepting my invitation to lead our nation’s representative delegation to the event. I also thank Legislative Yuan Members Ko Chih-en (柯志恩), Wang Ting-yu (王定宇), Ko Ju-chun (葛如鈞), Lee Yen-hsiu (李彥秀), Chen Kuan-ting (陳冠廷), Kuo Yu-ching (郭昱晴), and Chen Gau-tzu (陳昭姿) for joining this visit to the US to attend the inauguration of President Donald Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance. We have gathered together today despite differences in party affiliation because in democratic Taiwan, while parties may compete domestically, when it comes to engagement externally, they stand united and share responsibility, working hard to deepen Taiwan-US ties and strive for the best interests of the nation. We share the value of defending freedom and democracy, and we share the goal of advancing peace and prosperity. Today, we engage with the world together as those from the same country – the Republic of China (Taiwan). In this complex and volatile new international landscape, and as the nation faces difficulties and challenges, I want to stress that in Formosa, there is no hostility that cannot be let go, and no hardship that cannot be overcome. Unity is the most important, and I hope that Taiwan can stand united, because there is true strength in unity. Democratic Taiwan must stand united in engaging with the world and initiate exchanges with confidence. On that ground, I am entrusting this delegation with three key missions. First, convey best wishes from the people of Taiwan. Just last year, Taiwan and the US celebrated the 45th anniversary of the passage of the Taiwan Relations Act. And on May 20, the US sent a senior bipartisan delegation to congratulate me and Vice President Bi-khim Hsiao on our inauguration. As the leader of this cross-party delegation, Speaker Han must clearly convey the well-wishes of the people of Taiwan, congratulate President Trump and Vice President Vance on their inauguration, and wish success to the new administration and prosperity to the US. Second, clearly convey the firm commitment of the people of Taiwan to democracy. The theme of these inaugural ceremonies is “Our Enduring Democracy: A Constitutional Promise.” Taiwan and the US share the universal value of democracy and are staunch allies. I hope that the delegation can faithfully convey the firm commitment to democracy that the people of Taiwan have, which will not change even in the face of authoritarian threats. Taiwan is willing to stand side by side with the US and other members of the democratic community to defend the sustainable development of global democracy and prevent the expansion of authoritarianism. Third, help Taiwan-US relations reach a new milestone. In recent years, Taiwan-US relations have continued to grow, with the first agreement under the Taiwan-US Initiative on 21st Century Trade having formally taken effect last month. This morning, the House of Representatives also passed the US-Taiwan Expedited Double-Tax Relief Act. I hope that the delegation can help Taiwan-US relations reach a new milestone through these exchanges so that our relations continue to grow, our cooperation expands even more, and so that we can achieve even greater success after the new administration takes office. Four years ago, Taiwan’s representative to the US inaugural ceremonies was Vice President Hsiao, who was then our representative to the US. Everyone has a lot to learn from her. I have specially invited everyone here to converse so that you can draw from Vice President Hsiao’s experience and ensure an even smoother visit. Washington, DC was also hit by a rare blizzard recently, and the weather has been very cold, so make sure to stay warm. I am sending everyone off with hand warmers and thermoses so that you can bring some warmth from Taiwan with you on your journey. And I ask that Speaker Han exercise his wisdom to help generate some warmth between the ruling and opposition parties through cooperation, which they can then bring back to Taiwan. Let us unite to give our all for diplomacy so that we can unite to give our all for Taiwan. I wish the delegation a smooth and safe trip, and hope your missions can be carried out successfully. Speaker Han then delivered remarks, stating that it was an honor to be invited by President Lai to organize a delegation to represent our nation at the 60th Inaugural Ceremonies of the President and Vice President of the US in Washington, DC, and express the Republic of China’s sincere and cordial best wishes. The Legislative Yuan’s president has assumed this important task numerous times in the past, he said, not only to represent the government of the Republic of China, but also to take on the mission of conveying the voices of 23 million people. He went on to say that he is honored to take up the baton, lead eight legislators to the US to attend this celebration that will attract global attention, and express sincere best wishes to newly elected President Trump, Vice President Vance, and the new administration’s team. As enjoined by President Lai, he hopes the delegation’s trip will help open a new chapter in Taiwan-US exchanges. Speaker Han stated that the US is the most free and democratic country in the world. He noted that in 1776 in the US Declaration of Independence, founding father Thomas Jefferson propounded the concept of “unalienable rights,” and emphasized that the people have a right to freedom and the pursuit of happiness, democratic ideas that have long been rooted in the people’s hearts. Today, he said, democracy is also embedded in the DNA of Taiwan’s 23 million people, and this hard-won democratic achievement is a result of the concerted efforts of our pioneering predecessors, thinkers, and activists over the past 100 years. Speaker Han stated that during this visit, the Legislative Yuan delegation hopes to convey the voice of Taiwan as a democratic country. Taiwan’s security, he said, is like the four legs of a table: The first leg is defending the Republic of China, the second is defending freedom and democracy, the third is maintaining Taiwan-US relations, and the fourth is maintaining cross-strait peace. The delegation will travel to the US amidst severe cold weather to show that we value our relationship with the US, and our citizens have great hopes and expectations. Speaker Han stated that this will be a cross-party delegation of eight legislators, all of whom have a strong sense of mission. He hopes that all democratic nations will acknowledge Taiwan’s importance, and pay attention to Taiwan’s 23 million people. The delegation, he said, will do its utmost to convey the goodwill and warmth that the people of Taiwan give to each and every one of our good friends.

    Details
    2025-01-17
    President Lai confers decoration on former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis
    On the morning of January 14, President Lai Ching-te conferred the Order of Brilliant Star with Special Grand Cordon upon former Minister of Foreign Affairs Gabrielius Landsbergis of the Republic of Lithuania in recognition of his remarkable contributions to deepening Taiwan-Lithuania relations. In remarks, President Lai thanked former Minister Landsbergis for standing firmly with Taiwan and remaining a staunch defender of democratic values, yielding fruitful cooperative results. The president expressed hope that the two countries will engage in even more cooperation and exchanges in such areas as the economy, trade, technology, and culture, and continue to advocate for the values of freedom and democracy so that together we can contribute even more to our nations’ development and to peace and prosperity throughout the world. A translation of President Lai’s remarks follows: Today, by conferring the Order of Brilliant Star with Special Grand Cordon upon former Minister Landsbergis, we recognize his outstanding contributions during his time as foreign minister of Lithuania. On behalf of the people of Taiwan, I thank him for the key role he has played in deepening Taiwan-Lithuania relations. During the COVID-19 pandemic, thanks to the efforts of former Minister Landsbergis, Lithuania was the first European nation to donate vaccines to Taiwan. On that occasion, he stated that “freedom-loving people should look out for each other.” His statement was very moving and left a deep impression on many Taiwanese people. We will never forget it. Former Minister Landsbergis has continued to express the spirit of those words through his concrete actions. With his staunch support, Taiwan and Lithuania have mutually established representative offices. Moreover, our representative office in Lithuania was the first in Europe to incorporate “Taiwan” in its name. As for bilateral cooperation, Taiwan and Lithuania have seen fruitful results in such fields as semiconductors, laser technology, finance, and medicine. Be it overcoming the challenges posed by the pandemic or resisting expanding authoritarianism, former Minister Landsbergis has stood firmly with Taiwan and remained a staunch defender of democratic values. We greatly admire and appreciate his spirit. Today, authoritarian regimes continue to converge, posing threats and challenges to democracies around the world. Taiwan, Lithuania, and other democratic countries must come closer together, drawing on the strength of unity, so as to jointly safeguard freedom and democracy and uphold the rules-based international order. Looking ahead, we hope that Taiwan and Lithuania will engage in even more cooperation and exchanges in such areas as the economy, trade, technology, and culture. Let us continue to advocate for the values of freedom and democracy. Together, we can contribute even more to our nations’ development and to peace and prosperity throughout the world. In closing, I once again thank you, former Minister Landsbergis, for your support and for all that you have done for Taiwan. We welcome you and your wife to visit often. I wish you both a smooth and successful visit in Taiwan, and hope you leave with lasting memories.    Former Minister Landsbergis then delivered remarks, saying that it is a great honor to receive the decoration today. He noted that only partially can he accept the honor, as there have been many people who worked together with him in the ministry and in the whole country who support the people of Taiwan and see the benefit of supporting democracy in Taiwan. He often says that in Lithuania they remember well the fight for their freedom, and just today, he mentioned, he was shown the permanent exhibition in the Presidential Office, where he saw similar pictures of Taiwanese people fighting for democracy. He emphasized that not even one generation has passed since these events took place here in Taipei or similar events took place in Vilnius. Former Minister Landsbergis said that decision-makers in the Lithuanian government are either people who were themselves fighting for freedom, or, as in his case, those who were sitting on the shoulders of parents who were fighting for freedom. So for them, he underlined, freedom, democracy, liberty, and sovereignty are very real concepts that they cherish, not just things read about in a history book. He said that this is the main connector between Lithuania and Taiwan, a feeling of freedom and support for each other. Former Minister Landsbergis stated that in the face of authoritarians who do not wish us prosperity, who do not wish us freedom and future achievements, what he expects from the future is that the friendship, collaboration, and mutual support between Lithuania and Taiwan will inspire others to join in. This, he said, will make other countries not be afraid to support freedom and democracy, and will allow our group of friends to continue to grow. Lithuanian history, the former minister said, is difficult, and a big part of it was fighting for their freedom. He explained that during the 19th century when Lithuania was part of Russia’s empire, they had several revolutions and uprisings with the aim of becoming free, and that they were fighting for that freedom alongside Poland and Belarus. He then applied a phrase that they used in the revolution of 1864 – “for your freedom and ours,” meaning that they will continue to fight for their freedom while helping Taiwan fight for ours. Also in attendance at the ceremony were former Minister Landsbergis’ wife Dr. Austėja Landsbergienė and Lithuanian Representative to Taiwan Paulius Lukauskas.

    Details
    2025-01-17
    Presidential Office thanks White House for its statement on enduring US commitment to Indo-Pacific region
    On January 10 (US EST), the US White House released a statement on the United States’ Enduring Commitment to the Indo-Pacific Region, in which it reaffirms its position of using a range of methods to help Taiwan maintain a sufficient self-defense capability so as to maintain peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region and across the Taiwan Strait. Presidential Office Spokesperson Karen Kuo (郭雅慧) on January 11 expressed sincere gratitude to the US government for taking concrete actions to fulfill its security commitments to Taiwan, advancing the close Taiwan-US security partnership, and supporting Taiwan in its efforts to enhance its self-defense capabilities and resilience. Spokesperson Kuo stated that the deepening Taiwan-US security partnership is a critical cornerstone for peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region. She noted that Taiwan, as a force for good and regional stability, will continue to work alongside like-minded countries to strengthen defense resilience as we jointly defend the values of freedom and democracy and ensure the peace, stability, and prosperity of the Indo-Pacific region.

    Details
    2025-01-17
    President Lai meets Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute delegation
    On the morning of January 9, President Lai Ching-te met with a delegation from the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute (RRPFI). In remarks, President Lai thanked RRPFI President David Trulio and members of RRPFI for remaining undaunted by China’s threats and sanctions, and lending great support to Taiwan. He emphasized that facing the continued expansion of authoritarianism, Taiwan will actively implement the Four Pillars of Peace action plan to preserve regional peace and stability, safeguard the values of democracy and freedom, and advance worldwide prosperity and development. President Lai expressed hope that they can continue to collaborate to promote the development of Taiwan-United States relations and put RRPFI’s principles into practice. A translation of President Lai’s remarks follows: First, let me warmly welcome President Trulio, who is leading this delegation from RRPFI to Taiwan. And on behalf of all the people of Taiwan, I want to extend our heartfelt condolences in wake of the ongoing fires in California. I hope that they can be put out swiftly so that harm is reduced, and I hope that those who are injured are able to receive timely help. President Reagan was a staunch friend of Taiwan. The Six Assurances he put forward in 1982 and the Taiwan Relations Act passed by Congress in 1979 form the bedrock of Taiwan-US relations. The incorporation of the Six Assurances into the Asia Reassurance Initiative Act of 2018 further established bipartisan, bicameral, and cross-agency US support for Taiwan. With authoritarianism continuing to expand, President Reagan’s conviction of peace through strength is proving to be especially crucial as democracies unite to protect freedom, democracy, peace, and the rules-based international order. RRPFI honors President Reagan’s legacy by championing such principles as individual liberty, economic opportunity, global democracy, and national pride. Many of you have served previous US administrations as part of national security teams, and many of you are longstanding friends of Taiwan. I sincerely hope that we can continue to collaborate to promote the development of Taiwan-US relations and put RRPFI’s principles into practice. I also want to extend particular gratitude to President Trulio and RRPFI for lending great support to Taiwan. Undaunted by China’s threats and sanctions, you warmly welcomed former President Tsai Ing-wen to the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library during her stopover in California in April 2023 and arranged a delegation to visit Taiwan in October of the same year. As for the continued expansion of authoritarianism, Taiwan will meet it head on, and uphold President Reagan’s spirit of peace through strength. We will actively implement the Four Pillars of Peace action plan by strengthening national defense, building economic security, and demonstrating stable and principled cross-strait leadership, as well as promoting values-based diplomacy. Bolstering Taiwan’s cooperation with the US and other democracies will preserve regional peace and stability, safeguard the values of democracy and freedom, and advance worldwide prosperity and development. President Trulio then delivered remarks, first thanking President Lai for his warm welcome and saying that he and the delegation are deeply honored to be with him in Taiwan, along with so many top leaders in his administration. President Trulio added that they are proud to advance President Reagan’s legacy and timeless principles, and our collective shared values. President Trulio indicated that President Reagan visited Taiwan twice before he became president. Acknowledging what President Lai stated, he noted that it was President Reagan’s administration that developed what became known as the Six Assurances, a framework that to this day serves as the foundation of relations between the US and Taiwan. More broadly, President Trulio said, President Reagan knew that America’s strength and the strength of its allies and friends are key to global peace, prosperity, and security. He said President Reagan also knew that societies that provide economic opportunity and democracy offer a better life for their citizens. In fact, he stated, President Reagan said that freedom is not the sole prerogative of a lucky few, but the inalienable and universal right of all human beings. President Trulio went on to say that Taiwan’s open society and thriving democracy make the commitment to freedom here plain for all to see. President Trulio noted that RRPFI had the honor of visiting Taipei in October 2023, when the delegation met then-President Tsai. He said that their return visit to Taipei at the start of 2025 comes at a crucial time, and that part of what makes that timing so significant is that there will be a new administration inaugurated in Washington in about 10 days. Over the course of their visits to Taiwan, President Trulio said, it has been plain to see that Taiwan stands strong as a vibrant democracy, with political parties sharing a commitment to democratic principles. He said it is also plain to see that Taiwan’s advanced economy and global technological leadership present positive opportunities for the US. He added that it is also plain to see that the security situation across the Taiwan Strait demands a continued commitment to peace through strength, including through robust partnership with Taiwan and sustained US deterrence. President Trulio stated that he looks forward to addressing the opportunities and challenges facing Taiwan and the US, and is confident that together, we will further well into the future our shared commitment to freedom and democracy, economic opportunity, and security and stability. The delegation also included RRPFI Washington Director Roger Zakheim, Director of the Alexander Hamilton Center for Classical and Civic Education at the University of Florida William Inboden, Palantir Technologies Senior Counselor Jamie Fly, former Deputy White House Staff Secretary Catherine Bellah, Anduril Industries Policy Director Dustin Walker, Hudson Institute Adjunct Fellow Alexander Benard, RRPFI Policy Director Rachel Hoff, and RRPFI Digital Strategy and Communications Director James Rogers.

    Details
    2025-01-01
    President Lai delivers 2025 New Year’s Address
    On the morning of January 1, President Lai Ching-te delivered his 2025 New Year’s Address, titled “Bolstering National Strength through Democracy to Enter a New Global Landscape,” in the Reception Hall of the Presidential Office. President Lai stated that today’s Taiwan is receiving international recognition for its performance in many areas, among them democracy, technology, and economy. In this new year, he said, Taiwan must be united, and we must continue on the right course. The president expressed hope that everyone in the central and local governments, regardless of party, can work hard together, allowing Taiwan sure footing as it strides forward toward ever greater achievements.  President Lai emphasized that in 2025, we must keep firm on the path of democracy, continue to bolster our national strength, make Taiwan more economically resilient, enhance the resilience of supply chains for global democracies, and continue working toward a Balanced Taiwan and generational justice, ensuring that the fruits of our economic growth can be enjoyed by all our people. The president said that Taiwan will keep going strong, and we will keep walking tall as we enter the new global landscape. A translation of President Lai’s address follows: Today is the first day of 2025. With a new year comes new beginnings. I wish that Taiwan enjoys peace, prosperity, and success, and that our people lead happy lives. Taiwan truly finished 2024 strong. Though there were many challenges, there were also many triumphs. We withstood earthquakes and typhoons, and stood firm in the face of constant challenges posed by authoritarianism. We also shared glory as Taiwan won the Premier12 baseball championship, and now Taiwanese people around the world are all familiar with the gesture for Team Taiwan. At the Paris Olympics, Wang Chi-lin (王齊麟) and Lee Yang (李洋) clinched another gold in men’s doubles badminton. Lin Yu-ting (林郁婷) took home Taiwan’s first Olympic gold in boxing. At the International Junior Science Olympiad, every student in our delegation of six won a gold medal. And Yang Shuang-zi’s (楊双子) novel Taiwan Travelogue, translated into English by King Lin (金翎), became a United States National Book Award winner and a tour de force of Taiwan literature on the international level. Our heroes of Taiwan are defined by neither age nor discipline. They have taken home top prizes at international competitions and set new records. They tell Taiwan’s story through their outstanding performances, letting the world see the spirit and culture of Taiwan, and filling all our citizens with pride. My fellow citizens, we have stood together through thick and thin; we have shared our ups and downs. We have wept together, and we have laughed together. We are all one family, all members of Team Taiwan. I want to thank each of our citizens for their dedication, fueling Taiwan’s progress and bringing our nation glory. You have given Taiwan even greater strength to stand out on the global stage. In this new year, we must continue bringing Taiwan’s stories to the world, and make Taiwan’s successes a force for global progress. In 2025, the world will be entering a new landscape. Last year, over 70 countries held elections, and the will of the people has changed with the times. As many countries turn new pages politically, and in the midst of rapid international developments, Taiwan must continue marching forward with steady strides. First, we must keep firm on the path of democracy. Taiwan made it through a dark age of authoritarianism and has since become a glorious beacon of democracy in Asia. This was achieved through the sacrifices of our democratic forebears and the joint efforts of all our citizens. Democracy’s value to Taiwan lies not just in our free way of life, or in the force driving the diverse and vigorous growth of our society. Democracy is the brand that has earned us international trust in terms of diplomacy. No matter the threat or challenge Taiwan may face, democracy is Taiwan’s only path forward. We will not turn back. Domestic competition among political parties is a part of democracy. But domestic political disputes must be resolved democratically, within the constitutional system. This is the only way democracy can continue to grow. The Executive Yuan has the right to request a reconsideration of the controversial bills passed in the Legislative Yuan, giving it room for reexamination. Constitutional institutions can also lodge a petition for a constitutional interpretation, and through Constitutional Court adjudication, ensure a separation of powers, safeguard constitutional order, and gradually consolidate the constitutional system. The people also have the right of election, recall, initiative, and referendum, and can bring together even greater democratic power to show the true meaning of sovereignty in the hands of the people. In this new year, the changing international landscape will present democratic nations around the world with many grave challenges. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and conflict between Israel and Hamas rage on, and we are seeing the continued convergence of authoritarian regimes including China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran, threatening the rules-based international order and severely affecting peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region and the world at large. Peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait are essential components for global security and prosperity. Taiwan needs to prepare for danger in times of peace. We must continue increasing our national defense budget, bolster our national defense capabilities, and show our determination to protect our country. Everyone has a responsibility to safeguard Taiwan’s democracy and security. We must gather together every bit of strength we have to enhance whole-of-society defense resilience, and build capabilities to respond to major disasters and deter threats or encroachment. We must also strengthen communication with society to combat information and cognitive warfare, so that the populace rejects threats and enticements and jointly guards against malicious infiltration by external forces. Here at home, we must consolidate democracy with democracy. Internationally, we must make friends worldwide through democracy. This is how we will ensure security and peace. The more secure Taiwan, the more secure the world. The more resilient Taiwan, the sounder the defense of global democracy. The global democratic community should work even closer together to support the democratic umbrella as we seek ways to resolve the war in Ukraine and conflict between Israel and Hamas. Together, we must uphold stability in the Taiwan Strait and security in the Indo-Pacific, and achieve our goal of global peace. Second, we must continue to bolster our national strength, make Taiwan more economically resilient, and enhance the resilience of supply chains for global democracies. In the first half of 2024, growth in the Taiwan Stock Index was the highest in the world. Our economic growth rate for the year as a whole is expected to reach 4.2 percent, leading among the Four Asian Tigers. Domestic investment is soaring, having exceeded NT$5 trillion, and inflation is gradually stabilizing. Export orders from January to November totaled US$536.6 billion, up 3.7 percent from the same period in 2023. And compared over the same period, exports saw a 9.9 percent increase, reaching US$431.5 billion. Recent surveys also show that in 2024, the average increase in salaries at companies was higher than that in 2023. Additionally, over 90 percent of companies plan to raise salaries this year, which is an eight-year high. All signs indicate that Taiwan’s economic climate continues to recover, and that our economy is growing steadily. Our overall economic performance is impressive; still, we must continue to pay attention to the impact on Taiwan’s industries from the changing geopolitical landscape, uncertainties in the global economic environment, and dumping by the “red supply chain.”  For a nation, all sectors and professions are equally important; only when all our industries are strong can Taiwan be strong as a nation. Our micro-, small-, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) are the lifeblood of Taiwan, and the development of our various industrial parks has given Taiwan the impetus for our prosperity. We must carry the spirit of “Made in Taiwan” forward, bringing it to ever greater heights. Thus, beyond just developing our high-tech industry, our Executive Yuan has already proposed a solution that will help traditional industries and MSMEs comprehensively adopt technology applications, engage in the digital and net-zero twin transition, and develop channels, all for better operational structures and higher productivity. Taiwan must continue enhancing its economic resilience. In recent years, Taiwan has significantly increased its investments in the US, Japan, Europe, and the New Southbound countries, and such investment has already surpassed investment in China. This indicates that our efforts in diversifying markets and reducing reliance on any single market are working. Moving forward, we must keep providing assistance so that Taiwan industries can expand their global presence and market internationally from a solid base here in Taiwan. At the same time, Taiwan must use democracy to promote economic growth with the rest of the world. We must leverage our strengths in the semiconductor and AI industries. We must link with democratic countries so that we can together enhance the resilience of supply chains for global democracies. And through international cooperation across many sectors, such as UAVs, low-orbit communications satellites, robots, military, security and surveillance, or biopharmaceuticals, renewable energy technology, new agriculture, and the circular economy, we must keep abreast of the latest cutting-edge technology and promote diverse development. This approach will help Taiwan remain a leader in advancing global democratic supply chains, ensuring their security and stability. Third, we must continue working toward a Balanced Taiwan and generational justice, ensuring that the fruits of our economic growth can be enjoyed by all our people. Democracy means the people have the final say. Our nation belongs to all 23 million of us, without regard for ethnic group, generation, political party, or whether we live in urban or rural areas. In this new year, we must continue to pursue policies that promote the well-being of the nation and the people. But to that end, the central government needs adequate financial resources to ensure that it can enact each of these measures. Therefore, I hope that the ruling and opposition parties can each soberly reconsider the amendments to the Act Governing the Allocation of Government Revenues and Expenditures and find a path forward that ensures the lasting peace and stability of our country. For nine consecutive years, the minimum wage has continued to rise. Effective today, the minimum monthly salary is being raised from NT$27,470 to NT$28,590, and the hourly salary from NT$183 to NT$190. We hope by raising the pay for military personnel, civil servants, and educators for two consecutive years, coupled with benefits through wage increases and tax reductions, that private businesses will also raise wages, allowing all our people to enjoy the fruits of our economic growth. I know that everyone wants to pay lower taxes and rent. This year, we will continue to promote tax reductions. For example, unmarried individuals with an annual income of NT$446,000 or less can be exempt from paying income tax. Dual-income families with an annual income of NT$892,000 or less and dual-income families with two children aged six or younger with an annual income of NT$1,461,000 or less are also exempt from paying income tax. Additionally, the number of rent-subsidized housing units will also be increased, from 500,000 to 750,000 units, helping lighten the load for everyone. This year, the age eligibility for claiming Culture Points has been lowered from 16 to 13 years, so that now young people aged between 13 and 22 can receive government support for experiencing more in the arts. Also, our Taiwan Global Pathfinders Initiative is about to take effect, which will help more young people in Taiwan realize their dreams by taking part in education and exchange activities in many places around the world. We are also in the process of establishing a sports ministry to help young athletes achieve their dreams on the field, court, and beyond. The ministry will also be active in developing various sports industries and bringing sports and athletics more into the lives of the people, making our people healthier as a result. This year, as Taiwan becomes a “super-aged society,” we will launch our Long-term Care 3.0 Plan to provide better all-around care for our seniors. And we will expand the scope of cancer screening eligibility and services, all aimed at creating a Healthy Taiwan. In addition, Taiwan will officially begin collecting fees for its carbon fee system today. This brings us closer in line with global practices and helps us along the path to our goal of net-zero emissions by 2050. We will also continue on the path to achieving a Balanced Taiwan. Last month, the Executive Yuan launched the Trillion NT Dollar Investment National Development Plan and its six major regional flagship projects. Both of these initiatives will continue to expand the investment in our public infrastructure and the development of local specialty industries, narrowing urban-rural and wealth gaps so that all our people can live and work in peace and happiness. My fellow citizens, today’s Taiwan is receiving international recognition for its performance in many areas, among them democracy, technology, and economy. This tells us that national development is moving in the right direction. In this new year, Taiwan must be united, and we must continue on the right course. We hope that everyone in the central and local governments, regardless of party, can work hard together to ensure that national policies are successfully implemented, with the people’s well-being as our top priority. This will allow Taiwan sure footing as it strides forward toward ever greater achievements. In this new year, we have many more brilliant stories of Taiwan to share with the world, inspiring all Taiwanese, both here and around the world, to cheer time and again for the glory of Taiwan. Taiwan will keep going strong. And we will keep walking tall as we enter the new global landscape. Thank you.

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News

  • MIL-OSI Europe: ECB Consumer Expectations Survey results – December 2024

    Source: European Central Bank

    31 January 2025

    Compared with November 2024:

    • median consumer perceptions of inflation over the previous 12 months increased for the second consecutive month, as did median inflation expectations for the next 12 months, while median inflation expectations for three years ahead remained unchanged;
    • expectations for nominal income growth over the next 12 months remained unchanged, as did expectations for spending growth over the next 12 months;
    • expectations for economic growth over the next 12 months were unchanged, while the expected unemployment rate in 12 months’ time decreased;
    • expectations for growth in the price of homes over the next 12 months remained unchanged, as did expectations for mortgage interest rates 12 months ahead.

    Inflation

    The median rate of perceived inflation over the previous 12 months increased in December, for the second month in a row, to 3.5%, from 3.4% in November. Median expectations for inflation over the next 12 months increased, for the third month in a row, to 2.8% from 2.6%. Median expectations for inflation three years ahead were unchanged at 2.4% in December. Inflation expectations at the one-year and three-year horizons thus remained below the perceived past inflation rate. Uncertainty about inflation expectations over the next 12 months remained unchanged, for the fifth month in a row, at its lowest level since February 2022. While the broad evolution of inflation perceptions and expectations remained relatively closely aligned across income groups, expectations for lower income quintiles were slightly above those for higher income quintiles. Younger respondents (aged 18-34) continued to report lower inflation perceptions and expectations than older respondents (those aged 35-54 and 55-70), albeit to a lesser degree than in previous years. (Inflation results)

    Income and consumption

    Consumers’ nominal income growth expectations over the next 12 months remained unchanged at 1.1% in December. The income growth expectations of the lower income quintile increased more than the expectations of all other income quintiles, widening the positive gap with the other quintiles that had emerged over the previous months. Perceived nominal spending growth over the previous 12 months remained unchanged at 5.2% in December, as did expected nominal spending growth over the next 12 months at 3.5%. (Income and consumption results)

    Economic growth and labour market

    Economic growth expectations for the next 12 months were stable in December, standing at -1.3%. Expectations for the unemployment rate 12 months ahead decreased to 10.5%, from 10.6% in November. Consumers continued to expect the future unemployment rate to be only slightly higher than the perceived current unemployment rate (9.9%), implying a broadly stable labour market. The lowest income quintile continued to report the highest expected and perceived unemployment rates, as well as the lowest economic growth expectations. (Economic growth and labour market results)

    Housing and credit access

    Consumers expected the price of their home to increase by 2.9% over the next 12 months, which was unchanged from November. Households in the lowest income quintile continued to expect higher growth in house prices than those in the highest income quintile (3.5% and 2.7% respectively). Expectations for mortgage interest rates 12 months ahead also remained unchanged, at 4.6% – their level since October 2024. As in previous months, the lowest income households expected the highest mortgage interest rates 12 months ahead (5.2%), while the highest income households expected the lowest rates (4.0%). While the net percentage of households reporting a tightening (relative to those reporting an easing) in access to credit over the previous 12 months increased slightly, the net percentage of those expecting a tightening over the next 12 months declined. (Housing and credit access results)

    The release of the Consumer Expectations Survey (CES) results for January is scheduled for 28 February 2025.

    For media queries, please contact: Nicos Keranis, Tel: +49 172 758 7237

    Notes

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Panasonic Well Venturing into the Future of Family Wellness

    Source: Panasonic

    Headline: Panasonic Well Venturing into the Future of Family Wellness

    Yoky Matsuoka, Executive Officer of Panasonic Holdings Corporation and Panasonic Well Director, took the stage with Yuki Kusumi, Group CEO, during the opening keynote at CES 2025. She announced that Umi, a holistic digital family wellness platform and coach, will be launched in the US as an example of Panasonic Go.*1 We interviewed Yoky about Panasonic Well, the vision to commercializing Umi, and the outlook for the future.
    *1: A global corporate growth initiative promoting business transformation using AI.

    Integration of wellness and technologies: Panasonic Well taking up challenges

    Panasonic Well, led by Yoky, is a venture and business incubator committed to building new services and technologies that improve the well-being of all people, with a focus on the wellness of modern families. Yoky is an accomplished executive and technologist with over two decades of leadership experience. She is a renowned robotics and neuroscience expert, recognized for her groundbreaking work and honored with the MacArthur Genius Award.
    Yoky: Partly due to my past experiences, Panasonic Well tends to be seen as simply a developer of AI or technologies. However, we are able to create solutions at the intersection of responsible tech and human care because we understand what is needed to achieve wellness. This is Panasonic Well’s strength.

    Yoky Matsuoka and Panasonic Well staff (at the CES 2025 Panasonic booth)

    The first project that Yoky initiated at Panasonic was Yohana, a next-generation family concierge service.
    Yoky: During the COVID-19 pandemic, people’s work styles and how they spent time with their family saw drastic changes. At that time, we conducted surveys to get a deeper look at the challenges underlying their problems and did exhaustive research on how we could develop relevant solutions. We launched Yohana in 2021 in the US, then later in Japan, to respond to the time-consuming needs of families by proposing suggestions for meal menus, birthday presents, and so on. The Yohana team, composed of actual humans, has completed over 300,000 tasks on behalf of our customers. This work accumulated to a total of more than one million hours for our customers’ time, which we were able to give back to them. However, we have been unable to provide adequate solutions for using the time created by Yohana to strengthen family ties or improve self-care.
    At Panasonic Well, we have continued our research to ensure that AI will be able to resolve challenges facing families in the future. Furthermore, a survey*2 conducted in the US revealed that half of the “sandwich generation”*3 parents, including myself, feel overwhelmed by stress and that 65% feel lonely. This shows that strengthening family ties and self-care are indispensable for the elderly. Consequently, we developed Umi*4 to address these crises in family well-being.
    *2: U.S. Surgeon General Issues Advisory on the Mental Health and Well-Being of Parents (August 2024).*3: A generation simultaneously supporting aging parents while raising children.*4: The word “umi” means ocean in Japanese. This name was chosen because it evokes an image of health and well-being, since it not only has a calming effect but also gives people the feeling of vastness and the availability of unlimited resources.

    Umi: A new AI partner supporting family wellness

    Yoky: Umi will start by providing an app as a family well-being coach that facilitates behavioral changes toward achieving family wellness. By encouraging multi-generation families to cultivate wellness habits that fit their diverse needs and lifestyles, it can be a family partner that supports their health and well-being. Activities & fitness, nutrition, sleep, and stress management are essential for wellness, and among these, the first two have been increasingly attracting attention in recent years. Accordingly, Umi’s AI agent assists in behavioral changes for all family members from their childhood, especially in the areas of activities & fitness and nutrition.

    From the video shown during the keynote. Left: Umi suggests ideas for enjoying a weekend, and family members exchange opinions.

    Right: Umi explains key points of communication with elderly parents based on advice from experts.

    Specifically, using wide-ranging data learned through questions and communications with family members, Umi’s AI sets personalized goals for individuals and suggests necessary actions to meet these goals while considering their feasibility. For example, Umi may propose a monthly target number of steps for a user, but if it learns through conversations that it is not feasible due to the user’s busy schedule, Umi may set another more achievable target for eating more nutritious meals. Since the priorities of activities & fitness and nutrition vary among individuals, it is essential to tailor this process for each family member.
    One of Umi’s features enables all family members including children to share conversations, not only 1-to-1 communication. This coordinates family wellness through communication and eventually leads to behavioral change. We delve deeply into the app features like tone of voice and tweak between strong and soft tones to make suggestions best suited for encouraging behavioral changes. Umi also visualizes your progress and enables you to review the outcomes to establish actions as routines.

    Panasonic Well: Committed to building a wellness ecosystem

    Dr. Myechia Minter-Jordan, CEO of AARP

    During the keynote, Yoky introduced the Panasonic Well Partner Collective, which consists of leading health and wellness businesses, organizations, and research institutions, as well as a partnership with the American Association of Retired Persons (AARP),*5 an NPO with approximately forty million members in the US. Dr. Myechia Minter-Jordan, CEO of AARP, took the stage and emphasized that technology is critical to living a healthy life for an increasing number of older people and their families around the world. Yoky also introduced the Family Wellness Innovation Challenge, a global competition co-sponsored by AARP and Panasonic Well for start-ups who pursue relevant technologies and services, and the prize winners were announced at the end.
    *5: Aiming at improving the quality of life of older people, AARP provides information and support related to health, economic, and social challenges.

    Yoky: During the development of Umi, we placed much emphasis on building a business ecosystem.*6 Typical examples are partnerships with companies that provide services as needed or those that give expert advice based on the communications carried out between users and Umi.
    *6: A large economic network of various companies and organizations that collaborate to create greater value.

    Group CEO Kusumi joined the award ceremony of the Family Wellness Innovation Challenge and praised the grand prix winner.

    The sandwich generation is under a great deal of emotional, time, and economic pressure, and more than half of the families in the US face these burdens.*7 Partnerships are critical for resolving such issues. The Family Wellness Innovation Challenge is a significant step toward expanding such partnerships. We received over 550 applications from around the world, including Japan. I joined the latter half of the screening process myself and interviewed applicants in person. We announced the winners at CES partly to find partners who align with our initiatives, and many participants actually approached us demonstrating their interest. By taking this opportunity, we want to further expand the ecosystem and respond to a wider range of use cases.
    *7: World Economic Forum “More than half of Americans in their 40s are ‘sandwiched’ between an aging parent and their own children” (April 2022).

    Daniela Amodei, Co-founder and President of Anthropic

    Since collaboration with AI partners is indispensable in promoting Panasonic Go, Group CEO Kusumi announced in his keynote a strategic partnership with Anthropic in the US, a company that shares the Panasonic Group’s belief that AI must be safe, understandable, and designed to deeply align with human values. In response, Yoky stated that Umi will be equipped with Anthropic’s Claude AI assistant. Daniela Amodei, Co-founder and President of Anthropic, joined her and explained that Claude has added value in all aspects of business, from customer service to decision-making, over the years. She expressed her determination to help the Panasonic Group enhance its overall creativity while delivering better business results by leveraging Claude’s high reliability and safety.
    Yoky: Anthropic has grown while placing great emphasis on ethics, privacy, and responsibility, and its large language models (LLMs) have gained a high reputation in the US. Umi, committed to supporting the health and well-being for all with wellness as a gateway, cannot be viable without innovations based on Anthropic’s AI ethics. Anthropic AI is particularly excellent at family calendar management and chat promotion, so we will be able to provide a service where Umi discusses the scheduling of hospital visits with users, prepares and manages their schedule with AI, and then even reserves a taxi. We expect further collaboration with a diverse range of partners by expanding the breadth of services in this way.

    Umi and Panasonic Well’s future strategy

    Yoky: I feel that being able to demonstrate Umi’s capabilities at CES was very meaningful. Umi’s first key vision for the future is to provide a one-stop solution. We hope to develop Umi into a platform that knows all family members well, capable of making good suggestions in response to their wellness consultations without the need to access different sources.

    The Umi booth at CES 2025, where many visitors attentively listened to the explanations of booth staff while trying out screen demonstrations

    In front of the Partner Collective panel displays. Quite a few representatives of companies expressed their support and consulted with staff of Panasonic Well.

    The second vision is to strengthen the ecosystem by expanding our network of partnerships. We will select partners based on their attitudes toward AI ethics and customer needs. We hope that more companies and organizations will participate in the Umi ecosystem in the future, even if their various services overlap. We believe that optimal solutions for problems and concerns can be provided to more customers only when Umi is backed up by a diverse range of partners.
    Umi will launch services from the US while aiming to establish a global ecosystem to ensure deployment in other countries and regions. The Panasonic Group is unrivaled in its touchpoints with customers in households and it is important to leverage this advantage. We, as the provider of Umi, look forward to collaborating closely with the business divisions to identify mutually beneficial approaches to solve our customer pain points.

    While Panasonic Well is a company capable of making customers around the world healthy and happy through wellness solutions, we want to be the forerunner that will lead Panasonic Go, an initiative to promote corporate transformation of Panasonic. We will pioneer the creation of new products and businesses by leveraging AI and other advanced technologies. We will also establish AI platforms in collaboration with partners and our operating companies.
    Furthermore, we are conscious of our contributions to the AI-based transformation of the entire Panasonic Group. In addition to promoting teamwork with departments in charge of AI at Panasonic Holdings and other organizations, we will provide inspiration and lead initiatives to encourage every Panasonic Group employee to embrace AI, unleashing tremendous progress in their tasks and in the products and services they develop.

    Panasonic Go aims to expand AI-driven hardware, software, and solutions businesses to approximately 30% of the Panasonic Group’s revenue by 2035. However, the Panasonic Group won’t be able to meet the goal only through the efforts of Panasonic Well and Blue Yonder. All business divisions and departments across the Panasonic Group need to create AI-driven revenue streams. We at Panasonic Well hope to contribute to the attainment of our goal by implementing the approaches I’ve described. If we succeed in meeting our goal, the day may come when the entire Panasonic Group is regarded as a leader in AI technologies.

    Under Yoky’s leadership, Panasonic Well will continue to provide innovative solutions driven by AI and other advanced technologies, thus contributing to family wellness. It will also promote AI use throughout the Panasonic Group’s businesses and work at the forefront of Panasonic Go.

    The content in this website is accurate at the time of publication but may be subject to change without notice.Please note therefore that these documents may not always contain the most up-to-date information.Please note that German, French and Chinese versions are machine translations, so the quality and accuracy may vary.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI: Alpine Banks of Colorado announces financial results for fourth quarter and year end 2024

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    GLENWOOD SPRINGS, Colo., Jan. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Alpine Banks of Colorado (OTCQX: ALPIB) (“Alpine” or the “Company”), the holding company for Alpine Bank (the “Bank”), today announced results (unaudited) for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2024. The Company reported net income of $13.8 million, or $128.92 per basic Class A common share and $0.86 per basic Class B common share, for fourth quarter 2024.

    Highlights in fourth quarter 2024 and the year ended December 31, 2024, include:

    • Basic earnings per Class A common share increased 1.4%, or $1.76, during fourth quarter 2024.
    • Basic earnings per Class A common share decreased 12.0%, or $63.32, during the 12 months ended December 31, 2024.
    • Basic earnings per Class B common share increased 1.4%, or $0.01, during fourth quarter 2024.
    • Basic earnings per Class B common share increased 12.0%, or $0.42, during the 12 months ended December 31, 2024.
    • Net interest margin for fourth quarter 2024 was 3.18%, compared to 2.98% in third quarter 2024, and 2.84% in fourth quarter 2023.

    “The fourth quarter of 2024 continued a positive trend of growing customer-based deposits at a lower cost,” said Glen Jammaron, Alpine Banks of Colorado President and Vice Chairman. “During 2024, Alpine grew customer deposits by 7.9% while simultaneously reducing brokered deposits by over 50%. Deposit interest expense decreased by over 10% in fourth quarter 2024, leading the way to a 20-basis point improvement in our net interest margin from third quarter 2024 to fourth quarter 2024. The full team at Alpine looks forward to continued success in 2025.”

    Net Income
    Net income for fourth quarter 2024 and third quarter 2024 was $13.8 million and $13.6 million, respectively. Interest income increased $0.2 million in fourth quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2024, primarily due to increases in yields and volumes in the securities portfolio, increased rates on due from banks and increased volume in the loan portfolio. These increases were slightly offset by decreased yields on the loan portfolio and decreased balances in due from banks. Interest expense decreased $2.8 million in fourth quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2024, primarily due to decreased interest rates on the deposit portfolio and the Company’s trust preferred securities. Noninterest income decreased $0.5 million in fourth quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2024, primarily due to decreases in other income partially offset by increases in earnings on life insurance. Noninterest expense increased $2.2 million in fourth quarter 2024 compared to third quarter 2024, due to increases in other expenses, salary and employee benefit expenses and furniture and fixture expenses slightly offset by decreases in occupancy expenses. A provision for loan losses of $1.5 million was recorded in fourth quarter 2024 compared to a $1.2 million provision recorded in third quarter 2024.

    Net income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, and 2023, was $49.7 million and $57.0 million, respectively. Interest income increased $23.4 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to increases in volume in the loan portfolio and balances due from banks, along with increases in yields on the loan portfolio, the securities portfolio, and balances due from banks. These increases were slightly offset by a decrease in volume in the securities portfolio. Interest expense increased $31.6 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to increases in costs on the Company’s trust preferred securities, other borrowings, and cost of deposits, along with increases in volume in deposit balances. These increases were partially offset by a decrease in the volume of other borrowings. Noninterest income increased $4.0 million in 2024 compared to 2023, primarily due to increases in earnings on bank-owned life insurance, service charges on deposit accounts and other income. Noninterest expense increased $6.1 million in 2024 compared to 2023, due to increases in salary and employee benefit expenses and occupancy expenses. These increases were partially offset by decreases in furniture and fixture expenses and other expenses. Provision for loan losses decreased $1.5 million in 2024 compared to 2023 due to loan portfolio declines and a small volume of loan charge-offs.

    Net interest margin increased from 2.98% to 3.18% from third quarter 2024 to fourth quarter 2024. Net interest margin for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, and 2023, was 2.96% and 3.09%. respectively.

    Assets
    Total assets decreased $53.7 million, or 0.8%, to $6.52 billion as of December 31, 2024, compared to September 30, 2024, primarily due to decreased cash and due from banks and investment securities balances, partially offset by increased loans receivable. Total assets increased $105.4 million, or 1.6%, from December 31, 2023, to December 31, 2024. The Alpine Bank Wealth Management* division had assets under management of $1.37 billion on December 31, 2024, an increase of 19.0% compared to $1.15 billion on December 31, 2023.

    Loans
    Loans outstanding as of December 31, 2024, totaled $4.0 billion. The loan portfolio increased $28.9 million, or 0.7%, during fourth quarter 2024 compared to September 30, 2024. This increase was driven by a $30.5 million increase in residential real estate loans, a $22.2 million increase in commercial real estate loans, a $2.4 million increase in consumer loans and a $0.2 million increase in other loans, partially offset by a $20.4 million decrease in commercial and industrial loans and a $5.5 million decrease in real estate construction loans.

    Loans outstanding as of December 31, 2024, reflected an increase of $13.6 million, or 0.3%, compared to loans outstanding of $4.0 billion on December 31, 2023. This increase was driven by a $56.7 million increase in residential real estate loans, a $26.1 million increase in commercial real estate loans, a $7.6 million increase in commercial and industrial loans, a $6.0 million increase in consumer loans and a $0.4 million increase in other loans partially offset by a $83.0 million decrease in real estate construction loans.

    Deposits
    Total deposits decreased $47.1 million, or 0.8%, to $5.8 billion during fourth quarter 2024 compared to September 30, 2024, primarily due to a $46.8 million decrease in demand deposits and a $92.6 million decrease in certificate of deposit accounts. This decrease was partially offset by a $58.9 million increase in money fund accounts, and a $34.2 million increase in interest-bearing checking accounts. Brokered certificates of deposit decreased 25.9% from $330.7 million on September 30, 2024, to $245.0 million on December 31, 2024. Noninterest-bearing demand accounts comprised 30.2% of all deposits on December 31, 2024, compared to 30.7% on September 30, 2024.

    Total deposits of $5.8 billion on December 31, 2024, reflected an increase of $121.5 million, or 2.1%, compared to total deposits of $5.7 billion on December 31, 2023. This increase was due to a $321.9 million increase in money market accounts and an $11.1 million increase in demand deposits, partially offset by a $180.4 million decrease in certificate of deposit accounts, an $8.0 million decrease in interest-bearing checking accounts, and a $23.0 million decrease in savings accounts. Brokered certificates of deposit decreased 53.9% from $531.0 million on December 31, 2023, to $245.0 million on December 31, 2024. Noninterest-bearing demand accounts comprised 30.2% of all deposits on December 31, 2024, compared to 30.6% on December 31, 2023.

    Capital
    The Bank continues to be designated as a “well capitalized” institution as its capital ratios exceed the minimum requirements for this designation. As of December 31, 2024, the Bank’s Tier 1 Leverage Ratio was 9.75%, Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital Ratio was 14.22%, and Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio was 15.37%. On a consolidated basis, the Company’s Tier 1 Leverage Ratio was 9.41%, Tier 1 Risk-Based Capital Ratio was 13.72%, and Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio was 15.98% as of December 31, 2024.

    Book value per share on December 31, 2024, was $4,740.61 per Class A common share and $31.60 per Class B common share, a decrease of $46.96 per Class A common share and a decrease of $0.31 per Class B common share from September 30, 2024, respectively.

    Each Class A common share is entitled to one vote per share. Except as otherwise provided by the Colorado Business Corporation Act, each Class B common share has no voting rights.

    Dividends
    Each Class B common share has dividend and distribution rights equal to one-one hundred and fiftieth (1/150th) of such rights of one Class A common share. Therefore, each one Class A common share is equivalent to 150 Class B common shares for purposes of the payment of dividends.

    During fourth quarter 2024, the Company paid cash dividends of $30.00 per Class A common share and $0.20 per Class B common share. On January 9, 2025, the Company declared cash dividends of $31.50 per Class A common share and $0.21 per Class B common share payable on January 27, 2025, to shareholders of record on January 20, 2025.

    About Alpine Banks of Colorado
    Alpine Banks of Colorado, through its wholly owned subsidiary Alpine Bank, is a $6.5 billion, independent, employee-owned organization founded in 1973 with headquarters in Glenwood Springs, Colorado. Alpine Bank employs 890 people and serves 170,000 customers with personal, business, wealth management*, mortgage, and electronic banking services across Colorado’s Western Slope, mountains and Front Range. Alpine Bank has a five-star rating – meaning it has earned a superior performance classification – from BauerFinancial, an independent organization that analyzes and rates the performance of financial institutions in the United States. Shares of the Class B non-voting common stock of Alpine Banks of Colorado trade under the symbol “ALPIB” on the OTCQX® Best Market. Learn more at www.alpinebank.com.

    *Alpine Bank Wealth Management services are not FDIC insured, may lose value, and are not guaranteed by the Bank.

    Contacts: Glen Jammaron
    President and Vice Chairman
    Alpine Banks of Colorado
    2200 Grand Avenue
    Glenwood Springs, CO 81601
    (970) 384-3266
    Eric A. Gardey
    Chief Financial Officer
    Alpine Banks of Colorado
    2200 Grand Avenue
    Glenwood Springs, CO 81601
    (970) 384-3257
         

    A note about forward-looking statements
    This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “seeks,” “reflects,” “believes,” “can,” “would,” “should,” “will,” “estimates,” “looks forward to,” “continues,” “expects” and similar references to future periods. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements we make regarding our evaluation of macro-environment risks, Federal Reserve rate management, and trends reflecting things such as regulatory capital standards and adequacy. Forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions regarding our business, the economy and other future conditions. Because forward-looking statements relate to the future, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. Our actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. We caution you therefore against relying on any of these forward- looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees or assurances of future performance. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statement include, but are not limited to:

    • The ability to attract new deposits and loans;
    • Demand for financial services in our market areas;
    • Competitive market-pricing factors;
    • Changes in assumptions underlying the establishment of allowances for loan losses and other estimates;
    • Effects of future economic, business and market conditions, including higher inflation;
    • Adverse effects of public health events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, including governmental and societal responses;
    • Deterioration in economic conditions that could result in increased loan losses;
    • Actions by competitors and other market participants that could have an adverse impact on expected performance;
    • Risks associated with concentrations in real estate-related loans;
    • Risks inherent in making loans, such as repayment risks and fluctuating collateral values;
    • Market interest rate volatility, including changes to the federal funds rate;
    • Stability of funding sources and continued availability of borrowings;
    • Geopolitical events, including acts of war, international hostilities and terrorist activities;
    • Assumptions and estimates used in applying critical accounting policies and modeling, including under the CECL model, which may prove unreliable, inaccurate, or not predictive of actual results;
    • Actions of government regulators, including potential future changes in the target range for the federal funds rate by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve;
    • Sale of investment securities in a loss position before their value recovers, including as a result of asset liability management strategies or in response to liquidity needs;
    • Any increases in FDIC assessments;
    • Risks associated with potential cybersecurity incidents, data breaches or failures of key information technology systems;
    • The ability to maintain adequate liquidity and regulatory capital, and comply with evolving federal and state banking regulations;
    • Changes in legal or regulatory requirements or the results of regulatory examinations that could restrict growth;
    • The ability to recruit and retain key management and staff;
    • The ability to raise capital or incur debt on reasonable terms; and
    • Effectiveness of legislation and regulatory efforts to help the U.S. and global financial markets.

    There are many factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statement made by us in this press release or in any subsequent written or oral statements attributable to the Company are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements above. Factors or events that could cause our actual results to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict all of them. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as may be required by law.

    Key Financial Measures

    The attached tables highlight the Company’s key financial measures for the periods indicated (unaudited).

    Alpine Banks of Colorado Consolidated Financial Statements 12.31.2024

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-Evening Report: 5 years after COVID began, outstanding fines mean marginalised Australians are still paying the highest price

    Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Shelley J. Walker, Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Justice Health, National Drug Research Institute, Curtin University

    Rob1037/Shutterstock

    January 25 marked five years since the first COVID case was recorded in Australia.

    Many of us have tried to move on quickly from the pandemic, putting lockdowns and restrictions far behind us.

    But for some Australians, this hasn’t been possible. Among the pandemic’s lingering impacts is the burden of outstanding fines, issued for breaking COVID restrictions.

    These often hit disadvantaged groups the hardest, who were more likely to be fined and less able to pay. Five years down the track, marginalised communities are still feeling the impact of these penalties.

    Our new research involved surveys and in-depth interviews with people who used drugs during the pandemic. They reported feeling targeted by police and even harassed while trying to access drug treatments – and years later, many still have fines they’re unable to pay.

    Thousands of unpaid fines

    During the pandemic, police issued millions of dollars’ worth of fines to people who broke restrictions. More than 50,000 fines were issued in Victoria and around 62,000 in New South Wales .

    Fines ranged from A$200 for not wearing a face mask to nearly $5,000 for breaking rules about gatherings.

    Fines were a public health measure aimed at stopping the virus spreading.

    But for some people already struggling with financial and social problems, including those who use drugs, it compounded their difficulties.

    Studies have found some groups were fined much more often than others, including people from Sudanese and South Sudanese backgrounds, Aboriginal people and children experiencing disadvantage.

    While they were intended as public health measures, the fines reveal deeper patterns about targeted policing.

    Following calls by community legal services and human rights groups and updated legal advice, the NSW government withdrew all outstanding COVID fines at the end of 2024.

    This is not the case in Victoria. In June 2023, around 30,000 fines were outstanding in Victoria, and to our knowledge the situation hasn’t changed since then.

    Feeling targeted

    We know that people who use drugs already face increased police scrutiny in general, due to the criminalisation of drug use.

    We conduct two long-term studies with people who use drugs in Victoria, which involves participating in an annual survey.

    During the pandemic we asked additional questions about people’s interactions with police. Between March 2020 and May 2022, 1,130 participants responded to our survey.

    Our new research found one in ten reported being stopped by police.

    A third of these received at least one COVID-related fine – mostly for breaking curfews, failing to wear a face mask or breaching travel restrictions – a rate we calculated as nearly three times higher than the general population.

    However, this is a crude estimate, as accurate data on the numbers of fines in the general population is not publicly available.

    Of those who received fines, most were unemployed, more than a quarter were in unstable housing or homeless, and more than half had been to prison.

    We also did in-depth interviews with 76 participants. Many told us they felt the pandemic gave police an “excuse” to target them, leading to serious and lasting effects on their lives.

    Fined while accessing services

    Interactions with police were described as fraught with discrimination and harassment. Participants reported being stopped, searched and fined while trying to go about their daily lives. This may be partly because their circumstances meant they were more likely to be using public spaces – and therefore were more visible to police.

    Daniel, aged 41, was fined $1,652 for breaching COVID rules he told us he didn’t understand. He said:

    it was so obvious they were looking for drugs – it felt like they were doing everything they could to find a reason to fine us.

    For people who use drugs, accessing harm-reduction services and drug treatment programs (such as methadone to replace opioids) is vital to their health. Some participants told us they were fined while doing so, despite carrying medical exemptions.

    Natasha, aged 39, was homeless. She said she was fined while travelling to a needle and syringe program, despite being within the permitted travel zone.

    Police issued her a fine for leaving the home for non-essential purposes. Natasha found the situation absurd, asking “how can you be (fined for being) outside if you sleep outside?”

    Ryan, aged 45, was fined $1,800 while collecting methadone. He described the encounter as “humiliating” and unnecessary, saying police appeared more interested in finding drugs than enforcing public health measures.

    The financial and emotional toll

    In our study, the financial burden of COVID fines was devastating.

    Most could not afford to pay fines or lacked the confidence to navigate appeals processes to contest them, leading to further entanglement with the criminal legal system.

    For example, Sally, who received multiple fines while collecting her methadone during the pandemic, said:

    at the end of the day, they’re government authority and I’m a nobody – the chances of me winning would be slim to none.

    As a result, unpaid fines for some reportedly led to court orders, some were arrested, and a few even reported serving prison time.

    The emotional toll was equally severe, with feelings of being targeted and harassed by police further eroding their trust in public institutions.

    The Conversation contacted Victoria Police about our study, noting participants thought police were using the pandemic as an excuse to target them.

    In response, a police spokesperson said: “At the time officers were performing duties on behalf of the Chief Health Officer’s direction.”

    The burden can be lifted

    Public health responses should be designed to protect people, not punish them. As we move forward, it is crucial to address the lasting impacts of COVID fines.

    All Australian governments should follow the lead of NSW and waive all remaining fines to alleviate the financial and emotional burden on vulnerable populations.

    *Names have been changed.

    Shelley Walker is the recipient of an ARC Discovery Early Career Award (project number DE240101056) funded by the Australian Government. The study presented in this article was funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council NHMRC (#2003255). The SuperMIX and VMAX studies are funded by the NHMRC; #545891, #1126090, #1148170)

    Paul Dietze receives funding from the NHMRC and government and non-government organisations for the conduct of research into the impacts of alcohol and other drug use.

    Lisa Maher does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. 5 years after COVID began, outstanding fines mean marginalised Australians are still paying the highest price – https://theconversation.com/5-years-after-covid-began-outstanding-fines-mean-marginalised-australians-are-still-paying-the-highest-price-247912

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz

  • MIL-OSI Security: Chaska Man Pleads Guilty for His Role in $250 Million Feeding Our Future Fraud Scheme

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    MINNEAPOLIS – A Chaska man pleaded guilty for his role in the $250 million fraud scheme that exploited a federally-funded child nutrition program during the COVID-19 pandemic, announced Acting U.S. Attorney Lisa D. Kirkpatrick.

    According to court documents, from approximately November 2020 through January 2022, Mohamed Muse Noor a.k.a. “Deeq Darajo,”40, knowingly participated in a scheme to defraud a federal child nutrition program designed to provide free meals to children in need. Rather than feed children, Noor and his co-defendants took advantage of the COVID-19 pandemic—and the resulting program changes—to enrich themselves by fraudulently misappropriating millions of dollars in federal child nutrition program funds.

    According to court documents, Noor was specifically recruited to the Feeding Our Future scheme even though he had no background or experience in buying or providing food. In December 2020, Noor submitted his application to be enrolled in the Federal Child Nutrition Program through Feeding Our Future employee, Abdikerm Eidleh, to Aimee Bock, former Executive Director of the Feeding Our Future non-profit organization. Under Eidleh’s direction, Noor signed forms with fake meal counts and fabricated invoices falsely claiming to be feeding supper and snack to 1,500 children every day within a few weeks of being sponsored by Feeding Our Future. However, Noor did not personally serve any meals to children and never visited the sites registered in his name by Feeding Our Future.

    According to the plea agreement entered today, Noor paid kickbacks to Eidleh in exchange for Feeding Our Future’s sponsorship in the Federal Child Nutrition Program. Food distribution sites associated with Noor fraudulently obtained up to $1.3 million in federal child nutrition program funds by falsely claiming to have served meals to thousands of children per day. Almost all almost of the $1.3 million was either transferred to Eidleh or was intercepted by Eidleh without Noor’s knowledge. As part of their arrangement, Noor retained approximately $52,388 in fraudulent proceeds for himself.

    Noor pleaded guilty today in U.S. District Court before Judge Joan N. Ericksen to one count of conspiracy to commit wire fraud. His sentencing hearing will be scheduled at a later date.

    The case is the result of an investigation by the FBI, IRS – Criminal Investigations, and the U.S. Postal Inspection Service.

    Assistant U.S. Attorneys Joseph H. Thompson, Matthew S. Ebert, and Harry M. Jacobs are prosecuting the case. Assistant U.S. Attorney Craig Baune is handling the seizure and forfeiture of assets.

    MIL Security OSI