Category: Weather

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Road safety improvements begin on busy commuter route

    Source: City of Derby

    Work to deliver a package of upgrades to Ashbourne Road is under way.

    Last year the Council was awarded £475,000 from the Government’s Safer Roads Fund (SRF) to improve safety on Ashbourne Road between Markeaton Island and Friar Gate.

    This section has been identified as high-risk and requiring improvement by the Road Safety Foundation.

    Following a 12-week community consultation, work is now underway to introduce collision reduction measures and to make active travel, such as walking and cycling easier. Measures include:

    • Improvements to existing pedestrian crossings
    • Upgrades to existing crossings on side roads leading to Ashbourne Road
    • New infrastructure to reduce speed.

    These works are expected to be completed in 2025 and will be conducted during off-peak periods as much as possible to minimise disruption.

    Councillor Carmel Swan, Cabinet Member for Climate Change, Transport and Sustainability, said: 

    We’re committed to creating a safer, greener transport network to Derby and Ashbourne Road is a key element of that.

    The improvements we’re carrying out on this busy commuter route will improve safety for countless road users and make it easier for people to choose greener alternatives.

    The people of Derby have played a key part in these improvements, and I want to thank everyone who took the time to share their views in our consultation.

    The Safer Roads Fund was introduced by the Department for Transport (DfT) to support road safety in England as part of a wider package of investment in Britain’s transport network. In total, £47.5 million of Government funding is being invested to improve 27 of England’s most dangerous roads.

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Government to consult on five new Fisheries Management Plans

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Consultations open for five new draft Fisheries Management Plans to secure the sustainability of UK fish stocks

    Five new draft Fisheries Management Plans (FMPs) designed to improve the long-term sustainability of UK fish stocks have opened for consultation today, securing the health of the UK fishing industry which depends on them (Thursday 10 October).    

    The draft plans, which have been developed following input from the fishing industry, provide the policies and evidence required to support fish stocks and a healthy fishing sector for generations to come.  The formal public  consultations offering the fishing industry and other stakeholders a further chance to shape the plans before they are finalised. The consultations reflect feedback from stakeholders, with fewer documents and stakeholder questions, reducing the level of work needed to contribute. 

    The plans cover North Sea and Channel sprat (developed jointly with the Scottish Government and covering English and Scottish waters), Cockle, Queen scallop, Southern North Sea and Channel skates and rays, and Southern North Sea demersal non-quota species. Consultations will run for 14 weeks, ending on 19 January 2025. Each plan is tailored to the species, type of fishing and location – which is why working with the groups and communities that understand and use these fisheries is so important. 

    Proposals in the plans will help deliver sustainable fish stocks, supporting the UK fishing industry and delivering growth in coastal communities for generations to come.   

    FMPs will play a crucial role in supporting long-term sustainability of fishing businesses and delivering growth in coastal communities, restoring and protecting nature, and enhancing food security. They are recognised internationally as the gold standard in managing fisheries 

    UK Fisheries Minister Daniel Zeichner said:  

    Fisheries Management Plans are vital for securing the long-term sustainability of our fish stocks, and the fishing industry that relies on them.  

    These consultations give fishermen the chance to have their say on those plans, and for us to draw on the expertise of those on quaysides around the country. 

    Many opportunities lie ahead for our fishing sector, and this government is committed to making the most of them to ensure the industry can best contribute to our country’s food security and economic growth.  

    Mike Cohen, Chief Executive of the National Federation of Fishermen’s Organisations, said: 

    The FMP approach is positive, collaborative and forward-looking: exactly what we need to support sustainable food production from the sea and growth in coastal communities.  

    Expanding this ambition to new stocks in these latest consultations is a valuable step towards comprehensively modernising British fisheries management. The proposal to amend the deadlines for completing the FMP project is also deeply sensible.  

    The first round of Plans showed how much effort is required to develop them. Allowing sufficient time to complete such essential work with the care that it deserves shows that stakeholders have been listened to and will be warmly welcomed by everyone who wants to see FMPs succeed.

    In addition to publishing the new draft plans, and after engaging extensively with stakeholders, Defra has published the mixed flatfish FMP, following consultation last year. 

    The published plan reflects technical issues raised in the public consultation including restarting the sole survey in the Thames area and implementing minimum conservation reference size for lemon sole, turbot and brill in area 7.d.  

    Alongside the FMP consultations, Defra and the fisheries policy authorities in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have jointly launched a public consultation into amending deadlines for producing further FMPs as set out in the Joint Fisheries Statement.  This will be a shorter consultation, closing on 21 November.

    The consultation proposes amending the publication deadlines for five Defra-led plans to the end of 2025, for 29 Scottish Government, Defra and DAERA jointly-led plans to the end of 2026, and for one Welsh Government-led plan to the end of 2028.  Some additional technical amendments are proposed. 

    The proposed new deadlines will help to ensure that there is adequate time for the fishing sector and wider stakeholders to feed into the development of the FMPs, and for their views to be reflected as part of the co-design process.   

    Scottish Government Cabinet Secretary for Rural Affairs, Land Reform and Islands Mairi Gougeon said: 

    The revised timeline to deliver the remaining Fisheries Management Plans proposed by the four administrations will help to ensure that the fishing industry and others impacted by these proposals can play a meaningful role in developing them.  

    Work is ongoing to develop the Scottish-led Fisheries Management Plans for UK waters. The Scottish Government will continue to engage to ensure that FMPs are fit for purpose, supporting sustainable fishing and our marine environment and ultimately benefiting Scotland’s fishing industry and coastal communities.

    Wales’ Deputy First Minister with responsibility for Climate Change and Rural Affairs, Huw Irranca-Davies, said:  

    I am pleased to be launching a consultation with the other UK fisheries policy authorities (FPAs). The proposed changes will enable the FPAs to produce high-quality, comprehensive and robust FMPs that will achieve the long-term aim of sustainably managed fisheries. I now look forward to hearing views on the proposals we have set out. 

    Northern Ireland Minister of Agriculture, Environment and Rural Affairs, Andrew Muir MLA, said:   

    The development of fisheries management plans provides an important opportunity for Northern Ireland fisheries management, by enabling us to draw on the best available science and the expertise of our fishers and other stakeholders, to ensure that our fish stocks are healthy and sustainable into the long term.  

    I am committed to continuing engagement with all stakeholders likely to be impacted by the plans which my department has responsibility for. It is essential that the plans are fit for purpose and can deliver a thriving, sustainable fishing industry for Northern Ireland whilst improving the marine environment.

    Further information

    • The Joint Fisheries Statement currently lists 43 fisheries management plans. FMPs are intended to help restore or maintain stocks at sustainable levels 

    • The sprat plan was prepared jointly with the Scottish Government and covers sprat fisheries in English and Scottish waters of the North Sea and English Channel. The other 4 plans cover English waters.  

    • The five FMP consultations will run for 14 weeks, ending at 23:59 on 19 January 2025.   

    • The JFS consultation will run for six weeks, starting at 10.00 on 10 October and ending at 23.59 on 21 November.  

    Draft Fisheries Management Plans  

    The draft plans will deliver our obligations as set out in the Joint Fisheries Statement and the England Environmental Improvement Plan. They cover  

    • Cockle  
    • Queen scallop  
    • North Sea and Channel sprat (covering English waters and Scottish waters)  
    • Southern North Sea and Channel skates and rays  
    • Southern North Sea demersal non-quota species  

    More information about the Fisheries Management Programme can be found in the Fisheries Management Programme blog.

    Updates to this page

    Published 10 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Security: U.S. Attorney Alerts Public to Charity Scams in Wake of Hurricane Helene

    Source: United States Department of Justice (National Center for Disaster Fraud)

    SAN DIEGO – United States Attorney Tara McGrath issued a public safety alert today advising the public to be vigilant to hurricane relief fraud in the wake of powerful hurricanes causing devastation on the East Coast.

    “During times of crisis, be vigilant, because not all who ask for help have good intentions,” McGrath said. “Be sure to protect yourself by verifying before you donate to ensure your generous support reaches those truly in need.”

    Hurricane Milton is heading for Florida now, less than a week after Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend Region on Sept. 26 and quickly caused major devastation there and across states including Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Tennessee, and others. As we have seen in the wake of previous national disasters, fraudsters will target victims of the storm along with citizens across the country who want to do what they can to assist individuals affected by the storm. Unfortunately, criminals exploit disasters for their own gain by sending fraudulent communications through email or social media and by creating deceiving websites designed to solicit contributions.

    The public should exercise diligence before giving contributions to anyone soliciting donations or individuals offering to assist those affected by Hurricane Helene. Solicitations can originate from phone calls, texts, social media, e-mail, door-to-door collections, flyers, mailings, and other similar methods. Before making a donation to benefit victims of Hurricane Helene, individuals should adhere to certain guidelines, including:

    • Make contributions directly to known organizations rather than relying on others to make the donation on your behalf.
    • Do not be pressured into making contributions as reputable charities do not use such tactics.
    • Do not respond to any unsolicited communications (e.g., e-mails and texts), and never click links contained within those messages because they may be targeting your personal information, to include bank and credit card account information, and other identifiers such as dates of birth and social security numbers.
    • Rather than clicking on a purported link to a charity, verify its legitimacy by utilizing various Internet-based resources that may assist in confirming whether the organization is a valid charity.
    • Beware of organizations with copy-cat names similar to, but not exactly the same as, those of reputable charities.
    • Avoid cash donations if possible. Pay by credit card or write a check directly to the charity. Do not make checks payable to individuals.
    • Know that legitimate charities do not normally solicit donations via money transfer services, and their website will normally end in .org rather than .com.
    • Be cautious of e-mails that claim to show pictures of the disaster areas in attached files because the files may contain viruses. Only open attachments from known senders.

    The U.S. Department of Justice established the National Center for Disaster Fraud (NCDF) in the wake of Hurricane Katrina to deter, investigate, and prosecute fraud in the wake of disasters. More than 50 federal, state, and local agencies participate in the NCDF, which reminds the public to be aware of and report any instances of alleged fraudulent activity related to relief operations and funding for victims. Complaints of fraud may be reported online at http://www.justice.gov/DisasterComplaintForm. Complaints may also be reported to the NCDF at (866) 720-5721, a hotline that is staffed 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.

    MIL Security OSI

  • MIL-OSI Video: Sec. Pete Buttigieg: We have personnel on the ground for Hurricane.

    Source: United States of America – Federal Government Departments (video statements)

    This storm is catastrophic. We have hundreds of DOT personnel on the ground supporting life-saving preparations for Hurricane Milton, as well as carrying out response and recovery efforts for communities impacted by Hurricane Helene.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBsxNJ_O2f4

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI Video: FEMA Administrator Deanna Criswell Daily Press Briefing – October 9th, 2024

    Source: United States of America – Federal Government Departments (video statements)

    FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell hosts a virtual daily briefing to discuss FEMA’s actions to prepare for Hurricane Milton and ongoing response to Hurricane Helene.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jtty1eO1guQ

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI USA: California deploys additional Urban Search and Rescue personnel to support response to Hurricane Milton

    Source: US State of California 2

    Oct 9, 2024

    In total, California has now deployed 354 highly specialized personnel to support recent hurricane response efforts

    SACRAMENTO – With Hurricane Milton making landfall in Florida tonight, Governor Gavin Newsom today announced the deployment of an additional 70 California-based firefighters to assist with search and rescue efforts. This additional aid follows the deployment of 144 California Urban Search and Rescue personnel earlier this week who are currently prepositioned in Florida.

    The Governor previously deployed California Urban Search and Rescue resources to support the response to Hurricane Helene, including 140 firefighters and support personnel.

    In total, California has now deployed 354 personnel to support hurricane response efforts. Together, the teams can provide support for search and rescue operations around the clock when conditions permit.

    “In times of crisis, Americans unite to lend a helping hand. California is sending hundreds of emergency personnel to aid Florida as the state endures devastating hurricanes. Floridians, please stay safe and follow all emergency guidance.”

    Governor Gavin Newsom

    In close coordination with FEMA, the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) has deployed the additional 70 Task Force members from Orange County and Menlo Park. These highly specialized personnel are trained in structural collapse and swift water/flood environments.

    This deployment has no impact on California’s emergency response and firefighting capabilities.
     
    “California is dedicated to helping those in the path of this major storm,” said Cal OES Director Nancy Ward. “With the deployment of these additional resources, we can help bolster ongoing response and recovery efforts as Hurricane Milton impacts communities across Florida.”
     
    Last month, Governor Newsom deployed California support to Florida to bolster the response to Hurricane Helene. California also sent aid to Texas in July and Georgia in August in response to tropical storms. In the past two years, California has also deployed firefighters to New MexicoHawaiiOregon and Montana

    Recent news

    News SACRAMENTO – Governor Gavin Newsom today announced the following appointments:Jennifer Troia, of Sacramento, has been appointed Director at the California Department of Social Services. Troia has served as Chief Deputy Director at the California Department of…

    News SACRAMENTO – Governor Gavin Newsom today announced his appointment of 18 Superior Court Judges, which include one in Colusa County; one in Contra Costa County; five in Los Angeles County; two in Orange County; three in Sacramento County; one in San Bernardino…

    News What you need to know: The California Highway Patrol recently conducted two enforcement stops leading to the seizure of nearly $1.7 million of illegal fentanyl and multiple illegally possessed firearms and the arrests of three out-of-state suspects in the Central…

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 690

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
    SEL0

    URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    Tornado Watch Number 690
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    815 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024

    The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

    * Tornado Watch for portions of
    Central and South Florida
    Coastal Waters

    * Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 815 AM until
    900 PM EDT.

    * Primary threats include…
    Several tornadoes likely
    Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

    SUMMARY…Supercells in the outer rain bands of Hurricane Milton
    will pose a threat for several tornadoes today across the central
    and southern Florida Peninsula. The forecast maximum wind gusts and
    mean cell motion apply to severe thunderstorms outside the eyewall.

    The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
    east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast of Saint
    Petersburg FL to 10 miles south southwest of Marathon FL. For a
    complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
    update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
    tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
    area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
    threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
    and possible warnings.

    &&

    AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
    surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
    gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
    storm motion vector 17040.

    …Gleason

    Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
    SAW0
    WW 690 TORNADO FL CW 091215Z – 100100Z
    AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
    35ENE PIE/SAINT PETERSBURG FL/ – 10SSW MTH/MARATHON FL/
    ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /31ENE PIE – 38E EYW/
    HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
    MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 17040.

    LAT…LON 28118075 24597976 24598246 28118354

    THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
    COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
    FOR WOU0.

    Watch 690 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

    Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

    Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

    High (80%)

    Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

    Low (20%)

    Wind

    Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

    Low (20%)

    Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

    Low (10%)

    Hail

    Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

    Low ( 2 inches

    Low (

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC MD 2135

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Mesoscale Discussion 2135
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0445 AM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

    Areas affected…much of southern Florida

    Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

    Valid 090945Z – 091315Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent

    SUMMARY…The conditional risk of isolated tornadoes is expected to
    generally increase this morning, especially after sunrise.

    DISCUSSION…Low-level warming/moistening is noted on surface
    observations over southern FL this morning, as a boundary moves
    north toward a Miami to Naples line. Cells have generally languished
    over land due to the relatively cooler air mass in place, however,
    theta-e advection will continue to reduce that influence.

    Occasional supercells were noted off the western Peninsula, with
    renewed development noted recently within a zone well offshore.
    Radar also shows large-scale confluence bands/convection extending
    from western Cuba and curling northwestward into the eastern Gulf of
    Mexico ahead of Hurricane Milton. Additional bands such as these
    could form farther east, and affect parts of southern FL later this
    morning, and especially along the aforementioned baroclinic zone now
    pushing north across far southern FL.

    Shortly after sunrise, boundary-layer mixing will result in
    destabilization for surface-based parcels, with 850 mb winds
    increasing to over 30 kt. 0-1 SRH is already over 100 m2/s2, and
    should generally approach the 150-200 m2/s2 range through the day.
    This will result in a favorable environment for a few tornadic
    supercells, given upper 70s F dewpoints and heating.

    As such, a watch may be considered closer to 12Z.

    ..Jewell/Gleason.. 10/09/2024

    …Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

    ATTN…WFO…MFL…MLB…KEY…TBW…

    LAT…LON 26998247 26978206 27028157 27068130 27228095 27368067
    27348015 26627990 25448010 24748055 24528135 24498204
    24708221 25218223 25528256 25758277 26138302 26618302
    26838286 26998247

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Tornado Watch 690 Status Reports

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Video: 101st Hurricane Helene Relief Efforts

    Source: US Army (video statements)

    About the U.S. Army:

    The Army Mission – our purpose – remains constant: To deploy, fight and win our nation’s wars by providing ready, prompt & sustained land dominance by Army forces across the full spectrum of conflict as part of the joint force.

    Interested in joining the U.S. Army?
    Visit: spr.ly/6001igl5L

    Connect with the U.S. Army online:
    Web: https://www.army.mil
    Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/USarmy/
    X: https://www.twitter.com/USArmy
    Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/usarmy/
    LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/us-army
    #USArmy #Soldiers #Military #Helene #HurricaneRelief

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RK6jdlDnoZ8

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI USA: SPC Oct 9, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

    Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on Oct 9, 2024

    Updated: Wed Oct 9 08:32:03 UTC 2024

     .

    D4
    Sat, Oct 12, 2024 – Sun, Oct 13, 2024
    D7
    Tue, Oct 15, 2024 – Wed, Oct 16, 2024

    D5
    Sun, Oct 13, 2024 – Mon, Oct 14, 2024
    D8
    Wed, Oct 16, 2024 – Thu, Oct 17, 2024

    D6
    Mon, Oct 14, 2024 – Tue, Oct 15, 2024
    (All days are valid from 12 UTC – 12 UTC the following day)

    Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.

    PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

    POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely (i.e., less than 15%) for the forecast day.

     Forecast Discussion

    ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
    ACUS48 KWNS 090830
    SPC AC 090830

    Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0330 AM CDT Wed Oct 09 2024

    Valid 121200Z – 171200Z

    …DISCUSSION…
    Overall upper pattern across the central and eastern CONUS is
    expected to undergo significant amplification from D4/Saturday into
    D7/Tuesday as a series of shortwave troughs move through
    progressively deeper troughing. By early D7/Tuesday, upper troughing
    is expected to extend from the primary cyclone over the Canadian
    Maritimes into the central Plains.

    A cold front is expected to accompany the first shortwave trough,
    moving across the eastern CONUS on D4/Saturday and D5/Sunday.
    Limited buoyancy should keep the thunderstorm potential along this
    front low. Strong ridging will follow in the wake of this front,
    with dry and stable conditions precluding thunderstorms across the
    majority of the CONUS. The only exception is along the Gulf
    Coast/Florida, where enough low-level moisture may be in place to
    support some thunderstorms.

    ..Mosier.. 10/09/2024

    CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Video: President Biden and Vice President Harris Receive a Briefing on Hurricane Helene and Milton

    Source: United States of America – The White House (video statements)

    President Biden and Vice President Harris receive a briefing on the Administration’s life-saving preparations for Hurricane Milton, as well as the latest updates on the forecast and expected impacts for the State of Florida. The President and Vice President will also receive an update on the ongoing response to the impacts of Hurricane Helene across the Southeast.

    The White House

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JSGjUyHz3PI

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI: WTW launches partnership with the University of Colorado Boulder to harness the climate prediction revolution

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    LONDON, Oct. 09, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), a leading global advisory, broking, and solutions company today announced a new scientific partnership with the University of Colorado Boulder to transfer scientific advances in seasonal climate prediction to the insurance and risk management industries. Through this collaboration, WTW and its clients will be able to anticipate how weather events will affect their operations and portfolios over the next quarter and prepare for forecasted climate risks.

    Natural fluctuations in the Pacific Ocean – known as El Niño and La Niña – are the leading cause of year-over-year changes in the global climate. The reach of these patterns extends far beyond the Pacific and affects the odds of drought, wildfire, heatwaves, and hurricanes across much of the world. Because meteorological agencies are now able to predict El Niño and La Niña episodes several months ahead of time, these forecasts provide advance warning of severe weather events and likely climate impacts over large parts of the globe.

    Historically, the state of the tropical Pacific has cost trillions of dollars in direct damages and reduced economic growth. But most businesses have only begun to take advantage of the strong predictability offered by El Niño and La Niña. WTW has teamed with the University of Colorado Boulder to harness the ongoing ‘climate prediction revolution’ for business use and improve our ability to predict global climate for the coming season, year, and decade. At CU Boulder, the collaboration will be led by Prof. Pedro DiNezio, a leading expert in long-term climate forecasts, the effects of El Niño, and climate extremes under global warming.

    Scott St. George, Head of Weather and Climate Research for the WTW Research Network, said, “What happens in the tropical Pacific certainly does not stay in the tropical Pacific. El Niño and La Niña can reach across the entire globe to affect local weather and the risks of catastrophic perils. We are excited to work together with Prof. DiNezio so our clients know well in advance how to prepare their business when El Niño and La Niña are on the horizon. These insights will be especially valuable for sectors that depend strongly on natural resources, such as energy producers, food and beverage, and transportation.”

    Pedro DiNezio, Associate Professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at CU Boulder, added, “Making predictions is one of the most thrilling parts of my work. Every prediction tests our understanding of the inner workings of the climate system. In addition, El Niño and La Niña happen every several years, therefore we do not fully know everything about these complex, sometimes chaotic phenomena, keeping our research fresh and exciting. This collaboration with WTW adds a new layer to this challenge as we learn how to produce predictions that are useful for the insurance sector and vulnerable communities around the world”.

    About WTW

    At WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), we provide data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk and capital. Leveraging the global view and local expertise of our colleagues serving 140 countries and markets, we help organizations sharpen their strategy, enhance organizational resilience, motivate their workforce and maximize performance.

    Working shoulder to shoulder with our clients, we uncover opportunities for sustainable success—and provide perspective that moves you.

    Learn more at wtwco.com.

    About the University of Colorado Boulder

    At the foot of the Rocky Mountains, the University of Colorado Boulder is nationally recognized as one of only 38 AAU public research universities. Established in 1876, CU Boulder is an R1 public research university with five Nobel laureates, nine MacArthur fellows and is the No. 1 public university recipient of NASA awards. CU Boulder is a leader in many fields, including aerospace engineering, earth and environmental science, physics, and environmental law. The school partners with many notable federal research labs, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Learn more.

    Media contact

    Sarah Booker: +44 7917 722040
    Sarah.booker@willistowerswatson.com

    CU Boulder Media Relations:
    cunews@colorado.edu

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI: Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta Pledges Support For Hurricane Helene Relief and Recovery

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    ATLANTA, Oct. 09, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta (FHLBank Atlanta) is supporting recovery and relief efforts for those affected by Hurricane Helene, donating $250,000 to the American Red Cross and making up to $2 million available through its Community Rebuild and Restore Product to assist with the rehabilitation of homes damaged by the storm.

    “Across the Southeast, many of the communities that our members serve have been severely impacted by Hurricane Helene and devastating floods,” said Kirk Malmberg, president and CEO of FHLBank Atlanta. “These funds will provide critical support for both immediate relief and rebuilding efforts, helping to ease the burden on local communities.”

    FHLBank Atlanta offers the Community Rebuild and Restore Product through its Affordable Housing Homeownership Set-aside Program in partnership with its member financial institutions, providing up to $10,000 to impacted homeowners for the rehabilitation of homes in “major disaster” areas, as designated by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Funding is available on a first-come, first-served basis for eligible homeowners.

    “Our mission is to promote housing opportunity and homeownership, and there is never a more important time to take action than when a natural disaster damages the places people call home,” Malmberg said. “With these contributions we join many others in supporting recovery initiatives and helping our communities as they rebuild.”

    About the Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
    FHLBank Atlanta is a member-owned cooperative that offers competitively-priced financing, community development grants, and other banking services to assist its member financial institutions make affordable home mortgages and provide economic development credit to neighborhoods and communities. The Bank’s members are commercial banks, credit unions, savings institutions, community development financial institutions, and insurance companies located in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, and the District of Columbia. FHLBank Atlanta is one of 11 district banks in the Federal Home Loan Bank System. Since 1990, the FHLBanks have awarded approximately $9.1 billion in Affordable Housing Program funds, assisting more than 1.2 million households.

    For more information, visit our website at http://www.fhlbatl.com.

    CONTACT:
    Sheryl Touchton
    Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
    stouchton@fhlbatl.com
    404.888.8105

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI Banking: Danmarks National­bank’s comments on the Economic Council’s discussion paper, Autumn 2024

    Source: Danmarks Nationalbank

    Danmarks Nationalbank generally shares the Chairmanship’s assessment of the outlook for the Danish economy and the risk outlook. Interest rate rises in recent years have contributed to slowing growth in the Danish and international economy and to a fall in inflation. This has prompted the European Central Bank (ECB) and others to ease monetary policy again. Like the Chairmanship, Danmarks Nationalbank believes that the development of the Danish economy has been characterised by a dichotomy in recent years. On the one hand, there has been a slowdown in growth in most parts of the domestic economy, while on the other, there has been an increase in exports, in particular driven by production abroad under Danish ownership, known as merchanting and processing (M&P). Like the Chairmanship, Danmarks Nationalbank assesses that M&P activities as such have only a minor impact on the domestic cyclical position. M&P is expected to make a significant contribution to growth in the Danish economy over the next few years, while the rest of the export-oriented industries are also expected to grow. Domestic demand is expected to pick up as real wage growth and gradually looser monetary policy translate into increased private consumption and investment.

    The Chairmanship believes that the Danish economy is currently experiencing a boom with more than normal pressure on the labour market. Danmarks Nationalbank shares the view that there is still some pressure on the labour market, although it has eased compared to a few years ago. However, Danmarks Nationalbank believes that the pressure on the labour market, measured by the employment gap, has eased to a greater extent and that it is currently smaller than the Chairmanship’s assessment. This is supported by a number of indicators such as the labour shortages and number of vacancies reported by companies, both of which indicate that the pressure has eased compared to a few years ago. Unlike the Chairmanship, Danmarks Nationalbank believes that the Danish economy is currently in an approximately neutral cyclical position.

    Danmarks Nationalbank share the Chairmanship’s expectations that wage growth will slow down next year due to less pressure on the labour market and significantly lower inflation. However, Nationalbanken also expect lower wage increases than the Chairmanship. Inflation is currently fuelled by domestic factors, and Danmarks Nationalbank expects to a larger extend than the Chairmanship that the current high wage increases will lift inflation going forward. Nationalbanken therefore expect slightly higher consumer price increases than the Chairmanship next year.

    Like the Chairmanship, Danmarks Nationalbank believes that monetary and fiscal policy is still needed to contribute to an appropriate development in the business cycle in Denmark, which will support stable price development. Nationalbanken has raised interest rates significantly since the summer of 2022 as a result of the tightening of monetary policy implemented by the ECB in the euro area to bring down inflation. The Chairmanship believes that monetary policy has dampened activity in recent years and will also dampen activity next year, whereas fiscal policy is expected to counteract this in 2025. Specifically, the Chairmanship estimates that fiscal policy has been eased by around 1 per cent of GDP in 2025 compared to 2023. Based on the assessment of the current situation of high capacity pressures, the Chairmanship believes that fiscal policy should be tightened. From a purely stabilisation point of view, it is considered appropriate to tighten fiscal policy to return it approximately to the level of 2023.

    In the current situation with continued high wage increases and some pressure on the labour market, including low unemployment, Danmarks Nationalbank shares the Chairmanship’s assessment that this is a good time to ease fiscal policy to the extent proposed in the government’s proposal for the 2025 budget. However, Danmarks Nationalbank believes that a tightening of the magnitude recommended by the Chairmanship would be too much. This is due to the fact that inflation has fallen sharply and that pressure on the labour market has been reduced over the past few years. Danmarks Nationalbank also believes that monetary policy and financial conditions remain tight in Denmark.

    Danmarks Nationalbank agree with the Chairmanship that the green tripartite agreement (“Agreement on a Green Denmark”) is a step towards uniform taxation of carbon emissions in Denmark, but that the effective tax level, including the proposed basic deduction, is still lower in agriculture than in other industries. Danmarks Nationalbank also shares the Chairmanship’s assessment that there is a risk of the reductions assumed in the agreement not being realised, partly because the agreement involves untested technologies. Thus, it remains unclear whether the carbon tax level is sufficient to ensure the fulfilment of the objectives of the Climate Act. Clarity on future tax levels contributes to price and financial stability by clarifying risks associated with emission-intensive business models.

    Danmarks Nationalbank contributed to the work of the “Expert Group for a Green Tax Reform” in 2023 by assessing the impact of carbon taxes on agriculture on banks and mortgage credit institutions. Danish banks and mortgage credit institutions are generally expected to be well equipped to handle any losses resulting from a carbon tax. This is due to their ongoing profits, a decrease in the institutions’ total lending to the industry and a generally high level of security in underlying collateral.

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI USA: FEMA Is Contacting People Affected by Tropical Storm Debby and Hurricane Helene

    Source: US Federal Emergency Management Agency

    Headline: FEMA Is Contacting People Affected by Tropical Storm Debby and Hurricane Helene

    FEMA Is Contacting People Affected by Tropical Storm Debby and Hurricane Helene

    ATLANTA – Georgians who apply for disaster assistance for Tropical Storm Debby or Hurricane Helene may be eligible for assistance for both disasters. FEMA is placing calls to survivors in Bryan, Bulloch, Chatham, Effingham, Evans, Liberty, Long, and Screven counties who only registered for one of the disasters to inform them that they can apply for assistance for both disasters if they sustained damaged from both storms. 

    These calls may come from unfamiliar area codes or phone numbers. FEMA may also send a text message if they are unable to reach you by phone. If you are concerned about verifying if it is FEMA, you can call 800-621-3362. FEMA representatives never charge applicants for disaster assistance, inspections or help in filling out applications. Their services are free.

    Applications for both storms must be submitted separately. Eligible survivors affected by both storms may receive funds for food, water, baby formula and other emergency needs as well as money to help pay for a temporary place to stay. Federal grant funds may help with survivors’ immediate housing needs and can be used for the cost of staying with friends and family or hotel/motel lodging. If applicants already created a Login.gov account, they may use that same account in accessing both applications.

    Go online to DisasterAssistance.gov, use the FEMA App or call 800-621-3362 to apply for FEMA assistance. The telephone line is open every day and help is available in most languages. If you use a relay service, such as Video Relay Service (VRS), captioned telephone or other service, give FEMA your number for that service. To view an accessible video on how to apply visit Three Ways to Apply for FEMA Disaster Assistance – YouTube.

    When applying, people will need to describe what damage occurred and on what date, to ensure federal disaster assistance from the two storms is not duplicated. Keep all receipts for expenses associated both disasters, including:

    • Home repairs
    • Repairs to a septic system, water well or private road
    • Purchase of a generator or chainsaw
    • Replacement of personal property items such as appliances
    • Vehicle repairs or replacement
    • Insurance settlement or denial

    For the latest information about Georgia’s recovery, visit fema.gov/disaster/4821 and fema.gov/disaster/4830. Follow FEMA on X at x.com/femaregion4 or on Facebook at facebook.com/fema.

    sandra.habib

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: expert reaction to Hurricane Milton

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Scientists comment on Hurricane Milton in the Gulf of Mexico. 

    Prof Ilan Kelman, Professor of Disasters and Health, University College London, said:

    “Florida should have been braced for catastrophic impacts from Hurricane Milton, especially storm surge and rainfall flooding. The possible disaster is sadly unsurprising, since Florida sits in the usual hurricane zone and it is now hurricane season. Yet the state permitted building development in dangerous locations and does not always support people who need help over the long-term to be ready for hazards.

    “Human-caused climate change is strengthening hurricanes while reducing their frequency. Hurricane Milton shows exactly the climate change influence we would expect from higher storm intensity.

    “Given Florida’s hurricane history including previous storms in this area in 1848, 1921, and 1946, they should have been much more prepared over the long-term. Planning decisions creating dangers and long-term lack of services to assist people who cannot help themselves for known hazards are all about choices to make disasters.”

    Prof Liz Stephens, Professor in Climate Risks and Resilience, University of Reading, said:

    “The wide area of intense winds and rainfall from Hurricane Milton will mean that many communities in Florida who are still recovering from the impacts of Hurricane Helene will be affected again by this latest storm, even though Milton is expected to make landfall further south.

    “Hurricane Milton is forecasted to track across Florida and out into the North Atlantic Ocean. This means that we are not expecting to see the same flash flooding and mudslide impacts as Helene in areas such as the Appalachian mountains, caused by Helene decaying over land.

    “Rising sea surface temperatures as a result of climate change are fuelling the intensity of hurricanes, and the warmer atmosphere can carry more water. This means that the storms which do form are becoming more impactful.

    “Further research is needed to understand how the risk of consecutive hurricanes is changing, as these clusters of events can greatly stretch resources for emergency preparedness and response.”

    Prof Hannah Cloke, Professor of Hydrology, University of Reading, said:

    “Hurricane winds grab people’s attention, but flooding is probably the biggest concern with Milton. Winds of 150mph can easily destroy buildings and cause injuries and fatalities if people are caught out in the open by flying debris. 

     “There are three types of floods that cause the biggest damage – storm surge causing coastal flooding, flash floods from the extremely heavy rain, and river floods as all that water rushes down channels and onto floodplains. 

     “People’s attention may be turned to the sky, but emergency planners will be worried about what is coming from below.”

    Prof John Marsham, Professor of Atmospheric Science, University of Leeds, said:

    How does climate change impact extreme weather?

    “Weather extremes increase rapidly for even apparently small increases in global temperature – this is true for heatwaves, floods, droughts and intensity of hurricanes.

    Is climate change making hurricanes more common/worse?

    “Many aspects of Helene and Milton are absolutely what we expect from climate change – hurricanes need warm oceans to form, and record-breaking ocean temperatures are fuelling these devastating storms. Warm air holds more water, giving heavier rain and more flooding. Increased sea-levels from climate change give more coastal flooding when hurricanes create a temporary “storm surge” rise in sea level. Finally, climate change can give shorter gaps between extreme events allowing less time to recover – we’re now seeing people affected by Helene now having to prepare for Milton. If we rapidly phase out fossil fuels, we can stop these extremes getting much worse but will have to continue to cope with the new climate we have created and will likely have to cope with rising sea levels for centuries.

    What is particularly worrying about this hurricane?

    “As a climate scientist, and a parent, every extreme weather event is now a reminder of the catastrophe we will face if we do not rapidly phase out fossil fuels. The tragedy is that climate scientists have been warning of this for decades. Rapid action is critical. Most people in the UK want more action on climate change and underestimate how much other people do. We have solutions and rapid action will save trillions.”

    Declared interests:

    Prof Ilan Kelman: No interests to declare

    Prof Liz Stephens: “I also work for the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre”

    Prof John Marsham: “I receive funding from UKRI, FCDO and the Met Office”

    For all other experts, no reply to our request for DOIs was received.

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Canada: Prime Minister announces new Ministerial Lead for Jasper

    Source: Government of Canada – Prime Minister

    Following last summer’s unprecedented wildfires that devastated the historic town of Jasper, the community is rebuilding. Businesses are getting back on their feet. Visitors are returning. Jasper is resilient.

    Amid the fires, we worked closely with the Municipality of Jasper and the Government of Alberta to provide urgent support to Albertans and impacted Indigenous communities. As we look ahead, we remain committed to ensuring the long-term recovery of Jasper – one of Canada’s national treasures.

    As part of the federal government’s commitment to the people of Jasper, the Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, today announced that Randy Boissonnault, Minister of Employment, Workforce Development and Official Languages, will also serve as Ministerial Lead for Jasper.

    In this role, Minister Boissonnault will lead the federal government’s work to support people and businesses in Jasper and to ensure the community rebuilds stronger than ever. He will co-ordinate federal support with provincial, municipal, and Indigenous partners to accelerate the recovery process, report on its progress, and ensure environmental protection measures remain world class. He will be supported in this role by a working group of Cabinet ministers – each with their own mandate in helping Jasper recover.

    Rebuilding from last summer’s wildfires will require a collective effort. The Government of Canada stands ready to provide financial assistance to the Government of Alberta through the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements (DFAA), to help with response and recovery costs and build back stronger.

    A home to Indigenous Peoples since time immemorial and a place of natural beauty that has long attracted visitors from all over the world, Jasper is the heart of a vibrant community and national park. Our efforts to restore it are a testament to our commitment to Albertans and to conservation and environmental stewardship for future generations.

    Quotes

    “Our government is here for the people of Jasper. With Minister Boissonnault’s role as Ministerial Lead, we’re undertaking a collective effort – with resources, investments, and partnerships – to help Jasper recover.”

    “As the Alberta Minister in Cabinet and a longtime Jasper visitor, I accept the responsibility that the Prime Minister has given me to lead the rebuild of one of our nation’s most breathtaking communities. Jasper holds a special place in the hearts of millions. My colleagues and I will work hard to give Mayor Ireland, the Town Council, local businesses, and every Jasperite the support they need to build the town back on their terms – and even better than before.”

    Quick Facts

    • Last summer’s wildfires in Jasper National Park were the largest to impact the park in more than a century. Firefighter crews did a heroic job in saving 70 per cent of the infrastructure in the town of Jasper. Recovery and rebuilding efforts are focused on revitalizing both the town and park.
    • Over the course of the incident, over 3,000 personnel from Parks Canada and other agencies across the country worked with the common goals of suppressing the wildfires and helping community members re-enter the town and national park.
    • The working group of Cabinet ministers that will support Minister Boissonnault in his role as Ministerial Lead includes:
      • Steven Guilbeault, Minister of Environment and Climate Change
      • Harjit S. Sajjan, President of the King’s Privy Council for Canada and Minister of Emergency Preparedness and Minister responsible for the Pacific Economic Development Agency of Canada
      • Dan Vandal, Minister of Northern Affairs, Minister responsible for Prairies Economic Development Canada and Minister responsible for the Canadian Northern Economic Development Agency
      • Gudie Hutchings, Minister of Rural Economic Development and Minister responsible for the Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency
      • Sean Fraser, Minister of Housing, Infrastructure and Communities
      • Patty Hajdu, Minister of Indigenous Services and Minister responsible for the Federal Economic Development Agency for Northern Ontario
    • On July 25, 2024, the Government of Canada approved a request for federal assistance from Alberta to provide firefighting resources, strategic airlift capacity, as well as resources and logistics support from the Canadian Armed Forces to help keep people in Jasper and across the province safe from harm and protect their communities from wildfires.
    • On July 28, 2024, the federal government announced a donation-matching program with the Canadian Red Cross to support wildfire disaster relief and recovery efforts in Alberta, including in Jasper.
    • In the immediate aftermath of the fire, the Government of Canada stepped up to ensure all those impacted could receive essential services and benefits. This included:
      • Providing enhanced Service Canada delivery, outreach to evacuees, and deployment of Service Canada employees to evacuation centres to assist clients in submitting applications for benefits, such as Employment Insurance.
      • Replacing citizenship, immigration, or travel documents that were lost, damaged, or destroyed; extending or restoring people’s temporary resident status; transitioning employer-specific work permits to open work permits, as needed.
    • On October 3, 2024, Bill C-76, An Act to amend the Canada National Parks Act, received Royal Assent. The amendments made to the Act aim to enable the transfer of land use planning and development authorities from Parks Canada to the Municipality of Jasper, to support long-term recovery and rebuilding efforts.
    • Through the Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements (DFAA), the federal government covers up to 90 per cent of eligible provincial response and recovery expenses following a disaster, including:
      • Evacuation, transportation, emergency food, shelter, and clothing.
      • Repairs to public buildings and related equipment, roads, and bridges.
      • Restoration or replacement of individuals’ uninsurable dwellings (principal residences only), personal furnishings, appliances, and clothing.
      • Restoration of small businesses and farmsteads, including uninsurable buildings and equipment.

    Associated Links

    MIL OSI Canada News

  • MIL-OSI Banking: Harnessing Renewables in Sub-Saharan Africa: Barriers, Reforms, and Economic Prospects

    Source: International Monetary Fund

    Kailhao Cai, Andrea Medici, Giovanni Melina, Gregor Schwerhoff, and Sneha D Thube. “Harnessing Renewables in Sub-Saharan Africa: Barriers, Reforms, and Economic Prospects”, Staff Climate Notes 2024, 005 (2024), accessed October 9, 2024, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400290107.066

    MIL OSI Global Banks

  • MIL-OSI USA: SEC Monitoring Impact of Hurricane Milton on Capital Markets

    Source: Securities and Exchange Commission

    The Securities and Exchange Commission is closely monitoring the impact of Hurricane Milton on investors and capital markets. The SEC also continues to monitor the prior impact of Hurricane Helene.

    The SEC divisions and offices that oversee companies, accountants, investment advisers, mutual funds, brokerage firms, transfer agents, and other regulated entities and investment professionals will continue to closely track developments. They will evaluate the possibility of granting relief from filing deadlines and other regulatory requirements for those affected by the storms. Entities and investment professionals affected by Hurricane Milton or Hurricane Helene are encouraged to contact SEC staff with questions and concerns:

    • Division of Examinations staff in the SEC’s Miami Regional Office can be reached by phone at 305-982-6300 or email at miami@sec.gov
    • Division of Examinations staff in the SEC’s Atlanta Regional Office can be reached by phone at 404-842-7600 or email at atlanta@sec.gov
    • Division of Corporation Finance staff can be reached by phone at 202-551-3500 or via online submission at http://www.sec.gov/forms/corp_fin_interpretive
    • Division of Investment Management staff can be reached by phone at 202-551-6825 or email at imocc@sec.gov
    • Division of Trading and Markets staff can be reached by phone at 202-551-5777 or email at tradingandmarkets@sec.gov
    • Office of Municipal Securities staff can be reached by phone at 202-551-5680 or email at munis@sec.gov

    Individuals experiencing problems accessing their securities accounts or with similar questions or concerns relating to either hurricane are encouraged to contact the SEC’s Office of Investor Education and Advocacy by phone at 1-800-SEC-0330 or email at help@sec.gov.

    Investors should be vigilant for Hurricane Milton-related and Hurricane Helene-related securities scams and check the background of anyone offering them an investment by using the free and simple search tool on Investor.gov. The SEC’s Division of Enforcement will vigorously prosecute those who attempt to defraud victims of the storms. The SEC is asking investors to report any suspicious solicitations at http://www.sec.gov/complaint/tipscomplaint.shtml.

    More information about the SEC’s monitoring of the impact of Hurricane Helene can be found here.

    FOR HURRICANE MILTON:

    What DHS and FEMA are doing

    https://www.fema.gov/disaster/current/hurricane-milton

    Español: https://www.fema.gov/es/disaster/current/hurricane-milton

    What the U.S. government is doing

    https://www.usa.gov/hurricane-milton

    Español: https://www.usa.gov/es/huracan-milton

    FOR HURRICANE HELENE:

    What DHS and FEMA are doing

    https://www.fema.gov/hurricane-helene

    Español: https://www.fema.gov/es/helene

    What the U.S. government is doing

    https://usa.gov/hurricane-helene

    Español: https://usa.gov/es/huracan-helene

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI USA: ICYMI: New Jersey Army National Guard Prepares for Hurricane Milton Support to Florida Division of Emergency Management

    Source: US State of New Jersey

    TRENTON – The New Jersey Army National Guard announced the deployment of approximately 80 Soldiers and 30 military vehicles to support Hurricane Milton response operations in Camp Blanding, Florida. A convoy from the 143d Transportation Company and 253d Transportation Company, 42d Regional Support Group anticipates arriving by the end of the week, as Hurricane Milton is forecast to make landfall on the Gulf Coast of Florida on Wednesday, October 9.

    “Our thoughts and prayers are with the people of Florida as a second massive storm in as many weeks bears down on our nation’s Gulf Coast,” said Governor Phil Murphy. “New Jersey is committed to doing everything possible to assist Floridians impacted by Hurricane Milton—including sending a convoy to support the Florida Division of Emergency Management.”

    Upon arrival to Camp Blanding, the unit will coordinate with the Florida Division of Emergency Management and the Florida National Guard. Tasks may include transportation of Florida National Guard personnel into weather-impacted areas and delivery of commodities to or from points of distribution.

    “Floridians are family, and we know from personal experience what hurricane recovery means for our communities,” said Colonel Yvonne L. Mays, Acting Adjutant General of New Jersey. “Our Soldiers are trained and ready to support our neighbors in need.”

    New Jersey responded to Florida’s request for support through the Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC), the nation’s state-to-state mutual aid agreement. The Governors of Minnesota and Ohio have also authorized emergency assistance. EMAC matches personnel, equipment, and commodities to assist response and recovery efforts across all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and four territories.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Canada: Government of Canada recognizes Colored Hockey League of the Maritimes as an event of national historic significance The Colored Hockey League of the Maritimes exemplifies how African Canadian communities in the Maritimes fought for equality in sports and used hockey to advance social change in Canada.

    Source: Government of Canada News (2)

    The Colored Hockey League of the Maritimes exemplifies how African Canadian communities in the Maritimes fought for equality in sports and used hockey to advance social change in Canada.

    October 9, 2024                         Gatineau, Quebec                                   Parks Canada

    Today, the Honourable Steven Guilbeault, Minister of Environment and Climate Change and Minister responsible for Parks Canada, announced the designation of the Colored Hockey League of the Maritimes as an event of national historic significance under Parks Canada’s National Program of Historical Commemoration.

    In 1895, Black Baptist leaders in Halifax created three hockey teams – the Eurekas, the Jubilees, and the Stanleys – in hopes of attracting young men of African descent to Sunday worship and fostering a sense of pride within the community. This small local league would soon grow into the Colored Hockey League of the Maritimes (CHLM), a competitive all-Black league in Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island, the only all-Black league in Canadian history. During this time, obvious anti-Black racism influenced the few existing hockey leagues to exclude/prevent Black players from joining their teams. At the same time, the league and its players faced many barriers, including limited access to indoor rinks and ice time. This meant that CHLM games were often played in poor conditions.

    However, hundreds of determined men would go on to play in the league throughout its 30-year existence, entertaining large multiracial crowds and impressing mainstream journalists who reported on the fast, physical, and innovative brand of hockey the CHLM would become known for. It was in this league that many fundamental techniques – such as the slapshot and butterfly-style goaltending – were first introduced. The league would serve as a means for effecting social change and promoting equality for Black Nova Scotians throughout its time.

    The CHLM endured through several hurdles, at one point suspending its operations and later having to rebuild as many of its members had served overseas during the First World War. Despite this determination, the continued racism the league and its players faced on and off the ice, coupled with economic and wartime factors, eventually led to the league’s decision to disband in 1925. CHLM players inspired generations of Black youth to perfect/sharpen their athletic skills and, eventually, to compete at the highest levels.

    The Government of Canada, through the Historic Sites and Monuments Board of Canada and Parks Canada, recognizes significant persons, places, and events that have shaped our country as one way of helping Canadians connect with their past. By sharing these stories with Canadians, we hope to foster understanding and reflection on the diverse histories, cultures, legacies, and realities of Canada’s past and present. 

                                                                                                                               -30-

    • Under the management of James A. R. Kinney and James Robinson Johnston, early 20th-century leaders for the advancement and equality of Black Nova Scotians, the league served as a means for effecting social change. 

    • CHLM matches attracted large and multiracial crowds and press coverage. In 1905–1906, however, a major dispute pitted leaders of the African Canadian community against landowners and the Halifax administration when railway companies wanted to run tracks through the seaside community of Africville, resulting in the CHLM losing ice time.

    • The Dartmouth Jubilees’ original goaltender, Henry Franklyn, introduced the butterfly style of goaltending in 1900, and around that time, the Halifax Eurekas’ Eddie Martin began using the slapshot. That was before these techniques seem to have been permitted in other Canadian leagues, and decades before the slapshot was introduced in the National Hockey League (NHL).

    • The designation process under Parks Canada’s National Program of Historical Commemoration is largely driven by public nominations. To date, more than 2,260 designations have been made nationwide. To nominate a person, place or historic event in your community, please visit the Parks Canada website for more information: https://parks.canada.ca/culture/designation/proposer-nominate.

    • Created in 1919, the Historic Sites and Monuments Board of Canada advises the Minister of Environment and Climate Change regarding the national significance of persons, places, and events that have marked Canada’s history. Together with Parks Canada, the Board ensures that subjects of national historic significance are recognized under Parks Canada’s National Program of Historical Commemoration and these important stories are shared with Canadians. 

    • Parks Canada is committed to working with Canadians in our efforts to tell broader, more inclusive stories in the places that it manages. In support of this goal, the Framework for History and Commemoration outlines a new, comprehensive, and engaging approach to sharing Canada’s history through diverse perspectives, including shedding light on tragic and difficult periods of Canada’s past.

    Oliver Anderson
    Director of Communications     
    Office of the Minister of Environment and Climate Change
    819-962-0686
    oIiver.anderson@ec.gc.ca

    MIL OSI Canada News

  • MIL-OSI USA: Get Repair, Rebuilding, Insurance Advice at Walgreens in Ruidoso

    Source: US Federal Emergency Management Agency

    Headline: Get Repair, Rebuilding, Insurance Advice at Walgreens in Ruidoso

    Get Repair, Rebuilding, Insurance Advice at Walgreens in Ruidoso

    Maybe you have already begun fixing-up the damage to your home in the wake of the South Fork and Salt Fires and flooding. Or maybe you have no idea of even where to begin. As New Mexicans are recovering from the disaster, FEMA has teamed with Walgreens in Ruidoso, for one week, to provide free information and tips on how to make homes damaged by the fires and floods stronger and safer. 

    FEMA specialists will be available to answer questions and offer home improvement tips and proven methods to help prevent or reduce damage from future disasters. They will also share techniques for rebuilding hazard-resistant homes. Most information is aimed at do-it-yourselfers and general contractor work. 

    Residents with fire- or flood-impacted homes will pick up tips on re-building smart, strong and safe to prevent future damage. Smart building includes mitigating damage against floods, strong winds and even tornadoes. Attendees will learn how such simple mitigation measures as elevating electrical and heating systems and anchoring fuel storage tanks can provide protection against severe conditions, and much more. Bring your questions.

    In addition, FEMA Hazard Mitigation insurance specialists from the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) will be on hand to answer questions about flood insurance. 

    These experts will be available Tuesday, Oct. 15 through Saturday, Oct. 19, 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. at;

    Walgreens
    138 Sudderth Dr
    Ruidoso, NM 88356 

    angela.ambroise

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI: Music Licensing, Inc. (OTC: SONG) Continues Uninterrupted Operations Amid Hurricane Milton Impact

    Source: GlobeNewswire (MIL-OSI)

    Naples, FL , Oct. 09, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Music Licensing, Inc. (OTC: SONG), a leading diversified music rights management company, announces the temporary closure of its Naples, Florida office due to the impact of Hurricane Milton. While the office remains closed to ensure the safety of staff and comply with local evacuation orders, the company confirms that operations remain fully functional, with no disruption to services.

    In preparation for potential emergencies, Music Licensing, Inc. has long maintained robust contingency plans, including remote work capabilities and redundant systems, which have allowed us to transition seamlessly during this time. Our team continues to manage operations remotely, ensuring that all clients, partners, and stakeholders continue to receive the highest level of service without interruption.

    “Our thoughts are with everyone affected by Hurricane Milton,” said Jake P. Noch, CEO of Music Licensing, Inc. “We have implemented our business continuity protocols to maintain the operational integrity of our services and ensure that our clients experience no lapse in the quality of support they rely on. The safety of our team and community remains a priority, and we are committed to staying fully operational during this challenging time.”

    Music Licensing, Inc. appreciates the understanding and support of its partners and clients during this temporary disruption. The company will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates as needed.

    About Music Licensing, Inc. (OTC: SONG) (ProMusicRights.com)

    Music Licensing, Inc. (OTC: SONG), also known as Pro Music Rights, is a diversified holding company and the fifth public performance rights organization (PRO) formed in the United States. Its licensees include notable companies such as TikTok, iHeart Media, Triller, Napster, 7Digital, Vevo, and many others. Pro Music Rights holds an estimated market share of 7.4% in the United States, representing over 2,500,000 works by notable artists such as A$AP Rocky, Wiz Khalifa, Pharrell, Young Jeezy, Juelz Santana, Lil Yachty, MoneyBagg Yo, Larry June, Trae Pound, Sauce Walka, Trae Tha Truth, Sosamann, Soulja Boy, Lex Luger, Trauma Tone, Lud Foe, SlowBucks, Gunplay, OG Maco, Rich The Kid, Fat Trel, Young Scooter, Nipsey Hussle, Famous Dex, Boosie Badazz, Shy Glizzy, 2 Chainz, Migos, Gucci Mane, Young Dolph, Trinidad James, Chingy, Lil Gnar, 3OhBlack, Curren$y, Fall Out Boy, Money Man, Dej Loaf, Lil Uzi Vert, and countless others, as well as artificial intelligence (A.I.) created music.

    Additionally, Music Licensing, Inc. (OTC: SONG) owns royalty stakes in Listerine “Mouthwash” Antiseptic and musical works by artists such as The Weeknd, Justin Bieber, Kanye West, Elton John, Mike Posner, blackbear, Lil Nas X, Lil Yachty, DaBaby, Stunna 4 Vegas, Miley Cyrus, Lil Wayne, XXXTentacion, Jeremih, Ty Dolla $ign, Eric Bellinger, Ne-Yo, MoneyBagg Yo, Halsey, Desiigner, DaniLeigh, Rihanna, and numerous others.

    Forward-Looking Statements:

    This press release contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. Investors are cautioned that, all forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including without limitation, the ability of Music Licensing, Inc. & Pro Music Rights, Inc. to accomplish its stated plan of business. Music Licensing, Inc. & Pro Music Rights, Inc. believes that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements contained herein are reasonable, any of the assumptions could be inaccurate, and therefore, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking statements included in this press release will prove to be accurate. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements included herein, the inclusion of such information should not be regarded as a representation by Pro Music Rights, Inc., Music Licensing, Inc., or any other person.

    Non-Legal Advice Disclosure:

    This press release does not constitute legal advice, and readers are advised to seek legal counsel for any legal matters or questions related to the content herein.

    Non-Investment Advice Disclosure:

    This communication is intended solely for informational purposes and does not in any way imply or constitute a recommendation or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, commodities, bonds, options, derivatives, or any other investment products. Any decisions related to investments should be made after thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor or professional. We assume no liability for any actions taken or not taken based on the information provided in this communication.

    Contact: investors@ProMusicRights.com

    SOURCE: Music Licensing, Inc

    The MIL Network

  • MIL-OSI USA: Statement From Vice President Kamala  Harris Warning Against Price Gouging and  Fraud

    US Senate News:

    Source: The White House
    Let us all be clear: Americans impacted by a crisis should never be ripped off.
    I have seen firsthand the devastating impact of price gouging during an emergency. As Attorney General of California during devastating wildfires that displaced thousands of residents, I took on those attempting to take advantage of the situation by raising hotel prices. As Senator, I worked to stop price gouging during the pandemic.
    Those evacuating before Hurricane Milton or recovering from Hurricane Helene should not be subject to illegal price gouging or fraud – at the pump, airport, or hotel counter. Any company or individual that tries to exploit Americans in an emergency should know that the Administration is monitoring for allegations of fraud and price gouging and will hold those taking advantage of the situation accountable.

    MIL OSI USA News

  • MIL-OSI Video: Our Administration is continuing to work around the clock to respond to Hurricane Helene

    Source: United States of America – The White House (video statements)

    Our Administration is continuing to work around the clock to respond to Hurricane Helene – and we will continue to be there every step of the way.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iTNtImol_O4

    MIL OSI Video

  • MIL-OSI United Kingdom: Nature is a ‘National Wealth Service’

    Source: United Kingdom – Executive Government & Departments

    Tony Juniper speech at the launch of Natural England’s first State of Natural Capital Report

    This notion of natural capital, I think, is really quite a powerful idea. I think everybody in the room will understand the notion of financial capital and how if we look after our capital assets, we get a flow of dividends and interest long into the future.

    And of course, if we blow our capital, we go bankrupt. So it goes with natural capital and the extent to which, today confirmed by this report, we have drifted deeply into the red over the years. And this is now something which poses a source of risk. The state of natural capital very much confirms the need to grow Nature as a prerequisite for health, wealth and security. Indeed, with economic growth identified as an overriding national priority, it will be necessary to grow the natural assets needed to underpin that.

    The report gives a clear snapshot of the state of these assets, and gives us a logical baseline from which to measure growth over time. It highlights the extent to which we rely on Nature, which gives us life’s essentials of fresh water, air and food. In fact, with 90% of the world’s food reliant on just 20 species, we ignore this at our peril. Nature also provides places to relax, resources to build with, and mitigation of the climate change impacts ever more visible on the planet.

    In short, if we look after Nature, Nature will look after us, but the truth is, that we haven’t been. The web of life is in critical decline. Ninety percent of the UK’s wetlands have been lost in the modern era and over 97% of lowland semi-natural grasslands have been lost in the last century, taking with them countless birds, butterflies and bumblebees. Nature is being wiped off the face of our supposedly green and pleasant land. Yet we continue to act as if we were oblivious to the warning signs from a planet that is evidently struggling.

    Impacts like these exacerbate many of the most serious threats to society. Nature loss and climate change fuel one another, so losing wildlife and habitat helps drive changes to weather systems to unprecedented extremes, which in turn forces more species to flee their traditional ranges and for some to be wiped out altogether.

    For years, we have taken Nature for granted and taken more than it can sustainably supply. We are, in effect, running down those capital assets as we strip away Nature’s ability to provide clean water and carbon storage by degrading soils, which increases water pollution and sends harmful emissions into the atmosphere, affecting human health and adding to consumer bills. Those degraded soils and lost wetlands reduce landscapes’ ability to regulate temperature, hold water and to slow the flow of rivers, amplifying flooding downstream. Not only does this cause widespread human misery, it puts businesses and services out of action and adds considerably to insurance premiums.

    It’s interesting to note in the wake of Hurricane Helene, which smashed through the southern states of the United States a couple of weeks ago, how many of the properties there were uninsured because they were not deemed to be in areas prone to flood risk. Thereby revealing a series of not only serious economic consequences, but also social ones, and the costs of degradation can be measured not only economically but in lives lost. Almost 3000 excess deaths occurred across the UK in 2022 as a result of extreme heat and this is also seen in the impacts of agriculture with flooding causing losses to farming income in England to drop by a fifth in 2023, leading to a £1 billion blow to this country’s GDP.

    The decline of Nature is not only visible in the countryside, of course, but also in our towns and cities and villages, particularly amongst the most disadvantaged communities. Evidence gathered in the State of Natural Capital Report indicates that lower risks of sick days are associated with increased access to green and blue spaces. However, according to Natural England’s Green Infrastructure research, we see that around one in three people, 38%, do not live within 15 minutes of the green space, and they tend to be from more disadvantaged communities. The link between social and equalities and differences in health outcomes is thus strong and persistent.

    The upside of this disturbing picture is that we can work together across society to recover Nature and unlock solutions to these pressing challenges For that to happen, information regarding the value we all derive from Nature needs to be put into the hands of those who decide on actions that shape our country at both national and local levels, and that’s where this research comes in.

    It gives decision makers a vivid picture of these close dependencies between the social well-being and economic resilience and the ecosystems which underpin those essentials of our society. Taking a natural capital approach highlights the extent to which our mountains, wetlands, sea bed, soils and rivers are just as critical to business success and community wellbeing as roads, railways and broadband.

    These natural assets add up to a national wealth service, providing a steady stream of essential goods and benefits upon which our economy and population rely. Setting them out so clearly as we’re doing today allows them to be moved out of the shadows and onto an extended balance sheet where companies can see their true value and act to protect these priceless and essential assets. This allows us to progress beyond just seeing the health of our economy and country in terms of GDP and to incorporate the health of our natural capital and its ability to sustain our economy into our understanding of the condition of our nation. It’s time we treasured this ‘National Wealth Service’ as much we do as we do the National Health Service.

    What I hope people will understand as a result of this State of Natural Capital Report is that Nature isn’t some rather quaint, distant notion that inevitably gets trampled by progress, or occasionally holds it up. Nature is a dynamic, vigorous multilayered force that can provide so many of our essential needs today and into the future, if we take this opportunity to understand it better, to treat it with respect.

    For these reasons, a thriving natural world means Nature flourishing across landscapes – hills, valleys, towns and cities, seas and shores, where people can be active, inspired and fulfilled. Healthy rivers and wetlands providing clean water and homes for wildlife and reducing the risks of flooding and drought. Restored peatlands and sea beds, storing vast quantities of carbon instead of releasing it into the atmosphere. Trees, shrubs, parks and rivers, cooling cities and some are bringing urban dwellers closer to Nature, reducing crime and encouraging businesses to invest. Hedgerows and flower-rich margins, ensuring a plentiful supply of pollinators for crops underpinning food security.

    All of these benefits provide us with security and resilience in an uncertain world. Put them together and it’s very clear that Nature isn’t different to growth, it is at the heart of it. You cannot grow the economy if you don’t grow Nature. According to recent estimates, the value of the UK’s stock of natural capital assets is just over £1.5 trillion.

    Is it wise to blow that capital and to not think about tomorrow? Or should we try to grow that capital to thereby grow the dividends and interest that we will get into the future?

    The evidence presented in this report reveals the answer and how investing in Nature recovery pays the upfront costs many times over. However, each decade doubles the costs of restoring the damage, meaning that the longer we leave this process of Nature recovery, the more expensive it will become.

    This report thereby offers an important resource for policymakers, making the invisible visible and providing the missing evidence needed, guiding the action that we require to achieve sustainable use of our natural assets. The case for Nature recovery as a result of this work, makes it an even stronger agenda.  I encourage those of you here today not to read the report only and to be informed by it, but to use it in your future decision-making processes and to create a stronger positive outlook for our economy and society by doing so.

    Notes

    Updates to this page

    Published 9 October 2024

    MIL OSI United Kingdom

  • MIL-OSI Global: Fix the climate or appease the fossil fuel industry – we can’t do both

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jack Marley, Environment + Energy Editor, UK edition

    Britain ended more than 140 years of coal power when it closed its last generator in September.

    Coal emits more heat-trapping gas to the atmosphere than any other fossil fuel, so its demise as a source of electricity is an unalloyed good for the climate. Yet, with another announcement a week later, the UK government has helped extend the reign of fossil fuels well into the 21st century.



    This roundup of The Conversation’s climate coverage comes from our award-winning weekly climate action newsletter. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 35,000+ readers who’ve subscribed.


    Less than six months from polling day, the UK Labour party (then the official opposition) scrapped a campaign commitment to provide an annual stimulus of £28 billion (US$36.6 billion) for green industries.




    Read more:
    Labour’s £28 billion green investment promise could be watered down – here’s why


    Six billion pounds shy of this figure will now be raised over 25 years, Keir Starmer’s Labour government has revealed, but for a specific purpose: carbon capture and storage.

    “The technology works by capturing CO₂ as it is being emitted by a power plant or another polluter, then storing it underground,” says Mark Maslin, a professor of natural sciences at UCL.

    The Guardian reports that oil companies BP and Equinor will invest in a cluster of carbon capture and storage installations in Teesside, north-east England. Eni, an Italian oil company, is expected to develop sites in north-west England and north Wales. In each case, emissions will probably be pumped via gas pipes beneath the seabed.

    Starmer anointed “a new era” for green jobs when announcing this funding, but experts claim he is actually offering symbolic and strategic support to climate-wrecking energy sources that have dominated for centuries.

    A new error

    “This announcement represents a massive bet on a still unproven technology, and will lock the UK into fossil fuel dependence for decades to come,” Maslin says.




    Read more:
    The UK’s £22 billion bet on carbon capture will lock in fossil fuels for decades


    “The Climate Change Act mandates the UK should achieve net zero emissions by 2050, yet this will be impossible if carbon capture leads to the UK building new gas power stations instead of wind and solar farms.”

    Our ability to capture all this carbon is not guaranteed.
    DimaBerlin/Shutterstock

    Maslin was one of several scientists who wrote to energy secretary Ed Miliband criticising the plans. As he sees it, the government would not fund these projects if it did not see a future for fossil fuels beyond the middle of this century, by which time scientists have said our interference in the climate must end.

    The message is clear: expensive imports of natural gas (essentially methane, a potent greenhouse gas) are here to stay. Even successful deployment of carbon scrubbers at the point of burning this gas would not erase its climate impact, Maslin says, as it leaks at all stages of its production and use.

    But Maslin also doubts carbon capture and storage can siphon off the emissions of gas-fired power plants without adding to climate change. This is why climate scientists often describe carbon capture and storage as an unproven technology for decarbonising electricity and heavy industry: most of its applications have been in natural gas processing facilities where CO₂ is extracted for commercial uses.

    “The track record of adding carbon capture to power plants is much worse, with the vast majority of projects abandoned,” Maslin explains.

    More damning still, almost 80% of all the CO₂ captured by existing installations has been reinjected into oil fields – to pump more oil.

    Could carbon capture and storage tech turn natural gas into zero-carbon hydrogen, as some hope? Again, Maslin is dubious. Water is a cleaner source for hydrogen and using this fuel to heat homes or decarbonise factories is a second-rate solution compared with renewable electricity, he says.

    The fruits of appeasement

    Maslin and his co-signatories say that carbon capture and storage should be limited to reducing emissions from existing fossil power plants or steel furnaces while these emission sources are rapidly phased out.

    Marc Hudson at the University of Sussex is a historian of climate politics and policy in Australia, the US, UK and internationally. He has encountered policy proposals for carbon capture dating back to the 1970s and in his view, their overwhelming effect has been to prolong the use of fossil fuels by justifying investment in their expansion.




    Read more:
    Relying on carbon capture and storage may be a dangerous trap for UK industry


    “It’s the equivalent of smoking more and more cigarettes each day and gambling that a cure for cancer will exist by the time you need it,” he says.




    Read more:
    Cumbria coal mine: empty promises of carbon capture tech have excused digging up more fossil fuel for decades


    When trying to explain why rational climate policies like the mass insulation of draughty homes tends to lose out to investment in carbon capture and storage, Nils Markusson, a lecturer in environmental politics at Lancaster University, found something similar:

    “Home insulation does nothing to shield the profits of fossil fuel companies or landlords in the large and growing private rental sector,” he says.




    Read more:
    Does carbon capture and storage hype delay emissions cuts? Here’s what research shows


    In other words, appeasing the fossil fuel industry is a proviso of policies drafted to address climate change. This limitation has also infiltrated scientific assessments of the climate.

    A new report shows that “overshoot” scenarios – that is, projections of future climate change which accept the global target of 1.5°C will be at least temporarily breached – are rife in mainstream climate science.

    This is despite evidence of the permanent damage such a breach would cause – and our doubtful ability to reverse warming once it has exceeded these dangerous levels using speculative carbon removal technology.

    There is not enough land or energy to rapidly restore the carbon we have emitted.
    Oksana Bali/Shutterstock

    What has led us here? Comprehending the climate crisis and its solutions on terms favourable to the fossil fuel industry say Wim Carton and Andreas Malm, political ecologists at Lund University.

    “Avoiding climate breakdown demands that we bury the fantasy of overshoot-and-return and with it another illusion as well: that the Paris targets can be met without uprooting the status-quo.




    Read more:
    How mainstream climate science endorsed the fantasy of a global warming time machine


    “One limit after the other will be broken unless we manage to strand the necessary fossil assets and curtail opportunities for continuing to profit from oil and gas and coal.”

    ref. Fix the climate or appease the fossil fuel industry – we can’t do both – https://theconversation.com/fix-the-climate-or-appease-the-fossil-fuel-industry-we-cant-do-both-240694

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Global: How mainstream climate science endorsed the fantasy of a global warming time machine

    Source: The Conversation – UK – By Wim Carton, Associate Professor of Political Ecology, Lund University

    When the Paris agreement on climate change was gavelled into being in December 2015, it briefly looked like that rarest of things: a political victory for climate activists and delegates from the poorest regions of the world that, due to colonisation by today’s wealthy nations, have contributed little to the climate crisis – but stand to suffer its worst ravages.

    The world had finally agreed an upper limit for global warming. And in a move that stunned most experts, it had embraced the stretch target of 1.5°C, the boundary that small island states, acutely threatened by sea-level rise, had tirelessly pushed for years.

    Or so, at least, it seemed. For soon, the ambitious Paris agreement limit turned out to be not much of a limit at all. When the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (or IPCC, the world’s foremost body of climate experts) lent its authority to the 1.5°C temperature target with its 2018 special report, something odd transpired.

    Nearly all modelled pathways for limiting global heating to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels involved temporarily transgressing this target. Each still arrived back at 1.5°C eventually (the deadline being the random end point of 2100), but not before first shooting past it.

    Scientists responsible for modelling the response of Earth’s climate to greenhouse gas emissions – primarily caused by burning fossil fuels – called these “overshoot” scenarios. They became the dominant path along which mitigating climate change was imagined to proceed, almost as soon as talk of temperature limits emerged.

    De facto, what they said was this: staying below a temperature limit is the same as first crossing it and then, a few decades hence, using methods of removing carbon from the atmosphere to dial temperatures back down again.

    From some corners of the scientific literature came the assertion that this was nothing more than fantasy. A new study published in Nature has now confirmed this critique. It found that humanity’s ability to restore Earth’s temperature below 1.5°C of warming, after overshooting it, cannot be guaranteed. Many impacts of climate change are essentially irreversible. Those that are might take decades to undo, well beyond the relevant horizon for climate politics. For policy makers of the future, it matters little that temperatures might eventually fall back again; the impacts they will need to plan for are those of the overshoot period itself.

    Not coming back: tropical coral reefs face permanent destruction.
    Sabangvideo/Shutterstock

    The rise of overshoot ideology

    Even if global average surface temperatures are ultimately reversed, climate conditions at regional levels might not necessarily follow the global trend and might end up different from before. Delayed changes in ocean currents, for instance, could mean that the North Atlantic or Southern Ocean continue warming while the rest of the planet does not.

    Any losses and damages that accumulate during the overshoot period itself would of course be permanent. For a farmer in Sudan whose livestock perishes in a heatwave that would have been avoided at 1.5°C, it will be scant consolation to know that temperatures are scheduled to return to that level when her children have grown up.

    Then there is the dubious feasibility of planetary-scale carbon removal. Planting enough trees or energy crops to make a dent in global temperatures would require whole continents of land. Direct air capture of gigatonnes of carbon would consume prodigious amounts of renewable energy and so compete with decarbonisation. Whose land are we going to use for this? Who will shoulder the burdens for all this excess energy use?

    If reversal cannot be guaranteed, then clearly it is irresponsible to sanction a supposedly temporary overshoot of the Paris targets. And yet this is exactly what scientists have done. What compelled them to go down this dangerous route?

    Our own book on this topic (Overshoot: How the World Surrendered to Climate Breakdown, published last week by Verso) offers a history and critique of the idea.

    When overshoot scenarios were summoned into being in the early 2000s, the single most important reason was economics. Rapid, near-term emissions cuts were deemed prohibitively costly and so unpalatable. Cost optimisation mandated that they be pushed into the future to the extent possible.

    The models for projecting possible mitigation trajectories had these principles written into their code and so for the most part could not compute “low” temperature targets like 1.5 or 2°C. And because modellers could not imagine transgressing the deeply conservative constraints that they worked within, something else had to be transgressed.

    One team stumbled upon the idea that large-scale removal of carbon might be possible in the future, and so help reverse climate change. The EU and then the IPCC picked up on it, and before long, overshoot scenarios had colonised the expert literature. Deference to mainstream economics yielded a defence of the political status quo. This in turn translated into reckless experimentation with the climate system. Conservatism or fatalism about society’s capacity for change flipped into extreme adventurism about nature.

    Time to bury the time machine

    Just as the climate movement scored an important political victory, compelling the world to rally behind an ambitious temperature limit, an influential group of scientists, amplified by the world’s most authoritative scientific body on the subject, effectively helped water it down. When all is said and written about the post-Paris era, this surely should stand as one of its greatest tragedies.

    By conjuring up the fantasy of overshoot-and-return, scientists invented a mechanism for delaying climate action and unwittingly lent credibility to those (and they are many) who have no real interest in reigning in emissions here and now; who will seize on any excuse to keep the oil and gas and coal flowing just a little longer.

    A stable climate is not compatible with rising oil profits.
    Igor Hotinsky/Shutterstock

    The findings of this new paper make it perfectly clear: There is no time machine waiting in the wings. Once 1.5°C lies behind us, we must consider that threshold permanently broken.

    There then remains only one road to ambitious mitigation of climate change, and no amount of carbon dioxide removal can absolve us of its inconvenient political implications.

    Avoiding climate breakdown demands that we bury the fantasy of overshoot-and-return and with it another illusion as well: that the Paris targets can be met without uprooting the status-quo. One limit after the other will be broken unless we manage to strand fossil fuel assets and curtail opportunities for continuing to profit from oil and gas and coal.

    We will not mitigate climate change without confronting and defeating fossil fuel interests. We should expect climate scientists to be candid about this.



    Don’t have time to read about climate change as much as you’d like?

    Get our award-winning weekly roundup in your inbox instead. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 35,000+ readers who’ve subscribed so far.


    Wim Carton receives funding for his work on carbon removal from the Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development (Formas), the Swedish Energy Agency, the Marianne and Marcus Wallenberg Foundation, and the Independent Research Fund Denmark (DFF).

    Andreas Malm receives funding for his work on carbon removal from the Swedish Research Council for Sustainable Development (Formas).

    ref. How mainstream climate science endorsed the fantasy of a global warming time machine – https://theconversation.com/how-mainstream-climate-science-endorsed-the-fantasy-of-a-global-warming-time-machine-225597

    MIL OSI – Global Reports

  • MIL-OSI Security: Justice Department, Federal Trade Commission and Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Warn Consumers About Potential Scams and Price Gouging in the Wake of Hurricanes and other Natural Disasters

    Source: United States Attorneys General 1

    As the nation braces for another major hurricane, the Justice Department, along with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), is warning consumers about those looking to take advantage of natural disasters by engaging in potential fraud, price gouging and collusive schemes.

    Scammers quickly exploit weather emergencies and take advantage of people trying to recover or donate to disaster victims. Weather emergencies provide disruptions to the supply chain, which can also provide opportunities for wrongdoers to engage in collusive schemes that inflate prices charged to customers who are under extreme stress and therefore unable to fight back against collusive or anticompetitive prices.

    “Companies are on notice: do not use the hurricane as an excuse to exploit people through illegal behavior,” said Deputy Assistant Attorney General Manish Kumar of the Justice Department’s Antitrust Division. “The Antitrust Division and its law enforcement partners will act quickly to root out anticompetitive behavior and use every tool available to hold wrongdoers accountable.”

    “Wrongdoers are looking to exploit opportunities and victims of natural disasters for their own personal gain,” said U.S. Attorney Ronald C. Gathe Jr. for the Middle District of Louisiana, who is also Executive Director of the National Center for Disaster Fraud (NCDF). “The Justice Department, including the NCDF, stands ready to prevent these bad actors from fraudulent activity. We are here to support victims of natural disasters during these difficult times together with our state, local and federal partners, and agencies. In an effort to assist the most vulnerable neighbors who are susceptible to these types of fraudulent schemes, we encourage you to be diligent in reporting suspicious activity on their behalf.”

    “As Americans seek safety from natural disasters, we’re hearing troubling reports of price gouging for essentials that are necessary for people to get out of harm’s way — from hotels to groceries to gas,” said FTC Chair Lina M. Khan. “No American should have to worry about paying grossly inflated prices when fleeing a hurricane. In partnership with state enforcers, the FTC will keep fighting to ensure that Americans can get the relief they need without being ripped off by bad actors exploiting a crisis.”

    “Price gouging during a natural disaster is just plain wrong, and excessive price increases can be unfair under the law,” said CFPB Director Rohit Chopra. “The CFPB will be on the lookout for financial companies that take advantage of natural disasters to rip people off.”

    Possible types of natural disaster scams include:

    • Fraudulent charities soliciting donations for disaster victims that often imitate the names of charities linked to the disaster;
    • Scammers impersonating government officials, offering disaster relief in exchange for personal information or money;
    • Scammers promoting non-existent businesses or investment opportunities related to disaster recovery, such as rebuilding or flood-proofing;
    • Price gouging for essential goods and services needed by disaster victims; and
    • Businesses using supply chain disruptions as a cover for collusion to overcharge customers.

    To avoid scams and frauds while you’re recovering from a hurricane or another natural disaster, remember only scammers will insist you pay for services by wire transfer, gift card, payment app, cryptocurrency or in cash. Avoid anyone who promises they can help you qualify for relief for a fee. That’s a scam. You are not required to pay a fee to get disaster relief. Never sign your insurance check over to someone else. Be sure to research contractors and get estimates from more than one before signing a contract for work. Get a written contract for repairs and read it carefully before signing it.

    The Justice Department established the NCDF in the wake of Hurricane Katrina to deter, investigate and prosecute fraud in the wake of disasters. More than 50 federal, state and local agencies participate in the NCDF, which reminds the public to be aware of and report any instances of alleged fraudulent activity related to relief operations and funding for victims. Complaints of fraud may be reported online at http://www.justice.gov/DisasterComplaintForm. Complaints may also be reported to the NCDF at (866) 720-5721, a hotline that is staffed 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

    Consumers and businesses with concerns about potentially anticompetitive conduct like price-fixing, bid-rigging, or customer-allocation can report those concerns to the Antitrust Division’s Citizen Complaint Center at 1-888-647-3258 or by visiting http://www.justice.gov/atr/report-violations.

    MIL Security OSI