Category: Natural Disasters

  • MIL-OSI Canada: Prime Minister Carney meets with Executive Director of the World Food Programme Cindy H. McCain

    Source: Government of Canada – Prime Minister

    Today, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, spoke with the Executive Director of the World Food Programme, Cindy H. McCain, on the margins of the inaugural Mass of His Holiness Pope Leo XIV.

    The Prime Minister reaffirmed Canada’s support for the World Food Programme and its lifesaving work in Gaza. To that end, he emphasized Canada’s $100 million support earlier this year for the United Nations and other trusted partners in providing food and humanitarian aid.

    Prime Minister Carney reiterated his call for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza.

    MIL OSI Canada News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Israel’s army launches ‘large-scale’ ground operation in Gaza, casualty toll rises

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    JERUSALEM, May 18 (Xinhua) — The Israeli army on Sunday announced a large-scale move into “many areas” of the Gaza Strip. Palestinian health officials said airstrikes overnight and early morning killed at least 67 people, including many women and children.

    The Israeli military said ground forces, including reservists, had launched “large-scale operations” in the north and south of the Palestinian enclave in an operation code-named “Gideon’s Chariots.” The campaign marks a new stage in Israel’s 20-month-old war against the Palestinian Hamas movement and other armed groups.

    Palestinian sources said Israeli air strikes hit the southern Gaza town of Khan Younis, including tents housing displaced civilians.

    At least 67 Palestinians have been killed and 361 wounded in Israeli attacks in the Gaza Strip over the past 24 hours, the official Palestinian news agency Wafa reported.

    According to the Israeli army, its forces have killed “dozens” of militants, eliminated ground and underground military infrastructure and now occupy strategic positions in the Gaza Strip.

    Meanwhile, delegations from Israel and Hamas have gathered in the Qatari capital Doha for another round of proximity talks aimed at brokering a ceasefire and releasing the hostages. Diplomats say progress remains elusive as both sides remain firm in their positions. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: AU Commission Chair expresses ‘deep concern’ over recent clashes in Libya’s capital

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    ADDIS ABABA, May 18 (Xinhua) — African Union (AU) Commission Chairman Mahmoud Ali Yusuf has expressed “deep concern” over the recent clashes in the Libyan capital Tripoli that have resulted in loss of life.

    In a statement released late Saturday, the head of the AU Commission said the clashes had caused casualties and material damage and stressed the importance of demilitarizing Tripoli.

    While welcoming the recent ceasefire and the return of “cautious calm” in Libya, he urged all parties to refrain from actions and rhetoric that could further destabilize the fragile security situation.

    M.A. Yusuf reiterated the AU’s support for efforts to restore civil order and respect the rights to peaceful assembly and freedom of speech in the country in accordance with international law. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Congressman Don Davis Votes to Support Law Enforcement During National Police Week

    Source: US Congressman Don Davis (NC-01)

    WASHINGTON, D.C. — Congressman Don Davis (NC-01) voted in favor of three bills to enhance public safety and improve law enforcement well-being during National Police Week. 

    On Wednesday, May 14, Congressman Don Davis voted yes on H.R. 2240, the Improving Law Enforcement Officer Safety and Wellness Through Data Act. Davis, a cosponsor of the legislation, said the bill is a step forward in protecting law enforcement officers. The bill aims to improve how attacks on officers are tracked and reported. It allows more detailed information to be voluntarily shared, such as whether an attack was planned or coordinated. It also directs the U.S. Department of Justice to consider adding “escalatory aggression” to its reports and to review how often officers use available mental health resources.

    “Our law enforcement officers put their lives on the line every day to protect our communities, and they deserve our support,” said Congressman Don Davis. “Congress must ensure that these officers have the necessary tools and resources to effectively serve and protect the communities they are sworn to uphold.”

    By improving data collection, we can develop more effective strategies to protect those who serve and better address their mental health needs.”

    On Thursday, May 15, Congressman Davis voted in favor of H.R. 2243, the LEOSA Reform Act. The bipartisan legislation expands where qualified active and retired law enforcement officers can securely carry firearms to respond during emergencies. 

    Congressman Davis also voted for H.R. 2255, the Federal Law Enforcement Officer Service Weapon Purchase Act of 2025. The bill allows federal law enforcement officers to buy back their retired service weapons at salvage value. Currently, federal agencies are required to destroy these firearms which costs taxpayers money. 

    “These bills are a step in the right direction,” said Congressman Davis. “They not only protect officers on the job but also honor their service after retirement.”

    All three bills now move to the Senate for consideration.

    ###

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: UPDATE: Warrant of further detention obtained for man arrested over suspected arsons

    Source: United Kingdom London Metropolitan Police

    A second man has been arrested in connection with a series of arson attacks in north London.

    The 26-year-old was arrested around 13:45hrs on Saturday, 17 May at London Luton Airport on suspicion of conspiracy to commit arson with intent to endanger life.

    The arrest was made by counter terrorism officers from the Eastern Region Special Operations Unit. The man was taken into police custody in London.

    On Sunday, 18 May, a warrant of further detention was obtained at Westminster Magistrates’ Court, meaning the man can be detained for an additional 36 hours.

    The arrest relates to three incidents – a vehicle fire in NW5 on 8 May, a fire at the entrance of a property in N7 on 11 May and a fire at a residential address in NW5 in the early hours of 12 May.

    All have previous connections with a high-profile public figure, and therefore officers from the Met’s Counter Terrorism Command have led the investigation into the fires.

    Anyone with information that could assist the investigation should call police on 101 quoting CAD 441/12 May.

    We would ask the public to remain vigilant and if they see or hear anything that doesn’t look or feel right, then to report it to police – either by calling police, in confidence, on 0800 789 321 or via www.gov.uk/ACT

    + A 21-year-old man has already been charged with three counts of arson with intent to endanger life and appeared in court.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Russia: 17 killed in fire in Hyderabad, India

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    NEW DELHI, May 18 (Xinhua) — At least 17 people were killed and many others injured in a massive fire at a building in the southern Indian city of Hyderabad on Sunday, officials said.

    The fire broke out in the morning in a residential building in Gulzar House, located near the famous Charminar area.

    “The fire broke out around 6am and by 6.16am the firefighters were on the spot. They tried to rescue people trapped inside but the fire engulfed the entire building,” local government minister Ponnam Prabhakar told the media.

    Officials said most of the victims died in their sleep and firefighting efforts were underway.

    A preliminary investigation by police revealed that a short circuit could have caused the fire.

    Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed condolences over the deaths in the fire and announced monetary compensation to the victims. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • Storms, rainfall, and heatwave: diverse weather patterns sweep across India

    Source: Government of India

    Source: Government of India (4)

    India witnessed a mix of intense weather conditions over the past 24 hours, with regions across the country experiencing thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and heatwave conditions, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
     
    Thunderstorms accompanied by squally to gusty winds, reaching speeds between 60 to 90 kmph, were reported from isolated areas in Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, and Tripura. In other regions, including Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema, Telangana, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, West Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Marathwada, and Madhya Maharashtra, wind speeds were slightly lower, ranging between 40 to 60 kmph.
     
    Alongside gusty winds, heavy to very heavy rainfall was recorded in isolated areas of Tamil Nadu, North Interior Karnataka, and the Sub-Himalayan region of West Bengal and Sikkim. Several other areas, such as Rayalaseema, Meghalaya, Tripura, and Marathwada, reported heavy rainfall activity.
     
    In contrast to the stormy conditions prevailing in parts of southern and eastern India, parts of the north and northwest remained gripped by severe heat. Heatwave to severe heatwave conditions were observed in isolated pockets of the Jammu Division. Meanwhile, areas of Rajasthan also experienced heatwave conditions, accompanied by unusually warm night temperatures in some localities.
     
    The IMD continues to monitor the evolving weather patterns and has advised residents in affected areas to stay alert and follow safety guidelines.
  • Prime Minister expresses grief over Hyderabad fire tragedy, announces ex-gratia compensation

    Source: Government of India

    Source: Government of India (4)

    Prime Minister Narendra Modi has expressed profound sorrow over the tragic loss of lives caused by a fire incident in Hyderabad, Telangana. Offering his heartfelt condolences, the Prime Minister also wished for the speedy recovery of those injured in the unfortunate accident.
     
    In a statement released on Sunday, the Prime Minister announced an ex-gratia payment from the Prime Minister’s National Relief Fund (PMNRF). Families of the deceased will receive Rs. 2 lakh each, while those injured will be granted Rs. 50,000 as financial assistance.
     
    The Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) took to X to convey the Prime Minister’s sentiments, saying, “Deeply anguished by the loss of lives due to a fire tragedy in Hyderabad, Telangana. Condolences to those who have lost their loved ones. May the injured recover soon.”
     
    Authorities continue to investigate the cause of the fire, and efforts are underway to assist those affected by the tragedy.
  • MIL-OSI Russia: D. Trump to Call V. Putin and V. Zelensky on Monday

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    WASHINGTON, May 18 (Xinhua) — U.S. President Donald Trump said Saturday that he will hold separate phone calls with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday to push for an early ceasefire between the two countries.

    “I will be speaking on the phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday at 10:00 AM,” Trump wrote on the Truth Social social network. The topics of conversation will be ending the “bloodbath” in which an average of more than 5,000 Russian and Ukrainian soldiers are dying each week, and trade, the US president added.

    Then, he said, he would speak with Ukrainian President V. Zelensky, and after that there would be a joint conversation between him and the Ukrainian leader with “various NATO members.”

    “I hope it will be a productive day and a ceasefire will be reached,” he said.

    On Friday, delegations from Russia and Ukraine concluded a meeting in Istanbul, Turkey, and agreed to hold a new round of talks and a large-scale prisoner exchange in the “1000 for 1000” format. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Dozens Injured After Ship Collides With New York Bridge

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    NEW YORK, May 18 (Xinhua) — A Mexican Navy sailing vessel on a holiday visit to New York collided with the Brooklyn Bridge on Saturday evening, injuring dozens of people on board, local media reported.

    There were reportedly 277 people on board the Mexican navy ship Cuauhtemoc. A fire department spokesman said three of the victims were in critical condition and 17 others were seriously injured.

    Video posted on social media shows the ship’s 147-foot masts were apparently too tall to pass safely under the bridge.

    According to media reports, the ship was scheduled to return to New York in July 2026 to celebrate America’s 250th anniversary.

    Following the collision, the New York Police Department issued a warning on social media site X that people should avoid areas around the Brooklyn Bridge due to the ongoing investigation, heavy traffic, and emergency response work.

    As a result, all lanes of traffic on the Brooklyn Bridge are currently closed in both directions. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI New Zealand: Team effort to rescue teens

    Source: New Zealand Police

    Packing a personal locator beacon paid off for two teenagers when one was swept down a river north of Wellington today.

    The two 15-year-olds were returning from an overnight hike to Kapakapanui Hut in the Tararua Forest Park when they got into trouble trying to cross the Ngatiawa River.

    Constable Alex McCormack said the river was rising from heavy rain and the flow swept one of the boys off his feet and carried him downstream.

    “His friend made the right choice not to go in after him. The boys thought it was crossable, but underestimated the power the water was packing.”

    The teen that was in the water managed to get to safety, but on the opposite riverbank. He stayed put and activated the locator beacon while the other boy walked to the end of the track to wait for Police and family members.

    “The Search and Rescue team were able to assist the second teen out and both of them were fine – just a little cold and wet. The fact they’re okay is a real relief given what the river was looking like.”

    Constable McCormack says the rescue showed the value in packing a locator beacon and looking at the forecast – lessons anyone heading into the outdoors should learn from.

    “Both these guys did lots of things right, but it shows how quickly the conditions can change. If you’re heading into the wilderness, pay attention to the forecast and weather warnings, and don’t risk crossing a flooded or fast-rising river – you’re better to wait it out.

    “Despite all that, they packed a locator beacon and used it when they needed to. And importantly, the one with the beacon stayed put after activating it, so we were able to find them without any trouble.”

    Constable McCormack said the rescue was a team effort involving Land Search and Rescue volunteers, the Rescue Coordination Centre, and local landowners who provided advice and allowed the rescue team access through their land.

    “They all deserve thanks for the parts they played. There are a lot of people willing to drop everything to help a stranger and we couldn’t do it without them.”

    ENDS

    Issued by the Police Media Centre

    MIL OSI New Zealand News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Terrorists use food as a weapon: how Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab exploit hunger

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Simone Papale, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, University of Parma

    Women receive food aid in Somalia. Terrorism creates food disruptions, undermining production systems and supply routes. Tobin Jones/Wikimedia Commons

    Over the last decade, there has been growing international focus on the role of food in conflict, particularly in Africa. The continent has seen an increase in jihadist terrorism in several regions.

    Violence, like that exercised by terrorist organisations, is linked with food security conditions, causing a vicious circle of hunger and conflict.

    Terrorism generates food disruptions. It undermines production systems and supply routes.

    At the same time, growing food shortages intensify tensions and competition over essential resources at the margins of vulnerable societies. This increases the risk of mobilisation into violence.

    We are researchers in international security and contemporary warfare. In a recent article, we explored the role of food in Africa’s terrorist insurgencies. We focused on Boko Haram in Nigeria and Al-Shabaab in Somalia.

    We show how food is not only a driver or victim of violence. It is also central to how terrorist groups fight, govern and survive.

    Terrorists use food as a tool to challenge national authorities and increase their followers. In parallel, they exploit food insecurity to control communities and confront counter-terrorism forces, pushing the state out of contested areas.




    Read more:
    How crime is closely linked to Al-Shabaab’s survival strategy


    This has major implications. The use of food as a weapon worsens humanitarian conditions. It causes the displacement of people in vulnerable settings. As a result, it sets in motion dangerous mechanisms of instability that can even undermine militants themselves, reducing their resources and operational capabilities.

    State responses need to address these challenges and promote more comprehensive approaches to counter terrorism.

    Weaponising supplies

    Since the late 2000s, Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab have engaged African security forces in a strenuous fight. Both groups have sought to overthrow local governments and establish their power.

    They have expanded their networks in regions where food security is low. These are Nigeria’s Borno State and southern Somalia.

    These areas have witnessed historical frictions between the population and government authorities. Local communities have lamented socioeconomic marginalisation, shortages of essential resources and high levels of unemployment.

    Both Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab have sought to capitalise on inequalities to gain appeal among aggrieved populations, seeking to replace the state in the delivery of essential resources.




    Read more:
    Nigeria’s growing security crisis: 6 essential reads


    Boko Haram militants have reportedly provided supplies, such as biscuits, rice and spaghetti, to marginalised villages. As a Borno State resident put it, the militants have shown “love and concern” while addressing local needs.

    Al-Shabaab has resorted to similar practices to win the hearts and minds of southern Somalis and enlarge its pool of recruits. The group has supplied struggling communities with meals and goods, and promoted local agricultural activities.

    In parallel to these activities, both terrorist groups have adopted more aggressive measures to counter the advance of anti-terrorism forces. They have used food denial to punish civilian insubordination and cooperation with the state, relying on starvation tactics.

    Boko Haram has systematically targeted food infrastructures. The group has burned crops, banned farming and fishing activities, and even poisoned water sources. This has happened particularly in places where militants suspected collusion between communities and national authorities.

    Likewise, Al-Shabaab has interrupted trade routes. It has destroyed food imports to isolate southern Somali villages controlled by security forces and deprive them of popular support. During Somalia’s 2011–2012 famine, Al-Shabaab militants blocked humanitarian agencies. This was aimed at preventing the distribution of food aid to curb western influence in territories under their control.

    The repercussions

    The use of food as a weapon has had major repercussions in Borno State and southern Somalia. It is a primary cause of the deterioration of food security in these regions over the last 15 years.

    Attacks on food resources and infrastructure have disrupted supply routes. They have pushed people to abandon their crops and pastures. This has decreased the production and availability of essential goods.

    As a result, humanitarian conditions have worsened, local economies have weakened and displacement flows have intensified.

    This has had detrimental effects for Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab, depriving militants of key assets to sustain their activities and attract new recruits.

    The two terrorist groups have become victims of the emergencies they have helped generate. They have increasingly struggled to supply nourishment for their troops and supporters. Consequently, they have witnessed a growing number of defections motivated by unsustainable conditions.

    Reports highlight increasing cases of jihadists surrendering to security forces while requesting food.

    To address these challenges, Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab have intensified raids on villages, looting goods and livestock.




    Read more:
    What drives Al-Shabaab in Somalia: foreign forces out, Sharia law in and overthrow the government


    However, growing frictions with the population have undermined the groups’ operational capabilities, even opening up new fronts of resistance.

    Boko Haram has been forced to transfer part of its resources and operations to the Lake Chad area. The group has intensified incursions to capture food in Nigeria’s neighbouring countries.

    In Somalia, tensions with farming and pastoralist communities have led to the creation of militias mobilising against Al-Shabaab.

    What next

    The relocation of Boko Haram’s operations and the mobilisation of communities against Al-Shabaab have not eradicated the terrorist threat. However, these events further highlight food as a crucial factor shaping insurgencies.

    African and international authorities need to tackle the dynamics of food weaponisation. They need to refine their approach to enhance local resilience, addressing the inequalities that insurgents exploit.

    The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Terrorists use food as a weapon: how Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab exploit hunger – https://theconversation.com/terrorists-use-food-as-a-weapon-how-boko-haram-and-al-shabaab-exploit-hunger-256162

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Hawley Demands Insurance Companies ‘Make Policyholders Whole’ in Wake of Devastating Missouri Storms

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo)
    Today, U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) sent a letter to the presidents and CEOs of State Farm, Nationwide, Liberty Mutual, Travelers, Allstate, and American Family Insurance among others in the wake of the devastating storms that hit Eastern Missouri on Friday. Senator Hawley called onthe companies to uphold their end of the insurance contract as policyholders work to rebuild. 
    “Your policyholders have paid you faithfully, often for years. Now is the time for you to honor the faith your customers placed in you. As Missourians work to rebuild and recover from these devastating storms, you must provide immediate and comprehensive assistance to my constituents as they navigate the claims process,”the Senator wrote. “It is my full expectation that you will honor your commitments, fully pay claimants, and do your part to help rebuild communities across Missouri.” 
    The storms come just days after Senator Hawley’s subcommittee hearing that exposed industry-wide corruption in the insurance industry that rips off those who have paid into insurance policies. The Senator has also launched a bipartisan investigation into the practice of subjecting policyholders to delays and underpayments.
    Read the full letter to the State Farm CEO here or below. 
    May 17, 2025Mr. Jon FarneyPresident and Chief Executive OfficerState Farm Mutual Dear Mr. Farney: On Friday, May 16, a series of severe storms swept across Eastern Missouri. As of Saturday morning, approximately 5,000 buildings were damaged and nearly 80,000 Missourians were without power. There have been seven confirmed fatalities. The scale of the damage is devastating. Records indicate that you currently provide significant property and casualty insurance coverage across Missouri. Victims of these severe storms will soon be seeking assistance. During this time of crisis for Missouri, I fully expect that your company will make policyholders whole. As you may be aware, as Chair of the Senate Subcommittee on Disaster Management, I have launched a bipartisan investigation into major insurance companies’ claims practices. Last week, the Subcommittee held a hearing that established an industry-wide practice of subjecting policyholders to substantial delay and underpayment. Even more alarming, the hearing revealed a practice whereby key findings in adjustment reports are altered or deleted by reviewers who have never seen the property to drive payouts to policyholders down. My investigation has revealed a pattern of this activity across the country and across disaster events. That is unacceptable and must change. Your policyholders have paid you faithfully, often for years. Now is the time for you to honor the faith your customers placed in you. As Missourians work to rebuild and recover from these devastating storms, you must provide immediate and comprehensive assistance to my constituents as they navigate the claims process. It is my full expectation that you will honor your commitments, fully pay claimants, and do your part to help rebuild communities across Missouri.
    Sincerely, Josh HawleyUnited States SenatorChairSubcommittee on Disaster Management

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-Evening Report: Why the wall of silence on the Gaza genocide is finally starting to crack

    Report by Dr David Robie – Café Pacific.

    As Israel unveils its final genocide push, and mass death from starvation looms in Gaza, Western media and politicians are tentatively starting to speak up

    ANALYSIS: By Jonathan Cook

    Who could have imagined 19 months ago that it would take more than a year and a half of Israel slaughtering and starving Gaza’s children for the first cracks to appear in what has been a rock-solid wall of support for Israel from Western establishments.

    Finally, something looks like it may be about to give.

    The British establishment’s financial daily, The Financial Times, was first to break ranks last week to condemn “the West’s shameful silence” in the face of Israel’s murderous assault on the tiny enclave.

    In an editorial — effectively the paper’s voice– the FT accused the United States and Europe of being increasingly “complicit” as Israel made Gaza “uninhabitable”, an allusion to genocide, and noted that the goal was to “drive Palestinians from their land”, an allusion to ethnic cleansing.

    Of course, both of these grave crimes by Israel have been evidently true not only since Hamas’ violent, single-day breakout from Gaza on 7 October 2023, but for decades.

    So parlous is the state of Western reporting, from a media no less complicit than the governments berated by the FT, that we need to seize on any small signs of progress.

    Next, The Economist chimed in, warning that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his ministers were driven by a “dream of emptying Gaza and rebuilding Jewish settlements there”.

    ‘Deafening silence on Gaza’
    At the weekend, The Independent decided the “deafening silence on Gaza” had to end. It was “time for the world to wake up to what is happening and to demand an end to the suffering of the Palestinians trapped in the enclave”.

    Actually much of the world woke up many, many months ago. It has been the Western press corps and Western politicians slumbering through the past 19 months of genocide.

    Then on Monday, the supposedly liberal Guardian voiced in its own editorial a fear that Israel is committing “genocide”, though it only dared do so by framing the accusation as a question.

    It wrote of Israel: “Now it plans a Gaza without Palestinians. What is this, if not genocidal? When will the US and its allies act to stop the horror, if not now?”

    The paper could more properly have asked a different question: Why have Israel’s Western allies — as well as media like The Guardian and FT — waited 19 months to speak up against the horror?

    And, predictably bringing up the rear, was the BBC. On Wednesday, the BBC Radio’s PM programme chose to give top billing to testimony from Tom Fletcher, the United Nation’s humanitarian affairs chief, to the Security Council. Presenter Evan Davis said the BBC had decided to “do something a little unusual”.

    Unusual indeed. It played Fletcher’s speech in full — all 12 and a half minutes of it. That included Fletcher’s comment: “For those killed and those whose voices are silenced: what more evidence do you need now? Will you act — decisively — to prevent genocide and to ensure respect for international humanitarian law?”

    ‘Genocide’ from taboo to mainstream
    We had gone in less than a week from the word “genocide” being taboo in relation to Gaza to it becoming almost mainstream.

    Cracks are evident in the British Parliament too. Mark Pritchard, a Conservative MP and life-long Israel supporter, stood up from the back benches to admit he had been wrong about Israel, and condemned it “for what it is doing to the Palestinian people”.

    He was one of more than a dozen Tory MPs and peers in the House of Lords, all formerly staunch defenders of Israel, who urged British Prime Minister Keir Starmer to immediately recognise a Palestinian state.

    Their move followed an open letter published by 36 members of the Board of Deputies, a 300-member body that claims to represent British Jews, dissenting from its continuing support for the slaughter. The letter warned: “Israel’s soul is being ripped out.”

    Pritchard told fellow MPs it was time to “stand up for humanity, for us being on the right side of history, for having the moral courage to lead.”

    Sadly, there is no sign of that yet. Research published last week, based on Israeli tax authority data, showed Starmer’s government has been lying even about the highly limited restrictions on arms sales to Israel it claimed to have imposed last year.

    Despite an ostensible ban on shipments of weapons that could be used in Gaza, Britain has covertly exported more than 8500 separate munitions to Israel since the ban.

    More weapons details
    This week more details emerged. According to figures published by The National, the current government exported more weapons to Israel in the final three months of last year, after the ban came into effect, than the previous Conservative government did through the whole of 2020 to 2023.

    So shameful is the UK’s support for Israel in the midst of what the International Court of Justice — the World Court — has described as a “plausible genocide” that Starmer’s government needs to pretend it is doing something, even as it actually continues to arm that genocide.

    More than 40 MPs wrote to Foreign Secretary David Lammy last week calling for him to respond to allegations that he had misled the public and Parliament. “The public deserves to know the full scale of the UK’s complicity in crimes against humanity,” they wrote.

    There are growing rumblings elsewhere. This week French President Emmanuel Macron called Israel’s complete blockade on aid into Gaza “shameful and unacceptable”. He added: “My job is to do everything I can to make it stop.”

    “Everything” seemed to amount to nothing more than mooting possible economic sanctions.

    Still, the rhetorical shift was striking. Italy’s Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, similarly denounced the blockade, calling it “unjustifiable”. She added: “I have always recalled the urgency of finding a way to end the hostilities and respect international law and international humanitarian law.”

    “International law”? Where has that been for the past 19 months?

    Similar change of priorities
    There was a similar change of priorities across the Atlantic. Democratic Senator Chris van Hollen, for example, recently dared to call Israel’s actions in Gaza “ethnic cleansing”.

    CNN’s Christiane Amanpour, a bellwether of the Beltway consensus, gave Israel’s deputy Foreign Minister, Sharren Haskel, an unusually tough grilling. Amanpour all but accused her of lying about Israel starving children.

    Meanwhile, Josep Borrell, the recently departed head of European Union foreign policy, broke another taboo last week by directly accusing Israel of preparing a genocide in Gaza.

    “Seldom have I heard the leader of a state so clearly outline a plan that fits the legal definition of genocide,” he said, adding: “We’re facing the largest ethnic cleansing operation since the end of the Second World War.”

    Borrell, of course, has no influence over EU policy at this point.

    This is all painfully slow progress, but it does suggest that a tipping point may be near.

    If so, there are several reasons. One — the most evident in the mix — is US President Donald Trump.

    It was easier for The Guardian, the FT and old-school Tory MPs to watch the extermination of Gaza’s Palestinians in silence when it was kindly Uncle Joe Biden and the US military industrial complex behind it.

    Trump forgets ‘his bit’
    Unlike his predecessor, Trump too often forgets the bit where he is supposed to put a gloss on Israeli crimes, or distance the US from them, even as Washington ships the weapons to carry out those crimes.

    But also, there are plenty of indications that Trump — with his constant craving to be seen as the top dog — is increasingly annoyed at being publicly outfoxed by Netanyahu.

    This week, as Trump headed to the Middle East, his administration secured the release of Israeli soldier Edan Alexander, the last living US citizen in captivity in Gaza, by bypassing Israel and negotiating directly with Hamas.

    In his comments on the release, Trump insisted it was time to “put an end to this very brutal war” — a remark he had very obviously not coordinated with Netanyahu.

    Notably, Israel is not on Trump’s Middle East schedule.

    Right now seems a relatively safe moment to adopt a more critical stance towards Israel, as presumably the FT and Guardian appreciate.

    Then there is the fact that Israel’s genocide is reaching its endpoint. No food, water or medicines have entered Gaza for more than two months. Everyone is malnourished. It is unclear, given Israel’s destruction of Gaza’s health system, how many have already died from hunger.

    Skin-and-bones children
    But the pictures of skin-and-bones children emerging from Gaza are uncomfortably reminiscent of 80-year-old images of skeletal Jewish children imprisoned in Nazi camps.

    It is a reminder that Gaza — strictly blockaded by Israel for 16 years before Hamas’ 7 October 2023 breakout — has been transformed over the past 19 months from a concentration camp into a death camp.

    Parts of the media and political class know mass death in Gaza cannot be obscured for much longer, not even after Israel has barred foreign journalists from the enclave and murdered most of the Palestinian journalists trying to record the genocide.

    Cynical political and media actors are trying to get in their excuses before it is too late to show remorse.

    And finally there is the fact that Israel has declared its readiness to take hands-on responsibility for the extermination in Gaza by, in its words, “capturing” the tiny territory.

    The long-anticipated “day after” looks like it is about to arrive.

    For 20 years, Israel and Western capitals have conspired in the lie that Gaza’s occupation ended in 2005, when Israel’s then prime minister, Ariel Sharon, pulled out a few thousand Jewish settlers and withdrew Israeli soldiers to a highly fortified perimeter encaging the enclave.

    Always under Israeli occupation
    In a ruling last year, the World Court gave this claim short shrift, emphasising that Gaza, as well as the Palestinian territories of the West Bank and East Jerusalem, had never stopped being under Israeli occupation, and that the occupation must end immediately.

    The truth is that, even before the 2023 Hamas attacks, Israel had been besieging Gaza by land, sea and air for many, many years. Nothing — people or trade — went in or out without the Israeli military’s say-so.

    Israeli officials instituted a secret policy of putting the population there on a strict “diet” – a war crime then as now — one that ensured most of Gaza’s young became progressively more malnourished.

    Drones whined constantly overhead, as they do now, watching the population from the skies 24 hours a day and occasionally raining down death. Fishermen were shot and their boats sunk for trying to fish their own waters. Farmers’ crops were destroyed by herbicides sprayed from Israeli planes.

    And when the mood took it, Israel sent in fighter jets to bomb the enclave or sent soldiers in on military operations, killing hundreds of civilians at a time.

    When Palestinians in Gaza went out week after week to stage protests close to the perimeter fence of their concentration camp, Israeli snipers shot them, killing some 200 and crippling many thousands more.

    Yet, despite all this, Israel and Western capitals insisted on the story that Hamas “ruled” Gaza, and that it alone was responsible for what went on there.

    Fiction important to West
    “That fiction was very important to the Western powers. It allowed Israel to evade accountability for the crimes against humanity committed in Gaza over the past two decades – and it allowed the West to avoid complicity charges for arming the criminals.

    Instead, the political and media class perpetuated the myth that Israel was engaged in a “conflict” with Hamas — as well as intermittent “wars” in Gaza — even as Israel’s own military termed its operations to destroy whole neighbourhoods and kill their residents “mowing the lawn”.

    Israel, of course, viewed Gaza as its lawn to mow. And that is precisely because it never stopped occupying the enclave.

    Even today Western media outlets collude in the fiction that Gaza is free from Israeli occupation by casting the slaughter there — and the starvation of the population — as a “war”.

    But the “day after” — signalled by Israel’s promised “capture” and “reoccupation” of Gaza — brings a conundrum for Israel and its Western sponsors.

    Until now Israel’s every atrocity has been justified by Hamas’ violent breakout on 7 October 2023.

    Israel and its supporters have insisted that Hamas must return the Israelis it took captive before there can be some undefined “peace”. At the same time, Israel has also maintained that Gaza must be destroyed at all costs to root out Hamas and eliminate it.

    Goals never looked consistent
    These two goals never looked consistent — not least because the more Palestinian civilians Israel killed “rooting out” Hamas, the more young men Hamas recruited seeking vengeance.

    The constant stream of genocidal rhetoric from Israeli leaders made clear that they believed there were no civilians in Gaza — not “uninvolved” –– and that the enclave should be levelled and the population treated like “human animals”, punished with “no food, water or fuel”.

    Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich reiterated that approach last week, vowing that “Gaza will be entirely destroyed” and that its people would be ethnically cleansed — or, as he put it, forced to “leave in great numbers to third countries”.

    Israeli officials have echoed him, threatening to “flatten” Gaza if the hostages are not released. But in truth, the captives held by Hamas are just a convenient pretext.

    Smotrich was more honest in observing that the hostages’ release was “not the most important thing”. His view is apparently shared by the Israeli military, which has reportedly put that aim last in a list of six “war” objectives.

    More important to the military are “operational control” of Gaza, “demilitarization of the territory” and “concentration and movement of the population”.

    With Israel about to be indisputably, visibly in direct charge of Gaza again — with the cover stories stripped away of a “war”, of the need to eliminate of Hamas, of civilian casualties as “collateral damage” — Israel’s responsibility for the genocide will be incontestable too, as will the West’s active collusion.

    Mossad agents’ letter
    That was why more than 250 former officials with Mossad, Israel’s spy agency — including three of its former heads — signed a letter this week decrying Israel’s breaking of the ceasefire in early March and its return to “war”.

    The letter called Israel’s official objectives “unattainable”.

    Similarly, the Israeli media reports large numbers of Israel’s military reservists are no longer showing up when called for a return to duty in Gaza.

    Israel’s western patrons must now grapple with Israel’s “plan” for the ruined territory. Its outline has been coming more sharply into focus in recent days.

    In January Israel formally outlawed the United Nations refugee agency Unrwa that feeds and cares for the large proportion of the Palestinian population driven off their historic lands by Israel in earlier phases of its decades-long colonisation of historic Palestine.

    Gaza is packed with such refugees – the outcome of Israel’s biggest ethnic cleansing programme in 1948, at its creation as a “Jewish state”.

    Removing Unrwa had been a long-held ambition, a move by Israel designed to help rid it of the yoke of aid agencies that have been caring for Palestinians – and thereby helping them to resist Israel’s efforts at ethnic cleansing – as well as monitoring Israel’s adherence, or rather lack of it, to international law.

    Private contractor scheme
    For the ethnic cleansing and genocide programmes in Gaza to be completed, Israel has needed to produce an alternative system to Unrwa’s.

    Last week, it approved a scheme in which it intends to use private contractors, not the UN, to deliver small quantities of food and water to Palestinians. Israel will allow in 60 trucks a day — barely a tenth of the absolute minimum required, according to the UN.

    There are several catches. To stand any hope of qualifying for this very limited aid, Palestinians will need to collect it from military distribution points located in a small area at the southern tip of the Gaza strip.

    In other words, some two million Palestinians will have to crowd into a location that has no chance of accommodating them all, and even then will have only a tenth of the aid they need.

    They will have to relocate too without any guarantee from Israel that it won’t continue bombing the “humanitarian zones” they have been herded into.

    These military distribution zones just so happen to be right next to Gaza’s sole, short border with Egypt — exactly where Israel has been seeking to drive the Palestinians over the past 19 months in the hope of forcing Egypt to open the border so the people of Gaza can be ethnically cleansed into Sinai.

    Under Israel’s scheme, Palestinians will be screened in these military hubs using biometric data before they stand any hope of receiving minimum calorie-controlled handouts of food.

    Once inside the hubs, they can be arrested and shipped off to one of Israel’s torture camps.

    Torture and abuse rife
    Just last week Israel’s Haaretz newspaper published testimony from an Israeli soldier turned whistleblower — confirming accounts from doctors and other guards — that torture and abuse are rife against Palestinians, including civilians, at Sde Teiman, the most notorious of the camps.

    Last Friday, shortly after Israel announced its “aid” plan, it fired a missile into an Unrwa centre in Jabaliya camp, destroying its food distribution centre and warehouse.

    Then on Saturday, Israel bombed tents used for preparing food in Khan Younis and Gaza City. It has been targeting charity kitchens and bakeries to close them down, in an echo of its campaign of destruction against Gaza’s hospitals and health system.

    In recent days, a third of UN-supported community kitchens — the population’s last life line — have closed because their stores of food are depleted, as is their access to fuel.

    According to the UN agency OCHA, that number is rising “by the day”, leading to “widespread” hunger.

    Facing ‘catastrophic hunger’
    The UN reported this week that nearly half a million people in Gaza — a fifth of the population — faced “catastrophic hunger”.

    Predictably, Israel and its ghoulish apologists are making light of this sea of immense suffering. Jonathan Turner, chief executive of UK Lawyers for Israel, argued that critics were unfairly condemning Israel for starving Gaza’s population, and ignoring the health benefits of reducing “obesity” among Palestinians.

    In a joint statement last week, 15 UN agencies and more than 200 charities and humanitarian groups denounced Israel’s “aid” plan. The UN children’s fund Unicef warned that Israel was forcing Palestinians to choose between “displacement and death”.

    But worse, Israel is setting up its stall once again to turn reality on its head.

    Those Palestinians who refuse to cooperate with its “aid” plan will be blamed for their own starvation. And international agencies who refuse to go along with Israeli criminality will be smeared both as “antisemitic” and as responsible for the mounting toll of starvation on Gaza’s population.

    There is a way to stop these crimes degenerating further. But it will require Western politicians and journalists to find far more courage than they have dared muster so far. It will need more than rhetorical flourishes. It will need more than public handwringing.

    Are they capable of more? Don’t hold your breath.

    Jonathan Cook is an award-winning British journalist. He was based in Nazareth, Israel, for 20 years and returned to the UK in 2021. He is the author of three books on the Israel-Palestine conflict, including Disappearing Palestine: Israel’s Experiments in Human Despair (2008). In 2011, Cook was awarded the Martha Gellhorn Special Prize for Journalism for his work on Palestine and Israel. This article was first published in Middle East Eye and is republished with the author’s permission.

     

    This article was first published on Café Pacific.

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz

  • MIL-OSI New Zealand: Police make arrest over Masterton fires

    Source: New Zealand Police

    Wairarapa Police have made an arrest in relation to seven suspicious fires in Masterton earlier this year.

    Six churches and a local business were damaged by fire on 22 February, acts Police believe were intentional.

    This morning, Police executed a search warrant at a Masterton address, where a 44-year-old man was arrested without incident. Police have filed seven charges of arson against him and he is expected to appear in the Masterton District Court tomorrow (19 May).

    Wairarapa Area Commander Inspector Nick Thom welcomed the arrest.

    “I want to acknowledge the support we’ve had from the community during this investigation. The fires were unsettling and upsetting for many people, and I hope today’s arrest brings some comfort.

    “Information from the public has played a pivotal role in this investigation and I want to thank everyone who has helped us, including the dedicated investigators who have spent months following leads and making enquiries.”

    As the case is before the court, Police are unable to comment further.

    ENDS

    Issued by the Police Media Centre

    MIL OSI New Zealand News

  • MIL-OSI China: Trump’s Gulf visit signals potential shift in Mideast policy

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    President of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan (R) meets with visiting U.S. President Donald Trump in Abu Dhabi, the United Arab Emirates, May 15, 2025. [Emirates News Agency/Handout via Xinhua]

    U.S. President Donald Trump departed the United Arab Emirates (UAE) on Friday afternoon, concluding a lucrative four-day Gulf tour, which had also taken him to Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

    Despite expectations that Trump’s visit could help calm the conflict in Gaza and ease regional tensions, the U.S. president instead focused his Middle East visit primarily on economic gain, securing multi-trillion-dollar investment commitments from the three Gulf countries.

    Analysts believe that, by sidestepping the region’s conflict zones and prioritizing business deals, Trump’s tour signals a potential pivot in U.S. Middle East policy.

    Profitable journey

    Massive commercial deals defined Trump’s Middle East tour.

    From the outset of his second term, Trump signaled that his first major foreign trip would emphasize promoting U.S. economic interests. On his inauguration day in January, Trump stated he would choose Saudi Arabia as his first destination “if Saudi Arabia wanted to buy another 450, or 500 billion (dollars’ worth of U.S. products).”

    Upon arrival in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, Trump secured an investment agreement with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, locking in 600 billion U.S. dollars in investments into the United States.

    Among the deals signed was “the largest defense sales agreement in history — nearly 142 billion dollars,” said a White House statement. Under this agreement, the United States will supply Saudi Arabia with “state-of-the-art warfighting equipment and services from over a dozen U.S. defense firms.”

    In Qatar, Trump cut a deal with the Gulf nation to generate “an economic exchange worth at least 1.2 trillion dollars.” He also secured commercial deals worth over 243.5 billion dollars, including the sale of 210 U.S.-made Boeing 787 Dreamliner and 777X jets to Qatar Airways, valued at 96 billion dollars.

    Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani (2nd R) and U.S. President Donald Trump (2nd L) witness the signing of a series of deals at the Amiri Diwan in Doha, Qatar, on May 14, 2025. [Qatar News Agency/Handout via Xinhua]

    In the UAE, the final stop of the trip, Trump announced 200 billion dollars in bilateral commercial agreements, bringing “the total of investment agreements in the Gulf region to over 2 trillion dollars,” the White House noted.

    Trump’s trip to the Middle East “is all about money,” said Rodger Shanahan, a Middle East analyst at the Lowy Institute. “The Gulf states are a source of foreign investment for the United States of a size that makes for good announcements.”

    “Vague role” in easing tensions

    Despite hopes that Washington would leverage its special ties with Israel to promote a ceasefire and reduce regional tensions, the United States has yet to take meaningful steps toward resolving Middle East conflicts.

    During Trump’s visit, Israel continued large-scale airstrikes on Gaza, killing dozens daily. In Yemen, Houthi forces and Israel engaged in ongoing retaliatory attacks, while frequent Israeli military strikes against Lebanon resulted in casualties.

    Smoke billows following Israeli strikes in the Gaza Strip, as seen from Israel’s southern border with the Gaza Strip, on May 16, 2025. [Photo/Xinhua]

    Although the United States claimed to aim for Middle East peace, “the reality on the ground contradicts the U.S. stated goals,” said Mostafa Amin, an Egyptian researcher on Arab and international affairs. “The killings … by Israel during Trump’s visit raise serious questions about the sincerity of any U.S. peace efforts.”

    Further disappointment among Arab nations came from Trump’s inflammatory remarks on occupying Gaza. At a roundtable with Qatari officials in Doha, he suggested the United States should “take” Gaza and reshape its future.

    “I think I’d be proud to have the United States have it, take it, make it a freedom zone,” he said before reporters. “Let some good things happen, put people in homes where they can be safe, and Hamas is going to have to be dealt with.”

    “He referenced peace only in the context of hostage releases,” observed Amjad Abu al-Ezz, a political science professor at the Arab American University in the West Bank. “There was no mention of a ceasefire, de-escalation or even basic humanitarian corridors (in Gaza).”

    Trump did not hesitate to criticize Iran during his trip, calling it “the most destructive force” in the Middle East and accusing it of fueling regional instability. His remarks drew sharp rebukes from Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, further heightening already tense U.S.-Iran relations.

    “Although Trump’s visit yielded some economic gains, the United States has yet to present clear solutions to the underlying regional tensions,” said Ali Johar, a UAE political analyst.

    By focusing solely on its economic interests and overlooking the concerns of regional populations, Washington appears to be drifting into a “vague role” in addressing the area’s conflicts, Johar noted.

    Potential policy shift

    Trump’s trip not only overlooked Arab world concerns but also appeared to sideline Israel’s sensitivities.

    Unlike his first presidential trip to the Middle East in 2017, Trump’s latest visit excluded Israel from his itinerary. On the eve of his arrival, reports surfaced that the United States had even held direct talks with Hamas, culminating in the release of American-Israeli hostage Edan Alexander.

    People watch a live stream of the release of Israeli-American hostage Edan Alexander in a square in Tel Aviv, Israel, May 12, 2025. [Photo/Xinhua]

    “Skipping Israel was seen as a reflection of the deteriorating ties between the U.S. administration and the government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,” noted an Al Jazeera analysis.

    While in the UAE, Trump acknowledged that “a lot of people are starving in Gaza,” a rare statement interpreted as a sign of his growing frustration over Israel’s prolonged military campaign.

    Analysts suggest Trump, known for his America-first, pragmatic stance, is losing patience with Israel.

    “For decades, Israel has leveraged its special relationship with the United States to serve as a gatekeeper to Washington,” the Times of Israel wrote in an opinion piece, observing that many in Israel “worried that the best partner they’ve ever had in the White House had lost interest.”

    This concern is not unfounded. Frederick Kempe, president and CEO of the Atlantic Council, said the Trump administration would rather “swim in a stream of Gulf investments than get bogged down in the region’s enduring problems.”

    Apparently, the United States is shifting its focus and policy priorities toward the Gulf region and the economic field, Kheir Diabat, a professor in the International Affairs Department at Qatar University, observed.

    “While economic cooperation is certainly beneficial for the region,” Diabat added, “what the United States should prioritize now is taking its responsibility and helping restore stability to the Middle East.”

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: Trump to speak with Putin, Zelensky on Monday

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    U.S. President Donald Trump said on Saturday that he will speak separately with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday to push for a ceasefire deal between the two countries.

    “I will be speaking, by telephone, to President Vladimir Putin of Russia on Monday, at 10:00 a.m.,” Trump said in a post on Truth Social, adding that the subjects of the call will be stopping the “bloodbath” that is killing, on average, more than 5,000 Russian and Ukrainian soldiers a week, and trade.

    Trump said he will “then be speaking to President Zelensky of Ukraine and then, with President Zelensky, various members of NATO.”

    “Hopefully it will be a productive day” and “a ceasefire will take place,” he said.

    Concluding their meeting in Türkiye’s Istanbul on Friday, delegations of Russia and Ukraine agreed to hold a new round of negotiations and have a large-scale prisoner exchange. As a key outcome of the two-hour talks, the two sides agreed to a prisoner exchange involving 1,000 people from each side.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Seven killed in house fire in northern Mexico

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    MEXICO CITY, May 17 (Xinhua) — Seven people, including five children, were killed early Saturday in a fire at a residential building in the city of Saltillo, northern Mexico’s Coahuila state, local media reported.

    The fire broke out at around 4am /10:00 GMT/ and spread quickly due to flammable materials such as acetone, solvents and paint in the house.

    Authorities identified two women, aged 64 and 28, and five children, aged between five and 15, as victims of the accident. Three others were burned and taken to local hospitals.

    Investigators believe that the possible cause of the fire was contact between a candle and flammable materials. Firefighters, police and ambulance crews arrived at the scene, the flames were successfully extinguished.

    Coahuila state authorities have called on residents to take extra safety precautions when using candles and storing hazardous materials at home. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL3

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    950 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
    Far Western Arkansas
    Central and Eastern Oklahoma

    * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 950 PM
    until 400 AM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
    Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
    A tornado or two possible

    SUMMARY…Mainly elevated thunderstorms should continue to pose a
    threat for large hail this evening into the early overnight hours.
    The largest hailstones may reach up to 1-2 inches in diameter. There
    is also some chance for a cluster of thunderstorms to form over the
    next few hours. If this occurs, then the threat for severe/damaging
    winds would increase as well.

    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
    statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of
    Chickasha OK to 5 miles east southeast of Fort Smith AR. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 279…WW 280…WW
    281…WW 282…

    AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
    28035.

    …Gleason

    SEL3

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    950 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
    Far Western Arkansas
    Central and Eastern Oklahoma

    * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 950 PM
    until 400 AM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
    Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
    A tornado or two possible

    SUMMARY…Mainly elevated thunderstorms should continue to pose a
    threat for large hail this evening into the early overnight hours.
    The largest hailstones may reach up to 1-2 inches in diameter. There
    is also some chance for a cluster of thunderstorms to form over the
    next few hours. If this occurs, then the threat for severe/damaging
    winds would increase as well.

    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
    statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of
    Chickasha OK to 5 miles east southeast of Fort Smith AR. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 279…WW 280…WW
    281…WW 282…

    AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
    28035.

    …Gleason

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW3
    WW 283 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 180250Z – 180900Z
    AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
    55NW CHK/CHICKASHA OK/ – 5ESE FSM/FORT SMITH AR/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /55WNW OKC – 5S FSM/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.

    LAT…LON 36389866 36039429 34589429 34939866

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU3.

    Watch 283 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    Low (20%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low (5%)

    Wind

    Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

    Mod (40%)

    Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

    Low (20%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Mod (40%)

    Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

    Mod (30%)

    Combined Severe Hail/Wind

    Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

    High (70%)

    For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-Evening Report: ER Report: A Roundup of Significant Articles on EveningReport.nz for May 18, 2025

    ER Report: Here is a summary of significant articles published on EveningReport.nz on May 18, 2025.

    ‘Cracks are opening up’ in Western complicity over Gaza genocide, says Minto
    Asia Pacific Report About 2000 New Zealand protesters marched through the heart of Auckland city today chanting “no justice, no peace” and many other calls as they demanded an immediate ceasefire in Gaza and an end to the Israeli atrocities in its brutal war on the besieged Palestinian enclave. For more than 73 days, Israel

    Fiji rights coalition slams ‘betrayal’ of West Papua for Indonesian benefits
    By Anish Chand in Suva Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka and Fiji’s coalition government are “detached from the values that Fijians hold dear”, says the NGO Coalition on Human Rights in Fiji (NGOCHR). The rights coalition has expressed deep concern over Rabuka’s ongoing engagements with Indonesia. “History will judge how we respond as Fijians to this

    MIL OSI AnalysisEveningReport.nz

  • MIL-OSI China: 3 dead, 1 missing after south China flash flood

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    Three people died and one remains missing after intense rain triggered flash floods in south China’s Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, local authorities said on Saturday.

    On Friday and Saturday, torrential downpours hit the county of Longlin, resulting in a flash flood in Yancha Township. This surge of water left four people missing, after a temporary shelter they were staying in on a hillside was swept away.

    Upon receiving a report of this incident on Saturday, local emergency response, public security, fire and health authorities promptly launched search and rescue operations. Three of the missing individuals were later found in a mountain stream gully, with all three declared dead.

    Efforts to locate the remaining missing person are still underway.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Governor Walz Authorizes Minnesota National Guard to Help Fight Northern Minnesota Wildfire

    Source: US State of Minnesota

    Governor Tim Walz today authorized the Minnesota National Guard to provide emergency assistance to help fight the Camp House wildfire in northern Minnesota. Executive Order 25-04 directs the National Guard to assist the Minnesota Interagency Fire Center with fire suppression efforts and assets.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Governor Walz Travels to the Two Harbors Area to Survey Wildfires

    Source: US State of Minnesota

    Governor Tim Walz and United States Senators Amy Klobuchar and Tina Smith today traveled to the Two Harbors area in Northeastern Minnesota to survey damage caused by wildfires. The Camp House fire, Jenkins Creek fire, and Munger Shaw fire have impacted an estimated area of over 32,000 acres. Local, state, and federal firefighters, alongside emergency management officials and volunteers are working to contain the fires as gusting winds increase fire activity.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Scientists have found an accelerating decline in forest restoration rates after major wildfires

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    BEIJING, May 18 (Xinhua) — Chinese and international scientists have found a significant deterioration in the global capacity to restore forests after large-scale wildfires in the 21st century, with less than a third of damaged forests able to recover within seven years after a fire.

    The study, published in the journal Nature Ecology

    A research team led by Chen Ziyue of Beijing Normal University, Wu Zhaoyang of the Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and Josep Peñuelas of the Autonomous University of Barcelona, Spain, analyzed 3,281 large forest fires worldwide using a hybrid methodological framework.

    The main results show that since 2010, the average intensity of large wildfires has increased by 42.9 percent in drylands and 54.3 percent in boreal zones, with western North America, north-central Siberia, and southeastern Australia being the hardest hit. Post-fire recovery rates have declined sharply since 2010, as the area where recovery has stalled has increased from 22.6 percent to 25.6 percent, with forest structure and productivity posing particular challenges for recovery.

    The study warns that reduced fire resilience could lead to catastrophic losses of biodiversity, biological resources and carbon sinks that far exceed direct fire emissions, seriously disrupting the global carbon cycle. Forest ecosystems damaged by fires are currently facing unprecedented challenges to natural recovery, exacerbated by extreme climate events such as heat waves and drought.

    Natural recovery mechanisms can no longer cope with increasing climate pressure, Chen Ziyue said, calling for systematic international intervention at critical stages of post-fire recovery, including scientifically planned reforestation and ecological restoration projects.

    Australian expert David Bowman from the University of Tasmania described the study as “an influential paper on a very serious topic.” -0-

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 282

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL2

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 282
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    745 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
    Southwest and South-Central Arkansas
    Northern Louisiana
    Far Southeast Oklahoma
    Northeast Texas

    * Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 745 PM
    until 200 AM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
    Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
    A tornado or two possible

    SUMMARY…Multiple clusters and supercells should spread generally
    eastward this evening and overnight while posing a threat for both
    large hail around 1.5-2.5 inches in diameter and severe/damaging
    winds up to 60-70 mph. A tornado or two may also occur.

    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
    statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles north
    northwest of Longview TX to 30 miles north of Monroe LA. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 278…WW 279…WW
    280…WW 281…

    AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
    27035.

    …Gleason

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW2
    WW 282 SEVERE TSTM AR LA OK TX 180045Z – 180700Z
    AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
    65NNW GGG/LONGVIEW TX/ – 30N MLU/MONROE LA/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /54NNW GGG – 26N MLU/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.

    LAT…LON 34419515 34119203 31809203 32099515

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU2.

    Watch 282 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    Low (20%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low (10%)

    Wind

    Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

    Mod (50%)

    Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

    Low (20%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Mod (50%)

    Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

    Mod (30%)

    Combined Severe Hail/Wind

    Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

    High (80%)

    For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 281

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL1

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 281
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    500 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
    Southeast Arkansas
    Northeast Louisiana
    West-Central Mississippi

    * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
    1000 PM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
    Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    SUMMARY…Ongoing supercell thunderstorms should persist for several
    more hours this afternoon and evening while posing a threat for
    mainly 1-2 inch diameter hail. Isolated damaging winds may also
    occur.

    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
    statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north of
    Monroe LA to 30 miles south of Greenwood MS. For a complete
    depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
    (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 277…WW 278…WW
    279…WW 280…

    AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
    26025.

    …Gleason

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW1
    WW 281 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 172200Z – 180300Z
    AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
    40N MLU/MONROE LA/ – 30S GWO/GREENWOOD MS/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /35N MLU – 26SSE SQS/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.

    LAT…LON 33759203 33729008 32419008 32459203

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU1.

    Watch 281 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    Low (10%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low ( 65 knots

    Low (20%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Mod (40%)

    Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

    Mod (30%)

    Combined Severe Hail/Wind

    Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

    High (70%)

    For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Senator Collins Delivers Remarks at Rumford Fire Station Dedication and Open House

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Maine Susan Collins

    Click HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE, and HERE for individual photos
    Rumford, ME – Today, U.S. Senator Susan Collins delivered remarks at a dedication and open house at the new Rumford fire station. The new station is dedicated to Peter Chase, a former Deputy Fire Chief and Town of Rumford Selectman who passed away in 2022. Members of the Chase family, including his wife Rhonda and his son, Auburn Fire Department Chief Bob Chase, were in attendance for the ceremony, which was held on the same day as Deputy Chief Chase’s birthday.
    “This is a celebration of more than a modern facility for firefighters. As we dedicate this building to Peter Chase, we honor an inspiring life of service,” said Senator Collins during her remarks. “From Deputy Fire Chief, to Selectman, to his work on several town and county commissions, Peter devoted himself to his community. This is a wonderfully touching way to mark what would have been Peter’s 72nd birthday.”
    “Rhonda, Bob, and all members of his wonderful family, please know that this new fire station is a fitting memorial to a remarkable example of the spirit of Maine,” she continued. “Bob, let me congratulate you for carrying on your father’s legacy in Auburn and for your recognition as Maine’s Fire Chief of the Year for 2024. That spirit lives on in the firefighters who selflessly put their lives on the line to protect our families, our homes, and our businesses.”
    After touring the old station—which was constructed in 1923—in May of 2022, Senator Collins secured $1 million in Congressionally Directed Spending to support the construction of the new station in the Fiscal Year 2022 omnibus appropriations package. The new station includes two additional bays and additional clearance for trucks, as well as a decontamination area, and sleeping space for the firefighters.
    Senator Collins has long been an advocate for Maine’s firefighters and first responders. Through her role on the Senate Appropriations Committee, she secured more than $31 million in Congressionally Directed Spending through the Fiscal Year 2024 appropriations process for projects across the state that will support local law enforcement, fire and rescue stations, and emergency response services.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Russia: Tornadoes hit US states of Missouri and Kentucky, 21 killed

    Translation. Region: Russian Federal

    Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian – People’s Republic of China in Russian –

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    WASHINGTON, May 17 (Xinhua) — At least 21 people were killed in tornadoes that swept through parts of the U.S. states of Missouri and Kentucky from Friday into Saturday morning, local authorities said.

    Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear said Saturday morning that 14 people have been confirmed dead in the region.

    “Kentucky, we start today with the difficult news that we have lost at least 14 people as a result of yesterday’s storms, but unfortunately the death toll will continue to rise as more information becomes available,” Beshear said in a post on X’s social media.

    Earlier, Laurel County Sheriff John Root in southeastern Kentucky called the tornado “a mass casualty event.”

    In addition, five people were killed in St. Louis and two in Scott County in southeastern Missouri, according to NBC News, and local officials said more than 5,000 homes were damaged by the storm Friday afternoon.

    According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, there are about 1,200 tornadoes in the country each year. –0–

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI Security: Coast Guard investigates 2 separate, unrelated vessel fires in Puerto Rico aboard ferry vessel Breezy Point and tanker Scot Stuttgart

    Source: United States Coast Guard

     

    05/17/2025 04:10 PM EDT

    Coast Guard Sector San Juan marine investigators and vessel inspection teams are investigating two separate and unrelated vessel fires in Puerto Rico on Saturday. Both vessel fires were successfully extinguished, and there are currently no reports of marine pollution or reported injuries in either case. Pollution monitoring efforts continue. “The Coast Guard is investigating these separate and unrelated vessel fires aboard the ferry vessel Breezy Point and the tanker Scot Stuttgart to ascertain the potential causes,” said Capt. Luis J. Rodriguez, Coast Guard Sector San Juan commander. “Each of these vessel fires warrant investigations to learn causative factors and prevent future incidents from occurring with potential risk to human lives and impacts to Puerto Rico’s maritime transportation and marine environment. I commend the crews from both vessels for their initial actions that led to the fires being extinguished, as well as the efforts of responding firefighting crews, which collectively led to preventing the loss of life and averting a more catastrophic outcome.”

    For more breaking news follow us on Twitter and Facebook.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 280

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL0

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 280
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    255 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
    West-Central Texas

    * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
    1000 PM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
    Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

    SUMMARY…Thunderstorms will affect the watch area through the
    afternoon and early evening. Very unstable conditions will promote
    a risk of large hail and damaging winds in the strongest storms.

    The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
    statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles southwest of Del
    Rio TX to 45 miles northwest of Temple TX. For a complete depiction
    of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
    WOU0).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
    favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
    Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
    weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
    warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
    tornadoes.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 277…WW 278…WW 279…

    AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
    3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
    few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
    25025.

    …Hart

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW0
    WW 280 SEVERE TSTM TX 171955Z – 180300Z
    AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
    10SW DRT/DEL RIO TX/ – 45NW TPL/TEMPLE TX/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /15WSW DLF – 35W ACT/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.

    LAT…LON 29260228 31609924 31609669 29269979

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU0.

    Watch 280 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    Low (10%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low (5%)

    Wind

    Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

    Mod (60%)

    Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

    Low (20%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Mod (60%)

    Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

    Mod (60%)

    Combined Severe Hail/Wind

    Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

    High (>95%)

    For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

    MIL OSI USA News