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Category: Statistics

  • MIL-OSI Submissions: 2023 Census shows 1 in 20 adults belong to Aotearoa New Zealand’s LGBTIQ+ population (corrected)

    Source: Statistics New Zealand

    2023 Census shows 1 in 20 adults belong to Aotearoa New Zealand’s LGBTIQ+ population (corrected) – On Thursday, 3 October 2024, Stats NZ published the second release of 2023 Census data, which included a news story about our LGBTIQ+ population.

    We have republished this news story to correct an error in the reporting of the LGBTIQ+ population by territorial authorities. Previously percentages were reported as proportions of New Zealand’s total LGBTIQ+ population rather than proportions of each territorial authority’s population.  

    For example, it was previously reported that 11.3 percent of New Zealand’s LGBTIQ+ population lived in Wellington city. This has been corrected to state that 11.3 percent of Wellington city’s adult population were LGBTIQ+.

    Visit Statistics NZ’s website to read the corrected news story:

    • 2023 Census shows 1 in 20 adults belong to Aotearoa New Zealand’s LGBTIQ+ population

    MIL OSI –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Submissions: Stats NZ media information release: Dwelling and household estimates: September 2024 quarter

    Source: Statistics New Zealand

    Dwelling and household estimates: September 2024 quarter – information release – 4 October 2024 – Dwelling and household estimates are used for many purposes including planning, policy formation, business decisions, and as ‘bottom lines’ in the calculation of market coverage rates.

    Key facts
    At 30 September 2024, the estimated number of:

    • private dwellings is 2,097,100
    • households is 2,020,000.

    These estimates are based on the 2018 Census of Population and Dwellings.

    Visit Statistics NZ’s website to read this information release:

    • Dwelling and household estimates: September 2024 quarter

     

    MIL OSI –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Translation: Unemployment – September 2024

    MIL OSI Translation. Region: Italy –

    Source: Switzerland – Canton Government of Grisons in Italian

    In the Canton of Graubünden, 986 people were registered as unemployed in September, which corresponds to an unemployment rate of 0.9 percent. Compared to the previous month, with 882 unemployed, the number of unemployed rose by 104 units. In addition, 796 non-unemployed people were registered as looking for a job.

    Non-unemployed persons seeking employment include those participating in professional development or employment measures, or those who perform jobs with an intermediate income, as well as those who use only the placement services of the regional employment offices (URC).

    Adding the number of unemployed and non-unemployed people looking for a job gives the number of people looking for a job. In September, 1782 people were registered looking for a job. Compared to the previous month, this number increased by 195 units.

    Detailed statistics on the labour market are available on website of the Office for Industry, Arts and Crafts and Labour.

    Competent body: Office for Industry, Arts and Crafts and Labour

    EDITOR’S NOTE: This article is a translation. Apologies should the grammar and/or sentence structure not be perfect.

    MIL Translation OSI

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: Euro area quarterly balance of payments and international investment position: second quarter of 2024

    Source: European Central Bank

    04 October 2024

    • Current account surplus at €381 billion (2.6% of euro area GDP) in four quarters to second quarter of 2024, after a €76 billion surplus (0.5% of GDP) a year earlier.
    • Geographical counterparts: largest bilateral current account surpluses vis-à-vis United Kingdom (€215 billion) and Switzerland (€79 billion) and largest deficits vis-à-vis China (€78 billion) and United States (€18 billion).
    • International investment position showed net assets of €1.2 trillion (8.0% of euro area GDP) at end of second quarter of 2024.

    Current account

    The current account of the euro area recorded a surplus of €381 billion (2.6% of euro area GDP) in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, following a €76 billion surplus (0.5% of GDP) a year earlier (Table 1). This development was mainly driven by a larger surplus for goods (from €72 billion to €358 billion) and, to a lesser extent, by widening surpluses for services (from €134 billion to €149 billion) and for primary income (from €34 billion to €37 billion). Moreover, the deficit for secondary income decreased slightly from €164 billion to €163 billion.

    The estimates on goods trade broken down by product group show that, in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, the increase in the goods surplus was mainly due to a smaller deficit in energy products (from €454 billion to €275 billion). In addition, the surplus for machinery and manufactured products increased from €240 billion to €318 billion, while the balance for other products switched from a €28 billion deficit to a €2 billion surplus.

    The higher surplus for services in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024 was mainly due to larger surpluses for telecommunication, computer and information (from €159 billion to €184 billion) and for travel (from €47 billion to €57 billion), and a lower deficit for other business services (from €54 billion to €42 billion). This was partly offset by a widening deficit for other services (from €55 billion to €75 billion) and a decreasing surplus for transport (from €16 billion to €1 billion).

    The increase in the primary income surplus in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024 was mainly due to larger surpluses in direct investment (from €73 billion to €100 billion) and other primary income (from €5 billion to €14 billion), partly offset by a larger deficit in portfolio equity (from €143 billion to €182 billion).

    Table 1

    Current account of the euro area

    (EUR billions, unless otherwise indicated; transactions during the period; non-working day and non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Notes: “Equity” comprises equity and investment fund shares. Goods by product group is an estimated breakdown using a method based on statistics on international trade in goods. Discrepancies between totals and their components may arise from rounding.

    Data for the current account of the euro area

    Data on the geographical counterparts of the euro area current account (Chart 1) show that in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, the euro area recorded its largest bilateral surpluses vis-à-vis the United Kingdom (€215 billion, up from €184 billion a year earlier) and Switzerland (€79 billion, down from €89 billion). The euro area also recorded a surplus vis-à-vis the residual group of other countries of €96 billion, after a €21 billion deficit a year earlier. The largest bilateral deficits were recorded vis-à-vis China (€78 billion, down from €135 billion a year earlier) and the United States (€18 billion, down from €32 billion).

    The most significant changes in the geographical components of the current account relative to the previous year were as follows: the goods deficit vis-à-vis China declined from €166 billion to €105 billion, while the balance vis-à-vis Russia shifted from a deficit (€41 billion) to a surplus (€3 billion). Furthermore, the balance vis-à-vis the residual group of Other countries shifted from a deficit (€104 billion) to a surplus (€39 billion), which was partly explained by a smaller deficit vis-à-vis Norway (from €39 billion to €21 billion) and a shift from a deficit (€6 billion) to a surplus (€5 billion) vis-à-vis Saudi Arabia. The goods surplus increased vis-à-vis the United Kingdom (from €116 billion to €148 billion) and vis-à-vis the United States (from €169 billion to €191 billion). In services, the deficit vis-à-vis the United States increased (from €117 billion to €141 billion), which was more than offset by a shift from a deficit (€15 billion) to a surplus (€18 billion) vis-à-vis Offshore centres. In primary income, the deficit vis-à-vis Offshore centres (€11 billion) turned to a surplus (€21 billion), while a smaller deficit is recorded vis-à-vis the United States (from €82 billion to €67 billion). The deficit in secondary income vis-à-vis the EU Member States and EU institutions outside the euro area decreased (from €77 billion to €71 billion).

    Chart 1

    Geographical breakdown of the euro area current account balance

    (four-quarter moving sums in EUR billions; non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Note: “EU non-EA” comprises the non-euro area EU Member States and those EU institutions and bodies that are considered for statistical purposes as being outside the euro area, such as the European Commission and the European Investment Bank. “Other countries” includes all countries and country groups not shown in the chart, as well as unallocated transactions.

    Data for the geographical breakdown of the euro area current account

    International investment position

    At the end of the second quarter of 2024, the international investment position of the euro area recorded its largest net assets on record, increasing to €1.18 trillion vis-à-vis the rest of the world (8.0% of euro area GDP), up from €0.76 trillion in the previous quarter (Chart 2 and Table 2).

    Chart 2

    Net international investment position of the euro area

    (net amounts outstanding at the end of the period as a percentage of four-quarter moving sums of GDP)

    Source: ECB.

    Data for the net international investment position of the euro area

    The €423 billion increase in net assets was mainly driven by lower net liabilities in other investment (down from €0.76 trillion to €0.63 trillion) and in portfolio equity (from €3.31 trillion to €3.19 trillion), as well as larger net assets in direct investment (up from €2.41 trillion to €2.52 trillion) and in reserve assets (up from €1.22 trillion to €1.27 trillion).

    Table 2

    International investment position of the euro area

    (EUR billions, unless otherwise indicated; amounts outstanding at the end of the period, flows during the period; non-working day and non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Notes: “Equity” comprises equity and investment fund shares. Net financial derivatives are reported under assets. “Other volume changes” mainly reflect reclassifications and data enhancements. Discrepancies between totals and their components may arise from rounding.

    Data for the international investment position of the euro area

    The developments in the euro area’s net international investment position in the second quarter of 2024 were driven mainly by positive price changes, transactions and other volume changes which were slightly offset by negative exchange rate changes (Table 2 and Chart 3). The large positive price changes reflect the divergent evolution of the stock exchange markets in the euro area and outside the euro area.

    At the end of the second quarter of 2024, direct investment assets of special purpose entities (SPEs) amounted to €3.52 trillion (28% of total euro area direct investment assets), down from €3.59 trillion at the end of the previous quarter (Table 2). Over the same period, direct investment liabilities of SPEs decreased from €3.26 trillion to €3.25 trillion (33% of total direct investment liabilities).

    At the end of the second quarter of 2024 the gross external debt of the euro area amounted to €16.52 trillion (112% of euro area GDP), down by €78 billion compared with the previous quarter.

    Chart 3

    Changes in the net international investment position of the euro area

    (EUR billions; flows during the period; non-working day and non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Note: “Other volume changes” mainly reflect reclassifications and data enhancements. 

    Data for changes in the net international investment position of the euro area

    Data revisions

    This statistical release incorporates revisions to the data for the reference periods between the first quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2024. The revisions reflect revised national contributions to the euro area aggregates as a result of the incorporation of newly available information, including from major regular revisions.

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: Households and non-financial corporations in the euro area: second quarter of 2024

    Source: European Central Bank

    4 October 2024

    • Households’ financial investment increased at higher annual rate of 2.1% in second quarter of 2024, after 1.9% in previous quarter
    • Non-financial corporations’ financing grew at higher annual rate of 1.0% (after 0.8%)
    • Non-financial corporations’ gross operating surplus decreased more slowly at annual rate of ‑3.5% (after -4.2%)

    Chart 1

    Household financing and financial and non-financial investment

    (annual growth rates)

    Sources: ECB and Eurostat.

    Data for household financing and financial and non-financial investment

    Chart 2

    NFC gross-operating surplus, non-financial investment and financing

    (annual growth rates)

    Source: ECB and Eurostat.

    Data for NFC gross-operating surplus, non-financial investment and financing

    Households

    Household gross disposable income increased in second quarter of 2024 at a lower annual rate of 4.8%, after 6.1% in the first quarter of 2024. The compensation of employees grew at a lower rate of 5.5% (after 6.0%), and gross operating surplus and mixed income of the self-employed increased at a lower rate of 4.6% (after 5.9%). Household consumption expenditure grew at a lower rate of 3.1% (after 4.2%).

    The household gross saving rate increased to 14.9% in the second quarter of 2024, compared with 14.5% in the previous quarter.

    Household gross non-financial investment (which refers mainly to housing) decreased at a lower annual rate of -1.7% in the second quarter of 2024 (after -3.2% ). Loans to households, the main component of household financing, increased at an unchanged rate of 0.5%.

    Household financial investment increased at a higher annual rate of 2.1% in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, after 1.9% in the four quarters to the first quarter of 2024. Among its components, currency and deposits grew at a higher rate of 2.3% (after 1.5%), while investment in debt securities increased at a lower rate (28.1% after 40.2%). Investment in shares and other equity grew at a higher rate of 0.3% (after 0.0%). This was due to unlisted shares and other equity decreasing more slowly (-0.3% after -0.9%), while investment fund shares grew at a broadly unchanged rate (1.9%). Investment in listed shares decreased faster (-0.9% after -0.6%). Life insurance decreased at a broadly unchanged rate (-0.2%) and pension schemes grew at a lower rate (2.2% after 2.4%).

    Household net worth increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter of 2024, after 2.1% in the previous quarter. Net financial and non-financial assets grew due to valuation gains in addition to investments. Housing wealth, the main component of non-financial assets, increased (0.5%) after decreasing in the previous quarter (-1.3%). The household debt-to-income ratio decreased to 83.1% in the second quarter of 2024 from 87.5% in the second quarter of 2023.

    Non-financial corporations

    Net value added by NFCs grew at a higher annual rate of 1.6% in the second quarter of 2024 (after 1.2% in the previous quarter). The negative growth rate of gross operating surplus decreased (-3.5% after -4.2%), while the growth rate of net property income – defined in this context as property income receivable minus interest and rent payable – increased (4.2% after 0.7%). As a result gross entrepreneurial income (broadly equivalent to cash flow) decreased at a lower rate of -1.3% (after ‑3.7%).[1]

    NFCs’ gross non-financial investment decreased at a faster annual rate of -7.0% (after -5.8% in the previous quarter).[2] NFCs’ financial investment grew at a higher rate of 2.2% (after 1.9%) in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024. Among its components, currency and deposits grew at a higher rate (2.5% after 0.4%), while loans granted increased at a lower rate (3.8% after 4.2%). Investment in shares and other equity grew at an unchanged rate of 1.6%.

    Financing of NFCs increased at a higher annual rate of 1.0% (after 0.8%), as financing via debt securities (3.1% after 2.2%), shares and other equity (0.8% after 0.4%) and trade credits (2.1% after 0.4%) all grew at higher rates. Loan financing grew at a lower rate of 0.8% (after 1.2%).[3]

    NFCs’ debt-to-GDP ratio (consolidated measure) decreased to 66.7% in the second quarter of 2024, from 69.2% in the same quarter of the previous year; the non-consolidated, wider debt measure decreased to 128.2% from 131.3%.

    For queries, please use the Statistical information request form.

    Notes

    • This statistical release incorporates revisions to the data since the first quarter of 2020.
    • Revisions of the entire time series may be more pronounced in this and the following release as in 2024 EU countries implement a benchmark revision in national accounts statistics. For further information see also: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/esa-2010/data-revision.
    • The annual growth rate of non-financial transactions and of outstanding assets and liabilities (stocks) is calculated as the percentage change between the value for a given quarter and that value recorded four quarters earlier. The annual growth rates used for financial transactions refer to the total value of transactions during the year in relation to the outstanding stock a year before.
    • The euro area and national financial accounts data of non-financial corporations and households are available in an interactive dashboard.
    • Hyperlinks in the main body of the statistical release are dynamic. The data they lead to may therefore change with subsequent data releases as a result of revisions. Figures shown in annex tables are a snapshot of the data as at the time of the current release.
    • The ECB publishes experimental Distributional Wealth Accounts (DWA), which provide additional breakdowns for the household sector. The release of results for 2024 Q2 is planned for 29 November 2024 (tentative date).

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Measuring Jersey’s economy: GDP and GVA 202304 October 2024 ​​The latest report presenting estimates of the size and performance of Jersey’s economy in 2023 has been published today by Statistics Jersey. The report presents estimates of the size and performance… Read more

    Source: Channel Islands – Jersey

    04 October 2024

    ​​The latest report presenting estimates of the size and performance of Jersey’s economy in 2023 has been published today by Statistics Jersey.

    The report presents estimates of the size and performance of Jersey’s economy, measured according to an internationally agreed framework. Estimates are provided for calendar year 2023 as well as historical data.

    ​Summary – in 2023

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

    • GDP increased by 7.3% in real terms compared with 2022.
    • GDP was £6,575 million.
    • GDP per head of population increased in real terms by 7.0% compared with 2022.
    • GDP per head of population was £63,500.
    • The increases in both GDP and GDP per head of population were above the previous 10-year average.

    Sectoral breakdown – Gross Value Added (GVA) 

    • The annual increase in overall GDP was driven by the financial and insurance activities sector, particularly as a result of increased net interest income in the monetary intermediation (banking) sub-sector.
    • The largest percentage increase in GVA was observed in the financial and insurance activities sector which increased in real terms by 19.4% in 2023. 
    • Excluding the financial and insurance activities sector, the GVA for the rest of the economy increased in real terms by 0.4%.

    Labour productivity

    • Productivity, measured as GVA per full-time equivalent (FTE) worker increased by 8.8% in real terms in 2023.
    • This annual increase was again driven by increased profits in the financial and insurance activities sector which recorded a real-term increase in productivity of 19.8%.

    MIL OSI United Kingdom –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: Mining’s potential remains high: Mantashe 

    Source: South Africa News Agency

    Minister of Mineral and Petroleum Resources, Gwede Mantashe, has told an indaba that there is evidence to suggest that mining is “the bedrock of our economy” and that the country is an attractive investment destination for mining.

    According to the Minerals Council of South Africa, the industry contributed some 6.3% to South Africa’s nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) last year.

    “There is a strong case emerging out of the study on ‘The State of Mining’ that the South African mining industry not only remains the bedrock of our economy, but an attractive investment destination for mining. 

    “Coupled with the draft South Africa’s ‘Critical Minerals Strategy’, the study points to the reality that the South African mining industry is diversifying from the gold mining era to an industry with wide-ranging mineral resources, including the world’s largest known deposits of platinum group metals (PGMs), manganese, chrome, coal, gold, copper, vanadium, and other natural resources that are considered critical for the just transition,” the Minister said at the Annual Joburg Indaba in Sandton on Thursday.

    He added that with the diversification of the industry, its potential to continue growing remains high.

    “Notwithstanding the challenges faced by the gold mining sector, including deep level mines and heightened safety concerns, the 2023 gold production statistics positioned South Africa as the world’s thirteenth and Africa’s fourth largest gold producer. 

    “Despite the fluctuating prices of palladium and rhodium, of which South Africa supplies 38% and 81%, respectively, to the global commodities market, the PGMs sector is poised to play a catalytic role in sustaining the South African mining industry, and in the growth of our economy.

    “Considering South Africa’s reserves of known manganese and chrome deposits, as well as being the largest producer and exporter of manganese and chrome ore, the South African manganese and chrome sectors are poised to continue playing a significant role globally driven by their use in the automotive and construction industries,” Mantashe said.

    Addressing challenges 

    He acknowledged that during last year’s Joburg Indaba, industry players raised issues that “we needed to resolve for the sector to thrive, including the need to ensure the necessary policy and regulatory certainty for investment”.

    “Although the South African mining industry’s regulatory framework is stable and predictable, the Department of Mineral and Petroleum Resources is drafting amendments to the Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Act (MPRDA). 

    “This is so as to address its shortcomings and ensure that areas that have been challenged legally are strengthened against international best practice. The amendments will further improve the business environment while keeping in sync with our socioeconomic fabric.

    “The completion of the migration process to the new efficient and transparent mining licensing system, in June next year, is poised to modernise our licensing system, ensure regulatory certainty, and the sustainability of the South African mining industry. 

    “Having completed the first phase of the project, which included the assessment of the current environment to establish the baseline and its readiness, and the requirements with respect to system hosting, software integration, and the enhancement of cybersecurity, the development of the new system is therefore progressing very well,” the Minister explained.

    READ | Presidency transfers Department of Mineral Resources and Energy legislation

    Furthermore, the Minister told the industry leaders that between April 2023 and March this year, the department has processed and finalised 127 mining rights, 1 527 prospecting rights, and 2 313 mining permits and ancillaries.

    There are no backlogs in the Western Cape and the Free State while backlogs in the Northern Cape, Limpopo, North West, Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal have been significantly reduced. Mpumalanga is the only province with a significant backlog.

    “As we come to the end of this year’s Indaba, we wish to encourage the South African mining industry to continue sharing insights about the realities of this industry, advance beneficiation at source, and support our exploration initiatives.

    “We further encourage junior miners to take up the opportunities presented to them in order to transform the industry and ensure that the people of South Africa derive value from their country’s mineral endowment,” Mantashe concluded. – SAnews.gov.za

     

    MIL OSI Africa –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Households and non-financial corporations in the euro area: second quarter of 2024

    Source: European Central Bank

    4 October 2024

    • Households’ financial investment increased at higher annual rate of 2.1% in second quarter of 2024, after 1.9% in previous quarter
    • Non-financial corporations’ financing grew at higher annual rate of 1.0% (after 0.8%)
    • Non-financial corporations’ gross operating surplus decreased more slowly at annual rate of ‑3.5% (after -4.2%)

    Chart 1

    Household financing and financial and non-financial investment

    (annual growth rates)

    Sources: ECB and Eurostat.

    Data for household financing and financial and non-financial investment

    Chart 2

    NFC gross-operating surplus, non-financial investment and financing

    (annual growth rates)

    Source: ECB and Eurostat.

    Data for NFC gross-operating surplus, non-financial investment and financing

    Households

    Household gross disposable income increased in second quarter of 2024 at a lower annual rate of 4.8%, after 6.1% in the first quarter of 2024. The compensation of employees grew at a lower rate of 5.5% (after 6.0%), and gross operating surplus and mixed income of the self-employed increased at a lower rate of 4.6% (after 5.9%). Household consumption expenditure grew at a lower rate of 3.1% (after 4.2%).

    The household gross saving rate increased to 14.9% in the second quarter of 2024, compared with 14.5% in the previous quarter.

    Household gross non-financial investment (which refers mainly to housing) decreased at a lower annual rate of -1.7% in the second quarter of 2024 (after -3.2% ). Loans to households, the main component of household financing, increased at an unchanged rate of 0.5%.

    Household financial investment increased at a higher annual rate of 2.1% in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, after 1.9% in the four quarters to the first quarter of 2024. Among its components, currency and deposits grew at a higher rate of 2.3% (after 1.5%), while investment in debt securities increased at a lower rate (28.1% after 40.2%). Investment in shares and other equity grew at a higher rate of 0.3% (after 0.0%). This was due to unlisted shares and other equity decreasing more slowly (-0.3% after -0.9%), while investment fund shares grew at a broadly unchanged rate (1.9%). Investment in listed shares decreased faster (-0.9% after -0.6%). Life insurance decreased at a broadly unchanged rate (-0.2%) and pension schemes grew at a lower rate (2.2% after 2.4%).

    Household net worth increased at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter of 2024, after 2.1% in the previous quarter. Net financial and non-financial assets grew due to valuation gains in addition to investments. Housing wealth, the main component of non-financial assets, increased (0.5%) after decreasing in the previous quarter (-1.3%). The household debt-to-income ratio decreased to 83.1% in the second quarter of 2024 from 87.5% in the second quarter of 2023.

    Non-financial corporations

    Net value added by NFCs grew at a higher annual rate of 1.6% in the second quarter of 2024 (after 1.2% in the previous quarter). The negative growth rate of gross operating surplus decreased (-3.5% after -4.2%), while the growth rate of net property income – defined in this context as property income receivable minus interest and rent payable – increased (4.2% after 0.7%). As a result gross entrepreneurial income (broadly equivalent to cash flow) decreased at a lower rate of -1.3% (after ‑3.7%).[1]

    NFCs’ gross non-financial investment decreased at a faster annual rate of -7.0% (after -5.8% in the previous quarter).[2] NFCs’ financial investment grew at a higher rate of 2.2% (after 1.9%) in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024. Among its components, currency and deposits grew at a higher rate (2.5% after 0.4%), while loans granted increased at a lower rate (3.8% after 4.2%). Investment in shares and other equity grew at an unchanged rate of 1.6%.

    Financing of NFCs increased at a higher annual rate of 1.0% (after 0.8%), as financing via debt securities (3.1% after 2.2%), shares and other equity (0.8% after 0.4%) and trade credits (2.1% after 0.4%) all grew at higher rates. Loan financing grew at a lower rate of 0.8% (after 1.2%).[3]

    NFCs’ debt-to-GDP ratio (consolidated measure) decreased to 66.7% in the second quarter of 2024, from 69.2% in the same quarter of the previous year; the non-consolidated, wider debt measure decreased to 128.2% from 131.3%.

    For queries, please use the Statistical information request form.

    Notes

    • This statistical release incorporates revisions to the data since the first quarter of 2020.
    • Revisions of the entire time series may be more pronounced in this and the following release as in 2024 EU countries implement a benchmark revision in national accounts statistics. For further information see also: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/esa-2010/data-revision.
    • The annual growth rate of non-financial transactions and of outstanding assets and liabilities (stocks) is calculated as the percentage change between the value for a given quarter and that value recorded four quarters earlier. The annual growth rates used for financial transactions refer to the total value of transactions during the year in relation to the outstanding stock a year before.
    • The euro area and national financial accounts data of non-financial corporations and households are available in an interactive dashboard.
    • Hyperlinks in the main body of the statistical release are dynamic. The data they lead to may therefore change with subsequent data releases as a result of revisions. Figures shown in annex tables are a snapshot of the data as at the time of the current release.
    • The ECB publishes experimental Distributional Wealth Accounts (DWA), which provide additional breakdowns for the household sector. The release of results for 2024 Q2 is planned for 29 November 2024 (tentative date).

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Euro area quarterly balance of payments and international investment position: second quarter of 2024

    Source: European Central Bank

    04 October 2024

    • Current account surplus at €381 billion (2.6% of euro area GDP) in four quarters to second quarter of 2024, after a €76 billion surplus (0.5% of GDP) a year earlier.
    • Geographical counterparts: largest bilateral current account surpluses vis-à-vis United Kingdom (€215 billion) and Switzerland (€79 billion) and largest deficits vis-à-vis China (€78 billion) and United States (€18 billion).
    • International investment position showed net assets of €1.2 trillion (8.0% of euro area GDP) at end of second quarter of 2024.

    Current account

    The current account of the euro area recorded a surplus of €381 billion (2.6% of euro area GDP) in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, following a €76 billion surplus (0.5% of GDP) a year earlier (Table 1). This development was mainly driven by a larger surplus for goods (from €72 billion to €358 billion) and, to a lesser extent, by widening surpluses for services (from €134 billion to €149 billion) and for primary income (from €34 billion to €37 billion). Moreover, the deficit for secondary income decreased slightly from €164 billion to €163 billion.

    The estimates on goods trade broken down by product group show that, in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, the increase in the goods surplus was mainly due to a smaller deficit in energy products (from €454 billion to €275 billion). In addition, the surplus for machinery and manufactured products increased from €240 billion to €318 billion, while the balance for other products switched from a €28 billion deficit to a €2 billion surplus.

    The higher surplus for services in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024 was mainly due to larger surpluses for telecommunication, computer and information (from €159 billion to €184 billion) and for travel (from €47 billion to €57 billion), and a lower deficit for other business services (from €54 billion to €42 billion). This was partly offset by a widening deficit for other services (from €55 billion to €75 billion) and a decreasing surplus for transport (from €16 billion to €1 billion).

    The increase in the primary income surplus in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024 was mainly due to larger surpluses in direct investment (from €73 billion to €100 billion) and other primary income (from €5 billion to €14 billion), partly offset by a larger deficit in portfolio equity (from €143 billion to €182 billion).

    Table 1

    Current account of the euro area

    (EUR billions, unless otherwise indicated; transactions during the period; non-working day and non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Notes: “Equity” comprises equity and investment fund shares. Goods by product group is an estimated breakdown using a method based on statistics on international trade in goods. Discrepancies between totals and their components may arise from rounding.

    Data for the current account of the euro area

    Data on the geographical counterparts of the euro area current account (Chart 1) show that in the four quarters to the second quarter of 2024, the euro area recorded its largest bilateral surpluses vis-à-vis the United Kingdom (€215 billion, up from €184 billion a year earlier) and Switzerland (€79 billion, down from €89 billion). The euro area also recorded a surplus vis-à-vis the residual group of other countries of €96 billion, after a €21 billion deficit a year earlier. The largest bilateral deficits were recorded vis-à-vis China (€78 billion, down from €135 billion a year earlier) and the United States (€18 billion, down from €32 billion).

    The most significant changes in the geographical components of the current account relative to the previous year were as follows: the goods deficit vis-à-vis China declined from €166 billion to €105 billion, while the balance vis-à-vis Russia shifted from a deficit (€41 billion) to a surplus (€3 billion). Furthermore, the balance vis-à-vis the residual group of Other countries shifted from a deficit (€104 billion) to a surplus (€39 billion), which was partly explained by a smaller deficit vis-à-vis Norway (from €39 billion to €21 billion) and a shift from a deficit (€6 billion) to a surplus (€5 billion) vis-à-vis Saudi Arabia. The goods surplus increased vis-à-vis the United Kingdom (from €116 billion to €148 billion) and vis-à-vis the United States (from €169 billion to €191 billion). In services, the deficit vis-à-vis the United States increased (from €117 billion to €141 billion), which was more than offset by a shift from a deficit (€15 billion) to a surplus (€18 billion) vis-à-vis Offshore centres. In primary income, the deficit vis-à-vis Offshore centres (€11 billion) turned to a surplus (€21 billion), while a smaller deficit is recorded vis-à-vis the United States (from €82 billion to €67 billion). The deficit in secondary income vis-à-vis the EU Member States and EU institutions outside the euro area decreased (from €77 billion to €71 billion).

    Chart 1

    Geographical breakdown of the euro area current account balance

    (four-quarter moving sums in EUR billions; non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Note: “EU non-EA” comprises the non-euro area EU Member States and those EU institutions and bodies that are considered for statistical purposes as being outside the euro area, such as the European Commission and the European Investment Bank. “Other countries” includes all countries and country groups not shown in the chart, as well as unallocated transactions.

    international investment position of the euro area recorded its largest net assets on record, increasing to €1.18 trillion vis-à-vis the rest of the world (8.0% of euro area GDP), up from €0.76 trillion in the previous quarter (Chart 2 and Table 2).

    Chart 2

    Net international investment position of the euro area

    (net amounts outstanding at the end of the period as a percentage of four-quarter moving sums of GDP)

    Source: ECB.

    The €423 billion increase in net assets was mainly driven by lower net liabilities in other investment (down from €0.76 trillion to €0.63 trillion) and in portfolio equity (from €3.31 trillion to €3.19 trillion), as well as larger net assets in direct investment (up from €2.41 trillion to €2.52 trillion) and in reserve assets (up from €1.22 trillion to €1.27 trillion).

    Table 2

    International investment position of the euro area

    (EUR billions, unless otherwise indicated; amounts outstanding at the end of the period, flows during the period; non-working day and non-seasonally adjusted)

    Source: ECB.
    Notes: “Equity” comprises equity and investment fund shares. Net financial derivatives are reported under assets. “Other volume changes” mainly reflect reclassifications and data enhancements. Discrepancies between totals and their components may arise from rounding.

    Note: “Other volume changes” mainly reflect reclassifications and data enhancements. 

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: Citizens urged to take part in International Fire Safety and Prevention Week

    Source: South Africa News Agency

    The National Disaster Management Centre (NDMC) has called on all South Africans to participate in this year’s International Fire Safety and Prevention Week, which will be observed from 6 to 12 October 2024.

    This global event aims to raise awareness of fire prevention and safety practices, encouraging individuals, communities and businesses to take proactive steps to reduce the risk of fires and protect lives.

    According to the organisation, South Africans can pledge their support by learning more about fire safety, practising safe fire prevention measures at home and in the workplace, and backing local fire services. 

    During the International Fire Safety and Prevention Week, fire services across the country will host a variety of awareness campaigns and community outreach activities to educate the public about fire safety. 

    “These efforts will include school visits, fire drills, safety demonstrations, and information sessions designed to help communities better understand how they can prevent fires and respond effectively in an emergency,” the NDMC said.

    Meanwhile, the NDMC has also taken the time to recognise the heroic work done by the brave men and women of fire services across the country, both public and designated services, who are at the forefront of fire prevention and emergency response. 

    “Their dedication to protecting lives and property, often in dangerous and challenging conditions, deserves the highest praise.” 

    The organisation has been working closely with all provinces and local municipalities to strengthen fire safety and prevention measures across the country.

    Since 2016, according to NDMC statistics, more than 118 municipalities have been assessed, with more than 500 fire safety practitioners trained in fire risk assessment and safety strategies through partnership with the Fire Protection Association of South Africa (FPASA).

    “In line with the Fire Services White Paper, fire services are encouraged to pursue the implementation of an integrated fire risk management strategy, as it is critical that collectively we, as a nation, focus on fire prevention and preparedness together,” the statement read. 

    Fire is preventable, and the NDMC urges everyone to take simple steps, such as:

    • Educating communities to build their informal dwellings with a minimum gap of three meters between them to reduce the risk of fire spreading quickly.
    • Ensuring that the spaces between these buildings are kept clear of debris and always maintain open and accessible roads leading to the homes, so that emergency vehicles can reach them without delay.
    • Ensuring that homes are equipped with smoke detectors and fire extinguishers.
    • Creating and practising fire escape plans.
    • Being mindful of potential fire hazards, such as unattended cooking or faulty electrical wiring.
    • Educating children, family members, and the frail and elderly about fire safety measures. – SAnews.gov.za

    MIL OSI Africa –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Translation: Increasing energy efficiency of Elizabeth Métis Settlement community hall will improve this local gathering place

    MIL OSI Translation. Canadian French to English –

    Source: Government of Canada – MIL OSI Regional News in French

    Press release

    Improvements to the local community hall will make this gathering place more energy efficient and better thanks to an investment of nearly $250,000 from the federal government.

    Elizabeth Métis Settlement, Alberta, April 29, 2024 — Upgrades to the local community hall will make this gathering place better and more energy efficient thanks to an investment of nearly $250,000 from the federal government.

    Announced by Minister Randy Boissonnault and Elizabeth Métis Settlement President Kathy Lepine, this project will improve the settlement’s main community centre, where people come together for cultural, recreational and local activities throughout the year.

    Improvements are underway to the Community Hall, which will reduce greenhouse gas emissions and maintenance costs through boiler replacements, smart thermostats, low-flow fixtures, and LED and solar-powered lighting. The Community Hall at Elizabeth Métis Settlement is located in the centre of the community and is widely used by local residents as a gathering place for social activities and celebrations. The hall is a communal gathering place for youth and seniors. It features a stage for performances, a kitchen, a nursing station, outdoor play areas, and baseball diamonds. Improvements to this central hub for community members will enhance the quality of life for all members of Elizabeth Métis Settlement.

    The funding announced today by the federal government through the Green and Inclusive Community Buildings program aims to improve the places where Canadians work, learn, play, live, and gather by reducing pollution, reducing costs, and supporting thousands of good jobs. Through green and other retrofits to existing public community buildings and new construction in underserved communities, these investments will help ensure community facilities are inclusive, accessible, and have a long service life, while also helping Canada achieve its net-zero emissions targets by 2050.

    Quotes

    “Transforming recreational spaces into green and accessible places is important if we are to support Canadians. Energy efficiency in the Prairies is essential to the economic development of communities. By improving parts of the Elizabeth Métis Settlement, our government is working to create a better quality of life through investments that will last for generations to come.”

    The Honourable Randy Boissonnault, Minister of Employment, Workforce Development and Official Languages, on behalf of the Honourable Sean Fraser, Minister of Housing, Infrastructure and Communities

    “The natural environment has always been an important aspect of Métis culture. The Elizabeth Métis Settlement is proud to be part of Canada’s plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. On behalf of our people and future generations, we thank you for your work and the steps you have taken to keep our beautiful country clean, hee hee.”

    Kathy Lepine, President, Elizabeth Métis Settlement

    Quick Facts

    The federal government is investing $249,999 in this project through the Green and Inclusive Community Buildings (GICB) Program, and the Elizabeth Métis Settlement is providing $39,719.

    These improvements should allow annual fuel savings of around 47.30% for the facility and a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions of 79.30 tonnes.

    The Green and Inclusive Community Buildings (GICB) program was created to support Canada’s Strengthened Climate Plan: A Healthy Environment and a Healthy Economy. It supports the first pillar of the Plan by reducing greenhouse gas emissions, increasing energy efficiency and helping to build resilience to climate change.

    The program provides $1.5 billion over five years for modernization, repair or improvement work that promotes the environment and accessibility.

    At least 10 percent of the funds are allocated to projects for First Nations, Inuit and Métis communities, which includes Indigenous populations in urban centres.

    The application period for the Green and Inclusive Community Buildings program is now closed.

    On December 18, 2023, the federal government launched the Prairie Green Economy Framework, which highlights the need for a collaborative, regional approach to sustainability, focused on strengthening the coordination of federal programs and initiatives with significant investments. The Framework is the first step in a journey that will bring together many stakeholders. PrairiesCan, the federal department responsible for diversifying the economy in Canada’s Prairies, is providing $100 million over three years to support projects aligned with priority areas identified by Prairie stakeholders to create a stronger, more sustainable and inclusive economy for the Prairie provinces and Canada.

    Infrastructure Canada supports the Prairie Green Economy Framework to encourage greater collaboration on investment opportunities, leverage additional funding and attract new investment to the Prairies to better meet their needs.

    Related links

    Contact persons

    For further information (media only), please contact:

    Micaal Ahmed Manager, CommunicationsOffice of the Minister of Housing, Infrastructure and Communities343-598-3920micaal.ahmed@infc.gc.ca

    Media Relations Infrastructure Canada613-960-9251Toll free: 1-877-250-7154Email: media-medias@infc.gc.caFollow us on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram And LinkedInWebsite: Infrastructure Canada

    Deloris Courtepatte Project ManagerElizabeth Métis Settlement587-986 0020courtepatteconsulting@gmail.com

    EDITOR’S NOTE: This article is a translation. Apologies should the grammar and/or sentence structure not be perfect.

    MIL Translation OSI

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: Commission to distribute 35,500 free DiscoverEU travel passes to young people

    Source: EuroStat – European Statistics

    European Commission Press release Brussels, 02 Oct 2024 Starting next spring, thousands of 18-year-olds will have the opportunity to explore Europe at no cost. The Commission has just opened the applications for the latest round of the DiscoverEU initiative.

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: 10 000th publication by the FSO – 10 000 contributions to democracy

    Source: Switzerland – Department of Foreign Affairs in English

    Federal Statistical Office

    Neuchâtel, 02.10.2024 – The Federal Statistical Office recently published its 10 000th publication, the ‘Environment Pocket Statistics 2024’. An event was held in Bellinzona to mark the occasion, ‘175 years at the service of the modern federal state’. As well as presenting the 162 year history of its publications, the FSO highlighted milestones in the development of official statistics in Switzerland. Federal Councillor Elisabeth Baume-Schneider emphasised how important statistics and its information mandate are for a democracy.

    This press release and further information on the topic can be found on the FSO website (see link below).


    Address for enquiries

    Benjamin Rothen, FSO, section International and national affairs, tel.: +41 58 463 64 82, email: Benjamin.Rothen@bfs.admin.ch
    Thomas Schulz, FSO, section publishing und Dissemination, tel.: +41 58 463 67 31, email: Thomas.Schulz@bfs.admin.ch


    Publisher

    Federal Statistical Office
    http://www.statistics.admin.ch

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI USA: Lankford Issues Joint Statement with Bipartisan Task Forces for Combating Antisemitism on FBI Hate Crime Statistics Report

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator for Oklahoma James Lankford
    OKLAHOMA CITY, OK — Senators James Lankford (R-OK) and Jacky Rosen (D-NV) along with Representatives Kathy Manning (NC-06) and Chris Smith (NJ-04), co-chairs of the Senate and House Bipartisan Task Forces for Combating Antisemitism, respectively, released the following statement in response to the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s (FBI) 2023 Hate Crime Statistics Report. The FBI data shows anti-Jewish hate crimes increased in 2023 by nearly 63 percent from 2022, which is the highest number recorded in almost three decades.
    “We are deeply alarmed by the dramatic increase in hate crimes targeting Jewish Americans over the past year, as noted in the FBI’s 2023 Hate Crimes Statistics Report,” said the Members. “With antisemitism skyrocketing across the United States following Hamas’s October 7 terrorist attack on Israel, a whole-of-government approach is needed to protect Jewish communities from violence and hate.”
    Anti-Jewish hate crimes rose from 1,122 to 1,832 incidents from 2022 to 2023. According to the FBI, a total of 16,009 law enforcement agencies, which represent 95.2 percent of the agencies enrolled in the hate crime data collection program, participated in hate crimes reporting for 2023.
    They continued: “As the co-chairs of the House and Senate Bipartisan Task Forces for Combating Antisemitism, we remain steadfast in our commitment to root out the scourge of antisemitism. We’ll continue working across party lines to ensure the federal government keeps Jewish Americans safe from discrimination.”
    Jewish Americans make up around two percent of the US population, yet antisemitic hate crimes accounted for 15.4 percent of all hate crimes reported by the FBI. Anti-Jewish incidents comprised a little over two-thirds of all religion-based hate crimes. 
    As co-chair of the Senate Bipartisan Taskforce for Countering Antisemitism, Lankford has been leading the fight against rising antisemitism. Lankford, along with the co-chairs of the Senate and House Bipartisan Task Forces, introduced a bill to take historic action to counter antisemitism in the United States by establishing a first-ever National Coordinator to Counter Antisemitism. In May, Lankford and Rosen sent a letter urging the Department of Education to designate a senior official to oversee efforts to combat antisemitism on college campuses. They also called on the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee to hold a full hearing on rising antisemitism on college campuses.

    MIL OSI USA News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI New Zealand: Speech: Why Kiwi businesses are the best in the world

    Source: New Zealand Labour Party

    For clarity – I mean all of you from the A List all the way to the C-List.

    I am a firm believer that government’s role is to work closely with business: help small ones to innovate, and ensure the settings are right so big ones can thrive.

    Governments should invest in research and development to improve access to technology; open opportunities for business on the world stage through trade; and ensure that our investment grows an economy that supports everyone who lives in our great little country to thrive.

    I have really enjoyed the past six months, getting out – mostly in Auckland – and sitting down with people across the business sector.

    Coming from a niche tax and insurance background, you have all been incredibly generous with your time and I am looking forward to continuing to build our relationships over the next two years of opposition.

    When businesses do well, New Zealand does well. Workers do well. New Zealanders do well. You employ people and innovate and create to make people’s lives better.

    Labour’s underlying philosophy on work is making sure there are enough jobs for people – you can’t do that without business.

    It’s about ensuring people feel secure in their jobs, are able to contribute to their workplace and help build good and successful businesses.

    Workers are an asset to any business and shouldn’t be seen as a cost.

    If you listened to National, you wouldn’t think that was Labour’s approach.

    I am utterly committed to sitting down with you and talking through what works for you and what doesn’t. Dispelling the myths. Understanding what has gone well in the past and what hasn’t.

    Something that does concern me is the number of Kiwis choosing to leave New Zealand, and the way the Government’s decisions are giving them an extra push.

    6,000 jobs gone in the public sector and counting. Manufacturing jobs disappearing before our eyes. 8,000 fewer people in construction. A freeze on hiring staff at our hospitals. Unemployment up to 4.6 percent, and projected to get to 5.5 percent.

    Even through COVID-19, we didn’t see unemployment like this. The forecasts were awful. But keeping people in work, and businesses afloat, was a priority for Labour and I’m really proud of that.

    New Zealanders are finding it tough anyway, you all know the statistics. But losing the household income along with the job, can be terrifying.

    It’s no wonder so many are looking to greener pastures.

    In July this year, a record was set for the number of net New Zealanders leaving. 55,800 Kiwis chose to move away, well exceeding the previous record from way back in 2012.

    My concern isn’t only that people are choosing to leave for a better life, it is also the skill loss which will have an effect on our ability to innovate, deliver and grow as a country.
    It is no surprise that the mood of the boardroom is optimistic, even though the economy is doing it tough.

    June 2024 marked the seventh consecutive quarter of stagnant or declining per capita economic activity. We are now very much at the bottom of the economic cycle. Things will get better.

    But not because of any action by this government, but from you.

    But they will not get better overnight. We know unemployment has some way to go, and there are many, many steps until interest rates are back to a balanced level.
    But our business community is resilient.

    Many of you have made it through the GFC, the Christchurch earthquakes, Cyclone Gabrielle and the Auckland floods, and collectively we made it through the COVID-19 pandemic.
    I know you all just want to get on with it, but also want a vision for what we aspire to be and where we want to get to.

    New Zealand faces substantial fiscal challenges over the short and longer-term. Addressing these challenges will require brave decisions that tackle the system we all work in.
    These are brave decisions that need to be enduring, and that is what Labour does best.

    Whether it’s, ensuring Kiwis could retire with dignity by the introduction of KiwiSaver and the SuperFund.

    Families could afford the basics and be incentivised to stay in work through Working for Families, or the safety nets introduced by Sir Michael Joseph Savage of state housing and welfare.

    And then the list of trade deals UK and EU Free Trade agreements to name a couple, Labour is the party that has always looked ahead to progress our country.

    Planning for the future will mean conversations about the appropriate level of government spending and debt.

    By 2060, 10% of our GDP will be spent on health care, and 7% on Superannuation.

    Returning to surplus is a moot point, if you are not also providing Kiwis with the healthcare they need.

    We, as a country, need a government with a positive vision and informed solutions.

    Every political party likes to talk about growth and productivity, but you need to back it up.

    Often, when thinking about productivity, we focus on cutting-edge tech. And we should. We are seeing the R&D tax credit making a meaningful contribution to research and development.

    But we also need back our smaller Kiwi businesses, if we are serious about tackling productivity.

    Many of our SMEs are not technologically enabled. They struggle to have time and the capital to make the changes they need.

    The Government, along with sector, should be doing more to help.

    The Treasury’s Chief Economist came out last week saying “productivity growth alone is not enough to alleviate fiscal pressures”.

    We also must realistically assess our economic situation. We are capital poor. We need more sustainable solutions than tinkering around the edges with new levies and revenue-gathering measures.

    It’s a conversation our party is having and one I hope many of you can feed into as part of our hui going forward.

    Unlike the three-year parliamentary cycle, I know that you have to plan for the future in a much more long-term way. Government’s should do better. I’ve spoken quite a few times about being better at bipartisanship on long-term investment, but we need both parties to come to the table on that!

    You will all know better than anyone when looking to the future that there is almost nothing more pressing than preparing for the consequences of climate change.

    Two years ago, on this stage, Nicola said that “we share your commitment to emission reduction”. But the governments actions speak differently by rolling back many of the measures Labour introduced to bring down our emissions and prepare for the future.

    Many of our free trade agreements have climate obligations, including the EU FTA which “contains ambitious outcomes on climate action and the Paris Agreement, including making these commitments enforceable in the FTA”.

    We can’t rely on export driven growth, if this government is risking our export potential.

    Climate action is what is required from a moral standpoint and matters for the health of our economy. I do not want our exporters being locked out of markets because of climate-sceptic policies.

    I started this speech talking about values. But I will end with a pledge.

    I won’t just stand up here and make political promises I don’t intend to work my ass off to keep.

    We may not always agree, but I will always take a meeting or a call and I will always listen.

    No reira, tena koutou, tena koutou, tena koutou katoa.


    Stay in the loop by signing up to our mailing list and following us on Facebook, Instagram, and X.

    MIL OSI New Zealand News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: expert reaction to study of vaping trends among adults in England

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    October 2, 2024

    A study published in The Lancet Public Health looks at vaping trends in adults who have never regularly smoked.

    Prof Peter Hajek, Professor of Clinical Psychology and Director of the Health and Lifestyle Research Unit, Queen Mary University of London (QMUL), said:

    “Some people have genes and circumstances leading them to like nicotine products. Traditionally, they ended up smoking, but some are now discovering vaping without becoming smokers first. If vaping did not exist, they would be smoking. The study authors point this out.

    “The just-released figures from the Office for National Statistics show that UK smoking prevalence is under 12%, an all-time low. If much less risky alternatives are allowed to continue to compete with cigarettes, smoking (and heart disease, lung disease and cancers that it causes) will continue to decline as well. 

    “The UK and USA, which allow vaping, have seen significantly faster declines in cigarette sales and in smoking among young and low income people than Australia, which bans vaping.  Sweden, which is the only EU country that allows use of low-risk oral tobacco, has by far the lowest smoking prevalence.  Efforts are needed to limit use of nicotine products in adolescents but if more adults (as well as adolescents) are taking up vaping instead of smoking it may in fact be good news.”

    ‘Vaping among adults in England who have never regularly smoked: a population-based study, 2016-24’ by Sarah Jackson et al. was published in The Lancet Public Health at 23.30 UK time Wednesday 2 October 2024.

    Declared interests

    Peter Hajek: no COIs

    MIL OSI United Kingdom –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI: CertiK’s 2024 Q3 Hack3d Report Shows Decline in Crypto Hacks Amid Industry Growth

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    NEW YORK, Oct. 03, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — CertiK, a leading blockchain security firm, released its Web3 security quarterly report, Hack3d, for Q3 2024. CertiK’s Hack3d reports provide the most comprehensive statistics and analysis of Web3 security.

    In this report, CertiK noted that hackers stole more than $750 million across 155 security incidents in Q3 of this year; this pushes the total amount stolen in 2024 to nearly $2 billion so far. Although this quarter saw a decline in the number of incidents compared to the previous quarter, there was an approximate 9.5% increase in total value lost. This shift indicates that attacks were, on average, more substantial, underscoring the continued need for stronger security measures across the industry.

    CertiK also reported that phishing attacks and private key compromises — the top two attack vectors — resulted in a total of $668 million stolen. In the most notable phishing incident, an attacker stole $238 million from a Bitcoin whale. Another large attack occurred on WazirX, where a malicious actor stole approximately $231 million by acquiring the wallet’s private key.

    Phishing attacks typically involve bad actors posing as legitimate entities to trick users into revealing sensitive information, such as login credentials. Private key compromises occur when a user’s private key, which grants access to their crypto assets, is stolen or exposed, allowing attackers to transfer funds without needing any further authorization. To prevent falling victim to these attacks, users should be wary of unsolicited messages asking for private information, double-check website URLs and email addresses, enable two-factor authentication (2FA), and avoid signing or approving phishing contracts.

    Additionally, CertiK’s Hack3d report analyzes blockchains with the most exploits, the top three incidents of the quarter, general industry developments, and how users and protocols can boost their security.

    Hack3d serves as an essential resource and record of statistics for understanding security challenges and vulnerabilities in the Web3 space. It equips stakeholders with the knowledge and insights needed to fortify their defenses and make informed decisions in an increasingly high-stakes environment.

    The MIL Network –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Australia: Interview with Ross Solly, Canberra Drive, ABC Radio

    Source: Australian Treasurer

    ROSS SOLLY:

    Earlier this week, Andrew Leigh and I stood cheek‑by‑jowl expressing our Oreo outrage when we discussed that Oreos were leading the charge in terms of items that were being bumped up to ridiculous price levels by supermarkets as part of their campaign. Now, today, Andrew Leigh, the Assistant Minister for Competition, Charities and Treasury, released an interim report from the ACCC into the supermarkets. And look, it basically confirmed everything that we might have already known. Andrew Leigh joins us on the program. Good to have you on the show, Andrew Leigh.

    ANDREW LEIGH:

    Thanks, Ross, great to be back with you. Now, I was in a supermarket this afternoon and I saw Oreos that were half price. I nearly picked you up a pack.

    SOLLY:

    Isn’t that amazing? Andrew Leigh, who says that the radio has no power anymore.

    LEIGH:

    Exactly. I think the Canberra supermarkets are listening.

    SOLLY:

    That would be judging by the report that you handed down today, a bit of an outrider, because it seems that the ACCC is finding that the big 2, especially the big 2 – Coles and Woolworths – are taking advantage of their market power.

    LEIGH:

    Yes, that’s right. They’ve got 67 per cent of the market and the ACCC has pointed to a range of different ways in which they might be throwing their weight around with their consumers and with their suppliers, which as economists say, exercising monopoly power down and monopsony power up. It talked about the issue of land banking – which might keep out potential competitors, about the way in which discounting practices are sometimes too opaque. Multiple product discounts that make it hard to compare across stores and then also this phenomenon of shrinkflation, where suddenly you discover that there’s not as many Tim Tams in the packet and yet the price has stayed the same.

    SOLLY:

    Yeah, which is a bit of a surprise. On the land banking, Andrew Leigh, what powers do you have? Does the government have or what powers might you need to bring in to force? I mean, one of them, I can’t remember whether it’s Coles or Woolies, owned about more than 100 blocks that weren’t developed on the other one, had dozens of blocks. What powers are there to make them actually either hand those blocks over or actually do something with them?

    LEIGH:

    Well, it’s a pure state and territory issue, Ross which is why we’ve got National Competition Policy going again. We want to work with states and territories on some of these issues that cross across the federation – because whether it’s your federal government, your state government or your territory government – they want to make sure consumers are getting a fair deal. We’ve got to ensure that companies are either building or else handing the land back.

    SOLLY:

    Sorry to jump in. As the Minister for Competition, do you know whether most states and territories have those powers, like, for example, here in the ACT? Are there examples here of land banking going on that you’re aware of?

    LEIGH:

    Yeah, I mean, it’s an ongoing concern, Ross. I’ve certainly had people contacting me saying this development hasn’t gone ahead, why is it sitting there looking like an eyesore? But the extra layer on this is that there’s a competition angle that doesn’t always apply with other forms of development. So, you might have a housing development that languishes for a while. That’s frustrating for the people in the local neighbourhood, but a supermarket site that’s locked up can have an impact on the prices that people are paying every day. So, what we’re doing with the states and territories is making sure they’ve got that competition lens when they’re looking at these planning and zoning approaches. And they’ve been really constructive – Daniel Mookhey, Andrew Barr, the other state and territory Treasurers in engaging on this competition issue.

    SOLLY:

    But have they been going hard enough? I mean, I’m just looking here, it’s Woolworths that has 110 vacant sites nationwide. The Treasurers and the Premiers and the Chief Ministers maybe aren’t going hard enough. They’re not bringing out the big stick yet. Andrew Leigh is it time they did?

    LEIGH

    So, well, we’ll be working through that with them, Ross. They’ve all got different rules about how long an operator can hold on to a particular site. What we need to do through a National Competition Policy is ensure that they’ve got that clear competition lens in what they’re doing. The National Competition Policy has a great lineage. When we got a guy in the 1990s, it produced a permanent lift in GDP of 2.5 per cent. That’s about $5,000 for every Australian household. The issues are different now, but the framework’s the same. We’ve got to get more competition, more dynamism in the economy, not just in supermarkets, but in everything from banking to baby food to beer.

    SOLLY:

    Yeah, I’m just worried, though Andrew Leigh, I mean, we can sit here and we’ve talked about this day‑in day‑out, unless the states and the territories are actually given the tools or bring the tools in to take some action, Coles and Woolies will see this and they’ll go, oh, here’s just another report. We’ll just go on business as usual. Maybe divesting is something that you need to start looking at seriously. I know every time we raise it, you push it to one side, but the Liberal Party is keen on it. The National Party is keen on it. There seems to be a growing momentum, Andrew Leigh, for this to be taken seriously.

    LEIGH:

    Well, Ross, it’s not just me that’s sceptical about this. Every major competition review going back a couple of decades, the Dawson Review, the Harper Review, the Hilmer Review, have all recommended against divestiture. Craig Emerson didn’t recommend it. His review of the food and grocery code, the National Farmers’ Federation don’t support it, the ACTU aren’t calling for it and where it exists in other countries, it’s very rarely used. And that’s why we’re focusing on these measures that we know will make a practical difference.

    SOLLY:

    Maybe it’s not used, though. Andrew Leigh because it’s there. It’s there and it’s available. And the supermarkets know that the government in that country has that power available to them if they want it. I mean, you may never use it. You might never use it, but imagine having that up your sleeve and then you get delivered a report saying 2 big supermarkets are taking the mickey, they’re buying up all this land, they’re not using it, they’re fleecing people at the till. Imagine then if you just roll up your sleeve and say, look what I’ve got here.

    LEIGH:

    Well, Ross, we’re listening to the experts on this and the experts are saying you need merger reform, National Competition Policy, a mandatory Food and Grocery Code of Conduct. They’re some of the things we’re getting on to do. We’ve got the CHOICE price monitoring, which came out yesterday showing slightly different results in the first time round. First time round here in the ACT, it was Woolies that got the silver medal, this time Coles that got the silver medal. Aldi’s come in gold both times. That’s important information for people knowing how much they can save by shopping around.

    SOLLY:

    Do you think Aldi needs to be given, and I know you can’t, governments can’t pick favourites, but I wonder whether Aldi needs to be given a bit of a leg‑up here because obviously, I mean, the surveys are showing they’re the cheapest option.

    LEIGH:

    Yeah, they’ve certainly grown their market share going up to about 9 per cent of the market, but they don’t offer a full range of groceries, which is why the average Aldi is located just 400 metres from a Coles or Woolies. So, they’re encouraging people to do some shopping there and some shopping at Coles and Woolies. I think that’s happening more frequently. The jurisdictions that need most assistance are Tasmania and the Northern Territory, which don’t have an Aldi, and therefore their shoppers are missing out on that 25 per cent cheaper groceries in those jurisdictions.

    SOLLY:

    I don’t. I hate gotcha journalism. I’m not going to do gotcha. But I just want to know, Andrew Leigh, are you saying that divestiture is off the table? It’s never, never. It’ll never happen.

    LEIGH:

    Look, it’s not our focus right now, Ross. You ask the experts on this. We asked Dawson, Harper, Hillmer, Emerson. They don’t point to it. They point to a range of other things and that’s what we’re doing. We’ve got a big, ambitious competition reform agenda focused on things that we know and that the experts say will make a difference.

    SOLLY:

    Alright. I think the shoppers would love that to happen. Quarter to 6, we’re chatting with Andrew Leigh, who’s the Assistant Minister for Competition Charities and Treasury. Just one other thing on this. I noticed Wayne Swan today, former Treasurer, saying that he, he thought that the way the supermarkets have been behaving had actually pushed up inflation. Is he right?

    LEIGH:

    Well, if the claims are found to be true, and obviously they’re before the courts right now, then that would mean that Australians had paid more for their groceries. These so called fake discounts, which were applied when Coles and Woolies allegedly increased the price of certain things like Oreos for a couple of weeks and then dropped them and advertised them with a price drop sticker. Now we’re talking about 500 products on which Australians would have spent millions of dollars. So, yes, that would have had an impact on inflation. I don’t think it’s going to be the major driver of inflation over this period, but it will be there in the statistics.

    SOLLY:

    Andrew Leigh, thanks for your time on a Friday afternoon. Who’s going to win the footy tomorrow, by the way?

    LEIGH:

    Let’s hope the Swanies get over the line.

    SOLLY:

    All right. I think there’s a lot of listeners who would agree with you. Thank you, Andrew Leigh.

    LEIGH:

    Thanks, Ross. Thank you.

    MIL OSI News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-Evening Report: Kamala Harris the slight favourite to win US election as she narrowly leads in key states

    Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

    The US presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 49.3–46.0 – a slight widening of the competition since last Monday, when Harris led Trump by 49.2–46.2.

    President Joe Biden’s final position before his withdrawal as Democratic candidate on July 21 was a national poll deficit against Trump of 45.2–41.2.

    There will be a debate on Tuesday evening US time between the vice-presidential candidates, Democrat Tim Walz and Republican JD Vance. Vice-presidential debates in previous elections have not had a significant influence on the contest.

    The US president isn’t elected by the national popular vote, but by the Electoral College, in which each state receives electoral votes equal to its federal House seats (population based) and senators (always two). Almost all states award their electoral votes as winner-takes-all, and it takes 270 electoral votes to win (out of 538 total).

    The Electoral College is biased to Trump relative to the national popular vote, with Harris needing at least a two-point popular vote win in Silver’s model to be the Electoral College favourite.

    In Silver’s polling averages, Harris leads Trump by one to two points in Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), Michigan (15), Wisconsin (ten) and Nevada (six). If Harris wins all these states, she is likely to win the Electoral College by at least a 276–262 margin. Trump is ahead by less than a point in North Carolina (16 electoral votes) and Georgia (16), and if Harris wins both, she wins by 308–230.

    In Silver’s model, Harris has a 56% chance to win the Electoral College, up from 54% last Monday but down from her peak of 58% two days ago. Earlier this month, there were large differences in win probability between Silver’s model and the FiveThirtyEight model, which was more favourable to Harris. But these models have nearly converged, with FiveThirtyEight now giving Harris a 59% win probability.

    There are still more than five weeks until election day, so polls could change in either Trump’s or Harris’ favour by then. Harris’ one to two point leads in the key states are tenuous, and this explains why Trump is still rated a good chance to win.

    Silver wrote on September 1 that polls in 2020 and 2016 were biased against Trump, but polls in 2012 were biased against Barack Obama. In the last two midterm elections (2022 and 2018), polls have been good. It’s plausible there will be a polling error this year, but which candidate such an error would favour can’t be predicted.

    On Sunday, Silver said if there was a systematic error of three or four points in the polls in either Trump’s or Harris’ favour, that candidate would sweep all the swing states and easily win the Electoral College. There are other scenarios in which one candidate underperforms the polls with some demographics but overperforms with other demographics.

    I wrote about the US election for The Poll Bludger last Thursday, and also covered bleak polls and byelection results in Canada for the governing centre-left Liberals ahead of an election due by October 2025, a dreadful poll for UK Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer, the new French prime minister, a German state election and a socialist win in Sri Lanka’s presidential election.

    Upwardly revised economic data

    Last Thursday, a revised estimate of June quarter US GDP was released. There was a large upward revision in real disposable personal income compared to the previously reported figures. This has resulted in the personal savings rate being revised up to 4.9% in July from the previously reported 2.9%, and it was 4.8% in August.

    With these upward revisions, Silver’s economic index that averages six indicators is now at +0.25, up from +0.09. As the incumbent party’s candidate, a better economy than was previously believed should help Harris.

    Coalition gains narrow lead in Essential

    In Australia, a national Essential poll, conducted on September 18–22 from a sample of 1,117 people, gave the Coalition a 48–47 lead (including undecided voters) after a 48–48 tie in early September. It’s the Coalition’s first lead in the Essential poll since mid-July.

    Primary votes were 35% Coalition (steady), 29% Labor (down one), 12% Greens (down one), 8% One Nation (steady), 2% UAP (up one), 9% for all Others (up one) and 5% undecided (steady).

    Anthony Albanese’s net approval was up five points since August to –5, with 47% disapproving and 42% approving. Peter Dutton’s net approval was down one to net zero.

    On social media regulations, 48% thought them too weak, 43% about right and 8% too tough. By 67–17, voters supported imposing an age limit for children to access social media (68–15 in July). By 71–12, voters supported making doxing (the public release of personally identifiable data) a criminal offence (62–19 in February).

    By 49–18, voters supported Labor’s Help to Buy scheme, and by 57–13 they supported the build-to-rent scheme. The questions give detail that few voters would know.

    Voters were told the Liberals and Greens had combined to delay Labor’s housing policies in the senate. By 48–22, voters thought the Liberals and Greens should pass the policies and argue for their own policies at the next election, rather than block Labor’s policies. Greens voters supported passing by 55–21.

    Labor keeps narrow lead in Morgan

    A national Morgan poll, conducted September 16–22 from a sample of 1,662 people, gave Labor a 50.5–49.5 lead, unchanged from the September 9–15 Morgan poll.

    Primary votes were 37.5% Coalition (steady), 32% Labor (up 1.5), 12.5% Greens (steady), 5% One Nation (down 0.5), 9.5% independents (down 0.5) and 3.5% others (down 0.5).

    The headline figure is based on respondent preferences. By 2022 election preference flows, Labor led by an unchanged 52–48.

    Adrian Beaumont does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    – ref. Kamala Harris the slight favourite to win US election as she narrowly leads in key states – https://theconversation.com/kamala-harris-the-slight-favourite-to-win-us-election-as-she-narrowly-leads-in-key-states-239735

    MIL OSI Analysis – EveningReport.nz –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Australia: Better evidence for better policymaking

    Source: Australian Treasurer

    Today, I will travel to the United Kingdom to discuss rigorous policy evaluation with experts and policymakers.

    Rigorous policy evaluation is an important tool for creating opportunity and addressing inequality. The meetings will be a valuable chance to exchange ideas with a jurisdiction that has been a leader in the field of evidence‑based policymaking.

    On Wednesday, I will deliver a public lecture at the University of Oxford. On Thursday, I will speak at an event hosted by the UK Evaluation Task Force in London, and will also engage in an in‑conversation event hosted by the Behavioural Insights Team.

    These events will be a chance to make the case for randomised trials and international evidence sharing.

    I will also meet with leaders from the UK’s network of What Works Centres to discuss how we can further develop evidence‑based policy making in Australia.

    This dialogue and engagement will directly support the development of the Australian Centre for Evaluation in Treasury and help improve the quality of evaluation across the Australian Government.

    More broadly, the trip is a chance to discuss common difficulties and opportunities in my portfolio areas, including in competition, multinational tax and statistics. Meetings with UK government counterparts will cover how our economies can address common challenges in these areas.

    MIL OSI News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: Wide differences in pay among cultural workers

    Source: Switzerland – Department of Home Affairs

    Federal Statistical Office

    Neuchâtel, 30.09.2024 – Half of cultural workers work part-time, 14% have more than one job and just over a quarter are self-employed, considerably more than in the overall economy. In Switzerland, cultural workers earned a median wage of CHF 69 600, and for part-time work CHF 45 700 in 2023. There was a large gender pay gap: a female cultural worker earned CHF 78 000 for a full-time job, while her male colleague earned CHF 98 000. These are some of the new results from the Federal Statistical Office’s cultural economy statistics, updated today for the first time with detailed information on wages.

    This press release and further information on this topic can be found on the FSO website (see link below)


    Address for enquiries

    Olivier Moeschler, FSO, Politics, Culture and Media Section, tel.: +41 58 463 69 67, email: poku@bfs.admin.ch


    Publisher

    Federal Statistical Office
    http://www.statistics.admin.ch

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: Significant decrease in the IIP

    Source: Danmarks Nationalbank

    Denmark’s foreign assets

    30 September 2024Statistics period: 2nd quarter 2024

    Then international investment position (IIP) fell by kr. 480 billion to kr. 958 billion in the first half of 2024 and now amounts to 34 per cent of GDP. The IIP is the value of Danish investments abroad (the assets) minus the value of foreign investments in Denmark (the liabilities). The fall in the IIP reflects that the value of liabilities increased more than the value of assets. Liabilities increased primarily due to price increases on Danish shares owned by foreigners, including especially shares in Novo Nordisk. Price increases meant that the value of foreign investors’ shares in Novo Nordisk increased by kr. 834 billion in the first half of 2024, which reduced the IIP correspondingly. Assets also increased, especially due to price increases on foreign shares owned by Danish investors. Price and foreign exchange rate changes will typically level out in the long term, with the development of the IIP primarily driven by balance of payments surpluses. That surplus was kr. 158 billion in the first half of the year and is a measure for Denmark’s savings abroad.



    [chart title]

    Note:

    The change in the IIP from price changes on Novo Nordisk shares, other Danish listed shares, and foreign listed shares. The balance of payments is the surplus on the balance of payment current account. “Other” includes changes in the IIP from other price changes, foreign exchange rate changes, and other quantitative changes from revisions etc. Find chart data in the Statbank.

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Translation: Large salary disparities among cultural workers

    MIL OSI Translation. Government of the Republic of France statements from French to English –

    Source: Switzerland – Department of Foreign Affairs in French

    Federal Statistical Office

    Neuchâtel, 30.09.2024 – Half of cultural workers have a part-time job, 14% have several jobs and a good quarter are self-employed. This is significantly more than in the economy as a whole. In Switzerland, full-time cultural workers earned a median salary of 69,600 francs in 2023, while their part-time colleagues earned 45,700 francs. In this area, a significant gender disparity can be noted: for a full-time position, a woman earned 78,000 francs while a man earned 98,000 francs. These are some of the recent results of the cultural economy statistics of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO), which contain, for the first time, detailed data on salaries.

    You will find this press release and further information on this topic on the OFS website (see link below)

    Address for sending questions

    Olivier Moeschler, OFS, Politics, Culture and Media section, tel.: 41 58 463 69 67, e-mail: poku@bfs.admin.ch

    Author

    Federal Statistical Officehttp://www.statistique.admin.ch

    Social sharing

    EDITOR’S NOTE: This article is a translation. Apologies should the grammar and/or sentence structure not be perfect.

    MIL Translation OSI

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Economics: The amount of student loan available for drawing down was raised in August

    Source: Bank of Finland

    In August 2024, drawdowns of student loans totalled EUR 165 million – almost the same as in the corresponding month last year. However, the volume of student loan drawdowns was affected by opposing forces.

    At the beginning of August 2024, the amount of student loan available for drawdown per month was raised by up to 30%.[1] As a result of an amendment to the Act on Financial Aid for Students, persons over 18 years studying in Finland have been able to draw down EUR 850 per month of government-guaranteed loan, instead of the previous EUR 650. The previous raise to the government-guaranteed amount of student loan was made in August 2017.

    Another change affecting the monthly drawdown volume was that students in secondary education now have more frequent student loan disbursements than before.[2] From now on, there are four disbursement dates in an academic year, regardless of the duration of studies. The change of the number of disbursements reduces the drawdowns in August and January and correspondingly increases them in March and November. According to Kela’s statistics, students in secondary education drew down approximately 19% of all student loans in the academic year 2022/2023.

    The rise in level of interest rates has reduced the volume of student loan drawdowns. However, interest rates on student loans have declined in 2024. In August 2024, the average interest rate on new student loans drawn down declined further, to stand at 4.07% in August. The average interest rate was slightly lower than at the same time a year earlier. 89% of the student loans drawn down were linked to Euribor rates and 11% to banks’ own reference rates.

    The reduced drawdown volume has contributed to the slowdown in the growth rate of the student loan stock in recent years.[3] However, the annual rate of growth of the student loan stock (4.2% in August) has picked up somewhat in recent months, and the increase of the government guarantee and lower interest rates may accelerate it further going forward. In August 2024, the stock of student loans (EUR 6.3 billion) was the largest ever.

    Loans

    In August 2024, Finnish households drew down EUR 1.1 billion of new housing loans, which is EUR 40 million less than in the same period a year earlier. Buy-to-let mortgage loans accounted for EUR 110 million of the new housing loan drawdowns. The average interest rate on new housing loans decreased from July, to stand at 3.93% in August. At the end of August 2024, the housing loan stock totalled EUR 105.9 billion, and its year-on-year change amounted to -0.7%. Buy-to-let mortgages accounted for EUR 8.7 billion of the housing loan stock. At the end of August, Finnish households’ loan stock included EUR 17.9 billion of consumer credit and EUR 17.6 billion of other loans.

    Drawdowns of new loans by Finnish non-financial corporations in August totalled EUR 1.5 billion, including EUR 440 million of loans to housing corporations. The average interest rate on new corporate-loan drawdowns rose from July, to stand at 5.36 %. At the end of August, the stock of loans granted to Finnish non-financial corporations was EUR 107.7 billion, whereof housing corporations accounted for EUR 44.8 billion.

    Deposits

    At the end of August 2024, the total stock of Finnish households’ deposits was EUR 110.6 billion, and the average interest rate on these deposits was 1.35%. Overnight deposits accounted for EUR 67.1 billion and deposits with an agreed maturity for EUR 14.6 billion of the total deposit stock. In August, Finnish households made new deposit agreements with an agreed maturity in the amount of EUR 1.1 billion. The average interest rate on these new term deposits was 3.39%.

    Loans and deposits to Finland, preliminary data*
      June, EUR million July, EUR million August, EUR million August, 12-month change1, % Average interest rate, %
    Loans to households, stock 141,421 141,223 141,425 -0.4 4.53
        – of which housing loans 106,032 105,861 105,914 -0.7 3.95
        – of which buy-to-let mortgages 8,682 8,680 8,708   4.14
    Loans to non-financial corporations2, stock  108,10 107,497 107,747 1.1 4.62
    Deposits by households, stock 110,784 109,951 110,644 1.2 1.35
               
    Households’ new drawdowns of housing loans 1,096 1,049 1,104   3.93
        – of which buy-to-let mortgages 96 96 111   4.06

    * Includes loans and deposits in all currencies to residents in Finland. The statistical releases of the Bank of Finland up to January 2021, as well as those of the ECB, present loans and deposits in euro to euro area residents and also include non-profit institutions serving households. For these reasons, the figures in this table differ from those in the aforementioned releases.
    1 Rate of change has been calculated from monthly differences in levels adjusted for classification and other revaluation changes.  
    2 Non-financial corporations also include housing corporations.

    For further information, please contact:

    Markus Aaltonen, tel. +358 9 831 2395, email: markus.aaltonen(at)bof.fi,

    Ville Tolkki, tel. +358 9 183 2420, email: ville.tolkki(at)bof.fi.

    The next news release on money and banking statistics will be published at 10:00 on 28 October 2024.

    Related statistical data and graphs are also available on the Bank of Finland website: https://www.suomenpankki.fi/en/statistics2/.

    [1] A larger amount of student loan can be taken out starting from August | Kela

    [2] Amount of the student loan | Our services| Kela. For students in higher education, there are two disbursement dates.

    [3] To a limited extent, the slowdown also reflects student loan compensations paid by Kela. Student loan compensation | Our services| Kela.

    statistics loans deposits interest rates student loans

    MIL OSI Economics –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Looking at how well defence contractors follow the rules for reporting under the non-competitive regulatory system

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    The Compliance Bulletin examines how well defence contractors followed the reporting regulations for non-competitive (also known as single source) defence contracts.

    Defence contractors must report information about their single-source defence contracts to the MOD and the Single Source Regulations Office (the SSRO). This is performed using the SSRO’s Defence Contract Analysis and Reporting System (DefCARS).

    As an important part of the regulatory framework, these submissions provide the MOD with information throughout the contract duration that can be used to support purchasing decisions and management of those contracts so that they obtain the best value for money whilst paying fair and reasonable prices.

    In its written compliance and review methodology, the SSRO explains how it will keep an eye on how well contractors who are required to report are following the regulations.

    The Compliance Bulletin presents compliance statistics relating to reports expected between 1 May 2023 and 30 April 2024. Data is also presented against historical compliance records going back to May 2018.  

    The bulletin shows that while the majority of expected submissions are made by contractors, there is still room for improvement with regard to the data quality of initial submissions. The MOD must also make sure that the information it receives is considered and utilised appropriately, by ensuring that more submissions are accessed and reviewed in DefCARS.

    The SSRO’s Head of Compliance, Reporting and IT, Akhlaq Shah, said:

    The SSRO won’t only monitor compliance and report on it; but will continue to assist both contractors and the MOD in fulfilling their commitments whenever possible. We will keep investing resources to help ensure an understanding of what is needed; how industry can best offer it; and how the MOD can use the data consistently and continuously.

    Take a look at the Compliance Bulletin for more information on contractors are doing in timeliness and quality of their reporting.

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    Published 30 September 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Submissions: Global Economy – KOF Economic Barometer: Recovery tendency confirmed

    Source: KOF Economic Institute

    In September, the KOF Economic Barometer continues to rise, albeit only very slightly. However, this month’s small increase nevertheless confirms the much more pronounced rise in the previous month. The Swiss economy is slowly working its way out of the trough.

    The KOF Economic Barometer rises by 0.5 points. It now stands at 105.5 (revised from 105.0 in August). In August, the Economic Barometer had climbed by a revised 3.7 points. In September, almost all indicator bundles for the economic sectors point to a more favourable outlook than before. Above all, the indicators for the manufacturing industry and, to a lesser extent, those for the financial and insurance services, the construction industry and the other services. In the hospitality industry, the rather above-average prospects remain almost unchanged. On the demand side, the indicators for consumer demand are also almost unchanged, pointing to a rather above-average further development. By contrast, the indicators for future foreign demand are weakening.

    In the producing industries (manufacturing and construction), in particular the indicators for the general business situation, export opportunities and intermediate input purchases are increasingly pointing to an improvement. By contrast, those for production activity and employment development suggest a less favourable further development than in the previous month.

    Within the manufacturing, the outlook for chemical and pharmaceutical companies as well as for the metal industry is improving. By contrast, it is weakening for the electrical industry as well as the textile and clothing segment.

    KOF Economic Barometer and Reference Series: Annual Update

    The annual 2024 revision took place in September. These updates always comprise the following steps: a redefinition of the pool of indicators that enter the selection procedure, an update of the reference time series and a renewed execution of the automated variable selection procedure. For further background information, we refer to a separate document.

    The updated pool of indicators now consists of 553 economic time series. The updated reference series is the smoothed growth rate of Swiss GDP distributed across the three months of a quarter from 2014 until and including 2023, based on the official quarterly real GDP statistics, adjusted for the effects of major international sporting events, as released by the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) in early September 2024. SECO, in turn takes the release of the previous year’s annual GDP data published by the SFSO into account.

    The 2023 vintage of the KOF Economic Barometer (published until August 2024) comprised 324 indicator variables. The current 2024 vintage, which is now replacing the 2023 vintage, consists of 360 indicator variables. Compared to the previous vintage, 74 indicators are new and 38 dropped out of the set of selected indicators. The Barometer is the rescaled weighted average of the selected indicators, where the weights correspond to the loadings of the first principal component.

    MIL OSI – Submitted News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Russia: IMF Staff Completes 2024 Article IV Mission to Cambodia

    Source: IMF – News in Russian

    September 30, 2024

    End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF’s Executive Board for discussion and decision.

    • The Cambodian economy is projected to grow by 5½ percent in 2024, faster than in 2023, but performance is uneven across sectors. Garment and agricultural exports are strong, and tourism is recovering while real estate and construction are undergoing a correction.
    • Fiscal policy needs to rebuild buffers, while supporting a durable and inclusive recovery of the economy. Raising revenues for growth-enhancing spending on education, health, and infrastructure is important. The risk of debt distress remains low.
    • Monetary and financial measures need to focus on safeguarding financial stability against the backdrop of slowing credit growth and rising non-performing loans (NPLs).
    • Structural reforms to enhance human capital, make the business environment more competitive, and strengthen institutions and governance would promote inclusive and sustainable economic development.

    Phnom Penh,Cambodia : An International Monetary Fund (IMF) team, led by Kenichiro Kashiwase, visited Cambodia during September 17-30 to hold discussions for the 2024 Article IV consultation. At the end of the mission, Mr. Kashiwase issued the following statement:

    “Cambodia’s economic growth has strengthened, but the recovery remains uneven. Real GDP growth is estimated at 5 percent in 2023, a similar pace as in 2022. For 2024, the economy is projected to expand by 5½ percent driven by a strong rebound in garment and agricultural exports and the ongoing recovery in tourism. However, the construction and real estate sectors are going through a correction, following rapid growth in prior years.

    “Inflation has moderated to an average of 1.6 percent (y/y) in the first half of 2024, down from 2.1 percent in 2023, reflecting global commodity price trends and weak domestic demand growth. For the full year, inflation is projected to reach around 1.5 percent before converging towards the long-term trend of 3 percent.

    “The current account (CA) balance is expected to swing back to a deficit of around 1¾ percent of GDP this year as strong imports are expected to outpace robust export growth. International reserves improved and coverage remains broadly adequate.

    “Fiscal deficit in 2023 is estimated at 2.8 percent of GDP with tax revenues falling due to softening of economic growth momentum and rising tax exemptions. Capital expenditure was also lower than planned due to delays in infrastructure execution. The fiscal deficit is projected at around 3 percent of GDP in 2024 and decline gradually over the medium term. Public debt to GDP is projected to increase moderately during the next decade, though the risk of debt distress remains low.

    “Credit growth has sharply slowed amidst deteriorating asset quality and high private sector debt. In 2024Q1, NPLs rose to 6 percent of total loans, reflecting emerging vulnerabilities with the temporary roll-back of the COVID-19 forbearance measures.

    “Risks to the outlook have shifted to the downside, notably due to weaker-than-projected demand from advanced economies and China, geoeconomic fragmentation, and high domestic private debt. Rising NPLs in the tourism and real estate sectors also pose risks to growth and financial stability. On the upside, a continued loosening of global financial conditions would support the recovery.

    “Turning to policies, fiscal policy needs to rebuild the buffers diminished by the pandemic, while accommodating a durable and inclusive recovery of the economy. In case of adverse shocks to the economy, fiscal policy should react with a focus on priority spending measures aligned with development goals and well-targeted social protection for the vulnerable. Strengthening revenues is important to create space for growth enhancing spending on education, health, and infrastructure. Tax exemptions and incentives should be reviewed and rationalized to reduce tax base erosion. Other measures to strengthen revenues include implementing the personal income tax and improving tax compliance and administration efficiency. Improving the targeting of social assistance programs and strengthening public investment management are also priorities. As Cambodia approaches graduation from the least developed country status, continuing to strengthen policy frameworks alongside enhancements to public financial management practices, improved fiscal transparency and governance, and the development of the domestic government bond market would be critical.

    “Monetary policy normalization should resume at a pace calibrated to the economic recovery and banking sector liquidity conditions. Important progress has been made in modernizing monetary policy and FX operations. Further efforts in this direction will be needed to enhance monetary policy transmission and support de-dollarization. Priorities include promoting an active KHR interbank market, developing a liquidity forecasting framework, further strengthening market determination of exchange rates, and improving the operational efficiency of monetary policy.

    “Financial sector policies should focus on maintaining financial stability. Forbearance measures should be phased out to alleviate capital misallocation and address risks of debt overhang. The authorities should ensure proper reporting of loans subject to forbearance and foster the preservation of banks’ liquidity and capital buffers. Provision of credit by real estate developers to homebuyers should be monitored closely and subject to stringent prudential requirements to avoid regulatory arbitrage. Intensified supervision efforts are warranted in the current environment. In the medium term, a comprehensive macroprudential policy strategy should be implemented, and a crisis resolution framework and deposit insurance scheme established.

    “Structural reforms are needed to diversify growth drivers and improve productivity. Enhancing skills and education is essential to reap the demographic dividend, foster technology adoption, and facilitate the transition to climate-resilient, higher-productivity industries. The government’s efforts to promote quality investment in higher-value-added activities and capture more of the value chain in agriculture are commendable. Further efforts to improve financial inclusion, advance digitalization, and enhance climate change resilience will also be needed for inclusive and sustainable development.

    “Continued efforts to strengthen institutions and governance, and to improve quality and transparency of public service deliveries would bolster long-term sustainable growth. Priorities include approval of the law on Whistleblower Protection, the draft law on Transparency, and the draft law on Access to Information. The National Audit Authority’s independence and resources should be strengthened along with improvements in the asset declaration regime and inter-agency cooperation. Addressing data limitations and improving macroeconomic data quality would benefit monitoring of the economy and policymaking. The IMF will continue to provide technical assistance to help improve statistics, and in other areas of capacity development.

    “The IMF team held discussions with senior officials of the Royal Government of Cambodia, the National Bank of Cambodia, and other public agencies, as well as a wide range of stakeholders, including representatives of the business and banking sectors, and development partners. The team wishes to express its deep appreciation to the authorities and other interlocutors for open and constructive discussions.”

    IMF Communications Department
    MEDIA RELATIONS

    PRESS OFFICER: Randa Elnagar

    Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

    @IMFSpokesperson

    https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/09/30/pr24349-cambodia-imf-staff-completes-2024-article-iv-mission

    MIL OSI

    MIL OSI Russia News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Africa: Why pay tax? African study finds trust in government is key

    Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Heikki Hiilamo, Professor of Social Policy, University of Helsinki

    Taxes are important. They’re a primary way in which governments fund essential services like healthcare, education, infrastructure and social protection programmes. They are vital to the economic development of countries.

    In sub-Saharan African countries, the need for public services is great and fiscal resources are often scarce. Getting the public to pay their taxes is essential. However, a variety of structural and governance challenges have made it difficult to effectively mobilise revenue.

    Recent tax protests in Kenya illustrate the growing tension between taxpayers and the government in the region. The protests underscore the importance of designing tax policies that not only raise revenue but also distribute the tax burden fairly across different income groups. If governments don’t address these issues, they risk eroding public trust and increasing tax resistance.

    The logistical difficulties of tax collection are another obstacle. Many sub-Saharan economies are characterised by small-scale enterprises and subsistence agriculture, which complicate tax administration. The informal sector – estimated to account for up to 80% of employment in some countries – largely operates outside the formal tax net. It’s difficult for governments to capture this significant portion of economic activity within their revenue systems.

    Tax collection in sub-Saharan Africa is also hindered by inefficient administrative systems. In many countries, tax authorities are under-resourced and under-staffed, making it difficult to monitor compliance. Personal visits to taxpayers’ homes or businesses are often required to collect taxes. This drives up administrative costs and increases opportunities for corruption. In many cases, tax records are manually maintained – a system that’s prone to manipulation, inefficiencies and data losses.

    Our research shows that one of the most important factors influencing tax compliance in sub-Saharan Africa is trust in government.

    Citizens are more likely to comply with tax obligations when the government is perceived as fair and transparent in the use of tax revenues. A strong social contract – where citizens feel taxes are returned to them in the form of public goods and services – is critical.

    Conversely, when public services are inadequate or corruption is perceived as widespread, tax morale diminishes. This leads to greater tax resistance. In Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and South Africa, studies have shown that satisfaction with public services improves tax compliance. Another study has found that perceived corruption has a negative effect on tax compliance in sub-Saharan Africa.

    Governance quality also plays a role in shaping tax compliance. Citizens who trust their government and perceive that tax revenues are used to reduce inequality are more likely to pay their taxes.

    Progress

    Despite the challenges of collecting revenues, many African countries have made progress over the past three decades.

    From the mid-1990s to 2016, total revenue (excluding grants) in the median African economy rose from around 14% to over 18% of GDP. Tax revenue increased from 11% to 15% of GDP.

    This is a significant achievement, but Africa still remains the region with the lowest revenue-to-GDP ratio globally.

    Weak tax administration systems continue to limit governments’ ability to finance development initiatives. As a result, many countries struggle to provide essential services like healthcare, education and infrastructure.

    Countries also tend to rely on “regressive” taxes, like taxes on consumption. These affect poorer households the most, as they spend a larger share of their earnings on taxable goods and services. This weakens the redistributive effect of tax systems and can exacerbate poverty and inequality.

    Way forward

    Technology could help address many of the challenges associated with tax collection. Digital tax systems, mobile money and online filing could help reduce inefficiencies and increase transparency. Some countries, such as Rwanda and Ghana, have already embraced technology to simplify processes and enhance compliance.

    However, many rural areas in sub-Saharan Africa lack the internet infrastructure needed to do this. Digital tax systems require tax authorities to invest in infrastructure and training.

    Still, as mobile technology penetrates the region, governments will be able to use digital tools to expand their tax base and improve compliance.

    Reducing corruption

    To strengthen tax compliance, improving the social contract between governments and citizens is essential. Research shows that when people believe their taxes are used for public goods and services that benefit them, they are more willing to comply.

    Tax morale can be improved through transparency, reduced corruption, and ensuring that tax revenues are visibly channelled into development projects.

    Targeted communication campaigns about how tax funds are used can help restore faith in government institutions.

    The path to improving tax systems and compliance in sub-Saharan Africa is long. But with the right policy interventions, governments can unlock revenue potential. This will contribute to stronger economies, better public services, and ultimately, more equitable and inclusive development across the region.

    – Why pay tax? African study finds trust in government is key
    – https://theconversation.com/why-pay-tax-african-study-finds-trust-in-government-is-key-239613

    MIL OSI Africa –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI Europe: Written question – Alleged sharp rise in Ukrainian refugee women falling victim to prostitution rings – E-001766/2024

    Source: European Parliament

    Question for written answer  E-001766/2024
    to the Commission
    Rule 144
    Mathilde Androuët (PfE)

    The Council of the EU has accepted the Commission’s proposal to extend the temporary protection for Ukrainian refugees until March 2026, including access to the labour market and to housing[1]. As of May 2024, Eurostat[2] reported 4.2 million displaced Ukrainians, mainly in Germany and Poland. According to data provided by the Federal Statistical Office in Germany, 70% of refugees are women, and only 14% of them are in employment. German media and NGOs have recently warned about a high number of ‘very young Ukrainian women’ falling victim to human traffickers and ending up in prostitution rings[3], either on the internet or in brothels, owing to a lack of accommodation and employment. There can be little doubt that this prostitution is not voluntary.

    Alarm about the increase in sexual exploitation networks involving Ukrainian refugees, including ‘via online platforms’, had already been raised in November 2022, when Valiant Richey of the OSCE[4], said that the DSA[5] was ‘silent on trafficking in human beings’[6].

    What measures has the Commission taken in the meantime, or what measures does it recommended, specifically to address this serious problem?

    Submitted: 19.9.2024

    • [1] ‘Ukrainian refugees: Council extends temporary protection until March 2026’ – Council of the European Union – 25 June 2024.
    • [2] Temporary protection for persons fleeing Ukraine – monthly statistics – Eurostat Statistics Explained -10 October 2024.
    • [3] ‘In den Bordellen sind es mittlerweile etwa 50 Prozent Ukrainerinne’, Uma Sostmann, Die Welt, 17 September 2024.
    • [4] Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe.
    • [5] Digital Services Act.
    • [6] ‘Trafficking and sexual exploitation of Ukrainian refugees on the rise’, Clara Bauer-Babef, 30 November 2022 (updated 25 August 2023).
    Last updated: 1 October 2024

    MIL OSI Europe News –

    January 23, 2025
  • MIL-OSI USA: State Archives to Host Virtual Program on its Podcast, ‘Connecting the Docs’

    Source: US State of North Carolina

    Headline: State Archives to Host Virtual Program on its Podcast, ‘Connecting the Docs’

    State Archives to Host Virtual Program on its Podcast, ‘Connecting the Docs’
    jejohnson6
    Thu, 09/26/2024 – 13:29

    Meet the team behind “Connecting the Docs,” the State Archives of North Carolina’s podcast.

    A Zoom teleconference scheduled for Monday, Oct. 7, from 12:30 p.m. to 1:30 p.m., will introduce and summarize how the archival collections are used to create historical narratives. The program also will share information about improving your research skills.

    Oral historians John Horan and Annabeth Poe will provide an overview of “Connecting the Docs,” including audience statistics and how one letter from our private collections inspired an entire podcast episode of content.

    Records Description Unit head Joshua Hager will summarize how archivists used our Treasurer’s and Comptroller’s collection to spotlight work done by enslaved laborers.

    Reference Archivist Katherine Crickmore will highlight the criminal records used in the murder ballads episode of our true crime series.

    Archivist T. Mike Childs will demonstrate how he put together the more lighthearted story of Slow Poke the Possum using state agency records.

    The program also will include a Q&A session.

    Register for the program at https://www.zoomgov.com/webinar/register/WN_IrE6Fad3RD-ubb-Ot02lMQ#/registration

    About the State Archives
    The State Archives serves as the custodian of North Carolina’s historical records, preserving and providing public access to a wealth of archival materials. Through its diverse collections, educational programs, and exhibitions, the State Archives plays a crucial role in promoting an understanding and appreciation of North Carolina’s rich historical legacy.

    About the North Carolina Department of Natural and Cultural Resources
    The N.C. Department of Natural and Cultural Resources (DNCR) manages, promotes, and enhances the things that people love about North Carolina – its diverse arts and culture, rich history, and spectacular natural areas. Through its programs, the department enhances education, stimulates economic development, improves public health, expands accessibility, and strengthens community resiliency.

    The department manages over 100 locations across the state, including 27 historic sites, seven history museums, two art museums, five science museums, four aquariums, 35 state parks, four recreation areas, dozens of state trails and natural areas, the North Carolina Zoo, the State Library, the State Archives, the N.C. Arts Council, the African American Heritage Commission, the American Indian Heritage Commission, the State Historic Preservation Office, the Office of State Archaeology, the Highway Historical Markers program, the N.C. Land and Water Fund, and the Natural Heritage Program. For more information, please visit www.dncr.nc.gov.

    Sep 25, 2024

    MIL OSI USA News –

    January 23, 2025
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