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Category: Banking

  • MIL-OSI Global: Trump’s claim that US debt calculation may be fraudulent could put the economy in danger

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Gabriella Legrenzi, Senior Lecturer in Economics and Finance, Keele University

    Deacons docs/Shutterstock

    The US president, Donald Trump, is challenging official figures around the country’s federal debt, suggesting possible fraud in its calculation. The president’s remarks have added a controversial twist to an issue that is both complex and consequential for the United States. And it has implications for the global economy and financial markets too.

    US federal debt is the total amount of money the US government owes from years of borrowing to cover budget deficits (spending beyond its revenues). Over time, this amount has grown significantly, becoming a focal point for political debates and economic forecasts.

    The US debt clock indicates an amount of debt of above US$36 trillion (£28.5 trillion), corresponding to US$107,227 (£84,795) per US citizen.

    This figure is based on the US total public debt series. It is undeniable that the US debt has grown remarkably since the 2008 recession, with a further acceleration during the COVID pandemic. This brings the US federal debt in at around 121% of the size of the entire economy (GDP). For comparison, the UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility puts British national debt at 99.4% of GDP in 2024.

    This pattern is common across advanced economies, given the necessity to spend to support their economies during recessions.

    Trump has also claimed that, as the result of this alleged fraud, the US might have less debt than was thought. Potential fraud aside, it is common knowledge that the headline debt figure overstates the amount of federal debt. This is because it includes debt that one part of the US government owes to another part, as well as debt held by the Federal Reserve Banks.

    Subtracting these debts from the US federal debt data gives us the debt held by the public. This is much lower but it still shows a similar growing pattern over time.

    How US national debt has grown as a share of GDP:

    The conventional wisdom (courtesy of Mr Micawber, a character in Charles Dickens’ novel David Copperfield) is that an income greater than expenditure equals happiness, while the opposite results in misery. But this does not necessarily apply to public debt.

    This is ultimately a debt we have with ourselves (and our future generations). What really matters is its long-term sustainability, meaning that the debt-to-GDP ratio is not following an explosive pattern. This kind of pattern could increase the risk premium (effectively the interest) demanded by investors, with a negative impact on private investments and growth prospects. Also, it potentially raises the risk of default.

    Our research has shown that there is no universally accepted threshold where debt becomes unsustainable. Instead, each case requires context-specific analysis looking at macroeconomic fundamentals such as inflation and unemployment, financial crises as well as the (potentially self-fulfilling) market expectations.

    Trump’s take

    Recently, Trump has questioned not only the size of federal debt but also the integrity of the methods used to calculate it, without presenting any evidence. He claims that the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency (Doge) has uncovered potential fraud. If confirmed, these findings could significantly alter perceptions of the country’s financial position.

    Reports have also highlighted his controversial allegation that the US is “not that rich right now. We owe US$36 trillion … because we let all these nations take advantage of us.” These claims are puzzling, as the large size of US debt reflects decades of fiscal policy decisions in the wake of numerous shocks to the economy. Debt itself is not a cause of alarm for analysts.

    While the amount of US federal debt held by foreign stakeholders has risen over time, it is currently less than 30% of GDP. This is down from an all-time high of 35% during Trump’s first term back in 2020 during the pandemic.

    Of the US federal debt held by foreign countries, the largest amounts are owned by Japan, China, and the UK. Yet, when other countries hold US federal debt, it has nothing to do with “taking advantage” of the US.

    In fact, the US dollar is the world’s dominant vehicle currency. It is on one side of 88% of all trades in the foreign exchange market, which has a global daily turnover of US$7.5 trillion.

    As such, the US benefits from a so-called “exorbitant privilege”. This advantage comes from the international demand for the “safe haven” status of US Treasury securities and the US dollar, and has allowed the US to issue debt at a relatively low interest rate.

    Research suggests that this “safe haven” status of the US dollar has increased the maximum sustainable debt for the US by around 22%. What’s more, it’s estimated to have saved the US government 0.7% of GDP in annual interest payments.

    These advantages rely on the fact that US Treasury bonds are traditionally viewed as risk-free assets. This is particularly the case during times of global financial stress, as they are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government. The US has a longstanding record of meeting its debt obligations.

    But Trump’s comments risk shaking the confidence of financial markets, leading traders to reassess the reliability of official data and the potential risks associated with US Treasury bonds. Whether truth or tale, such remarks touch on sensitive issues regarding fiscal responsibility and transparency in government.

    Any suggestion that the US government’s debt figures are unreliable could be destabilising. This is because they could call into question the reliability of the US fiscal system among the international investors and foreign governments that hold these securities.

    Much like Trump’s tariff threats, alleging other countries who hold a substantial portion of US federal debt have been opportunistic could be risky.

    The president could end up straining diplomatic bilateral relations with key creditors, which may cause broader uncertainties in global financial markets.

    With Trump in the White House, distinguishing between politically charged rhetoric and fiscal sustainability of the US federal debt will be essential for maintaining trust in the US economy and the health of the global financial system.

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. Trump’s claim that US debt calculation may be fraudulent could put the economy in danger – https://theconversation.com/trumps-claim-that-us-debt-calculation-may-be-fraudulent-could-put-the-economy-in-danger-250538

    MIL OSI – Global Reports –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI USA: Press Release: FDIC-Insured Institutions Reported Return on Assets of 1.11 Percent and Net Income of $66.8 Billion in the Fourth Quarter

    Source: US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation FDIC

    Full-Year ROA and Net Income Improved From 2023: The banking industry reported full-year 2024 net income of $268.2 billion, up $14.1 billion (5.6 percent) from the prior year, a level still well above the pre-pandemic average.[1]  The aggregate ROA ratio increased by three basis point to 1.12 percent.  The increases in net income and ROA occurred primarily because one-time events in 2023 and 2024 led to lower noninterest expense, higher noninterest income, and lower realized securities losses in 2024.

    Community banks reported full-year 2024 net income of $25.9 billion, down $624 million (2.4 percent) from the prior year.  The decline was caused by higher noninterest expense, up $3.9 billion (6.1 percent), and higher provision expense, up $671 million (20 percent), which offset the increases in net interest income, up $2.2 billion (2.7 percent), and noninterest income, up $1.1 billion (5.9 percent). Community banks reported full-year pre-tax ROA of 1.14 percent, down eight basis points from the prior year.

    Quarterly ROA and Net Income Increased From the Prior Quarter, Driven By Higher Net Interest Income:  Fourth quarter net income for the 4,487 FDIC-insured commercial banks and savings institutions increased $1.5 billion (2.3 percent) from the prior quarter to $66.8 billion.  The quarterly increase in net income was largely driven by an increase in net interest income, as declining short-term interest rates reduced interest expense more than interest income.

    The banking industry reported an aggregate ROA of 1.11 percent in fourth quarter 2024, up 2 basis points from one quarter earlier and up 50 basis points from one year earlier.

    Community Bank Net Income Decreased Quarter Over Quarter:  Quarterly net income for the 4,046 community banks insured by the FDIC was $6.4 billion in the fourth quarter, a decrease of $441 million (6.5 percent) from third quarter 2024.  Higher noninterest expense (up $931 million, or 5.4 percent) and realized securities losses of $565.9 million more than offset higher net interest income (up $774 million, or 3.6 percent) and higher noninterest income (up $187 million, or 3.7 percent).  The community bank pretax ROA decreased 12 basis points from last quarter to 1.09 percent.

    The Net Interest Margin Rose Across All Asset-Size Groups in the Quarterly Banking Profile:  The industry reported a quarter-over-quarter increase in net interest income of $3.8 billion as the net interest margin (NIM) increased five basis points to 3.28 percent.  All asset-size groups in the Quarterly Banking Profile reported a higher NIM in the fourth quarter.  The industry’s fourth-quarter NIM was three basis points above the pre-pandemic average NIM.  The community bank NIM of 3.44 percent increased nine basis points quarter over quarter, increasing for the third consecutive quarter, but is still below the pre-pandemic average of 3.63 percent.

    Asset Quality Metrics Remained Generally Favorable, Though Weakness in Certain Portfolios Persisted:  Past-due and nonaccrual (PDNA) loans, or loans that are 30 or more days past due or in nonaccrual status, increased six basis points from the prior quarter to 1.60 percent of total loans.  The industry’s PDNA ratio is still below the pre-pandemic average of 1.94 percent.  The PDNA ratio for non-owner occupied commercial real estate (CRE) loans declined five basis points to 2.02 percent, but the ratio remains 175 basis points above the pre-pandemic average.  Despite declining slightly in the fourth quarter, the PDNA rate for non-owner occupied CRE loans remains elevated, largely driven by office loans at banks with more than $250 billion in assets.  However, these banks tend to have lower concentrations of such loans in relation to total assets and capital than smaller institutions, mitigating the overall risk.

    The industry’s net charge-off ratio increased three basis points to 0.70 percent from the prior quarter and is five basis points higher than the year-ago quarter.  This ratio is 22 basis points above the pre-pandemic average. The credit card net charge-off ratio was 4.57 percent in the fourth quarter, up nine basis points quarter over quarter and 109 basis points above the pre-pandemic average.

    Loan Balances Increased Modestly From the Prior Quarter and a Year Ago: Total loan and lease balances increased $105.0 billion (0.8 percent) from the previous quarter.  The largest portfolio increases were reported in “all other” loans and loans to non-depository financial institutions, largely due to reclassifications following the finalization of changes to how certain loan products should be reported.  Reclassifications also likely caused declines in other loan categories, particularly commercial and industrial (C&I) and consumer loans.  In addition to these reclassifications, credit card loans and growth in loans to non-depository financial institutions contributed to the industry’s quarterly loan growth.  The industry’s annual rate of loan growth remained steady in the fourth quarter at 2.2 percent.

    Community bank loan growth was more robust and widespread than the industry. Total loans at community banks increased 1.3 percent from the prior quarter and 5.1 percent from the prior year, led by increases in nonfarm nonresidential CRE and residential mortgage portfolios.

    Domestic Deposits Increased From Last Quarter, Primarily Due to Higher Uninsured Deposits:  Domestic deposits increased $214.0 billion (1.2 percent) from third quarter 2024.  Both savings and transaction deposits increased from the prior quarter, with declines in time deposits partially offsetting the increases. Brokered deposits decreased for the fourth straight quarter, down $46.0 billion (3.6 percent) from the prior quarter.

    Estimated insured deposits increased slightly this quarter (up $39.1 billion, or 0.4 percent) while estimated uninsured domestic deposits increased $218.5 billion (3.0 percent). Growth in estimated uninsured deposits was widespread; most banks (60.1 percent) reported an increase in such deposits from the prior quarter.

    The Deposit Insurance Fund Reserve Ratio Increased Three Basis Points to 1.28 Percent:  In the fourth quarter, the Deposit Insurance Fund balance increased $4.0 billion to $137.1 billion.  The reserve ratio increased three basis points during the quarter to 1.28 percent.

    The Total Number of Insured Institutions Declined:  The total number of FDIC-insured institutions declined by 30 during the quarter to 4,487.  During the quarter, four banks opened, one bank failed, one bank failed after quarter end and did not file a Call Report, three banks did not file a Call Report after selling a majority of their assets to credit unions, one bank otherwise closed, and 28 institutions merged with other banks.

    ATTACHMENTS:

    Full Statement on Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Results with Charts
    Webpage with Charts and Data for Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Results 
    Statement by Acting Chairman Travis Hill on Problem Bank Assets

    # # #

    MEDIA CONTACT: 
    Julianne Breitbeil
    202-340-2043
    JBreitbeil@FDIC.gov


    [1] The “pre-pandemic average” refers to the period of first quarter 2015 through fourth quarter 2019 and is used consistently throughout this press release.

    MIL OSI USA News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: We urge all parties to sustain the ceasefire deal: UK statement at the UN Security Council

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Speech

    We urge all parties to sustain the ceasefire deal: UK statement at the UN Security Council

    Statement by Ambassador Barbara Woodward, UK Permanent Representative to the UN, at the UN Security Council meeting on the Middle East.

    We welcome the return of the hostages during Phase One, after an appalling ordeal.

    And we call for the release of all the remaining hostages, including Avinatan Or, who also has links to the UK.

    We mourn the death of Oded Lifshitz, who had strong links to the UK, and we strongly condemn the vile killing of the Bibas family and the lack of dignity provided to deceased hostages.

    We support all work, all efforts to hold to account Hamas, the PIJ and other terrorists who kidnapped so many innocents on October 7th.

    And I recall that this Council has called for the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages in all four of our resolutions since October 7th and I repeat that call today. 

    The ceasefire agreement reached on January 16th marked a crucial first step towards ending the devastation and suffering in Gaza and achieving a sustainable peace.

    We are calling for three things.

    First, Palestinian civilians should be able to return home and rebuild their lives.

    The people of Gaza have suffered unimaginable horrors, with over 46,000 people killed, and homes and lives destroyed.

    The UK supports regional efforts to cohere around a single plan for the next phase and reconstruction in Gaza. 

    These plans should be Palestinian led with the PA front and centre along with a strong role for civil society.

    Second, we welcome the improvement in aid supplies since the ceasefire agreement. But make no mistake, the humanitarian situation remains dire.

    We still need to see a sustained increase in the volume and types of goods reaching civilians, especially shelter and medical items. 

    There can be no backsliding on this.

    We call for an urgent update to the “dual use list” to allow essential supplies in, and for commercial deliveries to be reinstated. 

    The ceasefire has demonstrated the central role of the UN and humanitarian actors, including UNRWA.

    However, the humanitarian space is tightening with ongoing visa restrictions and legislative proposals impacting NGOs. 

    So we call on Israel to continue to work with the UN and partners to ensure aid reaches people in need.   

    Third, the UK is seriously concerned at the expansion of Israel’s operations killing and displacing civilians in the West Bank.

    We recognise Israel’s right to defend itself, but it must show restraint and ensure its conduct is proportionate. 

    Restrictions on Palestinian movement in the West Bank are excessive. 

    These fuel further instability and jeopardise the prospects for long-term peace. 

    President, in conclusion, we urge all parties to sustain the ceasefire deal, implement the agreement in full and support efforts to move to phase two for the hostages and their families, for Gazan civilians and for all the Israeli and Palestinian people who deserve a peaceful and secure future on the basis of a two-state solution.

    Updates to this page

    Published 25 February 2025

    MIL OSI United Kingdom –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Nations: Ukraine: Post-war reconstruction set to cost $524 billion

    Source: United Nations 4

    25 February 2025 Economic Development

    The total cost of reconstruction and recovery in Ukraine is estimated at $524 billion (€506 billion) over the next decade, according to a new study published on Tuesday. 

    The updated joint Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4) commissioned by the Ukrainian Government, the World Bank Group, the European Commission and the UN, comes as Russia’s full-scale invasion enters its fourth year. 

    It covers damage incurred since intensified conflict erupted on 24 February 2022 through to 31 December 2024.

    This year, the Government of Ukraine, with support from donors, has allocated $7.37 billion (€7.12 billion) to address priority areas such as housing, education, health, social protection, energy, transport, water supply, demining, and civil protection.

    As a total financing gap of $9.96 billion (€9.62 billion) for recovery and reconstruction needs remains, mobilizing the private sector remains critical.

    Russian attacks continue

    “In the past year, Ukraine’s recovery needs have continued to grow due to Russia’s ongoing attacks,” said Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal.

    RDNA4 reveals that direct damage in Ukraine has now reached $176 billion (€170 billion), up from $152 billion (€138 billion) from the previous assessment issued in February 2024. The hardest hit sectors are housing, transport, energy, commerce and industry, and education.

    Thirteen per cent of all housing stock in the country has been damaged or destroyed, affecting more than 2.5 million households. The energy sector has also experienced a 70 per cent increase in damage or destroyed assets, including power generation, transmission, distribution infrastructure, and district heating

    Housing hard hit

    Across all sectors, the regions closest to the frontline – Donetsk, Kharkiv, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Kyiv – sustained about 72 percent of the total damage. 

    Reconstruction and recovery needs are the highest in housing, accounting for almost $84 billion (€81 billion)) of the total long-term needs. The transport sector follows at almost $78 billion (€75 billion), with the energy and extractives sector coming in third at nearly $68 billion (€66 billion).

    Meanwhile, reviving commerce and industry will require over $64 billion (€62 billion), and agriculture over $55 billion (€53 billion).

    The assessment noted that the Russian invasion continues to have severe impacts on Ukraine’s agriculture sector, which had previously contributed 10 per cent to GDP, employed 14 per cent of the labour force and accounted for over 40 per cent of all exports.

    Additionally, across all sectors, the cost of debris clearance and management alone reaches almost $13 billion (€12.6 billion).

    Private sector support

    RDNA4 identifies and excludes over $13 billion (€12.6 billion) in needs across eight sectors that have already been met by Ukraine, with support from partners and the private sector. 

    For example, government data shows that at least $1.2 billion (€1.1 billion) was disbursed from state budget and donor funds last year for housing sector recovery, while over 2,000 km of emergency repairs were carried out on motorways, highways, and other national roads. 

    Furthermore, the private sector has met some of the critical needs, highlighting its key role in the recovery and reconstruction process, and many firms have started to invest in repairs and resilience. Estimates indicate that the private sector could potentially cover a third of total needs.

    © UNICEF/Oleksii Filippov

    Alina, 12, stands next to her damaged home in Kobzartsi, Mykolaiv region.

    Investment and inclusion

    The UN Humanitarian Coordinator in Ukraine, Matthias Schmale, noted that “the true cost of war is measured in human lives and livelihoods,” and the international community must help to create more opportunities for Ukrainians to rebuild their lives with dignity.

    “This means investing in dignified jobs, education, healthcare, and prioritizing the inclusion of vulnerable groups among women and girls, children, displaced people, Roma communities, war veterans and persons with disabilities,” he said.

    “The path forward requires strengthening partnerships, de-risking investments and a steadfast commitment from all of us not just help structures but support restoring the social fabric of war-impacted communities.”

    RDNA4 also highlights that prioritizing investments in recovery and reconstruction will be critical for Ukraine’s accession to the European Union (EU) and long-term resilience. 

    Thus, recovery provides an opportunity not just to address the destruction caused by the ongoing invasion but also to build back better by adopting innovative solutions and reforms that meet the expectations of EU membership.  

    MIL OSI United Nations News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI USA: Barr, Managing Financial Crises

    Source: US State of New York Federal Reserve

    Thank you for the opportunity to speak to you today.1 I note that the objectives of the Program on Financial Stability include “supporting the world’s financial authorities in refining proven crises management tools and strategies.”2 Speaking as a representative of one of those authorities, I thought I would further the program’s goals by focusing these remarks on the principles and practice of crisis management. I am favored in that task with what one might call the luck of having been regularly confronted with crises in each of my three stints as a public servant, over a career divided between government and academia. In noting how often my arrival in government was accompanied by crisis, it might be reasonable to wonder if this is correlation or causation.
    Kidding aside, crisis management is central to all management because it demands the very best from managers when it is most needed. Anyone who spends time in government can expect that some of the most memorable and challenging experiences will be managing through tough situations, when the answers to problems are unclear but the mission of the organization comes into acute focus. The financial system is in a perpetual state balancing risk and reward. Sometimes the system falls out of balance, and vulnerabilities turn into stress or even crisis. This moment is when it is crucial to mitigate spillovers from the financial system that can hurt businesses and households and wreak havoc on the economy at large.
    Some of the most important features of modern economies were developed to prevent and mitigate financial crises. The first central banks, and eventually the Federal Reserve, were created to provide stable currencies and banking systems in support of the long-term stability of the provision of credit necessary to foster growth and rising living standards. Regulation of financial markets, regulation and supervision of banks, federal deposit insurance, and laws to protect investors, consumers, and businesses were developed over time to promote both financial stability and durable economic growth. I have spoken previously about how monetary policy and financial stability are inextricably linked and how the tools we use to conduct monetary policy and support financial stability work together.3
    In the spring of 2023, the United States faced the prospect of a spiraling stress event, when poor management and excessive risk-taking by Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) led to a run that quickly spread to other banks and threatened the wider banking system. Shortcomings in supervision and gaps in the regulatory framework also contributed to SVB’s failure, and I’ve spoken about the steps the Federal Reserve has taken to improve supervision and other steps to close regulatory gaps.4 Today, I’d like to talk about how effective management of the banking stress in the spring of 2023 helped prevent that event from spiraling into a financial crisis.
    Given our student audience, I will begin with a little background on how I got into the crisis management business. After Yale Law School and two court clerkships, I worked at the State Department and then went to work for Treasury Secretary Bob Rubin in 1995. When I arrived, the Treasury Department had helped Mexico deal with a financial crisis that threatened to spread to the United States, and additional crises were to come in 1997 in Asia and in 1998 in Russia. Together, these events credibly threatened a worldwide financial crisis, which was averted by a response across the U.S. government and coordinated with governments and lending institutions around the world. I left government for academia in 2001 and then returned to Treasury in 2009 under Secretary Tim Geithner, in the midst of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). I worked to develop what became known as the Dodd-Frank Act. This law was a pivotal component of our response to the GFC by addressing gaps in financial market oversight, including through strengthened regulation and supervision of banks that increased the safeguards against the excessive risk-taking that caused the crisis. I went back to academia again in 2011 and then returned to public service as the Federal Reserve Board’s Vice Chair for Supervision in July 2022. In this position, I oversaw the response to the bank failures in March 2023 and have helped develop ways to reduce these and other risks going forward.
    The March 2023 Banking StressLet me review some facts about what happened, so you can understand the context for how we put crisis management principles and practices to work.
    SVB failed because of a textbook case of mismanagement of interest rate and liquidity risk.5 This mismanagement made uninsured depositors lose confidence in the bank’s solvency, so they ran. While this was a textbook case, the speed and severity of the run were unprecedented. The largest previous bank failure before SVB was of Washington Mutual in 2008.6 The accumulation of stresses that resulted in Washington Mutual’s failure occurred over several weeks. By contrast, SVB’s deposit outflows were much greater in both relative and absolute terms, and they occurred in less than 24 hours. On top of that, the bank had major gaps in its liquidity risk management, including its preparedness to tap contingency liquidity.7
    Because this discussion is for future first responders, I will share with you some detail about what it’s like to be on the front lines working to address a bank run. On the morning of Thursday, March 9, 2023, SVB had only a little over $5 billion in collateral pledged to the discount window, as compared to over $150 billion in uninsured deposits.8 Around midday, the firm contacted the Federal Reserve, indicating that it wanted to take out a discount window loan against this collateral, and the loan was granted. But in the next several hours, its account was drained as its deposit outflows spiraled. In the late afternoon, the firm indicated that it would need additional liquidity to meet expected outflows. The Federal Reserve worked with the firm to help it identify additional assets it could pledge to the discount window, but SVB was unsuccessful in identifying and moving sufficient collateral. Fed staff worked with the firm through the night to establish ad hoc collateral arrangements, so that the firm could tap the discount window further to meet its liquidity needs in the morning.
    While this process was happening overnight, however, the volume of online deposit withdrawal requests was growing, such that SVB management expected outflows of over $100 billion the next day, an unprecedented sum.9 Even if the bank were able to pledge all collateral available that morning to the discount window, the firm would not have been able to meet its obligations. It was not viable. The state of California closed the bank and turned it over to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) for resolution.
    SVB’s failure contributed to the strains at FDIC-supervised Signature Bank, and that bank failed in short order. As the situation intensified, the effects on businesses and households became increasingly apparent. Critically, these failures caused a reassessment of the viability of uninsured deposits as a funding source across the banking system. But strains at other banks materialized despite material differences between these firms. The rapidity of equity market price declines for several banks triggered repeated trading halts for their shares. Online deposits began to migrate out of smaller banks to larger banks, putting pressure on these smaller institutions.10 Commercial customers that had remaining deposits at SVB after it failed realized that they would not have access to their deposits and thus wouldn’t be able to make payroll or even stay in business.11
    The severity and rapidity of the spread of stress warranted a decisive response. We developed a two-part strategy that weekend.
    On March 12, the Treasury Secretary, the FDIC, and the Federal Reserve announced that the FDIC would protect uninsured deposits at SVB and Signature Bank under the systemic risk exception to least-cost resolution.12 This action essentially implied that all depositors, insured and uninsured, would have access to their deposits Monday morning. And the step helped calm uninsured depositors around the country.
    Also on March 12, the Federal Reserve established the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) under its emergency lending authority with the approval of and a backstop from the Treasury.13 The BTFP’s terms and conditions addressed the fundamental source of banking-sector jitters: questions about the ability of a range of banks to hold onto their high-quality securities that had lost value because of interest rate increases. Unrealized losses on securities portfolios were a problem for many banks, particularly when the stability of their deposit bases came into question. The BTFP provided stable funding for these high-quality assets, addressing these concerns. Specifically, the BTFP provided one-year loans to banks in sound financial condition against Treasury securities and agency securities, valued at par.
    By doing so, the BTFP addressed banks’ immediate concerns about the stability of their funding and mitigated the risk that banks would be forced to liquidate assets in a fire sale, locking in losses. BTFP advances provided confidence that banks would have sufficient funding to retain the securities on balance sheet. The program supported confidence among depositors that their banks would have ready access to sufficient cash to meet their needs, thus helping reduce concern that a self-fulfilling panic could cause additional bank runs.
    Usage of the BTFP was widespread across the banking sector, both in terms of actual usage and from a contingency standpoint. For example, at its peak, BTFP borrowing exceeded $160 billion, and collateral posted to the BTFP reached nearly $540 billion, suggesting that banks saw value in being prepared and having capacity to tap the facility if necessary. Over 1,800 institutions borrowed from the program, and the bulk of the borrowing was among institutions with less than $10 billion in assets. These smaller institutions took out 50 percent of loans by value and nearly 95 percent of loans by volume. Fed staff analysis showed the usage was more likely among institutions that had experienced deposit outflows, but usage was also widespread at firms that did not experience outflows. The broad-based actual and contingency use was consistent with Federal Reserve communications that the program was part of prudent liquidity management and that we encouraged all depository institutions to use the program. Now, about two weeks before all remaining outstanding BTFP loans are set to mature, the program is down to less than $200 million, and the program has experienced no losses.14
    Our response to the stress worked. After the announcement of the systemic risk exception and the BTFP in early March, signs of broad-based contagion subsided, and the system stabilized. While in the first two weeks of March midsize and regional banks experienced significant outflows of deposits, the acute phase of outflows had eased by the end of the month. Stability among banks that had earlier come under pressure didn’t mean that every bank found its footing, but the process of dealing with balance sheet gaps was much smoother and spillovers remained contained. By the fall of that year, deposit flows had fully stabilized and midsize and regional banks saw deposit inflows on net.
    Managing Additional Stress beyond Silicon Valley and Signature BanksWhile the announcement of the systemic risk exception and the BTFP on March 13, 2023, helped stabilize banks in the United States, we were also continuing to manage stress in the global financial system in cooperation with relevant authorities.
    Credit Suisse, a Swiss global systemically important banking organization, had been experiencing stress over several years before March 2023, with doubts about its future viability after the Archegos Capital Management and Greensill Capital scandals had tarnished its reputation and raised doubts about its business model. Stress and outflows at Credit Suisse picked up in the fall of 2022, and we spent many months working with Swiss, European, and U.K. regulators on how to manage the growing issues, including war-gaming potential resolution scenarios. Concerns about the firm’s viability accelerated on March 9, 2023, when it was forced to announce that its internal controls over financial reporting were ineffective and had been for several years. Though Credit Suisse continued to operate, it became apparent that the firm was in trouble in the week following the failures of SVB and Signature Bank.
    Just one week after SVB failed, Swiss authorities arranged for Credit Suisse to be acquired by UBS in a weekend deal that involved triggering Credit Suisse’s contingent convertible capital instruments, a severe dilution of shareholders, and the removal of senior bank management, as well as emergency liquidity support and extraordinary loss sharing from the Swiss government.15 In a sense, Credit Suisse had failed very slowly over many months—even years—and then all at once.
    The combination of these events involved coordination across U.S. and foreign jurisdictions, with careful monitoring and cooperation to identify risks to financial stability and to monitor spillovers to the U.S. and European banking systems.
    Back in the United States, we worked with our domestic counterparts as a handful of additional banks remained under pressure in the months that followed. Notably FDIC-supervised First Republic Bank was closed on May 1, 2023. First Republic had also experienced tremendous stress in March, as it suffered deposit outflows of nearly 20 percent in a single day.16 First Republic withstood these outflows in part because of significant discount window lending, as well as the extraordinary coordination among several other banks that placed significant deposits at the bank—worth $30 billion. But over time, it became clear that First Republic’s rapid and large deposit outflows and unrealized losses on loans and securities would lead to its failure as well.17
    While these were the events that got the headlines, the Federal Reserve continuously monitored other banks with potential balance sheet vulnerabilities, including those with gaps in interest rate and liquidity risk management, as well as significant exposures to office commercial real estate. We worked with these firms to ensure they addressed their vulnerabilities, while they bolstered their liquidity positions to manage potential stress. For example, overall, from March 2023 to March 2024, banks of all sizes and condition, including many not under direct stress, pledged more than $1 trillion in additional collateral to the discount window. Banks and supervisors took a wide variety of steps to shore up resilience throughout the system.
    Principles and Practices for Managing Financial-Sector StressWhen a crisis hits, the stakes are high. In the GFC, millions of Americans lost their homes, their jobs, and their dreams for their futures, when savings for education and retirement disappeared with the collapse of asset prices.18 The contraction in credit hurt small businesses and families all across the country. When banks can’t carry out their role in supplying credit to those who need it, the effects are severe and widespread.
    With those stakes in mind, here are five key principles that I learned in my experiences managing financial crises.
    First, crisis response needs to be forceful. The factor that transforms a series of unfortunate events into a self-sustaining crisis is the belief that there is no end in sight and no prospect of a sufficient response. While we could debate whether every aspect of the GFC response was necessary, one clear lesson from this experience, and from other crises I have been involved in, is how important it is that the response be forceful enough to convince market participants and the broader public that there is a capability and the will to overcome the crisis.
    A second principle is that the response should be proportionate. While a forceful response is important to bolster confidence in the prospects for gaining control over the crisis, the response also must avoid shaking confidence by suggesting that conditions are worse than they seem. In a crisis, information is spread unevenly. A response that is out of proportion—for example, by touching aspects of the financial system not considered endangered—can be misinterpreted as providing vital information about the extent of vulnerabilities.
    Another key component of crisis management is the need to engage in decisionmaking amid significant uncertainty. I explained how the response needs to be both forceful and proportionate. Finding this balance requires making tough judgments amid rapidly evolving conditions. Crisis managers need to make consequential decisions quickly with the recognition that their understanding of the facts is incomplete. Even the best of efforts to understand what is happening and what is needed will be unsatisfactory in the moment. Decisionmaking under these conditions takes some courage. It also takes humility: the ability to listen to others around you, gather different perspectives, and weigh the imperfect information in real time.
    A fourth principle is the need for clear communication—internally to the teams working on the response and externally to the public. And these communications need to be consistent with each other and with the values of the institution, even if tailored to the particular audience. Clear internal communication provides direction to the crisis response teams and facilitates coordination across relevant public-sector actors. Clear external communication, when grounded in a realistic assessment of the situation, can calm markets and reassure the public about the strategy. And clear communication is a two-way street: It involves listening to internal and external perspectives, as well as speaking in a way that can be heard.
    And that brings me to the fifth principle I would cite, which is accountability. Financial crises come about because of a lack of confidence in counterparties and among other participants in the financial system. It is crucial for crisis responders to be credible and accountable not only for assessing the root causes of the crisis, but also for addressing these causes and the aftermath. That requires staying focused on the long-term goals for reform even as crisis management remains critically important and urgent.19
    Practices for Effective Management under Periods of StressThese are important principles, and I will talk a little bit about some of the practices we used as we were guided by these principles. One crucial component of successful management of a stress event is to gather the most relevant information as quickly as possible. In a large and complex organization, it is necessary to overcome barriers to information flow across functions. In the case of the March 2023 banking stress, we drew from across the functions of the central bank to gather real-time information necessary to assess the severity of the conditions facing troubled institutions and also to identify potential levers of response.
    Supervisors generally have real-time information from a bank as it undergoes stress, but this information needs to be put into context with foundational knowledge about the firm, such as the current structure of its balance sheet and typical payment flows. While we managed an influx of reports about deposit flows at banks, it was important to be able to immediately put the size of the outflows in context and corroborate anecdotal reports against multiple sources, including from our own systems. Our next step is to assess a firm’s capacity to weather additional stress. First responders can assess if the firm has maximized the liquidity potential of its assets, including through its relationships with liquidity providers. And one needs to assess these firms’ connections to the rest of the financial sector and identify interlinkages and spillovers. Leaning on experts who engage in broader monitoring of financial markets and engage in outreach with well-established contacts can be important. A team of staff who have the capacity to think broadly across the institution and draw on the partnerships they have built with a range of business lines is necessary to support the kind of information gathering and strategizing that are crucial for consequential decisions. This is why an institutional culture that supports curiosity and openness to ideas and inquiry from the most junior to the most senior staff is foundational.
    Earlier I mentioned the principle of needing to be accountable to the public about the sources of the crisis and to address the underlying vulnerabilities that led to it. On March 13, 2023, in consultation with Chair Powell, I requested a review of the failure of SVB. Self-evaluation is the first step in any sound risk-management framework. Experienced career staff from across the Federal Reserve System who were not involved in SVB’s supervision reviewed the reasons for the bank’s failure.20 The review helped identify where the supervisory and regulatory functions of the Federal Reserve could be improved. Additional reviews by external independent parties, which we welcomed, reached similar conclusions.21 More broadly, carefully considering the underlying vulnerabilities that contributed to the stress helped the Fed develop proposals for how the supervisory and regulatory framework could be improved.22
    ConclusionNo leader looks forward to managing through a crisis, but those who hope to be good leaders need to be good crisis managers. These are skills that are most effectively developed through hard experience, but we can also learn from those who have gone through the experiences. In my case, the lessons of dealing with financial crises as a government official have revealed to me some basic principles that I believe can be useful to crisis managers. I have also learned that the best crisis management occurs beforehand, by strengthening rules and norms and other structures meant to reduce the risk of a crisis in the first place and by fostering organizational values and culture that will help manage a crisis when it comes.
    Thank you.

    1. The views expressed here are my own and are not necessarily those of my colleagues on the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee. Return to text
    2. See Yale School of Management, Program on Financial Stability (2025), “About the Yale Program on Financial Stability,” webpage, paragraph 1. Return to text
    3. See, for example, Michael S. Barr (2023), “Monetary Policy and Financial Stability,” speech delivered at the Forecasters Club of New York, New York, October 2; and Michael S. Barr (2024), “The Intersection of Monetary Policy, Market Functioning, and Liquidity Risk Management,” speech delivered at the 40th Annual National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Economic Policy Conference, Washington, February 14. Return to text
    4. See Michael S. Barr (2023), “Supervision and Regulation” testimony before the Financial Services Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, Washington, May 16. Also please see Michael S. Barr (2024), “Supervision with Speed, Force, and Agility,” speech delivered at the Annual Columbia Law School Banking Conference, New York, February 16. For more on bank supervision, see “Understanding Federal Reserve Supervision,” available on the Federal Reserve Board’s website at https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/understanding-federal-reserve-supervision.htm. Return to text
    5. See Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Office of Inspector General (2023), Material Loss Review of Silicon Valley Bank (PDF) (Washington: September 25). Immediately following SVB’s failure, Chair Powell and I agreed that I should oversee a review of the circumstances leading up to SVB’s failure. We published the results of this review on April 28, 2023; see Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Review of the Federal Reserve’s Supervision and Regulation of Silicon Valley Bank (PDF) (Washington: Board of Governors, April). Return to text
    6. See National Commission on the Causes of the Financial and Economic Crisis in the United States (2011), The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report (PDF) (Washington: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, January); and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (2017), Crisis and Response: An FDIC History, 2008–2013 (Washington: FDIC). Return to text
    7. For instance, the bank failed its own internal liquidity stress tests and did not have workable plans to access liquidity in times of stress. The bank changed its own risk-management assumptions to reduce how these risks were measured rather than fully addressing the underlying risks. See Review of the Federal Reserve’s Supervision and Regulation of Silicon Valley Bank (note 5). Return to text
    8. See Review of the Federal Reserve’s Supervision and Regulation of Silicon Valley Bank (note 5). Return to text
    9. See Review of the Federal Reserve’s Supervision and Regulation of Silicon Valley Bank, p. 7 (note 5). Return to text
    10. See Stephan Luck, Matthew Plosser, and Josh Younger (2023), “Bank Funding during the Current Monetary Policy Tightening Cycle,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Liberty Street Economics (blog), May 11. Return to text
    11. See Berber Jin, Katherine Bindley, and Rolfe Winkler (2023), “After Silicon Valley Bank Fails, Tech Startups Race to Meet Payroll,” Wall Street Journal, March 11, https://www.wsj.com/articles/after-silicon-valley-bank-fails-tech-startups-race-to-meet-payroll-4ebd9c5c?mod=article_inline. Return to text
    12. See Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (2023), “Joint Statement by Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC,” joint press release, March 12. Return to text
    13. See Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2023), “Federal Reserve Board Announces It Will Make Available Additional Funding to Eligible Depository Institutions to Help Assure Banks Have the Ability to Meet the Needs of All Their Depositors,” press release, March 12; and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2025), “Bank Term Funding Program,” webpage. Return to text
    14. See Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2025), Statistical Release H.4.1, “Factors Affecting Reserve Balances of Depository Institutions and Condition Statement of Federal Reserve Banks” (February 20). Return to text
    15. See Michael S. Barr (2023), “The Importance of Effective Liquidity Risk Management,” speech delivered at the ECB Forum on Banking Supervision, Frankfurt, Germany, December 1. Return to text
    16. See Michael S. Barr (2024), “On Building a Resilient Regulatory Framework,” speech delivered at Central Banking in the Post-Pandemic Financial System 28th Annual Financial Markets Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Fernandina Beach, Florida, May 20. Return to text
    17. See Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (2023), FDIC’s Supervision of First Republic Bank (PDF), (Washington: FDIC, September 8). Return to text
    18. See National Commission on the Causes of the Financial and Economic Crisis, The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report (note 6). Return to text
    19. I have discussed some thoughts on leadership attributes in previous speeches, including here: Michael S. Barr (2024), “Commencement Remarks,” delivered at the American University School of Public Affairs Graduation Ceremony, Washington, May 10. Return to text
    20. See Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2023), Vice Chair Barr for Supervision’s “Review of the Federal Reserve’s Supervision and Regulation of Silicon Valley Bank – April 2023: Key Takeaways,” webpage. Return to text
    21. See Government Accountability Office (2023), “Bank Regulation: Preliminary Review of Agency Actions Related to March 2023 Bank Failures” (Washington: GAO, May 11); and Board of Governors, Office of Inspector General, Material Loss Review (note 5). Return to text
    22. See Barr, “On Building a Resilient Regulatory Framework” (note 16). Return to text

    MIL OSI USA News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Security: Serial Bank Robber Sentenced to 10 Plus Years in Federal Prison for Robbery Committed While on Supervised Release

    Source: Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) State Crime News

    A serial bank robber who robbed three banks while on supervised release for a prior bank robbery conviction was sentenced Thursday to more than 10 years in federal prison, announced Acting U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Texas Chad Meacham. 

    Taurick Demon Walker, 43, was charged via criminal complaint in August 2023 and indicted the following month. He pleaded guilty in October 2024 to bank robbery and was sentenced Thursday by U.S. District Judge Jane J. Boyle to 105 months for the bank robbery plus 24 months for violating the conditions of his supervised release – which prohibited committing any felonies – for a total of 129 months in federal prison. 

    According to court records, Mr. Walker was convicted of bank robbery in March 2018 and sentenced to six years in federal prison. He served his time and was released in March 2023. 

    Just five months after his release, on Aug. 10, 2023, Mr. Walker entered a Regions Bank in Irving, passed a teller a note, and demanded “all your money now.”  The teller handed over a wad of cash and Mr. Walker fled the scene. 

    Eight days later, on Aug. 18, Mr. Walker robbed two other banks: a Truist Bank in Dallas and a Wells Fargo in Garland. On both occasions, he approached a teller and pressed a note against the glass that read “Bank Robbery 20,000.”

    Investigators were able to link Mr. Walker to both robberies using a network of FLOCK license plate readers.

    In an interview with law enforcement, a family member told police she recognized a cowboy hat worn during one of the robberies as Mr. Walker’s. 

    The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Dallas Field Office conducted the investigation with the assistance of the Dallas, Garland, and Irving Police Departments. Assistant U.S. Attorney Robert Withers prosecuted the case..

    MIL Security OSI –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: CNB cuts red tape: 36 rules and reporting duties to be scrapped by year-end

    Source: Czech National Bank

    An analysis conducted by the Czech National Bank (CNB) in the area of financial market regulation has revealed that Czech legislation in some cases unnecessarily goes beyond the EU minimum requirements. Based on this analysis, the CNB will abolish 36 rules set out in decrees and reporting duties by the end of 2025. In addition, the CNB will propose to the Ministry of Finance the elimination of various legal obligations applying to financial market participants.

    The CNB is to cut red tape. This decision is based on the results of an analysis of gold plating in financial market regulation conducted by specialised units of the CNB at the Bank Board’s request. Gold plating refers to cases where Czech legislation imposes additional obligations and restrictions on market participants in areas governed by EU law going beyond the EU minimum requirements.

    “The Bank Board is delivering results for our country. When we started in mid-2022, inflation was at 17.5%. Now it’s back on target. We’re also leading by example – we’re cutting costs. We’ve laid off five per cent of our staff, including managers reporting directly to the Bank Board (B−1 executives). We also said we would cut red tape. We’ve approved a package of 36 financial market regulatory measures that we will abolish this year. These include various reporting duties, official information documents and requirements in decrees that the CNB had previously imposed in excess of European regulations. This will reduce bureaucracy and simplify doing business in the financial market,” said Czech National Bank Governor Aleš Michl.

    In its analysis, the CNB compared the EU requirements with various domestic laws, decrees and official information documents. In many cases, it found that domestic legislation goes beyond the requirements of EU law. However, these deviations are often justified by the specificities of the domestic market. Therefore, provisions where the benefits of reducing the regulatory burden outweigh the risks have been proposed for repeal.

    Within its powers, the CNB will repeal 36 now redundant rules and reporting duties by 31 December 2025. The aim is to simplify and streamline the financial market regulatory framework. For example, the often-criticised affidavit of legal capacity will no longer be required, some unnecessary reporting duties will be abolished, and market participants will benefit from the scrapping of other superfluous rules.

    As substantive obligations are established by law and changes to laws fall outside the CNB’s remit, the CNB will also propose amendments to several laws to the Ministry of Finance with the aim of further easing the burden on financial market participants.

    Jakub Holas
    Director, CNB Communications Division


    The 36 rules and reporting duties that the CNB will abolish by the end of 2025

    The CNB will cut red tape in the financial sector and will abolish 36 redundant rules and reporting duties by 31 December 2025. An analysis has revealed that domestic regulation often goes beyond EU requirements without this always being necessary. As a result, the CNB will abolish rules where doing so will generate greater benefits than risks. The aim is to make the regulatory environment simpler and more transparent and to eliminate burdensome administrative duties falling within the CNB’s remit.

    The CNB will abolish the following rules and statements:

    1. Demonstration of legal capacity by affidavit. It is sufficient to provide the financial institution’s internal assessment of the suitability of the person assessed, along with information from basic registers in the case of Czech citizens. Abolishing this requirement will reduce the administrative burden.

    2. More detailed requirements for credit risk management by credit institutions, especially details on the transaction execution system, the credit risk measurement and monitoring system and credit risk management limits. The CNB regularly subjects credit institutions to the supervisory review and evaluation process (SREP), in which it evaluates their credit risk management. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    3. More detailed requirements for market risk management by credit institutions, especially details on the market risk measurement and monitoring system, market risk management limits and market risk stress testing. The CNB evaluates market risk management by credit institutions in the SREP. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    4. More detailed requirements for liquidity risk management by credit institutions, especially details on the liquidity risk measurement and monitoring system, liquidity risk management in major currencies and limits, financial resource management and market access, liquidity risk management scenarios and liquidity crisis contingency plans. The CNB evaluates liquidity risk management by credit institutions in the SREP. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    5. More detailed requirements for operational risk management by credit institutions, especially details on the operational risk management system, operational risk identification, assessment, monitoring and reporting, operational risk mitigation, contingency planning, information systems and technologies, and security principles. The CNB evaluates operational risk management by credit institutions in the SREP. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    6. More detailed requirements for risk management outsourcing by credit institutions, especially details on the outsourcing risk management system, outsourcing implementation and selected outsourcing cases. The CNB evaluates outsourcing risk management by credit institutions in the SREP. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    7. More detailed requirements for internal audits at credit institutions, especially details on the internal audit charter, the organisational integration of internal audit and the analysis of audit risks and planning. The CNB evaluates credit institutions’ governance systems – including internal audit as one of credit institutions’ control functions – in the SREP. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    8. More detailed requirements for information disclosure by credit institutions, specifically details on information about the credit institution, its shareholder structure, the structure of the group to which it belongs, and its activities and financial situation. The CNB has sufficient information to perform supervision. Abolishing these requirements will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    9. More detailed requirements for asset assessment by credit institutions, specifically quarterly assessments of the sufficiency of provisions and reserves for loans provided and other selected assets and off-balance sheet items and adjustments of their amount, and details on collateral for provisioning purposes. The CNB evaluates the sufficiency of credit institutions’ capital to cover expected losses on their assets in the SREP. Abolishing these requirements will thus not affect the quality of supervision of credit institutions. On the contrary, it will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    10. More detailed requirements for reports on audits of credit institutions’ governance systems, especially details on their content, structure and format. If necessary, the CNB as an administrative authority may request the provision of information needed to perform supervision. Abolishing these requirements will reduce the administrative burden on credit institutions.

    11. More detailed requirements for information disclosure by insurance and reinsurance companies, specifically details about the insurance company or reinsurance company, its shareholder structure, the structure of the group to which it belongs, and its activities. The CNB has sufficient information to perform supervision. Abolishing these requirements will reduce the administrative burden on insurance and reinsurance companies.

    12. More detailed requirements for reports on audits of insurance and reinsurance companies’ governance systems, especially details on their content, structure and format. If necessary, the CNB as an administrative authority may request the provision of information needed to perform supervision. Abolishing these requirements will reduce the administrative burden on insurance and reinsurance companies.

    13. The requirement for the administrator of a public real estate fund to report to the CNB information about the professional experience and education of members of the expert committee. The CNB does not approve members of expert committees and considers it sufficient if information about them is provided in the annual report. Alternatively, the CNB may request this information in the course of supervision.

    14. The requirement for the manager of a standard fund to ensure that its management body is informed without undue delay about each breach of limits that would jeopardise compliance with the manager’s accepted level of risks and the standard fund’s risk profile. The duty to provide an effective solution to breaches of limits and to remedy such breaches will not be affected by the change. However, the specific configuration and internal escalation will be left to the manager’s discretion.

    15. The requirement for the statute of a public real estate fund to contain information about the professional experience and education of members of the expert committee, information about the dates of commencement of their terms of office and an identification of the member designated as the depositary. The staffing of the expert committee is an internal process that does not need to be specified in detail in the statute.

    16. The reporting duty for banks and foreign bank branches based on the “Report of a bank/foreign bank branch on loan and deposit concentration” supervisory statement, in the form of the cancellation of the section concerning reporting on loans. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    17. The reporting duty for banks and foreign bank branches based on the “Annual profit distribution statement of a bank/foreign bank branch” supervisory statement. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    18. Reporting duty for Pan-European Personal Pension Product providers based on the “Report for Czech National Bank supervision” supervisory statement. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    19. Reporting duty for the Pan-European Personal Pension Product distributors based on the “Information on the activities of a Pan-European Personal Pension Product distributor” supervisory statement. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    20. Reporting duty for investment fund managers based on the “Structure of assets of a managed fund” supervisory statement, as this aggregate information can mostly be calculated from more detailed information contained in other statements. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    21. Reporting duty for European long-term investment funds based on the “ELTIF10” supervisory statement. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    22. Reporting duty for domestic insurance companies based on the “Eligible basic own funds to cover the notional Minimum Capital Requirement” supervisory statement. Abolishing this duty will reduce the administrative burden.

    23. Official Information of 19 August 2016 regarding the pursuit of business in the financial market – cloud computing. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    24. Official Information of 27 May 2011 regarding the pursuit of business in the financial market – operational risk in the area of information systems. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    25. Official Information of 29 December 2010 regarding the prudential rules for banks, credit unions and investment firms. The Measurement of Operational Risk, the Calculation of the Operational Risk Capital Requirement. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    26. Official information of 3 August 2021 regarding overall discretions pursuant to the CRR. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    27. Official Information of 8 July 2021 on the performance of the activities of banks, credit unions, branches of banks from a non-Member State and some other entities – disclosure of information. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    28. Official Information of 27 December 2011 regarding the evaluation of an auditor of a bank, credit union, insurance company and reinsurance company by the Czech National Bank. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    29. Official Information of 10 June 2015 regarding the Czech National Bank’s approach to the assessment of the annual report, annual accounts and the auditor’s report on the governance system of credit unions in connection with the amendment of Act No. 333/2014 Coll. on Credit Unions as from 1 July 2015. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    30. Official Information of 15 April 2008 regarding mandatory liability insurance for damage caused during game hunting. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    31. Official Information of 30 September 2009 publishing the list of foreign supervisory authorities and foreign administrative authorities with which the CNB has signed a memorandum of understanding on financial market supervision. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    32. Official information of 4 December 2009 regarding certain rules of conduct towards private pension scheme participants and persons interested in entering into a private pension policy. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    33. Official Information of 10 December 2010 regarding the pursuit of business in the financial market: Qualitative requirements relating to the conduct of business – fundamental information. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    34. Official information of 17 January 2014 regarding the conditions of admissibility of inducements in the distribution of certain products on the financial market. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    35. Official Information of 19 September 2014 on quality management and control in the distribution network of an insurance intermediary. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    36. Official Information of the Czech National Bank of 5 June 2015 regarding the procedure of credit unions in connection with a change in conditions relating to deposits in credit unions as from 1 July 2015. This Official Information is not necessary under the current regulation.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI USA: Risch Introduces Bill to End Taxpayer Funded Handouts to Illegal Immigrants

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Idaho James E Risch
    WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Jim Risch (R-Idaho) introduced today the No Bailout for Sanctuary Cities Actto block federal funding to sanctuary cities intended to benefit illegal immigrants. 
    Risch’s bill aligns with President Trump’s Executive Order “Ending Taxpayer Subsidization of Open Borders”which blocks federal agencies and programs from providing taxpayer-funded services to illegal immigrants.
    “Sanctuary cities abuse taxpayer dollars and fuel the illegal immigration crisis,” said Risch. “My No Bailout for Sanctuary Cities Act stops these jurisdictions from using federal funding to directly give handouts to illegal immigrants.”  
    Risch is joined by U.S. Senators Mike Crapo (R-Idaho), Steve Daines (R-Mont.), Tim Sheehy (R-Mont.), Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.), Pete Ricketts (R-Neb.), Mike Lee (R-Utah), Jim Banks (R-Ind.), and Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-Miss.) in introducing the No Bailout for Sanctuary Cities Act. Representative Nick LaLota (R-N.Y.) introduced the bill in the House of Representatives.
    “Not a single taxpayer dollar should be used to provide unwarranted hand-outs to non-citizen migrants or to cities giving them any unearned financial advantages,” said Crapo. “Federal resources should be used to secure the borders, not invite and encourage illegal immigration.
    “Montanans are paying the price of Biden’s crisis at the southern border, but thankfully with President Trump in office, we’re working together to restore order,” said Daines. “I’m glad to join my colleagues in introducing a bill to prevent Montana taxpayer dollars from ever being used to fund sanctuary cities, which will deter illegal immigration and make our communities safer.”
    “Nobody in their right mind would say it’s a good idea to force hardworking American taxpayers to subsidize sanctuary cities and incentivize the illegal invasion of our country,” said Sheehy. “It’s time we put an end to the backward policies that encourage illegal immigration, and I’m proud to stand with my colleagues in support of this America First bill to bring back common sense, restore fiscal sanity, and put the interests of our people first.”
    “Sanctuary states and cities that refuse to enforce the law make Americans less safe,” said Ricketts. “This bill would bring needed accountability to those who facilitate illegal immigration and bring justice for the victims of sanctuary policies.”
    “Lawless so-called sanctuary cities should no longer get a free pass to sabotage our national security and the safety of communities across America,” said Lee. “Under this legislation, if you ignore federal law and refuse to hand over dangerous criminals to ICE and other authorities, you don’t get federal funding. American taxpayers should no longer be compelled to support sanctuary cities and states which endanger their families.”
    “Continuing to send federal tax dollars to cities that use those funds to aid and abet illegal immigration is asinine. If state and local leaders refuse to comply with federal law in the effort to defend our communities from criminal aliens, they must be held accountable,” said Banks. “This bill holds these incompetent leaders to account when they undermine the safety of the Americans they govern.”
    “Folks in Mississippi and around the country are baffled by cities and states that aid and abet illegal immigration, and they’re right to question why their taxpayer dollars are being used to prop up these so-called sanctuary cities.  Senator Risch’s bill would begin the process of ending the gravy train for those jurisdictions that flaunt our immigration and border laws,” Hyde-Smith said.
    The No Bailout for Sanctuary Cities Act would:
    Define “sanctuary jurisdiction” as any local or state government entity that withholds information regarding an individual’s citizenship status from federal, state, or other local authorities; and
    Prevent sanctuary jurisdictions from receiving federal funds for the specific benefit of illegal immigrants. 

    MIL OSI USA News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: The EBA consults to amend data collection for the 2026 benchmarking exercise

    Source: European Banking Authority

    The European Banking Authority (EBA) today launched a consultation to amend the Implementing Regulation on the benchmarking of credit risk, market risk and IFRS9 models for the 2026 exercise. The most significant changes, in the market risk framework, are the new templates for the collection of the alternative internal model approach (AIMA) risk measures under the fundamental review of the trading book (FRTB) and the extension of the scope of the exercise to banks that apply solely the Alternative Standardised Approach (ASA) methodology. For the credit risk framework only minor changes are being proposed. This consultation runs until 26 May 2025.

    The EBA benchmarking exercise is the basis for both the supervisory assessment and the horizontal analysis of the outcome of internal models. It ensures consistent monitoring of the variability of own funds requirements resulting from the application of internal models as well as of the impact of the several different supervisory and regulatory measures, which influence the capital requirements and solvency ratios in the EU. In this regard, this consultation paper updates the information to be collected in the 2026 exercise.

    The changes will be substantial for the market risk part. Besides the new templates and instructions for collecting the AIMA FRTB risk measures (expected shortfall, default risk charge, and stress scenario risk measure),  the scope of the exercise will be extended to banks that apply solely the ASA methodology. This extension is a direct application of the revised wording of the Capital Requirements Directive (CRD VI) and has a massive impact on the number of banks participating in the market risk assessment. In this regard, the FRTB ASA data collection was already developed in the past exercises, so the amendments to the framework of the exercise are less extensive.

    As regards the credit risk benchmarking, the amendments to the ITS will provide a mapping between the asset classes used for the definition of the benchmarking portfolios and the breakdown of Credit Risk IRB templates adopted in the revised ITS on supervisory reporting, in line with changes in the regulatory framework related to the new Banking Package (Capital Requirements Regulation – CRR3, and CRD6).

    Consultation process

    Responses to the consultations can be sent to the EBA by clicking on the “send your comments” button on the consultation page.

    All contributions received will be published after the consultation closes, unless requested otherwise. The deadline for the submission of comments is 26 May 2025

    A public hearing on this consultation will take place on 10 April 2025 from 14:00 to 15:30 CEST. Deadline for registration is 8 April 2025 at 16:00 CEST.

    Legal basis

    This draft ITS have been developed in accordance with article 78 of the CRD, which requires the EBA to specify the benchmarking portfolios, templates and definitions to be used as part of the annual benchmarking exercises. These are used by competent authorities to conduct an annual assessment of the quality of internal approaches used for the calculation of own funds requirements.

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: Financial news: Over 200 additional bond issues have become available on the Moscow Exchange to non-qualified investors without testing

    Translartion. Region: Russians Fedetion –

    Source: Moscow Exchange – Moscow Exchange –

    Unqualified investors were given the opportunity to buy corporate bonds with rating “A” and higher on the Moscow Exchange without undergoing testing.

    Thus, unqualified investors now have access to another 234 bond issues from 57 issuers for a total of over 1.9 trillion rubles without testing. Previously, these securities could only be purchased by unqualified investors after testing, as well as investors with qualified status. The total number of debt securities available to unqualified investors without testing amounted to almost 700 instruments, including federal loan bonds (OFZ), bonds of constituent entities of the Russian Federation (regardless of the credit rating level), and corporate bonds with fixed income and an “AAA” rating.

    The expansion of the list of debt securities available for purchase became possible after decisions of the Bank of Russia lower the credit rating threshold from “AAA” to “A” for untested bond purchases by non-qualified investors. This allowed them to purchase corporate bonds with a credit rating of “A” and higher, with the exception of bonds secured by a pledge of monetary claims, including mortgages, without undergoing a knowledge test.

    The list of securities for purchase has been expanded to include corporate debt securities that have been assigned at least one of the following credit ratings:

    “ruA” on the Expert RA scale; “A (RU)” on the ACRA scale; “A .ru” on the NKR scale; “A |ru|” on the NRA scale.

    The Moscow Exchange Group operates the only multifunctional exchange platform in Russia for trading shares, bonds, derivatives, currencies, money market instruments and commodities. The Group includes a central depository and a clearing center that acts as a central counterparty in the markets, which allows Moscow Exchange to provide its clients with a full cycle of trading and post-trading services.

    Contact information for media 7 (495) 363-3232Pr@moex.kom

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    Please Note; This Information is Raw Content Directly from the Information Source. It is access to What the Source Is Stating and Does Not Reflect

    HTTPS: //VVV. MEEX.K.M.M.

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: Financial news: On holding auctions on February 26, 2025 to place OFZ issues No. 26225RMFS and No. 26248RMFS

    Translartion. Region: Russians Fedetion –

    Source: Moscow Exchange – Moscow Exchange –

    For bidders

    We inform you that, based on the letter of the Bank of Russia and in accordance with Part I. General Part and Part II. Stock Market Section of the Rules for Conducting Trading on the Stock Market, Deposit Market and Credit Market of Moscow Exchange PJSC, the order establishes the form, time, term and procedure for holding auctions for the placement and trading of the following federal loan bonds:

    1.

    Name of the Issuer Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation
    Name of security federal loan bonds with constant coupon income
    State registration number of the issue 26225RMFS from 02/15/2018
    Date of the auction February 26, 2025
    Information about the placement (trading mode, placement form) The placement of Bonds will be carried out in the Trading Mode “Placement: Auction” by holding an Auction to determine the placement price. BoardId: PACT (Settlements: Ruble)
    Trade code SU2225RMFS1
    ISIN code RO000A0 Zub7
    Calculation code B01
    Additional conditions of placement The share of non-competitive bids in relation to the total volume of bids submitted by the Bidder may not exceed 90%.
    Trading time Trading hours: bid collection period: 12:00 – 12:30; bid execution period: 13:00 – 18:00.

    2.

    Name of the Issuer Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation
    Name of security federal loan bonds with constant coupon income
    State registration number of the issue 26248RMFS from 08.05.2024
    Date of the auction February 26, 2025
    Information about the placement (trading mode, placement form) The placement of Bonds will be carried out in the Trading Mode “Placement: Auction” by holding an Auction to determine the placement price. BoardId: PACT (Settlements: Ruble)
    Trade code CO26248RMFS3
    ISIN code RO000A108EH4
    Calculation code B01
    Additional conditions of placement The share of non-competitive bids in relation to the total volume of bids submitted by the Bidder may not exceed 90%.
    Trading time Trading hours: bid collection period: 14:30 – 15:00; bid execution period: 15:30 – 18:00.

    Contact information for media 7 (495) 363-3232Pr@moex.kom

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    Please Note; This Information is Raw Content Directly from the Information Source. It is access to What the Source Is Stating and Does Not Reflect

    HTTPS: //VVV. MEEX.K.M.M.

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: Financial news: Applications are now open for participation in the FINOPOLIS.365 Youth Program

    Translartion. Region: Russians Fedetion –

    Source: Central Bank of Russia –

    Students and young professionals will develop solutions for specific cases from representatives of the financial market. This year, the tasks are related to three topics: “Artificial Intelligence”, “Data Exchange”, “Distributed Registries and Tokenization”. The results will be summed up at the Forum of Innovative Financial Technologies FINOPOLIS 2025.

    After submitting an application, participants will gain access to the training modules of the Bank of Russia Fintech Hub. The training will help them qualify for participation in regional case championships, which will be held in Moscow, St. Petersburg, Vladivostok, Chelyabinsk, Tomsk, Samara and the federal territory of Sirius. The winners and prize-winners of each regional stage will meet on October 8–10 at FINOPOLIS 2025.

    The finalists’ projects will be assessed by a jury that will include the management of the Bank of Russia, the largest fintech companies and banks. The prize fund for the final in 2025 is 1.5 million rubles.

    Applications will be accepted until April 17. More detailed information can be found on the website of the Youth Program FINOPOLIS.365.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    Please Note; This Information is Raw Content Directly from the Information Source. It is access to What the Source Is Stating and Does Not Reflect

    HTTPS: //VVV.KBR.ru/Press/Event/? ID = 23404

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Global: Land reform in South Africa doesn’t need a new law: the state should release property it owns – economists

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Johann Kirsten, Director of the Bureau for Economic Research, Stellenbosch University

    South Africa’s new Expropriation Act, which was signed into law by President Cyril Ramaphosa in January 2025, has been at the centre of a political storm set off by the new US administration under President Donald Trump.

    The Expropriation Act is not entirely new. It mainly updates the existing legislation from 1975 to align it with the constitution of democratic South Africa. But some have misinterpreted it as making room for land grabs by the state. That’s not what it does in reality. Property rights remain intact in South Africa.

    Hot on the heels of this furore has been a notice from the minister of land reform and rural development, Mzwanele Nyhontso, that the government is embarking on a new bit of legislation, the “Equitable Access to Land Bill”.

    There have been discussions over the last 10 years about developing a land reform framework bill or land redistribution bill. The main idea is to foster conditions that enable citizens to get access to land equitably. Land ownership was heavily skewed towards white people under apartheid.

    The parliamentary committee heard from the minister on 20 February 2025 that there were gaps between the white paper on South African land policy and existing legislation. The bill seeks to close the gaps. It would provide for, among other things, principles for access to land, access to land by the state and citizens, the identification and selection of beneficiaries, applications and records for land allocations, a register of agricultural land, notification of present land ownership, land ownership ceilings, a land tribunal and regulations.

    Based on our years of work on land reform and agricultural policy it’s unclear to us why such a bill is necessary. We believe there are two reasons a new law would be superfluous. Firstly, South Africa already has roughly 16 laws that address the issue of land. Secondly, policymakers tend to ignore the facts on land reform progress.

    It is hard not to view the obsession with new legislation by every new minister as a distraction from the core issues. The minister should be focusing on distributing the land the government has acquired to black farmers and give them title deeds. This will be sufficient effort to build an inclusive agricultural sector, while continuing with existing programmes of land acquisition from the open market.

    There are also other areas that should be reformed that would make a difference. These include making more finance available to aspirant black farmers and fixing the deeds office to reduce land registration times.

    What’s in place

    There should be no need for new legislation if one considers all the different pieces of legislation and government programmes that are already aimed at a more equitable distribution of land. There are at least 16 laws related to farm land and the restitution and redistribution process. These include:

    • Preservation and Development of Agricultural Land Act, signed into
      law in January 2025

    • State Land Disposal Act, 1961 (Act No. 48 of 1961)

    • Deeds Registries Act, 1937 (Act No. 47 of 1937)

    • Land Reform: Provision of Land and Assistance Act, 1993 (Act No. 126 of
      1993)

    • Restitution of Land Rights Act, 1994 (Act No. 22 of 1994)

    • Communal Property Associations Act, 1996 (Act No. 28 of 1996)

    • Land Reform (Labour Tenants) Act, 1996 (Act No. 3 of 1996)

    • Protection of Informal Land Rights Act, 1996 (Act No. 31 of 1996)

    • Extension of Security of Tenure Act, 1997 (Act No. 62 of 1997).

    In addition, South African policymakers tend to ignore the facts on land reform progress.

    As we have argued before, the mix of government programmes to restore land rights and redistribute land has already addressed 25% of the total area of farm land defined and registered by formal title deeds. This means that 19.5 million hectares of the 77.5 million hectares of South Africa’s farm land have been affected by the government land reform programmes.

    There is an important nuance here: 2.5 million hectares have been acquired by the state and are now owned by the State Land Holding Account.

    Calls for the state to redistribute this land to black farmers have been falling on deaf ears, and black farmers continue to despair.

    The government has been slow to distribute the land it has acquired. This shows that the problem of South Africa’s land reform is not only about acquisition but also the distribution of land with title deeds to beneficiaries.

    Included in the total of 19.5 million hectares are private purchases of farm land by black South Africans. We estimate a total of 2.4 million hectares have been acquired in this way up to the end of 2024.

    These individuals used their own funds or borrowed funds to acquire the land without using any of the state programmes.

    Some answers

    We have always argued that the private transactions where no bureaucrats are involved happen much quicker than any government programmes. The table below shows the relevant statistics for the last four years and confirms the argument.

    The table shows that over the last four years private land transactions (that is without any involvement of bureaucrats) have contributed 32% to the total area of farmland transferred or restituted. The land claims process, in terms of the Restitution of Land Rights Act, has made the biggest contribution of 60% (with 36% of land restituted via financial compensation and 24% of land transferred to claimants). Other government land reform programmes made a very small contribution.

    Do we have more equitable access to farm land (or rural land) after 30 years of democracy? To answer this question, we need to take into account the occupation of farm land under traditional tenure arrangements and occupation on land owned by the state, including the South African Development Trust land as well as the land recently acquired by the state under the Proactive Land Acquisition Strategy programme, which is in most cases leased to black beneficiaries for short terms.

    In addition, we account for the land redistribution programme and the land transferred back to land claimants. The numbers below provide an interesting picture of black ownership of rural land in South Africa. In some provinces, equitable access has shown remarkable progress, as shown in the table below.

    Instead of a new law, this is what’s needed

    First, access to affordable and preferential finance for land acquisition by black farmers would make an important contribution to equitable access. But no new law is needed to enable this. The answer lies in changing the way the Land Bank is funded so that it can provide affordable finance to aspirant farmers. This would be a game changer.

    Secondly, government should act on the president’s proposal to establish the Land Reform Agency, release more unused state land for agricultural use and change the regulations to facilitate private land donations to beneficiaries.

    Thirdly, fix the processes and data issues in the deeds office, which could reduce the time and costs to register property transfers.

    Wandile Sihlobo is the Chief Economist of the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz) and a member of the Presidential Economic Advisory Council (PEAC).

    Johann Kirsten does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. Land reform in South Africa doesn’t need a new law: the state should release property it owns – economists – https://theconversation.com/land-reform-in-south-africa-doesnt-need-a-new-law-the-state-should-release-property-it-owns-economists-250674

    MIL OSI – Global Reports –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: Land reform in South Africa doesn’t need a new law: the state should release property it owns – economists

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Johann Kirsten, Director of the Bureau for Economic Research, Stellenbosch University

    South Africa’s new Expropriation Act, which was signed into law by President Cyril Ramaphosa in January 2025, has been at the centre of a political storm set off by the new US administration under President Donald Trump.

    The Expropriation Act is not entirely new. It mainly updates the existing legislation from 1975 to align it with the constitution of democratic South Africa. But some have misinterpreted it as making room for land grabs by the state. That’s not what it does in reality. Property rights remain intact in South Africa.

    Hot on the heels of this furore has been a notice from the minister of land reform and rural development, Mzwanele Nyhontso, that the government is embarking on a new bit of legislation, the “Equitable Access to Land Bill”.

    There have been discussions over the last 10 years about developing a land reform framework bill or land redistribution bill. The main idea is to foster conditions that enable citizens to get access to land equitably. Land ownership was heavily skewed towards white people under apartheid.

    The parliamentary committee heard from the minister on 20 February 2025 that there were gaps between the white paper on South African land policy and existing legislation. The bill seeks to close the gaps. It would provide for, among other things, principles for access to land, access to land by the state and citizens, the identification and selection of beneficiaries, applications and records for land allocations, a register of agricultural land, notification of present land ownership, land ownership ceilings, a land tribunal and regulations.

    Based on our years of work on land reform and agricultural policy it’s unclear to us why such a bill is necessary. We believe there are two reasons a new law would be superfluous. Firstly, South Africa already has roughly 16 laws that address the issue of land. Secondly, policymakers tend to ignore the facts on land reform progress.

    It is hard not to view the obsession with new legislation by every new minister as a distraction from the core issues. The minister should be focusing on distributing the land the government has acquired to black farmers and give them title deeds. This will be sufficient effort to build an inclusive agricultural sector, while continuing with existing programmes of land acquisition from the open market.

    There are also other areas that should be reformed that would make a difference. These include making more finance available to aspirant black farmers and fixing the deeds office to reduce land registration times.

    What’s in place

    There should be no need for new legislation if one considers all the different pieces of legislation and government programmes that are already aimed at a more equitable distribution of land. There are at least 16 laws related to farm land and the restitution and redistribution process. These include:

    • Preservation and Development of Agricultural Land Act, signed into law in January 2025

    • State Land Disposal Act, 1961 (Act No. 48 of 1961)

    • Deeds Registries Act, 1937 (Act No. 47 of 1937)

    • Land Reform: Provision of Land and Assistance Act, 1993 (Act No. 126 of 1993)

    • Restitution of Land Rights Act, 1994 (Act No. 22 of 1994)

    • Communal Property Associations Act, 1996 (Act No. 28 of 1996)

    • Land Reform (Labour Tenants) Act, 1996 (Act No. 3 of 1996)

    • Protection of Informal Land Rights Act, 1996 (Act No. 31 of 1996)

    • Extension of Security of Tenure Act, 1997 (Act No. 62 of 1997).

    In addition, South African policymakers tend to ignore the facts on land reform progress.

    As we have argued before, the mix of government programmes to restore land rights and redistribute land has already addressed 25% of the total area of farm land defined and registered by formal title deeds. This means that 19.5 million hectares of the 77.5 million hectares of South Africa’s farm land have been affected by the government land reform programmes.

    There is an important nuance here: 2.5 million hectares have been acquired by the state and are now owned by the State Land Holding Account.

    Calls for the state to redistribute this land to black farmers have been falling on deaf ears, and black farmers continue to despair.

    The government has been slow to distribute the land it has acquired. This shows that the problem of South Africa’s land reform is not only about acquisition but also the distribution of land with title deeds to beneficiaries.

    Included in the total of 19.5 million hectares are private purchases of farm land by black South Africans. We estimate a total of 2.4 million hectares have been acquired in this way up to the end of 2024.

    These individuals used their own funds or borrowed funds to acquire the land without using any of the state programmes.

    Some answers

    We have always argued that the private transactions where no bureaucrats are involved happen much quicker than any government programmes. The table below shows the relevant statistics for the last four years and confirms the argument.

    The table shows that over the last four years private land transactions (that is without any involvement of bureaucrats) have contributed 32% to the total area of farmland transferred or restituted. The land claims process, in terms of the Restitution of Land Rights Act, has made the biggest contribution of 60% (with 36% of land restituted via financial compensation and 24% of land transferred to claimants). Other government land reform programmes made a very small contribution.

    Do we have more equitable access to farm land (or rural land) after 30 years of democracy? To answer this question, we need to take into account the occupation of farm land under traditional tenure arrangements and occupation on land owned by the state, including the South African Development Trust land as well as the land recently acquired by the state under the Proactive Land Acquisition Strategy programme, which is in most cases leased to black beneficiaries for short terms.

    In addition, we account for the land redistribution programme and the land transferred back to land claimants. The numbers below provide an interesting picture of black ownership of rural land in South Africa. In some provinces, equitable access has shown remarkable progress, as shown in the table below.

    Instead of a new law, this is what’s needed

    First, access to affordable and preferential finance for land acquisition by black farmers would make an important contribution to equitable access. But no new law is needed to enable this. The answer lies in changing the way the Land Bank is funded so that it can provide affordable finance to aspirant farmers. This would be a game changer.

    Secondly, government should act on the president’s proposal to establish the Land Reform Agency, release more unused state land for agricultural use and change the regulations to facilitate private land donations to beneficiaries.

    Thirdly, fix the processes and data issues in the deeds office, which could reduce the time and costs to register property transfers.

    – Land reform in South Africa doesn’t need a new law: the state should release property it owns – economists
    – https://theconversation.com/land-reform-in-south-africa-doesnt-need-a-new-law-the-state-should-release-property-it-owns-economists-250674

    MIL OSI Africa –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    WILLIAMSPORT, Pa., Feb. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Richard A. Grafmyre CFP®, Chief Executive Officer of Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc., (NASDAQ:PWOD) has announced that the Company’s Board of Directors declared a first quarter 2025 cash dividend of $0.32 per share.

    The dividend is payable March 25, 2025 to shareholders of record March 11, 2025.

    About Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc.
    Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. is the bank holding company for Jersey Shore State Bank and Luzerne Bank. The banks serve customers in North Central and North Eastern Pennsylvania through their retail banking, commercial banking, mortgage services and financial services divisions. Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. stock is listed on the NASDAQ National Market under the symbol PWOD.

    Previous press releases and additional information can be obtained from the company’s website at www.pwod.com.

    Contact: Richard A. Grafmyre, Chief Executive Officer
    300 Market Street, Williamsport, PA, 17701
    (570) 322-1111
    (888) 412-5772
    pwod@pwod.com
    www.pwod.com

    The MIL Network –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: African Development Bank and Standard Bank Unite to Support Small, Medium, and Micro Enterprises (SMMEs) and Boost Trade

    Source: Africa Press Organisation – English (2) – Report:

    The African Development Bank Group (www.AfDB.org) and Standard Bank Group (SBG) on Monday signed a landmark financial agreement to enhance funding for small, medium, and micro enterprises (SMMEs) and expand trade across Africa.

    The agreement includes a R3.6 billion investment in a social bond and a $200 million Risk Participation Agreement (RPA) for Standard Bank of South Africa Limited (SBSA). This initiative strengthens Standard Bank’s lending capacity, ensuring greater access to finance for SMMEs, a critical driver of economic growth and job creation in South Africa.

    The social bond investment promotes inclusive economic development, particularly for SMMEs with a turnover below R300 million and loan sizes under R40 million. This financing will support up to 4,000 businesses, helping them scale operations, create jobs, and contribute to economic resilience.

    Kenny Fihla, Deputy Chief Executive Officer of Standard Bank Group and Chief Executive Officer of SBSA, welcomed the investment, stating: “This landmark partnership strengthens our ability to support SMMEs, the backbone of South Africa’s economy. With approximately 3.2 million SMMEs accounting for 60% of jobs, ensuring access to finance is crucial. This initiative aligns with our Sustainable Finance Framework and our commitment to financial inclusion.”

    In addition to the social bond, the $200 million RPA enhances trade finance across Africa, focusing on Low-Income Countries and Transition States. This agreement enables local banks to increase lending by sharing risk, bridging the trade finance gap, and promoting intra-African trade.

    Leila Mokaddem, Director General for Southern Africa at the African Development Bank, highlighted the broader impact: “This collaboration marks a significant milestone in our long-standing partnership and is a testament to our shared commitment to supporting SMMEs’ growth and enhancing trade finance across Africa. Expanding financial inclusion and trade opportunities empowers businesses to drive economic transformation and regional integration. The Standard Bank Group remains a strategic partner in our shared vision for economic development on the continent.”

    This initiative aligns with the African Development Bank’s Ten-Year Strategy (2024–2033), which prioritises industrialisation, regional integration, and improving the quality of life in Africa. It also supports Standard Bank’s Sustainable Finance Framework, reinforcing both institutions’ commitment to fostering green and inclusive growth.

    “We are proud of this transaction, demonstrating our shared commitment to sustainable financing. By supporting businesses, we create long-term economic opportunities and financial resilience,” stated Ahmed Attout, Director of the Financial Sector Development Department at the African Development Bank.

    Kenny Fihla reaffirmed the significance of the collaboration:

    “By providing much-needed capital, we are helping enterprises overcome challenges and thrive. This partnership illustrates the power of collaboration in driving meaningful economic and social change in Africa.”

    Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Development Bank Group (AfDB).

    For media inquiries, please contact:
    Natalie Naudé

    Communication and External Relations Department
    Email: media@afdb.org

    About the African Development Bank Group:
    The African Development Bank Group is Africa’s premier development finance institution. It comprises three distinct entities: the African Development Bank (AfDB), the African Development Fund (ADF) and the Nigeria Trust Fund (NTF). On the ground in 41 African countries with an external office in Japan, the Bank contributes to the economic development and the social progress of its 54 regional member states. For more information: www.AfDB.org

    Media files

    Download logo

    MIL OSI Africa –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: Mano River Union Delegation Studies Successful Border Post Model to Enhance Women’s Cross-Border Trade

    Source: Africa Press Organisation – English (2) – Report:

    ABIDJAN, Ivory Coast, February 25, 2025/APO Group/ —

    A Mano River Union (MRU) delegation recently concluded a successful study tour of the ‘Busia One Stop Border Post’ (OSBP) between Kenya and Uganda, gaining valuable insights into efficient cross-border trade systems that benefit women traders. The tour brought together women traders and border officials from Liberia and Sierra Leone, alongside representatives from the African Development Bank (www.AfDB.org).

    The Busia OSBPs, one of East Africa’s busiest border crossings, handling over 3,000 people and 900 vehicles crossing daily, has transformed cross-border trade since its establishment in 2018. The facility serves as a model for streamlined border procedures between Kenya and Uganda, demonstrating significant improvements in trade efficiency and women’s economic empowerment.

    Nelly Maina, Principal Gender Officer at the African Development Bank, who led the Bank delegation, said the Busia OSBP exemplified how structured trade facilitation and targeted support can drive economic empowerment for women in cross-border trade. “It brings out the importance of collaboration with government agencies and the provision of essential resources such as training, capacity building and infrastructure, and the development of inclusive policies that address women’s specific needs.”

    The tour was part of the African Development Bank-funded Building Inclusive Business Ecosystems for Stabilization and Transformation (BI-BEST) project, which aims to empower 1,500 women traders in Liberia and Sierra Leone. The project focuses on enhancing participation in cross-border value chains for resilient economic growth and social cohesion.

    The delegation held discussions with Kenya’s Ministry of Investments, Trade and Industry, the National AfCFTA Committee, TradeMark Africa, Busia Border management authorities, and local women cross-border traders, who shared their experiences of the OSBP’s transformative impact.

    Women traders from Kenya and Uganda detailed how the OSBP, operational since 2018, has enhanced their ability to conduct business seamlessly across borders. “I buy Irish potatoes in Kenya and bring them to Uganda, then purchase maize in Uganda and return it to Kenya. I am now a fully-fledged cross-border trader, enlightened and sensitized,” said Mercy Mugo, a trader in Busia town.

    Another trader, Florence Atieno, emphasized the broader social benefits of an inclusive trade environment: “We believe that by addressing the critical needs of women in trade, we can positively impact the community and promote the overall economic well-being.”

    Delegates from Sierra Leone and Liberia found the experience particularly inspiring. Betty R. Kamara from Sierra Leone noted: ” I am impressed by how Kenyan women collaborate with security officials and manage their businesses alongside childcare responsibilities. Similarly, Esther Tamba from Liberia stated: “I will meet with my women’s association, Good Seeds, in Liberia to share the lessons learned from Kenyan women traders.

    The tour highlighted the critical role of infrastructure and policy in creating a safer, more inclusive trade environment for women. For example, at the Busia OSBP, a daycare center has been established to support women traders and local business owners, many of whom previously had to carry their infants to markets – exposing them to risks such as child trafficking, accidents, and abuse. This center now provides accessible, affordable childcare, enabling women to focus on trade, entrepreneurship, and employment.

    According to the joint border management committee, the Busia OSPB has transformed cross-border trade. Before its establishment, traders endured long clearance queues and complex bureaucratic procedures, with women particularly vulnerable to security risks and lacking storage facilities for unsold goods. Many relied on intermediaries to facilitate their passage. Today, simplified trade Regimes (STRs), certificates of origin, and other accessible documentation have replaced lengthy procedures, allowing women to manage their transactions independently. A dedicated reporting desk now enables women to voice their concerns, while new facilities—including lactation rooms and secure storage spaces—enhance their trading experience. 

    Through continuous sensitization efforts by the Kenyan and Ugandan governments and the private sector, women traders are now more informed about their rights and available resources. Training sessions provide guidance on trade procedures, documentation requirements, and trader rights, fostering a more inclusive trading environment.

    “By applying these insights within the MRU, we look forward to contributing to an inclusive business ecosystem in the West Africa region,” said Sierra Leone’s Betty Kamara.

    MIL OSI Africa –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: Students of SPbGASU were told about financial instruments of the money market

    Translartion. Region: Russians Fedetion –

    Source: Saint Petersburg State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering – Saint Petersburg State University of Architecture and Civil Engineering –

    On February 24, third-year students of the Faculty of Economics and Management of SPbGASU listened to a lecture on “Financial Instruments of the Money Market”. The event took place in the office of SRO A “Association of Builders of St. Petersburg”.

    First Deputy General Director Boris Lysich introduced the speakers – employees of Uralsib Bank: Director of Development and Mentoring from the Premium Bank Department Milana Semikopenko and financial consultant Dmitry Koveshnikov. Boris Ivanovich informed the students about the opportunity to do an internship at the bank, as well as to choose a topic for their diploma work that is close to the banking sector.

    During the lecture, students learned what shares are for, what denomination Russian bonds have, whether it is worth buying yuan, and much more.

    “A very useful lecture! We had heard about financial instruments, but we were not familiar with them in such detail,” shared her opinion Daria Pilyugina.

    “I liked everything. Complex things were explained in simple language,” said Sergei Kotov.

    As Associate Professor of the Department of Management in Construction Alexandra Prikhodko explained, the lecture was held within the framework of the topic “The Economic Essence of Benchmarking” in the course “Benchmarking in Construction”.

    According to Alexandra Nikolaevna, the importance of such events is in immersing students in professional topics and the opportunity to personally communicate with professionals representing real market segments: “Working to improve students’ financial literacy is an important task both in general and in the context of each discipline related to management practices. A modern manager must have complete knowledge, including in the field of financial instruments. And the experience of leading construction companies, their ups and downs, is invaluable material that must be learned from and conclusions drawn. This will certainly help our guys in their professional careers. In addition, the example of young and successful specialists who come to the SRO site to meet with students, such as our guests today, inspires and serves as an excellent example.”

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: Guaranteed Rate Affinity Launches “Hi-Five in 2025” to Celebrate How It Makes Home Financing Easy

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    CHICAGO, Feb. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Guaranteed Rate Affinity, a leading mortgage provider offering unparalleled lending services through its exclusive partnership with Coldwell Banker, is launching Hi-Five in 2025, a nationwide initiative celebrating how the company makes the mortgage process easier than ever for real estate agents and homebuyers.

    Hi-Five in 2025, kicking off the week of February 25, 2025, is a first-of-its-kind engagement campaign designed to bring together loan officers and industry agents—including our partners at Coldwell Banker—in a fun, high-energy setting. At its core, this initiative is about strengthening the partnerships that drive our success, helping loan officers and agents grow their businesses together while making the mortgage process easier than ever. That optimism is rooted in direct feedback—623 customer surveys in the past year included the word “easy” to describe their experience with Guaranteed Rate Affinity. To celebrate this standout service and collaboration, the company is rolling out National Hi-Five Day, featuring agent-hosted events, social media activations, and exclusive event kits designed to spark engagement and connection.

    “At Guaranteed Rate Affinity, we know that the more agents and homebuyers get to know us, the more they love us,” said Dave Dickey, President of Guaranteed Rate Affinity. “Hi-Five in 2025 is our way of celebrating that trust by saying ‘hi’ to as many agents as we can and showing them what sets us apart. With our digital mortgage process, rapid approvals, and expert loan officers, we take the stress out of financing a home—and that’s worth a high-five.”

    As part of the initiative, Guaranteed Rate Affinity loan officers will host upscale networking events across the country, each featuring an engaging 15-20 minute presentation, interactive elements, and a happy hour-style social gathering. The company has also created Event in a Box kits—including selfie frames, foam hands, and branded materials—to equip loan officers with everything they need to create a memorable experience.

    The #HiFiveIn2025 campaign will encourage loan officers and agents to share their experiences on social media, amplifying the excitement and driving engagement within the real estate community.

    About Guaranteed Rate Affinity

    Guaranteed Rate Affinity is a joint venture between Guaranteed Rate, Inc. and Anywhere Integrated Services (NYSE: HOUS), which owns some of the industry’s most recognized and respected real estate brands. The innovative JV has funded over $100 billion in loans since its inception. Guaranteed Rate Affinity originates and markets its mortgage lending services to Anywhere’s real estate, brokerage, and relocation subsidiaries.

    Guaranteed Rate Affinity provides unmatched support to Anywhere brokers coast-to-coast, ensuring their customers receive fast pre-approvals, appraisals, and loan closings, creating the ability for buyers to move quickly and confidently when purchasing homes in today’s competitive market. The company also provides the same services to the public and other real estate brokerage and relocation companies across the country—helping employers improve their employees’ relocation experience by prioritizing customer service, digital mortgage ease, and competitive rates.

    Guaranteed Rate owns a controlling 50.1% stake in Guaranteed Rate Affinity, and Anywhere owns 49.9%. Visit grarate.com for more information.

    Media Contact:
    press@rate.com

    The MIL Network –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: Bottomline Wins Cross-Border Payment Company of the Year

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    PORTSMOUTH, N.H., Feb. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Bottomline, a global leader in business payments, has been awarded “Cross-Border Payment Company of the Year: North America” by International Banker. The category recognizes organizations that use innovative technologies, strategic partnerships, and operational excellence to improve financial connectivity across the globe.

    International Banker relies on nominations from its readers to identify financial institutions and banking technology providers worldwide that demonstrate significant impact and operate at the forefront of the industry. Award judges recognized Bottomline’s Universal Aggregator solution and its value-add overlay services for addressing cross-border payment challenges, such as high costs, slow processing times, limited accessibility, and lack of transparency.

    Aimed at helping banks and Payment Service Providers (PSPs) compete more effectively, Bottomline introduced Bottomline Universal Aggregator (UA)—a fully hosted, API-enabled SaaS platform designed to deliver global connectivity services. Through this single platform, financial institutions and enterprise corporates have an “easy plug-in” to an array of payment clearing and settlement systems around the world.

    “In a world where connectivity knows no bounds and geography is just a backdrop, we are dedicated to empowering our customers,” says Vitus Rotzer, global product lead for Bottomline’s financial messaging solutions. “Our mission is to arm customers with solutions to navigate the complexities of ever-evolving regulations, embrace new file formats, adapt to emerging payment schemes, and build resilience against the constant threat of fraud.”

    As a global business payments leader, Bottomline is honored to serve 16 of the top 20 US banks with its products. Moreover, six top US banks use elements of UA’s connectivity services.

    About Bottomline
    Bottomline helps businesses transform the way they pay and get paid. A global leader in business payments and cash management, Bottomline’s secure, comprehensive solutions modernize payments for businesses and financial institutions globally. With over 35 years of experience, moving more than $16 trillion in payments annually, Bottomline is committed to driving impactful results for customers by reimagining business payments and delivering solutions that add to the bottom line. Bottomline is a portfolio company of Thoma Bravo, one of the largest software private equity firms in the world, with more than $166 billion in assets under management. For more information visit www.bottomline.com.

    Trademarks
    Bottomline and the Bottomline logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of Bottomline Technologies, Inc. All other trademarks, brand names or logos are the property of their respective owners.

    Contact: Heather Pavliga
    Bottomline
    pr@bottomline.com

    The MIL Network –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Video: ECB Governing Council Press Conference – 6 March 2025

    Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

    ECB President Christine Lagarde explains the Governing Council’s monetary policy decisions and will answer questions from journalists at the Governing Council press conference to be held on 6 March 2025 at 14:45 CET in Frankfurt am Main.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yTo9ceNZrOQ

    MIL OSI Video –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Yannis Stournaras: Euro area challenges in an uncertain geopolitical landscape

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Your Excellencies, distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen,

    It is a pleasure and an honour to be here with you today at this esteemed gathering to discuss some of the most pressing challenges confronting the euro area. I would like to extend my deepest gratitude to His Excellency the Ambassador of Poland and to the Embassy of Poland in Athens for hosting this important event, and for your continued commitment to fostering dialogue on issues that affect all of us in Europe. As we navigate through the complexities of our interconnected economies, the euro area finds itself at a critical juncture. In many ways, we are at a crossroads, where the decisions we make today will significantly shape the economic future of Europe for generations to come.

    Europe has emerged from the pandemic susceptible and weakened. Growth in the euro area has been disappointing in 2023 and 2024, at about 0.5% and 0.7% respectively, low on the basis of whatever criteria one would apply. A key factor underlying the tepid economic activity in the euro area in the last two years was weak business investment, which has been basically flat, if we exclude volatile business investment in Ireland. This starkly contrasts with the situation in the US, where business investment has grown almost three times faster than in the euro area in the post-pandemic period since the end of 2021.

    And, if anything, our projections for growth in 2025, at around 1%, clearly do not point to a strong pick-up in activity. In fact, more recent data, like the stagnation of GDP in the last quarter of 2024, already raise questions about the growth dynamics this year. Surveys indicate that manufacturing is still contracting and growth in services is slowing. Firms are holding back on investments, and exports remain weak, with some European industries struggling to remain competitive.

    This picture of subpar growth seems to reflect a series of long-standing structural impediments in the euro area, combined with unusually adverse global geopolitical factors as well as by political issues in some euro area countries, including the largest economies. War is waging on European soil, political gridlock hinders the ability to press ahead with reforms, while extremist political views are gaining ground across the continent.

    Of course, our restrictive but necessary monetary policy stance in the recent past, aimed at counteracting inflationary pressures, has also contributed to the weak growth developments of the euro area. In this sense, the easing interest rate path on which we have embarked should support activity. The good news is that the disinflation process remains well on track. Inflation has fallen rapidly from a peak of about 10.5% in October 2022 to 2.5% in January 2025 and is still trending downwards, despite some upward base effects in recent months, driven by oil and natural gas prices. What I find particularly encouraging is the fact that core inflation is at the moment a bit lower than we had expected in our latest projections. Core inflation is that part of inflation that excludes the most volatile components for which monetary policy has little, if any, impact. And this means that the past monetary policy tightening has done its job in taming inflation. It is also encouraging that, despite a very tight labour market and unemployment rates at historical lows, compensation per employee growth is easing. This is safeguarding a downward inflation path, also for services that are typically more labour-intensive compared to goods and, thus, their inflation is more persistent.

    Our December 2024 Eurosystem staff projections expect inflation to average 2.1% in 2025 and to return sustainably to our target in late 2025. Unless unexpected contingencies materialise, the ECB’s key interest rate through which we steer the monetary policy stance, the deposit facility rate, could fall to around 2% in the course of 2025 from its current level of 2.75%. Obviously, the sequence, pace and magnitude of interest rate cuts remain data-driven and will continue to be decided meeting by meeting.

    Overall, the balance of macroeconomic risks in the euro area has shifted from concerns about high inflation to concerns about low growth. In my view, the euro area is in danger of losing its economic footing, if it has not already done so. We have failed to rival US tech giants, while our economies are stagnating, facing strained public finances. Our region has grown at an average quarterly pace of 0.3% in the last 12 quarters. To put it into context, the US economy has expanded by a far more over the same period. And, to add to our own problems, the new US President seems to implement his election campaign declarations regarding import tariffs.

    Time is running out. We are facing, as ECB President Lagarde put it in Davos a few weeks ago, an existential crisis. There is an urgency for immediate action and collaborative efforts to effectively address Europe’s challenges at home and abroad. In the remainder of my speech, I would like to emphasise several major areas of concern that need to be addressed in priority.

    The first area is competitiveness. Productivity growth in the euro area has nearly stalled, constrained by unfavourable demographics, labour market rigidities in many countries, and weak capital growth. This also stems from Europe’s lagging business and investment dynamism. Europe has yet to match its global peers in channelling sufficient resources into innovation and productive economic activity, while energy remains expensive. European manufacturers pay about twice as much for electricity as their counterparts in the US. Meanwhile, the needs for electricity of an expanding digital economy will be enormous. Supercomputing infrastructure for artificial intelligence is becoming a geopolitical battleground, and the EU sovereigns must build capacity to reduce strategic dependence on foreign big tech companies.

    According to the 2024 European Investment Bank Investment Survey, capacity expansion has been a greater driver of investment in the US than in the euro area, where the primary focus in the latter remained on replacement. Euro area R&D investment was focused on mature industries, such as cars and equipment, while it has been increasingly concentrated in Information and Communication Technology (ICT)-based activities in the US, such as data centres and AI-related facilities. Intangible investment is key for productivity and value added growth, likely contributing to the widening productivity gap between the two jurisdictions, and impacting also potential output growth differentials.

    The road to a robust recovery for the European economy demands mobilising the substantial private investment necessary to reignite growth and foster resilience. To keep pace with global competitors, Europe needs to prioritise a substantial boost in investment in the next few years and structural reforms aimed at enhancing long-term potential growth. Notably, increased spending in green and digital transitions, innovation and energy are paramount for making Europe more productive, competitive and resilient.

    What is in my view needed?

    First, a more harmonised, yet less burdensome, regulation in the EU – for example, regarding corporate law, insolvencies, taxation and labour law – would improve competitiveness without having to invest a single euro.

    Second, the promotion of a single market for capital is essential. The creation of a European Savings and Investments Union is a move in the right direction, as it can ensure a smooth flow of investment throughout our Union. Establishing common supervision of EU capital markets, integrating the highly segmented infrastructure of European financial markets, and standardising products for retail investment can mobilise both EU’s large savings and foreign capital. In addition, deepening the securitisation market and simplifying the relevant regulation can also contribute to attracting investors.

    Third, the completion of Banking Union, with the establishment of EDIS (European Deposit Insurance Scheme) and a Crisis Management Mechanism – CMDI, since a segmented banking sector can never achieve the efficiency and economies of scale gains of US banks.

    There is no doubt that enhanced financial integration can empower innovative firms at all stages of their development with the funding they need to scale up and thrive in a competitive global landscape, reducing their reliance on financing outside Europe. To this end, it is critical to provide investors with incentives for more risk capital, for example by overcoming the institutional and operational hurdles that make European venture capital firms underperform their US counterparts.

    Finally, a permanent fiscal capacity in Europe can successfully step up investments and growth-enhancing projects directed towards areas that bolster economic potential and resilience across Europe. In fact, the accomplishments of the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility offer a valuable blueprint for what can be achieved through coordinated and targeted fiscal initiatives. A clear illustration of this is the finding in the Draghi report that, despite public spending in research and innovation being similar in the EU and the US, it yields much lower dividends in the EU because it is fragmented and uncoordinated across countries.

    Related to that, we need to take a careful look at the factors that have inhibited private investment and, therefore, productivity. In this regard, two factors come to mind.

    First, it appears that some countries are simply not competitive because of structural impediments, such as over-regulation in some markets. I find it interesting that our fastest growing economies at present are those that have had to implement structural reforms during the past decade – countries such as Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and my own.

    Second, we should take a close look at the relationship between investment and our taxation policies. There may well be a need to better harmonise our tax policies in a way that provides an incentive to invest. 

    While these advances require addressing long-standing barriers and fragmentation across jurisdictions and sectors, they would also significantly improve the access of businesses to financing. By fostering business efficiency and resource reallocation to the most productive and competitive sectors, sustainable growth can be supported.

    To this end, we welcome the Commission’s roadmap on improving competitiveness that was released at the end of January 2025, the so-called Competitiveness Compass, which was based on recommendations by the Draghi report. An increase of productivity by closing the innovation gap is of paramount importance for the economic welfare of European citizens. So is investment in human capital through upskilling and reskilling, talent attraction and retainment, and effective integration of underutilised workers and immigrants into the labour force.

    Under President Lagarde’s leadership, the ECB’s Governing Council stands ready to play its part in this quest for higher productivity and competitiveness. First, by maintaining a low and predictable inflation environment, the ECB promotes confidence among businesses and investors and contributes to fostering investment and long-term capital allocation required for sustainable economic growth. Second, by removing in a timely manner layers of monetary policy restriction no longer necessary. With inflation sustainably settling around our target, easier financing conditions will be key in stimulating investment by making capital more accessible and affordable.

    The second area of concern for the euro area is the declared trade policy by the new President of the United States. Although the details of a potential imposition of US tariffs have yet to be disclosed, the prospect of an aggressive US trade policy, coupled with possible retaliatory measures, are likely to have far-reaching implications, adding to the euro area’s headwinds. With trade volumes between the EU and the US at 1.5 trillion euros, it is clear that US tariffs on Europe will be negative for growth. Market estimates suggest that a 10% US tariff on all imports from the euro area, coupled with higher uncertainty about future US-EU trade relations, could depress euro area GDP growth by up to 0.5 percentage points within a year. The magnitude of these adverse growth effects will depend, among other things, on the range of products subject to higher tariffs, how long these tariffs will persist, which retaliatory and counter-retaliatory measures will be put in place, and the feedback effects from global economic and financial conditions. Incidentally, both theory and practice suggest that tariffs is usually a loose-loose instrument, hence not only the US trade partners are bound to loose, but the US too.

    The impact of tariffs on euro area inflation is less straightforward, operating through various channels. On the one hand, a USD appreciation or a tariff retaliation on US goods from our side will make euro area imports from the US – as well as the bulk of total energy imports that is dollar-invoiced – more expensive, pushing up inflation. On the other hand, a possible re-direction of cheaper Chinese exports from the US to the EU market, due to a US-China trade war, would ceteris paribus accentuate the disinflation process in the euro area.

    In any case, uncertainty about geopolitical, trade and financial developments could significantly weigh on economic sentiment and confidence, further hindering consumption and investment from recovering. At the same time, trade constraints are likely to impact activity in the manufacturing sector, the sick man in Europe, prolonging the ongoing economic stagnation in our region. Completing the Single Market will help meet these challenges.

    Strengthening and extending Europe’s trade alliances is also essential to balance trade risks. Expanding bilateral and regional preferential trade agreements would foster cooperation with other countries and contribute to a functional, rule-based multilateral trade system. These steps are essential to boosting investment and fostering sustainable growth, while enhancing the resilience of our economies against external shocks.

    Turning to the pressing issue of climate adaptation and mitigation, it is clear that we are faced with “peak pessimism”. The US withdrawal from the global climate change negotiations and initiatives has been complemented with major banks and asset funds in the US and Europe distancing themselves from climate policies. We can all see the risks. But we also need to see the opportunities. Momentum for the energy transition needs to remain strong in our continent, and across the rest of the world. We have an even stronger case to double down on our own initiatives to bolster decarbonisation, while avoiding Europe’s deindustrialisation. Clean energy at competitive prices should be seen as a great opportunity to industrialise rather than the opposite. The European Commission’s plans for a Clean Industrial Deal and its intentions to streamline the sustainability reporting rules, without discounting on transparency, are good examples of how to balance the goal of greening the economy with that of preserving the EU’s industrial base and firms’ competitiveness.

    As supervisors, central banks can also make sure that the commercial banking sector is better positioned in managing climate risks. We can strengthen the credibility of our monetary policy in achieving our mandate, taking into consideration the implications of climate change for inflation and output. And last but not least, Europe ought to become again the key driver for green tech and finance, which takes me back to the imperative of the European Savings and Investment Union.

    Let me conclude by saying that a key prerequisite for economic prosperity is a safer and more secure Europe. We cannot thrive in an environment where security is fragile or compromised. The Polish EU Presidency in the first half of 2025 has rightly spotlighted the security challenge as central to Europe’s future. Reinforcing the EU’s civilian and military preparedness must be a priority, as it ensures the Union is resilient to a variety of threats, both internal and external. From preparing for natural disasters to building robust defence capacity and shielding our economies from modern threats, such as cyberattacks and critical infrastructure disruptions, are all vital to uphold economic stability and progress.

    In a world fraught with uncertainty about geopolitical, trade and financial developments, full of unknown unknowns, I cannot emphasise enough the urgency for immediate and coordinated steps to navigate these challenges effectively. The challenges we face may be complex but are not insurmountable. With a shared commitment to economic stability, growth and innovation, we can continue to build a more inclusive and sustainable European economy and strengthen our continent’s role in international diplomacy. I am confident that the ambitious programme of the Polish EU Presidency will yield positive outcomes and give Europeans a sense of security and optimism about the future of our economies.

    Thank you very much for your attention.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Ryozo Himino: An economy with positive interest rates

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Introduction

    After a quarter century with near zero or negative policy interest rates, the Japanese economy is transitioning to a state with positive rates. People have mixed feelings about a state that has been unknown for decades. Let me pose three questions regarding an economy with positive interest rates.

    I. What Kind of Economy to Anticipate?

    The first is the question of what kind of economy with positive interest rates to anticipate and what kind of path to pursue toward it. The difference between an economy with and without positive rates is not merely the presence or absence of positive rates. There are many possible forms of an economy with positive rates, and the path toward such an economy, including the causes and the speed of transition, can also be diverse.

    To explore what can lie behind positive policy rates, I would like to begin with a conceptual framework for policy rate setting (Chart 1). First, let us assume that economic activity is affected by the level of the real policy rate, which is the nominal policy rate minus inflation expectations. A central bank will set its nominal policy rate to attain the desired level of the real policy rate.

    The appropriate level of the real policy rate could be derived by adding to or subtracting from the natural rate of interest, the rate that is neutral to the economy, according to the policy stance toward how restrictive or accommodative the central bank desires its monetary policy to be. In the case of a central bank with a price stability mandate, the policy stance is set so as to bring the inflation rate in line with the price stability target.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Denis Beau: New payments landscape, but old challenges for central banks?

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Let me start with stating the obvious: globally, the payments ecosystem has experienced significant transformations in the last couple of decades. New technologies have transformed products and services offered on the retail payment market; the ecosystem has expanded with new entrants notably BigTechs and Fintechs, which have now become key links in the payments value chain; and we have seen the emergence of new DLT-based private settlement assets, in tandem with the emergence of the so-called “tokenisation of finance”.
     
    Speaking from the perspective of a central bank which has in its mandate to ensure the proper functioning of the payment system, these transformations have raised traditional policy challenges to help mitigate risks and harness benefits of those transformations, given their potentially two sided impacts on efficiency and safety of payments. At the Banque de France, they have been addressed with 2 convictions: first a regulatory framework is needed that is sufficiently demanding but innovation friendly, to ensure confidence in our payment system; second, central bank money must remain at the heart of settlement between intermediaries, which is most sensitive from a systemic risk perspective. But those transformations have also brought to payments a new strategic dimension, owing notably to their wide-ranging implications on market concentration, data protection and sovereignty. And the first weeks of the new US Presidency are blowing in favor of deregulation, new and private crypto-based settlement assets, against multilateralism and multilateral institutions, which may be adding new challenges going forward.

    Should this evolving payment landscape and policy environment lead us to alter in important ways the policies and tools we, central banks, have been using so far or considering using, like issuing Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)?

    It is likely that all central banks may not have the same answer to that question, but what I would like to do now is simply share with you my own view on that topic. In a nutshell my conviction is that the Banque de France policy stance and toolkit may require more of an adjustment than a thorough overhaul going forward. I would like to take 3 key features of our payment systems policy so far to illustrate my view: our central bank money services, the role we give to cooperation with other stakeholders, and our involvement in the innovation ecosystem.

    1 Central bank money services

    In the wholesale space, the security and efficiency of financial transactions between financial intermediaries importantly hinge on the nature of the settlement asset chosen.
     
    Lessons learned from past financial crises have underlined the critical importance of using secure settlement assets. In response, the Banque de France and many other central banks have committed to promoting the use of central bank money in the wholesale payments space. This commitment is reflected in Principle 9 of the CPMI-IOSCO’s Principles for financial market infrastructures (PFMIs). And we have been successful in the implementation of this policy, as central bank money is actually the very dominant settlement asset in the wholesale space, across many currency zones, starting with the euro area.

    However, as tokenisation of assets gains momentum, private settlement assets, particularly so-called “stablecoins”, are likely to become the settlement assets for those transactions, absent the availability of central bank money on Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT). In addition, the proliferation of uncoordinated settlement solutions resulting from the lack of public sector response to the tokenisation of finance could lead to increased liquidity fragmentation.

    This is why we have considered that we need to adapt the provision for the euro area of central bank money to the demands of an increasingly digital financial system, to prevent regression in the safety and efficiency of wholesale transactions. The urgency of such adaptation has certainly increased given the evolution of the geopolitical context I referred to earlier in my remarks.

    Since 2020, the Banque de France has been one of the first central banks to launch an ambitious experimental program focused on the use of wholesale central bank digital currency (CBDC) in various settlement processes for varied assets.

    Building on these experiments and promising outcome, the Eurosystem conducted a series of new experiments on the settlement of wholesale transactions in central bank money in 2024 with the active involvement of the Banque de France, Banca d’Italia and Bundesbank as solution providers. Actual settlement has been tested for the lifecycle management of securities and secondary market transactions. The Eurosystem will soon draw lessons from this work and I trust will roll out operational solutions rapidly, including on how to facilitate the provision of central bank money for wholesale transactions on DLT platforms.

    At the international level, the BDF remains actively involved in several initiatives on wholesale CBDCs for cross-border payments. Three key initiatives working as bricks and coordinated by the BIS Innovation Hubs epitomize those investigations. First, Project Rialto, which focuses on improving cross-border settlement efficiency. Then, Project Mandala, which addresses regulatory frictions in cross-border payments. Finally, Project Agorá, which examines how a programmable platform and the tokenisation of cross-border payments can enhance the existing correspondent banking model, thus prefiguring the concept of shared ledger.

    On the retail side, in the uncomfortable context of a lasting dependence on US payment solutions and networks, we have been since its inception supporting and involved in the digital euro project. We see it as an important one because it can provide a public alternative that preserves freedom of choice, sovereignty and competition in our euro area retail payment system. This new form of central bank money would be comparable to a “digital banknote”, preserving the characteristics of cash in the digital space – notably its privacy, resilience and inclusiveness. As you know, the Eurosystem is currently conducting a preparation phase – aimed at finalising the design, selecting potential suppliers and conducting experiments. At the same time, a democratic debate is underway in the Parliament and the Council. The decision to issue a digital euro has not yet been made and will only be taken once the legislative process comes to a conclusion.

    2 Cooperative approaches

    The second key feature of our payments policy is the reliance on cooperation across authorities and with private sector stakeholders. An important driver for this is related to the fact that payments are increasingly challenged by the fragmentation of the payment value chain and the rise of sophisticated fraud patterns. This context calls for regulators and supervisors to share knowledge and best practices to foster payments security. To that end, I believe that central banks have a key role to play in facilitating cooperation across authorities in charge of data protection, cybersecurity, regulation of telecommunication and digital platforms, together with the private sector.
     
    We have promoted and experienced successfully such cooperation in France for more than 20 years now, through the Observatory for the security of payment means. We therefore intend to maintain and extend it going forward at national level. We have just extended the participation to the OSPM to telcos and we plan to develop work with social media going forward. I believe that a dedicated forum on payment security at EU level could be usefully created on similar grounds.
     
    Another important driver is that digitalization and the increasing role of BigTechs in payments raise novel challenges in terms of level-playing field. This should encourage central banks to explore new avenues of cooperation with competition authorities. This is a path we have started to take, to prevent and address non-compliance practices in payments markets, for example in the card market with access issues to NFC antenna on iPhones, or in the choice and selection of payment brands under the Interchange Fee Regulation.

    The last driver I would like to mention is the increased dependence on non-European players in the euro-area payments market. In the uncertain geopolitical context we live in, payment sovereignty has become a key issue for public authorities, including central banks, for both retail and wholesale payments. This is why we and the other central banks of the Eurosystem have made the development of a pan-European payment solution an important goal of our retail payment strategy and that we support the roll-out of the European Payment Initiative (EPI) and its digital wallet, wero. The development of a digital euro as a platform for innovation could also contribute to this objective, allowing private payment solutions like wero to re-use its open standards to extend their reach and scale up. Furthermore, the provision of central bank money settlement for wholesale asset transactions on DLT platforms by the Eurosystem in the future months, and the development of a European Shared Ledger in the future years could directly contribute to this objective.

    3 Involvement in the innovation ecosystem

    A third and last key feature of our current payments policy I would like to mention is our active involvement in, and use of, technological innovations. I have already mentioned illustrations of that feature though the wide ranging CBDC experiments, based on DLTs we have been performing over the last years. But there are other fields we are involved in like AI, cybersecurity, post-quantum cryptography.

    Those experiments are run first to allow us to better understand those new technologies, building on dedicated resources and innovative tools we have put in place in-house, like our Lab, the Banque de France innovation center, and the Fintech Innovation center at the ACPR, or tools provided by others like the BIS, with its innovation hub, to which we actively contribute.

    The knowledge base developed though this active participation to the innovation ecosystem can then be usefully leveraged for the conduct of our traditional activities to ensure a safe and efficient payment system, as an overseer, catalyst or service provider. Indeed, it allows us to acquire a good command of technologies which may be driving important change in the payment landscape going forward.

    This operational model has served us well so far and we intend to keep it as a core feature of our payments policy.

    To conclude, let me share with you three convictions regarding the conditions under which the transformations underway of the payments landscape can bring sustainable benefits (from an efficiency and safety perspective), and how we can best contribute as central banks.

    First, we need a regulatory framework that does not stifle innovation but that is sufficiently demanding to ensure that stakeholders are reasonably protected, stability of our payment system is guaranteed and prevention of new system wide financial crisis is ensured.

    Second, within the remit of our mandate vis-a-vis payment systems, we need to persevere with the policy goals we have been pursuing so far, where new issues such as sovereignty have gained a critical importance, while adapting the tools we use to evolving and more challenging geopolitical circumstances. An important area for this will be the adaptation of central bank money services to the digital age of payments we are now facing, including in the form of CBDC. This is all the more warranted for us at the Banque de France that it could provide a stepping stone towards the provision of a new, decentralised and European infrastructure in the form of a European Shared Ledger that we have started considering with attention.

    Third, like in the past, collaboration will remain essential: between central banks, with authorities in other sectors and with market participants.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Zeljko Jović: Overview of recent monetary and macroeconomic trends in Serbia

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Ladies and gentlemen, esteemed members of the press, dear colleagues,

    Welcome to the presentation of the February Inflation Report.

    Allow me, first, to briefly summarise the year behind us. Just as the previous post-pandemic years, last year was marked by global uncertainty, heightened geopolitical tensions and rising protectionism. And yet it was the year in which global inflation, which remains elevated, was reined in. On top of this, inflation was contained without triggering global recession, though growth remains below-average in a number of countries, including in the euro area – a region particularly important for us. Even in such highly complex conditions, our country continued to demonstrate a high degree of resilience, and we successfully achieved all our objectives.

    • Most importantly, when it comes to monetary policy, in May 2024, we brought inflation back to the target tolerance band of 3±1.5%, consistent with expectations, while ensuring that it stays there in the remainder of the year.
    • This helped us support economic growth more directly by cautious monetary easing, more favourable borrowing conditions and accelerated lending.
    • A favourable growth outlook for our economy was an important feature of macroeconomic trends in 2024 – the growth measured 3.9% and was one of the highest in Europe. As we diversified growth sources and responded to challenges in an adequate and timely manner, GDP exceeded the prepandemic level by over 18%.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Rajeshwar Rao: Inaugural address – Second Annual Conference on Macroeconomics, Banking and Finance

    Source: Bank for International Settlements

    Introduction

    Good Morning All!

    I thank IIM, Kozhikode and the National Stock Exchange for inviting me to deliver the inaugural address at this Conference. The theme for the conference- “Finance for Growth Amid Creative Disruptions”-captures the essence of the transformation we are witnessing in the financial sector – not just in India but globally. Disruptions in finance are not new, but what sets this era apart is the unprecedented pace and scale of change, fuelled by digitalization, artificial intelligence, and the resulting confluence of these changes leading to emergence of new business models. These changes make it essential for us to understand how to harness them for sustainable economic growth.

    For India, this transformation is particularly significant as we strive towards Viksit Bharat 2047 – a vision of a developed and self-reliant economy. Our goal of becoming an advanced economy by 2047 will require us to effectively integrate technology with finance to deepen markets, expand financial inclusion, and drive economic productivity.

    Creative Disruption vis-à-vis Creative Destruction

    Innovation in finance has always been a double-edged sword-on one side, it drives efficiency and inclusion, but on the other, it can destabilize traditional structures if not managed well. This is where the distinction between creative disruption and creative destruction becomes crucial. While both terms may seem similar, they carry very different implications. Creative destruction, as popularized by economist Joseph Schumpeter, refers to the complete dismantling of old systems to make room for new ones. In contrast, creative disruption is a more nuanced process-it’s about evolving existing systems, refining them, and making them better through technological innovations. We are not simply looking to replace what exists but to transform it for the better.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Nations: IOM launches Islamic Philanthropy Fund to Aid Displaced Communities

    Source: International Organization for Migration (IOM)

    Riyadh, 25 February 2025 – The International Organization for Migration (IOM), today launched its Islamic Philanthropy Fund, a new initiative that aims to harness the power of Islamic charitable giving to support some of the world’s most vulnerable people.

    The Fund is an important milestone for IOM. As global crises worsen and human displacement increases, IOM is forging innovative ways to deliver lifesaving assistance to the more than 75 million people who have been uprooted by conflict, disaster, and insecurity.

    The launch of the Fund was announced just before the start of Ramadan, during an event at the United Nations House in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, attended by Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), Islamic Development Bank (IDB), diplomats, UN agencies and representatives from the private sector and Islamic philanthropy organizations.

    “With today’s complex crises displacing record numbers of people and causing immeasurable suffering, it’s critical to harness the spirit of Islamic charity to help alleviate suffering, empower communities to rebuild and thrive, and protect the dignity of people in need,” said IOM Director General Amy Pope.

    “We are both honored and excited to announce IOM’s Islamic Philanthropy Fund as a means to help us engage Muslims around the world and channel their contributions through a trusted and efficient platform, maximising their positive impact,” she added.

    In its inaugural year, the Fund is prioritizing the Sudan Emergency Response by delivering cash to displaced families, those stranded at borders, and communities in urgent need of humanitarian assistance.

    The conflict in Sudan has triggered the world’s largest displacement crisis, leaving more than 11.5 million people internally displaced, and nearly 30 million in need of urgent humanitarian aid.

    A newly established advisory Body provides ongoing guidance to ensure compliance and that the Fund operates with integrity, transparency, and impact.

    During the launch, IOM signed memorandums of understanding with the Organization of Islamic Cooperation and the International Islamic Fiqh Academy, boosting support for the Fund and helping to ensure its efficiency and impact.

    The Fund’s long-term vision is to provide a strong and sustainable source of income to support migrant and displaced communities around the world, upholding the safety and dignity of those affected.

    To donate to the Islamic Philanthropy Fund, please click here for Zakat donations and here for Ramadan giving.

    For more information, please contact:

    Kennedy Omondi Okoth, kokoth@iom.int

    Joe Lowry, jlowry@iom.int

    Tamim Elyan, telyan@iom.int

    MIL OSI United Nations News –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Central Bank of Bahrain grants Financing Company license to L2O B.S.C. (c)

    Source: Central Bank of Bahrain

    Central Bank of Bahrain grants Financing Company license to L2O B.S.C. (c)

    Published on 25 February 2025

    Manama, Kingdom of Bahrain – 25 February 2025 – The Central Bank of Bahrain (“CBB”) has granted “L2O B.S.C. (c)” a Financing Company license to operate in the Kingdom of Bahrain.

    Commenting on this announcement, Mr. Abdulla Haji, Director of Licensing Directorate at CBB, said “We are pleased to announce the issuance of a license to a new financing company in the Kingdom of Bahrain. The issuance of this license reflects CBB’s efforts in supporting development of the financial services sector while ensuring robust regulatory oversight, and its commitment to fostering a competitive financial ecosystem”.

    It is worth mentioning that the company aims to offer financing products that will assist customers in acquiring stable liquidity to ensure continuity of their personal or business needs.

    Share this

    MIL OSI Economics –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Global: Generative AI is most useful for the things we care about the least

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By John P. Nelson, Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Ethics and Societal Implications of Artificial Intelligence, Georgia Institute of Technology

    The creative process involves choices that lead artists to places they couldn’t have imagined. Eoneren/E+ via Getty Images

    Generative AI tools such as ChatGPT and Midjourney can produce text, images and videos far more quickly than any one person can accomplish by hand.

    But as someone who studies the societal impacts of AI, I’ve noticed an interesting trade-off: The technology can certainly save time, but it does so precisely to the extent that the user is willing to surrender control over the final product.

    For this reason, generative AI is probably most useful for things we care about the least.

    Ceding creative control

    Let’s use the example of AI image generators. You probably have a rough idea of how they work. Just type what you want – “a panda surfing,” “a piece of toast that is also a car” – and the generative tool draws it.

    But this glosses over the countless possible iterations of the desired image.

    Will the image appear as a watercolor painting or a pencil sketch? How lifelike will the panda be? How big is the wave? Is the toast-car parked or moving? Is there anyone inside of it?

    When the images are generated, these questions have been answered – but not by the user. Rather, the generative AI tool has “decided.”

    Of course, the user can be more specific: Imitate the style of Monet. Make the wave twice the height of the panda. Maybe the panda should look worried, since it isn’t used to surfing.

    You can also pop open an image editor and modify the output yourself, down to the individual pixel. But, of course, drafting detailed instructions and revising the image take time, effort and skill. Generative AI promises to lighten the load. But as every manager knows, exercising control is work.

    The devil is in the details

    In all art and expression, power lies in the details.

    In great paintings, not every brushstroke is planned – but each is carefully considered and accepted. And its overall effect on the viewer depends on all those considered brushstrokes together.

    Filmmakers shoot take after take of the same scene, each subtly or radically different. Only a small fraction of that footage makes it into the final cut – the fraction that the editors feel does the job best. Great artists use their judgment to ensure every detail helps to achieve the effect they want.

    Of course, there’s nothing new about putting someone else in charge of the details. People are used to delegating authority – even about matters of expression – to marketers, speechwriters, social media managers and the like.

    Generative AI makes a new sort of contractor available. It’s always on call, and in certain ways it is very technically competent.

    But compared with skilled humans, it has a limited ability to understand what you want. Moreover, it lacks intention, contemplation and the comprehensive mastery of detail that yield great expressive achievements – or even the comprehensive idiosyncrasy that spawns very unique ones.

    Ask ChatGPT for a film script, plus casting and shooting instructions. It will give you neither Francis Ford Coppola’s masterpiece “The Godfather” nor Tommy Wiseau’s bizarre “The Room.”

    You could, perhaps, approach a masterpiece, or a true oddity. But to do so, you’d have to exercise more and more time, more and more effort, and more and more control.

    An era of ‘cheap speech’

    What generative AI makes possible, above all, is low-effort, low-control expression.

    In the time I took to write and revise this article, I could have used ChatGPT to generate 200 grammatically correct, well-structured articles, and then I could have posted them online without even reading them. I wouldn’t have had to carefully parse each word and decide whether it really helped me make my point. I wouldn’t have even had to decide whether I agreed with any of the AI-generated write-ups.

    This is not a merely hypothetical example. Low-quality, AI-generated e-books of ambiguous provenance are already making their way into online vendors’ catalogs – and into the libraries those vendors serve.

    Similarly, using image generators, I could now flood the internet with superficially appealing images, dedicating only a fraction of a second to decide whether any of them express what I want them to express or achieve what I want them to achieve.

    But in doing so, I would not just be skipping over drudgery. Writing, drawing and painting are not just labor but processes of considering, reviewing and deciding exactly what I want to put out into the world. By skipping over those processes, I surrender that decision-making process to the AI tool.

    Some scholars argue that the internet has produced an era of “cheap speech.” People no longer have to invest a lot of resources – nor even face the judgment of their neighbors – to broadcast whatever they want to the world.

    With generative AI, expression is even cheaper. You don’t even have to make things yourself to put them out into the world. For the first time in human history, the ability to produce writing, art and expression has been decoupled from the necessity of actually paying attention to what you’re making or saying.

    Generative AI allows you to blow through the thousands of little decisions that go into a work of art.
    C.J. Burton/The Image Bank via Getty Images

    When intention and effort matter

    I suspect that great art, journalism and scholarship will still demand great attention and effort. Some of that effort may even include custom-developing AI tools tailored to an individual artist’s concerns.

    But unless people become much better at curation, great work will be increasingly difficult to locate amid the flood of low-effort content, which is also known as “AI slop.”

    It’s appropriate that generative AI becomes more useful the sloppier its users are willing to be – that is, the less they care about the details.

    I could end with some dire prognosis – that working artists and writers will be replaced with mediocre automation, that online discourse will get even stupider, that people will isolate themselves in personalized cocoons of AI-generated media.

    All these things are possible. But it’s probably more useful to offer a suggestion to you, the reader.

    When you need an image or a piece of writing, take a moment to decide: How important are the details? Would the process of making this yourself, or working with a collaborator or contractor, be useful? Would it yield a better output, or give me the chance to learn, or begin or strengthen a relationship, or help you reflect on something important to you?

    In short, is it worth putting in real care and effort? The answer will not always be yes. But it often will.

    Art, writing, films – these are not just products, but acts. They are things humans make, through a process of thousands of little decisions that encompass what we stand for and what we want to say.

    So when it comes to art, expression and argument, if you want it done right, it’s probably still best to do it yourself.

    John P. Nelson does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. Generative AI is most useful for the things we care about the least – https://theconversation.com/generative-ai-is-most-useful-for-the-things-we-care-about-the-least-249329

    MIL OSI – Global Reports –

    February 26, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Global: If US attempts World Bank retreat, the China-led AIIB could be poised to step in – and provide a model of global cooperation

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Tamar Gutner, Associate Professor, American University

    Donald Trump is no fan of international organizations. Just hours after taking office on Jan 20, 2025, the U.S. president announced his intention to withdraw from the World Health Organization and the Paris agreement on climate change.

    Could the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank be next?

    Certainly, supporters of the twin institutions – that have formed the backbone of global economic order for 80 years – are concerned. A Trump-ordered review of Washington’s support of all international organizations has led to fears of the U.S. reducing funding or pulling it altogether.

    But any shrinking of U.S. leadership in international financial institutions would, I believe, run counter to the administration’s ostensible geopolitical goals, creating a vacuum for China to step into and take on a bigger global role. In particular, weakening the World Bank and other multilateral development banks, or MDBs, that have a large U.S. presence could present an opportunity for a little-known, relatively new Chinese-led international organization: the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank – which, since its inception, has supported the very multilateralism the U.S. is attacking.

    AIIB’s paradoxical role

    The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) was created by China nine years ago as a way to invest in infrastructure and other related sectors in Asia, while promoting “regional cooperation and partnership in addressing development challenges by working in close collaboration with other multilateral and bilateral development institutions.”

    Since then, it has served as an example of an international body willing to deeply cooperate with other major multilateral organizations and follow international rules and norms of development banking.

    This may run counter to the image of Beijing’s global efforts portrayed by China hawks, of which there are many in the Trump administration, who often present a vision of a China intent on undermining the Western-led liberal international order.

    But as a number of scholars and other China experts have suggested, Beijing’s strategies in global economic governance are often nuanced, with actions that both support and undermine the liberal global order.

    As I explore in my new book, it is clear that today the AIIB is a paradox: an institution connected to the rules and norms of the liberal international order, but one created by an illiberal government.

    Chinese Finance Minister Lou Jiwei speaks during the signing ceremony of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank on Oct. 24, 2014, in Beijing.
    Takaki Yajima-Pool/Getty Images

    The AIIB is deeply tied to the rules-based order as displayed through its many cooperative connections with other major multilateral development banks, such as the World Bank and the Japan-led Asian Development Bank.

    As such, the AIIB may present a Chinese counterpoint in a landscape where U.S. leadership is receding.

    The cooperative design of the AIIB

    For decades, multilateral development banks have served the important task of lending billions of dollars a year to support economic and social development.

    They can be vital sources of funding for poverty reduction, inclusive economic growth and sustainable development, with a newer emphasis on climate change. These international lenders have also been remarkably durable in today’s climate of fragmentation and crisis, with member nations actively considering ways of further strengthening them.

    At the same time, MDBs perennially face criticism from civil society organizations who highlight areas of weak performance and are concerned about potential downsides of the major MDBs’ greater emphasis on working more closely with the private sector. MDB expert Chris Humphrey has also noted that major “MDBs were built around a set of geopolitical and economic power relationships that are coming apart before our eyes.”

    When Chinese President Xi Jinping in 2013 proposed creating the AIIB to lend for infrastructure development in Asia, there was a lot of suspicion among major nations about China’s intentions.

    The Obama administration responded to the move by urging other countries not to join. Its concern was that China would use lending to gain further influence in the region, but without adhering to strong environmental and social standards.

    Nonetheless, all the other major nonborrowing nations, with the exception of Japan, joined the new bank. Today, the AIIB is the second-largest multilateral development bank in terms of member countries, behind only the World Bank. It currently has 110 member nations, which translates to over 80% of the global population. With US$100 billion in capital, it is one of the medium-sized multilateral lenders.

    From the get-go, the AIIB was designed to be cooperative. Jin Liqun, who became the bank’s first president, is a longtime multilateralist with a long career at China’s finance ministry and past positions on the boards of the World Bank and the Global Environmental Facility, as well as a vice presidency of the Asian Development Bank.

    The international group of experts that helped design the AIIB also included former executive directors and staff from the IMF and other development banks, as well as two Americans with long careers at the World Bank who played leading roles in designing the bank’s articles of agreement and its environmental and social framework.

    How the AIIB took its cue from others

    The bank fits into the landscape of other multilateral development banks in a variety of ways. The AIIB’s charter is directly modeled on the Asian Development Bank’s foundation, and built into the AIIB’s charter is the bank’s mission of promoting “regional cooperation and partnership in addressing development challenges.”

    The AIIB shares similar norms and policies with other major multilateral development banks, including its environmental and social standards.

    Alongside borrowing foundational principles, the AIIB also works in close conjunction with its peers. The World Bank initially ran the AIIB’s treasury operations. The AIIB has also co-financed a high percentage of its projects with other multilateral development banks, particularly in its first years.

    In a recent sign of cooperation, in 2023, a deal between the AIIB and World Bank’s International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) saw the AIIB issue up to $1 billion in guarantees against IBRD sovereign-backed loans. This increased the IBRD’s ability to lend more money, while diversifying the AIIB’s loan portfolio.

    As of Feb. 6, 2025, the AIIB has 306 approved projects totaling $59 billion. Energy and transportation are its two largest sectors of lending. Recently approved projects include loans to support wind power plants in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, and a solar plant in India. India, which has a bumpy relationship with China, is one of the bank’s largest borrowers, along with Turkey and Indonesia.

    Cooperating and competing with China

    From its birth until recently, the multilateral AIIB has repeatedly distinguished itself from China’s bilateral initiatives. Chief among those is China’s Belt and Road Initiative, an umbrella term for infrastructure lending by Chinese institutions that has been criticized for lacking transparency and accountability.

    Indeed, some Belt and Road Initiative-linked projects have faced concerns about corruption, costs and the opacity of the loan agreements.

    In the past several years, the AIIB has made more mention of synergy with Belt and Road lenders, and the bank now hosts the secretariat of a facility, the Multilateral Cooperation Center for Development Finance, that offers grants and support to developing countries seeking to finance infrastructure in countries where Belt and Road lending takes place. This may blur the line between the AIIB and lending under the Belt and Road umbrella, but it does not appear to weaken the bank’s standards.

    Concerns about the level of Chinese government influence at the AIIB are not new. Canada froze its ties with the bank in June 2023, pending a review of allegations by a Canadian staff member, who dramatically quit after accusing the bank of being dominated by members of China’s Communist Party.

    No other member nations expressed such concern, and Canada has not yet published any review. A group of AIIB executive directors oversaw an internal review that found no evidence to support the allegations.

    As the new U.S. administration formulates its policies toward China, it would do well to take into account the variation in China’s strategies in global economic governance, as a recognition of areas of cooperation, competition and conflict requires more nuanced responses. In many areas, the U.S. will both cooperate and compete with China.

    Paradoxically, any moves by the Trump administration to pull back from multilateral organizations may leave the AIIB, whether or not it is an anomaly, in a position to offer a better model of cooperation than leading multilateral development banks with a powerful U.S. role.

    Tamar Gutner does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. If US attempts World Bank retreat, the China-led AIIB could be poised to step in – and provide a model of global cooperation – https://theconversation.com/if-us-attempts-world-bank-retreat-the-china-led-aiib-could-be-poised-to-step-in-and-provide-a-model-of-global-cooperation-244595

    MIL OSI – Global Reports –

    February 26, 2025
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