Category: Universities

  • MIL-OSI Global: Keir Starmer at the White House: what ‘progressive realism’ now means in relation to Ukraine and Donald Trump

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jason Ralph, Professor of International Relations, University of Leeds

    Flickr/Number 10, CC BY-NC-ND

    Since the Labour government came to power in the UK past year, its international relations have been pursued under the banner of what foreign secretary David Lammy calls “progressive realism”. This involves “using realist means to pursue progressive ends”, including taking “pragmatic steps” to improve relations with other states.

    Lammy rejects the notion that “idealism has no place in foreign policy” but also argues that the UK should be “realistic about the state of the world and the country’s role in it”.

    The visit of the UK prime minister, Keir Starmer, to the White House to meet US president Donald Trump has been the biggest test of this approach. Outlining a set of foreign policy principles is one thing, acting on them is another.


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    In practice, progressive and realist foreign policies can pull in different directions. Combining them might be a form of “cakeism” – you usually can’t be a realist and have your progressivism too. Sometimes, however, clever diplomacy can find a way.

    Did Starmer find that way in his response to Trump’s ideas on negotiating with Russia without a defined role for Ukraine?

    Progressive realism in action

    Progressivism is associated with a commitment to the rule of international law. In the case of Ukraine, that would mean opposing any peace deal that rewarded Russia’s aggression or the concession of land to Russia.

    Progressivism is also associated with a support for international criminal law. The progressive in this case might be opposed to any peace deal that did not see Russian president Vladimir Putin hauled before the International Criminal Court (the same court that Trump has sanctioned).

    An invitation from the king.
    Flickr/Number 10, CC BY-NC-ND

    Realism, on the other hand, is sometimes associated with a foreign policy committed to the promotion of self-interest, defined narrowly as the material wellbeing of the nation. Faced with the threat of further US tariffs, and the impact they would have on the government’s economic priorities, the realist would probably recommend that the UK do absolutely nothing to upset Trump.

    Starmer has so far managed to walk this particular tightrope with a “pragmatic” form of progressivism. He remains committed to the vision of a world order based on international law and so is not realist in that sense. He was not willing to betray Ukraine just to be friends with Trump and avoid US tariffs, for instance.

    But he was pragmatic because he realised the only way to advance progressive principles was to persuade Trump that they set out the path to a sustainable peace. For this reason, my colleague Jamie Gaskarth and I have argued UK policy might better be described as “progressive pragmatism”.

    Starmer has a broader definition of the national interest than that sometimes associated with realism. It is in the UK’s interest to maintain an international order based on laws that codify the progressive principles of national self-determination and international justice.

    From this perspective, the UK is right not to turn its back on Ukrainian self-determination by jumping on Trump’s bandwagon. That is a slippery slope. It can lead to a world order that is unstable because it is dictated by the great powers. Ukraine today, Greenland, Palestine, Taiwan tomorrow.

    His pragmatism was very much on display in Washington, however. It meant staying close to the US not just to avoid tariffs, which Starmer appears to have done with the help of an invitation from King Charles for a state visit to the UK. It meant working with Trump’s ideas on Russia to persuade him that supporting Ukraine is the way to a “durable” peace.

    Starmer and Trump give a joint press conference.
    Flickr/Number 10, CC BY-NC-ND

    Durable peace here is not simply a question of satisfying Russia and having sufficient military force on the ground (the so-called US “backstop”) to deter future Russian aggression. It must also respect the political power of a progressive principle: national self-determination.

    To conclude a peace that does not include the Ukrainian people is not just a moral betrayal, it is politically imprudent because it creates grievances, which become causes of conflict. That does not mean the only way forward is to return to the pre-2014 status quo, but it does mean Kyiv’s involvement in peace negotiations has to be meaningful, not symbolic.

    In 1990 the transatlantic positions were reversed. UK prime minister Margaret Thatcher was troubled by the fall of Berlin wall. She proposed that the occupying powers that had divided Germany in 1945 decide the terms of reunification.

    The administration of the then US president, George Bush senior, had a broader understanding of history and the future. They realised that a dictated peace after the first world war contributed to the grievances that led to the second.

    On that occasion the US approach prevailed. Germany was allowed to reunify on its own terms and choose its own alliances. It was a progressive and pragmatic solution that was committed to national self-determination and it set the foundations for the durable peace that self-described realists thought would never happen.

    Starmer made a point in Washington of congratulating Trump for breaking the impasse. He was rewarded when the president suggested that a trade deal is now on the table. As he flies back across the Atlantic, Starmer might continue the flattery by comparing Trump’s actions to the way Ronald Reagan sowed the seeds of the new world order in the 1980s.

    He should recall, however, that the details of that new order were subsequently worked out by the administration of George Bush Snr., which had a pragmatic respect for national self-determination. That now means supporting Ukraine in any upcoming negotiation.

    Jason Ralph has in the past received funding from Research Councils UK and the EU. He does not currently hold a research grant. He is a member of the UK Labour Party.

    ref. Keir Starmer at the White House: what ‘progressive realism’ now means in relation to Ukraine and Donald Trump – https://theconversation.com/keir-starmer-at-the-white-house-what-progressive-realism-now-means-in-relation-to-ukraine-and-donald-trump-250722

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Keir Starmer meets Donald Trump: assiduous planning results in deft diplomacy

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Martin Farr, Senior Lecturer in Contemporary British History, Newcastle University

    Flickr/Number 10, CC BY-NC-ND

    Keir Starmer was only the second European leader to visit Donald Trump’s second White House. The first, France’s Emmanuel Macron, had barely taken off when Starmer touched down, but had already raised the bar by behaving regally in front of the world’s media alongside his fellow president in the Oval Office.

    In manner, Macron manifested his eight years in office (four of which were already spent with Trump in the White House). Starmer has had a mere eight months. But it was a challenge, judged in its own immediate terms, that the prime minister met.

    Raising the curtain, in a highly untypical coup de théâtre, Starmer flourished – as few can – a letter from the King to give to the president, and then effectively forced Trump to read it on camera and agree to the invitation enclosed within.


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    Starmer of course knew he was nudging an open door: much came down to assiduous preparation. The British Embassy, under a finally confirmed ambassador Peter Mandelson, worked overtime to choreograph and lubricate.

    Starmer had been wise in contradicting Trump only indirectly. Nothing could be gained – as president Zelenskyy already demonstrated – from doing so publicly. So early an offer of a state visit to the UK ran the risk of appearing desperate, but was mitigated by its also being “unprecedented” as the second to be offered to Trump. A word recently worn smooth by over-use, there was nevertheless another precedent set in the suggestion of a pre-state visit visit between Trump and the king. With this president, more than any other, royal diplomacy is a critical national asset.

    Starmer’s announcement of an increase in defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027 worked similarly well. That funds are to be diverted from foreign aid for that purpose the Labour leadership deemed as being politically cost-free – or at least good value – politically. It was, indeed, almost Trumpian. The relevant minister disagreed.

    It is hard to recall greater shifts in a country’s foreign policy in so short a space of time. Insofar as one can discern Trump’s purposefulness, it is to create pandemonium, which has the secondary effect of galvanising actors to act – not least for fear of further pandemonium.

    Thus last week the US voting with Russia, Iran and North Korea, and not with Britain, at the UN. The Trump administration’s designation of choice is now “the Russia-Ukraine conflict”, as if it were merely a border dispute.

    Therefore, ahead of Starmer’s arrival in Washington, he was faced with the US apparently aligning itself with a country his describes as “the most acute threat” to the UK. “Jaw-dropping” was the adjective of choice for more than a few informed observers who had thought themselves prepared for whatever may transpire.

    The actors Trump primarily wishes to galvanise are European leaders, recalcitrants he thinks should do more to keep their own peace. For Macron to have been told that Putin would accept Nato forces policing the peace was scene-changing, but the only witness to the veracity of that news was Trump, who exhales untruths as easily as he breathes. The Russians soon denied it.

    A very special man.
    Flickr/Number 10, CC BY-NC-ND

    Macron’s offer of France’s (non-Nato) airborne nuclear force complemented Starmer’s commitment to British boots on the ground and helped him elicit Trump’s commitment to mutual defence.

    But Trump guaranteeing the peace that Starmer and Macron are willing to police was the cherry conspicuously missing from the cake. The suggestion was subject to a classic Trump equivocation (we’ll always support the Brits, but they won’t need our support).

    For the British government, July’s election already resembles a hospital pass. The effect of 20% tariffs on GDP growth could be catastrophic. Trump’s talk of tariff-free trade deals was more than expected, but one such was offered last time without much being doing about, before it was cancelled by President Biden. This time, Trump has said his vice president is drawing up a plan, even that being absent before.

    And in a categorical demonstration of the benefits of lobbying there was effective presidential approval of the Chagos islands deal, simultaneously shooting one of Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch’s few foxes stone dead.

    Warm words

    Thus has passed the most potentially difficult meeting of a prime minister and a president since Suez. Nothing else comes close. Cliche – eggshells, tightropes – proliferated in previews.

    When Starmer was last at the White House, in September, he had asked Biden for a meeting about Ukraine and received it. However unsatisfactory the outcome, public face was maintained. Trump has the ability – and the form – to have humiliated in a way which would permanently have scarred Starmer. That he did the opposite ought not to distract from the vulnerability of the supplicant.

    ‘Go on, open it’.
    Number 10/Flickr, CC BY-NC-ND

    Instead there were encomia from Trump as to the two countries – “special relationship”, “unique friendship”, “fantastic country”, “I’ve always cared” – and of Starmer – “a special man”, “a very special person”. And in describing Starmer’s accent as “beautiful”, the president revealed the hitherto unknown allure of the adenoidal.

    Power plays sit ill with Starmer, but he nonetheless ventured two corrections from his armchiar, one to a statement made by the president and another to one made by the vice-president. The subsequent praise for Starmer’s negotiating tenacity from Trump, that much-vaunted artist of the deal, was as priceless – and unfamiliar – as the following morning’s front pages.

    However successful this visit, however, nothing can be assumed, still less guaranteed. That the British government would so extensively war-game a meeting with its closest ally tells its own tale, or, rather a tale perhaps yet to be told. At this moment, for the next four years the relationship at least feels more secure than it did a few days before the trip. By such diurnal turns are the affairs of allies now measured.

    Martin Farr does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Keir Starmer meets Donald Trump: assiduous planning results in deft diplomacy – https://theconversation.com/keir-starmer-meets-donald-trump-assiduous-planning-results-in-deft-diplomacy-251178

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: I studied the evidence behind theories of Oscar success – here’s what I found

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Andre Spicer, Professor of Organisational Behaviour, Bayes Business School, City St George’s, University of London

    When Oscar-winning screenwriter William Goldman was asked whether it was possible to predict a hit film, he responded with three words that have become a Hollywood maxim: “Nobody knows anything.” He went on to explain that “not one person in the entire motion picture field knows for a certainty what’s going to work”.

    Although Goldman’s famous phrase might resonate through the film business, it doesn’t stop people cooking up theories around which films might succeed at the annual Academy of Motion Picture Awards. Over the years, a range of theories have appeared, including: Oscar winners are not always the best films; there is an Oscar-worthy format that winners follow; and that winning an Oscar is actually a long-term curse.

    Although there is a great deal of speculation about such theories, it’s less clear what the evidence actually says about them. To find out, I took a look at the rapidly growing field of “Oscarology” – the scientific study of the Academy Awards.


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    One common theory is that it is entirely predictable who the Oscars will go to. Interestingly, this seems to have some truth to it. One statistical analysis found that by tracking a range of factors, it was possible to predict the winner of the Academy Awards in the four major categories with an overall accuracy of 69%.

    Nickel Boys, one of the best picture nominees.

    Factors which go into making these predictions include whether the nominee won a Golden Globe or Directors Guild award, and their previous nominations for an Oscar. Past success is a strong indicator of future success, with one important exception: having previously won an Academy Award means a nominee for best actor or best actress is much less likely to win again.

    A second theory is that winning an Oscar is a golden ticket to big financial rewards. This is indeed correct. A study found there is a substantial boost in US box office earnings following a win in the the best supporting actor/actress, best actor/actress and best picture categories.

    Best picture nominee Conclave stars Ralph Fiennes, also nominated for best actor.

    Further research has found that Oscar nominations really make a positive impact on box office receipts – while actually winning the award gives a more modest boost. Interestingly, winning an award does not always translate to success in other parts the world. One study found that Oscar winners that were comedies performed better in Asian markets, but dramas performed worse.

    The next theory is the idea that Oscar winners follow a particular format. Researchers have indeed found there is an Oscar-worthy format which some filmmakers follow. The “Oscar bait” format uses genres like war movies, historical epics and biographies, as well as plot elements such as war crimes, disabilities, political intrigue and show business.

    Mikey Madison, star of best picture nominee Anora, is also up for best actress.

    However, making a film using this Oscar-worthy format is not a guarantee of success. Films employing this concept which were nominated for an award received significantly greater financial returns. However, those using the Oscar-bait format which missed out on a nomination typically made large losses.

    Then comes the theory that winning an Oscar is more about the quality of networks rather than the quality of the film. Again, there is some truth to this. Researchers have found that one way to improve the chances of winning an Oscar is to be part of film industry networks and work alongside people who have already won awards.

    As well as a best picture nomination, Wicked’s Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo are also nominated.

    There are some indicators that Oscars do not necessarily go to the best-quality movies. One analysis which compared Oscar winners to lists of 100 best movies of all time found that only 26% of films which appeared on all three main lists of best movies were also Oscar winners.

    This research also notes that some movies which are staples of lists of classic movies (such as Singing in the Rain) were not even nominated for the best picture Oscar. What this suggests is that winning an Oscar does not always mean a film will be seen as a classic – and vice versa.

    Best picture nominee I’m Still Here sees Brazilian Fernanda Torres nominated for best actress.

    The final theory is that there is an “Oscar curse” – that winning an Oscar leads to personal and professional tragedy. This theory is largely incorrect. Researchers have found that Oscar winners live about one year longer than their less successful peers. Others have found that winning an Academy Award leads to greater professional success, with Oscar winners and nominees appearing in more films than their non-winning peers.

    However, one area of truth in the idea of an Oscar curse is for men in their personal lives. Nominees and winners of the best actor award had a higher divorce rate than their peers.

    Theories around the Oscars may prove to be not entirely correct – but they do provide a useful approximation of which films will triumph. Past performance, social networks and formula-following all seem to be good indicators of who will succeed. Perhaps Goldman’s advice that “no one knows anything” is not entirely true.

    Andre Spicer does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. I studied the evidence behind theories of Oscar success – here’s what I found – https://theconversation.com/i-studied-the-evidence-behind-theories-of-oscar-success-heres-what-i-found-251085

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: The Vegan Tigress: intimate play resurrects fierce forgotten Victorian writer

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Lucy Ella Rose, Lecturer in Victorian Literature, University of Surrey

    The Vegan Tigress, a new play by Claire Parker, shines a spotlight on the largely-forgotten feminist fairytale writer Mary De Morgan (1850-1907). And the timing is particularly apt. The show opened, at London’s Bread & Roses Theatre, in the lead up to International Women’s Day and during the year of the 175th anniversary of De Morgan’s birth.

    The production, by LynchPin Theatre Company, is part of a wider cultural project to celebrate underappreciated Victorian women writers, actors and activists. Parker has also written plays on feminist actor Ellen Terry and her daughter Edie Craig.

    It also speaks to a general resurgence of interest in the creative De Morgan family. Mary’s father was Augustus De Morgan, the mathematician and logician and her brother was the potter, tile designer and novelist William De Morgan.

    The Bread and Roses Theatre – an intimate space above a lively Clapham pub – creates an immersive experience. The audience shares De Morgan’s modest London quarters along with the accidentally summoned ghost of her ex-lover’s formidable mother: Lady Tuttle (played by Edie Campbell).

    Providing comedic value, Tuttle deploys her spectral status to prank De Morgan (played by Parker), but her presence also highlights the stark differences between them, staging a debate between feminist and patriarchal versions of Victorian-Edwardian womanhood.


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    Shrill-voiced, upper-class and tightly corseted, Tuttle opposes women’s education and refers to suffragettes as “hyenas in petticoats and bitter spinsters”.

    Striding across the stage swathed in silk skirts and a velvet, lace-trimmed bodice, she is both a mesmerising and somewhat villainous matriarch. By contrast, De Morgan is an irreverent free spirit who wears bohemian clothing, admires revolutionaries and has been a suffragist since she was 16.

    The show portrays De Morgan as a pioneering professional woman, writing feverishly at a desk flanked by piles of beautiful antiquarian books. Parker and Campbell are hypnotic in their imaginative retellings and performances of De Morgan’s stories such as the The Hair Tree (1877), which are woven into the play.

    The Vegan Tigress transports the audience into fantastical realms, fusing eerie lighting with dazzling props and sound effects – thunder, birdsong, clamouring voices.

    With impressive ease, the actors shape-shift into bizarre animal forms – a puppet parrot, a tortured tiger and a grotesque tortoise. Together they illuminate the sociopolitical subtexts of De Morgan’s stories.

    The trailer for The Vegan Tigress.

    Her subversive tale from 1877, A Toy Princess (which Parker describes in the play), critiques doll-like ideals of femininity, prefigures the feminist fairy tales of Angela Carter and resonates with the Barbiemania that surrounded the release of the Barbie film in 2023.

    In literature and in life, De Morgan resists conventional narratives of marriage and motherhood, enacting alternative destinies for women.

    Especially successful as a visual manifestation of the stories’ transformative power is the simultaneously symbolic and literal change we witness in Lady Tuttle.

    The more she reads The Windfairies (1900, one of three fairy tale collections by De Morgan) and political publications (Votes for Women), the less straitlaced she becomes – literally. Her corset unbuttons and her tied hair loosens. Despite being a ghost, Lady Tuttle comes alive as her mind expands, testifying to the powerful potential of reading and writing.

    In joyful and poignant moments of female bonding in the second half of the play, Tuttle and De Morgan dance the tango, and embark arm-in-arm on the trip of a lifetime to Egypt, where De Morgan worked in real life in a girls’ reformatory. The show becomes a celebration of female creativity, companionship and community.

    At the play’s close, the fourth wall is broken and the audience is addressed by De Morgan as “people from the future”. It prompts a reflection on how far we have come since first-wave feminism, but also how far we still have to go (given #MeToo and the reversal of Roe v Wade, the US Supreme Court ruling that legalised abortion across the States in 1973), making Parker’s revival of De Morgan timely and important.

    If De Morgan’s legacy is, as she soliloquises, “arming lost, disenfranchised girls and women with the tools to stand their ground”, what will ours be?

    The Vegan Tigress is at The Bread & Roses Theatre until March 1.

    Lucy Ella Rose does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. The Vegan Tigress: intimate play resurrects fierce forgotten Victorian writer – https://theconversation.com/the-vegan-tigress-intimate-play-resurrects-fierce-forgotten-victorian-writer-251179

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Zelensky flies to Washington but his dream of a ‘just peace’ deal is unlikely to come true as things stand

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Stefan Wolff, Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham

    Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, has arrived in Washington for talks with his US counterpart, Donald Trump. One of the key issues on their agenda is the “very big deal” announced by the US president on February 25. This deal would give the United States access to Ukraine’s critical mineral and rare earth deposits in return for continuing US support.

    Trump has made sure his domestic audience understands that – as he told his first cabinet meeting on February 26 – in contrast to his Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden, he’s getting something out of Kyiv in return for the support the US has given Ukraine in the past.

    The message coming from the Ukrainian side was a bit more circumspect. Zelensky took pains to emphasise that the deal was still a draft and that its successful conclusion would depend on the outcome of talks with Trump.

    The lack of Ukrainian enthusiasm for the deal is justified. In its present form, it looks more like a memorandum of understanding that leaves several vital issues to be resolved later. The deal on offer is the creation of will be called a “reconstruction investment fund”, to be jointly owned and managed by the US and Ukraine.

    Into the proposed fund will go 50% of the revenue from the exploitation of “all relevant Ukrainian government-owned natural resource assets (whether owned directly or indirectly by the Ukrainian government)” and “other infrastructure relevant to natural resource assets (such as liquified natural gas terminals and port infrastructure)”.

    This means that private infrastructure – much of it owned by Ukraine’s wealthy oligarchs – is likely to become part of the deal. This has the potential of further increasing friction between Zelensky and some very powerful Ukrainians.

    Meanwhile, US contributions are less clearly defined. The preamble to the agreement makes it clear that Ukraine already owes the US. The very first paragraph notes that “the United States of America has provided significant financial and material support to Ukraine since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022”.

    This figure, according to Trump, amounts to US$350 billion (£278 billion). The actual amount, according to the Ukraine Support Tracker of the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, is about half that.

    Western and Ukrainian analysts have also pointed out that there may be fewer and less accessible mineral and rare earth deposits in Ukraine than are currently assumed. The working estimates have been based mostly on Soviet-era data.

    Since the current draft leaves details on ownership, governance and operations to be determined in a future fund agreement, Trump’s very big deal is at best the first step. Future rounds of negotiations are to be expected.

    Statement of intent

    From a Ukrainian perspective, this is more of a strength than a weakness. It leaves Kyiv with an opportunity to achieve more satisfactory terms in future rounds of negotiation. Even if any improvements will only be marginal, it keeps the US locked into a process that is, overall, beneficial for Ukraine.

    Take the example of security guarantees. The draft agreement offers Ukraine nothing anywhere near Nato membership. But it notes that the US “supports Ukraine’s efforts to obtain security guarantees needed to establish lasting peace”, adding that: “Participants will seek to identify any necessary steps to protect mutual investments.”

    The significance of this should not be overstated. At its bare minimum, it is an expression of intent by the US that falls short of security guarantees but still gives the US a stake in the survival of Ukraine as an independent state.

    But it is an important signal both in terms of what it does and does not do – a signal to Russia, Europe and Ukraine.

    Trump does not envisage that the US will give Ukraine security guarantees “beyond very much”. He seems to think that these guarantees can be provided by European troops (the Kremlin has already cast doubts on this idea).

    But this does not mean the idea is completely off the table. On the contrary, because the US commitment is so vague, it gives Trump leverage in every direction.

    He can use it as a carrot and a stick against Ukraine to get more favourable terms for US returns from the reconstruction investment fund. He can use it to push Europe towards more decisive action to ramp up defence spending by making any US protection for European peacekeepers contingent on more equitable burden-sharing in Nato.

    And he can signal to the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, that the US is serious about making a deal stick – and that higher American economic stakes in Ukraine and corporate presence on the ground would mean US-backed consequences if the Kremlin reneges on a future peace agreement and restarts hostilities.

    That these calculations will ultimately lead to the “free, sovereign and secure Ukraine” that the agreement envisages is not a given.

    For now, however, despite all its shortcomings and vagueness on key issues, it looks like it serves all sides’ interests in moving forward in this direction, albeit at a snail’s pace.

    Stefan Wolff is a past recipient of grant funding from the Natural Environment Research Council of the UK, the United States Institute of Peace, the Economic and Social Research Council of the UK, the British Academy, the NATO Science for Peace Programme, the EU Framework Programmes 6 and 7 and Horizon 2020, as well as the EU’s Jean Monnet Programme. He is a Trustee and Honorary Treasurer of the Political Studies Association of the UK and a Senior Research Fellow at the Foreign Policy Centre in London.

    Tetyana Malyarenko does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Zelensky flies to Washington but his dream of a ‘just peace’ deal is unlikely to come true as things stand – https://theconversation.com/zelensky-flies-to-washington-but-his-dream-of-a-just-peace-deal-is-unlikely-to-come-true-as-things-stand-250855

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Kennedy announces $2.7 million in Hurricane Ida aid for Delgado and Elaine Nunez Community Colleges, Southeastern Louisiana University

    US Senate News:

    Source: United States Senator John Kennedy (Louisiana)
    WASHINGTON – Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.), a member of the Senate Appropriations Committee, today announced $2,718,333 in a Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) grant for permanent repairs to Delgado and Elaine Nunez Community Colleges and Southeastern Louisiana University.
    “Hurricane Ida dealt a tough blow to south Louisiana. This $2.7 million will help Louisianians cover the costs for repairs to Delgado Community College, Elaine Nunez Community College and Southeastern Louisiana University,” said Kennedy.
    The FEMA aid will fund the following:
    $2,718,333 to the Office of Risk Management for permanent repairs to Delgado Community College, Elaine Nunez Community College and Southeastern Louisiana University as the direct result of Hurricane Ida.
     

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: U.S. Attorney’s Office Secures Sentencing in To’Hajiilee Manslaughter Case

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    ALBUQUERQUE – A To’Hajiilee man was sentenced to 72 months in prisonfor voluntary manslaughter in connection with the death of John Doe in May 2022.

    There is no parole in the federal system.

    According to court documents, on May 27, 2022, Cole Ray Shorty, 21, an enrolled member of the Navajo Nation, went to John Doe’s residence bringing other people with him including a juvenile. Upon arrival, Shorty found John Doe sitting in his car outside his residence.

    Shorty approached Doe’s car and opened the back door. In response, Doe exited the vehicle with a bat and a struggle ensued. Doe was taken to the ground and was disarmed of the bat. Instead of leaving the scene, Shorty struck Doe in the head with the bat, leaving him injured and unconscious at the scene.

    John Doe died from their injuries at the University of New Mexico Hospital on May 30, 2022. The Office of the Medical Inspector confirmed that the cause of death was blunt head trauma and classified it as a homicide.

    Upon his release from prison, Shorty will be subject to three years of supervised release.

    Acting U.S. Attorney Holland S. Kastrin and Raul Bujanda, Special Agent in Charge of the FBI Albuquerque Field Office, made the announcement today.

    The FBI Albuquerque Field Office investigated this case with assistance from the Navajo Police Department and Navajo Department of Criminal Investigations. Assistant U.S. Attorneys Brittany DuChaussee, Zachary Jones, Mark Probasco, and Meg Tomlinson prosecuted the case.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Europe: Three Videos to Better Understand the German Elections

    Source: Universities – Science Po in English

    Following the collapse of Olaf Scholz’s “traffic light” coalition in November 2024 (the “yellow” liberal Free Democratic Party – FDP and the “green” Grüne Party led by the “red” Social Democratic Party – SPD), citizens of Germany went to the polls on 23 February 2025 to choose a new government.

    One of the ten partner universities from our European alliance CIVICA, the Hertie School (Berlin, Germany), set up a dedicated webpage to provide “data-driven analysis and expert commentary” in order to “navigate the complexities of this pivotal moment”.

    Find below three videos with Hertie School experts.

    Germany has voted – what comes next?

    With Professor of Public Policy Anke Hassel.

    How effective was social media in the German election?

    With Professor of data science and Public Policy Simon Munzert.

    What’s next for German family policy?

    With Professor of Sociology and Family Policy expert Michaela Kreyenfeld.

    Cover image caption: Paragliding, Berlin, Germany, December 2019. (credits: Christian Lue / Unsplash)

    MIL OSI Europe News

  • MIL-OSI Global: It was risky for Ontario Premier Doug Ford to call an early election — but it did pay off

    Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Sam Routley, PhD Candidate, Political Science, Western University

    Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s election gamble has paid off. As a consequence of last night’s election results, the Progressive Conservatives are now set to form their third consecutive majority government.

    By and large, last night’s election results were dull and uninspiring, looking very similar to the outcome of the province’s election in 2022. The Progressive Conservatives return (going from 79 to 80) with only one additional member of caucus, receiving a noticeable but modest two per cent bump in support.

    And, while the Liberals saw even more of a recovery from 2018, the generally widespread distribution of that vote means that they were only able to gain five seats. Although tarnished, the New Democrats return as the official opposition party.

    Unprepared rivals

    These lacklustre results flow directly from lacklustre campaigns. The fact is that, regardless of Premier Ford’s legitimate calls for a renewed mandate amidst an aggressive American administration, the party had been looking for an excuse to call a premature election for quite some time. In doing so, they were able to — quite intentionally — catch their rivals unprepared, complete with incomplete candidate slates, unknown leaders and undercooked policy platforms.

    It meant that, while Ford was able to run a safe and constrained front-runner’s campaign, his main opponents struggled to find the momentum necessary to move the dial and exploit enough backlash. This is alongside real policy vulnerabilities in health care and education, with enough voters expressing discontent with what they felt to be an unnecessary and self-serving election call.

    Chaotic news cycle

    There are good reasons to believe that voters were mostly apathetic towards the parties and their candidates. Alongside the reasons already stated, the dense, chaotic and ever-shifting news cycle of the last few months may have entailed that this election was able to slip by quietly.

    But this does not seem to be the full story, as this year’s turnout — while still low — is slightly higher than that of 2022. Instead, voters also seemed to have wanted to maintain the status quo.

    On the local level, siting members of the provincial legislature from all three parties generally performed quite well. Of the 111 ridings with party-nominated incumbents, for example, only four lost. So while many voters may have been unhappy with the election call, the unpredictable environment may have also had the reverse effect of leading them to support, if not fully endorse, the leaders they already have.

    Regardless of the more limited dynamics of this election, however, we cannot overlook the fact that this has been a very real accomplishment for Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives. In a period of high executive turnover and anti-incumbent backlash, Doug Ford has, as the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, brought about a track record of secure, consecutive majorities — a feat that was last attained by Leslie Frost and John Robarts.

    In many ways, it brings to mind the years of the traditional “big blue machine,” when the party controlled the government of Ontario for 40 consecutive years.

    Durable persona

    Here, Ford’s success is much deeper than a matter of suave electoral maneuvering, and it is more long-standing than the recent confrontation with the Trump administration. Instead, these results attest to the fact that, while the Premier is not without his detractors, he has nevertheless managed to secure a stable, solid and sufficient base of support through the combination of both a carefully balanced policy agenda and a durable leadership persona.

    As with his successful conservative predecessors, Ford practices a form of the pragmatic and moderate governance that characterizes Ontario. A large part of what makes this successful is the fact that while it makes policy decisions flexible, it does not make them arbitrary.

    Ford continues to emphasize a government oriented around continual economic growth and innovation as a means to accomplish raising living standards, fund the province’s social programs and — more recently — rival the United States. Combined with Ford’s aptitude in retail politics this has created a clear and accessible political project supported by big developers, small business owners and private-sector workers’ unions.

    In a political environment shaped by personality, Ford continues to suck up the majority of the political oxygen in Ontario. Even while a good portion of Ontarians may dislike Ford — he is far from the most popular of Canada’s premiers — they have not experienced an overriding need to get rid of the incumbent, nor pursue another course of change.

    While politics is impossible to predict, it suggests that this state of continuity will persist in Ontario, even amid a chaotic global environment.

    Sam Routley does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. It was risky for Ontario Premier Doug Ford to call an early election — but it did pay off – https://theconversation.com/it-was-risky-for-ontario-premier-doug-ford-to-call-an-early-election-but-it-did-pay-off-251142

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI USA: Husky Harvest Waterbury: Innovating Food Access with Hydroponic Systems, Refrigerated Lockers, and a Transformed Pantry

    Source: US State of Connecticut

    UConn Waterbury Husky Harvest sign (Steve Bustamante / University of Connecticut)

    Husky Harvest Waterbury is excited to announce several groundbreaking developments aimed at improving food access and supporting the well-being of UConn students, faculty, and staff. Thanks to the support of our generous partners, we’ve introduced new technologies and made significant improvements to our food assistance programs, ensuring that fresh, nutritious food is accessible when it’s needed most. These advancements include refrigerated lockers for convenient grocery pick-up, expanded hydroponic growing systems for on-site food production, and a newly revamped food pantry designed to better support healthy eating.

    Refrigerated Lockers: Convenient, Private Access for Our Guests

    One of the most exciting innovations at Husky Harvest Waterbury is the installation of refrigerated lockers, making us the first Connecticut Foodshare partner to offer this technology. These lockers allow students, faculty, and staff to pick up fresh groceries for their families at their convenience. Located near the campus parking garage with easy access to the main road, the lockers provide a discreet, private option for picking up perishable items like dairy, meat, and fresh produce.

    Husky Harvest Waterbury Refrigerated Lockers (Steve Bustamante / University of Connecticut)

    Hydroponics: A Sustainable, On-Site Solution for Fresh Produce

    We are thrilled to expand our food production with hydroponics—a sustainable, soil-free farming method, that we started in 2023. With recent funding, we have added additional systems. These systems allow us to grow a variety of fresh, nutritious crops—such as leafy greens, herbs, and vegetables—right on campus, year-round. Hydroponics enables us to provide fresh, local produce while reducing our environmental impact and strengthening our commitment to sustainability.

    The addition of hydroponics helps us supplement the food we distribute through the pantry, ensuring that high-quality, nutrient-dense options are always available to our guests. This innovation is an important part of our ongoing efforts to address food insecurity and build a more resilient food system at UConn Waterbury.

    UConn Waterbury Husky Harvest Hydroponics (Steve Bustamante / University of Connecticut)

    Transforming the Pantry: A Space for Healthy Choices

    In addition to the hydroponic systems and refrigerated lockers, we’ve also revamped the layout and design of our food pantry.  This transformation was intended to create a more welcoming and user-friendly space that encourages healthy food choices. The pantry now features clear organization, with foods categorized into three groups based on how often they should be consumed:

    – Eat Often: Fresh fruits, vegetables, whole grains, and other healthy staples.

    – Eat Sometimes: Lean proteins, dairy, and foods that are part of a balanced diet.

    – Eat Rarely: Foods high in sugar and saturated fat that should be consumed in moderation.

    This updated layout makes it easier for our guests to make informed choices about their food, while promoting healthier eating habits for themselves and their families. The aesthetic changes also make the pantry feel more like a community-oriented space where individuals can access fresh, nutritious food with dignity and ease.

    Student shopping at Husky Harvest at UConn Waterbury  (Sean Flynn/UConn Photo)

    Looking Forward: A Commitment to a Sustainable and Accessible Future

    At Husky Harvest Waterbury, we are committed to continuing our efforts to improve food access for UConn students, faculty, and staff. The introduction of refrigerated lockers, the expansion of hydroponic systems, and the transformation of our food pantry are just the beginning of our efforts to make food security more accessible, convenient, and sustainable.

    With the ongoing support of our community and partners, we look forward to further expanding our programs and services to meet the evolving needs of our guests. At Husky Harvest Waterbury, our mission is simple: to ensure that no member of the UConn

    community needs to worry about where their next meal is coming from. These new systems and improvements bring us one step closer to that goal by providing flexible, dignified, and sustainable access to fresh groceries for families in need.

    We are deeply grateful for the generous support of our partners, including CT Foodshare, CT Community Foundation, Stop & Shop, and the many donors who contribute through initiatives like UConn Gives. In addition, the unwavering dedication of UConn Waterbury Faculty & Staff has played a crucial role in advancing our mission. Their collective support enables us to make a meaningful impact on the UConn community and continue our vital work.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Upcoming and Recent Speaking Engagements

    Source: US Congressional Budget Office

    Several events in the coming weeks will allow me to highlight CBO’s projections in The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2025 to 2035, as well as the agency’s ongoing work.

    On Monday, March 3, I will summarize the budget and economic outlook at an annual conference hosted by the National Association for Business Economics. On Wednesday, March 5, I will participate in a panel on the state of the U.S. budget and the economy at the Milken Institute’s 2025 Finance Forum.

    The following week, on Monday morning, March 10, I will visit the Hoover Institution at Stanford University to discuss CBO’s latest budget projections.

    Budgetary issues were also the focus of remarks I delivered during a webcast for Market News International (MNI) on Monday, February 24. I discussed and answered questions about the long-term U.S. fiscal situation and other topics.

    Phillip L. Swagel is CBO’s Director.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Security: Columbus man pleads guilty to sextorting minor females through social media, possessing child pornography

    Source: Office of United States Attorneys

    COLUMBUS, Ohio – Jacob M. Rager, 21, of Columbus, pleaded guilty in U.S. District Court to sextorting at least two female victims and possessing child pornography. 

    According to court documents, in April 2023, one of Rager’s victims contacted the FBI National Threat Operations Center to report the distribution of nude photos of her at age 17. The female had communicated with Rager on Instagram and sent nude photos of herself to Rager on two occasions in February and November 2022, including once for a $15 payment.

    In March 2023, Rager told the victim to send another nude photo of herself or he would send the prior photos of her to her friends. The victim did not comply, and Rager sent the nude images to a high school friend of the victim.

    In October 2023, Rager sent messages to the victim via a TikTok account saying, “I have your nudes still. Reply unless you want me to expose you to everyone you know…”

    During the course of their investigation, FBI agents became aware of a second victim whose nude images were also distributed to various individuals by Rager.

    Rager sent the second victim a link on her Instagram account in October 2023 that connected to a mega site containing 70 folders. The folders were named after girls who attended Ohio University, including a folder of the victim. The images of videos of the females appeared to have been saved from the Snapchat account of each person.

    Further, Rager created an Instagram account titled with the full name of the second victim and ending with the word “destruction.” He messaged the victim from this account saying, “i have your nudes still. unless you want me to show your friends, family and both your brothers i suggest you reply. im gonna make an example out of you if you don’t reply.”

    Even after being contacted by the FBI and learning of the federal investigation pending against him, Rager continued to contact the second victim from various accounts on TikTok and Instagram.

    When agents searched his cell phone, they discovered Rager possessed other child pornography of females ages approximately 10 to 15 years old. The images included minor females inserting objects like bottles and brushes into their vaginas.

    Possessing child pornography is a federal crime punishable by up to 20 years in prison and using interstate communications to extort carries a potential maximum sentence of up to two years in prison. Congress sets minimum and maximum statutory sentences. Sentencing of the defendant will be determined by the Court based on the advisory sentencing guidelines and other statutory factors at a future hearing.

    Kelly A. Norris, Acting United States Attorney for the Southern District of Ohio, and Elena Iatarola, Special Agent in Charge, Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), Cincinnati Division, and other members of the FBI’s Child Exploitation and Human Trafficking Task Force announced the guilty plea entered today before U.S. District Judge Algenon L. Marbley. Assistant United States Attorney Emily Czerniejewski is representing the United States in this case.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Video: Use of Canines to Solve Crime

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics conference at George Mason University on August 8th, 2023. In this session, FBI Forensic Canine Operations Specialist Craig Schultz discusses canine application in the United States and how canines are being utilized regarding human scent evidence and human remains. This presentation is geared specifically for scientists and practitioners to understand the limitations and the strengths of canines and how science, law, and canines come together to reach a specific goal.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6z3FMnpsh8

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Mental Health and Wellness for Pathologists

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics conference at George Mason University on August 8th, 2023. In this session, Board Certified Pathologist and Medical Director Marissa Saint Martin discusses the challenges that pathologists often face in regard to mental health, specifically burnout. This training defines and discusses burnout while also highlighting specific strategies to overcome these stressful feelings and increase mental health and resiliency.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD3KDQ1QRiM

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Impression Session: Firearms and Toolmarks

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics Conference at George Mason University on August 10th, 2023. In this session, NIST Senior Forensic Science Research Manager Rob Thompson and FBI Supervisory Physical Scientist/Forensic Examiner Michelle Machalka introduce the concepts of firearm and fingerprint impressions. This session is useful for understanding what impressions are, how they transfer, how they are collected, how they are analyzed, and what challenges analysts encounter.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNfyG_HkPtY

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Advanced Forensic Genetic Genealogy

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    George Mason University and the National Association of Attorneys General presents the National Center on Forensics Continued Training Plan to provide additional training sessions for more advanced information on the topics covered in the conference. In this training session, Dr. Mark Wilson will discuss how DNA is used to generate data for use in FGG.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YF79fq132gA

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Deputy Prime Minister speaks at Convention of the North event

    Source: City of Preston

    Deputy Prime Minister and Secretary of State for Housing Communities and Local Government (MHCLG) Angela Rayner, spoke to a packed conference hall today at the Convention of the North event.

    The event which has been hosted by Lancashire County Council and the University of Central Lancashire over the past two days.

    Leader of Preston City Council, Councillor Matthew Brown said:

    The Convention of the North event has been a great success, and we are proud to be able to put Preston on the map and welcome visitors from the world of politics, academia, and business to the city.

    For the first time it is being held in the North West’s third largest city and has presented an excellent opportunity for Preston to showcase what it has to offer, our exciting regeneration plans and ambitions for the future, accompanied by the progress we are making towards a fairer and more democratic local economy through Community Wealth Building.

    Preston, as the leading commercial hub for Lancashire and the urban heart of a £35bn economy, is bursting with potential.

    Our key sector strengths including advanced manufacturing, aerospace, healthcare, cyber and digital offer many emerging new opportunities for our young people, in a well-connected, culturally vibrant, and green city, rich in opportunity.

    As Lancashire continues its devolution journey, a thriving Preston city region is a prerequisite for a successful Lancashire economy, and we want to ensure all residents and local businesses benefit from the city’s economic development and regeneration.

    For more information about the event and its topics visit the Convention of the North.

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI USA: Federal Reserve Board begins 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances

    Source: US State of New York Federal Reserve

    .

    February 28, 2025
    Federal Reserve Board begins 2025 Survey of Consumer Finances
    For release at 11:00 a.m. EST

    The Federal Reserve Board in March will begin its regular study of household finances, the Survey of Consumer Finances, which provides the public and policymakers with detailed and important insights into the economic condition of American families.
    “This survey is an important source of information on the financial well-being of American families,” Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome H. Powell said in a letter to prospective survey participants. “Our most recent survey, which took place in 2022, has been important to understanding the different ways that American families experienced the unusual economic conditions surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic.”
    The data collected will provide a representative picture of what Americans own—from houses and cars to stocks and bonds—how and how much they borrow, and how they bank, as well as their feelings about their economic situation and that of the United States more broadly. Past study results have contributed to policy discussions regarding the evolution of housing as a key component of wealth, the recovery of households from the Great Recession, changes in the kinds and amount of credit used by families, and a broad range of other issues.
    The current version of the survey has been undertaken every three years since 1983. It is being conducted through December of this year and for the Board by NORC, a social science research organization at the University of Chicago.
    Participants in the study are chosen at random from 119 geographic areas, including metropolitan areas and rural counties across the United States, using a scientific sampling procedure. A representative of NORC contacts each potential participant personally to explain the study and request time for an interview.
    Individual survey responses are kept strictly confidential. NORC uses names and addresses only for the administration of the survey and must destroy that identifying information at the close of the study. NORC is forbidden from giving the names and addresses of participants to anyone at the Federal Reserve or elsewhere, and that information is permanently destroyed after the survey is completed.
    Summary results for the 2025 study will be published in late 2026 after all data from the survey have been assessed and analyzed. The letter from Chair Powell will be mailed in mid-March to approximately 13,000 households urging their participation in the study.
    For media inquiries, please e-mail [email protected] or call 202-452-2955.

    Last Update: February 28, 2025

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Video: DNA 101

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics conference at George Mason University on August 8th, 2023. In this session, FBI Forensic DNA Examiner Amanda Bakker introduces all the most vital concepts of DNA analysis and evidence. For those who aren’t DNA analysts but work in tangential fields such as law enforcement and criminal justice, this session will be incredibly useful for understanding topics such as what DNA is, how it transfers, how it is collected, and how it is analyzed.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5vlD1S1918E

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Expert Testimony: Presenting Forensic Evidence in the Courtroom

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    George Mason University and the National Association of Attorneys General presents the National Center on Forensics Continued Training Plan to provide additional training sessions for more advanced information on the topics covered in the conference. In this training session panelist Mike Varone and Sam Miller will address the forensic expert’s role as a witness in criminal prosecutions, from grand jury and pretrial motions to trial testimony. Topics of discussion will include courtroom testimony tips, collaboration with legal counsel and law enforcement, types of hearings and the purposes of each, legalese translations, and recurring themes in direct and cross examination.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1w2LLGdMFdw

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: DNA Mixtures

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    George Mason University and the National Association of Attorneys General presents the National Center on Forensics Continued Training Plan to provide additional training sessions for more advanced information on the topics covered in the conference. In this training session, Amanda Baker will discuss DNA mixtures, statistic and a more detailed lesson on DNA analysis.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKg_xyev8vQ

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Advanced Crime Scene Analysis

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    George Mason University and the National Association of Attorneys General presents the National Center on Forensics Continued Training Plan to provide additional training sessions for more advanced information on the topics covered in the conference. In this training session speaker.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=chUK0Yf_OKg

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: How and When to Deal with the Media: Do’s and Don’ts

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics conference at George Mason University on August 10th, 2023. In this session, Former Chief Medical Examiner of New York Barbara Sampson explores communication skills to utilize as Medical Examiner/Coroner when addressing the media. This session navigates maintaining independence as a medical office while utilizing various media platforms as a tool to inform the public supplemented with high profile case examples.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v14-NeMGmxM

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Russia: “Science is very fluid, very fast. You have to keep up with it.”

    Translartion. Region: Russians Fedetion –

    Source: State University Higher School of Economics – State University Higher School of Economics –

    Vladimir Dimidov studies positive psychology and explores the problem of time perspective. In an interview with the Young Scientists of the Higher School of Economics project, he explained why we should think about the future, how to prevent burnout, and which places on Lake Baikal are worth visiting.

    How I got into science

    At the age of four, I wanted to become an inventor. That’s probably where it all started. I tried myself in different fields – electronics, robotics. Then I realized that something humanitarian was closer to me. I tried to become a writer. Then I entered psychology and already in my second year I met Oksana Vladimirovna Zashchirinskaya, a doctor of psychological sciences and professor at St. Petersburg State University. She was the first person who had no doubts about my successful scientific future. And in my fourth year, having worked indirectly on scientific projects, I began to look for a specific place, a research institute, where I would like to work.

    Where did I end up?

    I work at the International Laboratory of Positive Psychology of Personality and Motivation. Positive psychology is a global trend in personality psychology that deals with the problems of happiness and meaning. My scientific supervisor Dmitry Alekseevich Leontiev is a leading scientist, as well as the grandson of the famous Soviet psychologist Alexei Nikolaevich Leontiev and one of his direct followers.

    There is no other place like this in Russia. On the one hand, it is a hereditary, generational, real scientific school. On the other hand, Dmitry Alekseevich is one of the world-class scientists, and he transmits his knowledge to us. This is probably the most valuable experience that can be gained here.

    What I am researching

    Time perspective. Understanding what time perspective is is a separate theoretical task. On the one hand, it can be understood that a person is not only focused on the present, but also looks to the past and the future. In other approaches, time perspective is precisely the perspective of the future, a cognitive-motivational formation consisting of a person’s goals, aspirations, hopes, and fears.

    I suppose that time perspective plays a certain role in the regulation of behavior. Let’s take spirituality, for example. How does it enter our lives? I think through time perspective. Experiments will show whether this is true. But there is an assumption that higher behavior regulators (for some it is God, for others it is morality) appear in our lives precisely because we have a future, we think about the consequences of our actions.

    Time Perspective Effects

    People who have a time perspective are less susceptible to momentary emotions; their happiness depends less on the peak of experiences here and now, and more on meanings.

    In other words, if a person has a goal in the distant future, he may be more resistant to frustration.

    Such a goal could be, for example, defending a dissertation. What distinguishes science from other areas is the need to plan, including your defense. And people who plan better, build a path to their goal, have a more detailed time perspective.

    The lack of a time perspective can have very serious consequences. Suicide is committed by people who have lost their sense of purpose, and the first sign may be that a person has no purpose in life. Alcoholism is also one of the signs of a lack of meaning. A person’s sense system is simplified. Because of this, he becomes more dependent on momentary desires. His illness or tendency to drink alcohol intensifies. Because this intensifies, his sense system is simplified. All this takes on a pathological character.

    How my research is structured

    One of the specific hypotheses I want to test is that time perspective is a specific phenomenon that separates meaning from happiness. In statistical terms, we can say that there is a moderation effect: the correlation either increases or decreases when we introduce time perspective. In the example of happiness and meaning, their relationship should be lower. Let’s say they correlate at 0.7, but when we introduce time perspective into the model, they start to correlate at 0.4. This means that the relationship is destroyed, reduced.

    The main study looks standard: I recruit a certain sample (about two hundred people) so that the study has sufficient power. This sample must be homogeneous. Then I conduct a set of tests. Most of them I still have to develop or test in Russian.

    And then a certain structural model is built, in which there is happiness and positive emotions, there is meaning and time perspective. Within the framework of the dissertation, there will be a number of other important variables. By analyzing the indicators, we can assume whether time perspective plays a role or not.

    What I am proud of

    By not spreading myself too thin. I can do a lot in science or in the academic environment right now, but I try to concentrate on my dissertation, on distant goals.

    There is one achievement. I opened a student research project group at the Faculty of Social Sciences. We worked for a year and conducted a number of interesting studies. This was my first experience of management. I won’t say that I am proud of it, but overall I consider this enterprise successful.

    We developed the issue of goal setting. We asked people how they think about goals, set goals, why, where it all starts, what difficulties there are in this process. The results are reflected in the article “Subjective experience of goal setting”, which will soon be published in the journal “World of Psychology” by my colleagues who worked with me. This process is described there in sufficient detail. We also created a test on involvement in the goal and conducted a number of tests.

    What We Learned About Goal Setting

    We conducted two studies. They were on maximally similar samples. But at the same time, we gave some people the freedom to write down their goals, and others were asked to choose from aspirations that had been empirically identified over decades of research. And we looked at what role meaning plays.

    It turned out that people who wrote down their goals themselves had one structure of involvement in these goals, but when we gave them the aspirations ourselves, the picture was different.

    In theory, these aspirations are divided into internal and external. Internal ones are, for example, the desire for self-development, external ones are the desire to look attractive. We thought that the structures for internal and external goals would differ. It turned out that the structure in each specific case will be its own.

    Some goals bring inspiration, a person gets energy from this inspiration and gets involved. Some goals do not bring inspiration at all, but motivate a person to work on themselves. And this structure in this case depends on the meaning of the goal. My dissertation will have a higher level of generalization: it is not about specific goals, but in principle about the time perspective.

    For example, does a person consider his future limited, if he feels that he may not have as long to live as he would like, most of his life has been lived. Or, on the contrary, the future is open, a person does not know how much longer he will live, and wants to set goals for a long, long time.

    My dream as a scientist

    I have a distant goal – to found an institute. An institute in the broadest sense – it can be an educational institution or a laboratory.

    I could say that it is a dream. But it is not a dream, it is a goal. And there are also things that can be called fantasies. For example, if we talk about the state of psychology and science in Russia, I have a fantasy that scientists will become a little more immersed in science. So far, this has not happened.

    Science is very fluid, very fast. You have to keep up with it.

    You need to be aware of the current state of science, read articles that are published in your field here and now. For example, in 2024, article in the journal “Neuro”. Neurophysiologists, based on experiments with rats, put forward the initial provisions that the functioning of consciousness can be explained by quantum dualism.

    Ideally, people who study the psychology of consciousness can mobilize and begin research based on this article. But only a few will do it. These same few will be cited. These same few will set trends for other scientists. And other scientists will come to this in years, when quantum dualism may no longer be so relevant.

    Before I came to my topic, I wrote probably a dozen research projects, and each topic was closer and closer to what we have now.

    And I see a certain gap between what we do and what our closest colleagues do – psychologists from all over Russia. They use a methodology that is significantly behind. They write research for the drawer. As a scientist, I dream that in Russia the gap between provincial and metropolitan science would be smaller (although, as my scientific supervisor says, there is most provincial science in Moscow – unfortunately, this is true). I want general competence to grow.

    What areas of science could I study?

    The parts of science are closely integrated into each other. From the topic of time perspective, I can move, for example, to the topic of the temporal aspect of consciousness, to talk about how consciousness here and now, consciousness that unfolds further, provides us with a state in the flow of time, the flow of life. This is close to my topic, but already a different area. And I see this as a topic for tomorrow. Maybe tomorrow I will get a grant on this topic, or maybe no one will need it, and I will turn in another direction.

    First of all, science is a worldview. I began to notice that as I delved into the scientific field, my thinking changed greatly. And this can even lead to conflicts with colleagues who are poorly integrated into science. For example, the question of truth.

    The scientist does not know the truth. He strives for it, but he will never know it. He gradually gains power over certain pieces of reality. And such a shaky one that perhaps a new study will refute it, and he will have to adapt to it. He has to think in changeable categories, to build his worldview on the fact that, in essence, nothing is true. And if it is true, then there must be numbers, there must be statistics – in statistical sciences, and in empirical science there must be an empirical base that confirms this. And even a series of confirmations does not give the scientist the right to think that this is so.

    More reliable data is a refutation of something. If it were shown on mice, humans and dolphins that there is no quantum dualism, we could say with more certainty that consciousness is still something different, but not like that. And we could study it further.

    If I hadn’t become a scientist

    I could become a writer, a cyberneticist, a philosopher, a data scientist. All of this is useful to me even in my work. I can easily immerse myself in philosophical and psychological research. Data Science is how we conduct research. Of course, prose would probably be more difficult for me to write than scientific articles, but I would manage. Perhaps poetry is not my thing, but who knows…

    How I use artificial intelligence

    For data analysis, we can only use artificial intelligence to a limited extent now, because the scientific community is not yet accustomed to it. For example, I can process data using machine learning, but it should be an analogue of an existing statistical method that we can do manually. So that if we publish an article, reviewers understand it.

    Personally, I discuss models with artificial intelligence. For example, we have a task to develop a test of time perspective. I have a certain set of variable characteristics: some were identified in a literature review, others in another study of mine. You can generalize this yourself in one way – theoretically. You can generalize it empirically, conduct a study if there are suitable methods. Or you can discuss it with artificial intelligence, giving it certain instructions.

    For example, in terms of time perspective, I have 15 different characteristics. I can’t measure them all in a dissertation, it would be too much. They are from different theories, some of them intersect, some don’t. Discussing this with artificial intelligence, I can identify a more coherent structure, say, of four components.

    Artificial intelligence is very good at identifying what are called in statistics orthogonal and oblique structures, that is, things that are definitely not correlated, and things that are weakly or strongly correlated.

    Who would I like to meet?

    With positive psychologist Robert Emmons. He is an American fundamental psychologist who studied the problems of personal aspirations, wrote about spirituality and religiosity. At the turn of the 2000s, he studied human goals. This is close to what I do. And recently – for more than ten years – he has been studying the problem of gratitude (whether it is an emotion or religious gratitude to God). I would ask him – why. I consider him a genius, but why he chose this direction, I still do not understand.

    Emmons’s graduate student was Ken Sheldon, who at one time worked as the scientific director of our laboratory. He is still an invisibly present at HSE, as his goal self-concordance model sometimes pops up – a model of the correspondence of goals with the interests, values and needs of the individual.

    How my typical day is structured

    Every day is like a new one, everything is different. The only thing is that every evening I walk the dog, and I periodically start the morning with pancakes that my girlfriend makes. I really love them.

    Do I get burnout?

    As I have noticed, scientists work in cycles. I am also starting to experience this, but I do not have burnout as such. There is simply a deterioration in my general condition, but I know very well how to deal with it. You need to do what you love. If I am currently doing work that is not interesting to me, I can put it aside and spend half an hour doing something that I enjoy.

    Science has helped me even in difficult moments in my life. I could miss the whole day due to various events. Feel tired all evening. Not sleep until 4am. But at 4am I would sit down to do science, and my life would become better.

    What are my hobbies besides science?

    I do sports. In the warm season, I like to go to the horizontal bars. Often with friends. I love my friends very much. Most of them are also connected with science. My best friend, with whom I have been friends since school, is involved in cybersecurity. He is also a graduate student. So in any free moment I try to meet with one of them. Or at least call, if a friend is from another city.

    What does sport give?

    Sport is a great tonic, changes the physiological state of the body. Beneficial hormones and hormones of happiness are produced. Sport stabilizes the nervous system, strengthens certain neural connections in the brain due to muscle innervation. And it improves your mood!

    What I read recently

    Nassim Taleb’s book “The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails”. It is very critical of statistics in the social sciences. And, frankly, it is impossible not to agree with it.

    When collecting data, we work with a certain set of data as normally distributed indicators. We proceed from the assumption that everything we have received is subject to certain statistical laws.

    When we get a normal distribution, we know what to do with it. But if the distribution deviates from the normal, we don’t know how to work with that yet.

    “Fat tails” are just one of the signs that something deviates from the normal.

    Taleb wrote a book based on several dissertations and a number of articles by statisticians. It says that the distribution will most often be different. Most often it will obey other laws, not those we rely on. But we will work, closing our eyes to this. That’s how I was taught, that’s how everyone is taught now.

    If we admit that the book is telling the truth, we will have to admit that we can’t do anything. Statisticians should teach us (scientists who use applied statistics) to work with other data distributions. And they themselves can’t work with all types of distributions.

    Advice to young scientists

    Among young scientists, especially among my peers, the issue of earning money is acute. If you want to earn money, go into business or management. If you are a person of the heart, then go where your heart leads you. But remember that only the best of the best will earn money doing what you really like.

    Favorite place in Moscow

    I really like the Gorka Park with its sports ground under Maroseyka, not far from the Vyshka. And I like the park on Vorobyovy Gory, there is the Luzhniki sports complex nearby, you can work out on the horizontal bars and then walk along the embankment with friends.

    Favorite place in Irkutsk

    In Irkutsk, where I was born and raised, there are also two wonderful embankments. Not far from Irkutsk is Baikal, if you go to a non-tourist place, everything there is wonderful.

    I like the town of Slyudyanka in the south of Baikal. It is equidistant from the Buryat centers of attraction and Irkutsk. I have relatives there. And Baikal there is exactly the kind that is remembered: nature, beaches, mountains.

    I also love the village of Staraya Angasolka, located on the Circum-Baikal Railway. In 1926, Nikolai Roerich passed through this station, and now there is a museum to him there.

    Please note: This information is raw content directly from the source of the information. It is exactly what the source states and does not reflect the position of MIL-OSI or its clients.

    MIL OSI Russia News

  • MIL-OSI USA: In Memoriam: Harvey Gilbert, Former Professor and Department Head

    Source: US State of Connecticut

    Harvey Ronald Gilbert, Professor Emeritus and former head of the Department of Communication Sciences, passed away on Feb. 8, 2025, at his home in State College, Pennsylvania. 

    Harvey Ronald Gilbert, Professor Emeritus and former head of the Department of Communication Sciences. (Contributed by the Gilbert family).

    Gilbert was a respected and dynamic scholar of speech-language pathology who served UConn for two decades. He joined the University in 1990 and led the Department of Communication Sciences until 2005, earning a reputation for leading with integrity and fairness and supporting junior faculty. He continued to teach and mentor students until his retirement in 2010.  

    After Gilbert’s retirement, communication sciences split into the Department of Communication and the Department of Speech, Language, and Hearing Sciences. His influence as an administrator, educator, and researcher continues to shape both today. 

    Gilbert was known as a dynamic professor who helped students understand complex topics through humor. His research contributed to the understanding of how infants develop the ability to vocalize and how various health factors such as smoking, reflux, miner’s black lung disease, Parkinson’s, stuttering, and Down Syndrome impact voice and speech production.  

    As a Fellow of the American Speech-Language-Hearing Association, he served on multiple committees including chairing the one responsible for overseeing the academic accreditation of the more than 300 speech-language pathology and audiology programs in the country.  

    Gilbert is survived by his wife, Heather Dale Ricker-Gilbert, their children, and grandchildren. 

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Video: Coroner Liaison

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics Conference at George Mason University on August 9th, 2023. In this session, the Montana Forensic Science Division’s Coroner Liaison Kayla Wallace and Former Chief Medical Examiner Rob Kurtzman discuss the implementation of a Coroner Liaison Position as a supportive role in death investigation systems. There is a focus on exploring the benefits of having a position of this nature and updates to how a Coroner Liaison Position operates in rural areas such as the state of Montana.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bba2XDa6EHs

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: Use of Forensic Anthropology and Forensic Genetic Genealogy in Investigations

    Source: US National Institute of Justice (video statements)

    This training was presented as a part of the National Center on Forensics conference at George Mason University on August 10th, 2023. In this presentation, Forensic Anthropologist Dr. Anthony Falsetti gives an overview of the work done at the DC Office of the Chief Medical Examiner and how they use DNA and FGG to solve cases of unidentified victims. Dr. Mark Wilson discusses how DNA is used to generate data for use in FGG. Expert genetic genealogist CeCe Moore gives a case study using forensic genetic genealogy. This panel describes how forensic science and FGG work together for criminal investigations.

    (Opinions or points of view expressed represent the speaker and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Any product or manufacturer discussed is presented for informational purposes only and do not constitute product approval or endorsement by the U.S. Department of Justice.)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cHnFvu2cNF8

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Security: Federal Task Force to Combat Antisemitism Announces Visits to 10 College Campuses that Experienced Incidents of Antisemitism

    Source: United States Attorneys General

    The Federal Task Force to Combat Anti-Semitism announced that it will be visiting 10 university campuses that have experienced antisemitic incidents since October 2023. Created pursuant to President Trump’s Executive Order on Additional Measures to Combat Anti-Semitism, the Task Force set as its first priority to eradicate antisemitic harassment in schools and on college campuses.

    Leading Task Force member and Senior Counsel to the Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights Leo Terrell informed the 10 universities yesterday that the Task Force was aware of allegations that the schools may have failed to protect Jewish students and faculty members from unlawful discrimination, in potential violation of federal law. Mr. Terrell said he intends for the Task Force to meet with university leadership, impacted students and staff, local law enforcement, and community members as it gathers information about these incidents and considers whether remedial action is warranted.

    “The President, Attorney General Pamela Bondi, and the entire Administration are committed to ensuring that no one should feel unsafe or unwelcome on campus because of their religion,” said Mr. Terrell. “The Task Force’s mandate is to bring the full force of the federal government to bear in our effort to eradicate Anti-Semitism, particularly in schools. These visits are just one of many steps this Administration is taking to deliver on that commitment.”

    The 10 universities identified by the Task Force are: Columbia University; George Washington University; Harvard University; Johns Hopkins University; New York University; Northwestern University; the University of California, Los Angeles; the University of California, Berkeley; the University of Minnesota; and the University of Southern California.

    If you have been discriminated against, you can file a complaint with the Civil Rights Division at civilrights.justice.gov. President Trump’s Executive Order can be found at www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/additional-measures-to-combat-anti-semitism/.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Global: As flu cases break records this year, vaccine rates are declining, particularly for children and 65+ adults

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Annette Regan, Adjunct Associate Professor of Epidemiology, University of California, Los Angeles

    It’s not too late to get a flu shot. Fat Camera/E+ via Getty Images

    In February 2025, flu rates spiked to the highest levels seen in at least 15 years, with flu outpacing COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations for the first time since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has classified this flu season as having “high” severity across the U.S.

    The Conversation asked epidemiologist Annette Regan to explain why this flu season is different from last year’s and what people can do to help reduce the spread.

    How do flu cases and hospitalizations this year compare with previous years?

    Beginning in late January and extending through February 2025, flu hospitalizations have been higher than any other week since before 2009.

    Most flu cases appear to be from influenza A strains, with a split between influenza A/H3N2 and influenza A/H1N1. These are two different subtypes of the influenza A virus.

    Researchers believe that historically seasons that are predominated by influenza A/H3N2 infections tend to be more severe, but infections from influenza A/H1N1 can still be very severe.

    This year’s season is also peaking “late” compared with the past three flu seasons, which peaked in early or late December.

    Unfortunately, there have been a number of deaths from flu too this season. Since Jan. 1, 2025, alone, over 4,000 people, including 68 children, have died from flu. While the number of deaths do not mark a record number, it shows that flu can be a serious illness, even in children.

    Unless directed otherwise, everyone ages 6 months and older should get a flu shot.

    Why are flu cases so high this year?

    There are a number of factors behind any severe season, including poor community protection from low immunization rates and low natural immunity, virus characteristics, vaccine effectiveness and increased human contact via travel, office work or schools.

    Unfortunately, flu vaccination rates have declined since the COVID-19 pandemic. At the end of the 2023-24 flu season, 9.2 million fewer doses were administered in pharmacies and doctors’ offices compared with an average year before the pandemic.

    In addition, since 2022, fewer and fewer doses of flu vaccine have been distributed by private manufacturers. Flu vaccination rates for adults have historically been in the 30% to 60% range, much lower than the recommended 70%. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, flu vaccination rates were increasing by around 1% to 2% every year.

    Flu vaccination rates began dropping after the COVID-19 pandemic, especially in higher-risk groups. Flu vaccination in children has dropped from 59% in 2019-20 to 46% in 2024-25. In adults 65 years and older, the group with the greatest risk of hospitalization and death, flu vaccination rates dropped from 52% in 2019-20 to 43% in 2024-25.

    Lower vaccination rates mean a greater portion of the population is not protected by vaccines. Data shows that vaccination reduces the risk of flu hospitalization. Even if a vaccinated person gets infected, they may be less likely to experience severe illness. As a result, low vaccination rates could contribute to higher flu severity this season.

    However, low vaccination rates are probably not the only reason for the high rates of flu this season. In previous severe seasons, genetic changes to the viruses have made them better at infecting people and more likely to cause severe illness.

    The effectiveness of annual flu vaccines varies depending on how well the vaccine matches the circulating virus. The effectiveness of vaccines ranges from 19% to 60% in any given season. In the 2023-24 flu season, the vaccine was 42% effective.

    Similarly, early 2024-25 data from the U.S. shows that the vaccine was 41% to 55% effective against flu hospitalizations in adults and 63% to 78% effective against flu hospitalizations in children.

    Something as simple as regular handwashing could keep you from getting the flu.

    How do seasonal flu symptoms differ from COVID-19 and other illnesses?

    It’s important to remember that people often incorrectly refer to “the flu” when they have a common cold. Flu is caused only by the influenza virus, which tends to be more severe than common colds and more commonly causes a fever.

    Many of the signs and symptoms for flu, COVID-19 and other respiratory viruses are the same and can range from mild coldlike symptoms to pneumonia and respiratory distress. Common flu symptoms are fever, cough and fatigue, and may also include shortness of breath, a sore throat, nasal congestion, muscle aches and headache.

    Some symptoms, such as changes in or loss of taste and smell, are more common for COVID-19. For both COVID-19 and flu, the symptoms do not start until about one to four days after infection, and symptoms seem to last longer for COVID-19.

    The only way to know what virus is causing an infection is to test. This can be done using a rapid test, some of which now test for flu and COVID-19 together, or by seeing a doctor and getting tested using a nasal swab. There are prescription antiviral medications available to treat flu and COVID-19, but they need to be taken near the time that symptoms start.

    Some people are at high risk of severe flu and COVID-19, such as those who are immunosuppressed, have diabetes or have chronic heart or lung conditions. In these cases, it is important to seek early care and treatment from a health care professional. Some doctors will also prescribe via telehealth calls, which can help reduce the strain on doctors’ offices, urgent care centers and emergency rooms when infection rates are high.

    What can people do now to help steer clear of the flu?

    There are a number of ways people can reduce their risk of getting or spreading flu. Since the flu season is still underway, it’s not too late to get a flu vaccine. Even in seasons when the vaccine’s effectiveness is low, it is likely to offer better protection compared with remaining unvaccinated.

    Handwashing and disinfecting high-traffic surfaces can help reduce contact with the flu virus. Taking efforts to avoid contact with sick people can also help, including wearing a mask when in health care facilities.

    Finally, remember to take care of yourself. Exercising, eating healthy and getting sufficient sleep all help support a healthy immune system, which can help reduce chances of infection.

    Those who have been diagnosed with flu or are experiencing flu-like symptoms should avoid contact with other people, especially in crowded spaces. Covering coughs and sneezes can help reduce the amount of virus that is spread.

    Annette Regan receives research funding from the National Institutes of Health, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the Global Vaccine Data Network, and she is employed by the Department of Research & Evaluation at Kaiser Permanente Southern California.

    ref. As flu cases break records this year, vaccine rates are declining, particularly for children and 65+ adults – https://theconversation.com/as-flu-cases-break-records-this-year-vaccine-rates-are-declining-particularly-for-children-and-65-adults-250252

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: Texas records first US measles death in 10 years – a medical epidemiologist explains how to protect yourself and your community from this deadly, preventable disease

    Source: The Conversation – USA – By Daniel Pastula, Professor of Neurology, Medicine (Infectious Diseases), and Epidemiology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus

    Young children are especially vulnerable to measles. Bilanol via Getty Images

    On Feb. 26, 2025, Texas health officials announced the death of a child in a measles outbreak – the first measles death in the United States since 2015. The outbreak was first identified in early February in Gaines County, Texas, where just 82% of kindergartners are vaccinated against measles, compared with 93% on average across the country. As of Feb. 27, there were at least 124 confirmed cases in Texas and nearby towns in New Mexico.

    In an interview with The Conversation U.S. associate health editor Alla Katsnelson, neurologist and medical epidemiologist Daniel Pastula explains why measles is so dangerous and how people and communities can protect themselves from the virus.

    What is measles, and where does it come from?

    Measles is an ancient disease caused by a virus that probably evolved in cattle and jumped into humans around 500 B.C. One of the first written accounts of it comes from a Persian physician named Rhazes in the ninth century C.E., and measles epidemics were described in medieval Europe and western Asia regularly beginning around 1100-1200. The virus got brought over to the Americas in the 1500s, and it wiped out large populations of native people as Europeans colonized the continent.

    By the 1950s in the United States, there were 500,000 reported cases of measles each year – though the true number was probably closer to 4 million . It was so contagious, every kid was thought to have gotten measles by age 15. At that time, measles caused close to 50,000 hospitalizations annually and about 500 deaths, usually in children. It also caused over 1,000 cases of severe brain inflammation every year.

    The first measles vaccine became available in 1963, and scientists improved it over the following decades, causing the number of cases to plummet. In 2000, measles was declared eliminated from the U.S.

    Since then, there have been occasional minor flare-ups, usually brought in by international travelers, but by and large, measles outbreaks have been rare. No one had died of it in the United States in nearly a decade.

    Today, measles infections in the U.S. are almost completely preventable with vaccination.

    For most people, two doses of the MMR vaccine protects against measles for life.
    Sergii Iaremenko/Science Photo Library via Getty Images

    What are the typical symptoms of measles?

    About 10 to 14 days after infection, people suffering from measles experience a very high fever, cold-like symptoms including a runny nose and sneezing, and eye inflammation called conjunctivitis.

    Next, they may develop white spots called Koplik spots inside their mouth and a diffuse, spotty, red rash that starts at the head and neck, then descends across the entire body. This rash is where the disease gets its name – the word “measles” is thought to come from a medieval Dutch word for “little blemishes.”

    Symptoms of measles infection take about three weeks to resolve. People are contagious from about four days before symptoms emerge to four days after the rash starts.

    What are the possible severe outcomes of measles?

    Epidemiologists estimate that 1 in 5 people who are infected with measles get sick enough to be hospitalized. About 1 in 10 develop ear infections, some of which may result in permanent deafness.

    About 1 in 20 people develop severe measles pneumonia, which causes trouble breathing. Reports from west Texas this month suggest that many infected children there have measles pneumonia.

    About 1 in 1,000 people develop severe brain swelling. Both measles pneumonia and brain swelling can be fatal. About 3 in 1,000 people die after contracting measles.

    In about 1 in 10,000 who get sick with measles and recover from it, the virus lies dormant in the brain for about a decade. It then can reactivate, causing a severe, progressive dementia called subacute sclerosing panencephalitis, which is fatal within one to three years. There is no treatment or cure for the disease. I have seen a couple of suspected cases of subacute sclerosing panencephalitis, and none of these patients survived, despite our best efforts.

    Given how contagious measles is and how severe the outcomes can be, physicians and public health experts are gravely concerned right now.

    How does measles spread?

    Measles is one of the most contagious infectious diseases on the planet. The virus is so infectious that if you are in a room with an infected person and you are not vaccinated and have never had measles before, you have a 90% chance of becoming infected.

    The measles virus is transmitted by droplets released into the air by infected people when they cough, sneeze or simply breathe. Virus particles can survive suspended in the air or on indoor surfaces for up to two hours, so people can get infected by touching a surface carrying virus particles and then touching their face.

    Who should get the measles vaccine, and how effective is it?

    The vaccine for measles has historically been called the MMR vaccine because it has been bundled with vaccines for two other diseases – mumps and rubella. Most children in the U.S. receive it as a two-dose regimen, which is 97% effective against measles.

    Children generally get the first dose of the vaccine at 12-15 months old and the second dose when they are 4-6 years old. Infants who haven’t reached their first birthday generally do not receive it since their immune system is not yet fully developed and they do not develop quite as robust of an immune response. In an emergency, though, babies as young as 6 to 9 months old can be vaccinated. If an infant’s mother previously received the MMR vaccine or had been infected herself as a child, her transferred antibodies probably offer some protection, but this wanes in the months after birth.

    People born before 1957 are considered immune without getting the vaccine because measles was so widespread at that time that everyone was presumed to have been infected. However, certain people in this age group, such as some health care workers, may wish to discuss vaccination with their providers. And some people who had the original version of the vaccine in the 1960s may need to get revaccinated, as the original vaccine was not as effective as the later versions.

    In recent years, vaccination rates for measles and other diseases have fallen.

    Based on available evidence, the vaccine is effective for life, so people who received two doses are most likely protected.

    A single dose of the vaccine is 93% effective. Most people vaccinated before 1989 got just one dose. That year, an outbreak in vaccinated children with one dose spurred public health officials to begin recommending two doses.

    People with certain risk factors who received only one dose, and everyone who has never received a dose, should talk to their health care providers about getting vaccinated. Because the vaccine is a live but weakened version of the virus, those who are severely immunocompromised or are currently pregnant cannot get it.

    People who are immunocompromised, which includes those who have chronic conditions such as autoimmune disorders, are undergoing certain cancer treatments or have received an organ transplant, are more susceptible to measles even if they have been vaccinated.

    In the current measles epidemic in Texas, the vast majority of people falling ill are unvaccinated. Public health officials there are urging unvaccinated people in affected areas to get vaccinated.

    What measures can protect communities from measles outbreaks?

    Vaccination is the best way to protect individuals and communities from measles. It’s also the most effective way to curb an ongoing outbreak.

    High rates of vaccination are important because of a phenomenon called herd immunity. When people who are vaccinated do not get infected, it essentially stops the spread of the virus, thereby protecting those who are most susceptible to getting sick. When herd immunity wanes, the risk of infection rises for everyone – and especially for the most vulnerable, such as young children and people who are immunocompromised.

    Because measles is so contagious, estimates suggest that 95% of the population must be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity. Once vaccine coverage falls below that percentage, outbreaks are possible.

    Having robust public health systems also provides protection from outbreaks and limits their spread. Public health workers can detect cases before an outbreak occurs and take preventive steps. During a measles outbreak, they provide updates and information, administer vaccines, track cases and oversee quarantine for people who have been exposed and isolation for people who are contagious.

    Daniel Pastula does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

    ref. Texas records first US measles death in 10 years – a medical epidemiologist explains how to protect yourself and your community from this deadly, preventable disease – https://theconversation.com/texas-records-first-us-measles-death-in-10-years-a-medical-epidemiologist-explains-how-to-protect-yourself-and-your-community-from-this-deadly-preventable-disease-251004

    MIL OSI – Global Reports