Category: Natural Disasters

  • MIL-OSI China: Chinese coastal province evacuates 282,000 as Typhoon Kong-rey approaches

    Source: China State Council Information Office 2

    People walk across a street in the rain in Shanghai, east China, Nov. 1, 2024. The National Meteorological Center issued a blue alert for the Typhoon Kong-rey on Friday morning, forecasting torrential rains in eastern provincial-level regions, including Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Shanghai, from Friday afternoon through Saturday. [Photo/Xinhua]
    Authorities in east China’s Zhejiang province had evacuated 282,000 people by Friday morning ahead of the Typhoon Kong-rey, which will bring strong winds, heavy rain and heightened flood risks to the region.
    Over 10,600 emergency shelters have been opened across the province, providing meals and drinking water to those relocated. The large-scale evacuation comes as Kong-rey nears the eastern coast of the Chinese mainland.
    All 152 passenger ferry routes in Zhejiang, involving 347 vessels, have been suspended, while 136 water-related construction projects have been paused, and 675 construction vessels moved to sheltered areas.
    Zhejiang’s agricultural sector is also taking preventative action to minimize potential losses, such as clearing drainage channels, reinforcing greenhouses and harvesting vegetables and seasonal fruits ahead of the storm.
    Typhoon Kong-rey made landfall in southeastern Taiwan’s Taitung at around 1:40 p.m. Thursday. By 10 a.m. Friday, its center was located in the sea area about 160 kilometers southwest of Wenling, Zhejiang, moving northeast at around 30 kilometers per hour. Kong-rey may either make landfall along Zhejiang’s coast or pass closely offshore, according to the Zhejiang meteorological authority.
    Yan Xiaofan, an official with Zhejiang’s emergency management department, said that the typhoon had already brought heavier-than-expected rainfall to the province, regardless of whether it makes a second landfall.
    Zhejiang has recorded an average of 70.7 millimeters of rainfall over the past 24 hours, with strong gales impacting central and southern coastal areas.
    Tong Huabin, another official from the department, cautioned that authorities are on high alert for flash floods, landslides and urban flooding.
    The National Meteorological Center issued a blue alert for Kong-rey on Friday morning, forecasting torrential rains in eastern provincial-level regions, including Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Shanghai, from Friday afternoon through Saturday. Parts of Jiangsu and Shanghai could experience downpours of 100 to 120 millimeters.
    The Chinese mainland has a four-tier color-coded weather warning system, with red representing the most severe, followed by orange, yellow and blue.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: Fall typhoons spark concerns in south

    Source: China State Council Information Office 2

    Pedestrians are seen in the rain in Shanghai, east China, Nov. 1, 2024. [Photo/Xinhua]
    With one powerful autumn typhoon having affected a Chinese province and another one bearing down on the mainland, concerns have mounted over the potential disasters from heavy rainfall that such storms can bring to vulnerable areas on the southern and southeastern coasts.
    Authorities have been ramping up preparations to address the heightened risk of flooding and other weather-related hazards in such areas.
    The remnants of Typhoon Trami, coupled with a cold front, have triggered extensive flooding in Qionghai, Hainan province. All 13 towns in the city have been inundated to varying degrees, with the Wanquan River basin submerging 183 villages.
    Responding to the crisis, Qionghai has mobilized a fleet of 43 motorboats, 30 inflatable boats and over 200 vehicles, and has requested helicopter assistance for supply transport and rescue operations. By Wednesday evening, authorities had evacuated 17,198 residents.
    Rainfall had decreased by Wednesday night, and water levels in the Wanquan River are gradually receding. The Hainan disaster reduction commission terminated its flood and wind emergency response on Thursday at 5 pm.
    However, forecasts predict another deluge from Sunday to Tuesday as southeasterly airflow collides with a cold front.
    Elsewhere, in anticipation of Typhoon Kong-rey’s approach, China’s State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters has initiated a Level-IV emergency response in Zhejiang province.
    China has a four-tier emergency response system, with Level I being the most severe.
    Kong-rey, the 21st typhoon of the year, made landfall in Taiwan’s Taitung at around 1:40 pm on Thursday, leading to the closure of schools and offices in 22 counties and cities across the island. By Thursday morning, 527 flights were suspended, eight were delayed and 139 ferries operating on 11 routes were canceled.
    Taiwan authorities said Kong-rey was the strongest typhoon to make landfall on the island in nearly a decade. The storm is forecast to track north-northeast, with winds expected to peak at 184 kilometers per hour.
    Heavy rainfall is anticipated in Shanghai and the provinces of Fujian, Zhejiang and Jiangsu, with Zhejiang preparing for a significant impact.
    As the typhoon nears eastern China, railway authorities in the Yangtze River Delta Region have suspended multiple train services, particularly affecting high-speed rail lines such as the Hangzhou-Shenzhen, Shanghai-Kunming, Hangzhou-Changsha, and Hefei-Fuzhou routes.
    Zhejiang escalated its emergency response to Level II for typhoon preparedness, with maritime safety measures heightened to Level III.
    As of 8 am on Thursday, 45 of Zhejiang’s 152 water passenger ferry routes have been suspended. Additionally, 62 out of its 136 water-related construction projects under development have been halted, with 593 workers safely evacuated from the vessels.
    Jia Yan, deputy chief forecaster at the Zhejiang Meteorological Observatory, issued a warning about the impending impact of Kong-rey on the province on Thursday morning. She highlighted the period from Thursday night to Friday as critical, anticipating widespread heavy rainfall that significantly heightens the risk of flood disasters.
    “Precautions need to be taken to prevent urban and rural water-logging, as well as secondary disasters such as localized flash floods, mudslides and landslides. Additionally, there will be prolonged periods of strong winds at sea, necessitating enhanced safety measures for maritime traffic and operations,” she said.
    Fujian province also raised its emergency response level in response to Kong-rey’s impact. Railway and maritime services have suspended several train services and halted 71 coastal passenger ferry routes affecting 190 vessels. Meanwhile, 115 coastal construction projects have been stopped until further notice.
    Specialized rescue forces, including rescue ships, helicopters and patrol boats, have been deployed on standby to respond to potential emergencies, as confirmed by Fujian maritime authorities.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Asia-Pac: Muse Fest HK 2024 celebrates 10th anniversary with over 70 exciting programs (with photos)

    Source: Hong Kong Government special administrative region

         The Leisure and Cultural Services Department (LCSD) will launch the Muse Fest HK 2024 in November, rolling out over 70 fabulous programmes in LCSD museums and art spaces. With the same theme “Hong Kong H.A.S. (History. Art. Science.) Museums”, the 10th edition of the Museum Festival enables members of the public to immerse themselves in Hong Kong’s rich and distinctive cultural heritage and artistic diversity, offering an alternative museum experience. Most activities are free, and members of the public are welcome to join on the spot.
          
         The inaugural event of the Muse Fest 2024, “Fun@Museum Carnival”, is being held today and tomorrow (November 2 and 3) at the Hong Kong Cultural Centre (HKCC) Piazza, Hong Kong Museum of Art (HKMoA), Hong Kong Space Museum (HKSpM) and Salisbury Garden in Tsim Sha Tsui. The carnival features a variety of programmes. There are performances of Intangible Cultural Heritage (ICH) items such as “Vital Lion Dance” opening performance and “Puppetry Encounters” performance today. The Director of Leisure and Cultural Services, Mr Vincent Liu, officiated at the opening ceremony of the Muse Fest HK 2024 and eye-dotting for lion dances this morning. Addressing the ceremony, Mr Liu said this year marks the 10th Edition of Muse Fest. The opening carnival this year focuses in “Chinese Cutlure”, promoting the development and inheritance of Chinese culture and history through diversified performances and interactive workshops. With the theme of “Hong Kong H.A.S. (History. Art. Science.) Museums” this year, Muse Fest will continue to broaden citizens’ scope of knowledge in these areas.
          
         The booths of flower button, lion dance and lion head crafts by the ICH Office are well received, with visitors busy taking photos with the lion head. Some also made lion head crafts to experience this ICH item which combines martial arts and performing arts. In the afternoon, the carnival invited a seasoned puppet group to perform classic plays such as “Daming Prefecture”, “Zhong Kui Getting Drunk” and “Sun Wukong Thrice Beat the Bony Demon”, winning great applause from audiences.
          
         In addition to the popular ICH-related programmes, the booths of the Conservation Office have also attracted many passers-by. They have been engaged in learning the use of wax materials in artefacts protection, or making their own light clay cake model magnets with a wooden cake mould. The Gear Up – Nano World Outreach Programme booth, presented by the Science Promotion Unit of the Hong Kong Science Museum, has been surrounded by children viewing the comic-style panels and interactive exhibits introducing nano science. Apart from the booth activities, the carnival has invited Community Cultural Ambassadors 2024 the Windpipe Chinese Music Ensemble and Chinese and Western music ensembles of the Music Office to deliver live performances at the HKCC Piazza to boost the atmosphere. The Hong Kong Public Libraries promotes theme-based reading through the Library-on-Wheels outreach truck and storytelling sessions by Story Ambassadors, while the Interactive Storytelling Device – Joyful Reading of Three Kingdoms – allows participants to acquire knowledge through playing games. Meanwhile, the HKSpM has organised a treasure hunt named Cosmic Voyage, inviting visitors to follow the hints on the treasure map and find out the answers at the Exhibition Hall to learn about the universe and space science in various aspects.
          
         The carnival will continue tomorrow with more extraordinary events. The Pok Fu Lam Village Fire Dragon Association and Pokfulam Kaifong Welfare Association will bring the fire dragon dance performance to Tsim Sha Tsui tomorrow from 4pm to 6pm. Locals residents and tourists can join the parade and learn about the traditions and historical significance of the fire dragon dance. Visitors can touch and take a closer look at the unicorn head and create postcards at the unicorn booth. In addition to the above mentioned lion head crafts booth, a waxing in conservation activity, “Gear Up – Nano World” outreach programme -Nanoboy Ornament Workshop, Library-on-Wheels with Storytelling Sessions and the Interactive Storytelling Device. Those interested in movies should not miss the animated film screening of “Chang An” to be held at the Lecture Hall of the HKMoA, which is organised by the Film Programmes Office.
          
         Various museums will host fun days during weekends in November. The Sheung Yiu Folk Museum Fun Day will be held on November 9, featuring a photo-taking corner, video screenings and workshops to enhance visitors’ understanding of Hakka culture and customs. The “Spark Joy @Oi!” Fun Day 2024 at Oil Street Art Space on November 10 will feature handpan music performances, workshops and guided tours by artists. The Hong Kong Museum of the War of Resistance and Coastal Defence (MWRCD) and the Hong Kong Heritage Museum will offer a variety of activities on November 16 for the public. The Hong Kong Railway Museum Fun Day and the ICH Office’s ICH Fun Day at the Sam Tung Uk Museum will be staged on November 17 and November 23 respectively. Demonstrations and education activities will be held at the Fireboat Alexander Grantham Exhibition Gallery Fun Day on November 30 to enhance the public’s knowledge of the Fireboat Alexander Grantham and the history of Hong Kong’s sea rescue. Moreover, the Conservation Office will arrange the Guardians of Museum Artefacts at the Shenzhen Museum: The Behind the Scenes of Conservators talk on November 16 at the HKMoA where the specialist from the Shenzhen Museum will introduce preventive conservation work.
          
             In addition to the day-time events, museums also offer exciting night-time activities. The Flagstaff House Museum of Tea Ware, in celebration of its 40th anniversary, will host An Evening with Flagstaff House Museum of Tea Ware for two nights. On November 23, where visitors can enjoy the outdoor immersive light show titled “Gentle Smoke of Tea” at the museum’s façade and “The Sound of Art” concert at the lawn. On November 24, in addition to the light show, visitors can explore the indoor “Gardens of Four Seasons” interactive display and visit the museum exhibitions.
          
         This year’s Muse Fest will continue to launch a mega publication and souvenir sale, offering up to 50 per cent discounts for selected museum publications and souvenirs.
          
         LCSD Museum Pass holders may also enjoy exclusive admission to experience a variety of special programmes during the festival period. For the event “Meet the Curator – Hong Kong Museum of the War of Resistance and Coastal Defence”, assistant curators of the MWRCD will introduce the curation and stories behind the exhibitions, and how the curatorial team delivers the history of the War of Resistance and Coastal Defence to audiences. They will also take you on a special tour to permanent and thematic exhibitions of the museum. For another exclusive programme, “The Fireboat Then and Now Guided Tour – A Fireman Leads the Way”, a retired firemen who served on the fireboat will share the bits and pieces of the adventurous experience in the historic vessel as docent.
          
         Apart from the museums under the management of the LCSD, a total of 27 Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao collaborative partners (including those in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Museum Alliance) participate in this year’s Museum Festival, bringing much excitement to the activities. The Shenzhen Museum will launch Hong Kong Museum Festival 2024 Shenzhen Branch – “The Beauty of Ingenuity” series of research activities to enable members of the public, especially young people to explore the profound depth of Chinese traditional culture through carefully-designed courses, including wood carving and gilding, a woodworking activity with mortise and tenon joinery, seal engraving and printmaking.
          
         For more details of the Muse Fest 2024, please visit the website at:
         https://www.museums.gov.hk/mf2024.
                                           

    MIL OSI Asia Pacific News

  • MIL-OSI Australia: Penfield fire

    Source: South Australia Police

    Two men are expected to be charged following a bushfire at Penfield this afternoon.

    About 2.30pm Saturday 2 November emergency services were called to Womma Road after reports that a grass fire had been sparked by an angle grinder and was now out of control burning in a southerly direction.

    The fire burnt approximately 33 hectares of grass and caused damaged to a shed and several glass houses. Three people were taken to hospital for treatment of smoke inhalation. No homes were impacted.

    Following an investigation, a 31-year-old Waterloo Corner man and a 31-year-old Penfield man were arrested at the scene and are expected to be charged with bushfire related offences.

    Roads in the area were closed for just over three hours while emergency services brought the fire under control. Police would like to thank the public for their patience and assistance.

    MIL OSI News

  • MIL-OSI Security: Marathon County Man Sentenced for Illegally Possessing a Firearm

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    MADISON, WIS. – Timothy M. O’Shea, United States Attorney for the Western District of Wisconsin, announced that Shawn Hignite, Sr., 50, Weston, Wisconsin, was sentenced today by U.S. District Judge William M. Conley to 3 years in federal prison for possessing a firearm as a felon. The prison term will be followed by 3 years of supervised release. Hignite pleaded guilty to this charge on August 1, 2024.

    On January 30, 2024, police responded to a domestic incident involving a gunshot. When they arrived, police made contact with Hignite, who initially denied there was a gunshot. Police later obtained a search warrant and located a loaded handgun inside the house and a spent shell casing in the backyard. Hignite later admitted that the gun belonged to him and that he fired it that night. Hignite is legally prohibited from possessing firearms or ammunition due to prior felony convictions.

    At sentencing, Judge Conley acknowledged the dismal history of Hignite consuming alcohol and committing crimes. He noted that Hignite’s last 30 years have been plagued by poor decision making with either a fascination or compulsion with possessing firearms. Judge Conley expressed disappointment with the pattern of firearms being present in each of Hignite’s prior offenses. He also expressed hope that the sentence would deter Hignite from committing offenses in the future.

    The charge against Hignite was the result of an investigation conducted by the Federal Bureau of Investigation, Everest Metro Police Department, Rothschild Police Department, and Marathon County Sheriff’s Department. The ATF Madison Crime Gun Task Force also investigated the case. The task force consists of federal agents from ATF and Task Force Officers (TFOs) from local agencies including the Dane County and Clark County Sheriff’s Offices and the Fitchburg, Madison, Sun Prairie, and La Crosse Police Departments. Assistant U.S. Attorney Steven Ayala prosecuted this case.

    This case has been brought as part of Project Safe Neighborhoods (PSN), the U.S. Justice Department’s program to reduce violent crime. The PSN approach emphasizes coordination between state and federal prosecutors and all levels of law enforcement to address gun crime, especially felons illegally possessing firearms and ammunition and violent and drug crimes that involve the use of firearms.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Security: Madison Man Sentenced to 3 Years for Illegally Possessing a Firearm

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    MADISON, WIS. – Timothy M. O’Shea, United States Attorney for the Western District of Wisconsin, announced that Tyez D. D. Boyd, 27, Madison, Wisconsin, was sentenced today by Chief U.S. District Judge James D. Peterson to 3 years in federal prison for possessing a firearm as a felon. The prison term will be followed by 3 years of supervised release. Boyd pleaded guilty to this charge on August 14, 2024.

    On November 17, 2022, Madison Police Department officers stopped a vehicle in Madison on suspicion that its occupants were engaged in drug trafficking. Officers had intercepted a phone call earlier in the day between the front seat passenger, Davonte King, and a known fentanyl pill dealer setting up a drug deal. Tyez Boyd was a passenger in the rear seat.

    Officers took King out of the vehicle and found he was in possession of fentanyl pills, cocaine, and over $1,000 in cash. Officers also found a loaded Taurus 9mm handgun under the front passenger seat where King had been seated. King is prohibited from legally possessing firearms because of a prior felony conviction.

    Officers searched Boyd after he got out of the vehicle and found a loaded Kahr .45 caliber handgun in his pocket. Boyd is prohibited from legally possessing firearms because of multiple prior felony convictions. At the time of the stop, Boyd was on state probation for two cases, one involving a strangulation conviction and one involving a domestic violence conviction. Boyd also had three open criminal cases at the time, each of which involved acts of violence. Boyd had two active warrants for his arrest as well. His state probation has since been revoked and he was sentenced to 18 months in state prison on January 27, 2023.

    At sentencing, Judge Peterson said Boyd’s possession of a firearm was dangerous by itself, especially when he was carrying it into a dangerous situation with a drug trafficker. Judge Peterson found Boyd’s case was aggravated by his criminal history, which included instances of domestic violence, as well as his history of noncompliance while on supervision. Finally, Judge Peterson said this crime deserved a 4-year sentence but reduced that sentence for time he had already served on his multiple state revocation sentences.

    Co-defendant Davonte King pleaded guilty to possessing fentanyl intended for distribution and possessing a firearm in furtherance of a drug trafficking crime and was sentenced by Judge Peterson on September 5, 2024, to 7 years in federal prison.

    The charges against Boyd and King were the result of an investigation conducted by the U.S. Postal Inspection Service, Drug Enforcement Administration, IRS Criminal Investigations, Wisconsin Department of Justice Division of Criminal Investigation, and Dane County Narcotics Task Force. The ATF Madison Crime Gun Task Force also investigated the case. The task force consists of federal agents from ATF and Task Force Officers (TFOs) from local agencies including the Dane County and Clark County Sheriff’s Offices and the Fitchburg, Madison, Sun Prairie, and La Crosse Police Departments. The Dane County District Attorney’s Office assisted with the investigation. Assistant U.S. Attorney Steven P. Anderson prosecuted this case.

    This case has been brought as part of Project Safe Neighborhoods (PSN), the U.S. Justice Department’s program to reduce violent crime. The PSN approach emphasizes coordination between state and federal prosecutors and all levels of law enforcement to address gun crime, especially felons illegally possessing firearms and ammunition and violent and drug crimes that involve the use of firearms.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI China: Xi extends sympathy to Spanish king over heavy floods

    Source: China State Council Information Office

    Chinese President Xi Jinping sent a message of sympathy to Spanish King Felipe VI on Saturday over heavy rainstorms and floods in Spain.

    Xi said he was shocked to learn that severe rainstorms and floods have hit many parts in Spain, causing heavy casualties and property losses.

    The Chinese president, on behalf of the Chinese government and people, expressed deep condolences to the victims and sincere sympathy to the bereaved families and the injured.

    Xi also said it is believed that under the leadership of the king and the Spanish government, the people in the flood-hit areas will overcome the disaster and rebuild their homes at an early date. 

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: Chinese President Xi extends sympathy to Spanish king over heavy floods

    Source: People’s Republic of China – State Council News

    BEIJING, Nov. 2 — Chinese President Xi Jinping sent a message of sympathy to Spanish King Felipe VI on Saturday over heavy rainstorms and floods in Spain.

    Xi said he was shocked to learn that severe rainstorms and floods have hit many parts in Spain, causing heavy casualties and property losses.

    The Chinese president, on behalf of the Chinese government and people, expressed deep condolences to the victims and sincere sympathy to the bereaved families and the injured.

    Xi also said it is believed that under the leadership of the king and the Spanish government, the people in the flood-hit areas will overcome the disaster and rebuild their homes at an early date.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI Security: Marion County Man Sentenced for Firearms Charge

    Source: United States Bureau of Alcohol Tobacco Firearms and Explosives (ATF)

    CLARKSBURG, WEST VIRGINIA – Shawn Allen Burns, 46, of Fairmont, West Virginia, was sentenced today to 96 months in federal prison for the unlawful possession of a firearm.

    According to court documents and statements made in court, a vehicle driven by Burns, also known as “Shawn Fain,” was stopped by deputies from the U.S. Marshals Service because he was wanted on a state arrest warrant. The deputies discovered a handgun in the vehicle. Burns is prohibited from having firearms because of prior convictions of breaking and entering, unlawful firearms possession, domestic battery and assault, and drug possession. 

    Burns will serve three years of supervised release following his prison sentence. 

    Assistant U.S. Attorney Stephen Warner prosecuted the case on behalf of the government.

    The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives and the United States Marshals investigated.

    Chief U.S. District Judge Thomas S. Kleeh presided.

     

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI USA: President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. Approves Disaster Declaration for New Mexico

    Source: US Federal Emergency Management Agency

    Headline: President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. Approves Disaster Declaration for New Mexico

    President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. Approves Disaster Declaration for New Mexico

    WASHINGTON — FEMA announced today that federal disaster assistance is available to the state of New Mexico to supplement recovery efforts in the areas affected by a severe storm and flooding on Oct. 19-20, 2024.The President’s action makes federal funding available to affected individuals in Chaves County. Assistance can include grants for temporary housing and home repairs, low-cost loans to cover uninsured property losses and other programs to help individuals and business owners recover from the effects of the disaster.Federal funding also is available to state, tribal and eligible local governments and certain private nonprofit organizations on a cost-sharing basis for emergency work and the repair or replacement of facilities damaged by the severe storm and flooding in Chaves County. Federal funding is also available on a cost-sharing basis for hazard mitigation measures statewide.José M. Gil Montañez has been named the Federal Coordinating Officer for federal recovery operations in the affected areas. Additional designations may be made at a later date if requested by the state and warranted by the results of further damage assessments. Individuals and business owners who sustained losses in the designated areas can begin applying for assistance by registering online at www.DisasterAssistance.gov, by calling 800-621-3362 or by using the FEMA App. If you use a relay service, such as video relay service (VRS), captioned telephone service or others, give FEMA the number for that service. 
    mashana.davis
    Sat, 11/02/2024 – 13:44

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Global: Undoing the ‘deep state’ means Trump would undo over a century of progress in building a federal government for the people and not just for rich white men

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Joseph Patrick Kelly, Professor of Literature and Director of Irish and Irish American Studies, College of Charleston

    If elected, Donald Trump has vowed to demolish what he calls the “deep state” – a conspiratorial term for the American federal bureaucracy. A second Trump administration, running mate JD Vance has said, should fire thousands of civil servants and replace them with MAGA loyalists.

    Trump has said he would tap the billionare Elon Musk as the hatchet man to lead his proposed government commission on “efficiency” in government.

    Compared with the other fireworks of the campaign – like Trump’s promise to criminally prosecute his political rivals and suppress news organizations – threats to gut the United States’ vast federal bureaucracy don’t get much attention. But doing so is a big a threat to democracy.

    For years, conservatives have claimed that taking power from government agencies gives it back to the people. Yet while it might seem counterintuitive, Americans actually exercise their sovereignty through the administrative state.

    The American administrative state was established almost 100 years ago by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt. As a historian of American democracy, I think it’s valuable to remember what the old deal looked like while Trump rails against the New Deal.

    The Gilded Age

    Around 1900, America was not really democratic. The federal government did not rule by the consent of the governed. As historian Heather Cox Richardson recently argued, the American government was an oligarchy.

    Millions of working-class Slavs, Jews, Italians, Asians and Scotch-Irish Appalachians toiled mercilessly in death-trap sweatshops, suffocating mines and fiery steel mills. Cotton farmers in the Black Belt lived like peons.

    These people were America’s “other half,” as the social reformer Jacob Riis called them in 1890. And they were effectively excluded from the social contract.

    Meanwhile, for rich white men like Andrew Carnegie and John D. Rockefeller it was, as Mark Twain quipped, a “Gilded Age.” Robber barons ran their industrial empires with impunity.

    When their employees tried to organize or protest, industrialists got sheriffs and police to suppress them. Or they hired private armies of “detectives,” like the Pinkertons, as Carnegie did when steelworkers struck in Homestead, Pennsylvania.

    Governors called in the National Guard, as Ephraim Morgan did in 1921 to suppress a labor dispute in West Virginia. Sometimes, it was the regular Army, as in 1919, when soldiers from Camp Pike propped up the peonage system of tenant farming by indiscriminately machine-gunning Black farmers hiding in the woods outside Elaine, Arkansas.

    ‘We stand at Armageddon’

    Forced by popular clamor, Congress decided to act.

    It created the Interstate Commerce Commission in 1887 and told its commissioners to compel railroads, which were gouging some customers and favoring others, to charge fair rates to everyone.

    This was the start of federal regulation.

    In 1895, the New York Legislature passed the Bakeshop Act, making it illegal to force an employee to work more than 10 hours a day or 60 hours a week.

    The Supreme Court, however, was still friendly to business. In its 1905 decision in Lochner v. New York, the court ruled against the Bakeshop Act. No one could regulate the workday or work week. The decision stripped Congress and state legislatures of their nascent regulatory powers. That enraged President Teddy Roosevelt.

    “(T)he right of the people to rule,” Roosevelt later thundered, had been usurped by the corporations. With apocalyptic fury he predicted, “We stand at Armageddon!”

    That was in 1912. The Lochner era, as historians call this period when workers and the public had few protections from exploitative businesses, lasted another 20 years.

    Then, in 1929, the U.S. economy collapsed.

    One-quarter of Americans had no work. Starving and desperate migrants wandered across the country. An army of veterans marched on Washington.

    The apocalyptic misery of the Great Depression finally made American oligarchy untenable.

    Liberal democracy

    In 1932, the people rewrote the social contract: They elected Franklin Delano Roosevelt and his New Deal in a landslide.

    It was, in essence, a revolution. After nearly 60 years of corporate domination, the 1932 election would “return America to its own people,” to use Roosevelt’s words.

    Of course, it was not really a “return.” In the precorporation world, most Americans – notably women and Black people – couldn’t participate in their own government. But 1932 was a giant step toward democracy. And the great innovation that would usher in this modern, liberal democracy was the administrative state: a meritocracy of career civil servants dedicated to carrying out the law.

    Have you ever wondered why a green light means “go” in every state? In 1935, the Bureau of Public Roads – now the Federal Highway Administration – wrote and enforced its first Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices for Streets and Highways.

    That’s the administrative state in action. It’s how 122 million people cooperated to make complex, modern society work – without surrendering their sovereignty to some dictator like Benito Mussolini or Josef Stalin.

    But the Supreme Court kept striking down New Deal laws and regulations.

    After a massive electoral victory in 1936, FDR threatened to “pack” the court by raising the number of justices from nine to 15. Finally, the court relented. In a 5-4 decision, it allowed the state of Washington’s Industrial Welfare Committee to establish a minimum wage – $14.50 for a 48-hour work week.

    Most history textbooks don’t mention this milestone, but that’s when liberal democracy was secured.

    To be sure, it would take almost 30 more years before the Civil Rights Acts of the 1960s brought democracy to the Jim Crow South. But even that victory depended on the Justice Department’s power to regulate elections in historically white supremacist states.

    The administrative state has been protecting the rights of ordinary Americans and executing the sovereignty of the people for the past 87 years.

    Who grounded Boeing airplanes when a door blew off a 737 in midflight? It was civil servants in the Federal Aviation Administration, a government agency founded by Congress in 1958 “to regulate civil aviation.”

    Why does the U.S. have cleaner air and water today than it did in the 1960s? Because in 1970, Congress passed the Clean Air Act, and a new Environmental Protection Agency was empowered to write and perpetually rewrite regulations that execute Congress’ antipollution laws.

    The alternative

    This system produces the occasional injustice or overreach.

    A farmer’s puddling acre, for example, might be overregulated as a “wetland.” A fishing company might be ordered to maintain a government-appointed herring counter at a cost of $710 a day.

    But gutting regulatory agencies and replacing a meritocratic bureaucracy with MAGA loyalists won’t help small farmers or family-owned fishing boats. It will empower big corporations to pollute, exploit their workers, price-gouge customers, cut corners on safety – and to corrupt the political system.

    It’s also illegal. Congress has deliberately protected those bureaucrats from the volatility of presidential politics.

    Unlike presidential appointees, who serve at the pleasure of the president, civil servants work for the people. They are empowered by Congress, and the president cannot fire them. At least for now.

    Joseph Patrick Kelly has previously volunteered as an officer at the county and precinct level in the Democratic Party.

    ref. Undoing the ‘deep state’ means Trump would undo over a century of progress in building a federal government for the people and not just for rich white men – https://theconversation.com/undoing-the-deep-state-means-trump-would-undo-over-a-century-of-progress-in-building-a-federal-government-for-the-people-and-not-just-for-rich-white-men-234421

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Russia: The “life situation” service for moving to another region has been launched on the public services portal

    Translation. Region: Russian Federation –

    Source: Government of the Russian Federation – An important disclaimer is at the bottom of this article.

    Deputy Prime Minister – Head of the Government Staff Dmitry Grigorenko visited the laboratory for user testing of public services in Kaliningrad. The Deputy Prime Minister was presented with a new service “life situation” for planning and implementing a move to another region. Thanks to the service, people who change their permanent place of residence can receive all the necessary public services in one place – comprehensively on the public services portal according to the “life situation” principle.

    The “life situation” service for planning and implementing a move allows you to use the government services portal to:

    – submit an application for registration at the place of residence,

    — renew your compulsory medical insurance policy,

    – register with a clinic,

    – enroll children in school and kindergarten,

    — re-register pensions and social benefits,

    — register with the military registration and enlistment office.

    “Moving to another region involves completing a large number of documents – from changing your registration at your place of residence to registering your children in school and kindergarten. The “life situation” service for moving will help people complete all the documents more easily and quickly, and instead of visiting departments, focus on solving more important issues,” said Dmitry Grigorenko.

    Also, within the framework of the service for moving to another region, reference information is provided on how to ensure a comfortable move for people with special needs, choose a transport company for transporting things, how to transport pets, what documents are required for moving by car and what else needs to be taken into account with this type of move. Information is also available that will help you find a job after moving to another region.

    It is expected that in 2025, thanks to the “life situation” for moving to another region, the time for processing the necessary documents will be halved – from 20 to 10 days. The number of necessary documents is planned to be reduced threefold – from 15 to 5. The number of face-to-face visits to departments will also decrease – from 8 to 4.

    Provision of services based on the principle of “life situations” is part of the federal project “State for People”. Services for the provision of state services based on the principle of “life situations” represent models of the most common events that people encounter.

    At the moment, 16 federal “life situations” have been launched on the portals of public services and “MSP.RF”. Among them are such services as “Large family”, “Participation in sports competitions”, “Hunting and fishing trips”, “Getting into an emergency situation”, “Organization of cargo logistics”, “Opening a private school”, “Opening a pharmacy”, “Opening a tourist facility”.

    To date, about 1.5 million people have used the “life situations” services. By the end of 2024, it is planned to launch 34 “life situations” at the federal level.

    Work on the implementation of “life situations” is also underway at the regional level. It is planned that 85 regional “life situations” will be launched by the end of 2024.

    In user testing laboratories, specialists check government services for compliance with customer-centricity standards and evaluate their convenience and ease of use.

    Since the launch of the federal project “State for People” in 2021, more than 100 federal services have been improved based on the recommendations that ministries and departments received as a result of laboratory studies.

    These include state cadastral registration and state registration of rights to real estate and transactions with it, registration of fire safety declarations, licensing of activities for the technical maintenance of medical devices, and licensing of pharmaceutical activities.

    User testing laboratories operate in Lipetsk, Nizhny Novgorod, Tula, St. Petersburg, Kazan, Krasnoyarsk, Kaliningrad, Stavropol and Vladivostok. Two more such laboratories operate in Moscow.

    The tests are conducted using domestically produced neurophysiological equipment and additional methods such as in-depth interviews and usability testing.

    These methods and devices allow us to analyze the needs and habits of the target audience and identify user barriers. Based on the research results, recommendations are sent to government agencies to improve the operation of services and their implementation is further monitored.

    The federal project “State for People” is included in the list of initiatives for the socio-economic development of Russia; its implementation has been carried out at the federal and regional levels of government since 2021.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: One Month of Meeting Survivors Where They Are in Virginia

    Source: US Federal Emergency Management Agency

    Headline: One Month of Meeting Survivors Where They Are in Virginia

    One Month of Meeting Survivors Where They Are in Virginia

    BRISTOL, Va.— Yesterday marked one month since the White House declared a major disaster in Virginia for Hurricane Helene. Since then, FEMA and the commonwealth of Virginia, along with other partner agencies, have been working to provide resources to survivors on the road to recovery.16 counties and two independent cities have been designated for Individual Assistance and 36 counties for Public Assistance as of November 1, 2024. The deadline for Individual Assistance is December 2, 2024. To learn more about individual assistance, visit fema.gov/ia.

    Graphic

    FEMA staff have been working to reach the whole community. One part of the community outreach includes Disaster Survivor Assistance Teams, who walk door to door to register survivors and answer questions. Disaster Survivor Assistance Teams have visited over 26,000 homes in Virginia over the last month. FEMA staff have attended community events across the declared counties and independent cities, spreading the word about disaster assistance. Additionally, FEMA has opened eight Disaster Recovery Centers (DRC) throughout southwest Virginia, providing in-person assistance to over 2,600 Virginians to date. Staff from federal, commonwealth, and local agencies are at DRCs to help survivors answer questions about FEMA applications as well as access other resources and support.Commonwealth, federal, local and nonprofit agencies have collaborated on Agriculture Recovery Resource Days, where over 15 agencies and organizations shared resources with farmers and agribusinesses impacted by Hurricane Helene. Over 100 households attended the first Agriculture Recovery Resource Day on, October. 29 in Independence, Va. At least two additional Agriculture Recovery Resource Days will be held on Nov. 7 and Nov. 9. To learn more about upcoming agriculture events please visit Hurricane Helene Virginia Agriculture Recovery Resource Day | FEMA.gov.  Below are some pictures of FEMA staff in communities throughout southwest Virginia, meeting survivors where they are:
    View Original’ data-align=”center” data-asset-link=”1″ data-entity-type=”emerald” data-image-style=”large” data-asset-type=”imageasset” data-asset-id=”56832″ src=”https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/styles/large/public/externals/87e1f2498f8223bafd8bd4fa20534690.jpg?itok=Y1TBFkij” alt=”Caption: Montgomery County, Va. (Oct. 1, 2024) – A resident describes high water from the New River to a Preliminary Damage Assessment team days after it flooded its banks and into his home. The team, comprised of Montgomery County emergency managers, Virginia Department of Emergency Management, the U.S. Small Business Administration, and FEMA was reviewing Montgomery County properties impacted by Tropical Storm Helene.” class=”image-style-large”>

    Montgomery County, Va. (Oct. 1, 2024) – A resident describes high water from the New River to a Preliminary Damage Assessment team days after it flooded its banks and into his home. The team, comprised of Montgomery County emergency managers, Virginia Department of Emergency Management, the U.S. Small Business Administration, and FEMA was reviewing Montgomery County properties impacted by Tropical Storm Helene.

    WASHINGTON COUNTY, Va.— A FEMA specialist helps a survivor apply for federal assistance at the Taylors Valley Community Center in Taylors Valley on Oct. 4, 2024. (Philip Maramba/FEMA)

    WASHINGTON COUNTY, Va.— FEMA staff assisting Hurricane Helene survivors on opening day of the DRC in Damascus. (Philip Maramba/FEMA)

    GRAYSON COUNTY, Va.— FEMA Disaster Survivor Assistance specialists, sharing information about FEMA disaster assistance with a resident in Independence on Oct. 10, 2024. (Nicholas Monteleone/FEMA) 

    View Original’ data-align=”center” data-asset-link=”1″ data-entity-type=”emerald” data-image-style=”large” data-asset-type=”imageasset” data-asset-id=”56349″ src=”https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/styles/large/public/externals/2b0015dc948c69838efd46bf474e1f96.jpg?itok=hfUraxZP” alt=”Caption: Bland, Va. – FEMA staff talk about disaster assistance with attendees of the Bland County Festival of Leaves at a pop-up FEMA Disaster Recovery Center.” class=”image-style-large”>

    Bland, Va. – FEMA staff talk about disaster assistance with attendees of the Bland County Festival of Leaves at a pop-up FEMA Disaster Recovery Center.

    WYTHE COUNTY, Va.— A FEMA Disaster Survivor Assistance specialist, accompanied by FEMA Corps team members, shares application information with a Wythe County resident on Oct. 17. FEMA Disaster Survivor Assistance Teams are making their way through southwest Virginia to help survivors impacted by Helene. (Kelly Magarity/FEMA)

    WASHINGTON COUNTY, Va.— FEMA and U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) staff discuss disaster assistance and SBA resources for Helene survivors at a community event on Oct. 19, 2024. (Johannes Webb / FEMA)

    WASHINGTON COUNTY, Va.— FEMA Disaster Survivor Assistance specialist talking to a Helene survivor at a community event on Oct. 19. (Johannes Webb / FEMA)

    WYTHE COUNTY, Va.— FEMA staff member at the Disaster Recovery Center in Wytheville on Oct. 26, sharing information about FEMA programs. (Johannes Webb / FEMA)

    WYTHE COUNTY, Va. – FEMA staff handing out Halloween candy and discussing disaster assistance programs at a community event in Wytheville on Oct. 26. (Johannes Webb /FEMA)

    GRAYSON COUNTY, Va.— FEMA Applicant Service Program specialist assisting a producer at the first Agriculture Recovery Resource Day in Independence on Oct. 29. (Johannes Webb / FEMA)

    FEMA encourages Hurricane Helene survivors who have not applied for assistance to do so before the Individual Assistance deadline on December 2. Impacted individuals in the 16 designated counties and two independent cities can apply today by visiting www.disasterassistance.gov, using the FEMA mobile app, calling 1-800-621-3362, or visiting a Disaster Recovery Center. A ninth DRC will open on Saturday, November 2 in Galax, Va. and additional locations will open in the coming weeks. Disaster survivors can visit any DRC to receive assistance. To find the DRC closest to you, including addresses and hours, visit FEMA.gov/drc or text DRC and a ZIP code to 43362.

    Graphic

    FEMA has set up a rumor response webpage to clarify our role in the Helene response. Visit Hurricane Helene: Rumor Response | FEMA.gov. For more information on Virginia’s disaster recovery, visit vaemergency.gov,  the Virginia Department of Emergency Management Facebook page , fema.gov/disaster/4831 and facebook.com/FEMA.  
    mashana.davis
    Sat, 11/02/2024 – 15:23

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: RM of Tache — Update – St. Pierre-Jolys RCMP respond to fatal collision

    Source: Royal Canadian Mounted Police

    After further investigation into this collision by an RCMP Forensic Collision Reconstructionist, RCMP have confirmed that the eastbound car, being driven by the 25-year-old male, had crossed over the center line and side-swiped the eastbound SUV, being driven by the 59-year-old male.

    The mechanical condition of the car was not a factor in the collision.

    St-Pierre-Jolys RCMP continue to investigate.


    On October 23, 2024, at approximately 12:30 am, St-Pierre-Jolys received a report of a collision on Highway 1 and Provincial Road 206. When officers arrived on scene, one vehicle was in the south ditch and two vehicles were on the highway.

    Investigation determined a car and a SUV were travelling eastbound on Highway 1 and were side-by-side when the passenger tire of the car, with the control arm and other mechanical parts, came off and struck the SUV, which was travelling in the south lane. This caused the car to come to rest on the roadway and immediately catch fire. The 25-year-old male driver from Calgary was able to exit the vehicle. He was transported to local hospital with non-life threatening injuries.

    After the SUV was struck by the tire and parts from the car, the SUV entered the ditch and rolled. The 59-year-old male driver, from Steinbach, was pronounced deceased on scene. The 45-year-old male passenger, from the RM of Hanover, was transported to local hospital with non-life threatening injuries.

    A third vehicle was travelling close behind the collision and struck the tire component of the car, which was left on the highway after the collision, making the vehicle inoperable. The 28-year-old female driver, from Kenora, Ontario, was transported to hospital with minor physical injuries.

    St-Pierre-Jolys RCMP, along with an RCMP Forensic Collision Reconstructionist, continue to investigate.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI USA: FEMA Disaster Assistance Available for New Mexicans Impacted by the Oct. 19-20 Chaves County Flood

    Source: US Federal Emergency Management Agency

    Headline: FEMA Disaster Assistance Available for New Mexicans Impacted by the Oct. 19-20 Chaves County Flood

    FEMA Disaster Assistance Available for New Mexicans Impacted by the Oct. 19-20 Chaves County Flood

    Chaves County homeowners and renters, who sustained damage from the Oct. 19-20, 2024, severe storm and flooding may be eligible for disaster assistance under FEMA’s Individuals and Households Program. FEMA disaster assistance may include grants for temporary housing and home repairs, to cover uninsured property losses, and other programs to help people recover from the effects of the disaster.FEMA’s assistance offers benefits that provide flexible funding directly to survivors when needed the most. In addition, FEMA’s new simplified Individual Assistance process and expanded eligibility allows New Mexicans access to a wider range of assistance including for serious needs.Serious Needs Assistance (SNA) provides funding for households to cover important items like water, food, first aid, breast-feeding supplies, infant formula, diapers, personal hygiene items, fuel for transportation or other emergency supplies for eligible households. To qualify for SNA, you must be displaced, need shelter or have other emergency costs due to the disaster on your application.Displacement Assistance (DA) provides people with up-front funds to assist with immediate housing options of their choice, to keep people housed. The money can be used to stay in a hotel, with family and friends or other options.Before receiving funds for Serious Needs Assistance (SNA) or Displacement Assistance (DA), an inspection is required to confirm eligibility.How to Apply to FEMANew Mexico residents can apply to FEMA for federal financial assistance three ways:Visit DisasterAssistance.gov,Download the FEMA App for mobile devices, or Call the FEMA Helpline at 800-621-3362. Calls are accepted every day from 5 a.m. to 9 p.m. MT. Help is available in most languages. Dial 711 or video relay services are available.To view an American Sign Language (ASL) video about how to apply visit Three Ways to Register for FEMA Disaster Assistance – YouTube.Additional Assistance and BenefitsStreamlined Application Requirements so you can apply for a low-interest, long-term disaster loan from the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) and for FEMA assistance at the same time.Support for Underinsured Claims to help with aspects of home repair not covered by insurance.Simplified Assistance for Entrepreneurs by providing self-employed survivors with initial financial support to replace disaster-damaged tools and equipment to help them land on their feet. Expanded Habitability Criteria to help survivors make their post-disaster homes safer and cleaner. Previously, for example, if a home had a leaky roof pre-disaster, that area of the home wouldn’t qualify.Make Accessibility Improvements to help survivors with disabilities improve their living conditions by making their homes even more accessible than they were pre-disaster.Streamlined Temporary Housing Assistance Applications by reducing documentation requirements for applicants who need to extend their stay in FEMA-supported temporary housing.Simplified Process for Appeals so survivors who wish to appeal FEMA’s decisions will no longer need to provide a signed, written appeal letter to accompany the supporting documentation.Computer Assistance for survivors who need to repair or replace disaster-damaged computers.Rental Assistance for Temporary Housing. If you suffered damage to your primary residence, FEMA may be able to provide rent for a temporary place to live while you are displaced. Rental assistance is intended to cover monthly rent, security deposit and cost of essential utilities such as electricity and water.FEMA’s Individuals and Household Program assistance is intended to help jumpstart your recovery. Here are some examples of basic needs:Home Repair Assistance may be provided to homeowners to repair the structural parts of your home. This includes windows, doors, floors, walls, ceilings, cabinets, heating, ventilation and air-conditioning system (HVAC), utilities (electrical, plumbing and gas systems) and entrance ways. FEMA may also reimburse for the actual cost to repair or replace your furnace, private well and septic system that was damaged or destroyed by the disaster.Even if you applied for federal assistance previously for other disasters in New Mexico, you could still apply to FEMA for assistance following the Oct. 19-20 severe storms and flooding in Chaves County.
    angela.ambroise
    Sat, 11/02/2024 – 17:29

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: FEMA Disaster Assistance Available for New Mexicans Impacted by the Oct. 19-20 Chavez County Flood

    Source: US Federal Emergency Management Agency

    Headline: FEMA Disaster Assistance Available for New Mexicans Impacted by the Oct. 19-20 Chavez County Flood

    FEMA Disaster Assistance Available for New Mexicans Impacted by the Oct. 19-20 Chavez County Flood

    Chaves County homeowners and renters, who sustained damage from the Oct. 19-20, 2024, severe storm and flooding may be eligible for disaster assistance under FEMA’s Individuals and Households Program. FEMA disaster assistance may include grants for temporary housing and home repairs, to cover uninsured property losses, and other programs to help people recover from the effects of the disaster.FEMA’s assistance offers benefits that provide flexible funding directly to survivors when needed the most. In addition, FEMA’s new simplified Individual Assistance process and expanded eligibility allows New Mexicans access to a wider range of assistance including for serious needs.Serious Needs Assistance (SNA) provides funding for households to cover important items like water, food, first aid, breast-feeding supplies, infant formula, diapers, personal hygiene items, fuel for transportation or other emergency supplies for eligible households. To qualify for SNA, you must be displaced, need shelter or have other emergency costs due to the disaster on your application.Displacement Assistance (DA) provides people with up-front funds to assist with immediate housing options of their choice, to keep people housed. The money can be used to stay in a hotel, with family and friends or other options.Before receiving funds for Serious Needs Assistance (SNA) or Displacement Assistance (DA), an inspection is required to confirm eligibility.How to Apply to FEMANew Mexico residents can apply to FEMA for federal financial assistance three ways:Visit DisasterAssistance.gov,Download the FEMA App for mobile devices, or Call the FEMA Helpline at 800-621-3362. Calls are accepted every day from 5 a.m. to 9 p.m. MT. Help is available in most languages. Dial 711 or video relay services are available.To view an American Sign Language (ASL) video about how to apply visit Three Ways to Register for FEMA Disaster Assistance – YouTube.Additional Assistance and BenefitsStreamlined Application Requirements so you can apply for a low-interest, long-term disaster loan from the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) and for FEMA assistance at the same time.Support for Underinsured Claims to help with aspects of home repair not covered by insurance.Simplified Assistance for Entrepreneurs by providing self-employed survivors with initial financial support to replace disaster-damaged tools and equipment to help them land on their feet. Expanded Habitability Criteria to help survivors make their post-disaster homes safer and cleaner. Previously, for example, if a home had a leaky roof pre-disaster, that area of the home wouldn’t qualify.Make Accessibility Improvements to help survivors with disabilities improve their living conditions by making their homes even more accessible than they were pre-disaster.Streamlined Temporary Housing Assistance Applications by reducing documentation requirements for applicants who need to extend their stay in FEMA-supported temporary housing.Simplified Process for Appeals so survivors who wish to appeal FEMA’s decisions will no longer need to provide a signed, written appeal letter to accompany the supporting documentation.Computer Assistance for survivors who need to repair or replace disaster-damaged computers.Rental Assistance for Temporary Housing. If you suffered damage to your primary residence, FEMA may be able to provide rent for a temporary place to live while you are displaced. Rental assistance is intended to cover monthly rent, security deposit and cost of essential utilities such as electricity and water.FEMA’s Individuals and Household Program assistance is intended to help jumpstart your recovery. Here are some examples of basic needs:Home Repair Assistance may be provided to homeowners to repair the structural parts of your home. This includes windows, doors, floors, walls, ceilings, cabinets, heating, ventilation and air-conditioning system (HVAC), utilities (electrical, plumbing and gas systems) and entrance ways. FEMA may also reimburse for the actual cost to repair or replace your furnace, private well and septic system that was damaged or destroyed by the disaster.Even if you applied for federal assistance previously for other disasters in New Mexico, you could still apply to FEMA for assistance following the Oct. 19-20 severe storms and flooding in Chaves County.
    angela.ambroise
    Sat, 11/02/2024 – 17:29

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Congressman Dan Goldman Requests Information on Bank of America Decision to Reverse Ban on Financing Assault-Weapons Manufacturers

    Source: United States House of Representatives – Congressman Dan Goldman (NY-10)

    Following Legislation Passed in Texas and Florida, Bank of America Backtracked Implementation of Landmark Financing Ban

    Read the Letter Here

    Washington, DC – Congressman Dan Goldman (NY-10) joined Congressman Sean Casten (IL-06) and 50 of his Democratic colleagues in sending a letter to Bank of America CEO and Chair of the Board Brian Moynihan requesting information regarding Bank of America’s decision to reverse their ban on financing assault-style gun manufacturers, who design weapons frequently used by perpetrators of mass shootings.

    “We write with disappointment regarding the recent news that Bank of America has reversed its ban on financing assault-style gun manufacturers in response to pressure from Republican-led states, such as Florida and Texas. When the second-largest bank in the country backtracks on gun violence prevention, it sends a message to the entire industry: it’s permissible for other financial institutions to put short-term politics over the protection of American lives,” the Members wrote.

    In 2018, following the Marjorie Stoneman Douglas High School mass shooting, Bank of America announced it would no longer finance military-style firearms for civilian use. Bank of America described the financing of these gunmakers as “contrary to our values, operating principles and Code of Conduct.”

    However, in 2021, Texas passed a law restricting companies that discriminate against firearms entities from doing business with the state. In January 2024, Florida passed an anti-ESG law which required banks that accept state or local funds to verify they don’t “politically discriminate.”

    In response, Bank of America weakened its policy, stating that financing military-style firearms would be subject to an “enhanced due-diligence process,” directly contradicting their 2018 proposal. The members contend that this policy change unnecessarily puts lives at risk.

    “The strong positions by Bank of America in 2018 likely saved lives. Your retreat in recent years strikes us as situational ethics. Perhaps you fear the political risk of alienating certain politicians. We would suggest that pales in comparison to the fear felt by a classroom full of kids looking down the barrel of an assault rifle. The least you could do is show a fraction of the courage that too many children are asked to show in a country awash in these weapons of war,” the Members continued.

    The members concluded asking the following questions regarding Bank of America’s policy change:

    1. “Since 2018, what steps has Bank of America taken to reverse its prior policies and decisions that were intended to reduce gun violence?

    2. Please explain why Bank of America now deems it appropriate to finance assault-style gun manufacturers.

    3. Please detail how Bank of America implemented the enhanced due diligence standard and review process for clients and transactions involving the manufacture of military-style firearms for civilian use, including:

      1. What “specialized industry knowledge” did the internal subject matter experts (SMEs) possess that contributed to the development of this policy?

        1. What are their professional backgrounds?

      2. Please provide specifics about the “clear process” for review with senior executive checkpoints, escalation routines, and risk management considerations, including how Bank of America will assess the reputational and litigation risk associated with specific, potential clients.

      3. What factors would cause Bank of America to decide to provide financing or underwriting to a manufacturer of military-style firearms for civilian use?

    4. Since this enhanced due diligence process was put in place, what, if any, financing or underwriting has Bank of America provided to firearm manufacturers, including those specified below?

      1. Sturm Ruger & Company (RGR)

      2. Smith and Wesson (SWBI)

      3. Axon (AXON:US)

      4. Sportsman’s Warehouse Holdings (SPWH)

      5. Big Five Sporting Goods Corporation (BGFV)”

    Read the letter here or below:

    Dear Mr. Moynihan,

    We write with disappointment regarding the recent news that Bank of America has reversed its ban on financing assault-style gun manufacturers in response to pressure from Republican-led states, such as Florida and Texas. When the second-largest bank in the country backtracks on gun violence prevention, it sends a message to the entire industry: it’s permissible for other financial institutions to put short-term politics over the protection of American lives.

    In 2018, following the Marjorie Stoneman Douglas High School mass shooting, Bank of America announced that it would no longer finance military-style firearms for civilian use. In an interview that April, Vice Chair Anne Finucane stated that Bank of America wants to contribute in “any way we can” to reduce mass shootings. Specifically, Ms. Finucane said: “It’s our intention not to finance these military-style firearms forcivilian use” on a “go forward basis.” At Bank of America’s annual shareholder meeting that same month, one conservative activist said the bank was “willfully giving up money.” You responded to shareholders that the policy change was prompted in part because more than 150 Bank of America employees “directly lost a relative in the shootings in the last couple [of] years.”

    Remington, Vista Outdoor, and Sturm, Ruger & Co. were three of your clients affected by this policy change in 2018. Remington made the Bushmaster assault weapon that was used in the 2012 mass shooting that killed 26 children and educators at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut. Remington had been a client of Bank of America since at least 2012 until the bank cut ties—but only after contributing $43 million to a lending package that helped Remington exit bankruptcy in 2018. Vista Outdoor sold rifles and shotguns, including AR-15-style weapons, until 2019, when Bank of America helped finance Vista’s acquisition of another sporting goods company in 2016. Lastly, Sturm Ruger makes the AR-556 pistol, which resembles an AR-15-style rifle but has been designed to circumvent existing gun laws. This weapon was used in the 2021 mass shooting that killed ten people at a King Soopers supermarket store in Boulder, Colorado. In 2013, Bank of America extended a $25 million line of credit to Sturm Ruger. Between 2012 and 2018, Bank of America issued $273.6 million in bonds and loans to these firearm companies. To be clear, none of these guns are designed for hunting or for self-defense. They are designed to kill large numbers of people as quickly as possible.

    In 2019, Bank of America described the financing of these gunmakers as “contrary to our values, operating principles and Code of Conduct” in its Environmental and Social Risk Policy Framework. In 2022, Bank of America reiterated that it “will not currently finance the manufacture of military-style firearms for non-law enforcement, non-military use.” Then in November 2023, Bank of America assured members of Congress that its “lines of business continue to follow this policy.”

    However, in December 2023, Bank of America weakened its firearms lending policy in its updated policy framework, stating that financing military-style firearms would be subject to an “enhanced due diligence process” and review by the Senior-level Risk Committee. This directly contradicts Vice Chair Finucane’s 2018 statement that “going forward we will not finance the manufacture of these firearms.”

    Recent reports suggest that this policy change was prompted by anti-ESG laws in states like Florida and Texas. In 2021, Texas passed a law restricting companies that “discriminate” against firearms entities from doing business with the state. Specifically, it requires that government contracts include a written verification that the company does not and will not “have a practice, policy, guidance, or directive that discriminates against a firearm entity or firearm trade association.”18 In October 2023, shortly before Bank of America changed its policy, the Texas Attorney General issued an advisory urging government entities to closely review these written verifications and consider other “red flags,” citing Bank of America’s approach towards certain firearm entities. More recently, in January 2024, Florida announced that it will begin enforcing violations of an anti- ESG law passed last year, which requires banks that accept state or local funds to verify that they don’t “politically discriminate.” In particular, these requirements prohibit banks from denying services on the basis of enumerated factors, including a company’s “engagement in the lawful manufacture, distribution, sale, purchase, or use of firearms or ammunition.” In May 2024, Florida enacted a law, effective July 1, 2024, that provides for a customer complaint process for alleged violations of these requirements and expands the scope to include non-Florida chartered banks.

    The strong positions by Bank of America in 2018 likely saved lives. Your retreat in recent years strikes us as situational ethics. Perhaps you fear the political risk of alienating certain politicians. We would suggest that pales in comparison to the fear felt by a classroom full of kids looking down the barrel of an assault rifle. The least you could do is show a fraction of the courage that too many children are asked to show in a country awash in these weapons of war.

    To that end, we seek clarification on this policy change and ask that you answer the following questions by August 8, 2024:

    1. Since 2018, what steps has Bank of America taken to reverse its prior policies and decisions that were intended to reduce gun violence?

    2. Please explain why Bank of America now deems it appropriate to finance assault-style gun manufacturers.

    3. Please detail how Bank of America implemented the enhanced due diligence standard and review process for clients and transactions involving the manufacture of military-style firearms for civilian use, including:

      1. What “specialized industry knowledge” did the internal subject matter experts (SMEs) possess that contributed to the development of this policy?

        1. What are their professional backgrounds?

      2. Please provide specifics about the “clear process” for review with senior executive checkpoints, escalation routines, and risk management considerations, including how Bank of America will assess the reputational and litigation risk associated with specific, potential clients.

      3. What factors would cause Bank of America to decide to provide financing or underwriting to a manufacturer of military-style firearms for civilian use?

    4. Since this enhanced due diligence process was put in place, what, if any, financing or underwriting has Bank of America provided to firearm manufacturers, including those specified below?

      1. Sturm Ruger & Company (RGR)

      2. Smith and Wesson (SWBI)

      3. Axon (AXON:US)

      4. Sportsman’s Warehouse Holdings (SPWH)

      5. Big Five Sporting Goods Corporation (BGFV)”

    We look forward to your prompt response either in writing or via a briefing and the opportunity to continue to work together to stem the tragedies caused by gun violence and make our communities safer. Thank you foryour attention to this matter.

    ###

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Nov 2, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

     For best viewing experience, please enable browser JavaScript support.

    Nov 2, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

    Updated: Sat Nov 2 19:30:45 UTC 2024 (Print Version |   |  )

    Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

     Forecast Discussion

    SPC AC 021930

    Day 3 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0230 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Valid 041200Z – 051200Z

    …THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
    SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE OZARKS…

    …SUMMARY…
    Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday into Monday
    night from parts of north and east Texas to Missouri. Tornadoes and
    damaging winds should be the main hazards.

    …Synopsis…
    The large upper trough in the Southwest will continue its eastward
    progression into the southern Plains. With time, the trough will
    lift northeast and lose amplitude. A strong mid-level jet will eject
    into the southern Plains and mid-Missouri Valley during the late
    morning and afternoon. A surface low initially in western Oklahoma
    will begin to accelerate northeastward, reaching the Upper Midwest
    by Tuesday Morning. The focus for severe storms will along the
    dryline in Oklahoma/Texas, which will eventually be overtaken by a
    cold front, and the cold front extending from Kansas into the
    Midwest.

    …Oklahoma/Texas…
    The current expectation is for strongly forced line of convection to
    be ongoing in western Oklahoma into western North Texas. Additional
    convection is also possible farther east into parts of the Ozarks
    within a broad area of warm advection. How the western convection
    evolves with time will be modulated by the eastern precipitation and
    eventual degree of surface-based destabilization. Surface heating
    will be key as mid-level lapse rates are relatively poor. Even
    without significant surface heating, a very moist airmass should
    support the continuation of the convective line into central/eastern
    Oklahoma. Guidance is consistent in showing a linear mode and shear
    vectors largely parallel to the boundary support this outcome. Very
    strong low-level and deep-layer shear will promote a risk for severe
    winds and QLCS tornadoes. Should greater surface heating occur,
    portions of eastern Oklahoma appear to be favorably positioned for a
    greater severe threat given the potential combination of
    destabilization and large-scale ascent. Portions of East Texas
    should observe greater surface heating. Deep-layer shear will be
    weaker, however. Severe wind gusts and line-embedded circulations
    will also be possible in these areas.

    …Ozarks…
    Initial morning convection could pose a marginal severe threat.
    Weaker forcing and limited buoyancy should keep any threat isolated.
    The greater threat for severe weather will come with the line of
    convection along the cold front moving in from the west during the
    evening into parts of the overnight. Buoyancy will still be limited
    and decrease with eastward extent, but strong low-level and
    deep-layer wind fields will continue to support some risk for
    damaging winds and perhaps QLCS tornadoes.

    ..Wendt.. 11/02/2024

    CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

    NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z

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  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Nov 2, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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    Nov 2, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

    Updated: Sat Nov 2 17:30:59 UTC 2024 (Print Version |   |  )

    Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

     Forecast Discussion

    SPC AC 021730

    Day 2 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1230 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Valid 031200Z – 041200Z

    …THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF OKLAHOMA
    INTO NORTH TEXAS AND THE ROLLING PLAINS…

    …SUMMARY…
    Scattered severe storms are possible in multiple rounds from midday
    Sunday through Sunday night. The most likely area affected includes
    parts of Oklahoma into north and west-central Texas. Tornadoes,
    damaging winds, and large hail may occur.

    …Synopsis…
    A large upper-level trough will continue to push east and a surface
    cyclone will deepen in the central High Plains. Continued moisture
    advection northward will support the potential for severe storms,
    primarily within Oklahoma and Texas.

    …Oklahoma into North Texas…
    Models continue to be consistent in an ongoing line of convection
    occurring early Sunday morning from eastern Oklahoma into North
    Texas. This activity complicates the forecast for the
    afternoon/evening. However, a similarly consistent signal for
    additional convection to move into these areas during the afternoon
    from the Texas Rolling Plains. This scenario is plausible given the
    persistence of low-level southerly flow as the upper-level trough
    continues to move eastward and a surface low deepens in the central
    High Plains. Buoyancy, mid-level lapse rates, and
    low-level/deep-layer shear will favor organized storms capable of
    all severe hazards. Guidance exhibits a strong signal for a linear
    convective mode where severe winds and embedded QLCS circulations
    would be the expected primary threats. Hail would be a greater
    concern for any more discrete storms. The degree of tornado threat
    is at least conditionally higher in south-central/southeast Oklahoma
    where low-level hodographs will be larger, particularly late
    afternoon into the evening. The overall uncertain character/location
    of the effective boundary from earlier convection as well as whether
    discrete storms can form along it keep confidence in a greater
    threat low.

    …Texas Rolling Plains/Permian Basin…
    Low-level southeasterly winds will continue to advect moisture into
    the surface trough/dryline. Forcing from the upper-level trough will
    overspread this region by mid/late morning. Guidance suggests a
    quick transition to a linear mode, but effective shear of 40-50 kts
    across the boundary and long straight hodographs will favor some
    threat for large hail with initial supercells. Severe winds will
    likely be the primary threat as convection moves northeast. Some
    QLCS tornado threat is possible as low-level shear increases to the
    east.

    …Kansas/Nebraska…
    Within the surface low/dryline, isolated discrete storm development
    appears possible in western Kansas. Uncertainty remains high given
    potential influence from convection to the south. Further, stronger
    forcing does not arrive until the evening. Should storms develop,
    strong effective shear (50-55 kts) and steep mid-level lapse rates
    will favor supercells capable of severe winds and large hail. At
    least a narrow window for a tornado risk will be present during late
    evening.

    …East Texas into far western Louisiana…
    Within a warm advection regime, a few storms may develop in East
    Texas and adjacent Louisiana. Buoyancy will be maximized in East
    Texas and diminish with eastward extent. Deep-layer southwesterly
    flow will be sufficient for marginal supercell structures. Damaging
    winds and isolated large hail would be possible. Given the presence
    of an effective warm front/moisture boundary, low-level shear will
    also be adequate for the stronger storms to potentially produce a
    brief tornado.

    ..Wendt.. 11/02/2024

    CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

    NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z

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  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Nov 2, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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    Nov 2, 2024 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

    Updated: Sat Nov 2 19:44:30 UTC 2024 (Print Version |   |  )

    Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

     Forecast Discussion

    SPC AC 021944

    Day 1 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0244 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Valid 022000Z – 031200Z

    …THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PERMIAN BASIN AND
    SOUTH PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA…

    …SUMMARY…
    Scattered strong to severe storms will be possible late this
    afternoon and tonight, primarily from the Permian Basin and South
    Plains into Oklahoma.

    …20z Update…
    Only slight adjustments were made to the Marginal Risk across far
    eastern New Mexico to account for recent trends in radar. Trends
    continue to suggest that storms across western Texas into eastern
    New Mexico before growing upscale and moving into northwestern Texas
    and eventually Oklahoma. Some question remains how much air mass
    recovery can happen north of the Red River across southwest Oklahoma
    behind the current line of storms. Visible satellite shows a few
    breaks in the clouds across southwestern Oklahoma into northwestern
    Texas behind the ongoing complex/outflow. For now, confidence
    remains too low to make an adjustments to severe probabilities given
    the signal in CAM guidance for an eastward propagating MCS this
    evening. See previous discussion below for more information.

    ..Thornton/Smith.. 11/02/2024

    .PREV DISCUSSION… /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024/

    …Synopsis…
    Water-vapor imagery late this morning shows an upper trough over
    CA/NV moving east, and this feature will become centered over the
    Four Corners late tonight into early Sunday morning. A lead
    mid-level vorticity maximum over eastern AZ will move into eastern
    NM by late this evening as more appreciable mid-level height falls
    overspread the southern High Plains tonight. A diffuse warm front
    in northwest TX arches northeastward through central OK to the east
    of morning showers/thunderstorms.

    …Southern High Plains to portions of OK…
    An ongoing band of weak to occasional and localized strong
    thunderstorms extends from south-central KS southwestward through
    western OK and into the TX South Plains, where convective outflow
    slowly moves south into northern parts of the Permian Basin.
    Related convective effects and rainfall from the Low Rolling Plains
    northeast into central OK renders a mesoscale area of low confidence
    in storm evolution later today/tonight and the associated severe
    threat. Models indicate appreciably strong low-level theta-e
    advection will largely offset and hinder eastward progress of
    convective outflow over southwest/central OK with gradual
    destabilization of this airmass expected southeast of the
    convection. Model CAM guidance does seem to support a rejuvenation
    of storms —beginning late this afternoon into the evening over
    parts of west and northwest TX— and later moving into OK later
    this evening into the overnight in the form of a squall line. Have
    opted to not substantially change the prior outlook over OK despite
    some concern about observational trends (e.g., considerable cloud
    cover, destabilization).

    Farther southwest, storm outflow will likely stall across northern
    parts of the Permian Basin. Along and south of this outflow, moist
    southeasterly flow will maintain a fetch of lower 60s deg F
    dewpoints across the Trans-Pecos and Permian Basin, contributing to
    moderate destabilization by mid-late afternoon (around 2000 J/kg
    MLCAPE). Elongated hodographs atop some hodograph curvature in the
    lowest 1-2 km will support supercell development with the stronger
    storms as early as 21 UTC and into the evening. Upscale growth into
    a couple of linear clusters is expected with time this evening with
    the severe risk transitioning from all hazards to mainly a wind and
    localized hail risk as this activity moves from west TX into
    northwest TX.

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  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Nov 2, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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    Nov 2, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

    Updated: Sat Nov 2 16:29:17 UTC 2024 (Print Version |   |  )

    Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

     Forecast Discussion

    SPC AC 021629

    Day 1 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1129 AM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Valid 021630Z – 031200Z

    …THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE PERMIAN
    BASIN AND SOUTH PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA…

    …SUMMARY…
    Scattered strong to severe storms will be possible late this
    afternoon and tonight, primarily from the Permian Basin and South
    Plains into Oklahoma.

    …Synopsis…
    Water-vapor imagery late this morning shows an upper trough over
    CA/NV moving east, and this feature will become centered over the
    Four Corners late tonight into early Sunday morning. A lead
    mid-level vorticity maximum over eastern AZ will move into eastern
    NM by late this evening as more appreciable mid-level height falls
    overspread the southern High Plains tonight. A diffuse warm front
    in northwest TX arches northeastward through central OK to the east
    of morning showers/thunderstorms.

    …Southern High Plains to portions of OK…
    An ongoing band of weak to occasional and localized strong
    thunderstorms extends from south-central KS southwestward through
    western OK and into the TX South Plains, where convective outflow
    slowly moves south into northern parts of the Permian Basin.
    Related convective effects and rainfall from the Low Rolling Plains
    northeast into central OK renders a mesoscale area of low confidence
    in storm evolution later today/tonight and the associated severe
    threat. Models indicate appreciably strong low-level theta-e
    advection will largely offset and hinder eastward progress of
    convective outflow over southwest/central OK with gradual
    destabilization of this airmass expected southeast of the
    convection. Model CAM guidance does seem to support a rejuvenation
    of storms —beginning late this afternoon into the evening over
    parts of west and northwest TX— and later moving into OK later
    this evening into the overnight in the form of a squall line. Have
    opted to not substantially change the prior outlook over OK despite
    some concern about observational trends (e.g., considerable cloud
    cover, destabilization).

    Farther southwest, storm outflow will likely stall across northern
    parts of the Permian Basin. Along and south of this outflow, moist
    southeasterly flow will maintain a fetch of lower 60s deg F
    dewpoints across the Trans-Pecos and Permian Basin, contributing to
    moderate destabilization by mid-late afternoon (around 2000 J/kg
    MLCAPE). Elongated hodographs atop some hodograph curvature in the
    lowest 1-2 km will support supercell development with the stronger
    storms as early as 21 UTC and into the evening. Upscale growth into
    a couple of linear clusters is expected with time this evening with
    the severe risk transitioning from all hazards to mainly a wind and
    localized hail risk as this activity moves from west TX into
    northwest TX.

    ..Smith/Moore.. 11/02/2024

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  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC MD 2182

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Mesoscale Discussion 2182
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0124 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Areas affected…portions of west Texas into extreme southeastern
    New Mexico

    Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

    Valid 021824Z – 022000Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent

    SUMMARY…The severe threat should gradually increase through the
    afternoon, with all severe hazards possible. A WW issuance may be
    needed in the next couple of hours pending robust storm
    intensification.

    DISCUSSION…Convection is gradually deepening across the Permian
    Basin amid a destabilizing boundary layer, with NLDN data depicting
    lightning already occurring with the deeper updrafts. 17Z
    mesoanalysis shows some remaining MLCINH in place. However, surface
    temperatures are approaching 80 F in spots, amid 60 F dewpoints,
    yielding 1500+ J/kg MLCAPE. Vertical wind profiles gradually veer
    from southeasterly at the surface, to southwesterly at 500 mb, with
    considerable strengthening with height noted in forecast soundings.
    Hodographs are relatively straight and elongated in the near-term,
    supporting 25-35 kts of effective bulk shear. However, strengthening
    low-level flow later this afternoon and evening will contribute to
    50+ kts of effective bulk shear and larger, curved low-level
    hodographs.

    As such, multicells and transient supercells should develop over the
    next couple of hours, though more sustained supercells may
    materialize by mid to late afternoon. The more intense, long-lived
    storms may produce severe gusts and large hail (with some stones
    potentially exceeding 2 inches in diameter). Low-level shear may
    also become strong enough to support the risk for a couple of
    tornadoes later this afternoon into early evening, when hodographs
    enlarge.

    ..Squitieri/Smith.. 11/02/2024

    …Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

    ATTN…WFO…SJT…MAF…

    LAT…LON 31730415 32240395 32500357 32640296 32770210 32900140
    32810099 32150078 31550141 31290224 31240294 31240347
    31280390 31730415

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 698

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL8

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 698
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    230 PM CDT Sat Nov 2 2024

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Tornado Watch for portions of
    Southeast New Mexico
    West Texas

    * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
    900 PM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    A couple tornadoes possible
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
    Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    SUMMARY…Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast
    this afternoon into the evening across the Permian Basin. A few
    supercells capable of large to very large hail (1 to 2.5 inches in
    diameter) and severe gusts (60-70 mph) are expected. As the
    low-level winds strengthen late this afternoon into the early
    evening, a risk for a couple of tornadoes may develop with the more
    intense supercells to the south of and immediately near an outflow
    boundary draped from west to east across the area. Storms will
    likely grow upscale into one or more small clusters later this
    evening with severe wind and hail becoming the primary hazards.

    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
    north and south of a line from 10 miles southwest of Carlsbad NM to
    40 miles northeast of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of the
    watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.

    &&

    AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 23025.

    …Smith

    SEL8

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 698
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    230 PM CDT Sat Nov 2 2024

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Tornado Watch for portions of
    Southeast New Mexico
    West Texas

    * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
    900 PM CDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    A couple tornadoes possible
    Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
    Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    SUMMARY…Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast
    this afternoon into the evening across the Permian Basin. A few
    supercells capable of large to very large hail (1 to 2.5 inches in
    diameter) and severe gusts (60-70 mph) are expected. As the
    low-level winds strengthen late this afternoon into the early
    evening, a risk for a couple of tornadoes may develop with the more
    intense supercells to the south of and immediately near an outflow
    boundary draped from west to east across the area. Storms will
    likely grow upscale into one or more small clusters later this
    evening with severe wind and hail becoming the primary hazards.

    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
    north and south of a line from 10 miles southwest of Carlsbad NM to
    40 miles northeast of Midland TX. For a complete depiction of the
    watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.

    &&

    AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 23025.

    …Smith

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW8
    WW 698 TORNADO NM TX 021930Z – 030200Z
    AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
    10SW CNM/CARLSBAD NM/ – 40NE MAF/MIDLAND TX/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /62WNW INK – 31NE MAF/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.

    LAT…LON 32950439 33080172 31630172 31500439

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU8.

    Watch 698 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    Mod (40%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low (20%)

    Wind

    Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

    Mod (30%)

    Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

    Low (20%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Mod (40%)

    Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

    Mod (40%)

    Combined Severe Hail/Wind

    Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

    High (70%)

    For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SBA Stands Ready to Assist New Mexico Businesses and Residents Affected by the Severe Storm and Flooding

    Source: United States Small Business Administration

    “As communities across the Southeast continue to recover and rebuild after Hurricanes Helene and Milton, the SBA remains focused on its mission to provide support to small businesses to help stabilize local economies, even in the face of diminished disaster funding,” saidAdministrator Isabel Casillas Guzman. “If your business has sustained physical damage, or you’ve lost inventory, equipment or revenues, the SBA will help you navigate the resources available and work with you at our recovery centers or with our customer service specialists in person and online so you can fully submit your disaster loan application and be ready to receive financial relief as soon as funds are replenished.”

    SACRAMENTO, Calif. – Low-interest federal disaster loans are now available to New Mexico businesses and residents as a result of President Biden’s major disaster declaration, U.S. Small Business Administration’s Administrator Isabel Casillas Guzmanannounced.

    The declaration covers Chaves County as a result of the severe storm and flooding that occurred Oct. 19-20.

    Businesses of all sizes and private nonprofit organizations may borrow up to $2 million to repair or replace damaged or destroyed real estate, machinery and equipment, inventory and other business assets.

    For small businesses, small agricultural cooperatives, small businesses engaged in aquaculture and most private nonprofit organizations of any size, SBA offers Economic Injury Disaster Loans to help meet working capital needs caused by the disaster. Economic injury assistance is available to businesses regardless of any property damage.

    “SBA’s disaster loan program offers an important advantage–the chance to incorporate measures that can reduce the risk of future damage,” said Francisco Sánchez, Jr., associate administrator for the Office of Disaster Recovery and Resilience at the Small Business Administration. “Work with contractors and mitigation professionals to strengthen your property and take advantage of the opportunity to request additional SBA disaster loan funds for these proactive improvements.”

    Disaster loans up to $500,000 are available to homeowners to repair or replace damaged or destroyed real estate. Homeowners and renters are eligible for up to $100,000 to repair or replace damaged or destroyed personal property, including personal vehicles.

    Interest rates can be as low as 4 percent for businesses, 3.25 percent for private nonprofit organizations and 2.813 percent for homeowners and renters with terms up to 30 years. Loan amounts and terms are set by SBA and are based on each applicant’s financial condition.

    Interest does not begin to accrue until 12 months from the date of the first disaster loan disbursement. SBA disaster loan repayment begins 12 months from the date of the first disbursement.

    On October 15, 2024, it was announced that funds for the Disaster Loan Program have been fully expended. While no new loans can be issued until Congress appropriates additional funding, we remain committed to supporting disaster survivors. Applications will continue to be accepted and processed to ensure individuals and businesses are prepared to receive assistance once funding becomes available.

    Applicants are encouraged to submit their loan applications promptly for review in anticipation of future funding.

    As soon as Federal-State Disaster Recovery Centers open throughout the affected area, SBA will provide one-on-one assistance to disaster loan applicants. Additional information and details on the location of disaster recovery centers is available by calling the SBA Customer Service Center at (800) 659-2955.

    ###

    About the U.S. Small Business Administration

    The U.S. Small Business Administration helps power the American dream of business ownership. As the only go-to resource and voice for small businesses backed by the strength of the federal government, the SBA empowers entrepreneurs and small business owners with the resources and support they need to start, grow, expand their businesses, or recover from a declared disaster. It delivers services through an extensive network of SBA field offices and partnerships with public and private organizations. To learn more, visit www.sba.gov.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SBA Stands Ready to Assist Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe Businesses and Residents Affected by the Severe Storm, Straight-line Winds and Flooding

    Source: United States Small Business Administration

    “As communities across the Southeast continue to recover and rebuild after Hurricanes Helene and Milton, the SBA remains focused on its mission to provide support to small businesses to help stabilize local economies, even in the face of diminished disaster funding,” saidAdministrator Isabel Casillas Guzman. “If your business has sustained physical damage, or you’ve lost inventory, equipment or revenues, the SBA will help you navigate the resources available and work with you at our recovery centers or with our customer service specialists in person and online so you can fully submit your disaster loan application and be ready to receive financial relief as soon as funds are replenished.”

    SACRAMENTO, Calif. – Low-interest federal disaster loans are now available to Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe businesses and residents as a result of President Biden’s major disaster declaration, U.S. Small Business Administration’s Administrator Isabel Casillas Guzmanannounced.

    The declaration covers the Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe as a result of the severe storm, straight‑line winds and flooding that occurred July 13–14.

    Businesses of all sizes and private nonprofit organizations may borrow up to $2 million to repair or replace damaged or destroyed real estate, machinery and equipment, inventory and other business assets.

    For small businesses, small agricultural cooperatives, small businesses engaged in aquaculture and most private nonprofit organizations of any size, SBA offers Economic Injury Disaster Loans to help meet working capital needs caused by the disaster. Economic injury assistance is available to businesses regardless of any property damage.

    “SBA’s disaster loan program offers an important advantage–the chance to incorporate measures that can reduce the risk of future damage,” said Francisco Sánchez, Jr., associate administrator for the Office of Disaster Recovery and Resilience at the Small Business Administration. “Work with contractors and mitigation professionals to strengthen your property and take advantage of the opportunity to request additional SBA disaster loan funds for these proactive improvements.”

    Disaster loans up to $500,000 are available to homeowners to repair or replace damaged or destroyed real estate. Homeowners and renters are eligible for up to $100,000 to repair or replace damaged or destroyed personal property, including personal vehicles.

    Interest rates can be as low as 4 percent for businesses, 3.25 percent for private nonprofit organizations and 2.688 percent for homeowners and renters with terms up to 30 years. Loan amounts and terms are set by SBA and are based on each applicant’s financial condition.

    Interest does not begin to accrue until 12 months from the date of the first disaster loan disbursement. SBA disaster loan repayment begins 12 months from the date of the first disbursement.

    On October 15, 2024, it was announced that funds for the Disaster Loan Program have been fully expended. While no new loans can be issued until Congress appropriates additional funding, we remain committed to supporting disaster survivors. Applications will continue to be accepted and processed to ensure individuals and businesses are prepared to receive assistance once funding becomes available.

    Applicants are encouraged to submit their loan applications promptly for review in anticipation of future funding.

    As soon as Federal-State Disaster Recovery Centers open throughout the affected area, SBA will provide one-on-one assistance to disaster loan applicants. Additional information and details on the location of disaster recovery centers is available by calling the SBA Customer Service Center at (800) 659-2955.

    ###

    About the U.S. Small Business Administration

    The U.S. Small Business Administration helps power the American dream of business ownership. As the only go-to resource and voice for small businesses backed by the strength of the federal government, the SBA empowers entrepreneurs and small business owners with the resources and support they need to start, grow, expand their businesses, or recover from a declared disaster. It delivers services through an extensive network of SBA field offices and partnerships with public and private organizations. To learn more, visit www.sba.gov.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI China: 2 Chinese killed, 2 missing in Spain’s floods: embassy

    Source: China State Council Information Office

    Floods in southern and eastern Spain have killed two Chinese citizens and left two others missing, the Chinese embassy in Spain confirmed Saturday.

    Heavy rainfalls in southern and eastern Spain triggered the deadliest flash floods in the country’s modern history, which have killed at least 211 people. 

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI China: 3 children injured in Israeli strike on Gaza clinic during polio vaccination

    Source: China State Council Information Office

    A child receives a dose of the polio vaccine at a UN-run clinic in Deir al-Balah city, central Gaza Strip, on Oct. 14, 2024. (Photo by Rizek Abdeljawad/Xinhua)

    Three Palestinian children were wounded when an Israeli drone struck a medical facility during a polio vaccination campaign in Gaza City on Saturday, Palestinian medical sources said.

    The children were taken to al-Ahli Arab hospital after the strike hit Sheikh Radwan Clinic in the northern part of the city, medical staff told Xinhua. The Israeli army has not commented on the incident yet.

    The incident occurred as health workers launched an emergency polio vaccination drive for children under 10 in Gaza City. The campaign has already begun in central and southern Gaza but has been delayed in the north due to ongoing military operations.

    Separately, senior Hamas official Izzat al-Rishq on Saturday dismissed recent proposals for a temporary pause in fighting, calling them “a mere smoke screen” that failed to address key demands including Israeli military withdrawal and the return of displaced Palestinians.

    “We engage positively with any proposals ensuring the cessation of aggression and withdrawal of Israeli forces,” al-Rishq said in a statement, while accusing Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of using ceasefire talks as “cover” for continued military operations.

    The comments follow a recent Qatari-American announcement about negotiations in Doha focusing on hostage release and potential ceasefire arrangements.

    MIL OSI China News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Nov 3, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    SPC AC 030041

    Day 1 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0741 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Valid 030100Z – 031200Z

    …THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF
    SOUTHWEST TEXAS INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA…

    …SUMMARY…
    Scattered strong to severe storms will be possible through tonight,
    primarily from the Permian Basin and South Plains into Oklahoma.

    …Northwest TX into OK…
    Scattered clusters of rain and storms persist this evening from
    extreme southeast NM across the South Plains and into central OK.
    The large-scale instability gradient currently extends south of the
    aggregate outflow, roughly from Midland TX to Ardmore OK, with
    1000-1500 J/kg MUCAPE to the south.

    Given the persistent southerly flow regime through tonight, a moist
    and unstable air mass will likely spread north, with elevated
    instability increasing over currently rain-cooled areas from
    northwest TX into OK.

    In the near term, the greatest supercell threat will remain over the
    Permian Basin, in closer proximity to the most unstable air, with
    hail or brief tornado risk. With time, storms may tend to
    consolidate just north of the instability gradient, with an
    increasing low-level jet supporting locally damaging gusts. Ambient
    SRH over 200 m2/s2 may also favor embedded circulations at times,
    especially if the activity can consolidate into a squall line as
    indicated by some models.

    ..Jewell.. 11/03/2024

    CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

    NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC MD 2185

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Mesoscale Discussion 2185
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0830 PM CDT Sat Nov 02 2024

    Areas affected…Portions of the Texas South Plains…Northwest
    Texas…and southwest Oklahoma

    Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

    Valid 030130Z – 030400Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance…40 percent

    SUMMARY…Portions of the Texas South Plains, northwest Texas, and
    southwest Oklahoma are being monitored for increasing severe
    thunderstorm potential during the next few hours. It is still
    unclear if a watch will be needed.

    DISCUSSION…Along and north of an outflow boundary extending from
    north-central TX into the southern Permian Basin, reduced convective
    development on the backside of an earlier midlevel wave is leading
    to gradual air mass recovery. During the next few hours, the
    low-level jet will ramp up across the region in response to ascent
    in the left exit region of a subtropical jet overspreading the area.
    The associated deep-layer ascent and low-level warm advection atop
    the cold pool will support another uptick in convective development
    over the next few hours. Enlarging hodographs (40-50 kt of effective
    shear) with ample low-level clockwise curvature will conditionally
    support semi-discrete supercell structures initially. If these
    storms can root at the surface, all hazards (including brief
    tornadoes) will be possible.

    With time, the strengthening ascent amid deep moisture and minimal
    inhibition should promote numerous regenerative thunderstorms,
    leading to uncertainty in the overall severe risk (given a mixed
    mode). However, the aforementioned shear profiles will still
    conditionally support embedded supercell structures, and the
    low-level jet could allow for upscale growth/cold pool organization
    with time.

    It is still unclear if the overall severe risk will warrant a watch,
    though convective and environmental trends are being monitored.

    ..Weinman/Hart.. 11/03/2024

    …Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

    ATTN…WFO…FWD…OUN…SJT…LUB…MAF…

    LAT…LON 33860165 34449985 34799906 34809850 34619794 34069783
    33409811 32659979 32440060 32410138 32640176 33500197
    33860165

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 700

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL0

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 700
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    140 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Tornado Watch for portions of
    Central and eastern Oklahoma
    A small part of northwest Texas

    * Effective this Sunday morning from 140 AM until 900 AM CST.

    * Primary threats include…
    A few tornadoes possible
    Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
    Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    SUMMARY…Previously and potentially tornadic supercells over parts
    of central and southern OK ultimately will be absorbed by a squall
    line, which itself will pose a tornado and severe-gust threat as it
    moves into a favorable shear/buoyancy environment this morning.

    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
    east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of Ardmore OK to 15
    miles east northeast of Tulsa OK. For a complete depiction of the
    watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 699…

    AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 24035.

    …Edwards

    SEL0

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 700
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    140 AM CST Sun Nov 3 2024

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Tornado Watch for portions of
    Central and eastern Oklahoma
    A small part of northwest Texas

    * Effective this Sunday morning from 140 AM until 900 AM CST.

    * Primary threats include…
    A few tornadoes possible
    Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
    Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    SUMMARY…Previously and potentially tornadic supercells over parts
    of central and southern OK ultimately will be absorbed by a squall
    line, which itself will pose a tornado and severe-gust threat as it
    moves into a favorable shear/buoyancy environment this morning.

    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
    east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of Ardmore OK to 15
    miles east northeast of Tulsa OK. For a complete depiction of the
    watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.

    &&

    OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 699…

    AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 24035.

    …Edwards

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW0
    WW 700 TORNADO OK TX 030740Z – 031500Z
    AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
    40SW ADM/ARDMORE OK/ – 15ENE TUL/TULSA OK/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /26SW ADM – 9ENE TUL/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

    LAT…LON 33879865 36289680 36289446 33879638

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU0.

    Watch 700 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    Mod (50%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low (20%)

    Wind

    Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

    Mod (30%)

    Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

    Low (20%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Mod (30%)

    Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

    Mod (30%)

    Combined Severe Hail/Wind

    Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

    Mod (60%)

    For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

    MIL OSI USA News