Category: Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Central Bank of Bahrain grants license to Mena Industrial Bank

    Source: Central Bank of Bahrain

    Published on 2 March 2025

    Manama, Kingdom of Bahrain – 2 March 2025 – The Central Bank of Bahrain (“CBB”) has granted “Mena Industrial Bank B.S.C. (c)” a Conventional Wholesale Bank license to operate in the Kingdom of Bahrain.

    Commenting on this announcement, Mr. Abdulla Haji, Director of Licensing Directorate at CBB, said “We are pleased to announce the issuance of a license to a new wholesale bank in Bahrain. This reflects the Kingdom’s continued appeal as a regional and international financial hub in attracting direct investments in the financial services sector. It also reflects CBB’s commitment to maintain a robust and progressive financial regulatory framework that supports economic growth, financial stability, and innovation”.

    The Bank will provide wholesale banking and trade finance solutions to corporations, government entities, and high-net-worth individuals, locally and regionally.

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  • MIL-OSI Economics: Samsung Solidifies its Mobile AI Leadership at MWC 2025: From Galaxy AI to Software-Centric Networks

    Source: Samsung

    Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. is set to redefine mobile AI experiences at Mobile World Congress 2025, taking place at Fira Gran Via, Barcelona on March 3-6. Samsung’s Mobile eXperience (MX) and Networks businesses will present their latest AI innovations, including the next evolution of Galaxy AI1 and its software-centric networks.
    Samsung’s vision to deliver a true AI companion through advanced mobile AI innovation will be on full display at MWC, from the Galaxy S25 series to the new Galaxy A series and its first XR headset, Project Moohan. This includes an exclusive look at Galaxy S25 Edge, the slimmest Galaxy S series device ever, which advances Samsung’s legacy of pioneering cutting-edge hardware innovation. Visitors will also be able to explore how AI is shaping the future of health and home life, setting a new standard for intelligent, connected living. These transformative AI advancements are backed by Samsung’s core promise of uncompromising security and privacy at every level for its users.
    Experiencing the Full Potential of Galaxy S25
    Leading the paradigm shift of mobile AI phones, the new Galaxy S25 series transforms the way people get things done, create, and play. Beyond its AI advancements, the Galaxy S25 series also brings its state-of-the-art camera capabilities and performance to the forefront, with hands-on experiences demonstrating the power and speed that form the foundation of every Galaxy device.
    In a space highlighting how Galaxy S25 acts as an indispensable AI companion helping to get tasks done more seamlessly, visitors will get to see and experience.

    • Seamless experience across apps2: See how tasks like summarizing a YouTube video into Samsung Notes or quickly finding and sharing restaurant details via Messages become effortless with a single voice command – now available on Samsung, Google, and select third-party apps.
    • Circle to Search3 with Google: Enjoy famous art pieces on display by instantly finding more context with a simple gesture.
    • Gemini Live4: Use natural conversation for brainstorming, learning, and rehearsing with real-time responses and support for images, files, and YouTube videos.
    • Now Brief5: Check out the personalized content snapshot based on tailored insights, as well as proactive recommendations through Now Bar6.
    The experience continues with Galaxy S25’s advanced camera technology and introduces new ways to create, including:
    Drawing Assist:7 Users can take content creation to the next level with intelligent sketch refinement and enhancement.
    Gallery Search:8 Natural language-based search makes it easier than ever to find memories in situations.
    Filters: Unique portrait effects and explore new filter options, add a personal touch to photos taken in portrait mode.
    The last zone, featuring new ways to play, will give visitors a closer look at:
    Snapdragon® 8 Elite for Galaxy: The customized chipset in collaboration with Qualcomm pushes its performance to the limit, ensuring high-speed gameplay, enhanced responsiveness, and high-quality visuals for even the most demanding titles.
    Alongside the Galaxy S25 series, visitors can see Samsung’s ultimate hardware innovation featuring the most ultra-slim design yet on Galaxy S25 Edge.
    With its commitment to democratizing the mobile AI experiences, Samsung will unveil the new Galaxy A series, — including the Galaxy A56 5G, A36 5G, and A26 5G — which integrates Awesome Intelligence, making latest powerful Galaxy AI technology accessible to even more users. The Galaxy A series also takes the camera experience to a new level with creator-focused tools including the fan-favorite Object Eraser. Expanding Samsung’s AI-driven innovations, the new A series delivers reliable performance and long-term value, supported by six generations of OS upgrades and six years of security updates for an ever-evolving, always-secure experience that lasts.
    Elevating Everyday Life With AI
    Visitors at MWC 2025 will also have the chance to explore how Samsung is enhancing everyday life at home and bringing new levels of control and insight into users’ health journey with intelligent, connected experiences.
    In a zone all about new ways to stay healthy, the types of AI-driven daily health insights at Galaxy S25 users’ fingertips will be on display, including Energy Score, Wellness Tips, and Sleep Insights. These features offer detailed and personalized health experiences that provide a holistic view of the user’s health status all tailored to individual health data and interests. With examples showing seamless integration with connected apps like SmartThings and Samsung Food, users can see how Samsung is working to build an end-to-end healthcare experience that simplifies wellness for everyone.
    The booth will also bring to life new AI-powered capabilities that allow users to safely and conveniently manage the home through device-to-device connectivity. Protected by Knox Matrix security, Home AI scenarios will showcase smart living with easy device setup and control enabled by the SmartThings platform.

    Cutting Edge Innovation Built on a Strong Galaxy Foundation
    Security is at the core of Samsung’s AI advancements, ensuring every experience is built on user control, transparency, and robust protection. In a zone for the Galaxy Foundation, helpful information about the Personal Data Engine9 — which ensures personalized data generated on device is protected from access by apps other than Galaxy AI and further secured by Knox Vault10 — will be available.
    Samsung will unveil its first Android XR headset, Project Moohan, offering a glimpse into the future of AI-powered extended reality. By integrating multimodal AI with advanced XR capabilities, this ground-breaking device marks a significant step toward more context-aware and personalized experiences that enhance everyday life in incredibly immersive ways.
    Visitors can explore these AI innovations first-hand at Samsung’s Galaxy Experience Booth in Fira Gran Via Hall 3.
    Realizing an End-to-End Software Network, Where AI Unleashes Its Full Potential
    Along with innovative mobile technologies, Samsung will present how it is advancing next-generation networks with AI at a private booth. As a global leader in virtualized and open networks, Samsung offers end-to-end software-based solutions to operators, empowering them to optimize their foundations to apply AI in every layer of their networks.
    Key highlights of the booth include Samsung’s versatile virtualized RAN (vRAN) solution, its latest 5G radios, and Samsung CognitiV Network Operations Suite (NOS), an, intelligent network automation solution. Diverse enterprise 5G use cases will be on display as well.
    Samsung will also showcase its continued efforts in elevating software-based networks by leveraging its robust partner ecosystem, which spans servers, processors (CPUs, GPUs), cloud platforms, transport, and more. Furthermore, visitors at the booth will see how Samsung CognitiV NOS can bring greater benefits to telecom operators across lifecycle management of its network from installation, operation to optimization. As a set of diverse AI-powered applications, this automation solution works as a key enabler to boosting performance, increasing the energy efficiency of the network in a more intelligent manner.
    One of the most eye-catching sections of the booth is the private 5G network zone. Samsung recently collaborated with Hyundai to complete the industry’s first end-to-end Reduced Capability (RedCap) trial over a private 5G network. Using Samsung’s advanced private 5G solutions, the companies proved the potential of next-generation industrial private 5G connectivity by improving the battery life and energy efficiency of 5G IoT devices.
    This private booth11 will be located in Fira Gran Via Hall 2.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Samsung Marks a Step Forward With AI for Everyone with New Galaxy A56 5G, Galaxy A36 5G, and Galaxy A26 5G

    Source: Samsung

    Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. today unveiled Galaxy A56 5G1, Galaxy A36 5G, and Galaxy A26 5G, the latest Galaxy A series smartphones. For the first time, the Galaxy A series is integrating Awesome Intelligence — including some of Galaxy’s fan-favorite, AI-powered features to reimagine creativity — while bringing enhanced durability and longevity, as well as robust security and privacy protections to provide a safe and long-lasting mobile experience.
    “The new Galaxy A series marks an important step in our mission of AI for all, by opening Galaxy’s incredible mobile AI experiences to even more people around the world,” said TM Roh, President and Head of Mobile eXperience (MX) Business at Samsung Electronics. “With these awesome new features and capabilities, we are excited to unlock limitless creativity on the Galaxy A series while ensuring a safe, reliable and fun mobile experience.”
    Awesome Intelligence for Advanced Search and Creativity
    Awesome Intelligence is the first comprehensive mobile AI experience available on Galaxy A56 5G, Galaxy A35 5G, and Galaxy A26 5G and brings users powerful, fun, and easy-to-use AI tools. Powered by One UI 7, the new Awesome Intelligence features offer amazing search and visual experiences to Galaxy A series users.
    A fan-favorite on Galaxy A series devices last year, Google’s enhanced Circle to Search2 makes it easier than ever to search and discover from the phone’s screen. With the latest upgrades, users can now get even more done on their phone. Circle to Search will quickly recognize phone numbers, email addresses and URLs on the screen so users can take action with minimal actions.
    With the recent enhancements to Circle to Search, users can also instantly search their favorite songs they hear without switching apps. Whether it’s a song playing on social media from their phone or music that’s playing from speakers near them, just long press the navigation bar to activate Circle to Search, then tap the music button to effortlessly identify the song name and artist.

    The Galaxy A series also takes the camera experience to a new level with creator-focused tools, starting with a powerful triple-camera system featuring a 50MP main lens on all devices and 10-bit HDR front lens recording on Galaxy A56 5G and Galaxy A36 5G for bright and crisp selfies. Galaxy A56 5G features a new 12MP ultra-wide lens, while the entire Galaxy A series empowers creativity in new and exciting ways through intelligent visual editing.
    Exclusively available on Galaxy A56 5G, Best Face3 makes it easier than ever to capture the perfect group shot by selecting and combining the best expressions or features for up to five people from a motion photo. Whether someone blinked or looked away, Best Face ensures everyone looks their best in a single, seamless shot. Galaxy A56 5G also brings enhancements to Nightography, with Low Noise Mode making its way to the 12MP selfie camera and additional wide camera support to capture stunning content in low-light settings.

    Galaxy A56 5G, Galaxy A36 5G, and Galaxy A26 5G all bring refined Object Eraser4, allowing users to remove unwanted distractions from photos. Users can manually or automatically select objects to erase, achieving a cleaner, more polished final image with just a few taps. Moreover, Filters5enables custom filter creation by extracting colors and styles from existing photos for users to apply for a unique and personalized effect depending on mood and taste. With these intelligent tools, users can refine and enhance their photos effortlessly, bringing a new level of creativity to every shot.

    Built To Last with Upgraded Displays and Software Longevity
    Now with up to six generations of Android OS and One UI upgrades and six years of security updates, the Galaxy A series reinforces its software longevity even more. These updates add additional support toward optimizing the device’s lifecycle, ensuring users can enjoy a smooth and reliable experience for years to come.
    Galaxy A56 5G and Galaxy A36 5G also come with larger displays designed for a high-quality, immersive viewing experience. Both devices feature a 6.7-inch6 FHD+ Super AMOLED display with brightness levels reaching up to 1200 nits7, allowing for a more vibrant and immersive entertainment experience. Frontline workers can also take advantage of the bright screens when working outside — allowing them to easily work from anywhere. New stereo speakers further enhance the experience with rich, balanced sound.
    A 5,000mAh battery included with every device in the lineup enables the new Galaxy A series’ design to keep up with users’ daily routines. Galaxy A56 5G and Galaxy A36 5G support 45W charging power8 and Super Fast Charge 2.0 technology, delivering even faster charging. Both models also deliver enhanced performance, as Galaxy A56 5G is powered by the Exynos 1580 chipset and Galaxy A36 5G features the Snapdragon® 6 Gen 3 Mobile Platform. A larger vapor chamber in both devices helps sustain performance, ensuring smooth gameplay, video playback, and effortless multitasking. For B2B customers, Super Fast charging optimizes battery life to allow workers to stay connected to their device during their shift.

    Beyond performance, the new Galaxy A series is built to withstand life’s unpredictable moments. For the first time, Galaxy A26 5G features an IP67 dust and water resistance rating for strong protection against the elements such as dust and water, matching the IP67 rating on Galaxy A36 5G and Galaxy A56 5G.9 Additionally, an advanced Corning® Glass cover material adds a layer of durability against scratches and cracks.10
    Expanded Protections for Enhanced Security and Privacy
    Thanks to the integration of One UI 7.0 on the Galaxy A series for the first time, Samsung is further supporting robust security and privacy. With Samsung Knox Vault, the Galaxy A series provides an extra, fortified layer of device safety, transparency, and user choice. Equipped with the latest One UI 7 security and privacy features, Galaxy A series users benefit from holistic protection — including enhancements in Theft Detection, More Security Settings and other features.
    To maintain freedom of choice, accessibility, and transparency, Galaxy A series users can easily select their desired security features through the Knox Matrix dashboard, and can also be deployed and managed in the enterprise through the Knox suite of cloud solutions.

    Pricing and Availability
    Galaxy A26 5G, Galaxy A36 5G, and Galaxy A56 5G join A16 5G as the newest devices in the A series portfolio. Galaxy A36 5G starts at $399.99, available in Awesome Black and Awesome Lavender, with Awesome Lime exclusively available at Best Buy beginning March 26. Galaxy A26 5G starts at $299.99, available in Black beginning March 28. Galaxy A56 5G will be available later this year starting at $499.99.
    Upon release, Digital Key will be available on Galaxy A56 5G11 and Galaxy A36 5G devices12 in select markets including Asia, Europe, and North America with more to follow.
    To find out more about Galaxy A56 5G, Galaxy A36 5G, Galaxy A26 5G, Galaxy A16 5G, and other Galaxy smartphones, please visit: Samsung Newsroom, Samsung Mobile Press, Samsung.com, and Samsung.com/business.

    Galaxy A56 5GGalaxy A36 5GGalaxy A26 5G
    Display6.7-inch FHD+
    Super AMOLED Display
    120Hz refresh rate
    Vision Booster
    *Measured diagonally, the screen size is 6.7-inch in the full rectangle and 6.5-inch with accounting for the rounded corners; actual viewable area is less due to the rounded corners and camera hole.
    Dimensions & Weight162.2 x 77.5 x 7.4mm, 198g162.9 x 78.2 x 7.4mm, 195g164.0 x 77.5 x 7.7mm, 200g
    *Device weight may vary by market.
    Camera12MP Ultra-Wide Camera
    • F2.2
    50MP Main Camera
    • F1.8, AF, OIS
    5MP Macro Camera
    • F2.4
    12MP Front Camera
    • F2.28MP Ultra-Wide Camera
    • F2.2
    50MP Main Camera
    • F1.8, AF, OIS
    5MP Macro Camera
    • F2.4
    12MP Front Camera
    • F2.28MP Ultra-Wide Camera
    • F2.2
    50MP Main Camera
    • F1.8, AF, OIS
    2MP Macro Camera
    • F2.4
    13MP Front Camera
    • F2.2
    Memory & Storage8GB + 128GB6GB + 128GB6GB + 128GB
    *Storage options and availability may vary by carrier, market or region. Actual storage availability may vary depending on pre-installed software.
    Battery5,000mAh (typical)
    *Typical value tested under third-party laboratory conditions. Typical value is the estimated average value considering the deviation in battery capacity among the battery samples tested under IEC 61960 standard. Rated (minimum) capacity is 4,905mAh. Actual battery life may vary depending on network environment, usage patterns and other factors.
    OSAndroid 15
    One UI 7.0
    SecuritySamsung Knox, Samsung Knox Suite Management, six generations of Android OS and One UI upgrades, six years of security updates
    Water & Dust ResistanceIP67
    1 5G speeds vary and require optimal network and connection (factors include frequency, bandwidth, congestion); see carrier for availability.
    2 Works with compatible apps. Requires internet connection; results may vary by uniqueness, clarity and framing of circled image and related factors. Accuracy of results is not guaranteed. Google is a trademark of Google LLC.
    3 Best Face feature is available exclusively on the Galaxy A56 5G device from the Galaxy A series.
    Best Face is only available for photos taken with Motion Photo turned on. The feature does not generate new facial expressions but selects from frames within the Motion Photo video clip. Resulting image up to 12MP.
    4 Results may vary based on the images and the object you’re trying to remove.
    5 Filter availability may vary based on resolution and aspect ratio settings.
    6 Measured diagonally, the screen size is 6.7″ in the full rectangle and 6.5″ accounting for the rounded corners. Actual viewable area is less due to the rounded corners and the camera hole.
    7 1,200 nits at HBM (High Brightness Mode).
    8 Charger and compatible 45W cable sold separately.
    9 IP67 rating for water and dust resistance. Water resistance based on laboratory test conditions for submersion in up to 1 meter of fresh water for up to 30 minutes. Not advised for beach or pool use. Dust resistance based on laboratory test conditions for airflow of up to 8 hours.
    10 Corning® Gorilla® Glass Victus®+ is applied to the front and rear of Galaxy A56 5G, Galaxy A36 5G and Galaxy A26 5G. Frame does not include volume and side keys or SIM tray.
    11Digital Key rollout for Galaxy A56 5G begins in Korea, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain, and Italy. Features may vary depending on each country or region.
    12Digital Key rollout for Galaxy A36 5G begins in Korea, UAE, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain, Italy, and the United States. Features may vary depending on each country or region.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Finance in Common Summit urges global development finance institutions to harness collective power to address global poverty

    Source: African Development Bank Group
    The fifth edition of the Finance in Common Summit (FiCS) concluded on Friday in Cape Town, South Africa, with strong calls for global development finance institutions to work together to address poverty and development challenges. South African Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana led the call.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Trump’s NIH funding cuts and freezes raise concerns over US biotech drug development and innovation, reveals GlobalData

    Source: GlobalData

    Trump’s NIH funding cuts and freezes raise concerns over US biotech drug development and innovation, reveals GlobalData

    Posted in Business Fundamentals

    The US President Donald Trump began his second term with a series of directives targeting the US National Institutes of Health (NIH), creating uncertainty around NIH grant funding for biopharmaceutical drug development. With over $1.4 billion in NIH Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) and Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) grants involving innovator drugs awarded between 2020 and 2024, the funding cuts and freezes could hamper biopharmaceutical innovation and limit patient access to drugs, reveals GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

    The US NIH is the largest funder of biomedical research globally, providing federal government funding to US-based early-stage small businesses through its SBIR and STTR programs to drive innovation with a focus on commercialization.

    Alison Labya, Business Fundamentals Analyst at GlobalData, comments: “Biotech startups rely on government grants to fund early-stage biopharmaceutical research and development (R&D), where attracting venture capital is challenging unless a clear return on investment is evident.”

    According to GlobalData’s Pharma Intelligence Center Grants Database, SBIR and STTR grants involving innovator drugs saw a 37% increase in total grant value from $237 million in 2020 to $326 million in 2024. Over 80% of SBIR and STTR grants were awarded for preclinical and discovery-stage drugs, amounting to over $1.1 billion between 2020 and 2024, reflecting the support NIH SBIR and STTR grant funding provides to early-stage R&D.

    Labya continues: “Infectious disease was the top therapy area for preclinical and discovery-stage SBIR and grants with a total grant value of $295 million from 2020 to 2024, followed by central nervous system with $241 million. However, infectious disease drug development could see a downturn in NIH grant funding under the leadership of Robert F Kennedy Jr.—Trump’s newly appointed head of the US Department of Health and Human Services—who has previously commented plans to shift research away from infectious diseases.”

    A notable NIH reform rolled out by Trump was a $4 billion cut to overhead funding for biomedical research by reducing “indirect” costs on grants to 15%. This follows other restrictions that were imposed on the NIH, including abrupt cancellations of grant review panels without reschedule, delaying access to grant funding.

    Similarly, Trump issued a 90-day funding freeze and stop-work order for the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), disrupting USAID-funded clinical trials globally.

    Labya concludes: “The Trump administration communicated its intent to review and redirect federal spending away from grant programs that do not align with Trump’s ideological agenda, signalling increased stringency in the allocation of NIH grant funding, with grant applications referencing diversity in preclinical and clinical drug development potentially facing challenges.

    “Trump’s recent federal funding cuts and freezes could stifle innovation by creating cash flow challenges for biotech companies that rely on government grants, which could delay or halt global biopharmaceutical R&D and drug approvals, limiting patient access to essential treatments.”

    Note: Data in the chart includes all announced and completed SBIR and STTR grants received by a company from 2020 to 2024 involving at least one innovator drug.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Monthly Data on India’s International Trade in Services for the Month of January 2025

    Source: Reserve Bank of India

    The value of exports and imports of services during January 2025 is given in the following table.

    International Trade in Services
    (US$ million)
    Month Receipts (Exports) Payments (Imports)
    October – 2024 34,309
    (22.3)
    17,215
    (27.9)
    November – 2024 32,014
    (13.9)
    17,229
    (26.0)
    December – 2024 36,857
    (16.5)
    17,781
    (13.8)
    January – 2025 34,726
    (12.0)
    16,706
    (12.6)
    Notes: (i) Figures in parentheses are growth rates over the corresponding month of the previous year which have been revised on the basis of balance of payments statistics.

    Ajit Prasad          
    Deputy General Manager
    (Communications)   

    Press Release: 2024-2025/2284

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Bhutan: Development of an Interest Rate Corridor Framework

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    Summary

    At the request of the Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan (RMA), an IMF South Asia Regional Training and Technical Assistance Center (SARTTAC) visited Thimphu during August 20-29, 2024. The mission’s objectives were to assist the authorities in setting up interest rate corridor (IRC) and operationalizing the related instruments, operations, liquidity forecasting, and collateral frameworks.

    Subject: Asset and liability management, Central Banks, Financial regulation and supervision, Interest rate corridor, Liquidity forecasting, Liquidity management, Monetary policy, Open market operations

    Keywords: Central bank policy rate, Interest rate corridor, International organization, Liquidity forecasting, Liquidity management, Monetary policy, Money markets, Open market operations

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Fannie Mae Releases January 2025 Monthly Summary

    Source: Fannie Mae

    WASHINGTON, DC – Fannie Mae’s (FNMA/OTCQB)  January 2025 Monthly Summary is now available. The monthly summary report contains information about Fannie Mae’s monthly and year-to-date activities for our gross mortgage portfolio, mortgage-backed securities and other guarantees, interest rate risk measures, and serious delinquency rates.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: IMF Executive Board Completes the Third Review Under the Extended Fund Facility Arrangement with Sri Lanka

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    February 28, 2025

    • The IMF Executive Board completed the Third Review under the 48-month Extended Fund Facility with Sri Lanka, providing the country with immediate access to SDR 254 million (about US $334 million) to support its economic policies and reforms.
    • Performance under the program has been strong. All quantitative targets for end-December 2024 were met, except the indicative target on social spending. Most structural benchmarks due by end-January 2025 were either met or implemented with delay. The recent successful completion of the bond exchange is a major milestone towards restoring debt sustainability.
    • Reform efforts are bearing fruit with the recovery gaining momentum. As the economy is still vulnerable, sustaining the reform agenda is critical to put the economy on a path towards lasting recovery and debt sustainability.

    Washington, DC: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed the third review under the 48-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) Arrangement, allowing the authorities to draw SDR 254 million (about US$334 million). This brings the total IMF financial support disbursed so far to SDR 1.02 billion (about US$1.34 billion).[1]

    The EFF arrangement for Sri Lanka was approved by the Executive Board on March 20, 2023 (see Press Release No. 23/79) in an amount of SDR 2.286 billion (395 percent of quota or about US$3 billion. The program supports Sri Lanka’s efforts to restore and maintain macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability while protecting the poor and vulnerable, rebuild external buffers, and enhance growth-oriented structural reforms including by strengthening governance.

    Following the Executive Board discussion on Sri Lanka, Mr. Kenji Okamura, Deputy Managing Director, issued the following statement:

    “Reforms in Sri Lanka are bearing fruit and the economic recovery has been remarkable. Inflation remains low, revenue collection is improving, and reserves continue to accumulate. Economic growth averaged 4.3 percent since growth resumed in the third quarter of 2023. By end-2024, Sri Lanka’s real GDP is estimated to have recovered 40 percent of its loss incurred between 2018 and 2023. The recovery is expected to continue in 2025. As the economy is still vulnerable, it is critical to sustain the reform momentum to ensure macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, and promote long-term inclusive growth. There is no room for policy errors.

    “Program performance has been strong with all quantitative targets met, except for the indicative target on social spending. Most structural benchmarks due by end-January 2025 were either met or implemented with delay.

    “Sustained revenue mobilization is crucial to restoring fiscal sustainability and ensuring that the government can continue to provide essential services. Boosting tax compliance and refraining from tax exemptions are key to maintaining support for economic reforms. To ease economic hardship and ensure the poor and vulnerable can participate in Sri Lanka’s recovery it is important to meet social spending targets and continue with reforms of the social safety net. Going forward, social support needs to be well-targeted towards the most disadvantaged so as to promote inclusive growth with limited fiscal space. Restoring cost-recovery electricity pricing without delay is needed to contain fiscal risks from state-owned enterprises. A smoother execution of capital spending within the fiscal envelope would foster medium-term growth.

    “The progress to advance the debt restructuring to restore Sri Lanka’s debt sustainability is noteworthy. The recent successful completion of the bond exchange is a major milestone towards restoring debt sustainability. Timely finalization of bilateral agreements with creditors in the Official Creditor Committee and with remaining creditors is a priority now.

    “Monetary policy should prioritize maintaining price stability, supported by sustained commitment to prohibit monetary financing and safeguard Central Bank independence. Continued exchange rate flexibility and gradually phasing out the balance of payments measures remain critical to rebuild external buffers and facilitate rebalancing.

    “Resolving non-performing loans, strengthening governance and oversight of state-owned banks, and improving the insolvency and resolution frameworks are important priorities to revive credit growth and support the economic recovery.

    “Prolonged structural challenges need to be addressed to unlock Sri Lanka’s long-term potential, including steadfast implementation of the governance reforms.”

                                                                    Sri Lanka: Selected Economic Indicators 2022-2030

     

    2022

     

    2023

    2024

     

    2025

     

    2026

    2027

    2028

    2029

    2030

    Act. 

    Proj.

     

    Projections

                             

    GDP and inflation (in percent)

                         

    Real GDP

    -7.3

    -2.3

    4.5

    3.0

    3.0

    3.1

    3.1

    3.1

    3.1

    Inflation (average) 1/

    45.2

    17.4

    1.2

    3.8

    5.4

    5.2

    5.0

    5.0

    5.0

    Inflation (end-of-period) 1/

    58.6

    3.0

    -1.5

    7.8

    5.4

    5.2

    5.0

    5.0

    5.0

    GDP Deflator growth

    47.5

    17.5

    3.5

    4.9

    5.5

    5.3

    5.2

    5.1

    5.0

    Nominal GDP growth

    36.6

    14.8

    8.2

    8.1

    8.7

    8.5

    8.5

    8.4

    8.3

     

    Savings and investment (in percent of GDP)

                       

    National savings

    27.6

    33.8

    34.0

    31.7

    31.9

    32.1

    31.9

    31.7

    31.7

      Government

    -6.4

    -6.0

    -3.2

    -1.8

    -0.7

    0.0

    0.1

    0.3

    0.5

      Private

    34.0

    39.8

    37.2

    33.5

    32.6

    32.1

    31.7

    31.4

    31.2

    National investment

    28.6

    30.8

    32.1

    32.2

    32.5

    32.9

    32.7

    32.6

    32.5

      Government

    5.5

    3.7

    3.6

    4.4

    4.6

    4.7

    4.6

    4.6

    4.6

      Private

    23.1

    27.1

    28.5

    27.7

    27.9

    28.2

    28.1

    28.0

    28.0

    Savings-Investment balance

    -1.0

    3.1

    1.8

    -0.4

    -0.6

    -0.8

    -0.9

    -0.9

    -0.8

      Government

    -11.9

    -9.6

    -6.8

    -6.2

    -5.3

    -4.7

    -4.5

    -4.3

    -4.1

      Private

    10.9

    12.7

    8.6

    5.8

    4.7

    3.9

    3.6

    3.4

    3.2

     

    Public finance (in percent of GDP)

                       

    Revenue and grants

    8.4

    11.1

    13.7

    15.1

    15.3

    15.3

    15.2

    15.3

    15.3

    Expenditure

    18.6

    19.4

    19.3

    20.4

    19.8

    19.2

    19.1

    19.0

    18.8

    Primary balance

    -3.7

    0.6

    2.2

    2.3

    2.3

    2.3

    2.3

    2.3

    2.3

    Central government balance

    -10.2

    -8.3

    -5.6

    -5.4

    -4.6

    -4.0

    -3.8

    -3.7

    -3.5

    Central government gross financing needs

    34.1

    27.6

    22.1

    22.8

    19.7

    15.7

    13.2

    11.8

    11.6

    Central government debt

    115.9

    109.5

    99.5

    105.7

    106.4

    103.5

    100.2

    97.0

    93.9

    Public debt 2/

    126.3

    115.8

    104.6

    110.7

    110.9

    107.4

    103.7

    100.1

    96.8

     

    Money and credit (percent change, end of period)

    Reserve money

    3.3

    -1.5

    10.3

    9.7

    8.7

    8.5

    8.5

    8.4

    8.3

    Broad money

    15.5

    7.3

    10.0

    9.7

    8.7

    8.5

    8.5

    8.4

    8.3

    Domestic credit

    18.8

    -1.2

    6.1

    3.3

    2.8

    3.3

    4.0

    4.3

    4.9

    Credit to private sector

    6.4

    -0.8

    7.9

    7.5

    9.5

    9.5

    9.4

    9.4

    9.4

    Credit to private sector (adjusted for inflation)

    -38.8

    -18.2

    6.6

    3.7

    4.1

    4.3

    4.3

    4.3

    4.3

    Credit to central government and public corporations

    31.1

    -1.6

    4.7

    -0.1

    -3.1

    -2.9

    -2.2

    -2.2

    -1.5

     

    Balance of Payments (in millions of U.S. dollars)

    Exports

    13,107

    11,911

    12,772

    13,446

    14,090

    14,795

    15,638

    16,397

    17,192

    Imports

    -18,291

    -16,811

    -18,841

    -21,718

    -22,668

    -23,410

    -24,105

    -25,109

    -26,026

    Current account balance

    -737

    2,582

    1,824

    -409

    -538

    -751

    -864

    -952

    -922

    Current account balance (in percent of GDP)

    -1.0

    3.1

    1.8

    -0.4

    -0.6

    -0.8

    -0.9

    -0.9

    -0.8

    Current account balance net of interest (in percent of GDP)

    0.1

    4.2

    3.8

    1.7

    1.6

    1.5

    1.5

    1.3

    1.3

    Export value growth (percent)

    4.9

    -9.1

    7.2

    5.3

    4.8

    5.0

    5.7

    4.9

    4.9

    Import value growth (percent)

    -11.4

    -8.1

    12.1

    15.3

    4.4

    3.3

    3.0

    4.2

    3.7

                             

    Gross official reserves (end of period)

                             

    In millions of U.S. dollars

    1,898

    4,392

    6,122

    7,056

    9,303

    13,118

    14,710

    14,875

    15,175

    In months of prospective imports of goods & services

    1.2

    2.4

    2.9

    3.2

    4.1

    5.5

    5.9

    5.8

    5.7

    In percent of ARA composite metric

    16.6

    37.5

    50.3

    58.3

    75.4

    100.1

    108.8

    108.5

    108.7

    Usable Gross official reserves (end of period) 3/

                       

    In millions of U.S. dollars

    462

    2,956

    4,686

    7,056

    9,303

    13,118

    14,710

    14,875

    15,175

    In months of prospective imports of goods & services

    0.3

    1.6

    2.2

    3.2

    4.1

    5.5

    5.9

    5.8

    5.7

    In percent of ARA composite metric

    4.0

    25.3

    38.5

    58.3

    75.4

    100.1

    108.8

    108.5

    108.7

    External debt (public and private)

    In billions of U.S. dollars

    57.4

    54.1

    53.9

    54.9

    57.2

    61.2

    62.9

    63.3

    65.6

    As a percent of GDP

    77.0

    64.1

    54.4

    56.1

    62.9

    65.9

    64.0

    60.4

    58.9

     

    Memorandum items:

    Nominal GDP (in billions of rupees)

    24,064

    27,630

    29,893

    32,309

    35,123

    38,113

    41,343

    44,819

    48,551

    Exchange Rate (period average)

    322.6

    327.5

    302.0

    Exchange Rate (end of period)

    363.1

    323.9

    293.0

    Sources: Data provided by the Sri Lankan authorities; and IMF staff estimates.

                           

    1/ Colombo CPI.

                         
                                                                                                                                 

    2/ Comprising central government debt, publicly guaranteed debt, and CBSL external liabilities

    (i.e., Fund credit outstanding and international currency swap arrangements). The debt statistics

    currently assume the external debt restructuring to have been completed at end 2023.

    3/ Excluding PBOC swap ($1.4bn in 2022) which becomes usable once GIR rise above 3 months

    of previous year’s import cover.

    [1] SDR figures are converted at the market rate of U.S. dollar per SDR on the day of the Board approval.

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Randa Elnagar

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: IMF and Ukrainian Authorities Reach Staff Level Agreement on the Seventh Review of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) Arrangement

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    February 28, 2025

    • International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff and the Ukrainian authorities have reached staff level agreement (SLA) on the Seventh Review of the 4-year, $15.5 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) Arrangement. Subject to approval by the IMF Executive Board and consistent with its balance-of-payments needs, Ukraine would be expected to draw about US$0.4 billion (SDR 0.3 billion), bringing total disbursements under the program to US$10.1 billion.
    • Program performance remains strong. All end-December quantitative performance criteria (QPCs) have been met and understandings were reached on a set of policies and reforms to sustain macroeconomic stability. The structural reform agenda continues to make progress, with seven structural benchmarks met, another benchmark implemented with delay, and strong commitments to advance other key reforms.
    • The outlook remains exceptionally uncertain as the war continues to take a heavy toll on Ukraine’s people, economy, and infrastructure. Despite the challenging environment, the program remains on track on the back of critical external support.

    Warsaw, Poland: An International Monetary Fund (IMF) team led by Mr. Gavin Gray held discussions with the Ukrainian authorities in Kyiv, Ukraine and Warsaw, Poland during February 20-28 on the Seventh Review of the country’s 4-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) Arrangement. Upon the conclusion of the discussions, Mr. Gray issued the following statement:

    “IMF staff and the Ukrainian authorities have reached staff-level agreement on the Seventh Review of the EFF, subject to approval by the IMF Executive Board, with Board consideration expected in coming weeks.

    Ukraine’s four-year EFF Arrangement with the IMF continues to provide a strong anchor for the authorities’ economic program in times of exceptionally high uncertainty. Program performance remains strong with all quantitative performance criteria for end-December met, and important progress on the structural agenda due for this review. Reflecting a revised profile of balance of payments needs in 2025, Ukraine has requested to rephase access under its EFF program, shifting IMF financing to future reviews while the overall size of the program remains unchanged.

    “The economy has continued to show resilience despite the challenges arising from three years of war in Ukraine. Real GDP growth is estimated at 3.5 percent for 2024, but is expected to moderate to 2-3 percent in 2025, reflecting headwinds from labor constraints, damage to energy infrastructure, and the persistence of Russia’s war in Ukraine. Inflation has continued to rise, reaching 12.9 percent y/y in January, mainly due to rising food and labor costs. The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) raised the policy rate by a cumulative 150 bps since December in response. Gross international reserves reached US$43 billion as of January 2025, reflecting continued large external official support. Risks remain exceptionally high given uncertainty on the war and the prospects for peace and recovery.

    “The 2025 budget targets a deficit (excluding grants) of 19.6 percent of GDP and remains the anchor for fiscal policy this year. It incorporates the additional revenue derived from the increase in tobacco excise taxes and enactment of this tax policy change is a requirement for completion of the review. Financing the large fiscal deficit will require significant and timely external support, notably from the G7’s ERA initiative, to support macroeconomic stability. Responding to high budget risks will require preparedness with offsetting measures; in particular broad-based, durable, and efficient revenue measures and accelerated implementation of Ukraine’s National Revenue Strategy (NRS)

    Restoring medium-term fiscal sustainability requires determined implementation of reforms to mobilize domestic revenues, tackle tax evasion and avoidance, and improve the investment climate. Tax policy reforms need also to be coupled with improvements in tax administration with continued reforms to the state customs service (SCS) and state tax service (STS). Restoring debt sustainability hinges on this revenue-based fiscal adjustment and continued implementation of the authorities’ debt restructuring strategy (where completing the treatment of the GDP warrants remains important). The upcoming 2026-2028 budget declaration that is to be submitted to Parliament in June will be an important opportunity to provide both the context and strategic objectives of the medium-term fiscal strategy.

    “Given the risks from rising inflation, the recent increases in the policy rate by the NBU are appropriate. Further action would be warranted if inflation accelerates further or inflation expectations deteriorate. The exchange rate should increasingly act as a shock absorber. Maintaining adequate reserves is a priority, particularly in view of risks to the outlook.

    “The independence, competence, and credibility of anti-corruption and judicial institutions should continue to be enhanced. Parliamentary adoption this week of the law establishing the High Administrative Court, a benchmark under the program, is a landmark step in this direction. Swift enactment of the law would pave the way for prompt establishment of the court.

    “Effective public investment management (PIM) is critical for post-war recovery, reconstruction, and growth against a backdrop of limited fiscal space and tough demographic realities. To tackle these challenges, the government of Ukraine is implementing a comprehensive PIM framework that is in line with best international practices. A strategy-driven and transparent approach is essential to overcome absorption capacity constraints and allocate scarce resources efficiently.

    “The financial sector remains stable, but continued vigilance is warranted given elevated risks. Developing financial markets infrastructure will be critical to support prompt reconstruction and recovery by facilitating much needed private investment, including attracting foreign capital. Comprehensive consultation and collaboration with financial market participants is essential to facilitate preparation of a prioritized reform agenda, which the NBU has begun in collaboration with other relevant stakeholders.

    “The mission met with Finance Minister Marchenko, National Bank of Ukraine Governor Pyshnyy, other government ministers, public officials, and civil society. The mission thanks them and their technical staff for the excellent collaboration and constructive discussions.”

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Camila Perez

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: IMF Staff Concludes Visit to Barbados

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    February 28, 2025

    End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. This mission will not result in a Board discussion.

    • Barbados’ economic growth remained robust in 2024, reaching an estimated 4 percent year-on-year driven by business services, tourism, and construction.
    • Implementation of the home-grown Barbados Economic Recovery and Transformation (BERT 2022) program remains strong, supported by the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF).
    • Program targets under the Fund-supported program for end-December 2024 were met and the authorities are making progress to meet remaining structural benchmarks and reform measures. International reserves continued to rise, reaching US$1.6 billion.

    Washington, DC: An International Monetary Fund (IMF) team led by Michael Perks visited Bridgetown between February 25-28, 2025 to review recent economic developments and reform efforts and prepare the ground for the fifth and final reviews of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) / Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) programs.To summarize the mission’s findings, Mr. Perks made the following statement:

    “Barbados’ economic growth remained robust in 2024. Real GDP growth is estimated at 4 percent driven by business services, tourism, and construction. Inflation moderated to an average of 1.4 percent, reflecting an easing of global commodity prices and prices of domestic goods and services. The external position continued to strengthen, with the current account deficit narrowing to 4.5 percent of GDP (from 8.6 percent in 2023). International reserves remain ample at US$1.6 billion (equivalent to over 7 months of imports), providing continued strong support to the exchange rate peg. The near-term economic outlook remains positive, but risks continue to be high and tilted to the downside, given Barbados’ vulnerability to global shocks and natural disasters.

    “The authorities continue to make strong progress in implementing their ambitious economic reform program. Targets for end-December 2024 under the EFF were met. Fiscal performance remains strong, with the primary balance reaching 5.3 percent of GDP through December, leaving the authorities on track to meet the 3.8 percent of GDP fiscal target for FY2024/25. Preparation of the 2025/26 budget is now well underway. Public debt declined close to 100 percent of GDP at end-2024 and the authorities remain firmly committed to bringing it down to 60 percent of GDP by FY 2035/36.

    “Structural reform efforts continue to advance, supported by IMF technical assistance, including actions to strengthen customs administration, the framework for public-private partnerships, and the Central Bank of Barbados’ liquidity forecasting. The authorities are also making progress with the implementation of the RSF reform measures for the last review.

    “The team is looking forward to conducting discussions for the fifth and final reviews under the EFF and RSF in May and would like to thank the authorities and their technical team for their hospitality, openness and candid discussions.”

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Meera Louis

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Costa Rica: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2025 Article IV Consultation Mission

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    February 28, 2025

    A Concluding Statement describes the preliminary findings of IMF staff at the end of an official staff visit (or ‘mission’), in most cases to a member country. Missions are undertaken as part of regular (usually annual) consultations under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, in the context of a request to use IMF resources (borrow from the IMF), as part of discussions of staff monitored programs, or as part of other staff monitoring of economic developments.

    The authorities have consented to the publication of this statement. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF Executive Board for discussion and decision.

    San José: An International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff team, led by Mr. Ding Ding, held the 2025 Article IV consultation with the Costa Rican authorities during February 18-28. At the conclusion of the discussions, Mr. Ding issued the following statement:

    Costa Rica is one of the fastest-growing economies in the Western Hemisphere, achieving notable economic success in recent years. GDP growth has averaged above 5 percent since 2021, outpacing regional peers and contributing to lower poverty and unemployment. Over the same period, public debt fell by an impressive 8 percentage points of GDP to below 60 percent of GDP. These successes are fruits of good macroeconomic policies, wide-ranging reforms in the context of becoming a member of the OECD, two successfully completed IMF-supported programs, and a strategic focus on exports and economic diversification. Growth is projected to remain strong at about 4 percent for 2025.

    Inflation is showing encouraging signs of returning towards the inflation target, following decisive monetary policy easing by the BCCR. Having been near zero since mid-2024, headline inflation has begun to rise and is projected to reach the BCCR’s tolerance band in mid-2025 and the 3 percent target within a year. However, core inflation remains subdued and there are downside risks, primarily stemming from low inflation expectations becoming entrenched below the target. Upside risks could arise from possible commodity price increases and/or supply-side disruptions.

    The BCCR’s forward-looking data-dependent approach has proven effective and its inflation targeting regime is working well. At the current monetary policy rate, inflation is expected to be 3 percent by 2026Q1. If the convergence of inflation to the 3 percent target weakens in the coming months, there is room for the BCCR to cut the policy rate further. Credit growth has been strong. If there are signs of excess credit growth especially associated with FX loans, macroprudential measures should be tightened to mitigate potential risks to financial stability.

    It is important to further strengthen the BCCR’s autonomy, governance, and operational framework. This would be achieved by approving legislative proposals to improve BCCR governance, transparency, and accountability, and institutionalize the central bank’s de facto autonomy.

    The exchange rate should be allowed to adjust more flexibly to market conditions. The BCCR accumulated US$ 920 million in international reserves during 2024, and reserve coverage is now comfortable by multiple metrics. A further accumulation of international reserves is unwarranted and would impose unnecessary costs over time. Moreover, frequent foreign exchange intervention can weaken monetary policy transmission and hinder foreign exchange market development. Concerted efforts including legal reforms are needed to deepen FX markets and strengthen the non-financial public sector’s ability to manage currency risks, reducing its reliance on the BCCR as an intermediary for FX transactions. Alongside the planned reform to restructure existing pension funds into generational funds, regulatory limits on foreign investments by local pension funds need to be updated. Adjustments to these limits should be phased in and supported by FX market development.

    There is scope to further capitalize on the significant progress on financial sector oversight. Indicators of financial soundness remain comfortable, notwithstanding the resolution of two small non-bank financial institutions last year. These episodes highlighted the importance of a strong supervisory and resolution framework. The Legislative Assembly should, therefore, pass the proposed amendments to the bank resolution and deposit insurance law that would further strengthen supervisory and resolution powers and enhance the crisis management framework.

    Although public debt fell to below 60 percent of GDP in 2024, the task of rebuilding fiscal space is not yet complete. The debt ratio fell in part due to some drawdown of cash balances and transfers of cash balances by decentralized and autonomous entities to the Treasury Single Account (which lowered financing needs). However, the primary surplus fell in 2024 due to temporary factors and the regrettable reductions of the vehicle property tax (marchamo) and corporate tax base. An unwinding of temporary factors is expected to help the primary balance rise to around 1½ percent of GDP this year. A higher primary balance is essential to bring debt down further, reduce interest costs, and create room for additional spending. While spending should be less than the ceiling permitted by the fiscal rule, the higher primary balance should still allow for some increases in priority areas like infrastructure, child and adult care (which will help boost female labor market participation), and investments in skills training for vulnerable groups (which will help reduce dependency on social assistance).

    Tax reforms could improve the fairness and efficiency of the system while raising resources for both debt reduction and somewhat higher spending. However, revenue-increasing bills presented over the last five years that would also have increased progressivity and bolstered dynamism have not been viewed favorably by legislators. These have included proposals to reduce VAT and income tax exemptions (such as on the salario escolar and for lottery winnings) and to bring income from self-employment, salaries, and pensions under a single threshold while raising the top marginal rate. These bills warrant renewed consideration as higher revenues would allow faster increases in social and capital spending. At the same time, we are worried that various Legislative Assembly bills are reducing revenues.

    Full implementation of the public employment bill and debt management reforms would improve spending quality and reduce interest costs. Legislative proposals aimed at amending the public employment law could significantly undermine progress in containing the public-sector wage bill. Institutions that have not yet fully implemented the public employment law should do so without further delay to ensure its benefits are broadened to beyond the central government. Legal reforms to permit access to international sovereign debt markets and grant the executive branch more flexibility in issuing external debt would also be valuable. There have been welcome improvements in the quality of government finance statistics, which are expected to be used in the setting of fiscal policies.

    A comprehensive solution is needed to resolve the dispute between Caja Costarricense de Seguro Social (CCSS) and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) over social security claims. The outstanding claim is due to an unfunded expansion of beneficiaries and CCSS’s unilateral decisions to raise the government’s contribution. Addressing this issue requires urgent improvements in the CCSS’s registry systems so as to allow for an accurate tracking of outlays and beneficiaries. Moreover, the CCSS and the MoF should clarify the scope of healthcare services and pension benefits that are currently covered by the budget while identifying additional funding sources as needed to ensure that the healthcare and pension systems are actuarially sound. Strengthening CCSS governance will be essential to ensure that any future changes to the social security system include a thorough assessment of the fiscal and labor market implications of such changes. There is also scope to enhance the accountability of the CCSS, the transparency of their operations, and the simplicity of the system, in line with international best practice. These reforms will be critical to safeguard the long-run sustainability of the social security system as the population ages.

    Advancing supply-side reforms can help sustain Costa Rica’s impressive economic performance by addressing key bottlenecks to growth. To tackle skill shortages, particularly in high-tech industries, it is essential to accelerate efforts to reduce skills mismatches, align school curricula with industry needs, promote dual education (including apprenticeship programs) and bilingual education, and improve adult secondary education graduation rates. The recent reduction of the minimum contribution base for part-time workers has helped encourage formal employment but there is scope to lower the high tax wedge on labor, substituting for alternative revenue sources. Enhancing infrastructure quality and maintenance would further strengthen potential growth. In this regard, integrating climate considerations into public investment decisions is already making infrastructure more resilient against natural disasters. Given the substantial additional funding needed to upgrade infrastructure, approving and implementing the new legislation on public private partnerships is critical. Additionally, ongoing reforms to facilitate private-sector electricity provision, including diversification into non-hydroelectric renewables, will make electricity more affordable and less vulnerable to fluctuations in rainfall.

    The IMF team is grateful to the Costa Rican authorities and other counterparts for the productive discussions and hospitality during the mission.

    Costa Rica: Selected Economic and Financial Indicators

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Projections

    2022

    2023

    2024

    2025

    2026

    2027

    Output and Prices

    (Annual percentage change)

    Real GDP

    4.6

    5.1

    4.3

    3.9

    3.8

    3.6

    GDP deflator

    6.3

    -0.1

    0.0

    2.9

    3.2

    3.2

    Consumer prices (period average)

    8.3

    0.5

    -0.4

    2.0

    3.0

    3.0

    Savings and Investment

    (In percent of GDP)

    Gross domestic saving

    14.4

    13.8

    14.3

    14.1

    14.1

    14.3

    Gross domestic investment

    17.7

    15.3

    15.7

    15.7

    15.7

    15.8

    External Sector

    Current account balance

    -3.3

    -1.4

    -1.4

    -1.6

    -1.6

    -1.5

    Trade balance

    -6.7

    -3.7

    -2.7

    -3.0

    -2.8

    -3.1

    Financial account balance

    -2.5

    -0.7

    -0.7

    -1.6

    -1.5

    -1.5

    Foreign direct investment, net

    -4.4

    -4.3

    -4.0

    -5.3

    -5.5

    -5.4

    Gross international reserves (millions of U.S. dollars)

    8,724

    13,261

    14,181

    15,056

    16,077

    16,827

    External debt

    50.7

    43.3

    38.6

    35.5

    33.3

    30.9

    Public Finances

    Central government primary balance

    2.1

    1.6

    1.1

    1.5

    1.6

    1.7

    Central government overall balance

    -2.8

    -3.2

    -3.8

    -3.0

    -2.7

    -2.3

    Central government debt

    63.0

    61.1

    59.8

    59.4

    58.4

    57.1

    Money and Credit

    Credit to the private sector (percent change)

    3.3

    1.9

    6.4

    7.5

    7.0

    7.0

    Monetary base 1/

    8.0

    7.9

    8.0

    8.0

    8.0

    8.0

    Broad money

    47.5

    47.4

    49.4

    50.1

    50.3

    50.9

    Memorandum Items

    Nominal GDP (billions of colones) 2/

    44,810

    47,059

    49,116

    52,531

    56,237

    60,132

    Output gap (as percent of potential GDP)

    -0.3

    1.0

    0.6

    0.5

    0.4

    0.2

    GDP per capita (US$)

    13,240

    16,390

    17,901

    19,013

    20,009

    21,045

    Unemployment rate

    11.7

    7.3

    6.9

    8.0

    8.5

    9.0

    Sources: Central Bank of Costa Rica, and Fund staff estimates.

    1/ Includes currency issued and required reserves.

    2/ National account data reflect the revision of the benchmark year to 2017 for the chained volume measures, published in January 2021.

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Meera Louis

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: New era of ambient intelligence is helping support healthcare providers and patients

    Source: Microsoft

    Headline: New era of ambient intelligence is helping support healthcare providers and patients

    Next time you’re in a public place, stop and look around. Notice how many people are head’s down, staring at their phones. This is one of the unintended consequences of technology: while the intent is to connect us more to the world, it often distracts us from what’s actually happening around us.   

    This unintended technological distraction has also had a negative impact in healthcare. Over the last decade, increasing regulations and mounting administrative burdens placed upon doctors, nurses, and radiologists, have come at a high cost to those who had dedicated their lives to caring for others. The effects of this have been well documented, with rising job dissatisfaction and burnout rates, increasing staffing shortages as clinicians leave the workforce, and the continued erosion of doctor-patient connection.1

    As a technologist who has been working on cracking some of the thorniest problems in healthcare, it’s painful to know that for years, despite our best efforts, technology has seemed one step behind in being able to restore the joy of caring for patients while simultaneously providing a more connected digital experience. 

    That is, until the introduction of GPT. With generative AI, we’ve seen an incredibly positive and disrupting force in healthcare, and these gains will only increase as this critical innovation is applied to some of the most complex problems in healthcare. In fact, over the next three years, we will begin to see a tectonic shift in the entire user experience, moving from technology that is injected into various use cases to the pervasive infusion of AI that is seamlessly embedded into the ways we live and work.   

    Discover AI-powered solutions with Microsoft Cloud for Healthcare

    In healthcare, ambient intelligence will be the driving force for restoring the joy of practicing medicine and providing a better experience for patients. 

    The real story of ambient intelligence  

    There’s a lot written about technology curves and AI in healthcare, but I want to tell you the story that isn’t in the history books. The real story of how ambient intelligence was born. 

    Some of us are old enough to remember the original Star Trek from the 1960’s where there was a computer that would be listening to the crew have a conversation and then weigh in with any guidance related to the situation at hand. It wasn’t trying to take over, it wasn’t replacing the captain and officers on the bridge, it was just supporting the team by adding insights in real time to augment the decision-making process.   

    Most of us saw this as a cool sci-fi idea until one day, during a meeting with Epic, we talked about finding a way to make healthcare more intuitive, like the AI in Star Trek. The gauntlet had been thrown, and we were in.

    Charting a new course in healthcare technology 

    Inherent in ambient intelligence are two equally important variables, accurately transcribing a conversation between the doctor and patient into a text, and then turning that transcript into a clinical note.  

    That was back in 2014, when there were no large language models, patient data wasn’t widely available, systems were extremely siloed, there wasn’t a way to even capture the recording and, even if those other aspects were possible, speech recognition for clinical conversations were running at about 50% word error rate (WER). This meant that the speech recognition system was getting only correctly capturing about half of the words spoken. That was essentially the state-of-the-art for ambient medical speech recognition and simply put, it didn’t work.

    We weren’t sure if and when we’d ultimately be successful, but we knew the first challenge that we needed to tackle was getting more data to feed our models so that we could understand this emerging ambient workflow. We started a research program to boost recognition performance for ambient conversational medical speech because at that time, the major breakthroughs were being made in neural computing.

    We then turned our attention to abstractive summarization, or essentially trying to figure out how to convert the conversational transcript between the doctor and patient into a structured clinical note, which is subject to a variety of constraints and requirements necessary for appropriate documentation.

    Back then summarization was in its infancy, but the new neural summarization technology showed a lot of promise when large in-domain data sets comprised of millions of input and summarized output pairs were available. Although these data sets didn’t exist yet, there were virtual scribing workflows, where doctor-patient conversations were recorded and manually processed by human scribes. So, we made the decision to use clinical scribes to train the increasingly powerful models that were tailored to the task and then observe how their application accelerated clinical documentation. Essentially, the scribes were generating in-domain data that was then used by neural summarization machine learning to develop ambient summarization.

    Given the complexities of a clinical encounter, we started with medical specialties that had highly-repetitive scenarios, like orthopedics, and then expanded to cover all ambulatory specialties across a larger population of doctors.

    While we were making gains, they were incremental. To give you a sense of what this looked like, here is a chart that shows each new model revision as a plot point and you can see the percent of clinical encounters processed by AI and resulting human-in-the-loop edit rates, versus our forecast of where those figures would be.

    Image source: HLS Solutions Research, January 2025

    The dawn of a new era  

    It’s inevitable that anyone who’s tried to tackle an extremely thorny problem at some point will hit a wall where they ask themselves the question: Are we beating the problem or is the problem beating us? Although we had parity in converting a doctor-patient conversation to text, converting transcripts into customized clinical notes across specialties was challenging, and progress was slower than we would have liked.  We were using a human-in-the-loop to improve the quality of our model output, which wasn’t a scalable long-term solution, and we had stalled at an error rate that would not produce automation. We didn’t know the exact formula to make the problem yield.

    Then, GPT happened.

    Overnight, the scaling laws of AI changed. Major technological gains went from happening every one-and-a-half years to happening four times a year. While at the time, it had felt like we were hitting a wall, in hindsight, that time allowed us to deeply understand the requirements of how this technology would show up in the doctors’ workflow, and we partnered with the EHR companies to work through the technical details and optimize the user experience.

    We immediately put a stake in the ground and began leveraging this new AI.

    We used GPT as a shortcut to fine tune models and customize output, which allowed us to move faster while dramatically improving outcomes. We were also getting real-time feedback from clinicians who let us know what was working well and, most importantly, where the experience wasn’t optimized. It’s that latter feedback that is always the most helpful, because it enables us to triangulate the problems and work on ways to fine tune and improve the experience.

    Based on the foundational models, we could see we would have a prototype in six months, but the challenge was that out-of-the-box GPT—while good—was not as performant as our bespoke models. That’s when we decided to combine generative AI and our unique training corpus. Within six months of a blistering R&D cycle, the team delivered a level of automation that had previously been unachievable in the prior six years. It was one of the first times in history that GPT-4 had been fine tuned for healthcare.   

    The new scaling laws were bending the curve of innovation. We were at the dawn of a new era: The ambient AI market.

    Image source: Epoch, ‘Parameter, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning’​ 

    Over the course of 11 months, we went from zero users to creating the first clinical ambient intelligence experience for doctors that is trusted by more than 600 major healthcare systems, and producing more than 3 million episodes of care per month and growing. 

    We achieved human parity, and had achieved a level of performance that enabled automation that provided doctors with a draft clinical note that required minimal editing, the automation problem had begun to yield. 

    The future is now 

    The future that we had classified as science fiction is here today, and ambient listening has already become table stakes. In fact, we release AI improvements weekly to our speech and listening technologies, which have been trusted and used by hundreds of thousands of clinicians for years.   

    But more than that, we are witnessing a massive pivot unlike anything we’ve seen before: a new form of user experience—the combination of natural interaction and the infusion of real-time intelligence. 

    As exciting as this all is, the true promise of addressing clinician burnout, improving the patient experience, and delivering better health outcomes hinges on collaboration and partnership. Every company operating in this space is limited by the laws of single company physics, which is why it’s an exciting time to be at a partner-led company. By opening up our ecosystem, we are harnessing the power of the Microsoft platform and extending it to thousands of companies worldwide that are focused on building applications and capabilities to improve the doctor-patient experience and positively impact the episode of care.   

    We are enabling partners in the ecosystem to publish their capabilities directly into our ambient dial tone—the power of thousands of incredible minds all working to help clinicians, and solving for high-value use cases ranging from clinical condition diagnosis, autonomous clinical coding, and automating outbound healthcare consumer messaging, to enhancing data analytics and interpretation, medical literature discovery, autogenerating personalized patient educational materials, and automating clinical trial patient identification. These are just a few of the thousands of areas of innovation that are being actively worked on by healthcare companies worldwide. And this is the power of the platform. This is the ecosystem that will transform the way care is delivered, enhance patient experiences, support better outcomes across the health and life science ecosystem, and restore the joy of practicing medicine to clinicians around the world.   

    Trust above all else 

    No conversation about generative AI should happen without talking about responsibility, and no technology should be deployed without a detailed examination around what is contained in the data and how it is being used. Key responsible AI standards around fairness, reliability and safety, privacy and security, inclusiveness, and transparency must take the center stage in every discussion. AI is like a massive power tool, and data is the current powering it—so everyone handling it needs to be trained properly and aware of any unintended consequences or potential harm it could cause.  

    Creating high-value use cases that deliver real outcomes 

    In the end, the real testament to building outcomes-based technology comes down to one simple fact: does using it empower the person to do and be the best version of themselves? To that end, we carefully track the performance of all our solutions to make sure we’re building technology that is living up to its promise and exceeding expectations. I recommend that anyone who is advancing an AI agenda should do the same, because this is the real path to advancing human abilities and improving the healthcare ecosystem.   

    Not every day is a win, and that’s okay—this is a marathon, not a sprint—but we continue to see powerful outcomes reported back by the people we serve. We’re seeing:  

    • 70% improvement in work-life balance for clinicians and reduced feeling of burnout and fatigue.2
    • 80% feel it reduces cognitive burden.3
    • 5 minutes save per clinician per encounter (on average).4
    • 93% of patients say their physician is more personable and conversational.5

    Hear what clinicians have to say about this AI-powered clinical automation solution:

    As great as these results are, we’re not settling. We’re going to keep pushing ahead, refining our models, working with doctors, nurses, radiologists, and leaders across the health care and life sciences ecosystem to deliver the best technologies for those who continue to dedicate their lives to helping others. We’re just at the beginning of our journey, and we will continue to relentlessly innovate, and find new ways to streamline documentation, surface information, and automate tasks for clinicians worldwide. 

    Learn more 

    Microsoft Cloud for Healthcare

    Accelerate innovation and improve healthcare experiences


    1AMA, Burnout benchmark: 28% unhappy with current health care job, May 17, 2022.

    2 Microsoft survey of 879 clinicians across 340 healthcare organizations using DAX Copilot; July 2024.

    3 Microsoft survey of 879 clinicians across 340 healthcare organizations using DAX Copilot; July 2024.

    4 Microsoft survey of 879 clinicians across 340 healthcare organizations using DAX Copilot; July 2024.

    5 Survey of 413 patients conducted by multiple healthcare organizations whose clinicians use DAX Copilot; June 2024.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: 6 ways to inspire future leaders during Women’s History Month

    Source: Microsoft

    Headline: 6 ways to inspire future leaders during Women’s History Month

    Celebrate Women’s History Month and International Women’s Day 2025 with engaging experiences from Minecraft Education, Learning Accelerators, and more.

    Each year on March 8, communities around the world come together to celebrate International Women’s Day, recognizing the remarkable contributions of women who have shaped history and championed equality. In the US, this celebration coincides with Women’s History Month, an opportunity to learn about the lives of leaders like Ellen Ochoa and Malala Yousafzai, whose relatable stories inspire students to create positive changes in their own lives and beyond.

    To help you bring these stories to life in your classroom to celebrate Women’s History Month 2025, check out our list of tools and resources that will help make learning more meaningful and engaging. Students can explore the triumphs of strong, female leaders in Minecraft Education, learn valuable information literacy and presentation skills with Learning Accelerators, and discover contributions of local women through lessons you create with Microsoft 365 Copilot Chat. These tools help inspire curiosity, support critical thinking, and connect students to the powerful stories of women who have shaped our world.

    1. Experience the courage of Hispanic women in LatinExplorers 2

    Introduce your students to a remarkable group of Hispanic women who have shaped their communities and the world. With Minecraft Education’s LatinExplorers 2, created in partnership with the Hispanic Heritage Foundation, students will discover how Gloria Estefan, Ellen Ochoa, and Monica Ramirez made an impact through music, science, and advocacy. Along the way, they’ll develop leadership skills, build empathy, and learn how to tackle challenges—just like these fearless women.

    Discover LatinExplorers 2

    Classroom connection: Before getting started, explore supporting files on the LatinExplorers 2 webpage. You’ll find an educator guide to help facilitate the experience in your classroom, along with a toolkit for using LatinExplorers 2 at a family event.

    2. Walk in the shoes of Noble laureates

    Conflict resolution is a critical leadership skill, and Minecraft Education’s Peace Builders lesson helps students develop their capacity to deal with problems through real-world examples. In this immersive experience, created in partnership with the Nobel Peace Center, students meet four Nobel Peace Prize laureates who addressed global conflicts in unique ways—including Jody Williams who worked tirelessly to ban landmines in post-war Cambodia. Through Williams’ story and other peace builders, students will explore strategies to prevent and resolve conflict, strengthening their ability to lead with empathy and action.

    Explore Peace Builders

    Classroom connection: Check out the supporting files and use the Jody Williams Class PowerPoint to introduce important concepts and guide your students in creating their own campaign to address issues that matter to them.

    3. Introduce strong female role models with Lessons in Good Trouble

    Inspire your students to become catalysts for positive change in their community by learning from civil rights leaders like Rosa Parks, Malala Yousafzai, and Emmeline Pankhurst in Minecraft Education’s Lessons in Good Trouble. In this experience, your students will work alongside outspoken activists to understand historic periods when women were denied educational opportunities and voting rights. The courageous women in Lessons in Good Trouble demonstrate how peaceful activism can challenge injustices and create a more equitable society for everyone.

    Discover Lessons in Good Trouble

    Classroom connection: Enhance your students’ learning by making Rosa Parks, Malala Yousafzai, or Emmeline Pankhurst the focus of a research project. Use a Learning Accelerator such as Search Progress or Search Coach to help take their learning to the next level.

    4. Research influential women with Search Progress and Search Coach

    Extend learning beyond Women’s History Month while helping your students build essential digital literacy skills with Search Progress and Search Coach, two Learning Accelerators. An assignment in Search Progress empowers students to find, evaluate, and use credible online sources to develop critical information literacy skills along the way. And, both tools make it easy to track student learning in real-time.

    Explore Learning Accelerators

    For example, you might create a Search Progress assignment that asks students to research Emmeline Pankhurst’s contributions to the women’s suffrage movement. Using Search Coach, your students receive real-time feedback on their queries, helping them to refine their research strategies while building background knowledge on this influential leader.

    To get started with Search Progress and Search Coach, explore these resources:

    5. Practice presenting with Speaker Progress and Speaker Coach

    Help students share their Women’s History Month learning by creating a PowerPoint and practicing their presentation skills with Speaker Progress and Speaker Coach, two Learning Accelerators. Use Speaker Progress to create presentation assignments and track your students’ growth at the individual, class, grade, and school levels. Then have your students use Speaker Coach to complete the assignment, while receiving real-time, AI-powered feedback on pacing, pitch, clarity and more.

    To integrate Minecraft Education learning with presentation assignments, have students create a PowerPoint on ways to increase diversity just as Ellen Ochoa modeled in LatinExplorers 2. They can practice their delivery in a private space with Speaker Coach, helping to boost their confidence as they strengthen their communication skills.

    Get the most out of Speaker Progress and Speaker Coach with these resources:

    6. Expand on Women’s History Month with Copilot Chat

    Copilot Chat can help you create classroom materials, activities, and lessons tailored to Women’s History Month topics or even more of your students’ interests. Use generative AI to streamline lesson planning by copying and pasting one of these ready-to-use prompts into Copilot Chat:

    • Generate a list of five women from [geographic area or country] who have made significant contributions in the past [two decades]. Include a paragraph on their achievements, challenges, and leadership. Include an engaging activity for students in [grade level] that requires them to explore information in an interactive way.
    • Write an oral reading passage about Jody Williams, detailing her Nobel-prize winning accomplishments. The passage should be at a [700L] Lexile level and under [number] words. Provide three comprehension questions for a [grade level] student.
    Try Copilot Chat

    Make sure to check out “Meet your AI assistant for education” to discover more ways Copilot Chat can help you personalize learning, support brainstorming, provide feedback, and more.

    From Minecraft Education experiences with women leaders to Learning Accelerators that help students practice their skills, find an activity that will make Women’s History Month and International Women’s Day 2025 memorable and inspiring for your students. Start inspiring the next generation of leaders in your classroom today!

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: 2025 Annual News Conference

    Source: Caribbean Development Bank

    CDB’s Annual News Conference is scheduled for Wednesday, March 19, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. (AST).

    Speakers

    • Mr. Daniel Best, President
    • Mr. Ian Durant, Director, Economics Department
    • Mr. L. O’Reilly Lewis, Director, Projects Department (Ag.)
    • Ms. Valerie Isaac, Division Chief, Environmental Sustainability

    What to expect

    • The President’s vision for CDB and the role of the Bank in driving economic growth across the Region in 2025
    • A review of 2024 regional economic performance and the forecast for 2025
    • Highlights of the Bank’s projects in 2024 and a preview of planned projects and expected outcomes for 2025
    • The Bank’s priorities in the climate and environmental space for 2025

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Last Chance to Shop the Best Deals on Home Health and Fitness with Innovative Smart Appliances

    Source: Samsung

     
    The Samsung Blue Tag Sale, which is running until 2 March 2025, presents a great opportunity to get cutting-edge technology for home health and fitness. The company’s innovative range of appliances and mobile devices is transforming how consumers approach wellness, making it easier to live a healthier, more active lifestyle from the comfort of home. From smart TVs and health-tracking wearables to eco-friendly appliances that promote well-being, Samsung’s products are designed to support every aspect of a modern, health-conscious lifestyle.
     
    The cutting-edge products are set to redefine the boundaries of home wellness, offering users an integrated and seamless experience that promotes a healthier lifestyle.  As the world continues to prioritise health and wellness, Samsung’s innovative smart appliances are set to become an essential part of modern living. By seamlessly integrating technology and wellness, Samsung is empowering users to take control of their health and fitness, one smart appliance at a time.

    Samsung Smart TVs: Your Fitness Hub at Home
    Samsung’s Smart TVs are more than just entertainment hubs – they’re powerful tools for fitness. Users can stream workout routines, follow wellness content, or track fitness progress with apps like YouTube and Samsung Health. Whether you’re following a yoga session or monitoring your steps, these devices serve as an all-in-one fitness station for the modern home.
     
    Samsung Food App
    Samsung Food is making food preparation more convenient which allows you to plan meals based on users’ food preferences or support sustainable food practice goals. Samsung Food now features enhanced tools designed to support users to better maintain their health and to reach wellness goals. The platform provides nutrition-focused meal plans that track and monitor caloric intake within daily meal schedules, whether for recipes or individual food items. It offers “Tailored for You” plans, delivering weekly recipe and snack recommendations based on users’ nutritional needs,6 chosen diets and previous recipe preferences
     
     

     
    Air Conditioners: Breathe Easy, Live Healthier
    Maintaining clean air in the home is crucial for health, especially during fitness activities. Samsung’s air conditioners, equipped with air-purifying technology, improve indoor air quality, creating a more comfortable and healthier environment. These devices ensure that every workout, whether indoors or outdoors, takes place in fresh, clean air.
     
    Samsung Devices & Smartwatches: Your Health and Fitness Companion.
    Samsung’s mobile devices, especially the Galaxy series, provide comprehensive features for health and fitness management. With robust fitness apps, heart rate monitoring, and wellness tracking, users can easily access workout routines, nutrition guides, and health data from their smartphones. Samsung’s seamless device integration makes it simple to stay connected and in control of your health journey. The Samsung Galaxy Watch is an essential accessory for those looking to boost their fitness goals. With advanced features like heart rate monitoring, sleep tracking, and multiple exercise modes, it helps users stay motivated and on track. Integrated with Samsung Health, the Galaxy Watch makes it easy to monitor daily activity, set goals, and engage with a supportive fitness community.

    Some of the Deals You Don’t Want to Miss:
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    Galaxy S24 FE offers a range of health and wellness features to help you stay on top of your fitness goals. Now R12,999* (Save R2,000)
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    Enjoy stunning picture quality which upscales content with 85″ DU7000 Crystal UHD 4K HDR Smart TV. Now R22,999* (Save R2,000)
     
    User Experience
    From simplifying daily routines to fostering a health-conscious home environment, Samsung’s products are designed with the user experience in mind. Whether it’s a quick workout, a healthy meal, or cleaner air, Samsung’s innovative solutions make it easier than ever to prioritise health and fitness at home.
     
    The Samsung Blue Tag Sale is running in Samsung stores, online, the Samsung Shop App, and participating retailers until 2 March 2025. Don’t miss out!
     
    For more information, visit www.samsung.com/za

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Driving Change: Rumana Huque on the Real Costs of Bangladesh’s Tobacco Dependency

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    In This Episode

    Driving Change: Women-Led Development Economics from the Ground Up

    The International Economic Association’s Women in Leadership in Economics Initiative (IEA-WE) connects women economists worldwide and helps showcase their important empirical research, especially in developing countries. IMF Podcasts has partnered with the IEA-WE to produce a special series featuring the economists behind the invaluable local research that informs policymakers in places often overlooked. This episode of Driving Change features Bangladeshi economist Rumana Huque, whose research into the real costs of tobacco consumption is prompting a rethink of the country’s tobacco tax system. Transcript

    Other episodes include Kenyan economist Rose Ngugi, whose indices help local counties design policies that work, Colombian economics Professor Marcela Eslava, whose research looks to fix Latin America’s dysfunctional social security network, and Ipek Illkaracan who makes the business case for investing in social care infrastructure.

    The series is also featured in the IMF’s Finance and Development magazine

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Secretary-General of ASEAN joins Chair of the ASEAN Economic Ministers’ Meeting 2025 in a Press Conference of the 31st AEM Retreat

    Source: ASEAN

    Secretary-General of ASEAN, Dr. Kao Kim Hourn, earlier this afternoon joined the Chair of the ASEAN Economic Ministers’ (AEM) Meeting 2025 and Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry of Malaysia Tengku Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz in a press conference of the 31st AEM Retreat. During the press conference, Minister Tengku Zafrul and SG Dr. Kao shared the key outcomes of the discussion during the retreat.

    The post Secretary-General of ASEAN joins Chair of the ASEAN Economic Ministers’ Meeting 2025 in a Press Conference of the 31st AEM Retreat appeared first on ASEAN Main Portal.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Upgrade to iPhone 16e, a powerful new member of the iPhone 16 family

    Source: Apple

    Headline: Upgrade to iPhone 16e, a powerful new member of the iPhone 16 family

    QUICK READ February 28, 2025

    iPhone 16e is available starting today, and customers can save up to $599 with carrier promotions at Apple

    Today, customers around the world can shop the new iPhone 16e in-store and online. iPhone 16e joins the iPhone 16 family as its most affordable member, featuring breakthrough battery life, the fast performance of the A18 chip, Apple Intelligence,1 and an integrated high-resolution 48MP 2-in-1 camera system.

    Customers looking to buy the new iPhone 16e will get a personalized and seamless experience when they shop directly at Apple. Through Apple Retail, customers can get connected with expert team members and receive help setting up their new devices — at a time and place that’s convenient for them.

    The Apple Trade-In program makes it easier and quicker than ever to upgrade from an older device. Customers purchasing iPhone 16e can receive up to $120 in credit when they trade in iPhone 11 — or now with a carrier offer, up to $599 in credit — and receive help activating their new device at their local Apple Store.2

    Through Personal Setup, customers can connect with Apple’s knowledgeable team of Specialists for personalized support in setting up and getting the most out of their new device. After purchasing their iPhone 16e, customers can access more information about Personal Setup through the Apple Store app, including short videos with helpful tips and tricks. Additionally, they can sign up for Today at Apple sessions at their local Apple Store. Led by Apple team members, these sessions aim to inspire and empower customers to unlock the full potential of their devices.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Authority issues letters in relation to potential beneficial ownership non-compliance

    Source: Isle of Man

    The Isle of Man Financial Services Authority is the statutory body responsible for overseeing compliance with the requirements of the Beneficial Ownership Act (“the Act”).

    The Authority has conducted an exercise to reach out to Isle of Man entities which are understood to currently be operating in potential non-compliance with the requirements of the Act.

    If you receive a letter (dated 28/02/2025) from the Authority reminding you of your obligations under the Act, it is important that you take urgent action to address any highlighted issues, or you may be at risk of being subject to further action (including the imposition of civil penalties).

    If you are a nominated officer of an entity, and you require a new Online Services access code in order submit beneficial ownership information to the Database, please contact the Companies Registry on either BOAEnquiries.dfe@gov.im or companies.registry@gov.im.

    If you wish to speak to the Authority about the content of the letter, please do not hesitate to get in touch via email at beneficial.ownership@iomfsa.im.

    For information and guidance around beneficial ownership, please visit this dedicated section of the Authority’s website.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Piero Cipollone: The role of the digital euro in digital payments and finance

    Source: European Central Bank

    Contribution to Bancaria by Piero Cipollone, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, based on remarks at the Crypto Asset Lab Conference on 17 January 2025

    28 February 2025

    Being a key player in digital payments and digital finance should be a priority for Europe.

    As Mario Draghi pointed out in his recent report, the productivity gap between the United States and the European Union is mostly explained by technology and finance.[1] If we take the information and communications technology (ICT) and financial sectors out, the gap disappears.

    If we want to close the productivity gap with the United States, we need to focus on these areas. Digital payments and digital finance stand at the intersection of these two sectors. And they are developing fast, driven by changes in habits and technology. This is both an opportunity and a risk for Europe. It is an opportunity to close the gap by developing innovative and competitive European solutions. But if we do not seize that opportunity, we run the risk of weakening our competitiveness, resilience and strategic autonomy.

    At the European Central Bank (ECB), as guardians of our single currency, the euro, we consider this a matter of crucial importance. Ultimately, it is about the future of our currency. Today, the euro is the second most important currency in the international monetary system. Its share across a range of indicators stands at around 20%, and the euro area accounts for around 12% of global GDP.[2] If we want to prevent the euro from losing importance on the global stage, transacting and investing in euro needs to be seen as safe, easy and efficient, even as digitalisation transforms payments and finance.[3]

    Central bank money – the central pillar of the payments and financial system – has a key role to play in connecting the different parts of the financial system in a safe and risk-free way. This is particularly relevant in Europe, where payments and finance often remain fragmented along national lines, preventing us from fully reaping the benefits of the single European market. This is true for both retail and wholesale transactions.

    For retail transactions – payments made on a daily basis by consumers and businesses – our reliance on non-European solutions weakens our strategic autonomy and is a drag on productivity growth. We should ask, for example, why we don’t have a European VISA or Mastercard. A digital euro – that is, central bank money in digital form for retail transactions – would give us the chance to increase efficiency, competition, innovation and resilience while allowing European private payment solutions to scale up and protect our monetary sovereignty.[4]

    For wholesale transactions – transactions between financial institutions – we need to avoid repeating the mistake we made in the retail sector and ensure that we provide the conditions for European actors to stay ahead of their competitors. New technologies offer us the opportunity to create an integrated European market for digital assets from the outset, in other words a European capital markets union.[5]

    A digital euro for everyday payments

    For firms and households, central bank money is currently only available in the form of cash; there is currently no equivalent in digital form, which is becoming increasingly problematic because the use and acceptance of cash are declining. In the euro area, cash transactions have fallen below card transactions in value.[6] The share of companies reporting that they do not accept cash has tripled over the last three years to 12%.[7] The European Commission has put forward a legislative proposal to ensure the acceptance of cash[8], and the ECB is committed to ensuring that cash remains as widely available and accessible as possible[9]. Still, the trend towards cash being used less for daily transactions is likely to continue owing to the digitalisation of the economy in line with what has been observed in many advanced economies.

    Day-to-day payments in the euro area by payment instrument, in value terms

    (percentage of the value of all non-recurring day-to-day payments)

    Source: ECB (2024), Study on the payment attitudes of consumers in the euro area (SPACE).

    Note: The “Other” category includes bank cheques, credit transfers, direct debit, instant payments, loyalty points, vouchers and gift cards, crypto-assets, buy-now-pay-later services and other payment instruments.

    Current European digital payment solutions, such as cards issued by European payment schemes, mainly cater to national markets and specific use cases. To pay across European countries, consumers have to rely on a few non-European providers. More than two-thirds of card transactions in the euro area were settled through international payment schemes in the second half of 2023.[10] And 13 out of 20 euro area countries rely entirely on non-European solutions in the absence of their own domestic payment scheme. But even those international payment solutions are not accepted everywhere and do not cover all key use cases.

    National card schemes in the euro area

    Source: ECB.

    As a result, one of the key objectives of central bank money – to offer the public a means of payment backed by the sovereign authority that can be used for retail transactions across the entire currency area – is not being fulfilled in the digital space.

    In addition, European payments have become a prime example of the situation that Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi described in their recent reports.[11] The fragmentation of the market along national lines, the lack of European payment solutions available on a European scale and the difficulty faced by European payment service providers in keeping pace with technological advances mean that Europe is not competitive within its own market, let alone on a global scale.

    Moreover, in an unstable geopolitical environment, we are being left to rely on companies based in other countries. In future, this dependency could extend beyond traditional payment service providers. Platforms like Ant Group’s Alipay have shown they know how to bridge geographical gaps: during major events like UEFA EURO 2024 they were able to boost their payment app usage among customers in Europe.

    Merchants – and consumers, who bear the costs – are left to deal with the consequences of the international card schemes’ market dominance. To give just one example, the average net merchant service charges in the EU almost doubled between 2018 and 2022.[12] This increase occurred despite regulatory efforts to contain it. And the cost falls disproportionately on smaller retailers, who face charges that are three to four times higher than those paid by their larger counterparts.[13]

    We must move swiftly to counter the risks stemming from Europe’s current inability to secure the integration and autonomy of its retail payment system. This is one of the key reasons behind the digital euro project: to bring central bank money into the digital age. Doing so would provide firms and households with a digital equivalent to banknotes and would strengthen our monetary sovereignty.

    Benefits for consumers and merchants

    Complementing banknotes, the digital euro would give all European citizens and firms the freedom to make and receive digital payments seamlessly.[14]

    The digital euro would provide a single, easy, secure and universally accepted public solution for digital payments in stores, online and from person to person. It would be available both online and offline, and would be free for basic use.

    For merchants, the digital euro would provide seamless access to all European consumers. Moreover, it would offer an alternative that would increase competition, thereby lowering transaction costs in a more direct way than is possible through regulations and competition authorities.[15]

    Fostering competition and innovation in an integrated payments ecosystem

    The digital euro would strengthen the euro area economy by fostering competition and innovation.

    European payment service providers are finding it increasingly difficult to compete with international card schemes and mobile payment solutions. As the latter grow in popularity, banks risk falling behind not only in terms of interchange fees, but also in terms of client relationships and user data.

    By contrast, the digital euro would ensure that payment service providers would continue to play a central role, thus enabling them to maintain customer relationships and be compensated for their services, as is currently the case.[16] It would also offer an alternative to co-badging with international card schemes for cross-border payments in – and potentially beyond – the euro area, thus promoting competition.

    The digital euro would also expand the opportunities available to payment service providers while reducing the cost of offering their own services on a European scale. In addition, it would foster an environment conducive to the widespread adoption of payment innovations throughout the euro area.

    Currently, several innovations aimed at simplifying payments are emerging within specific national markets or across a few countries, driven by European payment service providers. Although these innovations are highly commendable and would enhance people’s lives, existing structural barriers are hampering their efforts to achieve pan-European scale.

    These solutions are struggling to achieve the scale needed to provide a service to everyone in the euro area. This limits their ability to compete effectively with the large international players who can fully leverage economies of scale, even on a global level.

    The European Commission’s legislative proposal[17] foresees that the digital euro would have legal tender status; this implies that it would be accepted by all merchants who currently accept electronic payments. In reality this would equate to the creation of a pan-European network which could also be used by private solutions, thus overcoming the obstacles limiting their growth.

    This would foster a more integrated European payments market. As private providers expand their geographical reach and diversify their product portfolios, they will benefit from cost efficiencies and be better positioned to compete internationally.

    In essence, the network effects generated by a digital euro would function as a public good, benefiting both public and private initiatives. This approach would be akin to creating a unified European railway network or European energy grid, where various companies could competitively operate their own services and deliver added value to customers.

    Instead of requiring significant investment to expand existing services across the euro area, the open digital euro standards would facilitate cost-effective standardisation, making it possible for private retail payment solution providers to launch new products and functionalities on a broader scale.

    Ultimately, whether through the digital euro or private solutions, this framework would unlock innovation, create new business opportunities and improve consumer access to a diverse range of goods and services.

    Making this vision a shared reality

    The design of the digital euro, as well as the key provision in the regulation proposed by the European Commission, contains all the key elements required to make this vision a reality.

    Over the past years, we have extensively engaged with a multitude of market stakeholders to establish the digital euro’s features. We have collected and discussed the input of representatives of consumers, merchants, banks and payment service providers. Furthermore, we are now looking at how the digital euro could be used to provide services currently not available on the market. To this end, we launched a call for expressions of interest, asking for collaboration from stakeholders, and we received a very strong response. Through this inclusive approach, we want to take everyone’s needs and perspectives into consideration to produce a robust payments solution.

    The role of central bank money in developing a European market for digital assets

    Currently, the ECB and the national central banks of those EU Member States whose currency is the euro (which we collectively refer to as the Eurosystem) offer central bank money in digital form to financial institutions through our TARGET Services: T2 settles more than 90% of the value of large payments between financial institutions, and T2S settles securities transactions. These services have been crucial in increasing the efficiency and integration of post-trade platforms in Europe.

    We are committed to continuing to provide state-of-the-art settlement services in central bank money, even as new technologies emerge.

    The potential of new technologies

    In this respect, we recognise the potential of new technologies, such as distributed ledger technology (DLT), to transform and improve wholesale financial markets by enabling assets to be issued or represented in digital token form.

    DLT allows market participants to handle trading, settlement and custody on the same platform, reducing credit risk, transaction failures and reconciliation needs. It can enhance efficiency by operating on a 24/7, 365 days a year basis and settling transactions instantly, which could potentially reduce annual infrastructure operational costs. A shared DLT platform could lower market entry barriers, enable small and medium-sized enterprises and new players to access capital markets and facilitate the efficient trading of financial instruments currently not covered on regulated markets.

    We have an opportunity to create an integrated European capital market for digital assets from the outset – in other words, a digital capital markets union.[18]

    In fact, we have recently seen an upsurge in DLT initiatives in Europe. Over 60% of EU banks are exploring or using DLT, with 22% already implementing DLT applications. Furthermore, on the securities side, there has been an increasing number of issuances on DLT.

    The role of central bank money and the Eurosystem’s exploratory work

    The ECB is aware that it has a role to play in this work from the very beginning.

    The availability of central bank money to settle transactions using these new technologies is important for two reasons. First, if we don’t use central bank money, other settlement assets – such as stablecoins or tokenised deposits – will be used, which would reintroduce credit risks and fragmentation in the financial system. And second, the possibility to settle in central bank money is seen by the market as a key factor in the adoption of new technologies.

    The Eurosystem has already worked with the market to test settling wholesale transactions in central bank money using DLT. In exploratory work we carried out in 2024, for example, we offered three different solutions to link our TARGET services to market DLT platforms. This allowed industry participants to either settle real transactions in central bank money or conduct experiments with mock transactions.[19]

    This exploratory work stands out at the global level in terms of its scale and scope. Overall, 60 industry participants took part, including incumbents and new entrants. More than 40 experiments and trials covered a wide range of securities and payments use cases, including the first issuance of an EU sovereign bond using DLT. A total value of €1.6 billion was settled via trials over a six-month period, exceeding values settled in comparable initiatives in other jurisdictions.

    Next steps

    In the short term, the Eurosystem will aim to make it possible to settle DLT transactions in central bank money, with a view to enabling the further development of DLT on the market.[20] The technological solution will be based on interoperability between market DLTs and the Eurosystem, but also – and this is crucial – between market platforms, based on strong and enforceable standards.

    Looking further ahead, we will investigate how DLT can be used to create a more integrated financial market. With new technology, there is the opportunity to create a new ecosystem from scratch in a more integrated and harmonised manner. One way to achieve this integrated ecosystem in the longer term would be to move towards a European shared ledger. This would bring together token versions of central bank money, commercial bank money and other digital assets on a shared, programmable platform, on which market participants could provide their services. Another option could be the coordinated development of an ecosystem of fully interoperable technical solutions, which might better serve specific use cases and enable legacy and new solutions to coexist.

    The trade-offs between the benefits of such flexibility and those of bringing everyone together on one platform need further analysis. We will reflect on these trade-offs and refine this long-term vision together with private and public sector stakeholders.

    Conclusion

    In the current fast-moving environment, Europe cannot stand still. If we do not bring central bank money into the digital age, we will hamper Europe’s competitiveness, resilience and strategic autonomy. And we will miss out on the opportunities that digital payments and digital finance offer. Others would reap the benefits instead.

    By ensuring that central bank money keeps pace with digitalisation and new technologies, we would safeguard our monetary sovereignty. We would overcome fragmentation by offering money that can be used for any digital transactions in the euro area. We would foster competition and innovation. And we would strengthen our autonomy and resilience.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: North Macedonia formally accepts Agreement on Fisheries Subsidies

    Source: World Trade Organization

    DG Okonjo-Iweala said: “I’m grateful for North Macedonia’s formal acceptance of the Agreement on Fisheries Subsidies. While a landlocked country, North Macedonia’s acceptance demonstrates its commitment to the multilateral trading system and the WTO, and underscores all members’ shared interest in responsible fisheries resource management, ocean sustainability, and food security. This acceptance provides further momentum for the entry into force of this important agreement for people and the planet.”

    Mr. Bilali said: “By joining this agreement, North Macedonia reaffirms its dedication to the conservation of marine resources and the fight against harmful subsidies that contribute to overfishing.”

    North Macedonia’s instrument of acceptance brings to 91 the total number of WTO members that have formally accepted the Agreement. Twenty more formal acceptances are needed for the Agreement to come into effect. The Agreement will enter into force upon acceptance by two-thirds of the membership.

    Adopted by consensus at the WTO’s 12th Ministerial Conference (MC12), held in Geneva on 12-17 June 2022, the Agreement on Fisheries Subsidies sets new, binding, multilateral rules to curb harmful subsidies, which are a key factor in the widespread depletion of the world’s fish stocks. In addition, the Agreement recognizes the needs of developing economies and least-developed countries and establishes a fund to provide technical assistance and capacity building to help them implement the obligations.

    The Agreement prohibits subsidies for illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing, for fishing overfished stocks, and for fishing on the unregulated high seas.

    Members also agreed at MC12 to continue negotiations on outstanding issues, with a view to adopting additional provisions that would further enhance the disciplines of the Agreement.

    The full text of the Agreement can be accessed here. The list of members that have deposited their instruments of acceptance is available here. Information for members on how to accept the Protocol of Amendment is available here.

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  • MIL-OSI Economics: European Consortium Launches PQC4eMRTD Project to Enhance Security of Electronic Passports in the Quantum Era

    Source: Thales Group

    Headline: European Consortium Launches PQC4eMRTD Project to Enhance Security of Electronic Passports in the Quantum Era

    Munich, Germany – February 28, 2025 – A significant European initiative, the PQC4eMRTD (Post-Quantum Cryptography for electronic Machine-Readable Travel Documents) project, has officially commenced today. Funded by the European Union under the Digital Europe Programme, the two-year project aims to address the security challenges posed by the rise of quantum computing, focusing on the standardization and promotion of quantum-resistant (QR) cryptographic protocols for electronic machine-readable travel documents (eMRTDs).

    Quantum computing is advancing rapidly with substantial investments from both public and private sectors. By 2026, the number of quantum bits (qubits) is expected to grow tenfold compared to the roughly 400 qubits achieved at the end of 2022, dramatically expanding the processing capacity of quantum computers and enabling them to solve increasingly complex problems. ​ These advancements pose a threat to classical cryptography, making it essential to develop QR standards and infrastructures.

    Represented by Eurosmart, the European digital security industry emphasizes the urgent need to transition to QR infrastructures, particularly for eMRTDs such as electronic passports, which are vulnerable to quantum threats. The PQC4eMRTD project aims to support this transition by advocating for the development and promotion of standardization in QR cryptographic protocols.

    The project is coordinated by Infineon Technologies AG from Germany and includes key partners Thales and CryptoNext Security from France, the Barcelona Supercomputing Center from Spain, and the Institute for Comparative Law at the Faculty of Law in Ljubljana, Slovenia. The PQC4eMRTD project will focus on pushing existing PQC research results towards international standardization working groups to facilitate the adoption of QR protocols.

    Additionally, the PQC4eMRTD project will promote cooperation across different sectors transitioning to PQC by addressing common challenges and fostering synergies. It aims to provide a detailed blueprint for Europe’s transition to PQC, serving as a model for other regions. By actively engaging and supporting the broader European PQC community through knowledge sharing and collaborative initiatives, the project ensures that all stakeholders can benefit from the latest research and developments.

    Stakeholders, including industry experts, policymakers, and academic researchers, are invited to join this vital project. Their participation and support are crucial as the consortium works towards securing the future of electronic travel documents and digital identities against emerging quantum threats.

    “We at Thales are committed to driving innovation and ensuring the highest level of security for electronic documents and digital identities”, commented Nathalie Gosset, VP Identity & Biometric Solutions at Thales. “Our involvement in the post-quantum cryptography European consortium underscores our proactive approach to safeguarding sensitive data and critical systems against emerging quantum threats. By collaborating with industry leaders, we aim to responsibly anticipate and address future challenges, paving the way for a secure and resilient digital ecosystem.”

    For more information about the project and opportunities for collaboration, please contact the respective partner organizations. Together, we can build a secure, quantum-resistant future for electronic travel documents.

    About the PQC4eMRTD Project

    The PQC4eMRTD project is a European initiative aimed at enhancing the security of electronic machine-readable travel documents (eMRTDs) by promoting the standardization of quantum-resistant cryptographic protocols. Funded by the European Union under the Digital Europe Programme, the project brings together leading European organizations to address the challenges posed by quantum computing and ensure the future security of digital identities and eMRTDs.

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: RBI imposes monetary penalty on IIFL Samasta Finance Limited

    Source: Reserve Bank of India

    The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has, by an order dated February 24, 2025, imposed a monetary penalty of ₹33.10 lakh (Rupees Thirty Three Lakh Ten Thousand only) on IIFL Samasta Finance Limited (the company) for non-compliance with certain provisions of the ‘Non-Banking Financial Company – Systemically Important Non-Deposit taking Company and Deposit taking Company (Reserve Bank) Directions, 2016‘ and ‘Reserve Bank of India (Know Your Customer (KYC)) Directions, 2016‘ issued by RBI. This penalty has been imposed in exercise of powers conferred on RBI under clause (b) of sub-section (1) of Section 58G read with clause (aa) of sub-section (5) of Section 58B of the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934.

    The statutory inspection of the company was conducted by RBI with reference to its financial position as on March 31, 2023. Based on supervisory findings of non-compliance with RBI directions and related correspondence in that regard, a notice was issued to the company advising it to show cause as to why penalty should not be imposed on it for its failure to comply with the said directions.

    After considering the company’s reply to the notice, oral submissions made during the personal hearing and additional submissions made by it, RBI found, inter alia, that the following charges against the company were sustained, warranting imposition of monetary penalty:

    1. The company charged interest on loans for a period prior to the date of actual disbursement of loan / issuance of cheque to certain borrowers in contravention of RBI directions on ‘Fair Practices Code’;

    2. The company failed to classify certain loan accounts with overdues of 90 days or more as Non-Performing Assets (NPAs);

    3. It classified certain loan accounts which were NPA as ‘standard asset’ without realisation of entire arrears of interest and principal amount due; and

    4. It allotted multiple customer identification codes to certain individual customers instead of a Unique Customer Identification Code (UCIC) to each individual customer.

    This action is based on deficiencies in regulatory compliance and is not intended to pronounce upon the validity of any transaction or agreement entered into by the company with its customers. Further, imposition of this monetary penalty is without prejudice to any other action that may be initiated by RBI against the company.

    (Puneet Pancholy)  
    Chief General Manager

    Press Release: 2024-2025/2281

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Sectoral Deployment of Bank Credit – January 2025

    Source: Reserve Bank of India

    Data on sectoral deployment of bank credit for the month of January 20251 collected from 41 select scheduled commercial banks, accounting for about 95 per cent of the total non-food credit deployed by all scheduled commercial banks, are set out in Statements I and II.

    On a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, non-food bank credit2 as on the fortnight ended January 24, 20253 grew at 12.5 per cent (a three-month high) as compared to 16.2 per cent for the corresponding fortnight of the previous year (January 26, 2024).

    Highlights of the sectoral deployment of bank credit3 are given below:

    • Credit to agriculture and allied activities registered a growth of 12.2 per cent (y-o-y) as on the fortnight ended January 24, 2025 (20.0 per cent for the corresponding fortnight of the previous year).

    • Credit to industry recorded a growth of 8.2 per cent (y-o-y) as on the fortnight ended January 24, 2025, compared with 7.5 per cent for the corresponding fortnight of the previous year. Among major industries, outstanding credit to ‘petroleum, coal products and nuclear fuels’, ‘basic metal and metal product’, ‘chemicals and chemical products’ and ‘all engineering’ recorded an accelerated growth.

    • Credit growth to services sector moderated to 13.8 per cent (y-o-y) as on the fortnight ended January 24, 2025 (21.0 per cent for the corresponding fortnight of the previous year), with a decelerated growth in credit to ‘non-banking financial companies’ (NBFCs) and trade segments. However, credit growth (y-o-y) to ‘computer software’ accelerated.

    • Credit to personal loans segment registered a growth of 14.2 per cent (y-o-y) as on the fortnight ended January 24, 2025, as compared with 18.2 per cent a year ago, largely due to decline in growth rate in ‘other personal loans’, ‘vehicle loans’ and ‘credit card outstanding’ segments.

    Ajit Prasad           
    Deputy General Manager
    (Communications)    

    Press Release: 2024-2025/2276


    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Swap Auction, February 28, 2025: Results

    Source: Reserve Bank of India

    Today, the Reserve Bank conducted a USD/INR Buy Sell swap auction for a notified amount of USD 10 billion as announced vide press release dated February 21, 2025.

    I. SUMMARY RESULTS

    Aggregate amount notified (USD Billion) 10.00
    Total amount bid by participants (USD Billion) 16.23
    Total amount accepted (USD Billion) 10.06
    Cut-off premium (in paisa) 655.10

    II. OTHER DETAILS

    USD/INR Buy Sell Swap auction
    No. of bids received 244
    Bid to cover ratio 1.62
    No. of bids accepted 161
    Partial allotment as % of competitive bids at cut-off premium NA
    Weighted Average Premium of accepted bids (in paisa) 673.29
    First leg settlement date March 04, 2025
    Second leg settlement date March 06, 2028

    Ajit Prasad          
    Deputy General Manager
    (Communications)    

    Press Release: 2024-2025/2274

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: Asian Development Blog: Hold the Salt: Harnessing Desalination for Water Security

    Source: Asia Development Bank

    Desalination offers a viable solution to water scarcity in the Pacific, but its success depends on careful planning, energy efficiency, and environmental considerations. Integrating renewable energy, engaging communities, and ensuring sustainable brine disposal are key to long-term viability.

    The Pacific region is grappling with increasing water scarcity, driven largely by the impacts of climate change. Rising sea levels, prolonged droughts, and changing rainfall patterns have strained freshwater resources, leaving many coastal communities vulnerable.

    As traditional water supplies become less reliable and populations continue to grow, the need for innovative and climate-resilient solutions has never been more urgent. However, implementing alternative technologies like desalination requires careful consideration to ensure its effectiveness, sustainability, and community acceptance.

    Desalination involves the removal of salts and impurities from brackish water and seawater sources to produce potable water. However, removing salt from water is an energy intensive treatment process. The most widely used desalination method is reverse osmosis, as it has the lowest energy usage of the available and mature desalination technologies.

    Reverse osmosis uses semi-permeable membranes and hydraulic pressure to filter out contaminants including salt. While this technology offers significant advantages in providing a reliable water source, it also presents challenges, especially in remote areas and emergency contexts where resources and infrastructure may be limited.

    Before deploying desalination technology, it is crucial to assess the specific site conditions, including the quality of the salty water available for treatment. The salinity level, temperature, and presence of contaminants such as sediments or organic materials can significantly impact the performance of the desalination system.

    In emergency contexts, the water intake may be compromised due to increased sediment loads or bacterial contamination from natural disasters. A robust pre-treatment process is essential to protect reverse osmosis membranes and maintain operational efficiency.

    Pre-treatment systems should be designed to remove larger particles, suspended solids, and biological contaminants, ensuring that only water suitable for the membrane elements enters the desalination unit.

    Energy consumption is also a critical factor when considering desalination technologies. Reverse osmosis systems can be energy-intensive, requiring between three and five kilowatt-hours per 1,000 litres of water produced.

    In remote settings, reliable energy sources may be challenging to secure. It is essential to evaluate available energy options before implementation. Integrating renewable energy sources, such as solar panels or wind turbines, can help mitigate energy costs and reduce the carbon footprint of desalination systems, particularly in remote settings.

    Portable desalination units are largely powered by generators during emergencies, but careful planning for fuel supply and maintenance is necessary to ensure continuous operation.

    Desalination technology has the potential to play a pivotal role in addressing water scarcity challenges faced by remote and coastal communities, especially during emergencies.

    Effective operation and maintenance are vital for the long-term success of desalination projects. In remote and emergency settings, local capacity may be limited, making it crucial to establish training programs for technicians. Investing in local training not only builds community skills but also fosters ownership and sustainability in water management.  

    A comprehensive maintenance plan should include routine checks of the desalination unit, regular cleaning of pre-treatment filters, and periodic replacement of reverse osmosis membranes.

    Ensuring that local operators are equipped with the knowledge and tools needed for maintenance will enhance the reliability and efficiency of desalination systems. This is especially important for emergency units that may be intermittently used and stored for long periods between use.  

    The environmental implications of desalination must be carefully considered, particularly concerning brine disposal. The concentrated saline byproduct generated during the desalination process can have negative effects on marine ecosystems if not managed properly.

    To mitigate these impacts, brine should be dispersed across a wide area rather than discharged in a single location. Additionally, a lower salinity, higher volume brine can be produced by operating the reverse osmosis unit at a low recovery rate.

    This practice helps prevent localized salinity increases that can harm marine life. Engaging with environmental experts and local authorities to develop responsible brine management strategies is essential for sustainable desalination practices.

    Community involvement is paramount when implementing desalination technology. Engaging local populations in discussions about the technology, its benefits, and potential challenges fosters a sense of ownership and acceptance.

    Providing education on water management and desalination processes will help demystify the technology and encourage responsible use of water resources. Building trust within the community is crucial for the success of desalination projects.

    Collaboration with local stakeholders, including government agencies and non-governmental organizations, can help address concerns and ensure that the technology aligns with community needs.

    The initial investment for desalination technology can be significant, and ongoing operational costs must be evaluated to ensure long-term sustainability. It is essential to conduct a cost-benefit analysis that considers factors such as energy consumption, maintenance requirements, and the expected lifespan of the equipment.

    Exploring funding opportunities from government programs, international organizations, and public-private partnerships can help offset the financial burden. Engaging with development partners can also provide technical assistance and capacity-building support to ensure the successful implementation of desalination systems.

    Desalination technology has the potential to play a pivotal role in addressing water scarcity challenges faced by remote and coastal communities, especially during emergencies.

    However, careful consideration of site conditions, energy requirements, operational needs, environmental impacts, community engagement, and funding opportunities are essential for effective implementation.

    As we move toward a future that is increasingly affected by climate change, harnessing the power of desalination with thoughtful planning and community involvement will be critical in building water resilience across the Pacific. By investing in these technologies and empowering local communities, we can create sustainable solutions that secure safe drinking water for generations to come.
     

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: BSTDB Strengthens Partnership with Hayat Kimya in Türkiye

    Source: Black Sea Trade and Development Bank

    Press Release | 17-Dec-2024

    New Financing to Boost Capacity and Energy Efficiency

    Hayat Kimya Sanayi A.Ş., a leading Turkish manufacturer of detergents, hygiene products, and tissue paper, will advance its investment plans with the support of a €25 million loan from the Black Sea Trade and Development Bank (BSTDB). The agreement marks an important milestone in a partnership that began nine years ago.

    The BSTDB financing will back Hayat Kimya’s investment program, focusing on expanding production capacity, introducing new product lines, and enhancing energy efficiency. This initiative is also expected to bolster regional trade, as a significant portion of the company’s exports targets BSTDB member countries.

    Commenting on the agreement, BSTDB President Dr. Serhat Köksal said: “We are pleased to support Hayat Kimya, a leading manufacturer and major employer in Türkiye, as it pursues its ambitious growth plans. Our new financing underlines BSTDB’s commitment to sustainable industrial development and regional integration. By prioritizing energy efficiency and environmentally conscious practices, Hayat Kimya’s investment programme aligns with our mission to support projects that drive long-term economic and environmental benefits. Our support will help modernize Türkiye’s industrial capacity and strengthen trade ties within the Black Sea region, advancing shared prosperity and sustainable development.”

    “As part of our collaboration with the Black Sea Trade and Development Bank, we will increase the production capacity of our home care category at our facilities in Mersin and Kocaeli, Turkey. Today, at least one Hayat product can be found in 9 out of 10 households in Turkey. Globally, our export penetration ranges between 60% and 80% across more than 100 countries. With this new investment in the home care category, we aim to further strengthen our leadership, particularly in the detergent product segment.” said Ayla Hacıahmetoğlu, the Global Treasury Director of Hayat Kimya.

     

    Founded in 1937, Hayat Kimya is a leading global manufacturer and exporter of detergents, hygiene products, and tissue paper. The company operates 26 state-of-the-art production facilities across 8 countries, employing over 10,000 people. All products are produced in a fully automated, hands-free environment, meticulously designed and managed in compliance with the ISO 9001 Quality Assurance System.

     

    The Black Sea Trade and Development Bank (BSTDB) is an international financial institution established by Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Romania, Russia, Türkiye, and Ukraine. The BSTDB headquarters are in Thessaloniki, Greece. BSTDB supports economic development and regional cooperation by providing loans, credit lines, equity and guarantees for projects and trade financing in the public and private sectors in its member countries. The authorized capital of the Bank is EUR 3.45 billion. For information on BSTDB, visit www.bstdb.org.

     

    Contact: Haroula Christodoulou

    : @BSTDB

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: BSTDB President’s New Year Message

    Source: Black Sea Trade and Development Bank

    News | 24-Dec-2024

    Dear Shareholders, Partners, Friends, and Colleagues,

    As we celebrate the New Year and the 25th anniversary of the Black Sea Trade and Development Bank (BSTDB), we reflect with gratitude on a remarkable journey shaped by resilience, partnership, and shared purpose. Together, we’ve overcome challenges and created opportunities, building a legacy of sustainable growth across the Black Sea region.

    Looking ahead to 2025, we are filled with optimism. The completion of our new premises will strengthen our capabilities, enabling us to drive innovation and foster greater prosperity in the region. With your continued trust and collaboration, we are ready to turn bold ambitions into impactful results.

    Wishing you and your loved ones a joyful holiday season and a prosperous New Year. Together, let’s make 2025 extraordinary. 

    Wishing you and your loved ones a joyful holiday season and a prosperous, Happy New Year!
     

    MIL OSI Economics

  • MIL-OSI Economics: BSTDB, TBC Bank to Boost Local Currency Financing in Georgia

    Source: Black Sea Trade and Development Bank

    Press Release | 11-Feb-2025

    New Partnership to Strengthen SMEs in the Country

    The Black Sea Trade and Development Bank (BSTDB) has extended a GEL 135 million local-currency loan to TBC Bank Georgia. The financing will be on-lent to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to support their investment programmes, working capital needs, and expansion into domestic and international markets, thus enhancing SMEs’ competitiveness and export capacity.

    In addition, the funding will boost local-currency financing opportunities for private companies while reducing their dependence on foreign currency borrowings and protecting business owners from direct exposure to exchange rate risk.

    “Our new agreement with TBC Bank reinforces our commitment to fostering long-term partnerships while advancing access to local currency financing for Georgian small businesses,” said Dr. Serhat Köksal, BSTDB President. “By boosting lending in Georgian Lari, we aim to support economic growth, create jobs, and strengthen businesses’ ability to succeed in their domestic markets. This initiative also enhances the resilience and competitiveness of Georgia’s banking sector by mitigating currency risks.”

    Vakhtang Butskhrikidze, CEO, TBC Bank, commented: “We are delighted to continue and further strengthen our cooperation with BSTDB. This transaction reflects both institutions’ strong commitment to support Georgian MSMEs, which are key contributors to economic growth and job creation in the country. On the back of supporting de-dollarisation of the financial sector, this facility will further strengthen TBC’s position as a leading local currency provider on the market. I would like to thank BSTDB for being a long-standing supporter of TBC and look forward to executing many more successful deals in the future”.

    BSTDB has been cooperating with TBC Group since 2003, providing over USD 192 million in revolving trade finance, SME finance, and leasing facilities.

     

    TBC Bank Group PLC (“TBC PLC”) is a public limited company registered in England and Wales and is the parent company of TBC Bank Georgia and TBC Uzbekistan. TBC Bank Georgia, together with its subsidiaries, is the leading financial services group in Georgia, with a total market share of 38.7% of customer loans and 38.4% of customer deposits as of 30 September 2024, according to data published by the National Bank of Georgia. TBC PLC is listed on the London Stock Exchange under the symbol TBCG and is a constituent of the FTSE 250 Index. It is also a member of the FTSE4Good Index Series and the MSCI United Kingdom Small Cap Index.

    The Black Sea Trade and Development Bank (BSTDB) is an international financial institution established by Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Romania, Russia, Türkiye, and Ukraine. The BSTDB headquarters are in Thessaloniki, Greece. BSTDB supports economic development and regional cooperation by providing loans, credit lines, equity and guarantees for projects and trade financing in the public and private sectors in its member countries. The authorized capital of the Bank is EUR 3.45 billion. For information on BSTDB, visit www.bstdb.org.

     

    Contact: Haroula Christodoulou

    : @BSTDB

    MIL OSI Economics